The Bruised Hand in the Cookie Jar

19 May 2026 · 1 h 7 min · 18 chapters

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In short

The hosts discuss a New York Times poll showing Democrats gaining an 11-point midterm lead, Trump’s political and financial corruption (a $1.776B DOJ settlement creating a taxpayer-funded slush fund and reports of 3,700 stock trades), and escalating/uncertain U.S.-Iran diplomacy. They also cover Trump-backed primary challenges against GOP incumbents (Bill Cassidy in Louisiana; Thomas Massey in Kentucky) and Jared Polis commuting election-denier Tina Peters’ sentence in Colorado.

Guests

None. The episode is hosted by Jon Favreau, Jon Lovett, and Tommy Vietor (Tommy Detour).

Key claims

The poll reflects deep dissatisfaction with Democrats (70% dissatisfied) and economic stress (76% rate conditions fair/poor), while Trump’s approval hits 37%. The DOJ settlement is portrayed as funneling taxpayer money to reward Trump allies without guardrails. Trump’s trading is framed as potentially insider-driven despite claims of a blind trust. Polis’ commutation is debated as yielding to Trump pressure.

Notable examples

TrumpRx drug-redirect event; Trump’s 1,776 figure; Tina Peters (Mesa County voting system breach); Cassidy’s loss after voting to convict Trump; Massey’s anti-war record; Iran attack delayed after Gulf leaders’ request; Iran peace proposal via Pakistan.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Analyzing the New York Times Poll

6:12 to 10:10

Discussion on the implications of the latest New York Times poll for Democrats.

“Trump's approval is at 37 % in their new poll.”

Trump's Approval Ratings and Political Climate

10:10 to 13:18

Examination of Trump's declining approval ratings and its impact on politics.

“And it's not going to get better as this thing kind of drags out and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed and the price of gas goes up.”

Discussion on Trump's Lawsuit and IRS Settlement

14:00 to 21:00

The hosts analyze the implications of Trump's lawsuit against the IRS and its consequences for taxpayers.

“Well, Netanyahu says that he wants to wean off military support for Israel.”

Controversy Over Commuting Tina Peters' Sentence

23:10 to 28:00

The hosts discuss the political implications of Colorado Governor Polis commuting the sentence of election denier Tina Peters.

“Speaking of Trump allies getting away with crimes, what do you guys make of Jared Polis, governor of Colorado, Democrat, commuting the prison sentence of election denier Tina Peters?”

Discussion on Judicial Sentencing and Political Pressure

28:00 to 29:52

Explore the complexities of judicial sentencing and political influence in cases like Tina Peters.

“and that like, I think that, I think he might've been the right thing.”

Analysis of Trump's Financial Dealings

29:52 to 32:20

Delve into the questionable stock trades and financial disclosures of Donald Trump.

“I can get to, like, your criticism for sure.”

Trump's Influence on Republican Primaries

32:20 to 34:50

Examine how Trump's actions are affecting the Republican party and its candidates.

“What's funny about the Jim Cramer clip is that it's like, people are like, oh, wow, he's so, he's stammering because he can't figure out what to say about this.”

Implications of Trump's Political Agenda

34:50 to 38:30

Discuss the broader implications of Trump's political strategies on party loyalty and electoral outcomes.

“He got third in Louisiana's primary, the first time an incumbent senator has come in lower than second place since 1944.”

US-Iran Stalemate and Trump's Actions

42:25 to 44:34

Discussion on the latest developments in US-Iran relations and Trump's handling.

“It's been a bit since we talked about the stalemate in Iran.”

Cuba's Role in US Foreign Policy

44:35 to 46:44

Exploring potential US actions towards Cuba and implications for regional stability.

“they have a lot of leverage because they can close straight Hormuz.”
Show all 18 chapters

The Intelligence Behind Cuban Drone Claims

46:45 to 49:26

Analyzing claims about Cuba's drone capabilities and US military responses.

“Trump also wants us to know that he's not just focused on wars far away from home.”

Trump's Impulsive War Strategy

49:27 to 51:44

Debate on Trump's potential motivations for military actions and regime change.

“And there's been all these reports of a huge increase of intelligence overflights by the US.”

Debating Trump's Age and Fitness for Office

55:46 to 56:00

A discussion on whether Trump's age should be a focal point in political debates.

Debating Trump's Age: Setting the Stage

56:00 to 56:30

The hosts engage in a lively debate about the importance of Trump's age in political discourse.

“are both out with big pieces, arguing that it's time for Democrats to make it a bigger issue.”

Opening Arguments: The Case for and Against Trump's Age

56:30 to 57:55

John argues that Democrats need to highlight Trump's age, while Tommy counters that it’s irrelevant as he isn’t running.

Communication Skills: The Impact of Age on Joe Biden

57:55 to 1:01:21

The hosts discuss Joe Biden's communication skills and how they have changed over time, linking it to his age.

“I don't want to get in between you and Aaron Rupar's feed and your little handjob issue there with the Trump.”

Republican Accountability: The Narrative Around Trump

1:01:21 to 1:04:24

Discussion centers on how Democrats can frame Trump's age and health as a liability for Republicans in the upcoming elections.

“Joe Biden's age and Joe Biden's disapproval on the economy became linked.”

The Bigger Picture: Age vs. Corruption

1:04:24 to 1:06:56

The hosts navigate the complexities of prioritizing age concerns versus allegations of corruption against Trump.

“It's weird for Democrats to be in the position to be like, you know what?”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

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3:51Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau. I'm Jon Lovett. I'm Tommy Detour. On today's show, we're going to break down the new gold standard New York Times poll that shows Democrats opening an 11-point lead in the midterms. Let's have that election today, huh?

4:03Jon Favreau:Please, hurry it up. We'll also talk about how Trump's revenge tour came for Louisiana Senator Bill Cassidy and is coming for Congressman Thomas Massey in Tuesday's Kentucky primary. There's also some fresh new corruption to discuss. Trump's new taxpayer-funded$2 billion slush fund. he'll use to reward his favorite criminals and revelations that he's basically been day trading in his spare time 3 ,700 stock trades in just three months. That's so many trades. So many trades. Just bad advice. Just put it in an index fund. Yeah, just kidding. Yeah. We also got a new Iran taco brewing and renewed interest in Cuba and Greenland, which is just one of the reasons we'll also dive into the latest debate over how much Democrats and commentators should be talking about old man Trump losing his marbles.

4:47Speaking of old men, check out four hours over here. You know, you're just going to sit here with this guy, this fucking nerd's got his glasses on. I was waiting for you to do it. Pretend it's not happening. Sorry, I scratched my eye. Don't get used to it, everyone, hopefully. But first, before we start, tickets for Crooked Con 2026 are on sale now for everyone. Come hang with us November 5th through 7th in Washington, D.C. for live shows, panels, and a big fun party to celebrate and or mourn the 2026 midterms. See? I added mourn because Dan. Dan's so superstitious, you know. Cricket's Friends of the Pod get a subscriber-only price, so if you want a subscription loaded with exclusives and a discounted CricketCon ticket, be sure to join Friends of the Pod.

