In short
The hosts react to Trump’s China summit with Xi, focusing on “glazing”/seeking an economic win, dueling U.S.-China readouts (especially Taiwan and Iran), and how the Iran war is shifting power toward China. They also discuss China’s AI/robotics lead (via Fox News reporting) and broader claims about U.S. decline, including education/test-score trends and economic stress.
Guest backgrounds
No guests are named in the provided transcript segment. The show mentions “a great guest” later about AI (a former aide to AOC), but the person’s identity isn’t included here.
Key claims
Trump needs a deal to stabilize markets; Iran is central because the U.S. expects China to “bail us out” but won’t. China uses carefully worded language (e.g., “opposition to militarization” of the Strait of Hormuz) and issues “four red lines” (Taiwan, democracy/human rights, political systems, and China’s development/sanctions). A Pentagon intelligence report claims China gained advantage during the Iran war. Fox reporting suggests China is ahead in humanoid robots and AI deployment.
Notable examples
Trump’s praise of Xi; Taiwan omitted in the U.S. readout but emphasized in China’s; Xi’s “Thucydides trap” framing; China’s “FamilyMart” gaobot humanoid robot ordering; humanoid robots in pharmacies/warehouses; claims about DeepSeek efficiency and chip self-sufficiency.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOTrump's Trip to China: Context and Significance
1:56 to 3:08
Explore the implications of Trump's meeting with Xi and economic cooperation.
“of independent news media, and we hope to see you at BreakingPoints.com.”
Trump's Glazing of Xi: Analyzing the Meeting
3:08 to 6:40
A look at Trump's statements during his first meeting with Xi Jinping.
“And we've got a great guest on to talk about AI, who was a former aide to AOC, and has really made developing some sort of a new AI consensus a major part of his thinking.”
The Thucydides Trap and Global Relations
6:40 to 11:28
Understanding the concept of the Thucydides trap in U.S.-China relations.
“But so far, the obsequiousness and the level of respect that Trump is offering to Xi, this is it's not just negotiation, like he really does need a lot from him.”
China's Red Lines in U.S. Relations
15:20 to 17:23
Understand China's key concerns in U.S.-China relations as highlighted by the Chinese embassy.
“I actually thought the most unambiguous red lines came from the Chinese embassy.”
Comparing U.S. Military Failures: Iran and Vietnam
17:23 to 20:00
Analyze the implications of the U.S. military situation in Iran compared to the Vietnam War.
“I just think generally it's like you said, considering the position of the United States, we're really distracted because of what happened here with Iran.”
Assessment of China's Geopolitical Gains
20:00 to 23:04
Explore how the Iran conflict has benefitted China in military and diplomatic terms.
“We could not achieve literally any of our goals there.”
Long-term Consequences of U.S. Conflict Failures
23:04 to 26:01
Discuss the broader implications of the U.S. military struggles on its global standing.
“We've run out of this number of munitions.”
China's Technological Advancements
28:41 to 30:45
Explore the advancements in technology China is showcasing, notably in AI and humanoid robots.
“is going to be a lot of Fox News grandmas realizing just how behind we are technologically, how much more advanced China is at this point, because Brett Baer is there on the ground doing all this on-the-ground reporting.”
Cultural Perspectives on Technology
30:45 to 34:30
Understand how historical context shapes China's societal acceptance of technology.
“And, you know, my understanding in terms of the attitude towards the population in China versus here on technology, they're much more enthusiastic in China.”
China's Economic Miracle
34:30 to 36:53
Discuss the rapid economic growth in China and its impact on poverty reduction.
“Well, and I would also say there's no doubt the culture.”
Show all 21 chapters
The Evolution of China’s Technological Landscape
36:53 to 39:23
Examine the shift in perception regarding China's technological capabilities and innovations.
“Yes, there's a crazy commercial real estate market, but their day-to-day life, it's not so bad.”
Renewable Energy and Global Competition
39:23 to 42:00
Analyze China's approach to renewable energy and its implications for global dynamics.
“And there's still a lot of, you know, dispute and debate over how much to sell chips to China, et cetera.”
China's Energy Strategy and Global Implications
42:00 to 44:38
Learn how China's energy priorities and geopolitical strategies are reshaping global power dynamics.
“They're not going to celebrate it, but you can build it if you want to.”
The US as a Peer Competitor
44:38 to 45:21
Explore the unique position of the US in global politics as it faces peer competitors.
“Yeah, and we should mention Ukraine and Russia as well where we embroiled ourselves in – and this shows you also that it's not just Trump.”
Iran's Role in US-China Relations
47:17 to 54:08
Analyze the implications of the Iran war on US-China relations and regional stability.
“It's a good transition to what came out of this with regard to Iran.”
China's Strategic Position and Military Dynamics
54:08 to 56:00
Evaluate how China's military capabilities and strategic alliances influence global power.
“And Iran has been obviously a really central part of that.”
Analyzing China's Political System
56:00 to 57:50
Explore the internal dynamics of China's political structure and its implications.
“Like they don't – they mention the militarization of the strait.”
U.S. War Powers and Political Chaos
57:50 to 1:00:00
Discuss the recent chaos in U.S. politics regarding war powers and congressional duties.
“who was the only Democrat to vote against the War Powers, bringing it to a 49-50 vote.”
China's Renewable Energy Strategy
1:00:00 to 1:02:50
Understand China's strategic approach to renewable energy and its global implications.
“because then you're not reliant on oil from the Strait of Hormuz or buying oil from the U.S., etc.”
The Debate on Energy Sources
1:02:50 to 1:04:25
Explore the ideological differences in energy sourcing and its impacts on the economy.
“My thing is, I'm not ideological on energy.”
Military Spending and Fuel Costs
1:04:25 to 1:05:59
Examine how rising fuel costs are affecting military training and spending.
“Look, I'm a thousand nuclear power plant guy.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed human. Apple Vacations, where your story starts. Apple Vacations semi-annual sale is here, and it's the perfect time to plan your next beach getaway. Enjoy up to$250 off international and Hawaii vacations, up to$150 off domestic trips and hotel savings up to 70 % off. With instant savings of$300,$500, or even$700, your escape has never been more rewarding. Book by May 28th at AppleVacations.com or contact your local travel advisor.
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1:11Garnier's support of the National Park Foundation's Service Corps program is enabling young adults and veterans to help care for and enhance the national parks that we all love. Want to lend a hand? Explore Garnier's partnership with the National Park Foundation and learn how you can help support our national parks at garnierusa.com slash NPF. Hey guys, Sagar and Crystal here. Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election and we are so excited about what that means for the future of this show. This is the only place where you can find honest perspectives from the left and the right that simply does not exist anywhere else.
1:44So if that is something that's important to you, please go to breakingpoints.com, become a member today and you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad-free and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. We need your help to build the future of independent news media, and we hope to see you at BreakingPoints.com.
