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Bold Names Podcast: Episode Summary
Episode Title
Space Trucks: One Startup’s Plan to Get the U.S. Back on the Moon Description In this episode, hosts Tim Higgins and Christopher Mims engage with Justin Cyrus, founder and CEO of Lunar Outpost. The discussion revolves around the competitive landscape of space exploration, the potential economic benefits of lunar resources, and Lunar Outpost's role in NASA's Artemis missions as a contender to build a lunar terrain vehicle.
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Key Concepts and Discussions
The Lunar Economy
- Lunar Outpost's Vision: Justin Cyrus aims to establish Lunar Outpost as the primary "mobility provider" for the lunar economy, facilitating operations and resource extraction on the moon.
- Resources on the Moon: Cyrus points out the potential of the moon to provide critical minerals and isotopes (e.g., Helium-3 for clean fusion energy) that are not readily available on Earth.
- Strategic Importance: The moon is seen as a critical strategic asset in space, offering advantages for Earth observation and military positioning.
Competition in Space
- Space Rivals: The episode highlights the competitive race between the U.S. and other nations (especially China and Russia) to establish a permanent presence on the moon.
- Historical Context: The hosts reference the Apollo missions and emphasize that the U.S. must maintain its leadership in space to prevent rivals from gaining the upper hand.
NASA's Artemis Program
- Partnership with NASA: Lunar Outpost is one of three companies selected to develop lunar terrain vehicles for NASA's Artemis missions.
- Contract Details: The contract with NASA is discussed as a significant opportunity, with financial implications and a long-term vision for lunar infrastructure.
Technological Development
- Mission Challenges: Cyrus shares insights about Lunar Outpost’s first mission, which encountered difficulties during landing, yet still provided valuable test data for their rover’s systems.
- Robotic Systems: Emphasis on the importance of advanced robotics to facilitate moon missions and build necessary infrastructure.
Economic Viability
- Long-term Goals: Cyrus believes that as private companies continue investing in space, the lunar economy can become self-sustaining despite current reliance on government contracts.
- Comparative Costs: The episode discusses the cost-effectiveness of commercial missions compared to traditional NASA missions, arguing that failures are expected and manageable in the commercial space era.
Future of Space Exploration
- Manned Missions to Mars: Cyrus expresses optimism about the feasibility of manned missions to Mars within our lifetimes, citing rapid advancements in technology and growing investment in space.
- Cultural and Technological Shifts: Comparisons are made between the current space era and the internet boom, where innovative companies are emerging around established infrastructures.
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Key Takeaways
- Lunar Outpost's Role: Positioning itself as a leader in lunar mobility and resource extraction.
- Strategic Competition: Reinforcement of the U.S. need to be present in cislunar space for national security and economic viability.
- Commercial Space Era: Transitioning from government-led missions to private-sector innovation, with the potential for frequent failures to drive learning and growth.
- Long-Term Vision: Emphasizing the importance of establishing a sustainable lunar economy that could eventually lead to Mars exploration.
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Conclusion In this episode of Bold Names, the discussion highlights the exciting yet complex dynamics of the emerging lunar economy, the competitive landscape of space exploration, and the vital role of innovation in driving future missions. Justin Cyrus's ambitions for Lunar Outpost reflect a broader shift towards commercial space initiatives, underscoring the importance of collaboration and competition in the new space race.
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Additional Resources
- Check out past episodes of Bold Names for insights into other influential companies and their industry challenges.
- For further reading, explore columns by Christopher Mims and Tim Higgins on WSJ.com.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:04Big American trucks. On the moon, digging stuff up, hauling it to rockets, and sending it back to Earth, all in the dream of making the average Earth person affluent in a way few can imagine today, thanks to an endless supply of critical minerals and also the key ingredient for limitless energy from fusion. This week, we're talking about something that doesn't exist yet, but that our guest insists will exist someday, the lunar economy. Justin Cyrus is the founder and CEO of Lunar Outpost, a company that makes space trucks. It's one of three companies that have been selected by NASA to build a lunar terrain vehicle, or LTV, for its Artemis missions.
0:49Ultimately, NASA expects that it will select one company for the demonstration. Cyrus says he wants his company to be the mobility provider for the lunar economy. In other words, he wants to build big American trucks for the moon. Let's roll the tape. Can you name the truck with four wheel drive? Smells like a steak and seats 35. Can you narrow? Can you narrow? Oops, wrong clip. The value that the moon can bring as the naturally largest orbiting satellite of earth to the Earth economy right now is pretty massive, even if you start discounting the resources and the future of the resources in space.
1:38So right now, America's going back to the moon. The next time someone asks why the USA went to the moon just long enough to plant a flag and leave some footprints, you tell them America is going back. This time for good. The moon is Earth's naturally largest orbiting satellite. If you think of it just as a giant satellite in the sky, think about the Earth observation equipment you can put on there. Think about the weaponry that hopefully never gets put on the lunar surface, but it is the ultimate high ground in near Earth space. There is no better strategic or military positioning. From the Wall Street Journal, I'm Tim Higgins.
