344. Chairman Mao: The Great Leap Forward (Ep 5)

24 Mar 2026 · 49 min · 28 chapters

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In short

International context and early Great Leap Forward dynamics under Mao (1958–1962): Cold War rivalry with Khrushchev, revolutionary diplomacy via Bandung (1955), Mao’s push for superpower status, and how collectivization, “socialist” agriculture, and propaganda/false reporting contributed to the Great Leap Forward famine and subsequent 1962 campaigns.

Guest backgrounds

Professor Rana Mitter (Harvard Kennedy School), historian of modern China; previously discussed Mao’s consolidation and campaigns in this series. Hosts: Anita Arnon and William de Rumpel.

Key claims

Mao used humiliation and ideological goading (e.g., swimming-pool episode with Khrushchev; Taiwan missile signals) to challenge Soviet leadership. China’s revolutionary model appealed to decolonizing states more than Nehruvian coexistence. Great Leap Forward relied on unrealistic targets, falsified statistics, collectivization, and “man must conquer nature” policies (including seed-spacing failures, deforestation for furnaces, and Four Pests sparrow campaign), culminating in mass starvation (estimated 30–50 million deaths).

Notable examples

Wuchang (1950) remark about sacrificing large portions of China; Lushan conference (1959) purging Peng Dehuai; hukou separation; lack of famine photographs; Sino-Indian War (1962) amid domestic crisis; Socialist Education Campaign and “Learn from the PLA”/Little Red Book.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Recap of Previous Episode

2:24 to 3:21

A summary of the last episode's discussion on Mao's early rule.

“Now, remind us, Willie, where we were in the last episode.”

Global Context in 1958

3:21 to 4:20

Explore the international situation during Mao's time in 1958.

“And particularly, I was intrigued last year by the comparison with India, which is still in very sort of peak Neuruvian mode.”

Mao's Mind Games and Swimming Pool Incident

4:20 to 5:00

Discuss Mao's psychological tactics and the swimming pool meeting with Khrushchev.

“And in fact, the first of the African colonial states, Ghana, the Gold Coast, becomes independent as well.”

The Stalin and Mao Dynamic

5:00 to 6:28

Examine the complicated relationship between Mao and Stalin, and Mao's views on Khrushchev.

“I think he used that instead of actually brushing his teeth.”

Mao's Superpower Ambitions

6:28 to 9:07

Learn about Mao's desire to establish China as a superpower and his strategies.

“He basically made sure everyone was incredibly tired and incredibly hungry and then started haranguing them.”

Bandung Conference and Its Significance

9:07 to 11:23

Understand the importance of the Bandung Conference in shaping Mao's foreign policy.

“It couldn't happen today, anything like that, could it?”

Mao's Revolutionary Diplomacy

11:23 to 14:00

Discuss Mao's revolutionary diplomacy and China's influence in the Global South.

“And this conference at Bandung in 1955 was a turning point because two big countries come together, India and China.”

Geopolitical Influences in Conflicts

14:00 to 15:00

Learn about China's involvement in global conflicts and alliances.

“Lots of killings and people with piano wire strung up everywhere.”

Mao's Ambitions for China

15:00 to 16:00

Explore Mao's goals for industrialization and the human cost involved.

“And Mugabe was always, if not exactly welcome in Beijing, they would always take his call, so to speak.”

Mao's Brutal Disregard for Individuals

16:00 to 17:00

Understand Mao's ruthless policies and their impact on Chinese society.

“But you see this in Mao's era where in this attempt to become a superpower, apart from the influences, the spheres of influence that you're talking about, he starts industrializing like a maniac.”
Show all 28 chapters

The Celebration of Violence

17:00 to 18:00

Discuss the cultural implications of violence in Mao's ideology.

“You know, these are not, you know, sort of liberal types.”

The Great Leap Forward's Economic Plans

18:00 to 19:00

Learn about the economic strategies and their disastrous outcomes during the Great Leap Forward.

“but should be celebrated as part of that.”

Mao's War on Nature

19:00 to 21:00

Discover how Mao's policies affected the environment and agriculture.

“of things, but very arbitrary class categories.”

The Four Pests Campaign

21:00 to 23:00

Examine the impact of the Four Pests Campaign on Chinese ecology.

“And therefore, you can basically find ways through kind of socialist force of will to increase crop outcomes or, you know, produce more steel, whatever it might be, because you're doing it the socialist way.”

Famine During the Great Leap Forward

26:21 to 28:00

Analyze how the Great Leap Forward led to catastrophic famine in China.

“Rana, tell us how these policies eventually lead to what some call the greatest famine in human history.”

The Rural Devastation of the Great Leap Forward

28:00 to 28:53

Explore the contrast between reported agricultural success and the reality of starvation in rural China.

“to give the real information in case they get arrested or, you know, kind of fired from their jobs, they pass on statistics upwards saying, yes, it's all going great.”

The Consequences of Ignoring Reality

28:53 to 30:13

Learn about Mao's refusal to acknowledge the devastating famine and its implications on leadership.

“But when the news came through to the top leadership, including Mao, he basically chose to ignore it.”

Tragic Statistics of the Famine

30:13 to 30:57

Discover the staggering death toll estimated at 30 to 50 million during the Great Leap Forward.

“And so, I mean, you've got people who dare to say the truth to him being purged.”

The Silence of Evidence

30:57 to 32:28

Examine the absence of visual evidence of starvation and its impact on historical understanding.

“For obvious reasons, it's still very difficult to get a really accurate number because the Chinese Communist Party is not, you know, fully releasing the archives to let people know exactly what went on.”

Cannibalism and Survival

32:28 to 33:36

Delve into the harrowing accounts of cannibalism during the Great Leap Forward and its historical context.

“Sort of the bloated stomachs and ribcages that you know even from fairly recently.”

Sino-Indian War Context

33:36 to 36:37

Understand the backdrop of the Sino-Indian War set against the Great Leap Forward's failures.

“Rana, one of the issues which is, I think, never really kind of mentioned much in China, but which is still an absolutely massive thing here in India, where I'm speaking from...”

The 1962 Border Conflict and Its Implications

36:37 to 39:29

Analyze the motivations behind China's aggression during the Sino-Indian War amidst domestic turmoil.

