1/2/26: Zohran Touts COLLECTIVISM, Gavin MOGS JD, Ro Triggers Billionaire MELTDOWN

2 Jan 2026 · 1 h 12 min · 31 chapters

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In short

Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - Episode Summary: 1/2/26

Episode Overview In this episode, the hosts discuss several current events as they welcome the new year, including Zohran's inauguration in NYC, a viral video by conservative influencer Nick Shirley, and Ro Khanna's clash with tech billionaires over a proposed wealth tax.

Key Discussions

  1. Zohran's Inauguration
  2. Details: Zohran Mamdani is sworn in as the mayor of New York City.
  3. Themes:
  4. Emphasis on collectivism in his inaugural speech, which received mixed reactions.
  5. Mamdani’s actions included:
  6. Choosing a unique setting for his swearing-in, reflecting on public goods.
  7. Visiting a neglected rent-stabilized apartment building immediately after his inauguration to demonstrate his commitment.
  8. Significance: This represents a potential shift in how democratic socialism can govern, highlighting a more mature political operation.
  1. Response to Zohran's Speech
  2. Public Reaction:
  3. Some conservative commentators reacted strongly to Zohran's collectivism rhetoric, invoking fears of communism.
  4. Interpretations:
  5. The hosts view Mamdani's speech as a bold declaration of intent to address societal issues.
  6. There are concerns regarding whether Mamdani can deliver on his promises, as his administration will be closely scrutinized as a test for leftist governance.
  1. Gavin Newsom vs. J.D. Vance
  2. Event: A discussion about a controversial video featuring male influencer Clavicular.
  3. Highlights:
  4. Clavicular's philosophy revolves around looks and physical fitness, reflecting a broader cultural conversation about masculinity.
  5. The hosts critique the superficiality in political assessments based on appearance, as seen in the comparison of Gavin Newsom and J.D. Vance.
  6. Cultural Commentary: The trend of valuing physical appearance in politics as symptomatic of deeper societal issues, particularly among young men.
  1. Nick Shirley's Viral Video
  2. Content: Shirley investigates daycare centers in Minnesota, alleging fraud.
  3. Media Response:
  4. His tactics are criticized as sensationalist and lacking journalistic integrity.
  5. Despite evidence of real fraud, Shirley's approach was deemed more about gaining views than providing factual reporting.
  6. Consequences:
  7. His video led to significant political repercussions, including a freeze on childcare subsidies based on his claims.
  1. Ro Khanna and the Wealth Tax Controversy
  2. Background: Ro Khanna supports a proposed 5% wealth tax in California, eliciting outrage from tech billionaires.
  3. Billionaire Backlash:
  4. Tech leaders exhibit strong opposition, threatening to move out of California, which highlights their discontent with taxation efforts.
  5. Analysis: The episode underscores the growing divide between billionaire interests and public sentiment, with polls showing overwhelming support for taxing the wealthy.
  1. Wider Political Implications
  2. Cultural Tensions:
  3. The hosts discuss how the political landscape is being shaped by extreme viewpoints and influencer culture, leading to a fractured media environment.
  4. Future Predictions:
  5. Anticipation for coming political contests in 2026, questioning whether the Democratic Party will lean into populist strategies or maintain the status quo.

Key Takeaways

  • Political Evolution: The episode explores how political narratives are evolving with figures like Zohran who lean into socialist rhetoric.
  • Influencer Impact: The rise of influencer-driven narratives complicates traditional media dynamics, often prioritizing sensationalism over accuracy.
  • Economic Disparities: The discussion reflects a broader concern about wealth inequality and the reluctance of the elite to embrace necessary tax reforms.
  • Cultural Critique: A deeper cultural critique is present regarding the valuation of appearance over substance in political discourse.

Conclusion The episode wraps up with reflections on the year ahead, emphasizing the anticipated political battles and the importance of addressing economic inequality and cultural disillusionment in the American political landscape. The hosts encourage listeners to engage with these topics actively as they navigate a transformative political era.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

New Year Reflections

0:46 to 1:39

Hosts reflect on the start of the new year and their resolutions.

“I'm going back to my hometown to uncover the truth.”

AI and Future Aspirations

1:40 to 6:26

Discussion on AI's impact and a shift from a doomer perspective.

“That's kind of, I can't really wrap my head around that, to be honest with you.”

Zoran Mamdani's Mayoral Inauguration

6:27 to 10:52

Analysis of Zoran Mamdani's inauguration speech and its implications.

“And let's turn our eyes to New York City where Zoran Mamdani has been sworn in as mayor.”

The Future of Democratic Socialism

10:53 to 12:41

Exploration of the evolution of democratic socialism through Mamdani's leadership.

“further nihilistic and with their hopes dashed.”

Debate on Rhetoric and Promises

12:42 to 14:00

Discussion on the communication style and promises of Mayor Mamdani.

“And just a couple of quick kind of newsy points.”

Discussing Political Rhetoric and AOC's Communication Style

14:00 to 20:15

Exploration of political rhetoric in speeches and comparing AOC's approach to Zoran's.

“If he delivers on his promises or people feel like he is delivering, they feel like life is getting better, they feel like he's fighting for them.”

Future of the Democratic Party and Primary Challenges

20:15 to 21:30

Analyzing upcoming primary challenges and their implications for the Democratic Party's direction.

“because there are so many primary challenges across the country, some of them high profile that we've spoken about, some of them under the radar that we haven't spoken about and that we don't even know about.”

Introduction to Clavicular and His Controversial Philosophy

21:30 to 23:25

Introduction to the figure Clavicular and his extreme views on masculinity and appearance.

“Or, you know, do we get a surprise as we have in the past when we expected wave elections and they didn't arrive?”

Clavicular's Impact on Contemporary Political Discourse

23:25 to 28:01

Discussion of how Clavicular's extreme views are influencing the political landscape and the right-wing media.

“He's been taking some form of like steroids from the time he was 14.”

Analyzing Michael Knowles' Interview Choices

28:01 to 29:15

Discusses the implications of Michael Knowles' interview strategy and the reactions to it.

“Okay, so there's a lot that's interesting about this.”
Show all 31 chapters

The Debate on Beauty Standards in Politics

29:16 to 30:55

Explores the conversation around beauty standards and their influence on political figures like Gavin Newsom.

“Like they're also very like adjacent and friendly creators.”

Examining Nihilism and Masculinity in Modern Conservatism

30:56 to 34:18

Looks at the nihilistic attitudes among young men and the implications for conservatism and family structures.

“This is so stupid, but like you can't replicate natural good looks by hammering your jaw and injecting your face with fillers.”

Influencers and the Shift Towards 'Post-Women' Ideals

34:19 to 36:52

Analyzes the emerging 'post-women' mentality among conservative influencers and its societal impacts.

“And not just the Trump stuff and sort of like the future of the leaders, But this core sense of Republican conservatism was always about family, right?”

Understanding the Current State of Young Men in America

36:53 to 39:51

Discusses the challenges young men face in today's society and how this shapes their views on relationships and marriage.

“I mean, this is to me less about, you know, backlash to the left or whatever, although I'm not saying that there's none of that in here.”

The Impact of Hyper-Online Culture on Political Perceptions

39:52 to 42:00

Examines how hyper-online cultures reshape perceptions of traditional political figures and movements.

“I wrote a thing to the Washington Post recently about how this is a crazy stat.”

Fringe Ideologies and the Administration's Narrative

42:00 to 43:10

Explore how fringe ideologies are linked to the current administration's messaging.

“That's every non-white person, citizen and non in the entire country.”

Ayn Rand's Influence on Modern Conservatism

43:10 to 44:35

Discuss how Ayn Rand's philosophy impacts right-wing views on power and capitalism.

“political mainstream, quote unquote, mainstream.”

The Rise of Influencer Culture in Politics

44:35 to 45:55

Analyze how influencer culture is reshaping political narratives and public perception.

“And that's, again, extraordinarily dangerous because what you're starting to see physically as a symbol in ridiculous figures like clavicular trickles more and more into policy, too.”

Nick Shirley's Viral Investigation

45:55 to 48:00

Examine the tactics and implications of Nick Shirley's daycare investigation in Minnesota.

“Over the last couple of weeks, this really broke right before Christmas, if I'm remembering correctly.”

The Consequences of Shoddy Journalism

48:00 to 51:10

Discuss the ramifications of poor journalism on social welfare programs and public trust.

“And there were others where they were just like this man and a whole crew are pounding on our door and demanding to see our kids.”

