2026 AFC East Preview with Taylor Kyles: Bills or Patriots?

18 Aug 2026 · 1 h 7 min · 30 chapters

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In short

AFC East preview (Bills, Jets, Patriots) focusing on what each team’s key strengths are and what could derail them.

Guest

Taylor Kyles, Patriots beat writer for CLNS Media; first-time NFL Media guest on NFL Daily. Background includes covering Patriots practices/games and league-wide NFL analysis.

Key claims (Bills)

Joy is the run game built around a stout offensive line and James Cook’s outside-zone reads, with Josh Allen as a threat off the same concepts. Acquisition of DJ Moore is framed as the missing “crunch-time” weapon to help Allen in playoff moments. Scheme dream: creative 11 personnel/12 with Dalton Kincaid/Austin Hooper and varied receiver deployment (e.g., using Keon Coleman around the formation). Things go wrong: run defense; if they can’t stop heavy 22 personnel and don’t generate elite pass-rush pressure, opponents can control games.

Notable examples (Bills)

Brandon Cooks catch referenced as a past playoff/late-game Allen help issue; “top four offense” via efficiency (DVOA) for multiple years.

Key claims (Jets)

Joy is pass-rush impact from David Bailey; ceiling/floor tied to Geno Smith bounce-back and Breece Hall health. Scheme dream centers on Aaron Glenn’s defensive play-calling and shifting away from ineffective man/quarters usage.

Notable examples (Jets)

Breece Hall groin strain; Jets’ “last chance” roster framing (e.g., Minka Fitzpatrick, Demario Davis).

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

AFC East Overview

0:00 to 0:30

Discussion on the dynamics of the AFC East and its teams.

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AFC East Overview

1:25 to 1:54

Discussion on the dynamics of the AFC East and its teams.

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AFC East Overview

2:43 to 4:01

Discussion on the dynamics of the AFC East and its teams.

“that like, oh, the rest of you beat writers probably didn't notice this except for Taylor.”

Buffalo Bills Run Game Analysis

4:01 to 5:15

Taylor discusses the strengths of the Bills' run game and offensive line.

“So that means we are starting with the Buffalo Bills.”

Key Players and Their Impact

5:15 to 7:20

Exploring the importance of key non-quarterback players for the Bills.

“in a way that he really didn't have earlier on in his career.”

Offensive Schemes and Challenges

7:20 to 10:05

Discussion on the Bills' offensive schemes and how they can improve.

“The next category here is the most important non-quarterback.”

Defensive Strategies and Challenges

10:05 to 14:00

Examining the Bills' defensive strategies and Jim Leonard's influence.

“everyone down a spot in the pecking order.”

Bills' Defense Under Jim Leonard

14:00 to 15:00

Analyzing the impact of Jim Leonard on the Bills' defensive strategy.

“The numbers all say their top three or four offense.”

Concerns About Bills Run Defense

15:00 to 16:00

Discussing worries about the Bills' run defense and its effectiveness.

“that you're most worried about with this Bills team?”

Bills' Ceiling and Floor Predictions

16:00 to 18:00

Predicting the potential success and challenges facing the Bills this season.

“But even if they have a lot of talented interior defenders, they're all penetrators.”
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Transition to Jets' Outlook

18:00 to 19:00

Shifting focus from the Bills to discuss the Jets and their potential.

“I don't think that's what they're going to hit.”

Excitement Around Jets' New Players

19:00 to 23:20

Highlighting the positive aspects of the Jets' roster and coaching staff.

“is 13, 14 wins, whatever, having a great regular season.”

Importance of Brees Hall to Jets

23:20 to 24:20

Exploring Brees Hall's significance to the Jets' offensive success.

“He couldn't catch the ball when it went to him.”

Aaron Glenn's Coaching Challenges

24:20 to 27:40

Examining Aaron Glenn's coaching strategies and challenges he's facing.

“He suffered a groin strain, Aaron Glenn called it.”

Free Agency Impact on Jets' Roster

27:40 to 28:00

Discussing the implications of free agency on the Jets' current lineup.

Free Agency Insights and Evaluations

28:00 to 30:11

Discussing new player acquisitions and their potential impact on the team's performance.

“They need at least like 50 % plus to work.”

Future Prospects for the Jets

30:11 to 32:41

Analyzing the Jets' draft picks and potential outcomes for the upcoming season.

“And that's just like a little something extra I just wanted to point out, which is that the Jets have three first-round picks next year, which is crazy.”

Future Prospects for the Jets

34:30 to 34:56

Analyzing the Jets' draft picks and potential outcomes for the upcoming season.

Patriots Team Overview and Player Development

35:35 to 42:00

Examining the Patriots' training camp progress and player roles for the upcoming season.

“The New England Patriots, the team you cover, the team I was unnecessarily low on going into last season.”

Analyzing the Patriots' Offensive Depth

42:00 to 43:46

Explore the depth and versatility of the Patriots' pass catchers and offensive strategies.

“and he's getting slept on where he was known as more of an underneath threat because that's how he was used.”

Evaluating the Patriots' Defensive Scheme

43:46 to 46:18

Discuss the strengths and weaknesses of the Patriots' defensive coordinator and their scheme.

“No, I mean, I think Zach Corwin, he was able to do, especially in the playoffs, was very impressive.”

The Role of A.J. Brown in the Offense

46:18 to 49:15

Examine A.J. Brown's impact on the Patriots' offense and his potential for a standout season.

“So a lot of the times you have safeties covering receivers because, you know, if Marcus Jones doesn't follow you, oh, that's a zone indicator.”

Patriots' Season Predictions

49:15 to 52:19

Predictions for the Patriots' season, discussing their potential ceilings and floors.

“I think he's going to be much better than he was last season.”

Diving into the Dolphins' Roster

52:19 to 56:00

Explore the strengths of the Dolphins' roster, focusing on key players and their potential.

“But I think if things go really poorly, you're talking about probably a nine win.”

Coaching Impact on Player Development

56:00 to 58:08

Discussing how effective coaching can improve player performance.

“but how about taking some of the guys that were there last year and making them better?”

Offensive Strategy and Key Players

58:08 to 1:01:26

Examining the offensive strategies and important players for upcoming season.

“Greg Dulcich at tight end, they're excited about, but he's always hurt.”

Potential Pitfalls for the Dolphins

1:01:26 to 1:05:41

Identifying what could go wrong for the Dolphins this season.

“And then I thought about it and it's like, well, it's all about the rookies.”

Predictions for the AFC East

1:05:41 to 1:10:00

Making predictions for the final standings in the AFC East.

“But would I take them against the field?”

AFC East Coverage Preview

1:10:18 to 1:10:49

Get a preview of upcoming discussions on the AFC East and league buzz.

“And then the website for my written stuff, clnsmedia.com.”

AFC East Coverage Preview

1:11:30 to 1:11:54

Get a preview of upcoming discussions on the AFC East and league buzz.

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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

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2:06Welcome to NFL Daily, where we're sick of hearing about the AFC East easy schedule last year. I'm Greg Rosenthal. I'm in my garage in Los Angeles talking to my new friend, Taylor Kyles. First time guest here on NFL Media, NFL Daily. He works for CLNS Media. I had that in my head. Just going media crazy. One of those beat writers covering the Patriots that you read, you watch around the league that you know he could cover more than just one team. He could cover the entire league. So we're going to test him here for the AFC East preview. A man that knows ball so much that Mike Rabel once pointed him out at the podium that like, oh, the rest of you beat writers probably didn't notice this except for Taylor.

2:53He probably noticed that. How did that feel that day when Mike Bradel called you out as a balldoer? It was cool in the moment, but then I don't love attention. So like after a few seconds, I felt like an ant under a magnifying glass. I got a lot of good natured ribbing from my colleagues, but it was cool, man. Bradel's very good with, you know, giving us a little, throwing us a phone here and there. But, you know, it was fun. And then very quickly got super shy about it. I hear that, Taylor, but you're a rising star in the business. Your job literally requires you to speak in front of a camera every day.

3:27So you got to get used to it. Get used. I mean, get used to that shine. You don't you don't see that much from a head coach. That was that was during last season. We're talking about this season. And yes, it's a division, the AFC East with the haves and the have nots to Super Bowl contenders and two teams that could potentially be picking in the top five of the draft. If things don't go right, if you are just tuning in our division previews, we give 12 minutes to every team, give or take. We have a bunch of different categories, which I'll throw at you, Taylor, as we are going through. And let's put 12 minutes on the clock.

