Black Friday Special

28 Nov 2025 · 24 min · 19 chapters

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In short

“Black Friday Special” on holiday shopping and related business impacts, focusing on AI in customer service, retail strategy, consumer behavior, and holiday travel deals.

Guests and backgrounds

  • Dan O’Connell, CEO of Front, an AI customer service platform (B2B mid-market/lower enterprise; combines email/help desk/chatbots; uses OpenAI and Mistral; emphasizes customer data control and clear AI-vs-human handoffs).
  • Natalie Cutler, BDO National Retail and Consumer Products Industry Leader.
  • Clint Henderson, Managing Editor of The Points Guy / Travel Insider.

Key claims

  • Front: automate low-value repetitive tasks while preserving human touch; holiday season requires balancing instant AI answers with emotional, human escalation.
  • Cutler: Black Friday is no longer the single turning point; season starts earlier (even October) and loyalty programs are shifting to tiered/exclusive, data-driven personalization.
  • Henderson: government shutdown led 40% of would-be travelers to reconsider plans; air traffic controller shortage affected pricing; cash deals dominate over mileage deals; cruises are selling out.

Notable examples

  • Front customers include Uber Freight; Front pricing mentioned ($25–$105 starter to higher tiers).
  • Retail: tier discounts (buy X/get Y) and early exclusive drops; omnichannel includes mobile and social commerce via influencers.
  • Travel: round-trip under $500 common; American Airlines under $100 one-way; Alaska 30% off; hotels 25–30% off; Japan seen as a bargain due to strong USD.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Introduction to Dan O'Connell

0:30 to 0:49

Introduction of Dan O'Connell, CEO of Front, on AI in customer service.

“Small businesses are the pulse of every community.”

Introduction to Dan O'Connell

0:53 to 1:03

Introduction of Dan O'Connell, CEO of Front, on AI in customer service.

“The Chase mobile app is available for select mobile devices.”

Introduction to Dan O'Connell

2:17 to 2:50

Introduction of Dan O'Connell, CEO of Front, on AI in customer service.

“Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio, news.”

AI in Customer Service

2:50 to 4:12

Discussion on how Front combines email, help desk, and chatbots.

“AI that is, this holiday shopping season.”

Balancing AI and Human Touch

4:12 to 5:31

Exploration of the balance between automation and human interaction.

“And so, again, that can be how do we go and respond to customers over chat or over SMS or over email.”

Customer Insights and Experience

5:31 to 7:06

How businesses manage customer relationships using AI and insights.

“You can't just automate away the people.”

Consumer Trends for the Holiday Season

7:06 to 8:24

Dan O'Connell shares insights on holiday shopping trends and expectations.

“the planet is going through a platform shift right now around customer experience.”

Conclusion with Dan O'Connell

8:24 to 10:23

Wrap-up of the interview with Dan O'Connell about holiday challenges.

“So it sounds like you're going to be pretty busy going ahead.”

Consumer Sentiment and Retail Expectations

11:07 to 12:00

Discussion on consumer sentiment and its impact on holiday shopping.

“Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m.”

Natalie Cutler on Holiday Retail Trends

12:00 to 14:00

Natalie Cutler discusses strategies and challenges for retailers this season.

“Those retailers that really understand what their consumer is looking for, whether it's value, convenience, or experience, those are the retailers that are going to be successful.”
Show all 19 chapters

Evolving Retail Loyalty Programs

14:00 to 17:10

Learn about how loyalty programs are adapting to consumer behavior.

“Lots of consumers signed in, got their initial 10%, and that was the end of that.”

The Rise of Omnichannel Shopping

17:10 to 17:40

Explore the expansion of shopping channels and their implications for retailers.

“More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this.”

Holiday Travel Expectations

17:40 to 19:39

Discover how the government shutdown has affected holiday travel plans.

“Another place may be gummies and cannabis may come in handy, some might say.”

Best Travel Deals During Black Friday

19:39 to 20:34

Find out about the best travel deals available during the holiday shopping season.

“American Airlines launched a huge sale today.”

Cruise Industry Recovery Insights

20:34 to 22:33

Learn about the current state of the cruise industry and its recovery post-COVID.

“New York City, crazy demand in New York City.”

