NBA Gambling Scandal, Third Term & House Maps

31 Oct 2025 · 36 min · 17 chapters

Ask about this episode

Ask anything about it. ChatGPT or Claude reads this page and answers with the times it was said.

Connect VO and ask about every podcast you hear, including the moments you saved. Add to ChatGPT · Add to Claude

In short

The episode covers three legal/political stories: (1) an NBA-linked illegal gambling and cheating scheme, (2) constitutional arguments about whether Donald Trump could serve a third presidential term, and (3) mid-decade congressional redistricting litigation in New York City.

Guests and backgrounds

Joshua Neftalis, former federal prosecutor and partner at Palace Partners; he previously worked on the real-life “Molly Bloom” case. Constitutional law expert David Super (Georgetown Law). Election/redistricting scholar Jeffrey Weiss (New York Law School).

Key claims and examples

Neftalis says prosecutors allege an “illegal gambling business” plus fraud/money laundering, using hidden cameras in chip trays, rigged shuffling machines, marked cards, and x-ray/table tech to cheat “fish,” causing about $7 million in losses. He compares the indictment to “Molly’s Game.” Super argues the 22nd Amendment bars a third term and rejects workarounds (vice president succession, Speaker of the House, emergency election suspension). Weiss explains a New York state constitutional lawsuit claiming the 11th district dilutes Black/Latino voting power by combining Staten Island with parts of Brooklyn/Manhattan; he discusses the Thornburg v. Gingles vote-dilution test and timing constraints for 2026.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

The NBA Gambling Scandal Overview

0:00 to 0:26

An overview of the high-stakes poker scandal involving prominent NBA figures.

“If you've ever waited on a refill or couldn't schedule an appointment, you get it.”

The NBA Gambling Scandal Overview

1:52 to 3:18

An overview of the high-stakes poker scandal involving prominent NBA figures.

“I put the numbers in my phone and composed a simple message.”

Details of the Indictment

3:18 to 4:25

Former prosecutor Joshua Neftalis discusses the specifics of the gambling charges.

“with expected colorful nicknames like Flappy, The Wrestler, Black Tony, Big Bruce, and Pookie.”

Understanding the Charges

4:25 to 6:30

Explaining the legal implications of operating an illegal gambling business and fraud.

“And then you have these new Eastern District indictments.”

Investigative Insights and Implications

6:30 to 13:48

Insights into the investigation's timeline and implications for the NBA's integrity.

“Well, that's exactly the point, which is these guys make a lot of money from their day job.”

Investigative Insights and Implications

13:54 to 15:31

Insights into the investigation's timeline and implications for the NBA's integrity.

“Brokerage services by Open to the Public Investing, Inc., member FINRA and SIPC.”

Trump's Third Term Speculation

15:46 to 22:00

Discussion on President Trump's ideas about a potential third term and constitutional implications.

“Trump has flirted with the idea of a third term before.”

Presidential Powers and Authority

22:00 to 28:10

Exploration of presidential powers and historical context related to Trump's actions.

“certainly didn't deserve to be taken very seriously.”

Presidential Powers and Authority

28:15 to 28:32

Exploration of presidential powers and historical context related to Trump's actions.

“Brokered services by Open to the Public Investing, Inc., member FINRA and SIPC.”

Presidential Powers and Authority

28:33 to 29:53

Exploration of presidential powers and historical context related to Trump's actions.

“At IBM, we work with our employees to integrate technology right into the systems they need.”
Show all 17 chapters

Gerrymandering Ahead of Midterms

30:09 to 31:06

Discussion on Trump's influence in redrawing House district maps for elections.

“But Democratic states led by California are fighting back, or trying to, as gerrymandering in many blue states is hampered by independent redistricting commissions or bans on mid-decade redistricting.”

Lawsuit Against New York's Congressional Districts

31:07 to 31:46

Exploring a lawsuit challenging the congressional district boundaries in New York.

“Democrats have made clear that we are going to respond.”

Impact of Voting Rights on Redistricting

31:47 to 36:28

Analyzing the implications of state and federal voting rights on redistricting lawsuits.

“Jeff, tell us about this lawsuit that's challenging New York's 11th congressional district.”

Political Dynamics of Redistricting Efforts

36:29 to 42:00

Understanding the complex political landscape surrounding redistricting initiatives in New York.

“when looking at vote dilution claims in counties, towns, cities, and villages.”

Redistricting and Political Strategies

42:00 to 42:35

Explore the challenges and implications of redistricting post-midterms.

“With all these states redistricting, what are the maps going to look like after the midterms?”

Redistricting and Political Strategies

43:01 to 43:35

Explore the challenges and implications of redistricting post-midterms.

“If you've ever waited on a refill or couldn't schedule an appointment, you get it.”

