In short
April live Q&A covering (1) whether Grand Slams should move from best-of-five to best-of-four sets plus a 10-point match tiebreak, (2) predictions for remaining 2025 Grand Slams and whether a WTA “ranked 15 or lower wins a slam” streak will reach 10 years, (3) whether players should peak early (e.g., Emma Raducanu) or break through later (e.g., Madison Keys), (4) how Ash Barty’s continued career might have changed today’s women’s game, (5) what kind of tennis documentary a streamer should fund, and (6) hypothetical WTA coaching/physio choices.
Guests/panel
Chrissie (guest editor; Sydney-based; birthday; long-time listener since 2019; Swifty and Succession fan). Matt Roberts (panelist). David (panelist; co-host).
Key claims
Best-of-four + 10-point tiebreak is appealing for equality and scheduling/body-wear reasons but risks tactical “playing for the tiebreak” and creates unintended match-flow issues. The WTA streak likely ends; men’s slams likely dominated by Alcaraz/Sinner. Women’s “outside top 14” winners are increasingly unlikely because top players are consistent. Documentary access and unvarnished journalism are the bottleneck.
Notable examples
French Open 2024 five-set rate stats; Emma Raducanu vs Madison Keys; Ash Barty’s slice; Sabalenka’s physicality; Prince documentary blocked by estate; Ezra Edelman mentioned; Longland vs Helen Wills era suggested for historical docs.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOIntroducing Guest Editor Chrissie
0:45 to 2:30
Hosts introduce guest editor Chrissie and discuss her background.
“It was Chrissie's birthday yesterday, or I suppose five o 'clock in the morning for her.”
Praise for Listener Questions
2:30 to 3:40
Hosts express excitement about the quality of listener questions.
“I was hoping we'd have a question about Daniel Medvedev's performance this morning against Matteo Berrettini.”
Debate on Five Set Tennis
3:40 to 5:00
The hosts discuss a listener's proposal regarding five set matches.
“with our first question selected by Chrissie from John on the Barge.”
Evaluating the Proposal
5:00 to 7:30
Hosts evaluate the pros and cons of switching to four sets with a tie break.
“And the US Open 2024 had the fewest at 20.”
Concerns Over Match Flow
7:30 to 10:00
Hosts voice concerns about how the proposed format might affect match flow.
“and then I'll take them out in a 10-point tiebreak.”
Diverse Opinions on Ideal Format
10:00 to 12:30
Discussion on differing opinions regarding the best match format for tennis.
“And equally, I sort of think a tie break should come at the end of a long, hard set.”
Concluding Thoughts on Q&A
12:30 to 14:01
Hosts wrap up the discussion and reflect on the change in tennis rules.
“I don't think it's my preferred scenario, but I would absolutely take it.”
Quarterfinal Scheduling in Tennis
14:01 to 16:39
Exploration of the challenges in scheduling quarterfinal matches in Grand Slam tournaments.
“The night session thing, that's the one thing I feel that I've not really considered with the best of three through the first four rounds and the quarterfinals on.”
Listener Question: Grand Slam Predictions
16:40 to 17:09
Discussion surrounding predictions for the winners of upcoming Grand Slams.
“Since I learned that this is Mary's idea, I'm struggling to disagree with Mary more than I am John.”
Analyzing WTA Stats and Predictions
17:10 to 18:35
Examining the trend of lower-ranked players winning Grand Slam titles.
“And from Chrissy, so we kind of have a combined question here.”
Show all 26 chapters
Men's Grand Slam Predictions
18:36 to 20:59
Panelists share their predictions for the men's Grand Slam outcomes this year.
“I'm going to go Alcaraz gets the natural surfaces and goes into the US Open heading for a calendar slam and then Sinner gets him at the US Open I just got goosebumps I kind of said it on the pod the other week.”
Women's Grand Slam Predictions
21:00 to 25:09
Discussion on who will win the women's Grand Slams based on current form.
“always picked Alcaraz because he's the best men's tennis player I've ever seen.”
Final Thoughts on Unexpected Winners
25:10 to 28:00
Reflection on the unpredictability of major tournament outcomes in women's tennis.
“So then suddenly I've only got two slams left and a whole lot of people that I think can win majors.”
Predictions for Upcoming Slams
28:00 to 33:00
Discussion on predictions for various Grand Slam tournaments, focusing on player performances and potential outcomes.
“So, yeah, I think we're going to stick with those big names winning it.”
Early Peaks vs. Late Breakthroughs in Tennis Careers
33:00 to 41:40
Exploration of the pros and cons of achieving early success versus a late career breakthrough in tennis, using specific player examples.
“imagine if you're the opponent you go, oh my god, it's another one I just love watching what these guys are able to do, these players.”
Evolution of Women's Tennis Post-Barty
41:40 to 42:04
Discussion on the evolution of women's tennis since Ash Barty's retirement and how her style would measure up today.
Ash Barty's Impact on Women's Tennis
42:04 to 47:59
Explore how Ash Barty's hypothetical continued presence might affect the current women's game.
“um chris watt on the barge hi tennis pod hi chris as a proud aussie he says i'm a huge ash Ash Barty fan, Ash Barty.”
Documentary Ideas in Tennis
48:00 to 53:15
Discuss what tennis documentaries are needed and the importance of honest storytelling.
“Well, I'm not sure it would derail her because she knows how to hit against it, I think.”
Historical Tennis Narratives
53:16 to 56:00
Consider historical moments in tennis that deserve documentary treatment, particularly the 1920s era.
“So honestly, within the realms of what I think could possibly be produced, there's not much that really gets me going.”
Exploring Tennis History and Documentaries
56:00 to 56:50
Discussion on the rich history of tennis and potential documentaries.
“I think there's so much great history in this sport and that era of the sort of 1920s with Longland and Helen Wills and the four musketeers I think just lends itself to a documentary.”
Choosing a WTA Coach
56:50 to 1:01:50
Panelists discuss which WTA coach they would choose and why.
“The question is, with quite a lot of ongoing and potential further movements in WTA coaches, which current WTA coach would each panel member pick to coach them and why?”
Rethinking Tennis Stats
1:01:50 to 1:09:30
A critical look at tennis statistics and their interpretation in the sport.
“Cathy Rinaldi there's Marta Kostiuk's coach Sandra Zaniewska Zaniewska Yeah.”
The Future of Tennis Statistics
1:09:30 to 1:10:05
Exploration of the need for better context and data presentation in tennis stats.
The Art of Commentary in Tennis
1:10:05 to 1:11:57
Explore how effective commentators balance stats with storytelling.
“I mean, AI might change all of this, right?”
Understanding ELO Ratings in Tennis
1:11:57 to 1:13:29
Learn about the ELO rating system and its relevance in tennis.
“Is ELO a stat you'd like to see brought back?”
