Market Cap Game Show: What’s Rare Earth Worth?

23 Sep 2026 · 1 h 9 min · 33 chapters

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In short

The Market Cap Game Show on Rule Breaker Investing teaches market capitalization as share price times shares outstanding, then plays a live “range guessing” contest across multiple stocks (with the King Sharon rule allowing directional bets for extra points). It also includes brief segments on work, sleep, rare earths, and halftime jokes.

Guests (backgrounds)

  • Matt Greer: longtime Motley Fool producer/personality; works on quarterly calls, premium podcasts, stock reveals, and books major guests.
  • Yasser El-Shimi: senior investment analyst at The Motley Fool; covers small/medium caps and international markets; background in political risk and policy analysis; advisor for Motley Fool’s International Investing service.

Key claims / notable examples

  • Workday (WDAY): HR/payroll/financial cloud software used by 11,500+ organizations (65% of Fortune 500); platform generates ~1.4 trillion transactions/year. Guest ranges: Yasser $28–$38B; Mac disagreed; actual ~$45.36B.
  • Zoom (ZM): founded 2011; renamed from Zoom Video Communications back to Zoom Communications in 2024. Ranges: Mac $50–$100B; Yasser higher; actual ~$26.54B.
  • American Express (AXP): closed-loop network; ranges Yasser $400–$500B vs Mac $150–$200B; actual ~$206.02B (Mac closer).
  • Equinor (EQNR): Norway state-linked energy; ranges Mac/Yasser $70–$110B; actual ~$99.96B.
  • Inspire Medical Systems (INSP): implantable neurostimulation for obstructive sleep apnea (alternative to CPAP); range Yasser $2–$6B; actual ~$2.06B.
  • Jack Henry (JKHY): banking core systems; ranges Mac $20–$30B vs Yasser $13–$18B; actual ~$10.45B (Yasser closer).
  • MP Materials (MP): rare earth mine/processing (Mountain Pass) and magnets supply chain; range Yasser $20–$33B; Mac pressed lower; actual ~$9.09B.
  • Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): life science REIT; range given but episode cuts off mid-discussion.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Understanding Market Capitalization

1:00 to 4:06

Explanation of market capitalization and how the game works.

“And you, only on this week's Rule Breaker Investing.”

Yasser's PhD Experience

4:06 to 6:58

Yasser shares his challenging experience with his PhD dissertation.

“would be, well, it used to be 10, but now I think it's something like 12 and a half.”

Introduction to Workday

6:58 to 8:00

Discussion about Workday and its market cap estimation.

“But, you know, thankfully, ever since I joined The Fool, I have not had to think about it.”

Game Play: Workday Market Cap

8:00 to 10:44

Contestants estimate the market cap for Workday and reveal results.

“My stated market cap range is$28 to$38 billion.”

Introducing Zoom Communications

10:44 to 11:41

Transition to discussing Zoom and its significance post-pandemic.

“By the way, all of these market caps are as of market close Tuesday, September 22nd.”

Game Play: Zoom Market Cap

11:41 to 14:01

Contestants guess the market cap for Zoom and reveal the outcome.

“Stock number two, Mac, you've spent much of your career communicating with people for a living.”

Market Cap Guessing Game Begins

14:01 to 14:56

The hosts start a game guessing the market cap of Zoom Communications.

“Yasser, players at home, would you like to agree with that range or disagree with that range?”

Exploring Zoom's History

14:57 to 16:01

Discussion on Zoom's founder and the company's evolution over the years.

“The good news for Yasser is you were right to disagree with the range.”

Status Symbols and Their Value

16:02 to 17:08

A discussion on what constitutes a status symbol and its perceived value.

“Yasser, I'm going to give you a phrase and I'd like you to tell me what comes to mind.”

American Express as a Status Symbol

17:09 to 18:16

The hosts discuss American Express and its positioning in the market.

“Okay, but no, I would say like a luxury watch.”
Show all 33 chapters

Guessing the Market Cap of American Express

18:17 to 20:43

Contestants guess the market cap of American Express in a fun segment.

“Yasser and Mac will now write down their best market cap range for American Express, ticker symbol AXP.”

The History of American Express

20:44 to 22:34

The hosts share insights about the founding and innovations of American Express.

“The company was founded in 1850 as a freight forwarding business.”

Market Cap Guessing for Equinor

22:35 to 25:51

The game continues with contestants guessing the market cap of Equinor.

“There's this magical world where you do something with your phone.”

Equinor's Background and Evolution

25:52 to 28:00

Discussion on Equinor's history, its origins, and its transition from Statoil.

“Okay, I'm going to say $70 to$110 billion.”

Introduction to Equinor and Game Progress

28:00 to 28:49

Learn about Equinor's name origin and current game standings.

“And Equinor combines Equi, which I think a lot of us would recognize words like equality or equilibrium, with Nor.”

Yasser's Sleep Insights

28:50 to 31:16

Discover Yasser's tips for achieving the perfect night's sleep.

“But before halftime, we go to stock number five.”

Exploring Sleep Apnea Solutions

31:17 to 33:00

Understand the issue of obstructive sleep apnea and a new device solution.

“Is there something happening at 315 Eastern?”

Market Cap Guess: Inspire Medical Systems

33:01 to 35:26

Join the contestants as they estimate the market cap for Inspire Medical.

“Now, Yasser said$2 billion to$6 billion.”

Halftime Jokes and Audience Interaction

36:33 to 39:44

Enjoy a light-hearted halftime with jokes and listener engagement.

“Now, traditionally, I have whoever's winning tell the first joke, but gentlemen, this game is tied.”

Stock Quiz and Company Origins

39:45 to 42:00

Dive into a quiz about famous companies and their founders.

“So I'm going to give you the name of a real person whose name became the name of a public company.”

Introduction to Jack Henry and Associates

42:00 to 44:39

Learn about the history and market presence of Jack Henry & Associates.

“Jack Henry and our Jerry Hall provided computer systems to community banks.”

Market Cap Throwdown: Jack Henry

44:40 to 46:06

Engage in a game segment guessing Jack Henry's market cap.

“And where did they rent that space to make it all happen?”

Cultural References and Stock Performance

46:07 to 46:48

Discuss the stock's performance and cultural references related to Jerry Hall.

“You know, I had to check back in with my pal Wikipedia to just remember.”