Cultural Dynamics in Fraud Allegations

51:10 to 53:10

Explore cultural factors at play in the context of fraud allegations within communities.

“Don Jr., bunch of other government officials just pick it up and run with it because they don't care whether it is true or not.”

Political Propaganda and its Fallout

53:10 to 56:01

Analyze the political motivations behind allegations of fraud and their broader implications.

“So I think those things, you know, are worth noting that those are happening in parallel.”

Media Influence on Political Discourse

56:01 to 58:22

Discover how media coverage can elevate local stories to national significance.

“And Trump literally pumps and dumps the entire economy with his like crypto coins and stuff like that.”

Rise of Grassroots Political Content

58:23 to 59:24

Learn about the impact of grassroots content creators in shaping political narratives.

“Like, that doesn't count because you're not just, you know, feeding into this smear campaign that we want to see here.”

Billionaire Response to Tax Proposals

59:25 to 1:01:36

Explore the backlash from billionaires regarding proposed taxation and political actions.

“Anything you're dying to get off your chest?”

Impact of Regulation on Silicon Valley

1:01:37 to 1:03:24

Understand how regulatory pressures affect tech billionaires and their political stances.

“At least that makes voting him the fuck out all the more gratifying.”

Public Sentiment on Wealth Taxation

1:03:25 to 1:05:28

Discuss the general consensus on the need for wealth taxation among Americans.

“But the little bit that was done, they absolutely hated it.”

The Necessity of Compromise in Capitalism

1:05:29 to 1:09:08

Analyze the importance of compromise in maintaining a stable economy and public support.

“Not only is he confronting Capitol, but also on the, you know, that he's an avowed anti-Zionist.”

Real Estate Trends in Major Cities

1:10:06 to 1:10:50

Discussion on the enduring appeal of cities like New York and Silicon Valley for luxury real estate.

“There's reasons people want to be in Silicon Valley.”

The Democratic Party's Future Challenges

1:10:50 to 1:11:34

Exploration of the Democratic Party's need to regain trust through populism and the influence of figures like Gavin Newsom.

“are the types of fights that they're going to have to take on.”

J.D. Vance's Transformation and Public Perception

1:11:34 to 1:11:58

Insights into J.D. Vance's public image transformation and its implications.

“Vance gets a catastrophic amount of Ozempic shipped to his house, it's just going to be insane for J.D.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed Human.

0:31on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is Ryder Strong, and I have a new podcast called The Red Weather. In 1995, my neighbor, Anna Trainor, disappeared from a commune. It was nature and trees and praying and drugs. So no, I am not your guru. Back then, I lied to everybody. They have had this case for 30 years. I'm going back to my hometown to uncover the truth. Listen to The Red Weather on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

1:28on the Exactly Right Network. Listen to My Favorite Murder on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Goodbye. Good morning, everybody. Happy Friday. And more importantly, Happy New Year, 2026. That's kind of, I can't really wrap my head around that, to be honest with you. Also, you clearly can't wrap your head around the dress code, which was baseball hat today, Crystal. Man, I fucked up. I'm already just days into the new year, already screwing everything up. Your hair looks way too good for a baseball hat. So that's the bright side. You know, to be honest with you, I am a fan of a baseball hat.

2:03I'm also a fan, though, I'm a fan of visors, which I feel like are more of like maybe early 2000s coded. But my head is very small. And usually I have to wear child-sized baseball hats. So the visor kind of solves that for me. We were like planning a show in the group a few weeks ago. And I saw you wearing a visor. And I was like, damn, Crystal's bringing the visor back. Oh, yeah. Big fan of the visor. Amazing. So lots of things going on. We're going to do a little bit. It's going to be not a full on show here. I don't think we're going to try to keep it a little bit brief. And I was telling you.

2:38Yeah, right. I feel. Yeah, we're going to try. Yeah. I feel sort of like I feel rusty, you know, just taking this little bit of time off has been nice. And I think good for me to mentally reset and hopefully for you guys and for the crew as well. But I'm also like, do I still know how to do this? You're doing great, Crystal. never better in the comments you decide is she still ready to do this that's right should i just hang it up give up that's it it's over any big resolutions this year y 'all before we begin um i haven't you know i've i haven't really been a big resolution person usually what i do is during this time period i try to think about like what are going to be the big not just stories but consequential events of the year.

3:28And last year, I really was thinking a lot about AI. And I would say this year, I'm still thinking a lot about AI. So I've kind of, I guess, recommitted myself to, I was also just talking to Gervin about this, to see if I can have less of just a Doomer view of it and more of an aspirational, like, okay, if this is coming, because I think it's very difficult to halt completely, What could we do that would make sure that the benefits are shared and that this isn't the end of democracy, that this isn't the start of a truly authoritarian power consolidated in the hands of a handful of people and people tossed down of jobs and just this utterly dystopian future?

4:07Like, what is another envisioning of that? And I think it does make sense, like what Bernie's proposing to sort of slow things down while people wrap their heads around and while that democratic process plays out, while that, you know, inspiration and ideas are percolating. But I'm trying to, you know, to try on less of a doomer mentality and more of like, OK, well, if this is coming, what could we do that would if they're if they want to rewrite the social contract? Like, what does that look like in a way that's actually beneficial? And what about you? What's your resolution this year? This is like very hard to follow Crystal's thoughtful point there.

4:46I don't really make resolutions. I try not to think about the new year in terms of like opening or like opening another chapter or anything like that. It's hard not to, but I don't really have any anything to say. I do remember Crystal saying this last year and immediately I feel like your coverage became super, super helpful because you were literally doing the reading and going deep on it. and brought that lens to the kind of news of the day stories. So maybe I should take a page out of your book. Emmeline's resolve to mog on more bitches this new year. Yeah, it's all about the physiogamy. Yeah.

5:31And like, you know what? I lacked a scientific understanding of Sidney Sweeney's facial symmetry. And I've realized that's a serious error on my part. And I pledge to do better. You know, even as a Sidney Sweeney critic, I really hadn't explored the ways in which she's quote unquote malformed. You didn't get to the orbital. Yeah, you didn't say any of that, which was neglectful. Griffin, do you have a resolution? My resolution was to investigate more fraud into podcasts like Breaking Points. So expect a camera crew knocking on your door. Start showing up at places and demanding to see their children.

6:14We tape in the mornings here at Breaking Point. So I'm going to show up in the afternoons with the camera crew being like, where's Crystal? Where's Sagar? They're not here. No show job. Let's look to the future. Let's get to the news, folks. It's a brand new year. And let's turn our eyes to New York City where Zoran Mamdani has been sworn in as mayor. Let's take a quick listen to a clip that's been getting some action. How long these communities have existed as distinct from one another. we will draw this city closer together we will replace the frigidity of rugged individualism with the warmth of collectivism if our campaign demonstrated that the people of new york yearn for solidarity then let this government foster it because no matter what you eat how you pray or where you come from the words that most define us are the two we all share new yorkers All right.

7:15That was a taste from the inauguration. Crystal was so amazed by that she ran to New York City. I had to take a moment to adjust that and also to let the cat in. Hop on the Amtrak. Big day. Bernie was part of the inaugural ceremony. Zoran was sworn in in the old subway underneath New York City with his wife. And what do we make this, guys? I mean, to me, it's extremely hopeful. Like that line is so funny because I think it was very intentionally put in to spark a whole like, oh, my God, collectivism, like what's going on and Sharia law and communism and whatever, which is kind of a funny, you know, it's kind of the sort of thing that the right has been pulling lately.

8:00Like, let me intentionally touch the hot stove and make people react to it. And he certainly got that. He certainly got that reaction. But, you know, there's a few things. There's just the portrait of Bernie there swearing him in the official ceremony. AOC there as well. So Bernie. He's so happy. Amazing photo. With Eric Adams in the back. Bernie just, like, delighted. Mouth and cape with Eric Adams looking very stern above him. Great. It was a new myth. New mittens and blanket photo, but this time a happy one. But this time delighted. Yeah. And so to see him kind of in a sense like passing the torch, both to Zoran and AOC, who may be, you know, a contender in 2028 presidential or at least maybe running for the Senate against Chuck Schumer, was to me very poignant.

8:50And I think Zoran not only he he really has a lot of intentionality around the symbols that he chooses. So you mentioned the initial swearing in happened in this sort of iconic subway, shuttered subway stop under City Hall that is really beautiful and, you know, came from a time period when it was like, we're going to invest in public goods and we're going to make them really beautiful and really nice. And we're going to put thought and care into it. So that was a very thoughtful choice. immediately after his swearing in, he goes to a rent-stabilized apartment building where the landlord has completely neglected.

