2/18/26: GOP Midterm Wipeout Polling, Zohran Rent Freeze Win, UAE Pressured On Sudan

18 Feb 2026 · 48 min · 24 chapters

Ask about this episode

Ask anything about it. ChatGPT or Claude reads this page and answers with the times it was said.

Connect VO and ask about every podcast you hear, including the moments you saved. Add to ChatGPT · Add to Claude

In short

Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

Episode Summary

2/18/26 - GOP Midterm Wipeout Polling, Zohran Rent Freeze Win, UAE Pressured on Sudan

Episode Overview In this episode, Ryan and Emily discuss the implications of recent polling data for the GOP concerning the midterm elections, the success of Zohran's efforts for a rent freeze in New York City, and the pressure being applied to the UAE regarding the conflict in Sudan.

---

Key Topics

  1. GOP Midterm Wipeout Polling
  2. Polling Insights: The latest polls indicate potential challenges for the GOP, with Democrats gaining ground in congressional races.
  3. Democratic Strategy: Democrats have effectively maneuvered government funding amid a government shutdown, retaining leverage over Republicans.
  4. Base Sentiment: A New York Times focus group reveals a strong preference for progressive candidates over moderates among Democratic voters, indicating a shift in party dynamics.
  1. Zohran's Rent Freeze Win
  2. Political Context: Zohran Mamdani's victory in instituting a rent freeze in New York City reflects a strong public demand for affordable housing.
  3. Challenges Ahead: Despite the win, concerns about the feasibility and long-term effects of rent control policies are discussed.
  4. Public Opinion: The rationale for rent freezes is equated to a broader dissatisfaction with the cost of living in New York City.
  1. UAE Pressured on Sudan
  2. Current Situation: Reports detail recent violence in Sudan, exacerbated by drone strikes that have resulted in civilian casualties.
  3. International Response: Pressure on the UAE is mounting from the U.S. and other nations due to their support of factions in the Sudanese conflict.
  4. Hope for Resolution: Discussion around proposed peace initiatives and the role of the UAE and other external actors in the ongoing violence.

---

Key Takeaways

  • Democratic Momentum: Recent polling suggests that Democrats are positioned to reclaim congressional seats, with public support favoring progressive stances.
  • Rent Control Debate: The rent freeze initiative raises important discussions about housing policy efficacy and the balance between immediate relief and long-term sustainability.
  • Geo-political Dynamics: The conversation about Sudan highlights the complexities of international politics and the significant impact of external influence in regional conflicts.

---

Pivotal Moments

  • Polling Data: The revelation that Kamala Harris could win against Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 rematch indicates shifting public sentiment.
  • Zohran Mamdani's Strategy: His ability to navigate the political landscape and fulfill a campaign promise has galvanized public support but also raises questions about implementation.
  • International Pressure: The dialogue surrounding the UAE's role in Sudan showcases the challenges of aligning diplomatic pressure with actionable change.

---

Conclusion This episode of Breaking Points captures the current political landscape in the U.S. and abroad, highlighting the intricacies of party dynamics, housing policies, and international relations. Ryan and Emily provide insightful commentary on these significant issues, emphasizing the need for responsive governance and proactive engagement with pressing societal challenges.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Government Shutdown and Democratic Strategy

1:14 to 2:21

Discussion on the government shutdown and the Democrats' maneuvering in funding.

“Over the last couple years, didn't we learn that the folding chair was invented by Black people because of what happened in Alabama?”

Impacts of Recent Events on DHS Funding

2:21 to 3:19

Exploration of how recent events and public sentiment affect DHS funding negotiations.

“Meanwhile, we're still technically in a government shutdown, Ryan.”

Democratic Base Demands and Police Reforms

3:19 to 4:38

Analysis of the Democratic base's demands related to police reforms and accountability.

“Dave Chappelle, let's put this up on the screen, was in Minnesota yesterday and visited a memorial to Alex Prattie.”

Debate on Body Cameras and Policing

4:38 to 6:00

Discussion on the effectiveness and implications of body cameras in policing reforms.

“What might Dems actually be willing to concede on this?”

Democratic Strategy on Immigration Enforcement

6:00 to 7:22

Discussion on the Democratic party's approach to immigration enforcement and public safety.

“So maybe that's something that the Democrats can claim a win on if they get the administration agreeing to supply almost everyone.”

Analysis of Voter Preferences and Democratic Identity

7:22 to 8:45

Exploration of voter preferences for progressive versus moderate candidates and the implications for the party.

“If your agency is so despised by the public that merely working in it is a threat to your family, the agency is the problem, not the people is what I would say.”

Polling Data and 2024 Election Reactions

8:45 to 10:40

Insight into recent polling data regarding potential candidates for the 2024 election and public opinion shifts.

“Do you remember in the 2008 democratic primary, it was a big deal for Hillary Clinton to identify herself as a progressive.”

Democratic Chances Ahead of 2026 Elections

10:40 to 12:58

Analysis of Democratic chances in the upcoming 2026 elections based on voter trends and polling.

“So let's let's roll Harry Enten and CNN here.”

Analyzing Current Polling Trends

14:00 to 15:47

A breakdown of polling trends affecting the GOP's chances in upcoming elections.

“Alaska goes like Mary Peltola wins this Alaska seat.”

Democrats' Favorability and Electoral Challenges

15:47 to 17:46

Discussion on the current favorability ratings of Democrats and the challenges they face in mobilizing voters.

“Republican favorability, Dem favorability, right now Dems are at negative 19.9.”
Show all 24 chapters

Historical Context of Midterm Elections

17:46 to 19:19

Exploration of past midterm elections and how disillusionment drives voter behavior.

“Like 2006, Democrats were not popular, but Bush was much more hated.”

Mamdani's Rent Freeze Proposal

22:10 to 25:52

Analysis of Mayor Mamdani's proposal to freeze rent and the political dynamics surrounding it.

“Speaking of love, Ryan, Mom Donnie, beloved by all, the man of the people.”

Challenges and Implications of a Rent Freeze

25:52 to 28:00

Discussion on the potential challenges and implications of implementing a rent freeze in NYC.

“But what it's going to do is bring relief to a lot of people in the short term.”

