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Podcast Episode Notes: Pivot
Episode Title
Writers Strike Deal, Betting Against the FTC, and Guest Mathias Döpfner
Summary In this episode of Pivot, hosts Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway dive into several significant topics, including the tentative deal between Hollywood writers and studios, the implications of the upcoming elections amidst misinformation, and an insightful discussion with Matthias Döpfner, CEO of Axel Springer, about the media landscape and his new book, *The Trade Trap: How to Stop Doing Business with Dictators*.
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Key Topics Discussed
- Hollywood Writers Strike Deal
- Tentative Agreement: The Writers Guild of America (WGA) reached a tentative deal with studios after a protracted strike.
- Expectations and Predictions: Kara and Scott reflect on their previous predictions regarding the strike's duration and outcome.
- Key Concessions:
- Increased royalty payments for streaming content.
- Assurances that AI would not undermine writers' credits and compensation.
Arguments on Union Strength
- Decline of Unions: Scott posits that the WGA deal might signal the weakening of unions, noting that only a small percentage of the workforce belongs to unions.
- Attention to Labor Issues: Kara argues that the strike brought attention to worker rights and pay, emphasizing the need for a minimum wage increase.
- Misinformation and its Impact
- GOP Attacks on Misinformation Researchers: Discussion about the political environment and the challenges faced by misinformation researchers ahead of the 2024 elections.
- Free Speech vs. Scientific Inquiry: The episode highlights the chilling effect on scientific discourse due to political pressures on researchers.
- FTC and Hedge Funds
- Betting Against Lina Khan: A hedge fund, Pentwater Capital, has profited by betting against the FTC chair’s cases, illustrating a pattern of skepticism towards the agency's effectiveness.
- Market Reactions: Insights into how the market responds to regulatory actions, particularly in the tech sector.
- Guest: Matthias Döpfner
- Media Landscape: Döpfner discusses the evolution of media ownership and the importance of separating media outlets from the owner’s personal views.
- Global Trade and Democracy: He emphasizes the need for a coalition of democracies to combat authoritarian trade practices and suggests criteria for trade partnerships.
The Trade Trap
- Core Thesis: Döpfner's book argues for a strategic decoupling from authoritarian regimes, proposing a new framework for democratic trade alliances that prioritize human rights and environmental standards.
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Key Takeaways
- Impact of the Writers Deal: The agreement may temporarily relieve tensions in Hollywood but raises questions about the future strength and relevance of unions in the changing landscape.
- Misinformation Risks: The growing polarization and misinformation present significant challenges to democracy and informed public discourse.
- Investing in the Future: Döpfner's perspective on media and trade highlights the importance of adapting to new realities while safeguarding fundamental democratic values.
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Conclusion The episode encapsulates a pivotal moment in both the media and the political landscape, with discussions that blend humor, sharp insights, and critical reflections on the forces shaping contemporary issues in technology, business, and governance.
For further engagement, listeners are encouraged to follow the Pivot podcast on social media platforms and submit questions for future episodes.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:27Adobe Acrobat Studio, so brand new. Rinse takes your laundry and hand delivers it to your door, expertly cleaned and folded, so you could take the time once spent folding and sorting and waiting to finally pursue a whole new version of you, like tea time you. Mmm. Or this tea time you. Or even this tea time you. So did you hear about Dave? Or even tea time, tea time, tea time you. Mmm. So update on Dave. It's up to you. We'll take the laundry. Rinse. It's time to be great. Oh, God, you're such a tasteless fuck, Scott.
1:06Hi, everyone. This is Pivot from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Kara Swisher, and I'm here to tell you Scott's already in an insufferable fuck mood. Go ahead, Scott. Say more. That's called Scott. No, you just insulted our producer. I did not insult her. How was that an insult? I did. Because you don't tell ladies to take off their glasses. You don't. I said she looked like Farrah Fawcett without glasses. I get it. We are not in an Anne Hathaway Princess Bride movie. Anybody who wants to tell me I'm better looking based on anything I do, bring it on. Well, we're not going to.
1:42See, that's never going to happen to you. You do. You do. Except when we talk about my looks, it's okay. Let me tell you how a man acts. My son, I was at a CNBC thing or taping, and Alex was sitting out in the lobby and the guy going on right after me said to him, your mom could smile more. That's what he said when I was talking about something super fucking serious. And he said to Alex, you could smile more. And my son turned to him and he said, you don't tell women not to smile more, but you could get a better face. And I loved him from that moment on. I'm just telling you, don't tell women.
2:16Well, okay. So first off, I think your son was right. And I like the fact, I think what a man does is he moves to protection, especially around his mother. The two, people tell me all the time to smile more. Now, granted, women have had a history of being told to smile more and have too much emphasis placed on their appearance. So I can understand that there should be an additional gag reflex. But I would bet for every time you're told to smile more, I get told to smile all the time. Really? Interesting. Interesting. Well - Anyways, point taken. Point taken. I don't think you should smile more.
2:47You should do whatever you want. But you go ahead. You go ahead and be in an Anne Hathaway movie. Listen, it's perpetrated by everything we do. Like, you know, these movies where they do that scene where they make the girl beautiful and she was ugly before, but then she's beautiful, that kind of stuff. Yeah. She has value. She has more value than we thought when she takes her glasses off. Yes, that's exactly right. Anyway, Clark Kent does it too, but he's handsome both times. Anyway, let's not waste any more time about our feminist issues right now. Let's get right straight to the big story of the people who wrote these terrible tropes.
3:23The Hollywood writers and studios have reached a tentative agreement on a new contract. That's after a marathon five days of talks. The deal still needs approval from the union board and members for the strike to end. But first, let's talk about us because we predicted this pretty closely. We initially thought it might go on and on. We never thought it would be short. But let's hear what I said back in August 17th when Don Lemon was co-hosting. My prediction, I'm going to go separately, not on Donald Trump, but on the writer's strike. I feel like it may settle by October 15th. I think there's some pain starting to feel by the studios who are in a better position from a leverage point of view.
4:00I think there's a lot of pain from writers and actors, and I don't think they're calling them rich people or is really working particularly well with the public. and I think they have to settle on some level and maybe push certain things down the road. I don't know. I just feel like maybe by October, they'll have to be settled. Here's what you said a little over a week ago. Okay, so Drew and Bill were shamed. They said, look, this is really awful. You're being an awful person. But they effectively ended the strike and I believe the writer's strike is gonna end in the next 30 days, if not the next two weeks.
4:35Here's the thing. The writer's strike gets done within the next 30 days because the big guys that aren't Netflix, the big guys sans Netflix are like, okay, we've been played. Netflix, this was a feature, not a bug for Netflix. The writers, the most important people, the most talented and probably smartest and biggest voices that I can tell, my pulse marketing talk to them are like, I am fed up with this shit. We have handled this poorly. So we got it right. Let's talk what's in the deal first. As of the taping, we don't have the full details, but the New York Times reports the writers got concessions on most of their demands from the studios, including bigger royalty payments for streaming content and guarantees that AI won't chip away at their credits and compensation.
5:20So what do you think? What do you think? Besides we're geniuses. I think this is another signal at the beginning of the end of unions. Interesting. People think they're stronger. Tell me why. And that's perfect for corporations. continue to give labor the illusion that they're well represented when only 11 % of the workforce or about three or 4 % of the population are even members of unions, such that corporations can slice and dice and either move to the 27, either avoid unions or move to the 27 states in the union that are basically have outlawed unions. But look at it this way, and we won't know until we get the until we get the results.
