Ranking the 2026 NFL Draft: Linebackers, Safeties and Defensive Tackles

2 Apr 2026 · 1 h 4 min · 24 chapters

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In short

The episode ranks the 2026 NFL defensive draft class, focusing heavily on linebackers first, then transitioning to safeties and defensive tackles.

Guests

Ali Connolly (linebacker savant; spent seven years exclusively scouting linebackers, including evaluating prospects across schools like Penn and Harvard). Hosts: Daniel Jeremiah and Greg Rosenthal (NFL draft/free-agent analysts).

Key claims

  • Arvel Reese (Ohio State) should be treated as a linebacker/edge hybrid and a “force multiplier” for modern defenses that use off-ball linebackers walking to the edge on early downs; Reese’s elite traits map to linebacker responsibilities even if some evaluators label him an edge.
  • Sonny Stiles (Ohio State) is the more traditional off-ball linebacker with standout coverage range and “coverage chops,” closer to a Fred Warner-type role.
  • Linebacker development is typically a 3-year process; Styles is projected as a day-one-plus coverage starter due to NFL communication experience and safety-to-linebacker background.
  • C.J. Allen (Georgia) has high ceiling but may be mis-scored due to misalignment/processing concerns; Keyshawn Elliott (Arizona State) is undervalued and fits run-fit/box coverage needs.
  • Anthony Hill (Texas) is criticized for lacking consistent “violence”/block-destruction engagement.

Notable examples

  • Reese compared to Zach Baun/Nickel-style pressure roles; Stiles compared to Fred Warner.
  • Rodriguez (Jags) discussed as a playmaker with low PFF consistency; comps include Devin White.
  • Louis Moore (Indiana) praised as an intelligent, fast-processing “best goal-line player” type, projected mid–day three.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Introduction to Linebackers

0:45 to 2:33

Discussion of the importance of linebackers in the NFL and the upcoming draft.

“To my vaunted top 101 free agents and how rosters come together.”

Arvel Reese and Sonny Stiles

2:33 to 4:26

Analysis of linebacker prospects Arvel Reese and Sonny Stiles, including their skills.

Comparative Analysis

4:26 to 6:24

Comparing the play styles and positional value of Reese and Stiles.

“were asked to do and what the requirements were versus what a lot of the elite guys are being asked to do in 2026.”

Positional Dynamics in the NFL

6:24 to 9:00

Discussing the evolving role of linebackers in modern NFL defenses.

“which for Sonny Styles were just completely outrageous, but they were outrageous on its own for Arvel Reese.”

Discussion on Draft Prospects

9:00 to 11:24

Continuing analysis on linebacker prospects and draft strategies.

“So you're going to get ready to make this case to him in terms of the positional value.”

Key Insights on Styles and Reese

11:24 to 12:12

Highlighting the unique traits and potential impact of both players.

“Although, this week, I don't know if you saw, Ollie, at the coach's breakfast, Aaron Glenn said they're going to be multiple on defense and working in some 3-4 principles, not just static.”

Final Thoughts on the Draft Class

12:12 to 14:03

Closing remarks on the linebacker draft class and its implications.

“He just happens to be in this draft with his teammates.”

Analyzing Sonny Styles' Coverage Skills

14:03 to 16:58

Learn about Sonny Styles' unique coverage abilities and potential as a linebacker.

The Evolving Consensus on Top Linebackers

16:59 to 19:38

Understand how the perception of linebacker talent has shifted in recent months.

“Whereas with Arvel, a lot of that stuff still comes on the edge.”

C.J. Allen's Rising and Falling Stock

19:39 to 22:36

Explore the reasons behind the fluctuation in C.J. Allen's draft stock and potential.

Show all 24 chapters

Evaluating Anthony Hill's Technique

22:37 to 26:50

Discuss the technical challenges facing Anthony Hill as a potential NFL linebacker.

“How much is it the mentality of the player?”

Comparing Linebackers in the Draft Class

26:51 to 28:00

Gain insight into various linebacker prospects and their fit in the NFL.

“Who's kind of in your next tier of linebackers putting you on the spot here?”

Evaluating Linebacker Prospects

28:00 to 35:36

Analysis of various linebacker prospects and their playing styles.

“And his brother hasn't really played much.”

Analyzing Safety Prospects

37:22 to 42:00

Discussion about top safety prospects in the upcoming NFL draft.

“my last show, my last few segments before take a little time off and go see the parents.”

Evaluating Defensive Back Prospects

42:00 to 43:35

Discussion on the evaluation criteria for defensive back prospects, emphasizing adaptability and past performance over recent struggles.

“And I know you want a player to develop, of course, but if you see high points earlier in the career and his ability to adapt in different systems, to me that is a huge plus.”

Caleb Downs and Safety Draft Trends

43:35 to 46:45

Insights on Caleb Downs as a top safety prospect and the evolving value of safeties in the NFL draft.

“So I do put a little bit more emphasis on the most recent year, unless you can find a staff change, a system change, a positional change, or the player explains it away.”

Emmanuel McNeil-Warren's Unique Style

46:58 to 49:19

Analysis of Emmanuel McNeil-Warren's playing style and quirks, focusing on his mouth guard habits and on-field behavior.

Comparative Analysis of Safety Prospects

49:19 to 52:20

Comparative discussion on Dylan Thienemann and Emmanuel McNeil-Warren as safety prospects and their potential NFL fit.

“He will be like, I just, you can, you can see it.”

Draft Evaluation Process and Commitment

52:20 to 54:57

Exploration of the draft evaluation process, focusing on the commitment required from scouts and analysts to understand player potential.

“And given what the class is like, we're going to get shockers.”

Evaluating NFL Draft Processes

56:00 to 57:25

Explore the conversation around the evaluation processes in NFL drafts and personal anecdotes.

“I guess they are, if someone like you is, they are, of Bishop Fitzgerald.”

Defensive Tackles Overview

58:27 to 1:01:06

Discussion on the various defensive tackles in the 2026 NFL Draft class and their potential.

“And if I've been spending some time here, it's only partly because I don't know what to say about this defensive tackle class.”

Caleb Banks and Dominique Orange Analysis

1:01:06 to 1:03:19

In-depth analysis of Caleb Banks and Dominique Orange as key defensive tackle prospects.

“or late second or something, who is the one, you know, kind of with how defenses are run now where you just feel like he's going to be a solid player.”

Peter Woods' Potential

1:03:19 to 1:05:24

Discussion about Peter Woods from Clemson and his standing among draft prospects.

“Peter Woods, I want to get your opinion on him just because the Clemson product, I think initially this is where I think the league told the draft Knicks that like, no, we're not really that into him.”

Evaluative Techniques in Draft Analysis

1:05:24 to 1:07:45

Insights into the techniques used for in-depth draft evaluations and their significance.

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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed human. Hi, Uncle Lazer here. America's built on fast cars, fast food, and even faster women. Moto Casino's built in America. You know what they're fast at? Fast cash, rise, redemption. You see, only Moto is U.S. owned and operated. Moto. It's American-made. That's who we are, and that's who we care about. Play for free at Moto.us.

0:23Ollie Connolly:Moto Casino's the social casino board. We're prohibited. No purchase necessary. Visit Moto.us for more details. Must be 21+.

0:34Ollie Connolly:I'm Daniel Jeremiah. And I am Greg Rosenthal. I know that, Greg. We're teaming up on 40s and free agents, the podcast that owns the NFL offseason. This is where teams are built. Free agency, combine, pro days, trades. Every move matters. From my draft boards and mock drafts. To my vaunted top 101 free agents and how rosters come together. Quarterback movement. Surprise signings. We'll tell you what it means and who really wins. Open your free iHeartRadio app, search 40s and free agents, and listen now. It's a tough sport. It's not for everybody. You've got to be a little sick to love this game, and we've got some sickos.

1:11Welcome to NFL Daily, where linebackers are absolutely back. I'm Greg Rosenthal. With me from across the sea, my friend Ali Connolly, who is a linebacker savant, would you say? Just an appreciator. Yes, we're going over linebackers. We're going over safeties. And we're going over defensive tackles. All the positions that most people ignore. We're going to go deep on today, Ali.

