US Open - The Big Preview

24 Aug 2025 · 1 h 24 min · 31 chapters

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In short

US Open 2025 final preview and “hot takes” from media day/press conferences, focusing on title chances for men and women, plus off-court storylines (coaching rumors, sponsorship pressure, and player fitness).

Guests

Charlie Eccleshare (Athletics) joins hosts Catherine Whittaker, David Law, and Matt Roberts. Eccleshare is a tennis journalist covering the sport for The Athletic.

Key claims

  • Djokovic press comments suggest “initial discussions” about hiring Monica Seles as an emotional, short-term coaching figure for the US Open.
  • Djokovic’s best path depends on rivals (Sinner/Alcaraz) being diminished—he may need one or both to lose before he meets them.
  • Alcaraz is less vulnerable than at clay/grass slams, but his post-win exits create some uncertainty.
  • Jack Draper’s arm injury (bone bruising to the humerus/funny bone) may be more serious than he implies.
  • Sponsorship commitments can influence whether players push through injuries (example: Coco Gauff skipping mixed doubles due to sponsor obligations).
  • Iga Swiatek appears unusually relaxed after Wimbledon/Cincinnati, suggesting her offseason work is finally translating to faster hard courts.
  • Naomi Osaka’s press focus on her Canada speech aftermath may be a “decoy” from the deeper on-court collapse.

Notable examples

  • Andy Roddick’s 2005 first-round loss after a big American Express campaign.
  • Draper’s clothing deal discussion (Penny Bivori) and the psychological “big fish in a smaller pond” effect.
  • Osaka praising Thomas Wiktorowski’s tactical/court-awareness approach; Swiatek describing trust-building with her coach.
  • Predictions: men’s final Sinner–Alcaraz (multiple picks); women’s winner picks include Swiatek, Sabalenka, and Rabakina.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Media Day Experiences

0:45 to 1:53

Discussing the media day and notable players' appearances.

“And for today's show, we are also joined by the Athletics' Charlie Eccleshare, buoyant after a 5-0 Arsenal win.”

Djokovic and Seles Coaching Rumors

1:53 to 3:56

Exploring the potential hiring of Monica Seles by Novak Djokovic.

“It's been a pretty even split, hasn't it?”

Djokovic's Tournament Motivation

3:56 to 5:51

Analyzing Djokovic's motivation and chances at the US Open.

“yeah maybe get this sorted yeah i mean he literally plays on a 10 tomorrow he wants he wants to look up on the court and see someone there that he wants to impress that's it That's a great way of putting it.”

Alcaraz's Performance Concerns

5:51 to 7:49

Discussing uncertainties around Alcaraz's performance at the US Open.

“I certainly think that, in theory, what Charlie says there is true.”

Jack Draper's Fitness and Press Conference

7:49 to 13:05

Examining Jack Draper's fitness issues and insights from his press conference.

“That's the best match Medvedev's played in years.”

Sponsorship Pressures on Players

13:05 to 14:01

Discussing how sponsorship deals affect player decisions about competing.

“Because he's just taken a month off, you know, a month without hitting serves.”

Player Pressures and Sponsorship Impact

14:01 to 14:48

Explore how player sponsorships influence their decisions to compete, especially under injury pressures.

“We'll come on to that in a moment, Charlie.”

Jack Draper's Sponsorship Transition

14:48 to 17:30

Discussion about Jack Draper's shift from Nike to a smaller brand and its psychological effects.

“And defending a lot of points as well here.”

Brand Trends in Tennis Apparel

17:30 to 19:20

Analyzing the trend of players choosing niche brands and the intersection of fashion and tennis.

“Yeah, Lululemon is the one I would pick.”

Iga Swiatek's Transformation Post-Wimbledon

19:20 to 26:26

Insights on Iga Swiatek's change in demeanor and performance after her Wimbledon victory.

“Are you ready to talk about an on player, Charlie, or too much trauma?”
Show all 31 chapters

Comparing Current Press Conference Vibes

26:26 to 28:00

Contrasting Iga Swiatek's current relaxed press demeanor with her past struggles.

Osaka's Press Conference Reflections

28:00 to 29:31

Discussion on Naomi Osaka's recent press conference and her potential as a future champion.

“David, did you feel like you were in the press conference of the future champion?”

Analyzing Osaka's Performance

29:31 to 33:08

Exploration of Osaka's performance issues and the factors affecting her on-court behavior.

“You know, those are perfectly foreseeable possibilities in my eyes.”

Coaching Dynamics and Strategies

33:08 to 37:56

Insight into Osaka's coaching choices and the tactical approaches being implemented.

“It's a much harder thing to face up, you know, that the speech thing you can just write up like that.”

Press Conference Insights

37:56 to 41:26

Highlights from various players' press conferences and their readiness for the tournament.

“It wasn't a really upbeat, fun Naomi Osaka press conference, which they can be.”

Media Day Dynamics

41:26 to 42:00

Discussion on the media day experiences and the hierarchical nature of player interviews.

Media Days and Player Relevance

42:00 to 47:20

Explore how media presence reflects players' standings in tennis.

“The thing is, my sense is whenever I've escorted players in that situation or when I've seen them escorted, their reaction is usually, oh, well, this will be quick then and I can just go about my day.”

Predictions for the US Open

47:20 to 51:20

Get insights into bold predictions from the hosts for the US Open finals.

“Welcome back to part two of the Tennis Podcast, where I'd like to get some punchy predictions from you all.”

Contenders and Vulnerabilities

51:20 to 56:01

Discuss potential early exits and vulnerabilities of players in the US Open.

Analyzing Player Performance and Burnout

56:01 to 57:34

Discussion on player performance, injuries, and potential burnout as the season progresses.

“She's been injured hasn't she and she's taken a couple of tough losses.”

The Chaotic Nature of the US Open

57:35 to 59:20

Exploration of the unpredictable nature of the US Open and potential surprise players.

“You think of all those one-time winners, Cilic, Thiem, Medvedev, Del Potro.”

Dark Horse Predictions for the Tournament

59:21 to 1:02:06

Predictions of dark horse players who might shine during the tournament.

“I'll accept a low seed as a dark horse or surprise package, however you want to put it.”

Storylines to Watch During the US Open

1:02:07 to 1:04:36

Discussion of intriguing storylines and player narratives to follow during the tournament.

“No, I just mean from this theme this year, or certainly at Wimbledon it was a theme of have a good lead in event, have a bad Wimbledon.”

Cost of Food at the US Open

1:04:37 to 1:05:36

Light-hearted discussion about the prices of food at the US Open, specifically lobster rolls.

“And this one's just for you, Charlie, because David and Matt already know the answer.”

Reviewing the Day One Order of Play

1:05:40 to 1:10:00

Overview of the matchups for the first day of the US Open and predictions for outcomes.

“I think he might have lost to one Manuel, Sir Rudendolo.”

Emma Raducanu's US Open Prospects

1:10:00 to 1:10:59

Discussion on Emma Raducanu's form and potential matchups at the US Open.

“So that is, none of them have ever done this before.”

Daniil Medvedev's Upset Potential

1:11:00 to 1:12:19

Analysis of Daniil Medvedev's upcoming match and predictions for possible outcomes.

“I think I worry a bit more about Raducanu where there's the big power problem, power discrepancy.”

Upcoming Matches and Fan Experience

1:12:20 to 1:13:28

Overview of exciting matches and commentary on the fan experience at the US Open.

“Well, we're going to be somewhere very late watching Daniel Medvedev look dishevelled against Benjamin Bonzi, aren't we?”

Concerns about Scheduling and Court Usage

1:13:29 to 1:16:28

Discussion on the implications of match scheduling and court usage at the US Open.

“So it's actually really nice that she's back in the draw here.”

Live Show Announcement and Fan Interaction

1:16:29 to 1:17:23

Announcement of a live show in Wrexham and engagement with listeners.

“We've got Marketa von Drosheva is on court seven.”

Listener Shoutouts and Community

1:17:24 to 1:18:59

Acknowledgment of listeners and sharing their stories related to tennis.

“And the last thing I wanted to mention is that we have a live show in Wrexham, Wales.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:10Hello and welcome to the tennis podcast and our final preview show for this year's US Open, the final Grand Slam of the 2025 season. You find us in the media garden in the eaves of the Arthrash Stadium in what can only be described as a wind tunnel. It is 5.30 in the evening. It's pretty warm, but not thick and sticky in the way it often can be in New York at this time of year. And we are here to give you our last gasp hot takes ahead of the tournament. And by we, I mean myself, Catherine Whittaker, my co-host, David-Law and Matt Roberts. And for today's show, we are also joined by the Athletics' Charlie Eccleshare, buoyant after a 5-0 Arsenal win.

