In short
Debate over whether the US-Iran war is being driven by Israel (Netanyahu/Mossad) and whether the Trump administration’s “war aims” (enriched uranium, ending enrichment, ending proxy funding) are actually being achieved; also discussion of media rhetoric and conservative-right schisms.
Guests (backgrounds)
- Will Chamberlain: senior counsel at the Article 3 Project; host of Part of the Problem; argues the blockade and pressure will force Iran to capitulate.
- Dave Smith: host of Part of the Problem; argues the war is a “geopolitical masterstroke” and that US leverage via the Strait of Hormuz can squeeze Iran.
- Buckley Carson: former Republican adviser/speechwriter (linked to Tucker Carlson); emphasizes facts on the Strait of Hormuz being shut and criticizes “declared victory” narratives.
- Bill O’Reilly: host of No Spin News; supports a hard line on Iran and discusses UK/US alliance expectations; also comments on Secret Service failures.
Key claims
- Smith/Chamberlain: blockade will eventually compel Iran to deliver enriched uranium and stop enrichment/proxy funding; Iran is economically vulnerable and lacks military capability.
- Carson/Others: Iran has not conceded; Strait of Hormuz remains shut; war goals aren’t met; “victory” claims are premature and move the goalposts.
- Host/Carson: Netanyahu allegedly pressured Trump into war; Rubio/State Department admissions are cited as evidence of Israel-linked timing/influence.
Notable examples
- Strait of Hormuz shipping drops; oil prices surge (reports of blockade/price around $115).
- Claims about “enriched uranium in six weeks” vs Iran allegedly still retaining enriched uranium and missile capability.
- Tucker Carlson apology discussion (and whether apologizing should follow policy failure).
- UK base-access vs joining war; Iraq WMD analogy.
- Secret Service security lapses at Trump events (Butler, golf course perimeter, California attacker).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOSpeculating on Trump's Decisions
0:45 to 2:30
A conversation on the pressures and influences affecting Trump's decisions regarding the Iran war.
“It's also proven to be an enormous distraction from the president's domestic woes, not least the fallout from the Iran war.”
The Current State of the Iran War
2:30 to 4:00
Discussion on the implications of the Iran war, including oil prices and military strategies.
“And if it needs to take a bit longer to strangle the Iranians with the Strait of Hormuz and keep the blockade going, he's got infinite patience.”
Diverging Views on the War's Progress
4:00 to 7:30
Panelists debate the effectiveness of the U.S. blockade and the realities of Iran's military capabilities.
“And Iran gets to decide what currency they're trading in because, Pierce, if we do that, the reality is then this is a loss unlike any other loss in American foreign policy history.”
Analyzing Trump's Strategies
7:30 to 10:00
A critical look at Trump's approach to the Iran conflict and the potential consequences of his strategies.
“They're basically another oil-producing economy.”
Reflections on Accountability in Politics
10:00 to 12:00
Exploration of the accountability of Trump and his supporters regarding the Iranian conflict.
“And how do you think people like Will Chamberlain have got themselves into a position where they are seeing one set of affairs here, of circumstance, which a lot of other people simply aren't seeing?”
Public Opinion on the War
12:00 to 14:00
Discussion on changing public perceptions of the Iran war and its implications for Trump’s approval ratings.
“And one in four Republicans, actually, I've seen in some of the polling, have grown to be opposed to it because they don't understand how this plays out and ends.”
The Costs of War and Potential Outcomes
14:02 to 18:00
Explore the implications and potential outcomes of military actions in Iran.
“You don't see it among American leaders.”
Trump's Decisions and Israeli Influence
18:01 to 24:25
Analyze how Trump's decisions may have been influenced by Israel regarding military actions.
“Now, in that war, Iran chose to make sure they didn't kill any Americans, make sure that it wasn't something that was going to escalate the war.”
Media Accountability and Political Rhetoric
24:26 to 28:00
Discuss the responsibilities of media figures and the impact of their rhetoric on public discourse.
“And meanwhile, we're no closer to getting their enriched uranium.”
Debating Free Speech and War
28:00 to 29:00
Discussion on Mark Levin's refusal to debate and the implications of censorship.
“The bottom line is that Mark Levin is getting destroyed in the marketplace of ideas.”
Show all 23 chapters
Erosion of Traditional Conservatism
29:00 to 30:20
Exploration of the shift from traditional conservatism to MAGA populism.
“Buckley, in your chat with Tucker, you talked about what you saw as the erosion of traditional conservative values in favour of MAGA populism.”
War Influences and MBS
30:20 to 31:30
Examination of the influences behind the U.S. decision to engage in war.
“And moreover, like, it's the Gulf allies who want this, too, in particular.”
Netanyahu's Strategy and Trump's Decisions
31:30 to 32:40
Discussion on Netanyahu's influence on Trump's war decisions and expectations.
“I mean, the point I would make to that, Will, is that may well be true.”
Conservative Schism on War
32:40 to 34:10
Analysis of the division within the conservative right regarding support for Trump's war.
“And you've got people like Mark Levin and others on the other side staunchly supporting him.”
Pressures on Trump
34:10 to 35:40
Insight into the pressures that may have influenced Trump's war decisions.
“I disagree that Donald Trump wanted to do this, not only because he articulated it so many times and so aggressively and pushed back against the John Boltons and others during the first term.”
Future Republican Leadership Predictions
35:40 to 37:50
Discussion on potential candidates for future Republican leadership.
“He's the president of the United States and a billionaire real estate magnate.”
Apologies and Accountability in Politics
42:00 to 43:00
A discussion on the necessity of public apologies in political discourse.
“He could repent for the mistakes that he's made and he could apologize.”
UK and US Relations Amidst Conflict
43:10 to 45:40
Exploring the dynamics of UK-US relations and their stance on Iran.
“That would be intellectually honest of you.”
Iran's Nuclear Threat and Global Response
45:40 to 48:20
Bill O'Reilly discusses the dangers posed by Iran's nuclear ambitions.
“We weren't being asked to commit to joining the attack just to use that America use the bases.”
Assessing Secret Service Security Measures
48:20 to 53:00
A critical look at the Secret Service's effectiveness during an event.
“I look at the data and every nation should be trying to neutralize Iran.”
Political Landscape and Trump’s Challenges
53:00 to 56:00
Discussion on Trump’s political standing amid war and economic factors.
“you know both the house and the senate the way things are looking which you know would render most presidents pretty well a lame duck.”
The Future of Republican Nominees
56:01 to 58:16
Explore the potential candidates for the next Republican presidential nomination and their chances.
“Just finally, Bill, we were debating earlier in the show about who is the most likely to be the next Republican nominee.”
Broadcasting and Dead Air: A Discussion
58:16 to 1:00:29
Bill O'Reilly responds to a memorable interview moment about dead air in broadcasting.