1:37Ollie Connolly:I love it. I love when you get a linebacker draft and everyone says it's boring. And I'm just sat there in my room till like 7 in the morning, grinding the film, saying there's just more linebackers oozing out of everywhere. I really do believe, yes, linebackers. We got a couple of great rookies. We got better play, I think, out of the veterans last year. And I do think people are coming around to the fact that, man, having a knockout linebacker who makes a difference on all three downs is like one of the most valuable things that you could have. And having these two guys at the top of the draft, I know is big for you, some background.

2:08What is your background with the linebacker position and scouting specifically?

2:13Ollie Connolly:Well, early in my scouting career, I did seven years exclusively scouting linebackers, digging everywhere. Does Penn have one? Does Harvard had one? Is there anyone available to be drafted by the league? that was the bulk of my scouting career was focusing on linebacker play uh that's awesome and that's why uh yeah this is this is really the ollie connelly draft i hadn't really thought about that and so let's just get going with the top of the board in general we can we can talk about it's it's a deep class i think we'll get to that and it's what you want out of like a fully loaded class at a position which is there's some superstar talent at the top there's some fun middle class talent you know we could have more first round linebackers and in certainly a bunch of day two and then there's also depth but the reason I think for the casuals out there are that Arvel Reese and Sonny Stiles from Ohio State are right there at the top and I think just to start the show let's just note we're including Arvel Reese in our linebacker podcast you feel strongly about this Ollie why is that I feel strongly about it first of all let's just know those two play together and it's maybe the most absurd linebacking tandem we've had since like the hurricanes are rolling in the 2000s it's just preposterous um and i know he wants to be considered an edge i know plenty of evaluators consider him as an edge i think if you just go through the film and grade skill by skill whatever your grading scale is mine would be four to nine traditional nfl stuff that the the highest marks you give those nines those eights truly elite type traits map up to the linebacker work whereas the things where you have maybe some question marks more so in the refinement and the technique than just the traits the athletic skill is in the straightaway pass rushing stuff and there's a lot more development that needs there technically and he's just solely reliant I think in the pass rush game on true athleticism just speed power speed to power and kind of winning a short edge and now athleting people whereas there is such immense technical refinement for someone so athletically gifted as a true linebacker and I think those skills match up so perfectly with what is being asked of linebackers today.

4:18Ollie Connolly:And I think a little bit of the scouting parlance that's going on through the draft season is looking at linebackers in the bucket of the 2010s, even back to the 90s and what they were asked to do and what the requirements were versus what a lot of the elite guys are being asked to do in 2026. So in this idea of what a linebacker is, you're not ignoring that he could be very valuable as a blitzer, as a pass rusher, essentially in the Zach Bond mold. I don't know if there's another comparison of like how you see him being used, but you see that as a linebacker, which is different than I think how a lot of people are viewing him.

4:55Ollie Connolly:Yeah, I think that old school style, which Sonny Styles is more built in, which is you sit off the ball. It's really sift and find work. The front gets fractured. They kind of work through the space. They go and find the ball and attack that way. And then it releases blitzers, the odd mugged up look blitzing from depth. I do think R.V.L. Reese can be a core part of like the pressure group and you move him around and you find matchups. And there's like a clown at right guard that he can just kill for 20 reps. You just send him to go do that for 20 reps. But the way the league is playing right now with so much movement and motion from the offense, you've got to find ways to address it.

5:25Ollie Connolly:And what the best DCs are doing is having an off-ball linebacker who walks down to the edge and plays as an edge defender on early downs. And you move them around either in coverage or in the blitz game and move them around the formation defensively. I don't know why you wouldn't take the guy whose skills are so suited to that and say, we could have the best one in the league. Zach Baum was the most impactful player in the league two years ago for the best defense in the NFL. Nicky Munwari does similar things in a slightly different body type, but safety, we could have that with maybe the best athlete to ever attempt to do it.

5:54Ollie Connolly:Why would we not try and get the force multiplier and race ahead of the league with someone who just has a completely different level of athleticism to someone like Zach Baum? Yeah, and I just don't buy, like, he's helping your password. I just don't buy that somehow the positional difference, let's say with David Bailey, who's just more of a pure pass stretcher, is going to be the difference of maybe why you would take him ahead of Arvel Reese. When I watch these two guys, Reese and Styles, and I do want to just stick on Reese for now, despite the testing numbers, which for Sonny Styles were just completely outrageous, but they were outrageous on its own for Arvel Reese.

6:32When they're actually playing football and you watch Reese on the field, to me, he's more obviously like, wow. Like he just, just the way he moves and that's how my basic, you know, eye looks at it. Watching him is like, okay, like I don't think you have to be that smart to want to take him to overall in this particular draft. If you're the Jets or if he falls to three, to me, I keep seeing tackles to the Cardinals. Why wouldn't they take Arvo Reese? They absolutely need a linebacker. And if he falls to the Titans, why wouldn't they take our race? They could absolutely use him just because there's only so much crazy next level talent in this draft specifically or in any draft.

7:15And it just it just looks like on paper to me, he has that. And on film, what do you see from that angle of just being a difference maker?

7:23Ollie Connolly:Oh, there's a difference maker. I think the diagnose and attack feel is completely off the chain. The take on skills, the competitive toughness, the range, the tackling. it's like all the minutiae of the position i really do feel he does it an elite level then it's wrapped up as you mentioned in this uber athlete and usually when you're going through the draft you bounce between the two right it's like okay this is a really technically proficient player and you get some of these zooming linebackers who played in less complex systems this is a guy who played in an nfl system with nfl communication he's playing on the edge on early downs for the most part he's playing the nfl role that i'm describing then they back him off the line of scrimmage or move him around in the pass rush game i don't know why you wouldn't just adopt that position one-to-one which is what the league is asking for anyway so you can kind of designate it however you want you can call him an edge defender you can call him a linebacker i think he's going to play in those multiple roles irrespective as the the offense moves as they go through heavy personnel you got to have erasers on the field where you don't have to substitute all the time and go through different personnel groups and tip your hat on what you want to do you got to have these kind of hybrid type players and to me he's just going back through recent seasons it's really hard to find a player who had that overwhelming a linebacker skill set and i just don't understand why we're trying to force him to be a out and out edge defender to say hey he can be this dominant pass rusher and if he is a dominant pass rusher that's great i'm all good with that i'm happy to say it wonderful he's a 12 sack a season guy what a great time role having i just think there is such value in that degree of force multiplication if that's a word by having this kind of movable piece at the second level who can go and play on the line of I'm going to get you and Daniel Jeremiah together next week on 40s and free agents.

9:00So you're going to get ready to make this case to him in terms of the positional value. It is interesting, though. I hadn't heard, is he selling himself as an edge? That actually worries me a little bit because it's almost like I heard the Yahoo guys, Nate Tice and Charles McDonald, they do a good job. And they framed it as like they wanted to ask him, well, how do you see your next five years? that that kind that does and i think that's fair to maybe wonder how he sees himself it is but i mean go look at devon lloyd's contract and then go look at the edge rushing contracts would you

9:31Ollie Connolly:not try and sell yourself as an edge rusher and if you've got the athletic traits that beat someone out their stance just straight speed off the ball not quite the david bailey uh rate and i don't think that he's got that quite that kind of first step quick so there's a lot of real technical issues it's just a straight pass for sure but if i was going into the league and now it's that kind a special athlete i'd say let me try the really really valuable spot they'll still use me the way that i'm describing is the off-ball linebacker but they'll call me an edge and then when we get to franchise tag territory or we get to contract discussions i can get the the big time money he literally could be one of those players that helps like change pay structure if he's as good as as you think he is as we think he is it where a guy like that gets paid more zach bond started of the process because if a guy like zach bond can get the contract that that he gets i i think a player like reese if he if he's as good as we we hope he's gonna be will show the value of that position i heard you say go ahead the last thing i really do want to touch on with him is i think this idea of putting him in the edge bucket it's almost narrow-minded where i think the skills are so overwhelming that he is the kind of guy you structure the defense around maybe you're not a team that uses a move linebacker right now aaron glenn the jets they don't use this kind of hybrid linebacker type but if you get him in the building you will be doing yourself a disservice to not have zagborn on super serum it would just be foolish coaching to not try and play the game this way if you just try and say he's just going to be a wide edge rusher and we're going to let him go after it and we think there's going to be a three-year development plan he'll be better in 2027 i just think you're doing yourself and the player a disservice now that i think about it I was thinking he's the smart, he's a good pick for the Jets at two, and they're thinking a little bit more about 2027, supposedly, and he might have the higher ceiling, so they might take him.