Understanding Rare Earth Elements

46:49 to 48:47

Get insights into what rare earth elements are and their significance.

“Well, you're slightly less cool than you were five minutes ago because Yasser has just taken a one point lead, three and a half to two and a half.”

Market Cap Discussion: MP Materials

48:48 to 51:24

Engage in another market cap guessing game for MP Materials.

“Yasser El-Shimi, what is your stated market cap range for MP materials, ticker symbol MP?”

Landlords and Biotech Companies

51:25 to 52:47

Explore what makes a good landlord for a biotech company setting.

“Mac, we haven't talked at all about landlords so far this episode.”

Market Cap Analysis: Alexandria Real Estate Equities

52:48 to 55:46

Analyze the market cap for Alexandria Real Estate Equities in the game format.

“What does your dream landlord need to provide now?”

Yasser's Bakery Business Idea

55:47 to 56:00

Discuss Yasser's entrepreneurial aspirations and business ideas.

“I feel like I'm living a lie every time I win in this game.”

Exploring Bakery Ventures

56:00 to 57:51

Yasser discusses starting a bakery and the feasibility study behind it.

“There are two questions left, two stocks left.”

Specialized Banking Insights

57:51 to 1:00:00

Discussion on Live Oak Bank's unique approach to customer specialization.

“So rather than simply saying we make small business loans, this bank has built teams that specialize in particular industries.”

Market Cap Reveal for Live Oak

1:00:00 to 1:00:45

A surprising market cap revelation for Live Oak Bank shares.

“Players at home, do you want to stick with Yassir's three to 5.75 billion Yassir's specific with these?”

Understanding Energy Infrastructure

1:00:45 to 1:03:10

Mac and Yasser discuss the energy supply chain and Kinder Morgan.

“I was trying to throw players at home off your scent, but the fact is you nailed that.”

Final Stock Market Cap Discussion

1:03:10 to 1:05:38

Debate on Kinder Morgan's market cap with engaging banter.

“I felt rushed, but I was going to get to all of that.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00The price per share of a stock tells you almost nothing. It's one number. But how many shares exist? In math, you multiply two factors. Price times shares outstanding. Without the second of those, well, you can't do meaningful math or understand much of the market. Fools with a capital F know that price times shares equals market capitalization, a company's actual price tag. To make that lesson stick, we invented a game. On August 9th, 2017, the Market Cap Game Show was born, and we've played it every quarter since. And you're playing too. Against my guest stars, against your spouse, your kids.

0:42Can you outscore my talented contestants? It's that time again. Ten new stocks, three guest stars, two of my favorite fools, longtime Motley Fool producer and personality Matt Greer, and all-star analyst and advisor Yasser El-Shimi. And you, only on this week's Rule Breaker Investing. It's the Rule Breaker Investing Podcast with Motley Fool co-founder David Gardner.

1:14Welcome back to Rule Breaker Investing. This is the Market Cap Game Show, played here in September 2026. Wow, for the 43rd time. Joining me this week are Matt Greer and Yasser El-Shimi, and they will be competing for one of our coveted four seats in our upcoming 2027 March Market Cap Madness Final Four, headlined by defending two-time world champion Emily Flippen. And of course, the third player, and to us the most important, is you. That's right, you, our dear fellow Foolish listeners. So just a quick reminder to you as we play along, the market cap is a simple way to measure the value of stocks of public companies.

1:59You simply multiply today's share price by the number of shares outstanding, and that gives you the market cap. These days, market caps range from$4 trillion or so at the high end, companies like NVIDIA and Apple, right down to, well, it can be a quite low number in some cases, and no spoilers, we might have some of those today. As my producer Bart begins to crank up our signature market cap game show music, let me just remind, especially new listeners, new players, how the game works. I'll be mentioning a stock. Neither Mac nor Yasser knows what stock is coming. I'll turn to one of them and ask that fool to state a numerical range within which the market cap falls.

2:46His best estimate. The other contestant and you playing at home will simply say, I agree, meaning it's accurate. The stock's value falls inside that range or I disagree. I think it's outside that stated range. So you simply agree or disagree. And if you get it right, give yourself a plus one. Now we did add one new rule. For the first time in market cap game show history. We played it last time. I liked it. So we're going to stick with it here. And it's the King Sharon rule, which essentially means that when you, one of my two contestants, Mac or Yasser, when you decide the other guy is wrong, it's outside his stated range.

3:26You can now say, I think it's higher than that or lower than that. And if you do that and you're right, you get an extra half point. So you have an opportunity to bet a half point if your confident you know which direction the stock was outside your opponent's stated range. Now, if you're wrong, you're still going to get, well, you're going to lose a half point. So you'll still get a half point for saying outside, but that is the King Sharon rule. Gentlemen, any questions about that? Clear as day. No questions. Excellent. That's the market cap game show. We're focused on the real market caps of real stocks.

4:03Nobody knows the next stock that's coming. A perfect score would be, well, it used to be 10, but now I think it's something like 12 and a half. All right. Yasser Al-Shimi is a senior investment analyst at The Motley Fool who covers a wide range of companies, especially small and medium caps and international markets. He works as the advisor for Global Partners, The Motley Fool Service for International Investing. Yasser has a background in political risk and policy analysis as well. And in his free time, Yasser, you like to garden, play squash, watch soccer, and study Italian. Welcome back, Yasser El-Shimi.

4:43Hi, David. I'm so happy to be back. I have had a very long losing streak on this show. I'm hoping to turn it around this time. I appreciate that, Yasser. You have also won in the past. Let's get started. All right, Yasser, I want to start our September 2026 Market Cap Game Show with a question to you about work. Think back across all the jobs you've had in your life. What's one job or one particular task within a job that you hope never to have to do again? Oh, my God. You know, I don't know if it qualifies exactly as a job, but I did a PhD. and part of doing a PhD was writing a dissertation, basically a book-length paper, you know, arguing something nobody has ever argued before.

5:37It was not exactly something that they trained us for. They didn't give us a manual on how to write a dissertation. It was more like, all right, you have taken enough classes, now go write a dissertation. And that was probably the most challenging job I've ever had to do in my life. No guidance, no manual, just figure it out. Title of your dissertation, Yasser? So here's a funny part. I made a decision as I was writing that dissertation that once I'm done, I'm going to host a dissertation burning party afterwards. afterwards because I just hated the process so much. And the process took such a toll on me and so many years of my life that, you know, I actually spent like something like six months working on a desk over like 12 hours a day just to write.