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6:03Donald Trump and the Republican Party have been shitting the bed in nearly every poll for the last few months, but now Nate Cohn and the New York Times have come down from the mountaintop with a stone tablet that confirms how screwed they are. Trump's approval is at 37 % in their new poll. That is a record low for him and for both terms in all New York Times Siena polls. And midterm voters also favor Democrats by 11 points, 50 to 39 % over Republicans. The president's biggest liability in the poll remains his handling of the cost of living, which his political strategists keep hoping he'll pretend to care about as evidenced by Monday's White House event on his discount drug website, TrumpRx.

6:48Let's see how it went. I think outside of maybe a cure itself, it's the biggest thing to happen to healthcare and everything having to do with medical in any way, shape or form. There's never been anything like this. Really sold it, huh? What? Why did that even mean? Really sold it. TrumpRx is the biggest thing in medical. It's the biggest thing in medical. biggest thing in medical you can tell because there's a doctor here

7:12Jon Favreau:you can tell he didn't like the event because he cut it really short because it kind of looked like where were they looked like tedx toledo or something it was just like joe gebby in front of a giant screen the whole thing was embarrassing mark cuban was there trump rx uh by the way it's not a platform for buying medications do you know that it's just uh it's it's a it's a facilitator you go to the website it directs you to the other websites to buy the drugs and sometimes it gives you coupons just redirects you yeah basically and then and then amazon and and cubans thing what's what's his thing called cost plus drugs cost plus drugs um you know they work with the federal government to have some discounts on some extra drugs but also if you have insurance doesn't help you meaning it's cheaper to buy the drugs if you have insurance because the insurance covers the drugs so really it's for people who don't have insurance sometimes get some discounts on some drugs so it's not a bad thing but it's not a it's not weird it's not it's certainly not the biggest things since medical.

8:02No. What stood out to you guys in the New York Times poll? So whenever we're talking about a poll that looks good for Democrats, you got to go down and find the part where it's terrible for Democrats. And there's a this was a new one, I think they said, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the Democratic Party? And I'm used to seeing that voters may be really unhappy with Republicans and planning to vote for Democrats, but then are ultimately not super satisfied with Democrats either. I was surprised to see that 70 % of people say they are dissatisfied with the Democratic Party and only 5 % are very satisfied, which is a third of the number of people that are very satisfied with Trump.

8:41And I get being, look, Republicans are in power. This is representing people that hate Democrats. It's represented by people that wish Democrats would fight more. It's represented by Democrats. Everyone who has a criticism of the Democrats is represented in that number. But the fact that - Where would you be in that when someone asks you? I would be unsatisfied. I'm unsatisfied, baby. I'm unsatisfied. But then when they gave me the generic ballot thing, I'd be right there. I'd be right there. But just the fact that, like, right now, this whole big, beautiful country of ours, there's only 5 % of people that just love the Democratic Party.

9:12Like, we talk a lot about the base. It's like, we don't really have, you know, Trump has a base that is... Who are those people, I think? Who are those 5 %? I love everything they're doing. Can't wait to see them on tour. Like some of the staffers, maybe? I don't know. I don't know. Most relatives. A couple of folks on Blue Sky. I don't know. So anyway, that's what stood out to you. That stood out to me. And then there was a number on AI that I thought was just interesting that only 16 % of people think AI is more good than bad. The vast majority are either undecided or think it's more bad than good.

9:47And it comes in a weekend

9:48Jon Favreau:where there's all these commencement addresses where students are booing the mere mention of AI by the speakers. Yeah, which I love. You can tell there's something afoot there. Yes, there is. Yes, there is. Tommy, what did you think? I liked that. I liked that. I noticed that 64 % in the Times poll said they think that going to war with Iran was the wrong decision, including 73 % of independents. That is pretty clear cut. And it's not going to get better as this thing kind of drags out and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed and the price of gas goes up. 76 % rate economic conditions today is only fair or poor.

10:21Jon Favreau:That is quite bad. And then, you know, the glass half full thing of the Democratic Party was 50 percent say they will vote Democrat. Thirty nine percent say they will vote Republican in the midterm. So it's one of the better numbers of that nature. I think we've seen in a while. We've been saying Trump bad for so long now that when there's a poll this bad, it's sort of hard. It's almost like there's a there's a crying wolf thing. Yeah. Or like, you know, not Trump's I mean, Trump's always been bad, but like this is it for Trump. Things that the walls are closing in. but nate cone points out in his write-up of the poll no president's approval rating has been under 38 for more than a few days in the last 17 years according to our average now we got donald trump and then he realized 17 years is george w bush which just makes us really old um but that is the last president to be this unpopular for this long like it is the fact that this is this is worse than January 6th now for him?

11:16Jon Favreau:Well, the economic indicators are just so bad. I mean, 76 % say they're concerned about their personal finances. It's the CBS poll. 67 % say they're stressed. Like both of those have ticked up the last year. Only 29 % in the CBS, the recent CBS poll said the economy is good. 77 % say their income is not keeping up with inflation. So like gas prices are just killing everybody. Yeah, to me, like you look at it too, what's hidden is just how many people have just, they're done, right? You could look at this poll And it's basically almost half, not quite half the country. They don't approve on Iran.

11:48They don't approve on the economy. They don't approve on cost of living. They don't approve on immigration. They are done. And the number of people who now say Trump has personally made their economic circumstances worse, 44%, which has gone up by like eight points since the last time. So it's gone up from about a third of the country. It's rising up to nearly half are no longer saying just, I don't just disapprove. Like I'm feeling personally that he's not doing what he said he was going to do. So that to me was stood out. One other thing that stood out just about what's happening with Iran, that, you know, we had a lot of Internet debates about, you know, the anti-Semitism and anti-Zionism and the Democrats position on Israel.

12:26Meanwhile, opposition to economic military support to Israel has gone from 38 percent to 57 percent over the last two and a half to three years. Support has gone from 54 percent to 37 percent. And so a lot of numbers Trump's approval and so a lot of hand ring support for Israel financial aid support for Israel is the Is just about as popular as Donald Trump in this country and so like This is not an argument that's being lost on the margins and it's not an argument That's being lost based on who gets platformed and who doesn't there's a huge shift that has happened I think you can lay that at the feet of Benjamin Netanyahu and Joe Biden and Donald Trump but the sooner people make this less about the specific individuals they dislike, often with good reason, and more about the deeper shift that is happening, I think the sooner people can actually reckon with what is a real and lasting damage that has happened to America's relationship with Israel.

13:17Yeah, I mean, Axios wrote a story this morning about just the horrific anti-Semitism being directed towards members of Congress and voicemails and threats and all that. And it's horrible. And I would just say that I do think it's important to separate like like virulent anti-semitism from people who are pro-israel and making the case for supporting israel like we i think we talked about this last week but like josh gottheimer's op-ed about anti-semitism and my party has a problem too like it starts with talking about actual anti-semitism and then halfway through it suddenly veers into oh and also democrats are voting against funding uh you know military aid to israel which is now majority position.

14:00That should not be in the same op-ed. Well, Netanyahu says that he wants to wean off military support for Israel. So yeah, right. I would say the only other thing that stood out to me is on the generic ballot, there's real movement just within the Times poll, right? Because every poll is a single poll, snapshot in time, but you take a poll over time and it was D plus two to D plus five for the beginning part of Trump's term, second term in the Times-Siena polls. And now it's D plus 11. Like it's a big shift. And then when they take it to only almost certain or very likely voters, it's D plus 14.

