In short
The episode is a BBC NewsHour roundup focused mainly on Germany’s state elections and their political fallout, plus other international stories. Topic: In Germany, Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU is hit by exit-poll results in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, which Merz calls a “disaster,” after earlier far-right AfD gains in Saxony-Anhalt.
Guests
Jorn Fleck (Atlantic Council, Senior Director of the Europe Centre) analyzes why Merz is unpopular and how the AfD is gaining momentum. Backgrounds: Fleck is a Europe policy analyst/think-tank director.
Key claims
Merz faces pressure due to economic stagnation, coalition failures, and an abrasive leadership/communication style; there are few credible internal challengers, so change is unlikely soon. AfD is described as disruptive but “less invincible” than earlier, with SPD leader Manuela Schwesig cited as showing a mainstream comeback is possible.
Notable examples
CDU “squeezed” between SPD and AfD; Berlin exit polls suggesting Die Linke ahead; AfD’s third state win in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern; firewall strategy criticized for avoiding underlying issues.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOResults of the German State Elections
1:50 to 2:58
Discussion on the recent elections in Germany and their implications for Chancellor Friedrich Merz and the CDU.
“But we are going to begin in Germany, where two more states held elections today, not something that would usually make headlines around the world.”
Reactions to the Election Results
3:01 to 4:27
Analysis of the CDU's performance and remarks from party figures regarding Friedrich Merz's leadership.
“both in Mecklenburg-Württemberg and in the other election in Berlin.”
The AFD's Position and Public Sentiment
4:33 to 7:38
Examination of the Alternative for Germany (AFD) party's electoral success and the public's response.
“Yeah, well, you've been mingling amongst the CDU.”
Challenges for Chancellor Merz and the Future of German Politics
7:40 to 12:07
Discussion on Chancellor Merz's challenges, the lack of alternatives, and the AFD's disruptive role.
“Was it a similarly strong showing as two weeks ago?”
Upcoming Insights on AI and Education
14:00 to 14:44
Daniel Siskind discusses the importance of traditional school subjects in an AI-driven future.
“Still to come on the programme, the economist Daniel Suskin tells us why traditional school subjects will continue to be essential in a future driven by AI.”
Latest Headlines from Europe
14:44 to 15:11
Overview of significant political events including Germany's state election results.
“Our main headlines from the newsroom at the moment, As we've been hearing, Germany's Chancellor Friedrich Merz has described the results of a state election as a disaster for his party.”
Trump's Proposed Triumph Arch
15:11 to 16:34
Discussion on Trump's controversial plan for a triumphal arch in D.C.
“And President Trump's plans for a huge triumphal arch that he wants to build in the city.”
Critique of the Triumph Arch Proposal
16:34 to 19:36
Historian Kevin Levin critiques the implications of Trump's triumphal arch plan.
“but certainly he is pushing as quickly as he can.”
Documentary on Longevity
19:36 to 22:35
Filmmaker Sam Green explores the lives of the world's oldest people.
“Now, what's it like to live at the very extremes of human longevity, to live to 110, 115 years old even.”
Reflections on Living a Thoughtful Life
22:35 to 23:39
Sam Green shares insights on life, death, and meaningful living through his documentary.
“What she was saying is, you're young and you have time, so use it.”
Show all 24 chapters
Financial Insights from Dave Ramsey
24:38 to 25:01
Tristan Redmond discusses Dave Ramsey's perspective on personal financial responsibility.
“I'm Tristan Redmond from The Global Story, and I've been speaking to the massively popular US money guru who says if there's a financial crisis, it's on us.”
Ed Sheeran's Controversial Speech
25:01 to 28:00
Ed Sheeran addresses the crowd at his concert following controversy over a support act.
“listen to The Global Story on bbc.com or wherever you listen.”
Public Reaction to Concert and Political Implications
28:00 to 28:40
Discussion on public engagement during a concert and its relevance to politics.
“And like people were hanging on to every word he said.”
Ukrainian Drone Attacks on Moscow
28:40 to 29:48
Overview of a significant drone attack on Moscow and its implications.
“You're listening to NewsHour and I'm James Menendez.”
Understanding the Pelican Missile
29:48 to 31:44
Expert analysis of the Pelican missile and its potential impact in the conflict.
“And that is a short range ballistic missile.”
Moscow's Electoral Landscape
31:44 to 33:08
Examination of recent parliamentary elections in Russia and their implications.
“the ballistics, the crews and the drones are arriving in and around the same time to confuse and overwhelm air defences.”
Potential for Mass Mobilization in Russia
33:08 to 35:38
Discussion on the likelihood of mass mobilization in Russia's military strategy.
“Patrick Beury of the University of Bath.”
Putin's Negotiation Stance
35:38 to 36:48
Insights into Putin's unwillingness to negotiate and the impact of his policies.
“And really, this is demanding that Russia be given basically control of Ukrainian territory, which Russia has not achieved on the battlefield.”
Synthetic Drugs Crisis in Scotland
36:48 to 41:06
Discussion on the rise of synthetic drugs in Scotland and its public health impact.
“I'm growing concerned there about the influx of powerful and very dangerous new synthetic drugs.”
The Future of Work in the AI Era
41:06 to 42:01
Examination of the implications of AI on jobs and education for future generations.
