A Pretty Pathetic D-Day

26 Aug 2026 · 1 h 12 min · 26 chapters

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In short

The hosts debate the Trump administration’s “economic D-Day” sanctions campaign against Iran, arguing it’s a last-minute, likely bluff-like attempt to coerce other countries into isolating Iran and using secondary sanctions to threaten removal from the U.S. dollar system.

Guests

No guests appear in the transcript. Hosts are Dave Smith and Robbie “the fire” Bernstein. (They also reference an upcoming one-on-one debate with Alan Dershowitz.)

Guest backgrounds (referenced, not present): Alan Dershowitz is described as Harvard Law–educated and a “legendary orator” known for legal argumentation.

Key claims

The sanctions are portrayed as transparent desperation after prior strategies failed; no countries are named in the announcement; the threat to “leave the dollar system” is argued to be too risky for the U.S. and destabilizing to the global monetary order. The hosts claim most regions (Europe, Asia, Gulf states) don’t want the war, and that Iran is unlikely to collapse or trigger a civil-war scenario like Syria.

Notable examples

The Office “10-point plan in 10 days” analogy; Ukraine-Russia sanctions parallels; Putin/BRICS discussion about dollar-system “costs”; references to prior “walk-backs” of Trump threats (tariffs, deportations, etc.).

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Debating Alan Dershowitz

0:45 to 1:42

Dave shares news about an upcoming debate with Alan Dershowitz regarding the war in Iran.

“to the Comedy Mothership, as you've seen some of, Rob.”

Expectations for the Debate

1:42 to 3:35

Dave expresses his thoughts and excitement about the upcoming debate, discussing his expectations.

“I, well, I got to say, Rob it's, Oh, I should, I'm sorry.”

Desperation in U.S. Foreign Policy

3:35 to 5:30

The hosts analyze the recent U.S. strategies in Iran, interpreting them as desperate measures.

“So like, okay, you're better than me at the sport.”

Economic D-Day Announcement

5:30 to 7:40

Discussion about the implications of the U.S. announcing economic measures against Iran and its global effect.

“And, you know, as I as I I posted this the other day because I got permission to announce it before the thing got moved.”

Global Reaction to U.S. Policy

7:40 to 9:03

The hosts discuss how different countries perceive and react to U.S. foreign policy regarding Iran.

“meeting and it's the company is like going bankrupt.”

Consequences of U.S. Pressure

9:03 to 14:00

Exploration of the long-term consequences of U.S. economic pressure on Iran and its allies.

“This just seems like desperation and destined for failure.”

Understanding Financial Leverage in International Relations

14:00 to 15:42

Learn how financial systems can create leverage over countries and their economies.

“All right, guys, let's take a moment and thank our sponsor for today's show, which is MyPatriotSupply, an amazing company that I personally turn to for my own family's preparedness.”

Understanding Financial Leverage in International Relations

15:49 to 16:18

Learn how financial systems can create leverage over countries and their economies.

“a one-week food supply for four, personal water filters, solar rechargeable battery power, and off-grid cooking essentials.”

The Consequences of Sanctions on Global Trade

16:18 to 17:51

Explore the implications of U.S. sanctions on other countries' economies and trading practices.

“All right, let's get back into the show.”

Risks of U.S. Currency Dependency

17:51 to 19:55

Examine the risks associated with the U.S. dollar's status as a global reserve currency.

“and you can use it as money, but they're taking 3 % off the top.”
Show all 26 chapters

The Impact of Military Conflicts on Economic Stability

19:55 to 22:24

Understand how military conflicts can destabilize global economic systems and currencies.

“So there seems to be less demand for our debt and, uh, forcing people to move away from dollars can't possibly help that.”

Geopolitical Dynamics and Energy Markets

22:24 to 24:18

Learn about the geopolitical dynamics affecting energy markets, particularly regarding Iran.

“that one of the things that's really been revealed about this war, and I think, I mean, I definitely got this right, but maybe not for the right reasons.”

U.S. Economic Policy and Its Global Implications

24:18 to 28:00

Analyze U.S. economic policies and their effects on international relations and economies.

“of money in our banks and Turkey's still in NATO, but I mean, I'll get to why I think it's a bluff, but my guess is some of the smaller countries will play ball on this.”

Analysis of Economic D-Day

28:00 to 31:32

Discussion on the implications of U.S. sanctions and their timing.

“It starts off with you think that these are full-on enemy combatants, but sneaking in nuclear materials into Iran, And then it ends with people that are just trying to trade and make money.”

Analysis of Economic D-Day

31:37 to 32:46

Discussion on the implications of U.S. sanctions and their timing.

“Squatch is some small, wholesome company?”

Critique of U.S. Foreign Policy

33:05 to 42:05

Examination of the inconsistencies in U.S. policies towards Iran and China.

“So, yeah, I mean, I think I agree with all of that.”

The Humanitarian Crisis and War Losses

42:05 to 43:30

Discussing the dire humanitarian crisis resulting from the war and its repeated failures.

“When when this thing finally ends, dude, and the carousel stops and everyone's just puking from the dizziness and starts catching up.”

The Humanitarian Crisis and War Losses

43:39 to 44:47

Discussing the dire humanitarian crisis resulting from the war and its repeated failures.

“This is what you got to check out if you're looking to level up your health game.”

The Humanitarian Crisis and War Losses

44:51 to 45:06

Discussing the dire humanitarian crisis resulting from the war and its repeated failures.

“to claim your 15 % discount and your bonus gift.”

Predictions on Trump's Actions

45:07 to 47:54

Speculations about Trump's decision-making and administration behavior.

“It just seems to me like that would, but if that, if that is the case, man, it's going to be really obvious by the time it's over that fuck this whole thing, man, he just lied so much and got it so wrong.”

Rant Against Glenn Beck

47:54 to 52:20

A critical analysis of Glenn Beck's past support for wars and current stance.

“And then, um, you know, I particularly like giving the business to Glenn Beck a little bit, which I don't think I've done.”

War Aims and Reality Check

52:20 to 55:53

Examining the stated goals of the war versus the actual outcomes achieved.

“First thing has to be said, we won the war.”

Military Inventory Decline

56:00 to 59:50

Discuss the significant decrease in U.S. military interceptors and munitions.

“Last week, the strategic petroleum reserve fell below 300 million barrels for the first time since January of 1983.”

Sponsor: Hexclad

59:50 to 1:01:26

Promotional segment for Hexclad's barbecue collection and its features.

“If you're anything like me, you love grilling in the summer, but the second you move beyond burgers and steaks, things can get frustrating.”

Analysis of Military Strategies

1:01:26 to 1:10:01

Examine the implications of current military strategies and public perception.

“And I think it's likely, it's not a dramatic one, but how this could end.”

Discussion on War and Perception

1:10:01 to 1:11:04

Explore the complexities of American military engagements and public perception.

“permanent forever wars, and then you get the reaction to that, your takeaway is this is what happens when we send the message that we don't want to fight.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:06What's up? What's up everybody. Welcome to a brand new episode of part of the problem. I am Dave Smith. He is Robbie the fire Bernstein. What's up brother. How are you feeling today? I'm well, how are you my friend? Good, good. Can't complain. I'm a, I'm headed out to Austin very soon and excited for a fun weekend out there. Come on out guys. It's the best weekend of the year, every year. I just love this club so much. And there are still tickets for Sunday available. They're going to sell out in the next couple days. So make sure you grab those if you do want to come out. The Sunday night shows, they're always a lot of fun too.