14:34So even that D plus 11 is like, may not be what we ultimately see because, you know, the most motivated voters end up turning out in a midterm more so than in a general election. So that's, it's pretty big and it's late May, you know, not, not a lot, not a ton of time left. Knock on wood. Yeah. Well, I mean, look, Trump still has time to become a different person. The bigger news from the White House on Monday was the announcement that President Trump's Justice Department is settling Donald Trump's lawsuit against the IRS for$1.776 billion. Get it? Get it. Get it. That is money that will be taken directly from taxpayers and funneled into a slush fund that apparently exists to pay Trump supporters who were investigated or indicted or convicted during the Biden administration.

15:21Or I guess none of those things because there's really no guardrails whatsoever. it seems like they did this so Trump wouldn't be attacked for directly pocketing taxpayer dollars but I'm not sure this move is as clever as they think what about you guys?

15:35Jon Favreau:Trump's second term is a political smash and grab job where he and his family and the people around him and people who do his bidding just take what they want and get rewarded they take it from taxpayers they trade on poly market they front run the stock market and I think the fact that Trump is doing this before the midterms just shows that he doesn't give a shit about politics anymore. It's all about money and it's all about building monuments to himself and enriching himself. And they made an end run around the judge in this case and they just cut a deal with another political appointee that he had named to create the slush fund.

16:08Jon Favreau:And do you think they thought it was cute saying it was 1.776? Doesn't that just make the whole thing feel like made up and arbitrary more than anything else? They think it's like, oh, we've got patriotism and America's 250 is coming up. And so if we call it a patriotic fund for patriots, then no one will get mad at us. Shouldn't a fund to pay out restitution to people harmed be based on like metrics and not an anniversary? Where's the number coming? Just the calendar? How much earnings did you lose when you were at the Capitol on January 6th? Right. I will say Congress passed a law to give the Department of Justice basically an unlimited fund for restitution for anyone who sues the federal government.

16:51And so that's how they ended up doing this. So it's like it is a one of those technically legal but extremely corrupt things that we have because of a stupid law that was passed that no one no one thought to themselves. Maybe there'll be an administration that just has the fun being unlimited because the president will sue himself. Well, in fairness to people that wrote that law, you would also assume that if it were to be so completely and obviously and brazenly abused by a president who's basically just going into the treasury and stuffing his pockets and leaving that there might be a Congress that would care about that.

17:21which we we don't have just like to tommy's point the judge was like hey before this lawsuit by trump against his own administration which is unprecedented that's being administered by his personal attorney former personal attorney at the department of justice i want you to come in and explain to me how you're actually parties in opposition how you're not on the same side of this thing and they're like it's just like the deadline's may 20th that's when now it's may 18th And so, you know, basically proving the point that the judge was worried about, they have decided to reach a reach a deal beforehand.

17:54Now, the Justice Department, if it was actually advocating on behalf of taxpayers, the American people, which is what it's supposed to do, it would fight this thing to the bitter end or at the very least settle for zero dollars, which has happened in not exactly similar, but cases that are akin to this in the past. But instead, they're doing this. Ken Griffin. Yeah, doing this. Exactly. The same case. His taxpayer info was leaked and he settled it for zero dollars. He just got a public apology from the IRS. Because he didn't pay. And, you know, that is something that could have come of this. But it said, no, they are proving that they are in cahoots here by doing this kind of a settlement.

18:28We have they're using a ridiculous justification based on something that happened in the Obama administration, which even conservative legal scholars have batted down because it had that had actual specific people who were harmed by an actual specific policy. unlike this. My pitch is James Comey, Tish James, LaMonica MacGyver, Lisa Cook, Jerome Powell. They should all be submitting when this thing comes out. They should put their names in to get money from this fund. And if they do not receive a fair hearing, they should sue the federal government. There are people that are being politically prosecuted by the government.

19:00As far as we know publicly, nobody on that list would not be at least potentially included in the people hurt that could receive from this 1776. My pitch is no one gets it. Give us the fucking money back. That's our money. Oh, yeah. I don't. To be clear, I don't think James Comey should get money from the federal government, but I think we should take this, put this thing through its paces. This is fucking. Yeah, well, they're not going to. I mean, Trump points the board. It's five people. He gets to hire and fire the board. It's going to be five cronies dishing out money. They don't like this.

19:31This thing doesn't even have to be like, oh, and here was my case. and it was tried incorrectly, like someone's just can go to fucking whoever Todd Blanche puts on the commission and be like, hey, I want$10 ,000 because I donated to the president and I'm mad that Joe Biden sent the FBI after me. Do you have proof of that? No, but I just know they were watching me.

19:48Jon Favreau:It's crazy. Like that's what this is. It's just stuff. I mean, like this is, it's just, they're at the point where they're just saying we're going to take money from the treasury. Give it to whoever we want. And give it to our friends. Particularly people who are maybe criminals to let everyone else know that if you commit a crime on Trump's behalf, not only do you not go to jail, but perhaps you might get some compensation for it. Yeah, but he was asked at the press conference today, could this potentially go to people who committed violence in January 6th? He said, oh, it's going to be up to the committee.

20:15Absolutely, those people would be eligible, could totally receive money from this fund.

20:18Jon Favreau:And he pretends he doesn't know about it. It's like, okay. Also, it's a danger going forward, too, as we're heading into 2028, and Donald Trump and J.D. Vance, or whoever the fuck it is, tries to stay in the White House after they lose an election, and a bunch of people do their bidding for them to help them out. What do you think they're going to think? They're going to be like, well, if he stays in there and I help him out, I'm going to be okay. I'm going to get a pardon. I get paid. Great. You guys don't like my idea that James Comey tries to get into that fun? Come on. Yeah, I mean, I see what you're saying.

20:43Jon Favreau:I think he should write out the amount he wants. Yeah, in shells. Any shell-based crime should apply.

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23:15Speaking of Trump allies getting away with crimes, what do you guys make of Jared Polis, governor of Colorado, Democrat, commuting the prison sentence of election denier Tina Peters? She is the former county clerk from Mesa County, Colorado. She was in jail for orchestrating a security breach of her county's voting system. Trump has been publicly and privately pressuring Polis to pardon her completely. They also tried to transfer her from state prison to federal prison so that Trump could pardon her. Didn't do that. But now Polis has commuted her sentence. She was sentenced to nine years. he cut it to four and a half years with parole next month I have to be honest I know this is not a great answer

23:59Jon Favreau:for the purposes of a talk show I just couldn't give less of a shit I know people are like outraged about this I read JBL's long piece on this I don't give a shit I don't care I have so much to be outraged or to worry about I just can't even get myself to engage with this person I might even go a step further I think Polis might have done the right thing by cutting her sentence down wow

24:22I gotta go. Excuse me, boys. If you need me, I'll be at the fucking bulwark. Where the real libs are now. Go on. I'm not, I don't feel strongly. I'm more into, I'm closer to Tommy's camp, but like, here's the thing. She was sentenced to nine years, right? So she's a nonviolent first time offender and three appellate judges who were appointed by a Democrat. they were democratic judges they all just ruled that they threw out the sentence the nine-year sentence so that was never going to happen and the reason they threw it out is because they thought that the judge um basically in giving her a nine-year sentence as opposed to a smaller sentence violated her free speech rights because the judge basically said the reason i'm making your sentence longer is because you spouted election conspiracy theories um which is a horrible thing to do spouting election conspiracy theories but that is protected first amendment speech i thought we have to be consistent well they are free speech but anyway that's but hold on hold on i i appreciate that but we understand that if someone were to say um hit somebody with their car uh and then publicly say that bitch deserved it that that is free speech you have the right to say that but it does potentially inform the sentence sorry does it of of course it does of course we we allow remorse in people's uh uh uh uh motivations and feelings about the crimes they committed what they've learned from it that's the well she was she was i mean but the no remorse thing was already factored in because she didn't she she was not remorseful right when she was sentenced but that's he didn't say you didn't show remorse he said it's because you have these these theories i just say i'm just saying not just for a minute that there we take people's uh uh motivations and and and expressions i agree that people have the right to believe elections are stolen i'm just saying it's a little bit more than just first continue sorry i guess i'm saying if we believe that uh that there is an incarceration problem in this country and that people are incarcerated for too long and that prison is, um, it is a deterrent and yes, people should be jailed and they should be kept from society, but that unusually long sentences are bad, especially for first time nonviolent offenders.