4:00We go alphabetical order by city. So that means we are starting with the Buffalo Bills. And the first section, I'll give you the floor. What is giving you joy about this Buffalo Bills team? Giving me joy, I'm going to go with their run game. I love me a stout offensive line. James Cook was fantastic last year. This might be a little sacrilege because, you know, Josh Allen's in the backfield as well. But he carries the ball, too, sometimes. So we can kind of mix him in there. But one of those frustrating things, and granted, like I cover the Patriots, so I don't love to see the other teams in the division have success because I want to be going to playoff games and Super Bowls and all that.

4:36But it's a really fun run game to watch. A lot of outside zone stuff, obviously. the way James Cook is able to read off of those blockers, the sync that they play with, obviously not going to be the exact same unit they put out there last year. But it's one of those things that every time you play them, you have to prepare for it and put a lot of attention to it. And then, oh, yeah, by the way, there's going to be some times where Josh Allen's going to boot off of it or he's going to be going deep off of it. And that is very scary to watch. But as the foundation, not the foundation of their offense, because, again, it is Josh Allen, but it's a massive advantage to have when you can lean on James Cook.

5:11in that backfield, in the offensive line, to really take some of the pressure off Josh Allen in a way that he really didn't have earlier on in his career. So, you know, I wanted to give you sarcastic answers to all of these what brings me joy, because what brings me joy is something bad. No, come on. But I'm being a good sport here, so that one game, I do have a good time watching them go to work. I love that, that you're not a homer necessarily, but you just want to be covering big-time games, like the Super Bowl a year ago, and that's fine. Own your self-interest. I think that's a great shout out.

5:42And you said it's not going to be the exact same like, you know, their fullback. Reggie Gilliam is now a member of the Patriots, for instance, from a year ago. But it's pretty similar. This was the bet for the Joe Brady Bills. You know, according to efficiency numbers like DVOA, like they have been a top four offense for four straight years. So they are not trying to mess up what is going well on offense. And for the most part, other than at left guard, where right now it's a battle, Alec Anderson is there. It's the same offensive line. David Edwards is gone, but you re-sign Osiris Torrance to a big deal.

6:14The backfield is deep. It's not just James Cook. Like, Ty Johnson is a great third down back. Ray Davis is there, runs hard. And then, of course, I've been saying it for years, the most efficient play in football is a Josh Allen run. So that's, like, a great place to build an offense from. I have a little more on their front later. But what's bringing me joy is, like, these are the good old days, and it's easy to forget how recently the the Bills like went on that long playoff-less streak and their fans are getting sick of knocking on the door and getting close but I'm telling you you just have seen it like when Drew Brees left the Saints to go way back when John Elway leaves the the Broncos it's just like you got to appreciate the good old days when they're here and Josh Allen smack in the middle of his prime.

7:03They bring in Joe Brady, maybe to help almost make the place a little looser. But also, if you look at the defensive numbers, they've been mediocre to average overall the last three years. And so just watching this team as a Super Bowl contender year after year, it's what this city deserves. It's a great football city. It's a new stadium. So that's bringing me joy. The next category here is the most important non-quarterback. I'll start because it relates to what you just said. I went with Pat Meyer, who is their offensive line coach. I'm going deep, but it's because Aaron Cromer, their previous offensive line coach was so good.

7:38They were so consistent. You saw getting a little rickety, maybe at the end of last season and pass protection. And there's a lot of talent here, Taylor, but that always spooks me a little bit because great offensive lines usually only stay great for like three, four years. That's a long stretch. And they've done that now for Buffalo. And so when the offensive line coach changes, even though the offensive coordinator and the play caller, Joe Brady, is still there, that freaks me out a little bit of like, could that be something that upsets the apple cart? So it's Pat Meyer, who's the coach who comes from Pittsburgh last year, and now it takes over for the Bills.

8:14I like that pick a lot. And there's going to be some level of growing pain, right? They got a lot of veterans on that unit. So hopefully they'll be able to acclimate but it's not easy i mean the patriots went through it when they lost dante scarnecchia there was kind of a laundry list of guys that came in and tried to replace him and they kind of settled on doug marone for now in new england but anytime you lose a quality offensive line coach that's one of the most valuable types of coaches to have so i like that pick for you for me though going dj more and this is kind of going to be a theme with a lot of these most important players like i'm not just a fantasy football guy i promise you but when we look at the bills and what's kept them from actually making it to a Super Bowl it feels like it's always a play or two where I know Josh Allen might make a mistake but a lot of the time it just feels like the guys around him making crucial mistakes in huge moments obviously the Brandon Cooks catch is one of those examples and the fact that Josh Allen hasn't really had that guy we're in those big moments he can really lead on throw up a prayer if he has to and just say hey I know I'm Josh Allen but I need a little bit of help from you guys too and if DJ Moore can not only do that in the crunch time moments and when you know it really is a game on the line scenario but also just regularly right giving him some more opportunities to take some of that pressure off of him and we talk about the schemed opportunities dj more turning those into bigger plays than we've even seen and then in those third downs in the red zone with dj more being a big body who's gone up against top competition throughout his career i really think especially in those games against the chiefs or the the crowns of the afc it's really going to come down to the pass game as much as I love James Cook and that offensive line in the run game it's going to be the pass game so Josh Allen having more of a binky than he's had since Stefan Diggs was here I think it's probably going to be the difference between the Bills having another disappointing playoff exit and potentially actually making it to that Super Bowl and giving him a chance to get a ring yeah I thought they gave up too much for more I thought the contract was curious I think they're going to get a honeymoon season and I do love how he pushes everyone down a spot in the pecking order.

10:11So I think looking at it, whether like DJ Moore is a true one, is he a top 15 wide receiver? No, no, he's been too inconsistent. But Josh Palmer, who's had a good camp reportedly, like Dalton Kincaid, they expect to get better. They think it's going to be a solid top four receivers with Keon Coleman and then Khalil Shakir in the mix. You have the running back depth. Like the offensive line is a weapon. I think the conversation about weapons in Buffalo has gotten a little like off base because to me, he has weapons. All of those aspects to the offense are a weapon, but Moore really fills it out.

10:44The next category here is scheme dream. So we hit something schematically. I know you're an X's and O's guy. What gets you excited about this team? Like, what are you looking for? Maybe even from a Patriots perspective of like what they're doing schematically. Honestly, when you mentioned the weapons, I think that's it. And how they're going to use specifically, 11 personnel. I think 12 with Austin Knox and Dalton Kincaid. Like, we've seen how that looks. But I think they've got an interesting diversity at wide receiver where DJ Moore is not the guy he used to be. And I'm glad that you said that.

11:13I want to make it very clear. He's not necessarily a top 10, 15 player. But if Keon Coleman, who I did like coming out of college and obviously not been the best start to his career, but now he's not expected to be the guy. You can use him around the formation a little bit more if you want to have DJ Moore, just stick him at that spot, say, hey, you're the solo guy. You get the one on one matchups. Keon Coleman, maybe a little bit easier opportunities. And with his size, I'd love to see him at flanker, get him involved in the run game, let that open some things up so he doesn't have to be necessarily a natural separator.

11:43You can just go let him be a big body and be an athlete. I love Skylar Bell. I think that his route tree isn't as diverse, probably. And I don't think he's necessarily going to be the most multifaceted player early on. But I do think he brings level of explosiveness. I like Khalil Shakir a lot. Again, he's not going to have to be the guy either. And he kind of has been forced into that role of having to carry a lot of the load of their passing attacks. So the fact that now you can really spread the ball around, you've got an interesting kind of hater of skill sets. Josh Palmer also is just that reliable veteran where, hey, you know, if Skylar Bell isn't someone you can really add to the mix early on, if Keon Coleman does struggle, at least you know what you have in him.

12:24Not only what they can give you in terms of the run game where you can force other teams to get into some of their sub packages, make things easier on James Cook and those guys up front, but also just being able to present different looks in passing situations. That's pretty exciting. And from a Patriots perspective, it makes you think, okay, where are these guys going to line up? How are they being used? Do you want to use Keon Coleman in the slot more and create some mismatches against a Marcus Jones and some of those situations? So I'm going to be interested to see how those guys are deployed.

12:50If they're able to move them around and create some more of those schemed opportunities and how they compliment each other with DJ more kind of being the centerpiece and everyone else complimenting around. I'm thinking big picture, but now that I think of it, I'm just like going back to like Patriots rivals back in the day. And there is a comparison here to the Colts with Peyton Manning. I know they're very different quarterbacks by that. I mean, the hardest thing to find in football is a top five offense that stays a top five offense year after year after year after year. And the bills have done that.