9:31It's falling apart. Roaches are coming in. Pipes are rusted. Tiles are falling apart, et cetera. That's where he chooses to not only tour the facility and to champion their cause and put official resources towards it, but also to sign his initial executive orders. I know he arrived at the inauguration in a cab that was driven by a taxi cab driver who had previously done a hunger protest alongside Zoran. So he's thought a lot about how to signal this is a different administration and it's being run for a different group of people. He also made sure in his speech to say, look, I was advised that now's the time to lower expectations, to do the like, you know, campaign and what's the thing, campaign and poetry, govern and prose or whatever.

10:18But anyway, to set the expectations smaller. He's like, I'm not going to do that. We are going to get out there and try. And we may not always succeed, but we're going to think big and we're going to dream big. So, you know, now the proof is going to be in the pudding. And I think he's well aware that the eyes of not just New York City, but the eyes of the nation are really on him, whether this is fair or not, because this is the test now. He will be held up as the example of like, can the left govern or are these just sort of like these utopian pie in the sky ideals? And when it comes for when the rubber meets the road, they can't really deliver on any of these promises and everyone just leaves with further nihilistic and with their hopes dashed.

10:59I'll add that it feels like an evolution for democratic socialism and to Crystal's point about Bernie elated on stage, sort of watching the torch being passed or that's too passive, passing the torch, as Crystal said. This, I think the flavor of Mayor Momdani's administration that we've seen over the last 24 hours looks like the growth into a more mature political operation of democratic socialism. And I don't mean uppercase DSA necessarily. I mean, Bernie-style democratic socialism. And I think we all saw with AOC, she would probably say this, and there's a lot of this in Ryan's book, by the way.

11:48There was a surprise among DSA types and AOC about the response. I mean, about beating Joe Crawley. Like, that was very surprising. When Mamdani beat Cuomo in the primary, very, very surprising. But then I think with Zoran, the office is so big and he had so many months to campaign after the primary against the guy he beat in the primary and that so many resources poured in. It's not just like a congressional seat. This is the mayor of New York City. And I think there's just been this deluge of concerted strategic thought that's gone into what this looks like. And we've seen that over the last 24 hours.

12:34We're getting, I think, a glimpse that this is going to be, I mean, it sounds obvious to say it, but it's another thing to see it. This is going to be the future of the lowercase ds, Democratic Socialist Movement. And just a couple of quick kind of newsy points. I liked this Jill Filippovich tweet because I sent this in our DMs. But there were a couple of lines where I was like, oh, this one, for example, was, for too long, those fluent in the good grammar of civility have deployed decorum to mask agendas of cruelty. And Joe Filippovich said, listen, I am as excited for the Zoran era as the next person, but I am begging, begging, begging his speechwriters to allow him to talk like a normal person and not an Oberlin freshman writing a persuasive essay.

13:17I thought that was interesting because he doesn't normally talk like an Oberlin freshman writing a persuasive essay. And so So it was, you know, the collectivism line, I thought, is not my favorite as a conservative. It gives me chills as a conservative. But I see what Crystal is saying, that it's like this is he wants you to know that he is touching the third rail, that he is doing something completely different. He whipped out like the Ayn Rand villain mode on this speech, like collectivism. I'm so here for. Take it from the owners. If you're a villain in an Ayn Rand novel, you're probably doing something right.

13:57True, true. You know, I thought about that Jill Filippovich tweet as well. And here's what I'll say. If he, it really depends. If he delivers on his promises or people feel like he is delivering, they feel like life is getting better, they feel like he's fighting for them. then I think it's fine to lean into this very intellectual level, grown-up level of campaign rhetoric. And I sort of disagree that this is different than his normal mode. He certainly has the ability to just talk to people and come off as a normal person, which is really good and kind of unusual for a Democrat of any flavor.

14:40But when he does prepared speeches, he uses this kind of elevated rhetoric. I didn't see this as the first time. Now, what I did note is the tone was like, oh, now that I've won, like I'm letting my like socialist freak flag fly. Like I'm letting it all out. Like this is how it's going to be. And you guys are going to eat it up and you're going to see what we're going to deliver. That I did see. But in terms of the sort of like, you know, elevated rhetoric and his approach to that, that to me felt consistent with other prepared speeches he gives. And even, you know, when he speaks on in TV news interviews, et cetera, he does reach for sort of more more flowery language.

15:25And like I said, I think it just matters if he can deliver, then people are going to love him and love all the aspects of him. And if he can't and if, you know, the administration is a shambles and he can't deliver on any of the key promises, it doesn't feel like he's fighting for those key promises. Then I think it's going to land very hollow and overwrought. Yeah, it sounds I know. I think that's true. But it's but that to me is interesting as the this is one thing that I think AOC did well and poorly when she first entered the scene was that it was like sometimes it did sound like the Oberlin freshman.

16:00And then sometimes she was really good at talking like just the bartender. And well, yeah, I was just going to say where I distinguish is she used a lot of the academic language around like intersectionality and that sort of stuff. Whereas Zoran's, you know, I watched his whole speech and I read the transcript again this morning. It's very grounded in class politics. So in that way, just not in a substantive level, it's different from some of the critiques I also had of AOC's language at a certain time. Although now I think that she is also a pretty effective communicator. The other thing that people are freaking out about is this is kind of kind of clever in a way.

16:39So Zoran rescinded all of the Eric Adams executive orders from after he was indicted for fraud because he said, look, this is when he lost the trust in New York City. So anything after that time is being swept down. And a number of those executive orders had to do with like pro-Israel stuff. So one was like some sort of a ban on BDS. And the other one was the codifying of this definition of anti-Semitism that conflates anti-Zionism with anti-Semitism. And so rather than just like targeting those specific pro-Israel executive orders, he's like, no, no, no. All this stuff that was done after he was indicted for corruption, all of that is being tossed aside.

17:20And of course, the like, you know, the the more like right wing Zionist types are freaking out about these particular executive orders. And so, oh, look, see, it's already coming for the Jews or whatever. But but, you know, I think anyone who listened to how he campaigned would say he certainly has a mandate to make the government of New York more neutral to Israel than, you know, certainly than Eric Adams and other New York City mayors have positioned the government in the past. And we've got some polling here. Mom Donnie is up five in national net favorability in this New York politics poll was negative 14 in September.

17:57We've got AOC plus one here as well. Hochul down six, Trump down 20, Adams down 23, and Cuomo at the bottom here, negative 32. Eric Adams more popular than Cuomo. That's so funny. They should have run him again. They should have run Eric Adams. Yeah, me and Emily have been saying this for so long. He was still going to lose, though. I mean, he had the lowest favorability rating of any mayor in New York City's history. So I don't think there was any stop in the zoementum. No, there was no stopping this. But that's I mean, I think just the point that you made, Crystal, is when you look at how democratic socialism surged in America's populist moment around 10 years ago now, it's 2026.

18:38So 2016, that's crazy. We're exactly a decade out from Bernie's surge. It has clearly gone back to something that looks a lot more like what Bernie would have had it look like, had those. I mean, there's this this moment where Bernie is campaigning in 2016 and activists seize the microphone from him and he sort of seeds the spot. And it's very academic jargony type language. And so I do think that what we're seeing right now is a smarter, more mature, you know, 10 year in project. And if you're somebody who believes in the Democratic Socialist Project, you should be enormously, enormously hopeful about what you saw in the last 24 hours, which was, again, a professional, political, concerted operation with a mature strategy as to like bringing in people on a class basis.

19:33Yeah. And I think some people on the left already have been upset with the decisions that are kind of sort of like hard-nosed political tactics, like deciding not to endorse Chiyose against Hakeem Jeffries, pushing him not to run in that race, some of the administration choices. So, you know, some of those things, I think, as governing reality sets in, I think are going to be difficult for a lot of people on the left to swallow myself included. But, you know, I think he is trying to approach it from eyes on the prize. I need to do what I got to do to deliver. And that's the, you know, the number one, first and foremost priority.

20:09And then the last thing I'll say here, which will set us up for our segment on Gavin Newsom and J.D. Vance, mogging and clavicular and all of that, is as we look forward to the future of our politics, we are going to get a lot of answers in this year, in 2026, about what the future of the Democratic Party is going to look like. because there are so many primary challenges across the country, some of them high profile that we've spoken about, some of them under the radar that we haven't spoken about and that we don't even know about. There are so many contests which are being set up right now just in the Democratic primaries that are really going to set the tone for what the future of this party is.