6:33And one of those times I got out of my chair and I literally tore my calf muscle. Just. That is horrific. Yeah, yeah, yeah. So. But wait, what was the topic? The topic was civil-military relations and the relationship to democratization. Not the funniest, not the lightest topic. Have you thought much about it since? Over the years, sure. But, you know, thankfully, ever since I joined The Fool, I have not had to think about it. And I'm glad to know that. You know, there are probably some things that almost nobody loves doing at work. Filling out expense reports for a lot of people. Maybe choosing benefits, requesting time off, completing performance reviews, and increasingly, a lot of those mundane moments of working life happen in one place, which brings us to stock number one.

7:28Workday, ticker symbol WDAY, provides cloud software that companies use to manage their people and their money, human resources, payroll, financial management, spending, planning. More than 11 ,500 organizations use Workday, including more than 65 % of the Fortune 500, representing more than 80 million users under contract. And these days, Workday is increasingly building AI agents into those same everyday business processes. Yasser El-Shimi, what is your stated market cap range for Workday? Ticker symbol W-D-A-Y. All right. My stated market cap range is$28 to$38 billion. $28 billion to$38 billion.

8:16Yasser, is this a stock that you own yourself? It's not a stock I own, nor have I covered. However, I am familiar with the company and what it does. Mac, do you own some WDAY in the Greer folio? I do not. I am not familiar with Workday, and I would bet heavily on Yasser. I'm not a betting man, but not just for this question, but for the entire game. If I could bet, I would bet on Yasser. I understand, but you can't. You have to compete against him. So Yasser, players at home, and Mac said$28 to$38 billion. Mac, do you want to agree with that range or disagree with that range? I'm going to disagree.

8:53All right, you have disagreed. Would you like to press it, King-Sharon rule, by saying you think it's higher or lower, or just leave it be and enjoy a point if you're right? I'm going to go, yes, I'm going to go higher. I think there's a lot of work. There are a lot of days. So I'm going higher. All right. A lot of work, a lot of days. Yeah, 365. You know, we're doing this, by the way, on the first day of autumn. I mean, how about that? It's the autumnal equinox. Okay. Players at home, if you also disagreed with Yasser's range and said it's higher than that, give yourself a point and a half because, Mac, you are right.

9:32Workday market cap,$45.36 billion. Not a bad guess at all. Yasser, how confident were you when you threw out your range? I would say I was about 80 % confident. I think the stock was recently actually within that range, and it has experienced a bit of a spike lately. But I purposefully went under because I was trying to trick Mac. Brilliantly done. I would like to point out, not that Mac would probably want me to do this, but I went back and checked Mac's last appearance on this show, and he was competing against Emily Flippen, our world champion. And I believe Emily may have won that game 9-1, which means, Mac, you have already outscored your entire output in the first question answered this game.

10:14Can I quit now? No. All right. By the way, here's a number that gives you some sense of just how much invisible work flows through Workday. The company says its platform now generates roughly 1.4 trillion transactions a year. So that's people, yeah, they're clicking request vacation, but they're also doing an enormous flow of personnel, financial spending, planning activity occurring behind the scenes at thousands of organizations around the world. Mac, one and a half. Yasser, zero. Let's move on to stock number two. By the way, all of these market caps are as of market close Tuesday, September 22nd.

10:51All right, Matt Greer is a longtime producer with The Motley Fool. He works on our quarterly call, our premium podcasts, stock reveals, and Fool events. He's also responsible for booking some of the greatest guests in Motley Fool history. Matt, just a quick rogues gallery of some of your bookings for The Motley Fool over the years. Mr. Rogers, Billie Jean King, Weird Al, Loretta Lynn, the San Diego Chicken. I mean, I have to cut you off right there. You could keep going, but I mean, that's pretty great. and I got to be part of a lot of those. Mac, thank you for all you've done for the Motley Fool over the years.

11:24Outside the Fool, Mac enjoys spending time with his family, going to and thinking about Costco, navigating his Beagles separation anxiety. I'm not sure we'll get into that this week, but maybe we will. And driving stick shift. Welcome back, Mac Greer. Thanks, David. Stock number two, Mac, you've spent much of your career communicating with people for a living. radio, podcasts, video, live events. Take me back to the Mac Greer of, let's say, 1995. What part of how you and I communicate professionally today would absolutely astonish Mac Greer in 1995? 1995. So I was working for a nonprofit here, working with high school students for the Close-Up Foundation and talking about civics education, taking them around D.C.

12:19We'd go to New York. We'd go to Williamsburg. Nice. So just setting the stage here. So I think, well, you know, there's a whole Internet thing that's happened since then. So I'm going to say the Internet, you know, just the Internet. Yeah. Well, one of the greatest changes in our working lives, in part thanks to the Internet, is that somewhere along the way, a meeting stopped necessarily being a place that you would go to. One company has done so much to make that happen. Its company name today, something pretty close to a verb. Let's Zoom. I'll Zoom you. We're on a Zoom. And of course, there was a moment in 2020 when an awful lot of us were Zooming an awful lot.

13:05Zoom Communications, ticker symbol ZM, founded in 2011, started out trying to make video conferencing simple and frictionless. Today, it's, well, it's a bit broader than video meetings. Matt Greer, what is your stated market cap range for Zoom Communications, ticker symbol ZM? So I should know this because I'm a shareholder, a sad Zoom shareholder. I understand. It hasn't been a great few years. It has not been, or a great more than few years. You're right. It got kind of a Zoom bump, didn't it? It did. Yeah, it had our recommendation on it, and it was on fire there for a while. What's the top part of the bump called?

13:44Because that's where I bought it. The peak? The peak. Yes, the peak. That's the word I'm looking for. That's the word I'm looking for. I'm going to say$50 to$100 billion. All right, so pretty broad range. $50 billion to$100 billion for Zoom communications. Yasser, have you ever used Zoom before? I use it every day. I mean, what am I asking? Almost every day, yes. Fire me. That's such a ridiculous question. So Mac has said$50 to$100 billion. Yasser, players at home, would you like to agree with that range or disagree with that range? Right. It's funny because if you look at my notes, I wrote, like, I was trying to guess with Mac what the market cap might be.