“So I'm just curious, have you ever had a longer period of sustained silence as a broadcaster during an interview with anyone?”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Somehow, Donald Trump allowed Benjamin Netanyahu to con him into this war, which he has openly been spending my entire life trying to drag my country into. These people who say Israel's calling the shots, I mean, this is just ridiculous and they don't know anything. He was pressured by Israel and others around him on behalf of Israel. Why couldn't he say no to them? What's your theory? You can speculate about the kind of pressure he's been under. How about you speculate? You're the one who's proffering the theory.
0:29Piers Morgan:You tweeted Will Chamberlain. We're getting the enriched uranium. We're getting a stop to enrichment. All done in six weeks to your political master's throw. The only problem with that is I don't think the Iranians have got the memo. The state visit of King Charles to the United States has been a diplomatic triumph on many levels this week. It's also proven to be an enormous distraction from the president's domestic woes, not least the fallout from the Iran war. The fragile but open-ended ceasefire is holding for now. and hostilities have duly paused in the so-called MAGA War II. It might not last for long.
1:02Piers Morgan:Oil prices surged again to$115 on Wednesday amid reports of an extended US blockade over the Humus Strait. And just as the White House was unveiling a rather kingly new passport with Donald Trump's face on it, the latest approval ratings dropped to reveal the president at a record low. All of this amid a furious debate about violent rhetoric and apparent right-wing hypocrisy on free speech. We've assembled a special panel to make sense of all this. It's an OG of the original MAGA movement, a disaffected member of the 2024 New Wave MAGA Coalition, and a 2026 MAGA stalwart who's not giving an inch.
1:36Piers Morgan:So joining me now are the senior counsel of the Article 3 Project, Will Chamberlain, host of Part of the Problem, Dave Smith, and the former Republican Svengali and Trump speechwriter Buckley Carson. Well, welcome to all three of you. Let me start, Dave Smith, just by a completely random question, which is every single person that I'm now bumping into in New York City wants to talk to me about the Russell Brand failure to find his passage in the Bible. What do you make of it? Both your and Megyn Kelly's interviews with Russell Brand left me just shocked and disturbed and kind of interested, but I don't quite know what to make of all of it.
2:20Piers Morgan:Yeah, I kind of feel that way myself. Well, let's get into bigger stuff, which is Iran and the Iran war. Trump is behaving like this war is pretty much over. And if it needs to take a bit longer to strangle the Iranians with the Strait of Hormuz and keep the blockade going, he's got infinite patience. And then he suddenly out of nowhere overnight posted a picture of himself with a machine gun saying, if you don't do a deal, effectively, he's going to go bonkers with guns again, presumably involving more military action. Again, a lot of contrarian, conflicting messages coming out of the White House and the president in particular.
3:02Piers Morgan:What do you think, Dave Smith, is actually happening here with the Iran war? well i i think it's not good and i think that we're at this point trump trump is in between a rock and a hard place and if you remember pierce um about three weeks ago when donald trump gave his uh he gave a speech after the markets had closed this was shortly before some of the more unhinged tweets and threats and he had been signaling then that well essentially he was setting it up to say hey listen we don't really need the straight other people's stuff flows through the strait, not ours. And then he said, it'll just naturally open up.
3:39It'll be a matter of time and other people, other countries can. He was basically signaling that we can walk away from this with Iran still having control over the strait and who passes and other people can work that out. I think the major problem there, and this is something that Marco Rubio just said in his interview yesterday, excuse me, on Monday, that, well, actually, we can't, we can't walk away if the status quo is Iran gets to decide who comes in and who doesn't. And Iran gets to decide what currency they're trading in because, Pierce, if we do that, the reality is then this is a loss unlike any other loss in American foreign policy history.
4:13Even if you count Vietnam or Afghanistan or those as losses, I mean, we didn't transform them from a relegated, sanctioned, crippled country into a global power. And if you control 20 percent of the world's oil, then you are by definition a global power. And so now he's in this terrible situation where all he can do is blockade the blockade. The Pentagon has already told Congress it would take six months to open it up militarily. And that would be after the war has started, not with Iran attacking us. And so now we're at a point right now, Pierce, where we really don't know how catastrophic the damage that's already being done is.
4:48In these last two weeks, in the ceasefire, less has been traveling through the Strait of Hormuz than at any other point. As you know, Pierce, it's 20 percent of the global energy oil supply. We don't know how bad the effect of this is going to be down the road and how much more of this we can put up with. So we do have to end our own blockade. But then we go back to the status quo of Iran controlling it unless they're willing to capitulate, which every single indication is that they are not. And so not only are we not achieving any of the war aims, but we've got this whole new problem, which is the major problem now, which wasn't even an issue before the war started.
5:27I mean, this whole thing is just an indefensible nightmare.
5:32Piers Morgan:Well, one person who is defending it very aggressively is you, Will Chamberlain. You tweeted on April the 17th or posted on X. We're getting the enriched uranium. We're getting a stop to enrichment. We're getting an end to the funding of proxies. We destroyed the Air Force, Navy, Air Defenses, Defense Industrial Base and Sea Land leadership, all done in six weeks, geopolitical masterstroke. The only problem with that is I don't think the Iranians have got the memo about any of that. Because from where I look, they've still got the enriched uranium. They've made no pledge to give it up. They don't even want to talk about nuclear power.
6:06Piers Morgan:They haven't agreed, as far as I'm aware, to any end to funding of proxies. And they're still firing off missiles and apparently have a big ballistic missile capability remaining. So that clearly is still something they have. And the straight and foremost remains closed with all the global economic mayhem that is causing. I'm not entirely sure this constitutes all done in six weeks or a geopolitical masterstroke. Why are you under that impression? Well, at the time, Trump had a negotiated agreement, I think, with the Goliboff clique, but they got removed in a countercoup by the IRGC, and the IRGC wanted to fight on a little longer.
6:46And so now they're dealing with one of the most punishing blockades in naval history. It's costing them something like$400 million a day and is really risking within the next, probably within the week, almost irreversible damage to their oil wells because they simply don't have a place to store all their oil. So the idea that we have to remove this blockade because oil prices are high right now is absurd. Whatever damage the United States would suffer from this, which is actually not really that big, honestly, because we are the world's biggest oil producer, the world's biggest oil exporter. when oil prices go up.
7:20There's a lot of Americans that benefit too. So, but Iran, I mean, almost all their oil export needs to go through the Strait of Hormuz. They don't have any ability to meaningfully transit it outside of it. Moreover, they're a one-note economy. They're basically another oil-producing economy. We have the ability to completely squeeze them. And the idea that they can survive this for, I mean, I'd be shocked if they could survive it for another month, let alone six. It's, I think they're in really, really rough shape. The problem will. We have all the military capabilities. They have none. we're in great shape right now.
7:50Piers Morgan:No, I know. Yeah. The problem is we keep hearing it's all about to end. It was going to be two to three weeks. Then it was going to be six weeks. Now it's like, well, it could be months. I mean, maybe years. You know, the enemy gets a say. It's the Black Knight and Monty Python. Like, the enemy gets a say. Well, exactly. Like, if they decide they don't want to surrender, they just get eventually, eventually they get squeezed out and regime changed by rising up of their own people. But, like, you have, you know, as long as they hold on to some power. Let me finish my point. Yeah. Okay. Sure. You've just made my point for me, which is that is exactly what's happening.
