Conflict: Israel and Gaza at the 2026 UN General Assembly

24 Sep 2026 · 43 min · 20 chapters

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In short

The episode focuses on Israel-Hamas war and Gaza’s place at the 2026 UN General Assembly, arguing that UN influence is constrained while world leaders debate humanitarian access and reconstruction.

Guests

Elizabeth Hagedorn, diplomatic correspondent for Al Monitor reporting from the UN; Akbar Shahid Ahmed, diplomatic correspondent for The Washington Sun and author of Crossing the Red Line: Biden, His Advisors, and Israel’s War in Gaza.

Key claims

the Trump-led “Board of Peace” unveiled a $2.45 billion, six-month Gaza recovery plan (66 projects) but it hinges on Israel withdrawing and Hamas disarming—both not happening. Gaza talks were overshadowed by Iran’s regional conflict. Mahmoud Abbas was denied a US visa and addressed the UN by video. The UN’s Security Council ceasefire efforts are repeatedly vetoed, and Gaza governance is being shifted to an ad hoc board.

Notable examples

Rafah “red line” on major ground operations allegedly ignored; Security Council vetoes; UNRWA funding cuts; and Biden-era warnings about civilian harm contrasted with continued weapons transfers.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Contextualizing the Discussion

1:58 to 2:13

Preview of the key issues surrounding Gaza and the UN's role in the ongoing conflict.

“Where do world leaders stand and what role does the United Nations still have in a conflict that's been defined by a flaunting of international norms and allegedly international laws as well?”

Guest Introductions and Overview

3:27 to 4:30

Introduction of guests Elizabeth Hagedorn and Akbar Shahid Ahmed and their expertise.

“Elizabeth Hagedorn is All Monitor's diplomatic correspondent.”

The Board of Peace's New Plan for Gaza

4:30 to 5:50

Discussion about the Trump-led Board of Peace's $2.45 billion recovery plan for Gaza.

“It was very reminiscent, I thought, of the board's meeting back in February when they also unveiled many similar sounding proposals.”

Challenges to Gaza Reconstruction Efforts

5:50 to 9:08

Exploration of the political challenges facing the reconstruction plans for Gaza amidst ongoing conflicts.

“Akbar, your view on the Board of Peace plan, given what Elizabeth just described, Israeli withdrawal from Gaza has not happened.”

The Role of the U.N. and International Dynamics

9:08 to 11:46

Analyzing the U.N.'s effectiveness and the geopolitical dynamics affecting Gaza's conflict.

“What about this week at the UN General Assembly?”

Concerns Over U.N. Effectiveness

11:46 to 14:01

Discussion about the long-term criticisms of the U.N. regarding its impact on the Israel-Palestine conflict.

“And to me, this just sort of speaks to how irrelevant the Trump administration sees President Abbas and the PA when it comes to its Gaza diplomacy and its wider Middle East agenda.”

The UN's Role in the Israel-Gaza Conflict

14:01 to 15:06

Exploring the perceived ineffectiveness of the UN and its limitations in Gaza.

“Certainly many Israelis have written off the UN a long time ago.”

The Flaws and Funding Issues of the UN

15:06 to 16:40

Discussing the challenges faced by the UN and its funding issues affecting on-ground operations.

“has an even more limited role in Gaza, having voted last year to effectively place responsibility for Gaza's post-war governance and security into the hands of the Trump-led Board of Peace.”

International Reactions and Palestine Recognition

16:40 to 18:48

Analyzing international responses to the Israel-Palestine situation and the effectiveness of Palestine recognition.

“And it's not constrained, of course, by questions of consensus among other countries, funding, all of that.”

US-Iran Relations: The Current State

18:48 to 21:38

Exploring the diplomatic interactions between the US and Iran at the UN.

“through a UN agency, a UN-linked agency, the IAEA.”
Show all 20 chapters

Akbar's New Book and the War in Gaza

21:38 to 22:46

Introduction to Akbar's book detailing the US response to the war in Gaza and key events.

“It called for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a path forward towards nuclear talks.”

October 7th and US-Israel Relations

22:46 to 25:49

Examining the immediate US response to the October 7th attacks and its implications for Israel.

“you interviewed over 150 officials, diplomats, insiders over the course of those two years.”

Consequences of US Support for Israel

25:49 to 28:00

Discussing the consequences of US military support for Israel during the Gaza conflict.

“The war in Afghanistan, less so, but 20 years of quagmire, of course.”

The U.S. Response to Israel's Actions

28:00 to 29:42

An analysis of the U.S. government's reaction to Israel's military actions in Gaza.

“We don't support, we won't support a major ground operation in Rafah.”

Historical and Political Context of U.S. Strategy

30:10 to 39:59

Exploration of the long-term impacts of U.S. foreign policy in the Israel-Gaza conflict.

“Listen on the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts.”

Domestic Political Implications of the War

40:00 to 42:06

Discussing the domestic political ramifications of the Israel-Gaza conflict for the Biden administration.

“President Biden was at that point surrounded by a circle of advisors he'd had for decades, right?”

