In short
How Western countries (especially the UK and US) have lost “building” capacity—replacing engineering and state capacity with “sounding clever” politics, law-school dominance, and litigation-heavy bureaucracy—while China’s leadership culture has prioritized engineering, construction, and infrastructure as legitimacy. The episode also connects this to AI’s future impact on jobs (including law) and to how governments should attract talent (e.g., Singapore-style civil service pay) and preserve “process knowledge” in manufacturing.
Guest
Dan Wang, China expert and author of Breakneck: China’s Quest to Engineer the Future. He’s a writer (contributing to The New York Times) and has held fellowships including at Stanford’s Hoover Institution and Yale Law School.
Key claims
UK/US verbal cleverness blocks projects; US political elites are disproportionately lawyers; China’s leadership has an engineering ethos (e.g., Politburo engineering backgrounds) and builds visible power/infrastructure; AI may reduce document-heavy legal work; governments need better incentives and state capacity.
Notable examples
London homebuilding collapse; Heathrow third runway cost; US subway stop by 1970s; Robert Moses; “fish disco” and HS2 bat mitigation; China’s Three Gorges Dam, high-speed rail, and Guizhou’s tall bridges; Apple’s China design-manufacturing feedback loop.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOChina's Economic Revolution
0:34 to 0:56
Explore the recent economic changes in China and their global implications.
“It can help you with practically anything on the web, like restoring a vintage motorcycle from a 50-page restoration block, or finally break down that long article you've had open for weeks.”
China's Economic Revolution
1:40 to 2:54
Explore the recent economic changes in China and their global implications.
“So welcome to this episode of Jimmy's Jobs of the Future with Dan Wang.”
UK's Struggles with Infrastructure
2:54 to 4:36
Discuss the UK's challenges in infrastructure and government effectiveness.
“Every time I am wandering through London, and I come here maybe once or twice a year, I walk through some of the best bookstores in the world.”
Verbal Cleverness vs. Building
4:36 to 6:35
Analyze the UK’s emphasis on verbal cleverness over practical construction.
“I mean, some of the examples that you give in the book, you actually compare the New York underground system and the Parisian one, but you put the UK alongside it.”
Cleverness and Political Leadership
6:35 to 7:57
Examine how educational backgrounds influence political leadership in the UK and US.
“Why do you think the UK has suffered with this so badly?”
Lawyers in Politics
7:57 to 14:00
Explore the dominance of lawyers in American politics and its implications.
“Now, of course, it is much more complex than whether someone can crack a really good joke.”
The Meritocracy Debate: US vs UK
14:00 to 18:00
Exploring the differences in meritocracy and social mobility between the US and UK.
“And once you're in Yale, you've escaped the permanent underclass.”
The Role of Education and Politics in Leadership
18:00 to 22:20
Discussing how educational background influences political leadership in the UK.
“I mean, I suppose it comes to that sounding clever bit again, doesn't it?”
Engineering and Leadership in China
22:20 to 26:00
Examining how engineering backgrounds shape China's political leadership.
“And I think the difference today is that if you take a look at some of these members of the Politburo, many of them have actually run major engineering projects.”
China's Infrastructure and Global Standing
26:00 to 28:00
Analyzing China's impressive infrastructure projects and their implications.
“or perhaps the most needlessly impressive?”
Show all 21 chapters
AI's Role in Global Competitiveness
28:00 to 29:15
Explore how AI capabilities and semiconductor access affect global competitiveness.
“Which skill set is best placed in the AI world?”
The Evolution of Software Jobs
29:15 to 30:39
Discuss the changing landscape of software jobs and their value in the AI era.
“You know, the number one way that people were mocking me 15 years ago, they would tell me something like, Dan, what is the use of writing, why don't you go learn to code?”
Redefining Stamina in Work
30:39 to 32:23
Examine the concept of stamina in work and the need for more meaningful tasks.
“It's interesting on that because Tyler Cohen talks a lot about a lot of what those jobs in top law firms, investment banks are in people's 20s are training their corporate stamina, essentially.”
The Writer's Perspective on AI
32:23 to 34:24
Understanding the evolving role of writers and the irreplaceable human experience.
“I do not have any useful skill to give to the engineering state or really the lawyerly society.”
Exploring the World Beyond AI
34:24 to 37:25
Reflect on the importance of sensory experiences and storytelling in a tech-driven world.
“And I spent quite a lot of time just driving around these highways that are roughly 12 lanes that are filled with giant cacti.”
Challenges in Public Life and Governance
37:25 to 42:00
Analyze the decline of public service ambition and compare with global examples.
“And we have to think about stories, arguments that excite people.”
Empowering Bureaucrats and Civil Servants
42:00 to 43:26
Explore the concept of linking the performance of civil servants to GDP growth.
“And Singapore is one of those cities, countries that worry about too much of a brain drain into government rather than out of government.”
Loss of Process Knowledge in the U.S.
43:26 to 45:48
Discuss the decline of institutional process knowledge in the U.S. and its implications.
“Now, obviously, this is GDP is such an imperfect thing.”
Apple's Supply Chain Strategy
45:48 to 47:55
Analyze how Apple's manufacturing strategy may differ from other companies.
“And they did not practice trying to keep up a lot of this knowledge.”
Generational Perspectives on Opportunity
47:55 to 52:39
Examine the different opportunities and challenges faced by generations in America.
