In short
Morning Brew Daily Episode Summary
Episode Title
Elon Musk is Worth $400B & Saudi Arabia Set to Host 2034 World Cup Episode Description In this episode, Neal Freyman discusses the latest inflation report, the surprising announcement of Saudi Arabia as the host for the 2034 World Cup, and Elon Musk reaching a staggering net worth of $400 billion. The episode also features interesting statistics related to American migration, Juan Soto's record-breaking contract, and a fascinating humpback whale migration story.
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Key Points Discussed
- Inflation Report Overview
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) Update:
- CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year.
- This was the highest monthly increase since April, reflecting slight inflationary pressures.
- Market Reaction:
- Stock market responded positively with a significant rise in the Nasdaq and S&P 500.
- Core CPI Insights:
- Core CPI (excluding food and energy) also rose by 0.3%.
- Shelter costs, a significant contributor to inflation, showed signs of slowing down.
- Saudi Arabia Hosting the 2034 World Cup
- Controversial Decision:
- FIFA awarded Saudi Arabia the hosting rights, drawing criticism due to human rights issues in the kingdom.
- Investment in Sports:
- Saudi Arabia's significant investments in sports over the past few years, including funding for various sporting events and leagues.
- Infrastructure Plans:
- Plans to build 11 new stadiums, estimated to cost $1.3 trillion.
- Historical Context:
- Significant focus on how this decision positions Saudi Arabia as a major player in global sports.
- Elon Musk’s Wealth Milestone
- Net Worth Achievement:
- Musk's net worth surpassed $400 billion, driven by a surge in Tesla's stock and the valuation of SpaceX.
- Market Influence:
- Discussion on how Musk's financial success relates to his business ventures, particularly in electric vehicles and space technology.
- Comparative Wealth:
- Musk's wealth exceeds that of notable figures like Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates combined.
- Neal's Numbers Segment
- American Migration Trends:
- A record low of 7.5% of Americans moved in the past year, attributed to rising housing costs, an aging population, and remote work.
- Juan Soto's Contract:
- Soto signed a $765 million contract with the New York Mets, the largest in sports history, with various comparisons to illustrate its significance.
- Humpback Whale Migration:
- A male humpback whale traveled over 13,000 kilometers, the longest recorded migration for the species, raising questions about migration patterns.
- Closing Remarks
- Closing thoughts on the discussed topics, encouraging listeners to engage with the show and share their feedback.
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Additional Information
- Hosts: Neal Freyman and Toby Howell
- Produced by: Morning Brew
- Links:
- [Morning Brew Daily Podcast](https://link.chtbl.com/MBD)
- [YouTube Channel](https://www.youtube.com/@MorningBrewDailyShow)
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Conclusion This episode of Morning Brew Daily provided valuable insights into pressing economic topics, the evolving landscape of global sports, and the extraordinary financial achievements of Elon Musk, all presented in a witty and engaging manner. The discussions highlighted both current events and broader trends affecting society and the economy.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:01I'm Scott Hansen, host of NFL Red Zone. Lowe's knows Sundays are for football. That's why we're here to help you get your next DIY project done, even when the clock isn't on your side. Whether that's a new Filtrete filter or Bosch and Cobalt power tools, Lowe's has everything you need to feel like the MVP of DIY. So get it done and earn your Sunday. Shop now in-store and online. Lowe's, official partner of the NFL. Good Morning Brew Daily Show. I'm Neil Freiman. Today, Saudi Arabia was awarded the 2034 World Cup, a controversial move that cements the kingdom as a sports juggernaut. And Elon Musk's net worth has exploded.
0:45The world's richest man is now worth nearly$450 billion. It's Thursday, December 12th. Let's ride.
0:57As you may have noticed, Toby is not here. He got a last minute bug. So I am going to go full Alex Honnold and free solo this podcast today. I promise to do my best to bring you all the most important business news of the day, as well as a few fun tidbits as well. Speaking of fun tidbits, if you're running for statewide office, don't manipulate your Spotify rap, folks. New Jersey representative Josh Godheimer, who is running for governor of the state, is in some hot water after he was found photoshopping his Spotify rap to give off the impression that all he listened to was Bruce Springsteen, who is a god in New Jersey.
1:35Like everyone else, you know, Godheimer posted his Spotify rap on social media and his top songs were all the boss. Thunder Road was number one and Badlands and The Rising rounded out his top five. The one problem, it wasn't real. Internet Sleuths found that the font, numerals, and spacing were off, and when Godheimer was approached about it, he acknowledged that he fudged it, perhaps to impress voters with his Springsteen bona fides. He still said he was a huge Springsteen fan, but shares a Spotify account with his two kids, so his rap data wouldn't necessarily reveal that. Look, if you're going to run for the state of New Jersey, it's true.