0:41So come on out to those. I'm excited to go there. I got a lot of new material that I'm excited to bring to the Comedy Mothership, as you've seen some of, Rob. I got some new stuff that's working real good that I'm happy with. So very excited for this weekend. And then of course me and you were traveling all over the country together. You're traveling all over the place. What else, what else we got going on, Rob? Well, in the meantime, check out the run your mouth podcast. Got a new one coming out tomorrow and got to confirm some more porches. Just have to actually sit down and do it. So be on the lookout for some more tour dates.

1:12And then I think the next one that you and I have is a Dallas, which I do have a porch door that Thursday. I'm sorry. I just pulled up the site. Louville first. Louisville, Louisville, then Fort Worth and Dallas. Yeah. And I'm going to be doing outside of Cincinnati on that Sunday, but also haven't put the date out yet. So I have work to do coming soon, coming soon. That makes it sound better than I have work to do. TBD. All right. Very good. Well, so let's get into some stuff here. I, well, I got to say, Rob it's, Oh, I should, I'm sorry. I should let everybody know this because I, I did post this yesterday.

1:51And then it was trending on Twitter. Uh, and then of course, I don't know, you know, um, you know how they always say Rob in the news, they're like the, uh, I forget what's the, there's like an old saying that it was like the retraction, you know, the front, the story's on the front page, but the retraction is on like the back page or something. But at the same time, I tweeted out that I'm debating Alan, uh, Dershowitz tonight. And then that got like 20 ,000, you know, likes and was like, and it was trending on Twitter. And then I tweeted out, Hey guys, sorry, they had to move it. And it just didn't go viral, but I'm like, Hey, I don't know.

2:26I said the same thing on the same medium anyway, in case anybody didn't see that. Yeah. So this debate came together very, very last minute, like within just the last few days. But evidently it's, I don't know what happened. It was not on my end. I was ready to go, but it was some issue with either the moderator or, or Allen side, but it's been agreed. Uh, as far as I've been told that next Wednesday at 7 PM on zero hedge, uh, two hour debate, one-on-one me versus Alan Dershowitz. And the topic is the current war in Iran. So that is going down. Um, and I gotta say, I'm, you know, I'm really looking forward to this one, Rob, as, as we mentioned before, I guess we didn't really discuss this on the podcast because I, I gave it away on the members only and you weren't here.

3:19And then I didn't want to give it away publicly on the last episode, but I've been saying, Hey, I want to debate. You know, who's the biggest, most high profile, like best debater, most relevant guy I can get, who was still willing to come up and defend the war in Iran. And this one got offered to me and damn, I mean, that's like, I gotta say I think the kind of seems to me like the best I could have been asking for I don't really know I mean this guy like I think you made the point on yesterday's show Rob but he should be the most qualified guy to kick my ass on this issue right like this is a a Harvard Law educated legendary orator you know so like okay dude this is really going to come down clearly you're better than me at the sport of verbal IQ legalese or whatever, you know?

4:14So like, okay, you're better than me at the sport. It's only because my argument is 10 ,000 times better than you that if, if for me to be able to like kick your ass in this debate. So I don't know. I just really enjoyed that dynamic of it. Um, so yeah, looking forward to it. But like you said, Rob, right? he's got to be the most qualified guy to be arguing this with i mean he he'll get oj off you got get oj off skills i don't think you got to get oj off skills i don't even think i could keep a straight face trying to get oj off this guy might be showing up with gloves who knows what kind of tricks he's got up his sleeve i'd be doing i'd be doing shit like uh like i'd just uh i'd just be too honest so i would just be up there and i would just be like kind of like you're Ladies and gentlemen of the jury, you know, but then I'd look over and I'd be like, you need to put him away.

5:03He's talking crazy. He told me he did it back there. This is nuts. That's right, though. Like, if you could get OJ off, you know, and you can't get the justification for this war off, then, okay, yeah, I get it. Okay, I know the logic isn't airtight on that, but you get what I'm going for. So anyway, you know, I got to say, Rob, one of the things that's kind of interesting about this is.

5:28And I guess I of the big debates that I've done this one, I am a little bit kind of like, huh, what's he going to say? And, you know, as I as I I posted this the other day because I got permission to announce it before the thing got moved. But as I posted it, you know, and it was going it was going viral on social media. The overwhelming response that I kept getting from people was them going, what is he even going to say? And like I was like I was kind of like, yeah, I know. Right. Like that's exactly what I've been thinking. And it kind of is. I don't know. I'm kind of interested to see. I mean, I've heard a few of the things that Hawks are saying, you know, to kind of justify the war right now.

6:12I'm like, are you really going to bring any of that into a debate? Because it is stuff that is like, you know, it's just paper thin arguments that you can push over like that. So again, it's it's that I guess, to me is kind of interesting. It's we're we're kind of living in a weird moment right now, Rob, for political commentary and all of this stuff. But one of the things that's almost kind of taken the air out of the room is that everyone just kind of knows this argument is over. At least that's what it feels like to me. But I don't know what you think. Well, I'm excited to watch it and see how it plays out.

6:50Hopefully it should be another head for the mantle. Yeah. I know you were talking about this yesterday. You made some good points about it. I was looking into more of it today and I actually went back and I watched the speech, the full speech that Besant gave. But isn't it, Rob, just like, look, I don't know, I guess, to say, like, what pressure does America have on the rest of the world at this point still? That what pressure can we bring to bear on the Iranians by really laying down this economic D-Day thing or whatever? But Jesus, Rob, is this just not the most transparently pathetic, like last minute?

7:35I remember there's one episode of The Office where Michael Scott is speaking at a shareholders meeting and it's the company is like going bankrupt. So all the shareholders are furious because they're all lost their pensions or whatever. And he goes, we have a 10 point plan that's going to turn this company around in 10 days. And he's like, 10 points, 10 days, we're back in business. And the crowd goes nuts and roasts. And then it cuts them in the back room. And he's like, okay, let's start with, uh, it's like, I forget how it goes. He goes like, let's start with point 10 and work our way back from there.

8:10You know, like he actually has nothing. He has no plan whatsoever. And it just, it feels like that. Like we're like Rob in a, in a sense, this maybe would have been believable, Rob, if they hadn't rolled it out the week after they asked rank and file soldiers for ideas. You know what I mean? Like if it had, if they had maybe tried to convince you that like, this was always the plan they had all along or something like, Hey, look, we thought we were going to be able to get regime change in the first 48 hours. But then when that didn't work, we brought the world to bear down on Iran. But instead it's just so obvious, like, Oh, you tried 15 different things, all of which failed.

8:52And now in a last ditch desperate effort, you're going to try to bully the rest of the world into going along with you and paying a price for something that none of them wanted to begin with. This just seems like desperation and destined for failure. But what do you think? Well, it seems like a last ditch effort and that if they thought that this was a winning strategy. Why didn't they go with it from the outset? But I don't want to give too much away before we play the clip. So I'll reserve my comments for afterwards. All right. You want to go to a, here is Besson. Let's let's, let's start from the beginning of this here.

9:31He is announcing economic D day. As some people have pointed out, by the way, astute historians pointed it out. But D-Day was a little bit different than this in the sense that it wasn't just like a vague threat and that, you know, we knew the countries that we were talking about. That was another interesting part of this, Rob. No countries are named. Okay. Anyway, let's play. We are already seeing results. Over the weekend, comments from Iranian leadership clearly acknowledged the effect of this campaign, and nations that facilitate any interactions with the regime should quickly heed our message.