“This is in the middle of the Cuban Missile Crisis.”

Mao's Domestic Strategies Post-War

39:29 to 42:00

Learn about Mao's internal campaigns against perceived rivals following the Sino-Indian War.

“And therefore, the level of sort of uncertainty existed during the nationalist period on that western border doesn't exist in quite this way.”

Mao's Hostilities and Rivals

42:00 to 42:41

Explore Mao's shifting focus from external conflicts to internal suppression.

“Do you really want an all-out war with India on the border as well at the same time?”

Campaigns and Ideals of the Era

42:41 to 44:10

Discuss the campaigns initiated by Mao during 1962 and their ideological implications.

“But in practice, that's really what they're doing.”

Cultural and Familial Disruption

44:10 to 46:18

Analyze how Mao's policies aimed to disrupt traditional family structures.

“So this is one of the things that emerges that the army and the PLA gets stressed as an institution that has particular standing at this point.”

Mao's Rumored Illness

46:18 to 47:25

Investigate the rumors surrounding Mao's health and how they affected political dynamics.

“general is this sort of hideously destructive force which is destroying China's society.”

Mao's Symbolic Swim

47:25 to 49:22

Delve into the significance of Mao's symbolic swim in the Yangtze River at age 73.

“I already mentioned his dental hygiene left a lot to be desired, and I think that, you know, beyond that, suggests a general lack of personal care.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

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1:59Hello and welcome to Empire with me, Anita Arnon. And me, William de Rumpel. And welcome back to our series on Mao Zedong. We're delighted to welcome back our very good friend now and hostage, Professor Rana Mitter from Harvard Kennedy School is back with us and is going to never be able to leave again.

2:17Rana Mitter:Are we going to be let out of the box at some point? Maybe, if you're good. We'll see how it goes in the next couple of episodes, shall we, Rana? Not promising anything. You have to throw some bits of chicken or something in there. Now, remind us, Willie, where we were in the last episode. We were in Stockholm Syndrome, with Rana increasingly fond of this pod, as he told us how Mao had consolidated his power at the very top of the People's Republic of China. We saw how his policy of cleaning the house before inviting guests saw Mao crack down on the party and private businesses before he began rapidly industrialising under the first five-year plans.

2:53We also saw how the Hundred Flowers campaign, a brief moment of openness, culminated in the brutal crackdown of the anti-rightist movement. It was a very strange thing, the Hundred Flowers campaign, because all it did was locate the people who were going to annoy him in the future very successfully. Over the next two episodes, we're going to be telling you the dramatic, harrowing story of the final two decades of Mao's rule. So, Rana, by 1958, Mao is 65 years old. What's happening internationally? And particularly, I was intrigued last year by the comparison with India, which is still in very sort of peak Neuruvian mode.

3:35Rana Mitter:Yes, absolutely. So very briefly, you get a sort of global tour, at least a global tour of the Northern Hemisphere. The United States is under President Eisenhower and is sort of getting geared up in the Cold War. Meanwhile, Stalin, of course, has died just a few years before in 1953, and his successor, Khrushchev, has come to prominence after a certain amount of internal scuffle within the Soviet leadership. Mao's deciding more and more that he's not that keen on Khrushchev. We'll get back to that, I suspect. Meanwhile, over in the rapidly decolonizing world of Asia and Africa, the mid-1950s, marks the period when we see a lot more independent states in both of those areas, places like Malaysia, Vietnam, all finally throw off colonial rule, become independent.

4:20Rana Mitter:And in fact, the first of the African colonial states, Ghana, the Gold Coast, becomes independent as well. So we see the Cold War and decolonization coming together, both of those are meat drink and an extra bit of snuff on top for Chairman Mao, who, of course, is a very big fan of both of those issues. Did he take snuff, did you say? No, a meat drink. Well, I'm not aware of him doing so. No, perhaps I should have used that. No, you know what? I'll tell you what. I'll say meat, drink, and a really manky old jam jar full of kind of old tea leaves, which apparently he did use to like, rather than sort of taking an elegant porcelain cup, he would have one of those kind of horrible sort of, you know, super railway worker style old jam jars with tea leaves in it.

5:00Rana Mitter:I think he used that instead of actually brushing his teeth. That was his dental hygiene regime. Well, apart from not having a sparkly smile, I mean, this is very much, we're talking about the 50s. It's an era of the mind game. And Mao was very, very good at the mind game. And I'm particularly taken with the famous swimming pool incident. Yeah, it's a good story. Do talk us through this. It's a great one. Yes, indeed. The swimming pool story is a very good example of exactly how this sort of, you know, psyching out and mind game thing would work. I mean, it happened on Khrushchev visiting Beijing and he had to essentially be hosted by Mao.

5:36Rana Mitter:Mao was the host in that case, so he could decide how the two of them would actually be wined and dined. And Mao decided that they should spend at least some of their discussion in the swimming pool. Now, this was actually a really sort of major troll of Khrushchev because Mao was a pretty good swimmer, as it turned out. Swimming turns up at various points in his life, too. Khrushchev, it seems, was not. So he had to sort of bob around at the edge of the swimming pool, you know, wearing armbands while Mao is sort of doing lengths up and down and lecturing him on how he, Mao, is the real spirit of socialism.

6:06Rana Mitter:A rubber ring, maybe. Well, we don't know the exact details, but certainly I think Khrushchev was not crazy about having to be thrown into the chlorinated water while Mao basically lectured him while, you know, showing off his swimming skills. I wouldn't put it past Mao to have learned some of that from Stalin, who was a master of exactly this sort of thing. In 1945, when the predecessor government to Mao, the nationalist government of Chiang Kai-shek, sent a delegation to Moscow to negotiate a Sino-Soviet agreement, Stalin didn't start the meeting until I think about 10pm because he was in insomniac.

6:42Rana Mitter:He wouldn't serve any food. He basically made sure everyone was incredibly tired and incredibly hungry and then started haranguing them. And I think it was only about dawn when they finally got everything sorted out that he allowed anyone to have any breakfast. Yeah, and Stalin was just always doing these ridiculous things. I mean, turning up two hours later than he was meant to turn up just to keep people waiting, keep them on edge, keep them feeling uncomfortable. I mean, it does feel like it's just straight out of a Stalin Soviet textbook, but they're on the receiving end of this. And tell us this, Rana, because apart from sort of testing the resolve of poor old Khrushchev, It looks like a marshmallow bobbing up and down in a hot chocolate.