13:21And there's every reason, even though people I think are a little down on them this year, like there's every reason to believe they're going to keep that going. There's not much reason. And the thing with those Peyton Manning teams, yeah, they came up short a lot. in the big moments until they didn't. And you just keep getting a chance over and over. And I've mentioned this on the show over the summer, but it was a great bit of numbers from FDN Fantasies Football Almanac, which by basically any metric, you have to look at the last three years of the Bills now as the greatest team of the last 40 years that hasn't made it to the Super Bowl.

13:53No one has been at that high of a level and not broken through. The hard part is staying at that high of level. There are 11 to 13 wins every year. The numbers all say their top three or four offense. The defense fell off. And that leads me to my scheme dream, which I think Jim Leonard, their defensive coordinator, is the X factor of this entire division. How aggressive will it be? He comes from Vance Joseph's coaching tree in Denver and just blitzed like crazy. So, so different than what Sean McDermott was doing. They were really bad against the run last year. They did get a little more creative.

14:25but if ownership, if even Joe Shane, who we gave a lot of grief to, uh, for keeping that job, getting elevated, getting rid of McDermott decided like McDermott's the problem. If you look at the numbers, it's not that crazy of a takeaway from what's with this bill's team. So if suddenly Jim Leonard is the coach that a lot of people believe he is like, uh, he's been a rising, like watch out for this guy for years. They are going to be a lot to deal with. And one of the AFC favorites, if not the favorite. We got to move to things go wrong if. What stands out to you as like the thing that you're most worried about with this Bills team?

15:03Why'd you run up Jim Leonard? I was very upset when the Bills hired him. I have a lot of respect for what he does and kind of Sean McDermott, I thought, really covered up a lot of the issues with their personnel defensively. They're all the injuries and everything that happened, but you never faced the Bills and thought, oh, this is going to be a walk in the park against their defense because they're still always competitive, but it's the run defense for me. If this is another year where you go in and say, hey, if you just put 22 personnel, like two running backs, two tight ends and just get heavy on them, there's not a whole lot they can do to stop you if you have a decent run game.

15:35And I think if you can go into Bill's games not anticipating that you can just control the pace of the game, control the clock, keep Josh Allen on the sideline, that's an encouraging thought because you don't want to have to deal with Josh. And you want to be able to kind of dictate terms. But when you look at their defensive front, I like a lot of the names, but they don't have guys that really intimidate you when it comes to running into the teeth of the defense. Now, I do like TJ Parker, and I think on the edge, they could be a little bit more solid. But even if they have a lot of talented interior defenders, they're all penetrators.

16:05So you can blitz. You can blitz. But I don't know if it's going to happen. And if I were a Bills fan, that would continue to worry me. That does worry you, or me, too. And they have an interesting pass rush. That stood out to me kind of of like if they don't have enough juice in the pass rush. I think the pass rush almost is going to have to make up for. They're hoping to be average in terms of defending the run. And between like Bradley Chubb, Ed Oliver, Dan Walker looks like a good young player, Greg Rousseau. Like that should have the makings of a solid pass rush. I think they're going to need to be better than solid.

16:37They're going to need to be really good. And so that to me is an area where like things go wrong if they are not like great there. All right, let's go to the ceiling floor of this team, like where we think they are going. They've been a very healthy team, weirdly. I noticed that in adjusted games lost, they've been top three offensively for five years straight. They've been very healthy. So we try not to get into the health aspect, but they've had a lot of injury luck, apparently, at least on the offensive side, less so defensively. Like, where do you see the ceiling and the floor for this team?

17:08I'm going to make you, and I don't know if you've done this yet, and I don't know if you're even allowed to, you know, as a beat writer, at the end of the show, pick the order of this division. So we won't do that yet, but just ceiling floor of kind of like where you see this team overall. It's a tough schedule in the AFC East. So that's going to be like kind of a caveat for all some of these teams. I have their ceiling is I think they could win like 11 or 12 games. It's still, you got Josh Allen. Anytime you have Josh Allen, I think that the expectation is you should win about 10 or more games because he is the cream of the crop in the NFL at his position.

17:38And then in terms of floor, I would say eight or nine wins. I don't know if I'm allowed to get multiple, but I mean, I think that really is the worst. Maybe I am. I just, for me, every time I go into the season, it really is like, okay, can the defensive coaches kind of make up for some of the things that they're lacking on that side of the ball? And can Josh Allen be Josh Allen and really carry some of the other way? I don't think he has to do that quite as much again because of the DJ Moore acquisition. And it's a steep floor. I don't think that's what they're going to hit. I still think they're going to be somewhere around 10 games, but I feel like nine is probably the worst case scenario for them.

18:10Because again, you got Josh Allen. Like you're not going to be bad, but you do have a pretty tough schedule like the other teams. My floor is higher because he's earned that. Taking for granted, like we haven't even talked about the quarterback that we took first overall when we drafted quarterbacks like who would you want this year on this show? Like Alan became the consensus number one. And the fact is, like the literal standings say that 11 wins is their floor. Five straight years. It's pretty exceptional. I mean, I'm. I'm saying relative health is in place here. They just haven't shown any reason for me to believe otherwise, other than the schedule is difficult.

18:49So to me that the ceiling is winning the Superbowl. I, I have a long list of teams I think could win the Superbowl. They are near the top of that list in the AFC, certainly because of, because of Allen. And so that that's the ceiling is, is 13, 14 wins, whatever, having a great regular season. I think it's more likely to be around 11 or 12, which, which is, which is around where they were last year. But I think people are, I'm like slightly higher than consensus on the Bills. We'll get to the division overall in a minute. Let's talk Jets, a team that we probably don't think is going to win the Super Bowl or contend for the Super Bowl.

19:25And yet, especially before week one, I look at them. They're like all of our children. When you're covering the entire league, you don't have to look at it like this, especially not the Jets, who are the Patriots' big rival. But I find something exciting, beautiful about all these teams. I know you're stretching here. What is giving you joy about the Jets? I'm going to say David Bailey. I really liked him coming out of college. I love what I'm hearing so far. I love, again, caveat of I cover another team and would like to cover more playoff games. But I think you got to not worry about these Patriots fans if they happen to be watching and listening.

19:58I know they're very sensitive. They want loyalty. But in this exercise, you're not being asked to be loyal. It's OK. It's a PTSD. I apologize. But I do really like David Bailey. I like the juice he's going to bring their pass rush. but not just the juice the fact that he's also a very tough player he's well-rounded and I feel like that Jets defensive front obviously Quinton Williams animal very different story once he was gone it was just even stunning it was tough to watch the Jets defense because they didn't really do anything well we're going to get a little bit later about how I'm kind of worried about the back end and how exactly they're going to be utilized but I think if you're going to hang your hat on anything this season for the Jets it's a David Bailey is going to be a pain in the ass for any offensive line that has the task of trying to slow him down.

20:38And really, I think even on the offensive side of the ball, there's just so many questions and you don't know how things are going to go. But I think David Bailey's a really good player. He's already showing it. And I think that that's going to be a really fun part of this Jets defense that has not been fun to watch in a minute. Took him, you know, over Arvel Reese, who I thought was a great option there at two. That it was it was an interesting draft. He was my choice for most important on quarterback. So we're, we're thinking along the same lines and that's because that's what this year is about is finding core pieces in between him and in Membu who we can get to, like they do have some young pieces to really be excited about.

21:17But if Bailey is that dude and he's kind of symbolic of, of the, you know, all the high picks that they had this year and you hope Kenyon Sadiq and, and there are other high picks, D 'Angelo Pons and Omar Cooper, like can get healthier than they are right now or play, but Bailey is the important one. I'm totally with you because you feel good about your future regardless. If, if he's looking his best, what's bringing me joy is like, this is, this is what is that action movie where they brought back Stallone and everyone, the replacements or like, this is, yeah. Like this is, this is last chance Stallone for some characters that have been involved in my life in a meaningful way for years.

21:55Gino Smith, of course. I just want, I just want him to have his moment. And as long as the MetLife Stadium chants Gino, Gino one time, it'll be one of the craziest comeback stories from a fan base and a team that hated him on his way out of any player I can ever remember. Frank Reich, this is his last chance. Aaron Glenn, this is going to be his only chance to be a head coach, I think. And he feels as on the hot seat as anyone. But then you go throughout the roster, like Minka Fitzpatrick, who's reportedly having a great camp. Demario Davis is 37 years old, returning to the Jets. even when you go to the role players like Onyemada and Harrison Phillips, just like a lot of last chance saloon guys.

