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Podcast Notes: Conversations with Tyler - John Gray on Pessimism, Liberalism, and Theism
Episode Overview Host: Tyler Cowen Guest: John Gray Release Date: October 24, 2023
John Gray, a renowned philosopher and author, discusses his latest book, *The New Leviathans: Thoughts After Liberalism*, and explores themes of pessimism, liberalism, and theism. The conversation delves into Gray's perspectives on contemporary political thought, the role of pessimism in life, and his insights on literature, philosophy, and the human condition.
Key Themes and Discussions
- Thoughts After Liberalism
- Gray's Critique of Liberalism:
- Gray challenges the triumphalism of liberalism, arguing that current global crises point to its limitations.
- Liberalism's supposed progress is critiqued as an illusion, with Gray suggesting a need for a more realistic understanding of political realities.
- Education for Young People:
- Gray discusses what should be taught if liberalism is considered dead:
- Classic texts like those of Aeschylus, Shakespeare, and philosophical works from John Stuart Mill and Hayek.
- Emphasizes the importance of engaging with a variety of cultural traditions and religious texts, including the Bible.
- Pessimism as a Philosophy
- Benefits of Pessimism:
- Gray argues that a pessimistic outlook prepares one for the unpredictable and often disappointing nature of reality.
- He contrasts pessimism with the emotional turmoil of optimism, suggesting that pessimism can lead to pleasant surprises when expectations are exceeded.
- Pessimism vs. Optimism:
- Gray engages with the idea that being overly optimistic can lead to frustration when faced with the harsh realities of life.
- He posits that meaningful experiences often come with risks of disappointment.
- Theism and Atheism
- Views on Religion:
- Gray identifies as an atheist but shows a fascination with Eastern Orthodoxy, citing its beauty and less rationalistic approach compared to Western Christianity.
- He highlights an understanding of modern politics that incorporates religious undercurrents, arguing that many political ideologies are extensions of religious beliefs.
- Physics and Atheism:
- Gray discusses the implications of modern physics on notions of atheism, suggesting that some scientific theories seem as absurd as theological ideas.
- He contemplates whether true atheism can exist in light of complex scientific models.
- Personal Reflections and Influences
- Influence of Literature:
- Gray shares the impact of authors like Herman Melville on his thinking and writing.
- He appreciates the absurd and dark humor of Monty Python and finds parallels between literature and philosophical thought.
- Writing Process:
- Gray describes his unusual work habits, including the presence of cats as companions during writing, emphasizing the calming effect they have.
- Future Aspirations
- Potential Projects:
- Gray expresses interest in writing a collection of aphorisms and exploring more about the intersections of religion and modern intellectual dilemmas.
- He aims to continue reviewing literature and engaging with diverse philosophical perspectives.
Key Takeaways
- Historical Perspective: Gray emphasizes the need for a broader view of human history beyond the last few centuries to understand contemporary issues.
- Pragmatic Approach to Life: A pessimistic outlook can offer a more grounded and realistic approach to life’s challenges.
- Cultural Literacy: Engaging with a wide range of texts and traditions is crucial for understanding and navigating the complexities of modern society.
Final Thoughts The conversation between Tyler Cowen and John Gray offers profound insights into the limitations of liberalism, the value of pessimism, and the interplay between religion and modern political thought. Gray's reflections encourage a reconsideration of how we approach education, philosophy, and our understanding of human existence in an increasingly complex world.
Links
- [Listen to the full episode](https://conversationswithtyler.com/episodes/john-gray/)
- [Support the podcast](https://conversationswithtyler.com/donate)
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:03Hi everyone, this is Jeff, one of the producers of Conversations with Tyler. As the year draws to a close, I hope you've enjoyed listening to and learning from the podcast, as much as me and the team have enjoyed producing the episodes. This has been an especially fun year for me, with the Marginal Revolution 20th anniversary episode, meeting some of you earlier this year at our first listener meet up in San Francisco, go and at the moment I am prepping for our 2023 retrospective which is one of the most fun things I get to do all year. And because this is year end, it's the one time we ask that if you have benefited from the podcast, to please consider making a financial contribution before the end of the year at conversationswithtiler .com slash donate.
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2:03Thank you, thank you so much for your support and now onto the show. Piano Music Conversations with Tyler is produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, bridging the gap between academic ideas and real world problems. Learn more at mercatis .org. For a full transcript of every conversation enhanced with helpful links, visit ConversationsWithTiler .com Hello everyone and welcome back to Conversations With Tyler. Today I'm chatting with John Gray, who was one of the most important and influential thinker, not just of one generation, but I think you could say of two generations. John started his career in the book world with books on Hayek and Mill.
2:53He's since written numerous books on many topics. I can just tell you that I buy them all and read them all right away. It's very difficult to summarize John, but that's fine because today I can present you with John Gray himself. John, welcome. Thank you very much for that very generous introduction, Tyler. Now, your new book, it is called The New Leviathan's Thoughts After Liberalism. I have a number of general questions for you. Who are the intellectual children who will carry on your work? I don't seek disciples. But do you receive them? I have some people who are influenced by my work, but they are in a very wide range of activities and disciplines, and by no means all or most of them are academic philosophers.
3:40I've had people contact me who've been poets, walk respondents, novelists, a wide range of types of people with different intellectual and other interests. And I guess when I left academic life, which I did in 2007, that's 16 years ago, one of the reasons I did so was in order to address an audience wider and more variegated than that of academic colleagues. And I also wanted to be able to write in a way and informats that were not common or accepted in academic contexts. So my current book, like several of my recent books, is not organized in feces or chapters or there are arguments and facts that I hope plenty, but it's organized in short sections.
4:27Some of them vignettes of historical events or persons. Some of them arguments from within philosophy itself. So I don't seek any school which carries on my way of thinking or writing But who were the young minds whose works excite you when they come out you think oh I'm gonna read that and you pick it up Right away the way say I would pick up a new book by you right away Well, I'm not a young mind by by any means, but I hope my mind is still young Although I'm not myself yet. I don't really I mean I read columnists. So for example I like Michael Lind's work. I always read what he writes. I read novels in Britain.
5:07I just did a conversation with the novelist, McHaran who writes Spice Brothers. I do have conversations with academic theorist David Runseman, whom you probably know from Cambridge has written on a number of themes interesting to me, including Hobbes and artificial intelligence. But I don't think this is a single set of writers who could be called political theorists or philosophers that I follow closely. If liberalism is indeed done as the subtitle of your new book suggests, thoughts after liberalism, what is it exactly we should teach young people? We should teach them the high points of the traditions we know well.
