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Podcast Episode Summary: Generative Now | Episode with Guillaume Verdon
Episode Title
Exploring the Intersection of Quantum Deep Learning and AI Host: Michael Mignano Guest: Guillaume Verdon, Founder of Extropic
Overview In this episode, Michael Mignano interviews Guillaume Verdon, a prominent figure in the realms of quantum deep learning and artificial intelligence (AI). The discussion revolves around Verdon's transition from theoretical physics to AI, the potential of generative AI in answering profound questions about the universe, and the implications of his work with Extropic.
Key Topics Discussed
- Introduction
- Introduction of Guillaume Verdon and his role in AI and quantum computing.
- Overview of Extropic, a company focused on physics-based AI processors.
- Quantum Deep Learning
- Verdon's exploration of quantum deep learning as a means to understand the universe.
- Explanation of complexity in nature and how it parallels deep learning algorithms.
- Career Path
- Transition from theoretical physics to AI due to the complexity of natural systems.
- Early interests in understanding the unifying theory of everything and the limitations faced.
- Scaling Intelligence and Civilization
- Discussion on the Kardashev scale and energy production/expenditure in civilizations.
- The need to increase intelligence per watt for societal growth.
- Adapting to Change and Growth
- Importance of optimism and adaptability in technology and society.
- Emphasis on maintaining flexibility to adapt to rapid technological changes.
- Cultural Impact and Optimism
- Verdon discusses the significance of optimism in technology and culture during uncertain times.
- The role of the EAC (Effective Accelerationism Club) in promoting a positive outlook on technological advancement.
- Regulation and Policy
- Concerns regarding regulation stifling innovation.
- Advocacy for agile policymaking to accommodate rapid technological changes.
- Selective Pressure in AI Development
- The dynamics of competition among AI models and the resulting selective pressure.
- Discussion on how market selection influences AI technologies.
- Thermodynamic Computing
- Introduction to the concept of thermodynamic computing as a new approach to AI.
- How integrating AI with the physics of electrons can lead to more efficient and faster computation.
- Future of AI and Thermodynamic Computing
- Verdon’s vision for the future of AI utilizing thermodynamic principles.
- Prospective applications and implications of this new computing model.
- Current Progress and Future Plans
- Timeline for Extropic's developments, including expectations for silicon chips.
- Early commercialization plans and applications for the technology.
Key Takeaways
- Interdisciplinary Approach: Verdon emphasizes the connection between physics and AI, suggesting that insights from complex systems can enhance AI capabilities.
- Optimism in Technology: The conversation stresses the importance of maintaining a positive outlook on technology's potential to solve societal challenges.
- Need for Adaptation: Continuous adaptation to change is crucial for both individuals and organizations to thrive amidst rapid technological advancements.
- Innovative Computing Models: Extropic aims to revolutionize AI with thermodynamic computing, which could lead to efficient models that perform well within physical constraints.
Conclusion This episode provides an insightful exploration of the intersections between physics, AI, and societal growth, as well as the innovative work being done at Extropic. Verdon’s contributions and thoughts on the future of technology suggest a promising direction for the integration of complex theoretical foundations with practical applications in AI.
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Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:05Hey everyone and welcome to Generative Now. I am Michael Magnano. I'm a partner at Lightspeed And this week, I'm speaking with Guillaume Verdun. You may know Gil as the founder of Xtropic, a company creating physics-based AI processors. You may also know him as the person behind Based Beth Jaisos on Twitter or X, and the founder of EAC, the movement that is advocating for rapid acceleration of artificial intelligence. We talked about a ton of things in this episode. I think you'll enjoy this conversation with Gil Verdun. Hey, Gil. Hey, Michael. pleasure to be here how you doing doing good doing good I've been very much looking forward to this there's so much to get into uh obviously want to talk about Extropic want to talk about EAC would you be willing to take us back um you know maybe even before Alphabet some of your research I think would be really really interesting to start with yeah I mean you know ever since I was a ever since I was a kid I wanted to understand the physics of the world because if you really understand the stack of the universe, then you can hack it better.
1:08You could produce more interesting technologies. So, you know, that journey led me through theoretical physics, right? I was trying to understand, you know, as one does growing up in theoretical physics, you're like, oh, I'm going to figure out the unifying theory of everything. I'm going to write a couple of equations and they're going to be able to predict everything in the universe. And then everybody goes down that path, hits a wall, and then realizes that actually there's a lot of complexity in the universe. And there are things that you can represent complexity with complexity. And so I had a sort of change of heart throughout my career in theoretical physics that instead of having sort of human interpretable laws of physics, we're actually going to augment our intelligence with machines, right?
1:52And similar to how there's complexity and emergence in nature, we have complexity and emergence in our algorithms with deep learning and AI, right? And to me, that was one of the most profound things that we can mimic nature's complexity with these artificial, complex, self-organizing systems. Most people are familiar with deep learning and neural networks, but there's a bunch of them that you could build. And so for me as a theoretical physicist, trying to have a way to understand the world at all scales, that led me to a path to go into and pioneer a field called quantum deep learning, which is basically how to extend notions of intelligence to understand the quantum mechanics of the world, which, you know, a lot of the world around us is quantum mechanical at the very small scales.