Acknowledgments and Community Engagement
1:13:29 to 1:14:39
Hosts express gratitude to listeners and contributors to the show.
“And they were quoting from Cool Runnings earlier.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:10Hello, friends, and welcome to the Tennis Podcast and our April live Q &A episode for friends of the Tennis Podcast, the first of two live shows that we have for friends in the month of April. This one is guest edited by Chrissie, who we kind of hope isn't with us live tonight because Chrissie is based in Sydney, Australia. And Matt Roberts, we worked out the time for her currently is what? It has just ticked past 5 a.m. So Chrissie, I hope you're enjoying this at some time of your own convenience, but not live. I hope you're asleep right now. Morning, Chrissie. It was Chrissie's birthday yesterday, or I suppose five o 'clock in the morning for her.
1:03Two days ago, I don't know why I'm tying myself up and not with this. As we come to you in the UK, it was Chrissie's birthday yesterday. And she says this is a nice little present to herself, which is something I'm very much in favour of, self-gifting. She says, I've been listening to the pod since 2019, which means she she listened to the Maradona episode first time around, David. And she absolutely loves it. She says, I'm also a Swifty and a Succession fan. So always love when you drop in those references. Chrissy, I reckon you and I could be friends. It also says, and Matt wrote this agenda, you can call me Chrissy.
1:48and honestly Chrissy I don't know what else I would call you because it says guest editor Chrissy what else would I call Chrissy Matt? I haven't successfully changed the agenda originally it was Christina then we got chatting about the Q &A back and forth and she was like you can call me Chrissy and I put that in the agenda but forgot to say that her you know I knew her first as christina right but i'm i'm just gonna call her chrissy and keep calling her chrissy because i have author authorization to do that and it's well what a tennis name uh so thank you chrissy for guest editing today's show we've got some questions from chrissy some questions that chrissy has selected from an incredible selection on the barge i i woke up this morning to a message from my dad saying have you seen all the questions you've had in on the barge they're so good um as they always are david but they really are good questions i can't believe there's still good questions out there but yeah it's seemingly an endless supply matt matt and i have just been planning that we we can you know store a few away for the next one because there's too many uh so this is great this is just what we wanted so thank you very much everybody week.
3:13Yes, absolutely. Some fantastic questions in. None of them. I was hoping we'd have a question about Daniel Medvedev's performance this morning against Matteo Berrettini. I was hoping one of those would squeak in just before deadline and we could spend like half an hour talking about that because it's kind of all I want to talk about. But we have a pod tomorrow for that. So that's where you'll find our Daniel Medvedev takes. For now, let's start with our first question selected by Chrissie from John on the Barge. John says, after each major over the last two seasons, you've debated whether five set tennis has outlived its usefulness for mainly two reasons, inequity and the burden on the bodies of the men.
4:00What do you think of best of four with a match tie break for men and women? So in lieu of a fifth set, a 10 point tie break. John says this could serve several purposes. Make all men's and women's matches at least three sets. Removing the Roland Garros excuse for not scheduling women's matches in the night session. Remove the disadvantage women have playing after men in the night sessions. Reduce the wear and tear on the men in those marathon sessions. make the majors truly different from the 1000s other than seeded players getting a bye for the women make the majors the same for men and women as the other tournaments are and John says looking at the majors since 2023 and we love it when people do stats for us 20.5 % of men's matches went to a fifth set Australia has the highest rate on 20.7 % of matches the US Open the lowest at 17.1 % Wimbledon 2024 had the most five set matches in that period at 37.
5:03And the US Open 2024 had the fewest at 20. David, what do you think of John's proposal? Four regular sets and, if required, a tiebreak fifth set? well I'm really grateful to John for bringing this as a question that has made me have to think about it because this is actually something that has been raised a few times by Mary Carrillo when we've when we've spoken to her and I've heard her say it publicly as well that you know she she thinks that it's time to to go two sets all and then have a 10-point tie break and I've just never kind of, it's often come up in the middle of a Grand Slam and I've just never had the bandwidth I think by the time we've got to talk about it.
5:57I haven't had the bandwidth to think about it and I've tried to give it some proper thought. Generally speaking I do like it. I like the idea because I think it is, it's achieving several things. It's achieving same format for men and women which I think is very very desirable and frankly required uh for the future but it's not it's not adding a huge number of a huge percentage difference for for women and it's not completely taking away from men I like the difference between the tour and the slams that you would still get. I think my reservation about it, and this has only come to me in the last few minutes where you were setting it up, is a little bit like in our football, in soccer, where you have a 90-minute match and then you go to extra time and you end up often having teams just sort of playing for penalties.
7:06and I think that you could get two sets to one for somebody and the player who's two sets to one up might give it a go at the start of the set to try to win it in four but quite quickly just decide to ditch it and think, well, I've got a 10-point tiebreaker I can handle. I can't handle the rest of this set. I'll let this player just tire themselves out and then I'll take them out in a 10-point tiebreak. I do think that there is a bit of a danger of that but you know I don't think there is a perfect system out there as such so I like it but that is my reservation I don't know whether that whether that makes any sense to you whether you feel that that might be a problem or not yeah look I mean there isn't a perfect solution that will satisfy everybody and and have no downsides you know whatever whatever changes are made you would be losing French Open finals French Open men's finals the like of which we had last year you know like so everything is a question of which benefits are worth which costs to you and which what what weight you assign to each of the benefits and costs I obviously assign huge weight to equality and I basically think that's worth any cost I do I do acknowledge the costs and they would be costs to to me as much as anybody but I I kind of think like just just do what do do whatever you need to do to achieve that really but I guess the like on the face of it everything that John's described everything you've described there kind of on the face of it it sounds like a really good idea I like the idea of a format where that would elevate the women's to being something different to to to the tour format um but I I feel like there would be unintended consequences one big one I think you've identified there and I just I've been trying to sort of game it out in my head to to think through what the unintended consequences would be.
9:28And that makes it kind of harder to do the cost-benefit analysis, I suppose. Matt, what are your thoughts? Yeah, I like it. I do think it's a good idea. I think my reservation was similar in terms of like match flow reasons was kind of what I had. I think if you had a fourth set tie break and then you had another tie break immediately after, I just think that's a little bit weird. And equally, I sort of think a tie break should come at the end of a long, hard set. You know, like it's kind of it's kind of the ebb and flow of a tennis match. A tie break sits there when you can't separate them in a set for me, rather than being like a fully standalone set itself, personally.
10:22I'm also not convinced that you could do two of these matches at night, as kind of John is hinting at in this question. I think even if this were the format, I don't think you could do two of these because that's guaranteed at least six sets. Like that's too many for a night session, I think. Is it a bit of a fudge? like it doesn't quite solve enough of the problems but it also just wouldn't upset people as much as doing the radical change that would solve the problems albeit at a cost. I was thinking about this and I was thinking do I prefer this over best of three and I'm just not sure that I do and I think Hannah's made a good point in the chat one that I really agree with.