5:52So if I was asked to produce a curriculum or a young person of shall we say 18 to 20 23, I guess I would include within it great dramatic works like those of iskles and Sophocles later Shakespeare and Samuel Beggett. I would include among philosophical writings some of the rules for example John Stuart Mill, even though I disagree with them profoundly a very resourceful and intelligent thinker. Hayek, another one among conservative thinkers, Michael Oakschott, and one by whom I myself have been greatly influenced, although he's not much read nowadays, George Santiana, he's one of the big intellectual influences on my life, including another American writer, a poet, while the Stevens who wrote a great poem about George Santiana when Santiana was living in his old age in a nunnery in Rome.
6:52So I would pick great points in our tradition and also other traditions, the Bhagavad Gita, Taoist works like Shranzar and Laudze, and I would give them a whole range of those. I would not teach them a doctrine or an ideology or a religion, though of course if they wish to be instructed in religion, that's a different matter. And the Bible, yes or no? Definitely. Definitely. The whole of the Bible, one of the texts from me is the book of Genesis, the book of Genesis and the book of Job. The book of Genesis, because I believe in the myth of Genesis, one of the central neglected truths of the human situation is brought out, which is that knowledge is ethically neutral.
7:34It can be used in various ways. It may in some sense be intrinsically good, but it can be put to good and bad uses. And Job, because I think it's in the book of Job, that the origin of, if you like, skeptical thinking is rather than in the Greeks. I think the Socrates, for example, is often thought of as a fearless inquirer who doubted everything, even said that. I only know that I know nothing, he's supposed to have said at least in. some accounts of him. But he did believe that the good and the true and the beautiful one and the same. He believed in the ultimate rationality and justice of the universe.
8:12Job didn't. He questioned God. He questioned the rationality and the justice of the universe. So I think Job's questions, even though he eventually returned to the God he questioned, are more profound. And so I definitely teach the Bible would be a key text, along with other religious texts because one of my strong arguments or denuate concern, strong themes of our recent work is that no one can really understand modern politics who doesn't really understand religion because much of modern politics is a succession of footnotes to religion. And those are two of the most pessimistic books in the Bible, right?
8:51So there's no resurrection, Genesis is a world without law. Job, in a sense, the message is justice is either arbitrary or meaningless or very difficult to fathom. No, Joe goes back at the end. He does go back to the two. But it's not very convincing, right? If you're an honest reader of the book, you're all your eyes. Oh, come on. Is this really the message here or is this kind of Straussian book, right? Well, you mean it might have a hidden message and the hidden message in this case is the obvious one. correct. And do you take the Strousey in reading of the book of Job? Yes, I mean I'm not a theist, I'm an atheist, so for me it would be quite easy to accept that the world, the cosmos, the human situation, human life, human events do not correspond to any ideas of justice we might have developed in that.
9:39They might even be largely random and largely judged by our ideas of justice, very unjust. It's quite easy for me to accept that, and that's in fact what I think. But if you are a theist, I think it takes considerable strength of mind and considerable intellectual energy and vigor to question the way job questions. I admire jobs questioning for that reason. If we look at physics, circuit 2023, is a true atheism really viable. So if I see the leading contenders as strength theory, many worlds, quantum mechanics, to many observers, they appear at least as absurd as actual theology, which has a kind of simplicity.
10:19Well, God created the world. Hasn't atheism become more theological than theology itself? No, not the kind of atheism I hold, but what you say, Tyler, is of course very true of many traditions of atheists thinking, perhaps even the dominant ones, because the dominant traditions of atheists thinking in Europe and America and elsewhere. Remember atheism in this sense is something that comes from within theism, from within monotheism, reproduced the central categories and concepts of the religion they deny, even as they deny the beliefs. I mean a lot of atheism is categories taken from theism but then turned upside down.
10:59So what you say is true of that, but I don't think of my atheist time influenced by would include writers like Shobhan Hauer, who was an atheist and a pessimist of course. And in the key kind of atheism I attack in my new book, but I've been attacking for 20 or 30 years, is the one which attributes to the human species, some of the characteristics that used to be attributed to the deity to God, that's to say, they think that the human history they think is an narrative with some kind of built -in structure doesn't necessarily produce inevitable results, but there is a kind of providential move from ignorance to knowledge which has consistently greater benefits over time.
11:45And that seems to be a secularization of Christine and other ideas of divine providence in history. For me, there's no providence of any kind in history. There's no logic in history, although particular situations may have a logic of their own. But the logic, of course, may not be benign, it may be to use your word absurd, that's to say we may find human beings recurrently trapped in situations in which what they do is bound to produce results different from or even opposite from the ones they want. And I think that is a recurring human situation. But there's no logic like Hegel thought or Marx thought or Mill even thought taking that idea from August Comte the French founder of Possible There's no logic in which history develops through a series of successive stages to some higher and higher levels.
12:36There's nothing like that So my atheism and the atheism of Schopenhauer or Samuel Beggett or a number of other writers I could cite isn't The same as the theological atheism to which you refer which as I say is There's been around for an awful long time, it's not just recent. Of course, you're right in other sense, which is that I would say the highest point of recent science, recent physics might be a recognition that the world is finally on intelligible or absurd, but that of course is if you, that an atheist like Samuel Beckett or Schumannau would also, and I would endorse too. So there is a convergence in that sense, but it's an anti -theological convergence, not a theological convergence.
13:14Aren't you then a kind of gnostic of a sort, whether random forces of history or the evil demi -erge, the true nature of creation is forever hidden from us, and you don't call it God, but the actual moral structure of your beliefs is theological nonetheless. No, because there have been people who've played with noctisism, and I might be one of them. I mean, David Hume was not ever commonly thought, great Scottish philosopher, great skeptic. As David Hume, one of his dialogues on religion, he says, maybe the universe has been created by a senile god who then forgot what it created or intervened randomly forgetting each different a god with dementia and so to speak.
