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Summary of "Inside The Vanity Fair Hollywood Issue, Plus Why Great Films Are Flopping" - Little Gold Men Podcast
Podcast Overview Title: Little Gold Men Description: Vanity Fair’s Little Gold Men offers a deep dive into the film and television industry, showcasing the glamour and challenges of Hollywood through discussions with stars, creators, and critics.
Episode Highlights Hosts
- Rebecca Ford
- John Ross
- Special Guest: Mark Guiducci, Vanity Fair's Global Editorial Director
Key Themes
- Oscar Contenders Struggling at the Box Office
- John and Rebecca analyze the disappointing box office performances of several high-profile Oscar contenders.
- Discussion on why indie adult dramas are struggling to find audiences in the current market.
- The Vanity Fair Hollywood Issue
- Mark Guiducci discusses the concept and the making of this year's Hollywood Issue, highlighting its focus on the evolving nature of male movie stars, who are more relatable and vulnerable compared to previous generations.
- Insights into the process of casting and shooting the featured stars.
- Current Trends in the Film Industry
- Concerns about the financial viability of indie films and their future in awards consideration.
- Examples of films that failed at the box office despite star power, including "Die My Love," "Christy," "Smashing Machine," and "After the Hunt."
Discussions on Box Office Dynamics
- Defining what constitutes a "flop" in the current landscape, emphasizing the importance of word-of-mouth and the impact of platforming films.
- The hosts reflect on what factors contribute to a film's success or failure in theaters, including marketing strategies and audience engagement.
Competitive Best Actor Race
- An exploration of the highly competitive best actor race, with early favorites including Leonardo DiCaprio, Timothée Chalamet, Michael B. Jordan, and Wagner Moura.
- Speculation on underdog picks and the potential for lesser-known performances to rise in the rankings.
Key Takeaways
- The episode highlights a pivotal moment for the film industry as it grapples with changing audience preferences and the distribution landscape.
- There is a growing concern about the financial sustainability of indie films, particularly in relation to their awards prospects.
- The Hollywood Issue of Vanity Fair serves as a reflection of the changing dynamics in Hollywood, especially in the portrayal of male leads.
- The best actor race this year is noted as one of the most competitive, with significant discussions around emerging talents and potential dark horses in the lineup.
Closing Remarks
- The hosts invite listeners to engage with the show by sending in questions for future mailbag episodes.
- Encouragement to keep an eye on the ongoing developments in the awards race and box office trends as the season continues.
Listen to the episode [here](https://www.vanityfair.com/podcast/little-gold-men).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:04Hello and welcome to Little Gold Men, Vanity Fair's podcast for film, TV and awards lovers. I'm Rebecca Ford. And I'm John Ross. Hi, John. Hey, Rebecca. We're a little tired. Let's be honest. It's been the busiest week of the Hollywood season so far. Yeah. But before we get into all that, I just wanted to remind our listeners that we're gearing up for a mailbag episode soon and we really want your questions. You can send us as an email or a voice note to littlegoldmen at vf.com. Anything about this award season, we would love to answer it. Yeah, we've received some hot takes, if you will, but we want more.
0:44Yes, we want them all. But anyway, I really want to congratulate us for surviving this past week because it was not only extremely busy, but also some of my favorite things I think I've gotten to do since joining Vanity Fair. So it was a really fun one. John, do you want to talk about the now infamous Adam Sandler, Timothy Chalamet conversation and basketball game that we got to host? Yes. So we, on Saturday with Netflix and A24, hosted a Vanity Fair scene selection live with Adam Sandler and Timothee Chalamet, where they talked about their work and also played basketball. It was at a high school gym.
1:29There were students there. There were cheerleaders. it was wacky. It was like something only in the world of the Timothee Chalamet promotion tour. The video is going live beginning of December and it was really funny. It was emotional at times and we got to watch those two play basketball and it was also the same day that Timothee launched that crazy viral video with the marketing execs for May 24, which it's not real. I thought it was real for the first like six minutes. I've been doing this for some time and I've never done an event like that. It really was so much fun. I thought the energy was incredible in that room.
2:19And I thought the conversation was great because you could tell that Timothy is such an admirer of Adam Sandler's work. And he's also a very good interviewer because like he's very curious about acting and careers. and Adam, I think, also did the same thing for Timothy. So it was kind of a dream thing, even though I know it was such a circus to put it all together, but I think very worth it in the end. And then Sunday, no rest for the wicked because Sunday night, Rebecca, you were at the Governor's Awards. I was, which really is why this week is so busy because everyone comes in town for that.