11:04I think maybe my favourite form of tennis is one we don't really get which is best of three with a long third set without a deciding set tie break you know playing it out and i think it is it is a travesty that they took that away from women to solve a men's tennis problem yeah no one ever thought that was a problem over best of three having those long sets play out look and i like a deciding set tie break i'm not i'm not saying i don't like a deciding set tie break but i love a long set as well when you don't know who's going to win it and they keep holding serve and you know that someone's got to break to win it.
11:39And we just don't get that anymore. And that was because of... I prefer the tie break, by the way. Just to say, personally, I do prefer the six-all tie break. Even in a third set. And you're happy to have that across the board always. You don't miss... I don't really. No, I like that moment where everybody knows, right, here it is. It's all on the line. i mean the tiebreaker might get silly but it's not gonna get into the night silly you know i mean or at least there's a once you're there you know you're the end is in sight and i like the drama of that personally but i get i understand why you why you feel as you do i do i do get that yeah i just think in that especially in women's tennis where the serve is nowhere near as dominant like you we didn't get crazy third sets going on into the night is number who style you know you might you might get a 10-8 or an 11-9 or 12-10 but there will be a break you know um yeah that that would probably be my my preferred but like this is the problem here right we've got three people we've all we've all probably got different opinions on what the on what the ideal one is There is no perfect solution.
12:58I don't think it's my preferred scenario, but I would absolutely take it. Like, just we need to bloody well do something. Like, I'm prepared to not have my ideal scenario. You still have the best of three for the first four rounds and then the five thereafter. Would that be still your preference to this for Grand Slabs? No, I think if we were doing this, I think this would need to be the format across the board. And there again, going to Matt's point, I don't think that solves enough of the problems. I don't think that clears up the... But my question is, if you could decide whether you were going to have a three set and then a five set halfway through, or just scrap all that and just go best of four sets.
13:51I think I would have three set and five set. But I don't feel strongly enough about that that I would... The scheduling one's an interesting one, isn't it? It would be up in arms. The night session thing, that's the one thing I feel that I've not really considered with the best of three through the first four rounds and the quarterfinals on. How do you get all those quarterfinals in if they're best of five, men and women? You know, I haven't really considered what that might look like in terms of where to put them all. I think you'd probably have to do what Wimbledon still does and use the second court for quarterfinals day.
14:33You know, all the other slams. Which I think is fine. I think it's fine too. When you get to quarterfinals day, all the other slams, they just use the main court and it's one match after another. I don't have a problem with quarterfinals still happening concurrently. I know people do I know people like the fact that at the other slams they can watch every match and there's nothing else on Yeah, I know, there's no escape It's a real bummer And also you would have to you know, there's that tricky thing of the way the slams are currently scheduled, some women have to play back-to-back days currently.
15:18And if that were all sort of five sets as well. Well, they don't have to. They are required to by the structure that everybody just accepts. Yeah, like the way that, just to David's point in terms of rethinking those final days of scheduling, if everyone's playing best of five, you do have to give it some thought because you cannot have anyone play Yeah, you couldn't just transpose the current kind of cadence of a grand slam that we have with a new format. It would all need to be kind of shaken up and rethought, which should be within the capabilities of tennis's powers that be, and yet. So if you were offered, I think the answer is that, John, this is none of our sort of preferred solutions to the problems that we're all agreed upon.
16:11but if you were offered it now if this was on the table would you sign for it or would you think no this is there's too much wrong with this i'm going to hold out and try and try and and hope that the sport can negotiate a better solution i think i'd hold out for it and put a deadline on myself okay but john mary carilla's with you so i mean who needs us Yeah, frankly, John, who cares? Since I learned that this is Mary's idea, I'm struggling to disagree with Mary more than I am John. Sorry, John. Yeah, I'm going to tell her after. Mary's really added weight to it, John. Yeah, we don't agree, John, in conclusion, but it doesn't matter because you've got Mary Carrillo.
17:01Next question comes from Carol Ray on the barge. Hello, Carol. We love Carol. we don't have favourite listeners but if we did Carol would be one of them You're all our favourites Carol says OK the clay season is just starting up it feels like a new beginning to the year yes Carol it does I'd like to hear each of the three of our TTP presenters saying who will win the remaining Grand Slams of the year women and men any weird predictions there or is it all Sabah Sinkaraz. See what Carol's done there? And from Chrissy, so we kind of have a combined question here. Chrissy says, a WTA player outside the top 14, so ranked 15 or lower, has won a slam every year for the last nine years.
17:55Will this stat survive a 10th year and who will it be? And she's listed for as the WTA slam winners ranked 15 and lower from 2017 through to 2025. You've got Keyes, Krojcikova, Vondroshova, Rabakina, Radhikarni, Svantec, Andreescu. Brutal. Osaka, Ostapenko and Sloane Stevens. Matt, lots to take in there. Hell of a stat, by the way, from Chrissie. Hell of a stat. Yeah. Lots of elements to this question. Off you go. okay yeah lots to go um if if we start with the men just because i think that's a little bit easier it's i'm feeling you know we're what are we a few months into the season and alcaraz and sinner have have won all the you know the big events i'm i'm feeling an alcaraz sinner continued dominance of the slams and that's it's hardly hardly a controversial thing to say I was trying to work out what I think I've settled on a 3-1 split I'm going to go Alcaraz gets 3 and Sinner gets 1 this year which is changing it up from which one?
19:21I'm going to go Alcaraz gets the natural surfaces and goes into the US Open heading for a calendar slam and then Sinner gets him at the US Open I just got goosebumps I kind of said it on the pod the other week. I think Alcaraz is heading for an all-time a year. And I can't just abandon that take when I think he's still playing really, really well. I know Sinner has stepped up in the last few weeks as well. But I do think Alcaraz has a bit of an edge over best of five. So, yeah, I'm going to go Alcaraz for the first three slams this year and then Sinner to get the US Open. I don't feel strongly about that, but I think it'd be fun.
20:07Okay, let's stay with the men and David, let's get your men's prediction. I'll win the lot. Oh, you've seen me and you've raised me. I said that at the Australian Open and I'm sticking with it. And that would be five in a row. Only seven to go then. It's all reachable. okay well that was easy wow it's taking a moment to take that in David's just predicted our first men's calendar slam since Rod Laver this is it right because I always predict Alcaraz and I like there's even more evidence to do that now than there ever has been in the past when I've always picked Alcaraz because he's the best men's tennis player I've ever seen.
