Latest results signal impending GOP disaster in midterms

12 Apr 2026 · 1 h 4 min · 23 chapters

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In short

The episode argues Republicans face an impending midterm “disaster,” anchored by a Wisconsin Supreme Court and congressional swing, and by claims that Trump’s unpopularity, economic pain (gas/inflation), and the Iran crisis will hurt GOP turnout. It also discusses possible constitutional responses to Trump’s Iran threats, including the 25th Amendment, and criticizes DOJ handling of the Epstein Files Transparency Act.

Guests and backgrounds

Congressman Jamie Raskin (Democrat; former House impeachment manager; Judiciary member; constitutional law focus). Tommy Vietor (co-host of Pod Save America; former national security/media commentator). Mary Peltola (Alaska Senate candidate; polling ahead per the host).

Key claims

Wisconsin flipped leftward: Chris Taylor won 7 of 8 districts, a “flip in support of five seats,” with a 13-point swing in the reddest district and a 28-point swing in the 3rd. The GOP has historic retirements (36 House, 7 Senate). Trump’s Iran posture is framed as genocidal and strategically disastrous; the episode claims a released “10-point plan” gives Iran major concessions (sanctions relief, uranium enrichment, Strait of Hormuz tolls, reconstruction money).

Notable examples

Calls to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment; Pence refusal in 2021; Tucker Carlson/Alex Jones/Megyn Kelly/Candace Owens criticizing Trump; alleged toll/“joint venture” comments; comparisons to 2018 midterms.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Democratic Gains in Wisconsin Elections

0:46 to 2:26

Discussion of the significant Democratic wins in Wisconsin and implications for the GOP.

“The only seat in Wisconsin that didn't have higher Democratic support is Wisconsin's fifth congressional district.”

The Price of Trump Policies

2:27 to 3:19

Analysis of how current economic conditions and Trump's policies have impacted Republican support.

“Remember, Trump and his party ran on a few central promises.”

Republican Retirements and Their Implications

3:20 to 4:08

Exploration of the record number of Republican retirements and its significance for upcoming elections.

“Trump isn't just hurting Americans financially.”

The GOP's Fear of Trump

4:09 to 4:50

Discussion on how Trump's influence affects the decision-making of Republican lawmakers.

“So they just have decided that it's more convenient to drop him now, knowing full well that he's already lost the base the way he's governing.”

Interview with Congressman Jamie Raskin

6:08 to 14:02

Congressman Raskin discusses the 25th Amendment and its relevance in today's political climate.

“I'm joined now by Congressman Jamie Raskin.”

Understanding the Danger of Trump's Influence

14:02 to 17:21

Discussing the ongoing threat posed by Trump and the challenges in addressing it.

“We all know what he's capable of because the toothpaste is out of the tube.”

Recent Democratic Wins and Republican Downfalls

17:21 to 19:14

Examining recent Democratic victories and the implications for Republican strategy.

“I don't know how she voted, but if I had to guess.”

Legal Challenges and Pam Bondi's Deposition

19:14 to 26:32

Exploring the legality surrounding Pam Bondi's deposition and the DOJ's actions.

“I want to switch gears here to Pam Bondi.”

Trump's Meltdown and Its Implications

28:15 to 29:13

Discussion on Trump's recent comments targeting former supporters and its impact.

“And it's aimed not toward any Democrats, but his own formerly most vocal supporters.”

Shifts in GOP Dynamics

29:13 to 31:06

Exploring whether the break with Trump is permanent and its implications for the GOP.

“Like these, look, these folks, Tucker, I listened to Tucker Carlson's episode where he like firmly broke from Trump because of that Easter tweet where Trump threatened genocide and then said like, all praise be to Allah.”
Show all 23 chapters

Voter Reactions to Trump's Leadership

31:06 to 33:54

Analyzing voter sentiment towards Trump and implications for the upcoming elections.

“And so you can pretend that it's going to be some, you know, like some some new post Trump world.”

J.D. Vance and Political Opportunism

33:54 to 36:26

Critique of J.D. Vance's shifting positions and their ramifications.

“Tucker Carlson is the guy out there on the stump trying to fill that.”

Negotiations with Iran and U.S. Interests

36:26 to 42:00

Discussion on the recent framework agreement with Iran and its potential consequences.

“He has no longstanding principles other than his own advancement in politics.”

Global Economic Impact of Iran's Actions

42:00 to 43:13

Discusses the potential consequences of Iran's tolls on global shipping and economy.

“Like, maybe he can cut a deal with Iran where they will agree to ship out the highly enriched uranium in return for some huge concession, like getting rid of all sanctions on Iran.”

Trump's Contradictory Stance on Iran

43:14 to 44:22

Examines Trump's mixed messages regarding Iran and its impact on U.S. foreign policy.

“Well, adding to the confusion here is on True Social, I'm seeing another post where Trump says there are reports that Iran is charging fees to tankers going through the Hormuz Strait.”

The Consequences of Military Actions in Iran

44:23 to 45:27

Explores the implications of military actions taken against Iran and its civilian population.

“Never mind the like, remember when he was going to pretend to ride to the rescue of the Iranian protesters?”

Trump's Future Plans for Cuba

45:28 to 46:25

Dissects Trump's intentions towards Cuba and the potential for regime change.

“We have seen how Trump went from Venezuela, which was a pretty easy regime change, to Iran, which was a pretty clear failure.”

Risks of Military Operations in Cuba

46:26 to 47:37

Discusses the dangers involved in potential military actions against Cuba.

“Marco Rubio is his secretary of state, national security advisor and like kind of top advisor on foreign policy.”

Interview with Mary Peltola on Alaska Politics

49:47 to 52:42

Mary Peltola discusses her campaign, polling, and challenges in Alaska politics.

“I'm joined now by candidate for the U.S.”

Addressing Alaska's Economic Hardships

52:43 to 56:00

Peltola highlights the economic challenges faced by Alaskans and her proposed solutions.

“I think everyone to a person across Alaska is feeling that disconnect between our public servants and our lives.”

Election Day and Economic Challenges in Alaska

56:00 to 58:20

Learn about the approaching election day and the economic struggles faced by Alaskan families.

“And I want to make sure that people understand that this is not a foregone conclusion.”

Campaign Strategies and Costs in Alaska

58:20 to 1:00:40

Discover the unique challenges and costs associated with campaigning in Alaska's vast territory.

“When I was in Congress and running for re-election, I got a phone call from DC saying, why is it 800 times more expensive to travel in your district than a standard house district?”

Impact of Fishing Regulations on Alaskan Communities

1:00:40 to 1:03:10

Understand the profound effects of fishing regulations on Alaskan communities and their culture.

“I want to ask one more question before we wrap.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:01Brian Tyler Cohen:Republicans' underperformance in one election in particular signals an impending disaster in midterms. And I've got three interviews, Jamie Raskin, Tommy Vietor and Alaska Senate candidate Mary Peltola. I'm Brian Tyler Cohen and you're listening to No Lie. Something pretty amazing got virtually zero coverage because of everything that's happening right now in Iran with gas prices, with Epstein and on and on. But on Tuesday, Democrat Chris Taylor flipped a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, expanding the liberal majority from four to three to five to two. But the real story is this. Back in 2024, Trump actually won six of the eight congressional districts in Wisconsin.