Challenges of Rent Control in NYC

28:00 to 29:16

Explore the implications of rent control policies and their effects on housing.

“That's kind of the problem with New York City to begin with.”

Mayor Mamdani's Approach to City Governance

29:16 to 31:04

Discusses Mayor Mamdani's fiscal strategies and governance changes in NYC.

“This is Mamdani doing a little bit of doge, because even before he was elected, he was the guy who was holding court, speaking fluent abundance in conversations with Derek Thompson.”

Public Trust and Government Efficiency

31:04 to 32:44

Analyzes the importance of public trust in effective governance and reform.

“Yeah, and the beauty of this to me is that it, and we had Christian Parenti on here saying the left needs to embrace some austerity.”

Handling Homelessness in NYC's Winter Crisis

32:44 to 36:01

Examines the political and ethical considerations in addressing homelessness during winter.

“So good for Mamdani for embracing this because, like, it's too easy to just to not do it.”

Mamdani's Response to Adverse Weather Events

36:01 to 38:00

Discusses how Mayor Mamdani is addressing challenges posed by severe weather and public safety.

“that I'm sure he's gonna get from New York City Press Corps about this because, listen, I think people actually respect when you are leveling with them as a politician.”

Recent Developments in Sudan's Conflict

41:03 to 42:07

Details the latest violence in Sudan and international responses to the situation.

“over a period of a couple days, killed upwards of 60 people, at least 26 of them civilians in West Kordofan.”

The Quartet and Peace Talks in Sudan

42:07 to 44:24

Learn about the ongoing peace talks involving the US, Egypt, UAE, and Saudi Arabia concerning Sudan.

“is putting forward a proposal to the kind of the quartet of countries that are kind of behind this war.”

International Pressure on the UAE

44:24 to 46:44

Explore the discussions about the UAE's role in the conflict and the need for increased international pressure.

“Most outside observers believe that this would have to wind up in a negotiated solution.”

Leverage and Arms Control

46:44 to 48:47

Understand the complexities of arms flows to Sudan and the leverage major powers have over the UAE.

“or those supporting the parties agree to it.”

The Need for a Sudanese Solution

48:47 to 51:25

Discuss the necessity of a Sudanese-led solution to end the conflict leveraging local dynamics.

“So what I'm asking is what are you doing to pressure them?”

Reflection on Global Indifference

51:25 to 53:34

Examine the global community's indifference towards the conflict in Sudan and its implications.

“he said the RSF are now quote mercenaries.”
Hear the part that matters, and keep it.Open this episode in VO. Double tap your headphones to save a moment as you listen.
Get VO free

Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed Human.

0:31Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. What if mind control is real? If you could control the behavior of anybody around you, what kind of life would you have? Can you hypnotically persuade someone to buy a car? When you look at your car, you're going to become overwhelmed with such good feelings. Can you hypnotize someone into sleeping with you? I gave her some suggestions to be sexually aroused. Can you get someone to join your cult? NLP was used on me to access my subconscious. Mind Games, a new podcast exploring NLP. a.k.a. neurolinguistic programming. Is it a self-help miracle, a shady hypnosis scam, or both?

1:08Listen to Mind Games on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Over the last couple years, didn't we learn that the folding chair was invented by Black people because of what happened in Alabama? This Black History Month, the podcast Selective Ignorance with Mandy B unpacks Black history and culture with comedy, clarity, and conversations that shake the status quo. The Crown Act in New York was signed in July of 2019, and that is a bill that was passed to prohibit discrimination based on hairstyles associated with race. To hear this and more, listen to Selective Ignorance with Mandy B from the Black Effect Podcast Network on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

1:47Hey guys, Sagar and Crystal here. Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, and we are so excited about what that means for the future of this show. This is the only place where you can find honest perspectives from the left and the right that simply does not exist anywhere else. So if that is something that's important to you, please go to BreakingPoints.com, become a member today, and you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad-free, and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. We need your help to build the future of independent news media, and we hope to see you at BreakingPoints.com.

2:21Meanwhile, we're still technically in a government shutdown, Ryan. Yes, Democrats, I think you've got to give them their flowers for effectively maneuvering enough government funding through. Remember, we were saying this was their goal, and they were pretty clear about it, and Republicans let them do it. What they did is they got government funding for everything except Homeland Security. And so then when Homeland Security came up, they're like, no, we're not doing that. But partly I think it's the senators and the House members were so proud of themselves for getting appropriations bills through regular order.

2:57Yeah. That they couldn't resist passing them through the House and Senate. Because they haven't done that in like 20 years or something like that. That's a wild theory. And Democrats are like, yeah, go do that. Go ahead. And now with the government funded other than Homeland Security, Democrats are sitting with all the leverage. Well, and yeah, let's just set the table a little bit. Dave Chappelle, let's put this up on the screen, was in Minnesota yesterday and visited a memorial to Alex Prattie. this, of course, the reason Democrats feel fully confident pushing this shutdown is because the base, the party's base, is absolutely demanding action against DHS and ICE after the violent January in Minneapolis.

3:46And so the fallout from that is trickling right now into this. And just yesterday, we can put the CNBC report up on the screen. This is the next element. Democrats sent a counteroffer over to Trump. Now, technically, DHS is still funded, pretty well funded right now because there was something in the one big beautiful bill that was passed in July to fund them. But headline here is Democrats send Trump DHS funding counteroffers agency shutdown grinds on. So Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries, but I think this is actually just a reference to Schumer's new counteroffer. They are, as CNBC says, quote, locked in negotiations.

4:25And they aren't saying, they literally did not say publicly what was in the counteroffer yesterday. So we don't know. Ryan, do you have any sense of what Democrats might be willing to cede in order? Because Democrats here are in the minority. That goes without saying. Republicans control the House. They control the Senate. They control the White House. What might Dems actually be willing to concede on this? Well, they're pushing for some, you know, the kinds of police reforms they were pushing for back in the teens, like more body cams, which people have been like, we have footage of Renee Nicole Good and Alex Preddy being shot and killed from like eight different directions.

