Police Hunt for Killer of Conservative Activist Charlie Kirk

11 Sep 2025 · 37 min · 17 chapters

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In short

This Bloomberg Business Week Daily episode is anchored on political violence and national security, then pivots to foreign policy, energy policy, media M&A, and markets. It opens by referencing the Utah campus shooting that killed conservative activist Charlie Kirk, and discusses how to “turn down the temperature” in U.S. political discourse. Guest 1: Rep. Gabe Amo (D-Rhode Island), vice ranking member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee and ranking member of the Environment subcommittee, argues political divisions must not lead to violence; he cites past attacks on Scalise, Pelosi’s husband, and Trump. He claims Putin is “testing limits” and urges stronger NATO/Ukraine commitment after drone incidents in Poland. He also defends Rhode Island’s offshore wind project Revolution Wind (80% complete; 45 of 65 turbines) and criticizes a stop-work order threatening 350,000 households’ power and jobs. Guest 2: Mark F. Kansian, retired US Marine Corps Reserve colonel and CSIS senior advisor, says the U.S. is generally safer post-9/11 (few major terrorist incidents), but threats exist both from abroad and politically inspired domestic violence. He explains the shift from counterinsurgency to great-power focus (Russia/China) around 2014 and discusses “maximum lethality” vs homeland security tensions. The episode also includes business guests: Caroline Hyde (Bloomberg Technology) on Paramount Skydance’s bid for Warner Bros. Discovery and BlackRock’s Christy E. Akulian on Fed cuts, yields, and equity positioning.

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Chapters

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Reflections on 9-11 and Current Events

0:56 to 1:23

Discussion on the significance of 9-11 and current geopolitical tensions.

“If you've ever waited on a refill or couldn't schedule an appointment, you get it.”

Reflections on 9-11 and Current Events

1:27 to 1:54

Discussion on the significance of 9-11 and current geopolitical tensions.

“With our unified Team Michigan approach, businesses scale faster and compete at the highest level.”

Reflections on 9-11 and Current Events

2:18 to 2:55

Discussion on the significance of 9-11 and current geopolitical tensions.

“The Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio.”

Interview with Congressman Gabe Amo

2:55 to 6:08

Congressman Amo shares insights on political violence and community engagement.

“For perspective, we want to head to the U.S.”

Geopolitical Concerns and Energy Strategy

6:08 to 12:14

Discussion on NATO, Ukraine, and offshore wind energy importance.

“I'm not going to suggest that we have found the way to resolve our conflicts in the best way.”

Geopolitical Concerns and Energy Strategy

14:16 to 14:30

Discussion on NATO, Ukraine, and offshore wind energy importance.

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Geopolitical Concerns and Energy Strategy

15:05 to 15:58

Discussion on NATO, Ukraine, and offshore wind energy importance.

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Paramount Skydance Bid for Warner Brothers

16:20 to 17:56

Discussion on Paramount Skydance's acquisition plans for Warner Brothers.

“And then there's several stories that are going on today that are certainly impacting the markets.”

Media Consolidation and Streaming Dynamics

17:57 to 22:09

Analysis of the media industry's consolidation and the future of streaming.

“down more than 4 % after this report came out.”

Investment Strategies Amid Market Changes

22:11 to 24:20

Insights on investment strategies and market dynamics in changing economic conditions.

“Look, you're seeing even deals done across the aisle with Amazon having, being able to offer other rivals.”
Show all 17 chapters

Equity Market Outlook and Investment Trends

24:21 to 28:00

Exploration of equity market performance and future outlook based on economic indicators.

“And I'm just curious how much you think is already kind of baked into the equity trade where we've kind of hit record after record after record.”

Market Sentiment and Investment Strategies

28:00 to 29:50

An analysis of current market conditions and investment opportunities in equity markets.

“So some of that cash is really just set aside for emergencies.”

Market Sentiment and Investment Strategies

30:58 to 31:44

An analysis of current market conditions and investment opportunities in equity markets.

“If you're actively involved in your portfolio, you probably catch yourself repeating the same actions.”

