Disney and Universal Sue AI Image Company & NYC Broker Fees Are Banned

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0:29Good Morning Brew Daily Show. I'm Neil Freiman. And I'm Toby Howell. Today, inflation is coming on down Bob Barker style. But will the prices stay right? Then Hollywood has finally had it with AI image generators copying their homework. It's Thursday, June 12th. Let's ride.

0:50The countdown has begun one year from today. Exactly. The U.S. men's national team will play their first game of the World Cup, which the country is hosting alongside Mexico and Canada. I'm sorry to say, but I do not believe that we will win. The USMNT has lost four straight games for the first time since 2007, including a 4-0 thrashing at the hands of Switzerland on Tuesday night. New coach Mauricio Pochettino, whose$6 million a year salary was partially bankrolled by Ken Griffin, is under increasing pressure to get the squad in respectable form before their World Cup debut. Toby, is it time to panic?

1:30Neil, you know that feeling when you haven't prepared for a test and it's slowly creeping up, just this horrible pit in your stomach because you're so far away from being ready, but you're going to have to take it anyways. That is how I feel about this World Cup. Our boys in red, white, and blue are not prepared. Let's just face it. We lost 4-0 to Switzerland. To Switzerland, Neil, no disrespect to the Swiss, but I can't believe that this kind of amorphous concept, this circle far off on the sporting calendar is very close to becoming a reality now. I just really hope we can get our act together.

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3:16See how you can avoid the void and reach the right buyers with LinkedIn ads. Spend$250 on your first campaign and get a free$250 credit for the next one. Get started at linkedin.com slash campaign. Terms and conditions apply. We got inflation data yesterday, and like Addison Rae's budding discography, it was pretty good. Prices rose less than expected in May as yet another month went by without major impacts from elevated tariffs. The CPI reading, a broad-based measure of goods and services, increased just 0.1 % from the month before, putting the annual inflation rate at 2.4%. still above the Fed's preferred 2 % mark, but in line with economists' expectations.

3:57Shelter prices were a standout with their 3.9 % annual increase, the smallest rate of increase since late 2021. Egg prices seem to have finally cracked too, with an 11 % drop from last month to their lowest level since December. So where are these tariff-induced price increases? According to a Goldman Sachs analyst, quote, These tariffs aren't having a large immediate impact because companies have been using existing inventories or slowly adjusting prices due to uncertain demand. All eyes now look ahead to the Fed meeting next week. Although no change in interest rates are expected, with the labor market softening and inflation cooling, Jerome Powell and Co.

4:36now have a clearer path in front of them. Neil, inflation isn't doing much of anything right now, which is a good thing. It's rising less than forecast now for the fourth straight month. and you mentioned where are the tariffs. We're just not seeing even in the particular types of goods where you would expect to see price increases from tariffs. I'm talking apparel prices. We get virtually all of our apparel from overseas. We now have tariffs on those products. Well, apparel prices fell 0.4 % in May. What about autos, new car prices? Those also have tariffs on them now. Well, new car prices fell by 0.3 % last month.

5:14So whatever is going on, whether it's stockpiling or companies just kind of eating those extra costs and not passing them on to consumers yet, it's happening. One subplot to this data collection is the fact that the agency is responsible for coming up with the CPI report. That's the Bureau of Labor Statistics. They are staring down some major staffing shortages as well, creating some concerns about the quality of data that it is actually ingesting. The way that the CPI report is generated is pretty much by going out and doing the dirty work. Hundreds of enumerators, as they're called, go out to brick and mortar stores across the country and they actually document the prices of specific products.

5:55That then is converted into the CPI reading. But if you have fewer enumerators, that means more educated guessing is going on. So even though this was a pretty solid report overall, there exists some growing concerns about this gradual erosion of the trustworthiness of some of this federal data that markets, the Fed, all rely on. So that's just if 1A is the headline that inflation is mellowing out a little bit, 1B is that there's some fears that the data we're actually collecting isn't as high quality as it could be. And that's because there's been a hiring freeze across the federal government.