5:14Like a ninth is not changing the situation. There's a problem of accountability and impunity that is leading to this, not the fact that we don't have enough camera footage of what's going on. Although I would argue in both of those cases, having first-person perspective from the officer or officers will go to making their case for how threatened they actually were. And they should not have to be pressed to agree to that. Because in the good case, having his, I mean, the guy is holding his phone in his hand and his gun in his other hand, the officer in that case. And so the Nome actually did, I think, at one point with Walls and Frye agree to put body cams on everyone in Minnesota during Operation Metro Surge, which is now over.

6:00So maybe that's something that the Democrats can claim a win on if they get the administration agreeing to supply almost everyone. I think it's like the number that I remember is like some 30 percent right now are wearing body cams. It's not even a majority. So if they I mean, maybe that's a win that Democrats can take to the base. But yeah, that's one thing. The other things they have pushed for are they want to end this like papers, please. Gestapo situation where they just go around a neighborhood identifying anybody that they think is here illegally and asking them for papers. They want to stop that.

6:33They want to require a warrant like, hey, look, you say you've got X number of millions of people who are here illegally. you know where they live you know who they are if you don't you have an enormous budget go figure that out and go find them um and the masks like we don't want masked gunmen walking around the streets like that's a major demand from democrats and the democratic base i just don't think that's one that the administration will cave on but i mean i agree with it i think i don't think armed agents of the state should be wearing masks. Um, on the other hand, if I had someone in, if I had someone I love to work in ice right now, I'd probably want them to be wearing a mask for their own safety, but then you shouldn't take the job.

7:19So it's a, it's a democracy. Like if you're armed, yeah. If your agency is so despised by the public that merely working in it is a threat to your family, the agency is the problem, not the people is what I would say. um but people are like democrats are just absolutely completely fed up with this um so new york times focus group is validating ryan's spidey sense of what the democratic party's base looks like right now uh let's just put this image up on the screen new york times asked their focus group who a candidate who identifies as progressive or a candidate who identifies as moderate every single person in the focus group across the demographic spectrum from every different cohort said a progressive candidate.

8:09And for a moderate candidate, the New York Times reports, no one raised a hand. Now, this is a feast for somebody who wrote the books that you've written, Ryan. Like, this is a veritable feast of different threads to pull. Because it's like, if you would have listened to us when it mattered, then we might not be here. So it's very bittersweet to have people come around and be like, okay, yeah, actually, you were right. Well, yeah, well, we're still in hell. Okay. Yes. But also it's interesting, like how people are going to define modern progressive because are they defining progressive as Alyssa Slotkin?

8:50Do you remember in the 2008 democratic primary, it was a big deal for Hillary Clinton to identify herself as a progressive. It was like a question of debate. Yeah. It meant something back then. Right. Yeah. And then 2020 kind of lost its meaning because everybody adopted it. But then by 2024, in the backlash around BLM and everything and the woke stuff, you did, you had a little bit of Sheen come off of progressive and it became, it meant more to say you were progressive. Right. Now people witnessing what moderation gets you are saying I don't want to be I don't want anything to do with that Which is very interesting Because on the one hand There are obvious analyses About Voters seeing And there's primaries In general elections obviously But voters seeing Democrats as having gone A little wacky on some of the cultural stuff And polling on some of the cultural stuff Suggests that's absolutely true That Dems got on the wrong side Of some different issues So that's going to be a very, very interesting question post-primary for Dems running in Nebraska or, well, independent, like a Dan Osborne running in Nebraska or a Grant Plattner running in Maine or Tallarico or Crockett running in Texas.

10:16That's what I'm curious to see is how people who are defining themselves as progressive are approaching those issues because I don't know what that means. Yeah. And it's it's to get a sense of how bad it is for Democrats. Let's roll. I mean, for Republicans, even Kamala Harris is like if you did a redo right now with Trump, the public is saying that they would actually elect Kamala. So let's let's roll Harry Enten and CNN here. Choice for a 2024 presidential election. The actual was Donald Trump winning by about a point and a half. if it rounds to a point. But take a look here in a polled redo between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.

10:54In April of 2025, it was within the margin of error, right, Kamala Harris by a point. But look at where we are now, according to an NBC News survey monkey poll. Kamala Harris wins in a redo, asking folks, essentially, if you could redo the 2024 election, how would you vote? She wins it by, get this, eight points. A massive shift from what we saw back in November of 2024, when Donald Trump won by a point. And I will note that this sample was weighted, weighted to the 2024 result in which Donald Trump won by a point. But yet Kamala Harris in this weighted sample, get this, she wins by eight amongst the sample that voted for Trump by one.

11:352024 Harris voters, they vote for the Democrats on average by, get this, 89 points. The Trump voters mostly stick by the Republicans, but by a significantly smaller margin, by 83 points. This means that the Democratic base that voted for Kamala Harris is sticking with those congressional Democratic candidates to a much greater degree than those Trump voters are sticking with the Republican candidates for Congress. And that is why what you're seeing on that generic congressional ballot is Democrats leaping ahead by this point by about five points. Because at least at this point, the Trump voters are not sticking by the Republicans as much as the Harris voters are sticking by the Democrats.

12:13voters choice for election for the 2026 congressional elections. If they didn't vote in 2024, look at this. Democrats are winning that vote by a significant margin by 16 percentage points. So you add onto that the Harris voters sticking with the Democratic candidates. All of a sudden, you see, hey, this is the way that Democrats are going to get back their congressional majority. And more than that, I will note that in 2024, of course, the Trump voters or the people who voted for Trump, he actually won a larger share of those non-2020 voters. It's not just the House, it's the Senate as well. Democrats' chance to win the Senate a year ago was 19 percent, according to Kalshi, 30 percent six months ago.

12:54And now Democrats have a 40 percent chance of taking back the U.S. Senate. Nine points. Yeah, the combination of those two things is a wipeout. I think, I'm curious if you're taking, I think the 40 percent under rates at this point, maybe not Democrats' chances of taking the Senate, but those two numbers combined, that the people who did vote in 2024 now going heavily towards Democrats, and the people who didn't vote in 2024 but intend to vote in 2026, them being heavily Democratic also, the combination of that means a wipeout for Republicans in the midterms, because you saw the numbers. People who didn't vote in 2020 favored Trump heavily in 2024.