2:53And so then studios make them do 100 Q &As and roundtables and events. So this was sort of like the culmination of that. And it's always a beautiful event at the Ray Dolby, which is in Hollywood. And the room is packed. Like I was in the elevator with Javar Panahi and Joseph Kaczynski and Guillermo del Toro. And I was like, this is exactly why I love this. Because it's just like, when else do you get to experience that? And Tom Cruise got his very first Oscar as one of the honorees. And that I think was beautiful. I mean, he had this montage clip of his work that was like so long. It felt like a movie in and of itself.
3:33So that was really beautiful. And then Debbie Allen was also honored and production designer Wynn Thomas. And then Dolly Parton was honored, but couldn't attend, but did send in a nice video acceptance. So overall, it was a really beautiful night, but also like a great time for me to talk to people about what movies they're seeing and liking and how the landscape is filling out for the season. Speaking of Hollywood, Rebecca, hooray for Hollywood. The Vanity Fair Hollywood issue is officially out in the world. This is our special issue covering all the biggest stars in Hollywood. We have a very special guest with us, the man of the hour who put this whole issue together.
4:17Please welcome to the show Vanity Fair's global editorial director, Mark Guaducci. Hi, guys. Mark, thank you for joining us. Thank you so much for having me, especially because I think, John, you put together most of this issue. It's very nice, but this was definitely, I remember your first day, we had a meeting where you were like, welcome everyone, and then like 10 minutes later, you were like, we have to have a meeting about the Hollywood issue. That sounds about right. Yeah. But I think, I always say that magazine making or anything, whether it's a physical magazine or a website or whatever, this is all a team sport.
4:57and nothing is quite like that than a big issue like this. So it was an enormous effort by dozens of people. Yeah, you definitely hit the ground running and we witnessed that. But can you tell listeners just a little bit about what the concept is for this Hollywood issue? Yeah, sure. So when I came in, I really wanted to make sure that the Hollywood issue, which is our biggest issue of the year, had an idea on the cover. I looked back at, I spent a lot of time in the archives in general when I was starting this job. And the first Hollywood issue, which is probably still my favorite, actually, from 1995, featured a lineup of ingenues.
5:41And at the time it was like Gwyneth Paltrow and Julianne Moore and Sarah Jessica Parker. And the idea of doing an issue dedicated to any theme at the time was sort of unusual. even unique. And so in a time when now almost every magazine that I can think of has some version of a Hollywood issue, everyone sees the Oscars and the awards season as the major opportunity to tell stories about celebrities, actors, talent, the movies of the season. And so what we landed on was this idea that the male actors of today are so different than the male actors of previous generations, who they are, what they represent, and that that at least was a story idea that we could put out into the world.
6:27And I like that when we approach issues in the future, whether it's a sports issue or the new establishment, it's not just a repeat of what we've done in years past that we try to find a specific idea that will cause conversation. So you come up with this idea of repositioning the new leading men in Hollywood. Then we have to cast. Who are those people? Can you talk a little bit about what was going through your head, that process? John, I think you could probably answer this question better than I since you booked half of these people with Alison Ward-Frank, our intrepid global talent director.
7:10But given this idea that I mentioned briefly, we were talking about how nowadays the male movie stars are not the kind of matinee idols of old Hollywood or the more like puffed up buff superheroes of more recent Hollywood successes. is these guys, by and large, seem almost, we were saying they feel it's more radical that they're actually mere mortals, that they feel like guys you might even know. They're just hovering an inch and a half above reality, and we love them all the more for it. They're nice guys. They're actually kind and feel vulnerable when we have so many more opportunities to see actors these days.
7:54I was thinking about how you kind of have to be a star on social media. a star on the small screen now doesn't mean TV. A star on the small screen means an iPhone. You have to be a star on the small screen before you're a movie star. And all these guys are, that they're beloved by audiences. You could see it in the reaction to the cover. And so when we went about casting, we identified, you know, some people call it the internet boyfriend or whatever, but we identified those people that represent that idea. So in Malibu, we shot Jeremy Allen White with Glenn Powell, who's the Tom Cruise of our day, Callum Turner, who is in many cases known almost first and foremost for being a boyfriend.
8:34But then, of course, he is a super talented actor. He has a huge year coming up, too. He's in like five movies next year. And A$AP Rocky, who is a burgeoning movie star himself and has a couple of really prominent roles. So even though we know him as a musician, a style virtuoso, and also part of the most stylish family in the world, he is also now an actor. In London, Theo Wenner and the fashion editor Tom Guinness shot Andrew Garfield, Harris Dickinson, Jonathan Bailey, and Riz Ahmed together, as well as Paul Mescal, Michael B. Jordan, and Austin Butler. And that group of people, what it says to me is that we are looking at a Hollywood that is perhaps more cognizant of its failures in the past and is prioritizing, consciously or subconsciously, prioritizing actors who seem like genuinely good people.