21:06And yet there is a reason nobody's done it since Rod Laver, right? There's a reason why not even Novak Djokovic in 2021 could do it. You know, not even Serena Williams in 2015 could do it. So I think there's a chance he could. I think he has a chance to do it this year. But I think predicting it feels... And this isn't a slight at you, David. I love that you've predicted. But I always think it feels kind of disrespectful to the greats that haven't done it. Because, you know, there is a reason that they haven't. So that leaves me having to predict which one or ones that he won't win. and then that that leads me down the path of like well I think he's going to win the French Open okay I think he's going to win Wimbledon okay I think he'll probably win the US Open um I I I kind of like kind of like the US the US Open is the world card one right defending the US Open is something that people have found incredibly hard to do men in particular so statistically and also the fact that if he were in the situation of going into the US Open having won the past three that like the added pressure and everything that that would bring I think trying to apply some logic to it it makes the most sense to to pick the US Open.
22:48But Sinner winning the next three wouldn't shock me either. But anyone other than Sinner or Alcaraz winning, any of them would shock me. David, women. Well, I think to answer Chrissie's question, I do think the streak will be broken. I don't think that player outside the, was it top 14? I don't think that's going to happen this time in fact I think it's going to be kind of the names are going to not be surprising to you maybe the order will be a little surprising maybe not the first one I'm actually going to go Svantec for the French Open the Nadal bounce yeah quite big into those I think the next one maybe I actually think Sabalenka and Rebacchner will win the next two but in that order and and that sort of instinctively feels a bit counterintuitive to me because I think that perhaps they're better equipped for the other way around you know obviously Sabalenka is one US Open and Rebacchner has won Wimbledon I think I just don't think Sabalenka is going to end her career without i think she'll end up completing the career slam and now at least now i don't know whether i said that at the end of the year when we were asked that question but i kind of feel that she will now and i think she'll get one of them this year but i think it'll it's more likely to be wimbledon um and then i think rebeckina i mean i remember i think catherine you said the other day that i don't think our record is great rebeck and us at the us open overall i can't exactly remember what her best result is point but yeah right it hasn't been but i just feel like game wise it should it should work a treat there and and i think she's she's trending in a direction of just playing her best tennis at the biggest events right now so i think she's going to win one more of them and I'd already won Australia so the hard court slam yeah that's what I'm going with Matt I got in a bit of a pickle answering this question because I ran out of majors to assign to people that I think are going to win them having you know well we know who you think is winning the US Open exactly I'm sticking with that I'm going to I'm going to go out on a limb and say that Pagula pinches the US Open this year.
25:34So then suddenly I've only got two slams left and a whole lot of people that I think can win majors. Similar to David, I've gone with this being the year that Sabalenka wins a slam on a surface other than hard courts. I've actually gone with the French. I could see a scenario where Sviante wins it, absolutely. But I think right now, if you ask me, I think Fiontech improves, but I think Sabalenka might get the French. I think she'd be so determined after what happened last year in the final. I think she's going to go all out for that French Open. So I'm giving the French Open to Sabalenka at this stage.
26:17And then I've gone Rabatkinner for Wimbledon. I know, I haven't done it. I haven't gone Anissimova. I've gone Rabatkinner. I think the tennis she's played this season has been so good. Her game makes so much sense on the grass, especially with her serve. And, OK, she's won it before. I think she probably feels like she should have won it in the cray cheek of her year, leading that semi-final by a set with Paolini to face in the final. That feels like a Wimbledon that Rebecca probably should have won. Don't want to disrespect Kraychikova there. But I just think in that situation, again, the Rabatkinner we've seen this year is more convincing.
27:04And I think we'll get that done. So that's my three. Sabalenka, Rabatkinner, Pagula. Which means no slam for Sviontek this year, which feels bold. Which unfortunately means no slam for Inesimova or Goff. but I do therefore agree with David that this streak is going to close and I think the picture of women's tennis right now is that we have a group we have six, seven players, something like that who are going into these majors who are constantly qualifying for the year-end finals they're really consistent and if there would have been someone from outside the top 15 who'd sort of fit in that bracket you would have kind of thought or maybe be a player like Mboko who's charging.
27:54But she's kind of got herself now into the top 15, into the top 10. Not eligible. So she wouldn't count for that. So, yeah, I think we're going to stick with those big names winning it. But, by the way, don't feel that confident about any of those picks. But that's one of the fun things, right? Like all of the women's majors are open, but they have a bunch of contenders. But yeah, right now, that's what I'm going with. On Chrissie's question about the player ranked outside the world's top 14, it's so hard, that question, because the whole point of that stat and those results is that they were unexpected, with the possible exception of Andreescu's US Open in 2019, which on the eve of it, some people were predicting, David was predicting it.
28:48She had just won Canada. She'd won Indian Wells next year. She was kind of the imboko of the moment, except she'd had that success directly before she was riding that wave. So with that possible exception, although she's the highest ranked in the list, she was 15 when she won that US Open. All the others were unexpected and wouldn't have been predicted. Right. So it would kind of be ludicrous to predict an unpredictable thing to happen. I guess the difference is that, as you've both laid out, like the picture of women's tennis does just feel different now in the sense that the top players are showing up consistently and feeling, yeah, feeling, you know, with the odd exception here and there, feeling pretty reliable at the majors.
29:48I think the only the only slam where they don't feel like they've had a grip of it has been Wimbledon in Chrissie's list there two of the last three have been at Wimbledon with players outside of the top 14 winning, you know, Kraychikova and Vondrosheva and obviously Svantec won Wimbledon last year so that was kind of one of the very best players in the world winning it and yet it doesn't feel to me, I don't know whether other people would disagree, but it doesn't feel to me like, oh, she's going to take a crack to Wimbledon. She's going to go and win it several years and dominate. I still feel like Wimbledon does feel pretty open, but to me, not open beyond those big names unless we get something sort of unpredictable.
30:31I feel like Pagula could win Wimbledon. If you told me Pagula's going to win a slam this year and I'm with you, Matt, on her feeling different this year. If you told me she's going to win a slam, I think I would probably think it would be Wimbledon. Perhaps because of the rest of the field not being quite as reliable necessarily at Wimbledon and that being a bit more of an open slam. She was maybe a roof away from winning Wimbledon in 2023. That Von Droshova match is a bit of a one that got away for her. Real anomaly last year, losing that match to Cotillareto, who just peaked. Pagula was coming in off that title in Berlin.