14:27I mean, that's the best practice. You're riding right along with your opponent as he's thinking. I like it. And one number I wrote was$100 billion, but that was the start of the range. I thought it might be higher. So I'm going to disagree with Mac and go for higher. All right. So disagree, and Yasser, you've said higher. The correct answer is the market cap for Zoom communications. Remember how it hasn't done that well the last few years? $26.54 billion. Wow. The good news for Yasser is you were right to disagree with the range. So you do get a point minus a half point for thinking it was even bigger than that.

15:14Friends, it has been a tough few years for shareholders. It has been. Wow. That's half what I thought. Yeah. Zoom founder Eric Guan knew this business before starting Zoom. He was one of WebEx's founding engineers. He stayed after Cisco acquired WebEx, and eventually he left Cisco in 2011 to start his own video communications company. Zoom Meetings launched two years later. I should mention that the company isn't actually called Zoom Video Communications anymore. In 2024, it changed its corporate name just back to Zoom Communications, reflecting its effort to become more than just a video conferencing product.

15:57The score is Mac one and a half. Yasser one half. Players at home, how you doing? All right. Keep it up. Let's move on to stock number three. Yasser, I'm going to give you a phrase and I'd like you to tell me what comes to mind. Are you ready? I'm ready. All right. Status symbol. Status symbol. Luxury car, luxury watch maybe a purse i agree those are all good examples a status symbol something that people acquire or wear drive as you said carry or do partly because it communicates status macreer same question to you what's a status symbol you notice out there in 2026 You know, I think a watch because you don't see watches.

16:46I was going to say Crocs, but then I realized that maybe that's just me. I love my Crocs. Do you go with Crocs with socks? Because I go Crocs with socks. I love the phrase. But I'm not sure what status you're exactly communicating. I agree that I don't wear my Crocs thinking that people think I'm rocking my Crocs with socks. Oh, I get looks. You do. All right. Okay, but no, I would say like a luxury watch. Very valid. And, you know, I guess part of what we just did is we just raised the possibility that sometimes the object itself, the status symbol itself, isn't especially valuable. It's what everybody has agreed that that object means.

17:29And for decades, one company has been particularly good at turning a little rectangle of plastic, or these days sometimes metal, into exactly that. American Express, ticker symbol AXP, one of the world's largest payments companies, unlike Visa and MasterCard. American Express operates what is known as a closed loop network. It issues many of the cards. It runs the payment network itself. It maintains direct relationships with the merchants accepting them. And surrounding all of that is the membership ecosystem. Rewards, travel, airport lounges, dining, experiences that's helped make cards like Platinum and Centurion brands unto themselves.

18:16And stock number three is a throwdown.

18:24That's right, it's throwdown time. Pencils out, fools. Yasser and Mac will now write down their best market cap range for American Express, ticker symbol AXP. And once they share their ranges, players at home, your job is to pick the contestant you think made the better guess. You simply say Yasser or Mac. And if you're right, score a point. Now, as they think of their guesses a bit more on how this works. If only one of them gets the market cap range right, well, of course, the correct guess wins the point. But if both are right, well, then the contestant with the tighter range takes the point.

19:03But what if they're both wrong? Well, I can't now recall for sure whether that could ever have happened on this show before. But supposing this ever should happen if they both miss, we measure proximity. It's the Barker protocol. Whosever nearest parameter is closest to the true market cap will win the point. So we do this twice every show. Let's do it. Stock number three is American Express. And I'll now turn to Yasser first. Yasser, what is your stated market cap range for AXP? $400 to$500 billion. $400 billion to$500 billion. Matt Greer, what do you have written down on your orange post-it note?

19:43I have$150 to$200. $150 to$200 billion. All right, players at home, your goal is now simply to say who you think has it right. I'm going to give you three seconds, and then you're going to say their name. Ready? Three, two, one. Okay, you said it. And it just so happens American Express falls in between both of my talented guests' ranges, which technically means neither of them got it right. But then the question is, who got closer? And the market cap as of Tuesday market close for American Express is$206.02 billion. And so, Mac, your$150 to$200 was awfully close, and you get a point. That's a six.

20:27That's a 206. Yeah, you're lying. Mac is referencing his handwriting on the orange post-it note, and your zero doesn't at all look like a six. But, you know, it's good enough for a point, Mac, because that was a pretty darn good guess. I'll take it. So, again, if you said, Mac, give yourself a point, you know, long before American Express moved money, it moved stuff. I had to go back and look this up. I had forgotten. The company was founded in 1850 as a freight forwarding business. So it was transporting packages and valuables across a growing America. It didn't introduce its first charge card until the 1950s.

21:06That's a full century after the company started. And here's a wonderfully obsolete sounding Amex innovation that some of us, probably both of you guys, but at least Mac, because you're the oldest in this room. So I know you're going to remember this wonderfully obsolete sounding innovation, the American Express Traveler's Check. Absolutely. The year was 1891. They invented them back then. You can't buy new ones anymore, but old American Express Traveler's Checks still have no expiration date, Mac, and can still be redeemed. I am old enough to remember if you travel to Europe, like in the 80s, the first time I ever went to Europe, and you had to bring your Traveler's Checks.

21:49and I was just petrified that I was going to lose them because if you lost them, that was bad, bad, bad. Yeah. And while I'm making it sound like we're the old guys who know this, Yasser, I'm pretty sure you've had some experience with American Express traveler's checks. Well, not traveler's checks, but I mean, I watch them in movies. But I used to own an American Express card and it gave me a really hard time when I traveled abroad because nobody would take it. Everybody asked for MasterCard or Visa. Now there's more adoption, thankfully, but yeah. I remember those days. All right, good. Yeah, well, I always figure since you were born and you're a native of Egypt, I always think you've probably traveled more than I have, Yasser.

22:26So I'm surprised that you had never rocked the American Express Travel Check, except now I started thinking, Mac, they really haven't been around for quite a long time. No, and now you travel and you don't even need cash. Kids these days. There's this magical world where you do something with your phone. You don't even need a wallet. It's incredible. Just take your phone. Yeah. All right, let's move on to stock number four. I'm counting Mac two and a half, Yasser half. I turn now back to Mac rear Mac, Norway. Give me your associations. When I say Norway, what comes to mind? Conan O 'Brien, because he, on his recent show, he went to Norway.

