Fantasy Football - Starts of the Week + Week 1 Breakdown, Injury Panic - Podcast for 9/10

28:58The upside is higher, I think, with Chris Bell. Both are worth a shot, but right now, before this weekend's games, look at the worst player on your team, on your roster, your last-round pick, and maybe think about swapping that out for Chris Bell just to see. Yeah, this might be the chance to get him before he's a big pickup next week. And speaking of, in our League of Record, Malik Washington was one of my last picks. because I needed him for a double flex. I'm like, I just need a guy who's going to get five or so targets. With this news, I have pivoted to Devon Vele as my nasty boy, who wide receiver two for the Saints.

29:36If you could play Vele or Caleb Douglas, who would you play? Vele. If you could play Vele or Romeo Dobbs, who would you have played? Who I would have? Matt Collins is the answer. I would currently have a big fat zero on my roster. I do. For the first time this year. I would have done it. It starts of the week. All right.

29:56Starts of the week. Brought to you by Apple Card. All right. We've got the trio of start of the week picks at every position. You want to give a quick overview on how we view starts of the week? Just like what does that represent for people? Because we don't come in here and say like Jameer Gibbs is the start of the week. Honestly, it's different in week one than the rest of the year. Usually, we are looking for someone who is a questionable start. It's not always like this guy's going to be the best player of the week. This is like, hey, if you've got a tough start decision, this guy looks like someone that you should put in your lineup.

30:37I would say that week one is slightly different. You're going to start the guys you drafted more often than not in the order that you drafted them. but this is confidence plays in those borderline we think that they've got a really good matchup something special about their situation where I want them in my lineup Jared Goff Jared Goff is going to Jared he's going to be my start of the week New Orleans great opportunity at home, week one I think Goff is I hate to say this, he's the only person I actually look at on the waiver wire and I go, man, he's probably going to be way better than Josh Allen in week one.

31:20And I should probably like, if I had any, you know, like he's probably going to score more fancy points than Josh Allen in week one. I know I'm not going to make the switch. You won't. No, I'm not. I know your bench. You can easily make that move. You think, cause it just doesn't matter. I just won't play a quarterback. Well, I'm saying you've got guys to drop. Oh yeah. I mean, I could do it for sure. I, it's hard for me not to play Josh Allen in week one of the season. I mean, that seems I have Amon Ra. That would be a stack situation. Yeah, Jared Goff, he's my start of the week. I think he's a must start this week.

31:50Yeah, I like that. These are quick and simple for week one. Baker Mayfield, a guy that might be on your waivers or was a later round pick. He's playing on the road against Cincinnati in the highest over-under of the week. He just got paid$55 million a year on a new contract. I mean, the The Bengals. Laser. Both those guys are on waivers in our league. Mayfield. You know, I mean, you pay the man his money and then play in Cincinnati against, you know, an improved but still terrible Bengals defense in the highest over-under of the week. You should be playing. Also, you want to play against the Bengals.

32:30Either the defense is bad or that offense is going to put up points. Exactly. It'll be a great matchup. I'm going with jacks of darts against the Dallas Cowboys. It is Sunday night. I love this. The third highest over-under of the week. The Cowboys, like the Bengals, will have a better defense, but all we have is last year's data. And last year against the Cowboys at home, Jackson Dart 230-2, completed nearly 70 % of his passes, and five carries for 32 yards on the ground. I think Dart's in a good spot to start the season. All right, Amari and Hampton against Arizona is my running back start of the week.

33:07Hot Hampton gets it going. Double-digit home favorites. Cardinals suck. And there you go. Yeah, I'm going to go Brees Hall. He's on the road against Tennessee. His groin is intact. He should see 18 to 20 touches in a winnable game. The Titans, they ranked 28th in points allowed to the running back position last year. The Jets' offensive line has also been improved. So I think he's a great play this week. And Jason, I got your guy. Your running back is my star of the week. Oh, let's go. Bucky Irving. He's a running back too. but he is in a very good spot against the Cincinnati Bengals. Jay, it's the highest over-under.

