Poppi vs Olipop: Soda’s Second Coming | 6

23 May 2024 · 37 min

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In short

Business Wars: Poppi vs Olipop - Soda’s Second Coming

Episode Summary In this episode of *Business Wars*, host David Brown explores the resurgence of soda through the lens of two health-focused brands, Poppi and Olipop. With sugary soda consumption declining, these companies are redefining the fizzy drink market by introducing prebiotic sodas that claim added health benefits. The episode delves into the historical context of soda, the rise of these brands, their marketing strategies, and what the future may hold for them in a competitive landscape dominated by traditional soda giants.

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Key Topics

Historical Context of Soda

  • Decline in Popularity: In the early 2000s, soda sales fell sharply due to health concerns regarding sugar.
  • Renaissance of Soda: Recently, a resurgence has occurred, primarily driven by health-conscious consumers looking for alternatives to traditional sugary sodas.
  • Evolution of Soda Marketing:
  • Originally marketed as health drinks in the 19th century.
  • Shifted to a recreational image in the mid-20th century.
  • Confronted a health backlash leading to the rise of diet sodas.

The Rise of Poppi and Olipop

  • Poppi:
  • Founded by Allison and Stephen Ellsworth, it features apple cider vinegar as a key ingredient.
  • Gained attention after appearing on *Shark Tank* and rebranded from "Mother Beverage" to "Poppi".
  • Olipop:
  • Created by Ben Goodwin and David Lester, this brand focuses on providing a gut-friendly beverage without apple cider vinegar.
  • Markets itself as a healthier soda alternative using ingredients like fruit juice, botanicals, and prebiotics.

Market Dynamics

  • Industry Valuation: The functional beverage sector is valued at approximately $54 billion in North America, with Olipop reaching a $200 million valuation and Poppi showing rapid growth.
  • Consumer Trends: The episode highlights a growing trend among younger generations (millennials and Gen Z) towards health-conscious and alcohol-free options.

Marketing Strategies

  • Social Media Influence:
  • Both brands leverage social media for marketing, with Poppi focusing on TikTok influencer campaigns and Olipop adopting a more subtle approach through recipe integrations.
  • Traditional Advertising:
  • Both brands are investing in conventional advertising methods, such as Poppi's notable $7 million Super Bowl ad, to widen their audience.

Competition with Big Soda

  • Acquisition Speculations: There are hints that larger companies like Coca-Cola may be interested in acquiring brands like Poppi, highlighting the competitive dynamics in the beverage industry.
  • Customer Retention Battle: The episode suggests that both brands are competing not only with each other but also with established soda brands for consumer loyalty.

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Key Takeaways

  • Soda's Evolution: The beverage industry has witnessed a significant shift from sugary sodas to health-oriented alternatives, as consumer preferences evolve.
  • Importance of Marketing: Successful branding and effective marketing strategies are crucial for new entrants like Poppi and Olipop as they vie for consumer attention against established giants.
  • Future of Beverage Industry: The episode raises questions about whether brands like Poppi and Olipop can sustain their growth and potentially alter consumer perceptions of soda permanently.

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Featured Guests

  • Tristan Donovan: Author of *Fizz: How Soda Shook Up the World*, providing insights into the historical significance of soda.
  • Ann Guillen: Retail reporter from *The Information*, discussing market trends and brand strategies.

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Conclusion This episode of *Business Wars* showcases the dynamic landscape of the beverage industry, emphasizing the innovative approaches that Poppi and Olipop are taking to redefine soda. With a blend of health benefits, modern marketing, and strategic positioning, these brands illustrate the potential for new entrants to thrive in a market historically dominated by sugar-laden giants. The future remains uncertain, but the battle for consumer loyalty is set to intensify.