6:00First off, no matter what the terms were, the WGA has to pretend it's a monumental victory. Otherwise, why exactly did I lose six months of income? But look at it this way. It's a three-year deal. Effectively, they took everyone's wages as a means of negotiating, took a lot of their members or all of their members down to a compensation of zero for six months. So over a three-year deal, that means that unless they got an increase of total compensation of 16%, they've lost money because people are out of work for six months. So I'll be very curious to see the language, but this hot girl union summer is nothing but a head fake in jazz hands.
6:46The number of people who are actually in unions declined last year. And again, the stat that just that just kind of purposely embodies the dissonance here, the head fake around labor and its effectiveness, is that 330 Starbucks unionized. Yes, you noted this last week. Okay. Not one of them got a collective bargaining agreement. And that is for all the jazz hands and excitement and headlines around 330 Starbucks stores unionizing, it hasn't translated to a single cent in increased compensation for those workers. Well, not yet, right? Presumably not yet. They're just getting started, that particular group, right?
7:22We're just getting started with the end of this. Okay. All right. Now tell me, I want you to make, I know this is hard for you, I want you to make not a pro-union argument, but what was good about what they did? You think nothing. About what the writers did? Yeah. About what the writers and the actors and the UAW, et cetera, et cetera. They're bringing attention to the fact that in a nation where work is central to our economy and productivity and gives people purpose, and in a nation where we've had unprecedented presented prosperity, it needs to translate to progress. And a small nod towards progress is that anyone that works 40 hours should have some dignity and not live below the poverty line.
8:00Their aim is true. Their intentions are valid. They are the wrong construct. And instead of going to join a picket line that represents 4 % of America, Joe Biden should do his job and raise minimum wage for the first time in 15 years across 100 % of workers. So I think it raises attention to the fact that unions have very little leverage. This made no sense. Why did this show go uninterrupted? Why did 11th Hour Stephanie Ruhl go uninterrupted? Why did CNN go uninterrupted, but Colbert was off the air? I mean, without total participation, you don't have a union. You have something that is going to be atomized and weakened and divided, which is what has happened slowly but surely over the last 30 years in unions.
8:44Now, AI was a big sticking point, especially over old studio-owned scripts that they could shove it in there and make new, I don't know, bridesmaid's dresses, movies, or whatever. These are very formulaic, by the way, to start with by regular people. What do you think about that? I think my understanding is that you talk about positives. I think the WGA did raise an important point that will benefit all workers. And that is everybody, and we should be thoughtful about this, should have the rights and ownership of what I'll call their digital twin. if i don't know if you've seen there's a site that you can go to and you can ask a question of kara swisher scott galloway and it will attempt to answer the question in the voice of kara swisher scott galloway i don't think i think i think the two of us should own the rights of that i think when you everyone should have the rights over the ip of their digital twin and the wga has made some progress raising that issue but let's be clear for all the talk about how precious and creative the community is here, seven or eight of the 10 of the best performing films in 2021 and 2022 were basically reheated IP.
9:54They were either Toy Story 8 or, you know, Thor 11 Rangoon or taking something to, you know, a movie production of a play or something. Fast and Furious. There was a Fast and Furious. Yeah. Though original, it's the original scripts that did best, like Barbie and Oppenheimer and some others. Would you call Barbie an original IP? Well, it is. Well, it's never been a movie. Like, sure, yes, I would. Most people do consider it, that it's original IP. It's using other IP that was in another area, but original scripts did rather well. The whole idea was people were tired of the Marvel movies and this and that.
10:36They're tired of the constantly retreading. And I think that's an interesting thing. There's always trends that happen. If they get a good one, people will love it, right? But you're right. You're right. They certainly, creativity needs, human creativity needs to improve around a lot of this entertainment because there's so much creativity elsewhere online, places like TikTok, on Reddit, all over the place. There's really interesting content being created from, you know, with a nod to older things. Nothing is new under the sun, but there is some level of creativity. But one thing is clear. I think what Barry Diller and many others are saying is let's sue the bastards, the tech companies, if they steal our stuff, right?
11:16That's really what I think is most important. And if they can all get it together to realize they're on the same side, as you and I have said a lot, they're really fighting against the tech companies eventually. That's really the fight. That's the actual fight. But let's talk about next steps. WGA picketing is suspended, but writers can join the actors' picket lines. I don't think that's going to go on for too long. WGA leadership votes on the contract today, Tuesday. If it passes, the 11 ,000-plus guild members vote whether to ratify it. Writers can return to work pretty quickly, but not until the contract is formalized.
11:48I know a lot of my writer friends are writing now. They're just going for it. Talk shows will be the first ones back. Where does it leave this business, Scott, from your perspective? Substantially weakened. I mean, there's a few things when calculating the game theory around a strike. The first is what kind of leverage do you have? And unless you have 100 % participation, you don't have any leverage. So when the Teamsters struck against UPS, UPS represented 23 % of all package volume. And overnight, tens of millions of consumers would start getting messages when they ordered Calphalon from Williams-Sonoma that, I'm sorry, your shipment has been delayed indefinitely because of the UPS strike.
12:26And in addition, that company, UPS, you know, get really, really hammered really quickly with the strike. So they had leverage. Then look at what's happened here. Three of the four biggest players or four of the five biggest players, they were trying to suck blood from a rock. And that is these companies were deeply impaired already. And if you didn't know, and we keep saying this, if you didn't know there was a right to strike, you would know. There's so many substitutes. I think that was one of your best points. I agree. You wouldn't know it. So the consumer didn't care that the writers were on strike.
13:00And not only that, the most profitable company in their sector, Netflix, the strike was a feature, not a bug, because they got a lot of content from outside the U.S. Their subscriptions went up. I mean, essentially, every content company but Netflix, their stock went down dramatically since the beginning of the strike. It's interesting. I got a note, someone was in a text train with some writer to Hollywood people, and they go, someone said, looks like the long national nightmare is finally ending. And someone else wrote back, a writer, a well-known writer, said, praise the Lord. Now we comb through the rubble to see what's left of our business.
13:37And I thought that said it perfectly. Well, the writers I've been talking to said that the thing that has really changed the gestalt or the zeitgeist or the mood is the writer's strike was upsetting. But they said the thing that has really impacted them was the way they just see is just the unexpected decline of their hero, Disney. That if Disney's going down, we're all going down. And let's look, since the writer's strike, since the beginning of the writer's strike, Disney stock is off 19%, Warner Brothers down 13%, and Paramount stock has been cut in half. It's off 45%. And Netflix is up 20%.
14:14It's come back a little bit, but it's still up 20%. So you had, and this is what you should be doing. One, they don't have the leverage because they don't have unanimity of, it's like, why is this show on and not this show? No one could figure it out. Well, the union got in there and it didn't get in here, whatever it might be. But, you know, you have, they're going, they're striking against the wrong people. Again, the stat I love is that in one day, when Microsoft announced it was incorporating AI into its office suite, the market capitalization of Microsoft went up$174 billion. That's more than the value of Disney.
14:52And Disney's operating margins have gone down 75%. So who should you be striking against? And they do have leverage. These LLMs and AI, what do you think they're crawling? I mean - Yeah, 100%. This is going to be a big legal fight. This is going to be big. They're striking against the wrong people. They're going after the - They're trying to squeeze blood from the wrong rock. Right. So this is a three-year contract, as you noted. Is there any issues you see coming up? That's good that it's three years. They don't have to yell at each other for three years. But do you think they've learned anything here?