33:44New Bucs OC Zach Robinson ranks number one among all play callers over the past five years for percentage of zone-based runs. Last year, Cincinnati allowed nearly five yards per carry on zone runs. Do we have a perfect match here? Also, Sean Tucker should be out. We don't know for sure that that will give the goal line to Bucky, but it definitely gives it a boost in probability. Devontae Smith, a wide receiver, is my start of the week against Washington. It's time to watch him take over as the alpha for Jalen Hurts, commander's defense. Last year, the pass defense was pretty much the worst in the NFL.

34:23Easy start, Devontae Smith. I'm going to also go with a Devontae. I'm going to go Devontae Adams. So if you have a Devontae, you should start him. I love it. Tonight in Australia. So is it actually tomorrow? Sort of, yeah. Yesterday. Kind of. I'm like all in on Devonta Adams I believe he's a wide receiver one this year I mean he was a wide receiver one last year with 14 touchdowns, saw 16 targets inside the 5 yard line, which is the most targets since targets have been a stat so you know this is a great matchup against the 49ers he had 19 targets in two games against the 49ers last year and I'm going with Tedaro McMillan he's the number one for the team He will get the highest target share of the team, and he is playing against the Bears where their secondary last year, 31st in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to the position, 29th in yards per game, 29th in pressure rate.

35:17This should be a game that Bryce Young will surpass 200 yards. Should be, and the benefactor will be T-Mac. Last start of the week, Sam Laporta, the other side of that golf situation against New Orleans. I'm stacking them up. you obviously have a touchdown chance of Sam Laporta in this high over under the weakest part of the Saints defense defending the tight end position Sam Laporta yeah you're not worried about the coming back from the injury you're all in yeah I'm feeling good I'm gonna go Isaiah Likely against Dallas to stack with Mike's Jackson Dart I mean if you drafted him late this is a great way to see what's gonna happen you know in his nine career games without Mark Andrews he's averaged 50 receiving yards 12 and a half ppr points and i promise mark andrews will not be on the field uh he's not on the roster i i was almost sad that i still had kyle pitts available to me in our league of record draft because my plan me and my son who run the team we're like we want isaiah likely but with him there we're like okay we got to take kyle pitts but i just wanted i wanted likely i think you could rely on him this year i think you made the right decision but especially week one that dallas matchup is very good for tight ends i think with with Darius Slayton going away is like...

36:30There's a commitment to it. And neighbors might be on a snap count, start a little slower. I do. My outlook for it likely has gone up, but this will make you happy, Andy, because Kyle Pitts at Pitt is my start of the week. Oh, Pitts v. Pitt? It's Pua. But, I mean, this time it's just... Pua loves to throw it short. It's just to... Oh, that's his favorite thing, man. That low A dot? That's how you get it done. That's Tua's way. Steelers last year a problem. Defending the tight end position, 30th in schedule adjusted points, 29th in receptions allowed to the position. Kyle Pitts, while it's probably an A-dot of 3-5, he should be good for five-plus receptions, getting you some volume.

37:12All right, that was Starts of the Week, brought to you by Apple Card. Apply in the wallet app on your iPhone today, subject to credit approval, Apple Card. Issued by Goldman Sachs Bank, USA, Salt Lake City branch terms, and more at AppleCard.com.

37:32Fantasy Forecast, presented by PrizePix. Here we go. Week one, the full slate. Tampa Bay. Stay healthy, people. Yeah, I mean, that's probably worth saying. The first game was so bad for injuries. And pregame and postgame. Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to Cincinnati to take on the Bengals. Vegas line Cincinnati minus three and a half over under 50.5. We just talked about Baker. Jason started the week. Just talked about Bucky. Mike started the week high over under. I can't help but think of every beginning of the season in the context of Cincinnati failing. Yeah. So, you know, losing as favorites at home against Tampa would be a tough, a tough start for Mike's Super Bowl favorites.