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Transcript

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0:08Back in the 2000s, soda became a four letter word. Once people realized just how much of an impact sugary drinks were having on their health, soda pop lost its luster. Full-calorie soda sales dropped 25 % during the early to mid-aughts. But over the past few years, the soda scene has experienced something of a renaissance. The standouts of this movement? Poppy and Olipop. By now, you've probably seen these brands on social media. Their aggressive social marketing strategies have these colorful cans in the hands of practically every influencer. The two companies position themselves as functional or prebiotic sodas claiming to have added health benefits, unlike traditional sodas like Pepsi and Coca-Cola.

0:54And this concept has really popped off. The functional beverage industry is worth an estimated$54 billion in North America alone. Olipop's valuation is nearly$200 million, while Poppy has larger growth than Monster Energy, Gatorade, Liquid Death, and Vitamin Water, according to Forbes. Couple all of this with a rising sober curious movement among millennials and Gen Z, and you've got a recipe that could breathe life back into an industry that's been falling out of favor. Today, we're cracking open cans of both poppy and olipop, somewhat literally, I might add, to understand how these sodas got so popular and find out what's next for soda's second coming.

1:39Stick around.

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3:49From Wondery, I'm David Brown, and this is Poppy vs. Olipop. So does Second Coming.

4:15To understand why this busy renaissance is happening right now, we need to take a quick trip back in time to the origins of soda pop. For centuries, people have turned to soda as a bubbly alternative to plain old water. In fact, soda caught on as far back as 77 AD in Europe, where people discovered naturally carbonated mineral springs that were believed to have healing powers. People thought, oh wow, these are magic waters. We can bathe in them and drink them and we'll become strong and healthy and it will cure all our diseases. Tristan Donovan is the author of Fizz, How Soda Shook Up the World, which chronicles the history of the bubbly beverage.

4:54And so it became this kind of idea that, oh, it wouldn't be great if we could just make this magic water instead of having to travel hundreds of miles to actually get to it. So essentially, humanity had this kind of several hundred years quest to try and make basically what they saw as magic water, which was basically fizzy water. By the 18th century, the quest succeeded as European scientists learn how to carbonate water. But bottling these drinks wasn't the cleanest or most hygienic process. So by the 19th century, soda makers started getting creative. In order to hide any debris that may have been included by accident, they used caramel to darken the color and sugar to mask any unpleasant taste.

5:40It was around this time that a Harvard professor looking to make some extra cash came up with the idea of something called a soda fountain, which rocketed pop to the top of American culture and opened the door for more experimentation. Other people copied that idea. Then some of them started thinking, well, actually, we could offer a range of different flavors, a bit like the syrups you get in modern-day coffee shops. It's like, oh, would you like all soda water with a bit of celery extract in it? And And so really it came out of there, and that's when the explosion of different flavors came about, and it became woven into American life.

6:18Another reason for soda's explosive popularity in the 19th century was the rising temperance movement in the United States. This was essentially the precursor to Prohibition, where drinking alcoholic beverages was seen as morally bankrupt. And to make soda even more appealing to the masses, merchants started promoting it as a kind of antidote for common illnesses. The 1800s were really kind of when soda was promoted as a health drink, and not just because of the temperance movement, but you also had all the sort of snake oil merchants going around, going, I've got a potion that will cure all your illnesses.

6:56And the two kind of intersected. To keep up its reputation as a health drink, Soda makers started adding ingredients that they thought at the time could cure people's ailments and help sell the drinks. Early versions of Coca-Cola even contained cocaine. Cocaine was seen as a wonder drug back in the middle of the 1800s, and it was legal. So these kind of chemists were like, oh, we'll put some cocaine in this drink because it's curative and people will want it. Now, adding cocaine to Coca-Cola didn't last that long, and the practice was in fact banned by 1903. But by then, soda was everywhere. Coca-Cola, Pepsi, Dr.

