In short
Podcast Episode Summary: Here & Now Anytime - "Can Democrats stop Trump's war in Iran?"
General Information
- Podcast Title: Here & Now Anytime
- Hosts: Robin Young and Scott Tong
- Producer: Chris Bentley
- Episode Title: Can Democrats stop Trump's war in Iran?
- Release Date: March 3, 2023
Episode Overview This episode discusses the implications of the U.S. war with Iran, focusing on Israeli politics, the role of the Trump administration, and the responses of Democratic lawmakers. The episode features insights from Reuters correspondent Emily Rose, Senator Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), and former Deputy Director of National Intelligence Beth Sanner.
Segment Summaries
- The Conflict with Iran
- Background on Netanyahu's Stance:
- Prime Minister Netanyahu views the confrontation with Iran as a "crusade" to eliminate threats to Israel.
- The war with Iran has escalated, affecting Israeli politics, particularly as Israel heads into an election year.
- Current Situation:
- The war has led to over 800 deaths in the region, mostly in Iran, with Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon in retaliation for missile attacks by Hezbollah.
- The U.S. has urged citizens to evacuate from 14 countries due to safety concerns.
- Democratic Responses to War Powers
- Senator Jeanne Shaheen's Insights:
- Attended a classified briefing regarding the war and shared concerns over the lack of a clear strategy from President Trump.
- Discussed the impending symbolic vote in Congress concerning war powers, noting that the war has already begun without their input.
- Emphasized the potential for Democrats to influence war funding through appropriations as a lever against the administration's actions.
- Rationale Behind Military Action
- Beth Sanner's Perspective:
- Discussed the conflicting justifications for the war, highlighting that the reasoning has shifted over time, contributing to confusion over U.S. objectives.
- Raised questions about the legality and rationale of military actions against Iran, emphasizing the need for a clear justification, particularly in light of international law.
- Analysis of U.S. Strategy:
- The contradictions between President Trump's and Secretary Rubio's statements regarding the initiation of hostilities were noted, indicating an unclear strategic direction.
- The debate on whether U.S. boots on the ground may be deployed in Iran was also addressed.
Key Takeaways
- Political Climate:
- The episode highlights a complex interplay between U.S. and Israeli politics, particularly how Netanyahu's historical stance against Iran affects current events.
- The Democratic Party's internal challenges regarding military actions reflect broader debates about war powers and executive authority.
- Impact on Future Elections:
- The political ramifications of the war may significantly impact Israeli elections, with public sentiment about Netanyahu's leadership under scrutiny.
- Concerns Over Legitimacy:
- The discussions reveal a pervasive skepticism regarding the legitimacy of military intervention without Congressional approval, showcasing a potential divide within the Democratic Party.
Conclusion The episode serves as a critical exploration of the current war with Iran, providing insights into the political dynamics at play both in the U.S. and Israel, as well as the challenges faced by lawmakers in addressing military actions taken by the executive branch. It underscores the importance of clarity in foreign policy decisions and the potential implications for both national and international contexts.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOThe War with Iran Begins
0:59 to 2:18
Discussion on the ongoing conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran.
“Today on the show, Congress waited until after President Trump went to war with Iran to hold a vote on war powers.”
On-the-Ground Update from Jerusalem
2:19 to 7:30
Emily Rose reports on the situation in Jerusalem amidst the war, including public sentiment and the effects on daily life.
“The vast majority of those deaths are in Iran.”
Senator Shaheen Discusses War Powers
8:17 to 14:00
Senator Jean Shaheen talks about congressional actions regarding war powers and the implications of the current conflict.
“Democratic lawmakers are moving forward with what will likely be a symbolic vote on war powers, expected tomorrow in the Senate and later this week in the House.”
Understanding the Justifications for War in Iran
15:06 to 20:17
A deep dive into the conflicting messages surrounding the U.S. military actions in Iran, featuring insights from Beth Sanner.
“The why of the Iran war is still a muddled message for many.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Jeanne Shaheen:Mary, what you reading over there?