31:16I think that game works brilliantly on grass. I could really see that. Is that a prediction? Go on then. Pagula for Wimbledon. I think I'm going to go Sabalenka for the French Open. I believe in the Nadal bounce. I think it will bounce her a certain way. I could see a Svantec-Sabalenka final finally happening, but I think I would pick Sabalenka. And then that leaves me with the US Open. I'm going to go Coco Gauff. She's never as high as you think, and she's never as low as you think. Who said that? That sounds smart. Yeah, no one was picking her for either of the ones that she did win. and she's going to be there or thereabouts she's not going anywhere Coco Goff is she so I'd love to see a Coco Goff Pegula match at the US Open you know or a big Grand Slam match have we seen a big Grand Slam match between those two no I know what you mean but I'd love to see it at a slam I kind of feel like when the stakes are at the highest it would be really fun David's all about the retrieval skills I do love seeing people do it it's one of the I do, they are my two favourites in that regard it's one of the things I've loved about the return to clay is watching Burashaga slide into the ball and get the most ridiculous balls back and I'm just thinking imagine if you're the opponent you go, oh my god, it's another one I just love watching what these guys are able to do, these players.
33:10Next question from Heather C on the barge. Would you rather peak early with something massive like winning a Grand Slam as a teenager and spend the rest of your career chasing that high like Emma Raducanu or grind for years, keep showing up and finally break through later like Madison Keyes? I'll be quick. I'll go first. the latter Heather absolutely the latter I mean the the case studies you've picked there feel pretty stark to me like I know which one of those two people seems happier I hope you know that won't always be the case for Amarada Karnou you know Madison Keyes has had to go on quite a journey to to achieve the kind of peace and sense of self that she that she has and that eventually unable to to win that Grand Slam but um yeah I don't envy Emma Raducanu at all like I would not swap places with her I and again I know there are situational there are specifics to her situation you know being from a Grand Slam nation with a very aggressive tabloid press um although I think people's opinions on the internet are a bigger problem than that.
34:32But yeah, I think a lot about Emma Raducanu's sort of life and circumstances since winning that US Open seems like a bit of a nightmare to me, quite honestly. This is an absolute no-brainer, frankly. I guess, again, the sort of hidden trick in the question is that Madison Keyes didn't know it was going to come, right? Like if, you know, she'd done this bargain at the start of her career and she was going through her whole career knowing, don't worry, there's a grand slam coming when you're 30. Like obviously that's the whole point is that while you're going through the shit stuff, you don't know there's that honeypot at the end of the rainbow.
35:19But being presented with those two like known outcomes, it's an absolute no-brainer for me. Matt, what about you? Same. I had the same answer as you. I think, you know, there'd be something satisfying if you did win a slam really early and, you know, being able to say you've done it, you've done the thing, rather than constantly being, you know, chasing something. But in terms of, like, as you said, those known outcomes, I think it'd be really hard as well to be, if you do win a slam early and don't win another one constantly measuring yourself against the younger version of yourself and you know trying to live up to that um and i just think winning late would really help the sort of retrospective on a on a career you know like everything would kind of seem like a means to an end when you looked back on it you know everything along the way when you maybe didn't quite win it was all feeding into getting you there eventually and And yeah, I think I would go for the Madison Keys option there of winning late.
36:28I'm also drawn to those careers generally, you know, where there is this progression and this year on year improvement, sort of upward trend. I do find all of that pretty satisfying. I actually find those careers, even without a major, I can see the satisfaction in those careers, like a Pagula or like a Dimonor, you know, people who just constantly get that little bit better. I really do admire those careers, even if they don't get the major. So to get a major with that type of career is kind of pretty perfect, really. It's quite a kind of existential question, isn't it? I mean, how do you emotionally and on a human level cope with the knowledge that you did the best thing you'll ever do at 18?
37:22like that's a really fucked up thing to to try and reckon with and and process i think and i hope that emir adekanu like is getting or gets help with that because i think it's just i think it's mad really um and look she might she might do it again who knows i'm i'm not predicting that but like even if she does it again she's only equaling the thing she did at 18 like she can never she can't do better than that and that's a that's a not sure that's good for the soul really david what about you yeah i i mean i i i feel like um taking a little bit of a leaf out of madison key's book if if radicarno was sort of happy within herself and then won again and he And won a Wimbledon.
38:16I mean, that Wimbledon would be an enormous new achievement, wouldn't it? But I think if she was happy, something that really struck me about the way Key spoke is that I don't need this to complete my happiness, like to cause my happiness in isolation. But it really obviously added to her life. And I mean, I really instinctively really worry about young people who win so big, so young. I've seen so many examples. My daughter was talking to me. I was telling her about Jennifer Capriati the other day because she came up on the screen and I told her about when she won the Australian Open, but that was after a period in rehab and that she'd come on the scene at 14.
39:03My daughter's two years older than her and she just couldn't get her head around the fact that she's two years older than this young girl and what it would have been like if she suddenly had all these eyes on her at that age. I mean, yeah. So absolutely have the same answer as you both for the reasons you've identified. I actually think the best time to win, really, if you are going to win just one, is in the middle of your career, really. You know, you don't have all the agony that Goran had and Madison Keys has had and, you know, and then you win one and then you're able to handle it and then, you know, a few more years and then off you go.
39:48Like a Marin Cilic. Yeah, I mean, Ostopenko even seems... He seems happy with things, doesn't he? If you ask Ostopenko about it, she still sort of talks wistfully about it all. Yeah. yeah yeah she says it was not not easy really and i can't it's been hard really to kind of it was all a bit much you know and it was all um and she's she's making a really good career out of out of things but i i don't think she's ever going to win another one um and i and i think she'll be all right with that i think she's i mean i think she's very motivated to try to keep winning but i don't i think she's got to appear a sort of feeling of peace and she seems very content as a tennis player seems to love being a player i love that she plays doubles all the time she's winning big titles in doubles you know and she's got the record against fiontech but she's fine with all that you know but clearly there was a i think a feeling after she won that one that more would follow you know i think why wouldn't you feel like that when you're 18 yeah um but um i mean i look at some like you mentioned andrescu earlier on and i know she's quite an extreme but the thought that somebody with that breakout wouldn't wouldn't be able to follow that up with what she'd got it's i just i mean i do i do think the pandemic is quite a big thing for Andreeski I don't think that's a textbook case of no the the the weight around the neck of the expectation of winning so young I do think you know she she she got a bad injury and then the pandemic happened but you're right but it's but it's also you know there is an element of that she she's had tremendous emotional struggles with it all hasn't she and I get the sense kind of struggled for for a sense of purpose um yeah as john candy said in cool runnings if you're not enough without a gold medal you'll never be enough with one john candy he knew things um chris watt on the barge hi tennis pod hi chris as a proud aussie he says i'm a huge ash Ash Barty fan, Ash Barty.
42:23So I've got a hypothetical for you. And he says, sorry, Catherine. And I appreciate that because these make my heart hurt, particularly, Chris, ones involving Ash Barty, because it's, I just find it devastating thinking about what we could have won with Ash Barty being on tour with Sabalenka and Shiontek and, you know, this generation of greats. Chris asks, since Ash retired after winning the 2022 Australian Open, How has the women's game evolved at the very top level? If she had continued playing, how do you think her game style would hold up against the current field? And would she still be a factor at the very top of the game?