Redistricting and Political Strategies

43:39 to 44:03

Explore the challenges and implications of redistricting post-midterms.

“Start your day with Bloomberg Daybreak, the podcast with a global view on the stories that matter.”
Hear the part that matters, and keep it.Open this episode in VO. Double tap your headphones to save a moment as you listen.
Get VO free

Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Healthcare doesn't always work great. If you've ever waited on a refill or couldn't schedule an appointment, you get it. That's the kind of stuff Optum is changing. They're using data and technology to integrate patient care, pharmacy, and everything else. So healthcare is connected, not complicated. What's that look like? Cheaper prescriptions that are easier to get and care that looks at the whole person, how you need it. Optum is helping make healthcare work as one for everyone. Learn more at business.optum.com. The thing about AI for business, it may not automatically fit the way your business works.

0:35At IBM, we've seen this firsthand. But by embedding AI across HR, IT, and procurement processes, we've reduced costs by millions, slash repetitive tasks, and freed thousands of hours for strategic work. Now we're helping companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business, IBM. When you own your own business, you own every decision. Now own the card that rewards you for it. Chase Sapphire Reserve for Business is a pay-in-full card that elevates your travel experience and offers premium benefits that will take your business to the next level.

1:15Sapphire Reserve for Business offers 8x points on all purchases through Chase Travel, 3x points on social media and search engine advertising, airport lounge access, and more. Chase Sapphire Reserve for Business. It's the card that gives back all you put in. Learn more at Chase.com forward slash Reserve Business. Chase for business. Make more of what's yours. Accounts subject to credit approval. Restrictions and limitations apply. Cards are issued by JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A. Member FDIC.

1:46This is Bloomberg Law with June Grosso from Bloomberg Radio. On that tab are nine names, along with phone numbers, of some of the wealthiest and most famous people in the world. I put the numbers in my phone and composed a simple message. There'd be a game tomorrow night at the Cobra Lounge. There was a$10 ,000 buy-in. Two weeks later, around 2 a.m., there was a pot that was up to 1.3 million preflop. Call. With five players still in. But the game belonged to Player X. People wanted to say they played with them the same way they wanted to say they wrote on Air Force One. Do you understand that you are charged in count 20 with operating an illegal gambling business?

2:24The indictment in the NBA gambling scandal sounds a lot like the movie Molly's Game, high-stakes poker, where celebrities called face cards draw in unsuspecting rich players called fish who drop big money in illegal private games backed by organized crime. Federal prosecutors allege that Portland Trailblazers head coach Chauncey Billups and former player Damon Jones were the face cards who were on the so-called cheating team, luring big money players into rigged poker games where sophisticated technology like hidden cameras in poker chip trays, rigged card shuffling machines, and even x-ray equipment built into the tables helped them cheat the fish out of millions of dollars.

3:14Almost 30 other people are charged in the poker scheme, including members of the Bonanno, Gambino, and Genovese crime families with expected colorful nicknames like Flappy, The Wrestler, Black Tony, Big Bruce, and Pookie. My guest is former federal prosecutor Joshua Neftalis, a partner at Palace Partners. He prosecuted the real-life Molly Bloom and the others involved in that$100 million gambling ring that was fictionalized in the movie Molly's Game. Josh, the high stakes poker games in this indictment look a lot like those in Molly's Game and even use the same terminology. Yeah, I mean, it's funny.

3:55When I was an associate at Wachtell Lipton, I did an independent investigation for the NBA that culminated in something called the Petowitz Report, which is when a referee named Tim Donaghy was indicted in the Eastern District for being part of a scheme with LCN, where the allegations were that he was throwing games or betting on games. And then you fast forward to Molly's game, which is one of the first big cases I worked on when I was a prosecutor, where they are running illegal gambling businesses, including poker rooms, and you sort of mush the two together. And then you have these new Eastern District indictments.

4:27And tell us what the indictment says happened with these poker games. So there are two crimes being charged. The first one is operating an illegal gambling business. So it's the business aspect of it, which is generally what's called the house. So the people who are sponsoring the game are taking a rake or a percentage of the pot or the money on the table. So that's where the sponsors or the people running the game are profiting, regardless of what happens with the card. They're just taking a percentage of the money. That's what makes it illegal, in New York State at least. So you can play in a poker game for money, and that's not illegal.

5:04If the two of us ever had the pleasure of sitting down to play poker with a couple other people, that's totally okay. But in this case, they're saying that the game was rigged so that the so-called fish would lose? Right. That's like the added layer of it is sort of like a fraud piece, which is the game wasn't even fair. The card shufflers were rigged. The tables had some cameras set up that allowed them to see the cards. The cards were marked in some ways. People were wearing some sort of contact lens or glasses. It wasn't a fair game to begin with, in addition to being an illegal business. Phillips and Jones were referred to as face cards in the indictment.

