In short
This episode of Bloomberg Daybreak covers: U.S.-Iran tensions over blockades in the Strait of Hormuz, with Trump saying restrictions stay until Iran offers a new peace proposal; Iran says it won’t return to talks until the U.S. naval blockade is lifted. It also notes Bloomberg reporting that Trump’s social-media threats and rhetoric haven’t resonated with Iranian officials, potentially slowing negotiations. Oil and gas impacts are highlighted: oil prices set for a biggest weekly gain; Goldman says Persian Gulf oil supply is ~57% below pre-war levels; IEA warns LNG glut delays for at least two years, with Qatar reporting ~17% liquefaction capacity damaged and repairs possibly up to five years. Additional stories include a Reuters report on potential U.S. punishment of NATO allies, a classified-info charge against a Fort Bragg Special Forces soldier tied to Polymarket bets, and Intel’s surge after a forecast beat (AI/data-center inference demand; CPU bottleneck).
Guests
Jumana Bersetchi (Bloomberg Middle East correspondent, Dubai) and Michael Barr (Bloomberg, New York).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOAI Integration at IBM
0:00 to 0:30
Learn how IBM integrates AI into their workforce to enhance efficiency.
“So there's a lot of noise about AI, but time's too tight for more promises.”
U.S.-Iran Tensions Overview
1:45 to 2:37
Discuss ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran regarding blockades.
“Here are the stories we're following today.”
Trump's Perspective on Iran Negotiations
2:37 to 3:19
Hear President Trump's views on the timeline for negotiations with Iran.
“We get more from Bloomberg's Jumana Bersetche in Dubai.”
Impact on Oil Prices and Energy Markets
3:19 to 4:21
Understand how the Strait of Hormuz situation affects oil prices globally.
“Bloomberg's Jumana Bersechi reporting from Dubai.”
Natural Gas Market Tightness
4:21 to 5:17
Learn about the impact of the Iran conflict on global natural gas supply.
“And I think this week that optimism has really faded and we've seen a steady ratcheting up in the oil price.”
NATO Allies and U.S. War Strategy
5:17 to 6:19
Examine how the U.S. may respond to NATO allies regarding the Iran conflict.
“Meanwhile, Nathan, Bloomberg News has learned European Union leaders are tasking the bloc's finance ministers to come up with new measures to deal with the continent's energy crunch.”
Military Operations and Legal Issues
6:19 to 6:53
Details on a U.S. soldier's involvement in a military operation and subsequent charges.
“The report cites an internal email and a U.S.”
Intel's Stock Performance
6:53 to 7:21
Explore the reasons behind Intel's stock surge following positive earnings.
“Federal officials say Gannon Ken Van Dyke placed about 13 bets in the week leading up to the military operation to make money on the prediction market site Polymarket.”
Trends in AI and Semiconductor Market
7:21 to 8:21
Discuss trends in AI and how they influence semiconductor demand.
“The chipmaker delivered a sales forecast well above analyst estimates.”
Job Cuts in Major Tech Companies
8:21 to 8:35
Learn about job cuts at Microsoft and MetaPlatforms in response to AI investments.
“We get the story from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett.”
Show all 14 chapters
Other News Highlights
8:35 to 10:33
Brief updates on various news stories from around the world.
“The company had 125 ,000 employees in the U.S.”
Stalemate Analysis: U.S. and Iran
14:05 to 15:36
Discussion on the standoff between the U.S. and Iran and the factors complicating negotiations.
“But President Trump says he's in no hurry to reach a deal with Tehran.”
Rhetoric and Consequences
15:36 to 17:00
Exploration of President Trump's rhetoric and its impact on U.S.-Iran relations.
“Because we've heard from President Trump escalating his rhetoric on social media, talking about the Navy being ordered to shoot boats that lay mines in the strait.”
Ceasefire Developments in Lebanon
17:00 to 18:00
Insights on the extended ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon and its implications.
“It doesn't likely to be the case because the U.S.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00So there's a lot of noise about AI, but time's too tight for more promises. So let's talk about results. At IBM, we work with our employees to integrate technology right into the systems they need. Now, a global workforce of 300 ,000 can use AI to fill their HR questions, resolving 94 % of common questions. Not noise. Proof of how we can help companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off. Deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business. IBM. For many men, mental health challenges aren't recognized until they've already taken a toll. Work pressure, financial stress, changing relationships, and traditional expectations around masculinity can quietly wear men down, often without clear warning signs.