Changing Perspectives on Israel and Gaza

42:06 to 43:50

Discussion on the evolving views of American public opinion regarding Israel and Gaza, including political accountability.

“I mean, if you look at the relationship with any of those other countries, and of course, in many of these conflicts, the U.S.”

Final Thoughts and Reflections

43:52 to 45:23

Reflecting on personal experiences and insights about the Israel-Gaza conflict and upcoming elections.

“to give one last thought to Susan in Ohio.”

Final Thoughts and Reflections

46:08 to 46:21

Reflecting on personal experiences and insights about the Israel-Gaza conflict and upcoming elections.

“What if a heart transplant didn't require the donor heart to stop beating?”

Final Thoughts and Reflections

46:26 to 46:38

Reflecting on personal experiences and insights about the Israel-Gaza conflict and upcoming elections.

“If you're tired of spending hundreds on big wireless bills, bogus fees, and free perks, Mint Mobile is for you.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:28This is Ira Glass. The United Nations General Assembly is underway in New York. This week on 1A, we've talked about the global balance of power, about President Trump and his America First foreign policy is causing allies to recalculate their friendships with the United States. And of course, we've talked about the war in Iran. Today, the Israel-Hamas war and Gaza at the U.N. Here's Qatar's Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al-Tani. There can be no talk of a just international order as long as Palestine remains a blind spot within it. And here is King Abdullah from Jordan. This Israeli government's expansionist appetite is now a regional threat.

1:15And here is President Emmanuel Macron of France. What is our credibility worth if we remain inactive on Gaza? Some claim that peace has been achieved, but this has not opened up humanitarian deliveries. This spectacle, it's shameful. Shame on all of us. It's been nearly three years since October 7th, and this week, as the UN confronts the deadly war that continues to drag on, the Palestinian Authority's president, Mahmoud Abbas, isn't in the room. The United States denied him a visa. He addressed the assembly by video. I'm Todd Zwilligan for Jen White. You're listening to the 1A podcast. Today, Gaza at the UN General Assembly.

2:01Where do world leaders stand and what role does the United Nations still have in a conflict that's been defined by a flaunting of international norms and allegedly international laws as well? We'll get to that and more right after this.

2:19Austin Tice is an American journalist who disappeared over a decade ago while reporting in Syria. And for years, we've been searching for him. This looks like a secret passage. I'm just pushing the door so he can get in. Go, go, go. Listen to Where Is Austin Tice from NPR's Embedded and BBC Radio 4 on the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts. This week on NPR's Newsmakers, Tucker Carlson has broken with President Trump over the war with Iran and says he warned the president to his face that the war would be a mistake. And he looked at me and said, yes, you're right. But in the end, we all die anyway.

3:00So it doesn't matter. Tucker Carlson, this week on NPR's Newsmakers. Watch or listen wherever you get your podcasts. This fall, there are a lot of movies and TV shows on tap for you to see. And we're as excited for all of it to arrive as you are. On Pop Culture Happy Hour, we've got a guide to what's worth keeping on your radar. Listen via the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts. Let's jump in with our guest. Elizabeth Hagedorn is All Monitor's diplomatic correspondent. She's reporting from the United Nations this week. Elizabeth, welcome. Hi, Todd. Good to be here. Also with us from New York, Akbar Shahid Ahmed, diplomatic correspondent for The Washington Sun.

3:43He's out with a new book this week. It's called Crossing the Red Line, Biden, His Advisors, and Israel's War in Gaza. We're going to talk about the book a little bit later in the show. Akbar, great to have you back. Thanks, Todd. Great to have both of you back. Elizabeth Hagedorn, let's start with some of the news that came out of the General Assembly this week. The Board of Peace, that's the Trump-led council tasked with planning Gaza's reconstruction. Trump announced this body in January. So new developments. On Wednesday, the board briefed the U.N. unveiled this new$2.45 billion recovery plan.

4:20That's just a small fraction of the more than$70 billion they say is going to be needed over the next decade in Gaza. Elizabeth, you were there. Tell us about this new plan, the reaction, how it looks. Well, this plan and the presentation for donors and diplomats and journalists here in New York yesterday was heavy on PowerPoint presentations and ambitious proposals for rebuilding Gaza at a time when there are few signs of concrete progress on the ground there. It was very reminiscent, I thought, of the board's meeting back in February when they also unveiled many similar sounding proposals. As you mentioned, there's this nearly$2.5 billion price tag for a six-month plan, 66 projects planned, spanning everything from rubble removal to repairing schools and hospitals, as well as training for the yet-to-be-deployed international and Palestinian security forces.

5:21Of course, there's a major political obstacle to all of this, and that is Israel has rejected the board's proposal from July that calls for its troops to withdraw in exchange for Hamas handing over its weapons. Neither of those things have happened yet. This is something that the board's high commissioner for Gaza, Nikolai Mladenov, acknowledged yesterday, that winning support from Netanyahu's government right now will be tough with their elections approaching. Akbar, your view on the Board of Peace plan, given what Elizabeth just described, Israeli withdrawal from Gaza has not happened. Hamas disarmament has not happened.