15:25Do you think this is sinking in? I know after that, when Diller was noting the tech people being the real problem, I got dozens of calls from Hollywood people that, like, they're, like, oh, you're right. Like, you know what I mean? But do you think they've learned on all sides, I think? Do you think they've learned anything? You know what? I don't feel close to it. What I would say is, do you notice how quiet Tim Cook, and you notice how they're like, let's just stay out of this show. Yes, of course. I notice. They're like, we don't even want, we want to pretend we have nothing to do with this.
15:58We want to pretend that when Apple or Lama, when Meta launches, we're going to pretend that it has nothing to do with us. When in fact, it has everything to do with them. Because when I write in, please write an outline for a chapter on testosterone, I'm writing this book on masculinity, and it comes back with stuff. I'm like, well, whose content is this thing crawling? And should they get a portion of my book proceeds? Or should Microsoft be paying them for the right to crawl their data? Who owes you money? Where is your – who is the end user that is – Provenance. Right, that gets value for your work.
16:39And they think that what they don't realize is the person they used to extract value from, someone ordering cable television because they're like, dad, we have to have cable TV. So pay$140 for the Joey Bag of Donuts special star ESPN Jets plus Big Bang Theory for the last 40 seasons. And then we're going to bundle in Bravo 7, 8, and 9 because it's a regulated monopoly called cable. That 17-year-old no longer cares. Like, yeah, dad, cut the cord. Mom, I don't need it. Cut the cord. Can I ask you a question? Where did you steal Joey Bag of Donuts from? I love that term, Joey Bag of Donuts. I know you do.
17:11You use it a lot. I just was thinking, where did Scott steal that from, this little LLM named Scott Galloway? I think I, I think I, I don't know where I got Joey Bagadonis. I don't know whose data I've crawled there. Where have you gotten that from? I've not heard that from anyone else, but you and I just thought of it because you said it again. JBD? Yeah, JBD. No, but what, your question around what has everyone learned here? Look, if you look at, it's simple. I think that if the real learning should be the following. The NASDAQ had its best first half in 40 years. And 70 % of its gains were from seven companies.
17:46And at the heart of all of those companies' acceleration in the four, I did the math here, it's somewhere between three and four trillion dollar accretion in stock market value, three and four trillion, Kara, was companies where AI is at the center of it, NVIDIA. AI is at the center of Meta because of Reels and their use of AI. AI is at the center, actually, I think of Netflix and its recommendation engine. AI is at the center of Microsoft. So the question is, if AI is literally sucking the oxygen out of the room and all the market cap, it's like, well, what is driving that value? And AI, it's incredible technology through LLMs, but if it doesn't have the coal, if it doesn't have the unstructured data sense and content, it's not worth anything.
18:26So my question is, are those coal miners, i.e. the creatives at the very beginning pulling ideas out of the earth that didn't exist before and in refining them into actual creative, then that's who they need to be consolidating against. All of these people should regroup next week and go, okay, our next meeting, we're all on the same side of the table. The WGA, SAG, AFTRA, Iger, Sherry Redstone. And on the other side needs to be Altman, Sandra Pichai, Nadella. They're the people you should be negotiating against. Yeah, surrender. Let me just say, we have warned you. We have warned you, Hollywood, who your true enemy is.
19:07this is like a plot of a movie that you think it's one person and then it's really another person. I think there's a Star Trek plot. Let me just tell you, we're telling you who your enemy is. Start to pay attention. Do you think this will have any effect on the UAW strike or not? I think it'll be faster. That one will be faster. Yeah, I think they'll, they have more leverage. I mean, here's the tough part though. Here's just the, here's the hard part. Again, it's the Elons and the Chinese and the tech four. Anyways, have you noticed that he has the ability when you realize like, that's a no win situation for me.
19:36And he's kept awfully mum. He's kept awfully mum. Hush. Just like Apple, Tim Cook. Do you think he's keeping mum because he wants to? He knows. I do not want to get into this fight. Yeah, because I'm good. But here's the bottom line. The domestic automobile manufacturers produce cars. They have to pay$65 per labor hour. Do you know the stock prices of Ford, GM and Stellantis are where they were literally before the financial crisis? Capital hasn't made a dollar off of these companies in 15 years because capital, fairly or unfairly, will just flow to the lowest, to the person with the largest margins, which in this case is the foreign automobile manufacturers and Tesla and Rivian.
20:16So all this starts, quite frankly, unfairly, unless you have unanimity around a union, which has the right aims, it's a race to the bottom. All the capital flows to the non-union guys. We do need to move on, but let me just say there's a reason Elon's quiet. Elon's never quiet. People were warning you again, automakers and autoworkers. Guess who's going to win here? This is not a big secret. We said it earlier, and now there's been 900 articles about it. All right, Scott, let's go on a quick break, and we come back. We'll talk about how fighting misinformation online has become a losing battle, and betting against FTC Chair Lina Khan has become a winning strategy.
20:55Our friend of Pivot is Axel Springer, CEO, Matthias Dopfner. He joins us to talk about the state of media in his new book on trade.
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23:15to censor right-wing views. It's a lot of lawsuits happening, going on. This is scary stuff. These groups were doing a service for the rest of us, studying political falsehoods, sharing important health information. How bad could it get without misinformation being kept in check and actually being sued to not speak? The only people who can't speak in a free speech environment, apparently, is scientists and researchers. The article notes that NIH officials sent a memo in July to some employees warning them not to flag misleading social media posts to tech companies and to limit their communication with the public and answering medical questions.
23:46These are doctors. One scientist quoted as saying, in the name of protecting free speech, the scientific community is not allowed to speak. Science is being halted in its tracks. It seems particularly dangerous ahead of the 2024 election facing litigation. Let me give you an example. Stanford University officials are discussing how they can continue tracking election-related misinformation. A coalition of researchers may shrink and also stop communicating with X and Facebook about findings. We've been relying on social media companies to be the watchdogs of misinformation. But thanks to Elon and others, it's not really happening anymore.
24:20So technology is getting more powerful. The guardrails are disappearing. It's not clear that anyone can stop it. Maybe the courts. And the White House, lastly, has its own issues. A recent ruling from the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals said the White House and other health officials likely violated the First Amendment by getting tech companies to take down posts about COVID misinformation, election fraud. I don't know, Scott, do you see any way forward? This is what they did on Roe, legal, legal, legal, legal, legal, and scaring the crap out of people. I think it sends, I mean, it sends a chill down my spine, the notion that whenever you have, I mean, there's some really scary data, and I've been doing a bunch of research around AI.
25:02The percentage of people who have a patent, they used to predominantly aggregate to universities. Now they predominantly aggregate to private companies. Or patent collectors like Nathan Miover-Old and others, but go ahead. But I'm not talking about ownership of them. I'm talking about people who actually have their own patent. If you technically define an inventor as someone who has their own patent, they used to go to universities. And now they still go to universities. And then sooner rather than later, they go to the private sector. And so anytime, and also I think something wonderful about academia is you're told from day one, we'll give you tenure.
25:38we'll protect you as long as you pursue the truth and you check your data really thoroughly and we'll protect you. And there's something wonderful about that. And the first universities were placed outside of the city of Athens so they could say what they wanted to. That's a wonderful part of our society. So anything that chills them is really frightening. Now, the other side of the issue, the judge said something I thought very powerful that kind of stopped me. Basically, the judge ruled that the administration is, open quote, improperly influencing tech companies' decisions to remove or suppress posts on the coronavirus and elections and went on to say that the government has assumed a role similar to an Orwellian ministry of truth.