0:40Brian Tyler Cohen:But this past Tuesday, Chris Taylor won seven of the eight congressional districts, meaning a flip in support of five seats. The only seat in Wisconsin that didn't have higher Democratic support is Wisconsin's fifth congressional district. that went from a 22 point margin in Trump's favor to a nine point margin in Trump's favor, meaning it's a 13 point swing to the left. And that's a 13 point swing in the reddest district in the state. The biggest swing was actually Wisconsin's third district, where there was a 28 point swing to the left. And if we see these kinds of numbers play out nationally, even, you know, the more conservative 13 point swing, then the House is gone for Republicans.

1:17Brian Tyler Cohen:And in fact, Democrats would also take the Senate. And better news yet, the candidates that Democrats have fielded for the Senate are, you know, as strong as they come. Roy Cooper in North Carolina is polling between 8 and 18 points ahead. Sherrod Brown in Ohio is polling 1 to 2 points ahead. James Tallarico in Texas also polling 1 to 2 points ahead. Mary Peltola, who you'll hear from in a short while, is polling 4 points ahead. We've got strong candidates in Maine and Michigan. And with Trump continuing this unpopular war, with gas prices continuing to rise, with inflation still surging, it looks like things aren't going to get better for Republicans anytime soon.

1:54Brian Tyler Cohen:And clearly, they're aware. 36 Republicans in the House and seven Republicans in the Senate have announced that they're not seeking re-election, which is the most of any point in nearly a century since the data was compiled starting in 1930. For comparison, in the 2018 midterm cycle, 34 House Republicans chose not to run for re-election. That was a cycle that resulted in Democrats flipping 40 seats. That was the biggest midterm victory in modern American history. The Republicans' retirements are greater right now, in 2026, than even in that cycle in 2018. And again, it's clear why. Remember, Trump and his party ran on a few central promises.

2:32Brian Tyler Cohen:Affordability, cheap gas, no foreign wars. And what happened? The exact opposite on all counts. Grocery prices have risen since Trump took office. Consumer prices overall are up during Trump's second term. Inflation is now expected to rise beyond 5%, which is nearly double what it was when inflation public enemy number one, Joe Biden, left office. Gas prices are at their highest point in years. And then, of course, the war in the Middle East is an abject disaster, leaving us in a position where the U.S. is weaker and Iran is stronger. None of which, of course, is going to stop Trump from lying about it.

3:03Brian Tyler Cohen:But what Democrats learned in 2024 is a lesson that Trump and Republicans are learning right now, which is you can try and convince people not to believe their own lying eyes. But grocery bills, utility bills, expenses don't lie. And they're all more expensive thanks to Trump and the GOP. And here's what almost impossibly makes all of those things even worse. Trump isn't just hurting Americans financially. He's also enriching himself in the process. Like, while we're all paying more, while health care and food assistance are being gutted, while costs are rising, Trump is just showering himself in gold and crypto out in the open, building himself ballrooms and arches, profiting off the presidency, using his office to line his own pockets.

3:43Brian Tyler Cohen:And he's doing it in broad daylight. And it turns out that people in this country don't like to be conned, especially by a guy who ran a whole ass campaign decrying con artists in the government. And don't take it from me. Trump has lost support from even his most vocal allies, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Alex Jones, Candace Owens. But they're making the calculation that their careers are probably going to last longer than Donald Trump is. And given the way things are going, they're probably right. So they just have decided that it's more convenient to drop him now, knowing full well that he's already lost the base the way he's governing.

4:17Brian Tyler Cohen:So they're kind of skating to where the puck is going, not to where it is today. So while the retirements and resignations are already historic, I'd probably expect more because Trump has made it next to impossible for these Republicans to win as we head toward midterms. And frankly, the Republicans haven't done themselves any favor with their collective fear of upsetting the God King. They are a party of despots and cowards. So it's a real surprise that these people aren't capturing the support of the electorate. Next up are my interviews with Jamie Raskin, Tommy Vitor and Mary Peltola. No Lie is brought to you by Huel.

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5:37Brian Tyler Cohen:I should also note that if you want to really control what ingredients are being added, Huel has a powder option so you can add fruits or creatine or nut butters, peanut butters, anything you want. So either way, whether you're on the go with the ready to drink or you're making it at home with the powder, you're all taken care of. For a limited time, get Huel today with an exclusive offer of 15 % off with the code BTC at Huel.com slash BTC. That's H-U-E-L.com slash BTC code BTC. New customers only. I'm joined now by Congressman Jamie Raskin. Congressman, thanks for joining me. Delighted to be with you, Brian.

6:13Brian Tyler Cohen:So in light of what we have heard from Donald Trump just over the last 24, 48 hours, especially as it relates to Iran. Can you talk about some new update that you have regarding the 25th Amendment? The update is really just that there was overwhelming popular revulsion and angst about the president threatening to commit war crimes and potentially genocide in Iran. And our constitution is definitely not custom built for somebody like Donald Trump. I mean, it's taken us, you know, two and a half centuries to get to a president who is imposing this kind of stress on our constitutional system. But the closest thing we have to deal with a situation like this is Section 4 of the 25th Amendment.

7:02And it's not perfectly congruent with the needs of the time, but it may be the closest thing, which is why so many people have seized upon it. and so I'm happy to explain its architecture and then what conceivably could be done.

7:20Brian Tyler Cohen:Yeah, I would like to hear both of those things. The 25th Amendment is all about continuity and stability in government. So it was passed in 1967 and section one of it says that the vice president becomes the president of the United States in the event of a vacancy, that was actually necessary because it was never really clear before that whether the vice president was just an acting president or really was the president. And so this establishes the vice president becomes the president if there's a vacancy. The Section 2 of the 25th Amendment says if there's a vacancy in the vice presidency, the president nominates a vice president and that person is elected when he or she gets a majority of the vote in the House and the Senate.

8:12Section three, and both of those have been used, of course, section three of the 25th Amendment is about a temporary disability. I like to think of it as the the colonoscopy provision, because it's been used in a number of cases of presidential colonoscopy where a president goes under for several hours and willingly, voluntarily and freely sign something saying the vice president will have the powers of the president as long as I am under anesthesia and I'm away for this period. And that's been used multiple times. OK, what everybody's talking about is Section 4 of the 25th Amendment. And what this says is that the vice president and a majority of the cabinet can determine that the president is unable to successfully discharge the powers and duties of office and thereby transfer the powers of the office to the vice president.

