9/9/25: Zohran Dominates Every Issue In NYC, Israel Strikes Qatar, GenZ Gender Divide

9 Sep 2025 · 52 min · 20 chapters

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In short

New York City mayoral polling (Zoran dominates), plus two foreign-policy debates (Israel–Palestine: Doha explosion/assassinations and a Trump ceasefire outline; national conservatism vs Israel/anti-intervention), and a Gen Z gender divide in “definition of success.”

Guests

Dave Weigel (Semaphore; covered politics and attended conferences). Jeremy Scahill (co-founder, DropSite News; investigative reporting on conflicts).

Key claims

  • NYC poll: Zoran leads in a four-way race (46% vs Cuomo 24, Curtis Sliwa 15, Eric Adams 9) and wins head-to-head vs Cuomo by ~4 points; Zoran is the only candidate most voters say they like (+13).
  • Zoran’s strength is affordability/housing/taxes/spending; also leads most on Israeli–Palestinian conflict (43% say he’d do best).
  • Attacks labeling Zoran anti-Semitic/anti-Israel backfired; voters saw it as distracting from core affordability issues.
  • Abundance movement: affordability is the key “populist” message; movement tensions include immigration and how much deregulation vs restrictions.
  • NatCon: younger conservatives are more Israel-skeptical/anti-interventionist; debate centers on whether continued funding for Israel undermines the movement.
  • Doha: reports of an explosion are treated as an assassination of senior Hamas officials; Trump’s 100-word ceasefire proposal is described as effectively Israel’s terms and likely a non-starter for Hamas.

Notable examples

  • Cuomo rent-stabilization “revenge” argument failed in the next poll.
  • Hamas accepted a Qatari-mediated framework (~98%) but Israel allegedly demanded an “all captives immediately” deal.
  • Israeli officials reportedly said the Doha explosion was an assassination operation.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Independent Media's Role in Elections

0:45 to 1:56

Discussion on the impact of independent media in the current election cycle.

“This kid Jafar Jackson should absolutely, positively get nominated for his portrayal as Michael Jackson.”

Independent Media's Role in Elections

2:46 to 4:00

Discussion on the impact of independent media in the current election cycle.

“The Trump administration reportedly was offering Adams the Saudi ambassadorship.”

Zoran's Polling Insights

4:00 to 6:31

Analysis of polling data regarding candidate Zoran in the NYC mayoral race.

“What sort of jumped out at you as significant, both in the head-to-head and then also with the issues?”

Zoran's Popularity and Strategy

6:31 to 8:08

Exploration of Zoran's popularity among voters and his campaign strategies.

“Yeah, and you said there's an intensity gap.”

Abundance Movement Discussion

8:08 to 10:12

Examination of the abundance movement and its relation to NYC politics.

“We'll push that one to the side for now because I want to get to your coverage of we'll talk about the abundance conference to begin with and put C1 up on the screen here.”

Tensions Within the Abundance Movement

10:12 to 14:00

Discussion about factions within the abundance movement and their challenges.

“or to a lesser extent, Donald Trump has.”

National Conservatism Conference Insights

14:00 to 17:44

Discussion on the dynamics at the National Conservatism Conference and its implications.

“It was actually between the libertarians and the more progressives on one side and the more electorally minded liberals on another side.”

Debate on Israel and U.S. Foreign Policy

17:44 to 19:42

Analysis of debates around U.S. foreign aid to Israel and its impact on younger conservatives.

“and there is an American role in defending Israel.”

Political Hypocrisy and Free Speech

19:42 to 20:15

Highlighting the contrast between free speech advocacy and the reality of censorship around Israel-Palestine issues.

“influence to attempt and curb and intimidate speech on Middle East issues, particularly the State Department.”

Generational Shift in Political Opinions

20:15 to 22:45

Exploring how younger conservatives view U.S. support for Israel and the implications for future elections.

“This was a room, again, a lot of people packed this room.”
Show all 20 chapters

Israel's Military Actions and Diplomacy

25:51 to 28:00

Discussion on recent reports of Israeli military actions and their implications for diplomatic talks.

“I wanted to start with these very nascent reports we're getting of some type of an explosion in Doha.”

Israeli Escalation and Ceasefire Proposals

28:00 to 29:02

Discussing the implications of Israeli military actions and Trump's ceasefire proposal.

“And essentially, a Mossad agent had to fly on a plane with the antidote for this poison to resuscitate Khaled Mashal.”

Details of Trump's Ceasefire Proposal

29:02 to 31:17

Analyzing the specifics of Trump's ceasefire proposal presented to Hamas.

“It's a hundred word ceasefire proposal from Trump to Hamas.”

Hamas's Response and Conditions

31:17 to 37:40

Exploring Hamas's perspective on the proposed terms and their implications.

“So, you know, talking privately to officials from Hamas, they have compared this essentially to a surrender document.”

U.S. and Israeli Military Operations

37:40 to 40:11

Discussing the implications of U.S. support for Israeli actions in the region.

“gone forward with this assassination operation without at least in some way having been greenlit by the U.S.?”

Discussion on Oscar Nominations

42:05 to 42:29

Exploration of potential Oscar nominations in the film industry.

“And I don't know how many Oscar nominations they give out.”

Gen Z Gender Divide and Success Definitions

43:35 to 48:23

Analysis of polling results about Gen Z's views on success and gender differences.

“So some very interesting polling results that we wanted to dig into about Gen Z and the gender divide and the partisan divide in that particular generation.”

Cultural Influences on Gen Z Values

48:28 to 54:40

Discussion on how culture and economic factors shape Gen Z's values and priorities.

“I want to, I want to temper your sadness a bit because I will say the way this is phrased, like, is this important to your personal definition of success?”

Trump's Approval Ratings Among Youth

54:41 to 56:00

Examination of Donald Trump's declining approval ratings among young voters.

“And it is important, you know, at a structural level.”

Trump's Approval Ratings Among Key Demographics

56:00 to 58:46

Learn about the decline in Donald Trump's approval ratings among crucial voter demographics leading into the election.

“when looking at the aggregate and looking overall.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed human. I'm Mange Shachikular and I'm back with a new season of my podcast Skyline Drive. This time I talk to scientists, biopunks, curmudgeons, blues owners, super seniors and Goa's top cryotherapy lab to try to understand this obsession with living forever and what it means for all of us. And I get into a bit of trouble along the way. I'd say probably start bone smashing. That doesn't work. Make it look more defined. They say it works. I don't know. Listen to Skyline Drive, How to Live Forever on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

0:36This is Michael Rappaport and my podcast, the I Am Rappaport Stereo Podcast, is unlike anyone you've ever heard. If you're looking for strong opinions about sports, entertainment, politics, pop culture, and whatever else catches my attention, then subscribe now. This kid Jafar Jackson should absolutely, positively get nominated for his portrayal as Michael Jackson. Listen to I Am Rap Report on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.