2:37And day to day, it's not as relevant because it's, you know, we're at the large scales. But if you're - Explain what you mean by that. A lot of the world is quantum mechanical. So, you know, you have different laws of physics that are the best theory, the most practical theory at different scales, right? Like you don't need to do particle physics simulations like the LHC to predict, you know, the temperature of your coffee in the morning, right? It's like a different scale of physics. And so you have different theories at different scales. It's called, you know, renormalization or effective theories.
3:09And at the very small scales, things are actually quantum mechanical. Things are not even probabilistic. Things are in superpositions of different configurations. So you could think of them as sort of having parallel universes and they can interfere with one another and then you either collapse or condition on being a certain branch when a measurement happens. And so it's very funky, but a lot of GenoVeI is based on probability theory and statistics and information theory. And there's actually generalizations of all these things to quantum information, right? And so I came from a school of thought that was trying to revolutionize theoretical physics through the lens of quantum information theory, right?
3:52So my mentor, Patrick Hayden, who's now a professor at Stanford, he was kind of the Claude Shannon of quantum information theory. And so that's what got me into this sort of school of thought. In a way, you could think of information theory being about entropy and compression and so on. And AI algorithms kind of operationalize information theory. They search over the space of transformations to figure out how to get a compression code or get an error correcting code, that is what information theory predicts is possible, right? And so extending the sort of philosophy of AI and deep learning algorithms to quantum mechanics and having those algorithms run on quantum mechanical computers that were kind of emerging at the time in like 2014, 2015, right?
4:39That is what I was doing. So I was one of the first people to propose running a quantum neural network. I ran the first algorithms on Rigetti, for example, which was you know, one of the first Silicon Valley plays in quantum computing. Very early on, I realized that quantum computers were going to take some time to scale, right? It's kind of a similar to nuclear fusion. It's kind of a civilizational, you know, important note of the civilizational tech tree, but it's going to take some time to get there. And so, you know, I decided to pay my dues and sort of connect the world of theoretical physics with quantum computing through quantum AI.
5:15I still believe in that being sort of the sort of end game to have the deepest answers about the universe. It's going to be a quantum mechanical form of AI that's combined with our modern systems. You're going to answer those questions. But, you know, as I was seeing sort of gen of AI slowly take over the world or eat the world of software, I saw, you know, opportunities to use the sort of background we had in physics at the intersection of physics and AI to do different kinds of devices that are not quantum mechanical. And that's what led me to, you know, doing Stropic after a career in quantum tech, more broadly, at Alphabet.
5:53Got it. So just connecting the dots a little bit, you mentioned that early on you wanted to understand the world. And you said, you know, in physics, you, I think the words you use, like you hit a wall jumping ahead, like is, is the idea that basically quantum deep learning is, is the way that we will sort of break through that wall and be able to better understand things that we just can't with, with the tools that we have at our disposal. Yeah. So, so, so it's a big question of how, like how far can representations that work on classical or probabilistic computers, like we're building, how far can they reach into, uh, understanding and compressing the world, right?
6:33Like let's say you had to figure out one embedding, one compression code for the whole universe, right? What would that look like? And studying sort of the limits of compression in nature, actually, I used to study black holes and how they compress information because they're the densest objects in the universe. And what I was teasing out of it is that actually black holes, their representation or their compression code uses a mixture of a classical representation and a quantum representation. So that's how I, you know, pushed the algorithms towards that area. TensorFlow quantum was how to hybridize regular deep learning with quantum deep learning.
7:11And, you know, I continued that, that sort of research at X. But yes, I would say that, you know, let's say you're trying to understand materials. The alphabet X. The alphabet X, to be clear. Yeah, yeah, there's new X now. Which also plays a role in your story. Yeah, which is a big part of my life now somehow. So to me, I think like if fundamentally you think of intelligence as compression. If you want to learn a compression code for all the data in the universe, it's going to be quantum mechanical in part. It's actually, you know, nature has a lot of complexity and you're going to tackle complexity with complexity.
7:41You're going to tackle compute and nature with compute that is artificial. And actually really digging into that question of what is the complexity of nature and what is the difficulty of learning representations of complex systems? It's what gives me so much sort of first principles backing to saying things when I am in AI debates, like, foom will never happen fundamentally, right? Like, there's a sort of, like, inherent difficulty in grokking the physical world, right? There's an, as Stephen Wolfram would say, there's an irreducibility, right? You have to use similar amounts of compute to what, to the compute used by nature to have an emergent behavior, right?
8:22It's really hard to predict at large scales what's going to happen for the microscopics, right? Just like, and this is true for many complex systems, whether it's your human body or the economy, right? Or, you know, name it. There's quite a few complex systems out there. There's a conservation of difficulty. You won't have one God algorithm that compresses the whole world and, you know, can turn it into gray goo overnight, right? I think that's pretty provably impossible from what we know. It's just a weird kind of science, right? It's a weird kind of science because it's beyond like reason, right?