“at the University of Dundee in Scotland in one of the labs that's involved in that programme of testing to try and pick up those very powerful and dangerous synthetic drugs that are making way into Scotland.”
Introduction to AI Concerns
42:01 to 42:34
Explore the growing concerns around AI and its implications for future generations.
“What's the point of learning if a machine can tell us what the answer is?”
Preparing the Next Generation
42:34 to 44:26
Discussing the importance of teaching children the basics amidst advancing technology.
“I mean, one is that this is just the water in which the next generation are going to swim.”
Lessons from the Past: Calculators and Education
44:26 to 47:12
Examining historical responses to technological changes in education, focusing on calculators.
“Just tell us a bit more about that, because in a way, that was a sort of that provoked a similar scare, didn't it?”
AI's Dual Nature: Promise and Peril
47:12 to 49:12
Analyzing the dual aspects of AI technology and its potential benefits and risks.
“I think the challenge, though, is not to overestimate the value that people attach to process.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00This BBC podcast is supported by ads outside the UK.
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1:11Hello and welcome to NewsHour from the BBC World Service. We're coming to you live from London. I'm James Menendez. Coming up a little later in the programme, the pop star Ed Sheeran's played his first concert since he lost his entire backing band and all of his support acts after another support act was taken off his tour for voicing pro-Palestinian statements. We'll hear from a fan who was there. It was very, very high energy. And like people were hanging on to every word he said. He even made a comment about how the noise level was so up and down because every time he talked, it got so quiet because people wanted to hear what he was going to speak about.
1:48More on that coming up in half an hour. But we are going to begin in Germany, where two more states held elections today, not something that would usually make headlines around the world. But after the political earthquake two weeks ago that saw the far-right AFD party emerge as the biggest winner in Saxony-Anhalt, well, the reverberations are still being felt, not just for that party and its continued ascent, but also for the Chancellor, Friedrich Merz, and his centre-right CDU party. He shouldered much of the blame for the AFD's success in that vote, casting his leadership in some doubt. Well, he's had another bad night with exit polls suggesting the CDU has only just scraped enough votes to keep a seat or two in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
2:34But speaking afterwards, Mr Merz vowed to stay on. Today we've seen two elections with very different results. We can't sugarcoat the results in Mecklenburg-West Pomerania. It's a disaster. The CDU fought, but ultimately got squeezed between the SPD and the AfD. For the far-right AfD, it was another strong showing, both in Mecklenburg-Württemberg and in the other election in Berlin. Leif-Erik Holm is the party's candidate for state premier in the former. We've seen that people want change. That too is clearly reflected in the numbers. We're in the lead, and of course we want to remain in the lead by the end of the evening.
3:21We want to become the strongest force. We have the mandate to govern here in Mecklenburg Western Pomerania. Our correspondent Jess Parker has been at the CDU's headquarters in Berlin and she joins me on the line now. So what's the latest? Just take us through those projections. Yes, so as we should explain, these results can change a little bit as the counting gets firmed up overnight and into tomorrow. But the initial exit poll drops showed De Linke, the left party, coming out ahead in Berlin, therefore potentially squeezing a second-place Conservative CDU party out of a future coalition. Talks will obviously now need to happen, as is per usual in German politics.
4:10And then in Mecklenburg-Portpomen, as we've been hearing, no one expected the CDU to do well. It's not a strong state for them. But being around that 5 % threshold, where if you fall below it, you don't even get into the state parliament, that's pretty disastrous for the CDU and a record low result. And I think the one that Friedrich Mertz has basically described as a disaster for them. And as he was saying, a lot of people are saying he needs to answer this as the leader of his party. Yeah, well, you've been mingling amongst the CDU. What have they been saying about the results? Yes, I mean, I've been speaking to people for a few days.
4:47One CDU official I spoke to earlier in the week said he thought it was a tricky situation but maybe Friedrich Mertz did need to go and this idea of a Kanzler Tausch a chancellor swap where someone else within the CDU could maybe take Friedrich Mertz's place um I put basically the same question to a man called Berghard Degger in Berlin tonight a member of the CDU in Berlin and asked him if Mertz should stay yeah of course he should he has a lot of work to do and we don't have time to waste to form new government in the federal level. So let him continue his job. It's very important. And I trust in him that he will be able to do the necessary reforms which are necessary to bring Germany again in the lead in Europe.
5:34Aren't you worried that he is personally so unpopular and he has failed to do what he wanted to do, which was to counter the rise of Alternativa for Deutschland? Yeah, I think the Germans are very impatient at the moment. The Chancellor is in office for one year, a little bit more than one year, and it's not realistic to expect that every issue has been solved within one year. He has got four years, and we have to give him the four years. And I'm very confident that they will deliver with the necessary reforms with regard to social welfare, energy costs, security, inner security, external security, defense and everything.
6:22We have to stand together now, and I count on the Social Democrats and also on the Green Party, that they realize that Germany cannot be governed by extremist parties at the far right or the far left. So I ask them to be reasonable, to realize the interests of our country, and to make a stable, strong government of the center possible. But there are people in your own party who think Friedrich Merz should go, that there should be a Kanzler-Tausch, a chancellorswold. No, I don't think so. You don't think so? Not at all. I don't think so. I think he has to continue. I know you don't think that, but there are people in your party who do.