0:01Emily Rose:Oh, hey Nick. It's the Planet Money book from NPR.
0:05Jeanne Shaheen:I would love to meet some of the people behind that. Is there any chance that I could do that in the upcoming future?
0:12Emily Rose:Nick, you're not going to believe this. The Planet Money team is going on tour. So we will be in a city near you. Tickets and information at planetmoneybook.com.
0:24Jeanne Shaheen:WBUR Podcasts. Boston.
0:29Marco Rubio:Netanyahu, for decades really, has seen a confrontation with Iran, he says, eliminating the threat of Iran upon Israel as a kind of crusade.
0:39Jeanne Shaheen:The leaders of both the U.S. and Israel are claiming credit for starting the war against Iran, which immediately exploded into a regional conflict.
0:59Jeanne Shaheen:It's Tuesday, March 3rd, and this is Here and Now, anytime from NPR and WBR. I'm Chris Bentley. Today on the show, Congress waited until after President Trump went to war with Iran to hold a vote on war powers. And that vote is still forthcoming as of Tuesday afternoon. But Democrats might have another chance to meaningfully oppose war by withholding money, says Senator Jean Shaheen of the Armed Services Committee.
1:28Emily Rose:We are spending billions of dollars with the buildup in the Middle East and with the ongoing operations. So at some point, I assume they're going to have to come back to Congress.
1:41Jeanne Shaheen:Also, a top intelligence official who served in the first Trump administration says the president's current inner circle is different than it was the first time around, and is unlikely to challenge him even on matters of war.
1:54Marco Rubio:And this circle of advisors is very limited, and they are all people who owe their positions to him and are very supportive.
2:03Jeanne Shaheen:That conversation coming up in about 15 minutes. But first, the State Department is now urging Americans in 14 countries to leave as the war with Iran spreads across the Middle East. More than 800 people have been killed in the conflict since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday. The vast majority of those deaths are in Iran. But Israel is escalating the war in Lebanon today, retaliating against missile strikes from Hezbollah with airstrikes on Beirut and a deployment of ground troops over the border into southern Lebanon. We called up Emily Rose for the latest on the war's expanding front lines and how it's going over so far in Israel.
2:44Jeanne Shaheen:She's a correspondent for Reuters based in Jerusalem, and she spoke to Robin Young.
2:49Marco Rubio:Today, the streets of Jerusalem are absolutely vacant, completely empty. Even stark it is, if you think about the fact that today is the Jewish holiday of Purim, when there would normally be these massive street parties that just go on for blocks, and it's completely empty, but for a few stranded tourists here and there, and just a few merchants opening up their shops, but mostly things have been closed.
3:13Emily Rose:Well, the U.S. State Department is urging Americans to leave 14 countries, including Israel. Are you seeing, you say some stranded tourists there, but are you seeing more than just Americans leaving?
3:27Marco Rubio:So what's interesting is that we're actually seeing reports of Israelis trying to get back to Israel. This is something we saw in the last round as well in June with Iran. stranded Israelis trying to get ships and come through land crossings via Egypt. So that's a phenomenon that we saw in the last round. We're seeing it again this round. And I have been hearing that tourists are trying to leave through land crossings and other mechanisms. But mostly that interesting element is to see Israelis actually trying to get back home.
3:57Emily Rose:Yeah. Well, Prime Minister Netanyahu gave an interview on Fox News last night, adamant that the war with Iran is a good thing.
4:05Marco Rubio:It's high time that the people of free societies understood that they have to act to protect their freedom and our way of life. We're fighting barbarians. Israel is at the front line of this battle against barbarism. And America, America under President Trump, has entered this fight to protect our civilization and to protect our common future.
4:28Emily Rose:Emily, what is your sense of the political support that he has for this war with Iran and, you know, a probable wider war?