5:41It said that everyone at the table who wasn't a target was in on the scam. They were charged with wire fraud and money laundering conspiracy, but weren't charged with operating an illegal gambling business. I mean, generally, the fraud and money laundering charges are more serious than the gambling charges, or at least they expose an individual to more jail time, potentially. Can you tell how strong the case is against them? It's always hard to tell when you read an indictment. An indictment makes it sound like it's obvious. It's a great case. I mean, if true, you know, the government always thinks it holds the best hand.

6:17That's why they brought the case. I'm sure there's another side of the story. Whether it holds up, I don't know. Chauncey Billups' attorney said, to believe that Chauncey Billups did what the federal government is accusing him of is to believe that he'd risk his Hall of Fame legacy, his reputation and his freedom. Well, that's exactly the point, which is these guys make a lot of money from their day job. Why would they risk it all here? Which, by the way, makes good sense and has a lot of jury appeal. If they actually took part in the games, what kind of defenses could they raise? It's always hard to tell from the indictment exactly what's going on.

6:49But I think part of it may be, listen, just being there doesn't mean they were part of it, right? They may be playing cards, they may be betting, they may be doing whatever, that doesn't mean they're in on it, which happens all the time, right? They may have been participating in what was it otherwise the illegal game. And the promoters may have been using that as a way to draw people in. But that doesn't mean that they were in on the whole scheme. So the charge is that from April of 2019 to the present, the rig poker scheme caused losses to the victims of$7 million. That doesn't seem a lot over six years and when the director of the FBI said the fraud is mind-boggling.

7:28I mean,$7 million is still a lot, but I agree with you. Given the amount of money that flies around in these games, I wouldn't call it mind-boggling. I mean, these high-stakes poker games, there can be millions of dollars changing hands in a night. To establish the money laundering and wire fraud, what do the prosecutors have to prove? The way to think of fraud is when someone makes a misrepresentation to someone to get them to turn over money and they lose money as a result. You have to make a misstatement to someone with the intent that you're defrauding them. And then laundering money is either you are moving money that was derived from a criminal scheme, or you are out of the scheme or you're moving money in to promote the scheme.

8:07Those are like the basic types of money laundering. But you have to have the fraud to prove the money laundering generally. Like the fraud is sort of a prerequisite. There are more than 30 defendants here. How do you try a case like this? I assume separate trials, but how is that decided? You can't try 30 people at once. It's not permitted. It's also just practically impossible. What generally happens in a case like this where this many people charged is those that sort of don't have much of a defense or they're not charged with a very serious client, they may just plead out and it could reduce into a smaller group of people if they choose to go to trial.

8:42That's what happened in the Molly's Game case. We indicted, I think, 33 people where there were three separate racketeering schemes. In the end, we never had a trial because everyone basically pled guilty. And then came the book and the movie. Do you think that the FBI pursued this investigation for so long because of the alleged mafia connections? I mean, when you have the mafia, when you have sports betting, when you have the integrity of the game at stake. Obviously, that interests a lot of parties. It's not necessarily clear to me that the FBI was looking at this since 2019. It may be that as the investigation went on, they learned about conduct that proceeded when they started the investigation.

9:21So that doesn't mean that they couldn't charge it if they had started the investigation in 2024, and then they learned actually all this is going on from 2019. And tell us about the second indictment involving sports betting, where Miami Heat guard Terry Rozier was charged. Sure. I mean, I think that's the one that goes to the integrity of the game. I kind of view that as the more serious of the indictments. The gist of it is that the NBA has a code of conduct. And one of the provisions of the code of conduct is that there's confidential information or non-public information. And in this case, it would be which players are injured, who's going to sit out, who may not play.

9:56And that information was being leaked and then used by people to make prop bets. And a prop bet is like a proposition bet where you can not necessarily even bet on who's going to win the game, but how a particular player will perform. And some of the bets were saying that someone would play or not play or score a certain number of points. And some of them were just bets on the outcome of the game. But here, it's akin to insider trading, but I don't want to suggest it is insider trading because it's a wire fraud case. This isn't securities fraud. But the gist is that there was non-public information about NBA players that was used to bet.

10:27And that violated the code of conduct. Well, in hyping up the indictment, the director of the FBI, Kash Patel, called it the insider trading saga for the NBA. One thing about Rozier, the NBA cleared him after an investigation, didn't they? I think the issue is the devil's in the details. I mean, my recollection of Rozier is that he may have texted one of the other members of the scheme saying that he was going to leave the game early. and there was discussion about bets being placed, which doesn't necessarily mean he wasn't hurt. But what it means is that he was telling someone who wasn't supposed to know that he was injured or that he wasn't going to play the whole game.