26:18Like, don't we have to extend that belief to people whose political beliefs we detest? So I would say the answer is we should allow a process to play out that she would have been resentenced. Why is, why did this become a big public controversy? It is because the president the United States is publicly pressuring the governor of Colorado to commute Tina Peterson's. Now, look, I'm sure Jared Polis would say that the pressure had nothing to do with it. Obviously, the fact that Donald Trump was threatening Colorado unless he did something, right? Donald Trump was saying this woman should be pardoned.

26:50He is saying it's some kind of pushback against Trump, that it's only a commutation. She has kind of done the bare minimum of acknowledging that what she did was wrong. But if you go to her Twitter feed, her allies were saying, as recently as I believe last week, I have to go look at the exact timing, that if Tina Peters isn't released, Trump should invade the state of Colorado. It is a nonviolent offense. Yeah, I mean, I don't think that should happen. Well, right, but it just, it goes to, like, the reason somebody who even commits a non-look, there are a lot of first-time offenders who do something that are part of a, that are part of something so dangerous that you have to say, wait a second, yes, it's a nonviolent offense, but it goes to the core of what we are as a society, the safety of our democracy.

27:32And so he has given into that pressure from Trump rather than let the process play out. So that, I think, is a huge problem. I don't know that we'd be having this conversation if Donald Trump hadn't personally intervened to try to get the governor to do something. And then it seems as though he did it.

27:50Jon Favreau:After listening to this thoughtful debate, I still don't give a shit. I might care less, actually, than when we say I'm just kidding. It is interesting. I would say that it's more interesting to me and that like, I think that, I think he might've been the right thing. I do think, I would like to hear Jared Polis answer the question, why didn't you just wait for the resentencing of the three appellate judges? Like what made you not want to just wait for their decision if they were going to throw out the sentence anyway? I would like to know that question. I'd also say too that the Republican prosecutor was against this and said that you should talk to the people that were impacted by Tina Peter's schemes before you'd make this decision.

28:25He's also a prosecutor. Well, sure. That's how prosecutors are. But community. But there's also a defendant who pled guilty to almost the same charges in the Georgia Rico case and was sentenced no time and probation. Yeah. I mean, look, there's all kinds of unfairnesses and unequal application of sentences all across the country all the time. Like if that were the case, you'd go and say, oh, well, there's somebody else who was given less. You can commute most sentences that way. But I think, look, in this one case. It wasn't just her. he commuted like, you know, it was like 35 or 50 commutations or something like that on the same day.

29:02I think he has to answer for whether or not he gave in to Trump's political pressure. And we are in a moment where like Donald Trump is threatening elections again. Like this is a grave threat to the republic. Why does our generosity, our sense of justice, our empathy turn for Tina Peters when there are so many others who have, who deserve it? That's all. Yeah. And I don't think it should. I don't think it should. I don't think we should be generous or empathetic at all. I think we should just be like, what is the standard? Like, is there a process to reach the decision and did it meet a standard?

29:31I do think that, like, criticizing polls for it is completely fine. Like, you can criticize them for it. You can say it's fine. Some people are, and people who I like in politics, too, and support, are, like, calling for his impeachment over this. And I'm like, I don't, I just, I do not think it rises to the level of it. Everybody's at a nine all the time these days. I can't get there. I can get there. I can get to, like, your criticism for sure. I can't get to, he should be impeached over this. I don't know if you guys saw that Trump's latest financial disclosures show that he and or his financial advisors made more than 3 ,700 stock trades in the first quarter of this year.

30:08bought$1 million each in companies with business before his administration, like NVIDIA, Oracle, Microsoft, Boeing, and Palantir, which he bought right before he praised the company on Truth Social in a post that, if you recall, even included the company's ticker symbol. Now, I know this may look suspicious, but the White House did say that Trump's assets are in a blind trust managed by his children. So there are, quote, no conflicts of interest. Seems fine, right? Right.

30:37Jon Favreau:This is did they really I thought there was no blind trust. I thought they'd already previously said there wasn't a blind either way. It's a blind trust. Yeah, that doesn't make that's not how a blind trust works. They're like, again, this is part of the political smash and grab job. I mean, they're making money everywhere. It's this is crazy. Like so Bloomberg reported Trump had trades that involved Tesla, NVIDIA, Apple, Meta, Visa, Citi, Boeing, Qualcomm and GE. Top executives from all of those companies were on his trip to Beijing to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping. So you don't think he's getting insider information?

31:11Jon Favreau:Having that access, talking to them, cutting deals with them. Some of the stock trades included up to 680 grand worth of Eli Lilly right as the administration was preparing policies that would benefit their GLP one business. He took a huge position, a couple of huge positions in NVIDIA right before they announced major news there was one to five million dollar position a week before they announced a partnership with meta then there was a half a million to a million dollar position a week before the commerce department announced some you know determinations to do with nvidia they're buying and selling intel stock which the u.s government took a 10 stake in the company this is insanity this is such a coincidence paul pelosi somewhere is like what the fuck man yeah i could have been doing this so much better like we're sort of pat everything well jesus i'm like jim kramer now do you see the clip of jim yeah he just glitched out for six weeks can we drop it in here let's drop in the jim kramer clip the president's been trading some intel in the quarter yeah yeah yeah you got nothing to say Yeah.

32:23What's funny about the Jim Cramer clip is that it's like, people are like, oh, wow, he's so, he's stammering because he can't figure out what to say about this. But when I was watching, I was like, is he stammering because he can't figure out to say about this? Or is he making a joke about how it's so beyond the pale, but he doesn't want to be critical of Trump in this moment? Like, I didn't know what, what are we, what are we, why is he stammering? He knows what's going on. but can't get in jim kramer's head but we're just no no don't live and rent free inside of jim kramer's head but the the like the we're at a new level of brazen corruption because every step along the way nobody has stopped him to get to this point right like he can't the thing that i find stunning about all this is that there's no um like the level of brazenness is going up but the dollar amount isn't always it's like why are we doing 500 grand stock trades billion dollar crypto theft and the watches like why like why you know what i mean like That bothers me too.

33:12It's just all at once. Some of it's like leftover from the old world. Right. When you had to just do corruption with like the watches and the phones. Remember the hotel rooms? Like, we're getting you the Trump phones, but they're not coming.