6:26But overall, you said we're looking to the Fed meeting. I think Fed Chair Jerome Powell has been in wait and see mode for the better part of a year because the economic forecast is just too cloudy to make any decisions. Well, maybe the clouds are parting just a bit from this report because based on the jobs report we got last week, we saw that the labor market is cooling. Now, with inflation here, it also looks like inflation is cooling, and there's still a lot of question marks around that. But the overall trend line does seem to be that way. Perhaps Jerome Powell can maybe peer through the fog right now and say, OK, I think maybe it's time that we can cut because there's been so many question marks about whether these tariffs would spark inflation and then an interest rate cut would even pour more gasoline on that fire.

7:13So we got a cooling labor market. We got cooling inflation. We got in various surveys, people in America saying we expect less inflation because of these sort of the trade detente that's going on. you might see an increased bet on the Fed to cut rates, not at this particular meeting, but when they meet in September. Yeah, the base case right now that the market is pricing in two rate cuts, probably in the back half of 2025. Right now, there's still no signs that the next meeting is going to bring a rate cut. It still looks like it's going to be in the back half of the year. Disney and Universal are done Mickey Mouse and about when it comes to AI, dropping the hammer yesterday by suing the image generation startup MidJourney for copyright infringement.

7:57The lawsuit contends that MidJourney helped itself to a bunch of copyrighted materials from Disney and Universal's stable of characters to train its software. Quote, MidJourney is the quintessential copyright free writer and a bottomless pit of plagiarism, the lawsuit says, which sounds a lot like my academic career in high school. MidJourney is not the first and won't be the last AI company sued for scraping the internet without compensating creators. The New York Times, for instance, has sued OpenAI on similar grounds, but Disney and Universal are the first major Hollywood studios to get in on the act.

8:31The framing of the case is that MidJourney violated copyright in two ways. One, by training its AI model on intellectual property, and two, by generating images that display that protected IP. It's that freeloading that, quote, threatens to upend the bedrock of incentives of U.S. copyright law that drive American leadership in movies, television, and other creative arts. It's a bedrock that holds up a film and TV business that supports over$229 billion in annual wages. For Midjourney, it's a threat to one of the more popular text-to-image generators on the internet, as it now has to go toe-to-toe-neal with one angry mouse and a bunch of minions.

9:08Disney was not going to sit this out. They are the most litigious company maybe in history, so we were kind of waiting for them to sue an AI company for stealing their IP. And when you combine Disney and Universal, their IP libraries, it's pretty much something to behold in their lawsuit. So Disney and Universal included dozens of images from their popular characters that they allege Mid-Journey was stealing. I mean, here's the list. Yoda, WALL-E, Deadpool, Iron Man, Lightning, McQueen, Aladdin, Spider-Man, Groot, Elsa from Frozen, and Guardians of the Galaxy, and a ton of Star Wars characters, Chewbacca, Stormtroopers, and they even called out specifically, there was an entire section on Darth Vader specifically, saying that when you prompt Mid-Journey, say, show me a picture of Darth Vader, it shows you a picture of Darth Vader, and that is copyright infringement according to Disney.

10:03Yeah, I think why Mid-Journey specifically was targeted here is that it does it with such little friction. It just immediately obliges you. You wanna see Darth Vader? Here's Darth Vader. I was playing around with ChatGPT this morning and its image generation tool. And if you ask it to generate Darth Vader, it goes, no, can't do it. It violates copyright features. It has this filter over some of that IP. I mean, you can get around a little bit. I started pushing the boundaries a little bit. And if you say, give me a Sith-like character surfing, for some reason, it will then generate that image.

