In short
Podcast Summary: Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar (1/8/26)
Episode Overview In this episode, Krystal Ball and Saagar Enjeti discuss pivotal geopolitical issues, focusing on Donald Trump's controversial comments regarding Venezuelan oil, potential military actions in Iran, and the substantial decline in Blackstone's stock due to new home investment policies.
Key Discussions
- Trump's Comments on Venezuelan Oil
- Indefinite Control of Venezuelan Oil:
- Trump suggests that the U.S. will effectively run Venezuelan oil operations indefinitely.
- Secretary of Energy states the U.S. will control revenues from Venezuelan oil to benefit the Venezuelan people.
- Historical Context:
- Krystal and Saagar highlight historical parallels with colonization and express skepticism about the feasibility of such control.
- The potential for local resistance is emphasized, pointing to the ineffectiveness of direct foreign control in the past.
- Oil Industry Implications:
- Oil companies require guarantees for investment and predict that the U.S. government will need to manage security concerns, potentially leading to military involvement.
- There are questions about whether the Venezuelan public will accept this arrangement without significant local control over resources.
- Iran and U.S. Military Threats
- Trump’s Threat to Iran:
- Discussion about Trump's warning to Iran regarding their treatment of protesters and the potential for military action.
- Expert Insights:
- Dr. Trita Parsi indicates that U.S. and Israeli interests may drive further military engagement in Iran, potentially mirroring actions taken in Venezuela.
- The notion that regime change in Iran could be easily accomplished is critiqued as overly simplistic.
- Oil as a Strategic Resource:
- The strategic implications of controlling oil resources in both Venezuela and Iran are explored, linking them to broader U.S. foreign policy goals.
- Blackstone's Stock Decline
- Investment Policy Changes:
- The drop in Blackstone's stock (9%) is attributed to new policies in home investments, which aim to limit corporate ownership of residential properties.
- Housing Market Analysis:
- Discussion on how large institutional investors can dominate local housing markets, impacting affordability for individuals and families.
- Policy Recommendations:
- Krystal and Saagar advocate for policies emphasizing that homes should be for living, not financial speculation.
- Broader Implications on U.S. Foreign Policy
- The conversation delves into the implications of military spending and the relationship between military actions and foreign oil interests.
- Trump’s proposed military budget increase of $1.5 trillion raises questions about priorities and potential corruption in defense spending.
Key Takeaways
- Execution of Foreign Policy: The reliance on military intervention and foreign control of resources reflects outdated and potentially harmful strategies.
- Local Resistance: Historical context suggests that attempts at controlling foreign regions and resources are often met with resistance and can lead to prolonged conflicts.
- Housing as a Fundamental Right: The conversation reaffirms the importance of housing affordability and the danger of corporate monopolization in the housing market.
Conclusion This episode of Breaking Points offers a critical analysis of current geopolitical tensions surrounding oil in Venezuela and Iran, as well as the domestic implications of corporate housing investments. Krystal and Saagar navigate these complex issues, providing insights that challenge prevailing narratives and highlight the need for thoughtful policy reform.
For more in-depth discussions and analyses, listeners are encouraged to check out the full episode.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOU.S. Control Over Venezuelan Oil
2:24 to 3:56
Discussion on U.S. plans regarding Venezuelan oil and its implications.
“Turning now to Venezuela, some major comments from the Secretary of Energy about indefinitely running Venezuela's oil companies.”
Historical Context of U.S. Involvement
3:56 to 7:20
Analysis of historical contexts surrounding U.S. interventions and control.
“Cause this is the actual story is about the quote control indefinitely from the secretary of energy.”
The Complexities of Oil Nationalization
7:20 to 9:08
Exploring the pitfalls of U.S. control over Venezuelan oil resources.
“And I think Trump really believes that because he did this one successful like strike and kidnapping operation, that now he's just going to be able to very easily control all of Venezuela.”
Military Implications of Oil Control
9:08 to 11:12
Discussion on the military and political ramifications of controlling Venezuelan oil.
“And for some of those companies as well, they're not even sure that they want to get involved in that they're going to directly benefit too.”
Trump's Military Budget and Foreign Policy
11:12 to 14:00
Analysis of Trump's military budget proposals and their implications for foreign policy.
“It was an acknowledgment, as you just said, of being able to try and to do this in a different way while, though, retaining kind of the unelected bureaucratic class.”
Examining the Military Budget and Its Implications
14:00 to 16:40
Discussing the unprecedented military budget and its impact on governance and spending.
“OK, he just became the first president ever to get a trillion dollar military budget.”
The Hypocrisy of Military Spending and Warfare
16:40 to 20:40
Analyzing the contradictions in U.S. military spending and the implications of foreign interventions.
“But the very idea that money equals more is the problem, in my opinion.”
Trump's Approach to Oil and Geopolitical Power
20:40 to 22:00
Delving into Trump's foreign policy decisions regarding oil and implications for U.S. dominance.
“He stood trial for murder and got acquitted.”
Threats and Miscalculations: U.S. vs. Iran
22:20 to 27:00
Exploring the risks of U.S. threats to Iran and Trump's perception of military interventions.
“And this does tie into the very lengthy discussion Sagar and I had at the beginning of the show about ICE.”
The Dynamics of Nuclear Programs and Regional Dominance
27:00 to 28:07
Discussing the implications of Iran's nuclear capabilities and Israel's strategic interests.
“Remember, Iraq looked as a success up until August of 2003 when they blew up the UN building in the middle of that press conference that was being held and the insurrection really started.”