2:02Good morning, everybody. Happy Thursday. Have an amazing show for everybody today. What do we have, Crystal? Indeed we do. We've got breaking news this morning on Trump's big trip to China. We've got statements from both him and President Xi, the competing readouts, what we can read into what, if anything, is coming out of this meeting. We're also going to take a look at what it all means for the war in Iran, which obviously very significant topic there as well. Another key inflation rating came in very hot as signs of trouble in the economy continue to mount. American test scores of American children at the third grade level have significantly fallen over the past decade.
2:39Very troubling trend. We'll take a look at what is going on there. Maha is in shambles after Trump makes a corrupt deal with big tobacco that I'm kind of low key on the side of big tobacco on this one. I think we're all on the tobacco side. We'll explain. For this one. Yeah, and it was very corrupt and disgusting, though, the way it was done. It was a good outcome, bad way that it went down, but it is revealed. What you were saying about Maha is the most important thing, is Maha has just taken L after L. Yeah, completely, completely irrelevant at this point. And we've got a great guest on to talk about AI, who was a former aide to AOC, and has really made developing some sort of a new AI consensus a major part of his thinking.
3:17And we're going to get him to react to this clip of Tucker Carlson versus Kevin O 'Leary on data centers that you guys are going to really enjoy. At least I really enjoyed it. Certainly something from Mr. Wonderful. Thank you to everybody subscribing to the show, BreakingPoints.com, if you're able to support us. If you're listening or listening to this on a podcast, please share an episode with a friend. And please hit the subscribe button on YouTube if that's who you are watching this. Let's go ahead and start, as you said, with President Trump's arrival in China. So a lot of this happened overnight while we were asleep.
3:46So we're reacting to what we have so far. They're actually sitting down to dinner. And if anything comes from that, we will bring some of that to you. So here is Trump's first meeting with President Xi in the Hall of the People in China, where he gives him just a real tongue bath, I think is no other way to describe it. Proper glazing here. A true glazing here from Trump to President Xi. Let's take a listen. You and I have known each other now for a long time. In fact, the longest relationship of our two countries that any president and president has had. And that's to me an honor. We've had a fantastic relationship.
4:24We've gotten along. When there were difficulties, we worked it out. I would call you and you would call me. And whenever we had a problem, people don't know. Whenever we had a problem, we worked it out very quickly. We're going to have a fantastic future together. Such respect for China, the job you've done. You're a great leader. I say it to everybody. You're a great leader. Sometimes people don't like me saying it, but I say it anyway because it's true. I only say the truth. And I just want to say on behalf of all of the great delegation that we have, we have the greatest businessmen, the biggest and I guess the best in the world.
5:02We have amazing people and they're all with me. They every single one of them. We asked the top 30 in the world. Every single one of them said yes. And I didn't want the second or the third in the company. I wanted only the top. And they're here today to pay respects to you and to China. and they look forward to trade and doing business. And it's going to be totally reciprocal on our behalf. Trump's opening statement there, key theme of the show yesterday with Professor Pape and with Andy Brown over at Semaphore was his wanting a deal. That's what a lot of this is about. Now, so far from the readouts, we haven't gotten anything very specific, but it's not an accident to have Jensen Wang, to have Elon Musk, to have the CEO of Goldman, the CEO of Citi, the CEO of Cargill, all of these people that are there.
5:48This is a trade mission. This is a 19th century trade mission. The oligarchs and the capitalists accompany the monarchs along to experience and to plunder the riches of the Orient. That's really, except we're probably the ones getting plundered in this scenario. So that's, I mean, it's pretty clear Trump needs this to go smoothly. And more importantly, he needs some sort of economic win. Now, usually the way that this would work in a traditional administration is that for months leading up to this, American envoys would be in China and they'd be working out these memorandums of understanding. And then Trump and Xi go to the Forbidden City and they shake hands and they sign a piece of paper.
6:27That's not how this president operates. A lot of this is actually going to be discussed face to face, vague, you know, oh, China has agreed to invest nine, three thousand trillion dollars into our economy. So it is a little bit of a wild card. But so far, the obsequiousness and the level of respect that Trump is offering to Xi, this is it's not just negotiation, like he really does need a lot from him. He needs him to save his economic skin. He wants the stock market and all these other things to continue to go up. And it's also becoming clear they really need them on China or sorry, on Iran, is that there are multiple statements now from the secretary of state and Donald Trump about how Iran, while they claim was not going to be a significant part of this, it absolutely is.
7:07Oh, 100 percent, because we're screwed in Iran and we're hoping that China is going to bail us out. And they're not going to, by the way. And so so far, what you can say about this trip is there hasn't been much that came out of it. China issued a warning over Taiwan. We're going to show you in a little bit. Trump was asked a question about Taiwan, didn't even respond. You've got dueling readouts here. You can actually put A0C, it looks like AOC, A0C up on the screen. This is the White House's readout, at least the sort of key details discussed ways to enhance economic cooperation, expanding market access for U.S.
7:41businesses. This is going to be the best, basically, that Trump is able to get out of it, which is why he brought all of these oligarchs along with him. So it's, oh, Elon gets a deal and Jensen Wang gets a deal and Tim Apple gets a deal, etc. Discussed increasing Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods. If that happens, that would be very important. We've had those agreements before, though, where China's just like, yeah, we're actually not going to follow through on that. Ending the flow of fentanyl precursors. Again, this is something that has long been negotiated. Two agreed, the Strait of Hormuz must remain open.
8:12Now, that is very interesting language, because according to the Iranians, they say, hey, it is open from our perspective. You just have to follow our procedure. So the fact that language is left very vague does not mean there's an actual meaning of the minds over the Strait of Hormuz. Xi made clear China's opposition to the militarization of the Strait and a toll. Xi expressed interest in purchasing more U.S. oil and both agreed Iran can never have a nuclear weapon. No mention, you know, there of Taiwan. Nick Schifrin, who's a foreign affairs and defense correspondent for NewsHour, pointed out some of the differences between U.S.
8:44and China's readout. So China's readout does include a stark warning over Taiwan. As I just mentioned, U.S. readout doesn't mention Taiwan whatsoever. Emphasizes business, saying China will buy more agricultural products. And the two sides discussed ways to enhance economic cooperation, mentions cooperation over fentanyl, and says she made clear China's opposition to the militarization of the strait. Those were not the things that were emphasized in the Chinese readout. But the most key difference here is on Taiwan, where Xi really wanted to push the U.S. on our position with regards to defending, potentially defending Taiwan and arming Taiwan, wanted us to dial that back.
9:21He's in a position of strength right now. We are in an incredible position of weakness, thanks to Donald Trump, and especially thanks to his foolish war with Iran. So, you know, the best Trump could do is just not say anything about it whatsoever. But bottom line thus far is because of the weak position that we come in with, there doesn't appear to be a lot that is going to come out of this. And it's also worth remembering, Sagar, this meeting was supposed to happen a while back and it got postponed because of the disastrous war in Iran. I think Trump originally thought the war with Iran would be over in a couple of days.
9:56He could come flying into Beijing, you know, saying, look, we did this with Venezuela. and we did with Iran. Yeah, we're great conquerors. We have all these natural resources now on our side. We can do what we want around the globe. Instead, this is, you know, he's having to come in with his tail between his legs, basically humiliated, and with the whole world having seen that the cupboard's bare, you know, having seen the wizard behind the curtain, because we do not have the ability to project power that most of the world thought that we did and have been completely checkmated with regards to Iran.