“process knowledge is something that the United States has to give up because Apple infamously is a company that designs in California and manufactures in China.”
Podcasting Tips and Closing Thoughts
52:39 to 54:32
Discuss voice projection tips for podcasting and wrap up the episode.
“Because hey, if even I as a writer can make a living, Stanford grads can probably do so at a much higher level.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Push your limits, train with precision, see the results. At Equinox, that's high performance loving. Iconic spaces that inspire. Personal training backed by real data. Unlimited group fitness classes from yoga and Pilates to strength and conditioning. Elevate your post-performance ritual with saunas, steam rooms, cold plunges, and more. Everything you need to lock in and unlock your potential at Equinox. Start today at equinox.com.
0:31Dan Wang:This episode is brought to you by Google Chrome. You think you know a browser, but Gemini and Chrome, that's new. It can help you with practically anything on the web, like restoring a vintage motorcycle from a 50-page restoration block, or finally break down that long article you've had open for weeks. Gemini and Chrome is here for it. Ready to make anything online make sense? There's no place like Chrome. Check responses set up required, compatibility and availability varies 18+. Welcome to Jimmy's Jobs of the Future. Today's guest is China expert Dan Wang and I found reading his book on China one of the most interesting things that I have read this year partly because he talks about the recent economic revolution that's happened there the kind of domestic policy interventions that have happened around the one child policy and it's a really great insight into how China is adapting and changing to the new era.
1:23You'll enjoy this episode if you enjoyed our episode with Ed Conway as well where we talked about how China has become so strong on electric vehicles. If you want to understand the modern day global economy, you have to understand China. And this is the best episode that we have done recording on it. So welcome to this episode of Jimmy's Jobs of the Future with Dan Wang. Dan, thank you so much for coming on Jimmy's Jobs of the Future. You have just written a brilliant book. Well, not just written, it's been out for a little while. China's quest to engineer the future on, and it's called Breakneck.
1:57I found it a fascinating read comparing China and America and the way that they approach their society and state. I almost missed your afterwards. And I was going to start. Oh, no, that's the best part. Exactly. So I just wanted to start with this. For better or worse, it is still China and the United States that are remaking the world. The mausoleum economy of Europe remains in a state of bewilderment. Perhaps it is even kinder not to mention the United Kingdom, though I'm delighted to have so many British readers. Every problem in the lawly society is worse in the UK. Home building in London has collapsed.
2:40Heathrow has been making plans to build a third runway for 20 years, which is now expected to cost£20 billion. Britain's electrical network is in even worse disrepair than America's. I am not sure if it is a geopolitical asset to have a stiff upper lip one's way through an ineffectual government. maybe it's more of a liability but you say it's not kind to mention the United Kingdom I did want to start there yes how could the United Kingdom fix itself
3:08Dan Wang:I think what the UK is really really good at just to be a little bit more kind is everything relating with the sounding clever industries by which I mean universities finance media television the Brits are the best in the world at this sort of business, don't you think? Yes. Every time I am wandering through London, and I come here maybe once or twice a year, I walk through some of the best bookstores in the world. I think that the UK has probably the best overall media environment in terms of the highest quality media environment that's available to people between things like the Financial Times and still parts of the BBC, as well as Jimmy Jobs of the future.
3:54Dan Wang:You heard it here first. So there are all sorts of really amazing intellectual assets here in the UK. And I think that people are really, really good at speaking. Just my experience of getting here on the tube, just hearing British Airways, what people say, it just makes a little bit more sense than what the Americans are capable of. And so the speaking here is really, really amazing. What's not so amazing is the ability to construct, because you can't talk a nuclear power plant into existence. You can't even talk a third runway into existence. But that's what the Brits have been trying to do, and we don't have the runway yet.
4:34Dan Wang:Where's the runway? Yeah, tell me about it. But it's not just the runway. I mean, some of the examples that you give in the book, you actually compare the New York underground system and the Parisian one, but you put the UK alongside it. It's even worse. But break down why you think that's happened. I think that the problem with essentially most Western societies is that they more or less gave up on the idea of building at various points towards the last quarter of the 20th century. So I think we can trace fairly clearly in the United States that something radically shifted in 1970. There were a whole bunch of things came together to make it much, much more difficult to build public housing, to build any sort of housing.
5:23Dan Wang:Subway construction mostly stopped by the 1970s. Maybe it's a different trajectory here in the UK. And the French have a slightly different issue. But one good thing about the French is that they have just many more homes for people with roughly the same population as the United Kingdom. And they have many more nuclear power plants, and they have much cheaper and better energy because of that. But so often when I am walking around Western societies, whether that's in Europe, North America, Canada, where I'm from, especially the Anglosphere, basically we're living through the faded infrastructure, these industrial ruins that essentially our grandparents' generation build more or less 50 to maybe 100 years ago in the case of London, or maybe 150 years ago in the case of London.
6:15Dan Wang:So I think what we really need to do is to get into a little bit of a spirit of renewal such that we are able to maintain this infrastructure because it's not super well maintained and build more because we live in a material world and we need to get much, much better at serving the material needs of the population. Why do you think the UK has suffered with this so badly? I don't spend enough time in the UK to have any firm answer, but perhaps it has something to do with this verbal cleverness that I identified at the beginning of our conversation. I thought that maybe it is not so much the lawyerly society in the UK, what I think characterizes the UK as the PPE society, where it is pretty remarkable that so many prime ministers have went to Oxford University and studied politics, philosophy, and economics.