22:35So usually this plan doesn't work out too well, but there is a positive way to look at it. Whereas if they have some moments here, it's kind of a good final stop for most of these guys' careers. So that's a long way of saying this is an old team with a lot of question marks. Who is your most important non-quarterback? I went with Bailey. I've got Brees Hall. And part of that is because today there was an injury scare for Brees Hall. And I was like, oh, that is going to be very scary for Jets fans. Now, I will say I do think that they have way more weapons than we've seen the Jets have in quite some time.

23:09I love, love Garrett Wilson. I like what A.D. Mitchell can be. But, you know, that's a little bit of guessing. Like, is he going to be able to catch the football consistently? Like A.D. Mitchell was cooking Christian Gonzalez last year as a route runner. He couldn't catch the ball when it went to him. So that's still up in the air. And then Omar Cooper and Kenyon Sadiq, I know they're still kind of coming along. So the pass game could be really fun to watch, I think, for the Jets. But it's all going to revolve around that ground game. The Jets have a fantastic offensive line. But although I do think they have a deep backfield, no one's going to scare you quite as much as Brees Hall does.

23:41I think it's going to be tough to defend the run if anything were to happen to him or whatnot. But not only what he brings you as a runner, but also as a receiver. Like that dynamic ability, I think, is going to take pressure off a lot of other people on the Jets offense. And I may not have a ton of faith in the Jets defense because it is a lot of older guys. It just kind of feels like a ticking time bomb, to be honest. But I think if you're hearing, oh, the Jets are surprising, they're doing really well. A big part of that is going to be the fact that Brees is kind of carrying the offense and the rest of the guys are really complimentary around him.

24:10Obviously, Garrett Wilson is fantastic. But after last year with Geno Smith, I'm still a little bit TBD. I loved him with the Seahawks, and I don't know what this version of him is going to look like. So I think that Brees Hall is going to be extremely important just to take that pressure off the people around him. He suffered a groin strain, Aaron Glenn called it. He indicated, Aaron Glenn, that is, that he believed it wasn't serious. But Aaron Glenn is sometimes just saying stuff at the podium and also said that imaging, you know, they're going to do some imaging. And you're right, that Brees Hall injury is really important to watch.

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24:46because it's been a while since Frank Reich coordinated a great offense. And you mentioned the talent that they have up front. They give Joe Tippman, who moved from center to guard, a big contract. You have these bookend tackles. I think Membu could make that Will Campbell pick look bad in the division for years. He could be a future superstar. Fashionu's got more to prove. He's been a solid starter on the other side. But yeah, it all goes wrong, I think, if like Brees Hall is not there. They can only afford so many injuries. Scheme Dream is our next category. And I find that it really interesting, Taylor, I'm not sure what you think about this, that Aaron Glenn got rid of 12 of 22 coaches.

25:31He did not want to call plays. He said that was not his plan when he became a head coach. It was not his plan even going into last offseason. Then suddenly he ended up firing a lot of coaches that he wasn't expected to fire. It seemed like ownership was in the mix there. Now he is calling plays. And the flip side of kind of the last chance saloon way I started this, you know, group is like, does Aaron Glenn have it as a play caller? We haven't really seen it. And does Frank Reich still have it as a play caller? Either side of the ball, I don't know what you want to hit on, but you're counting on a lot of like winning before the snap from Geno Smith.

26:08And then looking at the talent here, it's better defensively for Aaron Glenn, but he just hasn't shown in a while because the Detroit teams were pretty up and down that he called the plays for that he can make a difference as a play caller. Yeah, for me, I have just a good start would be, hey, maybe play less man coverage. I think that's going to be a big step in the right direction because one, you don't have the horses. You didn't have the horses either. I really like D 'Angelo Pons, but I don't think he's going to be the guy that unlocks their man coverage potential. And the amount that they played, it just didn't make any sense.

26:37It's just, they weren't good at it. They got burned doing it and they would never adjust. It was kind of baffling to watch. And then their switch up in zone is quarters, which in a lot of ways, if you're getting stressed vertically, turns in demand coverage. A lot of these zones do, but specifically quarters, it just didn't feel like the scheme matched the personnel. And I thought that was very bizarre last season. And we also have the whole problem of, Hey, they can't get a turnover to save their lives. Helps to get interceptions when your back's not turned to the ball and you're not getting burned.

27:06Right? So I just think more zones, they can do whatever else they want. I just think that would be a huge step in the right direction, not to just give them a fighting chance, but also give them opportunities to look at the football and take it away. The issues that they had seemed to be directly stemming from the types of defense they were playing. So if you kind of pivot away from that, I think it's positive. Again, I still have a lot of skepticism around this defense, but if they're going to play like Aaron Glenn still thinks he's on the Lions, that's going to be a pretty big issue so my dream is just stay away from man it did feel like you just trying to fit like players that didn't fit into his scheme and then this offseason what they did was go out and get veterans and i've warmed up to it over time at first i thought it was a joke it's crazy and that's that's like my things go wrong if these these elder free agent signings don't work out.

28:01They need at least like 50 % plus to work. If you weren't paying close attention during free agency, like they traded for Tavondre Sweat, who's actually a younger veteran who had some question marks, like a nose tackle for the Titans. David Onyemata, who's in his mid-30s and is going to play big snaps from him. Joseph Asai, who's more of a prime player, has been out for most of camp. Nashon Wright is a cornerback from the Bears that they brought along. And then the important guy here is Minka Fitzpatrick, who reportedly is having a great camp. And he's had one of those careers where like he'll pop up every few years with a monster season.

28:36He would be massive. And so my idea of like things go wrong if it's just like they did not evaluate the right sort of guys to bring in for this system, because you saw the positive example of it last year with the Patriots. Free agency can work. Guys can come in and fit in right away. But man, they are counting on a lot of different pieces that weren't there a year ago to come in and just start right away. And I do want to give Nayshawn Wright some credit. I do like him as a player. And yeah, you're just relying on a lot of guys. Taking time bomb just feels like the right word to use. That's pretty much really all I got on them.

29:14I just I really hope that they actually adapt and make changes when they need to and cater to the people that are playing the football for them and not just, you know, the best play that they think they see on the play sheet. Yeah. The other somewhat obvious thing listeners might be screaming at me about is like, yeah, they're done if Gino is cooked. I mean, that's for sure. Gino needs to play a lot better. This is a system that really relies on the quarterback to read the defense, get rid of the ball quickly, point and shoot, run. He's going to have as much control behind the line of scrimmage as just about anyone.

29:48That should lean into what he does well. His arm wasn't there last year. The decision making, the system was not right. but they are really counting on a huge bounce back because Cade Klubnick is their backup quarterback. And that is like aiming for number one overall draft pick if Geno doesn't work out or something bad happens. We do do a section occasionally, Taylor, if we have time, called Lanyap. And that's just like a little something extra I just wanted to point out, which is that the Jets have three first-round picks next year, which is crazy. So they have their own. They have the better pick of the Packers...

30:26and the Cowboys in by better, I mean better for the Jets. So if you're a Jets fan, you're just hard rooting against the Packers and the Cowboys this year. And if one of them ends up being a big disappointment, you you're going to have another high pick. And then the Colts, you're also going to be rooting against the Colts. So that's just something a little extra for the fun Jets fans out there to root for. Let's go to ceiling floor of this Jets team. The floor feels a little obvious. What is your ceiling for this team? it's not as optimistic as it was a little earlier or like during the offseason i would say like six wins i think and that's if like everything goes right on defense and some of these young guys on offense step up because really for me you nailed it i thought if things go wrong it's going to be because gino continues to regress and i understand he was in a really bad situation last year and maybe he was trying to force the issue but some of the turnovers he committed were egregious and you can't take bad sacks you can't throw the ball i know when i was studying kevin Kevin Byard when the Patriots signed him.

31:23I mean, he got picked off twice with Kevin Byard playing Robert. That's rough. So I think the ceiling is if everything goes right, six or seven wins. I think the floor, talking about like three to four, three to four. That was a tough one because if I remember right, was it like the exact same route, like concept and everything, and Gino got picked off? Just trying to throw that in cut, man. You can't do it. You can't do it. You know, we'll always have week one. the Gino Nation supporters throwing it up and down the field on the future Super Bowl Patriots. Week one can often be a liar. I think the ceiling, it's a tougher schedule that they're just a tough out to me.