Reflections on 9/11 and U.S. National Security

33:35 to 42:02

A conversation with Mark Hansi on the impact of 9/11 on U.S. security and military strategy.

“You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast.”

Discussion on Defense Strategy and Recruitment

42:02 to 45:10

Explore the implications of changing the Department of Defense and recruiting dynamics.

“I want to jump in only because we have about three minutes left or so.”

Discussion on Defense Strategy and Recruitment

46:06 to 46:34

Explore the implications of changing the Department of Defense and recruiting dynamics.

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Discussion on Defense Strategy and Recruitment

46:38 to 47:09

Explore the implications of changing the Department of Defense and recruiting dynamics.

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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

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1:52Michigan, pure opportunity. Seize your opportunity at michiganbusiness.org. Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio, news. This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily, reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies, and trends shaping today's complex economy. Plus, global business, finance, and tech news as it happens. The Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio. We are, as you know, noting the 24th anniversary of 9-11 today. It's a day when we continue to see geopolitical threats and tensions and unease here at home following the shooting and killing of conservative activist Charlie Kirk during that campus event in Utah.

2:45And on a global scale, we see tensions between Poland and Russia. And so NATO certainly watching and we would assume the U.S. is as well. For perspective, we want to head to the U.S. House of Representatives. Congressman Gabe Amo, Democrat for Rhode Island's first congressional district. He joins us from the cannon rotunda in the nation's capital. Congressman Amo, thank you so much for joining us. It is this for having me this 24th anniversary of 9-11. It's a reminder that terrorism on a grand scale can and did happen here in the U.S. We've seen other forms of political violence, numerous shootings of political figures and officials.

3:25And of course, we're talking about Charlie Kirk today. Your reaction to the shooting and killing of him? Well, first and foremost, remember all those lost on 9-11 and the brave first responders and civilians who stepped in. And of course, we have another somber note today as we reflect on the killing of Charlie Kirk. And I start from a place of great sympathy, sympathy for his family, his spouse and children. And I turn to political violence that we have seen in this country in a way that we should not be experiencing. And it is not acceptable. We should not disagree and be disagreeable to the extent of taking people's lives away.

4:17You can have political divisions. You can have divides. But violent actions, murder is never, never acceptable. And yet it happens. And the attacks have happened quite a bit in the last few years. We heard some of them from Carol, the Minnesota legislators. Steve Scalise, Nancy Pelosi's husband, attacked. Of course, the attack on President Trump's life twice last year, including that assassination attempt in Butler, Pennsylvania. What is the right way to turn down the temperature in the United States right now? I think the right way to turn down the temperature is to treat one another as neighbors, treat one another as people who belong in the same community.

5:01America is great because we have origins that span the globe, but we come here because we can achieve great things. And they always happen when we work together. And so I say that to every person with a platform, a title, a place where you can influence others to today commit, recommit to moving forward with rhetoric that isn't going to inspire action like violence in our communities. We, yes, have things that we don't agree on, paths ideologically, paths based on our belief that might be different than those of other people in our community. I, as a Democrat, do not need to be mad to be angry at a Republican.

5:53We can disagree on the substance, but at the end of the day, come back and realize we're in the same mission for the same country and advancing leadership in the world. And that's what I'm going to commit to and encourage others to look inwardly and see how they can do that today. But Congressman Almo, with all due respect, that political discourse, that productive technology conversations, excuse me, and debates when you don't agree with someone's thoughts on something, it doesn't seem to happen anymore. Well, we have to do better. I'm not going to suggest that we have found the way to resolve our conflicts in the best way.

6:36But I'll tell you what isn't and will never be acceptable, and that is violence. And so we have an extra burden today to keep trying, to keep working towards meeting the ideals that I know that we share. So let me ask you about geopolitics, because you are a vice ranking member of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs. We did have a big story today about Poland seeking a consultation with NATO specifically and NATO powers after shooting down drones that crossed into its territory during Russia's latest massive airstrike on Ukraine. They called the incursion and, quote, active aggression. What are you hearing from U.S.