7:09Of course. It's a big party, so people have their own opinions. But I'm sure it's the best way to continue and to deliver on all the reforms which are necessary to bring Germany ahead. Do you really have faith that Friedrich Merz can deliver? Yes, definitely. Because some people don't. Whatever. I don't believe them. I don't think it's right. He has to deliver and we have to support him. That's my opinion. Burkhard Rega of the CDU. And Jess, what about the AFD? A quick word. Was it a similarly strong showing as two weeks ago? Pretty different, actually, in the sense that in Saxony-Anhalt, they were streets ahead and nearly scored a parliamentary majority, which is a remarkable feat in German politics.
7:53However, they have now chalked up, it looks like, their third state win by taking the most votes, according to those initial exit polls in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. So they will be delighted by that. There was a bit of a catch up campaign by the centre left SPD. They're obviously unlikely to actually take power in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern because most other parties won't work with the AFD, which is something the AFD says is deeply undemocratic. Jess, thank you very much indeed. That was our Berlin correspondent Jess Parker joining us live. Well, let's get some analysis from Jorn Fleck, who's Senior Director of the Europe Centre at the think tank, the Atlantic Council.
8:29He's in Washington, D.C. First of all, why is Chancellor Friedrich Merz so unpopular? So clearly Chancellor Friedrich Merz takes another hit and will come under continued and growing pressure in terms of his chancellorship. At the same time, there's a lack of alternatives. And I think it's not very likely that in the near term, the German chancellor will be swapped out and someone else filling in his place. There are not that many credible contenders from within his conservative center-right camp. And there's clearly growing frustration among the electorate with his failure and to be fair to him, also the failure of his coalition among his CDU, CSU, center-right and the center-left SPD to really tackle some key issues.
9:23And that includes the economic stagnation that's lasting for almost seven years now, including a two-year recession and really drive forward meaningful reforms. Then there's his own leadership style in a fractious coalition. And then obviously also his blunt and what many see as sometimes abrasive communication style that really rubs voters the wrong way, that fails to engage them, fails to explain for many really where he would like to take the country and why the German public should shoulder the hard reforms necessary to address economic challenges, security and defense challenges, and migration challenges.
10:07And is your sense that he can turn it around? Or do you think voters have already made up their minds about him? I think very much voters at this point have made up their minds. At the same time, there is a lack of real challengers. So I think this will continue to be a muddling through for Merz unless he can really find much more of a team-based approach in the coalition and really focus minds among both his own party and that of his coalition partner, that the only way to stem the tide when it comes to the challenge from the populist far-right extreme AFD will be to really drive forward reform and communicate to voters where Germany is supposed to be heading.
10:52Yeah, well, let's talk a bit about the AFD. I mean, they set off a political earthquake when they won the most votes in Saxony-Anhol, didn't they? two weeks ago. Do the projected results today underscore that victory or perhaps fall a little bit short? I think they fall a little bit short. Clearly, the AFD continues to disrupt German politics and be an insurgent force that moves German politics away from the two-party stranglehold that the centre-right CDU and the centre-left SPD had for decades towards a much more normal European country. We've seen this trend elsewhere. It continues to have momentum, as we saw in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
11:38But today, after the elections there and in Berlin, the AfD looks a little less invincible, its ascent a little less inevitable. And I think especially Manuela Schwesig in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern has shown you can fight back against the AfD and you can push them on the lack of their own agenda and thereby really stage a comeback in that state. Yeah, she's the SPD leader in that state. And I wanted to ask you that question. I mean, can the mainstream parties, as it were, still hold up this firewall and keep the AFD out? I mean, is that going to be a viable tactic in the future? Or are they going to have to find ways simply to persuade voters that the AFD is not worth voting for.
12:29So I think one of the biggest problems and one of the drivers, not the only one, but one of the drivers behind the AFD's current momentum and ascent has been this focus on the firewall, talk about party political tactical issues instead of really tackling the issues behind the growth of the AFD. And that's where also voters in Germany generally are frustrated with Mats and his coalition government because nothing seems to move on the actual issues. No one seems to be addressing anything from migration and security related issues to especially the economy and the pressures that Germany and German competitiveness has been under, bureaucratization, bureaucracy at home and so on.
13:22Everything that this government at the federal level promised came in and promised to change. And so much more of a focus away from this firewall, even though I think the parties, especially in Berlin and in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, will maintain that firewall. And much more of a shift towards really dealing with the issues, putting them front and center. And that's what the state premier, Manuela Schwesig, did in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and staged a real comeback. And that was Jorn Fleck, who is Senior Director of the Europe Centre at the think tank, the Atlantic Council. You're listening to News Out.
14:07Still to come on the programme, the economist Daniel Suskin tells us why traditional school subjects will continue to be essential in a future driven by AI. These technologies are not perfect. They exhibit biases, they make mistakes, they hallucinate. And actually to tell the difference between when they are behaving wonderfully and when they're behaving awfully is not trivial. And we need to keep those basics, in particular our critical faculty, sharp to always be sort of testing and interrogating and pushing back on them. What AI means for the next generation. More from Daniel Siskind coming up in half an hour.
14:44Our main headlines from the newsroom at the moment, As we've been hearing, Germany's Chancellor Friedrich Merz has described the results of a state election as a disaster for his party. And projections from Russia's tightly controlled parliamentary election show President Putin's party is on course to win, hours after Moscow was hit by a major Ukrainian attack.