9:10Now, the president has the opportunity to challenge that and oppose that, in which case it goes to a vote of the Congress and there needs to be a two thirds vote in order to maintain the transfer of power. Now, here's the wrinkle. The Section 4 of the 25th Amendment says the vice president and majority of the cabinet can initiate this process or the vice president and the majority of a body set up by Congress for these purposes can determine that the president is unable to discharge the powers and duties of office. in 2017 and in 2020 in the first Trump administration I introduced legislation to set up this body and my argument was it's not just for Donald Trump it's it's a body that will be a standing continuing body in perpetuity because it could happen to any president we have 535 members of Congress we've only got one president a lot of things can happen to someone so we set up a body that includes former people who served in the executive branch of government, former presidents, vice presidents, cabinet members, and various medical people, physicians, psychologists, psychiatrists, neurologists.

10:34You can check out that bill online, and we may reintroduce that bill to accomplish the purpose of having a body there in the event of a crisis. But still, the vice president is a necessary and critical actor. You don't get anywhere without the vice president acting, but at least this board could substitute for a cabinet that refuses to deal with a crisis. And it could be any kind of crisis. It could be a medical crisis. It could be an accident. It could be a psychological breakdown. It could be a person goes missing. I mean, who knows, right? But this board is set up for the purposes of acting along with the vice president.

11:19Brian Tyler Cohen:Well, I think what's clear now is that that kind of legislation wouldn't move forward with, you know, with the signature required being Trump's own signature. And so I guess the question that I have with in the absence of legislation like that is, isn't Trump's cabinet set up in such a way that the sole qualification for them being there is their undying slavish devotion to Trump. And so, you know, in these calls for the to invoke the 25th Amendment, again, absent some type of working group that's that's actually capable of delivering an objective and objective opinion on all of this. Isn't it kind of a fool's errand to engage in a process where we have to pin our hopes on people like J.D.

12:05Brian Tyler Cohen:Vance and Pete Hegseth and RFK Jr., who, you know, if nothing else, are only there because they will be undyingly loyal to the guy. Yeah, that is the paramount qualification for service in the Trump cabinet, which is why his cabinet meetings are so embarrassing. It's just people going around in Stalinist fashion talking about how great the dear leader is. And so that's why I say this is not a panacea for what ails us right now. People were desperate when Trump was making these threats yesterday. Hard to believe it was yesterday. It seems like a lifetime ago now. But he was making these horrific threats and people were angst ridden and looking for a way to deal with it.

12:52Similarly, impeachment, which is for treason, bribery and other high crimes and misdemeanors, is a process that has traditionally taken a long time to get through. And you need a majority vote in the House and you need a two thirds vote to convict in the Senate. So that also is not an ideal response to the kind of emergency that everybody thought we were in yesterday.

13:19Brian Tyler Cohen:And so to that end, I mean, look, you know better than anybody having having led the Senate trial in Trump's impeachment, how difficult it is to get Republicans to vote against to vote against Donald Trump. And this is an even more obsequious Republican Party than we've had in the past, because even those people who were independently minded, they've largely been excommunicated from from the Republican Party, except for maybe Thomas Massey. and so and they're working on excommunicating him right and they're and they're they're leaning in hard on that and so for people who look at this and this is I guess a broader question but people who look at the rhetoric that was used by Donald Trump in threatening to decimate an entire population to commit genocide against 93 million people overtly he may have walked back from you know his his most um alarming uh threats but like it's still the same guy like even though he's not saying it today, what he was saying, you know, 24 hours ago, he's still the same person.

14:20Brian Tyler Cohen:We all know what he's capable of because the toothpaste is out of the tube. And so what do you say to people who recognize the danger of this person, but don't see an avenue to do anything about it and think that like our fate is largely in the hands of someone who is dangerous, reckless, and frankly, pretty unhinged. Well, it's well put. I mean, I see it the way you see it. And again, we don't have a constitutional architecture that's designed to deal with this in emergency fashion. The reason people got on the 25th Amendment was because it was the closest thing. And all really the Democrats can do is what we did do during the pre-Trump impeachment period after January 6, 2021, I introduced a resolution calling on Vice President Pence to summon the cabinet to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to transfer power away.

15:21And we passed that in the House of Representatives in non-binding resolution. But as soon as we passed it, within minutes, Vice President Pence issued a statement saying that he would not call the cabinet together for these purposes, and this would only deepen the divisions in the country following January 6th. Then we proceeded to vote to impeach Donald Trump for the high crime and misdemeanor of inciting violent insurrection against the Republican against the Constitution. And we moved in fairly record time to try to get this done, but still it took many weeks. And of course, although we had a 57 to 43 vote in the Senate, which sounds like a resounding victory, we still fell 10 votes short of the requisite two-thirds to convict.

16:12We were, you know, 10 votes down because Mitch McConnell simply refused to do the right thing, although he said Donald Trump was morally, ethically, practically guilty of what the House managers had charged. Still, he felt that there was not jurisdiction to try a former president, despite the fact that that contravened two centuries of precedent.

16:36Brian Tyler Cohen:Yeah. Look, I would also note for folks looking for some solution here is that we have and I know that it might feel reductive to say or feel like cold comfort right now, but we have we have elections happening every week in this country where Democrats are overperforming. You know, in just the last 24 hours, Democrats have been able to win another seat, flip another seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, widening that that majority on that court. And we have midterms coming up. And, you know, Republicans have to contend with the albatross around their necks. That is Donald Trump's unpopularity for all of this.

17:12Brian Tyler Cohen:So this is not just happening with no consequence. People are seeing what's happening. They're they're they're Democrats picked up 20 points in Marjorie Taylor Greene's district. Yeah. And she was probably part of that. I don't know how she voted, but if I had to guess. Yes. But absolutely, you're right. I mean, that is going to be the final check here. Of course, we have to defend the integrity and the security of the election against someone who's proven himself to be perfectly willing to try to overthrow the electoral system and electoral process in 2021. There are other internal checks along the way.

17:47I mean, the military has not just the right, but the duty to reject lawless orders, unlawful orders of the president. And I think despite Secretary Hegseth's determination to purge the military of people who are still doing their jobs, there are still people there who I think would stand by their oath to the Constitution.

18:14Brian Tyler Cohen:And I should note, Congressman, that even Tucker Carlson said as much when he came out. Tucker Carlson was part of this, you know, band of right wingers, including Marjorie Taylor Greene, including Joe Kent, who including Alex Jones, who had come out and basically said exactly that, that if the military is getting this unlawful order, like, for example, to commit the war crime of decimating an entire population, that according to the UCMJ, you have to defy an unlawful order. So, you know, that that spans the entire political spectrum. I want to switch gears. So just to underscore the point you just made, the First Amendment itself, the right of the people to speak, to organize across party lines is also a check against this president.

18:59Everybody needs to be speaking out and organizing. And those of us in the Democratic Party have an obligation to be bringing these people in to say we have a home for you, a party that is going to stand up for constitutional democracy and freedom and the rule of law. Well said.

19:15Brian Tyler Cohen:I want to switch gears here to Pam Bondi. The DOJ had come out and basically said that Pam Bondi doesn't have to appear for her sworn deposition on April 14th because that deposition, that subpoena was for the office of the attorney general, was in her capacity as attorney general. And now that she's a private citizen, it no longer applies. Can you talk about the legality of of kind of the mental gymnastics that the DOJ is doing by trying to diffuse responsibility here? I mean, that's just a question of fact, Brian. Does the subpoena subpoena the attorney general of the United States, whoever that might be, or does it subpoena and name Pam Bondi?