10:33So it's not a perfect system. But certainly Mid Journey was the low-hanging fruit here because it clearly trained its library on these characters. because the image generation outputs that it creates look exactly like Darth Vader. So the big picture here is that a bunch of these publishers and now Hollywood companies giants are suing these AI companies, accusing them of copyright infringement, New York Times with open AI. That's probably the biggest lawsuit going on, but Universal and Disney, their size, their heft, their influence, what these new AI tools mean for the movie and TV industry will certainly be up there like 1A, 1B in terms of the significance of the lawsuit.

11:15And one thing that they definitely want to stop is Majority's coming out with a new video tool this month. So of course, image generations are bad, but they are a Hollywood movie studio. Both of these are Hollywood movie studios. So if they start infringing on that territory, that's where they really want to stop this in the tracks before it gains even more popularity. Moving on, yesterday was essentially a religious holiday for the people of New York City because a law went into effect that means renters no longer have to pay a broker fee before they move into an apartment. For decades, New York City tenants were on the hook to pay a broker a one-time fee once a contract was signed on a new place.

11:50But the FAIR Act, for fairness in apartment rental expenses, alleviates them of that burden and instead shifts the broker payment to the landlord. New York City was just one of two major North American cities that had the tenant pay the broker fee. With this change, Boston is the final holdout because, of course, it is. For renters, the law could eliminate a huge component of the upfront costs required to move into a new home. The broker fee isn't standardized across the city, but it typically ranges from 10 % to 15 % of a full year's rent. For a$3 ,000 a month apartment, the broker fee could run up to$5 ,400.

12:27Yeah, it is a nightmare to move here. So home costs are gonna be a lot cheaper, right? Not so fast because landlords aren't going to eat the new broker fees by themselves. The Wall Street Journal reported that New York City apartment seekers woke up yesterday to the biggest overnight rent increases in the city's modern history as owners foisted their new costs onto prospective tenants. That is exactly what opponents of this law, like the real estate industry, were warning about. They argued that by putting the broker burden on landlords, rents would surge. Of course, it's all very early, so we don't know exactly how this is going to shake out, but a significant moment in real estate history nonetheless.

13:03less. Yeah, it lops off a ton of money that you had to kind of shell out up front, which was just a massive expense. I mean, I just went through this process, which kind of stinks, honestly, because I did pay a broker fee, even though we were one month away from this fair act coming into play. So yeah, that stings a little bit. But if we just go back into the history of why brokers were even a thing in the first place, back in the pre-internet days, they were kind of a gatekeeper to a lot of listings. You needed to have a broker to find the best apartments. But now that StreetEasy exists and all these other sites exist, Zillow, you can see the inventory.

13:39So that's why it just hurt even more and why it became almost anachronistic, that feeling of paying a broker, even though you didn't even interact with them until maybe they unlocked the door for you. So that is a reason why this fair act gained a lot of momentum. But I will say New York is quite the rental market. No other city on earth really comes close. For one, 70 % of residents in the city rent. That puts a ton of pressure on supply. You go back to listings last April, 1.6 million people were looking to rent. There was just 6 ,300 active rental listings in the entire five boroughs. So vacancy rates are super low here.

14:19So that is why the New York real estate board and a lot of these real estate groups are arguing that this lawsuit is going to jack up rents is going to make the supply crunch even worse because they're just going to start passing those broker fees on to people in the form of raised rents what this really is going to do you know one effect it definitely will have is encourage more mobility so people will move more because the upfront costs have come down you were stuck in your apartment for so long maybe because you're like well i'm paying like a lot in rent but when i move i'm gonna have to pay that huge broker fee to begin with.

14:52And that's what you just dealt with. So whoever wins from this, maybe it'll be renters, but who will definitely win is moving companies because everyone's going to move. Speaking of moving, let's move on. Up next, we're going to serve you up a hearty helping of news numbers.