Utilizing Travel Tools for Best Deals

22:33 to 23:59

Discover useful travel tools to find the best flight and travel deals.

“Clint, just remind us, you said seats.aero.”

Market Updates and Economic Outlook

24:48 to 28:01

Receive updates on market performance and insights into economic conditions.

“Of course, if you enjoy overpaying, no judgments, but that's weird.”

Retail Performance and Consumer Trends

28:01 to 29:24

Explore the current state of retailers during Black Friday and the economic factors affecting consumer spending.

“And, of course, as we're looking at a lot of the monthly scopes here.”

Market Overview and Traders' Focus

29:24 to 30:49

Discuss the performance of major indices and what traders are focusing on as the year ends.

“And as we think about what that means for stock prices for the retail space, if you look at consumer discretionary index in the S &P 500, it's up only about 4 percent.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00What if data didn't sit still? What if intelligence moved with us? Not buried in reports, but activated in real time, where lives are being shaped, where decisions are being made. It all starts with a question. Where is the potential? Kotality turns data into clarity, intelligence into insight, insight into action. Because when intelligence moves, we all move forward. Kotality. Intelligence beyond bounds.

0:30Carol Massar:Small businesses are the pulse of every community. They bring people together, create opportunities, and drive growth. Chase for Business helps business owners like you with personalized guidance and convenient digital tools all in one place. With that guidance and your determination, you can take your business farther and help build a brighter future for your community. Learn more at chase.com slash business. Chase for Business. Make more of what's yours. The Chase mobile app is available for select mobile devices. Message and data rates may apply. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., member FDIC. Copyright 2026, JPMorgan Chase and Company.

1:07The thing about AI for business, it may not automatically fit the way your business works. At IBM, we've seen this firsthand. But by embedding AI across HR, IT, and procurement processes, we've reduced costs by millions, slash repetitive tasks, and freed thousands of hours for strategic work. Now we're helping companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business, IBM. When you're running a business, the best days are the ones where priorities stay on track. For midsize and large companies, risk can affect multiple parts of the organization at once, from property and liability to cyber and regulatory challenges.

1:50At that level, managing risk becomes an ongoing discipline. At the Hartford, the focus is on helping businesses manage risk before it turns into something more disruptive. And when losses do happen, that work is paired with insurance coverage shaped by years of underwriting, risk engineering and claims experience. Learn more at the Hartford dot com slash risk mitigation. Policies provided by Hartford Fire Insurance Company and its property and casualty affiliates, Hartford, Connecticut. it. Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio, news. This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily, reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies, and trends shaping today's complex economy.

2:38Plus, global business, finance, and tech news as it happens. The Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevec on Bloomberg Radio. More retailers turning to the new technology, AI that is, this holiday shopping season. But balancing the efficiency that technology can bring with the trust customers base in human interactions can be tricky. Dan O 'Connell is the CEO of Front, an AI customer service platform. Dan, welcome and thanks for joining us today. So how does Front differentiate itself from other purportedly AI-dominated customer service platforms? Yeah, great question.

3:15and thanks for having me today. So Front's really the only platform that combines traditional email, help desk, and chatbots together in a single platform to deliver exceptional AI-driven customer experiences for incredible depth and breadth of customers. Okay, sounds interesting. So who are your customers and what do they pay you for the service? Yeah, so our customers today are really focused on two things. One, they want to automate low-value repetitive tasks to deliver exceptional customer experiences, and they've got high-value relationships that they want to have a human touch for. And so our customers are B2B customers, specifically in mid-market and lower enterprise, that leverage us again as a way to go and communicate and manage the relationships with their customers.

3:57Carol Massar:All right. I'm going to just cut to the chase because CEOs, they understand and the terminology, but what is it that you really are getting to for one of your clients in terms of the customer information and what you're doing for them? Sure. Every business out there needs to manage customer relationships. And so, again, that can be how do we go and respond to customers over chat or over SMS or over email. They need to understand the insights that are coming from those conversations so they can better route them. And, again, really focus on just these wonderful customer experiences across really any channel that's out there, voice, video, SMS, text and email.