19:55If it names Pam Bondi, she's got to go. it's just very simple. If it said to the Attorney General of the United States, that would fall presumably then to the acting Attorney General Todd Blanch, but that's not what it says. And are they offering Todd Blanch instead? I mean, there would be a little more credibility to that fallacious position if they were offering to send him. But we know that they They are in full blown cover up mode. They've been doing everything in their power to try to prevent enforcement of the Epstein File Transparency Act. That requires them to turn over all of the files and they've only turned over half of them.

20:38And of the half that they've turned over, there are tens of thousands of redacted pages. So they are out of compliance with the law. And this just furthers their contempt and their disobedience of the law.

20:54Brian Tyler Cohen:Do you have confidence that Pam Bondi, when she does appear for that deposition, that's with the Oversight Committee, I know that you're on judiciary, but just more broadly, that when she does appear for this sworn deposition with the Oversight Committee, that she doesn't sit down and the first words out of her mouth when she's asked her first question, which is, you know, can you state your name for the record, is I'm invoking executive privilege and I'm not going to be answering any questions. Well, first of all, I mean, executive privilege would be off point. I mean, invoking the Fifth Amendment privilege against self-incrimination might be more relevant for someone in her position.

21:31That is, someone who's participated in a lawless cover up and potentially a criminal conspiracy to suppress the truth about what's happened. But it's hard to see how she first of all, you can't assert executive privilege on behalf of someone else. The president would have to assert executive privilege. And it's in very narrow circumstances when, you know, there is the president receiving advice from someone about a matter that comes within the executive purview. But that's not relevant to Pam Bondi's testimony to the Judiciary Committee about her compliance with a federal law that compels her to turn over all this information.

22:20Brian Tyler Cohen:Well, if she if she tries to claim some type of privilege, even if it's attorney client privilege, I don't know if that would actually work, whether you're the attorney general and your conversations or your, you know, your relationship with the president of the United States. I don't know if that's necessarily attorney client, even though the current attorney general does just so happen to be the criminal defense attorney of the current president of the United States. But but that notwithstanding, I'm wondering if that's even still valid, considering the fact that there's not actually any ongoing investigation.

22:50Brian Tyler Cohen:There's not any ongoing prosecution. All that this is, is we're just waiting for the other three million documents in a closed matter. The Epstein Files Transparency Act, this is a closed matter. We're waiting for these files to be released. And so would any of this, any claim of privilege, attorney, client, executive privilege, whatever it may be, would any of that apply, given the fact that there's not actually any ongoing investigation or prosecution? First of all, the right person has to be invoking the privilege. Only the president can invoke executive privilege. You can't invoke the privilege on behalf of the president.

23:23Okay, so that's number one. So the identity of the invoker is wrong there. But secondly, you can only invoke any privilege with respect to a particular question. Like when you said she sits down and she's asked her name or what her job is or her position now, she can't invoke the Fifth Amendment privilege on that because you only can invoke a Fifth Amendment privilege if you might be incriminating yourself. And so that's not going to incriminate her. So it's with respect to particular questions. And, I mean, if she invokes the Fifth Amendment privilege against self-incrimination when she's asked about why she's not turning over certain documents, that in itself is extremely damning.

24:06It's basically saying we were involved in some kind of criminal conspiracy to suppress particular kinds of information. But I don't know that she can get away with that for the vast majority of questions they want to pose to her.

24:18Brian Tyler Cohen:Last question on that, and that's building off the exact point you made. If she does indeed invoke the Fifth Amendment to avoid self-incrimination, is that something that a future attorney general could look at or a future Department of Justice could look into as some, you know, as part of an investigation in the future into the fact that this law right now is being violated and there is a cover up happening in real time? Well, it certainly could lead Congress as well as a future attorney general to wonder what the hell's going on. I mean, it's it's an extraordinary thing for an attorney general in the United States to invoke a Fifth Amendment privilege.

24:58We saw that when Attorney General Bundy appeared before the House Judiciary Committee, she essentially refused to answer almost every question posed to her by a Democrat. Yeah. But she did get some good burns in. They were completely irrelevant, immaterial and non-responsive, as we would say. And as a lawyer, she should understand all of those things as good as she thought the burns were. But, you know, if she is asked questions directly under oath about what she did, she can't start talking about the Dow Jones industrial. She can't start talking about what's taking place in people's districts.

25:48All of those things are non-responsive questions and she could be held in contempt of Congress. Now, all of that presumes the willingness of Chairman Comer or a majority of Democrats and Republicans together on the committee to enforce the law. I believe that Nancy Mace is very serious about enforcing the subpoena. We'll see if she can round up a couple other Republicans who would do the same thing. We have on the Judiciary Committee Thomas Massey, who's serious. But we've got to go from having one Republican who's willing to stand up and tell the truth to having several Republicans. It won't take many more because their margins are so razor thin in Congress.

Read the full transcript

26:30Brian Tyler Cohen:But we need some more Republicans to step up. Well, I appreciate your voice on this issue and I appreciate you taking the time today. Congressman, as always, thank you so much. Thank you so much, Brian. No Lie is brought to you by Shopify. So picture this. It's late at night. You're in bed, scrolling through your feed. We've all done it. And then all of a sudden, you see that one product you've been looking for forever. You click the link, you add it to your cart, maybe you shop around a little bit, but you finally go to your checkout. And as you're filling in your address, you realize you don't have your card anywhere near you.

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27:31Brian Tyler Cohen:And you can get the word out like you have an entire marketing team behind you. Easily create email and social media campaigns wherever your customers are scrolling or strolling. And what if I get stuck? Shopify is always around to share advice with their award-winning 24 seven customer support. I've used it on more than one occasion and it is legitimately the best in the game. See less carts go abandoned and more sales go with Shopify and their Shop Pay button. Sign up for your$1 per month trial today at shopify.com slash BTC. Go to shopify.com slash BTC. That's shopify.com slash BTC. I'm joined now by the co-host of Pod Save America, Tommy Vitor.

28:10Brian Tyler Cohen:Tommy, thanks for joining. Brian, good to see you. Good to see you. So we have a little bit of a meltdown by the president now. And it's aimed not toward any Democrats, but his own formerly most vocal supporters. I'm going to read just a little bit of it right now. I know why Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones have all been fighting me for years, especially by the fact that they were, especially by the fact that... Yeah, it's incoherent. It's not on you. The reading is really hard because it's incoherent. Especially by the fact that they think it is wonderful for Iran, the number one state sponsor of terror, to have nuclear weapons because they have one thing in common, low IQs.