38:19But it's a different year. 9 and 10 is the Joe Burrow. Excuse me, read his entire. 9, 10, and 1. Thank you. In September. Thank you. The worst part for fantasy managers, he averages 15.7 fantasy points per game in September, and that jumps up to his normal range, 20, 18, 22, 20 for the next four months. He's kind of a Yeti, too. Joe Burrow just seems to put up points when it gets colder. Except for, like, Henry is good in the beginning, and then gets better. Burrow's bad in the beginning, and then gets better. Let me give you the week one fantasy points for Burrow the last three years. Last year he scored 8.8 fantasy points.

38:57The year prior was 8.1 fantasy points. The year prior was 3.2 fantasy points. So a big game. Big opportunity at home. Got to get it done. Got to get it done for Jamar and T. Higgins. Chase Brown. Lots of auto starts in this game. I think I will kind of on week one, like we said, There's not a lot of start to sit decisions from the main players, but there are situations on depth charts that are interesting. To me, the biggest story of this game is going to be the wide receiver room for Tampa Bay and what it looks like when the game is over high over under Baker can get it done. Bad defense. You should sit here and say, Hey, I'm a Mecca Buka.

39:38I think a Buka Godwin and one other mysterious name is going to have a game in this. Is it Jalen McMillan or is it Kate Otten that gets the, Like Taz Johnson or Ted Hurst? What about me? Yeah. I would say that both. A pack of chainsaw. When we're looking at these week one matchups, the most important thing is not really even who to start. It's what to watch for. That's the most important thing. We need to go into these games going, what are we going to keep an eye on? And to me, it is both the wide receiver core and what's the pecking order, the snap counts, but also the running back core. How much is Kenny Gainwell involved?

40:14How much does he siphon away passing work from Bucky Irving? That's going to be – the Buccaneers are a very interesting watch, and it's fun that it gets to be against the Cincinnati defense. Yeah, the Bengals are also – I want to see how different it actually is. A lot has been talked up of this. We're going to be under center more to help us get more explosive runs, to help with the play action, to really sell things. Chase Brown remains just a very strong – he finished incredible. it started real bad because they didn't have a quarterback uh but just multi-faceted in the price picks has him at 23 and a half receiving yards does that seem low to you it seems low because vita vea just got a 30 million dollar contract extension after he was like i want to i want to be traded they're like no they they paid the man his money it's hard to run against the the buccaneers when vita vea is healthy and motivated and playing well but the little dump buffs to chase brown yeah 23 and a half receiving yards that seems like uh easy to me new orleans travels to detroit so we have a couple of the games that were featured in our starts of the week the over under here a delicious 49 and a half detroit minus seven and i'm gonna be honest i feel like that's respectful of new orleans when you're at home and new orleans with what they were able to do last year detroit i i could have seen this being a bigger line maybe eight and a half or something like that.

41:43Detroit has the second highest implied point total. Detroit is going to be cooking this week, which is one of the only teams where you can say, you know, golf this week, Gibbs, Amonra, Jameson Williams, and Laporta, I think are all in play. Absolutely. This game environment is exactly what you want. The pace of play, you know, from Moore on the Saints is awesome. The fact that Detroit is going to score a kajillion points, I'm all about this game. And this is why you talked about Devon Vele as your kind of emergency play as a wide receiver too. It's because of this game environment. It's perfect for fantasy.

42:27All right. Well, then on the other side, Travis Achan Jr. gets the opportunity to make his Rumbelaya debut. Tyler Shuck, we'll see if he takes a step forward. Brother, the prize picks projection has shucked at 246.5. I thought that was insane. Only Joe Burrow and Dak are higher. Well, they're going to need to pass the ball in this game. This is what we're talking about. So, Juwan Johnson, Olave, Vele in a pinch. Honestly, Travis H.A.N. Jr. is going to get a lot of work in the receiving game. It's not something that Moore's offenses usually over the last couple years have excelled at targeting the running back, but that is one of Travis H.N.

43:14Jr.'s calling cards, and they're going to be passing once they're down. Anything else from this matchup that you think is a tough decision or something you're watching for, as you said? I'm watching the Jameson Williams Sam Laporta situation where hopefully assuming Sam Laporta is healthy and plays his full allotment of snaps which it appears he is going to I want to know how does Jameson Williams do because Jameson Williams blew up at the end of last year it coincided with two different things the play calling changing but also Sam Laporta being off the field I want Jameson Williams to come out week one and dominate with Laporta on the field I think that would say a lot Yeah, I think it would be tough, I think, for all those guys every week to get it done.