11:21But is that a good fit for him, for the Reese fans out there? Not really. Although, this week, I don't know if you saw, Ollie, at the coach's breakfast, Aaron Glenn said they're going to be multiple on defense and working in some 3-4 principles, not just static. What do you think? Let's go.

11:37Ollie Connolly:I think he's saying if I get Arvelle, we'll do whatever we can to move Arvelle around. I'm into the idea. So Ali had Reese, I believe, as your highest rated linebacker prospect since Luke Eakley. Is that correct? Yep, that's correct. So where is Sonny Stiles then on that spectrum? Because in a normal season and certainly the last handful of seasons, I'm going back to try to think about who's been the best recent linebacker prospect. I would imagine Sonny Styles would be ahead of all those linebacker prospects and very high on this scale, too. He just happens to be in this draft with his teammates.

12:14And some people, like Daniel Jeremiah specifically, have him rated ahead of Reese. So it's kind of pick who you like.

12:21Ollie Connolly:Yeah, and I think it's pick the play style. Reese is more in that vintage mold of off the ball, see ball, get ball, kind of clang and bang in the middle of the line of scrimmage. He's got unbelievable range in coverage, which of all Reese, it's different. that is more of a pop styles you're saying is more of the traditional one you mean yeah styles is more of the traditional one um and has just more coverage range and more coverage chops and so if you're valuing that level of coverage it really comes down to what you value in the pass rush game with a kind of movable linebacker and early down front structure which i know is boring but is essential to um coaching staffs and then if you're just more of one of these the texans the niners the titans now it's pretty static it's a pretty traditional front you're playing kind of 4-3 football and you need a dominant linebacker and someone who can play all three downs and carry someone in coverage and your ideal linebacker is just fred warner how close can we get to fred warner styles falls more into that bucket to me and i do think with him because the athleticism and the power there is untapped potential as a blitzer it's just that's more projection than what is evident on the tape in college i love what you hear about him as a guy as a student of the game and do you think that shows up uh in terms of the way he plays yes and i think it's going to make the transition so much easier i think this position is a three-year development position now there are so much on these guys play the defenses are so multiple the offenses are so sophisticated i think you see that with all the starters now it's a lot of guys you forget about who go in day day two day three and all of a sudden they're like five-year starters but they didn't really kick in till the second third year of their career i think him playing in a full nfl communication system that is the most complex thing for these guys to wrap their head around and most of the linebackers who come into the league are terrible in coverage that you just got to live with that most guys are not good coverage guys i think he can be a day one plus coverage player which is a super skill that most guys walking the league just aren't going to have they're gonna have to find their way there over time that is the stuff that is really tricky for them to pick up and take that second third season to get to I do think he can hit the ground running in that way which very few guys can and and look I I think the combine workout and you see it sometimes when you're watching him not not as much he he seems a guy who's just he's in control and he's gonna make the play and he's not asked to be like sprinting down the field like he he does seem like if if I thought about like I don't know who the comp would be at linebacker but when we talked about travis hunter for instance a year ago where like the game seems slow for travis hunter that he can adjust his speed like that's another level maybe sunny styles has a little bit of that to him he does and if anything at times i'm like can we give the guy some smelling salts he's got knockout power i would love him to just take over a quarter a bit more than he does do i would like a little bit more thumping tenacity but there is no disputing the technique and the violence when he's really getting after it um and so i just don't see if you go through it skill set by skill set where there's any degree of downside it would have to be some poor scheme fit off the field thing i think for him to not at minimum be a plus starter and i think that with the coverage range he has as a former safety converted to linebacker the history of those guys recently who are actually at linebacker size is a way better hit rate than just traditional linebackers then trying to get them to to pick up some of the coverage stuff and he played safety for a long time it's not like he was a one-year guy and then switched over and played in multiple systems played in nfl defense so i'm really confident that if you take him third or fourth overall you at least will be able to say we've got a six-year starter and then that the ceiling is how close can we get to fred warner so i did go back and listen to your guys's show and it's interesting because you tape linebackers first just because you love them so much and it was early in the process it was before the combine and back then like people were not talking about styles necessarily getting taken in the top five he was 12th or so on the consensus board and now it's very much more of an open conversation Reese is still number two on the consensus board but when you look at the the top guys in the mock drafts it's it's more of a conversation where styles could go anywhere from two to ten I mean you never know because he is a linebacker whereas kind of early in the process i don't know what changed maybe it just was the comment or maybe it's just people catching up to like hey go where this draft actually is and this is where the great talent is you guys were kind of talking about him that way to begin with but maybe the the consensus at the time has has changed in just two months well i fall for the linebackers hard and when you see almost like a perfect technical linebacker who's that athletic yeah i fell i fell pretty severely in week one against Texas and it just carried on through too early in the draft process I think with Styles where teams would have him ahead of Arvel Reese is just you do get to see more of the traditional linebacker player and almost perfect level in college and there is this untapped potential which the which the combine gave to us as there's so much burst off the ball if he did just play in a really attack-based system if he went to the Cardinals and they really want to just still get after it as an attack-based defense with Nick Rollins is there more to his game in that vein than we've seen so far.

17:40Ollie Connolly:Whereas with Arvel, a lot of that stuff still comes on the edge. And even with the crazy explosiveness, he doesn't always play to that tempo. So I think with Styles, just more certainty in the traditional linebacker play for the teams at least, with still that feeling of he could be a difference making behind the line of scrimmage. And certainty is always a tricky word this time of year, but it does feel like there's only so many prospects in this class that have that feel that most everyone agrees about him. I would even include Reuben Bain and Carnell Tate and Caleb Downs in different ways in that bucket, different levels, but Tunney Stiles is one of them.

18:20And it's just like, go where the draft is. And that's at the linebacker. One guy whose consensus spot has fallen quite a bit, actually since you talked, which I thought was interesting, is C.J. Allen. I'm a little surprised by that. So C.J. Allen, the number three linebacker in this class, and from Georgia, you know, great profile, extremely productive. Seems to me like he has a pretty high ceiling. And I don't know why the consensus has fallen on him a little bit, but he's an interesting combination of ceiling, I think, and floor. An exciting player in his own right, which, again, to repeat the Sonny Stiles point, wouldn't be maybe at that level, but would be the number one linebacker, I feel like, in a lot of classes.

19:04Ollie Connolly:Oh yeah, in most of the class of the past 10 years, I think he'd be one or two pretty comfortably. He's more in that short, thickly built, N 'Kobe Dean type mold. Georgia certainly have a type, but he more than anyone is out to take souls on the football field. He just wants to hit everything that moves. He plays, I think, ahead of himself far too often. I think that will drive teams pretty bonkers as they dive through things. And I know there's all the reports out there about, hey, he called the defense. I mean, if you go watch them actually play, they're rarely lined up correctly they're consistently misaligned sometimes the play isn't even in so I don't think it's like a benefit to him to say hey he was calling the defense not just checking things the line of scrimmage like well why are they a mess then if he's calling things all the time so I think there's a lot of development need I think he will be on that kind of three-year arc but he undoubtedly has unteachable athletic skill so I gave you a little bit of a project here I don't know if CJ Allen fits into these buckets like do you have a player who is better you think than the consensus board where the consensus board is at uh it would be keishon elliott my beloved from arizona state i know i keep talking to you about him but i think that i i don't know 135 on the consensus board and he was 380th in february so he's he's making a run there so i hope nfl daily has helped with that the people have got eyes on keishon elliott now i think to me he's a compact rundown player plays with intellect and power he looks to me like all these starting linebacks in the league where it's not these crazy high-end explosive traits and people go and chase those all the time particularly in the second round and then you look in year two year three go where are they are they playing on teams oh they're not getting on the field anymore and teams are more comfortable saying most of these guys aren't great in coverage can we at least be solid in the run fit and then can we kind of mask them with a really zone-based defense there's a lot of split safety looks there's a lot of coverage protection and he just fits that mold he is really really smart i think though he's not a great athlete he actually is active and alive in coverage and pick picks things up pretty well and it's just a mole around the box just kills people over and over again one-on-one in space so i think he's got all the traits of a starting linebacker i would take him comfortably on day two um but based on where the consensus board is at least it wasn't fair but i guess he's he's rising now maybe he won't last as long as i thought Well, that is late fifth round.