13:37That's a key The people who either weren't old enough to vote or just didn't want to, when they come in, they tilt the electorate in sometimes unpredictable ways. If you have a shift that big, Susan Collins loses, even to Janet Mills, who's not going to win the primary, by the way. Like she's getting, I think Plattner's going to beat her fairly convincingly. We'll see. Nebraska might go. Alaska goes like Mary Peltola wins this Alaska seat. If that's the climate, people are so mad at what the federal government has done to Alaska. Iowa is in play. Unfortunately, say Nathan Sage dropped out. But Iowa is in like a depression.

14:25Like they're Trump's killing Iowa. Deep red. That's in play. Sherrod Brown, with those numbers, can win in Ohio. North Carolina, probably Democratic with those numbers. Ossoff cruises and is like top-tier presidential candidate with those numbers. Texas, forget it. Texas, forget it. But I mean, I was so close last time. Genuinely, I was so close last time. If you guys go ahead and pick that crazy attorney general. Me? Yeah, the Ken Paxton race, Cornyn, Paxton. Thoroughly corrupt professionally and personally and might be the nominee. And if he goes up then against Tallarico, OK, I'll watch it.

15:14I'm not going to believe it, but I will pay attention. For the record, I have no dog in the Texas Republican primary. Or to the extent my only real dog in that fight is that John Cornyn is a establishment McConnell tool. So I'll say that. That doesn't mean the other options are great either. So speaking of which, that's exactly what I was just going to say. My caveat to everything you just laid out about the climate being unfavorable to Republicans is that I went back and recently pulled the numbers compared to 2018, which was a massive blue wave, a blue tsunami. me. Republican favorability, Dem favorability, right now Dems are at negative 19.9.

15:55Republicans are at negative 12.8. The Democratic Party is less favorable nationwide than the Republican Party, even though Donald Trump is so unfavorable. People do not like Democrats. They just don't like Democrats. Now Dems still lead in the congressional ballot right now, but by a smaller margin than they did at this point in 2018. So what's that lead looking like now? Let me pull the RCP here.

16:21Well, I find that I will keep. Okay, here it is. Okay. So, Dems have a plus 4.6 spread right now. Plus 6? Plus 4.6. Plus 4.6. Got it. Plus 4.6. So, I mean, it's actually fairly healthy at this point, but it is lower than where they were at this point in 2018, or at least as of the time that I published that last story. So anyway, the problem that Democrats will have is getting people to the polls to counter disillusionment with the party. Now, Republicans are going to have that problem too because Donald Trump is not on the ballot and the disillusionment when Donald Trump is on the ballot makes people stay home, vote for the Dem in some cases if it's an independent.

17:09But that's a I mean, independent voters in general elections like Maine, for example, certainly in Texas, certainly in Georgia, certainly in Alaska. If independents don't like Democrats, that's the that's the caveat. I do think things are the climate looks good for Democrats for maybe a blue wave. But is it a blue tsunami, the type of which that sweeps, you know, Ossoff into a healthy reelection, possibly someone from Texas, possibly someone from Alaska? uh dan osborne in nebraska i don't know that yet and osborne obviously is running as an independent but democrats are carrying a lot of uh they're carrying a lot of weight the brand is carrying a lot of weight right now it is um so yeah in a midterm though people are almost always voting against something than for something um and that was the case in 2010 they were voting They came out against Obama and Democrats and the status quo, 94, 2018, 2006.

18:16Like 2006, Democrats were not popular, but Bush was much more hated. And so the only option that we give to voters to express their anger in a midterm is to vote for the other party. and so and because you're not going to put them in power i think it's easier for people you're not going to put them in the white house so 2006 you might not like nancy pelosi and harry reid right um but you really didn't like donald remsfeld and george bush and dick cheney so you're like fine democrats um so i think that's what they're going to do this time fine democrats and i hope democrats don't confuse that for love love right yeah that's It's a fine line.

19:03It's a fine line.

19:08What do you do when the headlines don't explain what's happening inside of you? I'm Ben Higgins, and if you can hear me, it's where culture meets the soul, a place for real conversation. Each episode, I sit down with people from all walks of life, celebrities, thinkers, and everyday folks, and we go deeper than the polished story. We talk about what drives us, what shapes us, and what gives us hope. We get honest about the big stuff. Identity when you don't recognize yourself anymore. Loss that changes you. Purpose when success isn't enough. Peace when your mind won't slow down. Faith when it's complicated.

19:46Some guests have answers. Most are still figuring it out. If you've ever felt like there has to be more to the story, this show is for you. Listen to If You Can Hear Me on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

20:25Can you get someone to join your cult? NLP was used on me to access my subconscious. NLP, aka Neuro Linguistic Programming, is a blend of hypnosis, linguistics, and psychology. Fans say it's like finally getting a user manual for your brain. It's about engineering consciousness. Mind Games is the story of NLP. It's crazy cast of disciples and the fake doctor who invented it at a New Age commune and sold it to guys in suits. He stood trial for murder and got acquitted. The biggest mind game of all? NLP might actually work. This is wild. Listen to Mind Games on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

21:08Welcome to the A-Building. I'm Hans Charles. I'm Menelik Lumumba. It's 1969. Malcolm X and Martin Luther King Jr. had both been assassinated. And Black America was at a breaking point. rioting and protests broke out on an unprecedented scale. In Atlanta, Georgia, at Martin's alma mater, Morehouse College, the students had their own protest. It featured two prominent figures in Black history, Martin Luther King Sr. and a young student, Samuel L. Jackson. To be in what we really thought was a revolution. I mean, people were dying. 1968, the murder of Dr. King, which traumatized everyone. The FBI had a role in the murder of a Black Panther leader in Chicago.

21:54This story is about protest. It echoes in today's world far more than it should. And it will blow your mind. Listen to The A-Building on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Speaking of love, Ryan, Mom Donnie, beloved by all, the man of the people. Do we have any polling on him? That guy is just just killing it. Like the funny thing about a mayor is that like the job is to be hated and he'll get there. I was going to say give him time. Yeah. He's only been there six weeks, seven weeks at this point. Usually a mayor by this point can't walk outside Gracie Mansion without getting heckled.