20:51Are they going to hang on to the neoliberal, let's try to preserve the institutions, Let's try to cling to the status quo and modestly improve it. Or are we going in a more radical direction? I think the base is going to send some very strong messages on that point this year, which is one of the things that I'm very excited for us to be able to track together. So that's going to be something to watch. And then, of course, in the general election to see, you know, do these the swing that we saw in 2025 towards Democrats and that we've seen in these special elections where, you know, people are flipping 20 points towards Democrats.

21:24Does that sustain? And do we have something, you know, really quite consequential in terms of a wave election? Or, you know, do we get a surprise as we have in the past when we expected wave elections and they didn't arrive? Well, to that point, let's mog on over to Clavicular in the 2028 race. Now, do you guys know who Clavicular is? Well, I do now. You do now? Emily, are you aware now? I recorded an interview for KKF with Taylor Lorenz, who, you know, I mean, it's her job to know about these characters. And she said she went deep on him maybe like four months ago. And she just posted something on her channel.

22:04So I have been educated now in the clavicular full lore and origin story. So for those listeners who aren't on the algorithm I would describe as evil TikTok, there is a man named Clavicular. He's kind of in some ways like the new young Andrew Tate in that he is sort of a male icon for younger men. But this guy for some for this group, for enough enough people that we're talking about him now and that he's on shows. He is a looks maxer, which means he would take rocks or pebbles and hit them on his jaw to bruise his bones to make them stronger to, I guess, he believes give him a stronger jawline to become more of an alpha Chad.

22:55He also does a medley of drugs to keep his figure, including like low grade amounts of meth. He does obviously all the other gender affirming care, TRT. He is in a lot of ways trans. So male to male. He's male to male. He's male to alpha male. Yeah. So there's this guy. And we should say, and actually this is just to help people understand how extreme the things that he does are. He's been taking some form of like steroids from the time he was 14. And he's actually sterile now because of what he has taken. So, yeah. Yeah, I mean, he talks about this publicly. This isn't news. And so his whole thing is this very nihilistic sort of incel, pickup artist adjacent philosophy of the world is screwed.

23:52It's very hard to get ahead. The deck is stacked against you. And the best thing that you could do to be able to get women and have some sort of success is to look smacks. To take these extreme, like the ethos of the bodybuilding world and apply that not just to your body but also to your face. With a heavy American Psycho garnish on top. Yeah, yeah. I was going to say it's very Nietzschean. And that's the underpinning of American Psycho, this idea that you can be the Superman. And Rod Dreher has been talking about how we're in Weimar, America. But this is actually – and his – has a totally different take on – well, actually, maybe not that different, but on anti-Semitism and all of that.

24:39But when he's talking about Weimar America, he particularly zeroed in the other day on clavicular and was like, this is so dangerous because you're getting into a place where the fringes are now prouder and prouder about reducing people to their physical worth. It's very eugenics-y. It's extraordinarily eugenics-y. And this was like last year, the Wright's viral fight was over H-1Bs. This year, it was Michael Knowles having clavicular on and just like dead ass asking him about J.D. Vance. And that's where Griffin... Which we got a clip right here. Let's take a look. yeah but i mean like this next election cycle who's going to win it's going to be gavin newsom against jd vance because jd vance is subhuman and gavin newsom augs he's getting vance is subhuman yeah what makes you say that uh he's got a very short total facial width to height ratio he's uh very recessed side profile whereas newsom is like 6 '3 chad so you're jd is very tall jd has got to be well still i mean six three i gavin newsom obviously logs him to death so you prefer newsom to the vice president i'm just telling you who's gonna win do you prefer him though um honestly it's it's hard to say but newsom being that much more of a mogger and like having a president who's like fat and especially that young do you think he's i don't think he's fat.

26:20I would say he's a bigger guy for sure. It's just like, it's just embarrassing. Like, how are you fat and you expect to like lead a country? You can't even be in shape, you know? So you, like you got, let's say you got to vote. It's 2028. I'm voting for Gavin Newsom. You're voting for Gavin Newsom. You can't be that, you can't be that subhuman. So you, hold on, you, you, you got, all right, well, this actually is of a thread with the whole conversation because you're, you look at these two candidates, you have Gavin Newsom, worst governor in the country. I think we would all agree. Destroyed his state, let its main city burn to the ground because of his incompetence, is a personal, complete derelict, liar, degenerate.

26:56But he is good looking. I'll grant you that he's good looking. And he kind of looks like Patrick Bateman, American Psycho. And then you have this vice president, President Trump, the transformative right-wing president in our lifetimes, who, do you support Trump or no? Yeah. Okay. So you got, and you got this vice president, handpicked by Trump, who is extremely intelligent, very right wing uh i think he's a pretty good looking guy i don't know maybe i guess you disagree but is all these things checks all these boxes would have all these great policies and regardless you're gonna pick the pro mass migrant pro trans pro murder the babies pro burn the cities to the ground pro blm democrat because he's skinnier than the conservative vice president 100 times over I'm so mad at Sagar.

27:46I tried to get Sagar to do this interview, and he was like, no, I don't know if we should do it. Really? That could have been our interview. It could have been Sagar getting mobbed on. The Sagar mog. Mogger. There you go. Okay, so there's a lot that's interesting about this. First of all, Michael Knoll's doing this interview to start with. Daily Wire's not doing well. you know they're losing subscribers and because people are going more to these type of characters so the choice to do this interview I think is in a sense in a sense like an attempt to maintain relevance and be like look I'm I'm down with these you know characters these new kids streamers like I'm good with this and then Knowles is pretty good at that in particular on the Daily Wire like Shapiro is not really evolving but Knowles is kind of getting out there but but yeah so I mean but But then, you know, this conversation doesn't go that well for him.

28:39And it's funny because I watched most of the whole thing. And it's like Clavicular is sort of taking to the logical extreme some of the arguments that people like Michael Knowles has been making. So there's been this whole thing on the right about like beauty and beauty is not subjective. It's not an eye of the beholder. It is a like established fact and also like playing with these sort of like eugenics type ideas. And so, yeah, for Clavicular to go to the logical extreme of like, yeah, Gavin Newsom looks like AI slop of the Aryan Chad with the perfect Aryan family. That's my guy. And we should also say Clavicular owes in some sense his rise to Nick Fuentes.

29:21Like they're also very like adjacent and friendly creators. Fuentes and the Groypers also hate J.D. Vance because he's a race traitor, because he married an Indian woman and because he has biracial kids. and those things sort of like these things sort of fit together as well. But the other thing I noted just specifically about that clip is when Knowles first asked him, like, so do you prefer Gavin Newsom? He's like, yeah, I guess so. But then by the end of it, when he realizes like, oh, this is getting a rise on him. Yeah. Like he's he's like losing his mind over this. By the end, he's like, I'd vote for him 100 times over, you know, just completely like all in on it.

Read the full transcript

29:58And I've seen another interview clip with him since then where he's he's sort of like, oh, I was trolling. So giving himself some wiggle room to kind of like back out of this. But Newsom is leaning into it hard. You know, there's other creators online who are also like, you know, people I don't even know who they are. But other right wing creators who were like, you know, J.D. Vance is chonky and fat. It's a no for me. And posting the Gavin Newsom Chad photos. Gavin Newsom is posting those photos, posting like ugly pics of J.D. Vance from when he was younger and pudgier and like didn't have the beard and whatever.

30:33So that's that's where we are. That's the state of our politics today. I think maybe Clavicula should go to a Marines boot camp and then have words for JD versus Gavin Newsom. I think the conversation about beauty is an interesting invocation here because a lot of what I see, including for myself on the right, is this question about nature and how when we're in such an antiseptic, high-tech world, we do lose natural some degree of natural beauty because everything is artifice everything is is being constructed um in less and less natural ways not everything but you know the metaverse was all we were talking about the new year what like five years ago something yeah five years ago something like that but uh with that in mind clavicular is totally i think making the point and Gavin Newsom as well, about how natural looks.

31:37You can't like replicate natural. This is so stupid, but like you can't replicate natural good looks by hammering your jaw and injecting your face with fillers. You can do something that looks like X, Y, or Z, right? You can create an artifice of the natural, but you can't actually. It's not natural. So it doesn't look natural. And you get into that uncanny valley. I obviously watch a lot of Real Housewives, so I'm incredibly familiar with these efforts. But in all seriousness, you look-vaxing efforts from the women. From women, right. But like you can't, it's not natural. And at the same time, the people like Clavicular are trying to frame it as totally natural as like this is, it is the Nietzschean perspective that what we have is power and strength.