23:02And it was just fantastic. It was absolutely fantastic. And then I, of course, think Winter Olympics, because they're so dominant in the Winter Olympics. It's unbelievable. Yeah. What else? Vikings? Vikings, of course. Vikings. Yes. Yes. Yasser? Well, we just had the World Cup, and, you know, we watched the wonderful rowing motions. Yes. Oh, my gosh. Growing up our escalators, I think. And I buried the lead, Erling Haaland. Exactly. How did I forget? Yeah. I apologize because, oh, love that guy. Did you forget the Nobel Peace Prize as well, Mac? Oh, yes. Are you undervaluing the Nobel Peace Prize?

23:38Yes. Yes. Can we start this one again? I'd like to go Erling Haaland, then Nobel Peace Prize, and then the thing about Conan O 'Brien. Can I get an extra half point if I predicted the next stock? Nice. Norwegian Cruise Line. Yes. Actually, good guess. I will not dock you. That is not it, though. It's a pretty good guess. Come on. Here's another thing that Norway has in abundance, my friends, and that is energy. So one of the more interesting economic stories of the last half century is what Norway has done with the enormous oil and gas resources discovered beneath the North Sea. So that takes us not to Norwegian Cruise Lines, although it's a beneficiary, but to Equinor, ticker symbol E-Q-N-R.

24:21Equinor is Norway's giant energy company producing oil and natural gas primarily from the Norwegian continental shelf, while also operating internationally and investing in renewable power and other lower carbon energy businesses. It produced more than 2 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2025, and the Norwegian government still owns 67 % of this company. Matt Greer, Erling Haaland, Vikings, Norwegian Cruise Lines, Nobel Peace Prize. But what is your stated market cap range for Equinor, ticker symbol EQNR? This is a tough one. I'm going to draw on my Houston roots because, as you may know, there's some oil and gas in Texas.

25:09You were born in an oil pit, weren't you? Yes. Yes. Yes. Yes. Yes. If that's even a thing, which I don't think it is, by the way. I was. I was. Yes. I'm going to say that the market cap for Equinor. It feels like you're picking your numbers very carefully here. It's Equinor, right? Yes. Yep. Yes. You got it. Okay. Ticker symbol E-Q-N-R. Okay. Yep. Fun fact. old name of Equinor was Statoil. Oh my gosh. That's coming. I queued up that fun fact after, but thank you. You're helping your opponent a little bit. This is sweating and struggling. This is such a mismatch. This is like Erling Holling playing a manatee.

25:52I mean, this is not right. This is not right. I have no shot. I have no shot. Okay, I'm going to say $70 to$110 billion. $70 billion to$110 $110 billion. Yasser, you knew the stat oil thing because you've researched the stock? I had looked at the stock in the past, correct? I know that international investing, clearly a focus of yours here at The Motley Fool, so that would be a reason why, maybe. Definitely. It's actually a recommendation in one of our services. Juicy. Focus on energy. Mac, what did you say again? Fixed. You said 70 to 110? I think, or did I say 70 to 10? I'm going to lock it in at 70 to 110.

26:37Right. Having said that, you know, I am really bad with numbers. So I could know, like, the history of the company, but ask me about the market cap and I'm going to glitch. So I'm going to agree with Mac on the stated range. So Yasser is agreeing with Mac's stated range of 70 to 110 billion players at home. Are you going to agree or disagree? All right. You did that. And if you agreed, give yourself, along with Yasser, a plus one. Because, Mac, that was an excellent call. $70 to$110 billion. But the way this game works, Yasser gets the point. Not you. I know it feels so wrong, but it's so right.

27:15This is the 43rd episode of the Market Gap Game Show. Holy smokes. This is how it goes. That's never happened to me, though. It's okay. I don't care about the point. No one's ever agreed with you and you've been right. I feel such pride. I feel such pride. Next time, if you tighten it a little bit, you put more pressure on your opponent. But you don't need my advice because you're... Good point. Let me give the answer. $99.96 billion. Basically, 100 even, friends. Nice. Thanks for making me say that. Sorry, I skipped it. Yeah, as Yasser said, the company was actually created in 1972. It was the Norwegian state oil company, Statoil, and the government owned 100 % of it.

Read the full transcript

27:53It went public, though, in 2001. Norway does remain, of course, the controlling shareholder today. But then in 2018, Statoil dropped oil right out of its name. And Equinor combines Equi, which I think a lot of us would recognize words like equality or equilibrium, with Nor. Any guesses as to where the Nor would have come from? Norway. Excellent guess. So, yeah, Equinor intended to reflect the company's evolution into a broader energy business. And despite that broader identity, though, oil and gas remain overwhelmingly its principal energy output today. Ninety nine point nine six billion dollars.

28:33Pretty much an even 100. Great guess, Mac. Great point, Yasser and those who agreed. So by my count, it's two and a half to one and a half as we move to stock number five. Now, I want to remind my contestants, you guys are the halftime entertainment. I've asked you each to bring a joke. I think a lot of us are already rubbing our palms together in anticipation of the halftime entertainment. But before halftime, we go to stock number five. Yasser, let's talk about sleep. So what does Yasser El-Shimi need for a really good night's sleep? What's your ideal setup or routine? Man, I have to turn off all lights.

29:10Smart. I cannot have any light, however faint, in the room and in the hallway, most of the house. I just, I don't know. I feel like if it's nighttime, it's time to sleep. You got to let your body work its natural rhythm of complete darkness. Did you see recent studies that confirmed that, in fact, that disruptive light actually undermined the strength of our heart over long periods of time? I did not. That was in just the last couple weeks. Google it, guys. You'll see it. So, Yasser, you're doing it right there. Anything else about a perfect night's sleep for you? I mean, you got to have a good pillow and a good mattress.

29:48Otherwise, you know, like, I mean, I personally, my go-to is a Tempur-Pedic mattress. All right. Yeah, yeah. Temperature? Speaking of temp, temperature? Does that matter? It does matter. You can't be too hot. You can't be too cold. It has to be just the right temperature. What about the phone? Do you have your phone kind of in reach, out of reach? Is that a factor for you around sleep? Unfortunately, I have the bad habit of looking at my phone right before I go to sleep. But I do use my phone to help me sleep, actually. So I play some usually some white noise and that that helps put me right to sleep.