32:05And yeah, six or seven wins sounds about right. The floor is that they're picking first overall. It's all about the young players. If they feel good about this trio of high picks that they have and you can throw in D 'Angelo Pons as a third round pick, You know, we've got some injuries already with Sadiq and Pons, but if the rookies look good and Membu keeps developing and looking like a future star, that's the most important thing. And yet, because it's the Jets, there's has to be a big question over whether it'll be the same regime, whether it's the same GM or just a new coach or who knows. They'll have to win some games probably to keep their jobs.

32:40Let's take a quick break. We will be back after the break with another team contending for a potential Super Bowl, the team that Taylor covers, the Patriots, in just a minute.

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35:34All right, we are back here on NFL Daily. The New England Patriots, the team you cover, the team I was unnecessarily low on going into last season. We'll put 12 minutes on the clock. Were you high on them last year? What did you have as a potential outcome for them? I predicted 13 wins and I got swayed by everybody. So those victory laps were kind of fun. I tried to play a little modest, but it felt good to be. I was actually wrong, which is the crazy part. I underestimated them as well. But, you know, you do your best. What's giving you joy? You're out there watching them in practice every day, whether it's big picture, whether it's something small.

36:16Like, what are you really enjoying covering this team? Tier 3 of Drake May, man. He's been really good in camp. And this is actually today was the second near perfect day that he's had where only like one or two balls actually hit the ground. He was dialed in. You see his chemistry with A.J. Brown and Romeo Dobbs progressing. But even more than the personnel improvements around him, which the Patriots have made a pretty big priority. It's also just him getting smarter, having a second season in this Josh McDaniel system. And in that system, the amount of control that quarterbacks have is very rare where you truly are a field general.

36:48And the more you know the playbook, and especially when you have other veterans that can retain a lot of information and do a lot of the kind of inner complexities of the offense, the better the quarterback's going to be. And Drake has all the talent in the world, but he's also very smart. And I think one of the biggest things that held him back last season in this offense was just the fact that it was kind of limited. The playbook wasn't as wide as it necessarily could be. as good as drake was pre-snap for a second year player there was also just a lack of command of being able to make certain adjustments and control tempo and really put defenses on the back foot consistently like very rarely did you see the patriots incorporate tempo last season this year you're starting to see drake get the opportunities where he'll rush to the line sometimes it's a dummy count and he's just trying to see what guys are doing around him then get the offense into the right play and when you're going up against defenses like the seahawks where answers are not going to be easy.

37:38I need a little something extra to really make things tough on them. I think Drake, not just being talented and having more experience, knowing what teams want to do to him, what kind of coverages he's going to be facing and where he struggles, but also truly being able to dictate terms and not just basically, you know, being an extension of Josh McDaniels out there. I think that's going to be huge for his progress. And even if he isn't as statistically impressive, like I don't think he's going to have the same completion rate that he did last year. I still think you're going to see him just be a smarter quarterback, make some better decisions, not take as many bad sacks and just mitigate the mistakes to keep this offense on schedule, which I mean, I know they were very successful last year, so it might sound crazy.

38:16But I really do think that he could take another step, which is insane given what he was able to do in just his first year working with Joplin James. Yeah, you're speaking my language. It's the same thing for me. I love quarterbacks and there's no quarterback I was higher on even before the Patriots took him coming into a draft in years. Like definitely you have to go back to Burrow and Herbert, but I like May more just because of the physical attributes and to see his development and to think how far ahead he was of schedule. He's still 23 years old as we're taping this. His birthday is at the end of the month.

38:50So even though he's had a lot of experience for such a young player, it is exciting to think about, OK, he was able to handle a very difficult system in his first year with Josh McDaniels. But what you said about, you know, from the neck up, the maturity that he can get is is fun to think about because of what it could unlock when, you know, you add weapons like Brown and Dobbs and you're covering them every day. So I kind of I'm going to skip ahead to the scheme dream part, because I do want to ask you, you brought up like the tempo of what McDaniels has shown you a little bit of practice. And I do think that's going to be a counter for a lot of offenses potentially this year to really stop what defenses have done to be really controlling the line of scrimmage and kind of controlling the mind games between coaches.

39:40And tempo is a great way to come up with that. What have you seen like out of this offense? Is it just tempo that's a little different this year compared to like last training camp? I would say it's the tempo, but also the diversity of personnel. And it's not like the Patriots are just trotting one thing out there necessarily, but now they can send out different personnel groupings and they're actually intimidating. Like I love Jack West over their fullback from last season, but I think you saw in certain matchups that, you know, he was kind of a backup plan for them. And I think that manifested on the field where he did his best, but he's not someone that you really think we got a scheme against.

40:14And Austin Hooper also was solid for what he was. I really appreciate what he did for the Patriots, but now hunter henry's complimented by eli raritan who i think is going to have a much larger role in this offense than people realize because hunter henry just signed the extension if anything that extension told me kind of in a weird way that they're actually going to dial back how much they use him because he's getting up there in age his skill set's a little bit more limited you don't really want him on the field in running situations sometimes they'll have him as almost a wide receiver where he's standing up and he's kind of that flanker where he's close to the formation and can kind of dig out safeties which is an easier assignment for him but eli Eli Raritan is going to be involved in some of those base packages and as a blocker, but he's also a big body.

40:54Like, actually, he was my guy for the Patriots in the draft because what Josh McDaniels with the tight end, he's not just going to be in line. It's kind of like at Notre Dame. He's going to be off the ball. Sometimes he's in the slot. Sometimes he's out wide. Like, I think there's things the offense can do with Eli Raritan that they just couldn't really do with Hunter Henry because of just his skill set at this point in his career where Drake can put the ball on his back shoulder and do all these things. but you're not throwing 100, 150, 50 balls, right? You're not asking him to beat guys up the seam or necessarily one on crossers all the time.

41:23He can do it, but you got to give him some advantages. So I think when you have Reggie Gilliam in the backfield as well, and Eli Raritan, like those are two guys that can block, but also are damn good receivers as well. Reggie Gilliam gets slept on in that part of his game where even if it's just an under route or a hitch or a check down, he can break tackles. He's more explosive than what they've had in the past in James Devlin and Jakob Johnson. And I've even gotten to the wide receiver. where you can take your pick. It's A.J. Brown and Romeo Dobbs at the top, but then you've also got Matt Collins, who I think is pretty underrated as a receiver.

41:54Drake had a lot of chemistry with him on those in cuts and some vertical routes and hole shots. Demario Douglas is the third receiver, and he's getting slept on where he was known as more of an underneath threat because that's how he was used. But if you look back at his college tape, he was a vertical threat. And this is a guy with some 4 '3-esque speed, and he's been entrenched in the slot when they go with their three receiver groupings. And Drake's trust in him, I think, is continuing to grow, especially downfield. You got Kyle Williams, who is kind of like the seventh guy on the depth chart for them, but is a home run threat.

42:24He had 10 catches last year and three of them went for long touchdowns. So the number of personnel groupings, it looks that they can throw at you. And then when you incorporate the tempo where, okay, we're going to come out and we're in the I formation, oh, now we're going to go fast and we're going to go empty. And now you've got to find out where everybody is. Like, is A.J. Brown the number three running, you know, juke? Is he running the seam? it's just the amount of things they can throw at defenses is going to be nauseating for them fun for me to cover but I just think they can really overwhelm opponents with the amount of different things they can throw out it is a fascinating you know team build to think of the Patriots of all team have such depth in terms of pass catchers and like they're rather thin in other areas I think they're pretty thin on the offensive line and I have questions about the pass rush and the secondary in general, but of all positions, the pass catchers for Drake May, and it's not like they're all going to be super duper stars.

43:18But you traded for a superstar in age around. He could have been my choice as most important non-quarterback because I do think everything will flow through him to start and you do want him to maintain the level he's been at before. But I went with Zach Kaur, the defensive coordinator. I think they're going to have to scheme it up. Tell me, tell me I'm wrong because I see some of these lists that have them as a top 10 potential defense and they finished last year great do you think he can be like a scheme wizard because on paper I I do have questions Tara Landry's been hurt in camp they they signed Draymond Jones as an edge uh they're hoping to get something out of Gabe Ackes uh their second round pick but I I see it like if you're slow at linebacker and you're slow at safety they bring in Byard and then you tend to be a slow defense they looked a little slow in the Super Bowl and And I do think I do see like them being a boomer bus type defense that almost maybe needs a little bit of a coaching advantage to maximize.