7:12officials and the White House on this? Well, look, I go back to the president's summit with Vladimir Putin, his deadlines that weren't met. Vladimir Putin is testing limits. He is testing our resolve and our commitment to NATO and to our European allies. And the way we must respond is by recommitting to Ukraine's fight against Vladimir Putin's aggression that has only become harsher, has been more aggressive against civilians and is seeking to undermine our strength and our alliances in Europe. And so I need to hear from the White House and we need to see a commitment to Ukraine in an even stronger way.

8:02What does that commitment look like? Look, that commitment goes to certainly supporting them militarily and continuing to provide the support they need on that. But beyond that, when you have rhetoric that is uncertain about our commitments to NATO, that helps to fuel Vladimir Putin's test. And he certainly wants us to have uncertainty in our relationship with Ukraine, our relationship with Europe. And continuing to see an inconsistency from this administration provides some of that continued motivation for Putin to try actions like he did in Poland. All right. So there are definitely geopolitical concerns with everything that's going on overseas.

8:51The other thing we think about a lot is security and independence when it comes to energy. You're a member of the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology, ranking member of the Subcommittee on Environment. Wind power is something that has been singled out several times, critically, by President Trump. Talk to us about how important offshore wind is to the state of Rhode Island. It's very important. Offshore wind is incredibly important to Rhode Island. We have a project that received a stop work order, Revolution Wind, that was set to power 350 ,000 households between Rhode Island and Connecticut.

9:31And unfortunately, the stop work order not only imperils our solution to the challenges of climate change, our work to lower energy costs, but it also puts people out of work. Right. You know, we talk about the all of the above strategy. The all of the above strategy has to include wind. And this project was 80 percent complete. Forty five out of 65 turbines in the water. And you're sending people home. That's the president's actions, not creating jobs, taking them away. And so we're continuing to work very aggressively across the aisle with Republican colleagues as well to speak to the wisdom of continuing this project.

10:13Well, let me just ask you something, Congressman. Governors in the U.S. Northeast are considering dropping resistance to natural gas pipelines and other fossil fuel projects in the hopes they can convince the president to allow those offshore wind farms to move forward. Do you agree with that possible tradeoff if that's what needs to be done to save wind farms in your home home state? Well, unfortunately, we've seen this is a mysteriously troubling turn. However, when the president has been at the negotiation table, this is something he has impressed upon. And, you know, I'm committed to wind.

10:52But again, if there is going to be an all of the above strategy, it has to include when not excluded. And so I know that the governors are making very tough decisions. I think in the long term, renewables are going to be the path that achieve our cost objectives and our climate objectives. But this has certainly been part of what the president has put forward when he has engaged these governors alongside members of his administration. OK, so let's talk about engagement of those governors. You did say working alongside Republicans here, working across the aisle to come to a resolution here. Has the president actually agreed to discuss offshore wind with the governors of those northeast states, Rhode Island, Connecticut and Massachusetts?

11:34I know that there are conversations ongoing with members of the administration. I don't know of a specific commitment from the president, but the facts are clear. We need wind. And I'm hopeful that the president and his cabinet members see the wisdom in continuing a project like Revolution Wind. And it is important to my state of Rhode Island, but it's also a linchpin to growing the industry across the eastern seaboard, including in places like Virginia, including in Connecticut and Massachusetts. So I want to continue to see progress here. And I know those governors are working vigorously to get to the table.

12:13All right. So appreciate your time on this Thursday. Congressman Gabe Amo, Democrat for Rhode Island, joining us there from the nation's capital. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this.

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16:06You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern. Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Or watch us live on YouTube. We are keeping a watch on that. And then there's several stories that are going on today that are certainly impacting the markets. At this moment, we are seeing news of Paramount Skydance getting ready to make a bid for rival Warner Brothers Discovery, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. This story initially reported out by The Wall Street Journal, now matched by our own Lucas Shaw.