8:24Piers Morgan:The enemy is having its say. We saw the same pattern in Vietnam, the same pattern in Iraq. And this is the one thing Donald Trump always said he wouldn't do. He wouldn't drag America into pointless, expensive Middle Eastern wars again. He has with the biggest possible opponents. This is far from pointless. And he wasn't going to have a never ending. Well, it's pointless if you don't end up with the enriched uranium and you don't end up with any absolute pledge not to build a nuclear weapon. And there's no sign of them doing either of those things. So let me bring in Buckley Carson. Buckley, great to have you on our session.
8:59Piers Morgan:I've interviewed your brother, Tucker, many times. Never had the pleasure of you on the show. So it's great to have you. And I watched your interview together the other day where Tucker, of course, made a lot of news with his apology for supporting Trump and specifically because of what's happened with Iran. What do you feel when you hear you've got Will Chamberlain there absolutely buying into all this narrative that this Iran war is going great. The Iranians are just about to compete. You guys are promulgating a narrative to America and Israel. It's just it's narratives going both ways. Like I hear an Iranian narrative coming.
9:32Piers Morgan:My narrative is only based on what I see with my own eyes, which is the Strait of Hormuz remains shut. It remains shut. And that was the thing that was the massive miscalculation, which is all the Iranians had to do was shut down the Strait of Hormuz and attack their neighbouring Gulf states and they could cause total mayhem. And that has been the thing which I don't think was properly calculated. But Buckley, what is your view about what it is? And how do you think people like Will Chamberlain have got themselves into a position where they are seeing one set of affairs here, of circumstance, which a lot of other people simply aren't seeing?
10:14Well, I think it underscores that cartoonish posturing and declaring victory 10, 11, maybe 30 times actually has no bearing on the facts. And it's consistent with what Donald Trump has done in the last 16 years, which is completely betray not just his voters, but also Americans in general and squandered American power, American power that he was actually wielding on our behalf. It's not his to wield alone. He does so with our consent, our vote. And Americans have been consistent over the last decade that this was going to be a bad idea. Now, how they couldn't have anticipated that the Strait of Hormuz, which has been geographically located where it has been since the beginning of time and in Persian control and in Iranian control for the last long time, why did they think that they could control it?
11:11And ignoring that as a basic fact is, to use Will Chamberlain's words himself, obscene and absurd. um well that's just incoherent because it's totally false obviously the navy had a plan for this which is why they had a counter blockade ready moreover the idea that trump didn't campaign on preventing iran from having a nuclear weapon is ridiculous he's there's like minutes of public clips of him saying over and over and over again iran can not have a nuclear weapon and that's why republicans are behind him the latest polling still shows something like 80 of republicans are approved of donald trump's handling of iran like the idea that he's a betraying his base It's just not born out of the back.
11:49Piers Morgan:Most Americans, most Americans, for the first, well, I was going to say, Buckley, for the first time ever, a majority of Americans from the start of this have not supported this war. And one in four Republicans, actually, I've seen in some of the polling, have grown to be opposed to it because they don't understand how this plays out and ends. So we are into very uncharted territory. Donald Trump's personal approval rating has hit record lows now this week because of this. And so I think that there's a kind of asymmetric war going on. And there's also an asymmetric opinion war going on on the conservative right in America, which is fascinating to watch as well.
12:35Piers Morgan:Buckley, what did you think when Tucker said to you that he, you know, he was he felt genuinely sorry and remorseful that he had so fully endorsed Trump. and that had he known what he was going to do with Iran, he wouldn't have done. And I know from interviewing him quite recently that he repeatedly tried to stop Donald Trump doing this. What did you feel when you heard your brother say that, given how influential he is on the conservative right? I thought it was an admirable expression of Christian principles to apologize when you've done something wrong. He had a huge impact. He worked hard on behalf of Donald Trump, as so many have.
13:17And what did they get met with but contempt and disdain from Donald Trump? Does Tucker bear responsibility? Do I, do all the other people who worked for Trump, worked on behalf of Trump, bear responsibility? I think so in varying degrees. obviously it's binary as every election is and I wouldn't I think we probably would have ended up in exactly the same situation if we if we'd elected Kamala Harris and all of her absurdity but people who've defended Trump for the last decade aggressively at great expense to their own personal safety their comfort their employment their friendships. Sure, I don't see it enough.
14:01To answer your question more clearly, you don't see it in America at all. You don't see it among American leaders. You never hear someone say, gosh, I'm sorry for actually being a proponent of this person or this policy that didn't work out when it's obvious it hasn't. So I wish more people would adopt that attitude, frankly.
14:20Piers Morgan:Dave Smith, there's another way of looking at this, which is that if it does take six months or a year, then in warfare terms, that still would remain a reasonably short amount of time. And if the upshot of it is that the regime does get toppled and the people do get their country back and the enriched uranium does get handed over, and there's a lot of big ifs in this sentence, but if all these things do end up happening and the Strait of almost reopens, but the Iranians don't have control over it, and the IRGC gets pretty well dismantled. If that was to all happen in a year's time, would the world owe Trump an apology and say that with hindsight, he showed the courage that no American president has shown in 47 years, and he should win awards for it?
15:12Piers Morgan:I mean, is there a set of circumstances where that happens? So are you asking me if there's a chance that Tucker Carlson will be apologizing for apologizing and then he'll have to support. Yeah. I mean, if, listen, if, uh, for the record, uh, let me say, I, uh, I apologized for supporting Donald Trump, uh, and said, I regretted it back, uh, last summer and it did not make nearly as much news. So I would like to point that out. I was, uh, I was, uh, so it's really not that big of a reversal. It was, no, it was a good, it was a good six months. he had he had me going there um but uh yeah that was about it um but yeah that's by the way i'm embarrassed for the six months i'm quite proud of the time before then if anything but no i will say this look pierce i mean if these seven things that all seem crazy unlikely right now all were to happen so you got a lot there we extracted the enriched uranium we got this straight back open this regime has fallen and something not catastrophically worse than it has replaced it as has been the case in every other regime change in the last 25 years in this region.
16:12If all of that happened, Pierce, all of it, probably at this point, a year from now, we'd go, wait, how much did the whole thing cost? How many innocent people got killed in the whole thing? And what did we really get out of this? You're saying we took the nuclear threat, which you claimed had been obliterated six months before you launched this war, off the table. And honestly, I mean, at the very minimum at this point right now, Pierce, If you got this thing going for another year, you're going to be looking at what? A few hundred billion dollars of a cost. If you added up the cost right now, we might be at a few hundred billion dollars.