9:41John you know better than anybody that getting all those people together is no mean feat that just even the idea that they all took place on two days is quite crazy to say nothing of there were two parrots that I'm sure were very difficult to book Poncho and Howard the biggest divas on the set they had hard outs early on in the day but the issue does not only feature men we have an amazing profile with Chloe Zhao Inside and an entire inside portfolio we haven't even touched on that was a huge lift to get made. And I think it's incredible. Could you talk a little bit about those inside pieces? So there has historically been a portfolio in the Hollywood issue that just represents what Hollywood looks like right now.
10:31My favorite version of that, Tom Ford, was given the issue in 2006. and when we were thinking about what, how to reinterpret, you know, look to the past, but do something that felt contemporary, we're looking at an industry or a town that's on the verge of some major evolutionary leap. And so looking at, to just only look at actors felt limiting. We wanted to look at people across disciplines and also across locations because Hollywood is physically, of course, Los Angeles, but Hollywood is everywhere now. I think of Hollywood as a global industry, and it also is not just film and television. It's also music and it's sports.
11:14I think Hollywood is show business in a way. It's like anything that fits into that category. So the way that we organized it was that it was a, we call it 37 Hours in Hollywood, wherein it was a timeline of people that started at, I think it was 6 a.m., with Hollywood agents' assistants getting their bosses smoothies for the morning and then went from there. And so what we wanted to just, it was a really fun way of imagining what a single 37-hour period could look like all over the world for all these different Hollywood players. And Jeremy O 'Harris was kind enough to write that through in captions for us.
11:56And there were many photographers involved in that kind of a shoot. It has such an incredible energy to it, and it looks so great. And being able to witness the sort of sweat and tears that went into booking it, it really paid off, I think. And I know this issue was so much work, but I'm hoping it was a little bit of fun to put together. Mark, do you have any very specific moments that are sort of favorite memories for you of putting it together? I would say that, actually, honestly, the most fun day was yesterday because watching the internet react to the internet boyfriends was so fun. I mean, I was just on the phone with our audience team and they were saying that in the first 10 hours, our engagement was up 70 % year over year on social, which I deeply believe that Vanity Fair covers should cause conversation.
12:49So watching people react, people question why we shot all men, what does this mean, hand-wringing about that, We welcome all of it. It caused conversation, and that is the most that we can hope for with that kind of a cover. Okay, so we are going to end this with some rapid-fire fun questions so our listeners can get to know you better. Okay. What are three of some of your favorite movies? Ooh. Barry Lyndon is my favorite movie. Stanley Kubrick is my favorite director. Okay. Barry Lyndon is a stand-in for The Shining and Eyes Wide Shut and all of them. The Matrix is a favorite movie. And The Matrix is kind of a stand-in, I would say, for Star Wars and epic, a genre of epic sci-fi is where I'll leave that.
13:45And as a kid, I was really into Cruel Intentions. Really? I love Cruel Intentions. I'm glad you picked it. No shame. No, no, no. How could you not? It's incredible. When you're going to the movies, what size Diet Coke are we getting? First of all, there's so much shame around Diet Coke. I think that, you know, someone once described a Diet Coke as a fridge cig, and I have never forgotten it. Yeah, so when I go to the movie theater, we're doing a big Diet Coke, like a large and a large popcorn no bother but I could not go to the movie theater without those two things John's really outing your vices in our little interview yeah what else do you want to talk about John I'm going to wrap it up to go easy on you here but this is a tough question it's something we talk about all the time we're going to ask I know you've seen a lot of the movies in the race this year so what do you think is going to take best picture what's your pick at this moment in time I honestly think that Hamnet has a shot at Best Picture.
14:56I think that, or at least Best Director, and certainly Jesse I think deserves a Best Actress Oscar. But then I think people forget that this is also the year of Sinners because it was so early in the year. Sinners is an amazing movie and also important and makes you think, but is also just a really fun ride. Okay, well, that is all we have time for. Mark, thank you so much for stopping by. Thank you for having me, you guys. Thanks, Mark. So, for the past few weeks, as I've been at these events and I've been talking to journalists and other talent and filmmakers and execs, I've noticed that the conversation has been coming up a lot about the box office.
15:44And sadly, that's because we're seeing a string of Oscar contenders that are really flailing at the box office. Agreed. The box office is front of mind for everyone. And today we're going to take a look at some of the quote-unquote indie films that have struggled to make a splash in theaters this year. And we're going to sort of define what we think is actually a flop. And if it's fair to call these films flops, Murky Waters we're getting into. Murky Waters. So we'll wrap it up with a little bit more in the murky water section about the best actor race, which is shaping up to be very, very interesting.
16:24And then we'll share some underdog picks for that race.