16:42We see shares of Paramount Skydance up about 9 % in today's trade and Warner Brothers Discovery as the target. No surprise. You're looking at this one, Tim, up more than 30%. Caroline Hyde is the co-host of Bloomberg Technology on Bloomberg TV. She joins us here in the Bloomberg Businessweek studio. Caroline, initially, we did see shares of Paramount Skydance lower on this, and then they ended up moving higher. Not typical that we'd see both companies higher with news like this, but I guess, hey, people aren't concerned about the cash source of David Ellison. So right, because it looks as though the cash source would be family Ellison.

17:15Okay. And who was at one point the most wealthy person in the world yesterday and then settled just$1 billion below Elon Musk by Larry Ellison. and that was on the enormous move we saw in Oracle. Now you see a similar plus 30 % move on Warner Brothers Discovery, which would be the target in this particular area. It's a record move for the stock. But I think so many people feel that fundamentally this is what we need to see in the industry, consolidation. You're seeing David Zaslav over at Warner Brothers Discovery unwinding the deal he did several years ago because ultimately you've got cable on one side and then you have studios and streaming on the other.

17:49You want to split those apart and likelihood is Paramount would be interested in the studios and that area. Well, to that point, we should know Netflix share is hitting a session low, down more than 4 % after this report came out. So this is all about - It all starts to get interesting. Yeah, I mean, that's what it's all about though. It's all about Netflix. It's all about streaming. And it's all about M &A. And I think you'll speak to so many analysts on the street who've just been waiting for this sort of thing to happen. But you did need certain areas to come into force. You needed, of course, Comcast to be starting to split itself in two.

18:16You needed Warner Brothers Discovery to be talking about splitting itself in two. The interesting deal is, why is Paramount trying to buy both bits? Most people feel that the value for Paramount as a key studio maker, as a key streaming focus would be, of course, the areas of growth. Harry Potter and the DC Comics and the studio side of Warner Brothers Discovery. Why do they want CNN? Why do they want some of the more struggling cable parts of the business? Or maybe they feel that they could get more than some of their parts if they then sold those off in more interesting M &A. Right, like just buy it all, right?

18:47And then figure out like the parts that they don't want. Any chance somebody else comes in? Could there be another interested party? I mean, as we've heard, like the expectations around consolidation in this industry. Exactly. And look, you talk to some of the new leadership that have been thinking about when you see Versant that's been splitting off, for example, from the other key areas of Comcast. They've been saying, look, we're not going to be like a dying ember of cable news here and cable sports. We're actually going to be acquisitive. but many feel that they're actually going to be acquisitive more in the air of startups more in the area of the future of sports growth the future of news but perhaps not other cable networks but they haven't taken their name off the table when it comes to remember there's a and e out there there's so many of these other companies that could be really interesting targets i think bloomberg intelligence they're basically already saying look from a water brothers discovery perspective you're looking at maybe 17 would be the right sort of price for the whole business as a whole and you're seeing it move up to that as we speak yeah you know at the beginning of like our careers this would be a regulatory issue yeah uh the government would get involved and say we don't want this much media consolidation is that not even part of a concern for analysts right now because the ecosystem has been so beat up and the competition just isn't from cable network to cable network but it's from its eyeballs the competitive to tv now is youtube The competitor to the streaming platforms is TikTok.

20:13Everyone is fighting for your and my eyeballs. And what is the future growth story? Is it advertising? Well, advertisers are all going to new different platforms. Is there different ways in which you can charge subscription-based driving for this value of the business? I think this is an entire industry that has been upended. And I think most feel to even allow them to sustain themselves going forward, you've got to allow M &A. Otherwise, they just start to die out. You cover this world. you know, it just feels like media, technology, everything is just kind of merging. I don't know. What are you watching out for?

20:45Like what might be the next kind of shoe to drop here in terms of this story? Well, I think of this story, it is going to be interesting as to whether we see these purchases happen in cash only, whether you start to see interesting ways in which you're financing certain deals. I think a lot of the storytelling for these new businesses, particularly in the cable areas that we're going to be splitting off, is they're saying we're going to be cash rich, actually. We're going to have the balance sheet to be able to put to work. For me, this is just, look, we are at record highs in the stock market.