11:06The NBA is very good at this, at policing, betting, and the integrity of the game. Adam Silver is amazing as the commissioner, and they take this seriously. The question is, you know, did they have access to everything that the FBI had access to? The NBA doesn't have the powers of the FBI. These are two separate indictments, separate schemes that involve 34 defendants, only three connected to the NBA. Yet it was announced with such fanfare, about 20 people crowded on the stage, including the director of the FBI and New York City's police commissioner. The investigations date back years, and yet the announcements were made the opening week of the NBA season.

11:50This seems like a lot of hype. Oh, sure. That's definitely what the government's doing. They want to amplify the press impact of the indictments. And to the extent that it confuses what the NBA employees, players were doing, it just makes it more press worthy. Obviously, it matters if someone is actually applying for the NBA or working as a coach at the time they do certain of the conduct. That's why it would matter in terms of leaking the information. And then to the extent that these guys were doing something on their own time involving poker, it's kind of irrelevant. I don't think this is the type of investigation that, you know, needed to be announced on the eve of, you know, the timing was a little odd.

12:30When the FBI director shows up for an announcement of an investigation like this, again, criminal cases are serious. But, you know, this isn't like they broke the biggest insider trading case ever or this is a big terrorism case where the FBI director may show up. It's a big case in that it goes to the integrity of the game, but it's kind of just a run of the mill gambling case in the poker world. We'll see how many defendants are left when and if this goes to trial. Thanks so much, Josh. That's former federal prosecutor Joshua Neftalis of Palace Partners. Support for the show comes from Public.com.

13:03If you're actively involved in your portfolio, you probably catch yourself repeating the same actions. Buying the dip, manually sweeping idle cash, putting on a hedge. On public, you can now create AI agents that handle all these tasks on your behalf. Just describe what you want to do in plain English. Like, if the VIX hits 25, buy a put option on the S &P 500. Or, if my cash balance goes above$20 ,000, move the excess into my direct index. You approve the workflow and your agent handles the rest. Monitoring the market, watching for your conditions, and executing your strategies exactly as defined.

13:39An investing platform driven by your intent, not just your clicks. You can also get full read and write access to your account via the public API. Go to public.com slash market and fund your account in five minutes or less. That's public.com slash market. Paid for by public investing. Brokerage services by Open to the Public Investing, Inc., member FINRA and SIPC. Advisory services by Public Advisors, LLC, SEC Registered Advisor. Complete disclosures available at public.com slash disclosures. So there's a lot of noise about AI, but time's too tight for more promises. So let's talk about results.

14:16At IBM, we work with our employees to integrate technology right into the systems they need. Now, a global workforce of 300 ,000 can use AI to fill their HR questions, resolving 94 % of common questions. Not noise. Proof of how we can help companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business. IBM. When you own your own business, you own every decision. Now own the card that rewards you for it. The Chase Sapphire Reserve for Business card brings the best Sapphire Reserve benefits to business owners who expect hardworking rewards.

14:53Designed to meet the needs of business owners at scale, this pay-in-full card elevates your travel experience and offers premium benefits and value toward business services that will take your business to the next level. Fuel your business and maximize rewards with 8x points on all purchases through Chase Travel, 3x points on social media and search engine advertising, annual partnership credits, and more. Make every journey more rewarding with a$300 annual travel credit and access to a network of airport lounges, whether you're looking for pre-flight productivity or time to rest and recharge.

15:27Chase Sapphire Reserve for Business. It's the card that gives back all you put in. Learn more at chase.com forward slash reserve business. Chase for Business. Make more of what's yours. Accounts subject to credit approval. Restrictions and limitations apply. Cards are issued by JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A., member FDIC. President Donald Trump has once again suggested he'd like to extend his stay at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue for a third term. I would love to do it. I have my best numbers ever. Trump has flirted with the idea of a third term before. For example, in March, just a little over a month into his second term.

16:07They do say there's a way you can do it, but I don't know about that. I'm just telling you, I have had more people say, please run again. But this time there is also those Trump 2028 red baseball caps that sat on his desk during a meeting with congressional leaders this month. There's the think tank called Third Term Project. And there's even a Justice Department lawyer in Sixth Circuit oral arguments referring to a new administration, quote, three years in the future or seven years in the future. And of course, Trump has not explicitly ruled out a third term. Joining me is constitutional law expert David Super, a professor at Georgetown Law.

16:53So David, I reread the 22nd Amendment. it plainly states that no one can be elected president more than twice. I mean, how plain is it? How clear is it? It could not be clearer and it could not be plainer. It's short. It's sweet. It's to the point, not allowing anyone to run for a third term. Now, there are different kinds of scenarios out there that Trump allies have put forward. One of the arguments is that the 22nd Amendment only explicitly bars a person from being elected to more than two presidential terms, but doesn't say anything about serving a third term. So the theory is that Trump could run as vice president and then have whatever lucky candidate for president it is resign.