7:18He's testing Soviet loyalty when it comes to the Taiwan Strait crisis, because there's something serious he wants out of this humiliation, isn't there?

7:25Rana Mitter:There is. There is a very basic ideological split that is happening between Mao and Khrushchev during this time. So Stalin died in 1953, as captured in Armand Yudinchi's great film, The Death of Stalin, well, we're seeing. And then there's actually something of a sort of a struggle for power within the Soviet leadership. But eventually Khrushchev comes out on top. And he, of course, very quickly repudiates the memory of Stalin. He does, you know, the secret speech, which doesn't say secret very long, denouncing Stalin and talking about the excesses of Stalinism. Mao's having none of it. He thinks that Stalin is the business.

7:55Rana Mitter:I mean, it's a very dysfunctional sort of relationship there because Stalin always sort of just kept Mao waiting a little bit too. He humiliated him a little bit, you know, always made it clear that he, Stalin, was absolutely the unmatchable figure of world socialism and that Mao was, you know, very much a kind of Johnny-come-lately. And yet Mao, you know, greatly admired him for all sorts of reasons. Mao did not admire Khrushchev. He didn't think that he was in the same league. And also he felt that now that Stalin had died, he, Mao, by logical inference, ought to be the leader of the global communist movement and people should be following him.

8:27Rana Mitter:So basically, yes, he felt that Khrushchev, by compromising, by going for coexistence with the capitalist world and trying to avoid nuclear war, of course, not least, was essentially chickening out, that he was trying to find ways to compromise with the capitalist world as opposed to defeating it. And that was why, on a whole variety of issues, including the status of Taiwan, Mao was very keen to push and goad Khrushchev as far as he could go. And that included Mao basically firing, on various occasions in the 1950s, 1958, missiles on the coast of Taiwan to essentially signal there might be an invasion about to happen and seeing whether or not the Soviets would actually come on board with this.

9:08It couldn't happen today, anything like that, could it? I was just thinking, it just sounds like you're reading the news, the evening news. It's all plus a change.

9:16Rana Mitter:Nothing new that ever happens in any of these things. Everything goes around and comes around. There's a moment when Mao tests the Soviet Union, doesn't he? He tries to see whether he can rely on them. And in his view, Khrushchev fails. Rana, but as well as sort of having this slightly, and I think he must have found it slightly delicious feeling of looking down on the Soviets and particularly thinking Khrushchev was a weak and flabby man. He does also have more than Taiwan on his mind. He wants to present China as a superpower. He wants to show the world that, you know what, the world of America and Great Britain doing whatever they want, that is over.

9:56We are here now.

9:57Rana Mitter:Yes, that's absolutely right. The thing perhaps that most differentiates Mao from the Soviets during this time is that he portrays himself not only as a global leader, well, the Soviets do that too, but very much as a leader of the non-Western, non-European world. And one of the really big turning point moments is the conference at Bandung in 1955. I think we mentioned it briefly in an earlier episode, but just worth bringing up here again because the timing - Peter Robinson Crucial moment. Peter Robinson Crucial, absolutely, yes. Not a crucial moment, but a crucial moment, I think it's fair to say.

10:27Rana Mitter:Because just a reminder of what the situation is for China at this moment. So this is mid-1950s. So China is not, I mean, the mainland of China, the People's Republic of China, is not at the United Nations. It's not recognized as the official government of China. That's still Taiwan and in fact will be for another decade and a half. It doesn't get official recognition from the United States of America. That won't happen for more than 20 years in 1979. And in addition, although a small number of Western countries, including the UK, did recognize the Beijing government quite quickly, there's still an awful lot of other governments out there that still recognize Taiwan.

11:00Rana Mitter:So unlike the Soviets, who even if they're daggers drawn in the Cold War with the US, are internationally recognized, they're there at the UN, they're there as part of the global conversation, Mao has to make up his own version of what the global conversation is going to be for him. And for him, he says, well, actually, the obvious place to go is that newly decolonizing world, which later would be known as the Third World and still later in our era as the Global South. But basically, Afro-Asian is one of the phrases he used at the time. And this conference at Bandung in 1955 was a turning point because two big countries come together, India and China.

11:32Rana Mitter:And keep that thought in mind because we'll come back to the India-China dynamic that becomes very important in just a few years' time. But in 1955, they're still sort of friends, wary friends, but friends nonetheless. India goes for Nehruvian ideas. The ideas of Prime Minister Nehru as being peaceful coexistence and a moral standing in terms of having suffered through colonialism and now having a right to speak to the outside world through having had that experience, you know, sort of elder statesman sort of thing. China goes much more radical. China says, actually, it's all very well playing in the system, but actually what you need to do is overthrow the system, and it's time for revolutionary diplomacy.

12:09Rana Mitter:And plenty of countries emerging both in Asia and Africa find this an important and in some ways attractive message. And the main thing about that Bandung meeting is that it's not primarily about the United States. it's not primarily about the Soviet Union it's about Asian African countries themselves and in that context doesn't matter that China's not recognized by the US or by the UN it sits at the heart of that conversation better than Nehru I mean does he win that duel if you like you know what that's a really interesting question I would say maybe so I'll say why because if you think about Nehru then and now, he had, I think, an extraordinary international standing.

12:50Rana Mitter:He was taken very seriously in a lot of places. I don't know if you've done a Nehru podcast on Empire yet. We haven't actually. It's something we must do. Extraordinary figure, particularly in this era when he's doing it. Obviously, India is rather different from the era of Nehru. Anyway, Nehru is one thing. He's obviously very respected. But actually, I think it's hard to point to large numbers of places where Nehruvian influences the direct and most important foreign policy interventionist point, partly because India doesn't send out secret guerrilla forces or pay off countries to try and foment revolution.