21:11You are seeing people going all in on the artificial intelligence story, but there is still so much optimism in dealmaking. And I think it's pretty phenomenal that you're seeing these sorts of cash bids come. I don't know how many more billionaires are out there who can start buying all these bids, but Larry Ellison is clearly something different. Or how many can say, hey, Dad, I need a little help. Yeah, yeah, yeah, just kidding. so finally on the streaming side of this for consumers should we think about this from the context of one option perhaps in the future for paramount plus subscribers and hbo max or max or whatever it's called now subscribers this becomes one thing it's supercharged and you can get everything from warner brothers discovery and paramount skydance i think you're really smart to put it that way because look how we're seeing disney trying to interact with its own bundling and the way it's bringing Hulu on a little bit more.

21:57I just bought the ESPN Hulu Disney, 30 bucks a month. I just bought it. And suddenly it makes more sense. Like what old is new again? Before we wanted everything to split off. Now we want it all once again back in our bundle. And I think that that ultimately has to be the way in which they can drive cross-pollination. And you will see people want to be able to just go to a one-stop shop. Look, you're seeing even deals done across the aisle with Amazon having, being able to offer other rivals. I mean, we will just generally want one go-to button that we can click and suddenly, voila, we can get all of them.

22:25I think you could do that with a cable subscription. I think you can do that. Right, exactly. It's called revolution, not evolution, guys. Exactly, exactly. Incredible story. Bloomberg News and Bloomberg Technology co-host Caroline Hyde. Catch her and Ed Leto every day at 11 a.m. Wall Street time.

22:55on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. Just say, Alexa, play Bloomberg 1130. You know, you've got investors moving into equities, also into bonds, which is why we've seen yields all along the yield curve move down. We talked about this earlier with our team. The 10-year right now is still at 4.01. But as we know, Tim, earlier today, and as we heard from our Stuart Paul, it really was on the weekly jobless numbers that he said you saw that movement down when it comes to U.S. yield. Yeah, I want to see what Christy Akulian has to say about all this. She's head of investment strategy for the Americas at BlackRock.

23:27She joins us once again from San Francisco. Curious how you're reading this macroeconomic data, the sticky inflation, but also a weakening jobs market. What do you see? Yeah, it's great to be back with you and happy CPI Day to all who celebrate. Thank you. You too. I think what we got today was a good enough reading. Obviously, there was some acceleration in pockets, some of the places we expected to acceleration, some of that tariff pass-through happening, things like food and apparel. But I think the market is really reading this as, again, good enough for the Fed to be able to continue to focus on rate cutting.

24:06In terms of the balance of their dual mandate, it seems like attention is fully focused on the jobs market right now. So again, I think we're seeing a reaction of good enough inflation data to allow for some cutting to happen through the rest of the year. Do you think that makes sense in terms of a rate cut And I'm just curious how much you think is already kind of baked into the equity trade where we've kind of hit record after record after record. Yeah, absolutely. You know, our view is that the Fed is going to cut 25 basis points next week. We think that that's more likely than going for a jumbo just to leave themselves more optionality into the rest of the year.

24:41Obviously, that can be good for equities. But to your point, it's pretty well expected and well broadcasted at this point. So, you know, I think that I'd characterize our view on equities as we're still constructive, but we prefer, you know, those companies that have pricing power that are highly profitable. We prefer the more quality end of the spectrum. You've seen a bit of a junk rally. You've seen small caps rally over the last couple of weeks in anticipation of some of these rate cuts. But in our view, you know, you need to see both the amount of rate cuts that are expected actually be delivered and you need to see growth stay really strong.

25:16it's a tightrope in terms of that, both of those things being able to happen at the same time, it leaves us cautious on small caps. So we like equities. We like leaning into large caps. We like staying really nimble and dynamic. Something like DYNF, which is our factor rotation actively managed fund, it makes a lot of sense in moments like these. So when you want to remain nimble, does that mean you increase the amount you have in cash or cash-like investments so that you can maybe reallocate as you feel like some of the uncertain aspects of the market maybe become more certain? I mean, normally, I think the answer would be yes.