28:42Brian Tyler Cohen:They are stupid people. They know it. Their families know it. And everybody else knows it too. And he goes in to do personal attacks on each and every one of them, which actually kind of carries some weight. But as we see more of these, you know, these high profile Trump supporters or MAGA supporters, right wing podcasters speak out against Trump. Does this feel like a permanent break or just a speed bump where, you know, of course, everybody on the right eventually comes home to daddy because that's where the money is. That's where the attention. That's where the clicks are. I think in the media space, there's always room to come back, you know, because you're right.

29:18Like these, look, these folks, Tucker, I listened to Tucker Carlson's episode where he like firmly broke from Trump because of that Easter tweet where Trump threatened genocide and then said like, all praise be to Allah. It was like, open the straight, you fucking bastards. Standard Easter stuff. Yes, standard Easter stuff. Most, you know, important Christian holiday. The kind of thing you do, treat the F word if you're the president. Right. Praise be to Allah. Tucker, I think, was sincerely furious, sincerely offended, is sincerely worried that Trump is going to use a nuclear weapon in Iran. Like it was a 45 minute monologue, like unloading the clip.

29:52I also suspect, though, that this is the one of a series of episodes Tucker has done talking about his opposition to war with Iran. And, you know, he's like us, like he's probably seen numbers on the back end. He knows where his audience is going. He's someone who's known to kind of skate to where the puck is going, as Mr. Gretzky once did, I guess. Not said, did. So, yeah, I mean, I think like I think it's a very substantial break. It's a reshuffling in the party. They know Trump's a lame duck. They're trying to figure out like what comes next. That said, you know, a well-timed dinner at Mar-a-Lago or the White House could probably do a lot of fixing.

30:28Brian Tyler Cohen:Yeah, 100 percent. I wonder, though, like what kind of an impact this is going to have on the party more broadly. I mean, do you think that this has this has no negative impact? Because if Trump is a lame duck anyway, that this becomes what the new iteration of the GOP ultimately is. I mean, I just think that going into the midterms, it's going to be a turnout election. And if Tucker Carlson is telling his huge audience that Trump is like it wasn't just like he disagreed with Trump on policy. It's like he lied to you. He's actually in a way that is satanic. And at least for right now, I mean, regardless of what the GOP looks like moving forward, at least for right now, these midterms are going to be a referendum on Trump.

31:06Brian Tyler Cohen:Absolutely. And so you can pretend that it's going to be some, you know, like some some new post Trump world. But so long as Trump is still in the White House, there is no world in which these voters don't don't send the message to Trump by virtue of how they vote. Yeah. And normally when there's a war in the first month, there's a rally around the flag effect. Like George W. Bush got a 14 point bump on average. His father got like a 30 point bump. Even Jimmy Carter during the first month of the Iran hostage crisis got like a 30 point bump. Trump's approval rating has gone down four points. Right.

31:36Because like Democrats, independents, like normal people are like, why are we at war with Iran? When you add on top of that, like these kind of MAGA influencers, like you'll see people say, actually, you know, if you look at polls of MAGA voters, they're not moving away from Trump. Of course they're not. Like if you're a self-described MAGA voter, you are basically like a Trump fan. Right. But if they are hearing from close Trump friends, close Trump allies, people who have cachet in that world. Yes. Like Alex Jones, his quote was, how do we 25th Amendment his ass? Yeah. That was what he said on his show.

32:10It's like that is going to erode Trump's support with people he needs to turn out in the midterm to keep the house.

32:16Brian Tyler Cohen:Is there a world where some of these people are actually like, even if Tucker is going skating to where the puck is going and they're kind of seeing the writing on the wall and they're making it easier, you know, giving themselves a permission structure for the for the GOP, because these still these people are still Republicans for the GOP to, you know, have some post Trump iteration where they are still anti war. And Megyn Kelly and Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens and Alex Jones can all come out and say, we opposed Donald Trump. It's, you know, he isn't reflective of this right wing movement.

32:47Brian Tyler Cohen:We are. And so we can still, you know, carry the mantle as the anti-war party. Is there a world where still they're going to be shedding some supporters by virtue of what's happening right now that like even Tucker and Megan and Candace and Alex's efforts to kind of claw back this this moral high ground that it's still going to that there's going to be people in their audiences that there's going to be people, you know, in this country who voted for Trump. We're going to say, you know what, like we forget what forget what you guys are trying to convince me of that you that you're still anti-war.

33:15Brian Tyler Cohen:I'm not buying it. Yeah, look, I think there are going to be a lot of mega voters who probably hear what Tucker and Megan and Candace are saying. And they're like, shut up. You know, like we like Trump. We trust Trump. You guys told us to trust Trump for like the last 10 years. So we're going to keep doing it. That group will exist. I think there'll be far more voters who are just like pissed that gas prices are going up. Yeah, that they'll be pissed that they feel lied to. I mean, that's what's so powerful about these arguments. Again, it's not just like some esoteric foreign policy thing. They're like, you said you wouldn't do this.

33:47Then you did it. You lied to us. And that's bad. And what what this really tells me, Ryan, is I think in twenty twenty eight, twenty twenty eight, there will be a big actually isolationist lane in the Republican presidential primary. And J.D. Vance thinks he can still fill that. I don't think he can anymore. I think there's a good chance. Tucker Carlson is the guy out there on the stump trying to fill that. So, like, stay tuned.

34:10Brian Tyler Cohen:No, I agree. And in fact, the way that you know J.D. Vance is already going to be trying to do that is that he and his team have leaked to Politico that he's a Iran war skeptic just days ago. They leaked to the New York Times that the lone skeptic in the room is J.D. Vance. That doesn't happen unless he or his team are trying to to get some play on this idea. But Vance is trying to have it both ways. He's trying to both be the skeptic in the room while every time he's confronted with this question, especially when he's confronted alongside Trump, he's like, I know what you in the media are trying to do with these gotchas.

34:41Brian Tyler Cohen:I'm supportive, you know, 100 percent of the way with Donald Trump. And you're not going to you're not going to cause some internal rift. And so, again, he I mean, it's just outright disdain for his own for his own supporters to to to to basically try to have it both ways and think that nobody has enough sense to recognize what he's trying to do. First of all, that New York Times story is Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan. It was an excerpt from their book coming up. I think it's called Regime Change. change they got like they got verbatim quotes from like situation room meetings with like eight or ten people in them that happened a couple months ago and the war is still ongoing like yeah they have like verbatim quotes of the chairman of the joint chiefs in a like wildly sensitive meeting it was unbelievable and you're right on the vance front like vance were like he ran as a skeptic of wars but then in this piece it's like he knew trump was for it so he tried to advocate for like a limited military effort.

35:33But then he figured out Trump really wanted to do it. So then he told him to go all in. And like it's like, J.D. Vance, you've taken every single position. And like everyone in that story, they are now trying to get right for history and be like, oh, we thought it was a bad idea. We thought the Israelis were full of shit. But it's like, what did you do to stop it when you had a chance? There were 10 of you in the sit room making the call. Like if you didn't put your foot down then or say something then or make

35:57Brian Tyler Cohen:the case then like fuck you you you failed and you know as far as as far as vance is concerned like this is actually par for the course for him because he will take any and every position that he needs to take in order to advance himself personally i mean he calls this trump america's hitler and now he's the vice president of america's hitler vp hitler yeah and so he i mean he built his brand off of this idea you know that that for for uh what was his book hillbilly elegy and like looking out for the little guy. And now, you know, his major legislative achievement right now is a tax cut that overwhelmingly favors millionaires and billionaires.