0:55had it gone a different way we might have cancelled your invitation Charlie yeah good news for everyone we all remember last year in fact that's the most annoyed we've ever seen you I think day one of the US Open last year that and being messed around for an interview yesterday that David witnessed he just saw all the signs he spotted it he could see from my body language from my face well it's very good to have you and we've got a lot got a lot to get into i feel like we increasingly i mentioned this yesterday increasingly media day isn't really a thing is it it's two days it's a period of time um and you know we have had you know we've had chantec in today asaka fritz draper alcaraz yeah we normally refer to those coming in on day two as the stragglers but it's too it's too high profile a cast to call them stragglers they're actually some of the main contenders to win the tournament.

1:53It's been a pretty even split, hasn't it? Yeah, often this day is like two or three big names. Works better like this, doesn't it? Yeah, I think so. Dividing it up so everybody gets a bit more oxygen, really. Yeah. Yeah, and the stories, you sort of spread out the stories a little bit. And actually we have, I feel like we need to cover this off. We have had, as a result of Novak Djokovic's press yesterday, the Serbian section of that press conference, some quotes have emerged from that and been translated suggesting that Novak Djokovic might be poised to hire Monica Seles as a coaching figure for this US Open.

2:33He said there are initial discussions, it's more about emotions than a long-term collaboration, it would mean a lot to me. And that would be entirely in keeping with Novak Djokovic's career to date, if you think about it, because this is a guy who has so far in his career hired Todd Martin, Mark Woodford, Boris Becker, Andre Agassi, Mario Anchic, Radek Stepanek, Andy Murray. And... Pepe Imaz didn't get a mention. No, I'm afraid not. I mean, obviously, the standout was his longtime coach, whose name has escaped me. Marion Vida. Marion Vida. sorry Marion but the fact is that I think and I really believe this was part of his hire of Andy Murray it's just curiosity and it's somebody he's always admired and he'd look at Monica Seles, I mean aside from the fact that she's an incredible tennis mind who won so many Grand Slam titles and was such an amazing player when he was a kid and would have looked up to her I imagine he just wants to hang out with her and find out everything she's thinking and was thinking and thinks about him yeah well like you said it's an emotional thing i mean us open starts pretty soon i mean thinking about like we know something i might be doing and coco goff's re-modeling her entire show yeah maybe get this sorted yeah i mean he literally plays on a 10 tomorrow he wants he wants to look up on the court and see someone there that he wants to impress that's it That's a great way of putting it.

4:14Somebody cool. It's added motivation. And look, I know he still does have the motivation at the slams, but I do get the sense that this one is the toughest for him still. Like if he had to pick one not to play, it might be this one. Just where it falls in the season. I mean, after Wimbledon, we did speculate about whether he would even show up here. I think we all thought he did, but it occurred to us that he might not. Though I do actually think in some ways this... I know we felt the conventional wisdom was that either the French Open or Wimbledon is his best chance. But I think really what it comes down to for him is where his two big rivals who are so far ahead of him, and Cidre and Alcaraz, can be diminished in any way.

5:03And I think the fact that Alcaraz just isn't the force he is at the French Open and at Wimbledon, The fact that there is the possibility that he could go out before he has to play Novak in the semis. I do think that does make quite a big difference just because ultimately, if Novak has to play them both, he's just not going to win a Grand Slam. He's just not. He basically admitted that at Wimbledon. I think the only way he can win one is if one of them gets beaten, possibly even two. And so I think for me, when I look at where his best chances are, I'm thinking, well, where can someone do him a favour?

5:35And I think here and the Australian Open, that's where that's most likely to happen. That's very interesting. And I suspect now he's seen his draw as well. Maybe it was after the draw came out that he picked up the phone to Monica. Monica! I've got a chance here, Monica. Danger! Yeah, I mean... We're on! I certainly think that, in theory, what Charlie says there is true. I'm not quite sure in reality it does feel like that. like Sinner feels incredibly fresh to me at this time of the season compared to what he might have felt if he'd played a really arduous grueling season and obviously at those three months off I think Sinner's got a lot in the tank and Al Carras was in press today talking about how much better he feels at this US Open compared to last year's for example when obviously he had the Olympics like I don't know I think the US Open so often has been the one where there's There's been more variety of winners.

6:34And we talked about it yesterday in terms of for them to actually play three successive Grandstand Finals against each other in a season, Alcraz and Sina, that would be a historic thing. So chances are there could well be an upset. It just doesn't feel to me like we're primed for a big upset. Do you not think there are doubts over Alcraz here in the way that there are certainly at the French Open and Wimbledon? Just the fact that since winning it, he's had quite disappointing exits. I know that last year was a bit of an outlier, but I don't know. I just feel like he's got a little bit more to prove here.

7:10Yeah, I think he's got more of an edge over a lot of players on clay and on grass. Those surfaces can bring out so much of the amazing aspects of his game. I think last year, you've talked a lot about this, Catherine. And I think we will come to view that Burtick van der Zandt's loss very much. It's the weirdest thing that ever happened. Right. And very much through an Olympic lens. I think it was so to do with how he was feeling after that. In 2023 here, he obviously lost to Medvedev. That was a weird one, wasn't it? That was a weird one. But Medvedev was unreal for that match. That's the best match Medvedev's played in years.

7:52And it took that performance to beat him. So I do agree that there is more of an uncertainty around Alcaraz here compared to the French in Wimbledon, but would you right now be predicting him not to get to that semi-final with Jocko? Maybe Charlie's an Opelka guy. No, I wouldn't. I wouldn't make that prediction, but I also wouldn't be sort of like crazily surprised if it did happen. Just because most people can play on hard court, So I don't think he's going to face many people who are just kind of so unnatural on either clay or grass. Did you take a lot from that Alcaraz press conference in terms of what he said about how much better he's feeling compared to last year?

8:38Because it seems obvious to me that he would be feeling better than he was last year. And yet Carlos Alcaraz always comes into press and says, I'm feeling great. like he's just never gonna ever say oh you know life's a bit crap at the moment he's Carlos Alcaraz like well I hope he never comes in and says that I've never seen it before like yeah that's just his vibe isn't it like great to be here I feel great let's go it's always really hard is it because I wonder I'm trying to think back to a year ago and I remember what we were talking about was the fact that because he hadn't lost a grandstand final at that point And the Olympics was the first sort of really big loss he'd had and how he was going to respond.

9:18But I did think we also thought, well, maybe, you know, now he's got that out of the way and we'll see how he responds. Like, I don't, I can't remember specifically, but I don't imagine that this time a year ago we were saying, wow, he looked flat. He looked knackered. He's going to lose to Bottich Van der Zandt. Watch out for Bottich. I can confirm we were not saying that. We did a whole part one of a podcast in which I failed to mention Bottich and immediately put Alcrest through to the next round. Some people more than others were specifically not mentioning him. Yeah, I mean, I remember how crazy that was after Jack Draper had won his match to get into the third round and all the questions to him after were, what's he going to be playing Carlos Alcraz?

10:01How's he going to be playing Carlos Alcraz? And someone, I can't remember who it was, said half-jokingly, should we do a Bottich question? It was honestly laughable. You know how normally you say to a player, can you give us a word on both of your opponents? Didn't even bother with that. Draper was impressed today, wasn't he? What did we make of what he had to say? He had quite a lot to say, didn't he? I feel like we learnt a lot about where Draper's at today. I don't know about you, I wasn't entirely convinced about the fitness of that arm. Because when he gave his first answer, I mean, look, watching him in the mixed doubles the other day, I thought, whoa, look how he's hitting the ball on the first day.

10:39and then I read a couple of tweets and a couple of messages and reports of people saying he was running around the forehand hit the backhand and so I thought okay well when he was describing the details of what he'd had done and have you got the specifics Catherine of what the problem was? It was bone bruising to the humerus in his left arm which is the funny bone Yeah, and basically he needed to rest it, didn't he? Yes, he said if it wasn't addressed, it could have become serious. He'd been playing with pain for quite a long period, started feeling it midway through the clay court season. He said he went a full month without hitting serves and he went two and a half weeks without hitting ground strokes.

11:27He was still able to do other training and he did sort of confirm that he really put some time in the gym, which is sort of visibly evident. He did say there's still some pain, but he said I won't be holding back. So slightly mixed messaging. Exactly. I just didn't see how those two things could follow. No, the way I asked the question was because he said I'd been playing through it at Wimbledon, kind of managing it. And I said, are you still playing through something here at the moment? How is it affecting you with your strokes? And I just got the sense that that, you know, when they give you an answer and they elaborate more than somebody who's fully fit would.

12:08If you're fully fit, you just go, I'm fine. Yeah. I feel great. Whereas he just gave chapter and verse. And by the end of it, I remember thinking, well, that ain't standing up to scrutiny. And also it totally stands to reason. He doesn't want to say that, you know, he doesn't want to give his opponents that, you know, lift by saying, yeah, I'm massively playing through pain. But yeah, I didn't really see how that stacked up. And also the fact that he was asked, well, at Wimbledon, then you never mentioned it. And would that explain a little bit why you did struggle? And again, he played that down, which I think was, I'm sure a lot of that is just out of respect to Marin Cilic.

