In short
The episode is a BBC NewsHour roundup focused mainly on how a very strong El Niño could affect global weather, food security, energy, and economic risk; it also includes separate segments on the Israel-West Bank settlement situation, a US IndyCar race in Washington, Imran Khan’s health in Pakistan custody, Meta/Facebook child-safety lawsuits, and an interview about Carlos the Jackal.
Guests and backgrounds
- Matt McGrath (BBC environment correspondent) explains El Niño science.
- Beverly Oching (Control Risks, associate director in Senegal) discusses cross-sector risk (energy, transport, conflict).
- Jean-Martin Bauer (World Food Programme, director of food security and nutrition analysis) assesses hunger impacts.
Key claims (El Niño)
- US Climate Prediction Service: >90% chance of a very strong El Niño in six months.
- UK Met Office: 2026 could be the largest in living memory (possibly since the 19th century).
- China’s National Climate Centre: could be the strongest ever recorded.
- El Niño mechanism: trade winds weaken/reverse, warm Pacific water drives global weather; links to climate change are uncertain, but extremes may be more frequent.
Notable examples
- Drought expected for Southern Africa, Central America/Caribbean, and parts of Somalia/Kenya; flooding/deluges in other regions.
- WFP estimates up to 49 million people in 45 vulnerable countries could face acute food insecurity; baseline acute food insecurity is 266 million.
- Past strong El Niños: 1998, 2015, 2023; the following year saw record global temperatures.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOEl Niño Overview
0:30 to 1:10
Discussion about the unpredictability of weather forecasting and the significance of El Niño.
“Has Prince Harry and Meghan's American dream failed?”
Understanding El Niño
1:10 to 5:50
An explanation of the El Niño phenomenon and its global weather impacts.
“Weather forecasting is a hard thing to do well and the further ahead the forecast is, the harder it gets.”
Potential Global Effects
5:50 to 11:00
Exploration of the potential impacts of El Niño on food security and energy.
“And that's the BBC's Matt McGrath with those explanations.”
Responses to El Niño
11:00 to 14:00
Discussion on the responses and preparedness required due to the impacts of El Niño.
“I mean, you're mostly working for companies, you know, global companies that have to assess all these risks and work with them.”
Israel's Settlement Expansion in the West Bank
14:00 to 20:01
Learn about the reopening of Israeli settlements and its implications.
“He believes that he was on the side of anti-imperialism and it was all for the good.”
Upcoming IndyCar Race in Washington D.C.
20:01 to 21:46
Discover the details and controversies surrounding the IndyCar race in D.C.
“And that report from the Occupied West Bank from Lucy Williamson.”
The Controversy of ICE Involvement
21:46 to 24:12
Insight into the contentious relationship between IndyCar and ICE.
“IndyCar at the time requested that the administration stop using their intellectual property.”
Brandon Flowers on His New Country Album
24:12 to 28:00
Explore Brandon Flowers' musical evolution and reflections on fame.
“I'm Asma Khaled, and I host the Global Story podcast from the BBC.”
Imran Khan's Health Concerns and Political Context
28:00 to 33:41
Learn about the health condition of Imran Khan and the political implications surrounding it.
“The family of Pakistan's jailed former Prime Minister Imran Khan say they remain concerned about his health, despite him being declared medically fit after a short hospital visit.”
Frances Haugen's Whistleblowing on Meta
33:41 to 39:43
Discover the impact of Frances Haugen's whistleblowing and its implications for social media safety.
“He's based in London and an advisor to Imran Khan.”
Show all 13 chapters
The Rise and Fall of Carlos the Jackal
39:43 to 42:01
Explore the life and violent career of Carlos the Jackal, one of history's infamous terrorists.
“And I think part of that is Meta has spent more on lobbying than just about any other company in the United States.”
The Life and Crimes of Carlos the Jackal
42:01 to 45:39
Explore the history and impact of Carlos the Jackal's terrorism.
“He wasn't a Palestinian, even though he claimed to kind of represent that cause for years.”
Interview Insights with Joby Warwick
45:40 to 48:39
Joby Warwick shares his personal encounter with Carlos the Jackal.
“Now, we're seeing al-Qaeda on its back foot, to say the least.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00This BBC podcast is supported by ads outside the UK.
0:30all on the app. Thumbtack knows homes. Download the app today. Has Prince Harry and Meghan's American dream failed? I'm Asma Khalid, and I host the Global Story podcast from the BBC. The Sussexes are intending to return to the UK, six years after moving to California and striking multi-million dollar brand partnerships. Just last year, Harry told the BBC he couldn't see a world in which his family would return. So what's changed? Find out on The Global Story on BBC.com or wherever you get your podcasts.
1:09Hello and welcome to NewsHour from the BBC World Service coming live from London. This is Owen Bennett-Jones. Weather forecasting is a hard thing to do well and the further ahead the forecast is, the harder it gets. but there are a lot of authoritative sources saying this year's El Nino will be a big one. The US government's Climate Prediction Service says there's a greater than 90 % chance of a very strong event over six months. The British Met Office says 2026 could see the largest El Nino in living memory, probably the largest since the 19th century and China's National Climate Centre says it could be the strongest ever recorded.
