Fantasy Football - Shocking Stats + Fantasy Valentines - Podcast for 2/12

8:18Mike Wright:Yeah, and Colin Coward, I think, was trying to be Colin Coward and have the big question of like, what other quarterback would you even start a franchise with right now? Over Sam Darnold? Because of Sam Darnold's two seasons of – Stop it. But it was a point – Stop it. The only point that landed with that conversation was what you just said. You look at the last 30 games Sam Darnold has started.

8:39Andy Holloway:Yeah. And you have to just, I don't know, give him his flowers.

8:46Mike Wright:Yes, you do. It's been amazing.

8:48Andy Holloway:Now I just want to find an image of Sam Darnold in a backwards hat. Yeah, I mean, go for it. Because Coward will lose his mind. Oh, man, it's only forward hats, guys. He's a coward guy.

9:01Mike Wright:He's that kind of a leader. Watch this. Watch this. Leader?

9:05Andy Holloway:Yeah.

9:06Mike Wright:Not a leader. You're not the host here. Leader?

9:14Mike Wright:Hooligan.

9:16Andy Holloway:Can't do it.

9:17Mike Wright:Can't wear a backwards hat. Quick question of the day. Do you have an early fantasy football crush for 2026? like I said we'll play into the Valentine's Day is there somebody that right out of the gate here maybe you didn't get to see him on the field a bunch last year maybe you did and you just like the opportunity but is there an early fantasy football crush for 2026 that you want to talk

9:36Jason Moore:about on February 12th yeah I'm gonna we just talked about David Njoku he is not my fantasy crush but he was in the way of my fantasy crush Harold Fannin Jr. rookie sensation who is really, really overlooked for what he did because right now in most consensus boards, he's the third most important rookie. He's the third most desirable rookie in dynasty leagues.

9:59Andy Holloway:And I'll bet in drafts next year, he gets drafted out of the tight ends because you had, man,

10:06Jason Moore:he really moved up the rankings. No, because you had, um, Colson Loveland, you had Tyler Warren who are the higher drafted, you know, first round draft capital in the NFL draft supposed to be awesome. And Harold Fannin, the tight end five on the season in his rookie year, outscored both of them, was dealing with Shador Sanders and Dylan Gabriel and David Njoku in the way. And he just got it done, similar how he did in college, where it's like, I don't know, the competition is this, he runs duck footed, and he just gets it done. And now I feel like this is a team that's really going to be built towards him around him hopefully uh they bring in some better quarterback competition but even if they don't yeah I don't think that they can well I mean they can in the sense I know you don't want to hear it but Deshaun Watson is going to be part of this team he is going to be battling for the for the coaching or you know for the quarterback position and he's just got to battle Shadur Sanders so it should get better than rookie Shadur Sanders either way my point is I I think he is did you watch the Sean Watson play oh yeah I mean I take but I

11:14Mike Wright:watched the door Sanders play rookie should or standard and they I mean they did talk about drafting a quarterback highly I mean that's been in the the news around Cleveland to do that again I mean you're going to end up like I no disrespect to fan and he's awesome as a talent but I am much more confident in the stability of those other two guys yeah so right now Harold Fannin is tight

11:33Andy Holloway:and five in best ball. So he is being respected by the drafters. In my opinion, according to Jason, he's still being disrespected because he's behind. Who's disrespecting him? So right now it's McBride, Bowers. I haven't seen that. Loveland, Warren, and then Fannin.

11:49Mike Wright:Everybody else has a crush on him too.

11:51Jason Moore:What I'm saying is specific to the three rookies from last year. Generally speaking, Loveland and Tyler Warren are seen as more valuable and higher fantasy assets than Fannin. I don't know that that's actually true

12:05Mike Wright:alright my fantasy football early crushes for 2026 Malik Neighbors who we did not get to see enough of last year but with the new regime Jackson Dart year too some stability for him I'm excited about Malik Neighbors we lost a handful of players last year it does not make fantasy football better when Malik Neighbors is off the field he's an exciting explosive player and then Amari and Hampton who I feel like this season kind of feels like it never really started for Hampton. It was just like, you know, you began the year. Najee Harris was going to get the opportunities. He gets knocked out. Hampton starts to get going.

12:42Mike Wright:He gets knocked out. They come back. Their offensive line is beat up. I just feel like we never really got a prolonged exposure to what he's capable of doing for the team. And so I'm very excited about that with Mike McDaniels.

12:56Jason Moore:It was actually that way for... Did I do it again? Yeah, you did it again. This is 100 % your fault. I know.

13:03Mike Wright:I had no problem with this for my whole life. It's to my credit.

13:06Jason Moore:I am proud that I have made you say Mike McDaniels. It's really, outside of Ashton Gentry, who obviously his situation is going to change quite a bit. I think Kubiak coming in could improve that. But the entire rookie running back draft class from 2025, which was one of the better ones to come out in recent memory, chock full of talent and almost all of them showed that talent but almost always just for a little you saw a blip of it like Hampton didn't get his Judkins got hurt you had Henderson have his he was only incredible middle of the season and then Scadaboo yes oh that's still too soon still no you're right that is a good point so it's like I'm I'm actually really hopeful for the 2025 rookie running backs next year.