10:29Right. And it's not just us saying this as the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff as well. But let's also take a very close listen to something that was put out by Xi Jinping from his official translation, a warning about the Thucydides trap. Let's take a listen. The whole world is watching our meeting.
10:49Currently, transformation not seen in a century is accelerating across the globe and the international situation is fluid and turbulent. the world has come to a new crossroads. Can China and the United States overcome the Thucydides trap and create a new paradigm of major country relations? Can we meet global challenges together and provide more stability for the world? Trump's like, oh, yes. Trump's nodding his head. There is the best part. Oh, yes. The Thucydides trap. I remember reading about that. I thought deeply about this topic. For those of you who don't know, Thucydides' trap, I think we had a whole unit on it back in graduate school.
11:37It's Graham Allison. It stems back to the war between Athens and Sparta. And the idea was that Athens was the established commercial power and Sparta the rising war state. And that eventually culminated in a war which weakened both powers. And that's the trap. The trap, the idea that war was inevitable between the two states and that made it so that a war that was actually bad for both powers ended up becoming the trap itself. This has actually long kind of been part of Chinese strategic thinking and something they emphasize a lot. I also remember this. The Chinese are the master, not of doublespeak per se, but when they say things like we oppose militarization of the Straits of Hormuz, there's two military powers in the Straits of Hormuz.
12:25and Iran. So you may read that as, oh, well, they oppose Iranian. They're like, no, no, no, no, that's not what we said. What we said is we oppose militarization in the Straits of Hormuz. They also, they love this language where they'll call it like mutual respect. Well, mutual respect means we don't tell you what to do. You don't tell us what to do. It's not as relevant now under the Trump administration. Nobody's finger wagging over human rights in China. That's like very 1990s coded. But these days, like what, what effectively what it means is they'll say things like, well, you need to have mutual respect in spheres of influence.
13:00Well, what does that mean? It's like, well, spheres of influence includes the whole South China Sea, right? And so that means an acceptance of the Nine-Dash Line or South Korea and Japan. In the same way, when we'll say things about the Don Roe Doctrine or something like that, they have their own policy, right? So you just have to read between the lines.
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15:07Find the style and level of protection you want at NYX.com and use code FLOW15 for 15 % off. That's K-N-I-X dot com, code FLOW15 for 15 % off. NYX, for your leaks, for your life. I actually thought the most unambiguous red lines came from the Chinese embassy. Let's put A3 up here on the screen. This was released ahead of Trump's visit from the Chinese embassy here in the United States, and they put out this graphic. The four red lines in China-U.S. relations, they must not be a challenge. Number one, the Taiwan question. Now, remember, when they say the Taiwan question, what they mean is that their reunification is the policy, the actual one-China policy.
15:52Number two, democracy and human rights, which means don't tell us what to do with Uyghurs, with Hong Kong or anything else. That's just how it is. Keep your mouth shut. Number three, paths and political systems. So I asked a friend, effectively, and he's like a Chinese-U.S. kind of analyst. And what he said is that paths and political systems kind of links with democracy and human rights, as in there should be no criticism of lack of democracy or of basically like do not. Don't push us towards being a liberal democracy. Right. Don't try to push us towards a liberal democracy. It kind of gets to that mutual respect.
16:30We have our system. You have your system. Let's just keep it how it is. We're not going to tell you what to do. We're not going to tell us what to do. And then China's development, right? Similar. It's one of those where you shouldn't be messing with their internal affairs and the ability of them to conduct commerce. I believe, and this is what he said when reading between the lines, is that they are still very upset over many of the sanctions on Chinese companies. And remember, if you read between the lines of all of these things, it's about mutual respect. It's also about Taiwan. But the second or the tertiary really thing that they really want is they're salivating at the entrance of the U.S.
17:05consumer market for their goods, which they're not currently able to sell here, which is auto. So that was a big, big thing that they've been trying to get into U.S. markets now for some time. I think you put all those together and you could see very clearly like what they want out of the summit, what Trump wants. I just think generally it's like you said, considering the position of the United States, we're really distracted because of what happened here with Iran. And it's just created like such a disaster for them in the ability to – it gives it such a disaster on the part of the United States to meet them at a time of such incredible weakness.
17:44Like I'm trying to think of a previous historic parallel. I really can't. I mean, maybe the only one would be some bilateral negotiations between the U.S. and the Soviet Union at the height of the Vietnam War. That's really the last time that something of this level of consequence is happening in Iran. And I know something's not popping off every day, but look, the price of oil is where it's at. And the defeat has happened strategically. It's over at this point. Now, you may have to invade or there may be some sort of escalation or maybe even some sort of a deal. But no matter which way you cut it, like from the day one of the war to where we ended up some 30 whatever days later with the announcement of the ceasefire, you can't say that it didn't fail.
18:23It is complete and total failure. Absolutely. I mean, you've got neocon extraordinaire Bob Kagan out there saying it's the worst defeat for the U.S. in its history. See, I think Vietnam was worse. You think so? I do because from the U.S. perspective, not to get too bogged down, but it really ripped the country apart. Like in a – you know, we had the draft. It rewrote the way that we had all of our military power. 50 ,000 Americans were killed. It also – it was a sucking of all of the – any of the potential promise of what the post-civil rights era kind of could have been. Yeah. All the money that was wasted, the dividends that were being wrought from the post-World War II era, which all could have been spent to make the 1970s actually a great period.
19:09Like it was bad. It really was bad. Yeah, I think that in terms of the domestic effect, I mean, on the other hand, we're already like divided in the way that it would be difficult to divide us further and create more sort of domestic political chaos than what we already have. I would say that his argument has merit simply because out of this, it really is sort of a nail in the coffin of the U.S. empire and is changing the global world order. Whereas Vietnam, obviously, was a disaster for the U.S. But at the end of the day, we did win the Cold War. You know, it did fundamentally completely shift the dynamics of the global world order.
19:42Yes, it exposed weaknesses and vulnerabilities. But again, you know, ultimately we were we were successful in destroying the Soviet Union and coming out on top there. Whereas with this, you know, we're already this very clearly declining empire. And we just showed our ass. You know, we just really revealed to the world how weak we are that even with a, you know, middle income power like Iran, that we could not succeed on the most basic level. We could not achieve literally any of our goals there. And, you know, and our ally Israel also is exposed here, too. So it's I think there is merit to the argument because of that.
20:24But I don't reject it whatsoever. In fact, if I look at it from a Chinese perspective, they're going to care much more about what happened with Iran because of all of the naval power. In a sense, you know, it's almost like you're almost like parsing two disastrous things in and of itself. They're both horrific defeats for the U.S. I actually think this is fascinating. Let's put A9 up here on the screen from the Joint Chiefs of Staff. A new intelligence report from the chairman of the Joint Chiefs says that China has gained a major edge on the U.S. amid the Iran war. A confidential U.S. intelligence analysis details how China is exploiting the war to maximize advantage over the U.S.