36:31Brian Tyler Cohen:I mean, just every position that J.D. Vance could stake out, he's staked out. He has no longstanding principles other than his own advancement in politics. And frankly, it's worked for him thus far. But I think, you know, he's going to hit a wall when we get to the point where he tries to claim that he's on the right side of history when it comes to the Iran war. And and every every tangible example is going to show that that's complete bullshit. Yeah. At some point, he's going to run for president in 2028 and he's going to be on the stage with someone. It could be Tucker Carlson. It could be like a Rand Paul.

37:02And they're going to say, I actually voted to oppose this war. I fought this war before it happened. You were in the room. You could have made a difference and you failed. You didn't get it done. So.

37:11Brian Tyler Cohen:So let's talk about the specifics of what we're seeing right now. Obviously, this is all pretty fast moving. We're recording this on Thursday evening. But as of right now, the only thing that kind of delayed the total annihilation of Iran was that there was apparently a framework agreed to between Trump and Iran. And we haven't seen any specifics in the framework other than what Iran has released, which is like this 10 point plan. Nothing from the American side, as far as I know. But the Iranian agreement says that Iran reserves the right to be able to continue enriching uranium, to charge tolls for ships that go through the Strait of Hormuz, that the U.S.

37:54Brian Tyler Cohen:would pay for repairs. They want us to lift all sanctions. Lift all sanctions. So, you know, I want to talk about two things. One, what can you read into this based on the fact that that agreement was released, but we have nothing from the American side? And two, based on what I'm reading from that agreement, it doesn't seem like the U.S. actually got anything for all of the lives, wounded, money, global standing that we've expended by virtue of being there. Yeah. So like just the kind of like tale of the tape here was Trump threatened genocide. He threatened to exterminate Iran's civilization by blowing up all their power plants and bridges.

38:31And then he got to his own deadline. And it seems very clear to me that he received a lot of pushback and did not want to do it. And they worked with the Pakistanis, the White House, to figure out this way to like kick the can down the field for two weeks. And as part of the statements that came out about that delay, Trump said that the 10-point plan Iran put forward was a, quote, workable basis on which to negotiate. And I would imagine that when the Iranians heard that, they were like, are you kidding me? Like, this is the greatest negotiating job we've ever heard of.

39:03Brian Tyler Cohen:It's a goldmine. But frankly, they could have put anything out because Trump just needed an excuse to take an off ramp. Trump needed an excuse to not do the crazy shit he said he would do. Right. Because it was literally genocidal. Right. And so right now we're in this place where there's going to be some talks on Saturday. J.D. Vance apparently is going to lead them. Fucking Steve Wyckoff and Jared Kushner. Of course. Why wouldn't Jared Kushner? Right. But now like they have 10 days from that point or whatever to try to negotiate a deal that includes. I mean, you read some of the Iranian wish list.

39:33It's like end all hostilities, guarantee that U.S. and Israel will not attack Iran again. They want a ceasefire in all the theaters of war, including Lebanon, where the Israelis are still pounding the hell out of Hezbollah. They want all the sanctions gone. They want control of the Strait of Hamuz. They want money for reconstruction. Like it is a maximalist list. And so now the United States, we're in a position where let's think about the core goals of this war, preventing Iran from getting a nuclear weapon. We bombed their sites again, but the 900 pounds of highly enriched uranium is still sitting in Iran.

40:05And they are like saying that not only would they not give it up, but that they reserve the right to keep enriching. Yes, we've sank a lot of their ships and take out their air force and whatnot. But - Well, if they're able to charge,

40:16Brian Tyler Cohen:you know, this toll - Millions of dollars, yes. Then we're basically gonna give them a vehicle with which they can pay to rebuild all of this stuff. We're gonna fund their Pentagon budget by like three, four, five exit. Yeah. You know, like - Yeah. Multiple times. And then the other big issue was their support for proxy groups like Hezbollah and Hamas. Again, if they have this windfall from putting a toll on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, they'll be able to give a lot of money to Hezbollah. So when you like look at the tail of the tape here and think like, OK, what did we get for this? We are Iran is in a stronger geopolitical position now than they were beforehand because they have pulled this lever on the Strait of Hormuz.

40:55And they figured out like they can control the global economy.

40:58Brian Tyler Cohen:So I want you to put yourself in Trump's shoes right now. What do you say if you're the White House and you're looking for some way to spin this as a win? Like how? I mean, I'm looking at this as we have at least 13 service members who've died. We have 400 wounded. We have oil prices surging. I think they're at like, I don't know if they're at like$150 per barrel. That's in turn going to raise gas prices here at home, but it's also going to raise the cost of everything because now it costs more to transport those things. We have our global reputation is just in tatters because we're led by a fucking genocidal lunatic.

41:36Brian Tyler Cohen:And so like, I don't know how you can spin this. And Iran now has, you know, with this plan in place, would give them the ability to rebuild their military from new and gain a lot of money. And so I don't know how you can spin this as a win. What would Trump call a win here? Like, truly, I mean, there's nothing he can do at this point that will end up in like an actually better place than we were in before the war started, I don't think. Like, maybe he can cut a deal with Iran where they will agree to ship out the highly enriched uranium in return for some huge concession, like getting rid of all sanctions on Iran.

42:12Maybe they'll give up this toll road through the Strait of Hormuz idea for something similar. But like, again, it's a massive concession. Like they will use, they will reap a huge windfall of money. They'll be able to sell oil again on the global markets. And then they will be able to rebuild their Navy and their Air Force and their ballistic missile program.

42:30Brian Tyler Cohen:And by the way, won't, won't, if there's a toll that's implemented, won't those costs be passed on to consumers? Because now there's a brand new expense, a brand new tax that's being imposed on every single ship that passes through, which will ultimately just raise the cost, just be passed on to those who need it. It's just a giant tax on the global economy, which I think everyone in the world right now would be willing to pay to get past this acute crisis. Because we're at a place where I think like a dozen ships went through the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday. The average is usually 130. There's 400 some odd ships in a backlog.

43:03And that means that oil and gas isn't getting through. It means fertilizers isn't getting through. Farmers can't turn on their tractors, let alone plant crops. Like there could be a global food crisis. So things are going to get dire real fast.

43:14Brian Tyler Cohen:Well, adding to the confusion here is on True Social, I'm seeing another post where Trump says there are reports that Iran is charging fees to tankers going through the Hormuz Strait. They better not be. And if they are, they better stop now. President Donald J. Trump. So, again, this you would think that it would be a little bit outside the realm of of reason for him to complain about this when this is already listed in the framework that they publicly released. And we have nothing from our end to refute it. this is what Jonathan Carl from ABC News tweeted yesterday on April 8th that morning.