0:44In Season 3 of The Visibility Gap, Dr. Guy Winch and his guests explore how these pressures show up, how to spot them earlier, and how men can access meaningful support. Listen to the new season of The Visibility Gap, a podcast presented by Cigna Healthcare. You need to make a huge presentation in an hour. Adobe Acrobat uses AI to take all your documents and generate a presentation with a single click. Build slides quickly and streamline the process. Need a last-minute pitch deck? Do that with Acrobat. Need to level up your presentation design? Do that with Acrobat. You have 30-plus documents that need to be simplified into a proposal.
1:25Do that. Do that. Do that with Acrobat. Learn more at adobe.com slash do that with Acrobat. Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio, news. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. And I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with the ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran, with both sides maintaining blockades over the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump has said he will keep restrictions in place until Iran comes forward with a new peace proposal. At the White House, Bloomberg's Jeff Mason asked the president about his timetable. How long are you willing to wait until you get a unified response?
2:09Don't rush me, Jeff. You know, guys like you, you want to say, oh, so we were in Vietnam like for 18 years. We were in Iraq for many, many years. We were in for all the, I don't like to say World War II because that was a biggie. but we were four and a half, almost five years in World War II. We were in the Korean War for seven years. I've been doing this for six weeks. President Trump spoke to Bloomberg White House correspondent Jeff Mason in the Oval Office. We get more from Bloomberg's Jumana Bersetche in Dubai. He's suggesting that we're in the early innings of what could be a prolonged conflict.
2:45At the same time, the Iranian side asserting once again that they're not going to go back to the negotiations table until the U.S. naval brigade is actually lifted. No signs that the U.S. have plans to do so. And overnight, I also want to draw your attention to an article that our Bloomberg colleagues put up, also suggesting that the way that President Trump has been conducting this, a lot of the threats and assertions, the language that he's been using on social media has also not been resonating well with Iranian officials. And they say that that is actually one of the limiting factors that is stopping the two sides from getting together.
3:19at the negotiating table once again. Bloomberg's Jumana Bersechi reporting from Dubai. Meantime, President Trump says Israel and Lebanon have agreed to extend their ceasefire for another three weeks after talks in Washington. There's no immediate response from Israel or Iran-backed Hezbollah. The militant group is not involved in the ceasefire, but has largely abided by it. Well, Nathan, the price of oil is set for its biggest weekly gain since the first week of the Right now, NYMEX crude oil is up 1.5 % at$97.27 a barrel. Brent is at$106.88. With little sign of de-escalation, the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz is taking an increasing toll on global energy markets.
4:02And we get more with Bloomberg's Will Kennedy in London. Going back to last Friday, when the Iranians said the Strait was open, And there was a really positive reaction from oil traders who thought that finally there was a likely resolution and the ships might start leaving the Gulf and get back. And the energy market could begin the long process of getting back to normal. And I think this week that optimism has really faded and we've seen a steady ratcheting up in the oil price. As a result, it's really worth bearing in mind that although the intense military action, the bombing has stopped, the strait is probably more closed than it ever has been.
4:40and we're not getting the oil and the fuel that we need out of the Persian Gulf. Bloomberg's Will Kennedy in London. According to Goldman Sachs, the Persian Gulf oil supply is about 57 percent below pre-war levels. And a new report, Karen, says the Iran war will keep the global natural gas market tight for at least two more years. This is according to the International Energy Agency. It says the conflict has delayed a long-anticipated glut in liquefied natural gas, even as new capacity comes online. Qatar has said Iranian strikes last month damaged about 17 percent of its liquefaction capacity.
5:16It says repairs there could take as long as five years. Meanwhile, Nathan, Bloomberg News has learned European Union leaders are tasking the bloc's finance ministers to come up with new measures to deal with the continent's energy crunch. Bloomberg Chief European Correspondent Oliver Crook is covering the EU leaders' meeting in Cyprus. There's, of course, that longer-term push the EU will use to say that this is all about electrification. In the long term, no matter where your gas is coming from, whether it's Russia, whether it's the Gulf, and increasingly also concerns about the United States, you're not safe until you're energy autonomous, and that is going to be one of their big pushes to try to get that energy independence through electricity and electrification.
5:54Bloomberg Chief Europe Correspondent Oliver Crook says gas has gained 34 percent since the conflict started, while Brent crude has jumped 37 percent. Back in the U.S., Karen, the Trump administration may be looking at ways to punish NATO allies for what it sees as a lack of support for the war. This is according to a report from Reuters that says the Pentagon is considering options like suspending Spain from the alliance or reviewing the U.S. position on the U.K.'s claim to the Falkland Islands. The report cites an internal email and a U.S. official. Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez was one of the earliest critics of the war.