22:38But if we put up, I think it's the third element. The news now is that Mamdani is going to be able to appoint a majority of people on the rent guidelines board, which will then allow him to enact one of his most prominent and most criticized campaign promises, which is to freeze the rent. And this is a good moment to think about all of the people who put themselves out there as, you know, experts on the democratic process and on politics. And these are the well actually types of nerds who inject themselves into these conversations and say, well, actually, you know, Albany needs to sign off on any tax increases.

23:24So it doesn't matter what he's what Mom Donnie says. And they say, here, well, actually, the rent stabilization board, the rent guideline board, you know, there are a lot of tenures that will be hanging over for a long time. We never get you in character. So this is a rare treat. And so they basically they said, Mom Donnie can't. He can't. We'll go with that tweet. Mom Donnie can not on his own freeze the rent. So stop getting excited about what this guy is promising you he's going to do. And other people said, look, with enough will, there is a way. With public pressure, the board will do what the mayor wants to do because they don't want to get in the way of this public will.

24:17And right as he left office, Eric Adams tried to install a landlord-friendly member to this board for a period of time that would have made it difficult for Mom Donnie to have full control of the board and execute it on his agenda. Guess what that guy said? No way. Are you kidding me? Like, if you are a landlord-friendly type of person that Eric Adams is going to put on the board, you're probably doing pretty well in your life. You may have some difficulties at home. You know, there's probably some unhappiness somewhere in your soul as a result of how you got where you are. But you're doing pretty good.

25:05Like, your life is pretty good. And Eric Adams is like, why don't you be the face of rent increases against Mayor Mamdani? And so they nominated this person. And we won't even name them because why make them infamous? In fact, we'll give them credit. But when it was too late for Eric Adams to do anything about it, the person said, actually, how about I don't do that? how about I don't spend the next several years being the face of rent increases? The guy standing in the way of this Democratic mandate for freezing the rent. He might not, this guy probably thinks freezing the rent is a terrible idea for all the reasons lots of people think it's a terrible idea.

25:51Including me? Including you. I don't think it's going to work. I'll go on the record right now. God bless the people of New York City. You know what, it might not. But what it's going to do is bring relief to a lot of people in the short term. And then it will put pressure on politicians to get it right. As a long-term solution, there's a lot to... And I think Zoram Abdani actually, if he were sitting with us right now, he probably would say the long-term solution is the more important policy. Right. Right. And sort of like tariffs in a way. Like tariffs for Trump were a stand-in. Yes. They were a proxy for Trump understands that things suck and that we're getting ripped off.

26:39Yeah. And people are ripping you off and he's going to do something about it. Not that tariffs alone are going to fix everything or that tariffs long-term, the way he's implementing them, are even a good idea. Of course, he communicated that way. I think there's a similarity there. Well, the freeze the rent was a stand-in. For fixed prices. No, for like housing is unaffordable. Yeah. Life is unaffordable in New York City. And I care and I'm going to do what I can to try to reverse that. Right.

27:11Now, do you want to make the counterargument? I can even make, we can all make them. But what to the rent freeze? Well, I mean, there are obvious counterarguments. But the one thing I would say in the short term that becomes a real threat to people who find themselves in precarious housing situations is that landlords act even worse. The rent gets frozen. They stop fixing things. They let you live in abject squalor. And so the mayor is going to have to then be policing that even harder, like housing codes and regulations and all of that. On the other hand, can you get people into – I mean, can he build?

27:50I don't know. Can he build the types of places that people want to move into? Can you increase supply in a way that doesn't just leave people stuck? You can freeze the rent and it's going to be frozen at an unacceptably high level for a lot of people. That's kind of the problem with New York City to begin with. To me, it's an incomplete policy. If you're going to freeze it and what often happens is a tenant leaves and the place needs somewhere between$10 ,000 and$50 ,000. So you get empty spaces. Because for a new tenant, you want to make the place look better. And you want to fix all the problems that exist.

Read the full transcript

28:27And that can end up being fairly expensive. And if it costs$40 ,000 to rehab the unit, it's a lot, but let's say it costs$40 ,000 to rehab the unit, and you can't move the rent to cover that cost. Because construction is expensive in New York. Then what a lot of landlords do is they just leave it empty. Yep. And that's not like nobody would argue that we should leave units empty. I think Zoran has actually talked about that too, like empty units. There's tons of like ghost units. So to me, a more complete policy would be like, okay, we're asking you to subsidize against the market rate by keeping this rent underneath the market rate.

29:07So we then as the city are going to come in and we'll rehab it for you. Like do that at least. Well, let's put this on the screen. I mean, this is E4. This is going to be Assad. This is Mamdani doing a little bit of doge, because even before he was elected, he was the guy who was holding court, speaking fluent abundance in conversations with Derek Thompson. So listen to Mayor Mamdani. This is the next stop. We are being as aggressive as we can in recognizing additional revenue and have surpassed the state in our estimates of personal income tax, corporate tax, and sales tax. But responsible governance is not only about revenue.

29:50It is also about discipline. That means finding savings across city government, reducing bureaucratic waste, and rendering agencies more efficient and cost-effective. That is why I signed an executive order establishing a chief savings officer in every city agency. Chief Savings Officers, or CSOs, have a simple remit, identifying savings within the agencies they serve. They will consolidate redundancies, insource programs that have been outsourced to bloated consultant contracts, and eliminate extraneous programs. Each CSO will issue a public report by March 20th, detailing the savings they have found and provide updated assessments every six months.

30:32These CSOs will have clear goals, 1.5 % in savings in fiscal year 2026 and 2.5 % in fiscal year 2027. I mean, he's picking all the low-hanging fruit, Ryan. He's cleaning the subway. He's doing an obvious thing where he's, as a progressive Democrat, Democratic Socialist, going out and saying, we're appointing chief savings officers to get me a report within a month, basically, about savings that they found throughout the government. So coupling rent control with a little bit of doge is at least better than not, I suppose. Yeah, and the beauty of this to me is that it, and we had Christian Parenti on here saying the left needs to embrace some austerity.