16:46Are bases destroyed in the region? How many more retaliations from Iran? I mean, look, there's so many questions there. But the bottom line is that where we're at right now, it seems the only way to achieve any of these war goals are this wild bet on intimidating the Iranians into capitulating. But Will already kind of gave – and you jumped on it rightfully, Pierce. Will gave the whole game away when he said the enemy gets a say too. That's right. So he can predict all this stuff. Like a couple weeks ago, he's saying we're going to have the enriched uranium. Nope, that turns out that deal isn't real.
17:21I still think we will. Well, okay, but it didn't turn out now. Now you're saying maybe they have. Okay, you just said Iran, you'd be surprised if they have a month left. In a month, when this government is still standing, you will move the goalpost to something else. This is what you guys do through all of these wars. They did it for 20 years in Afghanistan. I know, and it's been two months now. It's doing great. This is why this whole quagmire talk is so silly. It's been two months. I didn't say it's a quagmire. My point is that your bet, listen, I made this point over and over about the 12-day war, and I got ridiculed for it, when I said, look, the reason why that was such a risky thing that we shouldn't have done is because the enemy gets a say too.
18:00Exactly your point. Now, in that war, Iran chose to make sure they didn't kill any Americans, make sure that it wasn't something that was going to escalate the war. And I said, wow, we put a lot of faith in this crazy government to do that. You said they had escalation dominance over us, which is insane. They don't. Will, the Strait of Hormuz is closed. Our bases are destroyed. We're in a gridlock right now. We don't get our oil from the Strait of Hormuz. They lost their entire senior leadership class. What about our friends who do? What about the friends in the region that have been completely left behind?
18:34The friends are on our side now. Oh, you just left OPEC. They're going to be aligned with us. You guys are just talking points. They're 10 years old. Let's go. No, they're not. Well, let's go one at a time so we don't just talk over each other. like and i'll listen to you too but uh so just no listen i think it's a very arrogant and simplistic view to go hey if 20 the strait of her moose has had the lowest level of ships going through it in the last week to just go eh whatever that's bad for the global economy that 20 of the oil is like held up you're like dude you do not know how bad this is going to be have people go everyone at home who has a 401k go look through all those companies that you own you know how many of them are in foreign countries countries in asia in europe are panicking right now over this oil situation the gulf states are panicking right now and pierce this won't show up in the markets if you remember uh during covid during lockdowns with the stock market went to record highs after we were pouring trillions of dollars into the into the economy it wasn't for a full mother year when the price inflation started destroying americans left and right and we have no idea what's coming down the road we do not know how long we can keep this question it'll be a cataclysm for the global economy.
19:41And you're way too cocky about this, dude. You don't know this would be good for us. You're way too conservative. We'll change. We'll change. We'll change. Hang on. Hang on.
19:51Piers Morgan:Hang on. Let me ask Will a question. We've got a slight delay between me and you guys, so you have to bear with me because I'm about half a second behind you. Will, the reality is this, isn't it? If I presented a set of circumstances to you where Donald Trump comes in for his second term in office, hits the ground spectacularly well, shuts down the southern border, pretty much stops all illegal immigration coming over that border, off to a flying start. Then a few things start to happen. Then a lot of stuff starts to happen. And now here we are a year and a bit afterwards, so nearly 18 months now into his second term.
20:29Piers Morgan:His approval rating is at a record low. He's trapped in a Middle Eastern war of the kind he said he wouldn't get involved with. Cost of living is now increasing again in the United States. And in fact, inflation has not been eradicated. So it was going up anyway, but it's now going to be eradicated at a greater rate because of this. Enhanced, I should say, inflation because of this. That we're going to see the consequence of, for example, the lack of fertilizer coming through is going to have an obvious effect on the global food market, including in the United States. Yes, it's true the United States is pretty well oil self-sufficient, but there are so many other parts of the world which are absolutely reliant on the Strait of Hormuz being open for gas, for oil, for fertilizer and so on.
21:17Piers Morgan:The longer this goes on, and the Iranian regime's only objective is to survive, the longer this goes on, the worse it gets for the United States and the global economy. and to anyone who pretends otherwise, and for Donald Trump's approval ratings, and for the Republicans' chances of hanging on to either half of Congress in November. And I think that the longer this goes on now, we're nearly into May, then June, July, August. I mean, you're into the midterms before you know it. This becomes politically and economically unbelievably damaging for Donald Trump. You must see that.
21:57Piers Morgan:sorry well i can't hear you can you yeah i think you you got muted well i lost my mic for a second sorry uh you seem to have self-muted which is a new phenomenon no just randomly hit my cord um i agree with your basic statement the the idea that if this war is still going and it's nothing has changed in six months and this is the status quo in november you're right it will not be good for the midterms, it will not be good for the president. I just think the odds of that are incredibly, incredibly small. Again, the war has only been going on for two months. The blockade has been in place for less than two weeks, roughly two weeks, which is roughly around the time, you know, analysts that I was seeing around two weeks is when the oil storage wells start to fill up.
22:37And, you know, again, we're seeing these mixed, interesting mixed signals from the Iranian regime. Remember, it was only like a week and a half ago when you brought up that post I made, when Syed Aragji went on Twitter and said the Straits of Hormuz are open. And then immediately that got swept aside because there's an IRGC countercoup. Like there's a lot, a lot has happened in the last two months. And it's happened very rapidly. And there's a lot of uncertainty about, especially inside Iran. And so whatever you guys talk about, this is sort of what I meant when I was saying conservatism. It's whatever you guys talk about, oh, we don't know the broader impacts on the whole global economy of 20 % bump in oil prices.
23:11Like, how can you not see that the effects on Iran of the Strait of Hormuz are much more dramatic when they lose the entirety of their ability to export oil and it's their entire economy? Wait, but, Will, I think that's it. I'm glad you asked that question because I think this kind of gets at the heart of it because it's not a question of, well, if we're damaging ourselves, but we're damaging them more, therefore, that's good. Like we have the military capability to blow up the entire world many times over. But if you if we were to do that, we wouldn't say, hey, that was a military victory because we blew a bunch of stuff up.
23:44The point is that we're no closer to any of the war aims than we were at the beginning. And now we have a whole new problem that we didn't even have back then. And by the way, those problems weren't nearly enough to launch a war of aggression over. The whole thing is madness. And you can sit here and try to spin it however you want to. But the bottom line is that the commander in chief who you're supporting here has declared victory, as Buckley put it, multiple times already, declared the thing over, made all types of threats that he's not even following through on, threatening war crimes and terrorism, and then just backing off of that the whole time lying through his teeth to the American people.
24:20The regime has not fallen. It is a war. The strait is not going to open by itself. And meanwhile, we're no closer to getting their enriched uranium. We're no closer to getting them to stop supporting Hezbollah. In fact, that's just not true. Look, this is well, yes, it is, dude. In fact, Donald Trump had to even start warning the Israelis to stop because he was so concerned that that was going to blow up this ceasefire and he needed to take a break from the military action. The bottom line here, Pierce, as you've covered very well on this show, is that somehow Donald Trump allowed Benjamin Netanyahu to con him into this war, which he has openly been spending my entire life trying to drag my country into, lying through his teeth about how they're weeks away from a nuclear weapon for 40 years.