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43:04Well, I mean, yes, she would be a factor. If she had the motivation, and the whole point is that she stopped because she didn't, right? But I'm assuming in this hypothetical scenario where she's carried on, she has found that motivation. She would absolutely continue to be a factor at the top of the game. But yeah, lots of elements to that question. Matt, what are your thoughts? Yeah, in terms of how the game style would hold up and would she still be a factor? I think undoubtedly yes for me. I think it also goes back to what we were just talking about with Wimbledon, right? no one has established the strongholds at Wimbledon and I really I really didn't intend on this podcast tonight to be taking majors away from Barbora Krojcikova or Marquette Vondroshova as I appear to be doing but like I have to think that in the last few years if Barty was still playing Wimbledon she to me she probably would have nabbed another one in this in this era of Wimbledon champions we've had since since Barty won it and the thing is the thing about Barty which I think really stands out is the slice like to me that is the difference maker for her and that is a shot that everyone on tour would have to deal with coming up against Sash Barty you know her serve was really good but other players have good serves and her forehand was great but again there are other lots of good forehands it's the slice to me that I think would make her such a threat still you know we saw what Tatiana Maria did to a whole host of very good players at Queen's last year like Ash Barty can do that and then some um how many varieties of the slice did she confess to having in her autobiography was it eight I can't remember but it was a lot wasn't it yeah it was more than I knew even existed in the world to put it that way yeah she can attack with it she can defend with it hit it short hit it deep hit it line hit it cross come in off it defend off it you know like so just so many things um i also just sort of gaming this question and thinking it through like god it would have been cool to see ash barty at her home slam against sabalenka you know who's been in so many finals there in australia and we've seen sabalenka have to deal with you know tough crowds in grand sam finals and that's been that's been tough for her like imagine that match you know sabalenka against a party in a with an australian crowd i think that would have been really compelling um but then you know mentioning sabalenka brings me on to the other part of the question in terms of how the game has evolved we kind of talked about it a little bit on the pod recently didn't we we feel like Sabalenka has been really someone who has pushed the sport forward in the last few years you know I do think when Sabalenka sorry when Barty was sort of at her peak or maybe just before I was thinking of the big hitters and you would have an Ostapenko a Muguruza a Pliskova a Kvitova these were the big hitters of the time and Osaka as well none of them move like Savalenka none of them are as physical and as good athletes as Savalenka is and she is able to combine such power but also with spin on the ball an incredible movement and I do think ultimately I do think she probably would have been able to handle Barty generally in their in their sort of head-to-head I would put Savalenka above Barty in my mind and sort of in their match-up but I'm not saying she would have won all the time um so yeah we come back to i'm so pleased for ash barzy good for you but i i do also miss her and i i do miss the what if of of that game in against this current crop that we've just talked about such a such a great um you know such a great pack at the top for women's tennis and Barty would only add to that.
47:21David? Yes, I definitely think she'd be part of that pack, sort of top five in the world, I would have thought. And when she retired, all of our sadness really selfishly was that we wouldn't see her against Shrantec when she was emerging. But actually, I agree with you, Matt, that the Sabalenka element is perhaps more interesting because they played eight times and it was 4-4 when Barty stopped. And Sabalenka was not Sabalenka yet, not the one that we have come to know. And she had not developed the touch game that she's developed since then. What would the slice do to her? Well, I'm not sure it would derail her because she knows how to hit against it, I think.
48:13And she also knows how to chuck her own drop shot in and play with those types of games. I remember watching Barty against Sabalenka in Madrid in their last match against one another. And it did go three sets, but the first set was Sabalenka's six-lots. Just smashed her off the court. Now, I realise that's an altitude tournament. Sabalenka loves it. But I just think she would probably have been too much for her most of the time. And actually, by extension, although Barty comfortably beat Rabakina in their couple of matches that they had, I suspect something similar would have happened there as well.
48:58So I think she would probably have just been a really good addition. and she would have won occasionally, but I think most of the time she'd have been behind those two. I think I broadly agree with you both, but I think she would have won a bit more against them than you think she would have. I think Sabalenka would still be the world number one, but I think Barty would be right up there if she had the hunger and the motivation. And that's made me sad because that really would be great. But I'm pleased that you're living your best life, Ash. Next question is from Chrissy. Chrissy asks, over the years, we've had a run of tennis documentaries from Strokes of Genius to Breakpoint and the more recent player-led series as well.
49:55If you were pitching a new tennis documentary to a streamer, what would you focus on? Is there a particular player, rivalry or era you think deserves the deep dive treatment that is yet to be produced? David. I would love to see proper journalism in these documentaries. You know, there's a there's the book coming out by Matt Futterman, which is a bit of a throwback to to Hardcourt by John Feinstein. of just being on the tour, living the tour, and being honest, you know, being honest about the sport. And so many of these documentaries, in fact, probably all of these documentaries, they're certainly not independent, are they?
50:46You know, I'd love to see a breakpoint-type thing that wasn't signed off by the tours and the slams and the agents and the players. Just let us find out what it's really like. I think that I'd love to see some of the journeys of some of these young players we talked about, but done in a way that just tells the truth. It's just nobody wants to tell the truth, do they, from the inside, agents-wise, because they want to control everything. I mean, I know it's not imaginative, but that's what I feel we lack. Yeah, honestly, my answer was exactly the same, David. I could say I'd love to watch an Alcaraz Sinner documentary, of course, but it would be so sanitised and corporate and PR that I wouldn't want to watch it.
51:48I didn't enjoy watching the Alcaraz documentary. I mean, I enjoyed moments of the Outcrys documentary, but basically, like, good luck to the players doing all these bits and bobs that they're doing on their YouTube channels. Sinners producing these videos, aren't they? And I see the odd clip that I'm like, oh, that's, you know, that's amusing. But, like, it's not for me at all. And this, it's not documentary content. To produce proper documentary content, you need access. And nobody is prepared to give that anymore. as David said nobody wants to present the unvarnished truth of things makes me think of the the Prince documentary this incredible Prince documentary that's been made the New York Times did a an episode about this where they interviewed the the documentary maker whose name escapes me but he's the guy that made the the three-part OJ documentary made in America and that won won the Oscar best documentary I've ever seen and his next project was to make a documentary about Prince and it was a proper journalistic warts and all no agenda whatsoever but properly sort of painting a portrait of the man and and his career and everybody that's seen it says it's one of the most beautiful pieces of work they've ever seen and the Prince estate have blocked it And they've sued and Netflix have just decided not to fight the lawsuit and it's just going to sit in a cupboard forever and never be seen.
