AI Scandals Rock Newsrooms, Uber’s Road to Profitability, NVIDIA’s Underappreciated Weakness

15 Dec 2023 · 49 min

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Big Technology Podcast

Episode Summary

AI Scandals Rock Newsrooms, Uber’s Road to Profitability, NVIDIA’s Underappreciated Weakness

Hosts

  • Alex Kantrowitz: Silicon Valley journalist and host of the podcast.
  • Ranjan Roy: Contributor from Margins.

Episode Overview This episode discusses significant developments in the tech world, focusing on AI's impact on newsrooms, Uber's profitability strategy, and the competitive landscape for NVIDIA.

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Key Topics Discussed

  1. AI in Newsrooms
  2. AI Scandals: Newsrooms are using AI to plagiarize articles, leading to significant ethical concerns.
  3. Semafor Case: A financial news site is accused of using AI to create articles that resemble those of competitors.
  4. Impact on Journalism: Discussion on professional integrity vs. the convenience of AI-generated content.
  5. Trust and Reputation: Importance of personal branding for journalists in an era of AI, with organizations like the New York Times emphasizing human-written journalism amid AI usage.
  1. Meeting with Sam Altman
  2. Alex recounts a brief interaction with Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, during the Time Person of the Year gala.
  3. Governance Concerns: Altman discusses the need for improved governance in AI development, highlighting the increasing stakes as technology approaches superintelligence.
  1. Uber's Path to Profitability
  2. Business Strategy: Uber has become profitable by lowering driver pay while increasing ride prices.
  3. Opaque Algorithms: Changes in pricing models have led to a confusing experience for drivers and riders, resulting in a race to the bottom.
  4. Lyft's Challenges: Discussion on why Lyft struggles to capitalize on Uber's practices and its inability to attract drivers.
  1. Tesla's Autopilot Recall
  2. Recall Misunderstanding: Over 2 million vehicles recalled due to safety concerns, though it primarily involves software updates.
  3. Need for New Terminology: Suggestion for a new term to describe software fixes that do not require physical recalls.
  1. Epic vs. Google
  2. Legal Victory: Epic Games wins against Google regarding monopolistic practices on its App Store.
  3. Potential Impact: The outcome could reshape the app ecosystem, with an emphasis on the need for transparency in billing processes.
  1. NVIDIA's Competitive Landscape
  2. Stock Performance: NVIDIA's stock has skyrocketed, creating tensions among employees regarding performance and motivation.
  3. Emerging Competition: Companies like AMD and Google are entering the AI chip market, intensifying competition.
  4. Long-term Viability: Discussion on whether NVIDIA can maintain its lead amidst growing competition and evolving technology.

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Key Arguments and Insights

  • Generative AI's Role in News: While generative AI can enhance productivity in journalism, it poses threats to job security and the quality of news. Authentic voices and trust will be paramount.
  • Uber's Business Model: Uber's approach highlights a broader trend of maximizing profits at the expense of service quality, raising questions about market monopolies.
  • Tesla's Safety Recall: The need for clear communication around software changes versus traditional recalls reflects the changing landscape of automotive technology.
  • Legal Precedents: Epic's case against Google may pave the way for increased scrutiny on app marketplaces, challenging existing monopolistic practices.

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Conclusion The episode provides a nuanced look at contemporary issues in technology, including the ethical ramifications of AI, corporate strategies for profitability, and the evolving dynamics in the chip market. The discussions encourage reflection on the essential balance between innovation and integrity, profit and service, in the rapidly changing tech landscape.

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Additional Notes

  • The podcast encourages listeners to rate it five stars and sign up for updates on LinkedIn.
  • Future guests and topics teased, including discussions on AI's future and predictions for 2024.

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Contact Information

  • Email: bigtechnologypodcast@gmail.com
  • LinkedIn Newsletter: [Subscribe here](https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/6901970121829801984/)

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Transcript

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0:00AI scandals are rocking newsrooms. Uber's intriguing road to profitability. Millions of Tesla's are recalled, and NVIDIA's surprising competitive challenge. All that and more coming up right after this. Welcome to Big Technology Podcast Friday edition, where we break down the news in our traditional cool-headed and nuanced format. Ranjan Roy is here with us. We've got a huge week of news to break down. We're going to talk about all these big AI scandals in the news everywhere, some stuff about Uber, the Tesla recall, and then a little bit more about chips. Ranjan, Great to see you. Welcome to the show.

0:35Yep, and I'm really here. This is not an AI clone of me. I think our newsroom has still been remained human only. Exactly. We'll see what happens on the holidays. Maybe when we take our little break, there's going to be Robot Alex and Robot Ronjan, but people will just have to tune in to our Christmas and New Year's time shows to find out. That's your incentive. But not yet. We're still here. We're still here. Speaking of real, authentic humans and not AI, I have a fun story to tell. I met Sam Altman this week. I was at the Time Person of the Year gala, and Sam was being honored as the CEO of the year.