21:26Arizona State, Keyshawn Elliott. And it just shows you how deep linebacker is. He's listed as linebacker 15 or so right now. And I know you like the depth of this class, but who's a player that maybe is in that middle tier? Because I think there will be a decent amount of day two linebackers taken. And I'm guessing this is where this guy comes from. a player that you're kind of lower on than consensus the one i struggle with is anthony hill

21:55Ollie Connolly:from texas he really does look the pop and i'm open to just being completely wrong on the player but there's just a to me anyway he's 6 '3 243 he's gonna be 20 years old so it's like the perfect profile if you can get him in the second round where i think he will go to invest that time in two three years and then become a full-time starter and he has the athletic profile to play in basically any system that he wants. I just find it to be so lacking in a lot of the technical details. I think there's a slight whiff that he's not always engaged in the fight. For someone that big, you'd like to see him take people on and really bring the thunder over and over again.

22:35Ollie Connolly:And it to me is the kind of like generic football question of block destruction, take on skills. Are they taught? How much is it technique? How much is it the mentality of the player? I think that the number one point on the hit list before you can get to some of the skills involved is just they want to play violence. It's a contact sport. It's a collision position. How much they want to take guys on one-on-one when we're really getting after it, when you're facing an all-pro center, when Creed Humphrey is firing off the ball. Are you willing to give it right back to him? And there are real great flashes of it off the tape.

23:06Ollie Connolly:If you go on social media, you'll find four or five clips and go, wow. But consistently over and over again, you got to bring the fight for 70 reps. It's just not quite there for me. And I just wonder if you can really develop that over time Or if you give someone$20 million, they say, well, this is a pretty good payday. I don't really have to go throw my face into the fire every day. I mean, physicality is a trait, right? I mean, that's something you look for, especially at this position. Kind of compare him and C.J. Allen, because it's interesting, again, kind of going back to this draft process.

23:34You know, back in February, I think the idea was Anthony Hill was going to be battling for that kind of linebacker three spot. And maybe he will. And the league will wind up liking him. And him and C.J. Allen were both ranked a little higher. They both have fallen a little bit. Whereas I look at Jeremiah's top 40 and there's a huge gap between those two guys. He sees CJ Allen and I do find Jeremiah tends to reflect the league pretty often or at least a certain type of, you know, organization in the league. And he has CJ Allen as a top 20 player in this draft. He'll barely cracking his top 50. How do you see kind of the comparison of those two, the physicality that, that Allen brings?

24:15And I know we kind of short shrifted. I did want to get into like the ceiling of it all because he does feel like a guy who's very exciting to watch and and maybe is getting mislabeled a little bit as like a lower ceiling player when when he does have a lot of explosive potential. Like he is a fun guy to watch. He might be as almost as fun as watching the Ohio State guys when I checked him out. It's just he is kind of a blast to watch.

24:40Ollie Connolly:He is. He's more frenetic and out of control than those guys. I think those guys know what they're doing every single down. I'm not sure he's always sure. he's often pointing things out to teammates that are just flat out wrong it's it makes me cackle watching him as like the leader of the group and he's just getting things wrong all the time but man when he arrives he just kills people he crushes them he chases everything down the range is off the scale the play speed is off the scale he is in that more shorter stouter pocket rocket type mold i always fall for those guys i just can't help myself i always fall for the guys who are 6-1 but play like the 6-4 and just bring Thunder to the point of attack over and over again.

25:16Yeah, and he's covering a lot of ground. And I know you're saying sometimes he didn't know the play's right. But a lot of his profile, when you hear him talked about, almost feels like he's the Gruden grinder. It's like the smart, tough, reliable guy. But I see a guy that's running all over the field. So that's a great combination. Maybe he's like the next London Fletcher or something.

25:40Ollie Connolly:Give me that. I agree with that. I think he's almost too eager to make plays. He'll get caught in the traffic and all that kind of stuff. So I think there's just a subtlety to his game that's lacking. I think you can refine that. And that's what the two-year, three-year process, rather than try to tap into someone. Do you want to really get after this every single day? I think it's easy to try and refine someone who plays with real violence and aggressiveness and is flying all over the place and try to funnel that in. And if you get him into one of these systems where he's just playing off the ball and playing cleanup duty, I think someone like the Saints, where it's a lot of 6-1 stuff, where he's just the one linebacker off there, just run and chase, run, see, hit, and then go and play good coverage.

26:17Ollie Connolly:I think there's more quality stuff in coverage, I would say, than there is truly the take on skills. Now he's super aggressive and that stuff can be coached up, but he can really move in coverage in a different way and cover a ton of ground. I think he's ideally suited for where the league's at right now. I have him graded out as a quality starter. I've not had three guys with quality starter grades in, it has to be 12 years, and he's the third guy in there. So I'm with DJ on that. I think he's way higher to being in the top 20 players in the class than any of the guys on the list. Okay, so you have him then third.

26:54Who's kind of in your next tier of linebackers putting you on the spot here?

26:59Ollie Connolly:Well, I have Keyshawn in that list. In the solid starts here, this is where the real meat of the class is. I love Jacob Rodriguez. I think by the time we get to draft nine, I'm just going to close my eyes and move him probably to fourth, maybe even as high as third. I just can't quit the guy. I have Keyshawn Elliott in that list from Arizona State. We've got Josiah Trotter. We've got Jake Golday. I have Anthony Hill in there for the reasons I mentioned. There's still real talent in there, just I don't quite fall in love with the player. And I've got Kyle Lewis from Pitt, who's this kind of weird malleable.

27:30Ollie Connolly:Is he a safety? Is he a nickel? Is he a linebacker? I'm not sure he can play a linebacker in the NFL, but he might be the most electric, quickest player in the entire draft class. And I think he could carve out a role as well in these hybrid players moving around the formation. Okay, Kyle Lewis is projected again like a high third round type of pick. You mentioned Jeremiah Trotter's son. Isn't it like a little bit of a red flag that he has the same sort of profile as his brother who just came out and his dad? And that's not the model of like a modern linebacker. And his brother hasn't really played much.

28:06Ollie Connolly:I really like the brother. I think Jeremiah Trottet Jr. is really, really intelligent. He just doesn't quite have the athletic skills, I think, of what is demanded. The Eagles don't seem to like him that much. They're not playing him that much. I accept that, but how many guys are being let go? Blake Cashman was let go by the Jets, goes and starts for the teams. That's just the way linebacker play is, I think, at the moment. Josiah is a footballing lunatic who really struggles to find the ball, but is interested in running through every human's face who comes near him. And he is a really, really potent blitzer.

28:39Ollie Connolly:His brother does not have that level of first-step speed and kind of feel navigating through in the pass rush. So he can, I think, be a positive on third down, whereas his brother is kind of a run-down-only type player. Got it. Yeah, the point-and-shoot type of guy. What do you think about the criticism for Rodriguez? I know we're bouncing all over the place. Nate Tice, for instance, thinks that maybe he's not in it in the fight enough, enough physicality for Rodriguez. That's a fair criticism. He's more of a bouncy, dance-between-the-cracks type player. You know, the kind of buzzword all the coaches use these days, which Jesse Minter brought to us all, is block destruction.

29:20Ollie Connolly:And when you use that verbiage, in your mind, it's someone just smashing someone, right? It's two-hand punch and stack and shed. Dante Hightower. It's absolutely Dante Hightower, number one guy on the board. But there's more to it than that. there's throw-bys, there's eye fakes, there's different ways to defeat the block effectively. And I think he's got so many tools to his back to just navigate through space and to navigate around people. I think he's probably more of a coverage first, drop him into zone coverage, sprint all over the field, go find the ball and get it. And maybe he does have to be more of a sub-package guy for you, but those are the more valuable downs now.