13:52Mike Wright:That makes sense. By the way, we are talking about Gentry on today's show. We're doing shocking stats. We're also talking about Warren and Loveland.

14:01Andy Holloway:Chase Brown continues to be on my list of he's going as in best ball where wide receivers are definitely propped up, but he's at the back of the second round, and he's behind Derek Henry or Chase Brown. I think it will be a tough decision. and then same teams chargers like quinton johnston and trey harris to me are going to be really interesting drafts because neither of them will likely end up being drafted extremely high they will be value wide receivers and like i mean the two seasons that huge has put together are like solid seasons now it didn't go forever because of the offensive line problems and then And it's will Trey Harris, who showed up in flashes, will he be a full-time starter now after being a second-round pick last year?

14:52Andy Holloway:Does Keenan Allen leave the team? And what does McDaniel do? Who does McDaniel see as the true field stretcher? Huge has been that guy, but maybe he looks at Trey Harris and says, No, I'll – It's actually McDan. We can just call him Mike McD. I mean, that might make it easier for you. But one of those guys will be the field stretcher. So I think that'll be a fun offseason thing as we're trying to get information on it.

15:18Mike Wright:All right, let's talk a little news.

15:22Jason Moore:News and notes from around the league.

15:27Mike Wright:You like Mike McD's? That's dangerous. Tight end David Njoku, scheduled to be a free agent, announced he will not return to the team. He made a big post about goodbye Cleveland. Should you or say it? Hey, Cleveland going to Cleveland.

15:42Andy Holloway:remember when they could have traded David Njoku at the trade deadline and got something? Hot commodity. And you had his replacement ready? They were making a big playoff push. Goodness gracious, this team.

15:56Mike Wright:Shadour Sanders will get, quote, runway to be the number one quarterback for the summer and early fall. That was also the article that talked about them drafting a quarterback. What about late fall? We'll give them some

16:06Jason Moore:runway, like, pretty early. it's weird like specifically early fall do you guys you guys absolutely hate him i he his play

16:17Mike Wright:was nothing to do with him his play his play was not always bad it was he had bad games and he had

16:24Andy Holloway:bad stretches but he also had very good stretches at times he does have a lot of talent he has a lot of physical tools but i just i don't hit when he when things go bad for him you don't think he can

16:36Mike Wright:develop though. I mean, you've seen bad rookie years. This was a player that was at one point a top five pick. Right. I'm not saying he will reach that and he certainly probably won't reach it in Cleveland. I understand all of that. I'm just saying that players look bad early in their career and they're definitely going to look bad in Cleveland earlier in their career. I just you know, it's not like this dude practiced to be a starter for the first half of the year. I just wonder if there should be a little bit more optimism around the potential that he's their future versus Watson or a rookie.

17:06Andy Holloway:He just like his advanced analytics.

17:09Mike Wright:You're talking about pro bowler.

17:10Andy Holloway:His advanced analytics are catastrophically bad. And me, all my, you know, I'm like, fantasy's in my bio. I don't know what I'm talking about. But everything bad that I saw Shadouard do when I was scouting him, he fell right back into all those really bad habits, always backing up, never getting into the pocket, creating. It's all I'm saying. When his mistake, when he makes a mistake, it's a bad mistake. And it's just like it's a drive killer. So do they have the people in place to fix it? It's not impossible because of the physical tools, but it will take a lot of work to get him where he needs to be.

17:50Mike Wright:ESPN Ryan McFadden reporting comically to me. Alec Pierce, Rashid Shahid are on the radar for the Raiders. Both of those players seem like the most Raiders signings ever to me. I mean Alec Pierce, Rashid Shahid both of those players to me are not complete wide receivers they're both extremely fast deep threats I'm not sure if I'm a football team which player I'd rather have between those two if I'm honest with you yeah it's tough because Shahid can do special teams that's it it's like Shahid I think brings probably more total to your team with less production that you see on a stat sheet probably or certainly in a fantasy football stat sheet but maybe as the more valuable player but this is where we're at.

18:36Mike Wright:I mean, if these guys go, one of them goes to the Raiders and we're talking about, let's say Pierce goes to the Raiders. I don't think we're, like none of us are excited about this situation. You've got other players there already. Bowers is going to be the primary target. You've got a rookie quarterback.

18:51Andy Holloway:So betting against wide receivers for rookie quarterbacks is a very winning strategy. It doesn't always work. Sometimes they actually do come through, but the bet has been really strong. So year one, I would not be interested. But Mendoza looks like he could be a real quarterback.

19:12Mike Wright:Did you know that this last season was Alec Pierce's career high in receptions? Do you remember the number? Oh, I mean, is he in the 40s? He is. He's in the 40s. He made the 40s. He had 1 ,000 yards. That's literally the most problematic. What's 1 ,000 divided by 20? He had 1 ,000 yards and 47 receptions.

19:35Andy Holloway:He is very – oh. It's just the most – Fewest receptions for 1 ,000-yard season since 1990. I mean, it's –

19:40Mike Wright:It's the most problematic possible signing for a rookie quarterback ever.