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16:20They will be battling it out to see who can impress the world's biggest brands. This is a huge opportunity. This is the battle for the next big idea. This is not play play. We're spending millions of dollars. I'm so excited to embark on this adventure with all of you. Make the best I do win! On brand with Jimmy Fallon. Series premiere Tuesday on NBC. Welcome to Neil's Numbers, the segment where I share three stats from the week's news that will have you hitting every fairway at Oakmont. My first number is more than 700, which is how many stock trades were placed by House lawmakers and their families in the six days between April 2nd, when Trump announced Liberation Day tariffs on the rest of the world, and April 8th, when he rescinded most of them.

17:02That period was one of the most volatile for the stock market in recent memory and attracted more trading volume than any other period since records began in 2007. Lawmakers weren't planning on sitting it out. According to a Wall Street Journal analysis, House members and their families placed more trades in April than any other month of the past year. Some, like Republican Marjorie Taylor Greene, were big buyers. She scooped up at least$28 ,000 worth of stocks like Amazon, FedEx, and Palantir. Others YOLOed into riskier bets like options. Democrat Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey tapped a call options trade tied to Microsoft stock on April 4th, a company he used to be an executive at.

17:42The trading flurry around Trump's tariff announcements has increased scrutiny on the ability of policymakers to play the stock market. While backlash has risen in the past few years, notably around prolific trader former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, it hasn't led to any reform. Many lawmakers have called for a stock trading ban to no avail, including reps Ro Khanna and Rob Bresnahan. And I mentioned those two because, according to The Wall Street Journal, they and their families reported the most stock transactions of anyone else in the house in the week following Liberation Day. I think we all forget how crazy of a time that was in the stock market, first of all.

18:16I mean, we were having, like, the biggest gains and the biggest losses back to back. But the first thing I did when I saw this headline is I wanted to know who made out with some money, who made profitable trades here. And unfortunately, the way stock disclosures work, you can't really pinpoint exactly how much money they made or lost. For instance, a typical purchase disclosure might read that a member bought between$1 ,001 and$15 ,000 of stock on a given day. You don't have to give specific amounts or the exact size of the investment. So that is a little bit of a bummer because if all these people are trading, I want to see who actually made money, who lost money.

18:53but it's just a little bit difficult to pin down the exact numbers. Now, the Wall Street Journal reached out to all these lawmakers that they did this analysis on, and to a T spokespeople for them said, look, I wasn't actually making trades. I have an outside financial advisor who did this without my knowledge, and they didn't talk to me. And so they sort of deflected it to their third party financial advisor saying, I don't really know what's going on. It was a crazy time in the stock market. Literally everyone else was trading, But that's not going to stop the criticism at all. Meanwhile, there's another bill that's coming through Congress right now.

19:29It's bipartisan AOC Chip Roy of Texas, who's a Republican. They're working on a new bill. So we'll see if anything amounts to it. But over the past few years, it's certainly been this outcry over certain trades that are made and then sort of silence on the side of congressional lawmakers who actually need to put this into place. For my next number, a few Waymo cars may be burned to a crisp in LA, but all the other ones are out there busy saving lives. A forthcoming study, the most comprehensive analysis of self-driving car safety ever released, found that self-driving cars are far safer than human drivers, according to Vox.

20:06Waymo analyzed the performance of its fleet of cars across 56.7 million miles driven in San Francisco, Phoenix, LA, and Austin and found that compared to human drivers, the robo taxis had 81 % fewer airbag deploying crashes, 85 % fewer crashes with suspected serious or worse injuries, 92 % fewer crashes that involved injuries to pedestrians, and 96 % fewer injury crashes at intersections. In one sense, this shouldn't be surprising. Self-driving cars don't need to respond to texts. They don't get tired. They never drink. They don't belt the chorus to Pink Pony Club with their eyes closed. Human drivers do all that with as much as a 2.5-second gap between you perceiving something and reacting to it in a car traveling 60 miles per hour.