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25:05years and somehow him and the massad chief were able to convince donald trump of this ridiculous notion that it was a it was a definite it was a slam dunk that you could get a regime change through the sky and that the regime he wasn't convinced of that you didn't even read the new york times article that's just flat out false like you're just no you didn't read it they yeah apparently not because it made very clear that the americans did not credit uh Netanyahu and Mossad's statements about regime change. He did it anyway and called for the people to rise up. He wasn't manipulating this by Netanyahu.
25:39He called for the people to rise up. Listen, I mean, literally the State Department themselves just admitted we fought this war for the Israelis. This is the most obvious. I just can't even believe you deny this.
25:51Piers Morgan:I think what is obvious is it came out of Marco Rubio's mouth that that was what had happened. He couldn't have been clearer until he got told that he had to reverse Fahrenheit. three weeks ago. Hey, and this is quite the last time. We did. We did. Let me bring... I want to bring Buckley back in, but I want to just, first of all, first of all, Buckley, before I come to you, I just want to ask Dave Smith about something that Mark Levin has said, because the reason I got you three guys on was because you all have a sort of different perspective about Trump, the MAGA, conservative right, and so on.
26:25Piers Morgan:And Mark Levin's been leading the charge, obviously, for Trump and Iran and so on. And he's just called you out, Dave, personally, along with Tucker. So I'm calling out Tucker Carlson, Dave Smith, Nick Fuentes and the other podcast reprobates and drawing a clear line between strong political commentary and what I see as reckless rhetoric. You can be aggressive. You can be passionate. When commentary fuels distortion, extremism or confusion, it has real consequences. This is about responsibility in media, accountability in messaging and protecting the integrity of real debate in America. Just before I go to Buckley, what is your response to Mark Levine?
27:02I mean, Pierce, he literally goes off on this whole thing about how like, hey, you can be pointed, but you got to be responsible about what you say. The video opens with him calling us the woke Reich. The video opens with him calling us Nazis. As he, in the same episode, Pierce, advocates for tech censorship because we're all a bunch of Nazis. He's calling us woke and saying that our rhetoric is too far. I don't know. Honestly, I've as somebody who's read a lot of neoconservatives and war hawks over the years and as someone who clearly is like opposes them politically. I and there's been some pretty dumb arguments advanced by neocons before.
27:41None of them have ever gone full Mark Levin. It's he is he has become a complete clown, like a caricature of himself. If he wants to call out, he said he starts by going, I'm calling out Dave Smith and Tucker Carlson and Nick Fuentes. How about like, come have a conversation with one of us. Let's discuss these issues. The bottom line is that Mark Levin is getting destroyed in the marketplace of ideas. And so now he refuses to debate anyone. Tucker has made the invite to him. He admitted this. Tucker texted him, reached out. Hey, it'd be good to lower the temperature. Why don't we have a real conversation here?
28:15We can talk about our disagreements. I've offered many times, but I'm sure Fuentes would too. You know, you want to just sit here and smear people. And then when you're losing the argument, call for censorship. I'm sorry, I'm advocating for free speech and against a war, Pierce. That was a lot like the Nazis, right? That makes me a Nazi for not wanting to fight a war of aggression and not wanting censorship. Like how upside down is this whole world where you could accuse someone else of being a fascist as you support the most fascistic policies that are available to you every opportunity?
28:50Piers Morgan:Yeah, and also I think, look, with all due respect, well, Buckley, I'll come to you. I mean, all due respect to Mark Levin. I mean, his own rhetoric can be highly incendiary, as he knows. Buckley, in your chat with Tucker, you talked about what you saw as the erosion of traditional conservative values in favour of MAGA populism. Do you think we're seeing the beginning of a move back to a more traditional conservatism? And if so, who would spearhead that in the next general election? Could it be your brother, for example? I put it to him directly and he kind of gave a slightly obtuse response. And I wouldn't ask you to speak for him, but do you think he could, as his brother, do you think he could be the person that can perhaps steer the conservative right to a different place?
29:41Well, I think he articulates it well and consistently and compellingly. But before we talk about that, can I just say, can we just lay to rest all the lying about how we got into this war and who influenced us? Please, Will. Yes, we all read the New York Times piece, but we all saw Marco Rubio actually say on camera that we did it as a response because Israel was going to do it. That was the reason for the time. Everybody lied about it. Everybody has lied about it subsequently. And then the general counsel or a legal counsel at the State Department published a memo that declared that unequivocally.
30:18So it's on record. I think we should probably stop lying about it now. Again, that was about the timing. And moreover, like, it's the Gulf allies who want this, too, in particular. That's like, if any of you think the biggest driver of this, honestly, MBS and MBZ, both of whom realize that if we leave and if we aren't willing to stand up to Iran, then they're going to be left at the mercy of the Iranians. And they're incredibly important allies. Netanyahu's very important to us too in this front, but so are these other guys. There's a reason President Trump is constantly doing all this diplomacy with Arab countries and a reason they're coming over to our side.
30:52Again, remember, the UAE just left OPEC, groundbreaking moment, really completely breaking the sort of resistance axis using oil against us. This is yet another example of how things I think, you know, you guys are blackpilling so much about the Straits of Hormuz and oil, like a remarkable event. That means the UAE can massively expand its own oil production. So that was always a remarkable of these things that President Trump is his own man. He's not some idiot. That New York Times article demonstrated it. And he went to war because he believed it was necessary to do this because left unmolested Iran would endlessly continue their nuclear pursuit.
31:26And it didn't matter how many demonstrations of like military capability. Hang on. Hang on.
31:33Piers Morgan:Don't all talk at once, please. I'll come back to you. Buckley, I'll come back to you. I mean, the point I would make to that, Will, is that may well be true. OK, I think he is his own man and he obviously felt the moment was right. However, I think that Israel, through Netanyahu in the White House situation room and with the head of Mossad joining them remotely, painted a scenario to President Trump that if they took out the Ayatollah and they had this opportunity to do so and the top leadership, that the IRGC would collapse from within, the people would rise up, there would be regime change and everyone would be far too distracted to worry about the Strait of Hormuz.
32:11Piers Morgan:None of the rest of it happened. So it may well be that Donald Trump, for the best of intentions, having talked about this for many decades, genuinely felt this was a chance for all that to happen because the Israelis, through their intelligence, the Mossad, the finest intelligence agency in the world, by their own statements, that they painted a picture to him which he felt would happen and it simply hasn't materialized. And I think that may well be the reality. Buckley, just coming back to my point about where this all leaves the conservative right, because it is fascinating to watch the American conservative right kind of eat itself alive a bit, where you've got your brother, you've got Megyn Kelly or Candace Owens, you've got all these people lining up to attack a Republican president over going to war against Iran.