7:13Dan Wang:This is like a giant string of all of them. And you have these amazingly erudite, learned prime ministers like Boris Johnson, who can recite, is it ancient Greek or Latin? I'm sure it is both. and Churchill off his sleeve. You know, so it is just, we have these very fun speakers. But there is some sense in which verbal cleverness, perhaps when you use humor to deflect the issue, the issues never really get solved. And it is much more these Scandi countries, Germanic countries like Germany, Austria, Switzerland, the Japanese, which have less of a prize of verbal dancing that they have been able to do a little bit more.
7:57Dan Wang:Now, of course, it is much more complex than whether someone can crack a really good joke. But I think that there is something of an emphasis issue here where the UK and to some extent the US prize much more verbal acrobatics rather than the shape rotation that is much more important. Have you heard the theory about how the university essay system in the United Kingdom led to Brexit? Tell me about the SA system. Well, the SA system is that most of the places in the world, you can achieve a first by arguing in favour of the status quo. But in, particularly at Oxbridge, it's prized that you have to argue against the status quo to get the first.
8:45That's what gets you there. And that was what Boris Johnson was trying to do, and Michael Gove to a certain degree with Brexit, was argue against the status quo. and that was almost the way they'd been trained.
8:56Dan Wang:That is an attractive idea where, again, there is a little bit too much, maybe you can even call it nihilistic cleverness, that the UK system seems to prize. But what we need to get to is kind of an engineering, get it done, and look at the actual state of the world, maybe get out your measuring tape and do a few measurements rather than create a few arguments. and actually start the building. Yeah, great. Well, let's talk about that for the next 45 minutes and try and sound a little bit clever. You're making me guilty for, feeling guilty for not building more. But the, I was interested, we'll get on to China, but sort of America, I hadn't appreciated actually that how many American presidents had been to law school.
9:44So it's five of the last 10.
9:46Dan Wang:Yes, and this started from the very beginning of the Republic. So if we take a look at the first 13 U.S. presidents, everyone from George Washington to Abraham Lincoln, 10 of them were lawyers of some sort. Three of them were generals. But basically, this is, I think, kind of actually the essence of the American leadership. You have a lot of lawyers. You have some national security minded people thrown in there. You know, I think Donald Trump is more of an aberration with this emphasis on business. Actually, I think there haven't been that many business people as American presidents. But that is kind of the historical origin of the United States.
10:28Dan Wang:And in the recent past, the lawyers have had kind of a run of the show, especially within the Democratic Party. So if we take a look at every presidential nominee from the Democrats between 1980 to 2024, terminating with Kamala Harris in the last election, all of them had gone to law school. And so, you know, you have this kind of really crazy dominance where, you know, it's kind of almost one profession that keeps capturing the White House. And this is, you know, if we want to play around a little bit more with this idea of verbal cleverness, then, you know, the United States has learned a little bit too much from this United Kingdom thing.
11:12Dan Wang:I thought we were happy to break apart from the king and the crown here. Unfortunately, you know, we are learning too much verbal cleverness from the Brits. And these are who we keep elevating. and so why do you think that lawyers as a because one of the things i'm fascinated by is the status of jobs we don't talk about that much here in the united kingdom and so on there's a lot kind of insinuated from different roles and so on and i think the job title is fascinating clearly law is put on a pedestal in the united states much more so why is that I think that there are many English institutions that also really prize the law.
11:57Dan Wang:And I want to say that this comes from the heritage of partly the British Isles. So as I was walking around London yesterday, I passed by the Inns of Court, the Lincolns Inn. And these are some beautiful law fields where barristers and solicitors have their, I guess, their finishing touches of training. and all the lawyers have to belong to one of these associations. Is it the Inceph Court, Inn of the Middle Temple, Inn of the Higher Temple, all these kind of crazy names out there. You have the wonderful literature by Dickens, like in Bleak House. Set around the... Set around Chancery Court, in which you have this interminable lawsuit, Charndyce and Charndyce, which is obviously Dickens' best novel.
12:45Dan Wang:and that kind of revolves around this lawsuit. We have these quotes from Shakespeare, one of the Henry ad, I believe. First thing we do, let's kill all the lawyers, said by Dick the Butcher. And it's hard to know what Shakespeare is ever thinking, but I think that phrase is more sympathetic to the lawyers. So there is something about having to debate, discuss through this adversarial process, And that has carried over to the United States. And when I was writing this book, I was a fellow at the Yale Law School. And Yale Law School is a very elite law school, perhaps even slightly more elite than Harvard Law.
13:34Dan Wang:At least they like to think so, mostly because Yale Law's class size is, I think, something like one-third the size of Harvard's. And so they are a very selective bunch, much more involved in theory. And it just felt very self-consciously like the training ground to be part of the American elite. In the U.S., much more of the educational system feels like either go to Yale or you go to jail. And once you're in Yale, you've escaped the permanent underclass. Everything is going to be good. And so it becomes all the more important to have one of these positions. And it has something to do with the selection and being a magnet of all of the most ambitious people who are not necessarily very good at maths anyway, and kind of throwing them into this environment, networking such that they all know each other, leveraging this brand to go into Congress or the White House or a white shoe big law.