10:16Those who stand with the United States will reap the rewards of our partnership. Those who tether themselves to the Iranian regime should expect to share in the isolation of a withering regime. Teams from Treasury, State, and the U.S. military are now meeting with their global counterparts to tell them that the United States expects action. Every country has a defined timeline to shut down activities we have identified. If they do not take action, we will do so unilaterally through Treasury authorities. For example, every branch of bank melee must be shattered and dark. And let me be clear, any entity that facilitates money laundering on behalf of Iran will be removed from the U.S.

11:11dollar system. The clock just started ticking. Let's pause it right here. It is, look, obviously I want to build up to this point here about Rob, about him saying that this is the threat, that you'll be removed from the dollar system. It's quite an interesting threat in a way. But look, there's obviously there's a couple of points before that, that maybe it's just worth stating that, look, clearly this it's delusional to tell the world that Iran is a withering state when actually what the world has witnessed is the transformation of the power of the Iranian state over the last six months and seen it transformed into a global power.

11:52That's the reality of the situation. Also, when he talks about like, who gets the benefits of the American relationship? Look, there's something more to get into about kicking someone off the dollar standard. We could talk about this for a little bit and then saying you don't get the benefits of that standard. It's interesting. But if you, Rob, to say, look, pretty objectively here, right? Europe did not want this war. Donald Trump throughout the whole war has been furious at the Europeans because they just didn't want to do this and they don't want to help out with it. And they didn't want any part of that.

12:29Asia hates this war. They're one of the they are suffering maybe the most or second most due to the issues in the Strait of Hormuz. The Gulf countries are over it. They don't want to be Iraq isn't going for it. Kuwait isn't going for it. The Omanians are ready to make a deal. The Saudis are getting wet. Like no one wants this anymore because it's costing so much. And now the move is as the U.S. is losing this big war to turn around and bully everybody else that actually were threatening all of you to if you don't pony up more for this disaster that none of you wanted that we wanted. That really is a wild thing to start with.

13:12But any thoughts you have on this, Rob? Go ahead. uh yeah so we might get a short-term win here my guess is china is just absolutely not going along with this uh the countries that we probably have more leverage on are uh countries like turkey and iraq and i guess theoretically we could we could further squeeze iran and maybe iran comes back to the table and we end up with a better deal than what we had in the memorandum of understanding or maybe uh iran wants what wants worse for us than what the memorandum of understanding was and actually turns this back into a hot war because they feel like uh they can go up the escalation ladder and get you know more leverage in that regard but long term what you're doing is you're taking these countries this was very similar what happened at the start of the ukraine-russia war but you're taking countries that were within our financial system and you're letting them know hey you don't want to hang out here because then we have leverage over you and you're kind of stuck in this system and we'll make it that your funds aren't available or that you're stuck without your uh it's like kind of like for a country it's like being debanked where all of a sudden you turn around and you got all your business processes and you're like shit i gotta find a new way to process all this money and do you really want to be stuck supporting whatever the u.s agenda is at any given day that you know that you might be kicked out with you know of your bank and the answer is no so in the short term theoretically you know maybe this uh does uh put more pressure on iran uh long term this seems very dicey of us that we're constantly threading people uh that they will be removed from the u.s dollar system or that you know they might even have money stuck in u.s banks because it just gives people a real financial incentive to kind of, you know, de-partner from us and figure out other ways to be moving this money around and not stuck in our system.

15:05All right, guys, let's take a moment and thank our sponsor for today's show, which is MyPatriotSupply, an amazing company that I personally turn to for my own family's preparedness. And here's something you don't see every day, a chance to win an almost $600 bundle of premium preparedness gear. Look, a more self-reliant America is built by people like you and me it starts with people who take responsibility make a plan and prepare before we're tested and that's the idea behind my patriot supplies road to preparedness challenge it's bringing together americans who believe strong families should be independent capable and ready visit preparelikedave.com to enter to win and become part of the mission every participant has a chance to win a family of four starter pack covering food water power and heat it includes a one-week food supply for four, personal water filters, solar rechargeable battery power, and off-grid cooking essentials.

16:02Enter the challenge at preparelikedave.com. One family receives the prize, but every participant strengthens the mission. This is your chance to be independent, be prepared, and be ready. Join the Road to Preparedness Challenge now at preparelikedave.com. All right, let's get back into the show. that's right yeah that's right well like um it's all this stuff is very interesting but if you think if do you remember putin made a big thing out of saying this where he was talking about it was at the beginning of the ukraine war when biden first started ramping up like the sanctions regime and he was like uh or maybe it was like even like a year into it or something like that but where he was like you know guys you actually had a pretty sweet deal going here that you just kind of cut yourselves out of and you think you're just punishing us.

16:50But there is kind of a it almost it reminds me of like like Twitter and Facebook when they were like kicking people off the site to censor them. You're like, yes, you are hurting that person. But also like your business is in having people on your site. So you're cutting off your nose to spite your face kind of deal here. But essentially, and it's more it's more complicated than this. There's a lot that we could get into. but essentially, right, this is how the great Thomas Massey kind of would break it down, is you go, at least part of the deal, there's more to it than this, right, Rob, but at least part of the exchange of the dollar standard, right, the dollar world reserve standard, is essentially that like, one of the reasons why other countries want to hold dollars is because they know that so many people accept dollars.

17:40They want to hold them so that they can buy things they want to buy, and they know if they're holding dollars, it's going to be accepted. In a way, you could compare it to American Express or something like that. You use it because you know it's accepted everywhere, and you can use it as money, but they're taking 3 % off the top. Essentially, when we monetize our debt, but the world is on a dollar reserve currency, we're essentially not paying the price in the direct price inflation in the way we would because we outsource some of that. So you could kind of look at it like they hold the dollars, but we take 3 % off the top or whatever.

18:17Now, what Vladimir Putin was saying is he goes, dude, we used to trade like 75 % in dollars. You guys were taking 3 % off the top of all of our transactions. And now I think they're down to like 10 % or something like that. So it's like, okay, there's a clear cost. And then of course the BRICS thing like blew up in those years. And so while you might be saying you are punishing people for kicking them off of the dollar reserve standard and that there might actually be some cost to them in that, right? Like if you're not holding dollars and they have to hold something else, well, the reason so many people are bullied into this other than direct military threats is because like it's difficult to get those other currencies going.

18:55And in the same way that you see gold back and Bitcoin, one of their big struggles is like getting places to accept that, you know? So they lose that. But we also what essentially what we're risking here, Rob, is what is our currency collapsing? Like this is a big deal to risk threatening people. The point that you made is a very, very good one. Number one, there's an incentive that like, oh, as soon as you start putting political pressure using the dollar system, you go, oh, so you've exposed that there's all this control that comes along with it. although that might have already been exposed to some degree but also if enough people aren't taking our whole system rob only works if the whole world is taking our dollars otherwise all of the quantitative easing covid money printing burr insanity simply doesn't work i think even they even their modern monetary economists i think would acknowledge this um but anyway so essentially rob i i say all that to get to the point that we're rolling the dice on our own currency here by making these threats for the benefit of what maybe hurting the iranian economy more maybe getting israel's war that they want it's just this is an insane irresponsibility and this force of action yeah and it seems like a pretty dangerous timing when uh their manipulations to try and bring the interest rate down on our long-term debt isn't working.