21:05in military, economic, diplomatic, and other fields. The assessment produced this week for the chairman has raised alarm within the Pentagon about the geopolitical cost of Washington's standoff with Tehran. Produced by the Intelligence Directorate, the report uses what's used as a dime framework, looking at diplomatic, international, military, and economic power. Officials asked about the finding, talked about the anonymity. Since the U.S. and Israel initiated the war, China has then sold weapons to Gulf allies of the U.S. as they struggle to defend their military bases. Beijing has assisted countries around the world struggling to meet their energy needs after the U.S.-Israeli attacks prompted Iran to close the Straits of Hormuz.
21:44The war has drained the U.S. massive stockpiles of munitions that would be critical in any standoff with China over the fate of Taiwan. The Iran conflict, which has resulted in the damage or destruction of U.S. military hardware, has allowed Beijing to observe how the U.S. fights wars and learn how to plan its own future operations. And Beijing has now incorporated popular criticisms of the war into its public messaging, labeling the conflict illegal. China has long sought to undermine the image of the U.S. as a responsible steward of the U.S. real space international order. I don't think they needed to seek anything.
22:17Whatever that for that, it views the Iran conflict as emblematic of Washington's cavalier approach to military hostility. So, look, none of this is groundbreaking. If you watch the show, you've heard it every single day since the war began. But still, for a Pentagon assessment like that to make its way up to the chairman to eventually be presented, at least technically it's supposed to be presented in some form to the president of the United States, someday in the future, we'll have our own Pentagon papers. I'm sure they're going to cover this shit up. But 10 years from now, we can go and we can read.
22:52I cannot wait until there's an actual declassification or leak for any potential Ellsberg out there. Please contact me about what those assessments in the middle of the war are on. Can you imagine? Ten days in, they're going to be like, we have not been able to accomplish our strategic objectives. We've been hit at all of these bases. We've run out of this number of munitions. China is doing this, this, and this. And, you know, I'm almost talking myself out of my previous point about Vietnam. It is so stunning to see it all happen. And I know it sounds hyperbolic, but this really is a – this is the greatest disaster of my lifetime.
23:28And Iraq, I never thought it would – I never thought we could potentially do something worse than that. And to a lot of people who are watching, they're going to say that's ridiculous. This has only been happening for 74 days, only 13 Americans died. I hear you. But at the end of the day, this this that was a conflict which did not rewrite the image, the actual ability of the United States to project power. You know, we did defeat Saddam. We did occupy the country. Yes. The insurgency and all that was bad and exposed a lot of problems about the military. In this case, we're talking about the highest, most, you know, the high-tech weapons of all time, the full force of the United States Navy, the full force of the U.S.
24:10Air Force, and 70 percent of Iranian ballistic missiles still survive? I mean, nobody thought that was possible. Me, I didn't – ask me on February 27th. I would say there's no way that that's possible, right? Most people would not say. And yet – And that's based on our – what's being leaked to our press. Right. From our own intelligence community. And the Iranians are asserting actually we're basically how we were when we started. And we've been able to during this period restock, resupply. But there's no doubt. I mean, all this stuff. Oh, they're completely military obliterated on day one. It's just uttering complete bullshit.
Read the full transcript
24:41I don't know. I mean, I just, you know, when I assess it on such a grand strategic level, if you were to think about that, like the meeting of these two superpowers, the defeat really that we've suffered, the inability to change the regime from the air. We knew that that was going to happen. But at the very least, we thought we would be able to militarily wipe them out. Didn't happen. It just did not happen. The drone threat, the asymmetry of these high-tech weapon systems, the lack of our defense industrial base, the inability of our sanctions to properly be able to cripple this country. I mean, look, if we've been doing this now for so long, all the warning signs were there.
25:14The munitions problem, been talking about it literally for years, about whenever it came to Ukraine. Remember the Russia sanctions debate that we often had here on the show? I was like, hey, this is going to be a real problem. if we ever get into a conflict with China because they are able to look and to study all what's happening. They did, they've been able to prove themselves. And then really the more meta point is we spent vaporized probably$50 billion so far. Take a look at that country. It's doing pretty well. And it's one of those where this is not, I don't feel good saying this, but it's just unambiguous.
25:46The quality of life there from 10 years ago is not even comparable to the quality of life increase there, not even comparable to any alleged S &P 500 gains that have happened here. If anything, it's gotten worse. I think it's gotten worse. I think it's gotten worse. Yeah, I think most people would agree with you on that. And even we're going to do this segment later about like American test scores falling off. I mean, that's part of it, right? It's part of a trend of, you know, in previous generations, you could buy a house, you can't buy a house. In previous generations, you can't afford healthcare anymore.
26:18You know, in previous generations. Kids were reading when they were in third grade. Now, not so much. It's on every metric, you just see this backward slide. And the stock market for most people is irrelevant. I mean, if anything, it's a slap in the face. Another reminder that, yeah, the rich are getting richer and you're getting screwed and your kids' prospects are being robbed every single day.
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28:25Find the style and level of protection you want at nyx.com and use code FLOW15 for 15 % off. That's K-N-I-X.com, code FLOW15 for 15 % off. NYX, for your leaks, for your life. I think probably the biggest outcome of this meeting is going to be a lot of Fox News grandmas realizing just how behind we are technologically, how much more advanced China is at this point, because Brett Baer is there on the ground doing all this on-the-ground reporting. One of the big things, they made a big deal about the fact they illegally parked for two minutes and got a ticket right away, which for the law and order people, they should be happy about that, right?
29:02That is my dream. I knew you would like that. If Palantir was doing it here, they'd be celebrating this marvel of efficiency. But since It's China. It's the authoritarianism. That is my dream is to ticket these illegal parkers, red light runners. Some kid rang my doorbell the other day with no soliciting. I'm like, this motherfucker. You know? It's like. Such a crotchy old man. But in any case, he also went to one of these like just little, you said this is sort of like a 7-Eleven competitors. And they have the humanoid autonomous robots there that are like serving the goods. And so this was all broadcast to a Fox News audience.
29:40This is A10. Let's go ahead and take a look at this from Brett Baer. Our food order to a very special worker. This is the Family Mark convenience store in Beijing. Inside is a gaobot robot, the dominance of AI. Beijing is trying to lead the way in AI and also in humanoid robots. It's coincide. This is the first of its kind for this kind of interaction. if you want to order something. Hello, can I get a sausage, please? Okay. Khao Chang, 8.8 yuan. This is the first of its kind, moving a little slow. But Galbat is actually in 50 different pharmacies, warehouses handling 300 ,000 orders around the country.
30:26This is the first of its kind here. And they say there are going to be many different iterations. The question is, it's the same thing that the U.S. is dealing with. Will this replace human workers? So, yeah, I mean, this is an area where they're decidedly ahead of us on the humanoid robot front. And, you know, my understanding in terms of the attitude towards the population in China versus here on technology, they're much more enthusiastic in China. There's not the same level of reticence because here we see the way that, you know, these AI oligarchs are trying to screw us and bragging about how they're going to take all our jobs.