29:54Ollie Connolly:The actual, we're setting a heavy wall, you've got to throw your face into it, are fewer downs. If you can play all three, that's when you move into the tier of Arvell and Sonny and I think CJ Allen can get there he might be more coverage first racing around all over the place and then over time could he become like an Aziz Alshair type player if you can get a bit more tenacity out of him I think that you could look at that but he is just an incredible playmaker I think some guys just know the sport see it feel it the volume of plays on the ball the the amount of times he's undercutting plays jumping plays, his understanding of down distance situation, all the punch outs, all the game breaking plays.

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30:33Ollie Connolly:I just think that he's going to make a whole bunch of plays. To me, he smacks of a guy with a really high national identity where everyone knows him. He's making a whole bunch of plays on red zone every week. He's playing for the Jags or whatever. It's like, wow, another punch out from Jake Rodriguez. Then the PFF scores come out and he's in like the bottom 25 linebackers in the league. The down-to-down consistency is not what you're looking for, but there's a whole bunch of game-breaking plays. Like peak Devin White or something? Peak Devin White is a good one. I like that. Shout out to Devin White, still making those tackles.

31:08It's crazy. I just counted on the consensus board, like seven or eight day two sort of prospects at linebacker. Do you have any favorite comps? It could be, give me a positive Anna or a derogatory one or both.

31:26Ollie Connolly:I'd say Kyle Lewis as like a Jeremiah Owosu Kuromoa. Oh, that's good. Is he a linebacker? Is he a safety? Can he do in a different frame some of the Eamon Worry, Jalen Petrie stuff where he's playing nickel some snaps, he's playing weak side linebacker some snaps, then we can do all these fun rotations where he's firing out to the half field. he just moves differently now he has very little interest in tackling and it is a contact sport gives me deep concerns but if i just imagine if you got someone like steve spagnolo the volume of what would be on the menu would be different and if he just turns out to be really talented in coverage down the slot even if it's just taking away tight ends he's got to be on the field and you're going to have to try and live with the ups and downs if a team can force him into the box and run at him over and over again you're just going to have to live with the downside i gotta i gotta watch him i mean is he is he moved like osu koremoa i mean talk about a guy who moves different and it was obvious pretty early in his nfl career jok was like that there's almost a ivan pace type movement where the explosiveness off the ball is just jarring and then he's really really slippery kind of laterally bouncing around um now you do get to see him go up against jeremiah love where you're seeing saquon like movement skills and he gets put on like three posters a little bit concerning you gotta face jameer gibbs and bijon and saquon and jeremiah love as well in the nfl um but he played in a really complex system and he was kind of the pivot player they would move around to be the problem solver um so i think there's a little bit of jok and even jok in where the league's at right now you question can you live on the field and all three down so i think he's gonna be a pretty specific player but he's one of those guys where whoever gets him clearly will have a vision for how they can use them all over the place a bit Leo Chanel-like something in that vein.

33:18Ollie Connolly:And so I think I've just come around to the Chiefs are taking him. Forget about the profile anymore. He just makes a ton of sense for them. Oh, I love that. Maybe round two, round three, something like that. Harold Perk, probably round three if we are to believe the consensus. Harold Perkins is a guy, if there was a draft after his rookie season at LSU, might have gone in the top 10, right? I mean, he was like the next big thing. Yeah. And now he's projected 122. I'm ending the linebackers on a downer note, but just as again, as a casual, it's like, what happened here? I know it sort of fell apart, but there's, is there any hope here for a guy like who was that productive early in his career to, to fall off that hard?

34:03It just shows you how long the draft process is.

34:06Ollie Connolly:He isn't. If Belichick was still in the league, he would take him in the second round. He loved those guys who were the, you know, the high end high school players who had the great one season that maybe they fell off a bit he would bet that he could coach it up um he just is i think too small to play true off the ball linebacker and then with all the movement stuff we discussed with arval reese can he play on the line of scrimmage he cannot he is crazy crazy explosive more of a straight line mover then they kind of flip the hips and turn in coverage so it's all straight ahead which is why the testing numbers are off the scale and if you're brian flores or the falcons and we're mugging up seven guys and we're just gonna rip off the ball he has oh speed and you need to be to be able to work in in those systems so for one of those teams as a package player i think there's a there's a possibility again it would be that ivan pace type situation where there's 10 unbelievable splash plays and then a lot of it is pretty rough the rest of the go around it's just how much you you value that in a class with seven guys who could be truly solid starters we just need more flores i guess durante jones maybe could be that guy for washington just to take these mismatched pieces that could be great in a fun defense and get the most out of them he is not he's not a mismatch it's just pure speed and the speed is beneficial there is no power he seems often confused but by the fact it's saturday let alone that they're playing football um so you're just you're betting on well someone has to get off the ball so fast everyone panics and that's what we're paying for uh a deep fun class we could we could do linebackers all day But let's take a break.

35:37Let's come back, talk about a really good top end of the safety crop and the defensive tackles in a minute.

36:05Ollie Connolly:as hot as free-to-play social casino. Download the Moto Casino app today. Moto Casino is a social casino board. We're prohibited. No purchase necessary. Visit Moto.us for more details. Moto Casino. America's social casino. I'm Daniel Jeremiah. And I'm Greg Rosenthal. And this is 40s and Free Agents. The games may be over, but the NFL never stops. This is my favorite part of the calendar. Yeah, mine too, Greg. Free agency, the combine, the NFL draft, pro days, trades. This is where teams reshape their future. This is where Daniel Jeremiah makes his money on 40s and free agents. We break down every move that actually matters.

36:43From my draft evaluations, mock drafts, and team fits. To my top 101 free agents and how real rosters are built, cap space, contracts, and all the tough decisions included. You got quarterbacks on the move. We got teams rebuilding. It's hope season. Yeah, absolutely. It's hope season. We'll tell you what's real, what's noise and what it means for your favorite team. Smart analysis, real conversations every week. I don't know about the smart, but definitely analysis.

37:11Ollie Connolly:Listen to 40s and free agents on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.

37:21Back on NFL Daily. my last show, my last few segments before take a little time off and go see the parents. We've been cranking daily since training camp started, but we'll still have you covered next week. Jordan's got you. Shook's got you. Ollie and Daniel Jeremiah's got you. But yeah, I feel a little bit like my kids in the last few days before spring break. You are the teacher for me just playing like a movie for me to watch. I'm just enjoying your analysis. So thank you, Ali, for carrying me home.

38:01Ollie Connolly:Just repeated Kyle Lewis tapes, sending you off on your way to your parents. Oh, no. Forget Kyle Lewis, because I think you're true beloved in this class. Why do I always confuse the two names? The safety from Indiana. What's his name? Oh, Lou Moore. Oh, man. You spent 25 minutes on Louie Moore. Wow. On your show, and I've directed people to it when you've been on the show, but if you're really into the draft and you like this kind of coverage and would want to expand the read optional, Ollie and John Ledyard, I'm going to just break contain here and actually start our safety conversation. Give me the 60-second elevator pitch on Louis Moore before we get to the big names.

38:48A guy who's projected to go in the middle of day three, but you believe has a lot more to him.