4:35Carol Massar:Dan, I have to say, I think it's either the control rooms around here or everybody around us are like, come on. And we've all had a customer experience where we either don't get the answers or get into kind of a chat bot that doesn't ask the right questions and says, hey, are you all done now? So how do we make it better so that really is this about, you know, customers, companies gathering information or is it really about making the customer experience easier and more productive? Well, I think it's a balance. The earlier segment, we're all incredibly excited about the opportunity for AI to deliver faster responses and instant answers.

5:11We know that every consumer out there wants to get an instant answer to any question or problem they have around an order. And I think there's also a balance of look. We're in this holiday season. It's really emotional. If there's a shipping delay or an issue, you want to be able to go and talk to a person. And so I think the balance of finding this opportunity is incredibly important for every brand that's out there. You can't just automate away the people. You can't just automate away every task or workflow. And so I think the best businesses are going to strike that balance. And I think we're in this real time experiment right now in this holiday season, given kind of the excitement around AI.

5:45So what do you use for large language models? Whose AI do you use? And, you know, where is all that data stored? Yeah, so in terms of we've got a multitude of partners that we leverage to provide our AI. We do some work in-house. We obviously leverage OpenAI and Mistral, who are foundational large language models. I'm sure most of the audience is familiar with some of them. And one thing that's really important as we talk about this data is making sure that our customers have full control to that data. Again, and then when we talk about the customer experiences, nobody wants to be tricked out there in terms of when they're engaging with AI.

6:27And so I think this is also a fundamentally important focus for us at Front, which is make sure that the users have full control, make sure that we're very clear around where there are experiences with an AI or automation and when you're actually engaging with a human. So software as a service, your AI chatbot just brought me over to your pricing page, which thank you very much and is asking me if I have any questions. and you can get a starter pack for 25 bucks and it goes on up to 105. But I imagine it's small and medium-sized enterprises mainly that you're targeting, right? Because the bigger companies are doing it themselves?

7:02No, you would be surprised. And so I think every business on the planet is going through a platform shift right now around customer experience. And so we are working with some small businesses that might have, you know, five or 15 seats. and our largest installs are upwards of 1 ,000 seats. Some of the largest brands that are recognized, Uber Freight, for example, is a business of ours that leverages us. And so again, I think what's interesting at this moment in time is everybody are picking new platforms around customer experience. And again, that's because of what AI is already demonstrating and has real capabilities and real revenue traction.

7:39But I think also people are excited about what are the opportunities that AI can deliver in the near future.

7:44Carol Massar:Hey, Dan, just got about 30 seconds here. You have so much data on your platform. We all care about what the U.S. consumer is doing. In 30 seconds, how would you say the U.S. consumer is doing and faring? Yeah, I think what we see is I am expecting us to have one of the biggest Cyber Mondays and holiday seasons that we've seen. We already know that people are shifting and making more purchases online and through mobile. Again, that increase in volume obviously leads to there's going to be some increasing frustrations and breakdown, and they're going to want to have these exceptional customer experiences across any channel.

8:20And so, again, I'm expecting us to have a pretty big holiday season here.

8:23Carol Massar:All right. So it sounds like you're going to be pretty busy going ahead. Hey, Dan, thank you so much. Dan O 'Connell, he is the CEO of Front. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this. What if data didn't sit still? What if intelligence moved with us? Not buried in reports, but activated in real time. Where lives are being shaped. Where decisions are being made. It all starts with a question. Where is the potential? Cotality turns data into clarity. Intelligence into insight. Insight into action. Because when intelligence moves, we all move forward.

9:08So there's a lot of noise about AI, but time's too tight for more promises. So let's talk about results. At IBM, we work with our employees to integrate technology right into the systems they need. Now, a global workforce of 300 ,000 can use AI to fill their HR questions, resolving 94 % of common questions. Not noise. Proof of how we can help companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off. deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business. IBM. Support for the show comes from Public. Public is an investing platform that offers access to stocks, options, bonds, and crypto.

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10:21Then you can invest in a few clicks. Go to public.com slash market and earn an uncapped 1 % bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash market. Add paid for by public holdings, brokered services by public investing member FINRA SIPC, advisory services by public advisors, SEC registered advisor, crypto services by zero hash. Sample prompts are for illustrative purposes only, not investment advice. All investing involves risk of loss. See complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures. If your best finance people are doing expense reports, chasing receipts or spending time on month end close, It's time to get Brex AF, a gentic finance that eliminates that work before it starts.