1:52So, a consensus. And we'll look at what that could mean in more detail in a moment. But first, I asked the BBC's environment correspondent, Matt McGrath, what is El Nino? So El Nino is a naturally occurring weather phenomenon that occurs when every two to seven years, really. The warmer phase of it, which is what we're in now, is really what happens with the trade winds in the Pacific. They either die down or reverse direction and that allows a huge pool of warm water to come basically lapping up against the shores of South America and that impacts the trade winds around the world and that impacts weather all around the world and the prediction right now from the scientists of the Met Office in the UK is that this will be an extremely strong one with impacts all around the world pretty much for everyone.
2:42Yeah just to understand that two to seven year thing it's very odd. I mean, most things happen every year. Why is it so intermittent? Yeah, it's a naturally occurring pattern with, you know, no rhyme or reason to it. It's governed by a number of different phases. And, you know, there's a cooler phase called La Nina. The El Nino bit is the warm phase and there's a neutral phase and it ranges over these two to seven years. It can often flip from one condition to another depending on the temperature. Now, scientists have over the years questioned whether this has something to do with climate change or whether climate change is directly impacting it and the links are a little bit uncertain still and researchers do say it's likely that the more extreme ones are occurring more often and that's about as much as we can say in terms of the links to directly to climate change yeah but the prediction seems solid i mean as i mentioned it's for it's from the uk as you said but also china the us everyone is saying it's going to come and that's because there are lots of instruments out there measuring what's happening and that gives a firm basis for this prediction.
3:44Yeah, I think that's right. I think the science is undoubted in this area. Scientists monitor a particular region of the Pacific very closely and they know that when the temperatures get up above a half a degree above normal there, that's when you're in an El Nino condition. Now, we had that happen a couple of months ago and they're monitoring it very closely ever since and they've seen temperatures now about two degrees above the long-term average. They think they'll head to three. Some predictions are saying four. What's firing all this is that under the seas, you're seeing temperatures of 8 degrees or so above the long-term average.
4:16That's very, very warm water indeed. That comes to the surface, that drives your El Nino event and drives it at an unprecedented level, according to the researchers from the UK. And you call it an event. How long is the event? How long does it last? This one will run, I mean, they vary in length, they do vary in length. This one is predicted to run until next spring sometime with a peak around November, December. It's a little bit imprecise because the temperatures wane and wax a little bit over the time period, but it will likely run and reach its peak around November. With the effects, though, they tend to run on into the following year and drive up that temperature next year, which is why the anticipation is that next year will be the warmest on record.
4:57And we've seen this in the past. In 1998, I unfortunately remember it well. and the same in 2015 and 2023, the year that followed each of these strong El Ninos saw a record temperature for the world. And just to understand that finally, it is temperature, but it's also rainfall. Some places lots of rain, some places not enough rain. It's hot. Those are the sort of variables that are at stake. Yeah, very much so. It has a load of these type of natural effects. We're seeing droughts in some places. We're seeing too much rain, too much downpours in other. some places almost cheek by jowl, you're getting rain in one part of the country and, you know, drought in others.
5:34And we see impacts then across all these worlds, all these locations on the crops that they grow, on the lives that people lead. And, you know, yeah, they are likely to be very pronounced this year. And over the next six or eight months, we will see how that bears out. And that's the BBC's Matt McGrath with those explanations. And let's get more now on the impact this El Nino could have. Beverly Oching works as an associate director with control risks in Senegal. Jean-Martin Bauer is director of food security and the nutrition analysis service at the World Food Programme in Rome. So what, first of all, is the WFP expecting?
6:14Well, unfortunately, some of the impacts are already there. We're expecting in some parts of the world drought, in other parts of the world flooding. And these are events that could impact livelihoods. It could impact food markets. it can impact food security for the most vulnerable households. We're very concerned about the situation, the potential for the situation to drive increases in food insecurity in Central America and Southern Africa. But right now we are seeing very patchy rainfall in parts of East Africa and parts of the Sahel, and we need to prepare now. Yeah, so you're saying what's happening now, but also you're looking ahead.
6:50But can you tell which countries will be worst affected at this stage? Or is that you just have to wait and see? Well, we've had many El Ninos before. And when an El Nino happens, it usually means excessive rainfall in places like Somalia and Kenya. And it means drought for Southern Africa. It means drought in Central America and the Caribbean. And it means also a drought signal in countries like Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda. Southeast Asia is also a part of the world that experiences drought when there is an El Nino. Now, our analysis suggests that these impacts, these adverse impacts, could affect up to 49 million people in 45 vulnerable countries where the World Food Programme operates.
7:30Sure. Beverly Ochein, can you just broaden this out for us? You're with control risks who look at a whole range of things that can affect the world. What areas apart from food are you thinking about? Well, there's a lot around energy security in particular because the extreme weather conditions mean that people are either seeking a lot more cooling effects or even more heating effects. So energy supply chains are bound to be heavily disrupted. So hydropower in parts of Latin America. We're seeing that nuclear energy in parts of Europe as a result of some of the heat waves are having a major impact.