30:25I'm actually feeling a little bit more relaxed myself just hearing Yasser talk about that. Mac, do you have any agreements or disagreements, any violent agreements or disagreements with what Yasser just shared? I think I think that all makes sense. I'm also worried about my heart because having heard you with that sleep research, I've got. Yeah. Check it. But basically, you don't want to have light interfering with your sleep in any regular way at all. Does that include ESPN? Because if I'm checking scores, is that or is that different? I mean, I would say maybe the dark web version, right, where you flick it from light to dark on your browser or in your iPhone.

31:04That might help. Do you and maybe I'm dating myself, but I wake up at like 315 pretty much every night. And is that just a sign that I'm old? Or is there something about 315? Is there something happening at 315 Eastern? I think some questions are best left rhetorical. That is a powerful moment for this podcast. Thank you. Okay. All right. Picking it right up there. For a lot of people, the problem isn't about temperature or light. It's about breathing. Simply breathing. Obstructive sleep apnea occurs when the airway becomes blocked repeatedly during our sleep, often as the tongue and airway muscles relax.

31:45So CPAP has long been the standard treatment using a mask and hose to keep air flowing. Our next company approaches the problem very differently. Inspire Medical Systems, ticker symbol INSP, makes an implantable device for people with obstructive sleep apnea who've struggled with the CPAP. The device is implanted near your collarbone. It senses your breathing. And while you sleep, it sends gentle electrical pulses that stimulate the nerve that controls your tongue. It moves your tongue forward and helps keep that airway open. We patients then turn it on at bedtime with our remotes. Yasser El-Shimi, what is your stated market cap range for Inspire Medical Systems, ticker symbol INSP?

32:35My stated range is$2 to$6 billion. $2 billion to$6 billion. A smaller cap company, I think it's fair to say, than Equinor? Absolutely. You're very confident in that. Much smaller. Yeah, much smaller. Okay. Mac, you've already shared a possible addiction to ESPN disrupting some of your sleep. I don't think there's an implantable device necessarily for you there. But if you ever or your loved one suffer from sleep apnea, this is a new option. Now, Yasser said$2 billion to$6 billion. Mac, what are you feeling right now? Before you give your official answer, just how are you feeling? So I'm a little anxious.

33:11I'm also thinking about how the Breathe Right strips used to be the big sleep aid. And I don't know if that's still a thing. Yeah. Like it was the athletes on the field, but then people would go to sleep with them. Yes. And then who knew? But I'm pretty sure, I don't know if that really worked, but I'm going to say that it's - I mean, they're not around anymore. No, no. Are they? Like where did the Breathe Right nose strips go? And couldn't you just put a Band-Aid on your nose? That's the thing that always threw me about that. Yeah, so I'm a little nervous. This is a tough one. I'm familiar with the company.

33:43I've definitely heard about the company. Inspire. You're inspired. Yeah, I'm inspired. So he said$2 billion to$6 billion players at home. Matt Greer, do you want to agree or disagree with that range? So I had written down on my notepad here$10 to$18 billion. But then I started thinking, that's a pretty small market of people who need that. So maybe it's lower than$2 billion. But then I start thinking I'm usually wrong about stuff. So I'm going to say that it's higher and it's out of the range. All right. So you're saying outside the range. Outside the range. And you believe it's higher. It's higher.

34:19All right. Players at home, do you want to go with max approach or stick with Yasser's range? And if you stuck with Yasser's range, give yourself a plus one, which makes this game tied. because the market cap for Inspire Medical Systems is$2.06 billion just inside Yasser's range. But on the low end of his range, it is a smaller problem, a smaller company. It is an emergent company. In fact, Inspire Medical Systems actually began inside a much larger company, Medtronic. The technology and its intellectual property were spun out in 2007, and that created the company we know today as Inspire Medical Systems.

35:02The resulting system later became the first FDA-approved neurostimulation technology for moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea. And probably not as important as that, it gave Yasser a point in this game to tie it at 2.5 to 2.5, which means players at home, if you've scored three or more points, you're actually winning. We spend a lot of time thinking about how to grow and protect our money. But one convincing text, email, or fake website can put all of that at risk. Today's scams can look completely legitimate, even like your bank. And by the time an alert arrives, the money may already be gone.

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36:40Therefore, I'm going to randomize who's going first. First, I'm going to my dice rolling app on my phone. One to three. Yasser, you'll be telling the first joke. Mac, you're four to six. Yasser, what do you have for us? Okay, I have one. Why do chefs love to invest? Why do chefs love to invest? I'm always unclear. Are we supposed to give our best shot at answering that question? Yes, absolutely. Or just let it happen, Mac? Go for it. Why do chefs love to invest? Is this going to make us laugh? Maybe not. Probably not? I'm working on something with net margins, but I can't quite get there. Let's just go right back to the source.

37:19Yasser, why do chefs love to invest? No guess even. Not even a guess? Well, net margin. Net margin. Okay. Net margin. All right. Okay. Amortization. Possibly the worst guess we've ever had at halftime of the show. I have no idea where you came up with that. It's unclear where that came from. All right. Yeah. Why do chefs love to invest? Well, they know all about stocks. Beef stock, chicken stock, vegetable stock. Nice. I mean, that does make sense. And maybe one day they can aspire to become bouillonaires. Oh. That was. That was. That hurts. In a good way. I like that. In a bad way. I like that.

37:56That was the cherry on top. That's good. That's good. I was not expecting that, Yasser. Thank you. You know, no one is laughing harder than Yasser at his own joke. That's good. It's good stuff. It's a sign of a really bad joke. No, no, no, no. Thank you. It was well delivered. Mac, you have an opportunity to continue the entertainment. So, David Yasser, a termite walks into a bar and says, is the bartender here? Mmm. Mmm. I got that. I did, too. I did, too. What I'm doing is I'm weighing the value of these two jokes. I'm actually weighing whether we should keep doing jokes at halftime now. Oh, my God.

