US PMI Misses, Oil Surge, BOJ Holds Rates, and Mixed Crypto Flows: PALvatar Market Recap, January 23 2026

23 Jan 2026 · 5 min · 1 chapter

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In short

Real Vision Podcast Summary

Episode Information

  • Title: US PMI Misses, Oil Surge, BOJ Holds Rates, and Mixed Crypto Flows: PALvatar Market Recap, January 23, 2026
  • Description: A daily briefing on market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends, powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar.

Key Highlights

Event Overview

  • The episode serves as a brief market recap following the first day of the Crypto Gathering event in Miami.
  • Host mentions lively audience engagement with interactive discussions, including humorous takes on the crypto market.

Economic Data Updates

  • Global Equities:
  • Markets traded lower due to disappointing economic data from the US.
  • Services PMI: The S&P Global Services PMI flash for January was reported at 52.5, slightly below the expected 52.8, indicating slowing growth momentum in the services sector.
  • Manufacturing PMI: The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI flash came in at 51.9, also missing forecasts and suggesting only modest growth, raising concerns about future demand.

Oil Market Insights

  • Price Surge: Crude oil prices surged by over 2% due to geopolitical tensions.
  • Inventory Concerns: Despite rising prices, US crude inventories increased by 3.6 million barrels, and gasoline stocks rose by nearly 6 million barrels, raising concerns about potential oversupply.

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Update

  • The BOJ held interest rates at 0.75%, aligning with market expectations.
  • GDP growth forecasts were upgraded for 2026 but slightly downgraded for 2027.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview

  • Market Performance: Crypto prices remained relatively stable despite a significant amount of Bitcoin purchasing (over $2 billion in 8 days).
  • Large Transactions: A notable transfer of over $430 million in Bitcoin to Coinbase Prime from a BlackRock wallet indicates potential selling pressure in the market.

Key Takeaways

  • The episode provides a concise overview of the current state of the global markets, highlighting the mixed sentiment across various sectors.
  • Investors are urged to stay informed about the ongoing developments in both traditional and crypto markets, especially given the recent economic data and geopolitical factors affecting oil prices.

Additional Information

  • Merchandise: Viewers can access the Real Vision merch store for branded items.
  • Advertising: Opportunities to showcase brands to a global audience are available through Real Vision partnerships.
  • Connect with Raoul Pal: Follow Raoul on social media platforms including [Twitter](https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI), [Instagram](https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/), and [LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/).

Disclaimer

  • The opinions expressed in this episode are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal views. For accurate insights from Raoul Pal, listeners should refer to his official content.

Conclusion This episode of the Real Vision Podcast provides valuable insights into the current market conditions, emphasizing the importance of understanding macroeconomic indicators and their impact on investment decisions. The discussion spans across equities, oil, and cryptocurrency, offering a well-rounded perspective for traders and investors.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Market Recap: Economic Data and Oil Prices

0:46 to 2:49

Get insights on recent economic data releases and their impact on markets.

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Transcript

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0:05Boy oh boy, what didn't we have yesterday at Drinks with Raoul, the first event of crypto gathering. Bananas thrown from the scene. Tweets from trolls read aloud by Ash Bennington and Jamie Coutts about their boss. Real Vision guests and hosts explaining their infidelity with crypto. Audience participation. It was a pretty wild start to our event, that's for sure. And if you're not in Miami, you can watch it on the Real Vision platform. There will be more live programming coming from here today, with special in-person episodes of Rect Vision and Weekly Rap. Hope you enjoy it. Also, make sure to check out the MIT report from Julian Bittle.

0:45We heard your feedback, and Julian sprang into action to make sure you hear from him, even if you're not in Miami. Okay, let's get into our daily market recap. It's brief, as the team is handling crypto gathering, but we don't want to leave you empty-handed. Just remember that none of this is the view of the real Raoul. After all, I'm just Palvatar, his AI alter ego. Global equity markets are trading lower following disappointing economic data releases from the US, particularly the S &P Global Services PMI flash for January, which came in at 52.5, slightly below expectations of 52.8 and indicating a slowdown in growth momentum within the services sector.

1:29Additionally, the S &P Global Manufacturing PMI flash also missed forecasts at 51.9, suggesting only modest growth and raising concerns about future demand. In energy markets, crude oil prices have surged by more than 2 % amid geopolitical tensions and rising inventory levels. Recent data showed a significant increase in US crude inventories by 3.6 million barrels and gasoline stocks by nearly 6 million barrels raising concerns about oversupply despite the price rally. This mixed sentiment is reflected in market reactions as investors weigh strong oil prices against potential supply issues The Bank of Japan maintained its interest rate at 0.75 % aligning with market expectations while upgrading GDP growth forecasts for 2026 but slightly downgrading those for 2027 Crypto price action continues to be very meh but it remained relatively steady That's despite strategy buying Bitcoin over eight days worth more than$2 billion.

2:36On the flip side, a BlackRock wallet has moved more than$430 million in Bitcoin to Coinbase Prime, indicating potential selling pressure. That's all I've got for you this week. I'll be back Monday with another recap. Have a great weekend.

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From the publisher

⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar.

⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar… covers a lighter market recap amid Crypto Gathering buzz. Global equities slipped after U.S. services and manufacturing PMIs missed expectations, signaling slowing momentum. Oil jumped over 2% on geopolitical tensions despite rising U.S. inventories. The Bank of Japan held rates at 0.75% while tweaking growth forecasts. Crypto remained subdued, with large Bitcoin buys offset by notable exchange inflows.

🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights.

🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence.

🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com

Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries.

Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets.

Connect with Raoul:

Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/

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Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw

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