4:39Marco Rubio:So I think one thing that's important to mention is that Netanyahu, for decades really, has seen a confrontation with Iran. He says eliminating the threat of Iran upon Israel as a kind of crusade. He's really spoken about this at length. And we also have to remember that Israel is heading into an election year. And this week, we saw many members of the Israeli opposition, so that is people who would be running against Netanyahu in the elections, come out and show support for this war, calling it a just war, saying that they do have support. But I do want to say that in the confrontation with Iran in June, there wasn't really a surge in support for Netanyahu after that in the polls.
5:18Marco Rubio:Actually, what we saw was that Netanyahu's bloc, his coalition, still wouldn't have the support it needs to form a government. And so we really do need to see how Israelis do poll after this confrontation if they do show that support and if we do see his coalition getting enough support to form a government.
5:40Emily Rose:Well, explain why things might be different now and then or the same, but why? Why? You know, that was supposed to obliterate the nuclear capability, which obviously didn't get obliterated. Does this feel more existential for people, this sense of, you know, it's maybe about regime change and all that that brings, the destabilization? What are you hearing?
6:02Marco Rubio:I've spoken to many Israelis who think that the origin of a lot of the threats against Israel via Iranian proxies, via Iranian direct actions, pose a deep, deep threat to Israel, and that's true. But that being said, when we look at Israeli domestic politics, there's a lot more at play. Netanyahu, there's still a good chunk of the population that discusses Netanyahu's possible responsibilities. for October 7th and the failures there. And so there are a lot of other domestic issues that might be at play when it comes down to elections. Those could still be at play, but it feels a lot like those politics will still play out.
6:47Marco Rubio:And we really need to see what the results of this military campaign will be in terms of their strategic results and their military results.
6:55Emily Rose:Well, just sticking with that, I mean, are you saying that there are people who might be thinking in Israelis, Israelis thinking that Netanyahu is doing this as a distraction from some of his own problems.
7:04Marco Rubio:There is a little bit of analysis and discussion about possibly this being kind of used to potentially delay budget passing, which might trigger early elections, though it's far too soon to tell. And again, this is still seen as something that Israelis really see as a deep threat to the Israeli state.
7:27Emily Rose:Reuters, Emily Rose in Jerusalem. Thank you. Thanks for having me.
7:34Jeanne Shaheen:Coming up next, a Democratic senator weighs in on what Congress could do to rein in President Trump. Stick around.
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8:24Jeanne Shaheen:Democratic lawmakers are moving forward with what will likely be a symbolic vote on war powers, expected tomorrow in the Senate and later this week in the House. Symbolic because the war has already begun without any input from Congress. Senator Jean Shaheen is a Democrat from New Hampshire. She's the ranking member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and a senior member of the Armed Services Committee. This morning, she spoke to Indira Lakshmanan.
8:49Marco Rubio:So you've just come from a hearing with Elbridge Colby, Undersecretary of Defense for Policy. What was your main takeaway?
8:58Emily Rose:I think he had a very difficult time in explaining why the nuclear defense strategy that he had written was inconsistent with the action that the president is taking now in Iran. Unfortunately, the president hasn't put forward a clear strategy for what we're doing in Iran. He hasn't really shared with the American people why it is we are undertaking this mission. He campaigned on ending forever wars, and yet what we're seeing in Venezuela, here in Iran, is putting us into potential entanglements that have no end point. And now he's left open the option of putting boots on the ground in Iran.
9:56Marco Rubio:Now, Senator, you asked the Undersecretary of Defense just now in testimony whether there had been efforts to dissuade Israel from attacking Iran? What were you able to learn in terms of the administration's actions and whether this war was one of necessity or one of choice?
10:16Emily Rose:Well, Undersecretary Colby really didn't answer that question. Now he's supposed to be the head of policy at the Department of Defense, so one would hope that if we were making policy decisions about whether to go to war in a country like Iran, that the head of policy should be part of those discussions. But he either wasn't part of the discussion or he refused to answer. Yeah.