31:00They just have a different social contract. Yeah. That's the thing. That's exactly right. And they have really focused on a very different AI strategy, too, where, yes, they're trying to be at the leading edge. And DeepSeek has been very successful in other models as well. And much more efficiently. It doesn't require the vast amounts of compute and electricity and water and everything that ours is like just this sort of brute force approach. But they've also focused a lot on how do we integrate the technology that we have right now into practical uses so that this is actually being deployed and it's not just some pie in the sky investment for the future for some future prospect.
31:38So in any case, like I said, this is and this is basically what Pate predicted with us yesterday. He's like, you know, what's going to come out of this is all of these reporters and politicians are going to go. They're going to see the gleaming electric vehicles. They're going to see modern cities. They're going to see advanced technology and they're going to be floored by it. And the American public, which has been so propagandized about China or any of our any of our adversaries, will also see some of this on their television sets of like, oh, it's not the U.S. that's leading the world on every technological front at this point.
32:12You go into these cities and you are seeing things that we do not have here. That is a very different dynamic than what most Americans have in their mind about China. It's very true. And, okay, so Family Mart. I mean, if you've never been, so it's a Japanese company, Family Mart. It's kind of like 7-Eleven if you've ever been there. I mean, I just want people to take a look. It's clean. It's nice. There's no, like, you know, there's no coffee stains that are anywhere. When you order, you get what you want. They don't need a security guard. The idea that anybody would steal is preposterous, right?
32:43You know, it's, like, ludicrous that somebody would try to steal from something like that. And if they do, they're going to get caught instantly. Now, there's a very different social contract. Like I was saying earlier, everybody there acquiesces to an immense amount of digital surveillance. So you were talking about the immediate ticketing that's happening. That's just like the tip of the iceberg, the ability to cross the street. Your face is all being scanned. People make a big deal about social credit, but it actually goes much deeper than that, like the ability to transit even inside of the country, your ability to move between cities.
33:14That's all pretty restricted or at the very least like you need permission from somebody. Most Americans would have no ability to acquiesce to that. They have a different culture than ours. They came, a lot of the current people who are alive, their generation, they came from the chaos of the cultural revolution. And then imagine what their grandparents and others people had to live through. Genuine poverty, civil war, Japanese World War II, like immense death and famine. So for them, like order is the thing that must be preserved above all costs because they have lived. I mean, do you know anybody who died in a famine?
33:50No. Over there, you probably do know at least somebody who has a relative who did or who was displaced through mass collectivization or who was bayoneted by a Japanese soldier or by a CCP soldier or by a, you know, I'm totally about, KMT soldier. Something like – their country has been – basically was in chaos from the year, I don't know, 19 – even earlier, maybe the 18-something all the way up until 1970 or so. So you really – I just feel like that sociological imprint of a generation for where they are today and why they value what they value, I'm not judging it. I can fully empathize and understand how they've come to the place that they are.
34:30Well, and I would also say there's no doubt the culture. There are cultural differences and different historical experiences that lead you to a certain place. But also, I mean, we've discussed here people will put up people in general around the globe, including Americans, will put up with a lot of limitations on their sort of libertarian version of freedom. If the government is delivering on, you know, improving the quality of life, improving the country, there is no country in history that has lifted more people out of poverty faster than China. It truly is an absolute economic marvel. And so people, to your point, can see over their lifetime just a dramatic increase in quality of life and cleanliness of the city, modernization.
35:10And so there's an incredible pride there as well at what they've been able to accomplish in a truly remarkably short period of time. I mean, the overwhelming bulk of improvement in poverty statistics around the globe has come just from China. They have been the primary driver of lifting people out of poverty over the past several decades. So, you know, that also changes the way you think about these. You're like, well, they're delivering on these fronts. So, OK, you know, and look, I mean, dealing with getting a parking ticket. I can I can deal with that. I'm not talking about Tiananmen Square or whatever.
35:43You're totally right. And that's where look, I mean, this is where it's complicated. We did pay for most of that. A lot of that came at the expense of us. And that's why the Trump 2016 campaign was so invigorating to be like because he was the first person to say, We paid for this. Because, you know, that neoliberal talking point was the one that we would hear all the time. Oh, well, global poverty has gone down. It's like, yeah, but we're poorer. They're the ones who are richer, not us. But what we want, I think at this point, we've lived through this idea that China was like some backward state.
36:11And I'm being honest. I remember my first year of professional politics was 2015. That is when the Made in China 2025 plan came out. We scoffed at it. There were commissions here in Washington. What a joke. So all of it came true. All of it came true. Yeah. And actually a lot more than it came true. Then 2020 happened. Remember, we would talk to Peter Zihon and others. People predicted demographic collapse. And there's some of that. Or, you know, commercial real estate. And listen, it's a country of$1.4 billion. So to say that they don't have problems is ludicrous. Like they have plenty of problems on the intern.
36:43But we're saying from our perspective, to see the life of the average citizen, especially the more upwardly mobile ones, if you were to call it the Chinese dream, They can generally own a home. Yes, there's a crazy commercial real estate market, but their day-to-day life, it's not so bad. And I would just say like ours, it's bad. Like we covered yesterday, people are working more hours for less pay, high gas prices. In terms of your consumer experience, what's the last revolutionary product that you bought? For me, it was probably iPhone 4. Remember 2010? It was 16 years ago, all right? Actually, I have a Tesla.
37:18That's pretty cool. So Tesla 2. So I don't know. That came out. When did it come out? Like 10 years ago, the Tesla Model 3? Yeah, but I mean, that's a great example because they're kicking our ass in EVs. Like they've surpassed Tesla in terms of what they can do. If you look at the past 10 years for them, you've got Greeley. You've got Xiaomi. You've got Tesla. You've got BYD. You have WeChat. You have HandPay. You have the high-speed rail going 300 miles per hour. And then I'm not even talking about all these crazy infrastructure projects where imagine in the hinterlands of the United States, It's like some backwards-ass town in Nebraska getting brand-new bridges and beautification and people coming from Washington being like, look at what we're doing for you.
37:58I mean, it's easy to criticize as a dog and pony show, and some of it is more shoddily built. I'll grant you that. But we're not even trying over here, okay? They've just got rust in the middle out there. The story in most of our country is year-after-year degradation and decline. You know, cities that were like, you know, for people who are older, who they can remember what, you know, maybe Detroit was in its heyday. Yeah, I've only seen pictures. Yeah, you know, we see. And, you know, Detroit is doing a little bit better than it was at its worst. But so I don't want to I'm not trying to trash Detroit here.
38:27But you can see what our cities were in all of our infrastructure. You know, you fly into an airport here, it looks shitty, right? You get on a train, you're going to have problems. Yeah, I mean, it's it's you you go around this country. and mostly what you see is decline. And for Chinese people, they go around their country, most of what they see is improvement. They see, and that comes at certain costs as well, but you see a lot of change and positive improvement. To your point about them even surpassing the made-in-China expectations, if we could put A5 up on the screen, this was, I saw this from Arno's feed.