8:58It's like, it's like, you can't even put into words why a certain material is going to be superconducting, right? It's a phase of matter. It's literally like a vibe shift if you're like, well, this feels different, right? And that's why we started using AI to detect phase transitions and matter because we don't necessarily have words for these kind of emergent behaviors at larger scales. And that's why, you know, I'm super AI pilt, right? Like I think the future of physics, the future of being able to predict, you know, perceive, predict, and control our world is through AI. And I have been uniquely focused on physics-based AI.
9:35So physics inspired by the world to understand the world in part. Of course, you can use it to understand all sorts of other complex systems. But then the dual to that of embedding AI, the dual of embedding physics and AI is to embed AI into the physics of the world, into physics-based devices. And so that's what I spent my whole career doing. That sort of duality between the physics of the world, the AI algorithms, and the physics of the devices that we use to run these algorithms. You have a couple different threads to your career right now and from what I can tell your life, but what do you say the overarching, what is your overarching mission statement?
10:16Yeah, I mean, it's really accretive to scaling intelligence throughout the universe, right? And with EAC, you know, we're figuring out how to scale up Kardashev scale, which is the energy production and expenditure scale of civilization, right, on the log scale. So that's creating more watts per civilization, let's say. We have one civilization right now. And with Xtropic, it's more intelligence per watt. And so if you scale both of that, you just have more intelligence in the universe. And yeah, to me, it's been, you know, seeking answers to what does it all mean? Why are we here? And where are we going?
10:56But I think there's starting to be sort of nuggets of answers here in this sort of principles of self-organization and viewing all of Earth as one big Petri dish that's like a self-organizing system. It's a very useful abstraction. It's very sort of, you know, people sometimes are taken aback by that. It's too physics sort of brain. It's not anthropocentric enough, but, you know, at the end of the day, we're all embedded in the laws of physics. And, and, but at the same time, it's a very beautiful concept that the laws of physics have driven us to self-organized and help us create all the beautiful order and all the beautiful things we know day to day.
11:39And it's steering us towards even greater things, you know, on average, right? And we're part of this process and we're conscious that we're part of this process, which is a weird, it's a weird thing. So it's kind of a sort of, we're kind of leading a school of thought that will, you know, originally I was trying to change theoretical physics with it, right? Like emergence and self-organization and AI for complex systems. I think we're bringing that sort of thinking to culture, politics, to some extent, policy with EAC. And then on the computing side, it's like, hey, actually, you're no longer going to program the computer yourself.
12:20It's going to sort of do gradient descent by itself, get it self-organized, and you're just going to inject data and like tune how plastic it is. And that's about it. And then the rest of you, you're giving up control to some extent, right? And so that's a different mindset and a sort of new school of thought that we're trying to you know change science change technology or tech tree and and change our culture you mentioned early on that this is all going to take a long time and it seems like even just um you know in your lifespan this is there's a there's a through line you've you've kind of been seems like you've been kind of doing some form of this mission your whole life or for most of your life and you know if something is going to take a really long time, it feels like there needs to be a very long-term movement around it.
13:09And I wonder, you know, how much of, let's say, EAC was intentional, you know, which is now sort of, you know, I don't know if you want to call it a movement, I don't know what you refer to it. How much of that was intentional along those lines versus is maybe somewhat accidental. I mean, EAC is both sort of observation of these principles, right, that govern nature, but also govern our society. And it's a sort of awakening that actually, because of these principles, we can predict that, you know, the whole system is biased towards growth. It is fundamental to its good. It's fundamental to its adaptivity.
13:50It's fundamental to its robustness. And if we value life, intelligence and prosperity, the path to that is through growth. It is through constant adaptation. It is to constant sort of morphing, embracing variance in every aspect of our lives, whether it's culture, technologies, ways to organize ourselves, ways to live. In a sense, you could think of every aspect of civilization having a sort of evolutionary pressure upon it because ways to organize ourselves that are advantages towards growth get selected for because they're part of this bigger organism, right? Like, for example, corporate cultures is an example, right?
14:45If you have several companies that have different corporate cultures, one company will have a culture that confers it an advantage and then they dominate in the market and then other people will want to mimic that sort of corporate culture and then it starts spreading. Right. And so we've seen a lot of that happened with Google. Exactly. Right. And now, you know, who are the iconic cultures? Maybe it's going to be, I don't know, X or OpenAI or we'll see. Yeah. But, you know, it's this observation. And in a sense, it's like that adaptivity, right? Maintaining that malleability, right? That flexibility, that constant disruption is how we remain anti-fragile to changing landscapes, right?
15:28If we have technology that's evolving very fast, one way to think about is having a very stiff system and you have technology changing very fast, you're going to have a collapse, right? Or you're going to have your complex system failing massively, right? Which is, then it's like slow things down, slow down progress, right? Because our slow systems can't adapt. The other way of thinking is actually if all our systems are malleable and we progressively integrate this disruption on a continuous time fashion, then actually the system is plastic and We can adapt and we can avoid a collapse, right?
16:00And so for us, it was like, I think there's a whole spectrum of accelerationism movements. Some of them are like cheering for things to accelerate and for the system to be not able to adapt. We're the opposite. We're cheering for the system to adapt faster, to keep up with the natural pace of things always changing. And this change is the fundamental thing. It is the fundamental driver behind life. It is the fundamental driver behind progress of our civilization. We should embrace it. We should celebrate it. And we should lean into it. But then really, it's not a prescription of how exactly to live your life, right?