53:27this incredible piece of art and truth is never going to be seen because it didn't paint a completely varnished picture of Prince and therefore his estate were dissatisfied with it and it hurts my heart honestly to think about that but that's such a like visceral illustration of the times that we're in. So honestly, within the realms of what I think could possibly be produced, there's not much that really gets me going. But some proper journalism, honestly, a proper expose on the inequity, the sexism, the misogyny that still exists within the sport, coaching abuses, power dynamics. You know, there's a real sickness at the heart of women's tennis.
54:28I think if there was a proper journalistic expose on those things, then I think that would be fantastic. But I'm not sure I could ever see it happening. Sorry, I took us on quite a diversion there. Matt what's your answer? Yeah I had a I had a similar sort of roadblock to you thinking about it I was you know you know would love would love what you what you're both describing but then I thought oh well but then you need the access and the and the honesty and all of that so I went down a bit of a different route and Chrissie's use of the word era made me think and I was just thinking about Tennis Relived and some of the stories that we've told, I think, would also make great documentaries.
55:20And there is actually one coming out soon, I think, The Goddess and the American Girl, the book about the Suzanne Longland-Helen Wills match in 1926. I believe that's being produced by, I think, Martina Bratilova has something to do with that. that I think that era is just fascinating like the between war tennis era where so many of the matches were played on the you know on the French Riviera you could do one on you know you could do one on the French you know on the four musketeers so I think I would go down the realm of a sort of historical documentary in the absence of you know the sort of hard-hitting journalistic truth that we're talking about there.
56:05I think there's so much great history in this sport and that era of the sort of 1920s with Longland and Helen Wills and the four musketeers I think just lends itself to a documentary. And easier to get away with telling a really truthful kind of unvarnished picture the more distance there is from it. The more dead all of these sort of people and you know associated people are with it yeah yeah as long as the Suzanne Longlin estate doesn't uh doesn't block it Ezra Edelman by the way is the name of the uh the documentary maker that made that Prince documentary um right next question we have two more so next question comes from Drew on the barge.
57:00I hope I'm pronouncing that right. J. Roo? It's like a rap name if it is J. Roo. Either way, great name. The question is, with quite a lot of ongoing and potential further movements in WTA coaches, which current WTA coach would each panel member pick to coach them and why? And if you could only have one other team tour member, what would you pick? Physio, fitness, psychologist or other? please specify we're all going to say Pam aren't we so I feel like we should take Pam off the table here for the sake of making this interesting, everyone agreed on that yeah I mean look I wrote I've already got Pam so right, Pam's off the table David over to you Pam
57:54I'll pick another one I mean honestly I don't feel massively excited about anybody really I mean Conchita Martinez probably but you know I don't I mean I think there are good coaches around but I don't feel like no one that can help you nobody's going to get the best out of me alright look David David doesn't need a hype guy. No, exactly. Don't need talking to. David's his own hype man. Shut up. I'll talk to you. I'll get you going. Maybe some tactics, David. Who's strong tactically?
58:42I don't know. I'll go with Conchita. But most of all, I'd just like a physio. I mean, have you seen me? I need holding together. Yeah, I'd quite like a physio. Imagine just like saying, I'd like a massage, please. And somebody just appearing anytime. Great. I mean, just fantastic. Yeah. Matt, Pam's off the table. You've got Pam. She's in the bag. Well, obviously, whoever comes in is going to have to fit in with my already established coaching setup. Pam is super coach. Teach Trez doing the work. month in, month out on the courts, you know, bring someone else into that unit. I mean, I was much more enthusiastic about the idea of Conchita Martinez than David has been.
59:36You know, I would jump at the chance to get a slam champion on board. She's kind of sort of firm, but caring, I think, Conchita Martinez. She doesn't take any shit. She's going to tell you the truth, I think, about your game, which is kind of what I want to hear. But actually, just trying to think about it and again, trying to game this question and cheat this question, I always remember us being very impressed with Peter Ayres, who is the coach of Emma Navarro. And we liked him because he was a great sort of mindset coach. I always remember his coach, all you have to be is everything that you are.
1:00:17It was a sort of mantra that Emma Navarro was living by. Now, look, that isn't going so well at the moment for her, but that partnership, they've been together a long time. There's real loyalty there. I think he's done a good job with Emma Navarro. And that sort of allows you to get a mindset coach within the coach, and then I would absolutely take a physio as well because, you know, I'm stiff and sore. I feel like we could share a physio. I'm assuming we're all on tour in this scenario like I don't need I'm happy to only have full time access to a physio like a third of the time maybe two between three like the bathroom situation well that means I have to pay for my own and you two have got a discount deal going on I think a physio can you know they sterilise They wash our hands between clients.
1:01:20There's a lot of me to work on.
1:01:33I think I would like a female coach. And once you take Pam off the table, there is so flipping few to choose from. I mean, obviously there are thousands of sort of dormant, would-be-brilliant female coaches, but it's such a, you know, culturally and practically there's so far to go before we even know about any of them. so you know with Pam off the table Conchita is in an unhappy sort of employment situation with David that I suspect neither of them are particularly thrilled about but there we go I think we can help each other who else is left? Cathy Rinaldi there's Marta Kostiuk's coach Sandra Zaniewska Zaniewska Yeah.
1:02:32Yeah. She seems all right. Yeah. Katie Bolter's former coach. Yeah. Biljana Veselinovic. Yeah. I think, you know, Natalie Tosia. Yeah. Yeah. The thing is, so much of coaching is what's happening behind the scenes, right? We see the pointy end, which is clap, clap, clap, this point right here. And you're like, come on. 20 % for that.
1:03:09I think we might all be underestimating how much we could benefit from the advice of any of these good tennis people. Are we overrating ourselves? I think quite dramatically. I think on the fitness front, I think Anna Simova's head fitness physio person, Shadi Soleimani, I think I would have her. Everything that I've heard and read and seen of her and all the energy I feel from her seems fantastic. And she was a former college player. Maybe she could just give me some coaching on the side as well. I'll have her do everything. And then you two can share whatever bargain, basement, physio you're going for.
1:03:57as a countermat to your surely they'll be able to do lots for us I feel like I'm a bit of a lost cause no no such thing now you're underrating yourself David you're chip and charge nightmare to play against when it's working maybe Greg is what you need if you can't get in position to get to the bloody ball. Great. How good is it? This was WTA coaches. I'd have Goran if it's ATP ones. Imagine that. Goran had just spent his whole time laughing at me for falling over. He'd be saying yes. Last question comes from Dennis on the barge. Dennis asks, should we rethink stats? Over-emphasis on aces and winners elevates power players as opposed to finesse players.
1:05:00Aren't unreturned serves more important than aces? And isn't the win percentage on second serves more important than the number of double faults? Players who go bigger on second serves might benefit despite accumulating more double faults. And percentage of break points saved tells me quite a bit about how a player handles stress that rarely gets mentioned. Do you have other ideas about rethinking stats. Yes, tennis stats need rethink. Tennis stats are so crap. They are crap. And they are largely interpreted and presented to us by people that have zero understanding of the good data that is out there.