33:21Jon Favreau:Yeah, that part doesn't make sense. But the aggregate stock trades was a range between$211 and$687 million. So that's a pretty good quarter. It's also like just the volume of trading. Bloomberg interviewed this guy, Eric Dighton, who's the president manager director at the Wealth Alliance. And he said, I'm baffled. in the 40 plus years of my time on wall street this is an unusual amount of trading by any standards we need to see the actual trades to try and understand why anyone would want to do that much trading like the practical way in which this is being done like is there a team that is doing this is it sons through their like it feels like they've got like um uh like uh christopher moltesante trying to like push wabistex like he's got like some fucking back office in new jersey somewhere with computers no it's just baron trump in the outer oval with a shitload of adderall yeah just like minority reporting it like i can see the future i know what's going to happen at the commerce meeting next week i know then i have the bls that's just because he's got the briefing book yeah but again later they took like uh seven transactions related to boeing one was between one to five million dollars like the biggest deliverable of the china trip was to get the chinese to buy a bunch of boeing planes and by the way the announcement was so underwhelming that the stock went down because they did a shitty job but still uses proof that see we see it wasn't a good announcement it's like yeah you you thought it was tried to trade on inside information it just turns out you suck at diplomacy like that was the problem you're you're good at the crimes you're bad at diplomacy gotta deliver on that shit um all right so trump's also doing his best to uh drag the republican party down with him uh on saturday he sent yet another message that dissent will not be tolerated when his chosen primary challenger congresswoman julia letlow took out louisiana Senator Bill Cassidy, whose sin was voting to convict Trump in the January 6th impeachment trial.

35:06Cassidy went down in flames. He got third in Louisiana's primary, the first time an incumbent senator has come in lower than second place since 1944. Trump's next target is Thomas Massey, who is trying to unseat in Tuesday's Kentucky primary. Massey has been the strongest and kind of the only Republican in the House breaking with Trump on Epstein, Iran, and the big, beautiful bill. Trump has been posting about Massey nonstop. I think right before he recorded, he did like a video from the Oval, which is very legal and normal to just to just tell people to vote against Thomas Massey. We're going to run the midterms on the Hatch Act, I assume.

35:41Yeah, that's yeah. He says he's he's he's grabbing the two billion dollars for his slush fund and then trading on Nvidia and Boeing. Yeah.

35:48Jon Favreau:Pete Hegseth was doing an event in Kentucky today. His personal capacity, his personal capacity. And then Trump announces that he's delayed an imminent military assault on Iran that was supposed to happen tomorrow. Yeah, what was Pete going to do? That seems like bad timing. Feels like you need him for that. Yeah. Maybe you don't. Maybe you don't. Maybe you don't. Who's going to drink the booze? Too early to say what will happen in the Massey race, but it certainly seems like Massey himself is staying loose. Here he is on Sunday doing his best Trump impression. Whenever I call him, I got to schedule a minute for the first thing he tells me every time I call him.

36:20Massey, you're a sharp cookie. You went to MIT. You know, my professor was, my uncle was Professor John G. Trump. He was at MIT 41 years. It's a record. And, you know, I went to Wharton, which is basically the hardest school in the world to get into. This is terrible. So, I've got even better genetics than you. I knew that was how long there was. I kind of want him to lose now. That was brutal. I was rooting for him until just then. I'm too late. He's going for it, you know? put that you gotta be wary on the trump impression you know don't don't do it unless you really feel good you gotta nail it there's just too many people doing it and it's too it's too it's too big a target anyway anyone have thoughts on the primary yeah look i mean how big of a deal this

37:06Jon Favreau:is on bill cassidy like i fuck that guy you know like he he thought he could like appease maga by voting for robert f kennedy jr and ended up kind of like selling his soul and his credentials as a doctor and it being worst of all worlds and he knew better and we know it because he told us as much before he flip-flopped and so would i rather have him in the senate than his replacement yes i would but ultimately i don't think it'll make a big difference thomas massey is a different story like he's the reason we have the epstein files because he worked with roqana to get him released he's a principled vote against wars and militarism and lots of other things i don't agree with him on everything and on you know like you don't share the same worldview i don't send out you know Christmas cards with me and my kids with machine guns, like I think he did one time.

37:50Jon Favreau:But it would be a big loss. And I think it tells you everything you need to know about Donald Trump's political worldview, that he will not lift a finger to help his party build, but he will take down anyone who criticizes him. It is all about punishing his own critics and the cult of personality and protecting his personal power and not about the party or doing anything. Right. I think he's far more passionate about defeating his enemies than he is about helping his friends. Yeah. With Cassidy, you go back to that to him uh uh approving rfk jr and accepting his fake assurances in his private meetings pretending that rfk didn't believe what he obviously believed and like no you can't you can't sell half your soul he doesn't work like that they're not divided they're not divisible in that way and so these guys that end up being reluctantly for trump they don't they're not better politicians they're just worse whores you know uh so uh are you know good riddance i suppose i will say this is there's a lot being made because we had indiana and then cassidy and then and then massey but this is sort of the last gasp of this i mean it's louisiana too like well but what do you expect this is trump's last midterms right and do we think he's going to spend he's going to be spending time in 28 going around doing primary challenges maybe but like also does it lose its force at some point right like that trump's like a he's already a lame duck like he clearly has the juice to do it now but as we get to 28 and then beyond that like what is this is it's what did we what did we learn from that yeah yeah that he's an addictive prick who only cares about himself and you know and i think we also learned that like you know the nothing's breaking the fever in the republican party the party's broken and you've got a massive you've got to defeat them uh at every level because uh all the ones who are left are completely loyal to dear leader and that's about that um and i do think also he might have he might have fucked himself a little because now you got angry cassidy who's still got votes uh left to take between now and the end of the year massey tillis massey loses tillis has already been doing it and so they can make his life more difficult um and i i do wonder now between now and november if this makes it like harder for Republicans to break away from Trump, even though primaries are over because they worry that they're going to get punished.

40:10I don't know. It's just, look, it remains sort of extraordinary, right? Bill Cassidy, like, could not persuade his own voters, people that have voted for him multiple times in the past to stick with him once Trump turned, right? Like it just tells you something about the voters showing up in these Republican primaries and what they want. And there was no, the fact that Cassidy was a vote for impeachment and that Trump had fully turned against him, there was nothing he could do to convince them that he was worth saving. Nothing. Yeah.

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42:32It's been a bit since we talked about the stalemate in Iran. Trump posted on Sunday that, quote, the clock is ticking for Iran to make a deal. But by Monday, the clock apparently restarted. Trump posted that the U.S., quote, will not be doing the scheduled attack of Iran tomorrow, a.k.a. Tuesday, the day you're listening to this, because the leaders of Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE asked him to hold off due to serious negotiations that are now taking place. Trump did add that the U.S. is prepared to attack Iran, quote, on a moment's notice in the event that an acceptable deal is not reached.