38:39I think we should allow our listeners to vote on the best jokes. That's bad for your heart also. I will say this. Next week on this show, it is our September 2026 mailbag. Dear listener, if you feel as if you have a better joke than my contestants brought and you'd like to share it with the world, I will share it through this podcast next week on our mailbag. It's a low bar. I mean, we might have a lot of entries. I also want to mention that we have audio mailbag now on Rule Breaker Investing. We've enjoyed doing this the last couple of months. So if you'd like to submit, I mean, the email address is the same, rbi at fool.com.

39:17If you'd like to submit an audio thought, question, poem, challenge, we enjoy doing audio as well. So you can be famous on next week's show with your voice or you could mail us a joke. You probably shouldn't do both. Should we have people send in audio mailbags with their jokes? I'd be careful. I'd be careful of that. So we'll see. It has to be PG. Family show. Thank you. Well, speaking of family shows, this is one that I hope is entertaining the family because we have a tie at halftime. This is getting exciting, guys. Let's move on to stock number six. All right, stock number six. Matt Greer, we're back from halftime.

39:59Let's start with a little quiz. So I'm going to give you the name of a real person whose name became the name of a public company. So you're going to tell me what that person did. Pretty basic. You ready? Okay. Charles Schwab. Invest. Help people invest. Yeah. Like brokerage account, right? Yeah, brokerage. Discount brokerage. Okay, good, good. You got that one. Next one. John Deere. Ag, equipment, tractors, all the good stuff. But who was John Deere? John Deere. I think that's a trick question. You can't use AI. By the way, I'm the only one with a computer because I'm running the game show. These guys can't see anything.

40:36So you can't use ChatGPT right now to tell you who John Deere is. I admit I didn't know who John Deere was myself. I do know now. I do know. I just don't like talking about it. Because, you know, blacksmiths who develop commercially successful steel plows just kind of on your verboten list. Yeah. Yeah. Blacksmith. Okay. Okay. So, Charles Schwab, you nailed it. I would say you mostly got John Deere. So, you ready for another famous American who gave his name to a public company? Yep. All right. Who is Jack Henry? So, John Henry was a steel-driving man, I think, right? He was probably a friend of John Deere.

41:14Right. And Johnny Tremaine, those were fictitious. John Henry fictitious, I think. It sounds like you don't know who Jack Henry is. No, I'm getting there. I'm getting there. Jack Henry was, I mean, they were, you know, John, Jack, they were brothers. um john henry no is it jack henry or john henry so i'm gonna answer the question he was an entrepreneur he was an entrepreneur that is true he was and he was he was he was very successful do you remember what america's bicentennial year was um yeah 1976 and that was the year that jack henry and his business partner jerry hall started a little company in monette which state missouri Dang it.

41:53Yasser was born in Egypt, and he just nailed that. Oh, my gosh. Wasn't Jerry Hall married to Mick Jagger?

42:02Jack Henry and our Jerry Hall provided computer systems to community banks. So 50 years later now, Jack Henry & Associates, ticker symbol JKHY, is one of the, I would say, one of the important technology companies that sits invisibly behind American banking. So it provides the core systems, digital banking, payments, fraud protection, lending, other technologies that help banks and credit unions actually function. So today, more than 7 ,200 financial institutions use not John Henry and not Jerry Hall, although, yes, Jerry Hall, but Jack Henry technology. So we've talked about the company. What I haven't shared yet is this is a throwdown.

42:54This is throwdown number two, our final throwdown for this episode of the Market Cap Game Show. So Mac and Yasser pencils out. What are your stated market cap ranges for Jack Henry and Associates? Ticker symbol J-K-H-Y. Maybe not as well known as Charles Schwab, maybe. By now, players at home, I think you know the deal. When I count three, you're simply going to say Mac or Yasser. And if that fool gets it right, you get a point. I see, Mac, you are already ready. Yasser, okay, your pencil is down. Let me turn right back to Mac Greer. Mac, what did you write down for the market cap for your guy, Jack Henry?

43:35$20 to$30 billion. $20 billion to$30 billion. Yasser, what do you have on your pink post-it note? Sure. I went a little lower with$13 to$18 billion. $13 billion to$18 billion. Players at home, I'm about to count three. You're either going to say Mac if you think it's$20 to$30, or Yasser if you think$13 to$18 billion. All right, three, two, one. All right, you said it. And I'm here to let my players know you guys both missed it again. And one of you got closest to the actual market cap of Jack Henry, which is$10.45 billion, which means if you said Yasser, players at home, you and Yasser get a point.

44:21$10.45 billion, Yasser. You said$13 to$18, so that was closest. You know, the Jack Henry origin story is almost suspiciously perfect for a game show because the year was the bicentennial year. Matt Greer and Jack and Jerry sketch out their business idea. Where? Literally on the back of a napkin. And where did they rent that space to make it all happen? An engine repair shop. They were renting for$40 a month. This is a classic business startup kind of a situation. 50 years later, Jack Henry is an S &P 500 company. By the way, one year later in 1977, their grand total revenue was$115 ,222. Eight years after that, Jack Henry went public on the NASDAQ, and JKHY has been its ticker ever since.

45:12Yasser, were you confident, as you wrote down, is this a stock you've looked at 13 to 18? It's a stock I looked at way in the past, and I don't know, about a year ago or so, I looked at it again, and it still seemed not to have moved that much from when I had looked at it several years ago. So I kind of figured it was kind of a little bit on the smaller side. A spot of internet research shows that Jack Henry 10 years ago this week was at$87 a share. Today it's at$149, so it's up. but it certainly has underperformed the market averages. The markets have more than tripled over these 10 years. The stock has not yet doubled.

45:53It is way, way ahead of where it started, though, 50 years ago. So congratulations to Jack Henry and Mick Jagger's main squeeze, Jerry Hall. I think with Jerry Hall. I could be wrong about that. I don't know. You know, I had to check back in with my pal Wikipedia to just remember. So, yes, you're absolutely right. In fact, on her Wikipedia page, her partner Mick Jagger, 1977 to 1999. I think we may all be a little bit guilty, though, of failing the cultural literacy test here because Jerry Hall married Rupert Murdoch in 2016. They divorced six years later. But, yeah, we need to keep up a little bit more with, like, what's happening in the world.