2:18And I'm Christopher Mims. This is Bold Names, where you'll hear from the leaders of the bold name companies featured in the pages of the Wall Street Journal. Today we ask, why are the U.S. and our biggest rivals all in a race to build permanent bases on the moon, and how will we do it?
2:41Welcome, Justin. Looking forward to talking about your moon truck and your moon robots and your first mission to the moon earlier this year. But let's first zoom out or maybe zoom in to Earth to paraphrase JFK in 1962. Why the moon? Again, I say that because the U.S., of course, was the first to set foot on the moon in 1969 with the Apollo mission and hasn't set foot again since 1972. I think a lot of people, it's sort of been there, done that, really just a big gray rock, a harsh place with not a lot to offer. So what is there to gain going back? Yeah, thanks for having me, Tim. I'm really excited to be here.
3:23There's a lot. There's a lot going on on the lunar surface. There's a lot going on in space that's going to contribute to what we are doing here on Earth and how we operate as humanity. So, of course, the science, the exploration, that kind of innate quality of being a human being, we want to push the boundaries to go where we've never been before. And that's all part of it again. You know, that hasn't gone away. But in terms of what we can do economically, that is a very important question that I don't think the broader public is aware of quite yet. When you start looking at the lunar surface, you have many of those resources readily available and accessible that have been deposited by asteroids over the course of billions of years.
4:09You have your platinum group metals. You have many other resources that have been implanted on different locations in the moon because of that asteroid bombardment. In addition, you have solar wind implanted volatiles. So you have these really rare isotopes that we don't get here on Earth because we have a magnetosphere and we are protected by our atmosphere. So you have these, think solar winds like volatiles, hydrogen, your heliums. And let me stop you there. I'm obviously a huge fan of going to the moon for helium three. I mean, cause we can use that for clean fusion. And Mims is always talking about helium three here behind the scenes of bold names.
4:49So we'll get to that. Yeah, we can use it for cooling quantum computers. I'm serious. The The future is helium-3 from the moon. But I got to ask you, setting these resources aside, because it is going to take a long time to build up to the point where we can economically extract those from the moon, as opposed to the deep ocean where we can get rare earth elements or existing gas wells where we can extract helium-3. In the near term, it is government contracts, right? And NASA has this Artemis program. to go back to the moon. Could you talk about that? What are the near-term government efforts that are going to bridge the construction of building this lunar economy, getting us from where we are zero to the point where it's like, this is self-sustaining economically?
5:42Yeah, and fair enough, Mims. It is going to take a little bit of time to set up the infrastructure to access these resources at scale. One thing I like to point out is it's actually easier to go to the moon than it is to mine the deep ocean. If you start thinking about the bureaucratic and environmental challenges that basically drag mining the deep ocean is going to present and the damage that can be done with that type of resource extraction, it's a lot easier to go to a lifeless body such as the moon or asteroids and actually extract resources from there. But to your point, we don't have the infrastructure right now to actually go and extract the resources from the lunar surface.
6:22So it is a lot of government contracts and it is complementary customers that are either doing technological demonstrations, science and exploration missions, or using it as branding and marketing campaigns. So to talk a little bit about our first missions, and then I'll get into what we're doing with the Artemis campaign and what we're doing with NASA more broadly. Our first mission just went to the moon a couple months ago. So we actually landed at the Winter South Pole. Now, it wasn't a perfect landing from our landing provider. It was an off-nominal landing. That was the Intuitive Machines landing?
6:56The Intuitive Machines landing, exactly. And for those who don't know, it landed, it had all these great payloads on board, including yours, and it tipped over. And this was, I think, the second time it happened. They have a real tip-over problem, and there's nobody there to just, like, push it back. Exactly. Like, if something happens, you are on your own. You have to figure out how to operate in that extreme environment all by yourself. I am confident they'll nail the next one, learn from the first two missions. But with that being said, we were trapped under the lander, so we couldn't deploy our rover.
7:31But as a part of that mission to talk on the commercialization, because this was a fully commercial rover, we had payloads from MIT. We had a resource camera that was actually going to help us map the lunar south pole. We had a tiny little astrayant, so like a 20 gram robot that was going to R2D2 its way around our rover and basically give us feedback and analytics on how our rover was performing. We had brand partners back here on Earth. Were there any brand stickers on your rover? No brand stickers on our rover, but we did have a lot of payloads on board. So one of my favorites, Mims, is we have our own Lego set.
8:10So we are the first space company in history to have a Lego set. The inner five-year-old of me is extraordinarily ecstatic about this. But that Lego set, it's a Lego Technic set, has a miniature of a rover that actually flew to the lunar surface. So, of course, that is commercialization at a smaller scale. But in terms of the awareness and getting people familiar with what's going on as part of the Artemis programs, that is massively invaluable. Yes. But to get to the bigger picture, though, ultimately, we're building a base on the moon. Like we're going back to the moon, human habitation, permanent human habitation, not just, you know, what do they call it?