7:36Pepper had all hit the scene, leaning into their pharmaceutical routes well into the 1950s. Dr. Pepper, the cold weather drink. We say the cold weather drink because Dr. Pepper is a blend of pure fruit flavors with a lemon base. That lemon base tends to alkalize your system and helps keep you away from bad cold. all through the winter month, Christmas Day when all your friends and guests drop in. Give them the drink that's good for life, not only tastes good but is good for them. Dr Pepper, Dr Pepper time starting out now with Fisher's Hornpipe. So if you get back to the 50s and 40s, there's lots of, say, Dr Pepper ads where it's like, we've got loads of sugar in this, it's great.

8:20To people kind of go, maybe all this sugar isn't that good for you. As doctors began to understand the negative effects of sugar on teeth and overall health, soda's advertising started to shift. And soda marketing kind of changed to being more recreational. And particularly during the cola wars, if you look from the 60s through to the 90s, it was about youth and having fun and going out with your friends. And it was nothing to do with health.

8:55The world of steam You heard it on the D &D And I'd like to buy the world a cup And keep it company This famous Coca-Cola ad from 1971 was considered to be one of the greatest commercials of all time. It features a large group of hippies of all different backgrounds singing together holding bottles of Coca-Cola. By tying itself to the counterculture movement of the times, Coca-Cola was able to rebrand for a younger generation of consumers. The health concerns hadn't disappeared, however, and by the 1980s, the diet soda craze began. Coca-Cola finally came out with Diet Coke, and that was really kind of the big turning point where suddenly, oh wow, there's like proper diet sodas.

9:46I mean, they'd been around, but somehow there was something about the marketing of Diet Coke that really just got it over the line. And suddenly it's like, oh, I'm going to stop drinking Coke and have Diet Coke instead. And then pretty much everything followed. You know, it's like, oh, now there's Diet Dr. Pepper, there's Diet Fanta, there's Diet everything. Things were looking great for big soda. By 1998, soda sales had peaked, with customers drinking 53 gallons per capita in the United States. Little did they know all that success was about to flatten out. You had people and campaign groups starting to go, you've got to stop drinking all this.

10:27This stuff is just liquid candy. And that really kind of hit home. I think, you know, these things always take years. You know, it's like turning around a super tanker or something. But it really, by the end of the 90s, the message had broken through. And people were like, actually, this is not good for you. Fast forward to 2016 and soda consumption was at a 31-year low, with bottled water outselling the former pop stars. Several cities including San Francisco, Boulder and Philadelphia introduced taxes on sugar-sweetened beverages. The beverage industry was at a crossroads, forced to figure out how it could stay relevant among a consumer base that just wasn't buying the sugary drinks of yesteryear.

11:11Soda sales have fizzled about 14 % in the past decade, but cola companies are making moves to turn things around. Consumers are ditching sugary drinks for healthier alternatives, or as soda companies put it, code red. With consumption falling flat, the soda market was left with a gaping hole. So the big companies entered into full acquisition mode to try and fill it. In 2016, Pepsi bought Kavita Kombucha, and Dr. Pepper's Snapple Group bought the flavored water called Bi, which claims to be full of antioxidants. And also that year, at farmer's markets in and around Dallas, Texas, husband and wife duo Stephen and Allison Ellsworth were introducing an apple cider vinegar-based health drink called Mother Beverage.

11:59Apple cider vinegar, I mean, it's just been around forever to help with health. and, you know, to promote wellness. So it's just, you know, a brand to taste good, be healthy, but, you know, it's a refreshing beverage too. You don't just have to drink it to be, you know, healthy. That's the founder, Allison Ellsworth, speaking at an event for the beverage industry publication BevNet back in 2016. She began experimenting with apple cider vinegar while traveling for work. She found herself constantly feeling sick and run down and had read online that the stuff might help. Here she is in a recent interview with the Today Show.

12:35So I started drinking apple cider vinegar every single day for about two weeks, and I felt so much better. I was like, how can I make a better-for-you soda that's all clean ingredients? So I went to my kitchen, and I just started experimenting. Allison and Stephen got an investment of$125 ,000 from family and friends to bottle and sell their experimental soda. In 2016, Mother Beverage was discovered by Whole Foods and began selling in select locations to the tune of half a million dollars in sales. Then in 2018, the outlook for the company and the couple's future changed dramatically. A nine-months-pregnant Allison appeared alongside Stephen to pitch investors on Shark Tank.