15:08This is James Menendez with NewsHour live from the BBC. D.C. Let's head to Washington, D.C. now. And President Trump's plans for a huge triumphal arch that he wants to build in the city. Earlier today, he posted on social media that he also wants the arch to become a top-grade military complex. His words, that will house drones, snipers and, quote, large quantities of ammunition, apparently at the request of the Pentagon. The design for the arch would see it soar 76 metres, about 250 feet, above Memorial Circle, which sits between the Lincoln Memorial and Arlington Cemetery. And that has generated plenty of criticism.
15:47I've been speaking to the historian Kevin Levin. This is obviously new news, just announced this morning. I think part of this is an attempt to anticipate the challenges in the courts. And so when you look at the construction of the ballroom on the White House grounds, you know, he has used the argument that this is a matter of national security as a way to buttress his claim in the courts. And I suspect that this is along the same lines, that he's anticipating, you know, additional challenges to the construction of the arch. And this will allow the process to go through much more quickly. Do you think it will get final approval?
16:25You know, it's difficult to anticipate and make predictions at this point. I tend to think that it will. Whether it's completed before, you know, his second term is up, I think that's an interesting question. but certainly he is pushing as quickly as he can. He understands that the country, the public opinion is against this, and I think he's just trying to steamroll it through. I mean, what about the whole idea in principle of a triumphal arch? I mean, what do you think of that? I mean, first of all, what is it meant to be celebrating? Yeah, that's a question, of course, many of us have been asking when he was first asked about about what this was for, what it would honor, who it would honor.
17:06He, you know, casually said himself, look, you know, certainly the commemorative or the monument landscape of Washington, D.C. is constantly evolving. You know, new monuments go up on a fairly regular basis, but they happen after a great deal of consideration, a great deal of planning. A lot of committees, of course, have to get involved. There's concern about the environment, about how a monument will impact the sight lines of other monuments and other iconic locations in and around D.C. The difference here, of course, is that none of those procedures have really been allowed to play out. And so his idea, of course, I mean, he is referred to France's arch and, of course, in Paris.
17:50He is referred to ancient Rome as a kind of foundation for this or justification. but, you know, its placement between the Lincoln Memorial and Arlington National Cemetery, two of the most important, in the case of Arlington, sacred spaces, it's hard to understand or fathom what the justification for this could be, given the fact that it's going to loom over everything, given its scale, everything in the area. That's the thing. I mean, it is what, you know, 70 meters, 250 feet. I mean, that is seriously, seriously big, isn't it? Yeah, there have been renderings of this. And as someone who spends a good deal of time in Washington, D.C., leading tours of various kinds and spending time in those specific areas, from certain vantage points, it is going to completely overshadow what you're able to see, unlike anything I think we've ever seen in and around D.C.
18:45And particularly, as you mentioned, the fact that it's quite near to Arlington Cemetery. And people have also talked about the fact that, you know, if you're looking at the ark from one direction, then you're turning your back on the cemetery. I mean, this is important stuff to many people, isn't it? And I think it's one of the reasons why there are many veterans who are very concerned about this. Arlington, at times, the president has mentioned that it is an attempt to honour, you know, those people who are buried in Arlington. But of course, you know, the response is that these men and women, you know, who have given the last full measure, have served their country, don't need any additional form of memory or honour.
19:23The burial itself, the location itself is justification. And so I think, you know, he's on very flimsy ground when it comes to trying to explain this. The historian Kevin Levin.
19:42Now, what's it like to live at the very extremes of human longevity, to live to 110, 115 years old even. Or to be Ethel Caterham from England, who's currently the oldest person in the world. She was born in 1909 in the Edwardian era, five years before the First World War. She turned 117 last month. Well, the world's most senior citizens are the subject of a new documentary by a New York-based filmmaker, Sam Green. Tom Brook has been to meet him. I know this might sound weird, but I've been obsessed with the oldest person in the world for years. Meet adventurous Brooklyn-based Oscar-nominated filmmaker Sam Green.
20:28Since 2015, he's been traveling the world, chronicling the forever changing holders of the title of oldest person in the world. Hanukana is the oldest person in the world. His survey has included Kane Tanaka in Japan, who held the title for four years. And then there's the oldest person ever, France's Jean Calment, who when she died in 1997 was 122 years old. In her later years, she recorded a rap album.
21:04Sam Green's long been fascinated by why the news media and the public are so interested in the title holder of the oldest person in the world. Is this a fear of death? Is this a fear of fate? Or one of those things like with a car crash where you can't look away, but you don't want to look at it? Sam Green found there was nearly always a desire on the part of others to find out if there's a secret to longevity. The elderly people he observed had all kinds of answers for why they'd led a long life. One woman stated she'd live for a long time because she'd stayed away from men. She also said her secret was eating three raw eggs a day.
21:43So it's like the media descends on these people. Everybody asks them what their secret is, and they say something and everybody runs with that. This documentary shows the outside world is often much more intrigued by the oldest person in the world than the subjects who hold that title. But this film isn't just about the very old. It's also about life and death and events in the filmmaker's own life, the birth of a son and his own confrontation with a life-threatening illness. These things started to creep into the movie, so over time it becomes a larger meditation, I hope, about time and the mysteries of being alive and fate and all these big questions that we ask ourselves.