6:28He called it a violation of international law. Sanchez says he will maintain normal cooperation with NATO allies and rely on official positions from Washington, not reports of private emails. Nathan, a U.S. soldier involved in the capture of then-Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro has been charged with using classified information to win more than$400 ,000 in an online betting market. Federal officials say Gannon Ken Van Dyke placed about 13 bets in the week leading up to the military operation to make money on the prediction market site Polymarket. Van Dyke is a Special Forces soldier based in Fort Bragg, North Carolina.
7:07The Justice Department says he was involved in the planning and execution of the Venezuela raid. Let's turn back to markets now, Karen. Futures are mixed as we close out the trading week, though. NASDAQ futures are getting a lift from Intel. Those shares, wow, up 24 % in early trading. The chipmaker delivered a sales forecast well above analyst estimates. Bloomberg Technology host Ed Ludlow has more on what's driving the rally. The Intel story is a CPU story. So in the world of AI, when we move from a place where a lot of the activity is focused on training to inference running the AI models, Intel's feeling that benefit.
7:44And frankly, they are struggling to keep up with the CPU demand. That's kind of the core story. The margins were better in the quarter gone largely because of higher revenues. But the outlook for the current period on sales, that's the driver. It is the AI and data center segment. Bloomberg Tech's Ed Ludlow says the upbeat outlook suggests Intel CEO Lip Bhutan is making progress on his plan to improve Intel's operations. Nathan, the Intel results may fuel another record-setting day for chip stocks. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is coming off a record 17 straight winning sessions. is at more than 30 % already in April.
8:20And Karen, two mammoth tech companies are cutting jobs to help offset AI investments. We get the story from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. At Microsoft, the early retirement offer went out to thousands of employees in the U.S. with about 7 % of the U.S. workforce eligible for the buyouts. The company had 125 ,000 employees in the U.S. as of June 2025, meaning about 8 ,750 workers could be eligible. Meanwhile, MetaPlatforms plans to cut 10 % of its workers in an effort to boost efficiency and offset its heavy spending on artificial intelligence. In New York, Charlie Pellett, Bloomberg Radio.
9:03Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. And for that, we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, good morning. Good morning, Karen. The NTSB says a firefighter whose truck collided with an Air Canada jet last month on a runway at New York's LaGuardia Airport heard an air traffic controller warned stop, stop, stop, but did not know who it was for. That's according to an investigative report released on Thursday. The NTSB said in a preliminary report on the March 22nd accident that a crash prevention system for air traffic controllers did not generate an audio or visual alert.
9:41The report said the truck started moving while warning lights that act as a stop sign for crossing traffic were still lit. Both Air Canada pilots were killed. One person has died and five others were hurt when gunfire erupted at the Mall of Louisiana. Baton Rouge police say yesterday's shooting was not a random act of violence, but a disagreement between two groups of people that ended with gunfire. Police Chief T.J. Moore says an officer who is always stationed at the mall was able to respond immediately. This is early in the investigation. We have five people in custody. We're still trying to unravel their exact involvement in this.
10:20Chief Morris says so far no charges have been filed. A search and rescue operation is underway in Enid, Oklahoma, where a large violent tornado touched down last night. Mayor David Mason says that the tornado struck on the south side of the rural town. He says police did get some people out of homes that sustained heavy damage. They were doing search and rescue. We have now backed them out so that OHP can come in and do a secondary search and do it in quadrants. Mayor Mason says there are reports of minor injuries. Global News 24 hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg, Karen.
11:01Thanks, Michael. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports Update. And for that, we bring in John Stashauer. Thanks, Karen. in Indiana won the national championship in college football. Fernando Mendoza was their Heisman Trophy winning star quarterback. And as everyone expected, he was the first player taken in the draft. Underway last night in Pittsburgh, he goes to the Las Vegas Raiders. Meanwhile, Ohio State had four players taken in the first 11 picks. Home teams won in the NBA playoffs. Atlanta, a second straight one point win over the Knicks. Toronto beat Cleveland. Minnesota beat Denver. The road teams all won in the Stanley Cup playoffs.