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26:17And I thought, wow, that is powerful. But what I see is, or what I view this as, is nothing but an externality of giving a sector a hall pass such that they're no longer subject to the same laws and standards as the rest of the people in their industry. I think you're 100%. That's a very good point. Specifically, when we implemented 230 to give nascent technologies protection from the liability most media companies face when they slander or they defame or they spread misinformation and people start dying. When we removed, when we gave them that liability shield, they started behaving recklessly.
26:55And we haven't adapted our laws in the last 26 years to recognize that these guys are now responsible for the majority of the information we consume. So into that void stepped the government that said, hey, when it goes viral that there is an outbreak among teenagers of the enlargement of hearts and there really isn't any data to support that it's above where it was before, we would like you to stop to check that data and to make sure it doesn't spread to everybody such that nobody wants to get their kids or their teens vaccinated. and correctly, correctly, legally, you could say the government shouldn't be telling us what to say.
27:35It's a really powerful argument. The government should not be telling media companies what to say. I get it, except that this is what they've done, these right-wingers all the time, is go to put lawsuits in front of these people that are doing research. Every single person I talk to that I have talked to in the past at the Stanford Internet Observatory, everywhere else, they have clammed up like you can't even off the record, they've clammed up. And it's crazy. And it's because they're threatening them. They're going to threaten them. And they're using this First Amendment as a cudgel when it's all cynical.
28:10It is not a first free speech issue for these people. It is a, we don't want you to say this because our constituency is a bunch of dumb asses and we want them to stay stupid. And, you know, perhaps the government shouldn't be involved, but these researchers, are you kidding me? Like they're going to sue them out of existence. This is a patented technique, these people. I wish the Democrats would use these, Democratic or liberals use these lawsuits more as a cudgel. But this is a perfected methodology of these groups. And people like Jim Jordan are the most cynical people on earth. They're not interested in the truth.
28:46They're interested in shutting down, you know, shutting down researchers who are telling the truth. They just don't want it because they believe, some of them do, and you've seen the huge rise in anti-vax power. There's been so many powers of anti-vax people, people not wanting to get their kids vaccinated. You know, just like what happened with COVID, this is natural selection happening again, right? Because a lot of these kids are going to get diseases that don't get vaccinated that have been out of, that have not happened for decades and decades. And then the ones who do get vaccinated won't.
29:20And it's, I just, It's so irresponsible on so many levels. I just don't, I don't know what to say. When we talk about this stuff, we naturally kind of throw up our arms and tech companies will throw up their arms and their go-to is the delusion of complexity that these are intractable, unsolvable problems. And for me, it all goes back to the same place and the same potential solution. And that is the dissenter's voice is really important. The first people online who said, well, I think the virus originated in a lab in China were called jingoist and dangerous. And it ends up, there's probably more veracity to that statement than we'd originally thought.
29:55They don't know. Let me just, Scott, I'm going to press you there. Nobody knows. Well, it's no longer, I would argue it's no longer a conspiracy theory. Fine, fine. The only reason that happened was because Trump kept saying China or whatever he was saying. It was linked, it was next to something else. I think you're going to agree with my end destination here. I think that the dissenter's voice is important. And if somebody wants to say, I believe mRNA vaccines alter your DNA, they should have the right to say that. The question is, when a social media platform's algorithms who are not benign, they're not malicious, they're just totally indifferent, they're all about optimizing to get to sell more Nissan ads, says, you know what?
30:34Certain types of content enrage people, specifically novel content, which oftentimes can be false or incendiary. And what we're going to do is we're going to take that content and we're going to elevate it inorganically, unnaturally. We're going to elevate it such that it gets more and more sunlight than it would get on its own merits. And when people start seeing this thing over and over and over, there is a psychological effect. When you see something over and over and over, you tend to believe it's less crazy than it might be when it only got the natural sunlight based on the merit of the science behind it.
31:08So when a media company, and these are media companies, algorithmically elevates content for their economic benefit, why on earth would they not be subject to the same scrutiny, laws, and obligations as every other media company that decides to elevate content and put it on their primetime and say that Hugo Chavez was weaponizing voting machines? Well, you know that's a lie, but you elevated it to primetime, and you continue to lie about it, so you have to pay$800 million. But when there's 3 million times that amount of content on Meta, they're not liable. Yep, I agree. I agree. Let's sue the bastards.
31:46Let people sue the fucking bastards. That's what I say. Well, we got to have carve-outs to$2.30. They do. Anyway. Okay, let's move on to our next big story. We've talked a lot about Lina Khan's record as the FTC chair and whether she's taking on Meta, Microsoft, or Activision Blizzard. She's lost more than she's won. when one hedge fund is making the most of that losing track record and finding a winning strategy in betting against Khan, according to the Wall Street Journal. By anticipating the failure of Khan's FTC cases and investing in trading accordingly, Florida-based Pentwater Capital is reaping the benefits in a big way.
32:20The CEO of the fund telling the journal after a recent FTC loss, we have had the ability to take something that would have made tens of millions of dollars and instead make many, many times that amount. They've clearly hired lawyers to go over this because they thought the strategy she had was wrong and weak, and they bet against it. In the case of the Pentwater CEO, he spoke about a recent FTC action against pharmaceutical giant Amgen, saying it was just clear from the reading of the complaint the government wouldn't be able to prove its case. I was very surprised the FTC would bring such a weak case.
32:53Not just Pentwater, there's others finding success with the strategy. This guy doesn't think it's going to last too long because she's going to win at some point. But what do you think of this? What would you think about this? This is interesting. I thought it was interesting. I thought it was interesting too, but I think it was unfair to paint this guy as the villain. You know, hedge funds - I don't think they did, did they? It made it feel like he was doing something wrong, is the way I read it. Look, this is a good bet. And that is that over time, over the last 30 years, betting on the side of mergers going through and the government's inability to block mergers has been a good bet.
33:28And when a stock declines 20 % on the threat of a lawsuit from the DOJ or the FTC, it's just a good bet to say, no, I think this merger, I think the, whatever you want to call it, the power of capitalism or judges to err on the side of deals getting done, whatever it is. I mean, the most ridiculous one, literally the most ridiculous one was when the DOJ under Trump filed suit against - Oh, AT &T merger. Against AT &T taking over Time Warner. And that, I mean, that was just ridiculous. But anyways, Because this guy is basically betting on lobbyists and betting on these organizations' power to get these deals through.
34:09And he's been more right than wrong. And how hard it is to do this. Yeah, to block a deal. Last year, Khan said, I'm certainly not someone who thinks success is marked by 100 % court record. If you never bring these hard cases, I think there's a severe cost to that that can lead to stagnation and stasis. Now, the CEO noted that, is that she'll win at some point or they will win at some point on some of these things. and the long-awaited Amazon antitrust case is expected to be filed in federal court this week, they'll probably be looking at this, another harder one. I think they just, there's no such thing as an ironclad case, but on the weak ones, it's good to bet against Lena Kahn in that regard.
34:41Yeah, there's two, a more active FTC is probably a good thing. I mean, you can say both ways. If she keeps racking up, a lot of people would argue that the scrutiny here is what causes a change in behavior, Even if it ultimately ends up going through, they usually have to provide some concessions. And all of that, you got to respect someone in their, you know, an academic coming up and saying, I'm not afraid of anybody. You know, I'm just, regardless of whether there's, and also fighting the good fight, you could argue you're supposed to fight the good fight regardless if you think this is the wrong deal.