31:12He literally made exactly, yes, the argument for what Zoran Mandani just did. Yeah, and the argument is that if you and the public care about the government doing good things, it has to do them efficiently and effectively. Yeah. And that the government's purpose is to benefit the public, not just to kind of make work for government workers. And under the Tammany Hall kind of style of city politics, it becomes its own thing. Yes. And its own power base. but if you want to really radically use it to make as as as a kind of force for working people in the city working people have to believe that the government is that they are the government the government is them that they're and they're working as one rather than that the government is this thing that is its own separate entity that is actually just trying to extract from you And too many working people think correctly, not I wouldn't say correctly, but like fairly.

32:23Yeah. And in many cases correctly have identified the city governments as like just extractive. And then their goal then is then to get the jobs in government or to get, you know, if their cousin works in this department, maybe they can get in that department too. And that's not sustainable and it's not a way to scale up. You want it working for everybody. So good for Mamdani for embracing this because, like, it's too easy to just to not do it. Yeah. And just go the next. And that's why Doge could have been great if, like, Doge came in and was like, wait a minute, you're all using these, like, 1984 computers running on Microsoft Windows 98?

33:08Like, let's upgrade this stuff. Let's make it so you can do your job more efficiently. It's going to cost a little money here, but it's going to save all of this money down the road. That would have been one of the best services. Al Gore tried to do that, remember? Yeah, but to your point, Doge lost the public trust really quickly. And to undertake significant reforms, you have to have public trust. And they lost public trust. And actually, I wanted to ask you about this because this, I just remember, broke last night. I'm curious what your take of this is. New York Post, so they don't like Mayor Momdani, to say the least.

33:49Two, by the way, producer Max says he's up plus 16. He's up 16 points in his approval rating. So interesting. Momdani won by about 15. So that's up. So he's like even more. Yeah, it's unusual to go northward. We'll see how that continues. But here's the headline. Momdani brings back homeless encampment sweeps, turning on campaign promise after backlash over cold weather deaths. So the New York Post is reporting that he's expected to reverse course on this campaign promise because of this deadly cold snap in which I think at least 10 people have died on the streets of New York City. It's been very, very cold.

34:25And sources have told the New York Post that that is going to start possibly as soon as today. Very interesting. The Post says the city's Department of Homeless Services, which has been left in the lurch with zero guidance since Mom Donnie's order came down to halt the sweeps last month, will again take the lead on issuing notices to people living on the streets, sources said. That was an Eric Adams policy. It's been unpopular with people on the left. But listen, my perspective on that is it can save lives. I wonder if that's Bear Mom Donnie's perspective, having been in power for about a month now, if that actually is worth the life-saving efforts and just bitterly cold weather in New York City.

35:06So I don't know, I don't know what to make of that, actually, to be honest. This seems like a case of where your well-meaning left orthodoxy ran into this fierce ice storm and snowstorm. Right. And I'm glad he's readjusting this. On the other hand, the orthodoxy comes from a serious place where criminalizing homelessness has its own obvious problems. Cruelties. That's not a solution either. But certainly in these freezing temperatures for long stretches of time, it's just incredibly unsafe and can be deadly to be out in the cold then. that the government has some responsibility. You gotta, like, can't, you don't want people to just die in the streets.

36:00I'm curious to see how he handles questions that I'm sure he's gonna get from New York City Press Corps about this because, listen, I think people actually respect when you are leveling with them as a politician. You say, listen, like, this was, we have people dying and I did what I had to do. You know, that's how it goes. So I don't know. I'm curious how he handles that. Yeah, we'll see, but yeah. Because he's not actually afraid to color outside the lines, as we're pointing out with him doing doge in New York City. That hasn't ever been a huge barricade for him. And the storm is interesting in context, in the snow, for his popularity rating.

36:44Like you could easily imagine a world where the city was just wrecked by this dump of snow and that he's at like the 30s in popularity already. Like this was a difficult situation. New York seems to have handled it much better than D.C., in fact. It's been fun. Thankfully, the 40 degree days are now getting us out of this. But the city was struggling. um so and you know mom donnie was very out there and energetic out there like with the crews and like yeah doing the mayor thing yeah which you know they're they're probably some people are like oh the problem with these left-wing candidates they're not they don't they're just going to be lost in like the ivory tower of socialist ideas but not not get into the streets and actually do the job of being a mayor but he was the number one job of being a mayor is plowing the streets when it snows.

37:44But he was so aware of that. Like deeply aware of what went wrong with de Blasio. So we'll see if he can stave that off in his own tenure at Gracie Manor. Let's move on to Sedan Run.

38:01What do you do when the headlines don't explain what's happening inside of you? I'm Ben Higgins. And if you can hear me is where culture meets the soul. a place for real conversation. Each episode, I sit down with people from all walks of life, celebrities, thinkers, and everyday folks, and we go deeper than the polished story. We talk about what drives us, what shapes us, and what gives us hope. We get honest about the big stuff, identity when you don't recognize yourself anymore, loss that changes you, purpose when success isn't enough, peace when your mind won't slow down, faith when it's complicated.

38:39Some guests have answers. Most are still figuring it out. If you've ever felt like there has to be more to the story, this show is for you. Listen to If You Can Hear Me on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

38:58What if mind control is real? If you could control the behavior of anybody around you, what kind of life would you have? Can you hypnotically persuade someone to buy a car? When you look at your car, you're going to become overwhelmed with such good feelings. Can you hypnotize someone into sleeping with you? I gave her some suggestions to be sexually aroused. Can you get someone to join your cult? NLP was used on me to access my subconscious. NLP, aka Neuro Linguistic Programming, is a blend of hypnosis, linguistics, and psychology. Fans say it's like finally getting a user manual for your brain.

39:34It's about engineering consciousness. Mind Games is the story of NLP. It's crazy cast of disciples and the fake doctor who invented it at a New Age commune and sold it to guys in suits. He stood trial for murder and got acquitted. The biggest mind game of all? NLP might actually work. This is wild. Listen to Mind Games on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to the A-Building. I'm Hans Charles. I'm Menelik Lumumba. It's 1969. Malcolm X and Martin Luther King Jr. had both been assassinated, and Black America was at a breaking point. Rioting and protests broke out on an unprecedented scale.