1:05Jeremy Scahill:Can superstars even exist the way they used to? 2016 was sort of that last era of monoculture where we still consume things in community. Everybody wanted to be Beyonce at that point. I don't think we'll ever see another Riyadh. What does it mean to be Black and eat in America? You will never make me feel bad for being a Black girl, for being a Black American girl, ever. From music to food to the conversations shaping Black culture right now, Therapy for Black Girls is bringing it all to the mic. Listen to Therapy for Black Girls on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

1:41Hey guys, Sagar and Crystal here.

1:43Jeremy Scahill:Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, and we are so excited about what that means for the future of this show. This is the only place where you can find honest perspectives from the left and the right that simply does not exist anywhere else. So if that is something that's important to you, please go to breakingpoints.com, become a member today, and you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad-free, and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. We need your help to build the future of independent news media, and we hope to see you at breakingpoints.com.

2:15Jeremy Scahill:So we got a bunch of political topics to dig into. And our friend Dave Weigel from Semaphore joins us now. We've got some new Zoran polling. And you were just at two very interesting conferences. So great to see you, Dave. Yes, good to be at the conferences. I'm sure. I'm sure. Let's go and put this polling, New York Times polling, on Zoran up on the screen. Because this is pretty interesting. So this is the four-way race, which looks, you can tell me if this is wrong. But it looks like this is going to be the field. Zoran with a commanding lead, 46%, Cuomo at 24, Curtis Sliwa beating Eric Adams, 15, and then 9 % for Adams.

2:49Jeremy Scahill:The Trump administration reportedly was offering Adams the Saudi ambassadorship. He apparently turned it down. Sliwa says he's in the race. Certainly Cuomo says he's in the race. So I think this is what the field is going to be. They did test the head-to-head just Zoran versus Cuomo, and Zoran still won, but it was like by four points or something like that. Also interesting, if we put this next one up on the screen, this was kind of fascinating. So they dug into these different policy areas to see how New Yorkers felt about these various candidates. And Zoran came out on top in everything. So the one where he was closest was on crime, where he just edged out.

3:27Jeremy Scahill:Cuomo, I'm sure it's like a statistical tie there. But commanding lead on affordability, commanding lead on housing, pretty solid lead on taxes and spending. And his largest lead actually is on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, where 43 percent say they think he would do the best job on that issue. Of course, not that central to the New York City mayor's race. But in any case, his opponents tried to make it central to it. Cuomo is second at 16 percent or actually really second is don't know or did not say at 21 percent. So, Dave, what do you make of these numbers? What sort of jumped out at you as significant, both in the head-to-head and then also with the issues?

4:06Well, Zoran's personal popularity, too. That's another piece of data in this poll. He is the only candidate who most voters say they like. It's, I think, plus 13. Everyone else is underwater. So everyone else is trying to do the classic multi-candidate field thing of dragging him below the water, but dragging themselves below the water, dragging each other below the water, too. No one's getting the advantage. Cuomo tried after, it was about three weeks ago, Cuomo tried after reporting on the housing plans to say that Zoran was unfairly in a rent-stabilized apartment. He'd sometimes say rate control, which is different.

4:42And if Andrew Cuomo's elected, there's going to be a reckoning with people with rent-stabilized apartments. That's the first poll since then. That didn't work at all. That just wasn't affordability argument. That was a revenge argument. And people saw through it. Yes, and it is remarkable that knowing, with several months now. This is a discourse in the entire Democratic Party. Several months to see that Zoran captured the affordability message. Are they competing on that? No, they're very distracted by other issues. And even on the crime issue, Zoran's been saying for, I'm not trying to write his campaign brochure for him, but since he got in the race, he renounced to fund the police.

5:13His answers on policing are not, I'm going to stop them from arresting anybody. Nobody can really make that stick because they're still operating like voters think he has the mindset of 2020. Yeah. And he no longer does. So you can't polygraph him, but he no longer does.

5:26Jeremy Scahill:I mean, also crime has come down in New York City. So it's also potentially not as much of an issue as it was when Eric Adams was getting elected, for example. It was interesting to me too, to see there that Adams is quite poorly on the issue of crime, even though, you know, he was police officer. He ran on that. That was sort of like his bread and butter. And crime has actually come down under his tenure. And yet Zoran has much higher approval there. The other one that is just fascinating to me is the Israeli-Palestinian conflict number. And that was an issue, you know, Zoran was not trying to make that central to his campaign, but Cuomo and others in the Democratic primary were really trying to tag him with this label of, oh, he's an anti-Semite and he just hates Jewish people and he hates Israel.

6:05Jeremy Scahill:He won't even travel to commit to traveling to Israel. He won't say that Israel has a right to exist as a Jewish state. And, you know, I think it's pretty clear, not only did that argument fail, but it actually redounded to his benefit, ultimately, you know, for people who care about that issue, He is receiving the lion's share of the vote. And it also made them look like they were focused on these other superfluous issues while he was focused on affordability and issues that were core to New Yorkers. Yeah, and you said there's an intensity gap. So the voters who care most about this are not the Upper East Side.

6:37The voters that everyone thought they were going after were a little bit outdated. Other Democrats had a view of the electorate that was very frozen in the 80s in views of how Jewish voters think of Israel. and they did not factor in two years of the demolition of Israel image, even with Jewish Americans, especially in New York. And there's a dismissal you find in the pro-Israel political community of younger groups that are on campus active or in public active, the BDS movement, the Jewish members of that movement, but there are a lot of them in New York. And so Zoran has that entire vote. The pro-Israel vote is divided between other candidates, but you're right.

7:14This was not the issue of the race. The other candidates thought they would get that intensity gap. They would get most Jewish voters. That would be a block that would help Cuomo over the line. There are communities that happen for Cuomo, less so for Adams. Adams is literally running on the Stop Anti-Semitism ballot line, which is one of the ballot lines he got. Yeah, that's right. They overrated how much of an issue this was. It does sound like something they hear a lot from highly high-powered, from donors, from high-powered Democrats, from people who are worried in the Hamptons, a real thing that the Times is running about.

7:45and that has not been the main intensity. Are there going to be voters who get a Mayor Zoran and are disappointed that he's feuding with Netanyahu or something? Possibly, it's not their top issue. For everyone who does want a major figure in the Democratic Party in their city to support an arms embargo, support changing Israel so that it's a secular state as Zoran does, it's the most exciting candidate of their lifetime. So of course they're intense about him.

8:09Jeremy Scahill:Yeah, and I'm sure you saw Kirsten Gillibrand saying, I think it was like a donor event that nine of 10 Democrats support Israel And I was like, you need to take a look at literally any poll to, you know, adjust your views of where this issue is. That's a whole other sidetrack. We'll push that one to the side for now because I want to get to your coverage of we'll talk about the abundance conference to begin with and put C1 up on the screen here. So what were some of the things that they were grappling with? And I know you were telling me before we started that actually Zoran was very sort of present at this conference in terms of a subject piece and how to deal with him.

8:43Jeremy Scahill:because during the primary, he really kind of extended an olive branch. He embraces a lot of abundance-style policies and sort of talk the talk, but they certainly don't see him as being one of them. No, yeah, when I talked to Zoran before the primary, that was one thing he emphasized. His vision and the whole campaign's vision is have a socialist mayor of New York who makes the rest of the country say, oh, this could work for me in every respect, and that starts with housing and affordability. So at the conference, some specific examples were Raihan Salam, the president of the Manhattan Institute.