38:54Ollie Connolly:I do. I mean, he's tiny and there's going to be questions of, is he a nickel? Is he a true kind of on the shelf safety? I don't think he's quite got the lateral quicks to go and down playing the nickel spot. I think you need real physicality to play there at the high level in the league right now. I think his brain dysfunctions at warp speed and you can just see it over and over again, not just kind of reading and jumping routes, which is the most obvious stuff, but just kind of shutting down reads really quickly in the progression, understanding everyone's assignment I just think he operates at a different pace and it's weird to me that I just watched Indiana run through everyone's face in college football and now I'm hearing when people are knocking Mendoza well you know the defense was really good it was really good in those playoff games defense is really good and yet I'm looking through the draft and I can't find an Indiana player who a team is falling in love with it was D 'Angelo Pons but is he too small Aiden Fisher the linebacker another really intelligent player but he can go on day three not athletically good enough it's like didn't these guys just maul alabama in the rose bowl didn't they destroy miami defensively didn't they destroy ohio state in the big 10 time to game defensively and none of these guys are viable enough to go and play on sundays i don't someone has to be good enough to play on sundays and i think that if he played in a re-blankenship type role we're not talking about a superstar here just a backside safety with free reign to go and find the ball and make plays he works a different speed to everyone else and he's a guy i would i would one of my team 25 years old but you called him the best goal line player in the country that's 221 on the big board i'm gonna be following louis moore if if you listened closely last year you know we asked ollie uh for just a deep under the radar type of guy that he loved and one of them was uh efton chisholm who made the patriots roster uh is a hero to many small whites in new England and who knows who might have a fun career if nothing else he contributed to a team that made the Super Bowl which is a great result for an undrafted free agent it's time for charging into the offseason presented by Apple Card for all your game day purchases let's go to the top of this safety class really the top three are all expected to go in the first round what kind of impact do you think Caleb Downs can have like right off the bat in his career and kind of where do you put him assuming he's number one at safety for you compared to the rest of the the entire draft class I think he's the number one safety to me I think just overall in terms of the fundamentals and having the fewest negatives on the report he's the number one player in the draft whether he has the playmaking upside of someone like an Arvell recent Sonny Stiles I think is fair to debate and then the positional value that falls into that too I would value a hybrid linebacker slightly above a hybrid safety in terms of what you can do structurally but I see flash of his game I you know people talk about him I think in different ways I see elements in how he is used and as the pivot point of the entire defense and what they wanted to do on a unit that had probably four first round picks he was the centerpiece of everything they tried to get to defensively with a super bowl champion defensive coordinator that that does matter to me and i think there are flashes in usage of a buddha baker with more of a brian branch play style is how i put it where he's kind of a slot he's more fluid than explosive whereas buddha is a bit blurrier a bit more explosive off the ball but there is real intelligence there is um unbelievable tenacity and get after it type stuff unbelievable technique and almost everything he does he's pretty flawless technically um and so it's difficult to go through and try and find something to complain about with the player yeah and a guy who you saw in multiple systems you know before patricia got there at ohio state obviously was at alabama early i think that's huge i i always think and this is more of a broader question for you but you can apply it to the Caleb Downs, however you want, that the breadth of the career in college tends to get overlooked a little.

42:59And I know you want a player to develop, of course, but if you see high points earlier in the career and his ability to adapt in different systems, to me that is a huge plus. And the earlier years, I feel like, should matter a lot, especially if you see something good and then maybe it's not there quite as much at the end of their career.

43:18Ollie Connolly:certainly if a DB played for the most sophisticated complex defense in all of football under a complete genius in Nick Saban and he was the linchpin of that defense then he goes to an NFL DC playing in an NFL communication system he's a linchpin of that defense it kind of kind of matters to me a lot yeah and I do think you can get your heart broke by chasing the freshman year that has happened all along particularly in the second round is where teams usually bet on that stuff and and sometimes it's just the player got found out the play didn't develop and you just going back to betting on athletic traits that were always there, which is why they were high end recruit, which is why they started as a freshman for good school anyway.

43:54Ollie Connolly:So I do put a little bit more emphasis on the most recent year, unless you can find a staff change, a system change, a positional change, or the player explains it away. And when you say that, when it just in terms of the lack of negatives and just cleanest prospect that he could be as, as good as number For one, it makes me think, and everyone seems to agree on Caleb Downs. You never know. There's always disagreements about different players, but he seems like that Kyle Hamilton type that everyone knew was going to be good. Linderbaum, actually just kind of thinking of that draft, was similar to that too.

44:29Everyone was kind of like, why is Linderbaum falling so hard? Caleb Downs feels like he could be that guy if he does fall. I don't see why he would in this draft. And yet, I don't know, we tend to do this at safety, we being the NFL, and I do work for the NFL.

44:41Ollie Connolly:I think it's in play. I think it's in play from to go as low as whether it's the Cowboys or even beyond that. I think it depends on the old school mentality versus new school, who's running the building and whether people are drafting to archetypes of players of what they view as a first round pick versus who can be the most impactful for us and have kind of first round value. Playing every down at a high level would be first round value to me. It's why I don't get caught up in the positional designations as much as other people. the only position I give extra grading points to to inflate the number is quarterback because it's clearly the most valuable one.

45:15Ollie Connolly:Other than that, to me, it's go amass as many good players as you possibly can. And I think Downs, he's not quite Hamilton because the length difference is pretty vast. I don't think he's as good deep in the field as Kyle Hamilton was coming out of Notre Dame. And so that impacts the grade slightly. And I think first round safeties, particularly from that old school mindset, is if the guy's not making plays in the ball from the middle of the field, which just doesn't happen in the league anymore. It's like three guys who can do that. And you're just lucky to have one. If you have one, teams aren't structured that way anymore defensively.

45:47Ollie Connolly:But I do think that's still hanging out there that if you're not the kind of ball hawking guy from the middle of the field, how valuable can you be as a safety? And then as you said, we go through and there's Hamilton and there's Brian Treppel's like great football player, but he's got to go in the second round. You don't take slots, safety hybrids in the first round. I would take a dominant slot, safety hybrid as soon as I can get them. Cooper Dejean, Brian Branch, Jalen Petrie, Kyle Hamilton seem pretty important to some of the best groups in the NFL. I mean, if you if you're redrafting, all those guys go top 15.

46:17Cooper Dejean might go top 10 in this draft. Let's say if you could somehow mind trick yourself into like knowing the career like Cooper Dejean's a top five player. So, yeah, why? Why not Caleb Downs? I love that. And maybe the league is coming around because they did give out a lot of like three year, $39 million contracts to safeties this offseason with a lower ceiling, but a high floor of guys that were available. That's charging into the offseason presented by Apple Card. Apply for Apple Card in the wallet app today and start earning daily cash back on all your game day purchases from tickets to tailgate munchies to merch subject to credit approval.

46:57Let's talk about a superlative I'm going to give out, which is the weirdest scouting note of maybe this entire draft process, which is the fascination of Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, the Toledo player who is in the mix to be the second safety, along with Dylan Thienemann from Oregon, and both of them are probably first-round picks, and his obsession with his mouth guard and just always playing around with that.

47:29Ollie Connolly:have you ever seen anything like this ali uh once i discovered it with mcneil warren and it's every single play there is something wrong with the helmet there's something wrong with the mouth guard he's chatting to the official the ball is snapped he's still putting the mouth guard in ball will be mid-flight he takes the mouth guard out he puts the mouth guard back in once you see with him you see with zeki wheatley in this class there's like three or four guys i don't know there's there's something going on in the water where the safety class just does not want to play with the mouth guard i don't know if it's like vibe or coolness or it doesn't fit but it is preposterous and frustrating and genuinely impacts his play in a way that annoys me speak to that a little bit like he what it delays him a little bit the ball will be snapped and he'll go oh no the ball's in play let me put my mouth guard him we're now two beats into the rep now he's crazy explosive all sorts of juiced up he can make up the time but I think it speaks a little bit to attention to detail focus in the game and that focus is evident I think just generally in coverage he's a massive gambler he makes an unbelievable amount of plays on the ball but a lot of it is gambling rather than reading reacting and processing understanding i think what's uh what may be coming his way based on down distance and situation and it's just i'm off the ball i see it i trigger it and i'm a better athlete than everyone on the field even when he's playing kentucky in the sec he's just a better athlete than everyone he's going up against so i think that allowed him to get away with some bad habits so him and as i mentioned theneman are in the mix to be the number two safety.