8:50Boots and flags or whatever. You show up and you go. Flags and footprints. Exactly. Flags and footprints. So we are going to have a base on the moon. This is NASA's stated goal. And if we don't do it, then the like upside down version of the Artemis coalition, which is like Russia, China, Venezuela, and a bunch of other fun loving countries. They're going to do it too because they've said they're on their way to doing it as well. And that's it, Mims. And the reason that's important is think about it this way, if nothing else, even if you don't believe anything with the resources on the moon, even if you don't think that's going to happen for two or three decades, the moon is Earth's naturally largest orbiting satellite.
9:30If you think of it just as a giant satellite in the sky, think about the Earth observation equipment you can put on there. Think about the weaponry that hopefully never gets put on the lunar surface, but it is the ultimate high ground in near Earth space. There is no better strategic or military positioning if you look at it in the worst case scenario. So that's what we don't want to happen. Now, if you look at it from the other side, the value that the moon can bring as the naturally largest orbiting satellite of Earth to the Earth economy right now is pretty massive, even if you start discounting the resources and the future of the resources in space.
10:09So right now, America is going back to the moon. There is nation state competition, and it is critical for our national defense for us to have a continuous presence in cislunar space and to keep pushing. It's important for us for that long term goal of resources to get our footprint there now. We reached out to Intuitive Machines and NASA. They did not respond to a request for comment. Coming up after the break, the mantra, failure is not an option, doesn't apply to the age of private space missions. That's because every mission is so much cheaper than a typical NASA one that companies can afford to fail.
10:50Though that doesn't mean it's not tough to accept. You know, if you guys see the live stream, it's just kind of like a shock moment when I think the Intuitive Machines folks saw the lander go on its side. You know, for us, it was a bit of a heart drop because you spend a couple of years on this first mission. And it was a bit heartbreaking. But at the same time, it was exciting because we made a rover that got all the way to the moon. Stay with us.
11:32Okay, so we know that the universal picture here. Let's talk about where your company fits into this economy. Who are you guys? And what sort of opportunities are you seeing right now? Yeah, our company, Lunar Outpost, we are the leader in mobility and robotics for extreme environments. So we focus in space. We have seven missions going to space, five of them lunar surface, two of them in cislunar space, a mix of customers from NASA, the Department of Defense, European Space Agency, Australian Space Agency, Luxembourg Space Agency, and many others. Now, where we're at at the moment, we're about 150 people.
12:13Our headquarters is in Golden, Colorado, right outside Denver. Close to Coors, I hope. Close to Coors, yep, exactly. You're fueled by Coors beer, I hope. You don't need rocket fuel. We do not work with them yet. So I won't say the tagline of fuel by Coorsair, but we'd love to work with them. I'm pretty sure NASA would say no drinking and driving on the moon, though. But how do you get to the moon? I mean, you're not working on rockets. I mean, who's getting up there? So I think a big shift in the space industry is you don't have to work on rockets anymore to be relevant. It's very similar to the Internet in the 90s.
12:49when you had the network and the infrastructure in place, thousands of companies sprung up around that baseline transportation, our baseline communication infrastructure. The fiber optic companies, the Cisco's of the world. Exactly. Exactly. And now we have those, right? And that's SpaceX and Blue Origin and the rest? 100%. And there's a dozen launch companies that are pretty good, right? SpaceX obviously is dominant. Blue Origin's coming up. They're figuring things out. You have Firefly that's launching and then you have Rocket Lab. So you have a lot of good companies out there that are working on that infrastructure layer.
13:26So now us as a company, we have to ask what's next? How do we make this a viable, long term growing, sustainable, sustainable economy? And that's where our company comes into play. For anything you want to do in space, you have to have robotic systems. For anything you want to do in space, you have to have advanced spacecraft. Realistically, putting humans up in space is a very expensive and arduous process right now. We're hoping to make that easier over time. But that means all of the power, all of the communications, the launch and landing pads, the habitats, all of that is going to be built and maintained by robotic systems.
14:05And that's what we do at Lunar Outpost. So that's what we're doing now. And when you look at our first seven missions that are going, including the one a couple months ago, these are scouting missions. These are exploration missions. And then they start transforming into infrastructure missions. So we are setting up on our first mission. We actually flew Nokia, the 4G LTE, their 3GPP technology. Yeah, they were going to make the first cell phone call on the moon. But once again, this rover tipped over and they couldn't do it. The lander tipped over. That's right. Not the rover. Your rover was fine.