20:28It rebounded right away. So there seems to be less demand for our debt and, uh, forcing people to move away from dollars can't possibly help that. Yeah, that's a really good point. Very good point. No, I mean, it's not just that it's like, and there's a few that, you know, and also as you know, it's coming out more and more that we simply can't keep up this, this campaign. Um, so yeah, it's a lot of factors, but again, to like, there, there is something about the, um, you know, the posture of all of this to look, I don't know. My, my guess essentially is that nothing is going to come of this. I think this is just like another bluff.

21:07That's not going to work. I don't think people are going to be particularly bullied. I don't think we're really in a position to bully. You know, I think it's a little bit, um, delusional at this point, You know, to think that to think after losing a war like this in really humiliating fashion to not even like, I don't know what could you can you actually call Iran a near peer competitor? Because I really don't think you can. I mean, it's not just that like they're a country and 90 million people and we're a country like 350 million people that were three times or four times bigger than them, that we have an economy that dwarfs the size of theirs, a military budget that dwarfs their entire GDP many times over.

21:52Like the idea that this is not even a near peer. This is a distant, far off, not even close to a peer country. They just totally ate our lunch. And now we're going to turn around and say, hey, everybody else who just saw that, you know, it's like the bully after he gets beat up, turning around and threatening everybody else. I just don't see that working. But it's quite a risk. It's quite a risk to the stability of the monetary global order. and why on earth would we take this? When again, it does seem to me, Rob, that one of the things that's really been revealed about this war, and I think, I mean, I definitely got this right, but maybe not for the right reasons.

22:40Like, I think I would have said this for like humanitarian reasons at the beginning. I probably would have said, hey, quite possibly the worst thing that could happen here is the regime collapses And then you end up in a civil war. And then, you know, this because this is how it's happened in Iraq and Libya and Syria and Afghanistan and all the rest. But at this point, you kind of realize that, like, oh, you guys can basically hold down the strait with like cheap twenty thousand dollar drones. Well, if that's the case, then an insurgency could hold down the strait. And if that's the case, then you essentially need a centralized government in order to have the strait open.

23:19And so now it just seems like for this new problem created by the war, I actually don't know, Rob, how can you like aren't you concerned about the risk? Because my position here is not that the Iranian regime can never fall under any circumstance. I see no indication that they're going to fall over this war. But like, doesn't it seem, Rob, like that would be the worst case scenario right now just for the immediate issue that everyone cares about, which is the strait being open? Speaker 0 0 0 0 Yeah, I agree with you that I think that this is mostly a bluff. I'll give my reason after the second half of the clip, cause I don't want to get ahead of it.

23:53But my get listen, China's just not playing ball. And I think if everyone else plays ball that in a way almost gives them China more leverage or a tighter relationship with Iran. Cause that leaves them as like, they're the only person buying oil, I guess. But the UAE did stop processing payments to Iran during this war. And my guess is some of the other partners might just be tied in enough that they don't want the heat. Like I think Iraq has a lot of money in our banks and Turkey's still in NATO, but I mean, I'll get to why I think it's a bluff, but my guess is some of the smaller countries will play ball on this.

24:28Speaker 3 0 0 0 I think Turkey's going to be tougher to pressure into this, especially knowing that they're next in the Israelis sites. You know, I don't know how much Turkey is going to want to help, but I, again, I don't know about that. And then again with Iraq, I don't know, Rob, you know, cause you, you are correct in saying that the Iraqis are somewhat dependent, not somewhat very dependent, um, on America, but also man, he did hand that country over to some Shiite rulers who are very closely, uh, very closely allied with the Iranians. And it's always been a bit of a, uh, a bit of a wild card of where they will go when push really comes to shove or something like that, you know?

25:09And I mean, look, we know that the, even the Curtis factions there weren't, weren't really willing to catch our backs when we wanted them to and stole some weapons or whatever from us, according to Trump. But anyway, look, you might be right. They might be able to pressure some, some countries into, into some action on this, but I just don't think it's anything that's really going to move the needle that much. It's going to be that devastating that the overwhelming crippling sanctions and blockades haven't done so far. I tend to doubt that. Well, this also comes, I think three weeks ago, they were talking about starting to do a full land blockade, land blockade.

25:47And they walked away with that from that within two days, because they realized it wasn't actually feasible. So, you know, it's hard to know with what they announced, if they're even going to keep to it for 48 hours. Oh, project freedom. And, you You know, all these things that they've announced and then just kind of walked away from. And at every turn, every time they announce it, starting with the original blockade of the blockade, every time they announce it, all of the Trump sycophones scream about how genius this is and how it's a one, but it just never really seems to materialize. All right, here, let's go back to the Besant clip.

26:22Nations issued today target five of Iran's most vital lifelines that it exploits in other countries, digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping. These measures broaden secondary sanctions risk for anyone foolish enough to continue conducting business with this regime. Just pause it for one quick second, Natalie. Rob, can I just say, just for a quick second, we'll get right back to playing this. Doesn't it say everything that you need to know about the state of the United States of America that our Treasury Secretary focuses on the science of how to destroy other countries economies.

27:06It's like we get a Treasury Secretary who knows something about building an economy hours. I'm sorry, I apologize to libertarians out there. I don't want anyone from the government building anything. But you know what I mean, getting out of the way so we can build. But this is just the focus, destroying others. That's the person in charge of our economy. Okay, anyway, let's keep going. We pursue them. As I speak, Treasury's Office of Foreign Asset Control is also sanctioning over 60 entities, individuals, and vessels around the world that enable the Iranian regime to procure illicit nuclear and missile technology, conduct cyber operations, and generate oil revenue.

27:53This is a sustained campaign. You just got to pause for a second. Every last option for... And generate oil revenue is a really big kicker on the backside of that. It starts off with you think that these are full-on enemy combatants, but sneaking in nuclear materials into Iran, And then it ends with people that are just trying to trade and make money. Yep. Yep. Sure does. That sure is a different one there, isn't it? Yeah. Iran, let there be no ambiguity as to the position of the United States. An economic engagement of any kind with this murderous regime will expose those responsible to the full reach of American power.

28:41well there you have it go ahead rob i had the clips mixed up i thought there was one where uh someone asked him a question about why announced d-day and i think he gives away a lot more of the story on that one yeah here we can we can go to that that's the the latest one that i that i sent you uh natalie here let's see uh you you in the front you described this as an economic d-day but D-Day wasn't a threat of an invasion and the U.S. didn't give a timeline to Germany. So why not impose the sanctions today? Well, we are giving everyone the opportunity to remedy bad behavior. Why would I want to blow up the global financial system?

29:25We believe that it is important to level set and give people a cure period, but they should know that that will move very quickly and that we are serious. Secondary sanctions are a very powerful tool, and we here at Treasury, this is Gene Lang, the acting undersecretary for terrorism finance. And in the terrorism finance department and at OFAC, the reason we are able to use secondary sanctions is because we do not take their use lightly. So we believe that a warning shot and a level set of expectations is appropriate. And if people do not want to meet our expectations, then we expect and they should expect that they should will leave the dollar system.

Read the full transcript

30:11OK, thank you all.