13:23Rana Mitter:China, of course, is in a very different position. That revolutionary socialist message takes off in Vietnam, where of course China is very directly involved in the anti-colonial movement. David Pérez There was a complicated relationship with the Vietcong. Very complicated relationship. Absolutely. Both then and now. You know, they're both close in terms of having fraternal communist parties that work with each other. And of course, on occasions, deadly enemy. Vietnam was the last place that China had launched an international war against, of course, in 1979. So very complex relationship. The PKI, the Communist Party in Indonesia, where certainly the then right-wing military leadership under Suharto launched a coup in 1965 essentially against the then leader Sukarno because he was worried that Beijing's influence was becoming too strong.

14:10Lots of killings and people with piano wire strung up everywhere.

14:15Rana Mitter:Yeah, no, again, there's the Year of Living Dangerously film from about 30 years ago. Mel Gibson. Mel Gibson, I think, yes. But Indonesia would be another example of where you could see certainly suspected Beijing influence. And then just take one more example from perhaps a little later on, but not, I think, outside the topic, really, the Rhodesia Bush War. Were they involved in that? Oh, very much so. Yes. Basically, there's two factions, Zapu and Zanu, which are the kind of rival anti-Rodesian, you know, white leadership resistance. Zapu, under Jotron Cuomo, is supported by the Soviet Union, and Zanu, under Robert Mugabe, is supported by the Chinese.

14:51Rana Mitter:And you can tell, you know, it tells you maybe something, that it's the Chinese and Mugabe who win out. And in fact, the very last days, you know, until he died in 2018, something like that, there was a strong connection between Beijing and Harare. And Mugabe was always, if not exactly welcome in Beijing, they would always take his call, so to speak. So the bond was quite a longstanding one, yeah. You know, you mentioned that, and you praised the question from William about, you know, who did it better in the Nero or Mao. I praise all of your questions, Anita. It's all right. Anita, I think your questions are wonderful.

15:23I'm just sad there's not more of them. Thank you, darling. No, thank you. Can I just say I only care what Rana thinks? But listen, the reason I've interjected is because I once did an interview with a very senior, even currently a very senior Indian politician. And he was talking rather wistfully about the differences between what was possible in India and what was possible in China. And I said, well, you really sound jealous. What is it about China that you really like? He says, well, if they want to build a road through a town or a village or something pretty, they just bloody do it and nobody says anything.

15:56And you see this even sort of in Mao's era that he was talking about more recently. But you see this in Mao's era where in this attempt to become a superpower, apart from the influences, the spheres of influence that you're talking about, he starts industrializing like a maniac. And he sets this kind of insane target of overtaking Britain and America when it comes to industrial output. And like the Soviets did before, he sets these deadlines. Within 15 years, we will take over the world. It's going to be through steel we do this. We are going to double production. He doesn't care at all about the human cost.

16:29I think it's worth pointing out here that at the Wuchang conference in 1950, he's talking to his inner circle and he says, working like this, half of China may well have to die. If not half, one third or one tenth, maybe 50 million. This is a price he's completely willing to pay, that same sort of find a way or make a way, but we're going to get this done.

16:52Rana Mitter:Yes. If you have to outline one particular characteristic, which I think differentiates Mao from pretty much any of the other top leaders, Deng Xiaoping, Liu Xiaoxi and others, you know, they're all revolutionary communists. Their hands are steeped in blood. You know, these are not, you know, sort of liberal types. But Mao's utter disregard for the fate of individuals in the face of wanting to achieve what he regarded as massive goals is extraordinarily brutal, even by those standards. You can find people who sort of regret one way or another, you know, omelettes breaking eggs and all those sorts of cliches.

17:30Or even faux regret, but at least they try to say, yeah, it's sad.

17:34Rana Mitter:Well, yeah, whatever. But with Mao, I don't think he regretted it at all. I think with Mao, he actually, I mean, again, going back to what we were talking about in one of the earlier podcasts about social Darwinism and about, you know, the glorification of violence from a very, very early time, because Mao was reacting against Confucianism, because he was basically thinking that Confucianism created this languid, you know, kind of scholarly culture that he felt was deadly destructive to China's progress. he went massively other way and felt that basically only violent action not only could be necessary, but should be celebrated as part of that.

18:08Rana Mitter:And that carries on all the way through his life. A point I should say, which I've explored in one of my books called A Bitter Revolution, and the bitterness in part is because I think that this continuing theme actually of the celebration of violence sits very centrally through Mao's life. And as we'll come on, I think, in the next episode of the podcast, I think it finds its culmination in the horrors of the Cultural revolution in the 1960s. Going back to this mass production and these five-year plans, is it true that people called what came out of these wonderful blast furnaces useless turds of steel?

18:43Rana Mitter:That sounds about right. Just to give a bit of a backfill what we're talking about here. In 1958, Mao decides that, and it really is Mao, that essentially the economic reforms which have taken place, including redistribution of land to poorer farmers, involving by the way, killing of something like 2 million rich farmers, or not frankly that rich in the wider scale of things, but very arbitrary class categories. And also the sort of partial socialization of factories and the creation of work units in the city. It's not enough. He wants to go into high gear. As Anita's saying, I'm not sure that he said actually he wanted to take 15 years to take over the world, but he said 15 years was something which in those days was a big deal, which was 15 years to overtake Britain.

19:25major Chinese goal.

19:27Rana Mitter:Unimaginable challenge from the Chinese point of view. And basically, the way that they went for it was mass collectivization, collective farms, but also collectivization of industry. And to meet industrial targets, which were set pretty much almost arbitrarily, they had to basically cut down railings in parks and sort of melt them down, because bits of iron would then fulfill the quota, even though actually the iron you produce from that is said, well, like, you know, sort of iron turds that actually had no particular use. They're taking down railings. They're taking down steel that is useful to try and make quotas and producing, shall we say now, substandard steel.

20:06But at the same time, this sort of self-mutilation that's going on, Rana, like, you know, sort of dismantling your own infrastructure. There is also this war, weird war on nature that occurs around the same time. Like there is no time for things that are natural. Now, can you tell us a bit more about this? I find this fascinating. Is that a formal title? The War on Nature? Like the War on Terror?