43:03On Monday, it was also reported that Iran sent its latest peace proposal through Pakistan to the U.S., which the White House seems likely to reject, even as the Pentagon and Israel are, quote, engaged in intense preparations, the largest since the ceasefire took effect for the possible resumption of attacks against iran according to the new york times what do you make of the back and forth here tommy like any any chance that trump's latest threat to destroy iran got them

43:24Jon Favreau:closer to a deal scared them into it uh i don't think so but can we just talk about these statements where he name checks a bunch of autocrats they're so weird you don't have to do that but he's always like on behalf of the great and highly respected field marshal assam munir i've decided not to like exterminate iran you know what the delivery date for that plane uh is supposed to be the fourth but he once moved up for his birthday the qatar so he wants the qataris to get that plane there fast it's the same way that he does the like uh you know personality stuff with g like he enjoys the idea that governing doesn't involve anyone except the people in the room like there's no people deciding right they're just great men making big decisions together at a collaboration and friendship and so yeah he's not doing it for the good of the country he's doing it because he was he has this great rapport with these uh leaders the pakistanis in particular like they cut a big crypto deal with the world liberty financial so that's why he likes them but like you do five seconds of research into the great and respected field marshal and you find the uk authorities have charged him with torture and crimes against humanity that's the guy he's like name checking but regardless sounds like a guy he'd like of course um there's no i don't think they're any closer to a deal i like i don't know i i assume we're in the same place around thinks they have a lot of leverage because they can close straight Hormuz.

44:39Jon Favreau:They know Trump is weakened politically. They know that he wants out of this. He doesn't want to go back to war. And so they're going to wait for the United States to walk back some of the more maximalist positions or just get sick of the shit and move on. Just imagine some sort of Iranian underling kind of going down the stairs into the bunker where the recuperating Ayatollah is like pointing at the Siena numbers and saying like, look, look, we got them. We got them right where we want them. We got Nate Kuhn. Yeah, and you know. Diving into the crosstabs. Iran, there's all these leaks still. Like Iran reportedly has up to 75 % of its missile stockpile.

45:12Jon Favreau:All of its, basically, almost all of its infrastructure along the Strait of Hormuz is operational for them to shut it down. So they could always make things worse. Strait of Hormuz also now has its own Twitter account. Does it? Yeah. Like Carl the Fog in San Francisco? No, yeah, they're calling it, you know, something more official, but it's like the Iranian government. Oh, it's the Iranian government doing it? Yeah, yeah. Are we doing it in Lego? They just made an official Twitter account so we can get updates from the straight. Just personifying the straight, I guess? Yeah. That's kind of cool.

45:39Like sort of red, green, yellow. A lot of red. Like sort of when you get the like sig alerts in like California traffic, it's like, oh my God, the straighter moves is red today. Fuck. I'm going to be late. Honey, I'm going to be late. You're going to have traffic helicopters over reporting on the nines and fives. NBC reported last week that the administration is considering changing the name of the war from Operation Epic Fury to Operation Sledgehammer. We have to get a little more phallic again. Or something else entirely in order to, quote, effectively restart the clock with Congress. Is that how it works?

46:11New operation name, now they can't get you? No. Now you can do whatever wars you want?

46:16Jon Favreau:I love this idea that the War Powers Act is such a weak piece of legislation that you can just do a bureaucratic tweak and get around it. I mean, it's just crazy. It's obviously the same conflict. Changing the name doesn't matter. Every president since Nixon has claimed the War Powers Act is unconstitutional. They all hate it. But it was enacted over Nixon's veto in 1973. And so Congress has leverage here if they want to use it. Republicans refuse to use it. Maybe they'll man up now, but we'll see. Trump also wants us to know that he's not just focused on wars far away from home. He's focused on wars right in our own backyard still.

46:52There have been a bunch of rumblings about the long-rumored regime change move in Cuba. Sources told the AP last week that the administration is looking to indict former Cuban President Raul Castro, brother of Fidel, even though he's no longer in power. Then over the weekend, Marco Pudo reported that according to classified U.S. intel, Cuba has over 300 drones and has recently considered launching them against U.S. military targets and even Key West, Florida, which could serve as a handy pretext for an invasion. Cuba's current president, Miguel Diaz-Canel, responded on social media on Monday, writing the quote, quote, Cuba poses no threat, nor does it have aggressive plans or intentions against any country, including the U.S., and that a U.S.

47:28attack would, quote, trigger a bloodbath. What'd you make of the Cuba stuff? It seems like he's, it seems like he's gearing up. You want to kick us off on Cuba? I don't think we should go to war with Cuba right now. In the Times poll, there was a question that was something like, when do you believe the U.S. should launch a war against countries that have not attacked us? And I think it was like 70 % or like, don't do that. Never. Don't do that, unless someone has attacked us, we know we shouldn't go to war. Whatever Trump had come to believe about killing Soleimani, getting Maduro out of Venezuela, and how fun that was, he sees the polls showing how unpopular the war in Iran is.

48:05I hope that that has at the very least chastened them from their kind of idea that they can be regime topplers without it consuming their politics. But it's terrifying. It's terrifying to imagine that they were going to see what they're doing in the Middle East and decide that it needs to be brought closer to them. Yeah, I mean, look, I read the story.

48:21Jon Favreau:It was such an obvious pretext to me. But I mean, look, I don't doubt the intel. Like, is Cuba acquiring drones? Well, it's 2026. And every military has or is acquiring drones. That would be like not getting rifles or, you know, machine guns in World War I. So it also says, like, the intelligence suggests the Cubans would respond to a U.S. attack with drones. Yeah, I was going to say, this Axios story, you have to get way down to reality check, which is three paragraphs four paragraphs from the bottom till you find out that oh by the way that the intel is that it's retaliatory this is not a a preemptive strike on miami this is what they would do if we attacked them because we all know if they did a preemptive strike on miami that would be suicidal because you would fucking flatten the country so i also just would like to think that if we are on the verge of going to war with another country that the evidence would not be laundered through anonymous sources into a daily tip sheet that perhaps there's more information well judy Miller would like a word with you, pal.

49:15But that was the New York Times. Sorry, you're right, you're right.

49:18Jon Favreau:I do think, though, every indicator light is flashing when it comes to possible regime change operations, because there's this leak, which creates the pretext of this being an imminent threat. There was CIA director John Ratcliffe just went to Cuba and had this message from Trump. There is the indictment, the rumored indictment of Raul Castro, which was a very important part of the case for why they had to do what they did against Maduro, which was extract him from Venezuela and bring him to New York for prosecution. And there's been all these reports of a huge increase of intelligence overflights by the US.

49:46Jon Favreau:So I would be very worried if I were a Cuban official. And meanwhile, if you're a Cuban human being or citizen, like the United States has a blockade on that's allowed no oil and gas into your country. And people are starving to death. They have one to two hours of electricity a day. Hospitals can't operate. What we are doing is criminal. It is absolutely evil. You're starving a population of people to death. And the most likely outcome is that the government collapses and there is a mass exodus and migration crisis to the United States, which MAGA has told us they do not want to happen. I don't understand what these lunatics are fucking doing here, but it is just it is utterly immoral, just a horrific, horrific policy right now.

50:29I think that the insane thought running through Donald Trump's head is his response to launching a disastrous war in iran that is unpopular that has cost us billions of dollars that has spiked gas prices everywhere is i gotta launch a war that's more popular and easy i gotta go back to the venezuela model because they all think that venezuela was some big fucking success right and so it's like that was an easy one so i gotta get my mojo back by going to invade cuba now that iran's a big fucking mess very possible same did you see uh uh rubio in his maduro tracks yes like it's all just a game it's all just trolling it's all content i don't think it was that flattering no i think it was i i talked about this in love to leave it but i do think um maduro wore it better but the uh i'm not even joking like it just looked more comfortable like rubio looked like the suit was wearing him but i was looking at that's like why are you doing this like forget like it was a little posed too it wasn't like there was a long pose a long pose but but like i was i was looking at i was like what what are we supposed to okay look what is this meant to but boy you're tough you're wearing the same clothes like who is what what what was the message.