30:18All right. Here, Rob, go ahead. All right. Well, first and foremost, when he says, why would I want to blow up the entire dollar system? He's kind of showcasing. I don't think he meant to say that. I think that was a slip and he's letting you know this is incredibly risky. And when he's also telling you, hey, we want to give people an opportunity to remedy this. What it also sounds like is, hey, we're bluffing. And I think the proof of the fact that they're kind of bluffing here is unlike every time Donald Trump announced, hey, it's going to be bridge and power plant day. And he gave a specific deadline for it.

30:51I think Bessett is smart enough here to go, well, this is happening behind the scenes and we've given people timetables. So that way there's no ever public statement of the policy failing So my guess is they understand that this is not a winning strategy And they do not want to actually have to pull the plug on telling all of these You know, China, are you really throwing China out of the dollar system? I don't think you're going to be pulling the plug on all of China And their access to dollars over this current war And he's letting you know that that could be catastrophic And they don't want to do this And so they're letting you know it's a little bit of a bluff and a threat, and we'll see who complies with us, and we'll go from there.

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32:42That's real ingredients. So if you're ready to ditch the corporate chemicals, Go to vanman.shop slash Dave and use the promo code Dave for 15 % off your first order. That's vanman.shop slash Dave and use the promo code Dave for 15 % off your first order. Vanman, real ingredients, no exceptions. All right, let's get back into the show. Yeah. Okay. So, yeah, I mean, I think I agree with all of that. And I think you're right that the, you know, it's that was an unbelievable like Freudian slip to say, oh, why didn't you do it? Why didn't you do it right away? He goes, well, I didn't want to blow up the entire global financial system.

33:23Like, wait, so you're saying what you're threatening to do if enacted today would destroy the global financial system. Wow. I mean, that's quite an admission, man. and and and look dude the reporter's right to ask because it's like dude you want to call it you know which it always does feel like um donald trump just sends nerds out with names he made up and makes them say them like it does seem like donald trump's like say whatever you got to say but call it d-day you know like he's got to go with like this badass title but for such a badass title. Like as, as the reporter said, um, D-Day wasn't a threat.

34:04D-Day D-Day wasn't like a vague threat of maybe we're going to do something. Right. And, um, they don't even, you're calling this D-Day. You don't even have the courage to say a name. They didn't mention one country. Like, who are you saying is who's in violation of this, who you're about to punish for this. And, you know, Rob, as you point out, man, there's a lot of cope amongst the people desperately trying to find some justification for this war and desperately trying to find some narrative other than the obvious narrative that this is a war created by the Israel lobby on behalf of the Israeli government.

34:43so that it becomes, oh, this is all about boxing in China or reigning in China. First of all, Donald Trump just went, what was it, last month to go visit Xi in China, and he wasn't going there to box him in. He was going there to ask for help. You could listen to the way he was even talking about him the whole time. Rob, he's sitting there just kissing his ass. This is just total nonsense, total like just just like a historical desperately grasping at some type of narrative where this is still America first or something that makes sense. But, you know, they yeah, dude, the idea that we're in any type of position, Rob, to say that.

35:24That we're not going to do business with China anymore if China does any business with Iran. I mean, it's a much emptier bluff than this entire war to begin with was, which was all an empty bluff. And there's been nothing but empty bluffs along the way. But this isn't like, I don't know, like, let's just say, let's just say like Natalie, our producer here, came to us and said, I'm furious at a Starbucks for something. Like, I had a terrible experience at Starbucks. So I'm never going to get Starbucks coffee again. like okay that's a threat that you have um the power to kind of maybe and enact okay you can get your coffee somewhere else not starbucks if natalie came in and she goes i'm furious at big oil so i'm never using fossil fuels again you'd go i'm not sure you can get through life without them i don't know that that is a real threat that you can actually use like the idea that You want to talk about destroying the economy overnight?

36:25Okay, China will no longer buy your stuff. Real quickly, everyone at home, I want you to go look at all your stuff and see how much of it says made in China on it. This is a totally empty threat. So we're going to kick China off the dollar system, Rob? Okay. That's like, what are we going to do to them? Yeah, well, my only thing is like, you know, Syria kind of fell out of nowhere and I'm not in Iran. So I just don't know at what point there's a breaking point for the regime. And it could be, you know, maybe this is a pathway for ramping up the economic pressure in a way that does become unsustainable with all the inflation that they have.

37:06But just from everything I'm seeing, you know, if you're a regime and you just got to remain in power, you don't really care about the quality of life of your citizens. And, you know, that Trump even just called out that apparently they're killing off more of their citizens. But, you know, he's made a lot of claims along those lines. So that would remain unclear. But it seems like Iran is content to sit in this mess and punish Donald Trump. And they don't seem to be wanting to come back to the table to negotiate. And I, it just seems, it seems like none of this is going to work and that this is a bluff, but you know, like I said, I'm not actually in Iran.

37:44I don't have perfect data on at what point their regime fails. No, look, I mean, And then that's a very fair point to make. I mean, look, it is certainly my understanding, and I think this is pretty undeniably true, that the Syrian regime was always much, much weaker than the Iranian regime was. And that there had always been a real risk of that regime being toppled basically throughout the Civil War. And that they were pretty close, ISIS was pretty close at one point to taking Damascus. now you're right it's a fair point to say hey it looked like he had weathered the storm and stay you know clung onto power and was going to remain and then until very quickly he wasn't and and it certainly should be said that it is not impossible that the Iranian regime falls I mean look a lot of devastation is being brought to that country and regimes fall it's happened many times in history.

38:38Almost all of them do eventually. But I also would say I just see no reason to to expect any of this to produce that that outcome. And you don't have a civil war. The worst outcome, you know? Yeah. And you don't have a civil war in Iran like you do in Syria. So it's not even like people have taken up arms against the regime. Well, that's right. Yeah. I mean, Syria, that's right. At the point that we're talking about at the point I'm talking about where ISIS almost took Damascus or at least was close was within, you know, within neighboring cities that they that they had control of. And yeah, this is a period where civil war has been going on for years and at least a couple hundred thousand people have already died.

39:16And yeah, it's right. A lot more instability where, or I'm sorry, I guess, you know, I don't know what is the number up to here, Natalie, can we just pull up the Trump truth social from this morning that Rob was referring to? Cause yeah, I think this was one of the ones where, or if not the one that you're referring to, it was one of the times that he said it, right. Oh, can we make that a little bigger? what do we got here the the failing islamic republic of iran is not paying large segments of their military while at the same time killing protesters even when they are not protesting i'm not sure that should be the rob this might be a category error here i'm not sure that counts as killing protesters well it gets tricky when you're making sure you it does it does get tricky when you're just entirely inventing things but like rob is a protester like a pirate is that something that you just are for life now, wherever you go?

40:06I thought you're only a protester while you're still at the protests. You see, like if I went to a protest, like if I went to an Iraq war protest in 2003, and then someone just came and murdered me in my house, I don't think you'd say like, oh, you killed a protester. Right. So there's clearly got to be a statute of limitations on this. Anyway, whatever. I just think that's a category error. But I guess he's saying the people who were out protesting were then killed in their homes. I'd love, I'd love to see the evidence on that. I'm sure the president wouldn't make a claim like this without evidence.