2:11You have to be a Springsteen fan. That's just a baseline qualification, but this wasn't one of Godheimer's glory days. Now a word from our sponsor, Sage. Let me start off your day with some Neil's numbers, Sage edition. According to Sage, 88 % of finance leaders have adopted cloud technologies, 86 % are using automation, and 77 % have implemented machine learning. They've ditched the abacus folks. And then on top of that, 88 % of very successful finance leaders use AI and automation tools. So there's a trend toward advanced AI tool usage like ChatGPT among those leaders. And then looking ahead, 86 % of CFOs predict that technology, especially AI, machine learning, and automation, will significantly change their roles.
2:5661 % expect an increased use of AI-powered tools. So if you want to get in on those figures, you've got to visit sage.com for more info.
3:30Made the best I do. On brand with Jimmy Fallon. Series premiere Tuesday on NBC. That's Sage.com. So the Consumer Price Index report came in yesterday, which is this big monthly inflation report. And it came in matching expectations. It was pretty solid. The CPI index rose 0.3 % from the prior month. For the year, it rose 2.7%. percent. So this was a bigger increase than in previous months. This was the strongest month over month increase in prices since April. The thing was people, economists were expecting it and so didn't ruffle any feathers in the market. And if you just look to the stock market as a response to the CPI index, the market did well.
4:17After a few days of declines, the Nasdaq popped nearly 2%. It reached over 2 ,000 for the first time. S &P also added 0.8%. So the market reaction to this was pretty strong, even though there does seem to be some underlying inflation pressures. I guess the bottom line is that inflation is a bumpy road to come down to 2%. Remember, two years ago, it was at 9.1%. Now it's down to 2.7 annual growth. When you strip away those very volatile things like food and energy prices, which economists call core CPI, it also came in at 0.3%. That is what analysts and economists really look at. Not that headline number, but the core number, which is 0.3%.
5:03One thing that was very heartening about this particular inflation report was shelter costs. So housing costs have been the main contributor to inflation over the past year. And private data have shown rents and housing prices are coming down. But in this government data, in the CPI, shelter costs have remained high, and that's been keeping up overall inflation. It accounts for 40 percent of the entire CPI index. So one of the most heartening things of this report was that shelter costs were slowing. They advanced 0.3 percent in November after a 0.4 percent gain in the prior month. That was huge, and I think that's why you saw that really strong market reaction, because finally it seems that those housing and rent costs that have been declining in the private data are finally showing up in the government report.
5:55Let's dive into some of the more specific items in the inflation report. What's going up? What's going down? Well, a couple of things that were going up, furnishings and apparel. So if you're buying clothes, if you're buying that new sofa, You probably saw a bigger price hike this month than last. That was one of the main drivers of inflation. Grocery prices, after stagnating for about a year, jumped 0.5%. Used vehicle prices also rose. And then let's go back to that grocery. If you're buying eggs, we've talked about this a bunch, but there's a really bad avian flu going around. Egg prices rose 8.2 % and are up 37.5 % for the year.
6:36So while grocery prices have been stagnant or ticking up broadly in the supermarket, those egg prices are going up. What does this mean for the Fed? So whenever the inflation report comes out, we always ask, what does this mean for the Fed and its path toward cutting interest rates? So the Fed is meeting next week for its final meeting of the year. And expectations going into this inflation report had it about 90 percent chance that the Fed would cut interest rates. This inflation report, because it matched expectations, basically cements that. We're going to get a third interest rate cut for the year come December.
7:15Remember, the Fed, after hiking rates for the past two years, an historic amount started cutting rates in September. They did that meaty 50 basis point cut. Then they did a 25 point basis cut. Then they paused. And now it looks like we're going to get another rate cut in December, which, you know, hopefully the idea of that is to bring down borrowing costs, unleash a little more spending into the economy, get the economy kickstarted again. The thing is, Jerome Powell just had this interview earlier this month, and he is expressing a lot of caution about rate cuts because the thing that he's trying to strike this balance, He wants to be on this tightrope where you don't want to cut rates too much because if you cut rates too much, then inflation is going to probably go back up.
8:00It's going to unleash more spending, and that leads to price growth. But if he cuts rates too much, then that could dent the economy and, most importantly, dent job growth. The thing is, job growth seems to be doing perfectly fine. After that anomaly we had in October with the hurricanes and the Boeing strike, job growth went back to normal levels with over 200 job gained in November. So everything is going, I guess, bottom line, everything is going pretty much according to plan. The one question mark is what does the Trump administration have in store for inflation and the Fed's rate cuts? Well, you know, economists have pointed out that a lot of the Trump administration's policies could be inflationary.