43:49This morning, I asked President Trump if he's OK with the Iranians charging a toll for all ships that go through the Strait of Hormuz. He told me there may be a joint U.S.-Iran venture to charge tolls. Quote, we're thinking of doing it as a joint venture. It's a way of securing it, also securing it from lots of other people. It's a beautiful thing.

44:06Brian Tyler Cohen:Make up your fucking mind, buddy. Yeah. And also, I'm sure that that'll happen right around the same time we have our joint cybersecurity task force with Russia. Yeah, I remember that one. That's a deep cut. It's going well. It's like, look, I mean, no one holds this guy accountable for anything he says because he just flails around all day long. But like when you look at the priorities they laid out going into the war and where we are now, it's a catastrophe. Never mind the like, remember when he was going to pretend to ride to the rescue of the Iranian protesters? Yeah. That's not going to happen.

44:34Brian Tyler Cohen:There's a pretty wide gulf between we are here to make sure that we can free the Iranian people from the from the yoke of the Islamic Republic to you're going to bomb the entire country and eradicate Iran from the face of the earth. Like that's a that's a that's a pretty big leap there. Yeah. And like, look, Trump didn't take that like genocidal step of bombing all the civilian power plants. And like if he had done that right, like every hospital doesn't have power. So everyone like on a ventilator or an incubator is just dead. But like they've bombed like 30 schools. They've bombed all kinds of civilian infrastructure.

45:08So like now they're leaving the people with of Iran with a new supreme leader who's the son of the old supreme leader, but much more hard line. And then the IRGC, like the military leadership in Iran has a much firmer grip. So these people now live in like a completely decimated country with an even more hard line regime. Like this is the worst case situation for the Iranian people.

45:27Brian Tyler Cohen:Last question here. We have seen how Trump went from Venezuela, which was a pretty easy regime change, to Iran, which was a pretty clear failure. Not going so good. Yeah. Not going great. But he's he's been pretty clear that he wants Cuba to be next. This question was asked to me by Alex Wagner on her show just a couple of days ago. And I want to get your thoughts on this, too, because there are two tracks he can take. On one hand, he can see that, hey, maybe regime change isn't such a good idea. it doesn't work out so well, so maybe I'm just going to take the L here and just not fuck up again?

46:03Brian Tyler Cohen:Or does he recognize, damn, my ego got real bruised on this Iran situation, and so now I need an easy win, and Cuba is not going to be the same situation as Iran, so let's try to end on top here. I am pretty nervous about what's going to happen in Cuba, because he's at Mar-a-Lago all the time. He's surrounded by a bunch of like, you know, kind of like hardline Cuban Republicans. Marco Rubio is his secretary of state, national security advisor and like kind of top advisor on foreign policy. Rubio's primary mission is regime change in Cuba. Now, like how exactly that would manifest is not totally clear.

46:43Like, are they just going to continue to starve everyone on the island? Maybe that's their path forward to regime change and then some sort of negotiated thing. Or will they like decide to tell the Delta Force guys to mount up again and do some commando operation? I mean, like the truth in the Venezuela thing, it's like I think time will tell if if it was a good outcome for the world, for the Venezuelan people. Like Maduro is a terrible guy. Obviously, it was an extraordinary military operation. But it was this close to going really badly because that lead helicopter pilot took like four bullets in his leg.

47:17And if that guy is killed and that helicopter crashes, like this thing is remembered very differently. Right. It's like so Trump had been dancing through the raindrops on these military operations until Iran. There's no guarantee that, like, you know, the Cuban military won't get off a lucky shot and kill a bunch of service members and something goes really wrong. So, like, God help us all if he thinks it's a good idea.

47:38Brian Tyler Cohen:Well, that seems like the right place to leave off. God help us all. God help us all. Well, look, I think it's especially important as Trump tries to collect people who are going to run cover for him as he engages in this genocidal lunacy to keep elevating the voices of folks who are going to actually do real work and let you know what's going on. So highly recommend if you're not yet subscribed to Pod Save America, click the link right here on the screen and also in the post description. Subscribe to Pod Save America completely free, but a great way to support their work and make sure these guys get in the algorithm.

48:08Damn right. Algo time. Algo time.

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49:54Brian Tyler Cohen:Thanks so much for joining me. Hi, Brian. Thanks for having us. So right now there is new polling that's out that shows you leading your Republican opponent, Dan Sullivan, by about five points. For those people in who are watching Alaska, who feel like Alaska is perpetually out of reach. What is your response in light of this new polling? Well, Alaska is actually 12 percent Democrats, 25 percent Republican and over 60 percent independent, nonpartisan undeclared. And so that just goes to show you right there, the majority of Alaskans prefer kind of a nonpartisan conversation. We have unique Alaska challenges.

50:36We are constantly looking and collaborating for Alaska solutions. And I think that if we just keep things plain spoken and common sense, you can reach anybody.

50:50Brian Tyler Cohen:So I want to talk about what you have been saying on the campaign trail to the voters of Alaska. Can you speak a little bit about your your plan to fix the rig system in D.C.? And I ask this, especially in light of the fact that, you know, a lot of fixing the system in D.C. or draining the swamp was in large part Donald Trump and Republicans platform in 2024. And of course, now we're seeing a situation where Americans are paying more for everything thanks to a trade war. Gas is more money thanks to the war in Iran, which, by the way, is a war that Trump promised he would never engage in. And so we've seen this song and dance before.

51:30Brian Tyler Cohen:And so how does that can you talk a little bit about what you're offering and how that kind of informs what the voters are expecting? Yeah, you know, I came up in a system in state politics in the legislature in the late 90s and the 2000s. It was a different time. It was there wasn't social media. Things weren't nearly as partisan. There people had a much more collaborative outlook at the state legislative level and in Congress. And so I took a 14-year hiatus. And so coming back has been just a real shock. And especially seeing the degree to which partisanship has clobbered up the system to such a degree, we have really a do-nothing Congress.

52:15We haven't, the U.S. Congress hasn't passed a budget since I think 1998. It's been continuing resolutions year after year. And now it's even going slower than that where there's, we're chunking it out. There's tranches of the budget that we're doing in sections or whole sections that aren't getting funded at all. This really goes to illustrate what a dysfunctional system we're currently in. And this is not some kind of partisan jargon. I think everyone to a person across Alaska is feeling that disconnect between our public servants and our lives. We can all feel directly, even though it's all happening in Washington, D.C., clear across the continent, we can feel the degree to which the shift has been focused to the agendas of the millionaires and billionaires and not the working households.

53:07So I just went out. I went to six villages on the Bering Sea coast and the lower Yukon. And the degree of hardship is just very palpable. When people are paying$10 a gallon for gas,$10 a gallon for stove oil, and they're having to decide whether to buy$5 worth of diesel to heat their home or a case of top ramen or cup of noodles to feed their family, things are very stark. And I just think that this feeling of being forgotten and left behind is just now a universal feeling.