6:01A political Palestinian government, of course, has not happened. We're all talking about what's been known as phase two, none of which really has happened. So new investments announced$2.45 billion. Your view on where it stands? So this moment, Todd, is just so reminiscent of, and as we've had since October 7, 2024, three years into this period of unprecedented conflict in Israel-Palestine, two presidents, two parties, and yet the factor has remained the same, the refusal to use U.S. leverage consistently and effectively relative to Israel. So as Elizabeth pointed out, all of these ideas of rubble removal, of school reconstruction, of getting people back into potentially their homes, more than 1.5 million Palestinians remain in camps, all of that hinges on someone actually getting Netanyahu's government to agree.

6:56And what we've seen is consistently the Biden and now Trump administrations have identified the problems to a degree, that when it comes to actually turning their own promises, America's credibility online, this question of any sentiment, any sort of belief in the international system, they haven't been willing to actually make that effective. I think back to, and Angai covered closely this, but I think you were there too, two years ago, 2024, when we had an active conversation around, will this UN General Assembly session be where the Biden administration is able to stop Prime Minister Netanyahu from expanding his war in Gaza into a war in Lebanon?

7:36And ultimately, Netanyahu thumbed his nose at the Biden administration. No consequences. We've seen a literal repeat of that with the Trump administration in both Gaza and Lebanon. Elizabeth, what's different on the floor of the General Assembly or in the wings around the meeting in the way world leaders are talking about Gaza now? We heard some clips at the top. We heard voices raised, strong words from Emmanuel Macron and others. In some ways, it's not new. But what is new? What's different now? Well, I mean, last year when the U.N. convened, there was no permanent ceasefire in Gaza. The hostages were still held by Hamas and Israel was bombing the territory.

8:18The conversation has shifted now to implementing the remainder of this 20-point peace plan that has stalled. And so to the extent that I've heard Gaza on the agenda this week, including, of course, at the Board of Peace meeting yesterday, the focus has been on how do you break the impasse to allow badly needed reconstruction to begin in Gaza. But, you know, I've been here all week and these discussions of Gaza have really been pushed to the sidelines, I feel, by the war in Iran and its spillover into Yemen, which has really dominated, I think, the talk this week at the General Assembly. I mean, Akbar, we'll talk more from your book about your thesis about the war in Iran and sort of the long scope of where the war in Gaza sits, not just an episode, but part of a longer term problem in American diplomacy, in your view.

9:10But what about it? What about this week at the UN General Assembly? Is Iran overshadowing the war in Gaza, which is really part of the same conflict? Right. And an extension of the same patterns of kind of US-Israeli foreign policy failures, frankly, with a really huge human cost. I think about, you know, the fact that today we've got that split screen of Israeli Prime Minister that Netanyahu being here in New York, while Netanyahu can't even access the UN, right? And this, if you think about what you're hearing from Palestinians about this moment, they're looking at figures like Tony Blair being recycled to essentially give lectures saying, don't talk about free Palestine, trust our plan, which has sold.

9:56So I do think when we think about the actual victims of this conflict, whether they are, by the way, including Israelis who feel trapped in three years of persistent instability and expanding war, not to mention vulnerability to outside attack, they're not getting a solution. And to Elizabeth's point, too, about kind of this broader regional peace question that all these leaders keep saying they want to address, wind down Iran, control the expanding war in Yemen and Saudi Arabia as well, What's the pathway to that? It is not just economic, it is truly political. And what we're hearing instead from leaders repeatedly is this kind of technocratic frame.

10:35Oh, we'll just have a PowerPoint slide and fix this problem without addressing these deep fundamental questions of international law, human rights concerns, and the political beliefs of Palestinians and others in the region. Elizabeth, we've mentioned a couple of times, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas denied a visa to attend this meeting. It's the second year in a row. Now, Palestinian Authority president, not Hamas leader, two different organizations. Hamas is, of course, the problem in Gaza. Why is Abbas being denied a visa? Right. And this administration has sort of shattered what taboo remains when it comes to speaking with terrorist groups when necessary.

11:19So it does openly speak with Hamas as well as the Houthis and, of course, is willing to sit down with the Iranians. And so there is a sort of interesting contradiction playing out this week that the U.S. had denied visas to the Palestinians while approving them for officials from Iran, a country with which the U.S. is in an active war but seeks talks with and did have talks with, albeit indirectly, this week. And to me, this just sort of speaks to how irrelevant the Trump administration sees President Abbas and the PA when it comes to its Gaza diplomacy and its wider Middle East agenda. Akbar, we have just a couple of seconds before we head to a break.

12:02But your thoughts on that dynamic, Mahmoud Abbas excluded while American designated terrorists get talks. It speaks to this question, too, of who the Trump administration is taking seriously, whether it is a political representative or frankly saying, if you're tough, if you're using violence and potentially committing what are seen as war crimes, we'll take you seriously. And that's been Hamas, the Houthis, and even Iran, which they call out as a violator of international law. Well, we'll take a quick break. But coming up, why hasn't the United Nations played a bigger role in Gaza? Stay with us.