44:16Do you think I'm right there? Defend the Patriots defense for me. I think that's valid. Or don't. No, I mean, I think Zach Corwin, he was able to do, especially in the playoffs, was very impressive. Early on in the season, I thought the Patriots defense, frankly, was a little boring. I thought you saw a lot of similar looks and I felt like I don't want to say predictable necessarily, but I just stunning them. I wasn't necessarily wowed. by the time they got to the playoffs the number of pressures they were sending and blitzes they were very very aggressive more so than they were for most of the season and then when you get an obvious passing situations the number of just looks they'll give you where they'll give you mug fronts you'll get load fronts you got Milton Williams and Christian Barmore a defensive end you got edge guys that are dropping downfield like there was so much going on I think that you even saw with veteran quarterbacks like their heads were kind of spinning because it's not just the old kind of typical Patriots defenses where they're just going to line up and man coverage and it's not a whole lot of trickeration.

45:10They're just going to do what they do. And then if it's a unit that's been together for a while, that's where you start to see them layer things on top of it. Zach Moore took over for Terrell Williams early in the season and really made the defense his own. So, but I think it's going to be predicated on some scheme to pressure because Draymond Jones, I think is solid. I don't think he's a world beater. Elijah Ponder is a player, I think can really take a step forward and is someone who's maybe slept on, but even still, He was an undrafted rookie last year, so you can only expect so much. I'd rather be wowed than, you know, put a lot of expectations on him.

45:40And Gabe Ackes, I will say, Gabe Ackes looks better than I anticipated. And he was one of the guys I really wanted for the Patriots. When he stands next to Elijah Ponder, and Elijah Ponder is a freak athlete. Ackes looks like an action figure. It's insane. I think he's going to work his way into the mix. But your edge rush is really relying on Ackes, I think, taking that step. Or Ponder. And again, young guys, I don't love that. and then when you talk about the spine of the defense roberts flane is a very good player but he's someone where like he's going to get to his depth and zone he's going to make the tackle do all the things but there are some limitations to his game if you look back at the dolphins early on last season they had him in main coverage on atran a couple times and it went exactly how you think that would go and then kevin byard even this is a defense that unlike in the bill years where everything they wanted to look like man coverage and then they'd surprise you with zone They still play a ton of man, but now they want their man to look like zone.

46:32So a lot of the times you have safeties covering receivers because, you know, if Marcus Jones doesn't follow you, oh, that's a zone indicator. No, it's not because now Craig Woodson or last week's Jalen Hawkins is going to be following you. They keep putting Byard in those situations. As solid as he is, as savvy as he is, there's only so much you can control. So I do think that Zach Corr is going to have to be in his bag and on top of his play calls to make life easier on some of those older veterans. But I still see them having the potential to be top 10 because Cork killed it last year. It seems like they're only building on it.

47:03And there's enough continuity that I think they should be okay. Plus, Shane Bowen is in the building now. He was really good dialing up simulated pressures. Hopefully they can get in creepers as well. So hopefully they can add that to the mix to keep offenses on their toes. I will give you your choice of just what you want to talk about here, whether it's your most important non-quarterback, whether it's your things go wrong if, just what is like standing out to you about this Patriots team? I'll go most important because I think the biggest thing is injuries. I think if they get hit by injuries more than they did last year, that's really going to be kind of rough to try to overcome with their lack of depth in some spots.

47:37But I got to wax poetic about AJ Brown. Cause is he the player that he was in his prime? Maybe not. But according to the practices I've seen, he's still pretty damn good. And I think it's not just that, Oh, AJ Brown and Drake may, their skill sets fit each other very well. There's the Josh McDaniel aspect of this. that I think is going to allow A.J. Brown to have one of the better seasons of his career. Because unlike last year where you saw him lining up outside like 90 % of the time, Josh is going to move him everywhere. You're going to see him in the slot and some empty looks where he's going to be going up against smaller cornerbacks, linebackers, safeties, just hunting mismatches and putting him in spots where he's going to have some of those more favorable matchups.

48:15I think play action is going to be huge. Like you're going to see a lot more of what you saw when he was on the Titans, where a lot of really hard run fakes because he's one of two receivers on the field. They're only running two routes, but as soon as those linebackers step up, you got A.J. Brown on a glance route, wide open over the middle, and then a safety habit to tackle him in space. And even Josh, when he gets funky, he's going to put him in the backfield at times. I just think that Josh is going to be able to put him in a lot more advantageous situations and not just say, hey, be on the backside of a three-by-one and attack that one corner.

48:45It's going to be, no, we're going to put you off. We're going to find ways to get you matched up on their worst corner and let you bully that guy. They're not going to ask him to only do difficult things. And then on top of that, you got Drake May putting the ball where only he can get it, being aggressive, where Jalen Hurts kind of pulled back in that area of his game last year. AJ's going to get all the opportunities. He's going to get scheme advantages. And so far, he's done a really good job taking advantage of him. So I'm going to have a really fun time studying how he gets used this year.

49:11And he's going to put up some big numbers. I don't think that's surprising anybody, but I don't really see this as a potential regression year. I think he's going to be much better than he was last season. People are a little down on AJ Brown in general. And I'm with you. The willingness for May to throw the ball into tight contested spots. And it's crazy. His, you know, tight window throw percentage, considering the completion percentage he had last year. And it's partly because the Patriots had one of the best pass catching groups in the league, just in terms of like catching the ball, which is an underrated skill for wide receivers.

49:42Like not a lot of drops, a lot of tough catches. I think it goes wrong if like if free agency doesn't have the Midas touch again this year, Elijah Vera Tucker is a very important signing for them to stay healthy at guard. I think the offensive line, Will Campbell, reportedly having a good camp at left tackle could take a step forward, certainly, but they have a lot to prove. They weren't a good run blocking group last year. They have to show that they can. There is a route here where the offensive line holds this team and offense back. And despite everything you said about the defense, I kind of think that the way this team is a Super Bowl contender is if the offense, like last year, is pretty close to lights out and that the offensive line to me is the fly in the ointment that could hold them back.

50:27To me, they have a lot of a lot of variance like this team does. I'll go first on ceiling and floor. They are. They are one of the teams I think could win the Super Bowl. I think there's six or seven teams in the AFC that you could have a hot take and a strong take that there's a big difference. I just don't see much of a gap between the top six or seven teams in the AFC. at this point. I think there's a lot of talent at the top and a lot of good quarterback play. I think the Patriots are one of those teams. I think their floor is a little lower than the Bills. I think it could go wrong a little bit.

50:59So much went right. It's not just the schedule last year. The lack of depth you mentioned, we're trying not to get too deep into injuries here, but I think the defense could regress. So to me, the floor would be missing the playoffs like a nine and eight type of season, just like a good, not great season. but I think Patriots fans would be pretty upset about that. Ceiling floor for you. I do think, I see their ceiling and floor similar to the Bills. I think they could get back to the Super Bowl. You get A.J. Brown. That's, I think, what the expectation is, or at least you're going to be knocking hard on that door.

51:29I don't think they missed the playoffs. And that's really the coaching staff, a lot of it. And the depth is absolutely an issue. And if they do, I think it's going to be because they got bit by the injury bug in a way they didn't last year. But I think this coaching staff understands their personnel very well. I think they know how to come up with contingency plans to just kind of stop the bleeding where they need to. Like last year, they had some issues in coverage and with their pass rush. And then they kind of got better in that area, but they sacrificed their run defense. And they said, look, if that's how you're going to beat us, go ahead.

51:56We have Drake May. We'll do what we got to do. And I think that willingness to kind of make tough choices is going to keep them from being the kind of team that actually does miss the playoffs. But again, the reason I think that the Bills and the Patriots could get to like really nine-ish wins is because of that schedule. It's not easy. And while AJ Brown likely flips the odds in your favor in some of those games that are coin flip, it's coin flip for a reason. So I agree. I think they can get back to the Super Bowl. But I think if things go really poorly, you're talking about probably a nine win.

52:23Plus, like last year, you're starting out 0-1 unless you can pull off a big upset on the kickoff game in Seattle. But you never know. It's happened like once. The home team for those kickoff games almost never lose, as Patriots fans know pretty well. Let's wrap with the Dolphins. And what's bringing me joy about this Dolphins team is my guy, Malik Willis, had him number one overall in my top 101 free agents list. I think he's going to be really fun to watch play quarterback. All it took was one great preseason drive of him, you know, diming up Caleb Douglas, although that was a crazy catch that he made.