16:36It's more of a meta prescription. It's like, let's maintain freedoms. Let's maintain, always be experimenting, always be learning, always be iterating. Never, you know, say this is the one way things are done at a global scale or whatnot. We just, we want to maintain variance because you never know. You could always be hedging your bets across everything because things change over time and you always got to be adapting. How much of that was intentional? This movement? Did you say, hey, we want or did you and your founders of the X say, hey, we want to start this movement? Or is this more of just a way of thinking you all were doing?
17:11And then between that and, you know, the Twitter account, which we'll talk about, it took on a life of its own. Originally, we were we're just having conversations about what what does it all mean? Right. And I think it was dark times, you know, in 2021, you know, everybody was locked down, you know, the vibe was off, if you will. And we were trying to see, like, we were seeing, hey, there's this spread of sort of negativity and people are so negative right now. And that tends to be very high fitness in terms of memes, like on the Twitter sphere and whatnot. And we were like, how do we fight this?
17:44Like, there's so much to be optimistic about. and optimism is actually important because if you're optimistic, you start thinking about better futures and then your brain figures out how to close the gap between the world and your generative model of it, which is a whole theory of AI called active inference, which I'm a big fan of. That's going to be a whole different conversation, but there's a sort of real science behind this concept of sort of what we call hyperstition, of sort of thinking positively, like helps you amplify the likelihood of those positive futures. And this is a heuristic we know very well in Silicon Valley, right?
18:21Like you need an optimistic founder that's ready to run through walls and doesn't take no for an answer and just keeps going no matter what. And to us, it was like, how do we scale that sort of mindset so that it has positive impact on the world? And we kind of have it as a cultural mimetic product that can spread. There's no real product. It's just an idea, right? And in a sense, like, again, we were thinking of like, what is the fastest timescale adaptation, right? You know, you have the adaptation of technology, you have an adaptation of our bodies and genetics on a really long timescale. But the thing that moves really fast is memes, right?
18:56Which are like packets of cultural software. Those can spread really fast on the internet, and they can do a lot of good very quickly. And so we felt like a sort of imperative to spread positivity, optimism, and sort of a sort of signal like, where is this all going? Right? Because people will stoke fear, people will tell you, this and that is going to happen, give me more control, give me the keys to the kingdom, I'll keep you safe. You know, we think that is a sort of dangerous vulnerability in many people, and want to make people immunized against that by spreading, hey, it's going to be all right, the system's always adapting, this is how it's worked in the past.
19:35That's how it works in general. As long as we stay flexible, many people are working on this. We're going to adapt to whatever is to come. And so we're not saying this is exactly how the future is going to play out. It's like statistically, this is how things work. This is actually a very powerful principle that has creating very advanced things, including our human bodies, right? And a lot of our tech tree, right? The markets are self-organizing, our bodies are self-organizing. You can have a sort of faith in it, faith in the laws of physics, if you will, right? That the system will adapt as long as we don't shoot ourselves in the foot.
20:10This also applies to policy, right? We want our policymaking to be much more agile. And so we've been pushing towards sort of freedom and less regulation because there's obviously a lot of interest towards more regulation. Of course, the optimum is somewhere in the middle, right? But But because politics is often bimodal, right, you have to make a solid case for one extreme to balance the other, right? I meant to ask you that, actually. Like, do you feel like it should be a balance? Or is EAC all for total complete freedom, zero regulation? You know, I know there's this bill that this California senator recently proposed, which just seems like it would be really, really damaging to startups.
20:55I'm sure you know the one I'm talking about. Really, really, really good for big tech, right? Yeah, and that's what we said was going to happen for two years, right? We were like, guys, they're going to use this AI safety talk to shove bills down our throats for your own good, but that are really for their own good, right? Yeah, exactly. And so it's like, if there was a piece of regulation that was really clever, you know, we'd be in support of it. But for now, I haven't seen such proposals. I would say that some regulation can make sense, but I just don't think any heavy-handed regulations, any very stiff priors over just how things should be done, your model should be in this parameter region, and so on.
21:39It's very prescriptive. So you see you're restricting our search over the space of this technology. And things are changing so quickly. Things are changing so quickly, right? And so if you don't know where things should be, you should have a very loose grip on things. And so you should have very sort of high level policies. What about the Doomer fear? They have a lot of fears. They have all sorts of scenarios. Maybe like the most overarching around, you know, natural selection and, you know, AI is sort of out evolving human beings once there's a, you know, a stable state of AGI. There's a couple, you know, aspects that people are worried about.
22:20There's one that is, you know, this fable of a foom that like AI will be self-improving and there will be an intelligence explosion overnight and it will recursively self-improve. I fundamentally don't believe in that. I mean, I worked on AI for designing matter for many years now. It's much harder than people think. And there's a sort of complexity to nature that is inherent. It's inherent breaks on any sort of, you know, hacking that you could try to figure out. Right. And in a sense, the proof of this is that biology is a self-adaptive system running an algorithm very similar to our optimization algorithms.