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14:09But President Trump says he's in no hurry to reach a deal with Tehran. I don't want to rush it. I want to take my time. We have plenty of time, and I want to get a great deal. That was President Trump speaking to reporters yesterday in the Oval Office. Joining us this morning from Dubai is Bloomberg Middle East correspondent and Bloomberg Horizons anchor Jumana Bersetchi. Jumana, is there any sense that Iran is in a hurry to reach a deal? Good morning. Good morning. Well, no sense whatsoever that there's going to be an imminent other round of discussions. But again, it's one of those situations where we won't know until we're informed.
14:47And we know that the Pakistani mediators are really trying hard to bring the two sides back together again. Just an hour ago, Pakistani media outlets were reporting that once again, the prime minister had been reaching out to senior Iranian officials to see what can be done to bridge the gap between the two sides. But essentially here, and here I'm talking about proceeding to the next phase of discussions, the main sticking point is the straits. And we've heard from the Iranians multiple times over the course of this week, and they say that they will not be progressing to the second round of discussions so long as the U.S.
15:21naval blockade is in place. President Trump, you played a bit of his comments there. He was saying that they're not going to open the blockade or lift the blockade until Iran sign on to a deal. So it's a bit of a chicken and egg situation here, a stalemate, so to speak. And the question from here is, you know, what shakes the stalemate? That is the question, isn't it? Because we've heard from President Trump escalating his rhetoric on social media, talking about the Navy being ordered to shoot boats that lay mines in the strait. What impact is the president's war of words having? Yes, so we are out with some reporting overnight, our colleagues in Bloomberg on the BN side.
16:04And they're suggesting that they've had conversations with the Iranian sources, with Arab officials. And the feedback is that a lot of the language and the rhetoric that President Trump has been using on his social media has not gone down well at all. The threats, the threat to wipe out civilization, him proclaiming that Iran had made all of these concessions and yielded to U.S. demands. That is riling them up and is also another reason potentially for these talks being held up. Not only is it about the blockade, but also about President Trump's personal style, too, which could also be a complicating factor in terms of where we go next.
16:46Yes. In the meantime, we've had talks between Israel and Lebanon in Washington. The president says that ceasefire is being extended in our last minute. Jumana, could that break the dam between the U.S. and Iran? It doesn't likely to be the case because the U.S. have been trying to separate the two tracks, so to speak. So there are two parallel tracks going on here. Welcome news, of course, for Lebanon and for the region that the ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, or I should say between Lebanon's Hezbollah and Israel, has been extended by another three weeks. But I should just emphasize, these are still preliminary discussions, and there are still blows being exchanged in the southern part of Lebanon, where Israel has established what they would call a buffer zone or security zone up to a yellow line.
17:39And because of that, many people in Lebanon are very uncomfortable about whether the ceasefire is actually going to hold. But the point is, the two sides actually are speaking. And what the U.S. is trying to do here is to separate the issue and let Lebanon states handle it, as opposed to Iran act as an agent on behalf of Hezbollah. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by 6 a.m. Eastern each morning on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at 5 a.m.
18:16Wall Street time on Bloomberg 1130 in New York, Bloomberg 99.1 in Washington, Bloomberg 92.9 in Boston, and nationwide on Sirius XM Channel 121. Plus, listen coast-to-coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android Auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it, in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak.
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From the publisher
On today's podcast:
1) The US increased pressure on Iran with its naval blockade, as it seeks to get Tehran to agree to talks. The US naval operation has caused many Iran-linked vessels to turn around rather than go through the Hormuz strait, potentially affecting Iran's oil exports. Israel and Lebanon are set to extend a ceasefire for three weeks, according to President Donald Trump, who announced the deal in a social-media post after meeting Israeli and Lebanese envoys at the White House.
2) Intel delivered a sales forecast of $13.8 billion to $14.8 billion in the June quarter, exceeding Wall Street expectations of $13 billion. The company's upbeat outlook suggests that Chief Executive Officer Lip-Bu Tan is making progress on a challenging comeback plan, with Intel shares soaring 20% in extended trading. Intel's strong demand for processors used in AI systems is lifting demand for its flagship Xeon server processors, with Tan saying the company is "laser-focused" on increasing output from its factories to meet demand.
3) Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said he’ll maintain cooperation with NATO allies and brushed off a report that US officials are considering suspending his country from the alliance for its stance on the Iran war. Sanchez told reporters that Spain "meets our obligations, we are a loyal partner" and that the country's position is "full cooperation with allies, but always within the framework of international law." The US is considering measures within the alliance in response to the stance of NATO allies, including Spain, on the Iran war, according to people familiar with the matter.
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