12:47He doesn't want to come in to the interview room and be seen to be saying, yeah, I was injured and that's why I lost. But I think it also just speaks to the fact that, you know, players don't like to play in these things. And yeah, I didn't come out of that press conference reassured. And if it is more of a problem than he's prepared to explicitly state, then kind of big picture, that's a massive worry for him, isn't it? Because he's just taken a month off, you know, a month without hitting serves. He said, he said, I had a longer time off than I even had in preseason. Like, if that hasn't sorted it out and it continues to bother him, when's he next going to be able to have a long month off?

13:25If this is a chronic situation that he's managing and playing through, it's hard to see this getting better any time soon. And he kept on coming back to the mantra of, I'm just desperate to compete, which kind of underlines the suspicion that maybe that desperation is a big part of the decision-making. And kind of interesting how within the same press conference, he was obviously asked a lot about his new clothing deal. Yeah, by Charlie. By Charlie. Charlie's a clothing guy. Very much so. We'll come on to that in a moment, Charlie. Thanks. We do very often talk about, you know, pressures on players to play.

14:10And, you know, he's just signed this new deal. He literally said, I'm the face. Penny Bivori's thoughts. Yeah. I'm the face of that brand. He is all over Manhattan. Yeah. It really struck me how much Jack Draper there is around Gramercy Theatre, where we did a live show the other day. Not a Tennessee part of town. Jack Draper's face appeared a lot. And I'm not saying he's only playing the US Open because of that new brand, but those small pressures that players have to deal with in terms of playing, if you are managing an injury and it's a question of whether you play or not, that might be the sort of thing that pushes you to play and it might not be the best thing for your career overall.

14:51And defending a lot of points as well here. Here, for sure, absolutely. You've been asking, you're obviously working on a piece about clothing sponsorship. I assume, Charlie, unless it's just a personal interest of yours. Just trying to get a sponsorship myself, and I'm hoping if I put myself out there enough in press conferences, Vori might approach me. You've been asking a lot of players about that element of off-court stuff, and he was interesting on it, Draper, wasn't he? Like he did pretty much explicitly say, because obviously he was with Nike before, and now he's with this relatively unknown brand.

15:23He's now a big fish in a smaller pond rather than a smaller fish in a bigger pond. And he said that was a big deal. Like he didn't want to be playing third fiddle to Sinner and Alcaraz anymore. That was an interesting psychological insight. Yeah, Tiafoe said something similar yesterday. And then, you know, he made, there was a great line. He said something like, yeah, Nike have one or two decent players or something. It was really well put. Yeah, I think that does make a big difference to players. And he also, Draper, I was interested to say, like, yeah, when you're playing against a guy wearing the same kit as you, it's not great.

15:52That was a dig. You know, obviously, I don't think he's, like, going after them individually. We know that's a thing in tennis. But, yeah, I mean, I think a lot of players, it's become a bit of a trend, you know, and moving towards kind of, like, lifestyle brands. And obviously, you know, Jack talked about it. This sort of thing is really important to him. You mentioned, you know, there's billboards and things like that. But, yeah, you know, it must be for these players. You know, when you've got like Sinner and Alcaraz dominating the tour like they do, you might think, well, at least I can go and like be the guy for this other brand.

16:28And he did talk about that. So clearly that does mean something to it. Tennis Twitter thinks that Nike have sort of lost interest in tennis, don't they? Interesting. Is that the impression you get? it's certainly striking that the number of players who have changed i mean knight used to be so like the brand i mean it was kind of like between like and adidas and now you've got lots of different players i get like there's inevitably you're probably not going to eat because even for like a you know if you're the biggest tennis player but you're with knight you are if you care probably conscious of the fact that they've got bigger athletes than you on their roster and it might not be their biggest priority.

17:12So I don't know. I don't know how bothered they would be, a brand that big, because they do have all these absolute superstars. But certainly in tennis, it does feel like a trend. I think they want to narrow it down. In the men's game, they've got the two biggest ones in Alcraz and Sinner. And I think that they'd rather have a couple of absolute household names their strategy always used to be making sure they signed up any kind of potentially prodigious talent, sign them up young get them and then drop them if needs be if they don't make it good but that always used to be their strategy but it does feel like just give us the big ones and we'll yeah, that's kind of all we're interested in but it does feel like kind of slightly niche brands are having a bit of a moment you know Coco Gauff's with New Balance like okay it's not niche but it's it's not Nike yeah and I mean like and I think the sort of fashion-y crossover like uh Taylor Fritz is with Hugo Boss you know that sort of thing is quite unusual Tiafos with Lululemon like you know that those lines are being blurred a bit between kind of like the fashion culture tennis space which is why I think it is quite an interesting uh subject just because where tennis and culture intersects, certainly for our readers, is often kind of quite grabby.

18:38Yeah, Lululemon is the one I would pick. I think it's so clearly better quality than all the others. If you could choose. If I could choose. The fabric is sweat wicking, folks. Why do more brands not seem to realise the importance of that? But I am interested, because a couple of the players, I mean, Coco Gauff was talking about it yesterday and how Anne Francis as well, they feel it does make a really big difference, less from the like you know i mean less the kind of like press release stuff you get about how you know the wicking is does xyz more just from a like i want to look really cool on court that makes a big difference to like how much because tennis is so much about this kind of me versus you 1v1 but if i can feel like the guy as i go on court tiafo was certainly suggesting that does make a difference Are you ready to talk about an on player, Charlie, or too much trauma?

19:31Yeah, sure. Let's talk about Igor Shontzik. That was a reference to Charlie's exchange with Ben Shelton in press yesterday. Yeah, he didn't like the suggestion that on wasn't as big a company as Nike and Adidas. Don't like that question. Yeah, I would suggest that's incontrovertible. Did you read anything into his chippiness, like in terms of where his headspace is at, or did you think it was just kind of a touch of... Yeah, I don't know. It's always hard to say. Like, you never know what's going to... Well, I mean, obviously you have some sense, but I guess you wouldn't do... You know, sometimes you ask questions and you're slightly bracing yourself because you know it's a delicate topic.

20:10Others can kind of take you by surprise. That definitely took me by surprise. Yeah, lobbing up a would-you-like-to-talk-about-one-of-your-sponsors question is usually really safe territory in the press conference room. Yeah, and I think it's like... sometimes as well the way you I learned this with Antipo Stokoglu because he's a great one for one wrong word and he's on you and you do learn like sometimes you can say one thing and that takes a player thinks you're asking maybe a different question to what you're asking so you do have to be mindful of that um I don't know like there's obviously there is a lot of pressure on him he comes in here as a high seed really for the first time you know he's always been previously he's been in that bracket of like on his day he could you know he's got this really high ceiling but he's not necessarily thought of as one of the tournament favorites i think this year for the first time he maybe is what you know outside of those two who are so far ahead but other than that i don't think there's anyone massively ahead of him um the the locals the americans are are expecting him to to deliver and he's a guy that needs to be loose yeah i think and And think how many commitments he's going to have had.

21:21I mean, like, you know, there is a lot asked of these players in this week, especially, you know, at the US Open, there are so many sponsors. Like, it's so much razzle-dazzle. Goff said, I couldn't play the mixed doubles because of the volume of sponsor commitments I have here. Exactly. So I think, like, I'm sure he, you know, everyone's wanting a piece of him. And, yeah, you know, that's a lot for a player. So, yeah, I guess we'll see in his early rounds. because they often talk about it, don't they, players, that it's those early rounds that can be quite stressful as well because that's quite terrifying, the idea of an early exit when you know everyone's kind of just assuming you'll get to a quarter.

21:56Like when Andy Roddick went out to Gilles Muller in 2005 and he came in off the back of this massive ad campaign with American Express, which was all built around whether anybody could find Andy's mojo because he'd lost it on a plane. as though it was a physical thing. Like an Austin Powers. Exactly. And it was trying to poke fun at the fact that he's about to go roaring through the US Open, draw and face Roger Federer and beat him in the final. I mean, he was world number one at the time. Lost first round in straight sets to Gilles Muller, three tie breaks. Wow. Fresh from a Wimbledon final, wasn't he, that year?

22:36Yeah, that's right. They kept running that bad for a couple of days. Then they pulled it. Iga Shontek fellow on on sponsoree the difference in her we've all been in a lot of Iga Shontek press conferences this year she's a different person it is I was expecting her to be relaxed we've seen it we saw it in the mixed doubles she loved that she very clearly loved that she's won Wimbledon it's all going great there's no reason not to be that way and yet it is still, I think, incredibly striking how loose her demeanour is. Yeah, especially because players, including her, they talk so much about the process, etc.

23:22But then you see, seemingly, she's been transformed by the results and the outcomes. And I don't know how I feel. That's kind of how it should. Winning Wimbledon should be this amazing lift. But I don't know, it's also just kind of scary in a way because clearly, and why wouldn't it be, as much as players talk about the process and I'm not going to be defined by my results, they are. And we're seeing a really visible, you know, and I know she's talked obliquely about kind of other, and she kind of referenced that today. She said, she worded it slightly oddly, but she said like she started the year well and then there were other perspectives or something.