1:15And I was like, all right, I heard he's walking around. Let me see if I could find him. And I saw him at the bar on his own without any handlers and just went up and said hi and had a really nice about five-minute conversation with him, the contents of which I'm not going to reveal today because I'm hoping. You know, we spoke, I was like, listen, let's talk off the record. I got some questions for you. And my hope is that he'll come on the show at some point. But it was very interesting getting a chance to meet him right after all this stuff happened. But you were at the Time Person of the Year gala and you did not meet Taylor Swift?

1:47So Taylor did not show, but Sam did. Wait, Taylor Swift is so big. She won Time Person of the Year and did not show up at the gala. Not only that, she was apparently walking around New York City at the time and didn't come into the plaza. Meanwhile, and by the way, this is how dedicated I am to the Big Technology Podcast crew. If you have Sam standing on one side of the room and Taylor on the other, I'm going to Sam for you guys. And he did speak, actually. For you, our listeners, give up Taylor Swift or Sam Altman. No doubt about it. And there were some interesting things that he said on stage because he spoke on stage.

2:26And they asked him what happened at OpenAI. And he said this really interesting thing. As we get closer to super intelligence, everybody involved gets more stressed and more anxious. And we realize the stakes are higher and higher. So like he said that he prefaced that to say like to be a little empathetic in the beginning. But clearly he's kind of winking at the idea that there was something safety or some super intelligence related thing that freaked people out. Qstar, we still there's more to that story, I'm sure, that's going to come out. He also spoke about open AI governance. And this was interesting.

3:04He said, so they asked him about the governance there. And he said, we have to make changes. We always said that we didn't want AGI to be controlled by a small set of people. We wanted it to be democratized. And we clearly got that wrong. So I think if we don't improve our governance structure, if we don't improve the way that we interact with the world, people shouldn't, we're very motivated to work on those changes. I mean, that was also interesting. So, I mean, they're obviously expanding the board, but it seems like, you know, maybe they're thinking about other changes to the governance that we still don't know.

3:37I mean, it's going to be very interesting to see how this plays out. Yep. Wait, he's sorry. They said they had originally wanted artificial general intelligence democratized or like controlled. The control of it democratized. Okay. I did have somebody who quote tweeted or posted on my LinkedIn or something talking about how like the word democratized has totally been ruined. But that's not a story that we're going to tackle today. Instead, let's talk about something else that seems to be ruined. And that's the news. Story after story show that newsrooms are not only embracing AI, but basically using it to plagiarize other articles or just.

4:19it's amazing to me how many AI robot reporters there are already here at the end of 2023 here's a story from Semaphore one of the most highly trafficked financial news websites in the world is creating AI generated stories that bear an uncanny resemblance to stories published just hours earlier by competitors investing.com Tel Aviv based site owned by Joffrey Capital is a financial news and information hub that provides a mix of markets, data, and investing tips and trends. But increasingly, the site has been relying on AI to create its stories, which often appear to be thinly veiled copies of human-written stories written elsewhere.

5:01I mean, this happened to me earlier in the year when I had someone rip off my work by remixing it with AI, publishing it as their own, and then showing up on the front page of Hacker News. I just thought that would be something that's sort of done by these freelancer pirates, not by some of the most highly trafficked sites that exist what's going on this is such a tough problem because in again the domain value of a site like investing.com clearly is the you know why it receives so much traffic it's been built up over years but it is so easy to simply rewrite any original article in your own voice take all the information and just rewrite it and there's no reason that's not going to keep happening.

5:47So I feel this is a tough one to solve. The only thing I could think that does potentially help kind of regulate this is reputation and context that because this stuff is getting reported, because people like next time you go and read on investing.com, the idea that you're going to be reading an AI recycled article could at least denigrate the idea that you're going to be doing getting in any investing advice from it but but this is tough because this is gonna keep going there's what's to stop this correct and it's only going to get better and better right so we'll see these models improve there'll be less hallucination and then right now like it seems somewhat easy to suss out but in the future might not be that easy yeah and this is where i've thought a lot about this like the having i hate the word personal brand, but I think the personal branding of specific journalists, it becomes that much more important.

6:46And I feel the New York Times has been like on the, and I mean, others as well, some for as well, like really leading on this kind of thing, because at a certain point, it becomes less about the content and more about the voice and knowledge and trust of a specific person or voice. And otherwise, from a pure content standpoint, so much of it is going to be recycled or unidentifiable that it has to become that level of trust. By the way, it's a good moment to give you a shout out because I've been using a bot that you recommended, Claude, the Anthropic bot. I didn't realize when you mentioned it that you could just upload documents and then have it do things with them.

7:28And it's really fantastic, Ranjan. It's really amazing. I mean, it kind of makes me nervous what's going to happen to information. But this bot is pretty damn good. Well, yeah, this is where, I mean, commoditization across all these different products, you see it, that ChatGPT, Claude from Anthropic is just as good. It can even, I think it's now. And better in some cases. Yeah, now it's on par in terms of, originally Claude could basically ingest an entire book's worth of content based on its token limit. Now, ChatGP or GPT-4 kind of matched it. But yeah, all these things, maybe BARD will start to get there.