8:47When you're talking about tariffs, those could raise prices. When you're talking about tax cuts, that could unleash more spending and also raise prices. Mass deportations could cause labor shortages and also raise prices. So I think that's why you see Jerome Powell expressing caution about rate cuts going forward. So I would say the Fed's rate cuts are absolutely locked in for next week. and people will be paying more attention to about how many rate cuts they expect in 2025. Saudi Arabia has been awarded host of the 2034 World Cup, marking the zenith of its strategy to spend massive amounts of money on sports.
9:24It's a highly controversial selection by FIFA, given widespread accusations of human rights abuses in the kingdom, but it's determined to move ahead nonetheless because the center of gravity in sports is shifting and it's shifting east. With this election, the Gulf has asserted itself as a central node in the global sports network. We're about two years removed from Qatar hosting the World Cup in 2022, and the region is getting another one in Saudi Arabia in 10 years. Unlike the teams that play in the World Cup, Saudi Arabia did not have any competition for hosting duties. FIFA tweaked the process in its favor, expediting the bidding and changing its rule on infrastructure to allow countries with fewer stadiums to apply.
10:04In the end, Saudi Arabia was the only country that put its name forward for the 2034 World Cup. What comes next? Well, a whole lot of construction. The kingdom is going to begin building 11 new stadiums ahead of the World Cup, which, combined with other real estate projects, will add$1.3 trillion to infrastructure costs. It's been an understood fact for years, but by being tapped to host the World Cup, the granddaddy of all sporting events, Saudi Arabia has arrived as a global superpower. And this decision really was met with a lot of condemnation. Twenty one rights groups came forward and said, Saudi Arabia, your human rights record is quite terrible.
10:46Whenever you have major construction projects like this megacity, Ni 'am, there are widespread reports of thousands of migrant workers dying on the scene. You treat them horribly. There was also that 2018 murder of the dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi that remains in the minds of some. So this election by FIFA was controversial, raised a lot of alarms from human rights groups, but it seems like it doesn't matter. There's just too much money here. Saudi Arabia has been pouring nearly a trillion dollars into all these sports investments in just the past three years. I mean, let's just run down the table here.
11:25You have golf. Remember, Saudi Arabia financed a competitor to the PGA Tour called Live Golf and poached a lot of the world's best players. They hosted a women's tennis tournament. They've been in terms of soccer. I mean, they've really boosted their domestic league by buying up also all the world's best players, even if they're aging. They bought Ronaldo, Neymar, Benzema, Sadio Mane, Conte, all these players who are playing in the best leagues in Europe. Saudi Arabia shelled out to bring them to their domestic league. In other sports, they've been spending a ton of money horse racing. It's now basically replaced Las Vegas as the home of boxing.
12:05They have a Formula One race now. So Saudi Arabia, I would say with this 2034 World Cup, this is just kind of the cherry on top for all of these sports investments because the World Cup just is the biggest sporting event in the world. We'll be watching to see what these construction projects unfold because Saudi Arabia is building these futuristic cities, these futuristic skyscrapers. They're going to build 11 new stadiums ahead of 2034. And that wasn't the only World Cup news. FIFA also solidified the host of the 2030 tournament, which are going to be Spain, Portugal and Morocco. They're going to co-host 2030.
12:40But also the wrinkle here is that the first few games are going to be played in Uruguay, Argentina and Paraguay over in South America. And that is an ode to the first World Cup, which took place in 1930. That was hosted in Uruguay. So they're going to play the first game in Uruguay to mark 100 years since the beginning of the World Cup. They're going to play a game in Argentina and Paraguay as well. and then they're going to move over to Spain, Portugal, and Morocco for the rest of the games. Elon Musk has just crossed into a level of wealth that would make even smog from Lord of the Rings jealous.
13:13His net worth surpassed$400 billion yesterday, meaning Musk is now worth more than Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates combined. Tesla had another hot day in the market with the carmaker's 4 % jump contributing to the milestone, but it really was Musk's stake in SpaceX, his rocket company that pushed him over the$400 billion mark. The private space startup that Musk reportedly owns 42 % of sold shares that valued the firm at$350 billion, making it by far the most valuable startup in the world. That share sale boosted his net worth by$50 billion in one fell swoop, leading Bloomberg to peg him at a staggering$447 billion.