35:15Regardless of the likelihood of victory here, you're supposed to fight the fight. Having said that, and we've talked about this over and over, she needs a big win desperately. She does. She does. We'll see. It's very hard to do what she's doing. But this is just, I didn't think he came off as a thing. I thought it was interesting. Smart guy. That's what I thought. I don't know. I just thought, oh, okay. These smart guys, these hedge fund guys are smart. They only find money under every fucking rock there is. Well, actually, just a word on hedge funds. The best way, and I've been involved with hedge funds for 30 years.
35:43The best way to describe, is that true, 30 years, 20 years? The best way to describe hedge funds or alternative investments is expensive but bad. And that is, if you look at the stock market against the last 10 years, they've been crowded into these big names that you don't need a hedge fund to buy Apple for you. So they've had to find other means of trying to outperform the S &P, and the majority of them have not. All they have done is underperform the S &P and then charge you$2.20. So this is an industry - Explain what$2.20 is. It's 2 % of the fee and then 20 % of the carry, right? Rich people in institutions like to think that they're rich because they're smarter and smarter people should have access to a luxury brand and something better.
36:22So instead of just investing in SPY or index or ETF funds, which is exactly what they should be doing, they hire expensive groups of people with big degrees. And they say, we're going to find alpha and different types of underappreciated investments. And you're going to give us$100. And every year, we get$2 of that. So if you have a hedge fund that has$10 billion under management, on January 1, you get$200 million. It's a really good business when it gets to scale. And then if we double that money and we turn$10 billion into$20 billion, we get another$2 billion. We get 2 % of the assets under management and we get 20 % of the upside.
36:55And the reality is the majority of alternative investment vehicles that charge you outrageous fees. Vanguard, I think, charges you 10 basis points or 0.1 every year and none of the upside. And most Vanguard ETFs have outperformed the majority of these really expensive alternative investment vehicles. That's a very good point, people. people. I always say the only people that always get paid are government officials and tax officials and venture capitalists. They always get paid no matter how. Low cost ETF and index funds. Yeah, it's the way to go. It's the way to go. Anyway, that's really interesting.
37:26But this guy managed to find a little in. They managed to find a little in. Anyway, let's bring in our friend of Pivot.
37:38Matthias Dopfner is the chairman and CEO of Axel Springer, the German media company that owns Politico and Insider, among many others. They also own some German papers, I understand. His latest book is The Trade Trap, How to Stop Doing Business with Dictators. I've interviewed him many times, know him pretty well, a really interesting media figure. Welcome, Matthias. Hi, Kara. Hi, Scott. Anyway, we're going to get to the book. But first, I just would love to get your thoughts on the Rupert Murdoch news. And I'm going to put retirement in quotes because I don't think that old crone is going anywhere.
38:11But go ahead. Tell me what you think. Well, I have no particular insights. I think it is a complicated succession story, it seems. I think it is an interesting retirement age at 92. The question is whether that is really kind of the mark of a new era of media ownership. Because I think really this kind of type of media owner, media mogul is probably over. And that's why it may be the end of an era. And as we are always open for change and new things, the new era may be even better. Let's see. It could be. Has Murdoch influenced the way you do business? You were described as a press baron for the digital age, part Murdoch and also part Musk in a New York magazine profile.
39:01But has he influenced you or who influences you? Well, the figures that really had an impact on my kind of thinking are more journalists, publishers, in the sense of active writers, authors. But of course, if it is about doing business and creating an incredibly powerful and global media property, of course, Rupert Murdoch is definitely a towering figure. And as always with these towering figures, it's white and black and some gray nuances in between. I'm just curious when you think about that, the idea of what is a modern press digital person? How would you describe it? Well, there is first this old kind of saying, if you want to have influence on a newspaper, you should not own it.
40:00And I think that defines very well a fine line that I think modern media owners should respect. Of course, we have values and hopefully we are transparent with the values and the values define a corporate culture. And there's nothing, no such thing than a neutral media asset or neutral journalist is always human beings. But it should be not the reflection of the owner's views. And I think a modern factor would be that you should clearly distinguish between your own views and preferences and the views of your publications. They should and may not and cannot be in sharp contrast. They would be also to a certain degree, but keep a distance, keep a healthy distance and don't try to make the media brand an amplification of your own views.
40:52I think that is a very important thing. Then the second aspect would be that technology plays a completely different role today. And at least the role of technology should be deeply understood. You don't need to be a techie in order to do that. But that is definitely a different priority. And we may also have to rethink the whole role that a media brand or a publication plays. It used to be the media brand that attracted the readers. I think today it is way more the authors, the creatives, the creators. And so perhaps a modern publisher, a digital publisher is more a bit like a music company where you create an environment and you create an infrastructure and a technology and a marketing that helps great talent to excel and to reach its audience.
41:40But they definitely play a bigger role than that used to be the case. So those would be three criteria, but there are many more perhaps that define a new form of media ownership. All right, Scott's got a good question, but let's talk about the trade trap, which you write in this book about the future of our freedom, which you are expressing your opinions, by the way, and we need to decouple from countries like Russia and China. How would that happen exactly? Well, the most important point is that we have to define that really as an international project and not as a form of unilateral decoupling.
42:17That is the way that the United States have chosen so far. I think that is not going to solve the problem and it is only weakening the United States. And if Europe thinks that in dealing with China, with Russia, with other autocracies or dictatorships, they can do it alone, I think they're making a big mistake. That's why I truly think that isolationism is the absolute counter recipe for what we got to do. We need to form, and that is the concrete proposal that I'm making, we need to form a free alliance of democracies that do business together based on three criteria, acceptance of the rule of law, acceptance of human rights, and acceptance of certain CO2 targets.
43:02And everybody who accepts these criteria can become a member in a very informal way and can do tariff-free trade. Everybody who doesn't accept that can still do trade, but has to pay high tariffs. And I think that will strengthen democracies. It's a bit like a tax reform. In the short term, it may have some costs and perhaps some downsides. In the mid and long term, it is far overcompensating these costs and downsides. And with that, strengthening and defending democracy. That is, in a nutshell, the proposal that I'm making. But again, it is only going to work if we reach critical mass. America can do it alone.
43:38Europe can do it alone. this transatlantic alliance is the basis, but then as many democracies as possible should join from Japan to Canada and Australia to democratic parts of Asia, Latin America, and very importantly, India. India is a pretty decisive country here. A more global and woker NATO. Matthias, good to see you. We've been having a lot of conversations about the rider's strike and unions more broadly. And the term we use is there's a difference between being right and being effective. And loosely speaking, I've been saying that unions in the U.S. are right, but not effective. I would argue in Germany, they're both right and effective.
44:18I'm curious, coming from a nation that is highly unionized, any observations you might have around the writer's strike? And what is the difference between unions' role in the U.S. and their effectiveness and in Germany? I think a good balance between labor representatives, unions, and shareholders and executives is healthy and has, in a way, over the long term paid off for a more stable, more predictable and fairer system of economy. All exaggerations are wrong and are worrying. And I think it is very important that good units, good labor representatives really see themselves as the representatives of the workforce of the labor.
45:01And you could always say, in that sense, the interests of the well-being of a company and the well-being of the workers are very much aligned. Only if the company does well, only if the company is successful, it is in the long run healthy and good for the employee. So concretely, in that context, without interfering at all and having a point, having a judgment on the strike in America, I'm a European, so it's hard for me to judge. But I think in general, whether it's Europe or America, you can never fight progress. And the most important thing is you have to embrace progress. You have to embrace progress.