25:52But when you look at the data, investors already hold so much cash. We think it's actually more of a time to get invested. If you look at just flows over the last three years, more money has been allocated to money market funds than to stock or bond funds. And so, again, there's a pretty big wall of cash. We still think it makes sense to get and stay invested, even though rates are coming down. I think we're having a lot of conversations in fixed income about where to seek the income that you're maybe losing on some of your cash, your money markets, your high yield saving accounts. And within fixed income, we like kind of the intermediate part of the curve and focusing on the income component more than the duration is where we're really going to get returns for the next kind of six to 12 months.

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26:36Is that where you think the cash is going to go more so than in equities or different products? I'm just I just have a hard time understanding if people have are used to these high yield savings accounts or products with higher returns and fixed income. Where does that trillions of dollars go when rates fall? Yeah, I mean, I think one answer is S-Gov, which is our short-dated ETF. It has taken in a tremendous amount of money that we do think is investors considering that as sort of an alternative to high yield savings accounts. So short dated fixed income. We don't see this as, you know, every investor is going to pile into the equity market.

27:13It's, you know, it's dry powder to an extent, but it's in cash for a reason. I just think that there's more opportunistic ways to source that yield now since it's going to be coming down in some of the very front end or some of those cash like instruments. like money market. Christy, do you find it interesting that there's still so much money in cash? And there always is a fair amount of money in cash. It's just the way it goes. But do you feel like when you see record after record on Wall Street, that there is still not more movement out of those cash investments or what's sitting in money markets?

27:44Like, what does that tell you that maybe investors don't buy it or they're just like, you know, thinking that maybe there's some - There's always a reason to be concerned, right? There's always some risk on the horizon. And so I think that that's part of it. I also think that there was a bit of a structural shift in terms of cash and where it was held and maybe moving from deposit accounts into things like money market funds. So some of that cash is really just set aside for emergencies. It's not investable. But even that said, you know, we've seen really strong participation out of the retail community and equity markets where we see the institutional community is actually still relatively muted compared to what was at the end of last year.

28:21So certain pockets of the institutional community maybe look a little bit longer in terms of positioning. But kind of the traditional asset managers, some of the pension funds and some of those long onlys, they're still well off the highs in terms of equity exposure where they were at the end of last year. So we think that there's still room for some of that cash to move into markets for sure. Are you bullish on the equity markets right now? Yeah. Again, I would characterize this as still fairly risk-on, but we're really focusing on where the growth is happening. So if you look at the composition of returns for U.S.

28:55equity markets so far this year, if you look at the large cap growth, if you look at technology, 80 % of those returns have come from earnings growth. So it's incredibly fundamentally driven. It's only about half for the broader S &P 500 index. It's about a third for the value portion of the index. So we are still risk on. We still see opportunity in equity markets, but we do prefer being really focused on where the growth is. And so even though I know that investors get concerned about valuations, I think that some of the valuations and some of the concentration that you see in U.S. equity markets, it's a feature and not a bug.

29:35So much of the growth is coming from the top and so much of it is coming from the AI trade that we think it's really hard to sit out. But being really deliberate about diversification elsewhere, being cognizant of some of those risks that you introduce. All right, Christy, good to get some time with you. Christia Coulian, head of investment strategy for the Americas over at BlackRock, joining us from San Francisco. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this.

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33:39You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern. Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app or watch us live on YouTube. 24 years ago today, the U.S. was attacked. President Trump made comments earlier from the Pentagon, one of the sites that was attacked on 9-11. He paid tribute to firefighters, police, service members, too. One service member who was there on 9-11, Mark F. Kansian. He's a retired colonel, U.S. Marine Corps Reserve, now senior advisor for the Defense and Security Department at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

34:16He writes about military forces and operations. Mark also served two tours in Iraq with the Marines. Mark's with us now from Washington. Mark, first, thank you for your service. We're going to talk about the change in U.S. national security since 9-11, because as you've written about for years. It's significant. And there was a significant shift a little over a decade ago. But first, a day like today, as somebody who experienced it up close, what does it mean to you? Well, I actually called one of my former staff members and reminded him where we were 24 years ago and what had happened. It was an overwhelming experience to be in the middle of it.