40:37So we are, we're telling that we have evidence that people who are out protesting were followed back to their homes and killed in their homes by the Iranians. Got an article you want to share? Sorry, I had a thought on that, but then I realized it was really stupid. all right here i'm sorry let me just read the rest of this so they're killing protesters um yes they're uh um uh they're not playing large segments of their military while at the same time killing protesters even when they are not protesting at levels not seen before so that he had claimed 50 000 so is this more than 50 000 uh it is a humanitarian crisis of have epic proportion and must, it must be stopped now.

41:22President Donald J. Trump. Is that not just something, Rob? Is that not just something we've just, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. You see, this is, and always has been a liberal humanitarian intervention, Rob. Oh, what did you get caught on all that total surrender and Allah Akbar? I'm going to wipe out your entire civilization and slaughter all your women and children. Oh, no, this was this was humanitarian. It was a humanitarian mission. Always. That's what it's been about. Just unbelievable. I've just never look, man. I mean, only Trump. Right. I guess Trump just wins bigger than everybody else and loses bigger than everybody else.

42:04But has anyone ever lost a war this big, Rob? Just every turn of it. When when this thing finally ends, dude, and the carousel stops and everyone's just puking from the dizziness and starts catching up. We're going to look back at this and be like, dude, he got, he just lost this war 700 ,000 times. This humanitarian crisis has gotten so out of hand. I'm going to punish you by killing more of your civilians. I have no choice but to re-engage and blow up your power plants and remove your electricity because too many of you guys are dying. Meanwhile, like the guy, he's, according to them, right?

42:44it he started by saying day one of the war or i should say the opening act of the war he tells the people like stay at home tonight while we hit them real hard and then the government is yours and we have your back don't you worry we have your back according to him now now it's created this huge humanitarian crisis and he doesn't have their back and they're being slaughtered at records never seen before. And according to them, their plan now is to, through secondary sanctions, cripple the entire economy to the point that the regime collapses. That's your humanitarian

43:28intervention. Just truly, truly unbelievable stuff. All right, guys, let's take a moment and thank our sponsor for today's show, which is Prolon by El Nutra. I've been telling you about them for a while, guys. This is what you got to check out if you're looking to level up your health game. Prolon's five-day fasting mimicking diet. It works at the cellular level to reset and rejuvenate you from the inside out, supporting sustained fat loss, lean muscle metabolism, slower aging, and even glowing skin. And don't get intimidated when you hear the word fasting. You don't actually have to fast. You just get all the benefits of it.

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44:47Just visit prolonlife.com slash P-O-T-P. That's P-R-O-L-O-N-L-I-F-E.com slash P-O-T-P to claim your 15 % discount and your bonus gift. Prolonlife.com slash P-O-T-P. Yeah, I don't know. I got to say, Rob, I do think, I still think if I have to make a prediction about this and maybe, you know, I don't know, maybe I'll live to regret saying this, but I still do kind of think ultimately, like it's ultimately he's going to walk away that basically this is going to be another empty threat. Not much is going to come of it. It won't change the dynamics. And ultimately he's going to walk away. I just hope I'm right about this.

45:36It just seems to me like that would, but if that, if that is the case, man, it's going to be really obvious by the time it's over that fuck this whole thing, man, he just lied so much and got it so wrong. And that's the best case scenario. Yeah, I mean, my read on this as well. Listen, you just don't know with Trump. He's such a wild card. But my read on this is even with the terrorists, they went with crazy terrorists and they walked them back down. We've mostly seen them put up a crazy threat and walk it back down. So I put it this way. This would be defying the behavior patterns of Trump in this administration if they're sticking to this in a week or in a month's time, two months time.

46:17I it's so it's just you know it's unlikely that they're sticking to this but who knows doesn't it doesn't it feel just even as you just said that it's like it's like doesn't that just define the Trump it defines the Trump second term at least to me just that it's just just like saying some wild over the top thing then it being totally not thought through and no plan it's just a disaster. Then you back down at it. Then you're totally humiliated. Then it's like so much worse than even doing the thing or not. I mean, literally whether it's like the war or, um, deportations, huh? The pool, the drove on the pool and he destroyed the lining.

47:01And then he accused some, uh, some Olympic guy of having sliced it. And then his own department had to drop the case because they're like, we can't possibly win this. And then Donald Trump said, well, I don't know why she folded it. This is ridiculous. We're going to figure out a new way to bring this. Speaker 3 0. It was dude. It was arresting James Comey. And then they just didn't like cross their T's and dot their eyes and guy, it was all off bullshit. Then it just all fell apart. Do you remember the tariffs? They rolled it out and then the bond markets went crazy and then they immediately walked it back.

47:31And then the Supreme court struck it down and you just like, like, Oh my God, you were so, even if you believe in tariffs, which are stupid but even if you do it's like this was just the worst way to go about it the deportations where it's like hey we're gonna do this then it's unpopular then he backs down then you're firing people and moving them around just everything it's this big bravado tough talk and then at the end of it you're like man dude just like you had nothing you hadn't even thought this through a little bit it's just has characterized the entire administration there's a terrorist walking around with hand tattoos right now in maryland yeah right i mean dude it's uh what a fucking what a shit show all right yeah let's do the uh let's let's play a little bit of this this glenn beck clip i did want to play this because i just for number one i guess as i mentioned earlier this is just what's been on my mind with with the dershowitz thing coming up is um like what are these guys even saying right now like what are people who are even trying to defend the war even saying.

48:35And then, um, you know, I particularly like giving the business to Glenn Beck a little bit, which I don't think I've done. I don't think we've, uh, trashed him, uh, since the 12 day war. Um, but you know, I have a bit of a beef with Glenn Beck. I just really don't like that guy. Um, and for a couple of reasons, I mean, I guess it's a little bit personal for me, but well, there's two things. Number one, he's one of the guys, one of the few, Well, you know how there were a bunch of like conservative types who like idiotically supported George W. Bush's war in Iraq and the war in Afghanistan and the Patriot Act and the global war on terror more broadly and just all these awful policies that turned out to be complete disasters.

49:18And then after that, you know, they, you know, during the Obama years and and then particularly not really in the Obama years as much, but once Trump ran against all that stuff in 2016 and then they kind of had permission. It was like that was kind of popular and cool now amongst right wingers to like be like all that stuff sucked. Then they all came over and they went, hey, man, we were crazy back there. We were wrong. And we admit Ron Paul and Pat Buchanan and all those guys were right. And actually George Bush and Dick Cheney and all those guys were wrong. We totally regret that. Glenn Beck is one of the ones and shame on me for this, that I believed, you know, Tulsi Gabbard and Glenn Beck, they actually got me.

49:58And that, that kind of pisses me off that whatever shame on me. But you know, when Tulsi Gabbard used to talk about how she was in a medical unit in Iraq and she saw her brothers and sisters bleeding out and dying over a bullshit war. And that's why she would stand up against any more bullshit wars. Like call me crazy, but she had me going with that bullshit for a little bit. Um, and I'll never forgive her for that. And I'll never forgive Glenn Beck for having me going with it too. And then the other thing, Rob, as I've told you, and this one's getting petty, but fuck him is that when I went on his show.

50:29So when he, when he told me that, and I totally believed him to his face, uh, cause he's does it like Glenn Beck's a good actor, like his tear, his eyes well up and stuff. When he says that you feel like he actually really thinks about how he helped get all those innocent people killed, but that's not true. It turns out. But so then when I went on a show during that period where he had me convinced on that, I went to show a couple of times. And dude, this is when there were rumors that I was going to run for president on the Libertarian Party. And dude, he loved me. I went off on my whole goddamn thing about how the whole program should be repealing the entire progressive revolution of the early 20th century and have every inch of the new deal and the post-war consensus is wrong and this whole thing.