39:02He retweeted this. It says, one of the most consequential charts, in my opinion, China will go from being almost completely reliant on chips from external sources to almost completely self-sufficient in just 10 years. So one of the things that, you know, we've really held on to is like, OK, well, we have the premier chips technology. And so we're going to sort of marshal our resources that we're going to limit how many chips go. And there's still a lot of, you know, dispute and debate over how much to sell chips to China, et cetera. And so while we were with trying to withhold this technology, especially under the Biden administration, They're like, all right, well, we're going to really push developing our own.
39:36And our AI products are going to really focus on what they can do with chips that we produce here domestically. And so on a number of fronts, the thought with China previously in the past was always, oh, well, they can copy what we can do. But they're never going to be leading edge on anything. And that is just not the case anymore. Deep Seek is very competitive. But again, you saw the humanoid robots where they're kicking our ass. EV, they're kicking our ass. solar panels, they're kicking our ass. And the solar energy part, I would talk a little bit more about that in a bit. But the renewable energy piece, if you actually want energy independence, that is the way to go because oil is a global market.
40:15It doesn't matter that we produce more oil here and we're not exporter, et cetera, because we're still subject to the global price pressures of this global market. So when there is a constraint like there is in Strait of Hormuz, obviously we're still affected. So in any case, this is just a long way of saying, on any number. And I remember seeing a report about all of these sort of frontier technologies. In many instances, they are leading the way at this point. Now, there are some areas where we still have an edge. Silicon Valley still does incredible things. There's no doubt about that. It's still a lot of American innovation.
40:46But the old notion that all China can do is steal technology and copycat with a poor quality product, that's dead and gone. That's 2008, 2015. There was a period where that was true. It is true. And a lot of it is built on their bag. In fact, the story of Tesla, what they did, they see there. I have to respect them. They're like, Oh, Elon, come on over. You can build giga Shanghai. And what does he do? He builds giga Shanghai and he builds the entire flywheel for EVs. And then what they do is they go, all right, now we're going to use that flywheel and all that supply chain for our stuff. And we're going to massively subsidize it.
41:20And then also though, at the same time of massive subsidization is we don't just pick winners and losers. We make it so that everybody gets to ruthlessly compete, which means that you rise to the top. That's how you get the best stuff. But they built the infrastructure. If you look at their energy sources, you know, I mean, we shouldn't get too carried away. Like 50 % of their stuff still comes from coal. But, you know, they've got 14 % hydropower, 10 % solar, 10 % wind, 5 % nuclear. You look at the trajectory, though. And that's what's incredible. Exactly. And the thing is, is that China is kind of like what's happening in Texas right now.
41:52I'm not sure if you've seen. I have, yeah. Where Texas has more new renewables than California. Why? No red tape, right? For them, they're like, build whatever you want. We don't care. They're not going to celebrate it, but you can build it if you want to. China is a little bit like that in terms of the red tape exists, but there's no ideology whenever it comes to energy. If it turns, if you get electrons, you're good to go. Well, and they have prioritized solar development in particular, which is why they're the top manufacturer globally. Yeah, and they have the whole supply chain. They have the industrial base.
42:23Another way the Iran war has benefited them. Yeah, and they don't care. countries around the world, including Cuba is actually doing like a whole renewables revolution in a remarkably short period of time because they're like, OK, we can't be screwed over by these oil shipment, you know, embargoes anymore. So, yeah, the Iran war has created an increased logic for people around the world of like, OK, well, we need to get in on this. Yeah. My last piece is just this is the most novel situation the United States ever been. The United States has never been or at least even in terms of global politics, really for us, We have never been an apex power with a peer competitor, which is not only like a peer competitor in terms of military force, but in terms of economic and soon potential soft power force.
43:07We've never faced that. The Soviet Union was always a military juggernaut. It was never even remotely comparable in terms of their system's ability to produce soft power elements or to produce economic marvels or miracles. Really what they were great about was just their sheer size, weight, and political control. Originally, that's what China was. Like you were saying, the 08-2015 period, it is not the same country. I would say that this is much more like the pre-World War I tides of a great, you know, the sun never sets on the British Empire, being confronted by this new Germanic power, which is very similar in terms of its science and its economic might.
43:51And not necessarily as militaristic, but its ability to be a genuine competitor if it wanted to be. And that was a very novel situation for the continent. And I don't see – that's as close as a parallel as I could get. There's not as many surrounding empires in terms of multipolarity. But bipolarity itself, it's not even really a question I think at this point. And Iran has really put the nail in the coffin. I mean it's just fascinating to see it all come to a head. I did not think I would live to see – I knew it would witness history. We've witnessed plenty here. Oh, yeah. This really is a – I mean it doesn't feel like – it's not as sexy as bombs going off and all of that.
44:31But if you take a step back and you see this and this uniting the superpowers in the midst of Iran, it's a crazy situation. There will be many books written about this 80-day period. Yeah, and we should mention Ukraine and Russia as well where we embroiled ourselves in – and this shows you also that it's not just Trump. although I think Trump has certainly expedited our decline and the Iran war really helped to tie the end of the empire here into a bow. But, you know, we went in thinking, OK, we're going to have this proxy war with Russia and they're weak and it's just a gas station and we'll be able to hobble them with our sanctions, etc.
45:04Obviously, that doesn't work down either. And the Iran war has only aided Russia and we've actually eased some of the sanctions to ease the pressure on our own gas prices here and oil prices around the globe. Apple Vacations, where your story starts. Apple Vacations semi-annual sale is here, and it's the perfect time to plan your next beach getaway. Enjoy up to$250 off international and Hawaii vacations, up to$150 off domestic trips and hotel savings up to 70 % off. With instant savings of$300,$500, or even$700, your escape has never been more rewarding. Book by May 28th at applevacations.com or contact your local travel advisor.
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47:47I think we can all see now, if that was a thought, that was an incredibly foolish thought. Because it is very clear that, well, yes, the Iran war is not great for China. They are paying some price for it as well. It is vastly, vastly worse for us. Now, we did get out of this, and I think this is significant, a Chinese government saying, you know, in their readout or coming out of these meetings, that they do not support a toll in the Strait of Hormuz. Everything else, as we covered before, was sort of ambiguous about what they said about Iran. But take a look at this. Put B1 up on the screen. New report for The New York Times says that Chinese firms are plotting secret arms sales to Iran.
48:26It's according to U.S. officials who are talking to The New York Times. So keep that in mind in terms of where it's coming from. But I'll just read you a little bit of this. Chinese companies have been discussing arms sales with Iran, plotting to send the weapons through other countries to mask the origins of the military aid. U.S. has gathered intelligence that Chinese companies, Iranian officials, have discussed the arms transfers. Not clear how many, if any, arms have been shipped or to what degree Chinese officials have approved the sales. New disclosure is likely to intensify pressure on President Trump to raise the issue while he is in Beijing this week.
48:58So obviously this would be a very significant development. We know China's already been assisting Iran. Iran is important to them at this point. And Professor Pape raised with us yesterday. OK, just imagine now all the advanced Chinese tech, like AI tech, also being transferred to Iran and the way that's only going to further strengthen their position, the Iranian's position, as a world power. So you've really forced China, Russia and Iran. You've really forced these three countries together via our own foolish foreign policy. It is also very interesting with China. You know, one of the things that they've been doing is they actually haven't been importing nearly as much oil as normal.