8:04Water scarcity is also impacting the availability of hydropower and agricultural resources. So crop yields are likely to be either lower in some places or much higher with very few transit routes because of either flooding or extreme weather conditions that then disrupt transportation. So there's a variety of things that are going to be happening. Some are good, some are bad. So there's going to be a multiple number of impacts in various places. I don't know, just listening to you, Beverly, it just sounds like these things of such scale, you know, food, energy, transport, displacement. It's not clear to me that there would be specific workable, affordable policies that could help deal with this sort of thing.
8:44I mean, there are some mitigation measures that are underway. There are countries that are ramping up on their energy resources, and that sometimes does lead to a lot more non-renewable resources being used in China and India. Coal was being used during the last El Nino cycle to be able to keep up with energy demands. And that does have long-term impacts on climate. There are people who are switching to, in parts of West Africa, soy instead of having to grow maize because they're much more resilient. But these are happening in parallel with extremities and patterns, food demand and supply, and also conflict.
9:16So governments will need to be able to continue amplifying messaging around how do they ensure that there's resilience of systems, how do they ensure that they have energy diversification, how do they ensure that they're more responsive in their policies, because these weather events are probably going to get much more detrimental as we go by. One thought for you at the World Food Programme, Jean-Martin. I'm quite struck by the number you gave that 49 million people will be affected. I mean, given the world's population is in the billions, I'm actually surprised. I mean, I don't want to criticize any UN organization for not exaggerating, you know, but it seems quite a small number compared to the world population, given the scale of the issues we're hearing about.
9:57Well, what I'm talking about here is acute food insecurity, and that's a form of hunger that's life-threatening. So it's really about talking about the most vulnerable people and the most severe forms of hunger. We need to know that when an El Nino happens, it does have a substantial impact on these numbers. The baseline number for acute food insecurity is 266 million. That's according to the Global Report on Food Crises, which was published in April. So if you add 49 million to that, it is a substantial rise. The last time there was an important El Nino in 2015, the number of people impacted was between 60 and 100 million.
10:35And these are people who will require humanitarian assistance. They'll require devoted attention, which is different from what Beverly was talking about. But the impacts that you have in terms of the water, the crops, the energy can turn into a humanitarian problem for the very most vulnerable. And that's what we're advocating for. There's another difference in perspective, I suspect, between you at the WFP and Beverley, you at control risks. I mean, you're mostly working for companies, you know, global companies that have to assess all these risks and work with them. What are the main things from the commercial sector's point of view?
11:11So one is insurance premiums going up, especially when you have failing crop yields for agriculture. When areas are being disrupted either by wildfires or flooding, it means that you are holding back on being able to move supplies. And these are commodities that are needed by people, whether it's in areas where there's already food shortages taking place or areas where just commodity supplies need to be moving. And this then raises risks around unrest. In urban areas, people may protest against, you know, high commodity prices and availability of food. But in conflict prone areas, this aggravates conflicts because people have limited resources.
11:46Humanitarian organizations can also not mobilize food, medication. So public health and public governance systems come under pressure, which does have a knock-on effect on commercial operators and how they're able to work together with governments. So let me just pick up on that point that vulnerable populations are the ones that really have to worry about this. I mean, I haven't heard either of you mention much about the US and Europe. Does that mean that, you know, as in so many areas, if you've got a high GDP per head, if you've got the money, then you can get over these things more easily than if you haven't?
12:18I wouldn't say so. I mean, we've seen that the wildfires in France and Spain have displaced thousands of people. 13 ,000 businesses have also been severely disrupted. That does have an impact. Of course, the responsiveness is very different for countries that already have resources, whether it's being able to mobilize helicopters to be able to put out fires compared with areas where it's very difficult to be able to just get food aid to people's households. That's the disparity we're seeing. But it is becoming a more globalized phenomenon. I think there's been lots of shocks, even if you think back from like COVID and how the whole world is being encapsulated by risks that have multiple impacts on supplies, on commodities and even on just people's well-being.
13:00I'd like to pick up on what Beverly was saying. We're facing a systemic risk in the global economy. There was COVID. There was, in terms of food security, big shock in 2022 with the invasion of Ukraine. Again, a shock happening earlier this year with the escalation in the Middle East. And right now, we cannot say that the food markets are stable with the current disruption to grain exports out of the Bosphorus, out of the Black Sea through the Bosphorus. So there is quite a bit of risk taking place. And these risks affect countries with more resources. But the impact is, again, felt most acutely by the very vulnerable populations of the global south.
13:40And we need to think about how we deal with a global food system that's much more risk prone, that's much more brittle than it's ever been. And that was Jean-Martin Bauer from the World Food Programme discussing those issues with Beverly Oching at Control Risks in Senegal.
14:06coming up we'll speak to a writer who has met carlos the jackal in his paris jail cell and hear how as carlos looks back he has few regrets about his life of violence the thing that comes across in terms of his criminal personality is a refusal to accept responsibility for anything he did a refusal to apologize or express remorse for people who were killed because he believes that no innocents died. He believes that he was on the side of anti-imperialism and it was all for the good. He was never a mercenary. So you have to take everything he says with a big grain of salt. And just time for one headline.
14:43A daytime Russian drone attack on a shopping center in central Ukraine has killed 15 people and injured more than 130 in what President Zelensky he said, was a double-tap attack.