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20:28Rana Mitter:It's not a formal title of Mao's, but actually there's a very important book by the scholar Judith Shapiro called Mao's War on Nature, which it actually is in this vein. Essentially, one of the things that comes as part of the wider belief in a type of communist science is that nature can be completely controlled by humans. And I would say that this comes in part from this phenomenon of Lysenkoism. In other words, the idea put forward by pseudoscientists really in the Soviet Union under Stalin, that socialism changes the nature of the naturalist world. And therefore, you can basically find ways through kind of socialist force of will to increase crop outcomes or, you know, produce more steel, whatever it might be, because you're doing it the socialist way.

21:15Rana Mitter:Now, in the case of what actually happens in China, let's take agriculture. This means that, for instance, peasants are encouraged, farmers are encouraged to plant seeds much, much closer to each other in rows of, you know, corn or wheat or barley, because under socialism, the seeds will cooperate with each other and grow much more fully, whereas in the capitalist world, they would have competed with each other because that's the nature of capitalism. So there's not much point having them close to each other. You'll be shocked, shocked to hear that this socialist agriculture did not, in fact, lead to a much richer crop, but actually just devastating crop failures because if you plant seeds too close to each other, they won't sprout.

21:57Yeah, I mean, that's not even the worst of what they did. And I think there was the slogan, the Maoist slogan, man must conquer nature. And forests were chopped down because, you know, the wood feeds the furnaces and that helps make the turd steel, as we're delightfully calling it now. And so you're setting yourself up for an absolute catastrophe. The thing, though, that I always remember is his Four Pests campaign and poor old sparrows get it in the neck. Sparrows are not popular with Mao. Yeah, you've got rats, flies, mosquitoes. Why sparrows? Why the poor old sparrows?

22:32Rana Mitter:So as far as we understand it, Mao got into his head that sparrows were bad because they eat seeds which are being sowed in this socialist manner. However, it also turns out, of course, that A, sparrows don't eat that many seeds and B, they also control other pests. So basically, the destruction of the sparrows meant that some of those insects and other pests then multiplied in number. And eventually they had to end up sort of importing hundreds of thousands of sparrows from the Soviet Union. socialist revisionist sparrows coming in from uh khrushchev's uh uh nest to uh deal with the question yeah and what's this business about beating symbols to keep the sparrows airborne so they drop from exhaustion is this all rubbish or basically by stopping them landing so kind of scaring them off so they couldn't land anywhere you know some of them at least eventually kind of just you know they keep on beating their wings they can't find anywhere to land and eventually they die we had a locust uh invasion on the farm here in Delhi once in the middle of Covid if Covid wasn't bad enough oh yes and I fended them off by putting on Maria Callas at volume 10 and it did the job and they landed next door they didn't like Maria Callas yeah I mean the thing about the symbols though and the sparrows is there I mean the eye-watering numbers that go with this it's an estimated 1.1 to 2 billion sparrows fall out of the sky from exhaustion or being killed or poisoned or whatever it is he's up to.

23:54And then you do have these terrible locusts and plagues of insects who eat things. So, I mean, it is fascinating. Let's take a break here now. Join us after the break where we discuss what happens if you don't have, you know, the pest eaters, but you have lots of pests. And you also have this aggressive form of farming that has been born out of some nutter's head, which is going to really, really deplete the possibility of making food.

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26:27Welcome back. Rana, tell us how these policies eventually lead to what some call the greatest famine in human history.

26:36Rana Mitter:The Great Leap Forward is one of the most catastrophic events really in human history. And it's caused by essentially a massive miscalculation which is then exacerbated by, I think, criminal negligence is the only way you can all, criminal unwillingness to face facts. One of my former teaching colleagues gave me a sentence which sounds like the most banal thing, but actually it's really, really to the point. He said, the history of the Great Leap Forward is the history of Chinese accountancy. And that sounds like, oh my gosh, what is that supposed to mean? What he meant, of course, was that the Great Leap forward was supposed to be, on its face, a kind of highly rationalized bureaucratic system of working out what China could produce and then, you know, working upwards so that you would produce, you know, enough food for everyone to eat and crops that could then be exported to increase China's GDP and everything would be great.

27:30Rana Mitter:And that depended, of course, on accurate statistics being kept and passed on. And of course, none of this actually happened. I mean, when you get, First of all, these kind of methods being used that we discussed just before the break in terms of how socialist agriculture could increase crops, but actually ended up destroying many of them. You find that, in fact, the countryside is simply not producing the kind of level of crops that are needed to keep body and soul together, let alone export. But basically, because all the figures are being fiddled by officials who are too terrified to give the real information in case they get arrested or, you know, kind of fired from their jobs, they pass on statistics upwards saying, yes, it's all going great.

28:08Rana Mitter:and we're kind of producing huge amounts of grain and products. And up, you know, in the cities, and then, you know, beyond that to Beijing, the guys at the top are saying, oh, well, this is great. Well, in that case, we can export lots to the Soviet Union. So you have the kind of obscenity of out in the countryside, there isn't enough food for people to eat, while the grain is being seized and exported from the country to bring in money for the state. This is very much a rural phenomenon. And that's significant, because of course, shortly before this, the system which still exists today was started up in China, of a sort of Soviet-style internal passport system.

28:39Rana Mitter:It's called the hukou, or a household registration scheme. And it basically means that you can't just simply wander around wherever you want in China. You have to sort of have internal permission. So people in the cities were no longer really kind of interacting that much with the countryside. They were kind of almost separated off. And while people in the cities, you know, found there was a certain amount of deprivation, the devastation was really out in the countryside, where essentially it turned into mass starvation about 1959, 1960, 61, it became clear in the countryside there simply wasn't enough food to go around.

29:08Rana Mitter:But when the news came through to the top leadership, including Mao, he basically chose to ignore it. He didn't exactly deny it, but he basically said, well, you know, we need to keep going. And I think at one point he said something like, if things are not going so well, then let's just not say anything about it and keep going. And that led to one of the great confrontations of that period, which is the conference. Communist Party top-level conference held at Lushan in 1959, where he was confronted by one of his most important lieutenants, you might say, Peng Ge Huai. Peng Ge Huai had been one of the great generals of World War II, the guy who commanded one of the few major set-piece battles that the communists had fought during World War II, the Battle of the Hundred Regiments in 1940.