32:30and he will stop at no ends to construct power and strength, even if it means taking all of these high-tech medications, hammering his jaw, like whatever it is. And it's not attractive. And honestly, I think the same thing about Gavin Newsom. Like, he looks like Patrick Bateman. Well, that's the thing, is none of these, even Jimbro trend or this looks-maxing trend or even, like, Gavin Newsom as this, you know, undisputed Chad, none of these things are for the female gaze they're all for the male gaze so well said yeah i mean and that's 100 and so it's like it's working it's interesting i mean it feels very sort of like homoerotic because i'm like you are actually number one you hate women right i mean not all looks maxers but many have this total antipathy towards women and you know talk about women are whores and you know ruining our lives and all this stuff right this stuff is very adjacent to like incel ideology, pickup artist ideology, like manosphere stuff.

33:33Like it's all very similar, right? So they hate women. And then the ideal Chad male that they're trying to craft is much more based on what a man's idea of aspirational male beauty would be. So I don't know. They're literally sterile. I love that. And to this point, Emily, about like - Literally sterile. Yeah. They hate women so much that they're sterile. I watched this clip, Emily, And I was like, Republicans are so screwed. Like they were relying on like the spirit of Trump to carry them for like 30 more years. And then the Epstein thing happened. And now people are already looking into what's next.

34:09And no one likes any of the any of the lineup behind that, which is like this J.D. Gavin thing. They're OK with Gavin. And then this is dark Maha. And not just the Trump stuff and sort of like the future of the leaders, But this core sense of Republican conservatism was always about family, right? Protecting the family. And this new generation seems to be transcending the need for family or like feeling like, well, if I can't own a house or have a family, why not reject the entire concept? And something I've been seeing with conservatives is, you know, either it's Clavicular saying he's sterile and he's actually doing it for men, not women.

34:48I'm seeing people like Asmongold, another big conservative YouTuber, say, I will never have a girlfriend again, like as a positive thing. And I still see Andrew Tate, who's been for years saying it's gay to have a girlfriend. So it seems like these influencers. Quintet says similar stuff, too. Yeah, that it's literally gay to have sex with women. And so it's like all these influencers are sitting to carve and guide out a path that's like post-women. And like post even having any children or, you know, continuing the human race. And that's because I think it's important. Like Tate particularly frames it as about power and strength.

35:31And again, like these are ideas that are relegated to the fringe. I mean, there's there's for now there's a reason we're laughing at that interview between Knowles and Clavicular, because Clavicular, it's like Funtos, right? That people mistake the size of their audience for the size of people's endorsement. True believers. Right, yeah. Right, right, right. It's like entertainment versus like believing every word of them. They are extremely entertaining. Right. And the reason that they're extremely entertaining is because there were all of these taboos created. And those taboos were getting pinned, I think rightfully, to the left for the last 10 years.

36:08And it made a lot of young men totally miserable and vulnerable to this kind of thing and wanting to just reject what they felt like was the tightening of the strictures and the status quo and the cultural centers of power that they felt like were emasculating them. And to some extent, there's truth to that. But on the other hand, when you're unmoored, you are much more easily like blown by the wind in one direction or the other. And it's all about power. That's what that's what these guys are talking about at the end of the day is like what you should value is power. And that's really not funny because that can go to a very, very dangerous place very, very quickly.

36:51Well, and it's all about power because they are powerless. I mean, this is to me less about, you know, backlash to the left or whatever, although I'm not saying that there's none of that in here. But this is about where we are in late stage capitalism, where men have been told by society that their entire worth comes from being able to provide, being able to make money and provide for a household and a wife and, you know, kids and all of that. And then they've been robbed of the ability to do that. And so out of that extreme place that our society has come to with extreme wealth inequality, where there is very little hope that people would be able to obtain even the life that their parents had, even though some of that's viewed through rose-colored glasses, that's how you end up with this very nihilistic, a series of extremely nihilistic viewpoints.

37:40I mean, that's, you know, that's Fuentesism, which is, you know, effectively neo-Nazism. It's race nihilism of this is just how the world is. We can't fix it. We can't make it better. We just have to deal with it. It's looks nihilism where it's like, listen, if you look better, you get ahead. And that's just the way the world is. And they create an exaggerated version, actually, of how bad the world is because there are obviously plenty of people. I mean, Donald Trump is not good looking and fat and he's president of the United States. But, you know, so it's a caricaturish view of reality. But rather than having an aspiration of like, well, let's tackle that.

38:13Let's make it so that you don't just judge the book by its cover. Let's make it so that there's better opportunity for people, regardless of how they look on the outside. It's no, this is how it is. And so I am going to succeed by the rules of this system, no matter what it takes, because there are so few other roots left open to me. And with clavicular in particular, you know, he he talks about first of all, he says he is on the spectrum. He's neurodivergent. He talks about how in high school he had trouble fitting in, you know, had the sense of like, you know, people are getting dates. People are getting invited to parties.

38:48I'm being left out. What's going on here? And then he goes to college and he gets kicked out in like three weeks time. Yeah, he's 19, by the way, right? He's literally 19 years old. Exactly. And he talks, too, about how he wishes he could just go to college and be a normal college kid. And it's after he gets kicked out in college, he starts being a bouncer at these nightclubs, I think, in Miami. And that's where he develops this sense of like, oh, the good looking guys get the girls. That must be what life is completely about. And then applies this, you know, in his view, like scientific and again, very eugenics-y, you know, assessment of what is beauty and how can I attain it?

39:26Because this must be the path forward. So he is a perfect, you know, he's a perfect emblem of the hopelessness that I think, you know, really faces not just men, everybody in the, you know, end stage capitalistic like society that we face right now. So it's not to deny people agency, but it is to recognize that no one should be surprised that we have these weird nihilistic fringe viewpoints that are coming to the fore. Yeah. I wrote a thing to the Washington Post recently about how this is a crazy stat. More young men say they want to get married than young women. And when young women are looking at young men, it becomes a little bit clearer as to why young women are maybe saying we are going to check out of this marriage thing.

40:15And there are myriad reasons for that. And Griffin made a point I don't want to gloss over, which is for Republicans, is there a kind of rhyme to what happened, as we were talking about earlier in the show, back in 2016 and then beyond, especially 2020 for Democrats, where some of these like hyper online meme level, like liberalism was being pinned to the Republicans. to every Democratic candidate, you know, things that were going on in classrooms. Like, just think of the libs of TikTok account. Just think about that and how powerful that was, especially like around 2020. Does that then, because of our totally fractured media landscape, mean the claviculars of the world start to infect the way average voters perceive Republicans?

41:09And the answer to this is not people are not prepared for this at the RNC, just as they They weren't prepared for it at the DNC because the answer is absolutely yes. Absolutely yes. He has a big platform and he is speaking as somebody who is pro Donald Trump. He is not like a conservative influencer. He's not a conservative radio host, like a local radio host circa 1996. He's not a team player either. Like not a team player. Right. You could call up Mike Pence when he was a local radio host in Indiana in the 1990s and be like, hey, come to our retreat. You know, maybe he's getting a little chippy.

41:46Come to our retreat, be a speaker, whatever. And you can wine and dine a radio host. Like you have more control if you're the RNC. You have no control anymore. These are all decentralized. But here's the other thing. Like the DHS Twitter account is posting about deporting 100 million people. That's every non-white person, citizen and non in the entire country. That's a third of the population. They post like Nazi stuff on their main account all the time. Just overtly. I mean, Stephen Miller is every bit as extreme as Nick Fuentes or Clavicular or whoever. So, like, of course. Just not as entertaining, yeah.

42:24Yeah, just way less entertaining. Here's one that they did over for New Year's. This is the one I was referring to. The peace of a nation no longer besieged by the third world. And it's a car on the beach with a wave. It's actually a famous artwork from Japan. By the way, they stole this artwork from a Japanese artist, by the way. Whoops. Also, this is not where you'd want to park a car. It says America after 100 million deportations. deportations. So again, that's not criminal, illegal. That is a third of the population that is every non-white person in the country. So like, of course, people are going to associate these fringe ideologies with this administration because this administration has a fringe ideology that it puts out to the public every single day.