22:59And it's been running this process for 2 billion years, trying to have a system that grows and acquires more energy and consumes it all. Every biological system is trying to do that. It's incentivized to do that from the laws of thermodynamics. right? And yet through this sort of adversarial equilibrium we've reached and the fact that energy isn't just like infinite and easy to access at all times, there's actually a finite amount of life. We haven't consumed our whole planet yet. And maintaining this sort of adversarial equilibrium is what sort of keeps us in check. And so I don't believe in FOOM on that end for fundamental reasons of complexity based on physics.
23:41And then when it comes to, let's say, maybe a more reasonable concern is like, AI is going to take all our jobs, right? Or that's like a traditional, you know, and... Yeah, that's the near term fear. I think that people aren't realizing we're becoming transhuman already. We have our phones basically glued to our, you know, pockets every day, right? And it's an extension of our cognition, right? We have shared priors. We have shared information retrieval ways. Nowadays, you just have to remember a way to do a Google or perplexity search to retrieve the information you need. You don't need to memorize things.
24:17And that's how our brains work. We're already sort of augmented. And I think as we have sort of AI more and more embedded in our lives, we have AI assistants that are going to see everything we see. They're going to shadow us. They're going to have a prior of what we've seen, what is the context of our lives, what we like to do given context. and then they'll have a predictive model of that and you'll interact with it. Just like you interact with an assistant or a teammate that you've worked with for many years, you share a common prior, almost like one system. You have sort of group flow and you're kind of an extension of one another's intelligence.
24:47That's already happening. And it's a sort of soft merge where we're extending our intelligence and providing massive intellectual leverage to ourselves. So that's for sort of white collar work. For blue collar work, we're gonna have robotics, right? And body design. And that's gonna give us operational leverage. And frankly, I think we could use a lot of operational leverage because there's a ton of projects in the physical world that could massively speed up. Right. We can't even build railways anymore. We don't have the labor and know how. So we need to accelerate there. And that's going to provide massive prosperity and make our lives much better.
25:21Right. Like when you think about it, scarcity has been the source of pain of modern times. right scarcity of say uh doctors and and intellectual work and and biotech and so on is is why medicine and treatments are very expensive right like it takes a lot of money to do uh drug drug discovery research it takes a lot of money to train a doctor that's going to get cheaper takes a lot of money to build housing that's going to get cheaper with robotics takes a lot of money to build infrastructure that's going to get cheaper so a lot of things that are sources of pain in modern times are actually from sort of deceleration, inflation, overregulation.
26:03And so the other thesis is that actually letting the markets do their thing is actually the most moral thing to do because it's going to lead to more prosperity and better lives. And ultimately, I would say in terms of selection pressure, people like to talk about this. EAC and all this sort of thermodynamic talk we like to do is really a theory of how everything is actually being selected for, including products and technologies, right? If you think about it, there's currently a selective pressure on the space of LLMs, right? Because you have different LLMs, they have different hyperparameters, different ways of doing things, slightly different ways, and they're all offering competing APIs, right?
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26:44And then people use this API or that API, and internally there's an adaptation loop of like, okay, we're going to use this model. Okay. It's not doing so well. We're going to use this model through a selective pressure there. And there's the broader market selecting which company is sort of thesis they want to, they want to back. And in a sense, like an LLM being run and live on, on, on GPUs, right. It's consuming energy, like a life form would, and it's alive. And if it's no longer online and available, then it's kind of dead. And so, you know, we're seeing this sort of churn happening of the market and it's, We're actually creating a selective pressure on the space of AIs.
27:20And in general, people want AIs that are aligned to them, that will listen, that will do, you know, what they ask, that are reliable, that aren't hiding things, right? Just like you would fire an employee that, you know, lies or doesn't do what they said they would, right, after enough samples. So I think we're already aligning AI in a much more finessed way than trying to, through, again, an optimization algorithm. Through our choices. Yeah, through our choices. And it's continual. And actually having competition and this continual release of AIs and sort of the selective pressure and this churn in the space of models is actually the way we align AI.
28:00And so, right. And we will ultimately not choose to adopt an AI that that could cross over some safety threshold or misalignment threshold. I'm thinking back to the time that you talked about when you were doing the Twitter spaces, you know, the early days of the act were starting to form online. Is this around the same time as the Twitter account that, you know, I think a lot of people have become fans of and followers of? Based Beth Jaisos. Was this formed around that time? Yeah. I mean, originally, you know, I was an engineer in big tech and, you know, I felt like I didn't feel comfortable voicing or even experimenting with different views on my account.
28:51Right. Which is natural. I think like back then people were really scared of saying anything. And really, I didn't realize how much I was restricting my own thoughts until I had an anonymous account that was low stakes, low follower counts. And I could just put my craziest ideas out there. How did it get any audience, though? Because it had zero followers to start, right? I mean, no, I started at zero. Right. And yeah, I mean, that's the thing. You know, in Twitter, you start there's a sort of whole like subgraph of Twitter, right, called anonymous Twitter. And there's some really potent intellectuals on there, a few sometimes undercover executives or VCs as well now.