13:58Now he was sort of playing with the idea of a demi -erge, in this case the demi -erge was a senile mind, a senile divine mind, but he didn't really attach any significance to it. I don't take that view, there's no mind senile benign or otherwise behind what was the universe or its events. There might not even be a universe in the sense in which the Greeks or the Romans, the Stoic's, Markus are realists. They all talk about a cosmos. By a cosmos, they mean something unified by a logos by some kind of reason. That might not exist. There might really ultimately only be events, various kinds happening and not happening.
14:38So no, I don't think there's any mind there at all. You might say, I guess, in my view, that if there are recurring patents in history which illustrate some of the flaws of the human species, but as I constantly argued in my work over the last 20 years, the human species isn't an agent anymore than any other biological species is an agent. When people talk about humanity doing, isn't that? They're making a category error. All there are is the multitudinous human animal with its different groups, different traditions, different ways of life, and each, even each single person has a variety of purposes and values which conflict with each other.
15:15So there's no humanity in that sense. And that by the way, discussed in my book with relation to Hobbes, because he, along with Spinole, he thought that too. He thought all the were was in the end were individuals in the world. And that applies to humans too. So humanity isn't an agent. It doesn't do anything. Can't do anything because it doesn't exist in that sense. About 30 years ago, I said to Jim Buchanan something like, you know, one of these days John gray is going to end up a Catholic. I think nowadays I would cite Easter in Orthodox instead. But why don't you just take the plunge? What do you have to lose?
15:50You're right. I am attracted more to Easter in Orthodoxy than I am to Catholicism, partly because it's rituals and art are so beautiful and for me many of my judgments are aesthetic. And also because it is much less, it gives a much smaller scope to reason, human reason. Then does Western Christianity and Catholicism in particular, I mean after or Catholicism, claim to unify the thought of Aristotle and other Greek philosophers? With Christianity, in other words, you might say that to what Catholicism did was trying to reconcile Athens and Jerusalem. I don't think Athens and Jerusalem can be reconciled in that way.
16:31And the Eastern Orthodox tradition is closer. I would think if there was anything that could be called original Christianity is closer to it. So I am interested in it, but I couldn't find myself subscribing to it because it is a very, I mean like all forms of monotheism or most forms, it's very anthropocentric. This was the human story as it was, has something in it of the divine and that's where as the stories of other living species, even those with minds like I've written a book on cats, for example, they certainly have minds quite different from human minds, but they have minds alright. The theistic tradition assumes that there is a kind of linkage between the human mind and the divine mind, and in that sense the human mind is superior to the minds of other animals.
17:17I think all forms of western moralism think that I don't, so I couldn't even though I do find this North Orthodoxy attractive. I couldn't I can't imagine myself subscribing to it. Do you think that being pessimistic is you pleasure or What's the return in it from a purely pragmatic point of view? Well, you're well prepared for events You don't it's a kind of preemption right are you worried that you become addicted to preempt bad news through pessimism? No, I know when something comes along which contradicts my expectations. I'm pleasantly surprised, so I get pleasant surprises. Whereas if you're an adamant optimist, you must be in torment every time you turn the news on.
18:02Because the same old follies, the same old crimes, the same old atrocities, the same old hatreds, just repeat themselves over and over again. I'm not surprised by that at all. That's like the weather, it's like living in a science fiction environment, which it rains nearly all of the time, but from time to time, time it stops in this beautiful sunlight. But if you think that basically there is beautiful sunlight all the time, but you're just living in a small patch of it, most of your life will be spent in frustration. If you think the other way around as I do, your life will be peppered, speckled, with moments in which what you expect doesn't happen but something better happens.
18:40Why can't one just build things and be resiliently optimistic and a pragmatic cautionary sense and take comfort in the fact that you would rather have the problems of the world today than say the problems of the world in the year 1000. And it's not a kind of absolute optimism where you attach to the mood, quite mood, but you simply want to do things and draw positive energy from that in itself, reinforcing. Why isn't that a better view than what you're calling pessimism? Well, I'm not saying people shouldn't adopt the view of just a strived talent. They can do what they like because one of the, and feel what they like and think what they like as long as they don't harm other people to some large extent.
19:19I'm not a a gospelist. I'm not trying to persuade or convert anyone to or from anything. If you read my work over the last 30 years, you'll know that. I don't care what the writer of the read is believed. But I'm offering a particular way of thinking that might interest some people. So if you're the people that interests, I guess, are people who either through reading and thinking or through personal experiences have found themselves in situations in which organized society in the background of stability, which is necessary if you ought to build things in a pragmatic way and be optimistic about them is absent, which it has been for large stretches of human history, and will be again, that is today in large parts of the world.
20:02So if you were a Russian, let's say, and had somehow managed to live till you're in your 70s or 80s now, you'd somehow survived what you had lived through. You would have seen not one set of background institutions of banking and money and law and ideology, but several, you would have seen several worlds, you would have lived in several worlds in each of which had passed away to bring about another world with some continuities with the past and some recurring features, but another respects radically different. So it wouldn't just occur to you that there would be a kind of long -term stability in things which would enable you to be pragmatically optimistic.
20:44Let me give an example maybe which is more recent back in the 80s. I've had some people in California who were engaged in that time at that time in projects of freezing their bodies or their brains in order to resurrect them technologically later on and become thereby, if not immortal, then a mortal that they wanted to escape death. I put the following question to them. This would be, I can't remember the exact year, but so many early to mid -80s. I said, well, you know, I understand this, but aren't you assuming when you send off, when you have you make arrangements, you sign a contract to have your body or your brain sent off when you die and frozen in some desert, some depository somewhere in the body or somewhere else to be reopened when technology is advanced, which they thought might take 50 or 100 years.
21:34to the point at which you could be defrosted without damage to your tissues and your brain cells. Aren't you assuming a high degree of background institutional stability, not just of the human species, but most of the 20th century up to that point, had not exhibited. In 1985, you could look back at two world wars, the stock market crash of 1929. That's just the fact that America, if you lived in Russia, you would have lived through the collapse of the Roman Empire, a civil war which lasted three or four years, but in which over 10 million people died and fled to different countries with different languages and different ways of life and so on.
22:13You would have had notism and the Holocaust. You would have had Maoism emerging in China, you would have had not any background stability of institutions or values, but almost continuous punctuated equilibrium if I can use such a paradoxical phrase. So why do you assume that in 100 years from now in 2085? Why do you assume that the will still be a capitalist system in America that there will still be laws and contracts and that the firm you've put your brain in to be kept in this, the party will still be there? And they looked at me aghast and of course what they said was what everybody always says now I find it funny, although the joke sometimes wears thin.