23:59Yeah, she said the season got a bit more complicated from other perspectives. I think she meant kind of outside of the court. Exactly, yeah. And, you know, so maybe it's those things have all kind of resolved and what have you. But, you know, the main thing seems to be she won Wimbledon and she looks like she's floating. She also sounds as though she's seen the results of her hard work. The question Matt asked her about training for faster court surfaces really got an effusive answer from her, I thought. She seemed almost pleased to have been asked about that because, and I think that that is something that happens sometimes.

24:35it's oh finally I've all this work I've been putting in with Wimph is there and now I can see what it was all for yeah it's it just struck me because if you'd said that after a long title drought Iga Shontek would end it by winning Wimbledon and then go on to win Cincinnati that that would have felt like an alternative timeline you know a year ago or so considering her real success came on clay or came on you know some of the slower hard courts like Indian Wells for example I know it's quick through the air there but it's a slow court high bouncing court that's where she's had so much of her sort of dominance and it was just notable to me that that these winds have come on quicker lower bouncing surfaces and she referenced back to the start of the year the offseason in Australia where think about it at the time we were effusive in our plays and how well Iguys Jontek was playing.

25:33It's easy to forget that She was thrashing players. She was brilliant. And she played, okay, she had some bad moments against Madison Keys, but generally she played a really good match against the eventual champion. And she had a match point. I mean, she was a point away. She had a match point. She could well, she could have eased, well, not easily, but she could have won the Australian Open this year. It wouldn't have been sort of preposterous to, you know, for that to happen considering how well she was playing. And yet, you know, it does really seem like she was happy with all the work that she'd done there.

26:02She implemented it in Australia. And then things just went, well, as she said, things got complicated from other perspectives. Things went really wrong through that portion of the season that is traditionally her stranglehold on the season. The Middle East swing, the clay court swing. But it feels like at Wimbledon and at Cincinnati, she's been able to implement those things that she worked on in the offseason again. And she's thrilled about it. and yeah absolutely as you said it was a really uplifting actually to see Shviontech like that you know in her first answer she said positive excited happy you know like and and so often eager Shviontech press conferences have got off on a on a note where you think oh okay this she's not feeling that well here and you sort of tread a little bit carefully this was just open and just a really really nice relaxed vibe to it I do think I'm a big part of it like she I think by her own admission is someone and I know people close to her have spoken about that she's not someone who will just easily let people in and I do think it will have taken Wim Forsett quite a lot of time to kind of earn that trust and she even mentioned it you know even now that she you know she kind of needs proof of concept when he asks her to do stuff so I do think like over time it feels like she's kind of trusting him a bit more and the dams burst a little bit and now it's like okay we're on to something here and that there's this kind of positive feedback loop she's now getting with results and I think that's made a really big difference whereas early on it is I think there probably was an element of like is is this working is this is this the right thing necessarily and good for her for sticking with it yeah exactly because you know after the French Open it felt like how long is this going to last and just on the French Open there yeah you mentioned about her opening line and just thinking back to ronagharrison her first press conference and that was when matt futterman asked her like oh do you get a lift from being here and she gave that really snippy answer like well do you like and i said well i'm not a four time champion but like that was where she was at that time you know it was really you know like it felt like anything you said and i and i remember when i did my voice note of you guys from madrid and mentioned you know talked through one of those press conferences and it was really uncomfortable Like, the contrast in a few months is incredible.

28:22We said Naomi Osaka in today. David, did you feel like you were in the press conference of the future champion? Yeah. Told you. What made you feel? What reassured you? Well, honestly, what went on in the press conference had no bearing on it at all. I don't understand why people are so outraged and up in arms about the fact that somebody might think that a twice champion of the past, only in the last few years, who's won four Grand Slams on a hard court, might win this tournament. Who reached the final of her previous event. Yes. Compared to some of your predictions, it's actually quite measured.

29:10I tell you. I mean, I just, listen, I think with her, it's so on a knife edge because her best self can win this tournament, can beat everybody. You could literally line them all up and her best self could beat them all. Or she could lose in the second round to Hayley Baptiste. You know, those are perfectly foreseeable possibilities in my eyes. But, well, I just think she will have her moment. And so I've gone for it this time. But, you know, I did find it interesting. I asked the first question to the press conference relating back to what happened in Canada and asked how she'd sort of processed it in the days that followed.

29:58And I don't think she, maybe I didn't phrase it that well. she immediately went to the speech and the kind of outcry about that. Actually, when I came out of the room, Catherine, you mentioned to me, it would have almost been more interesting for her to assess what happened on the court before the speech, i.e. where her form went and why she seemed so rattled on the court when the crowd were going. And I must say, I didn't push that in that direction, and I kind of wish I had because I'm more curious. It was a difficult scenario, I think, for you to do that. That's also an example, though, of, what I was saying before, you ask a question, they interpret it a certain way, and if you don't get a follow-up, it's quite hard then to reel them back.

30:47I am finding it frustrating, though, because I think they talk about the speech and the aftermath of everything that happened with the speech, sort of issuing the public apology. and she told us today that she spoke to Mboko privately as well. And I find that, it's not that I don't find that interesting, but in terms of Naomi Osaka and this tournament and how she might possibly be fair, I find it a real red herring, actually. It's not totally irrelevant, but the speech was a symptom of something else that was happening. I want to know why she fell apart so drastically in the match, why the crowd got to her so much when she's been in that sort of situation before, how it could go from kind of 100 to nought in the space of about a game and a half.

31:37That's what I really want to hear about. And I wonder if maybe sort of live imitating art, whether the hoo-ha around the speech has actually occupied the same bandwidth in her mind and prevented her from addressing the reasons behind what happened on the court. Like, I just feel really frustrated by it all. I think that's what I was trying to get at in the question is, how have you processed the aftermath? And that's where her mind went, really, I think. Maybe it's because she was trying to interpret exactly what the question was. But, yeah, I suspect that... And by aftermath, she interpreted that as what people had said about her.

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32:18Yes. She said, I haven't seen anything people have written. and I've been made aware that people have said, people have had, people had a lot to say about it. Obviously, you know, agents and so on would have said, look, Naomi, this is, this hasn't gone down well. I think you should think about saying something publicly. She was very worried, wasn't she, about Victoria? Yes, absolutely. And she talked about, you know, the shame she experienced over it and worrying about potential impact it had had on her. Well, because also she knows what that's like. I mean, she was on the other side of it. So I'm sure she would have felt acutely guilty of being seen to be like stealing.

32:54Absolutely. But it is interesting that that is where her mind kept on going. And I wonder if that is proving an unhelpful decoy for everybody to what the real problem is. It's a much harder thing to face up, you know, that the speech thing you can just write up like that. That's got a very sort of clear solution. You know, it's like, well, next time, don't do that. whereas all the stuff that came before it is a lot more complicated and probably is a lot harder to untangle. I suppose for her the hope is that, well, that was the first really big match she'd played in a long, long time. So maybe she can tell herself, well, next time it won't feel so alien, it won't feel so unfamiliar, and you'll be able to handle the moment better.

33:40But what if she plays Coco Gough here and the crowd are against her in a New York way? you know that's but then yeah i mean i guess the hope is that you can apply some of unless it has the negative effect but you'd hope it's like a well you know remember last time and surely they would have talked about well if this does happen again how are we going to approach it i'd hope so i'd hope so unless as you said they are just focusing on the on the speech but she she is really interesting asaka because she she's never if she's got to a quarterfinal of a grand slam she's won it so and and in her comeback she hasn't got to a fourth round i'm really fascinated just to see what happens because i think our sense slightly is like if she can sort of get to that second week which she hasn't been able to do in her comeback then does that sort of single-mindedness kick in you know she's such a she's been an amazing converter to have won four slams from only getting to four grand slam courts finals is is an unbelievable record she had a lot of interesting stuff to say about Thomas Witkorowski today, didn't she?

34:47In both English and well, in the Japanese portion, but she gives the answers in English, so we were able to listen in. It was really interesting. In the English portion she described him as someone who cuts to the chase, which thinking about who her previous coach was, you know, I don't know how Patrick Morotoglu coach is, but he's a guy who's got a lot to say, you know, like generally. I can imagine like it's just a different form of giving the message, I think. She also described him as an encyclopedia of tennis, but it was actually the answers in the Japanese portion of the press conference which were really deeper on Thomas Witkarowski.

35:37She said that she wanted someone with a lot of knowledge. She doesn't like questioning if someone knows what they're talking about. And I thought that was interesting when you look back at her history of coaches. It does strike me that she's someone who goes after kind of super coaches, you know, people who've had a lot of success. It's almost like she's not thinking about what can they do for my game, but like what have they done for someone else's game. And that checks out with how she would talk about Patrick Moratoglu and constantly reference the fact that he coached Serena. Right, and if you go back earlier in her career when she had Sasha Buy in, he had been in Serena's camp as well.

36:18Win for set had obviously had a lot of success before working with Osaka. Whereas I just felt that that's a big contrast with some other players who I know go on kind of really painstaking processes of figuring out the right coach based on chemistry and really based on what you can do for me. I think it was an interesting sort of insight that Osaka gave there in terms of how she likes to pick her coaches. And then she's had a little bit more detail in terms of some of the stuff that they've been doing. She talks a lot about how it's not technical stuff at this point in the season because tournaments are happening.