17:42And then Trump takes the White House. That doesn't work either because of the 12th Amendment, which says that any candidate for vice president must be constitutionally qualified to serve as president, which Mr. Trump isn't. In fact, Trump himself sort of dismissed that. He said, I'd be allowed to do that, but I think people wouldn't like that. It's too cute. Also, didn't Vladimir Putin sort of do something like that years ago, where he put a deputy in to serve in his place for one term, and then he took over? It's disappointing that this country is taking its political lessons from Russia these days.

18:24But yes, what Putin did was stepped down from being president for one term and let a trusted ally of his serve as a figurehead president while Putin ran things as prime minister, then came back and became president again. A few problems with that. One One is it's too cute. Two is we don't have prime ministerships here. So there's no obvious alternate role for Trump to go into to serve it. Three, Russia's limit is on consecutive terms. The 22nd Amendment is a limit on total terms. And four, why are we taking our political lessons from Russia? And just explain to get rid of the 22nd Amendment, what would it take?

19:09Repealing the 22nd Amendment would take a two thirds vote from both chambers of Congress and ratification by three-quarters of the states, which is 38 states. So you would need ratification from states like Connecticut and Massachusetts. Somehow, I don't think those states are going to be working very hard to get Mr. Trump a third term. Yeah, even House Speaker Mike Johnson dismissed repealing the 22nd Amendment. I don't see a way to amend the Constitution because it It takes about 10 years to do that. Speaking about the Speaker of the House, yet another theory is that Trump could become the Speaker of the House, which apparently posits that it's easy to be elected Speaker of the House.

19:54And then if both the president and vice president, who would have to be Trump allies, resign, he could take over. Yeah, I keep sending in my resume to be Speaker of the House and nothing ever happens. I'm not sure what the problem is. In theory, that could be said to be valid. The Speaker of the House is elected, and if the purpose of electing Mr. Trump's Speaker is to make him president, I think there's an argument that that would also violate the 22nd Amendment of the Constitution. It certainly puts a thumb in the eye of popular intent. We had had a four-term president, President Roosevelt. The country, across all political lines, concluded that that was too much power for any individual to have, that it resembled authoritarian countries too much, and we decided we didn't want to do that anymore.

20:50And this is, yet again, Mr. Trump and his allies disregarding the people's choice through their constitution. Have you heard any other theories of how he could become president for a third term? I mean, the other one, I guess, is very straightforward. Just do it and see if anyone stops you. And the Supreme Court has been willing to avoid a number of constitutional violations and most obviously declining to consider or allow anyone else to consider whether Mr. Trump was disqualified under the insurrection clause of the 14th Amendment. He may just take the position that he can run, he can do it, and he doesn't think anyone will stop him.

21:40Is this speculation hopeful in a way because Trump is still talking about legal ways to stay in office and not suggesting that he would just refuse to leave? Well, there has been talk in the past that he might do something like what you're suggesting. He made some comments about that in 2020, which I hope were not taken very seriously, certainly didn't deserve to be taken very seriously. But some of his supporters have suggested that he could somehow declare some kind of a state of emergency, someone called it a sovereignty crisis, and suspend elections on that basis. There's no authority whatsoever in the Constitution for that.

22:27So if he were to do that, he would effectively be repudiating the Constitution. And you think that the Supreme Court might not even step in if he decides to run for a third term? No, I think they would. I think this court is hoping against hope that he won't force their hand by doing something completely delegitimizing. But I don't believe that there are five justices who have so totally lost faith in the country that they would put up with that. I mean, it could be he's trolling the Democrats, he's entertaining his base, or he doesn't want to look like a lame duck. Yes, I think so. Presidents have often had a lot of trouble in their second terms in office.

23:14President Reagan was unstoppable in his first term and stumbled quite badly in his second. President Bush was very strong in his first and got the Great Recession and Hurricane Katrina in the second. And President Obama lost all kinds of steam by his second term. And I think President Trump doesn't want to follow that example. And was it President Reagan who suggested getting rid of the 22nd Amendment? He did. I'm not sure how seriously a number of presidents get fond of the job and start thinking that the 22nd Amendment is a bad idea. But I don't think anyone took him very seriously or moved very far with it, in part because President Reagan was already of quite advanced age.

24:02Of course, President Trump is much older. And Trump would be the oldest president in history by the time he leaves office. David, in the last nine months, Trump has already done so much to expand his presidential authority, and he's used the specter of national emergencies over and over again. For example, to impose tariffs, to send troops into Democratic-led cities, to crack down on illegal immigration, and on and on. He declared eight national emergencies in his first hundred days. Has any other president during peacetime exercised such power? No, there's nothing remotely close to this. Richard Nixon was accused with some justification of trying to build an imperial presidency, but I can't think of anything that Mr.