14:34Dan Wang:And from these advantages, it is actually pretty well self-perpetuating. Do you think America is a more meritocratic society now? Doesn't sound it from what you say there? I think relative to the United Kingdom and relative to I think anywhere in the continental Europe, I would say that the United States is still pretty meritocratic. And it is meritocratic, especially in one key respect, which is that it is able to absorb a lot of high-skilled immigrants, some of the most ambitious immigrants in the world, and sort of welcome them into the intellectual as well as the policy as well as the financial elite.
15:18Dan Wang:So I am a fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. Stanford is in the heart of Silicon Valley. And all around us are people who have our first generation immigrants, people who are coming predominantly from South Asia as well as East Asia and getting promoted and starting their own companies, founding their own startups, becoming the leaders of some of the biggest companies in Silicon Valley. And such a thing is possible in the United States. It is still pretty possible in the United Kingdom. I think that you do see quite a few immigrant tech founders who are running big companies in the United Kingdom.
16:07Dan Wang:You have some people who are not just the usual set, who have become members of parliament and the elite. And so you do see this to some extent, and I think you see this much, much less on continental Europe. But I think a lot about how the United States is still relatively the most open and the most meritocratic Western society, in part because all of these, let's say, capitalist bosses are willing to let the most talented person run a company, even though they don't have the same skin color as a lot of country club old elites. What do you think about that thought? Is the UK also pretty good at absorbing immigrants?
16:56It's pretty good at absorbing immigrants. And of course, you look at Rishi Sunak, sort of became our first South Asian prime minister. And it wasn't actually that big of a talking point when it happened, partly because it was in the midst of lots of other political chaos. But one of the things I reflect on at that time was, this is actually not that big of a deal. So I agree with it to that extent. I think social mobility-wise, we're quite good, actually, in the United Kingdom. You look at our two most recent prime ministers, Keir Starmer and Nandi Burnham. Both did not come from particularly privileged backgrounds.
17:34But I wonder if politics lends itself to that a bit more than business, perhaps, in some ways. I think the old-school networks are probably there in corporate Britain more. I think it's an interesting distinction between kind of entrepreneurs and corporate Britain, because I think entrepreneurship is much more measured in terms of your ability. How do you think us having an English literature graduate will affect Britain? I mean, I suppose it comes to that sounding clever bit again, doesn't it?
18:08Dan Wang:I think this is kind of the issue where everything is about sounding clever. In our episode that we did with him, you may know we were the first podcast to go in and interview Andy Burnham, but he broke into poetry halfway through, which I was quite impressed by. And maybe this is what we have to be a little bit more resistant of, that we cannot simply elevate people who can recite a long poetry. So I think a little bit about what counts as meritocracy. and after Imperial China went kind of off the rails, it had a little bit of this poetry-led society as well because the infamous examination system that Imperial China has been administering since essentially the Sui Dynasty, which is about 1 ,200 years ago at this point now, it eventually grew to something that was much more formalistic about writing this something called an eight-legged essay, which the formal structure was very well set.
19:15Dan Wang:And it became about memorizing just reams of ancient texts. And the conceit in the Chinese imperial system was that all of these administrators were simultaneously excellent at technocratic administration, amazing generals of war, but above all else, they're great Confucian poets and now can recite all the classical texts. And look where they ended up. So easily conquered by plenty of other countries, including the United Kingdom, or perhaps most infamously. And perhaps what we need is someone who has studied chemistry. Now, did any UK prime minister study chemistry? Oh, well, maybe I can think of at least one.
20:01Dan Wang:Let's say someone like Margaret Thatcher. And I don't know how most people think about that era. I didn't grow up in the north of the UK. Perhaps you have a certain perspective on Thatcher. But at least I think we can say in some crucial ways, Thatcher was able to get some pretty important reforms, whether or not you agree with all those reforms. Well, quite. Of course, our other most transformational prime minister was Tony Blair, who was a lawyer. So it's interesting how we've had both there. But also the leader of the Conservative Party now is an engineer, Kemi Badenow, as well. So it will be interesting.
20:35How's her poetry? Exactly. Well, let's talk a bit about China and engineering. And I was, another plug for the book Breakneck, one of the things I particularly enjoyed about it actually was that there is, you do bring forward quite a lot of Chinese history and I didn't know lots of it. And so it's a fascinating light touch read on that. It's the best book I've read for anyone who wants to understand China from every aspect. And again, I hadn't realized that all of the Politburo are engineers by background.
21:07Dan Wang:That was true. I think less true today, but at a certain point when it was at the peak in the year 2002, all nine members of the standing committee of the Politburo had degrees in engineering, starting with the chief, then party general secretary, Hu Jintao was trained as a hydraulic engineer. His deputy, the premier, Wen Jiabao, was trained as a geologist. You go on and on and you see all of these degrees relating to some sort of heavy industry, very Soviet form of engineering. Not all of them actually did any work as an engineer. Plenty of them simply received their degree and then started administering villages, towns, cities, provinces before they were elevated into the standing committee of the Politburo.
21:58Dan Wang:But it was a very engineering ethos. And this was a pretty explicit construction by the paramount leader, who was China's most important leader. After Mao Zedong, it was Deng Xiaoping, perhaps the Tony Blair to Margaret Thatcher. But, you know, you had this kind of an amazing run of engineers, which still persists today. And I think the difference today is that if you take a look at some of these members of the Politburo, many of them have actually run major engineering projects. So the chief of the crewed space mission, so the person delivering astronauts to the moon, he is now running one of China's biggest cities, the city of Chongqing.