43:57I think Laporta and Jamison could see more ping-ponging this year in terms of one of those guys being the next man up because Gibbs and Amon Ra are so involved. But this could be a good week for it with the over-under. If you lost Brock Bowers and you are scrambling, I had tweeted out right when the news came, but this shouldn't surprise you, Jawan Johnson would be pretty much my favorite replacement who is on a lot of waiver wires. I know he's not on everyone, but I think that he is a solid play. All righty. New York, Tennessee coming up next. We'll take a quick break and get back into the week one matchups.

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46:36Jason's New York Jets take on the Tennessee Titans in a matchup of what's the opposite of a juggernaut I'd say get uh get the pepto ready hey someone gets a win that is probable but not guaranteed wait to hear these numbers though Tennessee minus one and a half at home that's fine over under 38 and a half lowest of week one what you're talking about the 29th and 30th ranked offenses last year in points per game and yards per game uh they were not good cam ward you know i i still hope that he's not a liar when he said in the preseason look we've got a lot of we've got a lot of stuff we're not doing yet and we'll do it when the game time happens so that's that's all fine and well but the stuff you were doing you were not doing very well so I hope the stuff that you haven't done you're really good at I mean that's a fair point Robert Sala echoed that after some of the preseason struggles he said I would too I know but I believe it I believe that they were not focused on necessarily like I think there's going to be a lot of worry about starting Carnell Tate you haven't seen it yet looked bad in preseason do I start or as a rookie do I just like hold off and I would absolutely be starting him.

47:58How high of a level of a start? Are you saying like a wide receiver? Yeah, a wide receiver. No, I would say a wide receiver. Is that a wide receiver? Is that what I heard? I see him as a top 24 play. Okay. I mean, the Jets defense is not going to be very good. I do think that they're going to force him the ball and design plays for him. Brian Dayball did this with Malik Nabors in his rookie season. I think there will be some design plays for him. I am very curious to see the Wandale involvement. He, you know, I brought up Alec Pierce as being one of the only receivers drafted that late where he had a thousand yards the year before.

48:35Wandale was the only other one. Like they paid him a ton of money. He's a very good player. And he played for Brian Dable. When Brian Dable goes and gets you, it means something to me. So I am curious about the utilization there. On the other side, we just want consolidation. Brees Hall, Garrett Wilson. I'm not watching for much else honestly if I had to pick a sleeper surprise performance of this entire game to me it's Adonai Mitchell yeah people talked about him during the offseason maybe this is the year yeah I mean I liked what I saw in the I mean it was hard to watch the Jets last year but in his limited time once he arrived I thought it was pretty good Baltimore the Ravens at Indianapolis Vegas line here Baltimore were minus three and a half over under 47 and a half you feeling good about this one much better than the last game I am very curious about this both of these teams are teams that I um I'm very like I'm not sure how it's going to go I know that Baltimore is expected to win you know double digit games and they should be great their defense should be great they've got Lamar they've got Derrick Henry but they've gotten much much worse on the offensive line They lost their star fullback.

49:50I could see their offense potentially struggling. And with the change in the long-term leadership that this organization was very used to, you know, a Harbaugh run in the show, and now it's a completely new system in here with new coaches, I'm just curious. I want to see what we see for Baltimore. And then when it comes to the Colts, it's like that was the tale of two halves last year with and without Daniel Jones. Daniel Jones was an MVP candidate. it they were the number one seed in the NFL after eight weeks and everything looked good he got injured and then they were a putrid team and so it's like well are they are they going to be as good as they were to start last year this year now that Daniel Jones is back this is a great test for both teams I am absolutely fascinated to watch it yeah so you're gonna you're gonna start your studs in this one the health of Alec Pierce is something we're watching the distribution of the downs Keenan Allen uh you know what does Daniel Jones look like Jacoby Lane a rookie we're watching mostly to see what's the snaps like yeah snaps is everything for Jacoby Lane I mean which I'm not expecting I'm not either a lot I'm not either it even though he had one of the loudest drum beats of the entire offseason we we know the traditional path for rookies drafted in the range that he was that it takes time.