13:20Hi, Sharks. I'm Allison Ellsworth. And I'm Stephen Ellsworth. And together, we're the co-founders of Mother Beverage based in Dallas, Texas. We're here seeking$400 ,000 in exchange for 10 % equity in our company. All right, sharks, who wants to take a shot with me? So as you guys know by now, that was a shot of apple cider vinegar. Oh my God. Well, I started drinking apple cider vinegar or ACV to detox and lose weight. There were a whole bunch of no's from the other sharks, but they did get one yes. Rohan Oza invested$400 ,000 for a 25 % stake in the company. Oza has a background in the beverage industry.

13:59He helped develop vitamin water and then developed and sold the drink Bi. In 2020, Mother Beverage relaunched with a new name, Poppy, a play off of soda pop after realizing they couldn't trademark Mother and they needed something a little catchier. But Poppy wasn't the only hot new bubbly drink hitting the market during soda's identity crisis of the 2010s. While Allison and her husband Stephen were infusing apple cider vinegar at Dallas Farmer's Markets, beverage industry veterans Ben Goodwin and David Lester were concocting their own good-for-your-gut drink inspired by kombucha. We are Ovi Probiotic Soda, and we've grown a ton since we first started with Newly.

14:43That's Ben Goodwin in a promotional video for an independent grocery store from 2015. The probiotic pop wasn't quite catching on at the time, so Ben and David decided to sell it in 2016. They earned$100 ,000 from that sale, which they used to start a new brand of gut-friendly soda. Meet Olipop, a new kind of soda. Naturally sweet, nothing fake, supports digestive health. Delicious soda that's actually good for you? Yes, please. In 2018, Olipop was born, the same year Allison and Stephen Ellsworth pitched Poppy to Shark Tank. Now, unlike Poppy, Olipop doesn't contain apple cider vinegar. Instead, its cans have fruit juice as well as a blend of botanicals, plant fibers, and prebiotics.

15:35And like Poppy, it derives its name from a reference to pop, Midwestern slang for soda, combined with oligosaccharides, a.k.a. prebiotic fibers, On a podcast from a couple of years ago, Goodwin shared that Olipop's ultimate goal was to win over fans of traditional soda. The priority at the end of the day is the soda drinker, right? It's because it's the biggest bucket. It's where the most kind of harm mitigation opportunity lies. However, like everything else, you've got to earn your stripes. You've got to earn your way there. So that's why we started in the natural channel, which is typically a more early adopter consumer.

16:15By 2019, the company raised$2.5 million in seed funding. Olipop then gained its own bevy of celebrity fans, raising$39.7 million in 2022. Here's Olipop co-founder David Lester talking about their partnership with singer Camila Cabello. Got put in touch with her because she was drinking the product itself. And she spoke really passionately about and was really interested to partner with us. Six years later, these brands have more than caught on. But are they just the flashy, dare I say, buzzy new option? Or do they have real staying power? When we come back, we're pulling tabs on our very own test kitchen.

16:59If you'll pardon me for just a moment, I'm going to pick pop the lid on a couple of these. Stick around.

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18:44Welcome back to Business Wars. We've been talking about the two biggest competitors in the functional soda wars, Poppy and Olipop. Both brands have strong distribution channels right now. You can find them at big box stores and grocery stores nationwide. The drinks seem to be pretty similar, though. The packaging is colorful and playful, with both advertising digestive health benefits right on the can. Ann Guillen is a retail reporter for the information who's written about both brands. I asked her if similarities would come back to bite one of them. Now, Poppy and Olipop use different ingredients, but they might seem very similar to the average consumer.