22:26The last person I interviewed, a Spanish woman named Maria Brañas, She was very funny. She even was making fun of me, which I love. She said, you are young. Now is the time to do good works. What she was saying is, you're young and you have time, so use it. And I think that's a beautiful thing to appreciate. Over the last 10 years, Sam Green has met many of those who've held the title of oldest person in the world. But there's been one holdout, the current title holder, 117-year-old Ethel Caterham who lives in Surrey, just outside London. She was born in Edwardian times. She is the first person in ten years who has rebuffed my overtures.
23:15But she did let King Charles visit her, didn't she? I saw a video of her and King Charles and I thought, Charles? Not me? You know? Even though this documentary focuses on the very old and very fragile, it makes the point that there is much to learn from observing them and from the filmmaker himself about what it means to live a thoughtful life. It is an unexpectedly life-affirming film.
23:46That was our correspondent Tom Brook there reporting and talking to filmmaker Sam Green. And you're listening to NewsHour. Do stay with us. We've got lots more coming up in the second half of the program.
24:22line when the reigning champ Dave the Redneck Mundell defends against undefeated British challenger Jack the Meat Cleaver Colon. BKFC 94, Till vs. Romero. Watch it live only on The Zone. Sign up now at TheZone.com. Can politicians improve our economic fortunes? Dave Ramsey says no. I'm Tristan Redmond from The Global Story, and I've been speaking to the massively popular US money guru who says if there's a financial crisis, it's on us. When you borrow on credit cards and take out a$1 ,200 car payment on a freaking Range Rover, you've destroyed your life, not the president. For the full interview, listen to The Global Story on bbc.com or wherever you listen.
25:12Welcome back to NewsHour. The British pop star Ed Sheeran's apologised to fans for making mistakes in his handling of a row over free speech during his world tour. He was speaking at his first show since one of his support acts, the American rapper Macklemore, was dropped from the tour over pro-Palestinian comments. Sheeran insisted it wasn't his decision to drop Macklemore and has tried to avoid being drawn into the fraught debate over the Middle East. But he was left with little choice after the withdrawal of his other support acts threatened the whole tour. And so alone on stage at Philadelphia's Lincoln Financial Field Stadium on Saturday night, he had this to say.
25:48What happened in Israel and at the Noam Music Festival on October 7th was horrific and compounded centuries of Jewish pain. What is happening in Gaza is catastrophic and unjustifiable and disproportionate. My heart has been broken by the scale of devastation and loss of civilians' lives, of children's lives. And the systemic injustice we're seeing unfold in the West Bank cannot be overlooked. While Bridget Goze was there, she's been telling me how she and the crowd reacted to it all. I was just trying to listen and record because I wanted to get a good video. The crowd was mixed reactions. It's Philadelphia and Philly is going to make itself known.
26:35There was people laughing. There was people booing at certain points. I think somebody shouted, just get on with it. Some people didn't want to hear the speech. Some people were cheering at certain points. It was very mixed reactions. I mean, listening back to it now or watching your videos, what do you think? I mean, it sounds pretty scripted, doesn't it? Of course it's scripted. I wouldn't have expected anything else. I think people are upset that he read from a teleprompter, but I don't see a big deal. I think that it's okay with him preparing a statement and not wanting to stumble over his words and make sure that he does say the right thing and doesn't flub up.
27:11yeah I think your boyfriend brought the tickets to the concert I mean was were you always going to go or had you thought about perhaps not going oh I completely thought about not going my boyfriend told me I don't care about the money we bought them so long ago if you don't want to go we don't have to go we'll go we'll go out to dinner or something so I wasn't going to go but then I was like well who is going to go and who's going to go and actually talk about what's going on while they're at the concert because if I was anywhere else in the world I'd be dying to know what was going on inside.
Read the full transcript
27:43And how did it play out after that? I mean, then did it just become the usual sort of Ed Sheeran music concert? Yeah, it became a, there was more energy though. Like I've been to a lot of concerts. I've been to Harry Styles at his last show, Madison Square Garden. It felt like that energy, like there was, it was very, very high energy. And like people were hanging on to every word he said. He even made a comment about how the noise level was so up and down because every time he talked, it got so quiet because people wanted to hear what he was going to speak about. And just in a sentence or two, I mean, do you think this is going to go away for him now or not?
28:19No, not at all. This will never go away for the rest of his life. He's going to have to deal with this, unfortunately for him. Bridget goes now back in New Jersey on that concert last night, that Ed Sheeran concert last night in Philadelphia. You're listening to the BBC.
28:43This is the BBC in London. You're listening to NewsHour and I'm James Menendez. Now, the authorities in Russia say that overnight last night, Moscow and its surrounding area came under what they're calling an unprecedented attack by Ukrainian drones and missiles. They say about 450 drones were fired towards the city, killing at least three people and injuring several others with apartment blocks and warehouses hit. It struck also a major oil refinery on the outskirts that supplies the capital with most of its fuel. The Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelensky, posted a video on X of that attack.
29:18Ukraine said it also used its flamingo cruise missiles in the assault and also something called a pelican. Let's speak to Dr. Patrick Bury, security expert at the University of Bath. Thanks very much for coming on to NewsHour. What is the pelican? Good evening, James. Well, it's a little bit unclear because of the nomenclature that was used. So initially, Zelensky said it was a Pelican and we thought this was the FP7 ballistic missile that's manufactured by a company called Firepoint in Ukraine. And that is a short range ballistic missile. So it would travel at, you know, max over max three and a half, four.