22:52They say What a terribly apocalyptic pessimistic view that is what I'm saying when I say things like that or when I could Assize to a key armor in 1989 is I expect you in history to be in the future as it has been in the past History and human eventual go on as normal with new technologies maybe new forms of knowledge, but in their ethical and Political and civilization respects They'll go on pretty much exactly as before Now, it seems to me very odd to describe that as a pessimistic view, unless you think that things in the future are going to be radically better. So I don't think that this attitude of pragmatic optimism is possible except in privileged and rare and relatively brief points in history.
23:40It doesn't work most of the time. And that I suppose you could say is pessimistic and it could have an effect on people's motivation, but actually when I write, I'm not attending, I'm not a therapist either, I'm not a Chris, I'm not a hot gospeler, I'm not an evangelist, but I'm not a therapist either, I'm just trying to tell things the way they are. People can then do what they want if they're interested enough to read it. And remember, I'm not trying to get people to read me in all this to convert them to my view. If they stumble on my work and like it or whatever reason, that's great. If they throw it against the wall, I don't mind at all, that's up to them.
24:16I'm simply putting forth a view of things, which I think might be of interest to a range of people. But you would admit that if we go back to say Japan in 1950 or South Korea in 1960, it's a good thing they never had your works to read. In your view, yes or no? No, no, they didn't need my works. Well, they believed in progress, right? They made progress happen. Did they were pretty focused? Oh, absolutely. South Korea in 1960 was as poor as Central Africa. today it's a very nice pretty wonderful country. It's a very narrow historical perspective. I may say so Japan modernized not in 1950 but in the 1860s and 70s and 80s onwards.
24:56They still had their own they began under the Luigi generation to be they became the second or the third baby depends how you count them. Well sure but the standard of living in 1950 compared to today it's it's an amazing difference right? You wouldn't hesitate to choose living in Tokyo today compared to 1950 But aren't you aware, Tyler, that throughout history, there have been periods of 50 years in which things have got much better, and then there's been a catastrophic war or a pestilence or so which is swept away all the way. So you can pick any 50 year period. You like it, and you'll find many of them, which this is true.
25:28But if you take a slightly longer, one of my key ideas is that practically all of economics and social theory is based on the last 300 years. It's a very small data set for human history or human life. If you take a bit longer one, if you include the Aztecs, the Romans, not just the Meiji Empire, but either Japan, which by the way, I think was incomparably more cultured and civilized, then the majority of human cultures are today. If you take a broader view, then what you will see as long -term trends will look like blips. Are you sure at the market? it. I would have I could be bothered. Well, you could earn an immense fortune and give it away to charitable causes, keep it for yourself, buy more cats.
26:14Yeah. Do what you want with the money. Yes. Why not do that? I've done a bit, I will have two answers that you can't short it all the time because it doesn't go down all the time. You might spend your entire, if you had a long boom, 30 or 40 long, you a long boom. And I guess we had, I mean, 20. We've had, right? According to you, we should be near the end of it. We are near the end of it, but it doesn't be so short the market. No, because as you know, I mean, I think in Iraq, when Iraq was at its worst stage, the market went up vastly. Equity markets bear no systematic relationship to the underlying economies over these short periods.
26:51The other thing is I have done a bit of investing and I haven't always done badly, but it takes too much time as too boring. And rather than, as you would call it, there's an opportunity cost, which is the rest of my life. I can't be bothered to get too fixated on it to make money. I have enough money now for my own purposes. I have had cats, not hundreds of cats, but you don't need hundreds of cats. I've had four cats quite enough. I still love cats, but I've lived with four cats for 30 years over a period of 30 years. they passed away now, all of them, the last one of the age of 23, a good age for a cat.
27:29So I don't need to do that, why should I do it? I might get more satisfaction, intellectual and aesthetic, from observing what happens without trying to profit from it directly. If you did in fact have the means to direct a billion dollars to any cause, what cause would it be? It's a very good question. I guess it would be conservation, animal conservation of environments or at least of species that are rapidly disappearing now because I did say earlier on that a lot of my judgments, value judgments are aesthetic and I think a world which was denuded of a world that let's say of 10 billion human beings or it's a kind of poverty in question you recognize this so it's not a thought experiment which he ever did as far as I know I read his works and I knew slightly, but I don't think he ever did this experiment.
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28:20Would a world in which a very large number of human beings, not any existed, but had very high levels of well -being. In other words, I'm not talking about the famous proponent conclusion in him whereby if you have a past world and everybody's lives are barely worth living and you add up the utility, it could be better than a smaller world with many fewer human beings whose lives were much higher. I'm not talking about that at all. I'm think of a different, extraordinary experiment that he never dated to my knowledge, never involved himself here, which is between two worlds, one in which you have an enormous number of people, let's say human beings, a hundred billion, and all their lives are in most respects, at least, very worth living, but in which there are no other species.
29:05And a different world in which there's a much smaller human population, but a thriving biosphere around it. Now I'm not trying to judge this because I'm not a utilitarian in terms of desire, satisfaction or some other utilitarian theory of value. But the second world, the world in which there are fewer human beings living well, but in what John Stuart Mill, by the way, who tried to be a consistent utilitarian, but never was, he said, without what he called flowery ways, this is in his 1848 principles of political economy, he said the world would be barren and he thought what almost not worth living in.
29:39I share that to you. Would you be biased toward conserving the lives of intelligent mammals and maybe octopuses or not? You mean as over unintelligent animals? Sure. So you could save a lot of ants, maybe rather cheaply. Many people would prefer to conserve white rhinos and pandas in China. I'd prefer to live in a world in which conservation was not necessary, in which the biosphere as really was the case until maybe until the so -called anthropocene, which we're supposed to be living. That was the case until a few hundred years ago, which is that whatever human beings through their activities could damage particular ecologies.
30:18I mean, the islands of which Homer, where Homer set some of his poems, were at the time of Homer probably covered by trees, thick trees and forests, and now most of them are not. So, the right throughout human history and prehistory, human beings have damaged all of their environments. But there hasn't been a time until now in which the whole of the advisory could be damaged and injured. So I prefer to live in a world in which that's not true, but of course you might say, well, we don't live in that world, so we've got to decide. I'm just sort of say it would be hard to decide, but what I would not do is make the decision on highly speculative grounds of those proposed by effective altruists and others, which involves making extrapolations into millions and millions of years.