36:54And he doesn't think that now is the right time to work on technical stuff. So she talks about how it's a lot of tactical stuff, court awareness, picking the right shot at the right time. She explained how he draws little sketches of tennis courts and puts little markers of where she should be hitting her shots. And I think, again, that was something that we did see a little bit of in Canada. We talked about how her movement was a lot better, but also I think her shot selection was better. She wasn't always pulling the trigger. She was building points a little bit better. So I think there have been some, she described it as simple fixes to her game in a short amount of time.

37:36And she said it's kind of been mind-blowing to her how simple some of those fixes have been and how effective they've been. So I thought from that point of view it was a really positive assessment of Witkarowski. And I'm really big on that as a reason why we should be feeling good about Osaka here. I think there is something different about her coming into this tournament. I'm just not going all the way because like you I don't feel like we've had the had the full breakdown of what happened in that Montreal final and that to me is still such a big thing blocking me from predicting her to actually win the tournament here but there are some positive signs even if at times the press conference had a bit of a bit of a sombre mood to it because she was talking so much about the speech and the shame that she felt and how bad she felt.

38:31It wasn't a really upbeat, fun Naomi Osaka press conference, which they can be. It's been a while, though. It has. It has. You know, there were little jokes in there, wasn't there? She was lovely talking about Gaël Monfils. Yes, that was a nice moment. That was really nice and how much she appreciated playing with him because she remembered queuing up to watch him play in Miami I bet that answer made Gail feel old. Except when I was 10. Yeah. More feast and songer. She would go watch at Miami. Yeah, it was a lovely answer. Really lovely. So that was kind of the main runners and riders that came through the main press conference room today.

39:12We also did a few one-on-ones for Tennis Podcast Meets. You haven't mentioned the runner and rider. Who have I failed to mention? Taylor Fritz? Amanda Anissimova My apologies Matt What did we learn? Not that much No well We actually had a chat about what to ask her and you said I'd love to know whether she would like to play Igor Svontek again so I asked her how keen is she to play Igor Svontek again and have a new experience after the Wimbledon final I didn't slightly tread carefully because you don't want to give away a player's draw if they don't want to know it and obviously Shontek is in Anissa Mova's quarter but I thought she'd reference the women and final enough that it felt like it felt like a question I could ask and she said yes she does want to play her again that is something that I think she's keen she said I want to I want to play her when I'm myself which I thought was quite you know quite a good line quite a telling line she's she knows she can trouble top players.

40:21She literally beat the world number one before facing Ygos Fiontech and yes match-ups are a thing but it's not that much of a match-up problem that it was six love six love you know she was she was not herself in that Wimbledon final and she's done a lot I think to try and get over it and learn from it she said that's a the big thing is nerves you know whereas I think in her post Wimbledon final press conference she was kind of keen to downplay nerves she talked a lot about how tired she was here she really mentioned nerves and stress and she said that that final you know hopefully is going to prove to be a lesson in terms of how to deal with those nerves and that stress and playing igosh vjantek would be another way to help try and get over it so you know i've probably done a disservice there to a press conference i think we maybe did learn yeah that sounds really interesting it was an interesting press conference she was relaxed she was loose it wasn't very well attended so I think she was kind of able to open up to the you know to the questions that she was asked so it was a busy time of day wasn't it the area was it was all happening was teeming David was in there with Felix Oje Aliasim I was in there with Avalice I was there with Sitsapas it was funny actually David I saw on the interview list there was The Athletic with Sitsapas Tennis Podcast with Felix Oje Aliasim I was like okay we've both gone down the same route these are two players occupying a very similar space huge in 2018, 2019 now not so much I mean for me they are forever tethered actually because the first tournament I covered on site for Amazon Tennis was Indian Wells 2018 and they both had a bit of a breakout tournament there and everybody got totally giddy on it and started making predictions about how many Grand Slam finals they would inevitably end up playing against one another and it was just sort of sign and seal that that that would be happening and now here they are you know what what room i'm doing inverted commas which doesn't work on a podcast but you know sitzapast wasn't even in the biggest bit of the area no i mean i think one of the most well one of the the elements of the media days i do find interesting is it's a really brutal way of showing where a player's at you know you go from are you in the big interview room obviously that's kind of where everyone wants to be and then it sort of goes I mean tennis is so hierarchical in every way and then before you know it you're in interview room six doing a one-on-one and that's it and Paul Garuna has to draw you a map of how to get yeah I mean that was Sitzi Bass today I had a one-on-one with him though he didn't do a press conference because there wasn't enough interest i mean you know this is a guy who would have previously been you know one of the bigger players and medvedev didn't do any media because presumably he wasn't requested i mean how crazy is that we're talking about a former champion and a former world number one like how quickly you slide into in averted commas irrelevance in you know the eyes of uh the kind of wider tennis community and and it must be you know i'm sure a lot of them are like oh great i don't have media commitments but for a lot of them it must be quite a blow to their self-esteem being like you know so what are my media commitments say yeah none no one's requested you or like no one wants to talk to you like did you ask it about us about i actually did your locale how bummed out are you about talking to me because this is the low point of your career.

44:01The thing is, my sense is whenever I've escorted players in that situation or when I've seen them escorted, their reaction is usually, oh, well, this will be quick then and I can just go about my day. But do you think they believe that? I think in the moment they do believe that, but I think if somebody pointed it out to them, are you aware that this means nobody thinks you're up too much anymore? I think somebody, like, sits a pass. Yes. I think he's noticing and tracking that stuff. I think it depends if it feels like a one-off. Exactly. I think that would be great if you're used to having to do tons of media commitments and then you're like, oh, wow, I've dodged a bit of a bullet here.

44:42If it's a trend that closely reflects your on-court trend, then I think you're noticing it. And we've seen it with players just in the scenario where they are brought into the big interview room and for whatever reason, nobody shows up. That's the worst thing in the world. I mean, some players handle that well, but some of them you can tell it's hurting their ego. And some make comments about it. And you've got the moderator off to the side sort of desperately fluffing them and saying, oh, it's because, you know, the announcement wasn't made or you've clashed with Carlos Alcaraz or whatever. Like, these are egos that notice things, I think.

45:17That's why I liked Ludmilla Samsonova at Wimbledon when she just said, you know, I'm fine. I don't get to find out who I'm playing next on Twitter because nobody's interested in commenting to me. about anything. And Marketa von Droshovin not being upset that we were all she had at Wimbledon. Oh, and even more than that, she was delighted to be in interview room six, two years on from winning the title rather than main interview room as the defending champion. Like, that genuinely suited her personality, I think. But then I feel like someone like Krychikova has maybe bristled a little bit at the fact that even as a Wimbledon champion, you know, there's still not a huge amount of interest.

46:02Will Sitsipas ever get back in the main room, Charlie? That's a good question. I mean, I kind of have to believe that a lot of it depends on the injury, I guess, which he's talked about, this back problem that, you know, he's been carrying for a couple of years. Like, he is, like, the talent hasn't just gone. so I do think he will get back you know somewhere like top 20 maybe even pushing the top 10 but it is hard to see it but that that's kind of the nature of tennis I guess when you have these dips but then things do change incredibly quickly I mean how many times have we seen that this year that you have one good week and I mean then you're suddenly thrust forward you know complete your space in the kind of food chain completely changes so i wouldn't rule out him having i mean even this year he has had like the odd very good week goran said he should be top 10 no trouble zverev said it yesterday about both sitzpass and medvedev that they should get back in the top 10 i mean yeah it's uh i think he will he'll have another hot streak okay that's it for part one we'll be back in part two with some punchy predictions Welcome back to part two of the Tennis Podcast, where I'd like to get some punchy predictions from you all.

47:26David? Haven't I done my bit? I gave you a title yesterday. Yeah, we've got the champions and the runners-up, I think, from David and Matt from yesterday's show, unless you have the right to change your mind on the basis of anything that was said today in the press conference room. No, you're going Shontek, you're going Sinner, Matt. Correct. Sinner to beat Alcaraz in the final. Bold and Shontek to beat Sabalenka in the final. Also Bold. David, just to balance that out, is going for Asaka to beat who in the final? Who did I go? Was it Rabakina in the end? Asaka Rabakina and you've got Alcaraz beating Sinner.

48:12Correct, yeah. Charlie, over to you. Look how serious he takes it. He's not going to go out on a little bit. Normally, Charlie likes to palm his predictions off to his mouth. Yeah, this is a man that used his mum as a human shield in order to not make predictions. That was for the wider predictions. I'm more than happy to make... To be fair, Charlie has made some excellent predictions on this podcast. Absolutely. That's why we want them. Yeah. I was very... Throughout Wimbledon, I was very clear, and before, that Alcraz wouldn't win it. This time, I don't have such a strong sense on that. And given I don't have a really strong sense of it, I think I've got to go for a Sinner Alcaraz final.