48:59He is fun to watch. I mean, you can just pull up the tape of all the forced fumbles McNeil Warren had, and there's a million of them, a lot of punch outs, a big, big, good athlete. I don't know if he quite passes my moves, different threshold, but he moves well. He just, you look at him and you're like, oh yeah, that's an NFL player. He will be like, I just, you can, you can see it. Who is your choice between those two and kind of where do you think they they fit into the larger picture i love fienemann

49:31Ollie Connolly:um i think oregon sometimes it's hard to tell with his profile he played in such a specific system that is uh not unique to them but they're the guys who push it to the limit the most i would say where it's a lot of three safety stuff and he's playing in the middle of the three safeties and they really pack the middle of the field intentionally to try and offset a lot of the rpo work that's happening in college football so just the geometry of the field becomes really narrow and it's nothing how you would play in the league where you're playing on half the field and you got this wide aperture to kind of keep focus of everything so it's pretty narrow situation he's playing in then when you go back to padu i think he's almost even better at padu than he was at oregon and he's playing all nfl safety stuff it is half field it's post safety he's not around the box as much uh oregon he was effectively an august three linebacker for a lot of the work they did and he was flying around everywhere, making a ton of plays.

50:22Ollie Connolly:Outrageous range, outrageous athlete, we found out in testing. Don't think he quite plays to that speed all the time, as he did as a tester. But at Padua, I think you get to see more of the traditional safety work he would be asked to do in the NFL. I just think that the work there was better. To your point earlier about digging back through the guys in their previous history, you find a guy booked it into a certain system. Can you go and find him playing more in the role he would be asked to play in the NFL? fortunately with the enemy you get to see it and i think the work was actually better well and you also it's a skill set to be able to pick up and fit in two different systems that's going to happen in the nfl you you're very likely going to have two different coaching staffs on your rookie contract alone like unless you're drafted by you know the the tomlin harbaugh era you know ravens and stealers i guess you can get lucky and hope hope that that happens yeah he he's an interesting guy where he just the enemy where he feels like a rock solid pick but he's a testing freak which is like a nice like a nice combination i he has shot up the consensus board uh over the last couple of months i think the idea was these guys were going to go in the second round and the enemy might have been deeper into it and now i think the consensus is they're both going in the first round and look i i heard legit whispers that i think was a little bit more of dot connecting that he'd go as high as Cincinnati, which is...

51:45Ollie Connolly:Cincinnati, I know, loves him. And I think the question for them is the kind of core crop of potential or pro players are going to go, plus Mendoza or a quarterback. And then it becomes a pick who you just love after that. And maybe someone falls to them they weren't expecting. Maybe Bain, maybe Bailey. Maybe Downs. You think they would take Downs? I think they would. Downs, I think they would take Downs too. But I think as they kind of game plan it out, they think, well, what if that happens? And then we've got 50 players and we've got to pick the guys we just love. And then we're thinking about positional value.

52:17Ollie Connolly:I think they're so in love with the enemy and it would be hard for them not to just pull the trigger. And given what the class is like, we're going to get shockers. This is what happens when you get these kinds of draft classes in it. It wouldn't shock me necessarily if they decided to go that way. I hate thinking about just this year, but there's only so many defensive backs. Yeah. Linebackers even, but they're not going to, I don't think they, they probably should be drafting at linebacker. but I don't think they'll be looking at C.J. Allen, although that's not the craziest idea with the roster that they have.

52:47But they need guys that can save everyone's job and help the defense this year. And so I think the Edelman could be that guy. It's not a bad fit. Let's move on to the defensive tackles unless you have just one more safety take, whether it's positive or negative. You just need to get out there. You've spent all this time. You said something. You try to watch all these guys, right? you try to watch what is your process actually i'll just ask you that uh watch every player every snap every player every step so define every player because you can't like they're in theory there could be 400 players so where do you get to with every player this year probably it's gonna be about 260 i think you can you can leave that out there man

53:37Ollie Connolly:260 every snap five games isn't enough it depends on the player if there's cross off guys where I'm like it's just not for me then I'll just cross them off if someone tells me there's a medical flag on a late round guy I'll cross them off but for everyone who's going to go in the first four rounds there are thereabouts yeah this is why John asked me this too and you gotta say it's a superpower to not have children as everyone else is having like fun successful fulfilled meaningful lives i am in the cave watching safeties from missouri you're younger it's something people don't want to talk about in general um in in some ways the job actually is easier with a loving family and children uh my my son right here is is is in the room just giving me a fulfillment that i couldn't otherwise have which makes it easier to do my job on the other hand uh it's a huge time drain and it makes your job uh way harder when that happens you have to be able to do you suddenly have two jobs and one of them is as all-incumbency and more important than your actual job that it actually uh yeah it does but no one ever wants to say that because it's like you know it make it makes you sound ungrateful or it almost sounds like hitting out at the people like yourself without without having but what i i like that we're recognizing Ali that's just an advantage it's like analytics you're taking advantage of the system yeah oh I'm you know deeply sad man stop stop um don't you feel though and now we're way off track considering I gotta get out of here soon I gotta get on that plane go see Tom and Debbie in Massachusetts when you're like watching like a seventh round safety let's say Bishop Fitzgerald of USC have you watched it by the way I have watched Bishop Fitzgerald when you're into like game six of Bishop Fitzgerald, don't you just think like, I've had enough?

55:33Or no, that's how much you love ball. Deep within this, I think it's just a love of ball, which is pretty good.

55:38Ollie Connolly:Yeah, a love of ball. And I care about being accurate. And I think it's just cheating to watch five games. And so you've got a full, complete picture of a player. And you're going to then go out publicly and start addressing what a team did in the draft when you haven't had the full scope of evaluation that the team has put the effort into doing? Is the team watching every set? I guess they are, if someone like you is, they are, of Bishop Fitzgerald. I would hope so. Someone on the staff is watching every game of Bishop Fitzgerald. Okay. I don't know the process. I'm always really fascinated by other people's process, certainly within the NFL, but also in our industry.

56:17So I hope listeners like that conversation. And yeah, it's great. like the juice that you get from finding a guy that you love in the deep rounds like Louis Moore. But I was just handed a piece of paper that says officially, as we were playing, my son is now the number one player in the world in Wii Tennis, according to the rankings.

56:42Ollie Connolly:You see, and wouldn't you rather be handed that note than watch Genesis Smith's eighth game for Arizona? The fulfillment that that gives me, that I have a success, that he's made it.

57:25plus. I'm Daniel Jeremiah and I'm Greg Rosenthal. And this is 40s and free agents. The games may be over, but the NFL never stops. This is my favorite part of the calendar.

57:37Ollie Connolly:Yeah, mine too, Greg. Free agency, the combine, the NFL draft, pro days, trades. This is where teams reshape their future. This is where Daniel Jeremiah makes his money. On 40s and free agents, we break down every move that actually matters. From my draft evaluations, mock drafts, and team fits. To my top 101 free agents and how real rosters are built, cap space, contracts, and all the tough decisions included. You got quarterbacks on the move. We got teams rebuilding. It's hope season. Absolutely, it's hope season. We'll tell you what's real, what's noise, and what it means for your favorite team.

58:11Smart analysis, real conversations every week. I don't know about the smart, but definitely analysis.

58:17Ollie Connolly:Listen to 40s and Free Agents on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

58:26Let's get to the defensive tackles. And if I've been spending some time here, it's only partly because I don't know what to say about this defensive tackle class. I'll start this way. There's like a big group at the top, and no one can really agree. It's four or five players. Peter Woods from Clemson's in that mix. Caden McDonald from Ohio State. Caleb Banks with his very unique frame from Florida. There's Lee Hunter from Texas Tech. Kristen Miller from Georgia. All five of those guys could go somewhere in the late first, maybe somewhere in the second round. Do you have a favorite of that group?

59:04And then on top of that, do you have any of them graded as first round players?

59:08Ollie Connolly:no one great as a quality starter um it's a lot of big run cloggers and then sorting through do you think anyone's got the juice to maybe be a three down player or in that second band you're referencing there it's really light players upfield rushes and you're trying to figure out who quite has enough mass or understanding to just play all three downs for us so it's a lot of rotational players and then it's just how you value which part of the rotation the rundown i think versus obviously the passing downs and just trying to figure out who could be that crossover player. And that makes it really tough in the evaluation process.