30:01It's got a range of about 200 kilometers and it goes on a ballistic trajectory. So up to 40 miles, difficult to intercept and then comes down with its warhead, which is about 150 kilograms. So not massive, but that weapon is being tested as far as we know. But we don't know if it's being used. The other thing that when they walked it back a little bit, they said, no, actually, the Pelican refers to more of a light aircraft type drone of which Ukraine uses a number of them, like the Enterprise E300. It's much more like a large drone or a small aircraft with a payload of about 300 kilograms or so, potentially more depending on the configuration.
30:48So there's a lack of clarity, really. but if it was a ballistic missile used in anger for the first time, quite significant, I think. Yeah, and as you mentioned, the point about the ballistic missiles is that they are very hard to intercept. That's absolutely it. You know, as you could tell from the speed I was saying, you know, over 3 ,000 miles an hour, up to 40 miles high. They go up very high and then come down very fast. Yeah, think of a bell curve rather than the cruise missiles which are traveling at a fraction of that, essentially, during their cruise speed, and usually lower to the ground, and much cheaper to produce, have a heavier payload, but much easier to intercept.
31:33So Russia would be firing in their strike packages when they go for Ukrainian cities. The real trick at the moment is to coordinate your packages so that all the different kind of projectiles, the ballistics, the crews and the drones are arriving in and around the same time to confuse and overwhelm air defences. So the fact that Ukraine used number of different, I think 10 different drones and potentially this missile and certainly the Flamingo cruise missile shows that they're doing exactly the same thing, trying to give a lot of different targets, force air defence systems to pick, to try to pick out the most exquisite to target because, of course, there's an asymmetry in cost about what you use to take out, say, a cheaper drone.
32:16And just briefly, Patrick, I mean, the mayor of Moscow was talking about in total in the region, 1 ,600 drones have been intercepted. I mean, that's a lot. Is that credible? Yeah, if 1 ,600 are intercepted or 1 ,600 fired, I'm not sure. I know Reuters are just recently reporting that 2 ,000 have been fired in the last 24 hours. Right. But again, I'm not 100 % sure on their sourcing. Certainly what we could say is we've seen attacks before by the Ukrainians of 400 plus drones. If this was over 1 ,000 drones used in last night's attack, that would make the largest that they've ever done, as far as I'm aware.
32:57And we'll just have to see, because if we're relying on single source, Russian, mayor, etc., it's difficult to be 100 % on that. Patrick, thank you very much indeed. Dr. Patrick Beury of the University of Bath. Well, the aerial assault on Moscow came on the third day of parliamentary elections in Russia, elections in which every party on the ballot either supports or won't challenge President Putin's policies, including over the war in Ukraine. The only party that expressed any opposition to the war, Yabloka, was struck off the ballot last month, which all means there's been no real choice for voters in the election.
33:32It's basically just a rubber stamp exercise for the Kremlin. So what will President Putin do with his carefully engineered fresh mandate? Dr Jenny Mathers is Senior Lecturer at the Department of International Politics at Aberystwyth University. That's in Wales. Welcome to NewsHour. So what will he do? Is a mass mobilisation on the cards? This seems to be the most likely next step, really. I mean, it's been speculated about for several months now. And this is because Russia is just failing to recruit enough manpower to fill the gaps in the war in Ukraine. So Russia fights this war in a very sort of wasteful and inefficient way when it comes to human resources.
34:14You know, some troops, it's estimated, only last a matter of minutes on the front lines before they're either killed or seriously injured. And even though Russia offers very generous sort of signing bonuses, high salaries, benefits, you know, for dying in the service of the country for the families, it's still not enough anymore to replace the soldiers. So another mobilisation seems like the most likely next step. And presumably that would be very unpopular. I mean, there have been reports of young men leaving some of the big cities like Moscow and St. Petersburg to try and avoid it. That's right.
34:48Well, the last time Russia announced a mobilisation was in September 2022. And, you know, we saw hundreds of thousands of people, mainly men, leaving the country. Some have gone back, but many have stayed away. And, you know, their mothers and sisters and wives helped to smuggle them out of the country, helped to hide them. And so we would likely be seeing a similar sort of a situation this time around, possibly not as many, because the border controls might be stricter this time. But certainly, you know, the men who would be most likely to be mobilised, many of them are going to be trying to find ways of avoiding going to the front lines.
35:26And Jenny, is there any sign that President Putin is ready to negotiate seriously and make concessions? We've had the news in the past now that Vladimir Zelensky will meet President Trump in New York. I mean, is there any momentum from Russia's point of view towards making peace? It doesn't seem to be, no. Every single time the question of making peace or negotiations comes up, either Putin or one of his senior officials, basically always insists the same thing again, which is that Russia's war aims have to be achieved, that Russia insists that it must have certain things in order to stop the war.
36:03And really, this is demanding that Russia be given basically control of Ukrainian territory, which Russia has not achieved on the battlefield. And, you know, there's a current kind of counteroffensive underway by Ukraine and they've been successful in pushing sort of Russian gains backwards. So, no, there doesn't seem to be any sign so far that Putin is willing to consider any kind of concessions whatsoever. Jenny, thank you very much indeed. That was Dr. Jenny Mathers of Aberystwyth University and an expert in Russia and Ukraine.