Show all 16 chapters
Israel's Security vs. Dominance
28:07 to 29:59
Explore the complexities of Israel's security strategy and its impact on regional stability.
“And their ability to deter Israel, to challenge Israel's domination, challenge or minimize or reduce Israel's maneuverability.”
Impact of Protests on U.S. Foreign Policy
30:00 to 31:38
Discuss the influence of protests in Iran on U.S. perceptions and potential military actions.
“And I think that's part of the reason also we're seeing that the protests are continuing.”
Housing Policy and Economic Implications
32:11 to 34:34
Analyze the implications of housing policies in the context of economic barriers and American dreams.
“I will discuss this topic, including further housing and affordability proposals and more at my speech in Davos in the next two weeks.”
The Role of Corporations in Housing
36:47 to 42:00
Delve into the impact of corporate ownership of housing on American society and homeownership.
“So at the very least, you don't want to give credit where it's due.”
Housing Policy Discussion
42:00 to 44:18
Exploring the importance of housing as homes rather than financial assets.
“So I do think it is very, very important.”
Reflections and Show Transitions
44:18 to 45:07
Hosts reflect on the previous segment and preview upcoming content.
“And we're going to move the stuff we were going to do in the latter half of the show.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed Human.
0:31aka neurolinguistic programming. Is it a self-help miracle, a shady hypnosis scam, or both? Listen to Mind Games on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Black history lives in our stories, our culture, and the conversations we still have in today. This Black History Month, the podcast I Didn't Know, Maybe You Didn't Either, digs into the moments, perspectives, and experiences that don't always make the textbook. Let me tell you about Garrett Morgan. Bruh had to pretend he didn't even exist just to sell his own invention. Listen to I Didn't Know. Maybe you didn't either.
1:09From the Black Effect Podcast Network, on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or simply wherever you get your podcasts. I didn't know.
1:211969. Malcolm and Martin are gone. America is in crisis. At a Morehouse College, the students make their move. These students, including a young Samuel L. Jackson, locked up the members of the Board of Trustees, including Martin Luther King Sr. It's the true story of protest and rebellion in Black American history that you'll never forget. I'm Hans Charles. I'm Menelik Lumumba. Listen to The A-Building on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey guys, Sagar and Crystal here. Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, and we are so excited about what that means for the future of this show.
1:59This is the only place where you can find honest perspectives from the left and the right that simply does not exist anywhere else. So if that is something that's important to you, please go to BreakingPoints.com, become a member today, and you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad-free, and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. We need your help to build the future of independent news media, and we hope to see you at BreakingPoints.com.
2:24Turning now to Venezuela, some major comments from the Secretary of Energy about indefinitely running Venezuela's oil companies. He was confronted on it on Capitol Hill. Here's what he had to say. Narrative in Venezuela that you are stealing our oil. I have not heard that narrative. I've seen celebrations in the street, Libre Venezuela out. I think people are thrilled they've lived under, between Chavez and Maduro, 26 years in a brutal dictatorship that's only devastated that country and hurt the whole hemisphere. So I've not heard that narrative at all. And of course, if it's that narrative is out there, it's untrue.
2:59We're just controlling the flow of revenues from their oil. We're just controlling the flow of revenue from their oil. We're not taking over. The celebration thing too. Yeah. See, this is why we focused on it. Yeah, that's right. Because, you know, people, I got an email. Why did you guys care so much about the celebrations? I'm how this stuff works is that it goes into people. Oh, didn't you see the video of people in Buenos Aires or whatever? We're in Miami and Doral. It's like, yeah, uh, on the streets of Venezuela, very, very different. It's like armed dudes who are going, trying to round up anybody who actually did celebrate.
3:37And then a lot of people who are actively angry that this all happened. So a little bit different. Yeah. People's phones are getting checked by like, you know, armed militias to see if they sent any text message that was supportive of Maduro being kidnapped. So yeah. So, um, you know, not, not great to be in the opposition there right now. Totally. Let's put the next one up here. Cause this is the actual story is about the quote control indefinitely from the secretary of energy. He says that after the United States will sell Venezuelan oil after completing sales of the crude currently accumulated that are currently in storage, it will then be deposited into accounts controlled by the US government, which will then flow back into Venezuela to benefit the Venezuelan people.
4:20Instead of the oil being blockaded, we're going to let the oil flow to US refineries and around the world to bring better oil supplies, but those have to be done by the US government. We're going to market the crude, first this backed up stored oil, and then definitely going forward, sell the production that comes out of Venezuela into the marketplace. I mean, arguably, that is the most important and direct, effectively nationalization of the entire venezuelan oil industry trump is saying for now that the venezuelans have basically agreed to this they haven't confirmed any of it per se and it may work you know in the interim with the stored up amount of oil and the limited amount of capacity the big question is going to be i mean and i think this is one where look it is possible but are the venezuelan people just really going to take this like it just seems very unlikely if you look at the entire history of colonization and of everything, that unless that they're not only in control, but they're getting a pretty significant amount of revenue, that this is not going to be a longstanding arrangement.
5:22And reportedly, you know, yesterday, Trump sat for some four hour interview with The New York Times. He said we could stay there for years down in Venezuela, setting up, by the way, no democratic transition, more likely kind of solidification of the current Maduro regime under Delce Rodriguez and the security apparatus. So that means more repression. But yeah, it just seems so completely untenable. You're only in power for three more years. He even acknowledged it's going to take years to build out the oil infrastructure of the country, to even marginally increase it from its very low production of where it is right now.