8:05maybe but uh yeah i think like seeing how good and how fast more and more of these uh chatbots are it's it's it's good it's something to see so i uh signed up to claude pro so i'm now using the juiced up version and i like um pasted my entire article about nvidia in there today before i hit publish and just had it play with different iterations and basically review the writing and the arguments and even the lead. The lead is, it's about to get hot in NVIDIA's kitchen. And I was like, does this sound right? And then I said to Claude, hey, listen, can you just rewrite this entire article as a cooking article with NVIDIA metaphors, as opposed to an NVIDIA article with cooking metaphors?

8:52And it did a freaking fantastic job. Like it was one of the more amusing things I've done with technology this year. Wait, have you, do you have access to grok yet grok is available if you use the 16 a month twitter blue and i'm not going to go that far i'm at eight dollars a month i'm not paying to send more so i'll wait until it rolls out to us mid-level twitter bluers twitter twitter bluers yeah x blue is it even called x blue now it's called x premium i have not paid attention to that in a while but wait actually yeah so it is X premium now? I think so. Okay. And there's premium plus, obviously the branding is really going well over there, but okay.

9:35Getting back to our topic though, I know we've gone astray. There, there's a good thing happening and that's that some publishers are actually, uh, looking at this and saying, and maybe this goes back to the reputation thing that you mentioned. And they're saying if the editorial folks want to use AI and not do their job, we're going to fire them. And And that happened with Sports Illustrated, where the company fired a number. Okay, two top executives. Okay, so the company that owns Sports Illustrated is from Futurism, the arena group. It fired two top executives. It said that their departures had nothing to do with the fact that potentially the company had fake personas writing AI stories.

10:14And then a week later, they announced that the CEO of Sports Illustrated is leaving too. And they say, effective immediately, Ross Levinson, who, by the way, is a big media name, will be leaving the company and his role as CEO. And they go, this follows the recent departures of three senior executives last week. And they sent the press release out to the newswires. It is very interesting. Like some people that I know in my circles are like, well, it seems like a pretty big price to pay for him. And it's like, no, you don't want to be known as a publisher that does not have humans writing for you.

10:49Right move? What do you think? I see this is the difference. Like sports articles, to me, at least recaps of games, there's no reason that should not be AI driven. Like the idea that understanding what are the key things to talk about, key stats from the game, key plays to link a highlight to, any of that should be totally AI generated and just pushed out quickly and easily. and then commentary analysis all these kind of things should be humans but i think this is where the newsrooms that really figure out how to balance the two are going to be the ones that do well and maintain trust with their readers and are able to actually just function better because because the idea that people are not going to use any generative ai in their entire journalism process is crazy to me but the worst thing you can do if any publishers are out there right now is do not create a fake persona pretend it's a human and try to pass that off that not only yeah it's the not only that you know what sports illustrated was doing so i just clicked into the story the stories that they were talking about were recommending products play like a pro with the best full-size volleyball and they recommend the wilson so there's affiliate links as well in here yeah there's amazon links in there okay okay that's why you get fired honestly that's why you get not you but the person who did that using using some generative ai that's okay do not do what ross levinson's people did you will be fired terrible so and and but the thing is that this is going to be a fact of life inside every newsroom because this week uh the new york Times hired Quartz co-founder Zach Seward to work on AI in the newsroom.

12:40And this is from a quote that they gave to the Wall Street Journal. They said about Seward that he shares our firm belief that Times journalism will always be reported, written, and edited by our expert journalists. But they said he will be establishing principle for how we do and do not use generative AI. Note how it's not whether or not we use generative AI. It's how we do and do not. All right. So this I am very interested and excited by. And I think I'm going to make a bold prediction at the end of this. But one thing to note for non-media news industry junkies, Quartz, which was he co-founded, I think it was like 2012, 2013.

13:24One of the really interesting things they did was, I mean, they really pushed on the front of data visualization and data driven journalism is they made their charting tools that they built available to anyone. And I actually use them for a lot of different projects. And they would create beautiful graphs in different ways. And you could feed in CSVs. And it was just like this little tool that they built in the newsroom that they released to the public. I think the New York Times is going to get into that type of innovation and imagine whether they release their own chat GPT competitor, whether they release their own and like like help every college student write with the trust of the New York Times behind them rather than using some other random chatbot.

14:13I think it's a huge opportunity for them. They have the brand. They have their own unique data set that no one else has. And the way Quartz actually innovated within media and news, I think the New York Times is very well positioned. So you've heard it here. Well, I reached out to – I know Zach actually from a bunch of meetups that I used to go to back in the day in New York City and asked him what he's planning to do and how this could impact publishers. I just did it like five minutes ago so we'll see if he responds maybe sometime during the show but if it's afterward I'll definitely read it to readers overall do you think Genitive AI is going to be good or bad for news?

14:54Good, great I think it's going to reshape the news industry the biggest thing being any content farm that creates those crappy articles that are recycled if you think about the famous what time is the Super Bowl everyone would try to answer that question make that the headline because everyone was Googling it. That whole industry dies with generative search and that's good. And I'm very happy about that. So I think it's going to reshape the news industry, but again, it makes it so much easier for more people to do journalism. Right. So I think it'll be good and do better journalism and get information more quickly and understand what's correct and what's not correct.