12:40The company behind Flock cameras sold itself as a boon for public safety. But these cameras have had another consequence, more surveillance. When you kind of give thousands of cops access to this very powerful system, they're going to touch the electric fence and see like what they can do. Is Flock making communities safer? Find this and more stories from the Indicator from Planet Money on the NPR app. Back now to the United Nations and how the international community is approaching the war in Gaza. Let's go to this message that we got from Aidan in Palatine, Illinois. Since October 7th, but also looking back at past conflicts, I've found myself questioning what the purpose of the United Nations is, where its effectiveness is, because it seems that they have basically zero power to intervene in the conflict in Gaza that may or may not amount to a genocide at this point.

13:39And I'm curious how this is happening, what political forces are at play here to prevent them from using their combined might to prevent these massive civilian casualties in this humanitarian crisis. Elizabeth, your reaction to Aidan and his concerns about sort of the long-term weakness of the United Nations when it comes to Israel and Gaza? Certainly many Israelis have written off the UN a long time ago. They consider it to be an organization completely stacked against them. They don't seem to care much what the UN says or doesn't say, and that's important. But what about his concerns that the UN has become ineffective here?

14:20And is there a way for them to leverage any power in this war? You know, it's a longstanding critique of the UN and specifically its most powerful body, the Security Council, which throughout the Gaza war did try to pass ceasefire resolutions, nearly all of which were vetoed by the United States, which has long shielded Israel at the Security Council. Under the Biden administration, we saw the U.S. allow passage of just one resolution endorsing a ceasefire. But even then, the United Nations has an enforcement issue. It lacks an independent military force. And in the case of Gaza, there were no sanctions or arms embargoes that would have helped thwart that Israeli military action.

15:06And looking at today, the U.N. has an even more limited role in Gaza, having voted last year to effectively place responsibility for Gaza's post-war governance and security into the hands of the Trump-led Board of Peace. Akbar? I'll note all those weaknesses out there. that Elizabeth raises, and especially on the Security Council, the ability of countries like Russia and China to say, you as the U.S. are shielding Israel, essentially everyone's accusing each other of double standards, which becomes a race to the bottom, right? The U.S. will say, Russia, you're doing this in Ukraine. The Russians will say it about Gaza.

15:42That's a huge problem. But I'll just stick up a tiny bit, Todd, for the U.N., because we have to remember, too, that it's not just diplomats. It's U.N. experts on the ground. more UN personnel have been killed in Gaza than any other conflict. And these are the people who are running schools, gathering up, being able to diffuse mines, who are really the technical expertise that's needed. It's a political choice by the US to pull back funding from that, to pull back funding from UNRWA, kind of the only hope for Palestinians in the region. So when you look at the UN as a flawed institution, those flaws are not just because of the UN's own structure.

16:20And I'd also note on the Board of Peace, this has been framed as an alternative, but it's an extremely ad hoc alternative with no real accountability or principles that people can hold it to, right? This is a board on which President Trump has said he will, for the duration of his life, be the president, whether he's America's leader or not. And it's not constrained, of course, by questions of consensus among other countries, funding, all of that. We're hearing from many of you on Israel, Gaza, and the UN. David writes, I totally oppose virtually everything that has happened under the Netanyahu administration in Israel.

16:56Under his policies, Israel has become a pariah. And Daryl in Ohio writes this, the UN is simply theater that allows for fancy speeches and little else. Iran and Hamas want to destroy Israel. Putin does not believe in an independent Ukraine. Until those philosophies are tackled, nothing will change in the short or the long term. Akbar, I'm interested in your reaction to that. You've made clear that the UN does more than fancy speeches. There are people on the ground and they do get targeted. They are in harm's way. But you mentioned the fundamentals and unless the fundamentals of Israel's occupation, now occupation in Gaza and the West Bank and those things change, that the realities won't change.

17:39And here's Daryl pointing to other realities on the ground, which is Hamas is dedicated to Israel's destruction. Putin does not believe in a free Ukraine and that these are fundamentals that need to change as well. When we look at obstinacy, right, among international actors, whether that is Hamas's dedication to militancy against Israel, whether that's Putin's kind of view of Ukraine as a free country, frankly. it's the question of how do you get a third party to massage those issues to massage that obstinacy and reach a compromise is really important because it's not necessarily going to be those who have a direct stake there that's where having an independent body has been seen as kind of the only way to achieve compromises when you look at something like the iran deal right that didn't take away iran's opposition to israel or to the u.s as long-standing foes it did through a UN Security Council resolution-backed process and through the lifting of sanctions, again, through the UN, through professional diplomats, not just America and Iran negotiating directly, was able to put a cap on Iran's enrichment of its nuclear sort of stockpile, again, through a UN agency, a UN-linked agency, the IAEA.

18:51So again, having that independent third party is important, even when everyone's maybe quite opposite. that. We're talking about the U.N., Elizabeth Hagedorn, and we have to look back to a year ago because you might have forgotten that it was only a year ago that major nations, U.K., Canada, Australia, France, formally recognized the state of Palestine. Have those recognitions brought any tangible changes to the dynamic at the U.N. this year? I mean, we have seen some limited steps from the UK, several other European countries that recently moved to sanction or restrict goods from Israeli settlements in the West Bank.