19:43Andy Holloway:It reminds me of, like, the early seasons of Deshaun Jackson, where the volume wasn't there, but it was always big plays.

19:50Mike Wright:Yeah, which he can do. It's just harder to do. We looked at that rookie quarterback study a while back. I think – Ha!

19:57Andy Holloway:Kyle just popped it up. uh Deshaun Jackson 47 for 1056 so he's that was the all-time highest with under 50 receptions so wow yeah I mean so it reminds me exactly of Deshaun Jackson because it was almost an

20:13Mike Wright:identical season same receptions almost the same yards uh it just both those guys would scare the tarnation out of me for dynasty and for um like I don't know Pierce could end up somewhere much better obviously good uh this was interesting zach robinson the new buccaneers offensive coordinator because they collect a new one every year but this one you know we respect what zach robinson brings to the table says he sees bucky irving in a very similar light to bijon robinson with what he can do in the passing game zachary i mean that's a kind comment yeah zach i mean look

20:49Jason Moore:It's good to hear your OC relate you to a superstar simply from a workload perspective. You want him on the field. You want him catching passes. This is a good comment. It's mostly irrelevant. He's not Bijan. I don't think anybody's out there saying Bucky and Bijan are interchangeable. It's still good, though. You could have someone come in and say, I think he's so talented. he's gonna be you know i'm gonna work him in as as part of a great talented core of running backs remember aaron glenn when he got to the the jets and was talking about how great their running back room was because he's talking up the backups and you know it wasn't just breeze being the special player and it's like i would much rather hear this tell me how special you know he's on he's on pace for 51 receptions last year rashad white is a free agent rashad white did the david Najoku thing and basically posted did he that I'm out yeah that I'm out like that's the most

21:49Mike Wright:encouraging thing to me is that if you're comparing him to a guy that catches a ton of passes out of the backfield and we we looked at the truth of the running back position earlier this offseason and it was a really down year for running back receptions that's the only I don't think he's Bijon but it's encouraging to me that you're talking about Bucky Irving to be your pass

22:07Andy Holloway:catching specialist the that's super encouraging bucky's bucky's weird man he's in this nebulous area of like not people aren't quite sure what to do with him so his points per game were almost

22:23Mike Wright:the exact same as last year but he only scored one touchdown and he scored eight last year he

22:28Andy Holloway:he seems like a steal he could be here in best ball and adp right now running back 14 is breese Hall. Then it's Ken Bone Walker. Then it's Bucky. Wow.

22:39Mike Wright:So two guys that don't have teams. Right. Yeah, it's... I think Bucky is sneakily... I mean, with one touchdown. I know he missed time, but one touchdown on the ground? There's some positive regression. Giants are hiring Brian Callahan to be their quarterback coach.

22:59Jason Moore:Some disagreements internally on whether this is good or internally here not with their team yeah um mike i know you are not a fan of brian callahan

23:08Andy Holloway:and what he did at his uh titans i was looking directly at the titans and cam ward seemingly got much better overnight overnight when brian callahan was fired and that feels bad when you're supposed to be an offensive guru type of a coach when the team improves not not over a course of a few games it was like we started camp watching cam board like oh maybe it's not just a disaster

23:40Jason Moore:here the nice thing though is that maybe callahan is not greatly equipped to be the play designer and play caller and have too much fall on his shoulders but he's being hired as a quarterback's coach you know he's not the offensive coordinator or the head coach or the play caller pretty good

23:57Mike Wright:offensive coordinator for five years with joe burrow in cincinnati yeah so i i i think it's some place some of these guys can't aren't equipped to be a head coach the pressure was on the screws were he knew he was potentially on the way out i i don't know rookie quarterbacks get better over time mike i mean it yes it just seemed overnight yeah yeah i mean he was bad he did not do the job in Tennessee. But I'm not too freaked out about this. I'd be happier if you told me Cliff Kingsbury had signed that contract there.

24:30Andy Holloway:Yeah, I think it's also a combination of it starts with Matt Nagy, where you're like, and then Callahan, you're like,

24:40Mike Wright:You got double

24:42Andy Holloway:groans going on for the Giants offensive hires.

24:45Mike Wright:Alright, we'll take a break. We'll jump into some shocking stats from 2025. Some fun conversations.

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26:02Mike Wright:Before we move into Shocking Stats, I did want to check back. Is there any videos you guys want to watch back there? You can just prop your phone up on the table. We could do like a YouTube video segment.

26:12Andy Holloway:Oh, dude. Favorite video from Jeremy's phone. You know what I'm so jealous of for other content creators?

26:19Mike Wright:What's that?

26:20Andy Holloway:The reaction videos.

26:21Mike Wright:Yeah, we never get to react to other -

26:23Andy Holloway:You're like, hey, you know this video that went viral or someone really put in a lot of work? How about a video of me watching that video? Yeah.

26:32Mike Wright:What? What were you watching back then? Sign me up.

26:36Jason Moore:The Kendrick Lamar halftime show, apparently.

26:38Mike Wright:Fine. I'll watch Lamar. Yeah, we'll let you know what we think of it. And you can watch us watching Lamar.