48:51But I wouldn't be surprised if Djokovic got there. As the kind of third man, I think he's kind of ready to pick up the pieces if someone takes out Alcaraz. I don't know if it'll necessarily be Djokovic, but I think, yeah, I'll go Sinner Alcaraz. And then on the women's, the thing with women's Grand Sams is they are often illogical. So trying to apply logic is hard, and that's why... It's better to do what I did. Yeah, but that's why I'm going to go Sabalenka to win it, because she should have won one already this year, and she hasn't. And so I kind of feel like now, when she's coming in, and there are more doubts about her than there have been at any of the previous three Grand Slams, and going further back than that.

49:35But really, everyone is suddenly like, wow, she could well end the year without a Grand Slam title, which, you know, that's never been a thought I think anyone really entertained. and it's gradually become, got to the point where it almost feels likely. So I'm going to go her to win it. The runner-up is so hard. I'm going to go Madison Keyes. Yeah, I'm glad Keyes got a mention. She's lurking. She's not my prediction, but she's just nagging. Nagging at my mind. A little bit like last with Pagula getting it. I don't know, I just feel like that could... Yeah. And that would be, I mean, it would be a great story to repeat the Australian Open final.

50:13Nice ring composition to the year. I think I'm going Shontek. I mean, she's just in such a good place. Logically, it should be, but just for her to win two Sams in a row, I don't know, that feels like very rare on the inside. She's not done that yet before, has she? I'm certainly not taking her against the field. When did anyone? Yeah, she won. No, she can't have done because the only other. She won the French in the US. No, not in the row. Yeah, she can't have done it consecutively. I mean, when was the last time anyone won a consecutive? Asaka it would be, wouldn't it? US and Australia 2020 and then 2021 Osaka you say yeah so that we're talking more than four years ago it's very rare I think I might go for Rabakina to take out Sabalenka I think I might go for Shiontek Rabakina final and I'm gonna I'm gonna be bold and go Alcaraz Sinner yeah and who's winning I think I'm going Alcaraz I think Sinner will win I just can't bet against Sinner on a hardcore like until yeah I always go for Alcaraz don't I just whereas I think increasingly Sinner to me feels like the kind of default pick yeah I think you're right actually I think I probably need to revise my policy yeah just feel just like and I know we do over index that Burtich loss but I just feel like he is the more likely to be upset in a way that Sinner is really hard to see don't you think the the point I made a few days ago when and I know Sina was really ill and had to pull out but there was something about Alcaraz that wanted to prove a point I thought that week and I think that that stands now and I don't think that's nothing I think you know how we we talk about he's going to have to go out against Radio Pelka super focused I kind of feel like the whole tournament is that now because it's not gone all his own way he's lost to Wimbledon final and I think that that will focus him no I think that's a really good point and even like the Sinner final in Cincinnati like of course Sinner was really compromised but there are plenty of opponents who Alcaraz could have played who was compromised and he would have started I mean even Zverev yeah before and he would have started two days before he would have started doing missed seven serves in a row exactly but the fact that it was Sinner meant he was locked in enough that he wasn't going to start doing silly stuff so no i do think that's what i mean that's when if you can find a way to kind of get him fully focused then yeah that's kind of that would make him almost unbeatable that's his biggest weakness so that yeah that will be interesting that he's got an element of revenge uh who will be the first top 10 seed to fall in the men's and the women's is Holger Runa top 10 seed no 11 oh because he's got Bertic although Bertic's in form so that's right now that's a problem I think Emma Navarro is vulnerable on the on the women's side she's really struggled for form she went to play this week didn't she rather than play the mixed doubles she went to try and get some matches and some form and that didn't go too well I think she's got Yafan Wong in the first round, but Katie McNally is lurking potentially for her in the second round.

53:35I've been quite, sort of quietly impressed with McNally since her comeback. She played great against Fiontech at Wimbledon, for example. She was the only one to get a set off Fiontech at Wimbledon. So I think Navarro is a definite contender. David?

53:57It's between Mazzetti and Draper. Mazzetti's a good kick, isn't he? Because if we were doing an old-school Wimbledon thing and adjusting the seedings for the surface, he probably wouldn't be seeded on a hard court, would he? I'm going to go Draper because I really do think he is short physically. I mean, Mazzetti jumps off the page to me. The fact even he's got Teshi Pericard in the first round, like I wouldn't be amazed if he lost that I know Teshi Berikard's not in good form um but I mean Hatchinov is the number nine seed I mean I know he's on he does come in off the back of that final but yeah and we've seen so many times this year that the good runner lead in tournament can massively go one of two ways and so it wouldn't be a huge surprise and in the women's Navarro is good logic behind that.

54:53Yeah, Navarro is the one when you look at the 10, she is the one I mean, A, she's the lowest rank, but she's also the one in the worst form. I think I probably would, I mean, and this would seem... Goff, Tomlianovic, anyone looking at that? Goff, you know. You know, Tomlianovic is, you know, she was the one who finally beat Serena when Serena, in her farewell tournament and kind of, you know, was able to handle that Ash crowd I mean this I'm not going to say her but Pagula is in my thoughts in a way and you guys were talking about this the other day like she's suddenly in that place of being like I don't really know what I'm going to get from her which for a player who's stock and trade for a while was guaranteed quarterfinal even if she didn't go beyond it but she was missed consistency as Anstria Burr alluded to in the kind of the note that she wrote during the French Open talking about the women's tour that's kind of been her stock in trade that's gone but i think navarro and mozzetti for me would be the obvious ones david you're down on mirand draver and she's got alicia parks yeah i i was about to joke about jasmine paulini but i won't do that um i i've saved you yeah i i do think and draver's gone from being the player i was the most up on a few months ago to really feeling unsure about, only in this pocket of the season I don't have any long term concerns at all.

56:24She's been injured hasn't she and she's taken a couple of tough losses. I wonder whether she's a little bit burnt out. We forget how many greats, all time greats would get to this portion of the season. Jim Currier would always flame out at the US Open. He had one good run to the final but every other year when he was dominating the tennis circuit he would get to the to this tournament he would just look like he got so little left and yet he he would seem to be the perfectly configured player for this environment and surface and so forth it's a long season and she's had a lot of wins in the in the springtime and i just she just looks like she just looks like she could do with a long holiday to me and start up again in january i mean that's what and i'm looking into this for a piece but what I think is so interesting, even on the men's side, because a lot's been made of the fact that on the women's side there have been lots of different winners, but that's also true of Wimbledon.

57:21Whereas on the men's side, the US Open is a massive outlier in that no one has dominated this event in the last, coming up to 20 years. I mean, Federer was the last man to retain it. That was 2008. That feels crazy. And there have been so many different winners here compared to all the other slams. You think of all those one-time winners, Cilic, Thiem, Medvedev, Del Potro. and so what I think is interesting is you've got the ultimate like chaotic slam meeting Yannick Sinner who is like apart from you know some of the off-court stuff but on court he is so unchaotic and I and like can he be the guy to like tame this major in a way can he finally be somebody who can come along and defend it because you wouldn't have thought kind of chaos and Sinner would go together but maybe he could just block all of that stuff out and just focus surprise package you can have you can either pick a man and a woman or you can just pick one a name that's jumping out to me in the men's draw given what we've just talked about in terms of top seeds who we think are vulnerable we've said Mazzetti, we've said Draper so I'm thinking who in that section might be able to take advantage of it and look it's not an absolutely wild name certainly tennis podcast listeners will be very familiar with the name but like your average tennis fan is not going to know too much about him and that's Diallo I actually I actually think he's in a section of the draw there where he like it wouldn't shock me if he is Sinner's quarterfinal opponent you know Mazzetti interesting public Draper Caballi you know a kind kind of all in that section.

59:05But I think maybe Diallo might come through. I think he's got a game which is just beginning to sort of hurt some top players and just beginning to flourish a little bit. So there we go. 31st seed Diallo. I think that's strong. I'll accept a low seed as a dark horse or surprise package, however you want to put it. David. Well, I put Mboka in the semifinals, and yet I don't feel as though that's anything left field anymore. I will not accept that as a surprise. She was in the main room today, David. It has to be somebody that would be in the area. I did see Diallo in the area, so he's safe. So that counts.

59:55I think he's been more of a building process than out of left field but I do think Caballi could have a heck of a run. You're a big Caballi guy. I do think his top level is seriously scary and I mean in a section of the draw where he's in with Mazzetti I love watching Mazzetti. I love how that's where everyone targets. Where's Mazzetti? That's where the surprise comes from. He's such a beautiful player to watch and he was wonderful at the mixed doubles the other day. Reminders in there, but they're due to meet in the third round on paper. And I'd go into that probably thinking Caballi wins and then he's in, well, he's in the Diallo and Draper section there.

1:00:42He could end up playing against Yannick Sinner, could Caballi in the quarterfinals. And I really wouldn't be surprised if that's what we see. I like it. Charlie? It's difficult, this. I mean, I want to... I wonder if there are so many Americans in both draws, and I just wonder if someone could kind of catch a little bit of momentum, become a bit of a thing amongst the fans. Looking at someone like Ethan Quinn, I mean, he's got a first-round match that he could well win. Then he would play Nakashima. I think, you know, Nakashima's a good player. He's a consistent player, but I think that's one he could come through.