31:04it is the future about what could be the best or worst outcome. I think those are very unsound ways of moral reasoning because there's far too much in them that is speculative and uncertain. Now we're probably trying to make the decisions that could be made for now in the relatively near future of 50 or 100 years or even less than that about which animals or you see ants probably species and I think I'm going to survive whatever happens, most kinds of ants, but gorillas and tigers and highly complex species which depend upon delicate environments could be destroyed by wars, they could be destroyed by poaching, they could be destroyed by diseases that's read more quickly when their environment changes.
31:39So I'd probably focus on them. Under what circumstances would you be willing to sacrifice your life or for what? Not for humanity, that's for sure. For the biosphere. Well, I guess in principle, but how can one life change the biosphere? I can only basically for something or someone that I love. So in other words, it's an entirely, your philosophically well read. So it's an entirely, to me, your agent relative thing. I mean, there may be values or goods or bads that can think about in an abstract way, but they're not platonic in the sense that they exist in some metaphysical realm independent of the human world.
32:19They're all, I would say, protections of the human world or at least the living world. I mean, animals have needs and therefore they have other animals have needs and values that just as we do. So I would only sacrifice my life for someone or something that I love. Nothing else. What did your parents believe? They were secular Christians in the sense that I, you know, Britain is a much more, or at least your my lifetime has been a much more secular. I don't like the word secular because most of what is secular is just built religion actually, but Britain has been England especially. Scotland and Ireland, to some extent, even Wales have been in power a bit different.
32:58It's been a very society for the last maybe hundred years, let's say, in which religion has not been a matter of, not been as life -shabbing as it's been in many parts of the world and still isn't apart from new religions that have grown in the country like, or not new religions, they're very old religion, but I'll grow in the country because of immigration, Islam, Hinduism and other religions. They were just perfectly normal for whom religion was a part of life. But I guess if they'd read P .G. Woodhouse, they might have agreed with him. P .G. Woodhouse's common writer, lived in America a lot.
33:37He was asked towards the end of his life in an interview. I think he lived on Long Island or somewhere. I can't remember. But anyway, he's asked, Do you, Mr. Woodhouse, have any religious beliefs to which he replied, you know, it's rightfully hard to say. I think that's tremendously clever in telling, much more intelligent than the most also is because what he recognized was that belief is a very, when you get outside of formulating scientific propositions and so it's a very fluid, vaporous kind of thing. And so you can have residues of religious belief even if you're an atheist and you might not be able to formulate your beliefs even if you have strong religious beliefs you might still not be able to formulate a formula.
34:19I guess they would have said that. It was not something they spent a lot of time talking about or thinking about. What do you make of recent speculations concerning UFOs? Is that just more theology? Well, I've always assumed that the whole thing was an information program generated mostly in the United States to cover up the Black weapons programs of the time. That's what I've always assumed, in other words, I've always assumed that it was mostly disinformation. Could there be something in them? Yes, I suppose so. I think there's a Harvard astronomer now, isn't I? Forgotten his name. Oh, have you lobe?
34:53Yes. Yeah, yeah. Who thinks there is? And I'm open to that, but nothing really sort of turns on it for me. The Zawentable Peace of Russian Science fiction. You probably know it by the way called not Stravinsky. Anyway, Stravinsky. Yeah, yeah. Yeah, but the novel, a short novel, is about a visitation to the earth of an alien species. And why did they come? What was their purpose? What was there? What do they want to know about the human species? Nothing. Turns out they came for a picnic. But could it be a kind of proof that pessimism is wrong? So some other set of beings out there survived to the point where they can make it here and they come here and they don't kill us all or and slave us otherwise.
35:38It's not pessimism or optimism. I'm not fixated on that. I think that I think there's silly categories actually. It depends on your background expectations. It's that they have no interest in us. They can't be good. That's a good thing. It is if you think they would otherwise kill us, but maybe they wouldn't. They just have to... I think it's a wonderful idea because it means that from their point of view, I mean, they might be by our standards more intelligent than we are or I don't know. If they lasted a long, longer than we had or are likely to last, then it might be more intelligent or wiser at least, but they're simply not interested in us.
36:10They come and leave some litter like human picnics do and then leave. So to me, although I'm open to the idea of UFOs, which of course is a sort of spin -off from the idea, can there be intelligent life forms in other planetary systems or other parts of the universe or the galaxy? I mean, I can't actually imagine that we're the only living, certainly, or even the only sentient. I find that hard to imagine. But the distances are so vast that less technology in other places has developed to extraordinary We might be the only one that ever. We might be alone, apart from, of course, other intelligence species on the planet like gorillas and possibly octopus that exist alongside us.
36:54We might never be in significant contact with these other intelligence as if they existed, but it doesn't really matter much to me one way or the other because I think we've actually done a rather good job making ourselves more alone already, actually, by crucifying the the biosphere through mass extinction and so on. Should the UK work toward having the two islands reunite? I think it'll happen. I don't know whether the UK will work towards it, but I've always held. What's your it on or you'll be sad or what will your view be? Well, I think historically the relations with Ireland of England have been mostly rather tragic or comical painful.
37:34They've not ever been very good. So I think it will happen. I've always argued, if you, I mean, I write a lot of the new states where I now have a fortnightly column and I've always argued that Scotland would not break away most likely at any time that we could see in the future. For various specific reasons that I gave, I think I was one of the very, very few people who were arguing that because there was a time in which it was supposed to be inevitable. I never thought it would happen, particularly after Brexit, because after Brexit, breaking away would mean leaving the UK and then having several years in a limbo before they were accepted and independent Scotland was accepted by the EU again, it just wasn't going to happen.
38:13It won't happen now, it won't happen probably for 10, 20, 30, 4 or ever. But Ireland I think will happen because partly for demographic reasons, which is that the population balance in the two parts of Ireland is shifting. But I think just long term partly because of breaks, partly because it's proved hard to work out a settlement with the EU for Northern an island without diluting the legal sovereignty that breaks it was supposed to achieve. I think it will happen, and whether we're legal or bad, I think it probably will happen. How should the city of Bath deal with its problem of having too many tourists?