9:14And there's an overlap with abundance, but that's not the face of their movement. Somebody let in their room. He said, look, I'm my my family are Bangladeshi immigrants. When Zoran says afford to live, afford to dream, that's thrilling to us. That's the story that a lot of our parents had where they could buy a house and the kids could live in one of the extra rooms. Their kid, their kids can't afford a house. That was that was motivating for us. And he captured it. Nobody else did. There was a session on polling and data and it uncovered that, yes, affordability is the most powerful message in politics.

9:45The top priority for voters, I should say. And there was a slide showing Zoran and that slogan on one one half of the slide. The other half was Trump at McDonald's saying that there are ways to be populist and capture this affordability message. and those guys are pretty good at it. And we in the abundance movement do not have the branding, the power. We have reach and we have a lot of meetings and a lot of groups that are signing up on our YIMBY agenda, but that we've not figured out a populist way to sell this the way Zoran has, or to a lesser extent, Donald Trump has.

10:14Jeremy Scahill:Can you talk a little bit more about the, like, where did this abundance movement come from? Because I think for a lot of people, the perception was, you know, Derek Thompson, Ezra Klein, write this book. And then suddenly we've got abundance conferences and we've got abundance think tanks and this whole thing. Like, where did this come from? Yeah, they are key players in this. Thompson and Klein were writing about this in 2022, 2023. At the same time, there was a movement of liberals in cities who wanted to build more. And this came from frustration, really accelerating the Biden years. Biden is president, money is being shoveled out of the states, but you are a legislator in California or in New York or even in Colorado, and it's taking forever for you to build something.

10:54Because there's a joke, there's a line they like to say that there's no Democratic or Republican way to build a pothole. Well, there is a Democratic way to fill a pothole, I should say. It is to have a six-month equity study and make sure that the pothole filling company is minority-owned, etc. So they were grappling, okay, our Democratic Party has no trade-off agenda at all. It just says everything to everybody. It takes forever to build. Biden presidency ends with so much money being clawed back by Trump because they didn't spend it. So they're trying to solve that national problem. But these two ideas sort of come together with a lot of help from donors.

11:29There are Silicon Valley donors, not just there, but some of the people like John Arnold starts in Enron, but now he's a bigger libertarian liberal philanthropist. And there are a lot of people who say, well, we don't want the left to take over the Democratic Party. We do like this idea where there are Democrats who want to build things and spend things and deregulate. And this is actually happening in some states. California. Scott Wiener, who's in that slide, in that picture, very progressive state senator, wants to replace Pelosi when she retires, has a pretty good chance. And he's one of the leaders to scale back the environmental law that was passed in the 1970s because every Californian has experience with homeowners associations or energy companies or just an angry boomer somewhere saying, no, you can't build that six unit apartment building on this vacant lot because it'll block the view from my bungalow.

12:20So it's a very local movement. Ezra, who's from California, is big into this and columnists and reporters talk to politicians, talk to donors. It's not fully organic, but it was just a couple of different ideas about the Democratic Party's problems being, I'd say, elucidated the most, I guess, bookselling way by these two guys. And that's now the brand of the movement, but they didn't fully start it.

12:48Jeremy Scahill:Well, and talk a little bit more about who's in the movement, because you have liberals like Ezra and Derek, and then you have these more libertarians. I mean, at its core, like this is an oversimplification, but a lot of it is just kind of like deregulation, you know, which obviously the libertarians have long loved. So are there tensions in the movement between these various factions of how to proceed? There are some. So in the conference, you can go to their website. The donors include Stand Together, which is the Koch organization, Pacific Legal Foundation, which is a libertarian legal group.

13:19They do have some differences. One of them, I draw a little bit in the article, is that where does immigration fit into this? Because there are progressives and libertarians who are very open-minded about immigration, get as many people. If you need asylum, you can move to my city. If you have high skills, even better. We need to streamline the system. But there is a political worry from the more Democratic electability focus abundance people that if Democrats are seen as the party that has no restrictions on immigration, then the homeowner who says I want to vote for the party that's going to make it easier to fund to build a home, to buy a home is going to say, well, that party is going to give everything away to these new arrivals.

13:59I'm going to vote for the Republicans who say that they're going to do mass deportation and I can have a cheaper housing, cheaper goods for that reason. So that was one conflict. It was actually between the libertarians and the more progressives on one side and the more electorally minded liberals on another side. There are different views of what abundance means. Does it mean those restrictions to make it necessary? Does it mean just a deregulation where there are few tradeoffs? Part of the conference was about debating this. And I was at NatCon, the National Conservatives Conference, too. They framed themselves against that.

14:34They said, well, we're having our fights. But on the other side is the Trump administration that believes in scarcity, that believes in deportation. We're not doing that. We're saying that we can the population of the country could grow steadily. We could have more. We could have big families and they don't have an answer for them. They want them to live on the AI generated farm with the trad wife. We want them to live in a single stair unit and maybe buy a bigger house when they're older because we freed up the housing market. We've made it legal to build things. So it's a very optimistic movement, but also very aware of all these political cross currents that make it hard to win.

15:06Jeremy Scahill:Let's talk a little bit about that national conservative national conservatism conference. Right. I don't know what it's called. OK, let's put this up on the screen. This is C2, guys. And you say nationalists consolidate the U.S. right with one small crack. And I'm sure it was interesting to go back to back to these two conferences, because with the abundance people, You've got a group of people who are like totally out of power in terms of the federal conversation with the nationalists. They've got their guy in the White House and they've got Stephen Miller and they've got, you know, a whole administration.

15:36Jeremy Scahill:And they had time in the offseason to like put together what their policy plan was. They're steamrolling through the Supreme Court. Zagar and I covered that earlier. So, you know, how are they feeling about how all of this is going? They're feeling great. You conveyed it. They feel that Donald Trump is not going to have a problem leading this movement for another three years. That doesn't have a serious threat to power. the left is in disarray, which I guess we just dealt with. And then the old right, they're saying, conservative ink is the popular term for it, are discredited, but they're going to try to take the party back over once Trump is gone.

16:08And there are Bannons who say maybe he'll never be gone, but most of the movement thing, yeah, in 2028 when it's a Rubio-Vance primary. The crack I was referring to the headline is younger conservatives who are aligned with this, who agree with the movement's goals, who agree with deportations. There is a strain of America first foreign policy thinking that includes let's cut off all funding to Israel and even let's not support the United States backing up Israel because they need our B-2 bombers to finish something their army couldn't or their air force couldn't do. So that was the crack. And so Yoram Hazony, the leader of the conference of Eben Burke Foundation, et cetera, he uses his speech to say we're winning.

16:47However, I had no, I was really in denial about how many young people would have a problem with Israel and how many of our commentators, he didn't use the names, but it sounded like he meant Tucker Carlson. How many of our commentators, how many people are getting these new audiences and are critical of Israel? At this point, what was never criticized Israel. It was, hey, I thought after the Iran bombing happened and World War III didn't happen, that would stop. And it didn't. It looks like there's something very elemental here where people hear nationalism and they think not just let's have the strongest military in the world, but let's not be bailing out Ukraine or Israel or anyone else, viewing them the way that we view France.