19:24I know that if you're shopping for them at the grocery store, you'll find them in the same section. Has that similarity been a problem for the brands? I don't think the similarity has necessarily been a problem for them yet. I think the fact that both of these brands have been able to grow so quickly, I think, really demonstrates that there is a lot of interest in this kind of product. Obviously, they're so similar, you kind of can't help but compare them. But I don't think, you know, one has grown at the expense of the other at this point. Well, when you have two good-for-your-gut beverages with similar marketing and social media hype, there's only one way to really sniff out the differences between the two.

20:09Or should I say, sip. Well, now I mentioned that I saw these in the store, and so I couldn't help but pick a couple of these up just to give them a try myself. And I know this is non-scientific. But if you don't mind, if you'll pardon me for just a moment, I'm going to pop the lid on a couple of these. I decided to orchestrate my very own taste test with Ann Guillen as my witness. Okay, this is the Ollipop ginger ale. It says here 50 calories. Trying to make out here only 17 grams of carbs. Watch out for that. Five grams of sugar. And this is the ginger ale flavor. And I have to say, I saw a bunch of different flavors, and the ginger ale just kind of seemed the safest.

20:56So here we go.

21:02It's a good flavor. It's a very good flavor, Olipop. But it's not as tangy or tart as I was expecting from a ginger ale. I will say that. But it goes down really smooth. It's like a, I was going to say like a flat can of dry, but that's not fair. It's a very smooth tasting ginger ale. For the record, David, ginger ale is my favorite olipop flavor. Oh, is that right? So I picked good. I would say you made a good choice. Oh, very good. Very good. All right, well, let's try this one now. This is the poppy. This is the locally grown for me since I'm in Texas. Here we go. This is, oh, this is wild berry.

21:4316 ounce.

21:47Boy, a lot of fizz there. A lot of fizz.

21:54Wow, very flavorful. That's very flavorful indeed. This says it has 30 calories. Carbs are about eight. So about around half what the other was. What did I say the other? They're both very good. They're both very flavorful. One is a little bit fizzier than the other. Was that your take? I presume you've tried this poppy as well? I have tried both. I have tried Olipop and Poppy. And I actually maybe am a bad test subject because my favorite thing is sparkling water. And to me, what makes a good sparkling water is if it has a lot of fizz. So I would say that both Olipop and Poppy don't have quite as much fizz as I personally would like.

22:45But I think they get very close. Mm-hmm. For a drink with only about five grams of sugar per can, it's pretty tasty. It's also non-caffeinated, which is appealing to folks who want the fizz but not the buzz. This, Ann says, is what will keep customers coming back for more. People are looking for another beverage that, you know, it kind of satisfies that craving for, I want a sweet, fizzy beverage, but I want one that, you know, where I can drink one every day, where I wouldn't necessarily drink Coca-Cola or a Sprite every day because it has a lot of sugar or I don't want to have that much caffeine.

23:26So I think that the digestive or the gut health benefits might not be what kind of draws every single new shopper in. I think that a lot of people are looking for an alternative that is probably a little bit healthier for them than the options that have been out there previously. And something that they can feel good about having on a more frequent basis than maybe they feel like sodas only every once in a while or something that they can't have every day. And that idea, a sort of rebranding of soda, is exactly what these companies are trying to communicate in their advertising. Here's a recent ad from Olipop.

24:09Delicious soda that's actually good for you. Anything else is a compromise. Olipop, a new kind of soda. And here's an ad from Poppy that aired during the 2024 Super Bowl. This will be the last moment you ever think of soda as being a dirty word. Soda! As being bad for you. filled with unclean ingredients and unnecessary sugar. Because this is Poppy. This Poppy ad came with a nearly$7 million price tag and reached more than 29 million viewers. Anne Guillen explains the significance behind the costly commercial. Poppy, by doing the Super Bowl ad, I think it's an indication that they're in a kind of interesting point in their growth where they're really trying to go reach a national audience and not just this niche health-conscious consumer.