38:51It's very crowded, right? It's impossible to park difficult to walk around. It doesn't feel like the city of Bath anymore, at least sometimes of the... Well, relatively well, I suppose, not since during the pandemic, it was much more walkable. But it was also much less lively because although it's crowded the city of Bath, it also has lots of interesting shops and cultural life partly because of the tourists It has theaters, cinemas, bookstores, rather wonderful bookstores called Toppings, which is in the tourist center and as always full And you wouldn't have those things if you cut back the number of tourists You could have a tourist tax some countries are some places of these do I think Bhutan has a tax of $200 a day.
39:37I think they opted to 400 recently, but yes, it used to be 200. Well, I don't say that's wrong. I mean, if they had, you see, if they had, that is still in many ways a very unique and cohesive culture. So if they had hundreds of thousands of tourists, more could be destroyed than could be justified, perhaps in terms of the benefits it gave to the people who lived there before. but Britain is a very individualistic and multicultural society as it stands. So I don't think anything much is destroyed. Just parking you maybe. But if you it's difficult, but that can be cope with in various ways. I think the in all of these things in most countries at most times in most places, the aim is to achieve a kind of balance.
40:24You see, if it was completely destroyed, I must say to give an example, though, you might have had this experience to I have been to Italian cities. and museums and art galleries where the crowds were so enormous and so permanent and so thick and the weights were so long and when you got into see the pictures you could hardly get to see them at all. At that point almost it's not worth going so I do see your point. You'd have to raise the price significantly probably of just being there. To make it worth being there you'd have to pay more for it to be worth being there. Is multi -Python still funny?
40:59Oh, I think so. Our present king, I think, is a fan. I'm a fan too. It's funny because it's absurdist humour and I like absurdist humour and lots of British people do. It can be dark humour after all. The Monty type python team or part of it. Most of it produced Brazil. Have you seen that film? Sure, of course. Terrible game. Yeah, great film. And very dark, wouldn't you say? Absolutely. But it's funny too. It's funny partly because it's so dark. And also, the end of the life of Brian, I filmed that by the way, I've been told, I was told by John Cleese actually, couldn't be made now, this was 10 years ago, but I'm sure it couldn't be made 10 years later either.
41:37At the end of it, there's the wonderful optimistic song, is the not when they're all hanging on the cross. Bright side of life, yes. The bright side of life. Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, that's optimism. You're hanging on the cross, and you're not going to stop hanging on the cross, you're going to hang on there till you die. And yet you see the bright side of it all, that's optimism. try to, I love notepi. If someone says, well today, European literature, it's alive and well and flourishing. There's Kinevskar, there's Elena Feronte, many other fine authors submission by Hulabek. Do you agree? Aren't we living in a wonderful time for the written word?
42:11A kind of renaissance of literature? I'd go further than that. I mean, I do read an enormous amount. Not I don't like very long books like Danish author Knowska. I find them. The only very long book I like which is proofs, some, some, remembrance of things past. I mean, that's a, you can read that for your entire life. In a way, and all in all, in bits, I've never read it from beginning to end. I have to admit that. But I, one can tip it, but on the whole, I don't like long. I would go further than that, Tyler. You might find this surprising. I'm a great fan of film as an art form. And I think even what might be called popular films, even TV is in a golden age, I would say now.
42:50If I think of the series I've enjoyed in recent years, breaking bad, true detective, British series of various kinds, some of the great historical. I think they weren't made, couldn't be made for various reasons, and new technologies have made them even better in some respects before. So that is a great thing. I think, I mean, I'm in the process of shifting over from physical books. I'll keep a few, but I'm getting rid of thousands of books now for various reasons, literally thousands, to Kindle. And the reason for, I've got thousands and thousands on Kindle already. And the reason for that is partly the practical because I can carry it around with me.
43:31I can go on holiday and have all these books with me without any difficulty at all. But it's also kind of beyond that. I mean, I can, if their books are connected with my writing, I can search them very easily rather than spending two hours of a finite lifetime. and I've 75 search, but finally there used to be searching for a particular phrase or sentence. I can find it instantly, so that's a very good thing. And also now with the quality of the printing and of the formatting and of the illustrations and art, it is very high. So that's progress too. Remember, I've never argued that progress doesn't occur.
44:05I mean, I've often benefited myself from anesthetic dentistry. I recently benefited from quite recently just a few months ago from cataract surgery, wonderful things. But my argument is that progress, actually even of the scientific and technological kind, can always be reversed and often is when there is a general civilization of collapse. I should say by the way that one of the, I've often contrasted scientific and technological persons with ethical and political progress and said that the former scientific and technological is exponential in a way that improvement or progress in ethics and politics isn't.
44:39That's more entropic. But there are people who I respect greatly, like Peter Teal, who have argued that even in science and technology, this is more of an age of stagnation than we commonly think. That group think and various types of institutional follow -up of limited creativity. And that actually, even the, you might call the paradigmatic forms of cumulative advance, which is what progress is. Progress isn't just a brief period of blip when things get a bit better and then they stop being better and get worse. Progress means that what has been achieved on the past is largely retained as the process of improvement goes on and that's generally true in science and technology.
45:17But if you, of course, if you look at the whole span of the last three thousand years, there have been many periods in which technologies and skills and knowledge have been lost. So that could happen again, I think, but ethical and political progress is much more fragile than that. But it does occur and sometimes technological progress can improve human lives. a lot, not just in medical context or dental context. By the way, Thomas De Quincey, the celebrated opium addict, writing in his book, said, I can never remember if it's a quarter or a third, but he said, I think either a quarter or a third of all human suffering was to say, but it's probably true at that time, or might have been true anyway.
45:56Definitely not true now. So I share that view. And they can even increase, I mean, new methods of filming and streaming of films and so on. have increased the aesthetic qualities of life because they made it much easier for someone sitting in a study as I do or have access to beautiful forms of film art. But I think in what people, I suppose, conventionally think all of their things and politics. It's always a good idea to expect the worst to come back. It's always a good idea to think that among the competing memes, it'll be the memes that are vicious and the most vicious and the most toxic, which will win.
46:34I think that's happening now in the world actually. Has Herman Melville influenced you much? Yes, a lot. I don't know about influence because I'm not novelist, but it's one of the books I have read. I've read others as well. The confidence man is a great book, for example. Bart will be the short story. He's a great short, fantastic, he's a fantastically deep, profound, difficult writer. But of course, Moby Dick is the big one full of biblical stuff, as you know. There's a wonderful edition by the American 30 or 40 years ago, Harold Beaver, which has a 200 -page set of notes at the end, which all the biblical and other references and delusions are explained.