5:58And then you just have the general instability of trying to run this country by proxy from Washington. And yes, the immediate sanctions relief, it will be a boon to the Venezuelan economy immediately because sanctions have what – I mean ultimately what crushed their oil industry and crushed them. So maybe they will be OK with it. But more broadly, I mean you are literally looking at a lifting the sanction and a nationalization of their entire oil industry and selling it going forward. Just historically, again, most countries just don't sit there and take it. I mean would you take it? Would I take it?
6:35I probably wouldn't. And most people wouldn't either. There's a reason why this kind of direct colonization went out of fashion. And it's not because the great powers decided out of the goodness of their hearts that this wasn't something that they wanted to do anymore. They couldn't afford it. There was too much local resistance. And so they moved to a more modern technology of colonization where it's like, OK, well, we'll use these other financial levers, especially the United States of America, which set up all of this post-war financial infrastructure and the international institutions to benefit us.
7:04So it's like, oh, we can get all the benefits of the extraction without having to own all of the like local tumult and deal with these uprisings, etc. So in effect, we're going back to this like very retrograde technology, which is completely outdated. And I think Trump really believes that because he did this one successful like strike and kidnapping operation, that now he's just going to be able to very easily control all of Venezuela. And that just seems insane. I mean, that seems like a complete and utter fantasy. The world does not work in this very simple way. You think just because you did this one action, that's going to be enough to compel the behavior of this state indefinitely?
7:50Not to mention, you know, then there's the other piece of this, too, which is any oil company that, you know, is wanting is being offered the chance to go into Venezuela. They're asking the government for guarantees and for financing, taxpayer financing for the build out that would be required because the infrastructure is so degraded, because it would take so, you know, such a significant amount of investment, billions and billions of dollars over years to bring significant Venezuela pumping capacity back online. so there's just a lot of pitfalls here a lot of pitfalls and a lot of questions i mean the other question is there were reports that they wanted to whatever revenue is brought in they don't want to put it in the u.s treasury they want to hold it in private bank accounts um that trump can deny that that trump can i mean who knows well they sort of they they actually didn't directly deny it um but that you know so who has control over that again like there seems to be this fantasy that we, the American people, are going to own this.
8:51We are going to benefit directly. And, you know, it's possible there's some reduction of prices at the pump or something. But this is largely for the benefit of elites. This is like, you know, a seizure for the benefit of like ExxonMobil and Paul Singer and Citgo and whoever else stands, you know, at the top of the chain to really benefit from this. And for some of those companies as well, they're not even sure that they want to get involved in that they're going to directly benefit too. The key point is, and I saw this today, is that oil companies who are expected to meet at the White House tomorrow are like, we need a multi-year guarantee, multi-year guarantee, and that foreign policy won't change, which you can't expect that from the current administration because that literally doesn't, in fact, you can't really expect that from any administration unless Congress literally were to declare that we are going to finance this operation indefinitely.
9:45You know, I was thinking about this in kind of the interesting way. One of the reasons that one of the things that usually happens when you explicitly decide you need to be an empire like we did after World War II. Well, what do you need to run an empire? You need a permanent bureaucracy by definition. It's called the State Department, the CIA, the Defense Department. You need a vast array of people who don't change. This is what happened in the British Empire. The government may change, liberal or conservative, but the empire itself was always explicitly managed. It's just that the governance departments at the very, very top would occasionally change hands.
10:21But the build-out of that bureaucracy and of that deep state of what we've long, I think, left and now right, are kind of united against, is the very idea of a permanent bureaucracy which works against the interest of its people, which wants to enrich itself, which wants to run faraway lands into metal. Ultimately, that is kind of entrenching the very thing that Trump originally was running against, the idea of the swamp and of the deep state. And that's why one of the reasons that arch nationalists in the past were deeply skeptical of colonization. They used to say, we can have a republic or we can have an empire, but you can't have both because what they were watching was the very way that the aristocracy in britain would use the empire to solidify its control over the domestic population and to run it and to enrich it for itself and i think that that is ultimately one of the reasons why the way that we would traditionally run empire like you're saying you know it look you know to deny we're an empire is ridiculous obviously with foreign outposts and and uh preferential trade deals or you know international norms which are totally fake and only enforced to the benefit of the U.S., it's not just about that per se.
11:34It was an acknowledgment, as you just said, of being able to try and to do this in a different way while, though, retaining kind of the unelected bureaucratic class. And I think looking at this, it's going to solidify more of this idea where the Secretary of Energy is now trying to of our energy is trying to manage the Venezuelan oil supply. And in general, all this leads to is more enmeshment and more problems. So, for example, when the Venezuelan or when the oil companies, the U.S. oil companies say, we need a guarantee of the safety of our people. Well, who's going to do that? It's not going to be the Venezuelan military.
12:10It would have to be the U.S. military. Or let's say initially it is the Venezuelan military. But then something happens. Not exactly the most competent folks, right? They just allow their president to be kidnapped, literally, and the most secure person in the country. So if they can't even defend them, and if you're an oil company, would you really want to trust those people? Well, that would lead perhaps to a U.S. person having to come. And that's exactly how the chain reaction goes. You know, I was thinking about Juan David Rojas, and he talked about Vietnam. And something everybody forgets about Vietnam, and this is what the Pentagon Papers actually showed, is it started under the Truman administration.