43:08Well, I think we're just going to see more political mainstream, quote unquote, mainstream. Like nothing is as mainstream now as it was when we had more monoculture and so i think what i was saying is like there's more more fringe is going to be incorporated into the quote mainstream in the future because of the total decentralization that you don't i guess it's part of the good and bad of losing gatekeepers is that it's like on the one hand it's good because we benefit from the gatekeepers being gone meaning that we can do this on the other hand when the gatekeepers are gone it means you have to contend with the bad actors in that space too and they do start to really change things the last thing i will say on clavicular is that um we laughed earlier at zaron zaron's collectivism line being uh i saw this on x someone said the joke griffin made he sounds like an ayn rand villain and what's interesting to me about that is Ayn Rand was a, the, took Nietzscheism to its extreme.

44:12And this idea that power is what mattered did start to change the way, influence the way that the right approached capitalism and the right approached culture. And Ayn Rand was virulently anti-Christian, was anti-religious, which was the case with everyone who was downstream of Nietzsche in the 20th century in that kind of stream of thought. And that's, again, extraordinarily dangerous because what you're starting to see physically as a symbol in ridiculous figures like clavicular trickles more and more into policy, too. If you think this is just people looking at themselves, looks maxing, it's not.

44:57It's going to be power maxing. It's going to be polymarket maxing, which we're doing in different sectors of the economy right now, too. And so it's basically saying the only thing that matters is strength. The only thing that matters is power. And that's horrifying. Again, there's a real danger that migrates from the fringe. It's a very dark view of life That's probably a good segue, Griffin, to the Nick Shirley talking about Speaking of influencer culture and bad actors and all of that sort of stuff And how much power they have now Emily, we gotta talk about Detective Shirley The Gumshoe Reporter What's going on here, Emily?

45:41There was a YouTuber named Nick Shirley who went around Minnesota Walked up to some daycare centers and they didn't let him in Break it down for us I don't know if we have like an element to put up on the screen. I'll pull something up. Yeah. Over the last couple of weeks, this really broke right before Christmas, if I'm remembering correctly. It's hard to keep the day straight right now. But Nick Shirley, who's a pretty big kind of right-coded influencer, you see the video on the screen of CNN going to talk to Nick Shirley in Minneapolis as he's investigating the massive fraud ring that, you know, like 78 people have been charged, something like that already.

46:25He goes and knocks on the door of daycare centers, places that are purporting to treat autism, those types of things, and posts a video that just in the last couple of weeks has gone mega viral. I think it has like 3 million views on YouTube as of the time that we're talking about this and many, many more views on other platforms. It's basically taken what everybody had heard about in the last month, which was the story people have been shouting from the rafters about in Minneapolis for a long time and not just people on the right, by the way. The article that I've cited the most is a 2024 piece in the Minnesota Reformer from a Somali former government official who was saying, this is a real problem.

47:13Here's what's going on, X, Y, and Z. And so Shirley's tactics made for very compelling viewership because you could see in some of the cases like he's been reinvestigated by CNN and NPR and different outlets who've called all the places that he went to. You can see very clearly in some of the cases that it's shady and that they're kind of fronts. But but it's Gonzo. And in a way that he got wrong. Like, so the fraud is real. There is real fraud, like hundreds of millions of dollars of fraud. But the places that he went to were real. He like there's real fraud and he couldn't even get to the right ones.

47:54Right. Like, not all of them. But yeah, some of them actually do turn out to have because for one of them, he came early. So like one of them was a daycare that opens at two and he came there at like 11 a.m. That's what it sounds like. Yeah. And there were others where they were just like this man and a whole crew are pounding on our door and demanding to see our kids. No, thanks. We're not opening the door for you. You know, in the best circumstances, you wouldn't let him in. I mean, listen, like this guy is a propagandist. He had previously gone to Israel and did a whole propaganda piece for them about how moral they are and all the lies that the Palestinian, blah, blah, blah.

48:32Like, this is who he is. This is not journalism. It's completely shoddy, intentional propaganda. You should see his Seacott videos. Oh, boy. Yeah. We also got to hear his voice. I mean, this is who he is. We got to hear his voice. That's important, too. Let's just take a second of CNN confronting him, Crystal, before you finish your point. Okay. Yeah. Great.

48:53doors and talk to people at various daycares he claims are frauds. Did you come during normal operating hours when you came to visit? I came at 11 a.m. I believe and I also came the following day later in the day. The point of it is not whether or not I came at the right at the right time of their operation hours. The point is that blacked outdoors, they can't give you any information. You call that number, no one answers. I wasn't trying to go inside. I think there should be a way for somebody to actually be able to call that number and somebody be able to answer. These aren't real businesses.

49:23But surely you don't think a daycare should just be unlocked. You shouldn't be able to just walk into the daycare. It should be a reception. No. Every daycare is locked. And so, okay, you bring it up to your point. Why can't they ask you to give me information on how to enroll a child? Because you don't have a child. And then there's one more moment here that's really good. Yeah. All right, let's try this moment here. Do you think that federal law enforcement hasn't done enough? I mean, they would say, look, these fraud cases have been going on. But they've already done like 80 indictments. The cases have been going on, you know, for years.

49:55And why did I show up one day in Minnesota and go to all these daycares, no children. They're receiving millions of dollars. We uncovered nearly$110 million in fraud in one day. How do you know that all the allegations that you're making are true? How do I know that they're true? Well, we showed you guys what was happening. And then you guys can go ahead and make your own now. We're coming so we can make our own analysis. Are you 100 % sure you're true? Yeah, I am 100 % sure. The sweatshirt. Incredible. The sweatshirt is the infamous Quality Leering Center, which is the name of one of the daycares with misspelled learning.

50:28So what happens here is he films this bullshit propaganda video, which like, OK, the most you should do from this is then if you're genuinely concerned about fraud, which they're not. Trump is like spending every day pardoning a bunch of fraudsters. Like that's his whole administration is like a grift and like stealing everything that's not nailed down and pardoning white collar criminals left and right. So they don't actually give a shit about this. But those are white. Those are white protesters. No, no, no, no. Hunter and President. You're right. George Santos. George Santos. Okay. So also.

51:00But in any case. So they, you know, if you actually care about this. Okay. Well, let's see if he's, you know, really onto something here. Let me call these daycare centers. Let me do some investigation. Let me press the state of government of Minnesota. Does that happen? No. J.D. Vance retweets it. I don't know. Don Jr., bunch of other government officials just pick it up and run with it because they don't care whether it is true or not. In fact, I'm sure these are not J.D. Vance is not a stupid person. I'm sure he is probably suspects that a lot of this is not actually true, but it serves their propaganda.

51:33So not only do they take it and run with it with zero checking, but they use it for official government policy. So now not only are all of the child care payments, the state of Minnesota paused based on this absolute garbage propaganda bullshit, but they are now saying they're going to pause all child care subsidies to every state in the entire country. Like this is, I mean, this has genuine consequences. And this administration, oh, we're supposed to be like pro-family, blah, blah, blah. And also in favor of people being able to like go and work hard. How are you going to go out and hold a job if your daycare center is now shut down?

52:12A lot of these places are run very, you know, they don't have a lot of extra bandwidth. So if you have your subsidies cut for a month or even a handful of weeks, that center may be closed. your child care costs have just skyrocketed. So that's, I mean, it's just disgusting to me. But like I said, it serves their propaganda in terms of, you know, they want to make it about, we hate immigrants. We hate black Muslim immigrants in particular. It also is like, oh, undercutting the social safety net and undercutting the just, oh, it's all just fraud. You know, they're not really doing anything beneficial.

52:47And it also is not lost on me, and this is the point that others have made as well, That it comes at a time when Israel has taken a major beating with the right and with the public in general in terms of their perception. Their view is the best way to combat that is by stoking Islamophobia. And now here you go with the guy who did, you know, propaganda for Israel coming in to do this anti-Somali, like fundamentally like anti-Islamophobic propaganda as well. So I think those things, you know, are worth noting that those are happening in parallel. Well, the there are, though, I think Ryan and I read from this was a Minnesota reformer article that I just referenced by a Somali, I think, worked at the in the AG office in Minnesota talking about how there were real cultural components of this.

53:35And actually, this this article was also saying some of the biggest victims of this were Somali people who were being caught up in this this massive effort. And that, listen, I think our federal subsidy system is so like rife with fraud that there are plenty of white people who are out there like defrauding taxpayers and the government. But there were even like there are Somalis who say there was a cultural component to this. So I don't think it's entirely just a question of like stoking Islamophobia. I think there were maybe we all agree on this, that there were concerns in Minnesota about. Yeah, which is why the Biden administration prosecuted some like 78 people or whatever.