26:44Andy Holloway:Oh, a double? Yeah. When do we get into the watcher of the watcher?

26:51Mike Wright:That's what he's saying.

26:52Andy Holloway:Well, no.

26:53Jason Moore:Mike's taking it one more level.

26:55Andy Holloway:One more level. I'm saying Jason watches a video of me watching Kendrick Lamar. I actually want.

27:03Mike Wright:Is he reacting to your reaction? Yes. Oh, yeah, yes. I want to watch. He cannot react to the original video. He has to react to your reaction.

27:10Jason Moore:It's a review of the review. I want to watch an audience watching your reaction video, and I'll react to the crowd. They're oohing.

27:20Mike Wright:This is good content. Oh, no, they're booing. Let's jump in.

27:28Andy Holloway:How'd you do that? I'm not even mad. That's amazing.

27:34Mike Wright:All right, we're going to bounce around a little bit. The team here has pulled out a handful of - Number four will shock you.

27:41Andy Holloway:shocking i'm starting with number four no you can't start with a number that i need the one that's what i want to talk about first that's fine because i meant number seven yeah we'll shake you to your bones uh um we'll call this uh dak the loser i don't care for that doesn't

28:01Mike Wright:sound very nice i actually want to have a conversation about dak uh beyond even this this is a shocking stat but here is the stat Dak Prescott had the widest fantasy points per game gap between wins and losses of any top quarterback ever so when he won when they won the Cowboys he was 24 points a game and that is pure elite fantasy production when they lost it was 12.7 points a game um so we know how how much a blessing the Dallas defense was to our existence The other side conversation about Dak is I saw a first – is it 10 years now for Dak? Can you check that for me? I think he's right around the 10-year mark as a quarterback.

28:47Mike Wright:He's played 10. So 2016 was his first year, so this will be his 10th season. If you go look side-by-side at the statistics –

28:54Andy Holloway:It'll be his 11th season.

28:57Mike Wright:What year is it?

28:59Andy Holloway:Yeah, this will – he has – You have to count the six. He has finished. Oh, okay. He has finished 10 seasons. You've got to count 10 seasons.

29:04Mike Wright:I got you. I got you. If you look at the first 10 years of Drew Brees and the first 10 years of Dak Prescott and you put their numbers next to each other. Drew Brees, renowned, well thought of. Hall of Famer now. Hall of Famer. And you look at what Dak has done in his first 10 years and the numbers are shockingly comparable. Oh, man. Not to mention. Careful saying these things out loud. Not to mention, I believe that. I believe Brees threw significantly more interceptions than Dak has. so we don't look at those two players at all in the same way it seems like whenever dac succeeds we try to hitch his victory wagon to some other cause it's not dac right it's well they he's got cd or he's got uh you know for a while it was um what des well yeah yeah des but the running uh ezekiel elliot oh you know the or the offensive line right remember how long the offensive line was why they succeeded.

30:01Mike Wright:I guess it was just a way of saying, from a production standpoint, Dak has been regularly great, rarely praised, and here we have another season where these disparities are wild. You could start Dak this year in fantasy and it would be not worth it at all. There were nine games in which you were like, whoops. And then there were seven games in which he was an absolute difference maker.

30:26Andy Holloway:When he has played 16 games, he's finished in the top 12 and often finishing much higher than how many times has he played 16 games i'm just not not a gotcha i'm just curious seven there are yeah so seven times he's completed the season and three times he's been out because of injury yeah i mean it's just the i think we're

30:48Mike Wright:going to always have this conversation with dak about what he truly represents for it's fantasy

30:54Andy Holloway:football and it's hard it's hard being the cowboys quarterback in terms of the the scrutiny put on to you like i was in the end room you know not talking about the commentary stuff but tony romo the player tony romo the quarterback was a very good quarterback yes he was he had he has unfortunately one of the biggest gaffes in football history of botching the snap and it's like that stains the But, dude, Tony Romo was great. And Dak Prescott is great.

31:27Mike Wright:I want to actually give you the numbers with Breeze, if you don't mind. So this is 10 seasons. This is 139 games played for Dak and 138 games played for Drew Breeze. Okay. Dak has a better record as a starting quarterback. Okay. 83-55. Breeze was 79-58. Higher completion percentage goes to?

31:48Jason Moore:That one's surprising if it's Dak. Yes, Dak. 66.9%. Breeze was breaking records.

31:53Mike Wright:Well, later on. But first 10 years, 65%. Passing yards, Dak. More passing yards. Passing touchdowns, Dak by eight. Interceptions, 92 for Dak, 132 for Drew Breeze in that span. And that doesn't even give him any credit for being four times the rusher that Drew Breeze was. I was going to say, you know on the ground, Dak was way better.