19:32That was significant. Also, this week, Canada announced about$71 million in support for Palestinian institutions. It also said it would restrict goods from settlements. But at the end of the day, this Palestine recognition wave still feels largely symbolic. It is not significantly changed conditions on the ground where settlement growth and settler violence in the West Bank have continued on land that Palestinians envision as part of their future state. And in Gaza, the situation on the humanitarian side and the security side remains dire. And Israel still controls more than half the territory there.

20:15Elizabeth Hagedorn, we're going to let you go in just a moment. I know you're busy with reporting, but I want to check in on Iran on the sidelines before we do. You mentioned it before, but Iran, of course, does not have diplomatic relations with the United States, does have a delegation in New York at the UN. We've seen pictures online of the Iranian government jet on the tarmac at JFK, which is quite a sight. U.S. and Iran haven't had diplomatic relations in many, many decades. They are talking at the summit. What's going on behind the scenes this year? Give us some more detail. Well, we don't have a lot of detail, and that's because both sides aren't really sharing.

20:56I asked Secretary of State Rubio about this yesterday in his press conference, and he would not be specific when it came to the format of the talks between the U.S. and Iran or what was discussed, other than to say that there was no major breakthrough, but that it was positive that the two sides were meeting at all, even if it was indirectly via mediators, the Iranians, are downplaying the exchange. They say it's just a continuation of indirect contacts with the U.S., that this is not necessarily a new negotiation. And I just think the bigger issue here is there's no simple return to the interim deal we saw the two sides reach in June.

21:37That agreement had a temporary ceasefire. It called for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a path forward towards nuclear talks. That collapsed. And since it's collapsed, both sides have hardened their demands. Interestingly, both Trump and Pazashkian left the door open to diplomacy in their speeches to the UN this week. I think the question now is, can these indirect talks we're seeing here in New York kickstart a more formal process, or are they just representing a continued exchange of messages that we've seen for these past few months? That's Elizabeth Hagedorn from All Monitor reporting from the sidelines at the U.N.

22:18General Assembly meeting in New York. Elizabeth, thank you so much. Thanks, Todd. Well, Akbar Shahid Ahmed of The Washington Sun is sticking with us because Akbar has a new book. It's called Crossing the Red Line, and it's a deeply reported account of how the Biden administration handled the war in Gaza from October 7th until the end of Joe Biden's term. It's an account of how that happened, who made those calls and what it all cost. Now, Akbar, you interviewed over 150 officials, diplomats, insiders over the course of those two years. So let's start here. October 7th, 2023, Israel's reeling from the October 7th attack.

23:00Hamas and Islamic Jihad, murdered some 1 ,200 people in southern Israel, took 251 hostages, and shared videos of this horrific violence all over the world. It was obvious at that point that an Israeli response was coming. Everyone knew it. Here was the message that President Biden had for Israel on October 18th. Justice must be done. But I caution this while you feel that rage, Don't be consumed by it. After 9-11, we were enraged in the United States. While we sought justice and got justice, we also made mistakes. Akbar, you write that despite this entreaty from Biden, the administration ignored overt public warning signs that Israel was set on a policy of collective punishment.

23:52Just go back to that statement and its aftermath. That moment, those kind of first two weeks after October 7th, set the tone for everything we've seen for three years, and importantly for a much greater escalation I know we'll talk about in the Trump era, including likely the empowerment of Trump as the president again. The Biden administration processing Israel's trauma, seeing what it had gone through, nearly 800 civilians killed in that attack on October 7th, and Israel worrying about a joint attack, not just by Hamas, but also by Iran and by Hezbollah in Lebanon, essentially was talking to the Israelis and saying, there are various ways you can go about responding here.

24:34What I highlight in the book is that U.S. officials discussed, Todd, an option that wasn't a massive sweeping ground invasion of Gaza. They, in fact, actually restricted the Israelis from launching an offensive into Lebanon on October 11th. they had an awareness that this violence could both be hugely costly on a human scale and also not achieve any of Israel's stated strategic ends in terms of actually disempowering Hamas, bringing home the hostages. They were willing to use that leverage. And that Biden warning is so crucial in that the US administration is tying October 7th to America's own experience of 9-11 and saying, we've been there with you on trauma, be smart in how you respond to this.

25:19We've seen Iraq and Afghanistan where it's done to our country. And then Akbar, talk about the days after that. Here's the president of the United States. Yes, recognizing the collective trauma, tying it to 9-11 and a public warning, don't make the same mistakes we made. In other words, overreach and rage in the reaction to 9-11. I'm gonna decode that message a little bit and say the war in Iraq, right? The Iraq war, mistake, retrospect proves it. The war in Afghanistan, less so, but 20 years of quagmire, of course. Don't make the mistakes of rage that we made. What happened then in the weeks as it became clear that Netanyahu would ignore that advice?