49:36That's one of the reasons why the price of oil actually isn't higher, is I believe that they've cut it by nearly a quarter. And I think one of the reasons that they're doing it is to tell other regional allies. They're like, hey, we've been using a lot of our SPR, Strategic Petroleum Reserve. They have one of the largest in the world of strategic petroleum. And in effect, we're also getting you a discount by not bidding up the price even higher than where it should be. I also think it's very interesting about all of this stuff that China has access to, which we not previously, he talked about in the 08, 09 area.
50:07Now, to say they didn't have spy satellites is ridiculous. But to say that they had cheap spy satellites, which they're able to deploy on behalf of others, which then enable a great damage to the U.S., is a very new phenomenon. So if you listen to this, since the beginning of the war, China has given Iran intelligence and access to a spy satellite that has tracked the positions of U.S. forces in the region. They have supplied dual-use components that they need to produce drones, missiles, and other weaponry, providing these dual-use components like semiconductor sensors, voltage converters can also be used in civilian manufacturing, draw less scrutiny than arms sales.
50:40The reason why I thought that that was really important is let's compare it to the U.S. industrial base. So, for example, the UAE and all of these other countries are buying more THAADs, more Patriots. Well, they have the supply chain to be able to support their industrial base, their civilian base, and to be able to export. We don't even have the industrial base to supply ourselves for one year of production, let alone support the UAE and Saudi Arabia. Why do the UAE is doing all these secret shading meetings with BB? Because they need Iron Dome missiles. They need their drones. I mean, from the U.S.
51:17perspective, our supply chain to build this stuff from the ground up, it's impossible without all of these. It's impossible to produce just what we need, let alone to be able to support the rest of the world. That's what we used to do when we were a global manufacturing powerhouse in the post-NAFTA era. No, you made an important point earlier about Silicon Valley. But that actually is the great weakness of the U.S. economy. It's the reason why our stock market is higher and our economy sucks. It's because we design things. We're very, very good at high-end design. I mentioned yesterday, this Apple laptop, when you open up the box, designed in Cupertino, right?
51:50But where is it manufactured? In Shenzhen, right? It shipped to me from Vietnam, right? I tracked the UPS stuff whenever I got it. Well, what does that tell you? The components are here. The design is here. In China, they now have a system where they have both the design and the manufacturer. That's where you're a strong country. This is what happened to Intel and to many of these others. They stripped away their manufacturing capacity. They kept the design because the design is the profits. That's where the money rolls into the banks. But when push comes to shove, to be Russia, you made a joke about the gas station.
52:24And it was – I mean it's kind of true. But does it matter if all you need is gas and bullets? It turns out you don't really need much else. Like when we pulled out McDonald's, they're like, OK, whatever. Well, and here's what – China, Iran, and Russia all to obviously varying extents, and these are very different countries. But the fact that you had this adversarial relationship with the U.S., either with active sanctions or with the threat of sanctions hanging over the countries, created a real awareness and necessity of a level of self-sufficiency. So even Iran has, you know, they are able to manufacture their own goods, right?
53:01They're able to spin up their drones quickly. And certainly, you know, Russia has a large industrial base. China is the largest industrial base in the entire world. And so another technology where they are head and shoulders above us is drones. So the concept of, you know, we played earlier the Thucydides trap comments from Xi, where he's warning about the potential of war between a preeminent power and a rising power in the way that creates tensions and can lead to an inevitability of war if it's not handled properly. I mean, just think about how that would go for us. given their manufacturing prowess, given the fact that in our war of, you know, 40 days against a middling power at best, that we're already running low on various stockpiles and can't help out our allies and are leaving them high and dry and our bases are obliterated and our soldiers are having to flee, et cetera.
53:55I mean, how do you think this would go? It's preposterous to think about. And the Chinese know that, we know it. That's why for Taiwan, I mean, the Chinese, they don't really have to do anything because the reality of the global power balance has become so manifestly clear. And Iran has been obviously a really central part of that. Let me go ahead and put up on the screen the second element here, which we mentioned before. And I think the Americans will see this as significant. You've got this agreement on opposing Hormuz Toll. But as we discussed before, the rest of the language, very ambiguous.
54:31Okay, we oppose a militarized straight. Okay, well, who's the military? That means they oppose our military being in the straight as well. And I'm sure they do, right? It's very important. China is a trading nation, very important that they're able to trade freely around the world. That's significant for their export economy, no doubt about it. So you have that. And otherwise, you had very little public discussion on Iran. And if Trump thinks that China is going to come in and bail them out because they're in such dire straits over the war. I think he's an absolute fool. And the very fact that he has to go to China to try to bail us out is humiliating to begin with.
55:12So it's quite an astonishing circumstance that we find ourselves in here. When we talked to Colonel Wilkerson earlier in the week, Emily and I did that interview. He said, he was like, I'm 50-50 on whether Trump even goes because of the weakness of the position going in. Now, Trump being megalomaniac obviously thought he could get in the room and sweet talk and get some kind of a deal. And he'll certainly be able to spin some sort of a victory narrative out of here, right? Oh, we got this deal and he'll just make shit up too. He's not afraid to do that. But I think that's an indication of how much our position was damaged by recent moves by Trump.
55:49This meeting had to be pushed off already that it would even be a possibility of, I don't know if we should even go forward with this. Yeah, it's really not good. And I also think what's fascinating about all of this is what you can see with the arms sales, the movement, the way that they're even talking around Iran. Like they don't – they mention the militarization of the strait. They say they oppose the toll. Do they really? I mean it's one of those where they may say it in principle but in the status quo, would they do anything about it? Well, and it's like, oh, we're not charging a toll. We're charging a safety surcharge or whatever.
56:26I've at least, you know, seen them and their public statements. They talk around in circles, which is why you have to parse what they say very, very carefully. All diplomatic languages like that. Yeah. And one of the things that I think, you know, you really do highlight in what's happening over there also. And this is, look, you have to contrast our internal systems. Like the internal system of China is one of near total power consolidation with Xi Jinping. Now, often that can go very awry. He changed the, whatever, not the Constitution, whatever it is, you know, to be able to remain president for life.
57:00He's recently gone after the equivalent of the Secretary of Defense, who I think was just, I think he was just condemned to death. Like, the internal repression within the CCP, I'm not even talking about, you know, for the Chinese people, has immense, has gone up immensely under his reign. You would think often that makes somebody weaker. Right now, it seems as if he's pulling things off. Remember, we're looking at things from afar, reading the Western press. Like, it's not that easy to actually get any real sense. But what we can also contrast that, though, is our system where, look, one of the benefits of it is the openness and the challenge.
57:36But what we actually have is just an inability to resolve, like, the biggest questions, like war. And this brings me to before, let's put this up here on the screen, where even though three Republican senators broke with their leadership and voted to announce or advance the War Powers Act, that we had John Fetterman, who was the only Democrat to vote against the War Powers, bringing it to a 49-50 vote. if Fetterman had actually voted for it, it would have forced J.D. Vance to come to the chamber and to actually break the tie, which would have been a political disaster for the administration and the vice president forced to come and to actually - Well, and it would be a real disaster for him too.