12:44Like it became a multi-administration, multi-decade long boondoggle before 500 ,000 troops just show up. Remember, it only starts with a few advisors. It starts with allowing a coup. It's exactly the chain reaction where it can take a decade, maybe even two, before these things start to materialize. And that's what we originally had learned, I think, through Iraq and Afghanistan. But we're right back to where we started. We defeated Iraq in three weeks with shock and awe. That wasn't the hard part. The hard part was trying to run the country. And even if you'd wanted to, quote, take the oil, you know, there are a lot of different ways that it could have gone bad, even in the initial kind of Trumpian view of occupation and of trying to run something for literally years to come, which he's declaring right now.
13:28Yeah. And that was actually crazy comments that he made to Joe Scarborough recently. It's like, well, the problem with Iraq was that we didn't take the oil. Well, he said that not. No, but not not that the problem is we went in at all. I mean, now he's like, yeah, it was all good, except we just didn't take the oil. It's like, what part of this do you think went well? I mean, we're still dealing with the fallout of having created ISIS and, you know, we've got the ISIS guy in charge of whatever. But to bolster your point, let's put B3 up on the screen. Trump is now saying he wants a$1.5 trillion military budget,$1.5 trillion.
14:04OK, he just became the first president ever to get a trillion dollar military budget. And that is an insane, extraordinary number, far beyond what any other country in the world spends on their military. Now he wants to up that by 50%. Just to put this in perspective, you guys remember Build Back Better and all of the social welfare programs, all that that entailed. That was going to add to the deficit like$400 billion over a decade. We're talking about$1.5 trillion. dollars. So the amount of tax dollars shifted into the military and that apparatus, I mean, that tells you everything about what his focus is and the way he wants to run the whole world.
14:46This is how he wants to operate. And so it's also why, I mean, listen, the hypocrisy thing is just like, you can't even make it up. Here they are talking about fraud. Meanwhile, this agency, of course, never passes an audit, cannot account for 61 % of their own assets. Okay. So much fraud and extortion throughout the defense department. Not to mention last year at this time, we were ramping up into Doge and Elon was about to run around with the chainsaw. Oh my God, we got to cut the debt. We got to cut the deficit. Not when it comes to waging random wars around the world for resource extraction.
15:19Yeah, the 1.5 trillion is just so insane. It's insane. Yeah, and this is, I've always said this, money does not, in fact, with the Defense Department, the more money, the less good that we actually seem to be. True. Like we become more hyper inefficient, more precise, I talked a lot about this yesterday in our show, we become this like F1 race car, which can just spend to spend instead of focusing on things like the B-17, things that are just easy, cheap to roll, but with vast production and scale that you can just pump off of the assembly line. That's how you win a war. Ammo, exactly, drone. You just roll it.
15:58And that is the literal opposite. And this is also, to my bureaucracy point, to effectively and properly spend$1.5 trillion, which would be double what we were spending just two years ago, So imagine the level of competence and staff that that would require to be able to come in and to be able to do that. And you would have to do this over a two year period as long as you're in office. And I guess potentially if your vice president wins the election, that that person could do it as well. But like this is exactly the problem. This is how you get not just runaway spending, but you get corruption.
16:35And yes, stock buybacks and executive compensation, which we'll talk about here in a little bit, that they're trying to crack down on is great. But the very idea that money equals more is the problem, in my opinion. Like everything should always be, here is what we actually need. Sometimes you need more. Sometimes it's actually about the supplier. It's about the prime contractors. It's about the industrial base. It's about lacking certain types of rare earth minerals or others that you may need in order to produce something. the question should come from necessity not from the top line number because now everybody in congress is just going to salivate over this and turn it into even more of some you know hyper exactly and it's like look we all ridiculed remember with ukraine the ukraine bill they're like well we're not sending it to ukraine we're sending it here and then we're going to send the weapons to ukraine so actually it'll be good for everyone here it's like well it usually doesn't work out that way as you, you know, and yes, setting executive compensation at 5 million.
17:33Good. I guess it seems like too much money to me, but all right,$5 million. It's anybody who's running a defense contract or a middle manager at a defense contracting company. But more importantly, I mean, just, you know, what I took away from this is repeating the follies of empire. Like these things fell apart usually for a reason. And maybe it was inevitable. I mean, I remember I was on Lex Freeman once, he's like, well, the American empire fall. And I was like, well, you know, a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everything. Yeah. Yeah. The survival rate for everything drops to zero, as they famously said in, uh, in fight club.
18:08But for this one, you can see that this explicit oil bureau, Venezuela, it repeats the very same problems that have always bedeviled people who try to do this. And, you know, the better option from the beginning just seems to have been make a deal with Maduro and buy it from him and then we don't have to run it, be responsible and now have to threaten to kill or any of that. He was governing fine. This is the modern way of extraction. That's the way it's done, right? Threaten and he'll make a deal, which he wanted to. He literally was able - And Paul Singer will get his payoff. He'll be able to get his Venezuelan oil into his Sitco refineries.
18:46You don't have to do this whole thing and now you break it, you own it. Okay, Teresa Parsi's standing by. Let's get to it. Welcome to the A-Building. I'm Hans Charles. I'm Menelik Lumumba. It's 1969. Malcolm X and Martin Luther King Jr. had both been assassinated, and Black America was out of breaking point. Rioting and protests broke out on an unprecedented scale. In Atlanta, Georgia, at Martin's alma mater, Morehouse College, the students had their own protest. It featured two prominent figures in Black history, Martin Luther King Sr. and a young student, Samuel L. Jackson. To be in what we really thought was a revolution.