26:05Precisely what the Biden administration worried would happen, a tremendous civilian toll. you saw Israeli strikes backed by the U.S. with American-provided bombs, wipe out entire neighborhoods, target civilian buildings, target schools, target hospitals, target medical personnel. And to the question of the Iraq war and the Afghanistan war, the failure there that the U.S. is referencing and that many Biden administration officials had said they had learned a lesson from was both that it was strategically and just economically costly at home, also that kept fueling problems the U.S. then had to go back and address, right?

26:43So the Iraq war, direct line to the rise of ISIS. These Biden administration officials who have managed those policies, figures like Brett McGurk, an advisor to Bush, advisor to Obama, advisor to Trump, now advisor to Biden, are deeply rooted in Middle East policymaking. They've seen how your choices can fuel a backlash. What they're not doing is restraining Israel. And as my reporting reveals, there's suddenly, and fueling a huge amount of alarm among government professionals, a distortion of normal U.S. government processes. So a distortion of how intelligence is treated, a distortion of how weapons transfers happen to support this Israeli campaign while Biden administration figures are saying this might not achieve what it wants to.

27:28Well, your book is called Red Lines. I mean, there was a warning there from Biden before the war started. Then flash forward to southern Gaza, to Rafah. Really, I mean, I think that's where probably largely the title of the book comes from because the United States did draw a red line in Rafah. Here's John Kirby, May of 2024, after an Israeli airstrike killed at least 45 people in refugee tents in Rafah. Again, we're in the southern part of Gaza. The president has been very clear and very direct about what our expectations are for Israeli operations in Rafah specifically, but in Gaza writ large.

28:07We don't support, we won't support a major ground operation in Rafah. And Akbar, Israel blew through that expectation and through that red line. What happened behind the scenes? Publicly and flagrantly, Prime Minister Netanyahu looked at Biden's red line and shattered into a million pieces. What was going on behind the scenes at this point, we're now six or seven months into Israel's U.S.-backed offensive in Gaza. It's told is clear, allegations of tens of thousands of war crimes have already been made, and upwards of 20 ,000 Palestinians have already been killed. Biden, in setting that red line in March of 2024, is kind of echoing what he said post-October 7th, where being able to learn from our foreign policy mistakes lets change course.

28:54Many people I talked to at that time within government actually became hopeful, right, that the Biden administration might learn a lesson. The fact that they then, at that point where Kirby is saying we had a clear expectation, don't impose any consequences for the Israelis blowing through the red line, sends that broader message of impunity and really disheartens people working on the policy. Just very quickly, Akbar, are we seeing, When Kirby set those expectations and then nothing changed, is that a sign of dissension in the Biden administration? Were we seeing the pressure points of people who disagreed?

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29:27We're seeing the fact that the Biden administration knows within their ranks and among, importantly, the Democratic Party's base ahead of an election, there's a real pushback on Gaza and they are answerable. But they still haven't provided a clear, real reckoning or answer. Much more after another quick break. Stay with us.

29:48If the creation of the universe was translated into music, what would it sound like?

29:59Ideas about how to make sense of the incomprehensible. Most of science in general is actually intuitable. That's on the TED Radio Hour podcast. Listen on the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts. I want to I want to scope out a little bit because your book takes a longer view than just the daily horror of the war. We heard Joe Biden mention 9-11 in that clip from October of 2023. And you write in the book that you see U.S. strategy in the Israel Gaza war as the direct result of the of the post 9-11 approach to global conflict. the very conflict that Biden was warning Netanyahu not to replicate.

30:44Tell me what you mean by that and what you see in that arc. I'll highlight three things, Todd, that I hope people will take away from the book as a kind of roadmap for a more humane foreign policy going forward and, frankly, to empower regular people to understand foreign policy, to understand that just trusting it to elites has not delivered either stability or success. And so the three that I'll just highlight are a tremendous and really chilling comfort with civilian casualties and civilian suffering. You heard that from Mahmoud Abbas talk about this kind of year-long Trump-negotiated ceasefire.

31:21In all the ceasefires negotiated, Trump and Biden, since October 7th, there have repeatedly been strikes that have killed Palestinians, Lebanese, even Syrians in those periods of apparent peace, right? So we've already lowered the bar so much for what peace looks like. And of course, it's people who are paying with their lives. It's also a question of a violation, essentially, of international law and even U.S. laws governing weapons transfers and military aid to countries like Israel, but also countries like Saudi Arabia that, with American support, have bombarded a country like Yemen. So this sort of sense of it can be optional and trust us as the executive branch to apply these laws, Congress plays a big role here in not holding officials in the executive branch to account, essentially leaving aside these decisions to presidents again and again.

32:13And then finally, the empowering of the same figures. I mentioned earlier Biden's Middle East czar, Brett McGurk. Brett McGurk, who's had this dubious track record across four presidencies, then, as I reveal in my book, tried to get a job in the second Trump presidency, was this week, Todd, being celebrated at the UN General Assembly at a major high-profile event where he was the interlocutor with Syrian President Ahmed Al-Shara. The fact that figures like Brett McGurk or even Tony Blair are being brought back again and again as the answer to Middle East policy is part of why we're not breaking out of these cycles of violence.