51:08And he goes, he literally ended the interview by going, I love you. This is literally his words. He goes, I love you. He goes, and I really hope you do run for president. So the last thing, the last thing this guy says to me, then of course, October 7th happens and he's crying on the wall or just totally humiliating himself about how he considers himself to be an Israeli. And then after the Douglas Murray debate, he had one of the first interviews with Douglas Murray and he goes, what, what is this comedian guy even doing there when he's not an expert? he shouldn't be debating about these things i go oh i thought i'm i thought you wanted me to run for president motherfucker i didn't realize i wasn't i didn't have the credentials to go on the joe rogan podcast the guy who said he loved me and i should run for president oh until you fucking criticize israel once and then so anyway anyway i got a beef with this guy but that's just petty and personal but more broadly rob fuck you dude you fucking supported all these disastrous wars then pretended like you had totally converted and really realized the error of your ways.

52:07And as soon as a Republican president launched another war, you went right back to it and supported it again. And look at you now defending this fucking disaster. So anyway, that's my rant against Glenn Beck. Now let's, yeah, let's play the clip. First thing has to be said, we won the war. Okay. By every standard, air defenses are completely shredded. the supreme leader was killed in the opening hours um and hezbollah is a shadow of what it was two years ago the proxy network has been thinned by every single measure a general would put on a chart operation epic fury did what it was sent to do the economic damage is beyond understanding and this is economic d-day the supposed for a second so then he says listen he just posted this today at the end he says epic fury was a success but i well look okay so he's i'm sorry i'm sorry no no i'm sorry that's my missus i'm sorry midnight hammer was the other one he's talking about this one my mistake um sorry that one's on me one point for glenn i'm starting in a deficit but i mean i don't know rob i'll get i'll clean up that deficit real quick look dude you can i mean this is a term that was i don't like using terms that i i didn't hear when I was a kid, but this is literally gaslighting is a great term for this.

53:29This is, you know, you're full of shit. You know that you're lying, but you're like, I'm just going to pretend. And I'm going to say it with a lot of certainty that Eddie, no, Glenn, I'm sorry. You can't get away from the fact that the war aims were specifically laid out, not by a general, but by this other figure called the commander in chief. He laid out what the war aims were. He laid it out on day one opening act of the war. This is a regime change war. The Iranian people will now be in control of the government. He demanded total surrender from the Iranian people. He demanded that we recover, that they hand over to us the nuclear dust and that they stop enriching uranium.

54:16We're up to four right now. He also demanded that they stop arming Hezbollah. Now we're up to five. Number six, what came in later was the demand that they open the Strait of Hormuz, which they had always had opened the entire time. Did I miss any big ones there, Rob? Oh, intercontinental, intercontinental, or maybe not intercontinental, but the ballistic missile program there. Seven, seven major war aims that were laid out you've achieved zero zero of those zero now you can add other things in now that you're gonna say their air defense has been hurt and their navies at the bottom of the sea and there but there were seven clearly articulated goals and you're oh for seven come out here and say we won because the ayatollah is dead and their military has been weakened this is, um, I don't know, Dave, I've been following this story for a long time and we always wanted full control over a closed straights.

55:14That's what I was hearing about for years. We wanted to make sure that nothing got through that straight and we'd have full control over it and make sure that nothing got through. Yes. Yes, that's right. And, and right. And also that all that mattered was that the most moderate Ayatollah ever get taken out, But we were always told that as long as the IRGC can run the country with the moas, it just can't be this one Ayatollah or something, right? That constitutes regime change. That's just pathetic. Anyway, let's back to Glenn. The president is doing the right thing. However, for all of the things that are true, there is one thing that may or may not be true that is putting us in a position where we may lose everything the win has just purchased.

56:05And it's not on a battlefield. It's on an inventory sheet. I want you to listen to this. before february we had 2330 patriot interceptors the best public estimate now puts us somewhere between 759 and 827 missile interceptors okay that's a drop of at least 65 percent fad that long-range missile went from 452 to fewer than 278 reuters is reporting now the long range missiles are nearly spent and about half of our tomahawks are gone. Last week, the strategic petroleum reserve fell below 300 million barrels for the first time since January of 1983. The president's answer on these things has been that we have massive amounts of munitions and the leakers are going to go to prison for a very, very long time.

57:07Okay, that's a flawed answer okay um because if it's a leak then is it true you're going to put somebody in prison um if it's if it's propaganda that's a different story and i don't know what is true okay um but taran didn't need the leak i'm sorry you have to understand why i found this so entertaining this uh glenn beck starts off by telling himself a story about how they've won the war then starts grappling with the facts on the ground. And now you see him going, even finding himself in positions because that's a flawed answer. It's a flawed answer. Yes. Another word that you might be looking for here, Glenn Beck, is it's a lie.

57:55It is a lie. A leaker, by definition, can't be lying. Like a leak. If you're accusing, again, Let me try to just clean that up a little bit in case anyone wants to jump on this and pick this apart. Yes, a leaker could theoretically lie about something, but it's not as if this was a leak of 5 ,000 pages of classified material. And then you went, oh, and the leaker is lying about this one specific claim. This is the claim. This is the whole claim. If they're lying, then they didn't leak it. If they leaked it, then the claim must be true. so donald trump is lying when he says this what the fuck does glenn bet i mean like what do you and then you might wonder well was uh is trump lying about the other stuff that perhaps when i first just said we actually won the war maybe we didn't and that may be variables such as they have no navy are not actually a win yeah you would think it's a there wouldn't be that much of a leap in your logic to go hey this other thing he said was a lie were those other thing lies right and then it's like it goes like well look we've destroyed like none of the war aims have been achieved but we've destroyed their navy or their missiles now let me read off some stats we've destroyed all of our THAAD interceptor missiles it's actually okay like I don't know like what do you mean like dude it's been widely reported this part our bases have been decimated dude.

59:24Like we we've we've also had a lot destroyed. So you want to sit there and even if you go, OK, we destroyed more of their stuff than they destroyed of us of ours, something that hasn't exactly been clearly demonstrated. But I do tend to think that's got to be true. But OK, that means we are worse off and they're a little bit more worse off. Where's the win in that? All right, guys, let's take a moment and thank our sponsor for today's show, which is Hexclad. If you're anything like me, you love grilling in the summer, but the second you move beyond burgers and steaks, things can get frustrating.

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1:01:09Our listeners will get 10 % off your order with our exclusive link, hexclad.com slash problem. That's H-E-X-C-L-A-D.com slash problem. Hexclad.com slash problem for 10 % off. All right, let's get back into the show. Here, let's go back to Glenn.

1:01:32terran has counted every interceptor we fire they watch go up and they have a better estimate of our magazine than most members of congress do at this point so the denial doesn't fool the man across the table it only fools the people who write the checks and that is if it is true we don't know if it's true, but our enemies think it is, which brings us to a scenario. And I think it's likely, it's not a dramatic one, but how this could end. Iran, if the economic sanctions don't work, Iran doesn't counterattack. Iran doesn't surrender. Iran just waits. It slow walks the talks. It keeps the straight half strangled lets our gas prices do the work watches the american public where the support for this war sits at 33 and is falling among the president's own supporters okay um i talked to some um some uh political officials over the last couple of weeks and i don't know maybe it's just me i just find this so funny it's okay rob listen let me just break this down.