29:31But really, it was just like a corner of the Internet where you disentangle sort of your reputational staking that comes with tweeting with your main name. And so it's like there's downside protection, but also you don't capture as much of the upside either. Right. And it's like, hey, I just want my ideas to be evaluated on the arena and the arena for their own worth. right and of course when i got docs things changed and now uh you know i'm all in still tweet you still tweet i still tweet you know because i mean if if if if i were to back down and walk back anything then then i i didn't meet you know it would efface everything i've worked on i i i can stand by my my ideas i think um you know at the end of the day uh i mean i believe everything, you know, I've said, I mean, sometimes I'm literally over the top just for, for, for giggles.
30:24Right. But, you know, I mean, I mean like the more serious posts, you know, usually I'm just trying to experiment with, with my thoughts about the world, but I've, I've just kept tweeting in the same style and it seems to be working. So, you know, I'm going to keep going as long as I can. Yeah. What were the, some of the earliest ideas that really resonated and gave, gave life to the Twitter account? Was it the EAC stuff? Was there other stuff? Was it just the memes in general that you were doing yeah i mean i think yak was pretty early i think i started it i started the account in like january february and then of what year 2021 yeah yeah and then i was that was the original account and then uh uh you know i i said something that was a hypothesis you know at the time you know about uh certain labs and certain technology right and and i got banned for original twitter or I got kicked out and then I had to redo the account.
31:16And so I went. Beth got banned? Yeah, the original Beth got banned and then I restarted. So I had 6k followers and then I restarted in August 2022, which is around the time I started my company and then grew that account to now, I don't know, I guess 105k. But yeah, in the early days, I was just interacting with this sort of interesting sub community of Twitter, which was Twitter and on you know which now a lot of those people work at like big AI labs and so on and are very influential but really it's kind of like it's kind of a platform where people evaluate ideas on their own right like you said like I said like uh removing the reputational staking kind of just allows you to convey pure ideas and and for people to evaluate them without sort of just overthinking where it where it's come from Extropic.
32:10Yeah. So you said around this time you started Extropic. Obviously, you know, I think it would be great for you to tell everyone what Extropic is and what you are building. But maybe first, is it a coincidence that it started around the same time or was it intentional? I think it's not intentional. I think there's a latent variable behind all this is that I am thinking constantly about how to phrase all of AI as a sort of self-adaptive process embedded in physics. I'm swimming in out of equilibrium thermodynamic physics day in, day out. And so, you know, I've kind of reshaped all my thinking through this lens.
32:51And that exercise has led to, you know, me extending that sort of lens and sort of thinking to other sort of complex systems in our world and having observations, right? For me, it's like I've had to shift the way I see the world in order to do engineering of these devices that are really kind of alien, right? They don't look like a regular computer. And that sort of mindset shift has led to me wanting to explore how to put some ideas out there about civilization and all sorts of other systems and now that now they're they're viral but yeah I think I think there's kind of like people thought that uh you know you know the dox was intentional or anything like that I can assure you anybody was in my life and saw how chaotic uh things got around those days I can assure you that was not the case and we just scrambled to adapt to a weird situation basically I didn't want to come out of stealth I wanted to keep cooking and basically I doxed the fact that I was running a company because I was, you know, I had a Twitter account in the quantum computing scene and everybody in quantum computing was like, what is, what is Guillaume doing?
34:04Because, you know, I started the differentiable programming revolution in quantum computing and that kind of ate the quantum computing world in terms of software. And they know I'm usually ahead of the curve there. And so they like to keep tabs on me and I was being extremely secretive there. And so they're already doxing the fact that I was running Xtropix. So it's like, well, If we're going to, if the media is going to dox me, I'm going to back, I'm going to make it backfire on them. Right. Like I'm going to lean into it and put up a website. Yeah. So we just scrambled and I was in the timescale of a couple hours called my designers.
34:36Like, let's, let's put up a website, let's put up some funnels and adapt. Right. And then over the weekend, very little sleep wrote a blog post on a lot of Red Bulls and just shipped it. And everybody thought it was like super well coordinated. It was like, no, we're doing it live. Right. Right. And and so for us, it's gotten us a lot of attention, which is both good and bad. Right. If you're a deep tech project, if you're used to being a secret part of a secret team, a secret lab. Right. Working on really deep stuff, having a lot of tension, that's what you want. Right. So but, you know, for us, I think the main benefits has been having really great talent, know about us and answer the phone and talk to us and consider joining the team.
35:21because, you know, I think the team we've built is really incredible. It's really a true modern Manhattan project for AI. Yeah. Tell us about Extropic. What is it? What are you building? We're trying to build generative AI at the limits of physics. We're trying to push how tightly we can integrate the algorithms into the physics of electrons. Now in silicon at first and superconductors. And, you know, for us, it's been like, how do you reinvent how you do computing from first principles to be as energy efficient and fast as possible? What are the actual physical limits to computing from first principles?