14:40It was trapped inside, though. Maybe paint us a picture a little bit. so the lander gets there and it kind of falls over so what yeah so our rover is like in a garage um so it's a thermal garage keeps us nice and toasty along the way and it is kind of ready to be deployed so we did full check out since this lunar space uh and two of the machines did a great job of getting our uh packets back if you will we got to test our advanced compute our radiation hardening a lot of our important subsystems and so we knew everything's ready to go and so we're like stuck in that garage essentially right yeah so when we were cycling uh around lunar orbit uh we're getting excited you know everyone's everyone's getting ready to go um we see the thermal cycles as we get closer and closer to the moon uh and then you know if you guys see the live stream uh it's just kind of like a shock moment when i think the intuitive machines folks saw the lander go on its side you know for us it was it was a bit of a heart drop because you spend a couple years on this first mission and it's it was it was a bit heartbreaking but at the same time it was it was exciting because we made a rover that got all the way to the moon survived an off nominal landing and got to test all these critical components so we got stuck um in our garage the lander because it's landed on its side is actually on top of our garage so we were like a little kickstand more or less for the lander that allowed them to communicate back to earth still.
16:10So we served our purpose. We helped them get packets back to Earth. But unfortunately, because the lander was on top of us, our garage couldn't deploy and we couldn't actually get out of the garage. Now, I got to ask about this failure in the context of NASA's new strategy, because your background, for those who don't know, you were at Lockheed Martin, right? You have family members working on this company with you. Your dad was a vice president at Lockheed Martin, you've talked about growing up close to a space center when you were a kid. And NASA has shifted in a way that makes your company possible, right?
16:49They're contracting private companies. Of course, the challenge then is that unlike when it's all under one big roof, everybody gets to move fast, but maybe those learnings don't get carried over mission to mission. It does feel like on this particular, out of the last, I think, four landings from the U.S. on the moon, three of them failed. One was a huge success. It does feel like, well, what do you expect? Like, this is a bunch of startups. No shade on you again. But, I mean, would this have been better if NASA had been responsible for this and a bunch of engineers who knew what they were doing, who'd been on five previous missions, could land this thing?
17:26You know, I'll push back a little bit and say you can land 10 Clips landers for the price of one NASA lander. So even if you get one of them down, which if you saw Fireflies landing a month or two ago, Austin, Texas company, beautiful, absolutely beautiful. We got great images. We got great video down. That one landing would have cost at least 10 times the amount if NASA had run this by themselves instead of partnering commercial industry. So just in terms of the investment, like the capital deployed versus scientific return, the CLPS program has already given a return on investment higher than historically run NASA mission.
18:05Now, if you look at the future and if you look at the groundwork that's being laid now by startups and commercial companies like ours, it's going to have a few failures and that's inevitable. But at the same time, if you are able to continue making progress, if you learn from your mistakes, if you iterate on it and keep the capital flowing, right, if you have real revenue as a space company moving forward and keep that growth profile, we have seen a lot of companies be extremely successful. So, of course, you have the new age of companies. I think Voyager just went public via SPAC a couple of weeks ago that are doing well on the open markets.
18:48But then hearkening back to the most successful yet, which is still in the private markets, SpaceX, those types of failures are OK as long as you learn from them. Now, you can't repeat the same mistake two, three, four times and expect NASA to keep funding you or the DoD to keep funding you. There's a lot of competition out there. There's a very high bar and expectations because of all the amazing things we've accomplished in space so far. So there is pressure on these commercial companies to succeed, not only from a market standpoint, if you're trading publicly, from an investor standpoint, if you're trading privately, but also from our largest customers.
19:29One of the big contracts you're working on is for NASA. It's a space truck. And I'd love to hear more about that. Because when I think of a lunar rover, I think of one from the 1970s, like a low profile golf cart with really big wheels. What does yours look like and what's it going to be doing on the moon? And how much was the Cybertruck an inspiration? I like the Cybertruck. I know it's very polarizing. Some people hate it. Some people like it. The profile reminds me of the F-117A from Lockheed back in the day when like the computers just couldn't make the well modeled cell technology. So they did these big flat angles.
20:10So that probably biased me a little bit. But the LTV, the lunar terrain vehicle, this is a pretty critical program from NASA. Our Eagle lunar terrain vehicle is going to serve as the backbone. The Eagle. The Eagle. Yeah, we had to. It's better than the pony or the Mustang, maybe, the Eagle. It's pretty American. And I got a golden Eagle here on my vest. I don't know. That call out from Apollo, the Eagle has landed, still is the golden age of American spaceflight so far. That's the inspiration. So for a deer head, just lay it on us. What are the specs on this thing? Zero to 60, how much can it tow?
20:52How many cup holders? How many cup holders? No cup holders, but this is a heavy duty truck. This can tow thousands of kilograms. This can carry two fully pressurized suited astronauts, over 800 kilograms of payload in the bed. It can tow thousands of kilograms. Now it has a fully autonomous and robotic arm on the back. So when astronauts aren't there, it can be used to build and maintain the infrastructure space. So as I was talking about a little bit earlier, the power communications, the habitats, all of that is going to be set up robotically and autonomously with this heavy duty space truck.