24:57Nixon tried to do that Mr. Trump hasn't done much more of, and I can think of many things that Mr. Trump has done that Mr. Nixon never dreamed of doing. President Lincoln used a great many powers during the Civil War, some of which may have exceeded is constitutional authority, but not on the level of what we're seeing here. Of the Supreme Court cases coming up that are going to test presidential authority, is the tariffs case the most significant or is there another one that's more significant? The tariffs case is extremely significant because the Supreme Court is filled with self-defined textualist, and it's almost impossible to find anything like the powers the president is claiming in the text of the statute he is citing.

25:51So the court is going to have to either abandon any pretense of textualism or limit the president's authority very dramatically there. The other case that I'm watching very closely is the case involving Dr. Cook and the Federal Reserve, because the Supreme Court basically told President Trump, you can fire anyone except a Federal Reserve governor. And he turned around and fired a Federal Reserve governor. If the Supreme Court is willing to let him do that, then they are effectively allowing themselves to be humiliated by the president. And we can't really expect much of them going forward. What do you think of Trump saying he's going to attend the Supreme Court oral arguments on the tariffs?

26:38I think oral arguments are fascinating and he's in for a good time. I think with most courts, when a party seeks to pressure them, the court feels considerable pressure to demonstrate its independence. If I were a lawyer at the White House or Justice Department, I would beg him not to do that. Well, we'll find out next Wednesday if Trump is in the audience for the oral arguments or not. It's always great to talk to you, David. Thanks so much. That's Professor David Super of Georgetown Law. Coming up next on the Bloomberg Law Show, the latest salvo in the national redistricting fight is coming from New York City.

Read the full transcript

27:19I'm June Grosso, and you're listening to Bloomberg. Support for the show comes from Public.com. If you're actively involved in your portfolio, you probably catch yourself repeating the same actions. Buying the dip, manually sweeping idle cash, putting on a hedge. On public, you can now create AI agents that handle all these tasks on your behalf. Just describe what you want to do in plain English. Like, if the VIX hits 25, buy a put option on the S &P 500. Or, if my cash balance goes above$20 ,000, move the excess into my direct index. You approve of the workflow and your agent handles the rest.

27:55Monitoring the market, watching for your conditions, and executing your strategies exactly as defined. An investing platform driven by your intent, not just your clicks. You can also get full read and write access to your account via the public API. Go to public.com slash market and fund your account in five minutes or less. That's public.com slash market. Paid for by Public Investing. Brokered services by Open to the Public Investing, Inc., member FINRA and SIPC. Advisory services by Public Advisors, LLC, SEC registered advisor. Complete disclosures available at public.com slash disclosures. So there's a lot of noise about AI, but time's too tight for more promises.

28:36So let's talk about results. At IBM, we work with our employees to integrate technology right into the systems they need. Now, a global workforce of 300 ,000 can use AI to fill their HR questions, resolving 94 % of common questions. Not noise, proof of how we can help companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business. IBM. When you own your own business, you own every decision. Now own the card that rewards you for it. The Chase Sapphire Reserve for Business card brings the best Sapphire Reserve benefits to business owners who expect hardworking rewards.

29:15Designed to meet the needs of business owners at scale, this pay-in-full card elevates your travel experience and offers premium benefits and value toward business services that will take your business to the next level. Fuel your business and maximize rewards with 8x points on all purchases through Chase Travel, 3x points on social media and search engine advertising, annual partnership credits, and more. Make every journey more rewarding with a$300 annual travel credit and access to a network of airport lounges, whether you're looking for pre-flight productivity or time to rest and recharge.

29:49Chase Sapphire Reserve for Business. It's the card that gives back all you put in. Learn more at chase.com forward slash reserve business. Chase for business. Make more of what's yours. Accounts subject to credit approval. Restrictions and limitations apply. Cards are issued by JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A., member FDIC. President Donald Trump's push for Republicans to redraw U.S. House districts ahead of next year's midterm elections has triggered unprecedented mid-decade gerrymandering, starting with the states of Texas, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio, where Republicans have already drawn nine new GOP-leaning House seats.

30:30But Democratic states led by California are fighting back, or trying to, as gerrymandering in many blue states is hampered by independent redistricting commissions or bans on mid-decade redistricting. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries was in Illinois this week to try to convince Democrats there to redraw the state's maps. Donald Trump and Republicans have decided that they were going to try to gerrymander congressional maps all across the country as part of their effort to rig the midterm elections and deny the American people the ability to decide who should hold the gavels in the aftermath of the elections that will take place in November of 2026.