17:22Nobody's saying they need our help right now. This other nuclear power in Europe needs our help and needs our military aid. So that was a fairly hot debate. There was a debate where leaders of the Heritage Foundation, Yoram, et cetera, were listening as the American Conservative and Max Abrams, actually Kurt Mills from the American Conservative and Max Abrams, a scholar at the Northeastern, were debating this. Abrams saying, you guys are discredited and there is an American role in defending Israel. And Mill's saying, no, this is going to ruin the entire movement and we're anti-interventionist and this doesn't fit in.

17:54So the final thing I'll say about that is national conservatism, it is rooted in a lot of politics in Israel, in Europe, that are not necessarily the same politics we have here. Europe has a different experience with mass immigration than we do. It has longer traditions of ethnic homogeneity in their countries that are changing.

18:13Jeremy Scahill:They have more of a sort of natural blood and soil inclination than you do. And in America, the country of manifest destiny and expanding into the frontiers and talking about buying Greenland, does that fit? There was some tension there, but the main tension was, well, forgetting about whether we have more in common with Israel as a project. Why are we funding any war there whatsoever? Why are we on the hook? And isn't it going to discredit this one point Mills made? young people are learning that all our movement does is cut taxes and give money for foreign wars, that he was saying this could all fall apart the way the neoconservative fell apart if we don't fix this.

18:49Jeremy Scahill:Yeah, well, there's a lot of parallels there. I mean, if you just describe the agenda that way, that is the Bush administration agenda. Let me just play this one clip of Kurt Mills because I thought it was interesting. He's the American conservative executive director, also talking about the hypocrisy around speech issues. Remember, J.D. Vance went to Europe and like lectured them about free speech. We continue to hear these lectures about European speech policies. And yet, of course, there's been a major attack on free speech here, especially when it comes to Israel-Palestine. This is C3, guys.

19:18Jeremy Scahill:Let's go ahead and play this. On the home front, this dynamic is dementing. One could be forgiven for believing the only people this administration is reliably deporting are supporters of the Palestinian cause. After riding back into power on the appeal of free speech enshrined in the First Amendment of this country's Constitution. If conserving that isn't conservatism, I don't know what is. This administration has used this influence to attempt and curb and intimidate speech on Middle East issues, particularly the State Department. After assembling and potentially generationally realigning cohort of voters disgusted with woke pieties and the suffocation of dialogue with incessant accusations of racism, Republicans have all too eagerly embraced holding the whip themselves, accusing countless unbigoted critics as anti-Semites instead of engaging on the issue.

20:12Jeremy Scahill:So Dave, how was this message received in the room? In that room, very well. This was a room, again, a lot of people packed this room. Not everything in the conference was this crowded. There were people standing along the walls and younger. You could kind of tell if you were doing a quick mitochondrial survey of the room. Like younger people in the room were laughing a lot more at his lines. The sort of thing RFK Jr. would do. That's what I was going for. That might have come real scan. Also very popular at this conference. But even if they agreed with Abrams, that's this idea that we are giving up our sovereignty.

20:44If we're saying that we always have Israel's back, even if they're pursuing war aims that are not defensive. This is, I think, where a lot of the space has opened up for not just people like Mills, but critics of Israel in the United States among the Democrats is not, we want Israel to go away, we want people to replace, but do they really need this? It feels like they're safe. And Netanyahu's talked about this, the Munich effect, where people don't see Israel as under assault. Oh, that's the country where if you commit any crime against it, they're going to hunt you to the end of the earth and then bomb you.

21:15Why do they need our money? But what he was saying that it was worrying to some people in that room, and I talked to some more pro-Israel attendees who, you know, they organize on college campuses and 95 % of what they're saying lands. And then someone in the crowd says, I don't want to die for Israel, or why should I be dying for Israel? That's what Mills is talking about, is that those people who came into the coalition, the younger men who are interested in a lot of what Trump is doing, might get off on that. And certainly some of the influential Rogan types were not attitudinally conservative.

Read the full transcript

21:46That has been a breaking point for them is, wait a second, because we're not allowed to criticize this country? Why did this guy get deported? What he's talking about, he's trying to say, lop that off because you have the potential to completely realign the country. NatCon's disagree and say, no, you can realign the country while this is happening. But they haven't figured, no one has figured out the answer on this question. To me, that's a pretty healthy movement. This is unlike Democrats who bracket the conversation, don't want to talk about Israel at all in the 2024 election and are now splintered and fighting over it.

22:17This is, this I think was happening too, was we have the space and the power to say, let's air this out and figure this out before we start losing elections over it or we start going on campuses and getting yelled at because of our positions.

22:29Jeremy Scahill:Yeah, interesting. And then contrast that with Schumer, Jeffries, et cetera, who won't even endorse Zoran. I mean, they won't say exactly why, but certainly Israel is a part of that calculus there, why they find it so abhorrent to endorse the guy who won the Democratic nomination by 12 points. Dave, great to have you. Thank you so much, as always, for your insights. Thank you. I'm Manga Shatigular and I'm back with a new season of the podcast Skyline Drive. This time I'm diving into a rabbit hole of peptides, organoids, blood boys, blue zones, and brain replacement to try to understand what this longevity obsession is all about and what it really means to live forever for all of us.

23:09I learned about some rad science. I can make a brain for you and then we can test what draw is the best. for your brain, as opposed to his brain. Here's some hard truths. I would expect Indians to age faster, but I did not expect it to be almost a four to five year acceleration. And get myself into a world of trouble. I'd say probably start bone smashing. That doesn't work. Make it look more defined. They say it works. I don't know. Listen to Skyline Drive, How to Live Forever on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is Michael Rappaport and my podcast, the I Am Rappaport Stereo Podcast, is unlike anyone you've ever heard.

23:57We're a variety show and if you're looking for strong opinions, funny opinions about sports, entertainment, politics, pop culture, and whatever else catches my attention, then subscribe now. This kid Jafar Jackson is as good as Rami Malek, as Freddie Mercury, and it's as good as Timothy Chamillai, as Bob Dylan. And I say that with love and respect for both of those actors. And I don't know how many Oscar nominations they give out. I don't know if it's five, six for best actor. 150 % this kid Jafar Jackson should absolutely positively get nominated for his portrayal as Michael Jackson. Listen to I Am Rappaport on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

24:44I Am Rappaport Podcast. In 2015, teenager Joy Morgan discovered strangely compelling YouTube sermons from the religious group Israel United in Christ, or IUIC. Her initial curiosity developed into devotion. She distanced herself from friends and family, embraced new identity, immersed herself in the IUIC, and believed she'd found the truth. IUIC is the best family that I've ever had. In fact, she had found what many called a cult. And on Boxing Day 2018, Joy disappeared forever. In the new six-part investigative podcast, The Missing Sister, Charlie Brinkhurst Cuff and Free Turn explore Joy's story, the family she left, and the religious group she found.