10:43Marco Rubio:Senator, the president did not seek congressional approval for this war. Now you are trying to rein in his power after a war has already started. It doesn't look as if the Democrats have enough support from Republicans. Are there any other levers at your disposal right now?
11:02Emily Rose:Well, the other area where Democrats have the ability to weigh in is in appropriations. And what it appears the administration is going to need is additional funding to operate this war. And they haven't yet told us how much it's going to cost. But clearly, we are spending billions of dollars with the buildup in the Middle East and with the ongoing operations. So at some point, I assume they're going to have to come back to Congress. And all this is at a time when Americans are struggling with the cost of living, when the administration has said we can't afford to help people with keeping their health insurance because that's too expensive, that it's not too expensive to go to war.
11:51Emily Rose:So I think there are real questions here about where the president's priorities are.
11:57Marco Rubio:Interestingly, not everyone in the Democratic Party is opposed to the president on this. Democratic Senator John Fetterman of Pennsylvania posted on X that every member in the U.S. Senate agrees we cannot allow Iran to acquire a nuclear weapon. I'm baffled why so many are unwilling to support the only action to achieve that. What is your response to that? Do you see this war as the only action that could have stopped Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon?
12:27Emily Rose:No, what we heard from the negotiations that had been ongoing for weeks now from several negotiators, including the negotiator from Oman, was that they were making real progress. And what we know about something like the nuclear program is once they've got the knowledge on how to enrich uranium, it's very hard to eliminate everybody who has that knowledge. So the best way to ensure that they don't get a nuclear weapon is to have a negotiated settlement and have inspections from the IAEA that come in and make sure that they are not enriching uranium, that they are not building a nuclear weapon.
13:08Emily Rose:And unfortunately, President Trump turned his back on that negotiation process, even though they seem to be making real progress.
Read the full transcript
13:16Marco Rubio:President Trump told the New York Post yesterday that he would not rule out the possibility of U.S. boots on the ground. Based on what you're hearing from the administration, you met with Secretary of State Marco Rubio yesterday. You're in testimony today. Do you think there are going to be U.S. boots on the ground?
13:36Emily Rose:Well, I think it's unfortunate that they've refused to rule that out. We had the experience of Afghanistan and Iraq when we tried regime change and building a new country, and it didn't go so well there. So I think we've got to let the Iranians determine what their future is.
13:56Marco Rubio:Senator Jean Shaheen, Democrat of New Hampshire, is ranking member of the Foreign Relations Committee and a senior member of the Armed Services Committee. Thank you so much, Senator Shaheen. Good to talk to you.
14:11Jeanne Shaheen:Coming up, Robin Young speaks with the former Deputy Director of National Intelligence, who served in the Obama, Trump, and Biden administrations, about the shifting justifications for attacking Iran. Stick around.
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15:06Emily Rose:The why of the Iran war is still a muddled message for many. To review, the president said it was to stop Iran's nuclear capability. Then he told the Iranian people to, in effect, perform regime change by taking over their government. Then yesterday, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth contradicted him, saying this is not a so-called regime change war. And later, as Senator Shaheen alluded to, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said this.
15:30Marco Rubio:We knew that there was going to be an Israeli action. We knew that that would precipitate an attack against American forces. And we knew that if we didn't preemptively go after them before they launched those attacks, we would suffer higher casualties and perhaps even higher those killed. And then we would all be here answering questions about why we knew that and didn't happen.
15:48Emily Rose:Let's bring in Beth Sanner, former deputy director of national intelligence under Trump one and Biden, currently the director for geopolitics of the consulting group, International Capital Strategies. Beth, just your thoughts first on Rubio. We had to because Israel was going to. Your thoughts?
16:06Marco Rubio:Well, I think this is more about the question, not of why. The big picture of why is, I think, pretty settled. It's the why now. And today, President Trump in the Oval Office just a few minutes ago contradicted Secretary of State Rubio when asked this very question. And he said, well, actually, if it was anything, I pushed them, the Israelis. And so I think more muddled, more confused. First, I guess just very quickly, the reason this matters is a couple of reasons. One is international law. You have to have a rationale to attack another country. An imminent threat is specifically set. And I think that's why we see Marco Rubio really focused on this and why Congress is asking this question.