19:26I mean, people were dying. 1968, the murder of Dr. King, which traumatized everyone. The FBI had a role in the murder of a Black Panther leader in Chicago. This story is about protest. It echoes in today's world far more than it should. And it will blow your mind. Listen to The A Building on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts What if mind control is real? If you could control the behavior of anybody around you what kind of life would you have? Can you hypnotically persuade someone to buy a car? When you look at your car you're going to become overwhelmed with such good feelings Can you hypnotize someone into sleeping with you?
20:09I gave her some suggestions to be sexually aroused Can you get someone to join your cult? NLP was used on me to access my subconscious NLP, a.k.a. Neuro Linguistic Programming, is a blend of hypnosis, linguistics, and psychology. Fans say it's like finally getting a user manual for your brain. It's about engineering consciousness. Mind Games is the story of NLP. It's crazy cast of disciples and the fake doctor who invented it at a New Age commune and sold it to guys in suits. He stood trial for murder and got acquitted. The biggest mind game of all? NLP might actually work. This is wild. Listen to Mind Games on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
20:56Hey, I'm Jay Shetty, host of the On Purpose podcast. On a recent episode, I sat down with Nick Jonas, singer, songwriter, actor, and global superstar. The thing I would say to my younger self is, congratulations, you get to marry Priyanka Chopra Jonas. and also you know your daughter's incredible that's beautiful man yeah thank you that's so beautiful i can see that got you a little yeah for sure our daughter she came to the world under sort of very intense circumstances which i've not really talked about ever growing up on disney in front of million how did that shape your sense of self i went blank i hit a bad note then i couldn't kind of recover.
21:39And I built up this idea that music and being a musician was my whole identity. I had to sort of relearn who I was if you took this thing away. Who am I? Listen to On Purpose with Jay Shetty on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. All right, guys, to talk more about geopolitics, especially with regard to the U.S. and Iran, we are joined by Dr. Trita Parsi, who, of course, is the executive vice president of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Politics and a friend of the show, probably a fan of the show too, but I meant to say friend of the show. It was great to see you.
22:15I appreciate it. Good to see you as well. So let's go ahead and start with this truth from President Trump threatening Iran where there are ongoing protests. And this does tie into the very lengthy discussion Sagar and I had at the beginning of the show about ICE. He says, if Iran shoots and violently kills peaceful protesters, which is their custom, the United States of America will come to their rescue. We are locked and loaded and ready to go. Thank you for your attention to this matter, President Donald J. Trump. So, you know, how serious do you take these threats? How serious do you think the Iranian government takes these sorts of threats?
22:48I think the Iranian government would be extremely mistaken if it didn't take it seriously that both the United States and Israel are likely to strike Iran. I think, you know, we've spoken about this before as well. The Israelis did not finish the job from their standpoint in June, even though Trump said that he had obliterated the program. It was never just about the program. So the Israelis are very much likely to go forward. But I think the result of the December meeting that Netanyahu had with Trump is not only that they got a green light. It seems like Trump actually was convinced to take the lead on this, or at least take a big part of it, which is unlike what happened in the summer, in which initially the U.S.
23:28had a defensive role in terms of shooting down Iranian missiles, but then later on stepped in more further into the war itself by taking out the Iranian Fordo plan. But this time around, it looks as if he has been convinced, just looking at who he's hanging out with, he's on the airplane with Lindsey Graham, etc., using that language, posing with hats of make Iran great again, it would be a mistake for the Iranians not to take this very seriously, I would say. Dr. Parsi, I'm curious here. One of the things that has come out is Trump's own infatuation with the Midnight Hammer operation and now with the successful rendition of Nicolas Maduro.
24:05How does that play into his expectation or what the Israelis are telling him about possible action against Iran versus the reality of what something like that would look like? I think what has happened here is that Trump is quite surprised and quite euphoric about the success, the military aspect of Venezuela. And that has now skewed his risk assessment of what other operations that may be tremendously different and far more difficult, mindful of the fact that it is in a completely different geography, what that may be. But I think he looks as if he is now thinking that, well, this was easy. Why don't we do more of it?
24:44In fact, he said, why don't we do more of it? And I think in combination with the fact that you are seeing a very determined campaign to portray the Iranians as weak as possible, to then convince him this is not going to be difficult. You just need to do a little push, the regime will fall, etc. I think it's important to recognize that Trump doesn't seem to have a real commitment to oppose war or to oppose regime change. He has a real commitment to things that he thinks are costly and complicated and won't make him look good. But if you can convince him that the war will be easy, if you can convince him that regime change will be easy, then I don't think he has a tremendous amount of resistance.
25:23And I think what we've seen in the last two weeks or so is a very significant campaign to make it look as easy as possible in order to get Trump in on it himself. Some of the analysis I've seen, Dr. Parsi, directly does connect the strike and kidnapping of Maduro in Venezuela and the, you know, takeover of Venezuelan oil with potential war with Iran because the idea being, OK, well, then we'll have control of more oil reserves. We don't have to worry if there are implications in terms of the oil trade regionally in the Middle East. Do you read it that way? Do you think that is part of the calculus for why we, you know, did this insane thing in Venezuela?