15:36So I think it's good. I'm into it also. And, you know, I've started to think maybe I can do a side business where I write cooking articles, you know, with tech motifs. And I think that might be of interest to some percentage of our audience. So speaking of news and journalism, I just want to hit this one very quickly. So The Verge did a series of stories about how Twitter's dead. And look, I'm going to say personally, I don't think Twitter's dead. The numbers are definitely off, but it's not dead. It felt pretty vibrant, actually, during the Sam Altman moment. And the argument that Nilay Patel made, and I think Nilay is very good and I like his writing, he made this argument that Twitter broke the news.

16:20And let me just read a bit. He says, step back now and you can see exactly how destructive the situation was for journalism. Reporters around the world provided Twitter with real-time news and commentary for free, increasingly learning to shape stories for the algorithm instead of their actual readers. Meanwhile, the media companies they worked for faced an exodus of their bigger advertising clients to social platforms with better, more integrated ad products, a direct connection to audience, and no pesky editorial ethics policies. Look, I don't think that Twitter's had an altogether good impact on news.

16:55In fact, I think it's probably been negative. I think that the idea that people write for algorithms is true and bad. but I wouldn't go as far as to say that it broke the news and I think that like the amount of different stories that you can find as a journalist there the amount of different people you can connect with there the amount of ideas you can expose to there you can get exposed to there can be good as long as you find a way to not sort of be drawn in by the sort of pull negative pull of the site that can play to outrage and sort of rage baiting that a lot of Twitter and news became, although it seems like the rage baiting era of news is maybe not coming to an end, but less prominent than it was in the middle of the last decade.

17:43What do you think, Ronjan? Well, on the last point, we have not entered the election 2024 cycle in full swing. So I think rage baiting might be making a comeback. But to me, one of the biggest issues around how Twitter broke the news is how even among very established, credible news organizations, suddenly you started seeing the same people who were really good at Twitter being sourced as experts for every single possible story. And it kind of like, again, made the overall news world smaller because everyone was looking at the same thing listening you saw this especially during covid it was the same few viral doctors like doctors that went viral uh that were cited in absolutely everything so so i think that to me getting journalists to break out of that and going back to like finding sources who are experts and not necessarily the twitter famous ones that i think is the most important thing I mean, this is why I like LinkedIn, but that's a story for another day.

18:50Why don't we take a break? We have so many more stories to cover, including Uber's business, the way that it's been able to achieve profitability. We also have Tesla's recall, the Epic Win, and NVIDIA. Oh man, a lot. Okay, we'll be back right after this. Did you know your credit card points and miles can lose value to inflation? Credit card companies often reduce the redemption value of your points and miles. Now imagine a credit card with rewards that can grow in value. With the Gemini credit card, you can earn Bitcoin or one of over 50 other cryptos instantly with no annual fee. Every swipe at the store or gas pump earns you instant rewards deposited straight to your account.

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20:06The Gemini credit card may not be used to make gambling-related purchases. What the hell is going on right now? And why is it happening like this? At Wired, we're obsessed with getting to the bottom of those questions on a daily basis. And maybe you are too. I'm Katie Drummond, the Global Editorial Director of Wired. And I'm hosting our new podcast series, The Big Interview. Each week, I'll sit down with some of the most interesting, provocative, and influential people who are shaping our right now. Big interview conversations are fun. I want a shark that... That eats the internet. that turns it all off.

20:42Unfiltered and unafraid. So in a lot of ways, I try to be an antidote to the unimaginable faucet of reactionary content that you see online, to the best of my ability. Every week, we're going to offer you the ultimate luxury of our times, meaning and context. True or false, you, Brian Johnson, the man sitting across from me, one day, at some point, as of yet undefined in the future, you will die. False. Tell me more. Listen to The Big Interview right now in the same place you find Wired's Uncanny Valley podcast. Subscribe or follow wherever you get your podcasts. And we're back here on Big Technology Podcast with Ranjan Roy of Margins.

21:25So, Ranjan, let's talk about Uber. Let's talk about Uber. Let's talk about Uber. Because for listeners, I'm pretty sure everyone has felt that Uber rides have gotten ridiculously expensive. You're not just feeling it. I took a Uber from 1st and 23rd in Manhattan to Midtown West, and it was$52 for longtime New Yorkers. Like, the prices have gotten insane. And basically, there's this really good analysis in Forbes from the Columbia professor, Len Sherman, around how Uber, they're doing it all. I can never say his name. CEO, Derek Khosrow. Khosrow. Khosrow. Khosrow. Khosrow. Khosrow. Khosrow. Khosrow.

22:08Khosrow. Khosrow. Khosrow. Khosrow. Khosrow. consumers lower driver pay which has actually made uber a profitable if not profitable at least cash flow positive business after uber for years was losing billions of dollars and basically this is a thing that especially from the anti-monopoly side that was the worry was always uber the their pitch and the pitch of the doordashs of the world and so many others was you know completely dominate the market by undercutting on price and then you raise prices and that's what's happening and they're doing it on both sides of the marketplace to consumers and to drivers because even driver pay is more opaque but it's been the there's analysis from yippit data that showed that uber's take rate has increased to 40 that was up from 34 before and the way they did it is they changed One of the big things they did a couple of years ago is for drivers to accept a ride, they now get an upfront price.