31:16Democrats have made clear that we are going to respond. And the latest Democratic response comes from New York City in a lawsuit by a group of voters claiming that the congressional district held by the city's only Republican representative is impermissibly drawn to shut out Black and Latino voters. My guest is Jeffrey Weiss, a professor at New York Law School, who directs the school's New York Election, Census, and Redistricting Institute. Jeff, tell us about this lawsuit that's challenging New York's 11th congressional district. Well, we have a new lawsuit filed earlier this week by a group of New York voters who are arguing that the current congressional district that includes Staten Island and parts of Brooklyn dilutes minority voting strength, that the Black and Hispanic voters' power is diminished by the way the district is drawn now, and that they would have a much more effective voice in the ability to elect a preferred candidate if parts of Manhattan were appended to the district instead of Brooklyn.

32:28Is this an unusual lawsuit? It's unusual in the sense that it's being brought mid-decade. Obviously, it's got political connotations that it would change the dynamic of who's running for re-election in New York. That current Republican Congress member, Nicole Maliotakis, would find herself no longer in conservative white areas in Brooklyn, but rather parts of lower Manhattan. That it would be a district where the Democrats are expected to do a lot better. It's also a district where Dan Goldman, who is the incumbent now in a district that includes Manhattan and Brooklyn, would probably find himself in better territory and also probably stave off a primary challenge within the Democratic Party from several Brooklyn elected officials who have indicated their intent to run against him in a primary.

33:19Is this lawsuit different because it's based on the New York state constitution rather than the U.S. constitution? So we'll test how protective the state constitution is of minority voting rights. Well, this claim is based on the state constitutional protections that redistricting maps have to honor minority voting strength, that you cannot dilute minority voters from their ability to elect preferred candidates. And the state constitution uses very similar language to the Federal Voting Rights Act, which happens to be subject to a challenge now from the Louisiana congressional redistricting before the U.S.

34:02Supreme Court. The validity, the future of the Federal Voting Rights Act was heard in a case two weeks ago, and we expect any time from the end of this year, but more likely by the end of June, for the Supreme Court to hand down a decision where most of us think they're going to do something to change the dynamic of the Voting Rights Act, but not eliminate it entirely. But that's reading the tea leaves too much. Well, your prediction there fits in with the predictions of other election law experts. So let's say the Supreme Court does change the Voting Rights Act in some way. Will that affect the New York Constitution?

34:41Well, it could affect the state constitution to the extent of what the Supreme Court might limit. Right now, the gold standard in minority vote dilution is Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. And the Supreme Court adopted a test in the mid-1980s in a North Carolina case called Thornburg v. Jingles, where a challenging minority group has to demonstrate to a court that if it claims it should have an effective minority district, you've got to have 50 % or more of a district being comprised of minority voters. Second, you have to show that the minority voters vote cohesively, pretty much the same way for similar candidates.

35:25And third, most importantly, you've got to show that there is a high level of racially polarized voting where white voters constantly outvote minority voters' abilities to elect preferred candidates in primaries or general election. So if you meet those three prongs, size, cohesiveness, and polarized voting, then you have a Voting Rights Act violation situation. And the Supreme Court is now being asked whether that test is still a cogent one to use now in the 21st century. So in this case, Black and Latino voters constitute nearly a quarter of the voting population in that congressional district.

36:07Is that enough then? Well, what the plaintiffs are doing here, they're challenging the map based on the state constitution, but they're trying to incorporate the New York State Voting Rights Act, which was enacted by the legislature in 2022. The State Voting Rights Act does not apply to congressional districts, but it does lay out different kinds of criteria and standards that courts should look to when looking at vote dilution claims in counties, towns, cities, and villages. So they're saying that there is similar preamble language in both the state constitution and the state voting rights act that it makes a lot of sense to also incorporate the state statute standards into the state constitutional situation.

36:54And that will probably be one of the first arguments that I think intervening Republicans will make to dismiss this case is that the State Voting Rights Act doesn't apply. What the plaintiffs are doing here is using the State Voting Rights Act criteria that, unlike federal law, where you need to have a district of at least 50 % plus minority voter population, the Federal Voting Rights Act requires the 50 % pretty much of one racial group, either black or Hispanic or Asian, but the state law permits you to aggregate or put together smaller communities of what's the black and Hispanic populations that you can combine voters.

37:34And that, in essence, is what they're looking to do by adding a part of Manhattan to the Staten Island-based district. Would doing this create one of those odd-looking shaped districts on the map? The Hispanic population in lower Manhattan is not adjacent to South Ferry, right at the foot of Manhattan Island by the New York Harbor. It's considerably north there, so you'd have to take Staten Island, take the Staten Island Ferry over to Manhattan, and drive up a ways, basically up to the Brooklyn Bridge, where you have a Hispanic population in the Lower East Side, up to about 14th Street. And that raises the question of whether race is the predominant factor in creating this district, because that runs against what the Supreme Court has said about racial gerrymandering, which is subject to strict scrutiny and has to be narrowly tailored to remedy a specific problem.