54:20You know, I mean, that's and that's the thing is like it makes me sick to see Elon Musk jumping in on this like a brother. You did doge. How many people did you refer for criminal prosecution of fraud? Zero. Zero. OK, so yeah, sure. I agree. The subsidy, by the way, the biggest subsidy queens are the Elon Musks of the world. Yes, completely. Yes. And so, you know, like if you're serious about and I think that people on the I agree with Ryan, I agree with Ro Khanna, that people on the left should be concerned about fraud in these programs because it does delegitimize them when it comes forward.

54:58And I'm someone who believes in a social safety net and universalist programs. Like, I think a lot of what Minnesota did was really great and really important. So you have to be serious about fraud. This is not the way to do it. Demonizing an entire group of people, going off of some bullshit propaganda video, honestly undercuts, you know, anyone who's serious about this, like undercuts their position in seriously investigating this stuff. Instead, you do like what Ro Khanna is doing in California where he said, look, there was a report that said there is a significant amount of fraud here. We need to have a commission.

55:30We need to root this out. We need to figure out where these dollars are going so that taxpayers feel like their money is being well spent. Like there are real and serious ways to go about it. The idea that these people have any interest in this when at the very same time he's pardoning some, you know, white collar criminal who stole over like a billion dollars and then denying people restitution that they're owed, who were victimized by these crooks who like took them for all they were worth in Ponzi schemes, etc. Like, let's be serious. They don't care. They just care because it's useful. They're a political project.

56:01And Trump literally pumps and dumps the entire economy with his like crypto coins and stuff like that. He's the biggest fraudster in the world. I'm confused. Do we like it or not? Is it based or not to do this? I'm confused because I think they're just following the great tradition of our president. True. Well, no, I mean, I think maybe the biggest, I don't know, one of the bigger takeaways from this is it's a media story in that the New York Times wading into the Somali fraud case is what then elevated it into the national dissonance. course. And in Minnesota, this has been a huge story for years, like years, years, years, like 2017, 2018, even before that.

56:46And when the New York Times covered it, my perspective as somebody on the right is this should have been a national story or more significant national story for a long time, just given the scale of the alleged fraud. It's so serious and significant. And the Chargers are insane that it was downplayed. And when the New York Times comes in, elevates the story, you still have a lot of people on the right who are frustrated with a lack of, I think, understandably frustrated with a lack of media coverage prior to the New York Times coming in. And that happens so often. The New York Times comes in, elevates a story.

57:25Springfield, Ohio, is a really good example. And then people on the right will go berserk in response to that. And it completely shifts the conversation to something different. And that's what with Nick Shirley is because a YouTuber who went around with a DJI mic and an iPhone with a couple of security dudes and was just like knocking on doors, didn't have presumably didn't have like an editor or a fact checker or anything like that. He put out a 40-minute YouTube video that was, like, fairly entertaining and caught, like, wildfire. And that's now the tone setting in politics. Like, that's how the conversation is getting set going forward.

58:04And there's just nothing that we can – like, that's how it is. It's the way it goes. Yeah. That's the last thing I'll say that's been irritating me as well is I see all these posts that are like, where's the mainstream media coverage? I'm like, this literally all started because of a New York Times piece. like y 'all weren't doing anything on this until the New York like the establishment outlet wrote this piece and then I've also seen all these oh look at all these outlets that haven't covered it and then you go and look and they have um and you know a bunch like there's a bunch of videos now local news even Barry Weiss's CBS local news on it the CNN piece and like a bunch of these outlets have gone out now to be like okay well what's really going on here but because those outlets aren't feeding the narrative that they want, then they discount that.

58:55Like, that doesn't count because you're not just, you know, feeding into this smear campaign that we want to see here. Well, I think he's the Andrew Callahan, the right. I think it's incredible that the right now has an ugly guy doing man on the street stuff, uncovering. So I'm excited for the next investigation and the next national news story from Nick Shirley. Anything else that we need to cover in this hour here, Crystal? Anything you're dying to get off your chest? Yeah, I am dying to get a little bit into this billionaire meltdown just because I've been somewhat involved with it. So if we could.

59:34All right. Drama alert. Yeah, drama alert. Crystal's a billionaire. Yeah, I'm a billionaire and I'm in Melting Town. So David Sachs here says, as a response to socialism, Miami will replace NYC as the finance capital and Austin will replace SF as the tech capital. It's funny because Miami just elected a Democrat as mayor, too. So that's LOL. And Austin is always Democratic, but whatever. Anyway, this is all in response to, OK, there is a possibility that there may be a ballot proposal on the ballots in California about a 5 percent well taxed to be paid over five years. And it's a coalition of unions who are pushing this.

1:00:19And so Ro Khanna, who knows a lot of these guys, you know, David Sachs has actually hosted fundraisers for Ro Khanna, came out and was like, this is good. And I support it. Cue an absolute meltdown from these dudes. And I think it's because it's Ro and because he represents Silicon Valley and because, like I said, they know him. It feels like more of a betrayal. Like, I think if AOC said something similar, I don't think they would really care. But because it's Roe, they're like losing their minds over it. And then what you have up here, I think, is you now have a bunch of these tech billionaires who, very Ackman style, are coming out online to announce that they're going to put all this money together to try to unseat Roe.

1:01:06And they say primary him. I mean, California has a jungle primary. So they don't really have primaries. Whatever. They want to challenge him. Right. this is going to be unsuccessful but um they're throwing a complete temper tantrum about it and so you know there's threats that they're going to leave the state and they're going to go to austin or they're going to go to miami and the whole deal here's an account saying well this guy's martin cassado he says roe has done a speed run alienating every moderate i know who supported him including myself beyond being totally out of touch with that faction of his base he's devolved into an obnoxious jerk.

1:01:41At least that makes voting him the fuck out all the more gratifying. And the reply here says, time to primary him. Count me in. Happy to be involved at any level. Yeah. There was one of these, I can't remember who it was from, that was like, he's just acting like a full-on Bernie bro now. And I'm like, my brother, my brother in Christ, he was literally co-chair of Bernie Sanders' campaign. Like, what are we talking about here? And they're happy to, your point about David Sachs hosting fundraisers for Roe and then talking about Miami and Austin, relatively blue places, Austin in particular, they didn't care about that when they thought Democrats were on their side.

1:02:23I mean, as the case was so many of them, they believed that they could kind of co-opt Democrats and then realized that basically Trump was much, much easier to co-opt. Was it Chamath who basically said that to who was it? It was like Pete Buttigieg or somebody who was on all in. He was like, I would try to call the Biden administration and get them to work with me and they weren't taking my calls. And it's just like, it's not about even like left or right. This is like such a, we're tying a bow on the whole episode here. It's about who gives them power and how they can be like strong players in the economy.

1:03:00And they believe in their core that they know what is best. And what's best is them having a ton of control in the marketplace. Yeah, they are deeply authoritarian people. I mean, they genuinely are. So they hated the Biden administration for regulating crypto. They hated the Biden administration's antitrust push. I mean, there was very little in terms of AI regulation that was actually done. But the little bit that was done, they absolutely hated it. They took it seriously. Yes. And then you also have these sort of series of personal grievances. I recommend you guys watch the interview I did with Jacob Silverman about his book, Gilded Rage, because he did all the fantastic reporting about these guys.

1:03:43You also have these personal things where, like, you know, they were pissed off that their employees were woke or in Elon's case, the fact that his son transitions to being, you know, a girl that really bothered him on a personal level. And then you have, I think it's Andreessen who's upset because his daughter goes to college and becomes a communist. So you have this sort of upset over being regulated combined with these sort of personal limitations on their power and domain over either their family members or their employees that leads to this absolute embrace of Trump. And so in any case, to take it back to California and Roe here, if you look at the polling on this, it's like 70 % of the country that thinks billionaires should be taxed more.

1:04:32It is an overwhelming consensus, not just among Democrats, among the entire country, that billionaires are not taxed enough and should be taxed more. Especially as AI is coming and the circles backed, you know what I was talking about early on and thinking about what is this going to mean for our society and what could a social contract look like that would actually work. The track we're on right now is to have a handful of trillionaires and everybody else basically like, you know, lamps of the slaughter, irrelevant, unneeded. That's where we're headed. And democracy can't survive that situation.