11:03Learn more at brex.com slash AF. You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern. Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app or watch us live on YouTube.

11:20Carol Massar:With consumer sentiment overall this month falling the most since the month of April, there are questions about how holiday shopping and retailers' full-year earnings will be impacted. So there's a lot going on this holiday season and expectations, too, around it. We're joined now by Natalie Cutler. She's BDO's National Retail and Consumer Products Industry Leader, and she joins us on this Black Friday. Hey, Natalie, great to have you here with Vani and myself. What are your expectations around this holiday shopping season? Well, great to be here. Thank you. You know what, I think this holiday season is going to be challenging, yet I do think it's going to ultimately be okay.

11:59I think there's going to be winners and losers on the retail side, just like we would expect to see in any year. Those retailers that really understand what their consumer is looking for, whether it's value, convenience, or experience, those are the retailers that are going to be successful.

12:18Carol Massar:Natalie, one thing that caught my attention this week, Citi coming out and saying that Black Friday performance is overblown as a metric for retailers. Going on to say the Thanksgiving weekend shopping event is given too much attention as the season is, quote, typically won or lost in the weeks leading up to Christmas, with the post-Christmas week becoming more important to most retailers. That's Citi's view. Does Citi have a point, though? So I do think that the weeks leading up to Black Friday certainly are an indication of what will happen on Black Friday the entire weekend and then certainly for the rest of the month in December.

12:54Black Friday used to be the turning point and the key day for most retailers. And we know now that it is so much more than that. It is now beginning November and even Amazon as early as October. So the holiday season has really stretched out more so than it has been in years past. So it's kind of difficult just to nail down a particular day. Having said all that, I do think that Black Friday or this entire weekend and including Cyber Monday are still critical days for retailers because that is the day that the consumer's mindset is, oh, I have to go out there and get my shopping done. Natalie, are there any new approaches when it comes to marketing?

13:34I picked up my phone a little while ago and there must have been about 50 emails offering me things. And obviously, these are people I've given my email to already and they think of me as a loyal customer. But for many of them, I'm not. So let's dig deeper a little bit on that whole concept of loyalty. So loyalty programs are super important and retailers are doubling down on the loyalty programs. So in the past, probably as you did and so many others, as did I, you wanted a 5%, 10 % sign-on discount. Lots of consumers signed in, got their initial 10%, and that was the end of that. And then we're all continuously getting these emails.

14:13But good retailers are doubling down on the retail, on the loyalty programs, and they're offering either tier discounts. Buy X, get a discount of 10%. Buy Y, get a discount of 20%. Some loyalty programs are offering exclusive promotions. They're offering those promotions early. And then they're also offering exclusive drops or exclusive products. So I do think that the old loyalty program that we've seen for many years, where you just get that initial discount, are no longer the case. And retailers are not only providing those discounts. What they're really doing is actually getting information and they're gathering data about us as consumers, what we're buying, when we're buying it, and utilizing AI as to how they can offer us better and more targeted and personalized promotions.

15:10And I imagine they're turning some shoppers away with a volume of these emails. I want to ask you about Omnichannel because it used to be that that was sort of in person or online somehow. But that's expanded as well now, given that we can all shop through our social media apps, should we want to. Absolutely. So it used to be, just as you said, used to be either in store, you used to have online. Now we have mobile commerce and we have social commerce. And retailers really need to have a very strong Omnichannel to capture all of those different channels. So, A, not to lose the consumer, you know, if you have a promotion in the store, but you don't have the promotion available online or vice versa or in social commerce.

15:51And I think social commerce actually opens up a whole nother area of opportunity for retailers. And that's through the two influencers. You know, buying through influencers is someone that you can relate to, someone with your interest, perhaps in your age bracket, someone you can really connect to. I think influencers are certainly driving the sales and the interaction on social commerce.

16:19Carol Massar:Hey, Natalie, just to wrap up, because, you know, we've talked a lot about the consumer, but you obviously work with a lot of companies and businesses that sell stuff to the consumer. Just got about 30 seconds left here or so. what are they saying about the environment right now? Are they optimistic? Are they more conservative about the outlook? Just quickly, if you could. I think you're really seeing a mix of all of that. Some retailers are optimistic, the ones that have a very strong front and back end in terms of how they view the consumer, whereas some retailers that are not as comfortable or do not have all their processes in place, They didn't buy the inventory at the right time or at the right price.