22:46Dan Wang:And you have people from the weapons ministries, people from the munitions ministries, people from the aviation ministries who are administering major provinces and it is just much, much more difficult to identify something similar in the West. And why does engineering have such high status then in China? Partly, this was a creation of Deng Xiaoping, in which Deng Xiaoping took a look at the political wreckage of the Mao Zedong years after all the famines, after these crazy leftist revolutions. he decided that we need the opposite of a poet. And what is the opposite of a poet? Of course, it is an engineer.
23:35Dan Wang:So he promotes sort of the most boring people possible into the leadership, people who have minimal personalities, at least in any sort of a public setting, in which there is essentially not even any variation in hair color among all the members the politburo because they dye it all to the same shade of black so you have um you know kind of these super boring technocratic managers some of whom have actually had real engineering experience building a dam or something else and they feel like what they the way that they can really establish their legitimacy to the eyes of the population as well as to the rest of the world is to build a really giant dam and to produce a lot of electrical power.
24:23Dan Wang:And these things photograph very well. You can broadcast these images to the population. People really like them. And that's a demonstration of your prowess. And I think there is also a little bit more of this East Asian confusion, perhaps, attitude of what really matters are scoring well on tests because you want to get into the right school so you can get into the right engineering department or a law firm. And it is much easier to score well on mathematics because there is no, that's really straightforward to establish truth in mathematics, whereas trying to grade a really good essay, well, only the Oxford dons are able to do that very well.
25:10Dan Wang:And it becomes
25:14Dan Wang:who are wearing these bizarre suits and crazy bowler hats and trying to impress them really well becomes much more of a difficult challenge. So people just feel like meritocracy means scoring very well on tests and the easiest tests to score on on those in which there are much more objective results. That's interesting. And I hadn't thought so much about the modern day prowess in a world that's less dominated by war in terms of the end of the 20th century, actually the sort of infrastructure prowess and being able to use that as a status symbol across the world is really interesting sort of thought.
25:58What's the most impressive thing that China has built or perhaps the most needlessly impressive?
26:06Dan Wang:I would cite a couple of things. So there are all of these bridges in the southwestern province of Guicho where I cycled through, which is a heavily mountainous, very poor, and this very poor province has 50, five zero of the world's tallest bridges, tallest 100 bridges. So you know does a very poor province really need so many tall bridges? That is kind of a perhaps a useless demonstration of considerable prowess. The Three Gorges Dam, how important was that? It is the world's most powerful power station. It's the world's largest power station. So it has the capacity of several nuclear power plants, I believe.
26:56And you have
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26:57Dan Wang:a really extensive high-speed rail network throughout the country. Works very well. and initially when the country started building high-speed rail in 2008, many economists were poo-pooing the idea because such a poor country at the time did not really need so much high-speed rail. But I think at this point now, it is really difficult to say, well, what is useless and what is not? Because you build a bridge connecting two nowheres, well, now they can become two somewheres. And so there is definitely a lot of waste, but we live in dynamic economies because as soon as you give someone a road or a bridge and you start connecting them into markets and cities, you do start creating some greater opportunity.
27:46Dan Wang:And I would much, much rather err on the side of overbuilding rather than underbuilding. It's interesting, one of the other sort of definitions of what you talk about is how America has become much more sort of software, virtual dominated, and China is much more hardware orientated. Which skill set is best placed in the AI world? Too soon to tell. So China has not developed as good AI as the United States, in part because it doesn't have the right chips. It cannot get its hands on the NVIDIA chips. It cannot build the best chips in the world. And it has sort of been following, has been a very good fast follower of the United States, which has been inventing some of the frontier models.
28:40Dan Wang:So it could be the case that what is most important is some element of software, this dominance in semiconductors, which is in part a software problem. And that is how you get the best AI models. On the other hand, it could be the case that we don't really need the frontier models, except only for a few use cases. what is much more important is the ability to deploy AI across the entire economy. And these are things that I think all of us are really trying to grapple with because the answers are so unclear. So I'm a writer. I live in Silicon Valley. You know, the number one way that people were mocking me 15 years ago, they would tell me something like, Dan, what is the use of writing, why don't you go learn to code?
29:32Dan Wang:But you've heard that before. Learn to code, you loser. So I heard that quite a lot. And I was like, oh, man, I suck. Maybe I need to be much more technical here. But look at where the coders are now. Where are those coders now? A lot of the software development jobs have evaporated. And it is now really much more difficult to graduate with a computer science degree from a university as skillful as Stanford and not get an amazing job afterwards. So, you know, and there is another way in which AI might replace perhaps a lot of the lawyers. So a lot of legal work is all of this document review, all of this essentially glorified fact checking.
30:22Dan Wang:And that is, in fact, not the most valuable thing in the new AI world. And so it's hard to say whether AI might destroy actually quite a lot of the sounding clever industries first and distribute power more to a country like China, which is able to manufacture much more. It's a little bit too soon to tell. It's interesting on that because Tyler Cohen talks a lot about a lot of what those jobs in top law firms, investment banks are in people's 20s are training their corporate stamina, essentially. That's what it is. How do you think we will do that if we're not fact-checking documents? and spreadsheets?