51:09Would expect it will be Flowers and Rashad Bateman as the primary guys, but maybe we're pleasantly surprised. Yeah, when day two or day three picks get a bunch of buzz, you get really excited. And Lane was three, right? Was he a fourth? I remember that right? No, he was a third round. Okay, day two pick, baby! But even them, they don't usually play enough snaps week one to be relevant, so that's what to watch for. And of course you know I'm watching the Josh Downs snaps. Yeah, and it's always – Are you on the outside? It's important to know that these rookies, while they don't get a lot of opportunities in week one, that doesn't set the table for them to never work themselves into an offense.

51:48Things evolve with effectiveness. Rashad Bateman has the legal plus talent troubles. And we'll see what happens for the offense as it goes. And the debut of Jesse Minner, Declan Doyle offense, it's a big deal. Yeah. I think the Ravens are extremely exciting for week one because it should absolutely work out. Your concerns, Jay, I think are very valid. But you're like, you have superstars on this team. So it should work. And the whispers, they're very quiet, but the whispers of Derrick Henry catching more passes this year, we'll see. Atlanta at Pittsburgh. They can't all be winners. Vegas line here, Pittsburgh minus 3.5.

52:32Over under just 42.5. is there a worse quarterback matchup on a single week what's worse to watch rogers v tua or cam ward v geno cam ward v geno i think so we're getting two couple of the super combos this week the falcons have not had a winning season since 2017 the pittsburgh steelers were the slowest most plotting offense last year 28th in plays per game which it's one thing to just be like disappointed in the offensive output of your wide receivers in Pittsburgh when Kenny Gainwell leads the team in receiving instead of DK Metcalf, their alpha. But it's another thing to do it in such a way that makes me so bored and so sad.

53:17They were the worst to watch last year. Like if we just watch a back-and-forth affair where Tua is throwing four-yard passes to Kyle Pitts and Aaron Rodgers is throwing four-yard passes to Darnell Washington. Yeah. I mean, that might be the game we're getting. Who has the lower ADOT this week? between those two guys gosh i think to uh yeah man it that he is done soon he is done soon um to a v rogers we're hoping that mike mccarthy brings some new life to the steelers well and the same with kevin stefanski in atlanta sure and tommy reese but right now um play b john Robinson and Drake London. Play Kyle Pitts for sure.

53:59Mike's start of the week. And then on the offensive side for Pittsburgh, I think you would probably concede Jalen Warren's going to be in lineups. Warren and Dotto will both be played. Metcalf was not in. He was not drafted in a place that means you have to start this guy. No, but I would. You know, this is a perfect matchup. Obviously, last year, the Falcons were the 30th against wide receivers, giving up over 31 points a game with McCarthy in tow. I would say that this is a – you know, D.K. Metcalf's going to be in one of those situations where until one of the two things are proven, like he is really good or he's irrelevant on this offense, you're going to be playing matchups.

54:42And this is a matchup you want to play. So week one at home, I would be starting D.K. Metcalf. The Chicago Bears travel to Carolina to take on the Panthers. Chicago, three-point road favorites. The over-under is 46.5. Okay. Implied point total puts the Bears at 24.5. Carolina at 21.5. What is the man? You're surprised they're not favored by a more or favored at all, or what is it? No, I think favored by three is strong. That's how I felt, too, actually. I mean, if you want to say the Bears are favored, like, okay, a point, a point and a half. A full field goal is pretty surprising to me. Well, we'll see.

55:26It is... Boy, I'm getting reminded of the Bryce Young when he was traded for what equated to... Listen to this. DJ Moore, Darnell Wright, Tyreek Stevenson, Caleb Williams, and Luther Burden. That was the net. Wow. That was the net. We call that a whoopsie-doozles. That is... Man. That's a franchise. That is a A lot of players. Last year we had this Chicago Bend Don't Break defense that got them pretty far. Oh, it bent, though. It did bend eventually. And, well, can Bryce Young bend it this week? He's got Tett McMillan, Jalen Coker healthy, Darren Waller. Don't forget he plays football. Yeah. The Waller-ish himself.