53:50Brian Tyler Cohen:Are, you know, I'm sure that in a state like Alaska, which is which is historically a Republican state, how have those conversations gone with people for whom their partisan affiliation, their political affiliation is is kind of intertwined with their identity? I'm sure there's people there, you know, whose whose grandparents voted Republican and whose parents voted Republican and they've voted Republican. And that's a point of pride. And it's probably not so easy to just be like, oh, yeah, voted for Republican my whole life. My family's longtime Republicans. I'm just going to vote for a Democrat.

54:22Brian Tyler Cohen:Obviously, times are different now. But what have those conversations been like for people who are recognizing, you know, the what Republican leadership has has wrought? Well, I think, you know, there's a lot of soul searching going on among old time Republicans, people whose families have been Republicans for generations. And they look to people like Abraham Lincoln or Teddy Roosevelt as standard bearers or either of the George Bushes even at this point. And then to where we are now, I think it's it can be very depressing. And I do have to say that for those people who have grown up Democratic generation after generation and have role models like JFK or FDR, these are tough times for Democrats as well.

55:19And the conversations that I like to think about are with the over 60 percent of Alaskans that proudly say, I'm an undeclared, I'm nonpartisan, I vote for the person I think is a good person. I vote for the person who I feel has compassion and understands what we're going through and is going to work really hard on our behalf. Those are the people that I'm really encouraged by.

55:45Brian Tyler Cohen:I want to talk a little bit about about what specifically you would like to see in the Senate. Can you talk a little bit about your your priorities, issues that you'll be able to champion if you're elected? Well, you know, I'm always real careful to make sure that I'm not over promising. And I am very focused on November 3rd. I'm obsessed with election day. And I want to make sure that people understand that this is not a foregone conclusion. We're still 210 days out from the election. things can change overnight. And we just have to make sure that we're disciplined and moving forward every day.

56:25But I also want to illustrate that I've had many, you know, two decades of public service under my belt. And I have always worked for Alaskan families and Alaskan working families and, you know, people who are living hand to mouth and always thinking of ways we can diversify our economy, boost our economy, get more funds to families that are struggling. And this is, I'm not talking about one socioeconomic bracket. I feel like most of us are in that feeling like we're struggling and financially we're losing ground every month. But, you know, I think when I talk about anti-corruption agenda, I am very serious when I say I find it unbelievable that these things aren't illegal as it is.

57:23Things like members being on corporate boards, things like being allowed to do stock trading. Even after sitting through confidential briefings, having that ability to do stock trades, it's just really surprising that there is such an ambivalence or just an okay feeling about the status quo. I think that a lot of folks don't know how much you can personally gain by being a member. And I think it's worth noting that the incumbent has quadrupled his personal wealth in the 12 years that he's been there. His agenda really seems to be for millionaires and billionaires and not the working people of Alaska.

58:14Brian Tyler Cohen:So I want to point out that in terms of airing commercials and ads in your state, it obviously is much different from a market like New York or California, you know, Los Angeles, whatever it may be. And so can you talk a little bit about for people who are considering where to put their dollars if they're contributing to campaigns, what it would mean to send 10 or 20 bucks to your campaign in Alaska versus another campaign in a major metropolitan market like Manhattan or Los Angeles or Dallas or whatever it may be? so alaska has one of the least expense i think the least expensive media market in the country but we really make up for that in terms of travel costs and as alaskans we are we were very spoiled by our um federal delegation in the past we really expect candidates we expect our representatives to to come to our villages to come and come to our towns and talk to us face to face and um that is extremely expensive.

59:16When I was in Congress and running for re-election, I got a phone call from DC saying, why is it 800 times more expensive to travel in your district than a standard house district? And it's just because we're so large and so spread out. If we were our own country, we'd be the 18th largest country in the world. We're really big. At low tide, you could put three Texases within Alaska. We have more coastline than all of the lower 48 combined. We are just a vast different state. Really, there are like six states within our state. And people really do have an expectation of face-to-face communication.

59:58And I find that face-to-face communication is the best. There's nothing that can replace that. And I've really enjoyed going out and listening to people. People have a lot they want to get off their chest. People have a lot that they are juggling and they want to talk about it with someone. They want to share their ideas for solutions. So and that takes a lot of money. It takes a lot of money and time to get even a yard sign out to the hinterlands, to a small village. It's about$25 per yard sign. And if you're living in a small village, that is the only way that you participate in a statewide campaign like this is putting up a yard sign in front of your house.

1:00:38So it's really important that we have yard signs and are shipping them out.

1:00:43Brian Tyler Cohen:I want to ask one more question before we wrap. And that is, could you give an example of a moment that stuck with you from the campaign trail that kind of serves as a pretty accurate microcosm for what your campaign represents? Has there been a moment or an anecdote or somebody that you've met that's really kind of put the whole thing into perspective here? Well, I went to a village on the lower Yukon and, you know, it's really hard for people who rely on salmon, not just for their economic household, you know, not just having that kind of foundational food source and that nutrient source, but really the ability to teach your kids how to be Alaskan, how to be native.

1:01:32You can't really do that with words or books. It really is taught through hunting and fishing and sharing all the values that come with that, learning how to read the weather, respecting your catch, sharing your harvest, firearm safety, gear safety, all of those things when we're not able to fish, when a community has been told for seven summers they're not allowed to fish, it's just soul crushing. It's both very concerning on an economic everyday level, but it's also really concerning on, you know, in terms of wellness, in terms of, you know, for so many people across Alaska, getting outdoors and participating in hunting and fishing is the bulk of their wellness plan.

1:02:22And to be able to then be told, you know, this is not something that you are legally allowed to do. And if you do it, your gear will be confiscated, your firearm will be confiscated. That is a very tough conversation to have. And especially if you're in a community where you're not talking to people in charge, people in charge aren't finding their way to your community to have these tough conversations. So, you know, and the fact that they're paying$10 a gallon for gas and heating fuel, and they know what it's going to go up when that first barge gets in after breakup, after after the ice gets out of the river.

1:02:58So we you know, there's just so much concern and we are ready for some good news and we're ready for people to start working together to help us dig our way out of these concerns. All right.

1:03:10Brian Tyler Cohen:Well, that seems like the perfect place to leave off. So I'm going to leave it there again for those who are watching right now. You can go to Mary Peltola dot com if you're looking to contribute. It makes a big difference. I'm going to put that link right here on the screen and also in the post description of this video. If you're listening on the podcast, I'm going to put it in the show notes. Mary, I could not thank you enough for taking the time today and best of luck in the campaign trail. Thank you, Brian. Appreciate it. Thanks again to Jamie Raskin, Tommy Vitor and Mary Peltola. That's it for this episode.

1:03:38Brian Tyler Cohen:Talk to you on Wednesday.

1:03:52Brian Tyler Cohen:a 5 star rating and a review.

From the publisher

Republicans’ underperformance in one election in particular signals an impending disaster in midterms. Brian interviews Jamie Raskin, Tommy Vietor and Alaska Senate candidate Mary Peltola.


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Written by Brian Tyler Cohen

Produced by Sam Graber

Recorded in Los Angeles, CA

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