32:47You say that this story is filled with the profiles of people who failed upward after this war. That's a comment I got directly from a colleague of McGurk's, right? And this is something that also fuels a real disillusionment with people who do sign up for public service. I heard this from so many of my sources in the Biden administration who went in thinking both that Democrats were serious about presenting a real alternative to Trump. And what you saw, particularly on Israel-Palestine, was Biden never even reversing Trump's steps that were favorable to Israel. And a lot of people talk about the fact that the Biden administration called themselves the most diverse administration in history.

33:28And yet when it came to this policy, the policy very much felt like to many officials, it degraded Palestinians relative to Israelis and was only in the hands of four or five men all with the same kind of background. Well, I want to play you this clip from 2023 by way of warning, civilian death and the terrorizing of civilians in Gaza. This comes from Lloyd Austin, defense secretary at the time. Lessons learned not only from American conflicts post 9-11, but really from conflicts with a much longer tail. Listen. You see, in this kind of a fight, the center of gravity is the civilian population.

34:09And if you drive them into the arms of the enemy, you replace a tactical victory with a strategic defeat. So I have repeatedly made clear to Israel's leaders that protecting Palestinian civilians in Gaza is both a moral responsibility and a strategic imperative. Akbar, what was the United States saying behind the scenes to Israel while Lloyd Austin was making these statements? Keeping in mind, and Lloyd Austin was aware of this, that Israel's enemy in this fight, Hamas, was one that has a strategy of putting civilians between the IDF and itself that promotes civilian death and will use civilian death to its own advantage.

34:52It is their strategy, and Lloyd Austin seemed to know it. I'll just note on Hamas' tactics, which of course represent, as human rights groups have told us, violations of international law and war crimes. Of course, there's also concern about Israel's treatment of civilians, right? So the hope of how, the point of shielding civilians is one that all parties need to kind of address here. Austin is really important if we think about the disconnect between what's said publicly and privately. Austin is saying this, he's a general who served in Iraq, in Afghanistan, instituted new Pentagon policies on civilian harm reduction.

35:27But I also reveal in my book, Todd, that Austin, in those calls he was having with the Israelis, very early said to them, said to Israeli defenseman Sayyid Avgolant, now with a warrant on him from the International Criminal Court, Austin's comment after reading out talking points about civilian harm reduction was, happy hunting. So that message from the Biden administration that was perceived by Israelis and by a lot of American officials was, maybe we're saying publicly we want you to rein yourselves in. The effect of our policy is that we're continuing to rush weapons to use. So even in that same period when Austin makes this really important comment about the strategic loss, and we've seen, of course, Hamas has not been disempowered by Israel's actions.

36:09If anything, it's still in Gaza, deeply rooted, and with increasing support in the occupied West Bank. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan in this same period goes to Israel and says, they're going to wind down their military campaign, lower-grade military offensive. the Biden administration rushes through two shipments of weapons, bypassing Congress in that same month. With no strictures, in other words, on what Lloyd Austin is saying is the strategic cost. I'll just say essentially a falling for it, falling for Hamas's strategy, right? Don't fall for it. You'll suffer a strategic defeat.

36:44And that's what happened. But predictability and, of course, a lot of concern, again, from the people inside government, Todd, who I talked to. You know, I interviewed in this book nearly all these high-level officials, almost all of them anonymous. But I also talked to a lot of people who've never talked to a reporter before. And the reason they wanted to talk to me for crossing the red line was they felt they were going to people like Lloyd Austin. They were going to people like Secretary of State Tony Blinken and saying, let's apply U.S. law as a pressure point. And because our strategy is feeling, some of them resigned, feeling we simply cannot have an impact on the inside, given the Biden administration's stubbornness on this policy.

37:24Akbar, one of the critiques of your book, and I know you've heard it, is that it focuses almost exclusively on Israel's crimes and not on Hamas's responsibility for, as we mentioned, terrorizing the civilians of Gaza. The United States, you make clear, did almost nothing to restrain Israel. who was restraining Hamas during this time and do you think that's a fair critique of your book i think that all books have a narrow focus uh i actually interviewed um i was one of the first of the washington correspondents actually in few Hamas leadership and to do it in person so i went tried to get the Hamas perspective and challenge them on these matters of their treatment of Palestinians, their treatment of Israelis.

38:10I highlighted in my coverage when that came out that, for instance, Hamas leaders said all the Israelis could just leave and get a foreign passport. That's not possible. All Israelis don't have access to a foreign passport. All of that said, Todd, I'm a Washington-based correspondent. What I did in this book was hold American officials to account because we pay their salaries. I tracked the laws that their own officials said they were violating. And I think that record matters a lot for posterity. Hamas's kind of actions have been documented by human rights groups. I cite that evidence. And I think folks who are interested in that can find a lot on accountability for Hamas as well in other projects too.

38:49And a note that we reached out to President Biden, to former Secretary of State Antony Blinken, and to President Biden's National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan for a comment. We only heard back from Jake Sullivan's spokesperson. She said this, it's downright twisted to suggest that Mr. Sullivan rejected the very humanitarian crisis he was working tirelessly to address. She also pointed out that in 2025, after the end of Biden's term, Sullivan said publicly that he would now support withholding weapons to Israel and advised senators to do so. Akbar, let's draw back and talk about the domestic political scene, because this war had a major impact on the 2024 election.