33:01Piers Morgan:And you've got people like Mark Levin and others on the other side staunchly supporting him. There's a real schism now in the conservative right. How does this play out, do you think? Well, I think you define it well when those are the borders. And on the one side, you've got people who were stalwart, not fans of Donald Trump, but fans of his program that he articulated so well and strongly and in the face of just overwhelming and murderous opposition over the past decade. And then you've got people, sham frauds like Mark Levin and others, Ben Shapiro, who didn't support Trump, didn't support the populist agenda, didn't support the program, were disdainful of him and the America first ideals.
33:46So yeah, I think in the few, I would say there are a lot of people who are interested in having a Republican party or at least a party that gets back to the principles that say, let's operate on behalf of America and Americans first and foremost. Pretty easy to do, pretty easy to make America great again if you stick to those principles. It's a shame that Donald Trump hasn't. I just want to say two other things. I disagree that Donald Trump wanted to do this, not only because he articulated it so many times and so aggressively and pushed back against the John Boltons and others during the first term.
34:24But I'm certain that right up until the moment that we attacked Iran in this non-war war that we're involved in, he didn't want to. He was resistant to it. He understood that Americans were not on board. He understood Americans and his voters were absolutely opposed to it. And he understood that not only would it be bad for us and American power, he understood it would be bad for our allies, but more importantly, for his own political agenda. You're suggesting about Donald Trump is blackmailed. Just say it. You don't have to like. Those are your words. Well, I'm not suggesting that he's being blackmailed.
34:57What are you saying? Or are you just making big accusations and insinuations? He's obviously being pressured. We don't have to. We don't have to speculate where that pressure is coming from. because we were just talking about... Just say what you mean. Stop being a coward. Say what you mean. Stop being a coward. Don't interrupt me. I'm not being a coward. He was pressured by Israel and others around him on behalf of Israel. Israel... And so he couldn't say no to them? Why not? I beg your pardon? Why couldn't he say no to them? What's your theory? That's... You can speculate about the kind of pressure he's been under.
35:28How about you speculate? You're the one who's proffering the theory. It's not a theory. It's fact. It's already been said. Oh, that he's being... That he's being blackmailed that he couldn't say no to them. Well, Will, it seems, Will, you're asking him to speculate and then criticizing him for speculating. I mean, like, I don't know. My point is that it's nonsense. He's the president of the United States and a billionaire real estate magnate. This is just Russiagate recircled. The idea that you guys pretending to be such great models of Republicans, rehashing the Democratic playbook of 2016, it's just like so telling.
35:59Guess what? I don't know. People who undermined America for, you know, the greater argument. Trump's first term. Israel's just taking the place of Russia, but it's a 10-year-old theory. Can I just say this? All right, don't all talk at once.
36:17Piers Morgan:Don't all talk at once, please. Let me bring in Dave Smith. I just want to say, Dave Smith, on this one point about what happens next. So Polymarket have the current prediction odds of J.D. Vats being the next leader of the Republicans as the nominee, 39 percent. Marco Rubio at 22 percent. Tucker Carlson is currently a third place on 6 percent. I heard Scott Galloway in his podcast yesterday painting a picture where he believes that Tucker is absolutely preparing to run for president and that with his enormous online following, plus his mainstream media following from when he was the number one rated guy at Fox and so on, and his sort of more traditional Christian conservative right credentials and the fact that he, you know, many people think he's more aligned to what Trump promised to be but hasn't turned out to be, that actually Tucker might end up being the nominee.
37:13Piers Morgan:Could you see that happening? Oh, I mean, well, if you're asking on inside information to Tucker, I mean, I am the closest to him on the panel. I would say that I don't particularly, I don't I don't think Tucker's gonna run is the impression I got I would love that if he did he would have my full support no question about that I think that there is this um this delusional attempt which I I'm not sure you never know what Donald Trump because he says everything you don't know exactly what's in his head but he has mentioned like at least four times that CNN poll that had him at a hundred percent of MAGA Republicans or something like that but the reality is, as you already mentioned, Pierce, he is, look, Donald Trump is about as popular as George W.
38:00Bush was after two disastrous wars and destroying the economy. He is conducting a war of choice that is the most unpopular war in American history. And again, Pierce, to my point, we haven't really seen what happens with this now. Now, I really think the best case scenario is that Donald Trump just stops. He does just let someone else figure out how to open up this straight. We end the blockade. We come home. We quit doing it. And we tell Israel we're not going to support them doing any more of it either. I think that's the best case scenario. But even if that happens, I still think Donald Trump is going to go even further down in the poll.
38:35So in other words, the point I'm getting to is that I don't think Rubio or Vance or anyone attached to this administration has a shot at being the next nominee. I think if things continue on as they are right now, it's going to have to be somebody outside of of this administration that with the exception of maybe Joe Kent or someone like who resigned and discussed when it was happening. And I just want to say libertarian fantasy land. Libertarian fantasy land. Sure. Sure. We'll see. We'll see. Well, he's already. We can make a bet at some point if you can figure out terms. Sure. Sure. Absolutely.
39:05He's about as popular as George W. Bush was. Okay. Anyway. So by the way, to Will's comment that this is just like Russiagate, like if you say Israel has influence over Donald Trump, that's the exact same thing as saying that he was in a conspiracy with the Russians to overturn the election in 2016. Something, by the way, that I have a great track record on. It was that Russia blackmailed Trump. Do you not remember the P-tape allegations? Yes, but again, instead of interrupting what I say, I know, but if you just let me finish my point, that wouldn't really work here. See the difference, and this is someone who every single day called out Russiagate for the hoax that it was, the deep state attempted coup of a democratically elected president.
39:43Every day on my show, I called that out through all of Russiagate. And yet, you know what, Will? If Donald Trump had said, hey, these Russians who care about Russia more than anything else have given me hundreds of millions of dollars. And every day they come to the White House and they lobby me to do stuff on behalf of Russia. And I always say yes, I always do it. Yeah, Russiagate would have had some more legs to it. If there was an entire Russia lobby in this country who had been pushing for a war of aggression for 30 years and then Donald Trump launched it. yeah, Russiagate would have some more legs on it.
40:15I'm sorry, man. Just saying that there is foreign influence somewhere doesn't mean every - It was like dominated the national conversation for three years. You must have amnesia. No, what you guys are doing is extraordinarily similar.
40:26Piers Morgan:All right. This is so dishonest. Let me see that. Yeah. I think the difference - Hang on. Time out. Yeah. Uh-huh. Time out. I think the difference is in Russiagate, we didn't have - Neither did Buckwheat. In Russiagate, we didn't have - Wait a minute. in Russiagate, we didn't have the Republican Secretary of State confirming Russiagate to the world in the way that we had Marco Rubio. Let me end by asking Buckley, the question I want to ask you, but in a slightly different way, is are you 100 % certain that Tucker won't run for president in 2028? I'm not 100 % certain of anything. I don't have control over this or much else.
41:13He's saying there's a chance. Would you like him to, Lockley?