25:29You know when you get out of feed, I'm like, you just, I don't want to be here. I want to get out. I can't want to go home now. It's a story about truth, lies, a young woman yearning to belong, and a family still waiting for answers. All episodes available now to binge. Listen to The Missing Sister on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

25:51Jeremy Scahill:We've got a number of significant developments we are tracking with regard to Israel and Gaza, and we are joined this morning, fortunately, by Jeremy Scahill, of course, co-founder of DropSite News, alongside our own Ryan Grimm. Great to see you, Jeremy. Good to see you, man. Good to be with you guys. I wanted to start with these very nascent reports we're getting of some type of an explosion in Doha. There is some speculation. It could have been at the Hamas offices there. So, Jeremy, what can we say about the possibility of what's going on here? Well, without speculating on the particulars of it, because at this point we don't know anything factually other than there's reports of an explosion.

26:27And Israel has made clear for decades that it's willing to assassinate Palestinian political figures, resistance leaders, etc. But in recent weeks, the chief of staff of the Israeli army said quite explicitly that if Hamas does not surrender, it's not only going to obliterate and annihilate all of Gaza, but that it is going to target for assassination Hamas leaders abroad. Now, of course, most of the Hamas figures that are trying to negotiate these ceasefire deals and are essentially running the organization politically are outside of Gaza. And, you know, many of them are in Doha, in Qatar. And, of course, Israel last summer assassinated the political leader of Hamas, Ismail Haniyeh, in a strike in Tehran, Iran.

27:21It also assassinated recently, or it's also assassinated much of the on-the-ground leadership of the Kassan Brigades, the armed wing of Hamas, as well as the political leader in Gaza of Hamas, Yahya Senwar. So Israel has a long history of assassinating Palestinian political figures. In fact, many years ago, there was an incredible story that happened where Khaled Mashal, one of the leaders of Hamas, was in Jordan in the Middle East, and Israeli Mossad agents poisoned him. And it caused a huge diplomatic uproar between Jordan and Israel. And essentially, a Mossad agent had to fly on a plane with the antidote for this poison to resuscitate Khaled Mashal.

28:09So it's something out of a movie, but that actually happened. So, you know, we should be watching this very carefully because Donald Trump is, you know, put forward this vague ceasefire proposal that we're going to talk about. And it seems like any time there's the possibility of some form of negotiation, the Israelis not only escalate on the ground in Gaza, but then increase their threats like we're seeing now to potentially assassinate external leadership of Hamas. Right. I mean, Jeremy, we were talking a bit before the break, but it's very important to note there are hundreds of thousands of Americans present in Doha, not to mention all of the troops that are there.

28:43And it is, of course, been a way station for a lot of the diplomatic talks between the United States, between the world, Hamas and Israel. And so, of course, it would be sending a message just as previous Israeli assassinations like in Tehran and elsewhere did. We did want originally to talk to you about this ceasefire proposal. We can go ahead and put it up here on the screen just so you can give us some insight. It's a hundred word ceasefire proposal from Trump to Hamas. Can you break it down for us, the level of seriousness and what exactly it means? Well, I think first it's important to look at the broader context here.

29:17Right now, Israel is in the midst of a sort of final solution operation in Gaza City where they're just systematically targeting these massive high rise buildings where some of them have 100 or more apartments in them. And Netanyahu said last night that all of the residents, we're talking about a million people of Gaza City, need to leave immediately, or they're going to consider them Hamas combatants. So that's the backdrop of what's happening right now, is this intensification by Israel. Hamas, three weeks ago on August 18th, actually accepted what Qatari mediators said was 98 % of the terms of what was called the Whitcoff framework.

29:56This was the deal that's being negotiated for months that would have been a 60-day ceasefire where half of the Israeli living captives and half of the deceased captives would have been released in exchange for a large number of Palestinians held by Israel. And Hamas made massive concessions and agreed to this framework. And then Israel never responded to it. And what happened is that the Trump administration and the Israeli government said, oh, no, we don't want that deal anymore. We want now an all-in deal where Hamas immediately releases all Israeli captives living and dead. And so what we obtained was a 100-word summary of what Donald Trump has communicated to Hamas.

30:37And what it basically says is that within 48 hours of signing an agreement, Hamas would need to release every single Israeli that it's holding captive. and that a certain number of Palestinians, it doesn't specify how many, some of whom are serving life sentences, others who were snatched from Gaza after October 7th would be released. It says that there would be a 60-day ceasefire and that Donald Trump would take responsibility for ensuring that the ceasefire held while negotiations to formally end the war took place. What it also says is that there would need to be a new government installed in Gaza in order to even discuss Israeli troop withdrawals.

31:16It does say that there will be aid allowed into Gaza, but it doesn't specify how much aid, who would distribute the aid. So, you know, talking privately to officials from Hamas, they have compared this essentially to a surrender document. They suspect that it was written by Israel. The document was presented in Arabic was clumsy Arabic, strange word choices. So Hamas is speculating that it was written by Israel, and we know that that has happened in the past with U.S. proposals. But then Amir Sadal, one of the top propagandists for Netanyahu on Israeli public television, he himself came out and said that this is an Israeli proposal wrapped in fancy American cellophane.

31:58And he, you know, so he said the quiet part out loud. So what I think we're seeing here is, you know, Trump, I think, genuinely wants to wrap this up, so to speak, but he wants to do it on Israel's terms. So essentially what they're doing is saying, listen, accept this surrender order from Israel, and I'll see if I can do something about maybe ending the genocide. And there's no guarantees that Israel wouldn't just get its captives back and then continue with the war of annihilation. So I think it's extremely unlikely, if not flat out impossible, that Hamas would agree to to such a Jeremy while you're talking.

32:32Yeah, go ahead.

32:32Jeremy Scahill:We have an update from Barack Ravid tweeted from senior Israeli officials, quote, the explosion in Doha is an assassination operation against senior Hamas officials. So it would appear to be confirmation of what you and others suspected was going on there. Yeah. And again, I mean, there is a very long history of Israel assassinating Palestinian political figures, not just within the borders of historic Palestine, but externally. And again, Israel openly has said in recent days that if Hamas doesn't surrender and demilitarize and give up its arms and release the Israeli captives, that it was going to begin targeting the external leadership of Hamas.

33:14And remember, this presumably would mean that they are also attempting to assassinate the very people who would be negotiating a ceasefire. And Donald Trump just days ago submitted what he said is a new proposal for a ceasefire. So doing that and then turning around and assassinating the negotiators while they're deliberating a proposal from the president of the United States sends a message that the U.S. is backing Israel in just constantly choosing to murder Palestinians instead of using diplomatic roads when the Palestinians have said repeatedly they're open to an agreement either in phases to release half the Israeli captives within 60 days and the other half once a ceasefire is negotiated or to do an all for all deal.

33:58And again, Hamas made major concessions. And I think it's worth pointing out, among the concessions they made was allowing the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation to continue operating, despite the fact that upwards of 2 ,000 Palestinians have been killed seeking aid since May when they started. They backed off of their demand that there be a clear timeline for withdrawal of Israeli forces from the strategic Philadelphia corridor. They reduced the number of Palestinians that they were demanding be freed in return for Israeli captives. And they also agreed to allow an Israeli-enforced buffer zone to encircle the entirety of the Gaza Strip, at some points piercing 1 ,500 meters inside of Gaza.