35:56And how do we engineer systems that are at that boundary? And that's what we're doing. And actually, if you study machine learning, you have machine learning, which I mentioned is an operationalization of information theory. Information theory also appears in thermodynamics, which is a theory of physics. So you could see the link between thermodynamics, information theory, and machine learning. And actually, you can unify all three and create systems that instantiate this analogy between machine learning and thermodynamic physics, right? And if you do so, you have a very potent machine learning system, right, that does machine learning as a physical process, as a physical thermalization process.
36:39And so we're building what we call thermodynamic computers, which, you know, we're leading this sort of exodus away from quantum computing, which is using quantum mechanics to a sort of form of computing that is using jiggles of electrons in nature, or rather, you know, the stochastic physics, which is the technical term of electrons to do machine learning as physics. And, you know, it's stochastic thermodynamics of electrons. So we call it thermodynamic computing. And so that's what we're, that's what we're building. And ultimately, we see that, you know, the market right now is hurtling towards this sort of soft wall of having to build nuclear reactor powered GPU super clusters.
37:21And we don't think that's sustainable, you know, from an energy standpoint, but even from a return on investment standpoint, you know, if you have to build a hundred billion dollar cluster to get 2 billion of revenue, might not, not everyone's going to want to pay that bill. Right. And we're nearing that sort of, that sort of edge of practicality. So this is how you solve the efficiency problem, basically. Like this is how we scale AI. Yes, yes. And so for us, it's both like, how do we run today's most sophisticated algorithms as a physical process of solving that? But also, how are we going to influence the space of algorithms, right?
37:59Because algorithms and hardware, they co-evolve, right? The algorithms that run well in today's hardware, they're more efficient. They give you more bang for your buck. They tend to have APIs and usage and more researchers, you know, mutating the algorithm, right? And that's what we've seen with LMs. But at the same time, you know, let's say right now it's GPUs. GPU manufacturers and TPUs are catering to those models. So there's a co-evolution of hardware and models, right, in the market, right? And we're trying to anticipate, okay, great, we can meet the market where it is now. But also, how is the advent of our hardware, right, going to shift the landscape of algorithms and models, right?
38:37which models are going to tend to have best performance and use our type of hardware best. And so we're trying to anticipate that. And ultimately, you can go back to first principles. So in statistical machine learning, really what you do is something called sampling or Monte Carlo sampling for all sorts of algorithms, whether it's inference and learning. And that you could think of it as roughly analogous to synthetic data, right? You're contrasting the synthetic data, your model samples versus the actual data you were given. And that's how you do the learning of the system. The thing is, usually you want thousands, tens of thousands, millions of synthetic data samples.
39:23So that's way more compute than we're using right now with our simple forward pass-based computing, right? While you're seeing GenoVeI starting to go towards this route with optimization at inference time, optimization-based forward passes, our thesis is that we're going to go deep into the higher compute regime, sort of lower data, maybe even lower parameter counts, right? Because if you have so much compute, you can still get really good performance with less parameter counts, and we want to enable that. But how do we get far more compute from nature for far less? And so that's what we're hacking.
40:03And to us, if you can embed the algorithm directly into the almost natural dance of electrons and slightly bias them as they move around your circuit, you're very gently guiding these electrons. It's very energy efficient, and you're using the natural physics of electrons as sort of a resource to generate that synthetic data. So it really has the first principles behind it to be more data efficient, more energy efficient, and much faster. And so it's both a hardware and algorithmic sort of revolution. Of course, we can, like I said, we're working hard on anchoring to current day algorithms, right?
40:41We want to take one risk at a time and just showcase that hardware works. But as we put our hardware on market, which is going to be on a faster timescale than some people think, then we hope that it's going to influence where the space of algorithms for AI goes. Because we don't have a choice but to change something fundamentally because we're hitting the soft ceiling of energy expenditure. And we might run out of data as well, right? So we're going to have to use more compute anyways. So current dynamic is such that we're building algorithms. systems um we're building models that all can only exist within the limitations of our current gpus our current computers and as a result we're going to need to draw down far more energy than may even be possible i think the thing that's you know interesting it's it's not just it's going to be current day lms scaled up it's going to be new sorts of algorithms that are maybe not that tractable right now are only used in certain niches like finance, for example, they're going to be spread to the rest of the world.
41:42Imagine you had a Wall Street decision making for your day to day decisions, right? You could quantify the uncertainty about your predictions and so on about everything. That's much more computationally expensive to do these simulations, right? Like traders do them overnight for massive trades, right? Build up conviction about a trade and quantify the uncertainty of their models. But if you have that sort of quality of decision-making throughout every organization, then that unlocks way more penetration for AI in the broader economy. Because right now, the reason LM's haven't penetrated everywhere is that people don't quite trust that the LM quantifies how uncertain it is about its predictions.
42:26It's not giving you a sort of interpretable model of its thinking. And that could fundamentally change with sort of a more probabilistic approach to ML. But the reason we think there hasn't been uptake apart from Wall Street, where they could just throw a ton of compute behind every decision because it's so high stakes or maybe defense, the reason it hasn't penetrated the broader market is that the compute for this type of algorithm just isn't there. Whereas this sort of disruption we're creating with this new form of thermodynamic compute that runs these types of algorithms, Monte Carlo algorithms, if it fits perfectly on the hardware up to a million times faster because you're using fluctuations of electrons natively, I think that's going to disrupt the space of algorithms and hopefully allow AI to become a part of everyone's lives for many or most decisions we make.