45:40You can discuss and can have a controversial discussion about what is appropriate in order to fairly compensate creatives, for example, in that concrete context. But don't try to fight artificial intelligence. That is a lost case. We got to embrace this. we got a benefit from that. And I see for the whole industry, for the creative industry, for journalists, for script writers, for actors, for musicians, I see a lot more opportunity if we really use artificial intelligence in order to get empowered and be more creative and be even better with regard to the quality of our creative products. But to just say, we have to fight that kind of progress.
46:25It's not going to work. So when you're talking about progress, You know, it's interesting because Biden, when he was, President Biden was talking about China in his speech at the UN General Assembly last week, was shifting it a little bit. And he's saying we're for de-risking, not decoupling with China, which means acknowledging where they're headed. And we seek to responsibly manage the competition between our countries so it does not tip into conflict. Do you, and he also, of course, did the prisoner swap last week, five Americans freed in Iran exchange for five Iranians who'd been in U.S. custody, plus Iran getting access to$6 billion in previously flown assets.
46:59Is that the kind of thing you're talking about, the idea of a more flexible democratic initiatives or not? So, first of all, I think these terms, whether it's decoupling or de-risking, don't matter too much. I mean, it's just the packaging. The question is really, what is the essence? What is the substance? And it is very clear that on the one hand, we cannot stop doing business with a country like China tomorrow. And on the other hand, I think for me, it is crystal clear that we can't continue on the old path. And the old path was the more you do business, you as a democracy, you do business with a non-democracy, the more the non-democracy will turn to a freedom and human rights-oriented model.
47:46And that has not been the case. This old paradigm change through trade didn't simply happen, or it happened the other way around. Because the more we dealt with Russia, particularly we, the Europeans, the Germans, the more we strengthened Putin and created basically the Putin that we have to deal with today in this terrible war. The EU is, on a daily basis, transferring more than a billion euro to this dictatorship because we have created an unnecessary energy dependency from Russia. If trade relationships turn into dependency, it's always bad. That was the case with Russia, and it is also the case with China.
48:22More than 90 percent of US antibiotics are based on components that are exclusively produced in China. So you could say our health system is already to a certain degree dependent from China. That is unhealthy, and we need to come up with an alternative. And this alternative, I think, cannot be we stop business tomorrow. It cannot be unilateral decoupling. It cannot be a third way for Europe that we try to be best friends with both. That's not going to work. We need to step by step reduce dependency. But I think we need to do it based on a self-confident and bold proposal and behavior. And that is the one that I'm making in my book, The Trade Trap, because we have been led in a trap.
49:03Now, how to escape by saying, we join forces, we basically re-establish a transatlantic alliance that is not only a security alliance like the NATO, it is also a trade alliance, perhaps a bit in the spirit of the old GET agreements that work pretty well and way better than W2O, which is a dysfunctional bureaucracy and should cease operations sooner or later. So you've made big investments into to growth media companies, Politico and Business Insiders. You made big investments, which naturally connotes that you're bullish on American media and bullish on the American economy. Why is it that you're bullish on America and specifically American media?
49:50Well, first of all, experience, because if we look to the developments over the last couple of hundred years and decades, America did pretty well, despite some bad-mouthing, some adversarial trends. America has a very, very vital ability to, in a way, reinvent itself. And also its institutions, its democratic institutions, have a very strong ability to prevail. Even if there are crises, we have seen some also in the very recent past. The American institutions are strong and the American people are very strong. this free will of the American people is the most important thing that I count on. In America, the value of freedom is deeply rooted in the individual.
50:35And Americans will never allow to be in a kind of dependent relationship, neither to their own government, which they always want to keep under control in a very healthy manner, but even more with regards to other nations and particularly with regard to non-democratic nations. So in that sense, America remains for me, despite all the crises and the grass on the neighbor's green, maybe always greener, maybe that insiders and Americans may see some things in darker tones. But I still think that the likelihood that America is going to remain a healthy democracy is, despite current events, is very high.
51:16and that this kind of aspiration that is very kind of strong in the American society is also an important factor that you can count on. And that combined with the absolute size of the market, it is still the biggest democratic economy in the world. I mean, simply makes it a very attractive market. Scale is way different. Look at the European markets. They are all limited also by languages and geographies that are way smaller. So the potential in America is simply in a different dimension. So you're very bullish. You know, we're a year away from the presidential election. We've got a government shutdown looming.
51:55There's a concern about disinformation, particularly with AI in the mix. We got some crazy going on. We have bad theater goers among our elected officials. When you think about that, you were making a very bullish case, but is there things that you and your publications are doing to combat that or not? It's just you're not worried about it. Well, yes, I can give you a very concrete answer. The thing that worries me perhaps most, and that is a global trend, but it is also very strong in America, is polarization. I think polarization is super dangerous. And polarization based on the idea of alternative facts, where each bubble has its own facts, is even more dangerous because that destroys the fundament of democracy.
52:41Also, it destroys the fundament of free decisions during an election, for example, because if you have no mutual factual base, what do you decide upon? So it is basically opening a door towards manipulation and propaganda that is then closer to non-democracy. So that worries me, and that is, you could say, on one hand, a political phenomenon on all sides and bubbles in various areas of society. But it is also something that, unfortunately, some media or an important amount of media brands are amplifying, but also taking predictable sides. As I said, there is no neutral media outlet, but I think a media brand should always keep a certain degree of unpredictability.
53:23Being unbiased, being nonpartisan and being critical towards all sides. Our role is not to advocate a good idea. Our role is to ask critical questions, to do perhaps unwelcome investigation, come up with investigative news and scoops, create news in that sense and be a critical reflection of what the powerful in our society are doing. I think that is the role of media. And now you could say basically in America, a lot of media brands are doing pretty much the opposite of what I've just described. Maybe now we take the contrarian bet if almost everybody does this to do the opposite, maybe a good contrarian case.
54:05That's our bet. You're also investing a lot in AI. You did some cost-cutting measures across Axel Springer, laying off some people. And it was tied to AI, with staffers told that the paper would be, quote, parting ways with colleagues who have tasked that in a digital world are performed by AI and or automated processes. And when we talked last year at Code, you stressed the importance of, as you were noting right now, editorial quality in journalism and digital journalism in particular. Are you concerned at all that AI has some issues which could also create more polarization and problems? Honestly, I'm always concerned because wouldn't I be concerned I would be naive and stupid.
54:42They are always dangerous. And with every progress, with every new technology, there is a danger, of course. I see that and I see also the need for immediate and strict regulation that protects the IP of the content creator because otherwise there is no incentive to ever invest into a film, invest into music, invest into journalism, invest into science. So that is absolutely right. But, and this is my important but, I see a lot more opportunities than threats and very concretely in the media industry. We have now the historic opportunity to basically delegate all the boring stuff of our business that we had to do.
55:20And I give you some examples. that is the technological part of production, that is to a certain degree error correction, that is translation, that is layout, that is photo selection, that is a kind of aggregating information that is out there and rewrite it. All that can be delegated to bots step by step, and they will do a good job. They will do a better job than humans. And then journalists, human journalists can focus on what always has been the core, and that is go out and observe reality, describe reality, be a good reporter. Go somewhere and investigate something that was not supposed to get published and create investigative scoops.
56:00Have a correspondent at a place on earth where nobody is and nobody sees what is happening there and come up with very individual and unconventional analysis and opinion pieces, editorials that stimulate discussion. Those are the things that have always been the interesting part of journalism. They have distinguished great brands from not so great brands. That was the fun part of our business, and that we can do now. And we can allocate money and investments from the boring part to the exciting part. So, Matthias, we caught up a couple of weeks ago, and I didn't know this about you. You have four sons.