16:53Marco Rubio:And it makes a difference because if you're not prepared, if you're not knowing your end goals, if it just seems like you're making it up as you go, then what is why is the house on fire? Why are we doing this now?
17:06Emily Rose:Well, does it also matter because of ego and what you're just saying? You know, we hear Trump reacting to this notion that Rubio put out there, which, you know, Trump supporters reacted to fiercely on, you know, for instance, Marjorie Taylor Greene's Twitter to X feed. You know, her followers, his followers were saying, really, we did this because of Israel? You told us the same thing, you know. Really? tail wagging the dog. So, you know, ego does get involved in it.
17:42Marco Rubio:Yeah, I guess, you know, but I think that this is really the fact that we don't still know the answer to this very basic question of why are we here? Why have six members of our military died? Why are we spending billions of dollars and, as they say in the military lingo, attriting future readiness, which means, you know, we're using a lot of the munitions and air defenses that we need for other things, including Ukraine, including China. Yeah.
18:17Emily Rose:Well, as you said, Trump just a little while ago contradicted Rubio and said, no, it was me pushing Israel to do this. Israel's prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, who last night told Fox's Sean Hannity, it's him that's been pushing American administrations for decades to take action. Let's listen.
18:36Marco Rubio:I have spoken about it for decades, and I try to persuade successive American administrations to take firm action. And President Trump in his first term did.
18:48Emily Rose:Okay, so that gets us back a little into the ego bucket, like, you know, two male world leaders disagreeing over whose idea this was. But also you were in that Trump White House there in 2020 when the U.S. assassinated Iranian General Soleimani. Your read on Netanyahu's take.
19:10Marco Rubio:Well, Netanyahu also laughed when it was suggested that it was the tail wagging the dog. And then he went on to that explanation. I mean, you know, look, do you become president of the United States? anyone. I consider President Biden in this as well, without a pretty healthy ego. No, you do not. And so I think that all of these people who are in these positions of power, and, you know, frankly, President Trump coming back almost from the political dead, I would say, you know, you have to have this strong ego. But I would also say this administration is very different than the first. And this circle of advisors is very limited, and they are all people who owe their positions to him and are very supportive.
20:00Yeah.
20:00Emily Rose:Beth Saner, we're going to have to have you back, but we should say that many analysts are saying that the answer to the why now is that agents from the U.S. have been tracking Iranian leaders for months. They knew there was going to be this vulnerable meeting of all of the top leaders, and it was the moment to strike. But we will pick this up with you again. Beth Sanner, former Deputy Director of National Intelligence. Thank you so much.
20:22Marco Rubio:Thank you.
20:26Jeanne Shaheen:That's our show for today. Lots more on the war with Iran at hereandnow.org and npr.org. Make sure you're following this show so you keep up with our coverage. We'll have more tomorrow. Today's stories were produced by Will Walkie, Jill Ryan, and Hafsa Qureshi. Our editors were Todd Munt, Michael Scotto, and Kat Welch. Technical direction from Caleb Green and James Trout. Our theme music is by Mike Moschetto, Max Liebman, and me, Chris Bentley. Our digital producers are Allison Hagen and Grace Griffin, and Here and Now's executive producer is Alan Price. Here and Now Anytime comes from NPR and WBUR Boston.
21:02Jeanne Shaheen:Thanks for listening. We'll be back with you tomorrow.
From the publisher
Then, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) attended a classified briefing with Secretary of State Marco Rubio. She’s part of a cohort of Democratic lawmakers working to rein in President Trump, and details what an upcoming vote on war powers could mean.
And, the Trump administration has cited regime change, destroying nuclear weapons and preemptive action as justifications for war with Iran. Former Deputy Director of National Intelligence Beth Sanner shares more.
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