31:00Dan Wang:Well, I think that we have to distinguish a little bit of what is stamina for stamina's sake and what is stamina in terms of actually useful tasks. Because if a lot of this stamina inducing work is not in fact intellectually demanding, why don't we make all of these first your law associates retype Shakespeare or you know something even more trivial because we actually have to make sure that people are have really good tasks in front of them and I am not convinced that just you know putting the finishing touches on a PowerPoint and adjusting color and shadow and light and font is really the most important use of time for a lot of pretty high by-powered people in their early 20s.
31:51Dan Wang:And so I think we do have to give some really useful work for them. And perhaps there is some stamina. Perhaps it just involves querying a chat GPT-like tool, some sort of chat bot, or making a more interesting use of AI in some way. Or maybe what they really need to do is to go out into the streets and really talk to people. Because it could be the case that AI is making all of this essentially busy work, useless, and what is much more important is relational work. And so maybe what we all need to do is to chat with strangers and see how we can relate to them. Yeah, sound clever. So Brits are well-placed, perhaps.
32:31Perhaps. And you describe yourself as a writer. Is that what you would call your job? So my job is email.
32:41Dan Wang:I have an email job. I do not have any useful skill to give to the engineering state or really the lawyerly society. I think the first thing I will say is that I have no skills. But I do identify as an author and being a writer means anything to anyone. So yes, I am a writer. So how do your days and weeks break down then? Because I think writing, as you say, may become a very high-status job again. One could hope. But first, one has to wade through all of the clotslop that lives on LinkedIn, as well as even a lot of major books that are being published now. and I hope we put this episode up on LinkedIn and we can have all of the LinkedIn people hear about all of the slop that they...
33:35But they've brought in that marker now, haven't they? Which means that if you suspect someone, then you can call them out on it.
33:44Dan Wang:We call them out and then what happens? I think nothing really happens. So you don't go into LinkedIn jail if you post a lot of slop. People just read it and give it a head nod and then move on to the next sloppy post. So I think that, but I think that there is a world in which I think being a writer is starting to be really fun and important again. So I am also a contributing writer to the New York Times. And I think a lot about how, you know, it is just really, really fun being a reporter and driving out to different places. So I have a, I wrote an essay based on spending 10 days in Phoenix, Arizona.
34:24Dan Wang:And I spent quite a lot of time just driving around these highways that are roughly 12 lanes that are filled with giant cacti. And you're in the Sonoran Desert and it's very beautiful. And I'm out there speaking to people and writing a long essay about my experiences. And that just felt really, really fun. And there are all sorts of things that AI is able to do. But you know what it can't do? Smell anything. I can't see anything. And there's all sorts of ways in which this giant machine god lacks all sensory perception of anything. And so maybe what is now really important is to go to the Sonoran Desert and smell the morning mist.
35:12Dan Wang:And feel what it's like to have the sun scorch off all the humidity and scorch off all the dew. And to be really hot and think about what all of that means. and what's really important is to just go out there, use our eyes and noses and ears to examine the world and then try to convey what that's like because the AI still isn't able to do much of that very well. Perhaps we'll not be able to do that very well for a very long time indeed. Yeah. Where else is on your to-go list? Where interests you at the moment and why? This weekend I shall be going to the Cotswolds to walk those rolling hills and stay in these charming homes.
35:56Dan Wang:And that feels like a really delightful space where I will be doing some thinking on AI with a couple of other friends. I just came from spending a better part of two weeks with my wife and our parents in the Austrian Alps, in which the Alps are obviously such an amazingly beautiful place that you would I could barely believe it you would take a look at these Alps and you would think that they're AI generated even though they are absolutely real life and then for the rest of the year I shall be spending my time in places like Paris where I'm going to launch my book very soon my French edition is coming out I'll be going to Singapore and I spend quite a lot of my time just walking around the great cities and villages of Asia where life is very very different from how we are in London right now or where I usually live in the United States and you know the food culture is so different the way that people relate to nature is super different that you know cultures are very very diverse and so you know I I think, again, this is where it is just really, really important to go out there, examine the world and tell other people what they see, because the AI can produce Wikipedia-length articles on anything, but they can't create good stories yet.
37:27Dan Wang:And we have to think about stories, arguments that excite people. one of the stories arguments that i think we need to do to excite people is persuading more people to go into public life i think this is a problem across the west actually and your book touches on a couple of people towards the end who did do that and one of your observations is that we don't have as many of those people anymore why is that the case do you think I think that part of the turn towards the Loyalist Society, at least in the United States, was that a few too many engineers were in charge. So the canonical case here is Robert Moses, who is the great builder of New York City.
38:21Dan Wang:and it is easier to name major projects in New York City that Robert Moses didn't build than things that he did build. He built things like the Lincoln Center, which is where the opera and the ballet live, major bridges, a lot of well-running public housing projects that are also quite beautiful, swimming pools, public parks. and people felt that Robert Moses overreached as indeed he did. He bulldozed quite a lot of neighborhoods. There was very little of a public consultation process before he would turf you out of your flat and then say you're on your ass and you have to go find a new home. And so you had a couple of these engineering administrator types who definitely overreached.
39:15Dan Wang:You had the Department of Agriculture in the United States, which sprayed DDT pesticides across the entire country, killed a lot of the wildlife, and that was a mistake. You had the Army Corps of Engineers dam essentially every river in the west of the United States, and that was also probably a mistake. And then people reacted very strongly against that. And part of what is really important since the 1970s in the United States is to put a lot of rules on civil servants, on a lot of administrators, such that they have to be extremely fearful of mostly litigation by people that stop a lot of projects in their tracks.