17:00And now, therefore, we'll be offering significant discounts in Q4 and beyond. All right, Natalie, thank you so much for joining us. That is Natalie Cutler from BDO's Retail and Consumer Products Industry Group.

17:14Carol Massar:Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this. You're listening to the Bloomberg Businessweek Daily podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern. Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Or watch us live on YouTube. Keeping up with that holiday theme, holiday travel, you know, is often stressful. Another place may be gummies and cannabis may come in handy, some might say. Hey, this year, travel may be a little bit different, though, as many Americans made changes to their plans during or because of the U.S. government shutdown.

17:52Carol Massar:Even so, it is expected to be one of the busiest travel seasons in years. Let's get more on what to expect with Clint Henderson. He's Travel Insider, Managing Editor of the travel media platform, The Point Sky. Always knows so much about what's going on and where the deals are. First of all, Clint, just look back. How much do you think or how much are you hearing that the government shutdown may have impacted holiday travel this year? Yeah, so we did a poll with YouGov at The Point Sky, And we found that 40 percent of those planning to travel for Thanksgiving or Christmas were reconsidering their plans, changing their plans or canceling their plans.

18:27So in the end, because the government shutdown ended when it did, I don't think anywhere near that number ended up canceling. I do think some people chose to drive instead. And maybe some people were scared off of traveling for the Thanksgiving holiday. That said, there's still record crowds. So it didn't it didn't really dent the numbers as much as it could have. But I definitely think the air traffic controller shortage thing got a lot of publicity. That's an ongoing problem that I think a lot of people hadn't heard about before. So, you know, we did see an impact to pricing for Christmas flights.

18:59So we did an analysis with PointsPath and we found prices dropped around 6 % year over year for Christmas, which is really unusual this time of year. Usually it's only up, up, up for Christmas. Yeah, I've noticed some great deals to some European destinations that I definitely, definitely didn't notice when I was speaking with you last year because I remember well. Give us the skinny. Where are the best destinations? Where are the best discounts when it comes to Black Friday shopping? Yeah, so pretty much every single airline has a Black Friday sale on right now or is planning one for Travel Tuesday, Cyber Monday next week.

19:32It's a great time to shop for travel, especially if you have some spring break trips that you're going to plan because that can be really expensive. but round trip under$500 is common this week from everyone from Singapore Airlines, Aer Lingus, American Airlines launched a huge sale today. So lots of good deals to Europe, for example, out there. Also, American Airlines has flights under$100 one way all over the country, including trans cons between San Francisco or LA and New York. So really good deals out there. Alaska Airlines, 30 % off. And then all the hotels are 25 to 30 % off today. So take a look around.

20:08We have a whole write-up at the Point Sky that I've been updating frequently. And so there's lots of good deals out there. So much so that I think travel has replaced sort of merchandise as the best deal during these Black Friday holidays. It's pretty remarkable because when I started out in this business, it was really a gimmick. Travel Tuesday was not really a thing. And now it really is. I agree. I definitely have had good luck on this particular weekend, actually, booking travel. Talk to us about some of the domestic and international places that people are booking most. Yeah, Europe is good.

20:40It remains hot. And it's always the case. Florida, Las Vegas is still hot. New York City, crazy demand in New York City. If you've been out in the city, you know what it's like out there. I just can't believe hotel rates,$800 to$1 ,000 a night into city. It's just crazy to me. But Europe is hot. And then, of course, Japan. The US dollar remains strong. So places like Japan are a relative bargain for Americans. And that's really where everyone wants to go. I don't know if it's Instagram. That seems to be the hot spot.

21:12Carol Massar:Really fascinating. One of the things I want to go back to, though, Clint, is in terms of deals. You talked about 30 percent off or this percentage off. What about for people who use miles? Yeah, I'm not seeing as many mileage deals, though they are out there. I think you just have to be really flexible and you have to be nimble with booking mileage deals right now. Now, you know, last year, that's what we were seeing more was mileage deals. This year, it seems to be cash deals. So very interesting trend to watch. I use tools like seats.aero to find cheap business class flights. And, you know, there's explanations of all this stuff at the points guide.