40:16In Atlanta, Georgia, at Martin's alma mater, Morehouse College, the students had their own protest. It featured two prominent figures in Black history, Martin Luther King Sr. and a young student, Samuel L. Jackson. To be in what we really thought was a revolution, I mean, people would die. 1968, the murder of Dr. King, which traumatized everyone. The FBI had a role in the murder of a Black Panther leader in Chicago. This story is about protest. It echoes in today's world far more than it should. And it will blow your mind. Listen to The A-Building on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

41:02In Sudan, the Sudanese army, in a wave of drone strikes in Kordofan and the Sinar states, over a period of a couple days, killed upwards of 60 people, at least 26 of them civilians in West Kordofan. In North Kordofan, 28 people were killed when an SAF drone struck a market, according to the emergency lawyers group operating there. The Sudan Doctors Network reported three killed in shelling and blamed that on the UAE-backed RSF. And some sources said a hospital was directly hit in that case. This comes as at the Munich Security Conference, finally we started seeing some pressure applied to the UAE in particular, which has evaded kind of all responsibility for this catastrophe that they have begotten.

42:08And the U.S. is putting forward a proposal to the kind of the quartet of countries that are kind of behind this war. Let's roll F2 here. You've been very involved in peace talks, particularly with the Quad, which we were talking about earlier, which is the US, Egypt, the UAE and Saudi Arabia. So can you just update us? Is it peace in our time? Can we be hopeful? We've done extensive work. We've been in continuous contact with both parties to work on the Quad Roadmap that we put out on September 12. The Roadmap starts with a humanitarian truth and ends with a political transition process. So on the humanitarian truth, we presented an initiative, we presented a strong text to the parties that addresses all aspects of this, let's call it temporary ceasefire or truth.

43:20We have also engaged in extensive consultations with both sides, and then we've reached, at some point, an understanding that it will be most useful to go through a UN mechanism. So we proceeded with that. We've been working with OCHA specifically and with the UN Secretary General and his team to come up with a UN mechanism that will help implement and monitor this ceasefire or this humanitarian truth. And we've worked on it for weeks, and I can say that we announced that in Washington a few days ago, along with our partner, Tom Fletcher, that we do have a draft mechanism. It's going to be hopefully finalized very soon by the Secretary General's office.

44:13And we will be ready at that point in time, hopefully within days, to present the final draft to the parties and hopefully get their approval. And the reason there is hope that this could be ended is that if the UAE were to back off, Most outside observers believe that this would have to wind up in a negotiated solution. The UAE has completely escaped any pressure internationally from the U.S. At the Munich Security Conference, Channel 4's Lindsay Hilsom asked the American advisor, Mossad Boulos, if it was time to, quote, get nasty with the UAE and finally put some pressure on. Let's roll this.

44:57that there's enough talking. Because I understand that you bring together all these different parties, but it seems to me that this is the time. It's the time to get nasty, isn't it? Isn't it the time to put real leverage on the countries that are arming these factions? And the US has more leverage. President Trump has more power than anyone else. Come on, you can do it. I agree with you. We've been quite patient and we've been quite accommodating. We wanted to make sure it's a successful process. We've been engaging with both sides and all the relevant actors. However, too much time has gone by and it's really, it's about time to act.

45:37In fact, next week at the UN with the Honourable Secretary Cooper, we're going to have some serious talk and action. What is the pressure you're putting on him? What is the pressure you're putting on Hermetti? What is the pressure you're putting on Abu Dhabi to stop taking the gold which is coming out of Sudan at$5 ,000 an ounce? Yes. Regarding the external support, our position is very clear, not just us, but all our partners within the Quad and all the other partners. We are totally against any sort of external support that we're seeing, and we're seeing it coming from all sorts of different sources, different supply routes, and to both parties.

46:22We're seeing it come to both sides. And this is totally counterproductive, absolutely, to the mechanism and to the process that we're putting in place. We have a comprehensive peace plan that we've proposed. But I'm still not understanding how... I mean, I've looked at some of the principles of your peace plan. It hasn't been published yet, but I've looked at it. It looks great. But I don't see what is going to make either the parties or those supporting the parties agree to it. They want to keep fighting. So this is going to be a Sudanese-Sudanese solution. We're not going to come here and impose anything.

46:57We can probably come up with mechanisms that will help them. We can come up with probably a UN Security Council resolution that will give the legal cover and the umbrella for this work. But it's going to have to be a Sudanese-Sudanese solution. It's going to be a comprehensive national dialogue and leading to a civilian-led government. So that's Tiffany Trump's father-in-law, for what it's worth. Let's also roll this clip of the UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper at the Munich Security Conference, responding also to those questions about pressure, pressure. What kind of pressure will be used as leverage to get to peace?

47:38Everyone says they want peace. How are you going to get there? Let's roll the clip. What is Britain doing to try and pressure the United Arab Emirates to stop supporting the RSF? so the two different um issues uh there so let me just briefly deal with the issues around arms flows and the u.k controls because we have very substantial controls we ensure in fact when there were any allegations made uh i insisted that all the licenses were reviewed and 2 000 licenses were reviewed to ensure that there was no leakage to ensure that there was no uh nothing that any of those licences was reaching Sudan and to make sure that the allegations that had been made were unfounded.

48:23But if there are any further allegations, we would take the same approach and to review extensively to ensure that that must not happen. But what I'm asking you about very specifically, and I'm going to come on to you as well, is about leverage. Again, what leverage does Britain have on the UAE? Because the UAE is supporting the RSF. I know they deny it, but there is plenty of evidence and it seems to me that Britain has a very close relationship with the UAE. So what I'm asking is what are you doing to pressure them? So we raise all of these issues with the UAE, with Saudi, with Egypt, all of the members of the Quad who are working with Mossad and continue to do so.

49:04And we also believe that this needs to be wider than the Quad. So I've raised this with the African Union, with all of the neighbouring states, with foreign ministers from all of the neighbouring States of Sudan. Our assessment is there's probably more than a dozen countries who are in some way involved in arms flows, maybe through funding, maybe through manufacture, maybe through transit, maybe through training in different ways. And like you, I am concerned of evidence that some of those arms flows may be escalating rather than reducing. However, a huge amount of work has been done on what a ceasefire might look like.