43:17And so it's kind of really early in a sense of the uptake of AI in the broader economy. But we've seen now the potential with LLMs and we're going to keep going. And it's going to be both the applications, the models and the hardware progress, the sort of flywheel keeping it going is the priority to avoid any sort of winter and to keep deploying this technology. because it's, you know, the thesis that this technology and deploying it at scale is what's going to allow us to be massively prosperous and live better lives. And that's our thesis. And we believe that. And, you know, Moore's Law is what has propelled a lot of the wealth we see today and the boom in Silicon Valley and making sure we can keep that going, right?
44:05Are we going to be able to scale lithographic processes to keep getting smaller? Well, right now we can't, because if you do so, your transistor becomes probabilistic. It misfires. But if you're actually using that as a feature rather than a bug, then you can keep going and keep making things smaller. So it's actually the only way to keep Moore's Law going. And so it's kind of like this multidimensional checkmate of like, okay, I am convinced. Personally, I took eight years now that I've been thinking about this to figure out where the future of AI is going from algorithms, physics, supply chains, everything.
44:39and this is where it's going. And we're a company placing a bet here on how to build it. We are going to open source a bunch of the concepts of how to do thermodynamic computing on say superconducting platforms, which have less mature supply chains, let's just say that, than silicon. So people should stay tuned for that. But our hope is that it inspires people to think bigger and think differently about the future of computing. I think a lot of people are like, all right we have tsmc we have nvidia that's like that's a pillar it's never going to move right and then everything else above that layer is fair game right yeah well we want people to start thinking uh full stack and i think some of the big players are are starting to think about that but they're they're early in their thinking what can you tell us about where you currently are with your progress and and how soon uh will we see something in market so our superconducting stuff is more of an R &D and kind of, you know, getting a research community excited about this, because obviously, if it's going to be as big as quantum computing, we need the academic community, national lab community to get interested in this.
45:50So that we're going to put stuff out in the coming months. And then I would say next year, we're going to have our first silicon chips back running at room temperature. And so that is, yeah, that is a big deal. And so we're rushing for that. And at that point, we're actually ready to take on partners and do early commercialization, right? The thing is, we're going to start with, like I said, small models, small data applications that need a lot of speed and energy efficiency. What are types of applications? Like, give us some examples of what that would be. a probabilistic inference control systems statistical inference that has to be ultra fast whether you're high frequency trading whether you're doing control system that has to be ultra responsive whether it's you know defense applications robotics and that's the sort of areas of of interest in the early days and you know it looks like at first we do some some application specific circuits with partners but over time as we as we know which circuits are useful to many people then we can make sort of chips that have many of these these building blocks and then they're kind of more programmable for a mixture of applications.
47:00Of course, at scale, it's going to look something like a foundation model. You know, foundation models kind of, depending on context, pick which circuitry they activate, right? If you really look into a transformer, that's what it does. At scale, that's what our chips are going to do because they're going to be big enough to contain all these different circuits, right? And so, but in the early days, it could be very specialized, small models, But everything we're going to learn there is going to help us get to, you know, the massive chips that are, you know, brain scale. Right. And so that's going to be really exciting.
47:32Awesome. Well, Gil, this has been fascinating. I certainly learned a ton. I'm sure the audience has as well. Thank you so much for doing this. Would love to do this again sometime. Awesome. Thanks so much, Michael. It's been a pleasure. Thank you so much for listening to Generative Now. If you liked what you heard, please rate and review the podcast. That does help. And of course, subscribe so you get notified every time we drop a new episode. Generative Now is produced by Lightspeed in partnership with Pod People. I am Michael McDonough, and we will be back next week. See you then. Thanks.
From the publisher
At some point, we’ve all asked ourselves the core questions to the meanings of life and the universe. It should come as no surprise that tech’s most dynamic players have too, and see generative AI-powered technologies as a way to start answering those questions. This week on Generative Now, Lightspeed Partner and host Michael Mignano speaks with Guillaume Verdon, the founder of Extropic, about the fascinating intersections of physics, AI, and computing. Guillaume discusses how his interest in understanding the universe led him to explore theoretical physics, only to transition into AI and deep learning due to the inherent complexity of natural systems. Additionally, Michael and Guillaume talk about the significance of optimism and adaptability in driving societal growth and technological advancements. They also discuss his creation of the e/acc movement, involvement with the Twitter Anon community, and what Guillaume is doing at Extropic to leverage AI for society’s best possible future.
Episode Chapters
(00:00) Introduction
(02:15) Quantum Deep Learning and AI
(05:27) Guillaume’s Career Path
(10:17) Scaling Intelligence and Civilization
(13:53) Adapting to Change and Growth
(17:16) Optimism and Cultural Impact
(20:10) Regulation and Policy
(27:12) Selective Pressure in AI Development
(28:24) The Birth of Based Beff Jezos
(32:09) The Genesis of Extropic
(35:52) Thermodynamic Computing Explained
(41:06) Future of AI and Thermodynamic Computing
(45:27) Current Progress and Future Plans
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