52:58But in general, Malik Willis has shown a really improved level of accuracy as a pro compared to college. And I'm just excited to watch that development because it could be a really exciting career arc. I think it was a great risk for the Dolphins to take because I don't think there was any risk to it at all. They can absolutely draft a quarterback in the top five next year if it doesn't work out. But I think he's the best running quarterback in the league right now, like in terms of running the ball and the combination and what that will give you as an offense, especially when Devon Achan is on the same team as you with a pretty accurate quarterback and he's got to prove it over 17 games is exciting.

53:36I just think he's going to be box office. If you're into fantasy, they're going to be trailing a lot. He's going to be running a lot. I think he will be a very watchable, exciting quarterback. What do you have in terms of bringing you joy for the Dolphins? I've got their defensive front. Now, I'm not sure how their run defense is going to be exactly, but they got some fun names. I think Zach Seeler's been underrated for years. I really like Kenneth Grant as well. And then on the edges, Chuck Robinson's having a great summer. He's a really good player. So I'm excited to see how he continues to grow.

54:08Joshua Uche kind of rebounded last year after really struggling towards the end of his Patriots tenure. I held out hope as long as I was going to say, you're not giving up on Josh Uche. The few, the proud. He's still a good pass rusher. Just get him off the field on first and second down. No use of more. He's valuable. But I mean, I really like the explosiveness and the potential that they have. And then at linebacker, I am pissed at the Dolphins linebacker depth because it's really fun. Jordan Brooks is one of the best players in his position. Another guy I think is really, really underrated and should get more love than he does.

54:39Malcolm Rodriguez. I did so many mock simulations to just try to figure out how the Patriots could justify taking him because I just really like the tape. I know he's undersized, but I mean, the guy's really good playmaker, really good instincts. I'm interested to see how he's going to fit, especially learning from someone like Jordan Brooks. And Kyle Lewis, kind of a similar story where I was trying to figure out if the Patriots could use him. Kind of that like wheel slot hybrid. I just think he's a really interesting player where with Jeff Hathaway, I like how he deploys his guys. So I think he's going to maximize what Kyle Lewis does.

55:09Like, again, run defense necessarily, I don't know if they're going to be great, but just the name and the potential of what they can be. And maybe, you know, as you continue to add or bolster or whatever, I think it's a fascinating group, but I'm looking forward to seeing what exactly they do this year. The defensive line in general, and I went with Chop Robinson if I had to choose one, was my choice for most important non-quarterback. And it's really a larger point about this team. This is a developmental team. We just don't see that too often in the NFL. But when you have seven high draft picks in the same season, when you just take on the most dead money in the history of the NFL, that's just what this is.

55:48And so I thought Chop Robinson specifically, who's having a good summer, as you mentioned, kind of as a symbolic piece of this development, because we'll get to the rookies. You mentioned Jacob Rodriguez and what he could do, but how about taking some of the guys that were there last year and making them better? That's the ultimate test to me of a difference-making coaching staff is our guys are better with us than they were with y 'all. Like Mike Rabel did that last year. It to me is a real testament. He took some of the guys and really improved those same guys. So specifically, you mentioned Kenneth Grant didn't have a great rookie season.

56:26Jordan Phillips was a good rookie for them at defensive tackle last year. And then Chop Robinson, who really had a poor year last year in his second season. So develop these young guys, kind of show us you're a good coaching staff because, yeah, you got to hit on the rookies, but it would really help their build to speed up if they also can develop some of the younger players that the previous regime had other than the veterans that they re-signed. And they do have a couple good ones. I don't know if any of them are your choice for most important non-quarterback. They're not. I've got Devon HN because I think if this offense is going to do anything, I also like Malik Willis.

57:02I do not like Malik Willis' supporting cast very much. And I think if they're going to have any success, Devon HN is going to have to be a monster yet again. And I still, I don't know how he manages his workload at his size. It is absolutely incredible. But the explosive potential that he brings, the versatility as well, his ability to not just contribute as a rusher and i'll be interested to see what this dolphins offensive line looks like because on paper looks pretty good i know austin jackson has been a little up and down so we'll see how that progresses exactly but if they can open up some holes for him and just keep malik willis out of obvious passing situations it's a lot of pressure but it's why he's the most important player and also what he can do is a receiver out of the backfield i think that's going to mitigate a lot of the issues that they have uh with that receiver room so i wanted to talk about the defense That's a little bit more, but he's kind of the only guy on offense other than Malik Willis that I'm actually excited about.

57:51And he's earned it in that big contract. So, holiday champ. I am excited about what this offense looks like, too. That leads into my scheme dream here because the receiver group, it's crazy that a third round rookie people thought was a reach, Caleb Douglas, might be wide receiver one. It's him and Malik Washington. I mean, it's nuts. Greg Dulcich at tight end, they're excited about, but he's always hurt. Like it's one of the most talent, poor receiver groups we've seen. And yet if you're half Lee and then offensive coordinator, Bobby slow, it, you can start off by squinting and saying, well, we're a run-based scheme.

58:29We have a Chan. We have Malik Willis. Those two will be forced multipliers for each other behind the line with a lot of potential. Patrick Paul is a third year player who really improved in his second year. Can he take it the next step? Aaron Brewer was a all pro. He's legit one of the best centers in the league. Jonah Savanea, disastrous rookie season, reportedly having a good camp. We'll see, but had a really good preseason opener. They have a top 15 pick in Caden Proctor. Like, if they actually could coach it up and you squint really hard, like, you can see some, like, you know, Lamar Jackson Ravens build similarities where it's more just about, like, the running game and the running quarterback.

59:08Obviously, it's not going to produce at that level, but just in terms of being respectable, and being watchable. My question is more about Bobby Sloick, who had a chance with the Texans and had some talent there. And it didn't go great. It also wasn't a total disaster when people talk about CJ Stroud's good rookie year, like that was with Bobby Sloick. So we'll see. It's a second chance for an offensive coordinator we don't know that much about. But that's the kind of thing I'm watching schematically. If you want to talk defense, you said you wanted to. I mean, you're welcome to do it here. I mean, can I lead into my team dream?

59:41do whatever you need i want to see what this nascar package looks like like when the defense gets an obvious passing situation specifically this chop robinson gets used a little bit like micah parsons where you're just hunting the mismatches on the offensive line put him against the center they can't move just have new little basketball hoop thing in front of them and then just go nuts with the explosiveness like i'll be very interested to see if he's able to move some of these pieces around and create favorable looks because i think chop is going to have a really good season this year but I think he can put up stupid numbers if you don't put him in just one spot and allow him to be a real versatile weapon for you and obviously with Uche as well there were times where he got opportunities to rush inside it was a little bit more hit or miss I don't think that's a perfect role for him but at least having one guy on the edge that you know you have to respect when he's pinning his ears back and then having chop is kind of that moving piece if I'm preparing for the Dolphins that's something that I'm not necessarily looking forward team man they are just going to be underdogs in every game except I guess home versus jets potentially it's overall on paper like a team that you you squint and you look at and like they're one of if not the favorites to to draft last and yet like I said we've been pointing out a lot of the positive especially on offense but you mentioned the linebackers I think that could be a difference making group it's a defensive minded head coach and Jeff Halfley who has a

1:01:02It's easier to win five or six games, surprisingly, with just like cohesiveness and enough talent and a good enough line play than people realize. So in that way, they could be surprising. That leads to my things go wrong if section of the show, Taylor. I struggle with the Dolphins more than anyone for this because like the expectations are so low. I don't even know what wrong is here. Like they're expecting to have a top five pick. And then I thought about it and it's like, well, it's all about the rookies. Like things go wrong if this rookie class doesn't hit. It's a total success this season.

1:01:36If Caden Proctor, their rookie guard looks good and Caleb Douglas looks like a piece. And Chris Bell, who I was really excited about as a wide receiver, who just got taken off PUPs coming off a torn ACL, shows some promise. They had a first round picking Chris Johnson at cornerback. Jacob Rodriguez, you mentioned, could be a future star. Like that's the whole point of this season. They're not all going to be great. But let's say out of those five or six guys, if you find four real deal contributors, maybe starters, and maybe one or two of them could be plus starters, that's it. That's a win for the Dolphins.