25:58I think oil is a huge part of the calculation here. I don't think it is for this reason. Getting Venezuelan oil, which is a very different kind of oil than what the Iranians have, requires completely different type of refineries, etc. You're not going to be able to just stabilize the oil markets because you have Venezuelan oil pumping. First of all, it's going to take quite some time for that to be able to really get on the market. So I don't think there is... You think Trump knows that, though? Well, that's a different question. It's a very, very different question. But I do think that oil does have a central role in the calculation behind Venezuela.
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26:31This is, as I understand their reasoning, which is that this gives the United States greater control over the oil markets down the road, not immediately. And that is a critical thing they believe in terms of competition with China. Now, setting aside the complete illegality of it, the complete immorality of it, as well as relying on a very best case scenario reading of this. because it's one thing to do a military operation. It's a completely different thing to make sure that this actually works out in the long run. Remember, Iraq looked as a success up until August of 2003 when they blew up the UN building in the middle of that press conference that was being held and the insurrection really started.
27:13Up until that point, there was euphoria. And everyone thought, oh, this is so successful. We had mission accomplished. Same thing with Afghanistan. Same thing with Libya. We're still in that initial phase. Well, what, day eight or so? Making judgments on that, which I do fear the administration is making, particularly Trump himself, is a huge mistake. Dr. Parsi, one of the things I've seen move from Israel is a line about the Iranian nuclear program. They're now turning it into talk of ICBMs. I know that that was very important at the December meeting. Could you just explain that a little bit to the audience, the moving of the goalpost to try and get the bombing of Iran to restart?
27:49Yeah, I think it's a very important question, Sagar, because it also shows that this, at the end of the day, was not ultimately about the nuclear program. The nuclear program is a very important part of it. But what it ultimately is about is the balance in the region and the ability of Iran or any country in the region that Israel deems hostile. In the case of Iran, of course it is. And their ability to deter Israel, to challenge Israel's domination, challenge or minimize or reduce Israel's maneuverability. A nuclear program, a latent nuclear leverage that the Iranians had, or an actual nuclear weapons program, obviously would be a challenge to them.
28:26But that's not the only thing. Also, if the Iranians have missiles that actually can reach Israel and are effective enough to be able to penetrate Israel's defense shields, that too is a limitation to Israel's domination in the region. And that gets to the core of the matter here. It is not about security for Israel. It's about securing Israel's dominance. not actual security, but dominance. But that's because the Israelis believe that they can only have security through dominance, not through balance, not through coexistence, not through the management of threat with others. And the ultimate logic of that means in order for Israel to feel safe in the region, it needs to have total security and everyone else needs to have total insecurity vis-a-vis Israel.
29:09That's part of the reason we're also now seeing tensions between Israel and Turkey, because Turkey is getting closer to what Israel now is craving out at this sphere of influence. Now, if the Israelis want to pursue this type of approach, which ultimately is not going to be successful in my view, that's one thing. But to have the United States pay for it and have the United States be the backstop for it is a completely different proposition. And that's then coming back to over here. What kind of decision do we make? Do we want to be the funders and the support system for an Israeli project of hegemony in the region?
29:41What's in it for the U.S.? Do you think, first of all, I'd love for you to talk a little bit about the protests, how widespread, what are the core issues? And then do you think that that has also helped to persuade Trump that, oh, it would be easy to just topple this regime in Iran? First of all, I think absolutely it had a huge impact on it because of the imagery. I mean, this is not a president that had necessarily moved that much by intelligence briefings, but the imagery. And I think that's part of the reason also we're seeing that the protests are continuing. They're actually not particularly large.
30:10Historically speaking, this is nothing compared to 2009. This is still smaller than 2017, definitely smaller than 2022 as well. They are important. They're not significant in any way, shape or form. But they're not at that level in which, you know, this talk that seems to be the buzz in the media that seems to be like, oh, the regime is on the verge of collapse, etc. I'm not seeing I'm speaking to folks every day inside of Iran, ordinary people as well as journalists and others that are plugged in. That is not the sense I'm getting. They're all talking about it. They're all seeing it. They oftentimes are in support of a lot of the different demands.
30:44Undoubtedly, I mean, this is a deeply, deeply unpopular regime. It was triggered by the currency crisis, which is very much connected to the sanctions because Iranians don't have access to their own funds. But it quickly went beyond that. But it is not in the major cities. It is in smaller places. It is not in huge numbers. But nevertheless, it does provide imagery that gives the impression that something, particularly if you're only looking at that image, you think that something much bigger is happening. And I think that has been a very deliberate strategy on the end of some people who want to push Trump in this direction, to use that in order to tell them, look, this is going to be so easy.
31:25And Lindsey Graham going over to him with a hat that says, make Yvonne great again, and he's posing with it. I'm not so sure that this is really thought through from Trump's. It seems to be very thought through from those who want to take advantage of the protest. Well, sir, that was very enlightening. Thank you very much for joining us. We appreciate it. Thank you so much for having me.
32:10more single family homes, and I will be calling on Congress to codify it. People live in homes, not corporations. I will discuss this topic, including further housing and affordability proposals and more at my speech in Davos in the next two weeks. Maybe not the venue that I would choose, but the policy I will take. The policy I will take. As I understand it, actually, this was a policy project that was very near and dear to Charlie Kirk's heart. And now as the president and his team are gearing up for the midterms, they understand that they have an affordability problem on their hands. This is the type of executive order that they want to make public.