15:06Israeli settlers have returned to the settlement of Kadeem in the occupied West Bank 21 years after it was closed by a previous Israeli government. Kadeem is the last of four West Bank settlements, dismantled in 2005 and then reopened. under the current government, and it's part of an expansion of settlement across the West Bank ahead of the Israeli elections in October. All Israeli settlements and outposts are illegal under international law. Our Middle East correspondent Lucy Williamson has this report from outside Kadeem in the occupied West Bank.
15:44Flanked by government ministers and rows of new white caravans, settler leader Yossi Dagan congratulated Kadim's new settler families as the inaugural ribbon was cut. We've corrected the expulsion from northern Samaria, Dagan said, using the biblical name for the occupied West Bank, vowing that Jewish settlers would return to Gaza too. This area around Janine is the latest focus of Israel's push to expand settlements across the West Bank. Government ministers and settler leaders were invited to Kadim's opening ceremony. Journalists were not. Down a narrow track just behind the settlement, we found a Palestinian vegetable farmer and his family.
16:32He asked us to hide his identity. As a boy, he told us he'd watched from this same house as the settlement of Kadim was built, then watched it evacuated two decades later. Now he's watching the settlers return. This time it's different, he told me. Back then, the settlers lived alongside us. They lived their lives and we lived ours. But now, they already drove my nephews away from their citrus trees, telling them, you have no place here, don't come back.
17:11Kadim was one of four Israeli settlements forcibly evacuated in 2005. Israel's current government has reopened all four of them and approved more new settlements in the area as well, overturning a 20-year ban on Israeli settlers around Janine. By the time caravans had arrived at the new settlement of Emekdotan, Palestinian teacher Samad Jaba says the problems had already begun.
17:42Settlers try to enter our homes and provoke us in every possible way. The biggest problem is after midnight. After midnight, they have powerful floodlights and they stop right next to the house, shining them directly through the windows, house after house, until two or three in the morning. Summer has watched the rapid growth in settlements and settler attacks in other parts of the West Bank. despite international pressure. We are defenseless. Europe has no time for us. America is preoccupied with Iran. China has no interest. Russia is busy with Ukraine. The United Nations is finished. And the Arab countries have their own internal problems.
18:31Alongside new settlements around Janine, a new Israeli military bases, including one near Janine's refugee camp, the first permanent Israeli military site built on land under full Palestinian Authority control.
18:48In the past, we enjoyed the bliss of not having settlements. Now, we live in a hell made by settlers and their attacks. Kamal Abu al-Rab is the Palestinian Authority governor in Janine. It's as if the Israelis are racing against time before the upcoming elections. Many of the areas around the city are now surrounded by settlements. Farmers are afraid and anxious about settler attacks when they go to work on their lands. They have also cut off roads, bulldozed lands and cut down trees. This is the road that links the new settlement of Kadim to Israel. The last time I was here, just a few weeks ago, we sat in a cafe over here drinking coffee surrounded by Palestinian shops and businesses.
19:37Since then, dozens of those businesses have been flattened by the Israeli army. It gives you some sense of how fast things here are changing. The countdown to Israeli elections in October, tallied here by the number of Palestinian buildings demolished, the number of new settler caravans. And that report from the Occupied West Bank from Lucy Williamson.
20:08Back in June, President Trump presided over a mixed martial arts cage fight on the White House lawn. This weekend, it's a car race around the streets of Washington. Both events to mark the 250th anniversary of the US Declaration of Independence. Well, the car race is an IndyCar one, basically the American version of Formula One. It normally has races that just go round in circles, or actually ovals, more accurately. But there are some street races too, so that bit is not unprecedented. It's just that it's the first time it'll happen in Washington. And according to the mayor's office there, as many as 140 ,000 people could attend.
20:48But there has been political wrangling about this. Benjamin Weiss is a reporter for the Courthouse News Service, who's written about the race. He told me more. This race was established by executive order back in January by President Trump, but that only happened after Penske Corporation, the company that owns IndyCar, went to members of Congress and found that they did not have the votes necessary to approve a race up in the shadow of the Capitol. So they went to the president who signed an executive order. And now we have a race right here in the heart of downtown D.C. But there was some discord between the organizers and the White House, wasn't there, about some adverts for ICE, the Immigration and Customs Enforcement people using, they had their logos on IndyCar cars.
21:36And it was controversial. That's right. Almost exactly a year ago, U.S. Immigration Customs Enforcement, ICE, posted an AI-generated graphic advertising an immigration detention facility in Indiana, and they used IndyCar vehicles in that image. IndyCar at the time requested that the administration stop using their intellectual property. DHS officials at the time told me that was an absurd idea, and they continued using those images. They deleted the original one, but posted a new one later on. It doesn't seem like that has affected the ability of this race to go on. Exactly. I mean, they're working very closely together now, the company and the White House.
22:18But here's the thing. When there was a race on the streets of Vegas, I think it was, a manhole cover sort of came off the road and caused a lot of damage and the whole race had to be delayed. In Monaco, where they do this, they do change the road surface. They put up all these safety rails, all the rest of it. Has that happened in Washington? There have been some manhole covers that have been welded over. I understand that the track looks to be pretty bumpy. Unclear yet how that might affect the drivers or the way that the race is run. And I know that in some areas where their mental covers cannot be welded over, they're covering them with other material.