34:37And Israel and the United States never formally responded to that offer. So, you know, this if this is true, then what they're doing beyond the fact that they're conducting assassinations on Qatari soil, which also houses U.S. CENTCOM, which also is the lead mediator in these talks, they are killing the very people that Donald Trump just sent a offer to to try to reach a ceasefire deal. Wow. Jeremy, this may be a dumb question, but it's pretty clear that Hamas or sorry that Israel and the U.S. are just seeking unconditional surrender. The terms that you just laid out effectively, I mean, would not only lead to a quote unquote new government, but is really continued occupation control of this so-called buffer zone.

35:23um what exactly does hamas see as the difference between that already you know pretty extraordinary concessions considering what they started out with as opposed to unconditional surrender like why don't they just take the unconditional surrender if they're effectively signing their own demise and their own control anyways well two things one is and hamas leaders have said this to me privately they don't want to be in control of gaza anymore um you know this is an albatross around the neck of Hamas, and it has been for many, many years. So they've said quite clearly they're willing to relinquish control.

35:56The issue, though, is that while we say Hamas, it's not just Hamas. There are many Palestinian political groups, including those opposed to Hamas or that are not allied with Hamas, including those that have no armed factions but are political parties that stand for elections, that also have been part of these negotiations. And what they all have said is that our right to bear arms in opposition to an illegal occupation by a colonial apartheid state is a legitimate right. And so while Hamas could say, OK, we step down from power, we're not going to exist anymore in this format, they're not going to sign a document that says, we agree to demilitarize the Gaza Strip.

36:35In fact, they've said, we don't have the right to do that, that that is a question for the Palestinian people. And consistently in public opinion polls, Palestinians support the right to armed resistance. I think at the end of the day, the direct answer to your question is that they view that not as a surrender of Hamas as a political entity or a movement, but that it would be them taking the outrageous action of surrendering the Palestinian cause of liberation. And whatever anyone thinks of Hamas, I think that's a true statement, given that Hamas is used as kind of the catch-all to describe Palestinian armed resistance right now.

37:08The fact is that the struggle, the armed struggle, far predates Hamas. And if Hamas surrenders itself and dismantles and no longer exists, another group of Palestinians are going to rise up under the same type of banner with the same aim to repel Israel's occupation and liberate Palestine by any means necessary, including armed force. So, you know, you have to look at this not in the context of October 7th, but in the context of 76 years of history. And I think that genuinely is how the Hamas negotiators view this.

37:39Jeremy Scahill:Jeremy, last question I have for you is, do you find it plausible that Israel could have gone forward with this assassination operation without at least in some way having been greenlit by the U.S.? You know, there were some reports that Donald Trump had relayed to Hamas that that was an option on the table. When I spoke to Hamas leaders over the past several days, none of them said that that was true. They didn't exactly say that it was false, but they said, not that I know of, not according to my information. It would surprise me if there wasn't some form of consultation with Donald Trump. And look, the guy just greenlit this strike on the boat off of Venezuela.

38:17There's still questions about who the people were that they killed. He greenlit an assassination of Qasem Soleimani in his first term, bombing him in a third country in Baghdad, Iraq. So, you know, do I know that Donald Trump was aware of this? no. Do I suspect it? Yes. I mean, Jeremy, as you laid out, CENTCOM is there. Nothing's flying in the airspace over there without U.S., at least my own personal speculation, just in terms of pure deconfliction for making sure that U.S. assets don't get confused. This is still an extraordinary message. That's actually my last question. How is the Gulf going to handle this?

38:58So if you are the UAE, if you're Saudi Arabia, and I know they have complicated relations themselves with Qatar, obviously. But I mean, for them, the answer has to be you can house U.S. troops, you can buy hundreds of billions of dollars in U.S. arms, and you still may see basically, you know, explosions and attacks by a U.S. ally on your soil. I mean, doesn't it undermine a lot of their own security doctrine? I mean, first of all, you know, many Palestinians see the United Arab Emirates as basically now a self-declared suburb of Israel. You know, it was the lead figure in the Abraham Accords, but also is, you know, constantly taking Israel's side.

39:40But if you look at Qatar, this is a, you know, a different equation. I mean, you mentioned CENTCOM being there. But, you know, Trump also has these huge business deals going on, not just, you know, officially in his capacity as president and getting his airplane and all those things, but also his family businesses. So there's deep ties there. The cold hard fact at the end of the day is that what the U.S. and Israel have shown is that Israel can do whatever it wants in that region and not a single Arab country, particularly those in the Gulf, are going to do a thing about it. So Israel doesn't need these normalization agreements anymore.

40:14Israel has shown that it can do whatever it wants. It can strike wherever it wants and not a single one of these decrepit regimes are going to do a thing about it. And that's the cold fact at the end of the day.

40:26Jeremy Scahill:Yeah, you're right. I think that's well said. Jeremy, thank you so much. Great to have your insights as always. Thank you guys. I'm Munga Shatikula and I'm back with a new season of the podcast Skyline Drive. This time I'm diving into a rabbit hole of peptides, organoids, blood boys, blue zones, and brain replacement to try to understand what this longevity obsession is all about and what it really means to live forever for all of us. I learned about some rad science. I can make a brain for you, and then we can test what draw is the best for your brain, as opposed to his brain. Here are some hard truths.

41:07I would expect Indians to age faster, but I did not expect it to be almost a four to five year acceleration. And get myself into a world of trouble. I'd say probably start bone smashing. That doesn't work. Make it look more defined. They say it works. I don't know. Listen to Skyline Drive, How to Live Forever on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

41:53This kid Jafar Jackson is as good as Rami Malek as Freddie Mercury. And it's as good as Timothy Chamolix as Bob Dylan. And I say that with love and respect for both of those actors. And I don't know how many Oscar nominations they give out. I don't know if it's five, six for best actor. 150 % this kid Jafar Jackson should absolutely positively get nominated for his portrayal as Michael Jackson. Listen to I Am Rappaport on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. I Am Rappaport Podcast. In 2015, teenager Joy Morgan discovered strangely compelling YouTube sermons from the religious group Israel United in Christ, or IUIC.

42:42Her initial curiosity developed into devotion. She distanced herself from friends and family, embraced new identity, immersed herself in the IUIC, and believed she'd found the truth. IUIC is the best family that I've ever had. In fact, she had found what many called a cult. And on Boxing Day 2018, Joy disappeared forever. In the new six-part investigative podcast, The Missing Sister, Charlie Brinkhurst Cuff and Free Turn explore Joy's story, the family she left, and the religious group she found. You know when you get that freedom, I don't want to be here. I want to get out. I want to go home now.

43:19It's a story about truth, lies, a young woman yearning to belong, and a family still waiting for answers. All episodes available now to binge. Listen to The Missing Sister on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

43:35Jeremy Scahill:So some very interesting polling results that we wanted to dig into about Gen Z and the gender divide and the partisan divide in that particular generation. This comes courtesy of NBC News, as tweeted out by Steve Kornack, who put this first one up on the screen. So the question is, how do you define success? What is your personal definition of success? Which things here on this list are most important to that personal definition of success? So for Gen Z men who voted for Trump, number one is having children. For Gen Z women who voted for Harris, the very bottom of the list is having children.