32:50You will note, as he said, that he hopes that Congress codifies it. We can put the next one up on the screen. Senator Josh Hawley had said that, quote, this is a terrific idea, long overdue, I will gladly introduce this bill in the Senate. And what's kind of interesting is that the Trump administration knows it has a problem on their hands economically. They know that inflation, housing, many of these other things are hurting them at the potential ballot box for 2026, but also just the general minds of people. People understand very deeply that housing is like a major barrier for them and to their ability to have the American dream.
33:27Part of the reason why I think that there has been so much consternation around this idea of these large private equity companies or large like corporations owning and managing so much housing stock because it does make you feel like a slave you know to a bigger welcome to the a building I'm Hans Charles I'm Menelik Lumumba it's 1969 Malcolm X and Martin Luther King Jr. have both been assassinated and black America was at a breaking point rioting and protests broke out on an unprecedented scale In Atlanta, Georgia, at Martin's alma mater, Morehouse College, the students had their own protest. It featured two prominent figures in Black history, Martin Luther King Sr.
34:09and a young student, Samuel L. Jackson. To be in what we really thought was a revolution. I mean, people were dying. 1968, the murder of Dr. King, which traumatized everyone. The FBI had a role in the murder of a Black Panther leader in Chicago. This story is about protest. It echoes in today's world far more than it should. And it will blow your mind. Listen to The A-Building on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. What if mind control is real? If you could control the behavior of anybody around you, what kind of life would you have? Can you hypnotically persuade someone to buy a car?
34:53When you look at your car, you're going to become overwhelmed with such good feelings. Can you hypnotize someone into sleeping with you? I gave her some suggestions to be sexually aroused. Can you get someone to join your cult? NLP was used on me to access my subconscious. NLP, aka Neuro Linguistic Programming, is a blend of hypnosis, linguistics, and psychology. Fans say it's like finally getting a user manual for your brain. It's about engineering consciousness. Mind Games is the story of NLP, its crazy cast of disciples, and the fake doctor who invented it at a New Age commune and sold it to guys in suits.
35:32He stood trial for murder and got acquitted. The biggest mind game of all? NLP might actually work. This is wild. Listen to Mind Games on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, I'm Jay Shetty, host of the On Purpose podcast. On a recent episode, I sat down with Nick Jonas, singer, songwriter, actor, and global superstar. The thing I would say to my younger self is congratulations. You get to marry Priyanka Chopra Jonas. And also, you know, your daughter's incredible. That's beautiful, man. Yeah, thank you. That's so beautiful. I can see that got you a little...
36:11Yeah, for sure. Our daughter, she came to the world under sort of very intense circumstances, which I had not really talked about ever. Growing up on Disney in front of a million, how did that shape your sense of self? I went blank. I hit a bad note, then I couldn't recover. And I built up this idea that music and being a musician was my whole identity. I had to sort of relearn who I was if you took this thing away. Who am I? Listen to On Purpose with Jay Shetty on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Economic system. So at the very least, you don't want to give credit where it's due.
36:50Hopefully it does become policy. But I do think at a smaller level, this is also a victory for shows like ours and for a lot of other people on the internet. you and I talked about this on our very first or first week, I believe, of breaking points. So almost five years ago at this time, just to give people an idea of like, this has been at the center. I think the forefront of online politics, things like this, things like stock buybacks. And I do think the audience and others, you know, you guys are the ones who deserve credit because you made it into a thing and now it's bubbled. It's up all the way to the White House.
37:26So I think I actually think it's a good story. If Trump just did stuff like this, he would have like a 70 percent of 90 percent like i don't know about 90 percent right but 70 just because of partisanship but he would be wildly popular i mean it's it the thing is i don't think the american people expect you to like have a magic wand and fix everything and look is this gonna fix everything no in housing market no but at least it gives a sense of like i am focused on this i i am not just making venezuela great again i am doing netanyahu's bidding and like thinking of bombing 10 other countries, I actually, I hear your concerns and I'm doing something and something that, you know, a wealthy, powerful interests in this country are not going to be happy about.
38:09So look, all the caveats, we'll see what happens if it comes to, you know, he can't do it really through an executive order. It would have to go through Congress. You're going to have lots of lobbying from a lot of well-heeled institutions that will be, you know, funneling money to a bunch of Republicans in particular, since they're in control, but plenty of Democrats to make sure that this never happens. So there's still a long way to go before we get this. But you know, this the idea, yes, let's do it. And look, I don't want to understate because there's a lot of like, oh, you know, I think overall permanent capital only owns like 1 % of the housing stock, etc.
38:46But if you look at D4, there are certain places in the country where this is there's been a concentrated effort and it has had a real impact. So put D4 up on the screen, guys, this is the map. You can see actually Florida is one of the hotspots for this sort of buying up of housing. So you can see areas in the country where it's fairly concentrated activity. And the thing is, when you have these large institutional investors come in, they can pay in all cash and they can just come in and it's like not a hassle. And so even if they're not outbidding you, they're able to do this with such ease and with cash up front that it's very appealing for a lot of sellers.
39:25So you will no longer have that particular entity competing with you in the housing market if this all actually comes to pass. That's right. Let's put the next one up there on the screen, D5, about the stock hit. Blackstone took a huge hit there, 9 % drop immediately with this announcement. This is exactly what I would like to see. And to bolster your point, it's very disingenuous just for people to say, oh, only 1%. It's like, guys, it also matters by population, where people live, how it shapes the market. By the way, keep in mind, that graphic you put up was only people who own 100 single family homes, 100.