32:16Andy Holloway:When did Breeze change teams? What year? I mean, it was early. it was really early uh i can give you that yeah um because in my head i'm like he was a he was a

32:26Mike Wright:while you look that up right he was he was he was a charger for yeah longer than than i thought he he had played four years there as a starter five years total so again his his record-breaking like completion percentage years go well beyond his 10th season when he i mean his last four years 72 74 74 70 I think the issue Michael Thomas the issue with Dak Prescott is the same as what you

32:52Jason Moore:were bringing up with Tony Roma it's a it's a Dallas Cowboys issue they're a franchise winning playoff game that's what I mean the the the franchise is not taken super serious right now they haven't been in an NFC championship game in longer than every other NFC team by like triple almost everybody and it's like a jerry jones problem if you were to give dak with those stats one super bowl he won a super bowl four years ago yeah it changes everything everything everything of your perception about him for sure and i don't think that's fair to dak he you know to be honest for the last several years we've i feel like we've been a very pro dak yeah as a player group uh he is he's not giving the fantasy not given the credit that he deserves awesome for fantasy yeah um i don't think he's ever not finished as a quarterback one if you finish the season correct so i'm i'm on team deck the wins and losses thing it's a it's a you know it's an interesting stat but it's not really that indicative like it's not against good defenses or against bad defenses um obviously you would expect to score fewer points in the games you lose because you scored fewer points than your opponent but there's also the the weird games this season where you know like week one Dak played great uh moved the ball against the Super Bowl champion Eagles and then Javante got all the touchdowns they lost that game by a few but the they scored a lot of

34:21Mike Wright:points I think the highlight there is just that it was the biggest gap ever for a quarterback that finished as high as he did and then you didn't get clearly you didn't like some garbage time special stuff from Dak this year otherwise maybe those even out a little bit better we'll see what the defense can do next year um i'm trying to decide what i want to go with for the second one i think i want to have the genti discussion so our second shocking stat let me see if i can pull it up here i don't remember where where is that one it's number five number five it's just right next to it uh this one's called where's the big place so ashton genti touched the ball 321 times that's a lot six plays of 20 plus yards this next part is gonna get ready austin hooper touched the ball 21 times so 300 fewer times six plays of 20 plus yards you cannot hear stuff like that and not if you've been in the fantasy that's a funny stat yeah that one's ridiculous kyle um if you've been in the fantasy football world for enough time you just can't look at the gente season and not have in the back of your mind somewhere you see i haven't told either of you what i'm going to say but you might already know it but trent richardson has yeah that's the name in the back of your head because the volume masked things like this now the very end of the year there were there were a couple big plays by gente that i think were truly special but it is in the back of your head um 60 of his runs went for three yards or fewer.

35:53Mike Wright:I am excited about Kubiak arriving. Yes. I'm excited about them having, you know, Mendoza stabilize that position. They had the worst quarterback in football this year. I genuinely think that. I think Geno was worse than Shadour this year. I think he was the single most detrimental offensive player for any team. Poor Pete Carroll. The record would bear that out. So, but Ashton Gentile, let's talk about him for a second. I'm not going to hold it against him that he got that many opportunities. That's a good thing. if he didn't get that many opportunities and he was this inefficient i think we would be talking

36:26Jason Moore:bust slash fears oh yeah yeah if he was if he was uh someone that touched the ball 240 times this year yeah and was as inefficient that would be you know he wouldn't be drafted in the top 15 running backs at all going into next season the fact that at the end of the season he had a couple big breakaway plays, breakaway games. His single game against the Houston Texans, where he did have a 60-yard touchdown reception, where he had a 51-yard carry against a great defense, was like, that's him. That's the guy that we drafted high in fantasy, that the Raiders drafted high in the NFL draft. honestly the change over as a whole quarterback offensive mind play caller Kubiak coming in it's going to forgive a lot of you know the the problems that he experienced this last year I think everything will be forgiven and he'll be drafted I was gonna ask probably higher maybe

37:30Mike Wright:than he should I was gonna read some names to you if you don't mind give me your first initial reaction on who you'd like more or less I'm looking at the top finishers for last year by the way his yards per carry just to give you context one plus for him he finished at 12 overall and at 12 overall it was on the worst team in football that gets the number one pick and we always want running backs with winning teams so he managed to finish top 12 well winning teams but

37:53Andy Holloway:also uh running backs who had a rookie quarterback start 10 or more games over the last decade those running back the running back one for those teams averaged seven and a half total touchdowns you

38:04Mike Wright:hear something crazy season top 25 finishers at running back the lowest three in yards per carry you ready for him ashen jenty you know ashen jenty's there right there were two at or below his number what was he at 3.7 now now by the way number one overall christian mccaffrey was 3.9 so that was actually exceptionally low um was barkley sub four saquon barkley was not he was 4.1 okay the other two are rookies oh how funny rj harvey yeah was 3.7 okay and then number 25 on the total list got hurt judkins quinshawn judkins yeah was 3.6 per carry the three rookies and guess what the fourth one is down at 29 woody marks at 3.6 so literally like out of the top 30 running backs The four lowest yards per carries were rookies.

38:56Andy Holloway:If you want, at least some hope.

38:59Mike Wright:And R.J. Harvey's offensive line was way better than J.T.'s.

39:03Andy Holloway:Harvey is kind of a scary player right now.

39:06Mike Wright:He's starting to look at, like I'm starting to see his career out in front of me in the looking glass, whatever. It looks like committee back type of guy.