29:51Rana Mitter:Kind of grizzled character, military veteran, well-respected. And he had got information, I think not least from his own home area, that people were starving to death. So he confronted Mao at this conference and was purged, promptly purged. Mao made it very clear that he would not permit any talk of this sort. And that, of course, shut down discussion for years. Yeah. And so, I mean, you've got people who dare to say the truth to him being purged. You've got these Sputnik harvests being reported that everything's fine, nothing to see here. And in meantime, just to put some numbers on this, Rana, it's estimated, and tell me if this sounds right to you, 30 to 50 million people die between 1959 and 1961.

30:33I think most responsible scholars,

30:36Rana Mitter:including some from within China itself, have been very, very brave. And, you know, obviously, it's a completely taboo subject even now, have put the number of people who either starve to death or, you know, essentially kind of, you know, population losses in those sorts of numbers, certainly tens of millions of people. And I think very few people, you know, asked honestly about this would dispute that. For obvious reasons, it's still very difficult to get a really accurate number because the Chinese Communist Party is not, you know, fully releasing the archives to let people know exactly what went on.

31:06Rana Mitter:It's worth, if I may, mentioning a couple of things that are well worth bearing in mind if one wants to get a sense of the scale. The book that I think really

31:17Rana Mitter:exemplifies bravery beyond measure, but also the difficulty in dealing with this, is a book called Tombstone by Yang Jisheng, a Chinese journalist and historian, who painstakingly compiled huge numbers of documents. He had an official position in China, which gave him permission to get into various archives and places where there are documents. But I think people in there didn't know what he was actually doing. And he produced this astonishing book, which of course, you can't get it in China, but it is published elsewhere. And it's also translated into English by, I think, Stacey Mosher. So that's well worth looking at to get an idea of how a Chinese, a dogged Chinese investigative historian has looked at this question.

31:53Rana Mitter:But the one thing that always struck me as extraordinary, but from the point of view of the party, so fortunate in getting away from responsibility is that unlike the Cultural Revolution and unlike many other famines around the world, including in China, again, like the 1942 famine, which is a really big wartime famine, there are no photographs that we know of of people starving during the Great Leap Forward. That's true. I'm sure they must exist somewhere. I'd be staggered if they didn't, but I assume that they're kind of locked up very, very deep in some archive somewhere. Purged. And you will not find pictures of starving peasants in the streets or the streets in the villages.

32:28Sort of the bloated stomachs and ribcages that you know even from fairly recently. You have those images see it into your mind. Very much so.

32:38Rana Mitter:And the lack of visual content is one of the things that helps shape or fails to shape our understanding of these things in the 21st century, I do think. Yung Chang has stories of cannibalism and 35 % of some communes dying. Does that sound credible? Sure. Yeah, I mean, again, cannibalism is a story. I mean, you hear that through much of Chinese history. It's something that, you know, when there are famines in general, it's always reported that, you know, the people are reduced to each other and that, you know, the young people die and the old people die and so forth. I mean, 35 % sounds perfectly plausible.

33:18It's very high, isn't it? Yeah.

33:20Rana Mitter:Certainly, we do know from the records that we have. But again, you know, I say do look at Tombstone by Yang Qishong. extraordinary accounts of the horror that were visited on huge numbers of people in the countryside in China during the Great Leap Forward. Rana, one of the issues which is, I think, never really kind of mentioned much in China, but which is still an absolutely massive thing here in India, where I'm speaking from... Hinduchini Pai Pai. Sino-Indian War. Particularly, remember today, under the Modi government, This is regarded as one of the great failures of Nehru's sort of understanding of the world.

33:59Rana Mitter:Well, yes. And I've on various occasions, I think, you know, talked to various kind of now quite senior and grizzled members of the Indian military who have usually have a peg of old monk or something. We'll tell you tales of what it was being a young officer in the Himalayas, you know, facing the Reds on the other side. I think the Sino-Indian War of 1962, it is a very interesting and extraordinary event for a couple of reasons. One is that, of course, China and India launch into war, you know, what is basically the end of the Great Leap Forward. This is a time of huge internal trauma for China.

34:29Rana Mitter:So the idea that they would also decide essentially to get involved in a border war at this time is, I think, an extraordinary choice in some ways. More than that, I think one of the other things that's really interesting is the disparity of memory. As you say, 1962, even now, I mean, you know, it's only 70 years ago. It's a very long time ago. It's still remembered as a huge trauma for the Indian military, you know, a terrible inevitable event, defeat in a sense, which must be understood and analyzed and never be allowed to happen again. And events such as the Galwan Clash of 2020. When Indian troops get beaten to death by Chinese men with barbara staves.

35:05Rana Mitter:Yes, they're extraordinarily brutal, the battle between the two, and literally hand-to-hand combat in a way that most much the world thought in the era of drones and so forth would never happen again. So it matters a great deal in Indian military thinking. China talks about the Sino-India War of 1962 very little. You know, there are researchers who do work on it, but it's really a minority pursuit. And I would say that one of the things that more generally defines the relationship between India and China is that India worries about China a great deal, and China really doesn't think about India all that much.

35:39It doesn't take India at all seriously, does it? There's an extraordinary sort of feeling of dismissal whenever you talk to Chinese about India.

35:45Rana Mitter:It's just that, yeah, you know, the Chinese are really obsessed with the United States, as the United States indeed is obsessed with China. And other actors such as Japan also loom quite heavily in their minds. And India just doesn't fit into that kind of category. I mean, there are things that the Chinese and the middle class tend to think about India, which include, you know, the idea that actually it's a place where you might go for some spiritual renewal and so forth. I don't know what India thinks about this, but, you know, there's almost a kind of rather classic sort of Herman Hesse type view about some of this sort of thing.

36:17Rana Mitter:But yeah, I think it's not a rivalry of equals in the mind of the Chinese. That bothers Indians so much, let me tell you, because they know it and they hate it. You can hear them over your pegs of old monk grumbling about it that they're not taken as seriously as they should. Just to cast our minds back to what the world is doing in 1962 when this Sino-Indian war that no Chinese really care about very much was going on. This is in the middle of the Cuban Missile Crisis. So you've got Chinese forces launching coordinated attacks across this disputed Himalayan border with India. Is it deliberately brilliant timing, Rana?