40:00Dan Wang:And so you have to do very extensive pre-planning work to make sure that you have checked every box, to make sure that you're harming neither fish nor fowl, to make sure that nothing bad gets done. You have some odd things in the UK, like have you heard of the fish disco? Yes. Yes. Okay. I don't need to explain the fish disco to you, but spending, what is it? Tens of millions of pounds to scare away potentially one salmon from a duck. And that is just these sort of things that only the - The bats with HS2 as well, 100 ,000 pounds per bat. I would, you know, if this was Chinese, they would crush all of the bats in their way.
40:47Dan Wang:But, you know, this is so, you know, we have all of these roles that make it particularly unenticing for people who want to have anything done go into government. And so perhaps it is not a surprise that high ambition people who really wish to, you know, if not better society, then better themselves. Then they go into hedge funds as well as tech firms rather than trying to serve the public benefit. So how do we try and persuade it? How do we elevate public office and public life more generally? How do we copy what Singapore have done? well, the Singaporeans pay their civil servants very, very, very well.
41:29Dan Wang:And so I think that a lot of the top ministers in the civil service, a lot of the top ministers, and I understand that a lot of the top ministers in the Singapore government are paid multi-million dollar packages, and they are paid very generously. A lot of the professional civil servants are also able to have very good pay, as well as all sorts of financial bonuses if they meet their targets. And Singapore is one of those cities, countries that worry about too much of a brain drain into government rather than out of government. Imagine that. What sort of a country has that sort of a problem? So, you know, this is kind of also a culture of empowering the bureaucrats.
42:21Dan Wang:And this is something that I think about a little bit more at Stanford. I'm working with my colleague Francis Fukuyama on a project on improving state capacity in the United States. And what Fukuyama has been thinking very extensively about has been to try to, you know, raise the quality of the civil service and to empower the bureaucrats rather than visiting the pettiest rules and checking all the boxes against some people who wish very much to do public good and who should be able to given the tools to do their job and this is something that we believe quite strongly that might just have been the best name drop that we've ever had on jimmy's jobs of the future that was extraordinary um so much so that you've you've thrown me off my point that i was going to make what do you make of the idea of civil servants and politicians pay being linked to how well gdp figures are going if the singaporeans are doing it let's do it too Why not?
43:28Dan Wang:Now, obviously, this is GDP is such an imperfect thing. The GDP of Denmark over the last couple of years has exploded because of Ozenpig and Novo Nordisk. Is that really a creation of the Danish government? I'd be a little bit skeptical. Maybe there's some good data here. But, you know, why not? You know, if the GDP is growing, if the tax revenues are growing, then why shouldn't we empower the best performance within government as the financial firms do? One of the things that most struck me in the book that is not discussed enough, and it's a part where Tony Blair's book is very good, is on sort of process management of both government and in the private sector as well.
44:17And your argument being that actually the United States has lost a lot of this institutional process knowledge, and we saw quite a bit of that during COVID as well and the response to it. I'd just love you to expand and get your reflections on that of how it's changed. Because I also, you would think in some ways with a loyalist society that wouldn't be lost. But actually your point is, and you talk about Andy Grove a lot in the book as well.
44:44Dan Wang:The Andy Grove point relates especially to manufacturing where the basic idea of process knowledge is that knowledge is not something that sits still. Knowledge is not something that we can easily write into a booklet and be able to do something very, very well. Imagine giving someone who has never cooked a day in his life the most well-equipped kitchen as well as the most exquisite recipe, and he might not be able to do something as simple as frying an egg because even that requires knowing how to work the pan, how to work the oil, how to work the flame. what do you do with the egg that is not necessarily very clear through a direct recipe and all of us know this I think when you know after a while if we haven't hit a tennis ball for a while then becomes a little bit more challenging to know what to do and some skills you do forget and what the United States has especially forgotten are a lot of the process knowledge involved in manufacturing because the american corporations have been more eager than most more eager than the german corporations for example to offshore a lot of their manufacturing to east asia because they were straightforwardly pursuing lower labor costs and there are some ways in which that was a mistake there are some ways in which the german approach has also been a mistake but i think that the one of the core problems of the united states is that has not kept up kept up its process knowledge in A lot of its manufacturing sectors such that these apex manufacturers like Detroit automakers and Intel, the chip maker, as well as Boeing have had these pretty big mismanagement and scandals throughout the last couple of decades.
46:34Dan Wang:And they did not practice trying to keep up a lot of this knowledge. And what they have thus been unable to do has been to maintain their own product offerings, create new product offerings, and to innovate on the technology. And so this is one of these big challenges with the United States. This is something I wonder whether AI is able to solve everything. I suspect, probably not. but what we should be trying to do is to preserve the sort of knowledge that we do have on things that are important and I think that manufacturing goods is pretty important for every country and then to try to get better at all of this such that we are not placed in these positions of weakness for example during a supply shortage in which we find that we can't make very much of anything at You are also kind of a technology analyst and in some ways the story of Tim Cook's tenure of the CEO of Apple over the last 15 years also mirrors the book superbly well in terms of how they obviously had a lot of their products produced in China, haven't really had that much product innovation.
47:45How do you think Apple might change in the next decade under the new leader, on task?