23:01Certainly lots of track preparation to be done. Anyone who's driven in D.C. streets knows that there's definitely work to do. Yeah, they're not easy for normal cars. Never mind race cars. Anyway, okay, so what do you think? I mean, will all these tens of thousands turn up? uh that's a good question uh you know we are in our first day of uh the sort of media day here uh at the circuit so uh nobody uh no spectators yet uh saturday is the first day uh the qualifying and the practice so uh we'll get a better idea for certain about exactly what the turnout is going to look like yeah and a big tv event anyway certainly that's right there should be lots of very dramatic pictures from Washington with those cars racing around.
23:48That was Benjamin Weiss, reporter for Cold House News Service.
24:08Has Prince Harry and Meghan's American dream failed? I'm Asma Khaled, and I host the Global Story podcast from the BBC. The Sussexes are intending to return to the UK, six years after moving to California and striking multi-million dollar brand partnerships. Just last year, Harry told the BBC he couldn't see a world in which his family would return. So what's changed? Find out on the Global Story on BBC.com or wherever you get your podcasts.
24:40You're listening to NewsHour. As the frontman of the American rock band The Killers, Brandon Flowers has travelled the world, playing in stadia, everyone from Paraguay to Ukraine. But for his new solo album, he has gone back to his hometown in Utah and the country music his father used to play in the car on the ride to school. Our music correspondent Mark Savage has been to meet him. Are we human? Or are we dancers? For the last 25 years, we've been used to hearing Brandon Flowers sounding like this, but his new album takes a different direction. It's just another day in paradise. What made you want to make a country record?
Read the full transcript
25:27If you've followed the band, there's always been little hints. A lot of guys in my line of business, they develop drug addictions, and I got a country addiction. The album was inspired by Brandon's return to his hometown in Utah and the memories of his childhood that that prompted. At first I was a little bit like an adolescent, I think. But now it's just, we're really fortunate that we were able to raise the kids in Utah and, you know, I would take them to the park where my dad taught me to ride a bike.
26:07The seasons did have a big impact on me, and it's actually crept its way into quite a bit of the songwriting.
26:19The album's also full of personal reflections. In one song, Brandon imagines meeting Elvis Presley and asking him, is the fame and the fortune really worth it? That's maybe the most weirdly poignant moment on the record. When he laughs when I ask him if it was all worth it. Because that's just something that I'm letting you in on maybe more about myself, you know, than on any other song I think that I've ever written. Is it all worth it? I don't know. You know, my dad didn't have anything like that. But I think, is he less happy than me? Or more? He may be more happy than I am. And he made$25 ,000 a year, you know, and barely got by.
26:56But he's 82 and he paints and goes to garage sales and he's like pumped for that. He's pumped for it. Yeah, I don't know if it's worth it. I don't know anymore.
27:09That fame can all be traced back to this song.
27:16Mr. Brightside, written in 2001, propelled the killers to the top of the bill at festivals like Reading, Leeds and Glastonbury. It's now the longest running entry ever in the UK singles chart, with 519 weeks in the top 100. Do you still get a thrill when the audience sings every word back to you? There's an enthusiasm, obviously, and you know that some of these people might be their first time hearing it. And so that just doesn't get old.
27:56And there we are, Brandon Flowers of The Killers, speaking there to Mark Savage.
28:10The family of Pakistan's jailed former Prime Minister Imran Khan say they remain concerned about his health, despite him being declared medically fit after a short hospital visit. The background to this is that the Supreme Court in Pakistan said Imran Khan should get a check-up at a specific hospital, but he was then taken to a different one. The army says he's been checked and is receiving appropriate treatment. Supporters of Imran Khan are not convinced. Zulfi Bukhari is an advisor to Imran Khan based in London. What can he tell us about Imran Khan's medical condition? Previously, he had lost vision in one eye, close to about 85%, we believe.
28:50that that's bettered a little bit, but not entirely. But at the same time, he's never had blood pressure issues or anything of the sort, but he keeps getting regular high blood pressure, anxiety, palpitations. And in the medical report, it says it's due to constant isolation. And he's in complete solitary. And that's causing serious issues to his health as well. He's had no contact with the outside world, totally against Mandela rules. and it's a total violation of all prisoners rules of all human rights. So, I mean, the army says or the authorities say that he does get some access from family that one of his sisters, I think, was in the hospital to observe.
29:34She's a doctor to observe this medical checkup. So they're saying there is some contact. No, that's completely out of context and wrong. The contact with her sister was only last night. And, you know, just for the listeners, that's after 10 months. So the court had ordered, the highest court of the land, Supreme Court, had ordered for him to go to a particular hospital. And they ordered a particular panel of doctors, which included his own doctor from his cancer hospital, Dr. Faeser Sultan. They went to the prison to collect him and go with the convoy. Dr. Sultan's convoy was taken to the hospital what the court had ordered.
30:12and Imran Khan's convoy deviated and went to a government hospital where his sister was with him only. And, you know, she's not a practicing doctor or anything of the sort, but his own doctor was sent to another hospital. And within hours, they just did a couple of little checks and sent him back to prison. So they abided by nothing, nothing whatsoever for what the Supreme Court had ordered. Is the PTI, Imran Khan's party, going to ask the Supreme Court to insist that its order is complied with? Yes, tomorrow we're filing for contempt on many grounds, including the ones that they've taken him completely to the wrong hospital.