47:16But he's an incredible writer, and not really, it's almost not a novelist. I don't know what you would call a Moby Dick. By the way, someone I knew well assigned for the last 15 years of his life, Gibala, Toby that was one of his books, his favorite books, that he kept recurring to, Moby Dick, kept rereading it and rereading it. Can you imagine going on a quest for God, the way some of Melville's characters do? Or is there, there's too much disappointment you're setting yourself up for if you do that? Well, I guess I'm not unhappy enough to want to go on that. I guess you go for that. I mean, you turn to God for things that you want very much, which are impossible, and you know are impossible than the natural order of things.
47:56That's the deep reason, if you're at least in theistic cultures. If you, if someone you love has died and you can't bear it, then the idea that they're still existing, some other realm and maybe even happier in that realm can be a great comfort. If you're trapped in some situation which is completely hopeless in ordinary, naturalistic reasoning, you know you're not going to get out, you know you're going to be killed, you know, you're going to start that. Then you turn to God in those circumstances. But I guess I've been lucky. I haven't been in circumstances like that. Well, how I'd react. I mean, there's a country that's why, you know, the people say there are no atheists and foxholes.
48:34I think there are actually. I think some of the atheists and foxholes were believers before they got under the foxhole. But it is true. I mean, sort of empirical. But empirically, I'm a great admirer of the Russian writer, Valam Shalamov, who survived. I think it was 16 or even 19 years in the very worst camps in Soviet Russia, gold mining camps where the average life span was three years. Those are great books. Yeah, they're great books. But in the way he describes them, by the way, he was frustrated by the description of him as a gulagwriter because he said, I only wrote about the gulag because it happened to be in the gulag for so long.
49:13He said, he loved Proust, he loved, they found a copy of Proust once which was then stolen, but in the gulag, he just said, that's, you know, my That's because I was there. That was how I did my life. That's why I wrote not because I wanted to write about the Gulag But he didn't want to forget it either because he thought that something could be Written of value about it, but he says that the people who survived The people who broke down mentally and then physically the quickest where the communist party members and Hierox who came in the ones who lasted a long time with the professional criminals the ones that lasted the longest were religious believers So because they knew, I mean, if you were in a camp where nearly everyone would be dead in three years, they weren't death camps in the way the Nazi camps were, but nearly everyone in them in a section of camps It wasn't true of the whole group, I would be sitting, would not be there in three years, I could be dead If you knew that, how do you, and you look around you, you see every single day you see somebody lying in the snow So the parish choose in the next bunk to you, bunk, or the previous night, how do you adapt to that?
50:14have you adapted that. And he thought that religious faith, but he had not himself. He had not at all himself. Yet he still did survive semi -miraculously or by not in a whole way, he was damaged by it, but he did survive and he did continue writing even after he escaped for a long time, decades. So I can understand why people turn to a divine power to do what they know to be naturally impossible. That's one of the deepest motives at least, not people turn to religion. But I've been lucky I have not to do that yet. If someone set their views up to minimize disappointment in life, do you think their resulting philosophies and attitudes would be much different from yours or the same?
51:01Well, I don't see myself as minimizing disappointment. I think that's a rather miserable sort of going life. It's better to be regularly disappointed and intensely disappointed if what you're been disappointed in is worth pursuing and experiencing. I mean many love affairs lead to disappointment, but if you decide then I'm not going to have them, I think that's a rather miserable, miserable view. Which by the way is one of my objections to traditional epicurianism and the Christianism, traditional epicurianism and the Christianism aims for happiness by setting the bar so low that you can't be disappointed.
51:37So if you look in, if you think of what's absent in the crucious as view of the good life or in Epicurus as good as a view of the view of what's absent? Well, anything that caused turbulence of mind, you, you, you crucious as explicitly, you shouldn't fall in love with other people. Have lots of permission to sex, find some slaves, get it out of your system so you don't need to fall in love. If you don't fall in love, you won't then be unhappy because when you fall out of love. He says that explicitly and in a kind of gentler way it also underlies Epicurus' philosophy. Science is not valued in, remember in Epicurus except as a means for improving the cognitive life.
52:16There isn't a kind of scientific quest, a semi -sort of mystical scientific quest, as there was in Europe at the start of the scientific revolution, most of them, the leaders of the scientific revolution were astrologers or mystics. Of course, Newton was a reading of the Bible, they all had attached great spiritual and mystical significance to science. Epicurus and Lucretius didn't, it was just a tool whereby we could be made more comfortable. Sport, highly competitive sports, the virtues of war, the martial virtues, they're not there either. Now it's a very minimal, if you think of what an entirely epicurean world would look like, there'd be no faith or religion because that's led to masses of...
53:01Sure, but that's you, right? God, no faith, no religion. Yes, that's me, but I don't do it in order to... I don't have... That's just my condition. That's just how I am. I don't feel the need for it, but not because I want to avoid disappointment. I can't imagine living in order to... But what I'm saying is that there are many philosophers. There be curians, and to some extent there's Stoics as well. Who do propose that? They propose that you cut down the basic demands you put on life too. So minimal that they're less likely to be afforded. So I don't do that. I think the opposite. I'm much more like nature in that respect.
53:35I mean, it's better. I mean, or at least to me aesthetically better and maybe more interesting way of life. If someone said, how did you live your life in this? I successfully avoided all love affairs and thereby avoided all disappointments. I never a chance Jenny great importance to knowledge only survived it met my needs for comfort. I never engaged in competitive sports because I might lose. I never tried, I never invested because I might lose my capital. I find all of those rather sort of miserable ways of living. But of course you don't have to be an optimist. Think if someone like Joseph Conrad, very far from being an optimist in any respect, he had a fantastically interesting life.
54:12When he was in his 1820, he was a gun runner for monarchist rebels in Spain. He then became a seaman for 20 years, almost lost his life two or three times in catastrophic shipwrecks and so on and so forth. He wrote his novels. He'd certainly been advised against this by Epicurus if he could bring him back from the grave. In his third language, not his second language, he didn't write them even in French, he wrote them in English, which was his third language. He was a tremendous mental torment when that, because I've read about him, suffering for hours to get the right word, which might have been, you know, a suicide perfectionist, but also because it was a word in English, which was not his one of his early languages that he brought up in.