36:48Let's head to Scotland now. I'm growing concerned there about the influx of powerful and very dangerous new synthetic drugs. Scotland has the highest rate of drug-related deaths in Europe, and those involved in trying to bring that number down and combat addiction say the new substances are making that even harder to do. The new annual figures are due out on Wednesday. They're expected to show the number of fatal overdoses going up. Well, Niamh Nick-Dade is a forensic scientist at the University of Dundee. What sort of drugs are we talking about? We're talking about a new type of synthetic opioids.
37:22That's an opioid drug that is man-made, essentially, which are known or called nitazines. And we've seen over the last couple of years the prevalence of these compounds in the drug supply, I suppose you would call it, within Scotland on the increase. And why are they so dangerous? And they're so dangerous because they're very potent. They're somewhere in the region of about 500 times stronger than heroin. And as a consequence, when they're included in other types of street drugs like benzodiazepines or indeed heroin itself, only a very small amount can lead to a fatality. And so they are mixed in with other drugs and then users don't know what they're taking.
38:04That's exactly the issue, James. And the challenge here that we have is being able to educate the drug-using population across Scotland to say that actually what you think you're taking might include things that you're not aware of and that have a much greater risk to life. And are these substances, are they being made in Scotland or are they being imported, you know? There is some evidence now to suggest that nitrozenes may be being produced in Scotland themselves. in certainly in the past they have been imported in as part of the heroin samples or whatever they might be coming into the country.
38:39And you're going to be testing some of what is around just explain how that will help. Absolutely as part of Scottish government's the previous government's national mission they provided funding in order to try to address the drug death issue in Scotland because of its severity and part of that work has been the establishment of four point-of-care testing sites. So those are establishments out in the community in the four cities in Scotland, Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen and Dundee, where people who take substances can have those substances presumptively tested. And by that I mean it gives some indication of what compounds might be present.
39:20The samples that are tested in the point-of-care facilities will then be sent to my laboratory at the University of Dundee for confirmatory chemical analysis. So we will be doing what we call a back of house confirmatory analysis of what is contained within these pills, potions, powders. And the purpose of that is to try to give as close to real time information across the country as to what sorts of drugs are circulating and whether or not these drugs contain compounds like nitazine or indeed others. And does it work? Do people, do users come forward and say, look, I'm about to take this, can you just make sure it's not going to kill me?
39:59Well, we're hoping it will work. It's not yet established. We're doing all of the work in the background to get this drug testing sort of network established this year. And so there's a lot of work, as you can imagine, that goes in behind the scenes to ensuring that everything is ready to go. But we're certainly getting there now at some pace. And in terms of stopping the synthetic substances getting into the drug supply chain, I mean, is that, from your point of view is that that's a role for law enforcement is it? It is absolutely and I think that one of the things that we have to our benefit in Scotland is that we're a relatively small country and all of the agencies are working together whether it's law enforcement, third sector, public health and indeed us from the academic side.
40:44So we all are working together in an attempt to understand the types of substances that are in use across our communities so that we can put in place both harm reduction information rapidly out into the drug using community, but also that we can understand what sorts of compounds are coming into the country, which is really critical for law enforcement. That was Niamh Nick-Dade, a forensic scientist at the University of Dundee in Scotland in one of the labs that's involved in that programme of testing to try and pick up those very powerful and dangerous synthetic drugs that are making way into Scotland.
41:24You're listening to NewsHour from the BBC World Service.
41:41This is James Menendez with NewsHour live from the BBC. Well with all the talk recently about AI's possible threat to humanity. It's easy to forget the other profound questions the technology poses for our future, and in particular, its impact on jobs and education. What's the point of training to do a job that may not exist in 10 years? What's the point of learning if a machine can tell us what the answer is? Even computer scientists aren't immune, with AI models now writing their own code. If you're a parent, it is especially worrying how do we equip the next generation with the skills to navigate the AI era?
42:18Well, it's a question that the economist and AI ethicist Professor Daniel Susskind has been grappling with in his new book called What Should My Children Do? When Daniel came into the NewsHour studio earlier, I began by asking him what he worried about for his own children's future. There's sort of two sets of worries. I mean, one is that this is just the water in which the next generation are going to swim. Their lives are going to be saturated by technologies that are far more capable than those that exist today. And bluntly, we're letting down the next generation if we don't prepare them for that world.
42:52But there's also another, and this runs through the book, there's also another view, which is it just seems so unimaginative not to. And what I'm trying to do in the book is show how we might use these technologies to help the next generation understand ideas solve problems even you know make discoveries that might not have been possible in the past and I think it's you know that there is a sense of hope and excitement and optimism as well about these technologies too that I think it's important not to lose. And throughout you you emphasize the need still for children to learn the basics. Absolutely right and yeah it's really one of the starting points of the book which is we've got to get back to basics um literacy numeracy critical thinking those basic skills are going to be incredibly important incredibly important for two reasons one because any advanced skills that do turn out to matter are going to rely on those basics you know their basics not only in the sense that they're the simplest but they're also the fundamentals the building blocks for everything else but there's also i think something important as well which is that these technologies are not perfect and they're not going to be perfect for some time.