34:58I think what people often don't appreciate is just how confusing it is because nobody really knew what had happened. You know, we could see that part of the building was burning and evacuated our offices, but it was a long time before we knew exactly what had happened. We heard a story that a plane had hit the Pentagon. I was thinking a Cessna. I didn't realize this was a passenger aircraft that many people had been killed and that it was part of a larger terrorist plot. You know, since then, I feel like there are so many different security levels that are now part of our world. I just think about when I go to fly, whether it's face, finger, hands, like it's just amazing things that we now just assume to be kind of ubiquitous in our world.

35:46And I'm just wondering, do you think we are more secure here in the United States? And I ask this on a day when we have had what we assume to be, you know, well, what we've seen is the shooting and murder of one conservative activist. We see politics, politicians really under risk, whether, you know, attacks and other shootings, if you will, even the president. I'm just wondering, do you think we are safer here in the United States? Well, I think the general public is safer. You know, there hasn't been a hijacking in the United States here. There have been very few terrorist incidents. Right after 9-11, there was great concern that there were going to be other terrorist attacks like what we had experienced with 3 ,000 people killed.

36:37You know, nothing like that has happened. We've endured a lot of inconvenience, TSA, you know, taking your shoes off for all those years. I mean, all of the security, every building now you have to be badged to get in. People forget that at one point in my early career, the Pentagon was an open building. I mean, you could just walk in. Anybody from the public just walk into the Pentagon. You could walk up to the Secretary of Defense's office if you want. You couldn't get in the office, but you could walk up to it. Then in the 90s, they put in some sort of basic security. And of course, after 9-11, they put in really very severe security measures, but were required given the new environment.

37:20But to Carol's point, is it a bigger threat? Is there a bigger threat coming from inside the United States, from our own neighbors who are close to us, fellow Americans, than from people outside of the US? Well, I think both threats exist. We have seen, of course, this terrible incident with the assassination of Charlie Kirk. We saw legislators in Minnesota murdered in the attempts on President Trump's life. Those are different, though, because that is political-inspired murder, which unfortunately has not been, is increasing, has not been part of our culture. But then we have the broader question about the public.

38:13And if you are not politically prominent, I think that the threats to you are much reduced compared to what they were on 9-11. Mark, as I mentioned, I want to talk a little bit about what you've been writing about for years, military forces and operations and the evolution or the change that we saw when the U.S. moved away from counterinsurgency and instead focusing on Russia and China. When was this and what was the reason for doing this? yeah there's been an evolution if we go back to the uh end of the cold war where there was a a period of uh time when it wasn't clear what the enemies were what our adversaries were article um princess fukiyama you know the end of history question mark and uh that ended at the uh in the 90s you know the defense budget came down by 40 percent forces shrank by 40 percent uh but But then we had Bosnia, we had Kosovo, we had some incidents with Iraq.

39:25So the defense budget plateaued and started coming back up, you know, just for these general concerns that the world, you know, was not always a safe place. Then we have 9-11. And two things happen. Of course, we embark on these two huge counterinsurgency campaigns, first in Afghanistan, then in Iraq. And then Homeland Security becomes part of our national security strategy. But back after 9-11, it was only a small part of what DOD did. It was much more of a law enforcement effort. DOD did do ballistic missile defense. It did do some work on the southwest border. Most of it was TSA. It was FBI, which got a big plus up.

40:14It was domestic counterterrorism. And that was our strategy that had our focus up until 2014. And in 2014, three things happened. Russia took over Crimea. ISIS roared out of the desert and nearly captured Baghdad. And the Chinese continued their assertive actions in the South China Sea. So it was a break. At that point, it was at the end of the Obama administration. And they started focusing on great power conflict, recognizing that Russia and China were going to be threats in the future. Initially, they put Russia at the top and then China. The first Trump administration reversed that order. China, then Russia, but again, focused on great power conflict.