23:10Whereas in the past, the price was calculated as the ride took place. And that upfront price is done. It's given to them by an opaque algorithm. So basically, it just kind of turns into this race to the bottom that's gamified for the drivers. And overall, everyone is miserable. But at least finally, Uber has learned that it can turn a profit. exactly and uh it is it's kind of crazy it almost seemed like this is always what it was going to come to for uber to become profitable like there was only so much it could squeeze riders and it because it would lose demand to lift and like the driver pay was the place where it was going to get those margins or it was going to be unprofitable forever and you know it's sort of the not to use a car cliche but it's the rubber meeting the road here and it's a pretty unfortunate turn of events, especially as people have made Uber their number one job.

24:06But if you think about it, it was done as Lyft was already basically getting decimated. I mean, from a pure business case study standpoint, it's been masterful. But from a societal and consumer standpoint, it's troubling because this is the exact, when we all talk about monopoly, this is it this is it it's that you know we're 13 years later since uber was launched and finally now you're seeing what it always should have cost from the beginning but if it costs that at the beginning then no one would have taken it yeah it is interesting asking drivers like what they're getting paid when you know the fare that you're making and i've had a moment where drivers like hey what did you pay for that why don't you pay me in cash and i'll take like five dollars off Have you had a moment like that?

24:58Yeah, yeah, yeah. So that's interesting you say that because I had never had that brought up by a driver. And then I think it was like a year or two ago that it started happening more and more where they would initiate that conversation with you. And it makes sense now that you learn about this upfront pricing change and that it becomes algorithmic and it becomes more confusing. And in that confusion, they can pay them less. So yeah, that has definitely happened. So let me ask you this, though. Don't you think that this gives Lyft an opportunity now because Lyft can sort of pay more and win more drivers over?

25:35This is the problem with marketplaces and a dominant player is that without the rider demand, you're not going to get drivers on the platform. And especially, I mean, in cities like New York, if you open Lyft, it's so much harder to find a ride. So then you just start defaulting to Uber. And then Uber, Uber has definitely established that dominance in New York. I mean, honestly, I tried using the Lyft app. Have you had this? there has to be some kind of class action lawsuit at some point about how they communicate how far away the driver is or when you have a ride because it will the app will do everything in its power to make you feel like the the driver is right around the corner here's a visual we're finding a driver and then suddenly delay after delay change after change yes i've had that it's a problem it's a problem it's a problem so they have monopoly so exactly well shout out to first of all len sherman who is a big technology podcast listener who wrote that story in forbes and uh and our friend sergio from the uh the ride hill guy podcast sergio vetian who uh made sure that i saw this story and has been also been texting me about the uh the fact that cruise just cut 24 % of its workforce.

26:58He was a little bit less optimistic than me about cruise and basically pointed out the fact that this was happening at Uber. It's taking a little victory lap. So speaking of ride hailing or the fact that we might not need to hail rides anymore, Tesla's autopilot recalled more than 2 million vehicles over autopilot safety concerns this week. Now, the recall, this is according to the Wall Street Journal, covers Tesla models 3SX and Y sold in the US between 2012 and 2023. They're basically saying that these autopilot systems don't have sufficient safety controls in place. And basically, it could be misused by drivers.

27:38Now, I saw this and I said, recall, that means Tesla is bringing all these cars back and going to have to give refunds and issue new cars it's i think the most unbelievably misplaced use of the word recall because when you get down to it what really happened is tesla pushed a software update to ensure that these autopilot features would be a little bit more safe than they would have otherwise and i was like why are you calling this a recall don't you think that that is a problem yes i do but and i say that with hesitation because we need a new word we need a new word because again in the same story it's like the nht and the htsa they reviews not and reviewed 956 crashes related to the autopilot that they wanted fixed based on this safety update if you were to tell me there was nearly a thousand car crashes and we need a manufacturer to change a bolt on the door or something like that, which is the kind of thing they would have had to do in the past before cars became so software driven.

28:41Obviously, that is a recall. And it communicates there is a safety defect that needs to be fixed. So it's not just a software over the air update, because that could be like a Tesla gets a new fart noise or something like that. This is actually, I mean, this is a real there's a safety concern and it needs to be fixed and it happens to be that it gets fixed via a software update so i think that's to me that we need a new word that's simple just call it a patch why can't you just call it a patch patch doesn't it has to be scarier is that what it is it has to be scarier it's not just even a patch is like apple actually maybe patch could work because when apple has some new vulnerability they do call it a patch in the updates so all right it's a patch it's a patch i can work with that you know speaking of stories that might not be exactly what they look like on the surface there was another big story this week where epic the maker of fortnite won in a case against google that it had an illegal monopoly in the App Store.