44:15Jeremy Scahill:Similarly, being married comes in quite high for Gen Z men who voted for Trump. 29 % say that's important to their personal definition of success. Gen Z women being married is at the bottom with children at just 6%. Let me go through a few more of these because it's interesting. So just keep this up on the screen. So, you know, for both fulfilling job and career, pretty close to the top, like pretty important. For Gen Z men, financial independence, having money to do things you want, owning your own home, also, you know, pretty significant there. And being grounded spiritually, making family community proud.

44:54Jeremy Scahill:Lower on the list for Gen Z men is having emotional stability. Interesting. Able to retire early and using talents and resources to help others. Those ones were more important, in particular, the using talents and resources to help others and having emotional stability for Gen Z women who voted for Harris. We can go to the next one as well, which shows the women who voted for Trump. Also for them, you know, having children is not at the top of the list. It's kind of in the middle. And being married is towards the bottom. So again, even among those who voted for Trump, you see different views between men and women on what their personal definition of success is.

45:35Jeremy Scahill:And for men who vote for Harris, their list looks a bit more like the women who voted for Harris with being married and having children more towards the bottom of the list. So there's a lot that you could pull out of the differences here. But Sagar, what was kind of your top line takeaway of what the significance is here? Congratulations to Sheryl Sandberg. Total lean in victory. You won. Neoliberalism has officially won. And I think that the results are disastrous. And look, you know, people can do what they want to do. That's the point of the country. I think, though, this really is downstream to me of a lot of policy and also of culture and the culture over the last 15 years, particularly my generation.

46:18And so, you know, I guess Gen Z as well, who've been really inculcated in this even more so than people like me, has been if you work hard, you can get what you want and you can do whatever you want to do. And this is really driven by influencer culture as well. There's even a term for it like little treat culture where people, because the big things in life are so unaffordable, they're constantly chasing little luxuries like nice bags or a watch or any of this other stuff. And there's nothing wrong with any of that as long as you have your bigger bases covered. But the bigger bases are so unattainable that they don't even look or desire or even consider as important any of those things.

46:59And so they really focus a lot of their stuff on hyper consumerism, travel, Instagramification, etc. And so, yeah, I mean, without even making it like a political point, because I do think it's important to say, you know, even Gen Z women who voted for Trump, having children is down there at the bottom. Being married is only like 20 percent. Number one is still financial independence and fulfilling job career. All I can think is, yeah, it's just like total neolib economic utility victory. And I don't think it's how it should be. You know, I don't again, I'm not going to tell people how to live.

47:32There's a lot of data. Basically, it says if you get married and have children, you're going to be happier, going to live longer. you as an economic and family unit are actually going to be more successful. You're going to make more money. You're going to have a lot more fulfillment throughout your life generally. That's what all of the data tells us. But the kind of hyper individualism that we have chased with consumerism as a society has driven us here. I blame culture, but I really blame the economy as well, because these are the things that are rewarded, are debt structures. And we're turning into Japan.

48:00We're turning into Japan where everyone is an individual worker. Having children or being married is just very low on the totem pole. A lot of women there, because of the hyper patriarchal society, have no desire to be in a relationship because if they are, they'll just be told to stay at home. So they just don't get married. They don't want to have children. They view it much more as a burden. And that's how you end up a replacement rate of 1.2 % and stagnant growth, even though you're one of the greatest civilizations in the history of the world. So it's really sad to me actually, but there's a lot of people to blame for it.

48:31I wish it were to turn around.

48:32Jeremy Scahill:I want to, I want to temper your sadness a bit because I will say the way this is phrased, like, is this important to your personal definition of success? Right? Obviously I'm a mom, three kids. They're the most important thing in my life. If you were to ask me if like just the act of having kids is my definition of quote unquote success, I'd say No, right? Having kids that are, you know, having my kids like happy and thrive and doing well in the world, pursuing the things that I consider core to my personal definition of success. That's not a choice on this list though. Like anyone can get knocked up.

49:11Jeremy Scahill:It's not like, you know, congratulations, you're so successful if you do. And so I don't, to me, it's actually kind of weird to put having kids as like your personal definition of success, like something you have to accomplish. Now, maybe it's I don't know, maybe the lens from a male perspective is a little different because having kids from a male perspective kind of entails like, OK, then I've got the marriage. I've got the financial stability to be able to pull this off, et cetera. So I sort of feel like just that gender distinction is coming through here, too, in the way that this is phrased.

49:49Jeremy Scahill:So I'd say that. I mean, listen, we've covered before. Or there's certainly a big political divide in the values and views of Gen Z men versus women. And comes through even more when you talk about Gen Z men who voted for Trump versus Gen Z women who voted for Harris. But I also feel like some of that may be a bit overstated because we're seeing, you know, if you look across the generation, you see a lot of commonalities in values, for example, with regard to how they view Israel. You know, you see a lot of commonalities with regard to just kind of broad frustration discussed with the political system overall.

50:28Jeremy Scahill:You've seen there was there was a lot of triumphalism from the from, you know, from the Trump world and from the right about the number of Gen Z men who voted for Trump. Those are some of the groups that have shifted the most dramatically away from him and are, you know, where his approval rating has fallen the most dramatically off a cliff. So I feel like a lot of this, honestly, is still kind of shaking out with this generation as they're more searching for anything that is anyone who's going to deliver for them, anything that's going to make sense, anything that's going to shake up a status quo that is truly, truly stacked against them in a lot of ways.

51:01That's a great point. And look, a lot of this could be young bias, too. I mean, if I'm being honest, you know, when I was 22 and you asked me what my definition of success was, it definitely would not be that. You know, children would not have kids. Yeah. I would be totally transparent. Right. It took a while to kind of get there. So that's definitely part of it. I do think – I think broadly I still just see the forces of the economy behind all of this because it's like you said. If the ultimate highest and best consideration of success is having children, the vision that you have in your world with that is like owning a home and having a stable job and everything that confers kind of with that, which is probably why that is out there.

51:42And it also fits with what I know a lot of these guys are watching on social media and the hustle culture and Alex Hormozy and all of this, which I don't even think there's necessarily anything bad with all of that. It's just a lot of the downstream stuff that is supposed to support you does not exist. And so that's what I spend a lot of my time really worrying about. I do actually think this is more of an interesting question for millennials because once you're my age and you're in your 30s, these become very urgent questions actually about children, about getting married and much more. I would be curious to see this poll for millennial men who voted for Trump versus millennial women and others because millennial women at this point, you're like 29 to 35.

52:30You're well-established into your career. It's like, is it worth it? Did it get what you want? Like you can theoretically say you could achieve a total amount of success when you're 20, 20. When I'm 22, if you'd asked me where I am right now, I'd be like, oh my God, I made it. Like it's, it's, it's done. You know, it's like everything you could have possibly envisioned and wanted. Is that the most important thing in your life? No, obviously I'm married now. I have a child. Right. And so your priorities kind of become much more in view. So I would be curious to see how this shakes out in a millennial view.