21:47But you have to be a little tricky these days to get a really good deal on points.

21:51Carol Massar:That is so true. Hey, listen, the other thing I want to ask you about is cruise lines, because I've seen a lot of commercials for the cruise companies. and they do seem to be saying sign up now and a big percentage off. How much of that is kind of amping up to bring in consumers? Yeah, it's really interesting. The cruise industry was the last to recover coming out of COVID and we saw some extraordinary deals. I just am not seeing a lot of deals in the cruise space these days. So if you see something in an ad that looks really good, jump on it because cruises are selling out. It's remarkable to come back in the cruise industry.

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22:26I have not seen a ton of deals. I'm sure there's a few out there, but yeah, if you see something on sale, grab it. Clint, just remind us, you said seats.aero. And are there other websites that we should know about? Because I feel like these websites change all the time. Yeah, they do. We've got a guide to all the best travel tools at thepointsguy.com. But seats.aero is good. Points Bath. Points.point.me is another good one. there's all kinds of really fun tools out there where you can beat the airlines at their own game Yeah, or at least spend an hour or two and have fun dreaming Clint Henderson, thank you so much always wonderful to speak with you and actually can be very profitable to speak with you as well so thanks again, that's Clint Henderson he is Managing Editor at the Points Guy and do check out the Points Guy website as well for all of those deals Stay with us

23:18Carol Massar:more from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this Support for the show comes from Public. Lately, it feels like there are two types of investing platforms. Some are traditional brokerages that haven't changed much in decades, and others feel less like investing and more like a game. Public is positioned differently. It's an investing platform for people who are serious about building their wealth. On Public, you can build a portfolio of stocks, options, bonds, crypto, without all the bugs or the confetti. Retirement accounts? Yep. High-yield cash? Yes again. They even have direct indexing.

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25:10Hey everyone, it's Cal Penn. I'm the host of Earsay, the Audible and iHeart Audiobook Club. This week on the podcast, I am sitting down with Ray Porter, the narrator of Andy Weir's audiobook Project Hail Mary, massive sci-fi adventure about survival and science, and what happens when you wake up alone very far from Earth. I really had to make a decision because I caught myself getting that frog in my throat and starting to get teary as I'm narrating some of these sections. and it's like, okay, yo, yo, yo, is this indulgent? And I really thought about it. I was like, no, at this point, it would kind of be betraying the trust the author and the listener have in telling this story if I don't go through it.

25:53But there's places in this book that deeply emotionally affected me and I left it on the mic. That's great. Because it served the story. People will say like, oh my God, I cried at the end. It's like, yeah, dude, me too. Listen to Earsay, the Audible and iHeart Audiobook Club on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts. You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern. Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Or watch us live on YouTube. But, you know, look at the market today, Carol.

26:30We have to point out that in this last trading day of November, we've actually turned positive on the month for the S &P 500. We're finishing the session up more than half a percent, and we only needed to make up 0.4%. So my math tells me that we are in the green, having dropped 4.7 % earlier on this month. A really, really rocky month. The Nasdaq 100 is up 0.8 % to continue this nice Thanksgiving rally. The Dow up 0.6%. Not much movement for the dollar. Equity indices, as I say, higher. Equity markets close. The bond market has another hour to go, but not seeing too much movement there either.

27:02The 10-year yield just above 401 right now. The two-year yield just below 450. And a little bit of addition to oil. So we're about 59.47 for WTI. Brent crude, really no change at 63.37. But plenty of interesting moves today. And the S &P 500, Carol, energy was the best sector.

27:21Carol Massar:Yeah, really fascinating to see that outperformance today. If you're thinking about what performed best in the month of November, folks, health care at the top of the pack, it is up about 8.25%. All right, let's get more on the market trade for you. Let's bring in someone who watches it day in and day out for us here at Bloomberg. She's Bloomberg Markets correspondent, Nora Melinda. She joins us right here. Nora, where shall we begin here? What kind of caught your attention, first of all, for today in what was certainly a light volume day? Certainly light volume. But what I've been hearing from a lot of analysts is the fact that actually in holiday shortened weeks, we do tend to see a lot of outperformance if we're just looking at how the week ended.