36:54Is it timed because everyone's looking at Cuba, everyone's turning their attention somewhere else? So he thinks, in a brilliant way, let's do it now.

37:02Rana Mitter:Good question. I couldn't give you a definitive answer on that, not least because foreign ministry archives in China are not necessarily very accessible. There was a while actually they began to release them in the early 2000s and they suddenly sort of shut everything down about 2013 and they'd never been opened again. But again, one thing I certainly can say is that Mao and those around him kept a very close and beady eye on what was happening in the wider world. And they certainly also regarded essentially more as, to use a good Marxist kind of jargon, adventurist views of the world as being a good thing.

37:36Rana Mitter:In other words, things like détente or trying to kind of calm down tensions. This was not Mao's preference at all. Not his vibe. Not his vibe, indeed so. So I'd say that the idea that there might be a confrontation between the US and the Soviets in Cuba or elsewhere, he would have taken that not only with equanimity, I think more than that, I think he would have taken it with enthusiasm actually. Oh, right. Interesting. And this is, I mean, we should say this has deep British colonial roots because it is the uncertainty of the status of Tibet that kind of fires these problems off between India and China.

38:11Rana Mitter:Yes. I mean, even today, there is huge disputes in the large parts of the province of Northeastern India called Arunachal Pradesh is claimed by China as being their territory. I Aaron Nutschilis can't get into China because they don't have a Chinese stamp on their passport. I've known Aaron Nutschil writer friends who tried to get to China and they get turned back at the border. Sounds about right. So, you know, this is an issue that China certainly isn't letting go, nor is India, to be fair. But at the same time, it's clearly one of the things that continues to be a big running saw and sometimes be a deadly one.

38:51Rana Mitter:But it never sits at the absolute sort of top level of Chinese consideration, partly because you mentioned Tibet and the conquest of, you know, essentially what we'd regard as the main part of the Tibetan plateau happens in 1950. And China has kept it completely and massively under control since then. And this is the moment that the Dalai Lama escapes and arrives and moves to India. He stays around for a while and then disappears, I think, in 1959 to head to Dharamsala in India, of course. So at that point, essentially China then as now has very significant control over much of the Tibetan plateau, some of which is also in the provinces of Qinghai and Sichuan.

39:33Rana Mitter:And therefore, the level of sort of uncertainty existed during the nationalist period on that western border doesn't exist in quite this way. So the Indian border is more about sort of trying to push for as much territory as possible. it's not because I think the Chinese really think that there's some fundamental security issue that needs to be solved there. Yeah but so you know Chinese forces do push in quite substantially into Indian territory and you have a huge number of casualties but then China declares a unilateral ceasefire and I'm trying to understand what's the thinking behind suddenly okay you know we're ceasefire now and why in you know exactly a month after the initial attack do they decide they've had enough.

40:13Rana Mitter:Yes. So I put it, so I couldn't give a definitive reason until the archives are open. I don't think anyone can necessarily, but I could. Have a guess, Rana. Have a guess. Have an educated guess. How about an extrapolation? I think that one of the things that's very notable about the way in which China has dealt with its border disputes is that unlike some countries, Russia, you know, in Ukraine at the moment, to give a very current example, it can be quite ambivalent about how far it wants to push. The main comparison I think of is the Chinese invasion of Vietnam in 1979, which is about five weeks long.

40:49Rana Mitter:And again, it's even more brutal in terms of numbers of death than the war with India in 1962. I have very clear memories of watching it on television at school and being very frightened that this was a kind of world war coming, these massive rocket salvos firing off. In that particular case in 1979, essentially it was becoming clear, I think, quite quickly that the Vietnamese were getting the better of the Chinese. And so, Deng Xiaoping, I think very sensibly, decided that he would declare victory and go home and basically said, well, we've won, basically. And then, you know, all the troops withdraw and they go back into China.

41:21Rana Mitter:I know that from behind the scenes that actually this was hugely traumatic for the Chinese army at the time not to be able to declare a genuinely complete victory. I don't think that was quite what was going on on the India front, but I think the sense of, and this might sound ambivalent compared to what I said before, but I think it's worth noting, there are always cautious elements too. Now, could you find figures, I'm going to say people like Zhou Enlai and others, who maybe just think that actually this could be dangerous? You know, the end of the Great Leap Forward is a very perilous time in terms of China's domestic political economy.

41:52Rana Mitter:You know, people are starving to death. They're having to reintroduce kind of limited form of market socialism. This is one of the things Deng Xiaoping does that gets him into trouble in the Cultural Revolution. Do you really want an all-out war with India on the border as well at the same time? I would be very unsurprised to find out there was basically a conversation at top level saying, well, we've shown the Indians that we know how to put a bit of stick about. Let's leave it there. Let's not overextend at this point. Got it. So Rana, you have a cessation in hostilities against India, but what you do find is a ramping up around about the same time of hostilities against his own people.

42:29And these are people that he deems to be rivals or people who can get in the way. And the weapons he chooses against them are, I mean, honestly, children, aren't they? The Chinese youth is sort of launched against them.

42:41Rana Mitter:Yes, there's a whole set of campaigns that happens at exactly this moment that we've just talked about, 1962, because Mao is convinced by this stage that he's being sidelined by the other members of the leadership, because basically he's so powerful, they can't really say, you got the Great Leap Forward horribly wrong. But in practice, that's really what they're doing. They have to reintroduce a sort of limited form of market socialism to, you know, get food moving around the country again. And there is something called the Socialist Education Campaign, which launches, you know, in response to try and remind people that it's important to be kind of faithful to the revolution first.

43:14Rana Mitter:You get also a kind of push to learn from the PLA, the People's Liberation Army, to try and stress military values. And this character, Lei Feng, who is the sort of the rustless screw, as they call him. What is meant by the rustless screw? Well, basically like a sort of screw who you can keep turning a piece of machinery together. He never rusts because he's always working hard. He's a sort of model worker figure. Like Stakhanov in Russia, sort of a similar kind of Stakhanov thing. Yeah, exactly that. Whether he actually existed or not is not entirely clear, but certainly he becomes an archetype at that point.