30:48The court order actually says that if you have to keep him there until the 16th of September, until his next hearing, do so. They only kept him barely there for a few hours without the complete medical board that the court had ordered, right? Without the checkups that the court had ordered. And they just did a makeshift sham and then they moved it back. It was just a complete mockery what happened last night. Do you think the reason for the switch in hospitals is that the army feared that supporters of Imran Khan would gather at the hospital he was meant to go to and start protesting? No, that's total rubbish.
31:21There was no protesters outside. We have given strict orders for no protests. We respect the hospitals. There is nothing of the sort whatsoever. So because everyone had respected what the court had said and everyone was applying, was abiding by it to letter in spirit. Do you think the reality of the political situation in Pakistan now is that however popular Imran Khan may be, and many say he's very popular still, that he has no future because the army are determined to keep him behind bars? The army can't play God, first of all. And second of all, the army has taken out lots of political leaders and they've come back.
32:00Primary example being the illegitimate government at the moment. Nawaz Sharif was in exile for many years and now his brother is a prime minister and his daughter is a chief minister. So it's not about what they want. The fact is also in this entire period when the army has taken out leaders, they've never been as popular as Imran Khan. At the end of the day, the army is not operating as an institution at the moment. It's being run by one man, and that's the field marshal. And, you know, the one man doesn't live forever. The one man doesn't, army chief doesn't remain forever. You see dictatorships come into martial laws and dictatorships come into Pakistan's history.
32:37They last about anywhere seven to ten years. And then after that, it's a very horrible end. And then what happens is the next chief doesn't come in. The next army chief that comes in doesn't carry the other one's baggage and brings the army back into the barracks and starts going back to democracy. So this is a cycle we've seen many, many times. The only difference is that no one has ever been as popular as Imran Khan. One last thought. I mean, I guess it could be argued that Imran Khan, when he was in power, didn't really respect the human rights of his opponents, and it's now happening to him?
33:05I mean, again, this is just, if someone can even show him, draw me a comparison between what has happened at that time and what has happened now. Imran Khan heard of journalists being picked up by the ISI. He immediately ordered for them to be released. There was a complete freedom of press in Pakistan. We were criticised every day while we were in power. I was a sitting minister. I was, whenever something didn't feel right, they were criticised at night and day. No one has been in isolation for 10 months like this or in jail for three years in it. You know, families picked up, kids abducted. If someone could even show me the comparison, I would love to see it.
33:40And that was Zulfi Bukhari. He's based in London and an advisor to Imran Khan.
33:49As you may have heard, a consortium of states in the United States is suing Meta, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, over the damage it's allegedly doing, particularly when it comes to children's mental health. It is seen as a case that is unprecedented in its scale and its scope to possibly remake social media. But these concerns are far from new. Just under five years ago, a former product manager for Facebook leaked thousands of pages of internal company documents which detailed the company's conduct. And that manager, Francis Hogan, told the US Senate back in 2021 that, I believe Facebook's products harm children, stoke division, weaken our democracy and much more.
34:36Her defiance has now been turned into a Hollywood movie, written and directed by Aaron Sorkin, and due to be released in October. While Tim Franks has been speaking to Frances Hogan, five years on from her decision to leak those documents, what does she think has changed? When I came forward as a whistleblower, I brought forward just a sliver of documents compared to what we know today. So I brought forward about 20 ,000 pages of documents, and as a result of finally getting the legal right to subpoena these companies about what happened to kids, we now know millions of pages of documents about how the companies described the problem internally, what they did to try to solve it, and the decisions they made to not act.
35:19So you're saying the volume of what we know has changed, but essentially the issue at the core of this, which is the balance between safety and profit, one which obviously Meta themselves say they're very aware of and they strive to keep in check. But you're saying it's just the volume of what we know has changed. I wish I could say I came forward as a whistleblower and the world changed on a dime. But the reality is, as recently as this summer, the New York Times was doing reporting on how when you actually go audit the safety features that Meta claims it has for kids, the majority of them aren't active.
36:00They no longer trigger. They don't behave the way the company says they do. We live in a world where social media right now holds all the cards. This court case is one of the first things we, the public, have to actually demand accountability. I mean, you'll be aware of Meta's pushback to this, which is essentially that these claims that there are these safety features, but they just don't amount to a hill of beans, that they are unsubstantiated. I mean, these were questions that Mark Zuckerberg posed back in 2021 when you leaked your thousands of pages of documents. He said, you know, if we didn't care about fighting harmful content, then why would we employ so many more people dedicated to this than any other company in our space, even ones larger than us?
36:48When we look at where the revenues flow around the internet for social media. For every advertising dollar that you give to a social media company or to the industry that is social media, overwhelmingly, the majority of that money goes to Meta. We should expect them to spend the most on safety because they take the lion's share of the revenue from the industry. They net billions and billions and billions of dollars of profits every year. But if you're going to come out there and say, hey, we have all these safety features, it should be possible for an independent researcher to go and do the behaviors that you claim you're preventing and see that those behaviors are stopped.