21:31So EGLE is not only meant as the new age of transportation for astronauts. It's not only meant to enhance the science and exploration we're getting from the Artemis campaign. This is the vehicle that makes a sustainable presence in space possible. so these the eagle ltv is going to set up the first outpost on the moon and the eagle ltv a variation of it is eventually going to help set up cities on mars how long is this thing going to last because because that's a big issue with equipment 10 years 10 years which is hard whenever i hear how harsh the environment on the moon is i think to myself this is hell no one should ever go there no one should ever try to build there you're better off trying to build at the bottom of the marianna's trench because you have you have a dust that sticks to everything that is ultra sharp that will shred anything that will destroy any gearbox and it's ubiquitous and you can't escape it or brush it off and oh by the way the temperature range is like what minus 200 c to plus 200 c day to night something like that you're partnered with gm right why don't you take a hummer up there Yeah.
22:39We're partnered with General Motors, Goodyear, Leidos and NBA space. General Motors and Goodyear actually helped with that original Apollo moon buggy. Not many people know that, but they have spaceflight heritage with that Apollo LRV. But as you were saying, this is a brutal environment. It's an absolutely brutal environment for humans or robotic systems. This contract wouldn't have been possible a decade ago, just in terms of the advancements we've made in robotics, artificial intelligence, material science. So there are very high standards from NASA on this. They call it like a class A mission.
23:13If astronauts are going to drive around this in this vehicle, it has to be absolutely bulletproof. So the validation and verification campaign, the testing that we're doing is extraordinarily extensive. Okay, you've also mentioned using GM battery technology. So this thing's going to be like on the same Ultium platform that's in the electric Hummer? We leverage a lot of the heritage from the Ultium platform. We do have different cells. And so I'll leave it to GM how they want to talk about the cell technology. But a lot of that learning and the research and development that has gone into that, a lot of the control electronics, all of that is being reutilized and then qualified for space.
23:54And going back the other way, the lessons learned that we're going in this like extreme testing campaign, as you said, negative 200 degrees Celsius to plus 200 degrees Celsius. That is being brought back to the General Motors vehicles we have here on Earth. So it's a pretty cool mutual benefit because it is such an extreme environment, because it necessitates technological advancement. Those learnings are being brought back to Earth. For now, companies like Lunar Outpost rely on government agencies to fund what they're doing, which seems precarious. But what larger things are at stake in the new space race?
24:36Nation-state competition is critical for space. It always has been, and for good reason. You know, when we start looking at the moon, when we start looking at the asteroid belt, there are those near-infinite amount of resources available in space, which if we can access that, that is a fundamental step change for humanity. Whoever controls those resources will control the future of where we go as a species. More on that when we come back.
25:18I listen to you say all that stuff, and it makes me think, gosh, this is going to be expensive, right? How much money? What's the sticker price on one of these eagles? Or maybe another way of asking is how much money do you need to make this happen? I mean, not just become profitable, but to fund what your ambitions are. If you're looking at the Lunar Terrain Vehicle Services Program, it's an IDIQ contract with NASA. All three vendors are publicly posted pricing. So you have one vendor and at 1.69 total, like this is an absolute maximum the contract can hit. we're at 1.72 and other vendors at 1.9.
25:581.72 billion dollars. 1.72 billion dollars. Yeah, exactly. Right. And so it's just a spread in terms of who NASA is going to down select on. NASA is only going to pick one of these vendors to provide services long term. Now, just to be clear, that's not the price for one truck. So that's the price for us to provide services for a decade on the lunar surface. It could be multiple vehicles, and it could be many different mission profiles. Realistically, the pricing is going to be lower than that. But just because we are in a competitive phase, I'm not going to say exactly how much lower than that quite yet.
26:41Well, I ask because, you know, obviously a lot of nostalgia is seeped into the DNA of this new space race. The Artemis program, the sister of Apollo, So in mythology, Artemis hasn't gotten the greatest start, right? It's super behind schedule, right? And now there's concerns about NASA's budget being dramatically cut by the Trump administration. Where does that put things in this race to the moon? What's pretty cool about where we're at, and just to look at, I would say the opportunity. we as a space industry for the first time have reached a critical mass that we're moving forward regardless of where the government funding is.
27:30Now, that being said, the cislunar market and the cislunar economy absolutely needs government funding to help us get to that tipping point. But the broader space industry is making rapid progress. That being said, we are huge proponents of what NASA is doing, not only in the human spaceflight and exploration portion of this, but also the science and exploration piece. So we are looking forward to seeing how the budgets shake out. Obviously, that influences our strategy. But I will say there's a lot of great people in the NASA community, and there's a lot of strong support amongst the public for NASA.