43:44Rana Mitter:But we have to learn from it. We have to learn from Leifeng. We have to learn from the PLA. And the Little Red Book is of this period, isn't it? Yes, I think the Little Red Book emerges as part of the Learn from the PLA campaign. and is first distributed in China to the army, in fact. I think it sort of spreads out from there. Bearing in mind, this is the kind of rise of Lin Biao, the defense minister, who is beginning to be designated, thought of as potentially male successor at some point. So this is one of the things that emerges that the army and the PLA gets stressed as an institution that has particular standing at this point.

44:21But this is the, I mean, Willie mentioned the Little Red Book, But then, you know, the little red book, in my head at least, is the era of chanting, you know, sort of not thinking for yourself, but reading the same doctrine again and again and again, being able to recite it from memory. It is so Orwellian and nightmarish. Father is close, mother is close, but neither is as close as Chairman Mao. Well, exactly. Yeah, I mean, exactly that. I mean, what's the aim then to say, you know what, children of China, we are the ones that matter, not your mum, not your dad. Legitimately, family ties are bourgeois.

44:54We don't want them anymore. Is that what the message is?

44:56Rana Mitter:Yes. So you can look both backwards and forwards on that. In some ways, what you might call ideological capture, the idea that by reading specific things you shape minds, in some ways goes back about 20 years previously, when we mentioned in the previous episode of the podcast, the rectification movements of the 1940s, where getting into the Communist Party meant that you had to be, essentially, pretty much off by hard, 22 key texts, 18 of which were by Mao. So this idea of using texts as a means to control thinking has that flavor to it. Breaking Up Family Links was also very big in the Great Leap Forward.

45:30Rana Mitter:At the beginning of the Great Leap Forward, you get these sort of collective socialist canteens in which kind of household cooking is abandoned to make way of a kind of big collective kitchen. So the idea was that the organization, not the family, would provide your food. The place where, directly inspired by Mao, the breaking up of Family Links would go the furthest was less than a decade later, you know, a few hundred miles away, thousand miles away in Cambodia under the Khmer Rouge where family links were completely destroyed in that sense you know nobody was really allowed to acknowledge family connections that was never quite true in China but it wasn't true in China really at that level but the idea that the party should take a kind of superior status compared to the family yeah and also if you think about it go way back to you know one of the first episodes of the podcast with the May 4th movement Mao's writing very early on about how arranged marriages, forced marriages, and Confucian family life in general is this sort of hideously destructive force which is destroying China's society.

46:29Rana Mitter:With that sort of thought in his mind, why wouldn't he get to power and then start to think about how to destroy the traditional Chinese family? Oh, God. I mean, again, the human cost to people who've already been suffering for such a long time. The most precious thing that you have left, you don't have wealth, you don't have the guarantee of having food, but you have your children and you don't even have that anymore. In 1966, Rana, there's something really interesting that happens. There are rumours flying around that Mao is dying. Was he sick at the time? Where did those rumours come from? How true were they?

47:00Rana Mitter:Possibly rival factions. It's always useful. I remember that way back in the days of the Jiangxi Soviet, about 1930, one of the party newspapers published an obituary of Mao, which suggested in those days that someone didn't wish him entirely well. Obviously, it was much more powerful by the 1960s, but it's possible people were sort of muttering, oh, yes, you're not looking very abrupt. And, you know, he was old. He was bloated. He clearly wasn't looking after himself. I already mentioned his dental hygiene left a lot to be desired, and I think that, you know, beyond that, suggests a general lack of personal care.

47:32How old is he? He's sort of early 70s by this point, is he?

47:35Rana Mitter:Yeah, so he was basically born in 1893. so uh if we're talking about say 1966 the beginning of the cultural revolution then at that point he is what 73 years old and it's worth noting in later decades one of the reasons that dung xiao ping you know basically pushed to have people retire by the time they were about 66 66 67 70 was in part because i think of this way in which mao had sort of gone on but certainly at that point he wants to make it very clear that he has no intention of retiring you know from the uh from the front line. And so famously takes a swim in the Yangtze to show that he's still hearty and hale of body.

48:14Rana Mitter:I mean, again, even there, they can't resist sort of overhating the pudding. I can't remember the exact figures, but he probably happened to have. Oh, they said he swam 15 kilometers. That's what they said. In an hour, yeah? Yeah, yeah, that's right. So world record holder, you know, just crazy. Yeah, sort of Mark Spitz of the Yangtze. I mean, practice, of course, he would have no doubt have been sort of born in the right direction by the currents as well. But even so, the wider symbolism of basically going for the dip in the Yangtze. And again, we remind ourselves, this was a very un-Confucian thing to do.

48:43Rana Mitter:Basically, going and kind of vigorously swimming in the river was not what a Confucian gentleman would have done. And so, symbolically, it was very important to continue to say that he would maintain the legacy of that sort of social Darwinist, survival of the fittest type thing that he espoused back in the 1910s, 1920s. Which actually makes it so ironic what happens next. We're going to end here, but look, with this newly invigorated record-breaking swimmer of a Mao at the age of 73 years of age. In the next episode, we're going to talk about the flex that this man who is proving his vitality is going to make.

49:19And it is the cultural revolution. Join us for that. Till the next time we meet, it's goodbye from me, Anita Arnon. And goodbye from me, William Durrumpur.

49:37Rana Mitter:LifeLock, how can I help? The IRS said I filed my return. But I haven't. One in four tax-paying Americans has paid the price of identity fraud. What do I do? My refund, though. I'm freaking out. Don't worry, I can fix this. LifeLock fixes identity theft guaranteed and gets your money back with up to$3 million in coverage. I'm so relieved. No problem. I'll be with you every step of the way. One in four was a fraud-paying American. Not anymore. Save up to 40 % your first year. Visit lifelock.com slash podcast. Terms apply.

From the publisher

Why did Mao declare war on sparrows as part of The Great Leap Forward? What caused China to attack India in 1962? How did Mao use a swimming pool to embarrass Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev?

Anita and William are joined once again by Rana Mitter, author of A Bitter Revolution: China’s Struggle with the Modern World, and Modern China: A Very Short Introduction, to discuss The Great Leap Forward and its consequences.

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