1:01:27He would then have to play Taylor Fritz in the third round, which would obviously be very hard. But even that, I mean, getting to the third round for someone like that. If I'm going on Charlie's American theme, just looking at the women's draw, potentially like a McCartney-Kessler. Yeah. Meredith. Go on, Meredith. But if I do that, I'm underestimating Jasmine Paolini. Yes. because they're due to me in the third round. And we don't do that. Well, we all know Brad Gilbert is picking Aisling Kruger. It's his dark horse. I've seen on ESPN the other day. Pam asked him for a dark horse, and Aisling Kruger came out, and Pam didn't know what to say.

1:02:06I mean, could Paolini be one of those players who we assume will do well? Don't do it, Charlie. No, I just mean from this theme this year, or certainly at Wimbledon it was a theme of have a good lead in event, have a bad Wimbledon. I don't know, just because I thought when we were naming the top ten, when we were going through the top ten, I didn't even consider Paolini really because in my mind I was like, oh, she's kind of immune. She's just had a really good run in Cincinnati. I don't know, maybe that could go the other way. Eva Jovic, I mean, that would be an exciting second round match. Yeah, it would.

1:02:36She's got talent. She packs a punch, yeah. Story, this one's mostly for you, Charlie. Like, the story you'd most like to happen, a story you'd like to write this fortnight. Well, I mean, just player-wise, just building on something David said there, I mean, Mboko going all the way would be pretty spectacular. And I interviewed her today, and there is something incredibly convincing about her. I mean, because she was talking about, you know, I said to her, like, you know, was it kind of weird? You know, you beat all those Grand Slam champions, and, you know, a lot of them, including Osaka, were players that you would have looked up to, did look up to.

1:03:17you know, was that, did you have to kind of rewire your brain? You know, we've heard so much about players, you've seen it, you know, freezing against their idols. And she was kind of like, no, not really. You know, once I'm out there, I kind of, you know, I feel pretty confident, whatever. And then I was just like, like, do you fear anyone? And she was like, no, basically. And I was just like, God, that fearlessness. And, you know, we saw it with someone like Andreescu here. Sometimes that's when you're at your most danger. Like I know it would be a huge, huge shock, but for the first time I thought I wouldn't totally rule that out.

1:03:53You've got someone who is just brimming with confidence, is fearless, isn't going to overthink it. That's a pretty good concoction to have. And, you know, we always assume and generally it is the case that like experience is really helpful and you build and you build and you build. It doesn't always have to be like that. I remember Tracey Austin saying that actually it was really early on in her career, before she kind of had much experience. That was when it was kind of most natural. I like it. So that would be an amazing story. I think people would get so engaged. You know, we saw what happened in Canada.

1:04:31Obviously, that's her home tournament. But I think the US Open will go wild for her if she gets on a run. Final question in this section. And this one's just for you, Charlie, because David and Matt already know the answer. how much does a lobster roll cost in the food court i mean it's going to be high the fact you're asking 35 dollars 39 50 wow i mean new york never ceases to amaze yeah the the price of stuff yeah and yet that did amaze me we all i don't think we're naive about new york prices we we all stopped in our tracks did you get one no not made of money charlie it's almost an entire friend subscription yeah yeah absolutely astonishing i kind of want to get one to know like how big they are how much lobsters in there that's got to be a damn good price per gram yeah uh yeah yeah good bring your wallet if you're coming to the u.s open that's it for part two join us in part three we'll go through tomorrow sunday's day one order of play

1:05:48welcome back to part three of the tennis podcast where we have an order of play to go through in fact we have three orders of play we actually know who's going to be on the main court show courts for both for all three of the the round one days but we'll we'll do this day by day we've got daily pods we've got plenty of time to go through monday and tuesday's order of play so let's stick with sunday and opening the arthur ash stadium on day one of the tournament is ben shelton Big assignment Your mate Ben And he's playing Ignacio Busa How are we pronouncing that Matt He's from Peru He's from Peru He's ranked 136 in the world And that is the extent of my Busa or Bus knowledge I became aware of him This summer I think he got to A semi-final on tour In one of the You know Death Zone or Borschtets.

1:06:45I think it might have been Gestade. I think he might have lost to one Manuel, Sir Rudendolo. But he's been doing a lot of winning on the Challenger tour. Okay. I think he's much more comfortable on the clay. And I'm going to use the words good draw for Ben Shelton, I think. But, you know, like Shelton, I think, would like a vibes-y slot. And first on Ash is not really that. He had that last year in his first round as well, played Dominic Thiem. Which, you're right. God, that feels like... Yeah, I know. I don't know what that feels like, but it's sad. Punch your predictions here, please. We were going Shelton in three?

1:07:27Yes. Yeah. I mean, I just learned of the existence of Ignacio Boussa, so I'm going Shelton in three. That is the first match on Ash Day Session. Second match is Irina Sabalenka against Rebecca Massaro. Grover, Sabalenka in two. Yes. Yes. They've played this year, haven't they, those two? I'm sure I have a memory if I'm going to check that. But yes, I would predict Sabalenka would win that. And night session on Ash. We might get some interesting punchy predictions here. Novak Djokovic starts against Lerner Thiem. And Thien, rather. And I've got Dominic Thiem. Tragedy on the brain. And Jessica Bagula against Maya Sharif is second on.

1:08:12maybe Djokovic loses a set yeah could see that David yeah I'd go the same four that could be that's a fun that should be really fun yeah like I want to watch it yeah the rallies are going to be great I think the crowd would be really into it there'll be lots of shots that TN hits slice backhands etc that make the crowd go oh you know because it's just gone hovering over the net within an inch and stayed in. But I think that that will only last so long. Yeah, Djokovic in four. I'm going Djokovic in four. Because he lost a set in both of his two rounds, the Australian Open, and one was against Basper Reddy, and I remember that.

1:08:55He lost the first set, actually, there. I can imagine it being a similar type match to that. Like, lose the set, but never really in much danger. I think if Basper Reddy and Tien is a real sort of duo, I'll be following them both closely. and Sharif against Pagula? I do think Pagula will win, but yeah, I wouldn't consider it such a foregone conclusion like I might have done previously. She's got a lot of pressure on her final points to defend. It's been such a different year for Pagula. She doesn't feel reliable in the way she used to. And she said in her press conference, which was yesterday, she was one of the first top players in, just like it did feel a bit weird having the mixed doubles so early like she's played she's already played in front of a big night ash crowd and I think she had a slightly weird time with Jack Draper didn't she?

1:09:49I think that would be I think that would be fair to say I don't think I don't think they're you know going out for dinner are they? But yeah like she nodded down didn't she she's like you have that kind of like she's had a high yeah you've had the high you've had the adrenaline all of that and then it's like, oh, then you're back into like cooling your blood pressure, your temperature and you're just like warming up again to get high again. So that is, none of them have ever done this before. Armstrong opens with Emma Raducanu against Ina Shibahara. What do you think about Raducanu, Charlie? I am interested to see how she does here.

1:10:26Like she comes in with kind of more form and more match time than she has done at a major for a long time. so I think she'll win that one and I think she could play Sabalenka in the third round again Rabatkinah oh no Rabatkinah that's it Rabatkinah third round I think she'll get there yeah I think she will yeah she's done I mean that's kind of what she's been doing at the Slams this year and that's I think why she brought on Roig like she's talked about it she's been solid she's been getting to a certain level but it's can she push on beyond that is it potentially Kudematova in the second round for her it's not easy draw even to get to Rebecca I think Shibahara is a player who's obviously more known for her doubles she's really made a thing last year of trying to become a singles player I think even the fact that she's in a slam is kind of a you know pretty good sign for her singles she's gonna throw variety at you she's gonna try and come forward I actually think maybe that's not the worst thing in the world for Adekano I remember seeing what she did to like Vondrosheva at Wimbledon, for example.

1:11:34I think I worry a bit more about Raducanu where there's the big power problem, power discrepancy. I think that's an OK matchup. Emilia Nava against Taylor Fritz is second on Armstrong during the day. Fritz will be fine there, won't he? Yeah, I would have thought so. And Armstrong night session opens with Jasmine Paulini against Destiny Ayava, the Australian. And second on is Daniil Medvedev losing for a second slam in a row to Benjamin Bonzi. He's going to turn the tables. Medvedev's going to win this time. Yeah? Yeah. Punchy set prediction, please. Four. Charlie. I mean, massively on upset watch, to the point where I guess how even big an upset would that be?

1:12:17Yeah.

1:12:22I really struggle with that one. Maybe Medvedev in five? We're going to be here. Well, we're going to be somewhere very late watching Daniel Medvedev look dishevelled against Benjamin Bonzi, aren't we? That's what we get. That's my prediction. Grandstand is Jakub Mensik against Nicholas Jarry. Tennis podcast coded match-up first. What a day session, that is. Although Matt has stopped mentioning Nicholas Jarry. And that clashes with Fulham. Yeah. Alexandre Ayalet and Clara Towson second on grandstand. That's a fun night. That's the match of tomorrow, I think, isn't it? Emma Navarro against Yifan Wong.