56:34So, obviously, that forces you to think about the future. You're sort of at the helm of the bobsled of politics, business, both in Europe and in the U.S., what do you think the biggest threat, when you think about your sons and their lives after, you know, we're gone, what do you think is the biggest threat facing democracies? Yeah, Scott, I dedicated my book to my kids because I think the biggest threat is that we lose democracy. That is what I'm most worried about, that we lose this fundament of a free and open society, of individual freedom, of human rights. It is driven by economic success and the dependency that step-by-step is created from countries that have very different values.
57:22And I'm also worried by this bigoted approach that we have more and more companies who excel with regard to ESG standards and focus on every little detail, if it is about gender pronouns or whatever. And the same company, the same CEO is delegating large parts of the business to non-democratic countries where people are killed because they are gay or women get stoned because of adultery. That is double standards. And that shows me that democracy is under attack. Also, if I look to the numbers of Freedom House and that also the consensus that it is something that we need to protect is going to disappear because people think democracy and freedom is granted.
57:59It's there. It's going to remain forever. It's not, if I'm looking to my four kids, that they may live in a different world, authoritarian system, surveillance by the state. Everything is monitored and they are just acting like slaves serving to an authoritarian force. That is my dystopia. And this I want to avoid. And that's why I'm getting up in the morning, trying to be a good journalist and run a media company appropriately. And that's also why I wrote that book, to stimulate a discussion. And getting back to the end, what is the biggest threat to free trade from your perspective right now?
58:33The biggest threat to free trade is unilateral decoupling, which is going to foster nationalism. And that is very unhealthy because we live in a global world and we can only solve the challenges from climate change to the kind of big economic challenges. is we can only solve that together and we cannot solve it in a kind of isolated, isolationist, nationalistic manner. And the other big worry is that if we don't do anything and if we just continue as we do, that we then get undermined by non-democracies. And we have seen the writings at the wall. I mean, just to illustrate that the German car industry is pretty dependent on China already, that the CEO of Daimler had to publicly apologize for an advertisement that was quoting the Dalai Lama in a very, very harmless manner.
59:28And then when I asked the Chinese ambassador, did he really have to apologize? The answer was, not really, only if Daimler wanted to continue to sell cars in China. Then that gives me a flavor of what may happen if we don't do something. Yeah, absolutely. Anyway, Matthias, it's a really interesting book, and it's true, They're all linked together in that way. Anyway, his book is called The Trade Trap, How to Stop Doing Business with Dictators, which I think we should all do immediately. And it's out now. Thank you, Matthias. Thank you, Kara. Thank you, Scott. Thanks, Matthias. Good to see you.
1:00:02He is an impressive man. I don't always agree with him, but I got to say, what do you think, Scott? I think Matthias is a great role model for young people and especially young men. He's been married for a long time. He has four sons. He's a baller professionally, and he takes seriously protecting democracy, protecting people who are less fortunate than him. You know, I think he's a great role model for young men and young professionals. I will note that they're the one company, media company in Germany, that really stresses issues around anti-Semitism and signing things and pledging and making people sign it who work there and work with them.
1:00:40Anyway, Scott, one more quick break. We'll be back for wins and fails.
1:01:11We'll see you next time. Visit Sierra.ai to learn more. Not all journalism is the same. Take The Guardian. Our coverage has something unique. Fierce independence. Nobody owns us or tells us what we can and can't say. So we're free to report the whole picture. We connect what's happening in Washington to the rest of the globe. Expose corruption wherever we find it. And give fresh perspective on everything. From wellness and soccer to culture, the climate and more. Read, watch, and listen to The Guardian for free at theguardian.com.
1:01:53Okay, Scott, let's hear some wins and fails. Do you have any? Wins is my brother's birthday. Happy birthday, David Swisher. That's my win. No. Yes, it is. He's a great brother. He's the one you don't hear about. I don't know. The quiet one. And he prefers to remain quiet. And so, happy birthday. That's so unswisher-like. I know. He's so unswitted. We don't know where they dropped him. They dropped him from like a, like a down the chimney or something. He's like quiet and considerate and much more conservative than me and Jeff, but it just, he's a very, he's a, just works hard. He's a hard worker.
1:02:28And yeah, he's quiet. That's, it's not a swisher trait in any way, though he has a lot to say. You'd like him quite a bit when he talks. He's very, he's very analytical and everything. Anyway, I love him. He's a great brother. The new Apple, speaking of power of Apple, they have a documentary coming out on supermodels that looks fantastic. You're looking forward to that? I am. It looks great. I love those ladies because I think they really are really interesting and powerful. And I'm interested in the business of it. Christy Turlington, Naomi Campbell, Linda Evangelista, and Cindy Crawford. And I just think they were such a force and just, I don't know, I just think they're interesting all individually.
1:03:06I'm particularly impressed with Christy Turlington, I have to say, in lots of ways. So I'm excited for it. That's going to be a win for me. I'm going to watch that. And that's just because I don't particularly think two miles are prettier than other women, actually, as a lesbian. But it just looks interesting. Looks super interesting. And all of these thoughts running through my head, don't say anything. Don't say anything. Don't say anything. I think my fail is obviously Kevin McCarthy getting pulled around by the nose by Matt Gates. Honestly, what a failure of leadership on his part. And I'm not sure there's anything he can do.
1:03:43But man, if you have like such a ridiculous forehead like Matt Gates in charge of our country, I'm moving to Germany and living with Matthias. That's what I'm doing. I'm calling him the forehead. He's a Joey fucking bag of donuts. No, he's not. He's something else. We got to think of a name for him. Okay, I have two wins. My first win is the FBI. Their mission is to protect the American people and uphold the Constitution of the United States, and they investigate everything from terrorism and counterintelligence to cybercrime to organized crime to violent crime to weapons of mass destruction. and their action or their investigation against Senator Bob Menendez, where they found$450 ,000 in cash and gold bars.
1:04:37And also on his computer, he had Googled how much is a gold bar worth. And he's claiming that it's persecution against Latinos and that he has a function of his Cuban heritage, would take money out. But distinct of the alleged corruption here, The only people who are more disappointed to hear about the FBI going after Senator Bob Menendez were the far right who would like to deposition the FBI is anything but what they are. And what the FBI is a group of thousands of men and women who take an oath to the Constitution and who do an outstanding job and just go, just try to protect the Constitution.
1:05:17This guy is a walking corruption. Oh, it's just. And then you know who supported him? George Santos. That's what's important. I mean, it's almost sort of hilarious. The money in the clothes with his name on it? With his name on it. The gold bars? Gold bars. Do you have any gold bars, Scott? I don't own. No, I don't own any gold bars. I thought you might. Someone asked me, does Scott have gold bars? I go, I bet he does. Gold bars? I bet he has gold bars. Yeah, someone. I don't know. Remember on Billions where they went to the safe, him and the wife? Oh, their go bag? Their go bag. I don't have a go bag.
1:05:52But there's gold bars fucking everywhere. I don't think anyone should have a go bag. I think when you build a go bag, you've decided to elevate yourself from the comity of man. And I think we're all in this together. Yeah. As I say that from Marlebone. You know, to be honest, Scott, if I needed to, I'd trade you for a gold bar if I had to. In the end times, I'd go take him. A gold bar, not bad. Not bad. I take that as a compliment. Not bad. It's$62 ,000 for a Q-Day, just so you know. Yeah. You're worth$62 ,000. Oh, speaking of supermodels, by the way, California Governor Newsom vetoed the state ban on driverless trucks.