20:53That's contributed to the nearly 40 ,000 traffic fatalities in the U.S. last year, deaths that perhaps could be preventable with more robo-taxis. Yeah, this was an eye-popping study because especially this was relatively small when it comes to the actual amount of miles driven. 56 million miles feels like a lot, but drivers across the U.S. typically log 3.3 trillion miles a year. So there is obviously a big delta there. So that could mean that this study could or it might be overstating the safety impacts, but it also might be understating because if you start to extrapolate those numbers across 3.3 trillion miles driven, That is a lot of lives that you start to save, you know, 40 ,000 deaths a year.

21:34If you can start chipping away at that, that is one of the underrated parts of this autonomous driving revolution is just how much safer the roads could actually end up being. For my final number, here's a little trivia question for you. Which U.S. restaurant chain generates the most revenue per location? Pause here if you want to venture a guess. Okay, the answer is Din Tai Fung, a Taiwanese soup dumpling chain, and it is not even close. Din Tai Fung's 16 U.S. locations generated an average of$27.4 million last year, which is almost double second place, the steakhouse Mastro's, according to industry researcher Technomic.

22:14Here's some more context on just how ridiculously lucrative Din Tai Fung stores are. As Restaurant Business notes, the company's revenue per store would be like combining two cheesecake factories into one restaurant, nearly four Chick-fil-A's and a little under seven McDonald's. If you haven't heard of Din Tai Fung, it began in 1958 as a cooking oil company, but transformed into a noodle business and first landed in the U.S. in 2000. Business is booming across 180 locations in 13 countries. It did$412 million in total sales last year, an almost 20 % annual increase. It's famous for its zhao long bao, or soup dumplings, but scoring some is notoriously hard and will probably require you to wait in a line.

22:57Toby, think you could have guessed this? No, I know I couldn't have guessed this because you quizzed me on this, and I immediately said Chick-fil-A because I thought that that was the gold standard, but Din Tai Fung just has, one, a higher average check size, two, they're big, and three, they're busy, and that's the holy grail of just ripping uh revenue per location so i do want to give all right so if you go to the other top five there's three steakhouse restaurants with between like 10 to 20 chain uh locations and then you have the cheesecake factory that comes in six place 12 million uh per location but it has 215 locations so i know this is about din tai feng but i also want to put some respect on the cheesecake factory's names because din tai feng only got 16 Cheesecake Factory 215 those things are big and they're still ripping in uh revenue so just you don't think Cheesecake Factory has enough respect to its name I don't know I mean I just wouldn't have put it at number six on this list I mean it's a it's above Nobu like it's making more money per restaurant than Nobu but yeah Din Tai Fung that was an eye-popping number like it is not even close how much more money it's making per location so I've never had it I haven't contributed we gotta go they just opened one uh in Midtown and apparently the line is extremely long.

24:10So that was like one of the most hyped restaurant openings of the past few years is because there is so much excitement around this particular chain. There's not that many in the United States. And you've been? No, I haven't been. Oh, you haven't been either? No. We got a date. Let's do it. Okay. Let's sprint to the finish with some final headlines. Elon Musk is saying, I want you back to President Trump. After their very public blow up last week, the world's richest person sent a flurry of 3 a.m. tweets on Wednesday saying he regrets some of his posts about Trump claiming they went too far. Perhaps he was referencing when he endorsed Trump's impeachment or claimed without evidence he was on the Epstein list.

24:46Either way, Musk has since deleted some of those most scathing posts and appears ready to make up. Unclear if this has any connection to Tesla's$150 billion wipeout during the falling out day last week, the biggest one-day plunge in the company's history. Toby, things seem to be A-OK between those two. I mean, who among us haven't fired out a couple of 3 a.m. texts or tweets, kind of regretting some things you said earlier. So I do think that Tesla especially are pretty happy with kind of this makeup arc that Elon is on. You look at the stock, it's gained four straight sessions. It's up about 10 % of this week as Elon is kind of refocusing, maybe making up with the administration, but also refocusing on his businesses because June 22nd is a big date coming up for Tesla.