16:30So, John, I want us to get into it and talk a little bit about these films that have been struggling at the box office. But I guess we should sort of start with discussing what our framing is here. Like what exactly we are calling an indie. Right. And we're totally making it up. Because it's our podcast. Yeah, it's our podcast. Because what defines an indie has changed, I think, over the years. One, and two, I think in the context of what this podcast is, we're basically defining an indie as an adult drama whose scope isn't too large, right? Yeah, it's a film that obviously, not given that huge studio release, but it's also, I think, we're talking about films that are adult dramas that have to be scrappy to be made.
17:24I guess it's like a spirit. It's sort of a vibe that defines it more than a number or the studio backing them. So we picked five movies to kind of use as an example of this trend. So we're going to talk about Die My Love, Christy, Smashing Machine, Kiss of the Spider Woman, and After the Hunt. Yes. Yes, and what's in common with all of these adult dramas is that they've been released in theaters and they have not performed in pretty major ways. So I guess the first one we want to talk about is Die My Love, which is the movie starring Jennifer Lawrence and Robert Pattinson. It's released by Mubi.
18:06This is, by the way, proper indie. was made via indie financing and then was purchased in Cannes by Mubi for$24 million. And then was released two weeks ago and has totally petered out. It's opening weekend. It made$2.6 million. That is a very low opening considering how much press Jennifer Lawrence was doing prior. Yeah, she was really out there to support this film. And, you know, we're talking about Jennifer Lawrence and Robert Pence and two of, like, these giant movie stars who had huge fan followings. But I really love this movie. It's a hard watch, and I think for some people, it can leave them very unsettled.
18:56But I had hoped that her performance would be enough of a draw to get people to come see it, because she's doing some really incredible work in this movie. You know, Mubi paid a lot. So for it to really stumble is bad. It's interesting because I sort of wonder, Jennifer Lawrence did a big New Yorker profile. She did the New York Times interview. She did Las Culturistas. She did a lot of like webby, fun things. I mean, she's incredible at that type of stuff. I did sort of feel though, what was getting lost in all of it was the movie itself. And I think she was trying to get it back to the film.
19:40And this is a hard film to promote. Right. But I did feel like they needed to get more like into like, if you're going to pay$16 or more to see this movie, what is it that you're seeing? Interesting. And I think that was lost. I think interesting and challenging filmmaking, but, you know, it didn't work. I mean, all of these, almost all the films we're talking about did go wide immediately, which is also really tough for a little film that's competing against bigger movies in the theater. So I don't know if that's part of it too, you know, if these needed more word of mouth than they got. But, you know, speaking of movie stars, I think we should jump to Christy, which also was recently released.
20:24It stars Sydney Sweeney as this real life boxer, Christy Martin. It's an incredible performance from her. but it had, I think, one of the worst starts ever for a movie released in more than 2 ,000 North American theaters. It only earned 1.3 million. And I think part of this was it was Black Bear, the production company's first movie that they self-distributed, which seems like a very challenging thing to get into in this day and age, but they want to do it. So I think that's part of it. I think the Sidney Sweeney sort of controversy that continues to swirl around her is part of it. I think the black bear of it all was tough.
21:05I mean, we're looking at movies that are being distributed by A24 having major issues. And their genius is marketing, yeah. Yeah, so like then when you're getting into somebody trying it out for the first time, this isn't the best year to like try out releasing a small independent film. Which gets us to the next film we're going to talk about, which is Smashing Machine, another sports movie. This one stars The Rock and Emily Blunt. And, you know, I think had a lot of conversation around The Rock doing this really dramatic role that's very different than what you've seen from him, but then ended up just really struggling.
21:43I think it opened in 3 ,300 theaters, which is a huge release for a movie that's sort of a small sports drama, earned 5.8 million, and it had a$50 million budget. So it really did not make even close to enough money. So this is technically kind of isn't an indie. This actually marks the A24 bigger budget films that they had been touting starting last year that they were sort of expanding past like just strictly, strictly smaller budget films. And this wasn't a success story. Civil War was a success story that came out last year. And it's interesting because in this one, like, yeah, they did everything.
22:31Like they had the fancy Venice premiere. I think you knew what this movie was about. Right, they marketed it the right way as in, do you want to see The Rock do this? Yes, exactly. Which I thought people would want to see that. Or a little bit more. The movie's capping out at about like$20 million worldwide. And so with a$50 million budget, that is not what they needed. The next film is a film that most of our listeners probably didn't even know was released. Right. Which is Kiss of the Spider Woman. This movie premiered in Sundance without distribution. Roadside Attractions picked it up, released in mid-October.