40:03So if you own even 20, I mean, think about what a large landlord that you already are. You're rolling in it from that point forward. So it is totally belies the point. And it's very obvious housing has been a play for a lot of these from small to giant private equity giants that they've been getting involved in. Griffin actually found a good one as well. Can we put D3 up there on the screen? What you can see in front of you is it's not just it's single family homes, but 9 % of residential land. And it's well understood that land and the connection to the housing market is deeply connected, not only in terms of speculation, but literally the ability to buy.
40:42And what you can see in front of you are so many different localities, which have a significant population, especially in the city of New York. I mean, these are very populous places, a lot of places in Florida, some of the growing areas there in the United States. So I think that the people, cause I've seen quite a bit of Yimby, uh, critique of this. There's like an abundance kind of idea that actually it's a good thing for more housing stock and, or for more, for more money to be involved in housing. But like, this has always been my critique of that movement is it belies individuality, Americanness, pursuit of the American dream, and of that ability to attain wealth.
41:20It's not just a place where you park your bag, you know, put your bags. It's a place where you raise your children. And it also gives you at least a bit of a, you know, lift into being able to attain some level of wealth and potential forced savings and accumulation over a long period of your life, which is ultimately why the house in and of itself is such an important financial asset. It's not just, you don't invest in it or buy one simply, you know, just because you have to have a place to live. You have to have one and it's a forced savings mechanism, which over a period of time can appreciate marginally that you own equity in that can then propel you to a next or a different step, potentially if you want to pass it on to your children or any of that.
42:02So I do think it is very, very important. Good policy. Hope it actually becomes a thing. I hope so too. And And I like the sentiment that people live in houses, not corporations. And if we can get that ethos, you know, that's a real start in terms of sort of, you know, really focusing on what houses are supposed to be about. They're not just for financial speculation. It's supposed to be about, you know, people actually living there. So we'll give them credit on this one. Let's do the defense contractor one quickly, just because I think it's interesting. D2, can we put that up there on the screen, guys?
42:30This was a truth that the president put out.
42:42He said,
43:04until such time as these problems are rectified. Likewise, for salaries and executive compensations, military equipment is not being made fast enough. So, you know, look, I think this is, you know, banning stock buybacks for defense companies, capping their salary. We'll remember the outrage, Crystal, during the Great Recession when Wall Street gave all of its guys bonuses immediately after bailouts. Like you said, if you could just do stuff like this, it would be great it really would yeah absolutely um and not up the defense budget to 1.5 trillion dollars which is right yeah we can talk about that we'll probably put that unfortunately their stocks did surge because of that uh and not uh and did not take a hit as a result of this yeah 1.5 trillion i'm more skeptical of this one just because first of all there's no way in hell congress would pass something like that not a defense industry has congress on lock um and And number two, you know, OK, maybe direct compensation is five million.
44:02What about the stock packages, which is where they make most of their money? I don't know. We'll see. We'll see on this one. All right, guys, we broke a record for our a block and it was like an hour and a half. So we're not going to we're not going to be. But I think it was important to go deep on that one and evaluate all the angles. And I hope you guys appreciated that. And we're going to move the stuff we were going to do in the latter half of the show. You'll just have to wait for it in the Friday show. So Griffin is very excited to talk about Tony DeCobal. So he is not at all sad that we didn't get to CBS today.
44:32So now he gets to do it. And that's fine. Let's everybody hope and pray that this norovirus doesn't continue to make its way through my body. Thoughts and prayers, Dagar. Thoughts and prayers. Yeah. Thank you to everybody for watching the show. You know, look, I'm very thankful to be able to do it in times like this. I know it's very difficult, but I do think it's important. And I'll tell you this. You're definitely not going to see this anywhere else. Okay. which is all just blathering propaganda at other people, React videos to not actually talking to somebody who you disagree with. So I'm grateful to be able to do it with you today, Crystal.
45:05I wish I could have been there in studio. And thank you guys so much for watching, and we will see you all later.
45:24What if mind control is real? If you could control the behavior of anybody around you, what kind of life would you have? Can you hypnotically persuade someone to buy a car? When you look at your car, you're going to become overwhelmed with such good feelings. Can you hypnotize someone into sleeping with you? I gave her some suggestions to be sexually aroused. Can you get someone to join your cult? NLP was used on me to access my subconscious. Mind Games, a new podcast exploring NLP, aka Neuro Linguistic Programming. Is it a self-help miracle? A shady hypnosis scam? Or both? Listen to Mind Games on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
46:051969, Malcolm and Martin are gone. America is in crisis. And at Morehouse College, the students make their move. These students, including a young Samuel L. Jackson, locked up the members of the Board of Trustees, including Martin Luther King Sr. It's the true story of protest and rebellion in Black American history that you'll never forget. I'm Hans Charles. I'm Menelik Lumumba. Listen to The A-Building on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Black history lives in our stories, our culture, and the conversations we still have in today. This Black History Month, the podcast I Didn't Know, Maybe You Didn't Either, digs into the moments, perspectives, and experiences that don't always make the textbook.
46:51Let me tell you about Garrett Morgan. Bruh had to pretend he didn't even exist just to sell his own invention. Listen to I Didn't Know, Maybe You Didn't Either, from the Black Effect Podcast Network on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or simply wherever you get your podcasts. I didn't know. This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed human.
From the publisher
Krystal and Saagar discuss Trump says he will run Venezuelan oil forever, Trump Iran bombing likely, Blackstone stock craters after home investment ban.
Trita Parsi: https://x.com/tparsi?s=20
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