29:55So this is something that Epic had been pushing against Apple, against Google. It kind of won a tiny little part of its case against Apple, but it won on every count against Google. There was a jury this time. And so on its face, it's like, oh, this might revolutionize the way that the App Store works. However, it doesn't seem like that's the case yet because though Epic has won, we still don't even know what the remedy is going to be. effectively what the court is going to rule to make things right. And the judge has already been starting to rule different things out. So like Epic had asked it to, you know, make ask the judge to make some ruling to make sure that Google couldn't reintroduce some of the same things.

30:40And the judge goes, we don't do don't break the law injunctions. If you have a problem, you come back. So it's like maybe in this one specific area, they're going to fix it, but they might open themselves up to other vulnerabilities. And of course, Google is going to appeal. I mean, Wilson White, the VP of Government Affairs and Public Policy at Google, said that they plan to challenge the verdict. And they go, Android and Google Play provide more choice and openness than any other major mobile platform. And it does look a little weird that Apple could get away with it. But Google, which allows you to sideload ads and run different app stores, is the one that ends up losing the case because it has a lot of these side deals with different manufacturers that effectively don't allow, that prevent some of this stuff.

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31:24I'm not saying it's great. What I am saying is that we still aren't at the end of this yet. And, you know, a lot of folks play this up as this, like, revolutionary moment where it might just be, you know, the remedy might end up being quite weak. What do you think? I think it's a big deal. And I think it's because we don't know what the remedy is, But Google has an illegal monopoly in its app store. That was made clear. That was the result of the jury. They understood that. And we have not seen any win like that in that clear explanation. And exactly what you said, Apple is probably much worse, in my opinion, around how they utilize the app store to maintain some kind of market power and dominance.

32:11And I think this is definitely going to move over to Apple at a certain point. And it sets precedent in a way that has not been set before in any context. So I think, and even one of the big parts around the lawsuit is that to have access to Google's billing system, you have to go through their App Store, which means you have to pay the overall App Store tax. And those two things should be separated because there's no reason that they are completely connected in the way they are. and now this kind of stuff all starts to change and and you see it could open up so many new ways of gaming and news or any other any kind of app ecosystem could have its own app store could work in different ways and we haven't been able to see that for years because of this the way these stores were built yeah that's true i think that um for the apple thing we're gonna see right because apple's already won this case and one of the things that people have said is that apple didn't write down what google did apparently they're a lot more careful about antitrust stuff so yeah tbd on that yeah i think and honestly i have to say apple as someone who's entire life is built around apple products still it's starting to get more frustrating the way i mean prices are I got like Apple TV plus Apple iCloud prices.

33:37Everything just goes up now. They just like it's the ultimate show again of get you hooked, get you into the ecosystem. You can't get out and then start raising prices. I don't even know what my monthly bills are for because they just kind of keep going up. And the receipt they send you doesn't even tell you what you're paying for via email because they don't want Google to see to scrape what people are actually buying. So you just get a dollar amount in your receipt in your email. So you have to manually go into the app store to see what you subscribe to. I think I'm getting a little more frustrated with Apple in terms of the hold they have over me.

34:16Just don't raise your prices. A lot of this, it kind of reminds me of this timeshare presentation I saw. Did I tell you I did this timeshare presentation in Vegas when I was out there? No. In Vegas too. Yeah. So my wife and I walked into the Golden Nugget, and there's a group of people standing there with Hilton badges on, and they say, hey, have you received your welcome gift yet? And we said no. And they're like, well, look, we'll get you. And it seriously was tickets to a Knicks game, free cruise, and a two-night stay in a Hilton and a meal voucher to go and watch this two-hour presentation about their Hilton timeshare.

34:54So we went to the timeshare presentation the next day, and we sat through this presentation, and you basically put the money down, and then they give you a certain amount of nights a year that you can stay at the property. But there's this maintenance fee, and they're like, listen, your points will always be worth the same amount through the years. But there's an annual maintenance fee that they have, and no such promises were made on that one. And that thing can go up year over year. it starts at$1 ,600, but next thing you know, you could be looking at it and it's$3 ,000. And then what do you do?

35:28You just put all this money down to get the timeshare. So you're stuck with these maintenance fees. I guess that's my long-winded analogy of saying when you're staying at the hotel Apple, right, you end up paying these fees just to keep using your devices. And those fees, you paid your whatever it was for your iPhone 15 or something, but those fees keep going up i'm still fascinated by the idea of uh of a of a timeshare presentation at the golden nugget is like feels like it's from like some americana film road trips type scenario and uh i want to do it i will totally say i want to go do one of these timeshare presentations but yeah i think apple has a hold on us and they can just keep raising fees and we barely notice yeah i mean the timeshare presentation it was amazing man i loved it just the the ferocity with which these people tried to sell you the rah-rah presentation to try to get you stoked about the idea of vacations and just the math that made absolutely were they the most amazing salespeople ever incredible salespeople i wanted to hire every one of them i was like i don't want a timeshare but come sell ads for big technology you'd be amazing i think timeshares it must be so lucrative because i've been to one timeshare presentation and again i was i was in awe of this was like the wolf of wall street style level of like these people are extremely talented yeah and i was like wait go to go to oracle or something and just sell some like really expensive cloud package i don't understand how how lucrative is this really yeah it was a perfect solution sale anyway we walked out we did not buy the timeshare but we did walk out with the cruise the tickets the hotel stay and the voucher so can't wait to use those all right job well done thank you one you won in vegas well we do on that on that front we won on some other tables was not we're not as Gave it all back elsewhere.