41:20Piers Morgan:Pardon? Would you like him to run for president? Not especially. I'd certainly like him to help articulate exactly what the next president should be focused on. I think he's capable of doing that probably better than really a few other people in public at the moment. But speaking of articulating things well, Dave Smith's point was excellent. And yes, I think Donald Trump should do the right thing and get the hell out of Iran and declare victory for the 37th time and this time actually mean it. But maybe he could also apologize to America and his voters while he's doing it. Maybe he could actually come to Jesus.
41:59I know we're not supposed to say that in public anymore, but maybe he should. He could repent for the mistakes that he's made and he could apologize.
42:06Piers Morgan:Well, I think Russell Brand would certainly endorse that final point. Will Chamberlain, just finally, are you prepared in six months' time if the Iran war is dragged on and it costs Republicans both halves of Congress, are you prepared to make a public apology on Uncensored for being so resolute in your conviction it was all going to end brilliantly? I won't make an apology because I don't...
42:59Take control of your privacy with IPVanish. Make public apologies. I actually have to wrong someone to make an apology. I think apologies need to be private. But I will come on and concede error. How about that? Is that sufficient?
43:11Piers Morgan:I'll take it. I'll take that. That would be intellectually honest of you. I've got to leave it there. Fascinating conversation. Thank you all very much. Thank you. Thanks, Pierce. I'm now joined by the host of the No Spin News, Bill O 'Reilly. Bill, how are you? I'm the same, which is tragic, Piers.
43:37Piers Morgan:That is a great answer, Bill O 'Reilly. Yeah, no evolution here. Not even after the triumphant visit by my king, which many are seeing as a precursor to us reclaiming the United States, and you lot admitting it was all a terrible mistake and returning to a monarchy, a British monarchy? I think King Charles is doing a very good job trying to mend the relationship between the UK and the USA. Trump likes the king personally. And with your other people, leaders over there, that wouldn't happen. So it's instructive. We need to have the UK as an ally. So I think all is going in a positive way on that visit so far.
44:30Piers Morgan:Yeah, I mean, I thought they actually have an unusually warm, almost bromance relationship, don't they? They get on very well. They're around the same kind of age. They've both been public figures for a long time. They've both taken a lot of breakbacks over the years. I think there's more in common with those two than people would perhaps like to concede. Well, Trump likes the monarchy because of his mother. You know, I wrote a book, The United States of Trump, and I trace back. He's always been favorable to it. But at this point, you know, NATO has just blown itself up. And we've got to put that back together.
45:10I think the president knows that. And King Charles is doing his best. So the cliche in America is it's all good so far.
45:22Piers Morgan:Let me ask you this, Bill. I got into a debate with Sean Hannity last night on Fox about Britain's failure to, as he saw it, to do the right thing and be full square behind Trump and the Americans in the attack on Iran. And I said, look, I think it was wrong that we didn't allow the United States to use the bases when President Trump first asked. We weren't being asked to commit to joining the attack just to use that America use the bases. I thought that was wrong. But, you know, we have long memories in the UK. We do remember the Iraq war, the same kind of promises about imminent use of nuclear weapons by weapons of mass destruction by Saddam Hussein.
46:04Piers Morgan:and we committed to that and it became a huge disaster, not least for Tony Blair, the prime minister that committed British troops to that. He's still loathed by many Britons to this day because of it. Do you think it's reasonable for an ally like the United Kingdom to occasionally say, even to a great ally like the United States, look, we'll give you a little bit of help. You can use the basis, but we're not going to join a war if we have a problem with that. Should you feel compelled as an ally to always just join a war in that circumstance? That wasn't the ask, though. The ask was just be accessible, let our military planes land and refuel.
46:47The ask wasn't send troops or ships or anything like that. But in a sane world, a world that really understood what was happening, every nation on Earth would be aligned against Iran. Because it's no game that they are playing with uranium. This is no game. This is no Saddam Hussein situation. This is entirely a destructive situation that could take out hundreds of thousands of people. Now, if you don't believe that, it's because you don't want to believe it. Your belief is not based on anything other than you don't want to believe it. And let me make my point. So Mossad is a very, very good intelligence operation that has flooded the zone in Iran.
47:39And U.S. intel, the CIA and the NSA, are equally as good. And the IAEA, based in Austria, all say the same thing. There's no dissent. the Iranians are close to developing a nuclear weapon. So if you walking down Piccadilly Square don't want to believe that, well, okay, but that's on you. It's not based on anything. So I'm a fact-based guy, as you know. I look at the data and every nation should be trying to neutralize Iran. Every single one.
48:34Piers Morgan:let's turn to one of the other big stories of the week they're kind of interlinked really the white house correspondence didn't i think you were there this is the third time that donald trump's come under an attack of this nature there's a lot of talk about the secret service doing a great job and so on i'm not really buying that bill because i see a secret service who have one job to protect the president who allowed a kid to get on a roof in butler pennsylvania 150 yards away and actually hit the president with a bullet and kill somebody else. I see them not checking a perimeter of his own golf course before he played it and allowing a guy to sit for 12 hours in a bush about to kill him.
49:14Piers Morgan:And if that hadn't been for one eagle eyed sequel service agent, then he'd probably be dead. And now here you've got this deranged nutcase who comes all the way on a train from California, books into the hotel where this event is happening. Nobody checks his room. Nobody knows he's armed to the teeth. He runs through the security point, which has a little fight of steps down to the main ballroom. Five shots are fired by the Secret Service, none of which hit this guy. And in fact, it looks like they may have hit one of their own with this volley of bullets, which missed the target. And if the guy hadn't fallen over, he may have got down the stairs and may have gotten to the ballroom and committed some kind of atrocity, perhaps even killing the president.
49:55Piers Morgan:None of this to me looks like a Secret Service at the top of its game at all. In fact, quite the opposite. What is your view? Well, on the Butler thing, that was a massive screw up on the part of the Secret Service. The guy in the bush, you know, they got him fairly early. They were surveilling. So on Saturday night, I was standing at the doorway where you are permitted entry into the ballroom. 2 ,000 people. 3 ,000 in the rest of the hotel. 5 ,000 altogether. And I hear the shots. Okay? And they're loud. And I look up and there's an escalator that comes down from the main floor of the hotel into the ballroom.
50:45That was man top and bottom. Okay? It was man. Guy could never have gotten through that security that they had on the escalator. There were very few ways down to the ballroom. It's not like you just wander on in there. So the guy had no shot, pardon the terrible punt, of getting anywhere near President Trump. And right after the shots were fired on the main floor, the Secret Service stormed into the ballroom and covered the president. Now, I stood up. I I wasn't one of these guys that was biting the carpet under the table because I've been doing this for a long time and you've got to see the story, which I did.