25:01You know, what is going to make the difference if there's a can of Olipop and a can of Poppy right next to each other in the fridge at the grocery store? What is going to make you pick one over the other? And you're likely to pick the brand where you saw their ad on your way into the store or you saw their TV commercial. And so I think they both have had to invest in a lot of this kind of brand building and brand awareness so that when they are right next to each other on the shelf, you feel inclined to pick one over the other. Anne also points out that while Olipop and Poppy have the look and feel of other direct-to-consumer brands, they're really doubling down on this more traditional advertising strategy.

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25:45While they are, you know, brands that have raised money from venture capital firms, you know, they're promising to kind of reinvent an old category. They're not doing it in the same way that many of these kind of online-only direct-to-consumer brands, like a Warby Parker and Allbirds or an Everlane. Obviously, you know, apparel and soda are very different categories. At the end of the day, you're still buying most of your sodas and most of your drinks at the grocery store. You're not buying them online. online. So even though they are kind of promising to be this next generation brand, they still are having to rely on a pretty old school marketing playbook.

26:33What it comes down to, says Anne, is brand awareness. As these two companies charge ahead with similar missions, it's crucial for them to get the product in front of consumers however they can. I think both Olipop and Poppy are doing a lot to really kind of get their name out there, get shoppers familiar with who they are, you know, what the brand is, what they offer. And then when it comes time, when you're in the store and you see it on the shelf, you can say, oh, you know, I've been meaning to try Ollipop and, you know, reach off the shelf and put it in your cart. To grow and maintain popularity among shoppers, specifically the younger set, these brands have unlocked a secret weapon.

27:15This literally tastes just like soda. And you just look, you're holding hands. Coming up, how Poppy and Olipop have cracked the code on influencer marketing to reach a whole new generation of enthusiastic consumers. That's when Business Wars returns.

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29:40In 2024, if you're a new brand that's not blowing up online, well then, good luck. As companies try to capture the Gen Z and perhaps Gen Alpha marketplace, Very few can figure out what it takes to reach these consumers in a way that feels authentic. This is my latest obsession. Poppy, I love you so much. She has risen the bargain. Yeah, 10 out of 10. This is worth it. In an ad from last year, Poppy strung together snippets of TikTokers promoting the product. This literally tastes just like soda. And you just look cute holding it. The advertisement's part of Poppy's push to create a genuine buzz around their product online.

30:20And it seems to be working. Their TikTok has more than half a million followers, and the platform has been a core part of their growth strategy for a few years now. In 2021, founder Allison Ellsworth shared her story on the platform in a video that now has almost one million likes. So I went to my kitchen, created Poppy, and then I believed in my product that I quit my job, we went all in, we went on to Shark Tank, got a deal, and I found a way to make it taste incredible. Allison, the co-founder, has become something of an influencer in her own right. That's Ann Gihan of The Information. And so she's been kind of the face of Poppy, you know, talking about founding the brand, kind of what led her to experiment and try different products that led to her creating Poppy.

31:14She talks about going on Shark Tank. But then also Poppy works really closely with a wide range of content creators through kind of more typical influencer marketing. This year at Coachella, the music festival that's become a who's who event for influencers, Poppy footed the bill for Alex Earle, a creator with more than 6 million followers on TikTok, so she could hang out and post about the brand. I don't think you guys understand this house right now is basically like a poppy factory. Like there's poppies and actually every crevice, like you like pull back the sheets and there's like a poppy under your pillow.

31:49Olipop is also making a big splash on social media, but they're taking a slightly different approach, one that may be described as slightly more subtle or low key. They sent product to or did a deal with a creator that posted recipes and posted videos of themselves cooking. And with every recipe that they would cook, they would have a can of Olipop next to it. And it was pretty subtle. You know, it would just kind of be, you know, in the frame, like, next to the food. But that was a way for them to get a lot more eyeballs on the product in a pretty kind of natural way. And when it comes to talking about the product, they aren't using their founder to promote the brand online.