51:33And I now I'm like, oh, was this about how how like what happened? We'll do this again. Like we're going to do this. Is it a Cuba thing? Like what the fuck was the outfit? What am I meant to take from this photo, Stephen Chung?

51:42Jon Favreau:Yeah, that's a good question. I agree with you. I do think Trump wants to change the channel and kind of get us onto a new topic that isn't Iran that makes him sound tough again. I do think, though, that Cuba falls in the Venezuela, Iran, Cuba, access of evil bucket of like neocons telling him, sir, you'll be a historic figure, sir if you make big changes here right and he's down it will gargle your balls uh well i mean you don't need to do something else to get that that's already happening that's priced in but you know he's also in florida surrounded by a bunch of very like rich hard line you know miami cubans who you know have been waiting for this for a long time and you know want their real estate assets back on the island so i don't i hope i'm wrong maybe he'll fucking cubano or you know like whatever wall street will make up a new term for it stupid but i like it does seem like it it's nerve-wracking well if we if he doesn't do cuba then there's always greenland uh remember the critical national security issue of greenland uh a quick refresher the back in january after threatening to invade trump did a did a taco it announced the quote framework of a future deal with respect to greenland and in fact the entire arctic region well the new york times is now reporting that the negotiations around that framework have Greenlandic officials, quote, worried as U.S.

52:58proposals, quote, amount to a major imposition on Greenland's sovereignty. Yeah, I bet. Greenland specifically concerned about Trump's June 14th birthday and July 4th is upcoming dates where Trump's attention could swing back around to them as he starts thinking about his legacy. Un-fucking real. What do you think? Are those concerns well-founded? What do you think about the Greenlandic concerns expressed in the New York Times piece? Let's just pause and sit in the idea that uh the danes are concerned that the trump will will get more bellicose around his birthday that's where we're at that's what we do he's turning 80 you never know america's turning 250 yeah they're not they're not gonna be they're not gonna be content with just the fireworks no no you're gonna want to get no they want greenland somebody's got to give him a little he wants to he look he wants the great at the end of his name he knows that that when the when the when the russians got more territory they got to be the great so we just got to find some fucking chunk of land somewhere cuba get me greenland just make venezuela the 51st state he's just

53:59Jon Favreau:something we got to expand the map can't believe we're talking about this again this sucks it's so crazy it's like the do you guys see the the tim dylan bit we said we're not the high school bully anymore we're the weird kid who may or may not have a gun yes yeah we're not the quarterback we're not the jock we're the college kid who keeps going to high school parties who might be a pedophile and has a gun. That is us. That's a country. Good work, everybody. That is it. That is it. I think we made a mistake electing this guy. Yeah. Yeah, well.

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55:44Now that we just talked about Trump potentially trying to conquer several additional nations, possibly because it would look cool on a map, it's probably a good time to mention that there's been a revival of the debate about Trump's age and fitness for the job and whether Democrats should be making a bigger deal about it. Lauren Egan at The Bulwark and Jonathan LeMire at The Atlantic are both out with big pieces, arguing that it's time for Democrats to make it a bigger issue. We get subscriber questions about this a lot. We also see a lot of folks on social media making the argument that if you're not making as big of a deal about Trump's age as you were about Biden's, you're being hypocritical.

56:16so in the spirit of open dialogue I guess we're going to debate it let's debate it Austin Austin's bringing out a vote save America mug with three positions in it I'm not going to look till we all pro meaning it's something we should talk about more anti you can guess what that means and moderator

56:38I am the moderator I am anti

56:42Jon Favreau:I'm pro let's go bitch uh about to get fucking owned um can i get a little uh like nbc music tonight uh all right uh i'll be moderating this debate uh john you will be arguing that democrats must make a greater issue out of donald trump's age tommy will take the con uh you have the opening statement you have 30 seconds uh did did joe biden uh lose the last election or have to drop out of the last election because he was too old yes yes was it the biggest concern of every voter everywhere because everyone made a big issue and republicans made a big issue of his age yes yep so donald trump's hands are falling off right now he looks like he looks like it was like a bad uh morgue job on his hands before he got in the casket sure he's basically melting before our eyes he's got all kinds of bruises all over the place aaron rupar's feeds It's full of it.

57:37It's just purple. Okay. And yet Democrats are out there just talking about affordability and not talking about the fact that the president of the United States is decomposing before our eyes, and Democrats won't talk about it, even though these are the same Democrats that tried to push Joe Biden out of the race. Wow. A powerful argument. Tommy, your counter.

57:57Jon Favreau:John, you ignorant slut. I don't want to get in between you and Aaron Rupar's feed and your little handjob issue there with the Trump. But Trump is not running again. So none of this matters. Democrats have zero credibility on this issue after spending years pretending that they couldn't see Joe Biden's physical decline as he was shuffling around in sneakers and falling over sandbags. every minute we spend talking about makeup on this decrepit old man's hands is a minute we are not spending talking about stock trades the ballroom medicare cuts things that actually matter to people and uh yeah the napping is weird admittedly it's also very funny when the the white house uh says that he blinked for 10 seconds yeah long blanks these are long blanks admittedly that's weird but he still does a lot of events he's out there all the time he's doing rallies he looks vibrant he's a big looks vibrant what are you talking about you can't even stand up you can't make him a martyr all right so let me let me just throw some questions in each of your directions i'll start i'll start with you tommy uh you do notice that there's a significant decline in how he communicates from today to how he communicated even four or eight years ago that that his cadence has changed that he's not as clear he is more meandering he's posting all hours of the night like these are things that are should be a liability i think he's always done these things i think he's always been kind of incoherent i think he's always posted he's never slept but i but i i'm curious how you would explain the difference right like he is yes you're right he has always been this way but i think it's indisputable that it is all worse like he is rambling more he is uh it's the weave but the weave is getting worse do you think it's getting like he's changing depending on your perspective um i think i like jokes aside i think i don't know that i notice him that much more rambly than he used to be because i think he's always been rambly that like he does look tired he's legitimately falling asleep in events it's noticeable the hand stuff is weird and by the way they're clearly lying about the hand stuff because they initially they said it was his hand shaking hand and then the other hand had the bruising too so he also he also keeps going to the dentist and no one dude how many annual dentist trips He's doing a lot of dentist trips.

1:00:09He's doing a lot of physicals and things that no one's telling. No one's telling us why his health is the way it is. And there's no one's asking questions.

1:00:17Jon Favreau:And there's a doctor's office in the West Wing. So you would only go to Walter Reed or Bethesda or wherever he's going now to get like specialized equipment. There's also dental. There's also the dentist's office in the White House. So you've got to go to a special dentist. So, John, question to you. How would a Democrat who was somebody who defended Joe Biden's ability to run again make this argument without seeming like they're full of shit. I was wrong about Joe Biden. And I should have said something earlier. And that's what I'm doing this time around, because Donald Trump is in bad shape and he should not be leading the country.

1:00:47And any Republican that still supports him and that doesn't want to, you know, pressure the cabinet to invoke the 25th Amendment, then they are just feeding into this cover up for Donald Trump's age and his dementia. And he is just putting us all at risk and Republicans won't do anything about it. So even though he's not running again, when we go into the midterms, we know that Donald Trump's approval rating is highly correlated with how Republicans are going to do in the midterms. And by talking more about how he has dementia and he is losing his marbles, then we should we could get his approval even lower and that Democrats can then do better in the midterms.