23:18This is the film that stars Jennifer Lopez in the, I guess, titular world. It's a musical. It was a musical that was sort of created for Chita Rivera back in the day for Broadway. And like, I don't really know if it like stands the test of time. Like, it's not like you're reviving Wren. Right, right. You know, like, and it opens to$891 ,000 opening weekend. It's capping out at somewhere between like one and a half, two million dollars worldwide against a sizable budget. Again, this film just like did not get any sort of traction in theaters. It is crazy because I feel like even as someone who is really embedded in this world, I never saw any advertising for it or market.
24:11Like it just felt very quiet. And J-Lo tried her best. She was at the Governor's Awards the other night. And she did all the, she did Sundance. She did, you know, she did all the promotional stuff she needed to do. But this one just could not get any attention or any momentum at all. And I think reviews were kind of mixed, if not tepid. So that didn't help its cause. But yeah, it just, it was a real stumble there. And then should we end it with what I think is kind of like the most interesting struggle at the box office this season with After the Hunt, the Luca Guadagnino movie. We've talked about it a lot.
24:52Stars Julia Roberts. This movie opened really small. It's going to cap out at about like$9 million worldwide. This is another movie that is not a traditional indie. Like it's budget. is reported somewhere in the 70 millions. But again, like we said, it's an adult contemporary drama. And it feels like an indie, even though it's released by a major studio. This is a bomb. This is a bomb. And I think a lot of that, I think, has to do with how polarizing the reviews were and the reaction out of the festivals because a lot of people didn't like this movie. I am one of the people who did enjoy watching this movie and I think it results in interesting conversations.
25:39But I thought because it's a Luca Guadagnino movie and because it's Julia Roberts and Andrew Garfield, I thought that was kind of enough to get people in there. And this one did actually platform for two weeks in six theaters before kind of doing a wider release. But I think in that case, because word of mouth wasn't great, that didn't probably help its cause. It was quite a polarizing film. But here's the thing, actually, Rebecca, Luca's movies, he's a mixed bag when it comes to the box office. And Challengers did well. It had the thing where you felt like you had to see it to be part of the conversation, which is what these movies need, I think.
26:20Obviously, Call Me By Your Name, which was kind of, I mean, it wasn't his breakout film, but it was like the film that launched, obviously, Timothee Chalamet. And then I think launched him to more national recognition. He has amassed a following since Call Me By Your Name and with the success of Challengers, but he also had Queer, which didn't work for many people. But yeah, I thought there'd just be a little more sort of a cinephile support for it. And maybe there was, maybe there just aren't that many of us. Yeah. It just didn't get beyond that. But I think for us, that question remains, and I was talking to people about this at the Governors Awards, is like, are they dead in the water when it comes to awards?
27:02Or do they still have a chance for Oscars, even if the narrative has been, the box office has been real tough? I use the term dead on arrival a lot. You text me that movie is DOA like every three days. Yeah. You have a guess, but I think it actually is dependent on each of these films. I think, I'm going to start, we want to stay positive here. Because also, we want these movies to succeed. Yes. The heck and I. I want them to keep making these movies. Yeah, like, I'm like, I'm nervous. I'm like, oh, please, come on. Like, get out there. Do something. I don't know. I don't have the answers. If I had the answers.
27:40We'd fix it for you. I think Dwayne Johnson in Smashing Machine still is going to be in the conversation up until the very end. I think you're right. I think he's going to start amassing enough there. I think that people will watch the film at home so I still have hope for The Rock. I think The Rock and I think Jennifer Lawrence because you have to remember that, listen to my pitch, people will watch it when it hits the screening, Academy screening site and actors are going to respect that performance. It is a really killer performance and they're going to be like, I don't know if I could have crawled through the grass and thrown myself through a glass door the way she can do those things, you know?
28:25And so Best Actress is tough but I think there is a chance that she will remain in the conversation and because she is going to things and doing the things you need to do if you want to stay in the conversation. I'm hopeful. There's basically like three or four like big movies that I think like everyone's going to see across up and down the Academy, you know, and then things start splintering out and actually the actors branch this year has a lot of work to do. They do. You know what I mean? There's a lot of movies where you're watching it only for one performance in one category. I don't know.
29:01I can see some people at the very end being like, I just never got around to it. Yeah, I think we can safely say all these films are probably out of the Best Picture race. Yeah. The hope remains for acting, and that feels like probably it to me. But we'll see. We don't know for sure. When we come back, we're going to talk about what even defines a box office flop these days. and what that might mean for the future of films like these. Stay with us.
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29:392025 was a great year for TV, movies, and music, and we are highlighting the best of the best, including K-pop demon hunters, sinners, and severance. We're talking about our favorite moments of the year, including some of the best pop culture you might have missed. Listen to Pop Culture Happy Hour wherever you get your podcasts.