32:36Instead, Olipop has hired a full-time digital content creator. Olipop is a soda, a new kind of soda. It's made with fiber, botanicals, prebiotics, so it supports your gut health. It has nine grams of fiber in each can and only two to five grams of sugar. It is delicious and good for you. I have one every single day, and we have over 10 flavors. She runs the Olipop TikTok. She's become kind of this reliable face and known face to Olipop's audience to kind of represent the brand. And they did that by partnering with someone who already kind of knew the ins and outs of social media, of building a following, of engaging with people, and building a community.

33:19So I think that's really interesting that they, you know, invested. So they invested maybe what they would have normally invested in buying online ads or something and kind of funneled that into, you know, investing in this TikTok channel. Both brands are also breaking out of screens with their PR. In Los Angeles earlier this year, Poppy organized a space-aged convenience store pop-up to introduce the future of soda culture. Come with me to Poppy Mart. Look how long this line got, guys. It was serious, okay? So here's the outside, and they killed it with the marketing. Meanwhile, the folks at Olipop are hitting the road to introduce their product to new markets.

34:05So Olipop hired two fans as their senior soda consultants to travel around and promote the brand through hosting events and passing out products, but also by posting about it on social media. I believe they said this was an homage to the Oscar Mayer Wienermobile. And so that's something for them that's ultimately pretty low cost, but gets them, you know, a lot of attention, a lot of eyeballs on the brand that wouldn't have necessarily been interested or, you know, learned about the brand before. And then there's the celebrity involvement, or in this case, investment, that's helping these companies to grow.

34:48Gwyneth Paltrow, Mindy Kaling, and the Jonas Brothers all have money in Olipop, while Haley Bieber, Kylie Jenner, and Billie Eilish have funded Poppy. I think you're seeing not just Olipop and Poppy, but a lot of brands do that now by partnering more closely with celebrities and, you know, having them be more involved in the brand as investors rather than just kind of spokespeople or, you know, appear in advertisements. I think it's interesting that they have kind of chosen to go that route with the celebrity partnerships versus just, you know, kind of a simpler advertising relationship. Poppy and Olipop are both trying to saturate eyeballs, fighting for their aesthetically pleasing soda cans to get more room on the shelf.

35:39But the question remains whether they become household names with long futures. I think it'll be interesting to see if either brand becomes a household name. I mean, I think both brands have already crossed over from being just a convenience purchase, something that you see on the shelf and think is interesting and, you know, decide last minute to put in your cart. You know, there are people that are ordering it in bulk on Amazon or, you know, like lots of different stores are starting to stock full cases of both brands. And so I think you're seeing it kind of shift from a one time impulse purchase to something that people are really seeking out and is really part of people's routines.

36:26Right now, Ann reports that both brands are in major growth mode, and the edge could come from an acquisition. I think at the end of the day, they are kind of going after a very similar core customer. And so I think that's maybe where we'll see some of this competition really play out, because that's why these big beverage companies make acquisitions and buy up smaller brands, is because ultimately they want access to the customers that are buying up, that are buying Olipop or Poppy as opposed to a Coke or a Pepsi. And so I think it'll really be kind of the competition for the customers that Olipop and Poppy have won over.

37:18I think that's where we'll see the competition be the fiercest. In February, Bloomberg reported that Coca-Cola is pursuing an acquisition of Poppy, according to sources who wish to remain anonymous. Not a ton of details were available. Earlier, we mentioned how Big Soda was already testing the waters of healthy branded beverages by acquiring brands like Topo Chico Vitamin Water and Covita Kombucha. Are prebiotic sodas the next frontier for these companies? And what might these acquisitions mean for the future of soda OGs? When you think about if, you know, a Coke, a Coca-Cola or a PepsiCo would ever want to acquire one of these brands, because, you know, what does that mean if, you know, Coca-Cola acquires poppy?

38:08And then, you know, does that mean people stop buying Coke? You know, do they give up Coke in exchange for poppy? So I think that's very much still an open question, just kind of to what degree, you know, these brands might kind of edge in on traditional sodas. And I think something that will really influence, you know, the future and some kind of potential outcomes for both of these businesses. You know, amazing to think, after all these years, all these changes in the industry, Coke and Pepsi still wield so much power. Many of us who grew up in the town where Coca-Cola was launched learned the origin story at an early age.