56:09Boy, do we even have that anymore in the drops? Is he in the right jersey? I think we probably don't. We're going to have to get that fixed. He's probably in a Dolphins jersey. I am the Waller-ish. Just imagine it was Panther Blue. Is Bryson going to do enough this week? No. I will say that every week. He honestly... Will he do enough for Tet? Yes. Because he's Mike's star of the week. Yeah, no, he will. If there's any matchup where Bryce is going to do enough, this is one of them. I think one thing I'm watching, because we're kind of using that language in week one, I'm watching for, you know, Tet McMillan and where he's lining up in this offense.

56:48and if they start to move him around more. That's exciting. Yeah, he was in the slot a decent amount with preseason. We saw it. So that would be a huge boost if they're actually willing to move him around and not just be dumb. Odds that we are satisfied in any meaningful way by what happens in the running back room for Carolina this week?

57:09No. I think it's more of a – The odds are no, Jason. The odds are no. Yeah, they are no. okay it's it's looking for rotation like i guess i mean like when we get done with the day are we like hey we know what's going on or not really i think the only way you know what's going on is if jonathan brooks takes control jonathan breakout yeah like that's the only that would be like oh holy crap off of i know he he was released by general soreness oh yeah from duty yeah where chuba's healthy if if if they switched it in week one that would feel like a big deal yeah i really hope it's honorable yeah yes um deandre swift is a must start absolutely great matchup carolina 31st and yards before contact allowed and deandre swift if he knows anything it's how to get yards before he gets hit it is true and uh we'll keep an eye on roma dunze and the injury and whether he's 100 we we hope so he was limited on wednesday i think they expect him out there but you know right now it's Burden, Loveland, Odunze in terms of our priorities.

58:16Probably Loveland, Burden, Odunze. Yeah, that's how I would do it. Jason, thoughts there? Loveland, Burden, Odunze for sure. I think you've got to, you know, make sure you see the practices that Rome Odunze is practicing in full. Yeah, I mean, with that injury, it's got to be Burden ahead of him. I mean, Loveland is obviously – there's no world where he's not starting because he was, you know, pretty much a third-round draft pick. Okay, we're ping-ponging between games that we're excited about and games that are going to be interesting. Cleveland, the Browns have an implied point total of 15.5 this year.

58:5215.5. Taking on the Jacksonville Jaguars. I did hit the Duval button. It didn't work. Do it, Mike. Duval. All right, Jacksonville, 24 points implied point total. The game is only a 39.5 over under. Jacksonville minus eight and a half at home. Yeah, don't worry about that part for Jacksonville. Jacksonville, they won their last eight games last year. Cleveland 31st in points per game. Deshaun Watson is playing quarterback in the NFL this week. So that's happening. Didn't he just get pulled over or arrested again for speeding or something yesterday? He did? I think so. I didn't see it. Yeah, I didn't see it.

59:30I think Watson got pulled over or something. Careful on your reporting here. Cited going 86 miles an hour in a 60. someone just saw it. He pled non-guilty to the citation. This happened 19 hours ago. You can do that? Yeah. Pro Football Talk has it too. Cited for speeding. I mean. You can get pulled over going 86 in a 60. You'd be like, no I didn't. Not guilty? Not guilty. Hmm. Well, I don't think accepting guilt has really been. Oh. Oh. Nice. Oh. Bust it. Got him. What he should be saying in court is more along the lines of, I hold myself in contempt. You know what I mean? But he's Watson. Oh, man.

1:00:18Was that it? That was it. Was that it? That was the third. Okay, we made it. Quinch on Judkins, Bashaw, Tootin at the running back spot. Both guys probably in your lineup. We'll get to watch Chris Rodriguez and maybe LaQuint Allen active and how that distribution goes. The Tootin and Rodriguez of listed co-starters. Yeah, they're co-starters. And if you get down on the eight-yard line and it's C-Rod every time. That's going to be bad. It's going to feel bad news for Cheney. It's going to feel real. Yeah, it would be bad. I'm excited to watch the rookie wide receivers. I don't know if their quarterback can get them the ball.