41:09The Biden administration essentially didn't change that, although they probably wouldn't admit that they were very close on national security policy with the first Trump administration. But you get a lot of continuity there. What we've seen in the last couple of months is a shift. Early in this second Trump administration, the focus was still on China. Secretary Hegseth was talking about how Taiwan was our driving scenario. And in fact, we were going to shift forces into the Western Pacific. Of course, a couple of things happened. You have the events in the Middle East. You have Hamas and the wars there.

41:52And then you have a sort of an increasing focus on homeland security in new ways. Right. Go ahead. I want to jump in only because we have about three minutes left or so. But we're talking with Mark Hansi and he's senior advisor, Defense and Security Department at CSIS, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, retired colonel with the U.S. Marine Corps Reserve. One thing I want to ask you is that we've had President Trump come out with plans to change the Department of Defense to the Department of War. And in doing so, our Defense Secretary, Pete Hegseth, has said, Secretary of War, so the Department is now about maximum lethality, not tepid legality, violent effect, not politically correct.

42:41We're going to raise up warriors, not just defenders. What's the message? If China is, as things have evolved, our biggest threat, what's the message? Is that we are willing to go to war with China in this new environment, this new reality? I think what Hagseth is trying to signal is that the United States is able to conduct a conflict if that becomes necessary. there is some tension between that notion about lethality, which is appropriate in a conflict, and the focus on homeland security, where it's not lethality, it's a variety of other tools to reduce crime, reduce immigration, reduce drug smuggling.

43:32And that tension has arisen in the last couple of months. The department still hasn't resolved it. We understand that their new national defense strategy is going to try to straddle that, put homeland security at the top. Those initiatives we've seen with the Trump administration, they've had tremendous policy implications. So far, they haven't demanded a lot of forces. In other words, what we've seen in Washington, D.C. for law enforcement, huge political and law enforcement implications hasn't taken a lot of troops. Well, and that's what I was thinking about, too, like the military aspect of the U.S.

44:13I mean, are we attracting enough if we are building out this department of war? And we've just got about 25 seconds because it does. I don't know. I'm just curious your thoughts on that as a veteran? Well, people have worried about that, but that isn't reflected in the numbers, at least yet. Recruiting and retention has been very good. The administration has highlighted that due to their policies. It might be true, hard to say, the increase in recruiting started under the Biden administration. It's possible that some of these recent actions will discourage people, but we haven't seen any indication of that yet.

44:55All right. Going to leave it on that note. Really appreciate you joining and sharing your perspective. Mark Hansian, he's Senior Advisor, Defense and Security Department at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, retired colonel at the U.S. Marine Corps Reserve, joining us from Washington. This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern on Bloomberg.com, the iHeartRadio app, TuneIn, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg Terminal.

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From the publisher

Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
A search is underway for the killer of Charlie Kirk, a conservative activist and close ally of President Donald Trump who was fatally shot Wednesday at a Utah university.
Kirk, executive director of the Turning Point USA advocacy group, was speaking at an outdoor event before a crowd at Utah Valley University when a single shot was fired from a nearby building, according to local police.
Governor Spencer Cox described it as a “political assassination.”A person of interest was taken into custody and later released, FBI director Kash Patel said in social media posts, later tweeting that the FBI is seeking information, video and photos to help find the killer.
The shooting, the latest in a spate of political violence in the US, drew an outpouring of shock and condemnation from Republicans and Democrats. Kirk, 31, started Turning Point USA more than a decade ago and had turned it into one of the most influential groups helping to rally young voters to conservative causes. He leaves behind a wife and two young children.
Today's show features:

  • Congressman Gabe Amo (D-RI), on domestic security, geopolitical unrest, US economic policy and offshore power projects involving his state
  • Bloomberg Tech Co-Host Caroline Hyde on the report that Paramount Skydance Corp. is preparing a bid for Warner Bros. Discovery Inc.
  • Kristy Akullian, CFA, is the Head of Investment Strategy, Americas, BlackRock, on asset allocation strategies
  • Mark F. Cancian, Colonel, USMCR (Ret.) and Senior Adviser for the Defense and Security Department at the Center for Strategic and International Studies on the changing nature of US warfare and foreign military operations

 

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