30:24uncompromising portrait of a woman engulfed by love and madness, Die My Love is anchored by a ferocious Golden Globe-nominated performance from Jennifer Lawrence and co-stars Robert Pattinson. Lynne Ramsey marks her eagerly awaited return with this fearless new cinematic vision that charts the complexity of love and how it can change and transform over time. To stream the best of cinema, you can try Mubi free for 30 days at Mubi.com slash LittleGoldMen. That's M-U-B-I.com slash LittleGoldMen for a whole month of great cinema for free.
31:06Welcome back to Little Gold Men from Vanity Fair. Let's dive into what makes a box office flop and what these distributors can maybe do to make a film work in today's climate. John, what do you say a box office flop even is these days? Well, let's talk about a film that the media is loving to hyperanalyze as to whether or not it's a flop, which is one battle after another. This is obviously a frontrunner from the Oscars race. The movie right now has made$200 million worldwide, but it has a reported budget that ranges from like 130 to like, at one point was reported to be 175 million. I don't believe it was actually that high.
31:56But every time they report the box office each week, every trade is like, still not going to make its budget back. Still a tough one for Warner Brothers. I think Rebecca and I are like looking at it and we're like, this two hour and 40 minute psychedelic wackadoo ride has made$200 million worldwide. Like that's a pretty big deal. Plus, come Oscar night, I mean, I think it will walk away with at least something, potentially the big one. It's not a flop. Yeah, I agree. There has to be a point where we talk beyond the numbers. Yes. And this is a cultural moment this year. You feel left out if you have not seen this movie.
32:44I've been at many things where people are talking about this, like just friendly social events where this movie comes up. It's going to win a bunch of Oscars. There's no way in five or ten years, anyone's going to look back and be like, oh, yeah, that flop. Right. One battle after another. Exactly. So I agree. That one especially, the numbers aren't the whole story. And they're good enough. And just another film on the A24 side that has overperformed is Materialists, which is at$107 million worldwide. It has a huge international number of like 71 million, which I'm fascinated about because it's an American rom-com As many people point out, it's not a comedy.
33:35But that is another example of a success story that I do think should be touted more because it's an adult movie. Young people went to theaters to see it. And when a movie grosses over$100 million and is about adult themes like money and class and all of those things, I think that's an example of movies that we should be touting as hopeful for independent cinema. Yeah. I think we're looking specifically at these indies here. We do have success stories from previous years. A lot of the time it is in horror. Like Long Links was a huge hit last year. A movie I didn't see because I don't like scary movies, I have to admit.
34:27But also The Substance did really, really well, which I think was a mix of word of mouth and like this whole, you wanted to see it so you can be included in the discourse situation of it. And then of course it had quite a bit of awards success. But as it has always been, word of mouth is such an important component here. And that only exists if people are seeing the movie for that to happen. So when you have such a slow start, like these movies we were just talking about, you don't even have a chance for the word of mouth to help you out, which I think is why platforming made a lot more sense.
35:00And I'm not sure why that seems to be sort of a practice that has fallen off when it comes to these movies. If it's just because of the windows shrinking or what, but like diving in with 2 ,000 theaters, it's just, it's asking a lot of these littler movies. I think it is because of the shrunken release times between movies being in theaters and then going on PVOD, which PBOD means like renting it. Right. But I also think platforming is time consuming. Yeah. And sometimes takes a little bit more finessing. The studio that does platforming still the best is Neon. And Sony Pictures Classics, actually.
35:48Yeah. And when we talked in the earlier segment about flops, we didn't mention any of the Neon films because we're still waiting to see where these all net out, like sentimental value, it was just an accident, which has actually been doing pretty well in a very limited release. Its per screen average has been pretty high. And I think that that's smart. So I agree with you, Rebecca. I'm like, platform it, platform it. Because you want to avoid the conversation of how did this movie only open to$1.2 million when you have one of the biggest movie stars in the world talking about Housewives on Las Culturistas.
36:29You know, like that's, that you want to avoid that conversation. Yeah, you can't be proclaimed a flop if you're still only in two to six to 10 theaters or whatever it is. So I think it benefits them in many ways. Yeah, and I guess the other question here is, does star power matter when it comes to this type of movie, this adult drama? because we are talking about some of the biggest movie stars out there in these movies. And yes, we all know that works for the superhero, the IP, whatever that is, unless... It doesn't. It doesn't. And those movies, the IP is the movie star, right? You're going to see Superman because it's Superman.
37:11But can these actors help these smaller movies? They get them greenlit, obviously. They get them made. But do they have any help when it comes to the box office? Well, I think we'll have a final answer when we see what happens with Marty Supreme. Yeah. Because, by the way, not an indie film has like a budget of somewhere around$70 million. So, not a small film. If that movie, which is opening on Christmas Day, performs, we'll be like, yeah, there are stars that can get people to movie theaters. I also think just the wildly different way that they are promoting Marty's Supreme via social media and internet stuff will be heavily dissected.