13:55Altogether, Musk's fortune has increased by 66 percent since Donald Trump's victory, propelled by a 65 percent recovery in Tesla's share price on expectations that Trump is going to eliminate those helpful EV tax credits for Tesla rivals and help with regulation for autonomous vehicles. I mean, this is insane. Musk spent two hundred and seventy seven million dollars helping to elect Trump. And since that election, he's made more than$4 billion per day on paper. Of course, you know, these are all, this isn't money he has in the bank. These are all tied up in stocks, but that is probably one of the best investments of all time.
14:35Let's run through some of Musk's companies that is contributing to his net worth. Yeah, we should start with SpaceX. SpaceX is worth$350 billion. That is crazy. That is, yes, not only is that the most valuable private startup in the world, It's among the top 25 most valuable companies in the S &P 500. It's one of the most valuable companies in the world. It's worth more than any other defense contractor. Lockheed Martin, Boeing, it blows those out of the water. It's right around Johnson & Johnson and Bank of America's value. SpaceX is an absolute business juggernaut. It has the Starlink satellite internet business.
15:12It has a near monopoly on the U.S. satellite launch market. If you want to send something into space, then you're going to call up Elon Musk and SpaceX. It also has done a bunch of tests on its next generation Starship, which is contracting with NASA to bring people to the moon and then maybe Mars. So this company is truly a behemoth. I'm very curious to see whether Musk will have it go public. If so, it'll clearly be the biggest IPO of all time. Then moving on to Tesla. Tesla was down 41 percent in April of this year. Its stock had a terrible first few months. And then all of a sudden, it's gone crazy.
15:53It's been up 65 % since the election, which accounts for nearly all of its gains for the year. At one point yesterday, if you find this funny, it was up 69 % for a share price of$420. I mean, I think that's kind of funny. Tesla still has a problem with its stagnant car lineup with selling EVs. It's doing OK with that. But really what investors are bullish on and pretty much all analysts raise their price targets this week, which contributed to the share price bump that we saw, is that it's making huge investments in robo taxis and AI. And when investors are looking at pictures of Donald Trump and every single one seems to have Elon Musk right by his side, they're saying, OK, obviously, this administration is going to be great for Tesla.
16:40He's going to repeal these EV tax credits that are helping Tesla's rivals. He's going to lay federal regulation for robo-taxis, which Tesla wants to introduce in 2026. So things are looking up for Tesla after a year or so where there was a lot of criticism that Tesla hadn't introduced a new model in a while. And then also, Elon Musk has all these companies you don't even think about. He has XAI, which is his AI company that's a competitor to OpenAI, that just raised$6 billion at a$50 billion valuation earlier this year. It was valued at$24 billion. So he has all these companies that are worth more money than we've ever seen in our life, which contributed to his net worth now of $447 billion.
17:26He is probably the richest person who has ever lived. There was this West African king named Mansa Musa, who lived a while ago, and he was worth around$400 billion, according to the BBC. So Musk is now worth more than any person who has ever lived on this planet. Up next, Neil's numbers.
18:01talking in person, on the phone, or using the award-winning app. It's nice knowing you have help finding coverage that best fits your needs. Like a good neighbor, State Farm is there.
18:14The spirit of innovation is deeply ingrained in America, and Google is helping Americans innovate in ways both big and small. From improving emergency response times to protecting against cyber attacks, local, state, and federal governments are innovating with Google AI. This is a new era of American innovation. Find out more at g.co slash American Innovation. For my first number, Americans are moving less than they ever have before. Just about 7.5 % of people in the United States packed up their things and moved into a new home last year, the lowest share on record. Compare that 7.5 % to the 1960s, when one in five or 20 % of Americans moved.
18:58We're simply not a geographically mobile people anymore, and this trend has been going on for a while now. I mean, if you look at the chart of the moving rate, it peaks in the late 1960s, and it's just gone slowly down, setting new lows year after year. So what's going on? Are we just settling in the most literal sense of the term? Experts point to a few factors that could be contributing to the decline. Housing costs have skyrocketed, making moving financially impossible. The population is getting older and older people move less and regions have become less specialized in certain industries.
19:32So if you work in a particular field, you don't necessarily need to move to find a job in that sector. If you work in cars, you know, a few decades ago, you probably would have had to move to Detroit. Now you don't need to. If you worked in tech, you would have moved to Silicon Valley. Not necessarily now. I think remote work has a lot to do with just the plunging stats in people moving. The aging population certainly has a lot to do with it. Just 4 % of people in their late 60s moved over the past year. So if you're older, you're just going to what they call age in place, surrounded by your network of family and friends who will help take care of you.