39:15Andy Holloway:If you want at least something hopeful, we're looking at lowest yards before contact per attempt.

39:22Mike Wright:Poor guy.

39:23Andy Holloway:Yes, yes, very much so. And we're looking at – we've got 14 first-round running backs, the oldest one being going back to Ezekiel Elliott. So of the 14 players, lowest yards before contact, a.k.a. his offensive line is doing nothing to help him. He was last at 1.6. Just in front of him would have been the Najee Harris rookie year, if you remember, very similar thing to Ashton Gentry of volume took care of everything, especially receiving. Now, different players, because no one confuses Najee, even rookie Najee, his big playability versus Ashton Gentry. Those are very different things. So they got to fix the run scheme.

40:12Andy Holloway:I mean, the fact that we had Pete Carroll's kid running the offensive line.

40:20Jason Moore:Yeah, that was a Nepo fail. Yes. It's funny because we look at like the Kubiaks. Yes. Nepotism. The Shanahan's nepotism. And we're like, good, give me more. The Harbaugh's. Give me more. Have more kids. Give me more Shanahan's. But sometimes it don't work, especially when it's your kid who seemingly doesn't deserve it and then gets it as a surprise and then everyone else is fired but him.

40:46Mike Wright:You got to remember, like, Saquon Barkley was sub four carry in his final year in New York. Yeah. You changed offensive lines and he added two yards per carry.

40:56Andy Holloway:I mean, you have the thing where a player like this on a team like this, they start pressing. They start wanting to hit a home run, which makes things worse.

41:05Mike Wright:Are you looking for that to move him up in your rankings? Oh, man. Offensive line is 100%. Could he make top five for you with offensive line moves? No, I don't think he can. Because of rookie quarterback?

41:15Jason Moore:Yeah, I think he could get near it for sure. But that's what they need to do. They need to go out and trade for a guard, sign a tackle. The fact that right now we are talking about on today's news that they're really targeting Alec Pierce or Rashid Shahid is like, Go and spend some money on, you know.

41:40Mike Wright:Not that.

41:41Jason Moore:Not that. Just any of the other. It's the boring stuff. It's the gross stuff.

41:45Andy Holloway:Look at Chicago.

41:46Mike Wright:You've got the money now. Rookie quarterback contract, baby. Make the most of it. All right. We'll take a break, and I've got more shocking stats for you.

41:59Jason Moore:Pro Football is back. Trade your predictions on Calci, America's number one prediction market platform. Indy is currently trading at 28 % to upset Kansas City, meaning a$100 trade pays out$350 if they win. Download Kalshi. Use code FAL to get$25 when you trade$25. K-A-L-S-H-I. Kalshi. Trade on anything. 18 plus only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. The bank contract trading involves risking may not be suitable for all investors. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. Prices, values, and available markets may differ from those mentioned. For more information, see Kalshi.com slash regulatory.

42:36Andy Holloway:This Friday.

42:38Mike Wright:Meeting! Meeting!

42:40Andy Holloway:No one's coming for us. It's just you and me, boy. 58 miles. Heart of the Beast is the must-see adventure of the year.

42:48Jason Moore:An incredible story of survival. I got you. One of the most extraordinary on-screen bonds you'll ever see. Only the greatest dog to ever walk the earth. Brad Pitt. I'll get you home. Heart of the Beast. Only in theaters this Friday. Ready PG-13. may be inappropriate for children under 13.

43:10Mike Wright:All right, our next one. Let's talk about rookie tight end quirks. We have Tyler Warren, Colston Loveland. We talked about Fannin earlier, so we'll complete the trifecta here, the triforce of rookie tight ends. Tyler Warren and Colston Loveland's seasons did not just end on different notes. Warren took over the front half of the season. He looked like maybe you'd have the top tight end again. When Bowers got hurt, there was a chance that Warren would be the top tight end. at the second half of the season, it was Colson Loveland's time. I just looked at, I think, the last eight games of the season.

43:42Mike Wright:Point for Fannin, even in that span where Loveland was, I think, number five. I think Fannin was like four. Like in points per game, there were five and six or something. Fannin was still ahead in the second half of the year when Loveland took off. But the interesting thing about Warren and Loveland is that they actually, they even produced in very, very different ways. 62 % of Warren's fantasy points came in the first half of the game, which that made a great impression on us too you're you turn the game on and warren every

44:09Jason Moore:every time it was it was pretty often that it yeah it's nicer that way but it was also pretty often where it's like you'd you'd watch what tyler warren's doing you're gonna be like oh he's finishing he's the number one tight end this week and then he didn't do anything he's finished

44:24Mike Wright:playing this week right yeah yeah and then 40 i remember that with jonathan taylor too it was like

44:29Jason Moore:The Colts were so good the first half of this year before Daniel Jones went down. The first half of the first halves, too. They were so good that they didn't do much of anything in the second half. That was brutal. And then they didn't make the playoffs.

44:42Mike Wright:42 % of Loveland's fantasy points came in the fourth quarter. So completely different. You would start Loveland and go, oh.