38:01And if it's a success, it's like, how are they going to get George Clooney to do videos with ping pong? You know, like they're all going to look at it and be like, all right, guys, we're not playing with puppies anymore. That doesn't cut it. We've got to up our game. As we learned from our Adam Sandler, Timothee Chalamet conversation is George Clooney is a good basketball player. So maybe he'll just be out there on the court too. And it'll just all make no sense at all. But yeah, I agree. I think Marty Supreme is a big test. I mean, we're both believers that Timothee Chalamet is the next generation of movie star coming.
38:39And so I think it's going to work. I'm real worried for Hamnet. It's out limited on the 26th. and then wide in early December, a couple weeks later. And it is an incredible film. It has really strong critic reviews and word of mouth. But it is, you know, a hard movie to watch. And I do wonder if that, like some of these other films we were talking about, is going to make it a little bit harder to get people in the seats. But I hope it's a success story, you know, once it comes out. Again, I go back to, like, some of these studios, like, Focus just knows what they're doing. like Begonia, for example.
39:16I mean, Begonia is not a runaway success, but like it's made about 16 million domestic, $30 million worldwide. Like we got to put things, like we're talking about what defines a flop. Some people are saying Begonia is a flop because the budget is this or whatever. I look at Begonia and I'm like, that was fine. Yes, I agree. People saw that movie. People know what that movie is about. They're like shaved head, alien, kidnapped, You know, like it's like in the world, like Hamnet's being released by Focus. It's harder in some ways to market because A, you don't have Emma Stone. Speaking of movie stars, Emma Stone is a movie star that gets people into the seats of independent or weirder movies than normal.
40:05Yeah, for sure. And we do have success in the indie space. Last year's Best Picture winner was Inora. Sean Baker is like the king of all indies. I mean, he is the prototypical indie filmmaker. And Anora made almost$60 million worldwide in the end. It chugged and chugged and chugged away. And it made a star out of Mikey Madison. So we do have success stories in the not-so-distant past, like less than a year ago. So what we're trying to say is that all hope is not lost. It isn't. Well, I think we should end this segment on hope. And when we get back, we're going to talk about one of the most exciting races of the year, Best Actor.
40:55Stay with us.
41:09Come see Critics at Large live. On February 19th, we're going to be at the 92nd Street Y in New York City for a conversation about Wuthering Heights. There's a new adaptation coming up starring Margot Robbie and Jacob Elordi, and we will certainly be getting into that, but we'll also do what we, humbly I'll say, what we do best. Returning to the text, we're going to go deep on the gothic and Emily Bronte. Join me, Vincent Cunningham, and my co-hosts, Alex Schwartz and Nomi Frye, for the discussion. And crucially, if you buy a VIP ticket, you'll join us for an after party too. Go to 92ny.org for more information.
41:53That's 92ny.org. Hope to see you there.
42:07Welcome back to Little Gold Men from Vanity Fair. Well, John and I have seen most of the films, almost all the films. I feel like we're caught up. I finally saw Marty Supreme last week, and I think we're ready to talk about maybe the most crowded and competitive race this year, the actor race. I'm really excited about this one. I was talking about it a lot with people at the Governor's Awards. John, you want to kick us off with maybe the front runners that feel pretty obvious? Yeah, let's just get two out of the way because we feel really confident. Leonardo DiCaprio, which funny, back when we recorded our podcast about him, I was like, I don't know if he's a lock.
42:46Well, he's a lock. I was wrong. He's very locked, yes. Yeah, locked and loaded. And Timothee Chalamet in Marty Supreme, he's a lock. I agree. And then it is anybody's game. You know, I was actually having this exact conversation at the Governor's Awards and several people said, well, Michael B. Jordan, is a lock. Like people feel secure about him, as do I. But then we have three locks. There actually aren't that many spots left. I know. The other person that people say they think is a lock is Wagner Mora. Yes, I've heard that too. So I think Michael B and Wagner are kind of in the third quote unquote locked space.
43:30Wagner is for the neon movie The Secret Agent. We've talked about it before on this pod. It's a Brazilian film. So then if we have two names that are sort of being floated around as like looking very likely, does that mean there's only one other spot left? It sounds crazy. There's like one other slot and there's 12 actors we could name that are in the conversation. You know, it's an ebb and flow for many of them, but I guess that's where we're currently at. Yeah. I mean, the difference between Michael B. Jordan and Wagner Moore is that we know almost everyone has seen or will see sinners who votes.
44:11And The Secret Agent, as you're mentioning, is going to be more of a push to get people out there. But I do think it has incredibly strong word of mouth and people will see it eventually. But then we're dealing with possibly one slot that I think I could argue like several names could land there. And I think that makes perfect sense. I don't even know where to start here. It's actually, what makes it exciting is that every week I think that fifth spot or whatever is going to be different. Like right now, there's this kind of rising feeling, I think, for Ethan Hawke, right? Yeah. For Blue Moon, it's a real character work.