37:24And what we saw even as recently as this summer is extensive reporting from places like the New York Times where they went and tried to do that. They tried to trigger the eating disorder or the self-harm features on Instagram and found that they were not behaving the way the company had described. This court case and the ones that have come before, so this is like the New Mexico jury verdict that came out earlier this year or the one in California, have shown that Facebook knew how to do very basic things that seem obvious. You know, like, should you send a young child a notification after midnight on a school night?
37:57Should you send them notifications during the school day? Now, they ran basic experiments like this and found that kids slept better. They were less stressed when you don't do the obvious things that any adult would say. And yet they chose very explicitly not to launch these features because it reduced the amount of time that kids spent on these products, sometimes by very small amounts, like one or two percent. You said that this court case that we've got this week that's been leading our bulletins, it's hugely important. I wonder if you think that five years ago you were testifying before the British Parliament, you were testifying before the US Congress, that actually there was a failure there from politicians, from regulators.
38:45One of the things that happens in the United States sometimes is that because the way our system is set up, so our system is set up to be methodical, sometimes when we face really huge societal problems, And, you know, this court case, they think that the damages could be over a trillion dollars. Well, that could be scaremongering from them. I mean, that could be them saying this is existential for us. If you look at just New Mexico court verdict. So we had a case in New Mexico around child exploitation just a few months ago. The first round of penalties from that case came out at over$300 million.
39:19In just the last couple of weeks, there have been remediatory penalties that add to another over$500 million. When you think about this on the scale that New Mexico is, on one issue, less than 1 % of the population of the United States, close to a billion dollars in damages. We really could be facing over a trillion dollars of damages for this company. But the question is, how do you get to a point where you have a societal problem where the courts might decide this is a trillion dollars of damages and we still didn't see action? And I think part of that is Meta has spent more on lobbying than just about any other company in the United States.
39:54And when you spend a lot of money getting to explain to people how to solve a really complicated problem, you can buy inaction. I think that's definitely a thing that we've seen happen. Social media, it's a slightly gauzy term. It can be attractive as well as addictive. There are good parts to it. And that perhaps makes it more difficult to prosecute the case against a company such as Meta. I think part of the reason why we didn't see any action on a litigation perspective for so long is that for a long time, we did focus on this question of where does responsibility lie based on what was shown to users?
40:30And in the United States, there is a law called Section 230 under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act that says if you have third party content, you can't be held responsible for it. You have immunity. But the difference in this case is they're taking a step back and saying, you know, we could have social media that we felt good about at any time. It's not social media as a whole that is universally bad. My hope is that it opens up an era where tech companies at least pause when they're making decisions like this. And that was Francis Hogan, whose whistleblowing has been turned into a movie that will be released this October.
41:10Carlos the Jackal, as he became known, was one of those people who managed to be seen as glamorous despite doing terrible things, in his case murdering a series of totally innocent people and some who he considered enemies. His violent career began when he volunteered to fight for the Palestinian cause and as the years passed he became more of a gun for hire. hired, that is, by governments who wanted opponents abroad killed. His violent career ended with his arrest in 1994, since which time he's been in a French prison. And that is where Joby Warwick met him for an interview which helped him form his book, The Jackal, The Rise and Fall of Carlos, the world's first super-terrorist.
41:54So, to start at the beginning, where did Carlos come from and what was his real name? He wasn't born Carlos. He wasn't a Palestinian, even though he claimed to kind of represent that cause for years. But his real name was Ilyich Ramirez Sanchez. He was a Venezuelan, son of a very devout Venezuelan Marxist, who hops around the world. He has a lot of money, as his family does. So he ends up in London during his formative years, later in Moscow, then in the Middle East. And eventually, he ends up getting a colorful nickname, and that's Carlos the Jackal. And I guess the biggest single attack that he mounted was at the OPEC meeting in Vienna.
42:32Remind us when that was, what happened? Yeah, I've written about terrorism for decades. And this is one of the most astonishing single acts of terrorism that I've ever come across, just in terms of its audacity. So to bring listeners back, this was 1975, late December. And in Vienna, Austria, you have an annual meeting of OPEC. is the international oil cartel. All the wealthy Arab and African oil producers come together and they fight over prices and things like that. So their meeting is going on in late December, and all of a sudden, who bursts through the door with his buddies and a bunch of machine guns, but Carlos the Jackal.
43:09And it proceeds to hijack the entire conference. And this thing was so unbelievable. And of course, very quickly, the TV cameras are there, so it starts to play out as a live drama. But the extraordinary ending, just to kind of skip ahead, is that Carlos pulls it off, and he manages to talk the Austrians into giving him a DC-9 airliner, a crew, a tank of fuel, and then he flies off to North Africa to try to barter his hostages for money. Well, exactly for money. I mean, you could argue that there were political aspects to that case, and clearly there were. But some of his murders were just totally random people.
43:43I mean, he was a murderer of innocent people. That's true, but there's one thing that comes across throughout his career and studying his behavior. He is sort of classic criminal narcissist who appears unable to empathize for other human beings. So he can walk into the home of a wealthy businessman, the president of Marks and Spencer, and burst into the man's bathroom, look at him eye to eye, and then pull the trigger and shot him in the face. Miraculously, the man survived, but it's the kind of thing that Carlos could easily do, and that's part of what made him popular with his bosses because he had sort of endless courage and ability to do daring things without feeling any risk or personal consequences.