1:13:04Wong Yifan is third on Grandstand and fourth on is Jesper de Jong against Brandon Nakashima. Court 17, Shevchenko against Davidovic Fikina. Then Marino, Rebecca Marino against Leila Fernandez, all Canadian clash. Yirida Hetchka against Borna Chorich, who is apparently staying in the hotel that Matt and David stayed in a few years ago, where Matt was checked in as Matt Lobbett. happy memories and I had to check out of that hotel three times and they were confused every time and Belinda Bencic is last on court 17 and playing Zhang Shui which I think is really interesting you know a year ago we were on longest losing streak watch she managed to end that just after the US Open I think she's qualified here and I really thought that her career could be over, you know, this time last year.

1:14:00So it's actually really nice that she's back in the draw here. So, yeah, we're looking forward to that one. Thomas Mahatch is on court five tomorrow. He takes on Luca Nardi. God, remember his last match here. That disaster class against Draper. The egg leg. So bad. And his reward for that is to be scheduled on the court. The Holger Arena posted a map to on his Twitter. Wasn't it court five? Yes, it's actually... It's really close to where we are. It's a nice court. Very easy to get to, Holger. I'll tell you what, he'd be annoyed to be in the area. Yes. Although, I think that's what... He certainly wasn't in the main room.

1:14:42Anyway. I mean, it's quite a busy Sunday day. It doesn't... I mean, like... Do you think? Well, I think they've gone big on the show courts. Like, they've got really good names, like Shelton, Sabalenka, Djokovic, Pagoula, Raducanu, Fritz, Medvedev. To have Djokovic on a Sunday feels very unusual. I remember Australia did it. I'm sure Australia did it with Sabalenka and Djokovic. Sabalenka's always on Sunday. Yeah, but I'm pretty sure Djokovic-Przmich was a Sunday because then Sabalenka played after it and it was really, really late. I think they did like a defending... A defending champions thing.

1:15:21They didn't have a Sunday start at that point. I think that was the first one, wasn't it, in Australia? Anyway, well, my slight issue with the order of play is that they're not using that many outside courts. And I think it's going to be packed. I think it's going to be hard for fans to see the matches they want to see if they're not spreading it out among all the courts. and that's what Australia got wrong the first time they did a Sunday start. I think they corrected it. Just a little bit worried about that. And also with Ash only having two-day session matches, you get that thing where if Ash finishes early, everyone pours out and wants to watch matches on the outside courts.

1:16:10This is something that I feel like we get a lot of messages about people who come to the US Open and experience that sort of fan experience. We're a little bit shielded from that. Yeah, but it's important. It is a thing, and I'm just a little bit worried about that. Yeah, and you do worry that it's not something the organisers are factoring in really at all. Maybe I'm wrong, and the proof will be in the pudding tomorrow. What else have we got? We've got Marketa von Drosheva is on court seven. As is Korintan Mute. As is Korintan Mute, that's where David will be. Town Greekspore against Adrian Manorino.

1:16:44It'll be interesting to see how it feels. It's kind of crazy that this is the US Open's first Sunday start. like yeah feels like they they are the sort of slam that would have been I know one of the front runners the idea that last year the Sunday was like a free day that's just like when does that ever happen and obviously they were like what are we doing there's loads of money to be made we could be making money out of$40 lobster rolls and that is what exactly what they'll be doing tomorrow but not from us we'll be we'll be buying slop in the media centre we'll be very grateful for it we'll of course be back tomorrow with a podcast and each of the next 15 days thank you charlie for your for for playing along with the predictions appreciate it i know it's painful for you no no great to be here it was those big predictions i found like the quarter fight like predicting a quarter final i know is is just so hard yeah it's hard no one said it was easy um as i've hinted at we've been doing Tennis Podcast Meets interviews over the course of the next couple of days and that show where we have collectively spoken to Karen Hashanov, Felix Auger alias Seem, Arta Rindeknesh, Ava Lees Fran Jones and Karolina Mukova, that show will be going up later today for Friends of the Tennis Podcast so if you'd like to become a friend and get the chance to listen to that and it really is worth a listen, there's some fascinating insights from those players in there, then the The link to become a friend will be in our show notes.

1:18:19And the last thing I wanted to mention is that we have a live show in Wrexham, Wales. We've played New York. Now we're going to play the New York of Wales. Correct. Which is what... Everyone calls it. Everybody calls Wrexham. We'll be there on October the 22nd. Our live show in New York this week was truly one of the highlights of our podcasting lives. It was incredibly special and we can't wait to do it again in Wrexham. And that is exactly what we'll be doing on October 22nd. We'll put the link to buy tickets in our show notes and we'll hopefully see you there. Unfortunately, Charlie's got a football cliches live show in Glasgow on the same night.

1:19:08Tis the season for podcast live shows, it would seem. Yeah, absolutely. We're competing for an audience for football cliches. Right. Hello to our mascots. Hello, Phoebe. Hello, Maisie. Hello, Roger. Hello to our executive producers, Greg, Chris and Jeff. Let's have some shout outs, Matt. Are you ready, everyone? Yeah. We have Christine Marlow from St. Helens, Merseyside. Hi, Christine. Hi, Christine. Christine James. Christine Truman, as was. Yes. I used to have a... Christine Everett, presumably.

1:19:46Yeah. Stunned into silence, I'm guessing. I used to have a friend in St. Helens. I got totally ghosted by her. never know what it keeps me up at night still this was a long time ago i'm over it but yeah laura would anyone like to hear more about christine yeah yes please you just don't hear aboutst helens a lot do you it's rugby league yeah hotbed yeah uh what can i say about christine she says in my school days in the 50s wimbledon was the only tennis shown extensively on the TV. Through my working life I always said that if I won the pools, the lottery, I'd apply for a Wimbledon debenture. No success.

1:20:35But when I retired I realised that I could afford to try my luck and with a friend who I'd met as a co-member of the Tim Henman Fan Club I crossed my fingers and applied. We couldn't believe it and we were successful. So she was able to attend the championships every day for the last 15 years. every day? no yes if you have a if you have a debenture you can go every day so cool wow can we hear more about the Tim Hemman fan club? yeah more slash everything the rival fan club to Charlie leading the Greg Rosetsky fan club we used to host the annual well we were hang on we were present at the at the hosting of the annual Greg Rosetsky fan club meeting at the Royal Albert Hall because we worked for the tournament not because we were that bothered about the fan club bit.

1:21:23So, Christine, please let us know everything about the Tim Henman fan club. Thank you. We've also got Daniel Tam or Fam. I'm not sure. Right, Daniel. Daniel Nester. Daniel Evans. Daniel Nester comes out of Charlie Eccleshaire's mouth, the Canadian player. That's so in your wheelhouse. He'd have been winning the mixed doubles if he'd have been allowed to enter. our Daniel is from Sweden and is celebrating his 10 year anniversary of listening to the podcast he says I remember I started at the US Open in 2015 when Catherine was walking into a tree is that 10 years ago? probably or arguing with the bus driver, one of the two what a decade Daniel, hope it's been good for you too, thank you and finally we have Grace Thomas from Mason, Ohio.

1:22:22Hi, Grace. Hello, Grace. Grace says, last year you guys weren't able to think of a tennis player named Grace. After a quick Google, I found Grace Min. She's an American player who turned pro in 2008 and reached a career high of 97. We'll take it, Grace. Thank you very much, Grace. I really appreciate it. We'll take that. And Mason, Ohio, of course, where the Cincinnati tournament actually is. exactly and Grace has been a listener since 2020 I bet Grace has been to Kings Island hope so what a place I think Grace Min has career high 97 I do not Grace thank you very much for your support of the Tennis Podcast thank you Grace, thank you Christine thank you Daniel of Nesta fame we are part of the Athletic Podcast Network do check out Charlie's work and Matt's work and all of the stuff on the Athletic over the coming fortnight it's going to be an awesome fortnight we can't wait, we also can't wait to get out of this wind tunnel though, so thank you for listening we'll speak to you tomorrow on day one of the 2025 US Open

From the publisher

Catherine, David and Matt are joined by Charlie Eccleshare from The Athletic ahead of the first Sunday start at the US Open.

Part one - Press conferences. We cover the news that Novak Djokovic might be about to work with Monica Seles, good vibes from both Carlos Alcaraz and Iga Swiatek, how Amanda Anisimova is processing the Wimbledon final experience, some concern over Jack Draper’s fitness, and a fascinating chat with Naomi Osaka as she reflected on what happened in Montreal and her new partnership with Tomasz Wiktorowski.

Part two - Tournament predictions (47:22). Charlie gives his winners and finalists, we pick out some potential surprise packages, and there’s a look at which top seeds could be vulnerable.

Part three - a rundown of the day one order of play (1:05:48).

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