54:53You've tread as pessimists, but he lived a life of extraordinary adventure. And I tend to think that pessimists, the pessimists have known in my life anyway, are more likely to live lives of extraordinary adventure because it doesn't matter them as much as it does to optimists, whether they win or lose. What matters to them is whether what they do is interesting, whether what they do enriches their life in the sense that it shows them things, shows them people, shows them world, shows them landscapes, gives them experiences. Not only that, they hadn't had before, but even maybe that they couldn't imagine before.
55:25That's, I think, you'll be more inclined. If you're an optimist, you have some kind of clear, otherwise, I say, I think the distinction is really rather silly, but you have an idea of how you want to live of the successful projects you want to get involved in. If you're not an optimist, that's just called it a non -optimistic. you'll settle on what you want to do. And if it's at least possible, I mean, if it's at least in broad term something that you could do or you could actually achieve, you can if you want go off and on a while, on a while journey into the Amazon, you might not come back, but you might see a lot of interesting things.
56:01If you can at least do these things, if they attract you then if you're not optimistic, you might be very well inclined to do them. And I like people like that. Last three questions are about you. First, who recognized your talent first and how? I can give it a specific person. He's mentioned in the acknowledgments of my recent book. In New Leviathan's, it was a teacher in a grammar school in the northeast of England back in the 1960s, called Charles Constable, who was a very well -read man. And he was the one person who introduced me to Archie Collingwood's book, The New Leviathan, Singular, on which I wouldn't say this book is based.
56:41It's quite different in every respect, but it gave me the thoughts that 60 years later then found fruition in this book of mine. He thought that I could benefit from a university education, including one from Oxford. So I joined. That wasn't unique in any way. I joined a group of people, six formers, as we call them, five or six or seven or eight, I might have been as many as ten or twelve, who he sort of groomed to apply to universities like Oxford Cambridge and some others. And so I joined that group after he noted that and I was successful in going there. So that was him. What is your most unusual successful work habit?
57:20That's an interesting thing. It has to be unusual, does it? Not just… Yes. So that you work hard is not really unusual obviously it matters. I don't know how unusual it used to be but I Used to like having a cat nearby. I don't anymore because I like Traveling I haven't been able to do much recently because of the pandemic and other things But and I think if you have a cat or another animal companion These are good for long periods is not a good idea But I did a fat I've read actually a lot of writers who And I think of myself primarily now as a writer, not as a philosopher, philosophers, professors.
57:58I'm not a professor anymore. As a writer, the kind of mixture of calm companionship and complete indifference, that's a cat has for you and your work and your thoughts is very calming. So I don't know if it's not unusual, but I certainly, I found that helped my work. Nowadays I sometimes play music or I interspersed my work if I'm working on my computer with looking at maybe some little few moments, 10 or 15 minutes of a film I've watched before and maybe some passage into film that I find particularly beautiful or thrilling. So I use that too, but I test it, that would be called slacking, but I don't think of it as slacking.
58:38I think of it as recharging the mental batteries to go on to work. Last question, what will you do next? Very good question too, well I'm now primarily. really most of the thing having written this book I have a this column I referred to and I do some reviewing I've done a lot of reviewing of both of Pinker and other Foucaillard or the writers like that but I also review quite a bit of fiction I'm reviewing at the moment a memoir by the film producer Vena Herzog and a novel by him. So I try to review a wide variety books I'll continue doing that and I may collect them but I might start trying to write something, I might think of writing a book purely of aphorisms.
59:20I like aphorisms because, as I say, they're shortened and cluttered and can be beautiful. A lot of people don't like aphorisms because if you write an aphorism, you can't have 10 pages before it, explaining what you mean by it. You can't like an academic work. A lot of academic works, they say, I'm not saying this, I'm not saying that, I don't think this, I don't think that, I'm not criticizing in progress, so and so I am criticizing the other. So you get three quarters of the book is a set of digressions about what they're not doing. And at least it just says something. You don't have to accept it or not, but it sounds sometimes dogmatic for that reason.
59:52It sounds as if you're trying to impose it on someone, which I would, I might do some more essays. I'm more and more interested in theology as a root of how many of our present intellectual and other complexities and dilemmas. I think if you think of what I called secular terms you can't really understand the world that we now live in not just because religions come back in it as a force in war and a force in politics but because many of the things that don't seem religious are actually inspired by not just religious needs and impulses but even by religious categories or symbols or myths the singularity for example is obviously something connected with ideas of revelation and of a ratchet.
1:00:36It's obviously not an idea that it would be easy to have. If you've never been, if you knew nothing, it'd never about those Christian and Jewish and other traditions in which these ideas of apocalypse and revelations are sort of, so I think I might write something more about that. I'm happy to recommend all of John's books, including the new one, The New Leviathan's, Thoughts After Liberalism. That's John Gray, G -R -A -Y. John, thank you very much. And Tyler, thank you for your brilliant questions. So, a very well chosen and very worth answering. And that doesn't always happen. I'm not usually an optimist about interviews, but in this case, whatever expectations I've had of disappointment of themselves being disappointed.
1:01:19I look forward to seeing you next whenever that is. Yeah, thank you. Thanks for listening to Conversations with Tyler. You can subscribe to the show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite podcast app. If you like this podcast, please consider giving us a rating and leaving a review. This helps other listeners find the show. On Twitter, I'm Attyler Cowan, and the show is At Cowan Convose. Until next time, please keep listening and learning.
From the publisher
John Gray is a philosopher and writer renowned for his critical examination of liberalism, atheism, and the human condition. His unique perspective is shaped over a decades-long career, during which he has authored influential books on topics ranging from political theory to what we can learn from cats about on how to live a good life. His latest book, The New Leviathans: Thoughts After Liberalism, delivers a provocative examination of the 2020s' political landscape, challenges liberal triumphalism with a realistic critique of ongoing global crises and the persistent allure of human delusions.
Tyler and John sat down to discuss his latest book, including who he thinks will carry on his work, what young people should learn if liberalism is dead, whether modern physics allows for true atheism, what in Eastern Orthodoxy attracts him, the benefits of pessimism, what philanthropic cause he’d invest a billion dollars in, under what circumstances he’d sacrifice his life, what he makes of UFOs, the current renaissance in film and books, whether Monty Python is still funny, how Herman Melville influenced him, who first spotted his talent, his most unusual work habit, what he’ll do next, and more.
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Recorded October 24th, 2023.
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