58:22Right. Given that he's been trying to distance himself a little bit from this policy for his own political prospects in the future. Thanks, Fetterman. Look at that. Yeah. So Fetterman, I mean, yeah. Wow. in terms of how he could ever explain that one. But I don't know. I just look at that, you know, that this level of chaos in our country, where war is the biggest question. It should be the biggest one. It's what decides the fates literally of nations. And to have it so that we can't even get, you know, our Congress and others can't even get their act together to force themselves to fulfill their own constitutional duty is just such a, such a like, I don't know.
59:00It shows the deep weakness of our system. And it makes you really wonder. We're like, well, you know, on the long timeline, authoritarianism usually doesn't go well. But I'm like, maybe I'm wrong. I don't know. Like, maybe this one actually will. Iranian state media is apparently reporting this morning that Tehran has been allowing Chinese ships through the strait under Iranian-managed protocols. And no accident that that would be happening now. So, again, to the context of, like, the doublespeak, it's like, well, for China, they're like, it is open. What are you talking about? Our ships are getting through just fine.
59:30just have to follow the Iranian protocols. So, you know, and I think it's meant to send a message and it's very significant coming at this timing. One other point that I wanted to raise because I do think it's significant. You mentioned before how China, they don't have an ideological approach to like solar versus wind versus gas and oil. It's all just like, OK, well, what's going to be good for our country? And they have calculated very much that renewable solar in particular is a huge development opportunity and also, again, helps to create that independence because then you're not reliant on oil from the Strait of Hormuz or buying oil from the U.S., etc.
1:00:07Now, again, as you're pointing out, it's not like they've completely transitioned their economy over, but they have already hit peak carbon emissions and are going in the opposite direction and are integrating solar in a rapid, rapid pace. I mean, the trajectory is really quite astonishing. changing. Meanwhile, here in the U.S., Trump just has an ideological opposition to all renewables, regardless of whether it's good for the country or bad for the country. He just does not like renewables. Part of this is, of course, he's in the pocket of the oil and gas industry. He went, you'll recall, on the campaign trail, had a big meeting with them and promised them billions of dollars if they help him get elected, etc.
1:00:44So he has a corrupt ideological commitment to that. But it results in sort of foolish moments like this from where Doug Doug Burgum was being questioned in Congress yesterday and, you know, was spinning some nonsense about how, oh, well, solar only works when the sun is shining, which that's obviously when you gather power. But there's been a lot of advances in terms of battery technology to even out the power distribution. This is B3. Let's go ahead and take a listen to this. Could I respond quickly on one thing? the Lazard analysis that suggests that this is the cheapest form of energy all of these projects you're describing in Nevada have one thing in common when the sun goes down they produce zero electricity and this nation over rotated towards intermittent forms of energy and the idea that we could add intermittent and shut down baseload is what put our grid at deep risk and the idea that it's the cheapest If you want to add intermittent, you have to keep everything else.
1:01:45And so we have to have a discussion about the total cost of grid, not the cost of the incremental, because it's true on an incremental basis. You may have an incremental source, but it doesn't work. Chairman, I request unanimous consent to enter into the record this amazing new technology that apparently the Secretary is unaware of. It's a battery. China's figured it out. That's why they're cleaning our clock on clean energy, but I want to enter that into the record. It's battery. battery. China's figuring it out. This very much reminds of Trump has a whole bit about like imagining watching TV and then the sun goes down or the wind stops.
1:02:20Well, I guess we can't watch our favorite show. Like this is not reality. Obviously, there's technological fixes for this. So, you know, his ideological opposition to renewables is foolish. And we talked yesterday about how, you know, men are actually suffering a lot in the Trump economy. One of the industries that was previously growing, that is male dominated, is renewable manufacturing and implementation. And they just have completely taken an ax to that, partly because I think it is largely because he's in the pocket of the oil and gas industry. My thing is, I'm not ideological on energy. I don't care where it comes from.
1:02:53I care if it's cheap and if it's abundant. And so if that's gas, fine. If it's refineries, which I look, we're not oil is not going anywhere soon. I still think we need new oil refineries. That's fine, too. If it's solar, cool. Yeah, we should. But let's be honest about how filthy it is to construct those panels. Same with wind. Sometimes we massively subsidize. And it does have some issues. It's not as efficient. Hydropower, geothermal where needed. Good to go. Obviously, I'm a nuclear guy. I think what I've really thought through, though, with regard to the Iran war is that if you actually want to have resilience and energy independence, renewables are actually the only option.
1:03:28Unless you're going to completely nationalize oil and keep it here domestically, et cetera. As long as you're participating in the global economic order where oil is a global commodity, then you're always going to be vulnerable to a supply shop. I agree. So if you're completely dependent on fossil fuels, it makes your country much more vulnerable and much more fragile. And that's what's really sort of set in for me with the Iran war here. We have the worst of a fossil fuel system, though. So, for example, you know, the fact is, is that a third of California oil comes from the Middle East, even though we're a net energy exporter.
1:04:01because we're a net energy exporter to a global market. We never designed our country for resilience in the event that we would have to shut things down for a national export ban. Listen, in Russia, they never did that, right? They just refined their own oil. Same in China, it's a little bit differently, but they have it set it up for the, they have more flexibility within their system because they are relying on foreign exports. I don't disagree. Look, I'm a thousand nuclear power plant guy. I think there should be a nuclear power plant in every garden in the United States. I mean, energy would cost nothing.
1:04:36It's perfectly safe. It's definitely safer than natural gas and oil. It would cost, yes, hundreds of billions. We did just vaporize, oh, I don't know, 50 billion over Iran. So don't come bitching to me about the cost. Nobody cares. Whenever it's a trillion five for the Pentagon, as opposed to all of this new energy infrastructure, which, by the way, will last, oh, I don't know, 50 years before you even have to do anything. to it. So look, my own personal diatribe aside, that's the easiest way to just get it so that it's everywhere. It would be a great jobs program. I can't even imagine the Jetsons reality of what such cheap and abundant power would be like.
1:05:13It would be awesome. Revolutionary. No, it would be. Did you see this report about how there's not enough money for army training? I'm like, where are you people spending all this? I know where it came. It's oil because their fuel surcharges went up for all. It's ridiculous. Yeah. So because of the limited amount of funds that they have, they actually have had to. Because think about it. I mean, do you know how much diesel, a tank, and some of these other things consume? It's astronomical. So because of the spike in fuel, they've had to spend vast amounts more on oil and other, like diesel and other things.
1:05:43So that means they've had to cut training programs. That's the country. I'm going to bet that the military-industrial complex, they're not facing any cuts. This is the authoritarian in me. I go, why are we paying market price for diesel? Fucking take it, all right? It's our diesel. What are we doing here? Anyway, all right, let's move on. Inflation.
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From the publisher
Krystal and Saagar discuss Trump glazes Xi at summit, Fox Shocked by China's advancements, China plans secret Iran arms sales.
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