44:03They exhibit biases, they make mistakes, they hallucinate. And actually to tell the difference between when they are behaving wonderfully and when they're behaving awfully is not trivial. And we need to keep those basics, in particular our critical faculty sharp, to always be sort of testing and interrogating and pushing back on them. So the sort of analogue skills and the digital skills can exist side by side. I mean, you talk about a nice example about when calculators came along. Just tell us a bit more about that, because in a way, that was a sort of that provoked a similar scare, didn't it?
44:34Exactly right. You know, I think one of the most important tensions that we face is, well, look, Daniel, you say we ought to be spending a third of our time teaching young people to use these technologies, but doesn't using these technologies undermine those basics? You know, why bother learning to do long division if, you know, one of these systems can do a hard calculation for you? Why take the time to learn the discipline of sitting with a difficult text if you can ask one of these systems a question and it will give you an answer in a matter of seconds? And what I find really assuring is that we've actually been here before, exactly as you say, late 1970s, early 1980s, the electronic calculator arrives.
45:15What at that time was an extraordinarily powerful technology and people worried in exactly the same way, oh my gosh, what's going to happen to arithmetic? And what happened, which was really interesting in the UK, was that the British government asked this relatively obscure academic, a man called Wilfred Halliday Cockroft, who was a professor at the University of Hull, to do a report into the state of mathematics education in the UK, and wrote this vast report. There's this amazing chapter in it where he thinks about the response to the electronic calculator. And part of it's just really realistic.
45:52He says, look, we've just got to assume that by the end of the decade, everyone is going to have access to one of these calculators, which for us today just seems completely obvious. But back then, that was realism. But there was also this really radical idea he had, which was he said, we need to take maths education and divide it cleanly in two. And we need to spend part of our time teaching people to use this calculator to do stuff that would have been unimaginable before. But we also need to protect some of their time doing calculations without this machine to hand. And crucially, he said, we've got to test both.
46:26And anyone really who's been through maths education over the last few decades would have studied for a calculator paper and a non-calculator paper. And I think we've got to do something similar with AI now. And in a similar bent, another sort of more optimistic example you give is that computers can play better chess than anybody else in the world now. And yet people are still playing chess. And in fact, it's growing in popularity. That's right. So there's this amazing moment in 1997 when Garry Kasparov famously loses to Deep Blue. And he has this sort of existential panic where he thinks, oh my gosh, what does this mean for the future of chess?
47:00What does this mean for the future of this game I love so much? Is anyone going to play it if these machines are so much better? And as you say, fast forward to today, and chess is more popular than ever. More people are playing online. More people are signing up for clubs. and it turns out that what we value in the game of chess is not simply the moves on the board but the very fact that it is a human being making those moves and i think you know that there is there's a useful insight for thinking about many areas of our working lives where it's not simply what human beings achieve in their jobs that we value but the very fact that it's a human being doing the job that we value.
47:41And you can see, you know, in certain healthcare settings, however good a system might get at muttering the right words into someone's ear at the end of their life, it might matter to us that it's always a flesh and blood hand sitting there holding us. I think the challenge, though, is not to overestimate the value that people attach to process. Like, you know, talking to a group of accountants, one of them stood up and said, look, Daniel, you don't understand. The reason my clients come to me is for the personal touch. And I said, well, that isn't why they come to you. They come because they want their taxes done.
48:09efficiently and effectively. Exactly. And if they can find another way to do it that doesn't use you, then they're probably going to go with that. So it's not always the case that that holds. But I think in many cases, it does. So to sort of bring it around to the debate that has just, you know, really gathered ahead of steam this week. I mean, does that mean you don't believe that AI and if it reaches this level of artificial general intelligence, if that happens, that it poses some sort of existential threat to humanity? Will we naturally resist that, do you think? I think it would be surprising if this technology, the most consequential, most important technology we've ever built, didn't have two faces, didn't have an extraordinary promise and also a price.
48:50I mean, it's been true of all the most important technologies of the last 100 years. Nuclear is the great example. Nuclear weapons on the one hand, terrible. Nuclear power on the other, extraordinary. The promise of resolving the environmental challenges. And so what we have always had to do with our technologies is constrain those risks, manage them, regulate them while trying to take advantage of the benefits. The economist and AI ethicist Professor Daniel Susskind talking to me about his new book, What Should My Children Do About AI? That's it for this edition of News Out from me and the rest of the team here in London.
49:26Thanks so much for listening. Until the next time, bye-bye.
49:43Can politicians improve our economic fortunes? Dave Ramsey says no. I'm Tristan Redmond from The Global Story, and I've been speaking to the massively popular U.S. money guru who says if there's a financial crisis, it's on us. When you borrow on credit cards and take out a$1 ,200 car payment on a freaking Range Rover. You've destroyed your life, not the president. For the full interview, listen to The Global Story on BBC.com or wherever you listen.
From the publisher
In the north-eastern state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the party was initially projected to only just scrape through, with its worst ever election result. A few hours later, however, it had dipped below the 5% threshold needed to stay in parliament. Meanwhile, the far-right AfD was on track to win the most votes in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, but it is unlikely to govern as other parties refuse to work with it.
Also on the programme: Ukraine fires a new weapon for the first time, in a major assault on Moscow; and President Trump's plans for a triumphal arch filled with munitions.
(Photo: German Chancellor Friedrich Merz gives a statement at the CDU headquarters in Berlin Credit: Reuters/Christian Mang)