1:02:08So things go wrong if they mis-evaluated and it's a stinker of a class and you never really know until you see it on the field. I agree. For me, what goes wrong is the passing offense lives up to expectation. Unfortunately, if this Bazman game looks like what we think it's going to look like and Bobby Slowick didn't learn from his year off, I hate to be this negative, but like, it could be a genuine disaster because I mean, if you go up against like the Patriots secondary, for example, I don't see how you're completing passes, maybe some schemed opportunities. Sure. But if you get an obvious passing situation, I think you're looking like what the jets tend to look like on offense.

1:02:44Just like, how are you getting downfield? You don't have a lot of size there either. So of course, like if you can get the ball in their hands, that's one thing. I just, it's really hard for me to see reality where they get behind and it doesn't just turn really really ugly and then we'll get to the record but I mean if you're talking about end of half drives where are you going with the football like who is your guy is it Caleb Douglas is that the world you want to live in I don't know I just I I I'm not optimistic at all about this pass game I hope that they pleasantly surprised because I don't want to have to watch that and I don't want Dolphins fans even have to suffer that but i just i i don't see how this is more than at best a somewhat functional passing attack yeah i think you're really counting on the threat of the run and the play action and rpos like the confusion of of malik willis's legs too to really open things up for you and you know what i just checked while you were talking caleb douglas 63210 that's a big guy oh my god i'm sorry I'm sorry.

1:03:46I'm sorry. Tutu Atwell. Let me pull. I have the depth chart somewhere. So I'm sorry. Shout out to the Tutu fans out there. Like Sean McVay. I don't know if he's making this team. I was watching their preseason game and he was still out there deep in the fourth quarter. And I was like, oh, Tutu may not make this cut. We'll see. He could just be the return guy. Ceiling floor. I'll let you go to begin with. My floor is honestly, I think they could not win a game. If you don't have a pass game in the modern NFL, that's how I'm sorry. I think that they could go literally win zero games. And then again, because I think if you're in a tight game, a lot of the times you're just going to have to pass to get in the field goal range, whatever you got to do.

1:04:28I think three is probably the best case scenario for them. I think they see that some. I don't think I just, I have four. Oh, I'm sorry. Three is my ceiling. I just don't have very high expectations for this team. I'm sorry if that's really mean, but I. Clearly. You know, the Dahl fans out there, they are proud. They are an intelligent fan base. They know bad ball when they see it, and they're going to be tracking this team, and they're going to come back in full force when it's a little more competitive. But they are going to take offense to a three-win ceiling and a zero-win floor. So that was nice.

1:05:01I also messed up Jacob Rodriguez's name, too. I got to get it. No! I'm sorry. This is not my best segment. And if you come for me, if you must. I agree. But I just don't see the vision, unfortunately. Maybe I've been sitting next to Jordan Rodrigue too long, and she likes some of the long-term planning of this build and thinks they're making right moves. And so far, so good of what I hear from camp in terms of the rookie class. Although, when they had the joint practice with Washington, it was one-way traffic. Things looked better in the preseason because they were playing their starters against Washington's reserves.

1:05:37Clearly, they're the slight favorite to me to be the number one overall pick. But would I take them against the field? No, I still would take the field because I think the NFL is just too unpredictable. So I'm going to give them a two-win floor. I was going to give them a three-win floor. I do think Malik Willis and the running game and the coaching and enough defensive pieces gets them some wins that they're competitive and not the worst team in the league. So to me, their ceiling is I don't think it's that crazy for them to finish ahead of the Jets and win five or six games. Like, I think that's possible.

1:06:16I'm not going to pick it. We're about to pick it in order. I do have the Dolphins last. But I like if you told me they go six and eleven and it becomes like a nice story of improvement. I think that could happen. That to me is actually easier to do than build sustained success. And and it would show something with Malik Willis. It would mean they really found like a guy in Malik Willis, which would be incredible fine for them if that actually happened. We'll see. All right, let's pick this division, Taylor. I know where you're going in terms of your last place team. I don't know where you're going for your first place team.

1:06:50Are you going to be a homer and go with the Patriots first overall? I'm going to be a homer. And I'm just, it's an optimistic perspective of like, they don't get bitten by the injury bug because I really do like the pieces that they've added. And I think that they are the kinds of pieces where they can actually live up to the success they had last year, where they did get very fortunate last season to make it all the way to the Super Bowl. But I feel like they did enough to outside of maybe the edge room. That's still a pretty big question mark for me. But I think they shored up a lot of the weaknesses they had where they can truly go toe to toe with any team.

1:07:21So I have the Patriots winning. I think the Bills are going to be right behind them, though. I think it's close. If the Bills win the division, I will not be surprised at all. obviously Josh Allen bare minimum you're going to be uh one of if not the best team in the division and I like the DJ Moore edition I just don't think it moves needle enough for me that I put them at the top uh then third yes I have the Jets um gonna be interested to see how that goes but the Dolphins I just I I hope they're more for the sake of Dolphins fans I hope they're more entertaining than I think they will be um but it really is just the pass game for me that I like the piece I like the direction they're in as well I will say I think in two or three years this could look like a very smart rebuild.

1:07:59And I think they're eating a lot of crow early. I respect what they're doing, but I think this is like a development year. Like you look it up in the dictionary and this is a rebuilding year. So, you know, you got to suffer for one year and hopefully, you know, pays off. Yeah. And maybe get the number one overall draft pick. And that's either a quarterback to build around or if you're really loving what you're seeing out of Malik Willis, a bevy of draft picks to maybe not move that far down in the draft and get some high octane talent at other positions. So I think they're in a good position. The Jets are going to be angling for a top five pick.

1:08:34These are teams where if there's an injury or two early, could absolutely be trade partners with teams. But I do have the Jets third, the Dolphins fourth. I have the Bills winning the division. You could probably guess that based on the tone and the Patriots second. Maybe I'm just harder on the team I grew up rooting for. And I used to just always pick them to make the Super Bowl, win the Super Bowl in the Brady Air because it's like, well, why wouldn't I? I want to like not be annoyed that I didn't pick them, but they're going there every other year, if not more. You might as well pick them to get there.

1:09:05Now I'm kind of going the opposite route. I was a little too low on them last year and and they weren't the only team with an easy schedule, Taylor. The Bills had the second easiest schedule in the league last year, according to DVOA. And the Broncos have the fourth. So it's like, yeah, easy schedules help teams get better records. So I think it'll be tougher. But I think both the Bills and the Patriots are at the top of the AFC to stay. I think they're both going to the playoffs. I just have the Bills. I just think they have a little more margin for error. Maybe I'm wrong. And look, either you're right with the prediction and you're right or you're wrong.

1:09:38And they're going to be really good again. So, you know what? You went either way. But then you don't fully win either way. You know, it took me until like the Super Bowl last year to be like, all right, maybe they'll win. And then, no, not so much. Tell them where they can find you. CLNS Media and Taylor Kyles, you and the crew there are great covering the Patriots every week. You got you got the Patriots Daily Podcast, right? You're not messing around. Pass Daily, brother. We try our best to live up to the name. First of all, thank you so much for having me on, man. This was a delight. You're one of my favorite people in the industry, so I'm very honored to be here.

1:10:10But yeah, you can find me on Twitter at tkyles39, K-Y-L-E-S for Kyles. And on YouTube, that's where a lot of my content is. It's Patriots on CLNS. And then the website for my written stuff, clnsmedia.com. I love it. And if you want to go deeper, really like learning about the game, listen to Mike Rabel. He knows what he's talking about. And check out Taylor's coverage of the Patriots and the entire AFC East and AFC as a whole. I always learn a lot when I do that. So that's not it for our division coverage this week. We got Patrick Claibon coming for NFC East talk in just a bit. But next on the feed, you will hear myself and Nick Shook catch you up on all the camp buzz around the league.

1:10:55That is coming on Tuesday. We will see you then.

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From the publisher

Gregg Rosenthal is joined by Patriots beat reporter Taylor Kyles to preview the AFC East. Will the Patriots repeat as AFC champions or can Josh Allen and the Bills finally make it to the Super Bowl? Does Geno Smith’s return to the Jets help them turn the team around? And can Malik Willis succeed in Miami without big name wide receivers? Gregg and Taylor discuss all these questions and more on this edition of NFL Daily.

The NFL Daily podcast is a production of the NFL in partnership with iHeart Media.

Timestamps:

0:00 - Start of episode

1:35 - Bills preview

17:15 - Jets preview

30:58 - Patriots preview

48:00 - Dolphins preview

1:06:27 - End of episode

NFL Daily YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nflpodcasts

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