20:09And then the biggest decline has been seen in young people. between 2005 and 2006, about 30 % of 20 to 24-year-olds moved. And then that dropped to less than 20 % in the most recent period. So maybe this jives with your experience. You're just not moving, whether it's housing costs. You don't need to move to find a job because there is a job in your field, in the city you live in. But whatever reason, Americans just aren't moving anymore. We're hitting record low after record low. My second number is baseball superstar Juan Soto's$765 million contract with the New York Mets, the richest deal in sports history.
20:47But my number isn't the$765 million. It's all the ways people are slicing and dicing it to put it in context. In the days since the deal was reported Sunday night, internet users have made all sorts of fun calculations to help normal folks like us understand just how mind-boggling a number this is. For example, if Soto kept up his production last year on the Yankees, he'll be making$1.2 million for every home run, half a million for every RBI, and$300 ,000 for every hit. He'll make nearly$50 ,000, which many people make in a single year, every time he swings the bat, no matter if he whiffs or makes contact.
21:26Moving across sports, Soto's contract dwarfs the earnings of other legends. The 15-year deal is more than the combined career on-field earnings of Tom Brady and Peyton Manning, and it's also more than the combined career on-court earnings of LeBron James and Michael Jordan. This is a monster contract. The Associated Press also did something fun. They went across sports to other superstars and looked at how their contracts could be sliced and diced based on achievements that they made over the course of their games. So Stephen Curry has a he's making nearly fifty six million dollars this season.
22:03If he was paid by the three pointer, he'd be getting about one hundred and sixty two thousand dollars every time he makes one. Going to the Celtics, Jalen Brown and Jason Tatum, they're two superstars. They make twenty seven thousand dollars for every point they score over in soccer. Lionel Messi for Inter Miami. He makes over one million dollars for every goal he scored this season. He made$230 every single second he's on the pitch. And then finally in golf, Scotty Scheffler, he's made so much money. He's the world number one. He's incredible. He's made$29 million in 2024. That calculates out to$11 ,000 per stroke.
22:44For my final number, one humpback whale was found to have taken one of the most epic road trips in history. In a new paper published yesterday, a male humpback was estimated to have traveled at least 13 ,000 kilometers or more than 8 ,000 miles in what researchers say is the longest migration of any whale known to science. This whale was seen in the Pacific Ocean off Columbia in 2017, then was spotted near Zanzibar in the Indian Ocean several years later, about 13 ,000 kilometers away when expressed by great circle distance. So why did this fella travel so far? twice as long as the typical humpback migration.
23:20Seems like it's a case of dudes being dudes. He was looking for a mate and crossed at least three oceans in search of sex, the researchers hypothesize. Another theory is that due to climate change, food, the food they eat has also become more scarce in the region where he was. So he had to go 13 ,000 kilometers to find more food. It's unclear how he was received, though, when he got to the new breeding ground, since humpbacks actually don't generally mix with other populations despite their epic migrations. Researchers wondered, and this is a quote from one of the lead authors, when he showed up, was it like, ooh, sexy foreigner with a cool accent?
23:58Either way, this was an epic journey brought together by a lot of citizen science and people taking pictures and uploading it to this platform. I just can't imagine how many times he had to stop to pee. Okay, that is all the time we have. Thanks so much for starting your morning with us, with me. Have a wonderful Thursday. For any questions, comments, or feedback, send an email to morningbrewdailyatmorningbrew.com. Let's roll the credits. Emily Milliron is our executive producer. Raymond Liu is our producer. Olivia Graham is our associate producer. Yuchenua Ogu is our technical director. Billy Menino is on audio.
24:32Hair and makeup, you should co-host with me next time. I think you do great. Devin Emery is our chief content officer, and our show is a production of Morning Brew.
24:47For businesses ready to launch their own debit card rewards program, trust in Galileo Financial Technologies. Galileo provides the foundation to launch, scale, and grow your next card program. Visit us at galileo-ft.com slash card dash issuing.
From the publisher
Episode 473: Neal recaps the latest inflation report, which ticked up just so slightly – but didn’t cause any panic. Then, FIFA announced the next countries to host the World Cup and in 2034, the choice of Saudi Arabia has raised a lot of eyebrows. Plus, Elon Musk becomes the first person to reach $400B net worth. Also, Neal shares his favorite numbers on Americans moving, Juan Soto’s contract, and a traveling humpback whale. Lastly, headline news you can use to end your day.
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00:00 - Intro
03:25 - Inflation Ticks Up Slightly
08:50 - Saudi Arabia to Host the World Cup
13:30 - Elon Musk is Worth $400B
19:10 - Neal’s Numbers
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