1:05:41You know, there is proper data out there from Hawkeye and similar, but it's interpreted and presented by idiots largely.
1:05:54tell us what you're in but like just to give you an example ace leaders well the ace leaders are going to be the players that play the most matches aren't they what I need the pertinent stat is what is the percentage likelihood of a player hitting an ace when they step up to the service line number of aces doesn't tell you that and like it is entirely possible to produce that statistic it's just nobody's bothering to we're just churning out the same old crap that we've always been churning out and like things being presented as pie charts that aren't like non-finite numbers being presented as pie charts what are we doing?
1:06:51it's so it's desperate
1:06:57yeah I want a drop shot stat it's the most important development in the sport and you want it to be backdated to the 90s so that you can compare everything against Albert Portas correct I remember during the disappointing Mootay Djokovic match last year at the French Open I remember starting that match I went out to watch it on court and I remember keeping a drop shot tally myself I was like I'm determined to be the guy who has the number of drop shots that are in this match because you know Djokovic plays quite a lot in those sorts of matchups god it was hard to concentrate and keep up and and and get a get a proper tally um but it's fun it is it is it is a fun thing to to keep track of i basically want more context to stats right like i think i think one of the you know that that line that gets quoted all the time from fedor about only winning you know 50 something percent of his points you know like tennis is so much about playing the right shots at the right time like all of these people can hit a winner at one all you know but like five all 30 40 or late in a tie break like i want the context to be around stats you know and that paints a better picture of a match i think if we're you know when did the winners happen as much as how many of there were i think i think we're very bad at that in tennis and the same with unforced errors and forced errors like or or the way that those stats are presented suggests that they happen in a vacuum like an unforced error against Irina Sabalenka or Yannick Sinner or Carlos Alcaraz is the the threshold for what counts as an unforced error is just it's a completely different thing to suggest that there's an objective measure of what is an unforced error and what is a forced error is
1:09:07silly yeah and and it's it's crazy that you can go back and watch you know matches from years ago and they'll bring up the sort of stat sheet at the end of a set and it's almost identical to sort of what we what we still get now it really hasn't moved on all that much you know a little bit more we're getting now but not not massively and there's so many things that tell you more the story of a match than the basic stats that we get you know like where they've served on break points average court position and points played in attack and the breakdown of a rally length and speed of shot like all of this sort of stuff is is out there but is really hard to find um and i think we'll tell you a lot more about a match than what you know what we're kind of presented with most of the time and obviously that's a balance right on the broadcast that you don't want to you know you've got to appeal to very different types of viewers but then a really good commentator will weave it in in a very sort of qualitative way rather than here's a stat yeah i feel like some of the tennis tv stuff i've heard recently has been quite quite an improvement in that regard I feel like they've got some a reliable group of commentators who who get that and they get given some good stuff like the miles per hour number of times Feast had hit a 100 mile an hour plus forehand in the match was like wow you know that was interesting but I mean I'm afraid that the WTA's world feed is just nowhere near as strong product at the moment um so you just you you end up with this i mean aside from the fact that that's also not on the platform called tennis tv what the what is that all about um by the way matt how many drop shots were there in mute against djokovic do you think oh david i got to like i got to like eight after two games and my head exploded and you know i got i got i got distracted and gave up.
1:11:20Yeah. AI can do that, can't it? Keep track of drop shots. I mean, AI might change all of this, right? Don't you think? I mean, AI is obviously going to take all of our jobs eventually, but I wouldn't mind if it took this one. AI, make tennis stats better. Yeah, not this one. But then it comes back to your point about, you know, there's a skill in presenting it to the lay person. And that's crucial. Is ELO a stat you'd like to see brought back? I don't actually know what ELO means, but I don't. What does it stand for? I'm not sure. My brother will be screaming at whatever device he's listening to this on right now because he's very into ELO.
1:12:17But it basically means the... David, explain ELO for... Oh, God, don't ask me. I mean, I've heard this before, but I've totally forgotten what it means. It's in the way that... And we've got an upcoming tennis relived on this soon, but the way the rankings used to factor in the ranking of the player that you beat or lost to, that's what ELO is measuring. yeah weighted by like the strength of your opponents and yeah exactly oh so it's a bit like bonus points that i'm always banging on about a bit yeah very much so yeah and look it's flawed it's not perfect there's a reason why it's not you know included in any formal system anymore but i i think there is merit to it um um reddit's very into it tennis reddit is very into it and it just seems to be completely ignored in kind of the mainstream coverage of tennis estimated logarithmic optimization hannah says rolls off the tongue thanks hannah and jane says surely elo is the electric light orchestra i liked it when hannah just said i'm more of a vibes person
1:13:40yeah yeah you can't put vibes in a stats box so yeah in short Dennis yes we should rethink stats I think anything further for Chrissy's show she's done a sterling job she really has people are just quoting ELO lyrics in the chat now, which is fun. And they were quoting from Cool Runnings earlier. So it's been good stuff in there tonight. Thank you, Hannah, as always, for stewarding things in the chat. Thank you to everybody on the barge that submitted questions. If your question didn't get picked and answered tonight, it may very well still get picked and answered in a future show because we've got lots more of these to come and we're always in need of and very grateful for your excellent questions.
1:14:37So thank you to everybody that submitted. And most of all, thank you for Chrissie, that I'm allowed to call Chrissie. It's 6.15 in the morning in Sydney now. Chrissie might be. She says she's here and she's awake. Hey, go on, Chrissie. Hello, Chrissie. Chrissie, you've done an absolutely sterling job with today's show. Happy birthday for two days ago. Hope you had a brilliant one. And thank you ever so much for making such a, well, it's not for me to say that it was brilliant, but I really enjoyed it. So thank you, Chrissie. Thank you, Matt. Thank you, David. Thank you, Tennis. Thank you, Daniel Medvedev, for providing my fun for the day.
1:15:23We'll be talking about that on tomorrow's pod. So I hope you enjoy it. We have another one of these live shows in a couple of weeks before the end of April. So keep your eyes peeled for details of that. And we've got a tennis relived coming your way in the next couple of weeks as well. So lots to come for friends of the tennis podcast. Thank you all for being a friend of the tennis podcast. Thank you for listening and all for watching tonight. And we will speak to you very soon.
From the publisher
Catherine, David and Matt were live on YouTube answering questions from The Barge, guest edited by Chrissy.
We debate an alternative to best of five, predict the remaining slam winners in 2026, compare winning a major at the start versus the end of a career, imagine a world where Ash Barty is still active, come up with tennis documentary ideas, pick WTA coaches we'd like to hire, and re-think stats.