44:49Andy Holloway:I would be surprised. Maybe that's the wrong word. I would be interested to see what percent of Caleb Williams' points. are scored in the fourth quarter because watching Bears games was –

45:03Mike Wright:Kyle will probably figure that out in about 30 seconds.

45:04Andy Holloway:The story of the Bears and Caleb Williams was, how do they possibly keep coming back in the fourth quarter? But they did it on the weekly, and then they did it in the playoffs. Like, this was – they really got to get the first three quarters going.

45:20Mike Wright:Yeah, and I look at those specific disparities for those two guys as incredibly fluky and non-prescriptive personally. You know, Loveland, part of what he did, again, we have the fantasy context. They went to the playoffs. They won a game in the playoffs. They played two playoff games. We kept seeing Colston Loveland be an important part of this offense. I think his establishment over the second half, regardless of what time of game the points came, is what I'm more looking forward to in the next season, where this was the progressive unlocking of a super weapon, in my opinion.

45:54Jason Moore:I do agree. It seemed that way. And I know I've brought up the fact that when Colson Loveland started having his breakout, that was when Roma Dunze went down to injury and the targets went his way. And it was really a question of when, when everybody's healthy, when Luther Burden is healthy and when Rome is healthy, is Colson Loveland really going to matter? But you're right, Andy, down the stretch into the playoffs, once they were all healthy, Loveland was their best receiving option, including the wide receivers. Jacob Gibbs on Twitter tweeted this out. There was basically about 100 routes where all three of those guys were on the field together.

46:35Jason Moore:Oh, OK. And on those routes, team target percentage, you had Luther Burden at 18.8, Roma Dunze at 20, and Colston Loveland at 33.8, which is an outrageously high number. Yes. Mr. Loveland. So, I mean, if you want to be bullish on Loveland, that to me is the stat that says he can be a high target even with everybody healthy and active because he was in the most important time of the year. And there was a part of this year, and this just shows the reactionary sports fantasy culture, where because of his injury, we were ridiculing Chicago for the pick.

47:17Mike Wright:How could you let – and look at what Tyler Warren could do. How could you possibly go with Colson? And then by the end, you're like, well, maybe they did their homework. And to me, the eye test was passed by all three. All three of those rookies. That's why you put them in order. That's where, like, I guess me personally, I don't feel a disrespect for Fannin just because I have him third of that bunch because it's like three A, B, and C to me. Right. Or one A, B, and C. We disrespect them all. I guess three works because if you want to put McBride and Bowers,

47:51Jason Moore:and then it's three A, B, and C. It probably is very accurate. I remember early in the offseason, you came in and you're like, dude, I just got to ask the question I can't come up with. And it was basically put those three guys in order, and the three of us had three completely different orders.

48:09Andy Holloway:So Kyle looked it up. Caleb, second most passing touchdowns in the fourth quarter in overtime to the NFL. Spread it out. Number one was Mr. Stafford.

48:18Mike Wright:yeah it's um it's interesting i'm gonna read you some more shocking stats i just want to get your kind of knee-jerk reaction to any of them if there's anything prescriptive for fantasy if you want to make fun of anybody because of them oh i do whatever the case may be one that was really cool it was just daniel jones who had gone from the worst quarterback under pressure in his career to apparently the best he led all quarterbacks in completion percentage when under pressure and in passer rating went under pressure the previous two years he was basically basement dwelling when it comes to under pressure passer rating completion percentage in yards per attempt and then he was number one number six in yards per attempt and number one in passer rating how

49:04Jason Moore:I think if we had more numbers I'm guessing that he was under pressure far less this last year and had opportunities to get into the game, get into play action, have a lead where he's not spent his career usually having a lead and the pass rush that's coming after him is because it's like, oh, this is great advantage for the defense. Now he was playing for a team where it's like the advantage was usually on the offense. He was usually leading, and they didn't know if they were going to run or pass. Less desperation when under pressure.

49:35Mike Wright:Yeah, well said. How about this one, Mike? The 2025 Steelers offense threw the ball on average 2.97 yards short of the first down marker. The lowest of any NFL team in 10 years, 67 % of Pittsburgh's passing yards came after the catch. this is a simultaneous gut punch to all met calf managers and a confusing head scratch

50:09Andy Holloway:to the we got to get this guy back behind center there in Rogers yeah the my initial reaction is this is the most Aaron Rogers I get to blame everybody else for the like how did we not get the first down i completed the pass you're like bro throw to the sticks wasn't he historically

50:27Mike Wright:even when he was at his peak wasn't there a a big conversation about not taking certain chances when he had those incredible 37 and 4 pat like touchdown to interception ratio seasons not that you remember this like there were times when they they really i think it was kind of towards the end of the green bay era he had put up back-to-back seasons of like 37 and 4 and 38 and three or something like that the ayahuasca years um but he wasn't willing there were certain plays it looked like he left him out on the field because he didn't want to throw that interception didn't want to mess up those numbers yeah these numbers that you're talking about with the the before the sticks it's like hey my completion percentage stays high my numbers look good as

51:07Andy Holloway:i move into the hall of fame season it's everybody else's fault well that much is always true so i

51:13Mike Wright:love that also he's going to say yes to mccarthy coming back and then he's going to yell at mccarthy the LCS and the,

51:19Andy Holloway:I mean, this is like, so it's now framed as like a DK Metcalf question. And I will, I will be out. I will be out. I was, I was dragged in by my guy. DK. I was dragged in by the possibility of Aaron Rogers, wide receiver one, getting volume. That volume didn't show up. No more Arthur Smith, though. Yeah, but D.K. Metcalf still is who I think he is, which is a good wide receiver, a player I'd like to have on my NFL team, but not paying him wide receiver astronomical contract money.