1:01:20Last question for you, Tommy. Joe Biden's age and Joe Biden's disapproval on the economy became linked. The fact that the economy was bad was a sign he wasn't up for the job. The fact that he was up for the job made people doubt that he could fix the economy. We're trying to make an argument that Republicans, we have to win the House and the Senate and that Republicans refuse to tell the truth about Donald Trump. Shouldn't the fact that Donald Trump is decomposing before our eyes, rambling at all hours, falling asleep in meetings, shouldn't we be saying these Republicans won't be honest about that?

1:01:50Why are they not telling the truth about this? What are we not knowing about this? Shouldn't we be making this one of the lines of argument that we use when we try to accuse Republicans of not holding Trump accountable?

1:01:59Jon Favreau:Yeah, so allow me to flip-flop on the issue to respond to your leading question. Clearly, they're covering up something, right? Like the guys, the multiple annual doctor visits, like this is crazy. It's all a pretext. We should push for more information. There is muscle memory here, right? Like I think if we get people to like a critical mass of concern about this, they will care. I also just like I think Trouble hate it. If we call him a sad, sick old man, he would hate that. So just working that in there could be fun. Now you argue the other side. Yeah, no, I'll argue the other side. because I think Tommy's best point was he's not running again.

1:02:33Like, and so what difference, as Hillary Clinton once said, what difference does it make if he is decrepit, if they are covering something up? He's like, the reason this was a potent argument against Joe Biden is because Joe Biden was asking voters for four more years in office. Donald Trump will never ask voters for four more years in office. He might try to stay. No, he won't. He might try to stay in office, but he's not going to ask voters for four more years.

1:02:56Jon Favreau:I mean, he might run for a third term. That's not going to happen. He's going to try to just sit there and be like, I got the military. Just park? Yeah, no one's going to let him run. But so he's not going to ask for you. So what is the purpose of Trump? What is the, if we're trying to win a midterm, what is the story we're trying to tell about Donald Trump that is most true? And the story that is most true is what you said at the beginning of this episode, which is this whole term is a smash and grab. He wants to make as much money as he can. He's a megalomaniac who thinks that now he needs this legacy in history where he like conquers half the globe.

1:03:26And he doesn't give a shit about people. He doesn't give a shit about people and he's never given a shit about people. And that's a consistent story through time. And whether he has dementia now or he's losing his marbles or not, like doesn't really matter. So I think the way that I would square this is I think that's right. Democrats, I'm more passionate about the Democrats paid a political price for defending Joe Biden. And when people had concerns about his age, even after he dropped out, because it came to be evidence that Democrats couldn't be trusted more broadly. And my argument would only be no, age should not be the central argument we make against Donald Trump.

1:04:00But if we can make the fact that Republicans refuse to be honest about not just Trump's corruption and unaccountability and brazen theft, but also just his rambling and crazy nonsense. And you make every time he does that part of a story about how he's unfit, including because he's getting old, then that's part of why these Republicans can't be trusted. That's the best. I'm not. That's the best I can do for it. even that as you say that like you you kind of just like threw in corruption there but it's like so he's he doesn't know what he's doing he's crazy but he's also smart enough to be out there

1:04:32Jon Favreau:stealing all the money i just think like the incoherence is priced in like the the weave is a thing that's like a joke but it's also not a joke you know what i mean like people know he's a goofball he's all over the place he says weird shit but also like he's funny he's big and imposing he seems sharp at events a lot of times and like the hand shit is very odd but like it's also weird It's weird to make an argument that he used to be sharp when we were all saying he's been fucking crazy since he came on the scene in 2016. It's weird for Democrats to be in the position to be like, you know what?

1:05:01He's just not up for the job he used to be, but now he's not up for the job. I think, look, I don't think anyone should make that argument. I think if you go back and look at the debates with Jeb Bush versus the debate with Kamala Harris, there's been a crazy decline. But even putting that aside, here's the thing that I find very annoying about all this. this it's the same kind of practiced like obtuseness that some people on our side love to do like how could you say this if you won't say the same exact thing about trump that you said about joe biden then then you're being a hypocrite as if we can't see the difference between the way joe biden looked and the way donald trump looked like that joe biden was disappearing from the public look if you think donald trump is too old for the job i i'm i'm i'm sure sure i totally agree he's too old he's too selfish he's too he's too much of a fucking dictator for the job he's also the most he's also the most accessible president we have ever had he is on camera every fucking day he's answering questions every day and like he seems vital yeah nuts loses the thread all the ways in which he's terrible and shouldn't be in office he should be impeached and removed immediately i'm not in charge of this but like to to act as if there isn't a big difference between the way donald trump is aging the way way joe biden is aging is to once again deny what we can see with our own fucking eyes yeah but yeah and but to me that is like all beside the point it even if you can argue that back and forth, whoever thinks, you know, Joe Biden was worse or Trump was worse, whatever.

1:06:18But it's, again, the question is to what end? He is a second term president. If Donald Trump was sitting here saying, I'm going out for more years and we were trying to figure out how to defeat Donald Trump.

1:06:27Jon Favreau:The to one end answer is you try to drive down his negatism or you make it an issue that other Republicans need to speak to. And like suddenly they're vouching for him not being senile or old or whatever. I think we're a long way from here to there. Yeah. And it's also like, If you had a choice between what Republicans need to answer for, would you rather it be they're covering up for Donald Trump being too old or they're saying nothing about the fact that he's literally stealing from taxpayers out of their pocket and launched a war that shot up gas prices? Hand to makeup or theft. I think you'd rather do that one.

1:06:59And if he really did. Why not both? Okay, well, you only have so many things that you can say out of your mouth. And if it was so clear, right, like if he was real, like, look, I agree he's in decline. there's not some magic words that Democrats can use to make something more. They can make it more of an issue, but they can't make it the issue. If Donald Trump was as having the kind of muttering debate that Joe Biden had, I guarantee you would be a big political issue. And it wouldn't be because Chuck Schumer decided it was on some given day. That's a calm, sad, sick old man. Yeah, calm. Let's go to town.

1:07:27Let's go to town. Get a man. Figure out if you got the right words. I won. OK. Congrats. Good for you. Congrats to our winner, John Lovett. That's our show for today. Dan and I will be back with a new show on Friday.

1:07:45Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production. Our show is produced by Austin Fisher, Saul Rubin, McKenna Roberts, and Farrah Safari, with Reed Cherlin, Elijah Cohn, and Adrian Hill. Our team includes Matt DeGroat, Ben Hethcote, Jordan Cantor, Charlotte Landis, Kiro Pellaviv, David Toles, Mia Kelman, Ryan Young, and Naomi Sengel. Our staff is proudly unionized with the Writers Guild of America East.

1:08:06Thank you.

From the publisher
Trump's DOJ launches a $1.7 billion fund to make payments to his allies, as Democrats revive the debate about whether to make Trump's declining fitness—even his increasingly discolored hands—a campaign issue. Jon, Lovett, and Tommy weigh the pros and cons and react the rest of the news, including Trump taking revenge on Bill Cassidy and Thomas Massie, his new plotting against Cuba and Greenland, and the latest on negotiations with Iran.

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