1:00:51But Concepcion, Denzel Boston, that'll be exciting. Oh, man. Harold Fannin, that's exciting. Casey's going to be so open all the time. I can't wait for a couple weeks from now. I still wonder if Deshaun Watson's going to come in here and target Jerry Judy the most. Dude. Which will just be tremendous. Jerry Judy was very excited that Watson was named the starter. He was asked back a couple months ago who he wanted to start, and he threw up a four. Let me tell you this. We have a segment tomorrow because the Wheel of Shame is returning, and Jerry Judy has a role in that segment tomorrow. Oh, yeah.

1:01:28I will tell you that right now because there's nothing more shameful than the Wheel of Shame in week one and having Jerry Judy in a lineup. Which side is he going to go? so he is in a lineup I don't know I think based on seeing that I don't know what his projection is I don't either but I think it goes more is it a disservice to our listenership to not tell you what it is ahead of time? You're fine stay tuned until tomorrow because the game's not until Sunday so there you go stay tuned stay tuned tomorrow's show also I mean even with that going on Andy we're not putting Jerry Judy into our season long lineups.

1:02:00Thank you Mike let's be clear on that we get to watch the Brian Thomas Jr. Parker Washington Jacoby Myers situation this one's a huge one for gathering information so much to learn about the Jags and then Brenton Strange you know spot start if you need them if you lost Brock Bowers I mean I'd start Brenton Strange over a lot of different lower level tight ends probably or some of them if Joe Wanson's not there Brenton Strange I think is he's an okay dart throw and play t law who's a better uh play kate oughtan or brenton strange because i feel like that i agree with you jwonson uh is right the best of the probable waiver the problem for kate on is whenever people have been healthy he just runs wind sprints like he doesn't actually get targets when but having said that the matchup for for kate is so glorious in terms of um the defense he's against you know of at least where they ranked last year against the position years and then his opponent's pace of play them moving faster giving tampa bay more opportunities It's a really good spot, but I don't – I feel like I would probably still play Brent Strange.

1:03:25We're going to do one more. Buffalo taking on the Houston Texans in Houston. Buffalo minus one and a half on the road. I feel like that is – that's an interesting one too. Sure. Houston's a good team. Yes. Over under 44 and a half. Dominant defense last year. Sixth against quarterbacks, giving up just 12.2 fantasy points per game. but they didn't play with Josh Allen every week obviously although the one time they did they held him in check their ninth against running backs fourth against wide receivers as well Buffalo was the Super Bowl pick for me yesterday over Detroit and Jason had Detroit over Buffalo yep yep so uh Josh Allen one and four in his career against Houston Houston's defense is going to put pressure on him we'll get to see DJ Moore's debut you're going to be starting Josh Allen 99.9 % of the time James Cook yep DJ Moore probably and then you know I I found myself no matter what we said we said a lot of things about Dalton Kincaid this offseason which is ironic because him and Kyle Pitts just have this redundancy to the offseason hype train where it's like we just know how talented they are in the right situation right and Dalton Kincaid I found myself when push came to shove came to shove in drafts I couldn't do it I couldn't get myself to – like I'm just like part of me is expecting to have week one and Dalton Kincaid is two for 21 and we're back in the same boat and Khalil Shakir is active and he gets a bunch of little targets and then there's somebody else that just – I hope it's not the case.

1:04:55I hope Dalton Kincaid can utilize in proportion to the gifts he has. So the reason that I love Dalton Kincaid late in drafts was certainly not a probability play of he's going to be good this year. It was more of a breakout hope that if he actually plays 75 % of snaps, I think he would be very good. It was a ceiling case. This game is actually a really, really good. I know it's a bad matchup in general. There won't be a ton of points here scored, but you can attack the Texans a little bit more at the tight end position than at wide receivers. They're going to need Dalton Kincaid. If Dalton Kincaid is 50 % of snaps in this game, you can know right off the bat.