37:36Yeah. But we also did this. We went to this casino on the border of Vegas and Utah. This is my travel tip for our listeners. And they sign you up for the, you can sign up for the player rewards card, which is effectively like this loyalty card. And it gave you$5 of free gaming just to sign up for this thing. And my wife and I sat down at the penny slots with$5 of credit. That's 500 pulls of the lever. and they just kept bringing us drinks for free as we're playing the penny slots. We ended up walking away with like three drinks a piece, and we ended up with like$12 total winnings and got to watch some live music that night.

38:19It was amazing. I love Vegas. The big technology podcast is pivoting to becoming the points guy. Oh, my God. Yeah, it was a pretty cool trip. We also saw U2 at The Sphere, which was pretty special. Oh, wait, you actually saw that? Yeah. That was why we went. We wanted to see you too. Is the sphere, does the sphere, is it so impressive that it makes you think positively about James Dolan? Yes. Wow. No doubt. For non New York listeners, the owner of the Madison Square Garden and the Knicks, James Dolan is not the most revered personality and does things like, I think what it was like via facial recognition, not allowing enemies of his into Madison Square Garden, does stuff like that.

39:09But then the sphere in Vegas is, my God, the videos and stuff I've seen of that, it looks like it's just something you've never seen before, right? Yeah. So first of all, I got to be careful about the way that I speak about Dolan because he does have facial recognition that prevents enemies from going into his properties. And I would like to go to the sphere again. And we did just get the Knicks tickets from the timeshare that we're going to use in January. So I'm going to hold my James Dolan thoughts for the next show. But Ranjan, I have to tell you that this fear is pretty special, especially like the last half hour of the show where like the visuals are out of control.

39:46Cool. And I think my biggest regret is like not walking into that venue with some sort of hallucinogen in my system. So maybe next time. Travel tips from Alex. None of this was on the agenda, by the way, folks. So this is all bonus content. Okay, let's round the corner and talk about NVIDIA. So NVIDIA, of course, is the big chip maker that's been powering the AI revolution. And it's basically, it's H100 chips are the thing that you use to train your AI models on. I have a story about it in big technology. But before we talk about the competitive areas that NVIDIA might be trying to or having to deal with in the future, there's an amazing story so this stock has gone up i think this is business insider the stock has gone up by 12 000 over the past five years and 230 something percent this year its market cap went from in the 300 billion range to 1.19 trillion as of today and what's that doing it's making nvidia's mid-level employees and long-time employees so rich that they're kind of not even trying on the job and they're they're almost like half retired this is from the story many nvidia employees have become incredibly rich after the company's stock rose uh one unexpected byproduct of that success has been the growing tension between between employees where some staffers feel the old timers are simply not pulling their weight and it's possible that's the newly minted stock rich millionaires at nvidia are less motivated to work hard the brewing discord among NVIDIA's corporate ranks could one day become a serious risk as the company faces intensifying regulatory pressure and competition from rival chip makers AMD and Intel, as well as other big firms like Amazon and Microsoft.

41:43So the CEO basically had to write a letter that's like, do your damn job to these employees. I mean, it's one of those wild secondary not thought of risks that as your stock goes so high that your employees might be like already like thinking about what to do with the money. I'm curious what you think, Ranjan, like, this almost has kind of like a meme stock feel to it. Some of our early discussions in 2022 and like, what does a CFO do when the story, when the stock rises by like 500 % in a week? Like maybe that's a similar thing with NVIDIA and its employee base and these, you know, quote unquote, half retirements.

42:19Yeah, I think, well, always question number one in these situations is who is actually selling? because i know like especially during the meme stock craze like i know people who worked at some of those companies even like and some of them sold near the top and their life is forever changed and then some of them held and it lost 90 plus percent of what they thought they would be worth so i think uh even in an nvidia like where is this going to end up is it on the ai hype cycle it's up a lot but are people selling and those do who do sell do they stay motivated i think it is every big company again like somehow an apple stays motivated enough to be able to extract so much value and money out of each and every single one of us um so some of these companies you can see the ones that somehow have figured out how to keep people motivated but yeah i think this to something any company whose stock goes up that much it it introduces a whole new set of challenges i'm not going to call them problems for them yeah i mean they're not problems yet but they might be but i'm sure they'll find motivated people like they have the money uh to to hire motivated people and distribute it to them it is interesting like would you sell if you had nvidia stock like would you be selling now it's such a tough one because like you think about like if you're an apple employee at any number of times in the last 12 14 years it would have made sense likely to sell obviously if you need like are buying a house or something then you're gonna sell but like sell some but but yeah it's tough because but you're also living amidst one of the great hype cycles and you happen to be at the exact company at the exact middle of it so chances that it's actually going to realize the value people are ascribing to it and are still not certain so yeah i think i would sell yeah at a certain point it doesn't make sense to have so much of your wealth in one company however you do you know potentially miss a lot of the upside you sold at the beginning of this year if you were nvidia you're like oh this company's worth 380 billion dollars you look up and it's now worth a trillion so yep the greatest lesson though i ever learned was uh when i was in trading was you can never allow yourself to stress about the money you didn't make only look at the money you did make and and it because it the second you start thinking and everyone goes there your mind always goes there but everyone who does who focuses too much on i could have made x i could have made y when you did already actually make some money or good money uh then you know then it just makes you a much worse investor exactly you can't play the fomo fears no fomo so another thing nvidia does have that is a challenge is the fact that so many companies are now competing with it.