44:47He's in every scene. Like it's a lot for him and he really does it really well. And he's such a respected actor's actor. And like, I think there's a lot of momentum for him right now. I agree, totally. But we're still in that place, though, of will everyone have really seen the movie? And so, like, if a month from now we still hear people talking about Blue Moon, that's a good sign. But then, I mean, is there anyone else that you... I mean, there's Jeremy Allen White in Springsteen's Deliver Me From Nowhere, Jesse Plemons in Begonia, George Clooney in Jay Kelly, Dwayne Johnson in The Smashing Machine, Joel Edgerton in Train Dreams.
45:29That's 10 people that we're talking about for five slots. Now, I think when we're talking about sort of upward momentum, I think Joel Edgerton is really rising right now. Train Dreams seems to be catching on. I've had a lot of conversations where people are like, have you seen Train Dreams? It's incredible. So that seems to have upward momentum. I think Springsteen seems to be kind of trending downward a little bit as more people have seen it. Not that his performance isn't great. It is. but I think sometimes if the movie is cooling, it also means their chances are cooling when the race is this tight.
46:05Yeah, agreed. Do we want to like pick an underdog pick each year? We can and my under, I mean, you're going to actually laugh out loud when I say my underdog. So you go first. Well, I think you'll probably call mine a cheat but I'm sticking with Joel Edgerton. He's listed at number 10 on Gold Derby right now. So I guess that's considered an underdog but I don't think I quite agree with that ranking. You think he's higher? I think he's higher. Okay. But I'm still going to use him as my pick because I think that is a little movie that needs word of mouth to continue its chances. And he's playing, you know, this man of few words who, you know, has this tragedy in his family.
46:45And it's such a beautiful exploration of like life. As Joel Edgerton has said, this man who, he's not like some incredible man with this amazing life story. He's just a man and you're watching this sort of beautiful meditation on life. And I think he pulls it off in such a beautiful way that I hope he only continues to rise up the ranks of this race. I mean, I guess my underdog is George Clooney. Okay. Because - Yeah, that sounds ridiculous. Which is wild. I just think that it's funny. I'm actually not like the hugest Jay Kelly fan. I think I like it more than you. Yeah, you like it more than me.
47:28I did walk away from it being like, you know, that is a tricky thing that he did because he's not playing himself, but he's playing himself. Right. And I think as an actor, to be willing to do that is a little risky and a little courageous in a way. And I just hope that people understand that character of Jay Kelly is not George Clooney. You know, there's major differences. And I just hope that people can sort of differentiate between the two because I think he gives a really great performance. And I also think, like, they couldn't really make that movie with a different actor other than, like, Brad Pitt, you know?
48:16And so I think that that is also what makes it interesting for me. Yeah, there's a moment towards the end of the film, which I won't spoil, but it's basically just his face, and he's acting so beautifully in a way that's pretty vulnerable for someone as big of a movie star as George Clooney. So that's a good pick. I like it. I think this is the tightest actor race I've seen in a very long time. I agree. Thanks for tuning in to Little Gold Men. We'll be back next Thursday to answer some mailbag questions and discuss some must-watch films hitting theaters in December. If you have questions you'd like us to answer, please write.
48:52You can send us a voice note or email to littlegoldmen at vf.com. And if you're enjoying our show, please write us a review. This episode of Little Gold Men was produced by Emily Elias and Hibba El-Erbani, with editing by Michelle O 'Brien and mixing by Bumi Hidaka. Our executive producer is Stephen Valentino. Conde Nast head of global audio is Chris Bannon.
49:21If you are caught up in the Barbenheimer frenzy, if you love ranking the Mission Impossible films, if you are just an all-around movie fan, I have a podcast for you. Hello, I'm Amy Nicholson. I'm a film critic who writes for The New York Times, and I am also the co-host of Unspooled, the ultimate movie podcast. Each week, my co-host Paul Scheer and I unspool famous films to see if they are truly all-time classics. From the original 1984 Karate Kid to Children of Men to more recent pictures to Dune, yes, to Citizen Kane, we cover it all. Listen to Unspooled wherever you get your podcasts. From PRX.
From the publisher
John and Rebecca take stock of a series of star-studded Oscar contenders that are having trouble at the box office. They debate why so many indie adult dramas can't find an audience in today's marketplace, and what that might mean for their awards chances. Then, they break down the best actor race, one of the most competitive we've seen in years. And speaking of leading men, Rebecca and John are also joined by Vanity Fair's Global Editorial Director Mark Guiducci, who shares how the newly unveiled Hollywood Issue of Vanity Fair came together.
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