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28:10We are sending our lunar terrain vehicle Eagle to the moon regardless in 2029. So we are going to be on the moon. If astronauts are there at the same time right away in 2029, perfect. You know, we'll start providing those services to NASA. If astronauts are there a year later or two years later, that's OK as well. We'll start providing the robotic services to build out the infrastructure to get the surface of the moon ready for astronauts when they arrive. So that those habitats and the launch and landing pads and the power and comms I was talking about earlier. I mean, it seems like the friction of the Cold War really helped funding and interest in going to the moon the first time.
28:53we are kind of at a point where maybe we're, you know, it's not quite a cold war yet, but we are definitely some cold tensions between some major companies, major world powers out there. And I'm curious, what do you see in the current geopolitical situation that gives perhaps hope of renewed interest or a potential to kind of return to that space race? I think China, I think Russia. What's your read on this? nation-state competition is critical for space it always has been um and for good reason i you know when we start looking at the moon when we start looking at the asteroid belt there are those near infinite amount of resources available in space which if we can access that that is a fundamental step change for humanity whoever controls those resources will control the future of where we go as a species.
29:46Now it is going to take some time to get there. So hearkening back to the national security and defense side of things, the moon is a giant satellite in earth orbit. Whoever controls that has the biggest satellite in earth orbit. So think of it as a spacecraft. Nation-state competition is certainly the downside of, or it can be seen as a downside in terms of how we utilize space, but it is critically important to drive funding into the space and aerospace economy. If you look at it from the opposite way, the flip side of the coin, space is also the ultimate soft power play. If you look at the Artemis Accords, the nation-state cooperation that's happening, I think we're above 50 countries that are working with the United States of America.
30:37This is the international kind of, essentially like a treaties among countries such as the U.S. and other allies out there. Yeah, exactly. It's 50 countries allied together for common purpose to go to space and make it sustainable. Like just doing that together bolsters our cooperation internationally to the point where now it starts trickling into other parts of society and other parts of the ecosystem. system. So you start getting that technological cooperation, you start getting that political cooperation, you start getting that economic cooperation in space, it has multiplied benefits across each of these countries that are a part of the Artemis Accord.
31:22So as I said, over 50 countries allied with the United States to do this, which is massive. Of course, you do have Russia and China on the other side. And realistically, it is serious competition. China has made a massive amount of progress in a very short period of time. They're going to continue their campaign and they're pressing hard to get astronauts on the moon by 2030. So we are competing with China, we're competing with Russia, and there's a lot at stake, whether it's resources or whether it's national security. A big player in getting your moon truck to the moon is SpaceX's giant spaceship, Starship.
32:03That's currently under development. We've seen several versions of the ship explode in recent months, and it's still very much a work in progress. Can you continue to rely on Musk's company to get the Eagle to the moon, or is there a backup? Are you basically on hold as they figure it out? Yeah. I mean, as any good company does, we have alternate paths. So we're getting to the moon no matter what in 2029. I love Starship, the vision behind it. I think it's a really exciting launch platform that's an order of magnitude more in capabilities than we currently have. Uh, what I love about the space industry though, is like, we're no longer, um, just one path, right?
32:44There's many paths and sometimes they're competing. Sometimes they're working together, but it's providing all of these variations, uh, to a point where there isn't that, uh, Hey, one thing fails. And then we're all, we're all kind of screwed. If one thing fails, SpaceX is dominant. There's no doubt about it, right? Like with their Falcon platform, they are dominant. But you do also have Blue Origin and Blue Origin. They're working in the background. You know, I think they're getting things in place to be a serious competitor long term. And then, as I said, you do have Rocket Lab and you do have these other medium launch and landing type capabilities that are out there that are viable alternatives.
33:25not quite to the scale of starship or what blue origins doing with blue moon or their hls platform but there are other options i find blue origin fascinating because it feels like a a classic jeff bezos play where uh you know it's the turtle and the hare but you know never bet against in this case you know the turtle the the slow build being really careful about uh you know each stage of getting to what comes next. You were at Remars. I'm just curious, you know, that's an Amazon Jeff event. Have the two of you met, have you gotten a chance to talk about this? What does he think about your vision?
34:10I have met Jeff. I have no idea if he remembers me or not. I'm sure he meets many people. How could he not? He was a very, very cool guy. And, you know, obviously, like talks like an expert about it talks as an expert about what I was just talking to him about in a general sense. So you can never underestimate Jeff. You can never underestimate Elon. I think the space industry is very lucky to have two people that are extraordinarily competitive, that want to succeed, that are competing against each other. I think there's nation state competition, but we also have two of the greatest entrepreneurs over time that are now competing against each other in space.
34:55So what Jeff is doing with Blue, what Elon's doing with SpaceX, it is going to be an exciting next decade in space to watch these two compete. And I think at the end of the day, us as humanity, we're going to win. And it's interesting because they have two very different visions, right? Musk very much wants to go to Mars. He thinks the moon has been done, essentially. I mean, he's talked about the moon, but Mars is his priority. Bezos is about the moon. Do you think we'll actually see manned missions to Mars in our lifetime? I do. When we start looking at the pace, and this is just a kind of base analysis from my side, when we start looking at the pace of how quickly not only we're moving at lunar outposts, but other companies are moving, SpaceX, Blue Origin, Stokespace, many others, how quickly other nations are now moving, China and Russia in particular.