27:58The S &P 500 saw its best week since May. And, of course, as we're looking at a lot of the monthly scopes here. But I was hearing an expectation for us to see a bid in the energy sector, especially if we're continuing to see a lot of focus on the geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, Russia, that development there. So I was talking to some sources over at Integrity Asset Management who did expect that to see some boost today. So it's interesting that that was the best performing sector on the day today, Carol. And then, of course, for the retailers, Nora, we had a double whammy of a week because we had a lot of earnings out.

28:29Some of them were very amenable to the retailer's stock, let's say, A &F included. And then consumer discretionary doing quite well today, too, as the group up 0.9%. How important is the holiday season for these retailers to keep their stock prices where they are into the year end? Well, certainly a deluge of earnings that we've really been seeing from retailers. And it's really painting a mixed picture. But what we are still seeing to be underscored during this time period is the consumer is really strapped right now. We've been talking a lot about this K-shaped economy where essentially we are seeing the upper class continuing to be resilient, still spending money.

29:02But we are seeing the lower income consumer really being a lot pickier during this time period, looking for spending more on necessities instead of splurging during this time period. So while we did hear the National Retail Federation saying that they expect this to be a record year in terms of the traction that we're seeing on Black Friday, which is Black Friday today through the five-day stretch through Cyber Monday, we still are seeing a resilient but cautious consumer. And as we think about what that means for stock prices for the retail space, if you look at consumer discretionary index in the S &P 500, it's up only about 4 percent.

29:34So clearly lagging the double digit gains that we are seeing from the broader market in the S &P 500. And the majority of the holiday sales account for about 20 percent of the sales more broadly for the retail space between November and December. So this is a very critical time period in terms of seeing how this develops and how much consumer appetite we can see during this time.

29:53Carol Massar:Yeah, you talk about, Nora, critical periods. I mean, hard to believe that we've only got one month left here in 2025. It's been quite a year, a lot of volatility to say the least. I'm looking at an S &P that's up almost 17 percent, a NASDAQ 100 that's up 21 percent, and Russell, small caps, up about 12 percent. So, you know, what are traders focusing on at this point with only another month to go until we wrap up the year? Just about a month ago to wrap up the year. And you are seeing traders, of course, trying to really just settle their books as we're heading into year end. Of course, the focus still remains on the Federal Reserve and what they're going to do next, especially with us seeing a lot of the stocks levitating off of this idea of a potential Fed rate cut ahead.

30:34And we are really just seeing a lot of people just grappling with how we can really end the year on a positive note and see what are the opportunities in the market right now, given the fact that tariffs have still remained a concern through this entire year. we've been seeing geopolitical tension still remaining in focus. So you are really seeing the traders right now just trying to figure out what sectors and spaces make the most sense in terms of just having a defensive position. I love that, Nora. Stocks levitating. What an idea. But they are, though, and indices, too. Nora, Melinda, always a pleasure.

31:03Thank you so much for joining us this Black Friday. This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Available on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern on Bloomberg.com, the iHeartRadio app, TuneIn, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg Terminal.

31:36If your best finance people are doing expense reports, chasing receipts, or spending time on month-end close, it's time to get Brex AF, a gentic finance that eliminates that work before it starts. Learn more at brex.com slash AF. Ryan Reynolds here from Mint Mobile. I don't know if you knew this, but anyone can get the same premium wireless for$15 a month plan that I've been enjoying. It's not just for celebrities. So do like I did and have one of your assistant's assistants switch you to Mint Mobile today. I'm told it's super easy to do at mintmobile.com slash switch. Upfront payment of$45 for three month plan equivalent to$15 per month required.

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From the publisher

Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
On this special edition of the show following Thanksgiving, Carol Massar and Vonnie Quinn discuss the day's trade, the state of the consumer and more.
Today's show features:

  • Dan O'Connell, CEO of Front
  • Natalie Kotlyar Managing Principal & National Retail Consumer Products Industry Leader at Bdo
  • Clint Henderson, Managing Editor at The Points Guy
  • Norah Mulinda, Bloomberg TV markets correspondent on the day's trade

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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