38:32So the plaintiffs are going to have to demonstrate to the court why a district that constitutes Staten Island and parts of lower Manhattan makes sense. As if a lot of these new districts make sense. So Meliotakis said it's a frivolous lawsuit trying to upend our congressional district. And she noted that the current map was approved by New York's Democratic-controlled state legislature and Democratic governor. Does she have the advantage here? In other words, is this an uphill battle for the Democrats? Yeah, the clock is ticking. The state Supreme Court only has two months to render a decision, which would take us to mid to late December.

39:15Petitioning for the 2026 election cycle right now gets underway in late February. So that leaves very little time for New York's mid-level appeals court, the appellate division, and then finally the state court of appeals in Albany to hear this case. And you can pretty much be sure that whoever objects to this case, and I'm anticipating Republican interveners, will strenuously try to slow this case down and prevent it from impacting the 2026 elections. Jeff, there was litigation around the New York maps for years, and the Democrats control both houses and the governor's office. Now they're suing over their own maps.

39:54Tell us how we got here. Well, I think by 2024, you know, after a failed process in 2022, where a state commission that was approved by the voters in 2014 basically imploded and subject to a court order, went back to work and finished the job. And by January 2024, you know, the legislature wanted to end this process, have a new map for 2024, actually a bipartisan map with Republican support. So the map that was agreed to took some strenuous effort early last year. And the case that's been brought now, you can consider somewhat Democrats challenging Democrats. Is there any other effort underway in New York State to redistrict?

40:35Well, there is another approach. Earlier in the summer, the Senate Deputy Majority Leader and a member of the Assembly introduced a resolution in the legislature that would permit New York to redraw the district lines mid-decade. if and only after any other state does the same thing in mid-decade. So since Texas already went ahead and mid-decade redistricted, this amendment would let New York also redistrict mid-decade. The state constitution right now prohibits that. But the barrier to that is that since the state constitution now currently does bar mid-decade redistricting, you have to change the constitution.

41:16And to do that, you need to have an amendment go through two separately elected legislatures. So the plan now is to pass something, whether it's the amendment that was introduced earlier this summer or possibly a more expansive amendment, but to do that next year and then pass it again with the new legislature in 2027 so that the voters can then approve the question and then enable the legislature to redraw a new map for 2028. This is similar to the process that's getting underway this week in Virginia. The New York situation is complicated in that we've got politics, personalities, competing lawsuits, and the calendar all running against each other at the same time.

42:00With all these states redistricting, what are the maps going to look like after the midterms? All Republican House seats in one state, all Democratic House seats in another? That's why I think this will continue until 2028. Then we have 2030 ahead of us, where the White House is already trying to manipulate the way the census is conducted to base the numbers on citizens and not on the whole number of persons as the Constitution requires. So this is a multifaceted battle. Multifaceted and seemingly never-ending. Thanks for an interesting conversation, Jeff. That's Professor Jeffrey Weiss of New York Law School.

42:40And that's it for this edition of the Bloomberg Law Show. Remember, you can always get the latest legal news on our Bloomberg Law podcast. You can find them on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and at www.bloomberg.com slash podcast slash law. And remember to tune into the Bloomberg Law Show every weeknight at 10 p.m. Wall Street time. I'm June Grosso, and you're listening to Bloomberg.

43:08Healthcare doesn't always work great. If you've ever waited on a refill or couldn't schedule an appointment, you get it. That's the kind of stuff Optum is changing. They're using data and technology to integrate patient care, pharmacy, and everything else. So healthcare is connected, not complicated. What's that look like? Cheaper prescriptions that are easier to get and care that looks at the whole person. How you need it. Optum is helping make healthcare work as one for everyone. Learn more at business.optum.com. Get the news you need in just 15 minutes. Start your day with Bloomberg Daybreak, the podcast with a global view on the stories that matter.

43:46I'm Nathan Hager. And I'm Karen Moscow. Join us each morning for curated stories on current events, politics, business and foreign relations. Plus one conversation on the day's biggest developments, all in just 15 minutes. Subscribe to Bloomberg Daybreak for a precise, thoughtful take on the stories that matter. Listen to Bloomberg Daybreak each morning on Apple, Spotify or anywhere you listen. Thank you.

From the publisher

Former federal prosecutor Joshua Naftalis, a partner at Pallas Partners, discusses the NBA gambling scandal involving sports betting and fixed poker games.  Constitutional law expert David Super, a professor at Georgetown Law, discusses President Trump's hints at a third term. Jeffrey Wice, a professor at New York Law School and director of the New York Elections, Census & Redistricting Institute, discusses a lawsuit challenging New York City's only Republican house seat.   June Grasso hosts.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

More from Bloomberg Law

All 285 episodes
NBA Gambling Scandal, Third Term & House MapsBloomberg Law · 36 min
Listen in VO