49:39Impressive questions from the moderator, Ryan. and unimpressive answers if you if if you and we wanted to play all those clips because if you read into what she's saying that cooper for instance what what are you going to do about the uae well i reviewed a whole bunch of licenses you know a bunch and then she goes like we cut a lot of that out she filibustered forever before instead of answering the question about how they're going to pressure the uae so the reporter um press it again okay great what are you going to do about the UAE? She's like, well, there are like a dozen countries that are involved in some way in this.

50:13So of course we should pressure the UAE and, but also Saudi Arabia, but also Egypt and all the, like doing everything she can to, if she can't kind of say that the UAE is innocent to just pour as many other culpable parties on top of it so that you spread out the blame. when everybody who's following this is like, no, it's the UAE that is the key driver of this conflict. Now, to be fair, the Sudanese armed forces are also a significant problem here. And the Sudanese prime minister at Munich, we won't play this because it's too hard to kind of clip up, Camille Idris. We can put this, just put this tweet up and people can read it from DropSite.

51:00So he went back and forth with her as well and says basically that a ceasefire would, quote, not be an end. He said a truce, quote, will never work unless it's paired with disarmament, demobilization and reintegration, meaning that the RSF fighters must surrender their weapons, dismantle forces and be reintegrated to civilian life. And all those steps must happen concurrently. he said the RSF are now quote mercenaries. Basically his argument is that they have basically killed any of the kind of indigenous elements of the RSF and now they're basically all mercenaries that the UAE is paying to bring in.

51:43It is a fact that there are enormous numbers of mercenaries that have come in and fought on behalf of the UAE or RSF in Sudan, but it's not true that it's all of them. There has to be, you have to reckon with that fact. And he also deflected when asked about the SAF's own war crimes, which are many. So while there is some pressure in the U.S. is saying that they're putting forward a proposal to end this, like the UAE's backers don't seem that interested in putting real pressure on the UAE to end it, and the SAF also is still drawing a pretty hard line. It's weird you look at... Munich is such a polite place.

52:37It's such a... We're all friends here. All these conferences are like hubs of respectability politics and one of the things you can read into from the tough questions there, at least I think you can read into, is that people who are following this seriously realize when the dust settles, how dark the kind of global disinterest in this is going to look. That's kind of what I'm watching this. It's almost a little jarring to see it on stage at Munich like that. And not just to us. And they all know what they're doing. Yeah, it's really dark. And I think with the moderator, whose name I should know, but what I think she's prepared for is she's looking at the carnage and thinking these are serious questions.

53:22These are not, you can't just sort of like punt this stuff away because everybody is going to look really bad when the dust settles. Everybody looks really bad now if you're following it closely. Right, right. Yeah, absolutely. And before we wrap, we wanted to put up F6. We wanted to give a little shine to the Sudanese journalist network. This is the IIN network. We'll put a link to this. It's down in the show notes. You can watch the full clip. there's not a whole lot of good journalism coming out of this war for obvious reasons. And so it's very difficult to cover. But I, in Network, did some very interesting on-the-ground reporting about what it's like to live through one of these sieges and battles for the civilian population there.

54:10So we'll put that in so you can watch the whole thing if you really want to dive into it. but that will do it for us for today. You were here yesterday. I was here yesterday. I think Sagar's back. I think Sagar's back tomorrow. Sagar's back tomorrow, and we'll all be here. We'll not here. We'll be back Friday. We'll be back Friday, and second half of that show, premium subs, so breakingpoints.com if you want to get it. Yes. It's what makes the show possible. Yeah. It's the counter algorithm. I was going to say they keep the lights on, but that is a horrible point because last week my lights literally went off in the middle of the Friday show.

54:52I lost power for like four hours and it happened while we were live taping the Friday show. So it doesn't necessarily keep the lights on. And Emily and I are going to do the Megyn Kelly show later today. That's right. We're going to do an Epstein deep dive. Right. Which means, by the way, we've been planning here at Breaking Points, as producer Griffin teased last Friday, some type of deep dive into Epstein for a while. This is, I think, a good... Megan has us on today to do a deep dive, but that's a good reminder for us at Breaking Points. We got to get this thing rolling. Yeah, that's also a good reminder for you that you have this Megyn Kelly thing later.

55:31Don't forget that. Yeah, and then the podcast live at nine. Like, there's no rest for the weary, Ryan. It is what it is. It beats working though, right? It does, and the news doesn't stop. There's so much to do. So breakingpoints.com if you want a premium subscription. Otherwise, Ryan and I will see you Friday. And Crystal and Sager will see you back here tomorrow.

55:59You can scroll the headlines all day and still feel empty. I'm Ben Higgins. And if you can hear me is where culture meets the soul. Honest conversations about identity, loss, purpose, peace, faith, and everything in between. Celebrities, thinkers, everyday people, some have answers, most are still figuring it out. And if you've ever felt like there has to be more to the story, this show is for you. Listen to If You Can Hear Me on my iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. What if mind control is real? If you could control the behavior of anybody around you, what kind of life would you have?

56:34Can you hypnotically persuade someone to buy a car? When you look at your car, you're going to become overwhelmed with such good feelings. Can you hypnotize someone into sleeping with you? I gave her some suggestions to be sexually aroused. Can you get someone to join your cult? NLP was used on me to access my subconscious. Mind Games, a new podcast exploring NLP, a.k.a. neurolinguistic programming. Is it a self-help miracle, a shady hypnosis scam, or both? Listen to Mind Games on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

57:33To hear this and more, listen to Selective Ignorance with Mandy B from the Black Effect Podcast Network on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed human.

From the publisher

Ryan and Emily discuss Republican midterm wipeout polls, Zohran rent freeze win, UAE pressured on Sudan.

 

 

To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: www.breakingpoints.com

Merch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

More from Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

All 553 episodes
2/18/26: GOP Midterm Wipeout Polling, Zohran Rent Freeze Win, UAE Pressured On SudanBreaking Points with Krystal and Saagar · 48 min
Listen in VO