1:02:44I'm sorry. I don't know. It's just like, this is kind of what we do too. Like, this is what we do. We analyze these things. All right, here we're going. Here's my analysis. All right. First of all, we won. So let's just table that. Get that out of the way. We won. Trump did the right thing. Everyone who supported this was right. Won over, right, smashed, total victory. Okay. Now here's where things stand. We're in a disaster. We're in a goddamn damn disaster. Oh my God. It's the most unpopular war in American history. And it's in freefall. He's the least popular he's ever been. And he's in free fall.

1:03:17We are running low on all these missiles. They believe that we're running low on the missiles. They have resolved. All they have to do is wait. And we inevitably like lose this. Like, I mean, how do people, the level of like confirmation bias, cognitive dissonance going on in this clip is, is like, I don't know. it's legendary i've never seen anything quite this beautiful um i don't know any thoughts rob yeah he hasn't quite said it yet and i didn't watch this clip uh prior to the show but uh the couple clips i've seen from i haven't seen anything from him in four or five months but this strikes me like what i've heard from in the past which is basically it's our it's our fault and it's the american people's fault for not supporting this war because it would be winnable but we keep channeling to the enemy that the american public doesn't actually support this which is what's encouraging them to stay in it um and there's uh it's just it's like a devious cope because then how do we ever not have a war that we don't want and also you guys are winning about how winnable that this thing is and if we support it like it almost requires us to just put faith in that you know government a is doing the right thing and they're going to be reasonable in the way that they approach it and so everyone just needs to get in line and support it um because that's the only way that you'll have the good results and it completely it like just completely kind of leans on censorship and removing your own thought it's very like a cultish behavior um but then also what is the what like how much harder would have trump gone in this war if there was more support for it and would we be in a better situation and i'm gonna go with no and so what it will also Sure.

1:05:02No, I'm sorry. No, I totally agree with that. I just write it also isn't there something almost circular about the logic like it. Because look, I mean, excluding like some big excluding like China and Russia or something like that. But just being the United States of America having the most powerful military ever and we blow up the world so many times over like we we could almost go to war and win a war against just about anyone. I suppose if the political will was truly there to risk losing millions of lives if we need to or whatever. But like we could go and we could take Brazil or Morocco or, you know, whatever.

1:05:39Like and so if no one wanted to fight that war and then you launch that war. And then you're like, oh, man, no, everybody's against the war and everyone hates it. You go, well, the only reason we're losing it is because all these people are against the war and hate it. it's like well okay i guess but that's that's like me saying if i just force my whole family to pick up their stuff and move right now and move like i just go that's it i've made the executive decision you were all immediately moving with no notice you're in a new school you're in a new town you have new friends you have all this and everyone's miserable my wife and my kids just hate it the whole time and then i go well like this would have totally worked if you guys just loved it.

1:06:18Like what type of response is that? Like, I don't know. It's like, yeah, but obviously they don't. And for a reason, and it was on you to make this work. You're the one who made the decision. You're the one who it's the onus is on you. Nobody want the last thing this country wanted was another war. There's goddamn consensus. If there's ever been consensus, there was more consensus on that than, than had been worked up over whether eight-year-old boys with dicks can be called girls. There's more consensus on this. We don't want, the last thing we want is another stupid war. Then he went ahead and launched it.

1:06:51And now as you have to admit, at least in the second half of this thing, it's a disaster. Just like all the other ones you supported. And I'm sorry, man, for people like Glenn Beck, this does just cancel out anything else you ever did, man. So your entire legacy will just be supporting wars that were disasters and not learning your lesson and then pretending to learn your lesson and still not learning your lesson. Let's play the rest of this. No matter where they were in the world, they all said the same thing. You're sending exactly the wrong messages, people. Because I would ask people, what do the American people need to hear?

1:07:29If you had access to the American people, what would you think they need to hear? And the answer was universal. In all cases, you're sending the wrong message. you're sending the message to the world that you just aren't going to fight you're just not going to fight you won't do it and while that's true and understand the reasons for it etc etc that can't be the message you send iran doesn't have to win it only has to be still um and be standing when either our magazines or our patients or our pump prices run out. Okay? That's all we have to do. That's all they have to do. That's their strategy.

1:08:15Pause. And so far it is working. So it sounds like the war is being lost and it was a mistake. It sounds like that's what you're describing. And also if the rest of the world doesn't think that we're going to fight them all the time, might that be a better world? what's your evidence that we need everyone afraid of us all the time what do you actually think other countries are coming and invading the united states of america and you think if that happened the will to fight them wouldn't change and this is all just such stupidity it's also such an inversion of reality like what my god this is so us launching the u.s since um not forget since World War II since 9-11, right?

1:08:56We invaded Afghanistan, invaded Iraq. We started a civil war in Syria. We had a NATO-led no-fly zone war that toppled Gaddafi in Libya first, actually, then started a civil war in Syria. Before that, we had the massive drone bombing campaigns in Pakistan and Yemen. Then we turned around and backed the Saudi invasion of Yemen from about 2015 to 2022. Of course, obviously, as everyone knows, we backed Israel's destruction of Gaza. We've now launched two more wars in Iran. This is literally, I didn't even add Ukraine, I'm just doing Middle East, North Africa right now. But Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Libya, Somalia, I missed Somalia in there.

1:09:42That one was their two 20 year bombing campaign. Yemen, Gaza, all these things. And then they go, the message here is that we just don't want to fight. I don't know. It seems to me the message is that we want to fight wars constantly. We want permanent militarism and permanent forever wars. And then when you get permanent militarism and permanent forever wars, and then you get the reaction to that, your takeaway is this is what happens when we send the message that we don't want to fight. Why? Because the Americans are just totally fucking over this by the seventh disaster that you idiots push us into.

1:10:18Again, yes, Rob, it's dumb and it's an inversion of reality. But anyway, I guess, look, whatever, we got to wrap up there. But I guess like kind of one of the reasons why I thought this was so going back, this is what they're at. First of all, we've won. Now table that no further questions on that topic. Okay. Here's what a disaster it is. And clearly setting his audience up for, look, like here, like he essentially, if you notice the sly trick of hand there, Rob, he did was he went, we've won, put a pin in that table that now, but there is one thing that could threaten all the spoils of that victory that we got over there.

1:10:53So we're going to frame it as we won. Trump was right. I was right. Please don't come for me with pitchforks in the street for lying you into yet another war. Now that we've gotten that all over there, there is this unfortunate reality that threatens to rob us of all of those war victory spoils. And I guess it's me and you. And it's the fault of the people that didn't support this. Yep. Yeah. Fucking pathetic. But you know, it's not pathetic. All of you good people who listen to our show and you know, it's even cooler than that. The ones who come out and see us live. So make sure you do that. Comic Dave Smith.com porch tour.com.

1:11:31and make sure to go watch Rob's other great podcast, Run Your Mouth. All right, catch you guys next time. Peace.

From the publisher

Dave Smith brings you the latest in politics! On this episode of Part Of The Problem, Dave and Robbie "the Fire" Bernstein discuss the press conference by Scott Bessent in which he gave an ultimatum to other countries working with Iran, Trump's Truth Social post in which he pivots the Iran war back to a "humanitarian effort, Glen Beck's take on the war, and more.


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