44:21Just tell us a bit about how he was protected by governments. I mean, that's one of the fascinating things about your book is he basically made loads of money and stayed safe for years because governments protected him. Yeah. And it's kind of an early example of state-sponsored terrorism because bad guys in the Middle East saw him as an asset because people were afraid of Carlos the Jackal. They could employ him to do things that they didn't want to get caught doing or didn't want to have the responsibility for doing, but they could send Carlos to do the job. And he lived in Eastern Europe for years, and he didn't tell them he was coming.
44:55He just showed up and started living large in a hotel in Budapest. And the East Europeans were fascinated by him at first and then decided, you know what? This is an asset for us. We can keep this guy here. We kind of sort of control him. But Carlos, as far as we're concerned, could do whatever he wants. He can go to Western Europe and blow things up, come back home, and we're okay with that. And so that's how he managed to survive for years. I was trying to think when reading it, what's the relevance of Carlos the Jekyll? In a way, it's that this is happening again. I mean, just this weekend, we had some guns discovered in Germany, in a forest which apparently were Russian-related.
45:27You know, governments are again doing this kind of thing. I absolutely believe that. So Carlos basically created the template for government-sponsored terrorism, as we knew it back then, but as is coming back now. In the 70s and 80s, it was Muammar Gaddafi hiring Carlos to bomb something or to assassinate someone. Now, we're seeing al-Qaeda on its back foot, to say the least. Instead, you've got this kind of recurrence of Carlos's, you know, mercenary terrorists who can be hired on the Internet, on some encrypted platform to commit a terrorist act. It's advantageous for some of these countries because they can do it and get away with it.
46:03They don't have their fingerprints directly on it. It's harder to hold them responsible. but it's a successful model. And unfortunately, we're seeing it come back again. I was with a group of journalists, and we were trying to get access to Carlos to ask him about some Pakistani related things and failed. And you succeeded. So how on earth did you do it? You know, I do think it was partly persistence. And because this being a book, I had a very long deadline. And I approached Carlos to his lawyer, and he was eager to talk. But the French authorities are understandably reluctant to give Carlos the microphone.
46:35He has a history of lying about his activities, glorifying what he did, and the French don't want to let him do that. So there were very strict conditions. I had a limited amount of time, no recording equipment. And also there was a prohibition against publishing like a Q &A interview. So I had, you know, about an hour and a half just to sit next to him, like literally knee to knee, and just ask him things, take notes. I could sort of quote him in a limited way, but mostly it was my ability to size up the man and see what he is like at 75 and how he reflected back on his career. And it was quite fascinating.
47:08And finally, what is he like? He is now as an old man, he's a bit slow. His mental faculties, to be frank, are beginning to decline. He repeats himself, loses the thread of conversation. Listeners may be curious to know if there's a woman in the room, and there was by chance during this interview, someone from the French prison ministry. He is an incorrigible womanizer, and he just could not stop breaking off the interview to talk to this woman instead. But the thing that comes across in terms of his criminal personality is a refusal to accept responsibility for anything he did, a refusal to apologize or express remorse for people who were killed, because he believes that no innocents died.
47:45He believes that he was on the side of anti-imperialism and was all for the good. He was never a mercenary. So you have to take everything he says with a big grain of salt. Did the meeting change your perception of him? In a way, it kind of brought him down to earth for me, because I'm old enough to remember those days in the 70s when he was, you know, running wild and creating a lot of carnage. And ever since then, I've had a fascination with him. I've wanted to know more about him. And so when I began digging deeply into this book, you have this mix of kind of, you know, revulsion because he's a horrible human being, but also just intense interest in how he did what he did, because he managed to get away for 20 years with his crimes.
48:22And then you meet him in person and, you know, he's a very ordinary guy in many respects. You know, he speaks a lot of languages. He's very smart, but he can't begin to take full responsibility for what he did. He truly got lucky in a time when security services were much more lax than they are now and our ability to surveil and track people across borders. Just they weren't up to Carlos's skills. And that's how he managed to get away with so many things. And that was author Joby Warwick on his encounter with Carlos the Jackal in that Parisian prison cell. And that brings us to an end of this edition of News Out.
48:56So thank you very much for listening. And from Owen Bennett-Jones here in London, goodbye.
49:11Has Prince Harry and Meghan's American dream failed? I'm Asma Khaled, and I host the Global Story podcast from the BBC. The Sussexes are intending to return to the UK, six years after moving to California and striking multi-million dollar brand partnerships. Just last year, Harry told the BBC he couldn't see a world in which his family would return. So what's changed? Find out on the Global Story on BBC.com or wherever you get your podcasts.
From the publisher
Weather experts are warning that a developing El Niño weather system could become the strongest since modern records began. The effects of El Niño on weather patterns are already being felt.
Also in the programme: Pakistan's former prime minister Imran Khan has been returned to prison after being in hospital; and a new book on the violent career of Carlos the Jackal.
(Picture: Firefighters work to extinguish a fire in Indonesia. A severe dry season, intensified by El Nino has fueled wildfires. Credit: EPA/Shutterstock)