39:36If you don't remember, I think you make the case and a lot of people would make the case. The counterfactual is impossible to know. This may have helped cost Kamala Harris the election, certainly in Michigan and maybe in other places. Take just a minute. What were the political calculations happening in the Biden White House over its policy toward Israel and Gaza when it thought about its own political base and the domestic political consequences? President Biden was at that point surrounded by a circle of advisors he'd had for decades, right? Figures like Steve Ricchetti, Anita Dunn, Mike Donnellan, figures who strongly encouraged him to continue his candidacy when questions were raised and continue to complain about his dropping out.

40:18But those were figures who had this kind of, I really want to say dated, frankly, Todd, view of who the Democratic Party's base was. And so when they were thinking about what it would mean to shift on Israel and to maybe pressure Israel to maybe be seen as being tough on Netanyahu. The calculation was always, we can't afford that, we'll lose voters over it, and we will look weak relative to Republicans. This kind of old Democratic fear of, we won't be seen as hawkish enough or tough enough. The Democratic base is telling you in poll after poll, and important groups like Black pastors, you know, the voting base of the Democratic Party are coming out and saying, we want to cease fire, we don't want to be part of Israel's campaign.

40:58but the Biden White House and the Biden campaign weren't listening to those demands. Well, Akbar, political hindsight, like all hindsight, is a lot clearer than sight in the moment. There is no doubt that the Biden administration missed the read on its own political base when it came to Israel and Benjamin Netanyahu and his actions in particular. But, you know, it strikes me that politicians who thought that voters would be relatively disengaged about this war, might have had good reason to think so. Just in the last 10 years, the Assad regime killed more than 200 ,000 civilians during the civil war in Syria.

41:40You mentioned Saudi Arabia's war in Yemen, along with the United Arab Emirates, killed at least 150 ,000 civilians. These are estimates with U.S. weapons in that case, just like in Israel. Hundreds of thousands more have died from indirect causes like famine, poor health access and other conflict zones around the Middle East. These wars did not capture the attention of the American public in any meaningful way. They certainly did not attract the attention of campuses in America or students. What was different here? I think the level and the decades-long, deep, systemic attachment to Israel, frankly, has been very clear to Americans, to students on campuses who felt that they were deeply integrated into Israeli universities, Israeli military contractors.

42:35That's simply different. I mean, if you look at the relationship with any of those other countries, and of course, in many of these conflicts, the U.S. is not the one providing the weapons. I also think, Todd, that the sense that the Biden administration was disregarding those students, was disregarding their own base, that became really clear. The kind of disdain, and you see it still from Biden administration officials, where Tony Blinken, former Secretary of State, has been out this week, giving and fused, casting protesters as simplistic. Hillary Clinton, of course, a major leader of the Democratic Party, at the time said students should better understand Israel-Palestine before they talk about it.

43:13it's become a question of democratic small d democratic accountability right of why doesn't our policy match what people want and what you say it should and i think that's where it's become a major factor of course this has been a period where you've also seen a rise of anti-semitism a rise of islamophobia as well so there's those long-standing tropes i argue in the book and i really hope people take this from it it's by understanding the policy mechanics and the specifics and decisions that we can separate this from a prejudice and obsession and make it about a real change towards a more humane foreign policy.

43:49We're getting toward the end here. I want to give one last thought to Susan in Ohio. I'm a Catholic who married a Jewish man. We've been married for 45 years. And we are both just absolutely appalled at what has happened with Gaza, and we blame Netanyahu completely. We always thought the Israelis were the good guys, but no more. I think Netanyahu is a fourth criminal, and I think he needs to be unaccountable. American public opinion on Israel has changed and is changing. There's an election coming, of course, Akbar. Where do you see the American electorate and the American public's desire for accountability in Israel and Gaza and Hamas, frankly, now?

44:40I think you're going to see a much stronger conversation about using the actual tools of American power, whether that's sanctions, whether that's withholding weapons, and trying to, what we heard there, to actually respect the standards that the Israelis themselves have said they want to be held accountable to. Basic laws of war, international law, and U.S. law. So It's Akbar Shahid Ahmed, author of the new book, Crossing the Red Line, Biden, His Advisors, and Israel's War in Gaza. Akbar, thank you. Today's producer was Claire Muffs, and this program comes to you from WAMU, part of American University in Washington, distributed by NPR.

45:21I'm Todd Zwilich. We'll talk more soon. This is 1A.

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From the publisher
World leaders have descended upon New York City for this year’s edition of the United Nations General Assembly. And a lot is happening.

So far, we’ve seen some most pointed criticism of Israel’s conduct heard at the U.N. in years. This led to the Israeli delegation walking out during the Turkish president’s address.

It’s been nearly three years since Oct. 7. And the Palestinian Authority’s president isn’t in the room — the United States denied him a visa. Mahmoud Abbas will instead address the assembly on Thursday by video.

What is being said about Gaza at this General Assembly? And what does it tell us about the limits of the U.N.’s power when America isn’t on board?

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