1:06:27I have called AB 316 stupid. California has to lean into innovation like this. I'm sorry. I'm sorry, guys. He was right to do it. We can't, like, be the state. Then they wander over to wherever the fuck they wander over to Texas, where they're doing it to. But California has to be innovating in cars. You know how much I love these. The lawmakers were speaking of were egged on by unions and they wanted a human on board for these things. And I just over fears of safety, which I think are misspent job losses, there's not enough truckers. Gavin Newsom said no. And I'm I got to say I'm with that supermodel of a governor on that one.
1:07:08By the way, I think it's looking like he's running for president. But anyways, different talk show. Well, that's why he did this. But he's right, too. I don't care. He's right. He's correct. My other win is on your recommendation, I watched Painkiller. Oh. And that's not my win. That series was a fraction as good as Dope Sick, and it was still great. The beginning of every episode is really, really very moving. But my win is there's a leading man in it who is so outstanding. And Matthew Broderick's always good, but that's not who I'm going to talk about. Do you know who Taylor Kitsch is? Oh, yeah, he was great.
1:07:40Yes, of course. He was in Friday Night Lights. And then he was in Lone Survivor. He was great in True Detective. Oh, yeah, he was in that. I forgot. Anyways, this guy, I'll tell you, you can't watch this guy and watch his digression and his fall into addiction and how he tries to get out of it and not feel empathy for addicts. You do. I agree with you. I agree with you. First off, he is such a leading man. He is so likable. He is so handsome. But in addition, you just want to wrap your arms around addicts and sort of say, I don't know, at least for me, I've always looked at addicts as like it's a personal failing and get your shit together.
1:08:25And you just see this guy who just has everything and is a really good man and strong and just has fallen to addiction. And I just thought, I spoke to a person who's considered, I guess, technically a whistleblower now about a project I'm working on. I thought, why would this person do this and speak to us? And this person said that art is so important in terms of storytelling and empathy and progress. And that really struck me. And this embodied that for me, that this guy's portrayal made me so much more empathetic for addicts. And anyways, my win is leading man Taylor Kitsch. I think this guy is going to be an enormous, I think he could be kind of like a Marlon Brando-like figure.
1:09:11I think he was fantastic. Oddly enough, this weekend, Amanda met one of the screenwriter for it and the showrunner. Micah Fitzerman Blue, I think that's who she met. And he was wanting to get back to work. But I think, worth seeing, and you're right, Taylor Kitsch was amazing. Yeah, really, really fantastic. And wow, do you walk, I mean, as always, at the end of this thing, you walk away just so upset. Don't you want to just get a Sackler, find a Sackler anywhere? That's how I felt after Dobesick. I know they're not the only problem in the world, but I wanted to find a Sackler and just be very angry at him in a very angry way.
1:09:50Anyway, there's a lot of Sacklers out there still wandering around. They didn't pay anything near what they did to this country. They didn't, not at all, because of Rudy Giuliani, as you noticed, popped up in that one. Could you believe that? Of course I could. But Mary Jo White, too, by the way, someone who had a much better reputation than Rudy Giuliani. A whole bunch of people just totally took a digger for those terrible people for the money. What do you got planned this week, Cara? This week, I'm going to California. I'm going to be at Code. Oh, that's right. In Orange County. Yes, Orange County.
1:10:22So I'll be there in LA for a short time. And then I'm going up to San Francisco for several days. And for the weekend, doing some things around my house, some interviews. I'm going to look at some of these efforts downtown to try to reinvigorate downtown for possible doing a podcast on it. What are you doing? What am I doing? I'm going to Helsinki on Wednesday, and then I come back. And then I'm going to the south of France for the weekend. And then I'm going to Barcelona for another work event on Monday. Barcelona. Barcelona. Well, that's good. Yeah, it's a great city. You're such an international man of mystery.
1:10:56Anyway, I think we got a lot of listeners in Hollywood after all our smart talk. And I've heard from most of them, and it hasn't been pretty. What? What do you mean? It hasn't been pretty. Oh, the union people are mad at you. But you continue to slap the union silly for, I don't know why you keep doing it, but there you are. That's why, right? They're mad at you for that. I've heard from a lot of writers. I quietly, I get emails from people saying, you're right, da-da-da, and then I get very public. Yeah, angry. Yeah, people are very, very upset. Anyways. Oh, can I just say, though, I sent you a picture of a woman with a dog like yours.
1:11:29I met them. They're a great dain. Yeah, they love it. I took a lot of selfies. And every single person at the two weddings I was at in the past two weeks, every single person, house God, everybody. It's literally like we're married. That makes me feel good. It's all of them. They love the show. It makes them happy. They hug. It was nice. It was very lovely. Well, any person who owns a Great Dane is someone who's affectionate and has strong character because you have to. Did you see that New York Times article about owning a big dog in the city, though? Actually, big dogs, there was some misinformation in that article.
1:12:01Great Danes are fantastic apartment dogs because they're actually quite sedentary. It's the young gun dogs. You don't want like a Vichla or a German Shorter Pointer. That is what you do not want in a city because they will take off. Yeah. They will take off. In a small apartment in New York. Okay. That sounds great. Anyway, how was your Great Dane? Oh, she's adorable. Although last night I was on the computer and I'm like, get away from me. You know, she comes over and Great Danes will rear up their hindquarters as a means of affection. And I'm like, get away from me. And I'm not exaggerating.
1:12:29She went over to her dog bed outside of the TV room, which she never does. And then I was going to bed. She used to come down to bed with me. She wouldn't even look at me. she wouldn't she like wouldn't you like my i'm like come on sweetheart and she like wouldn't even look up at me and then she didn't come down to like three in the morning it's literally i am i am in i'm in a passive-aggressive relationship with my great day i can see that that gives you that look that side eye very emotional very emotional like oh now you want me now you want me i am not an affectionate spigot you can turn off and on because your wife is i'm assuming head on, like when she's pissed, you know it, right?
1:13:04Oh, no, you don't want to piss off the Panzer Tank Division. No, you best stay out of that. Do not poke the German bear. Yeah. Whatever I said, I'm sorry. I like the dog doing that. Oh, my God, you're so controlled by everybody in your life. Anyway, we want to hear from you. Send us your questions about business tech or whatever's on your mind, go to nymag.com slash pivot to submit a question for the show or call 855-51-PIVOT. Scott, that's the show and an enjoyable one it were. We'll be back on Friday for more. Will you read us out? Today's show was produced by Lara Neyman, Zoe Marcus, and Taylor Griffin.
1:13:46Ernie Andertot engineered this episode. Thanks also to Drew Burrows, Miel Saverio, and Gad and Bain. Make sure you subscribe to the show wherever you listen to podcasts. Thanks for listening to Pivot from New York Magazine and Vox Media. We'll be back later this week for another breakdown of all things tech and business. Kara, have a great rest of the week. You too.
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From the publisher
Kara and Scott discuss the tentative deal between Hollywood writers and studios, and what it means for the future of the industry. They also talk about GOP attacks on misinformation researchers, as well as the hedge fund making billions betting against FTC Chair Lina Khan. Friend of Pivot Mathias Döpfner stops by to talk about the future of media and his new book The Trade Trap: How to Stop Doing Business with Dictators. And be sure to check out Scott's recent conversation with Mathias on The Prof G Pod.
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