38:50The tale of a wounded Civil War veteran turned pharmacist named Pemberton, who stirred cocaine into his carbonated concoction to ease his pain, and sold it over the counter as a tonic for any number of ailments. What you got? Coca-Cola was pitched as the cure. And yeah, we all called it Coca-Cola. Of course, by the time of my first real sip, the cocaine was gone. but concerns about colorings, chemicals, and the dangers of sugar haunted Coca-Cola Town, and that was a long time ago. When I last visited Georgia's capital city, a Coca-Cola museum occupied what I remembered as an empty lot downtown.

39:28A worthy successor, I thought at the time, marveling how many of the seeds of the international city that had grown up all around me were planted by the fortunes of those pioneers of pop. Well, since then, my loyalties have shifted. Once I was a pepper. Wouldn't you like to be a pepper, too? Though Mountain Dew was a hard don't for me, and Pepsi, alas, never quite hit the spot, I ran up quite a tab on a certain now-defunct diet soda by that name. These days, I lean toward Topo Chico. When I pick it up at the supermarket, it's squeezed in among rows and rows of sodas with unfamiliar names, many with wholesome-sounding ingredients that promise to cure what ails, from enhancing one's mood, helping with clarity and focus, settling the stomach, or maybe getting a good night's sleep.

40:11And I'm reminded of that old Pemberton story and what they say about what goes around comes around. Thinking how all these years later, so many are still seeking fortunes from bottles of bubbling. According to Market Research Future, by 2030, sales for carbonated beverages are expected to reach 605 billion U.S. dollars, boosted in no small part by a sober, curious, more health-conscious generation. A toast, then, seems appropriate. To the newcomers, the startups, those tonic makers hoping for a taste of the big time, may the best beverage win.

40:58Coming up on Business Wars, college football gets a massive shake-up as conferences fight for billions in television revenue. From Wondery, this is Business Wars. I'm your host, David Brown. A big thank you to retail reporter at The Information, Ann Guillen, and Tristan Donovan, author of Fiz, How Soda Shook Up the World. They had some wonderful insights in this episode. This episode was written and produced by Emily Frost and Kelly Kyle. Sound design by Ryan Potesta. Our senior managing editor is Ryan Lohr. And our managing producer is Matt Gann. Our producer is Grant Rutter. Our senior producers are Karen Lowe and Dave Schilling.

41:37Our executive producers are Jenny Lauer-Beckman and Marshall Louis for Wondery.

41:52In the fall of 1620, a battered merchant ship called the Mayflower set sail across the Atlantic. It carried 102 men, women, and children, risking it all to start again in the new world. Hi, I'm Lindsey Graham, the host of American History Tellers. Every week we take you through the moments that shaped America, and in our latest season, we explore the untold story of the Pilgrims, one that goes far beyond the familiar tale of the first Thanksgiving. After landing at Cape Cod, the Pilgrims forged an unlikely alliance with the Wappanog people who helped the Pilgrims survive the most brutal winter they'd ever known, laying the foundation for a powerful national myth.

42:29But behind that story lies another, one of conflict, betrayal, and brutal violence against the very people who helped the Pilgrim survive. Follow American History Tellers on the Wondery app or wherever you get your podcasts. You can binge all episodes of American History Tellers' The Mayflower early and ad-free right now on Wondery+.

From the publisher

Soda has had its fair share of ups and downs, but now, a new wave of prebiotic pop promises to reinvent the fizzy drink consumers love. Poppi and Olipop are two buzzy, health-focused brands leading the charge. And David is cracking open a can of each to figure out whether these drinks really are soda's second coming...or just another wellness fad.


Featured Guests:Tristan Donovan, Author of Fizz: How Soda Shook Up the WorldAnn Gehan, Retail Reporter at The Information

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