1:05:38This is not going to work. So that's what I'm watching for more than anything is basically just snap count because he's hyper-efficient in his routes run. Are they involving him in running more of those routes or not? He's healthy. Hopefully he does. I don't mind anybody even if they want to have a safer play and throw in Jawan Johnson while keeping Dalton Kincaid on their bench. That's fine. It is Dalton v. Dalton. So Dalton Schultz on the other side or Dalton Kincaid in this one? you've got the injuries at the wide receiver position for Houston, Dalton. Dalton v. Dalton, Jason. And talk about two different Daltons.

1:06:16I mean, it's the exact inverse. One drives, like, recklessly drives sports cars. The other one's a Ford Taurus man. Yeah. But that thing's been running for us. It will hit 400. Dude, 246 ,000 miles on that bad dog. Every suggested service handled. Oh, yeah. We are preventing any problems. Yeah. Yeah, I mean, if I'm an underdog, I would play Kincaid. If I'm a heavy favorite, I would play Schultz. And if it's a 50-50 matchup, I'm going to go with Dalton Kincaid. Dalton Schultz had a 19 % target share last year, which is – That's a lot. For a garbage type of a fantasy tight end, you would 100 % take that.

1:06:57And when you lose Higgins and you lose Christian – And Tangdale's not active. From last year, he will be involved. Oh, man, so involved. He had games of 10 targets. Here he comes, guys. Seven, nine, eight, nine. The issue is you can have 10 targets with Dalton Schultz and have a bad game. Absolutely. We'll see what David Montgomery, Woody Marks breakdown looks like. Buffalo's been the run funnel type of defense, allowed the highest yards per carry to running backs last year. Don't keep that, you know, just because their defense overall was pretty good. Against running backs, 23.2 fantasy points per game given up.

1:07:31You could come out of week one saying a couple things. you could say that uh david montgomery we should have seen how good he was going to be you can come out of it saying oh my gosh here's a perfect 50 50 timeshare and woody marks looks spicier right i mean montgomery's been the non-spicy choice in detroit but a good player um you know i what is the most likely outcome i think the most likely outcome is you're going to see david montgomery get a ton of work this is this is a joe mixon style a joe mixon style thing. If you're the Houston Texans going up against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills, you are going to want to control the clock.

1:08:07You are going to want to keep your offense out on the field, play slow, run the ball as much as you can, keep their offense off, and let your defense win. I think that David Montgomery is going to have, I would guess, 65 % utilization. All right. Nico Collins, play him. We'll see what Kayshawn Booty's involvement is as well. That was Fantasy Forecast presented by PrizePix. guaranteed picks drop in the app every monday prize picks run your game tomorrow we will have more matchups we will have a thursday night football game recap for you we will have the fantasy face-off for week one and hopefully no more injuriness unless it's positive like recovery type stuff yeah not substation stuff you know what i mean mri came back everything's good yeah they're gonna play in week two yeah it's not gonna happen probably not gonna happen uh latest news on josh jacobs by the way um that i have is that it seems you know very likely that we'll have a two to six game suspension happening uh we don't know how long it'll take for the nfl to finish reviewing footage and meeting with him but i would guess that with the legal situation being wrapped up they will expedite the packers will try to expedite they will try and uh i mean i look if it comes back and there's a two game suspension for josh jacobs that is going to be a pretty it will be a seismic shift it will be that thank you that is the way to put it a seismic shift and where the marshall lloyd truthers will live and what jacob's implications will be now you know two games seems unlikely to me but i i don't know what's going on we did get a report that ash and genti is likely to play or going to play sorry in week one against the dolphins awesome nice to get a what did i say some good injury news yeah we need it let's get out of here shut it down.

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1:10:51Transcription by CastingWords LinkedIn.com slash campaign terms and conditions apply. CBS Sunday, September 13th. The new season of 60 Minutes begins. Okay, let's go. Every second, a story unfolds. This is one of the great mysteries of human nature. Every minute, a new question. You were buying access to the president. Every week, a deeper understanding. When we take the field, the expectations are to win. It's time. We're preparing to go out on this race. For the new season. It was gunfighting. All the way in, all the way out. 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday, September 13th, and streaming on Paramount+.