52:59Jeremy Scahill:Yeah. And now that I'm talking to you, I don't know if pulling a 22-year-old is the right way. Literally, their brains aren't even developed. It's true. True. It's an interesting snapshot, though. I mean, I also would say, like, the language here, it says, fulfilling job and career. We're very lucky because we have that, right? And I think the reality is, in the system we live in, you do spend most of your life at your job. So for people to say, you know, that is important in terms of my view of success, I don't think that's so crazy because that is the structure of society. I mean, that kind of dovetails with your point of like this is downstream of policy and the economic structure that we have.

53:33Jeremy Scahill:Another piece, and this is maybe a little bit more tangential, but it's been something I'm thinking about with regard to, you know, women who not only have having children at the bottom of the list, also have being married at the bottom of the list. You have a lot of you have a whole ecosystem of online influencers set up to tell you basically like, you know, to treat women poorly and women suck and don't be their friends and whatever. So there's some of that messaging coming from that. And that's like, okay, fine. If you hate me, I don't need you. There's also an entire tech economy that is developing these AI chatbots to convince everyone that they don't need anyone, that you don't need human relationships.

54:13Jeremy Scahill:You can be best friends with ChatGPT or you can be best friends with Grok or you can be best friends with Meta's AI chatbots where you can invent them and create them and make them whatever you want. and they're never going to criticize you. They're not going to hurt your feelings. They're never going to like steal your man. You know, they're just going to be there to make you happy. And you don't need this messy world of human relations. So I think some of that is going on in the background of all of this as well. Absolutely. That's well said. And it is important, you know, at a structural level.

54:45I believe if you build it, they will come. So everything is downstream of availability. if the house is not available, if the child, you know, if, if, if, if it's too expensive, I think the average marriage in the U S costs like$25 ,000 right now, uh, for a wedding. I'm pretty sure that's right. I could be wrong. I haven't looked at the statistics in quite a long time. Uh, but you think about all the associated expected, et cetera. And you're just like, eh, you know, and if that's going to be so wildly out of reach, then what is available? It's like, okay, well getting a job, anyone can get a job.

55:17Uh, anyone can, you know, hustle or, or do anything. and that becomes more available. And so I believe that like the structure of what is available also determines the possibility of your imagination. And so that's what I would like to fix more than anything.

55:33Jeremy Scahill:I think that's true. We do have an interesting Harry Enten thought about Trump and his popularity and where he's losing ground with various groups. This is E4, guys. Let's take a look at this. Look at the aggregate of the polls and look how long Donald Trump's net approval rating has been negative. It has been every day since March 12th than the average opposed. We're talking about 181 days in a row in which Donald Trump has been underwater, swimming with the fishes. There is no good data for Donald Trump when looking at the aggregate and looking overall. He has been negative for a very long period of time, the vast majority of his second presidency.

56:09Look at this. These are all the key issues. Donald Trump is underwater on all of them. Trade, obviously tariffs have been a big thing at the bottom of your list, minus 17 points. The economy, which was the reason, the reason he was elected to a second term to fix the economy, way underwater at minus 14 points. Foreign policy, minus 12. And then I think, Mr. John Berman, the key two issues at the top, because these have been Donald Trump's strongest issues, crime and immigration. But get this, he is now underwater on both of these issues, if barely, but he's underwater on crime at minus two, immigration at minus three.

56:42On all the key issues, he is, again, swimming with the fishers. Consistency across the board. Two key groups that were so important to getting Donald Trump a second term. He did so much better than the traditional Republican among those under the age of 30. And Hispanics, look at this, in February, among those under the age of 30, his net approval rating coordinator CBS News, plus two points. Look at where we are now. Negative 30 points. That's a 32-point move in the wrong direction. And Hispanics, he was six points underwater. Look at this. Minus 34 points. That's a 28-point move since February.

57:13No wonder Donald Trump's in trouble. He's steady across the board. And since February, when he was last positive, he's only gotten significantly worse among two very key groups for his election back last year.

57:23Jeremy Scahill:I mean, it shows you voters really are up for grabs. The idea that people are just locked in and that's that for some people. Yeah, there's a good percentage of the country for which that is true. But these were really two of the key swing groups in this election. And they are not happy with what they're seeing. I agree. That is the most important. Look, elections change. They change all the time. It's one of the great lessons. One of the most exciting parts about covering this, and I try to drill it into people's heads every time before an election, is just look, 96 to 2000, 2000 to 2008, 2008 to 2016, 2016 to 2024.

57:59Look at those radical changes that can all happen. By the way, even 20, I think 2016 to 2020 was one of the craziest elections. If you'll remember, Crystal, when we were looking at some of those South Texas numbers, I'll never forget it, sitting at the desk and looking at Larray. I was like, I've never in my life could have imagined that South Texas Latinos would be flipping 50 points to Donald Trump. And it happened in three and a half years. So this is something that just all politicians should notice. You should fight because you never know what actually could happen. And I do think that we are going to find that out big time in the midterm elections.

58:36this time.

58:36Jeremy Scahill:Yeah, we will see. All right, guys, we're going to skip Tim Dillon for today. Sagar and Emily will cover that clip tomorrow because we talk too much about other things as per usual. But thank you guys so much for watching. Thank you for your support of the show. If you can become a premium subscriber, breakingpoints.com. We take no dark money, guys. There's no dark money packs funding us. We don't talk to advertisers. We really do try to keep it as like pure as we possibly can around here. And you guys enable that. So thank you so much. And Sagar and Emily, we'll see you guys tomorrow.

59:21I'm Mange Shatikular and I'm back with a new season of my podcast, Skyline Drive. This time I talk to scientists, biopunks, curmudgeons, blues owners, super seniors, and Goa's top cryotherapy lab to try to understand this obsession with living forever and what it means for all of us. And I get into a bit of trouble along the way. I'd say probably start bone smashing. That doesn't work. Make it look more defined. They say it works. I don't know. Listen to Skyline Drive, How to Live Forever on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is Michael Rappaport and my podcast, the I Am Rappaport Stereo Podcast, is unlike anyone you've ever heard.

59:59If you're looking for strong opinions about sports, entertainment, politics, pop culture and whatever else catches my attention, then subscribe now. This kid Jafar Jackson should absolutely positively get nominated for his portrayal as Michael Jackson. Listen to I Am Rap Report on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.

1:00:22Jeremy Scahill:Can superstars even exist the way they used to? 2016 was sort of that last era of monoculture where we still consume things in community. Everybody wanted to be Beyonce at that point. I don't think we'll ever see another Rihanna. What does it mean to be Black and eat in America? You will never make me feel bad for being a Black girl, for being a Black American girl, ever. From music to food to the conversations shaping Black culture right now, Therapy for Black Girls is bringing it all to the mic. Listen to Therapy for Black Girls on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

1:00:58This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed human.

From the publisher

Krystal and Saagar discuss Zohran dominates Cuomo on every issue, Israel strikes Hamas in Qatar, Gen Z gender divide explodes.

 

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