47:50Dan Wang:I think the Apple has been kind of the great exception, perhaps, to this idea that process knowledge is something that the United States has to give up because Apple infamously is a company that designs in California and manufactures in China. But somehow they have kept up this loop going of both production and design, even though their factories are, for the most part very very far away from California but the more that I think about Apple the more that I feel like you know perhaps this is one of these exceptions that prove the rule because as I write a little bit of my book Apple has been sending you know reams and reams of engineers on essentially a daily basis to China you can see that you know United Airlines which is one of the big airlines in the United States has previously bragged about how Apple has locked up, I think something like a third of all business class seats flying between San Francisco as well as Shanghai on every single day because they're just so intent on making sure that this loop is present.
49:03Dan Wang:And so, you know, I think that this is something that Tim Cook as a manufacturing supply chain guy absolutely grasped basically no other company in the world is so intent on monitoring their supply lines and trying to learn from what the workers are able to do in china and trying to feed that back into the design process so you know this is the sort of thing that apple has been able to do i wonder whether john turnus is able to maintain that very well for the future and able to continue making sure that design doesn't get lost in some sort of abstraction as companies like Intel as well as Boeing did because these other companies have definitely lost their manufacturing leads.
49:49There's a brilliant bit in the book where you talk about being born in 1959 might be the worst time to be born in China and 1969 might be the best year to be born in China. I won't get you to go over that again because people can read that in the book. What do you think about when was the best time to be born in America? And how do you feel about being born in 1992?
50:17Dan Wang:I think that in the US, it's great to be a boomer. It's great to be a boomer. these boomers who are now basically north of 60 control you know a lot of assets they live pretty good lives they have comfortable homes and they are able to you know support their kids if they if they so choose and the mood among a lot of younger folks people are in their early 20s fresh out of university in the United States is much more despairing and gloomy because it is really difficult to afford rent in a big city like New York, and I dare say in a big city like London. A lot of things are much more challenging.
51:08Dan Wang:You have what are kind of open celebrations of violence against corporate executives, as you keep seeing most notoriously with Mangione murdering a healthcare executive. And these are open displays of joy on platforms like TikTok and Instagram. I think that is pretty profoundly unhealthy. I think that young people need to be given better opportunities and they also need to be aware and be more confident in themselves Because I think one of the things that strikes me is that there are also plenty of despairing young people while graduating from Stanford University. Arguably, perhaps you can call it the most elite university in the world.
52:01Dan Wang:And yet you have so many young people who have been feeling angsty their entire lives. They were super angsty in the process of getting to Stanford University, of getting admitted into Stanford University. and that source of anxiety has never really left them. And so there has to be both a real opportunity given to people as well as the conveyance of a message that the future is something that you can make of for yourself, that the world is not so gloomy, that there are still plenty of opportunities that exist for everyone. Because hey, if even I as a writer can make a living, Stanford grads can probably do so at a much higher level.
52:47In the book, your mother has a podcast tip about projecting, no, sorry, sort of you should start your questions from the stomach and project from the forehead, a podcast tip for everyone. How do you think I've done on that?
53:01Dan Wang:I think that you have a lovely voice for TV, perhaps. No, you have a lovely voice for radio. and I think that all of us need to be speaking better. And I think the idea is that if you are starting your speech from basically your diaphragm, what you want to do is to open up your soft palate and the idea is to project it from your forehead. And you can really tell that this is part of why we live in the best media environment in the world. The BBC is really well-trained for this. A lot of the top broadcasters in the UK are really good at this. And I would say that your voice for podcasting works very well, much better than a lot of podcast hosts in the United States.
53:51Dan Wang:The Americans keep elevating people with these terrible voice training into hosting their podcasts on the radio. I won't name any names here, but I think there are plenty of people that they can name that they just have not learned to open up their soft palate in order to speak very well. whereas I never noticed this as an issue when I'm in the UK. Dan, thanks so much for coming on Jimmy's Jobs for the Future. I thoroughly recommend Breakneck. It is a fantastic book that I thoroughly enjoyed and we'll be putting in the canon and the main shelf behind you there, which is where our best books exist.
54:28Thanks so much for coming on Jimmy's Jobs for the Future. Thank you very much, Jimmy. This was a delight.
From the publisher
Jimmy interviews author Dan Wang about his book "Breakneck" and why the UK and other Western societies struggle to build infrastructure, contrasting Britain’s strengths in “sounding clever” industries (universities, finance, media) with weak construction capacity and rule-bound governance that stalls projects.
We discuss how “verbal cleverness,” PPE and law-heavy elites in the UK and US, and litigation-driven processes since the 1970s have reduced state capacity and deterred ambitious people from public service, versus China’s engineer-led political culture and legitimacy-through-building (dams, bridges, high-speed rail).
We also cover meritocracy and immigration in the US/UK, AI’s uncertain impact on software, legal, and “busy work” jobs, the value of embodied reporting, Singapore’s high-paid civil service model, lost manufacturing process knowledge in the US, and Apple’s intensive China supply-chain feedback loop.
00:00 Britain Talks Not Builds
04:05 Why The West Stopped Building
07:45 PPE Politics And Brexit
09:05 America The Lawyer Elite
14:08 Meritocracy And Immigration
17:27 Poetry Versus Engineering
20:06 China Engineer Leadership
27:21 AI Software Or Hardware
30:10 Work Stamina After AI
32:02 Writer Work And Travel
37:01 Restoring State Capacity
43:26 Process Knowledge Manufacturing
49:18 Generations And Opportunity
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