35:51We are seeing a completely different ecosystem than we saw for the last 50 years. Like we had Apollo. Then we had, you know, the Mars Perseverance rover and, you know, a few of the other Mars rovers. And we had the International Space Station. And those were all great accomplishments. But the pace actually slowed down pretty drastically in the space industry, like the pace at which we're involving the pace at which we're evolving was it was slower. We have increased that pace and increase that pace to now an exponential curve over the course of the last decade. So if we can continue that pace, if we can continue to attract investment as we have and produce results like so at Lunar Outpost, we've I think our average revenue growth over the last seven to eight years is like 2.4x each and every year.
36:43And so if we can keep showing that value to our customers, to NASA, to the Department of Defense, to the Australian Space Agency, ESA, if we can keep growing the commercial side of the lunar economy and adding value back here to Earth, I do think there is going to be the funding. I think there's going to be the vision. And I think there's going to be the technology that allows us to get to Mars within our lifetimes. Okay, I just got to ask you one really quick follow-up, though. You're bringing trucks to the moon. Do we really need car culture on the moon? Why couldn't we have a walkable moon or moon bicycles?
37:22Moon bikes. Oh, man. Moon scooters. What happened to moon urbanism, Justin? Yeah, geez. Taking big car to the moon. It is a massive truck. It is 100 % a massive truck. Are we going to have cars and coffee in the south pole of the moon? you know what i've been trying to convince nasa to let me like have a radio that you can control with your hands that pipes and music directly to the astronaut's helmet but um i haven't convinced them yet so i i want to have a radio i i'd love it if i could hook up to their life support system they can get some coffee but i don't think nasa is going to let me do that anytime soon like you guys got to come out and drive a space truck if you're ever out in colorado please let me know because it is fun.
38:05Like it's a mix between a dune buggy and a heavy duty truck. So it is actually an absolute blast to drive. It's enjoyable, really smooth suspension. Um, but it's also just kind of a new and novel way, uh, to traverse on the moon. So very much a truck, but it has like zero point turns. Uh, you can go over these massive, like rocks, rocks and obstacles. You can go in and out of like these pretty steep craters. So very much a truck, but mixed with a dune buggy. That's appealing, but I don't think Tim even has a driver's license. Well, not for the moon. Oh, no, I have a driver's license. And I think we've got to leave it at that.
38:42Justin, thank you. I can't wait to drive this vehicle on the moon and talk to you some more. Yeah, absolutely. Tim, Mims, thanks for having me. We reached out to the Chinese embassy in Washington, D.C. A spokesperson said the Chinese government has always adhered to the idea of using and exploring outer space, for peaceful purposes. We reached out to the Russian embassy in Washington, D.C. They did not respond to a request for comment. We reached out to Blue Origin, which declined to comment. We also reached out to SpaceX, which did not respond to a request for comment. Stick around. Tim and I unpack what we just heard from Justin Cyrus and talk about whether we're really in a new space race.
39:26So Justin Cyrus compares the space industry to something like the internet in the 1990s. What do you think he's getting at there? Well, for one, you've got the government funding propping up the whole thing, because, of course, that was key to building out the original backbones of the internet. Right, the Al Gore money. That's right, the Al Gore money. Get all that fiber in the ground. But, of course, what we're doing instead is building this physical infrastructure on the moon and in, as they like to say, cislunar space. So not a week goes by that I don't get a pitch about somebody trying to basically set up literally the internet, but in space, 4G on the moon.
40:06But of course, what Justin Cyrus and the other folks who are competing for this NASA gig for a truck want to build is a physical infrastructure. Well, one thing I want to disagree with is I don't think we're quite to the 1990s yet because we're not yet on the moon, right? But what gives all of these folks so much hope is that they can get there in a more affordable way, right? They look at what SpaceX is doing, and they're betting huge on the idea that Elon Musk's giant spaceship, starship, is going to work and is going to make taking giant pieces of machinery parts of life that are going to be needed on the moon to the moon in a rather affordable way.
40:49So I think that is one of the big differences on this kind of bigger dream of the lunar economy that people have dreamed of going and living on the moon and outer space for a long time, but it's been super, super expensive. And kind of the vision that Musk and Jeff Bezos with Blue Origin are kind of putting forward is making accessing outer space more common, more affordable. Yeah, what do you make of this idea that sooner rather than later, there will be a lunar economy that is self-sustaining or at least a break even? Because this is all government contracts, right? now. So Justin's company and the others are all competing for this NASA contract for a moon truck, right?