1:05:04There's just no doubt about that whatsoever. So in any case, this in the grand scheme of all of that is a very modest proposal, right? But the fact that it's even potentially on the table, again, this hasn't even made it on the ballot yet, but even potentially on the table, and that their representative in Silicon Valley would champion it has led to total meltdown. And so, you know, for me, it reminds me a little bit of why there was such a freak out about Zoran in New York. Not only is he confronting Capitol, but also on the, you know, that he's an avowed anti-Zionist. And there's this sense like, oh, you could never hold that position in New York City of all places.

1:05:47And so for Roe to hold this position in Silicon Valley of all places has a similar character and similar flavor. And it's why I think it's an important political political battle that is brewing here. I mean, when the 2017 tax cut was passed, this is how serious the Republican Party is about actual like closing loopholes and, you know, actually having a fair taxation system. Paul Ryan was out there talking about the proposal. It's long circulated on the right to get your taxes onto a postcard and essentially a version of the flat tax, some type of version of the flat tax. And it all – that obviously was not happening.

1:06:27It's all out the window. They have this generational opportunity to close loopholes and create a more fair taxation system. They then just repassed a version of that same bill and are expending no political capital to closing loopholes. There's a way – I mean I'm a flat tax person and we've talked about this before. But if you – I think if you – if these like libertarian business supermen were serious about populism and – which they're obviously not. But were serious about opposing elites, then you can do taxation in a way that closes loopholes and is still to them free market friendly. But nobody has any appetite.

1:07:11They might say, like, in the abstract, oh, that sounds good. But when push comes to shove and stuff's actually on the table, nobody ever, ever, ever, ever wants to do it. So you could even see momentum from the right to do something like a flat tax if you have all of this generational political capital. But we didn't. And I think that tells you what type of system people really prefer. Yeah. I mean, I hate to pay a flat tax, but we can fight about that another day because it's regressive, whatever. But your point, I mean, your point stands it. Here's one thing I replied to one of these guys. I don't even remember which one with.

1:07:46But I was like, listen, in a sense, Ro Khanna is like kind of trying to save your ass here. Like he calls a wealth tax an anti-revolution tax. And he's absolutely right. Like, do you think people are just going to stand by forever and watch you destroy their jobs, destroy their communities with your AI data centers, steal their water, hike their electric bills, and they're just going to take it forever? Like, no. I mean, this was the new deal. The deal in the new deal was that capital realized, okay, we're going to have to do something here or else we're going to end up with communists. Like, they're going to end up taking our shit.

1:08:26It's not going to be better for us if we don't do some sort of, you know, smoothing the rough edges of capitalism. And it's crazy to me that none of these guys see this. I mean, it really is genuinely insane to me that they don't recognize that if they don't cut the public in on the deal and they don't, they already have more money they could ever spend in a lifetime. Like, if you don't strike some sort of a balance here, it's going to be way worse for you in the long term. The public, and I'm not just talking about Democrats, like they hate you. They hate you. They think you are villains. Listen to, you know, listen to not only Democrats, listen to Steve Bannon.

1:09:06Listen to Nick Fuentes. Like there is a very broad, Tim Dillon. Look, there is a very broad coalition of people who, by the way, rightly see you as genuine villains and despise you. So in the grand scheme of things, like a 1 % for five years wealth tax or 5 % in five years wealth tax is such small potatoes. And so for me, that's the other part of this that's important is like it just shows you there is zero reckoning with that. Like even something that is a relatively in the grand scheme of things modest proposal, there's no like, oh, I don't think this is the right way to do it. Let's do this instead.

1:09:45It's just absolutely no. We will give you nothing. We will take our toys and leave. We will go. Some of them are like, we'll go to a different country. Zero loyalty. I don't buy it. Yeah. I don't either, by the way. I don't buy it at all. Because look what's happening in New York. It's like Lena Dunham. Yeah. After Zoran got elected, there were more luxury real estate sales, right? Because there's reasons people want to be in New York. There's reasons people want to be in Silicon Valley. Those things are going to persist. So while some, I mean, I don't. I got the Mamdani effect here from the independent.

1:10:16Sales of luxury homes spike in the Big Apple. Maybe there'll be a handful of like high profile people who very dramatically like take their toys and go the way Elon left for Texas or whatever. I don't put that. Yeah, I don't put that out of the question. But overall, is Miami going to become the finest? Like get out of town. Is Austin going to out to Silicon Valley in terms of tech investment? And not I mean, it's nowhere close to that. It's preposterous. It's a fantasy. So anyway, I think this is the fight that the Democratic Party needs to take on. And if they want to win back the trust of the people, if they want to be able to deliver meaningful change in the country and a genuine populism that's actually going to be beneficial and help to bring the country back together, these are the types of fights that they're going to have to take on.

1:11:08And, you know, Gavin Newsom, by the way, is on the other side of this, just to go back to Gavin Newsom, takes money from these guys, is raising money to oppose this ballot proposition, like, you know, is definitely on the wrong side of which way you would want the Democratic Party to go. But he mogs. But he does mog. So what are you going to do? You know, me and David Sachs, we're going to be in a Miami penthouse doing low grade amounts of meth to create a new finance capital of the world. Smashing your face with a hammer. Yeah. And while J.D. Vance gets a catastrophic amount of Ozempic shipped to his house, it's just going to be insane for J.D.

1:11:44the next couple of years. There's going to be another transformation. Well, folks, that's going to do it for our Friday episode. Oh, yeah. We're going to see something crazy before after. He's already had the transformation. The eyeshadow? Oh, the beard. The eyeshadow. He grew a beard. He lost probably like 30 pounds. He changed his name like five different times.

1:12:10Yeah. I mean, I think with JD, it's going to be tough for him because they bank so much on the vibes, you know, and like he does it. The vibes are not with JD, but we'll see. All right. Well, folks, the vibes are good here on January 2nd, 2026. We're excited for a big year. Anything else that we need to mention before we sign off and see you back in studio on Monday? Yeah, regular schedule next week, whether I'm prepared for that or not. That early wake-up call is going to be rough. So, you know, the real problems. These are the real problems that I'm facing in my life. You know who's ready for it?

1:12:47I bet Sagar is just waiting for his alarm to go off in the dark. You know he's so excited. Well, you know what? Now that he's a father, you start to, like, work becomes easy once you have kids. Because parenting is so much harder. So he probably is looking forward to like, can I get away from this baby for a little bit of time? Just like, let me go and be an adult for a little bit of time. I love it. And to the audience, we're so grateful for you. We hope you're having a great start to the new year. And in the comments of this video, let us know what you want us to cover this year. Anything that you think that we haven't covered enough, things that you'd like us to look into, things on the horizon.

1:13:27We're interested to hear what you think as well. And that'll do it for us. We'll see you all Monday. Bye-bye.

1:13:36This show contains information subject to, but not limited to personal takes, rumors, not so accurate stats, and plenty more. What's up, man? This your boy Nav Green from the Broken Play Podcast. Look, it's the end of the season. The playoffs are here. But guess what? It ain't the end of your season. You can always tune in with Broken Play Podcast with Nav Green on the Black Effect Podcast Network. Not a team who ain't going to the playoffs. They're chief. It's time to rebuild. Listen to Broken Play with Nav Green from the Black Effect Podcast Network on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

1:14:08This is Ryder Strong, and I have a new podcast called The Red Weather. In 1995, my neighbor, Anna Traynor, disappeared from a commune. It was nature and trees and praying and drugs. No, I am not your guru. Back then, I lied to everybody. They have had this case for 30 years. I'm going back to my hometown to uncover the truth. Listen to The Red Weather on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Back in 2016, we said, let's do a podcast. Little did we know it would last 10 years. I mean, but here's the thing. Stay out of the forest. You're in a cult. Call your dad.

1:14:49This is terrible. Keep going. You guys stay sexy. Don't get murdered. Elvis, do you want a cookie? A cookie? My Favorite Murder turns 10 this month Join us for new episodes every Thursday On the Exactly Right Network Listen to My Favorite Murder on the iHeartRadio app Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts Goodbye This is an iHeart Podcast Guaranteed Human

From the publisher

The team ushers in the new year with a look at Zohran's inauguration in NYC, male influencer Clavicular telling Michale Knowles JD Vance is too ugly to vote for in 2028, conservative influencer Nick Shirley's viral video on Minnesota daycares getting fact checked, and Ro Khanna triggers a Tech Billionaire meltdown over a proposed wealth tax.

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