45:27We might have mentioned it last week, but Google Gemini was trained entirely on Google's TPUs, not NVIDIA chips. You also have Amazon getting involved. Anthropic is going to train its models on Amazon's AWS chips. And Microsoft is powering some of its AI services on its own chips. And then we had Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger on this week talking about how they're making moves this week. They introduced this Gaudi 3 chip that they say is competitive with the NVIDIA. H-100 and AMD made a similar announcement last week. I'm curious what you think, and I have much more about this on big technology. So if you go to bigtechnology.com, you can read more about it.

46:08But Ranjan, just very high level. Is NVIDIA going to have this lead forever? Or where is this going to lead effectively? I think AMD and Intel and even big technology companies internally. Yeah, I think there's going to be competition. and it's good and it's exciting. And I think on the hardware front, we're certainly seeing it on the software front, you using Claude, you know, like in it and it's good. I think that's actually to me one of the most exciting parts of this is it feels like not only is this, the whole generative AI space, not only is it something that genuinely has a ton of potential for use cases, for businesses, for consumers, but it's also just feels like it's the most competitive space in a long time and like i don't think it's necessarily all the amazons and microsoft and stuff are gonna own it i think or nvidia's has a guaranteed seat on the throne i think we have no idea how this plays out in the next five years and that's fun that's right and i'll just like cite another good one from chamath who's been on a roll lately, Chamath Paliapathia, the VC from Social Capital.

47:26He said, and former SPAC god, he said, the great LLM wars will be written about as one of the most important deflationary cycles in the history of technology. And I think that's spot on. The moment of commoditization where our prices come down everywhere and everything sort of evens out is definitely taking place right now. I think so. Again, I think I will agree with Chamath on this one. Wow. We got two weeks in a row of Ranjan and Chamath going together. Two weeks in a row of me agreeing with Chamath. Yep. This is big. All right, Ranjan. Thanks so much. We're going to see you next time on December 29th.

48:06So have a nice holiday break for now. And we'll talk about what's going to happen next year. I'll see you in a couple of weeks. Yeah, we have some great stuff on tap for folks. And even though we are about to go into the holidays, we have some great shows coming up for you over the next few weeks. Casey Newton is going to be on to do some predictions with me about 2024. Meredith Whitaker, the CEO of Signal, is going to come on to talk about the state of AI. We also have a report about the war in Ukraine and the different technology that Palantir and Clearview AI are using. And then next week, I'm sitting down with Ryan Peterson, actually, the CEO of Flexport.

48:47So we're going to talk a little bit about what happened in his leadership, do-si-do, and what the future of that company is looking like. That will be our first show of the new year. Thanks again for listening. Thanks for being here, Ronjan. Always great to have you all here. And we'll see you next time on Big Technology Podcast.

49:14What the hell is going on right now? And why is it happening like this? At Wired, we're obsessed with getting to the bottom of those questions on a daily basis. And maybe you are too. I'm Katie Drummond, the Global Editorial Director of Wired. And I'm hosting our new podcast series, The Big Interview. Each week, I'll sit down with some of the most interesting, provocative, and influential people who are shaping our right now. Big Interview conversations are fun. I want a shark that... That eats the internet. That turns it all off. Unfiltered and unafraid So in a lot of ways I try to be an antidote To the unimaginable faucet Of reactionary content that you see online To the best of my ability Every week we're going to offer you The ultimate luxury of our times Meaning and context True or false You, Brian Johnson The man sitting across from me One day, at some point As of yet undefined in the future You will die False Tell me more Listen to The Big Interview right now in the same place you find Wired's Uncanny Valley podcast.

50:20Subscribe or follow wherever you get your podcasts.

From the publisher

Ranjan Roy from Margins is back for our weekly discussion of the latest tech news. We cover 1) Alex’s meeting with Sam Altman 2) Publishers using AI to rip off other articles and getting caught 3) The impressive performance of Anthropic’s Claude 4) SI fires execs after AI scandal 5) Is Generative AI good for news? 6) Did Twitter destroy news? 7) Uber finds profitability by squeezing drivers 8) Uber drivers trying to circumvent the system 9) Why can’t Lyft capitalize on Uber’s practices 10) Tesla’s autopilot recall 11) Why we need a new word for recall 12) Epic’s win vs. Google 13) Apple’s increasing service fees 14) Timeshare presentation at Vegas 15) The Sphere! 16) NVIDIA’s rich employees don’t want to work as hard 17) NVIDIA’s competitive threats 

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