41:31The moon truck doesn't happen without taxpayer money. What do you make of this claim that this is going to actually be commercialized? Yeah, it almost feels like a chicken or egg sort of situation. Is there an economy on the moon? Well, not currently, right? You hear the dream, right? That essentially there's going to be all this mining potential in helium-3, which I know is a big topic of fascination for you. Yeah. And don't forget those critical minerals. It's right there in the name. They're critical. I thought it was funny when I said to Justin, you know, aren't we going to go to the bottom of the ocean, dig these up first?
42:12Because of course, deep sea mining is getting big and it's a lot easier to go to the bottom of the ocean, it turns out, then we go to the moon. And he said, well, we wouldn't want the environmental destruction. But now I'm picturing, you know, we all look up at the moon, its iconic face, the man in the moon. I mean, are we going to have giant open pit mines on the moon? What's it going to take? There's going to be I guess there won't be a brown cloud of pollution up there, but we're ready to start tearing it up, right? You know, this is like the plotline of Expanse, right? Or some of these science fiction movies where kind of industry takes us into the outer reaches for all these kind of messy materials and and we send people off to get it in my own research for this interview the experts that I found the most credible said we actually don't know what the killer app for the space economy or the lunar economy is yet and hopefully we will discover it so I guess somewhere out in space there's a mystery substance or some chain of events that helps us leverage travel within our solar system in a way that we find economically advantageous.
43:17But I really don't think that we are there yet. That said, I do admire the folks who are trying to get us there because as much as they are private companies, they're really taking on the role of creating an infrastructure that allows for the same kind of scientific work and scientific exploration that NASA has done forever. But now, of course, it's being privatized. I guess that's my last question for you, Tim. What do you make of the way that NASA has moved toward private contractors for what used to be core functions of what the agency did? Well, that's kind of the vision that Musk has laid out, right, that NASA was too bloated, too expensive, that he wanted to show and get excitement for going to space with SpaceX.
44:06So that was kind of the idea, get people excited about going. So in a lot of ways, SpaceX has been hugely successful, right? There are a whole bunch of copycats wanting to do the same thing. Justin mentioned that the moon is, you know, in terms of nearby space anyway, it's the ultimate high ground, which, of course, is an old term when you think about taking the high ground with your archers or your artillery. Do you think that the moon is going to get militarized? Is that inevitable? Well, we've already seen space in some ways become that way, right? A natural place for a Cold War. In some ways, it's probably good for those who are pro-space in the U.S.
44:48because it creates a tension point and a need for the U.S. to compete against somebody else. That's what helped the Apollo missions back in the day, trying to beat the Russians. So in some ways, having an adversary like that is good. I don't think some would see it as a good thing to be wanting to find a new place to fight. Let's take peace to the moon. It's really too bad. I want to paint an alternate picture here. It is possible to imagine a future in which space is once again a place where combatants on either side of a Cold War can collaborate, right? We saw that at the end of the last Cold War with the U.S.
45:27and Russia collaborating on the International Space Station, with Russia being the sole way to bring American astronauts to space for a long time. So imagine a world in which Sam Altman's Helion or one of these other fusion companies actually makes it work. They need a ready supply of Helium-3. The best place to get it turns out to be the moon. the US and China collaborate on an international mission to establish a moon base so they can send regular packages of helium-3 back to the earth and we get that unlimited fusion energy we were promised we use it to solve for and adapt to climate change there could be a bright future here it doesn't have to just be you know moon tanks shooting at each other while we fight over the high ground and the dwindling supply of critical minerals that are available on the moon or how about this we just send all the politicians to the moon so they can rule us from afar in luxury and that's bold names we're wrapping up this season but we'll be back with new episodes on fridays starting september 12th we'll also be posting videos of our episodes on youtube starting then, so make sure you subscribe to WSJ Podcasts and follow bold names.
46:47Our producer is Ariana Asperu. We had additional help this week from Danny Lewis and Kasha Broussalyan. Our fact checker is Aparna Nazan. Michael LaValle and Jessica Fenton are our sound designers. Jessica also wrote our theme music. Our supervising producer is Catherine Millsap. Our development producer is Aisha Al-Muslim. Scott Salloway and Chris Inslee are the deputy editors, and Falana Patterson is the Wall Street Journal's head of news audio. For even more, check out our columns on wsj.com. We've linked them in the show notes. I'm Tim Higgins. And I'm Christopher Mims. Thanks for listening.
From the publisher
Longtime space rivals Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos are vying to reach outer space with their giant rockets. Meanwhile, an ecosystem of other space-related startups are racing to be ready to set up shop on the moon and Mars. Lunar Outpost is one of three companies competing to build a space truck for NASA's Artemis missions. Founder and CEO Justin Cyrus is betting there will be a commercial rush to tap into the moon’s resources, including critical minerals. He says he wants his company to be the “mobility provider” for the lunar economy. On the latest episode of Bold Names, Cyrus joins WSJ’s Christopher Mims and Tim Higgins to discuss why the U.S. and its biggest rivals are in a race to build permanent bases on the moon.
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