52:03Mike Wright:A couple wild Jets stats for you. The Jets were tighter trailing on 93 % of their offensive snaps, and the Jets ranked last in rushing plays inside the five for the third consecutive year.

52:15Jason Moore:a fart of a franchise i am so sorry to jets fans they are just about the only one i feel for more than us cardinals and browns fans the jets j-e-t-s sucks sucks sucks i mean they are

52:31Andy Holloway:the worst i don't know if you know how to spell i don't know if the jets know how to spell

52:37Mike Wright:oh my goodness um yeah i mean there's not a lot to go with there other than the fact that Brees is going to be gone. They did not get inside the five enough to give Brees opportunities to be elite. Braylon Allen is still.

52:51Jason Moore:Brees being gone should help him.

52:52Mike Wright:Braylon Allen is still 22 years old. I am curious about what that looks like for the Jets next year. Isaiah Davis is also very young. If they don't draft somebody.

53:06Andy Holloway:Over under 275 targets for Garrett Wilson. Who's the quarterback? I don't know. well if it's a tongue of iloa oh over dude i would take it yeah i would yeah us a struggling girl are garrett the garrett wilson hive out there i know you were with me yes now wait a minute you grade on a scale when it comes yes we would take to a we absolutely would

53:34Jason Moore:have you uh heard the latest rumor oh for who could play quarterback there now that i forget who they got, a quarterback's coach or someone who's good friends with a guy who recently said he would be willing to come out of retirement to play quarterback. Oh, no. Yeah, oh, no, indeed. Bill Musgrave is their new? Bill Musgrave is their new quarterback. No, no, no, that's the new offensive quarterback coach. And good friends with Derek Carr. I'd take Derek Carr. Really? Tell that to Chris Olave. Enjoy your murder balls for Garrett Wilson. I will tell that just based off of your current depth chart all i know is that if garrett wilson has to catch you got derrick carrick wilson won't

54:14Andy Holloway:survive no he won't okay no i'm i'm out on that give me two uh yeah because two doesn't blow his

54:21Jason Moore:guys up either throws it so far behind his players they have room to come back and get it it's the best way to throw a deep pass it really is i don't understand why it's like not the way run a nine and then like when you get to the 10 yard line or where however far just plant this plant in the in the turf and come back straight get that they should just literally have that be a play where you go 30 yards down the field full sprint boom crush it back straight to the quarterback you're going to be wide open do you feel like that's what tyree jets the cardinals and the browns in

54:54Mike Wright:particular they're like teams stuck inside of a maze and somebody hands them a map and the map is just gibberish there's like no path no like i don't see a clear path out for either of those

55:04Andy Holloway:I feel like ownership looks at the map and they're like, no, I can draw you. I can draw you. We don't need this. We run professional football teams that we worked really hard to buy to be born into owning.

55:21Jason Moore:Yeah.

55:22Mike Wright:Well, that is going to do it. We'll wrap it up right there. We've got a couple of great episodes coming up. A rookie review show. What in the world? What do you got? Did you see next Thursday what they've come up with for us?

55:40Jason Moore:Oh. Why don't you just tell me what next Thursday is? Mock draft. Oh, baby. I love just the first round. I love it.

55:53Mike Wright:We'll see where we disagree there, but that'll do it for today's episode of the show. UltimateDraftKid.com. Also, don't forget YouTube exists. I'll send them some links. stuff you're watching. We'll watch it together on next show. Take it easy, everybody.

56:08Jason Moore:Goodbye. Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers Podcast. Join our fantasy football community on jointhefoot.com and follow us on Twitter at the FFBallers.

56:27Jason Moore:Pro Football is back. Trade your predictions on Calci, America's number one prediction market platform. Indy is currently trading at 28 % to upset Kansas City, meaning a$100 trade pays out$350 if they win. Download Kalshi. Use code FAL to get$25 when you trade$25. K-A-L-S-H-I. Kalshi. Trade on anything. 18 plus only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. Prices, values, and available markets may differ from those mentioned. For more information, see Kalshi.com slash regulatory.

57:04Andy Holloway:This Friday.

57:06Mike Wright:Meeting! Meeting!

57:08Andy Holloway:No one's coming for us. It's just you and me, boy. 58 miles. Heart of the Beast is the must-see adventure of the year. An incredible story of survival.

57:19Jason Moore:I got you. One of the most extraordinary on-screen bonds you'll ever see. Only the greatest dog to ever walk the earth. Brad Pitt. I'll get you home. Heart of the Beast. Only in theaters this Friday. Rated PG-13. may be inappropriate for children under 13.