59:46Ollie Connolly:The one who has probably the best chance at doing that, if healthy, is probably Caleb Banks, I think, of just kind of fusing the two together. Unbelievable talk off the ball, unbelievable power in his hands. Just the foot problem is a massive concern. very similar to Johnny Newton just keeps fracturing the foot over and over again obviously untraditional size 6 '6 6 '7 for an interior player so the the pad level and technique is is pretty skewiff and then he just goes missing for massive stretches of games even against bad competition where you're the biggest fastest strongest guy on the field at all times he buries great competition just one-off snap just it's almost Chris Jones like how quick the wins are inside why is it not arriving 10 times a game against bad competition.

1:00:33Ollie Connolly:So he's the one who's probably going to break your heart where the GM's like, I just feel it in my bones. If we can get him in the building, in our building, in the right system, it'll work out. And in three years, you're wondering why he drafted the guy. He was the one during the combine I'm watching and they show some of the highlights. And I'm just like, wait, how is this guy not a top 15 prospect? This is awesome. This is cool. This is a guy to get excited about. If you were an NFL GM and you've got, let's say, like a late, like an early round three pick, and these guys have all fallen or late second or something, who is the one, you know, kind of with how defenses are run now where you just feel like he's going to be a solid player.

1:01:15He's going to help our team. I'm not swinging for the fences here, but he's going to be my guy that's going to help us maybe even get a second contract for us.

1:01:24Ollie Connolly:I love Dominique Orange from Iowa State the big citrus uh big enormous nose tackle but I think he can move better than a lot of these other guys I think Lee Hunter's more of the the rum plugging guys who are going to go in the second round I don't quite understand why he's in a kind of different category on the consensus board I think he's in the 80s or somewhere like that and Hunter and uh some of the players above Orange is not in that five pack that I mentioned who were all between 25 and 47 although the the people that I trust more I feel like are bucketing them more 35 to 50 to 55 something like that but yeah you're right dominique orange big citrus what a nickname that's unbelievable yeah that's it come on now uh but he is i don't there's not that much of a distinction to me with someone like mcdonald who i think will be the one who sneaks into the back in the first round where you're saying big like tylee williams with the lines big run clogger is there maybe some pass for a source we could tap into over time even if it's just knockback power or walkback power and it kind of helps everyone else win and he just kind of has a big presence in the middle line of scrimmage i think orange has got real lateral quicks for someone as big as he is with the the big heavy anchor hold up the point of attack uh allow everyone to eat on early downs around him but the motor is outrageous he drops out into coverage and he drops out and he blasts running backs in space so if you're looking for okay who's just got some under the hood movement skills that weren't quite a central part of the defense he was asked to play in and just maybe there's a tim settle like arc in there where he's just in the rotation is a nuisance um whilst the the star players go win off the edge over and over again dominic orange is the one i would bet on okay tim settle like arc tim settle did get a surprisingly good contract and every team that has him is like man i i wish we had tim settle back whenever they lose him so So it's a totally fair comp, but also kind of shows where this defensive tackle class is at.

1:03:23Peter Woods, I want to get your opinion on him just because the Clemson product, I think initially this is where I think the league told the draft Knicks that like, no, we're not really that into him. You guys are into him. I'm not totally sure why. Ranked super high, like if you were looking at in-season rankings from a lot of the draft, even January stuff, and now it's settled back to the pack. I don't know if you have any Peter Woods of Clemson talk, who could still be a first round pick potentially.

1:03:52Ollie Connolly:Yeah, I think that's still in play because one of these interior guys are going to go and we're going to get the Seattle, New England, Philadelphia effect that those teams were built with internal pass rush and like waves of those players. And so teams are going to try and chase it. The Lions tried to chase with a play who was not that anyway. It was like, we got to take him. We need internal push. Woods is crazy explosive off the ball. He is a small fellow for someone playing inside. He's built like Maurice Hurst with that kind of quick twitch off the ball. Describe small fellow, though. What is his size?

1:04:24Ollie Connolly:6 '2", 298. So you're looking there. I mean, that is small. That is in the bottom 5 % of defensive tackles drafted in the past decade. Which is a crazy statement on this sport. What a weird sport. It is a weird sport, but it's a size and power position, and he just has the speed. And another guy who goes missing for long, long stretches. And can he really live on those early downs? Or is he a situational pass rusher? And do you draft situational pass rushers in the first round of the draft? And even with situational pass rushers playing inside in the NFL, it's a speed to power position, not just a raw talk off the ball type situation.

1:05:03Ollie Connolly:So he kind of falls between a bunch of positions. I get why people fell in love with him. It's just unbelievable explosiveness for an inside player. The production is really poor. The production fell this season. he was a unanimous top 10 selection a year ago and then the production really declined and there's motor concerns too he just he just slows down during games and slowed down throughout the season yeah to bring it back around to where we started the conversation i feel like anthony hill was a guy people thought might go before the season top 10 top 15 and then you get more data you find it out you watch every game you know i hope i hope you don't see what i was saying about watching every game as a criticism it's a respect and i think what people don't get about that it's not about um you know being robotic about it you got to have a real deep love for the game to go to go that deep so how do you do 20 minutes on mcneil warren's mouth guard if you're not digging through every game that's why that's why we do the read optional podcast the way we do it's why we do seven hours on six safeties it's just the way we do yeah i had to bring up that was like the most amazing note and it is the right way to do it because i i did the qb index for so long and i never understood you know that the only way to evaluate it was to watch every single throw every single week because if you miss to me a 17 game chunk or 16 games back in the day was like the best way to evaluate a quarterback if you miss like if you miss an entire game or stretches like it's just it is a totally different picture that that is how uh it should be done i have to admit though and it's it's the worst part of me as a draft as a an analyst in general is sometimes when I'm watching for all the draft prospects once I get deeper and deeper I always think like oh wouldn't that be better spent just watching NFL tape right now I could just be one because that's how I know I'm not a real draft Nick like you or like like but I have said this to John before I do think there'd be great value in a team in just having someone watch like the 10 or 15 best plays of a player putting their own board together putting it in an envelope and then three years down the line open the envelopes because I think you can massively overthink the players and you can start juicing up things against either lower competition or just had a good game or the game plan was excellent the player wasn't a function of it i think if i was running a building which will never happen unless it's the london jags and tony khan is feeling you know very let's go um then i would employ someone probably greg rosenthal to say just watch 10 clips of every player put that board together we'll put it in an envelope and in three years we'll open up and find out whether we're overthinking this stuff yeah you could do the same with the like the consensus board just drafting off that in general but what fun would that be my only thing is for some reason i'm like watching this is like man i i'm like itching to get to like the kyler murray tape from that i just i'm already like getting a little itchy for nfl football and want to go back but that we'll spend a lot of our off season talking about that um ollie is the best at what he does a great way to cap the week let's hit that music uh the next time you will hear from us on the feed.

1:08:03It's going to be a different us. The kids are taking over the show. As I mentioned, when Jordan was on the show from the owners meetings, it will be Jordan, Rodrigue, and Nick Shook in the feed on Monday. I'm heading to Massachusetts, but the draft series with Ollie is not over yet. We'll do that on the other side. See you then.

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1:08:35Ollie Connolly:Welcome to Moto Casino, where the excitement never ends. With thousands of the hottest free-to-play social casino games, fastest payouts, and the best promotions in the industry. No tricks or gimmicks. Owned and operated in the USA. Moto Casino is a free-to-play social casino. No purchase necessary. 21 plus to play. Void or prohibited. Sign up today for a generous welcome bonus. Moto Casino, America's social casino. Download the Moto Casino app today. I'm Daniel Jeremiah. And I am Greg Rosenthal. I know that, Greg. We're teaming up on 40s and free agents, the podcast that owns the NFL offseason.

1:09:09This is where teams are built. Free agency, combine, pro days, trades. Every move matters. From my draft boards and mock drafts. To my vaunted top 101 free agents and how rosters come together. Quarterback movement. Surprise signings. We'll tell you what it means and who really wins.

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From the publisher

Gregg Rosenthal and Ollie Connolly give you a deep dive on the 2026 defensive NFL Draft prospects. Find out where the guys think players like Arvell Reese, Sonny Styles, C.J. Allen, Keyshaun Elliott, Caleb Downs, Louis Moore, Dillon Thieneman and more will be selected in this years Draft. 

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