51:28And then I immediately spoke to the marshal who was at the bottom of the escalator about what was happening upstairs. And he had an earpiece like I do now and he was telling in real time what was happening. I can't take it beyond that. You know, maybe there was friendly fire and maybe the Secret Service agent was shot by one of his own. We will find that out. But I can tell you with a surety that there's just no way, if you're going to allow hotel guests into the building, which the Hilton did, okay, how you can stop it. The guy came down a back stairs. All right, that's why he took the train from Chicago.
52:12He didn't want anybody surveilling him, but there was no way he was getting into that room.
52:20Piers Morgan:In regard to President Trump himself, I thought he was on great form with the king, laid on a lot of pomp and ceremony, a lot of history there, obviously a lot of with his family and with the royals and so on, which I think he loved that. That's him at his best. He was charming. He was funny. He was, you know, he was very convivial. but at the same time this whole backdrop of the iran war the damage it's doing to him in the in the short term politically with approval rating has hit a new low in the last week you've got you know prices for people at the pump and food and so on beginning to edge up again that's likely to get worse not better in the short term you've got the midterm elections coming he may lose you know both the house and the senate the way things are looking which you know would render most presidents pretty well a lame duck.
53:10Piers Morgan:You know the president well. You talk to him a lot. Is he getting twitchy about the way things are going here? That's not the right word. He's getting anxious. When it first started, I said to my audience here in the colonies, this is the biggest gamble that Donald Trump has ever taken in his entire life because things get out of control in the Middle East very easily. It's a very hard containment there. And you've got a brutal regime that will slaughter its own people, and you've got a lot of conflicting interests that the president's going to have to control. So what the likely scenario now is that the United States is strangling Iran economically.
53:55Yes, we're suffering here, but we can handle the suffering. The gas prices are up and food will probably go up a bit. We can handle it, but Iran can't handle it. Okay, so you're going to see in the next week or so, I think it'll happen that quickly, the reports of more negotiations in the Senate, because Iran's not going to be able to feed itself. There's no food And they're not going to get any food in So the president is relying on US intel And these people who say Israel's calling the shots I mean this is just ridiculous And they don't know anything Israel's not calling any shots The only intel that Trump acted upon Was the location of the mullahs when they were first killed in the first salvo, because Mossad knew where they were.
54:55But anyway, if my scenario and the president's scenario comes to fruition, that Iran does give up, which it's going to have to do, it's just a matter of when, then oil prices will drop very significantly, and everything will go back to so-called normal quickly. Now, nobody can predict when that will happen. There was a poll out yesterday from Harris-Harvard that says in the midterm elections, it's 50-50. You would think it would be way to the Democrats' favor. It isn't, because the Democrats have no leader, and they continue to do things that are unsettling to the majority of Americans who are not ideological.
55:41However, there's another poll out that says this is the worst financial situation for Americans in 25 years. So now you have battling polls. And if that 25 percent number holds, then the Democrats will likely win the midterms. And that will be the end of the Trump administration.
56:06Piers Morgan:Just finally, Bill, we were debating earlier in the show about who is the most likely to be the next Republican nominee. J.D. Vance is still number one in the polling for that, followed by Marco Rubio. Tucker Carlson, your old Fox colleague, is third now at 6 percent. What do you think? I mean, is it is it unfeasible that Tucker could end up being the nominee? look i don't follow that world uh... it's an interesting world but i i have better and more difficult things to do like gather facts and so anybody can run for president donald trump proved that he opened the door for anybody any populist candidate in america now has uh...
56:55pathway way. But it's inconceivable to me that the system in Washington would embrace any kind of social media guy. I don't want to single out Tucker Carlson, it could be anybody. The influencers. It's not the way it goes. As far as Vance and Rubio are concerned, Rubio has momentum. And Vance does not. However, it's three years, just about three years before the 28 thing swings into action. So I would say it's even money on those two guys right now. And there could be a few other populist candidates from the right that emerge. But a lot of this is just a waste of verbiage, you know, this one might run or that one.
57:57Anybody can run, but you got to raise a billion dollars. Okay. And you've got to be a person that's taken seriously. So those are two things that are fairly difficult to attain here in the colonies. Yeah.
58:17Piers Morgan:Finally, Bill, I don't know if you saw any of my interview with Russell Brand, but particularly the clip where he spends over two minutes trying to find a passage in the Bible, which many people are saying may have been the longest amount of dead air ever aired in a television news interview. So I'm just curious, have you ever had a longer period of sustained silence as a broadcaster during an interview with anyone? No, because I'm a blabbermouth. I would have filled it. but i i believe that most funded should it uh... emulate you and have as much dead air as they can because they say nothing they don't know anything and they don't care that no anything it's all about money that's what it's about in america and i suspect is that in the u k as well and so just so uh...
59:13viewers understand And when you go out on your own, which I did, and I formed my own news agency, not a punditry. It's an actual news agency. We run a news program, and now we've expanded into YouTube and exploded on a lot of different fronts. I make a ton of dough doing that, Pierce. A lot of money. Okay? And if you become famous in this area of social media, you can make a lot of money, too. And that's what it's about. So most people don't have the wherewithal to form a news organization. I did. And I formed it. Okay? It's easier to go solo and just rip up everybody and get your name on social media while so-and-so is smearing that or doing this or doing that.
1:00:11that's Kimmel's game. That's what the games are. They say this stuff, nobody watches them on TV, but boom, it goes out on social media. And you can sell ads off that if you have a platform on YouTube or any of the social media, X. And that's what this whole industry is all about. A lot of people don't understand it.
1:00:35Piers Morgan:Yeah, you're absolutely right. Bill O 'Reilly, great to talk to you. Thank you very much. Thanks for having me, Piers.
1:01:06Piers Morgan:Well, it just means you can't call me a British asshole because I'm technically an Irish one. That's fair. I'll take that one. David, good to talk to you. Take care. Good to talk with you. Be well. Piers Morgan Uncensored is proudly independent. The only boss around here is me. If you enjoy our show, we ask for only one simple thing. Hit subscribe on YouTube and follow Piers Morgan Uncensored on Spotify and Apple Podcasts. And in return, we will continue our mission to inform, irritate and entertain. And we'll do it all for free. Independent, uncensored media has never been more critical and we couldn't do it without you.
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The State Visit of King Charles III to the United States has been hailed as a major diplomatic win but it may also be serving as a timely distraction for Donald Trump amid growing domestic challenges.
With the fragile ceasefire in the Iran conflict holding (for now), tensions in what some are calling the “MAGA War” have also temporarily cooled but for how long?
Meanwhile, oil prices have surged to $115 following reports of an extended U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, raising fresh economic concerns. At the same time, the White House unveiled a controversial new “Kingly” passport design featuring Trump, just as his approval ratings hit a record low.
All of this unfolds against a backdrop of fierce debate over political rhetoric, free speech, and accusations of right-wing hypocrisy.
So what’s really going on?
Piers Morgan is joined by Host of Part of the Problem, Dave Smith, senior Counsel of the Article 3 Project, Will Chamberlain, former Republican and Trump speechwriter, Buckley Carlson, and host of No Spin News, Bill O’Reilly, to discuss.
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