46:38I had forgotten that. My wife informed me a few years ago that I needed to update my cultural references because I told someone like three years ago that I guess I wasn't cool because I didn't listen to Radiohead. And she said, you need to update your references. Well, you're slightly less cool than you were five minutes ago because Yasser has just taken a one point lead, three and a half to two and a half. And on to stock number seven. Yasser, rare earths, a phrase that we've probably heard dozens of times, especially in recent years. I'm not convinced that I personally could pass a pop quiz on what exactly a rare earth is.

47:16So help me out here. Is this an area of knowledge for you? Have you studied this? Vaguely, I've looked at it. What are rare earths? Okay, I mean, those are minerals that are found. They're actually, fun fact, they're not rare at all. They're plentiful. However, the effort and expense and cost necessary to actually refine the, I guess, the dirt or the ground or the rocks. Neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, terbium. I can never say those words. I wouldn't even be able to pronounce them correctly. But, you know, yeah, they are plentiful and they're expensive to refine. They're relatively abundant in the Earth's crust, but it's rare to find them concentrated enough to extract them.

48:07So, yeah, powerful permanent magnets used in electric vehicles, robotics, drones, the list goes on. That all takes us to MP Materials, ticker symbol MP. MP owns and operates the Mountain Pass. rare earth mine and processing facility in California. It has expanded downstream into making rare earth metals and magnets at its independent facility in Fort Worth, Texas. In other words, MP is trying to build an American supply chain that goes from rock in California to finished magnet in Matt Greer's home state, the proud state of Texas, the Lone Star State. Yasser El-Shimi, what is your stated market cap range for MP materials, ticker symbol MP?

48:55My stated market cap range is$20 billion to$33 billion. $20 billion to$33 billion. Now, Mac, this is, I mean, Yasser showed, I would say, a high degree of comfort with the phrase rare earth. While he didn't name any of the rare earths themselves and said he couldn't pronounce them, he already understood the gist of it. And his market cap range of$20 billion to$33 billion would probably strike you, would have to strike you as plausible. Yes, absolutely. But I think it may be a little rich. So I think that the valuation is a little more down to earth. So I'm going to say - You're going to disagree.

49:40I'm going to disagree. And are you going to say, press a half point? I'm going to press a half point and I'm going to go below the range. So players at home, you can either agree with Yasser, in which case if it's 20 to 33, you're going to get a point. Or you could disagree with Yasser and take Max Gambit saying it's lower than that. And the market cap for MP Materials at market close Tuesday, September 22nd, was$9.09 billion. dollars, which means if you disagreed with Yasser and in fact went and pressed with Mac, give yourself a point and a half. Now, this is part of the fun of the King Sharon rule introduced last show that we use now because normally you could only score a point.

50:26But what just happened with Yasser up three and a half to two and a half, Mac, you just took a half point lead. You're now winning four to three and a half. It's a rare win, but I'll take it. Yeah. Your emotions right now. I just I'm on the verge of tears. It's so emotional. I hear the emotions. I mean, it's audio, so you can't see it, but I'm incredibly choked up right now. Mountain Pass, by the way, has been around a lot longer than today's rare earth headlines. Rare earths were discovered there in 1949. By 1966, the year of my birth, Mountain Pass had become the world's leading source of rare earths, a position it held for decades.

51:04Here's some sense of its skill. Well, MP has historically produced roughly 15 % of the world's rare earth content from this one California operation. Although, as we just noted, it's now not just mining, it's also crafting. And so that's an interesting company, but a smaller cap company than some of us were thinking. So as we move on to stock number eight, again, it's Mac four, Yasser three and a half. Let me turn back to Mac Greer. Mac, we haven't talked at all about landlords so far this episode. Let's talk a little bit about landlords. So over your lifetime, you may have been a renter at points.

51:39I was. I think you might be a homeowner today. I'm a homeowner. I rented in Washington, D.C. for 10 years. So a long time. What makes somebody a good landlord? You know, I think responsive, right? So when you have a problem, they respond. They're on it. Did you have a moment with a landlord where you experienced responsiveness? Very few. and I will say that part of the deal was I had a very good setup. I didn't know that my place ended up being rent stabilized and it was crazy. So my rent essentially didn't go up over 10 years, which is nuts. In D.C., it went up like$30 over a 10-year period. You should be thanking the Washington, D.C.

52:20city government. I know, I know. It's crazy and we won't get into the politics of it, but what I took from that is I just need to fix all my own stuff and never complain and never say peep to the landlord because I have a good deal. So that was my approach. Got it. And yet you walked away from it all and bought a house at some point. All right. Well, let's upgrade your needs substantially for the purpose of stock number eight. So you're starting a biotech company, Matt Greer. You've raised your first serious round of funding. You've hired some scientists. You need a place to put them. What does your dream landlord need to provide now?

52:56It's biotech. So you need a clean space. I need a sterile, clean space. Yeah. Maybe some laboratory ventilation. Yes. Yes. A cryogenic chamber to sleep. No, no. Yeah. But a clean space. A clean space. Hazardous material handling. Oh, absolutely. Not every landlord provides. That's true. Some good gloves, but clean space. I want a clean space. You'd probably love to be surrounded maybe by universities. And that too. Hospitals. Yes. Sorry. And a clean space. Other scientists. Capital. That's good. Starbucks. Excellent. That all brings us then to the business of Alexandria Real Estate Equities. ticker symbol A-R-E.

53:33Alexandria is a real estate investment trust specializing in life science campuses. It owns and develops laboratory and research properties concentrated in places like greater Boston, San Francisco, San Diego, Seattle, Maryland, the Research Triangle Park in North Carolina and New York City. As of June 2026, Alexandria had 36 million rentable square feet of operating properties. I'm providing some numbers, maybe a little bit of help for players at home and Matt Greer, who's now on tap to announce his stated market cap range for Alexandria Real Estate Equities, ticker symbol A-R-E. Five to ten billion dollars.

54:20$5 to$10 billion. Now, The Motley Fool started in Alexandria, Virginia. Alexandria Real Estate Equities actually started one year later. It was in 1994. No connection whatsoever, by the way. The latter, this company, is actually named for Alexandria, Egypt, which I think you'll appreciate, Yasser. I do. The great ancient center of science and learning. Also, their market cap is a bit larger than ours. Mac, you said$5 billion to$10 billion. Correct. All right. Yasser, players at home, do you want to agree or disagree with Max 5 to 10 billion? I'm going to disagree. All right. You're going to disagree.

54:59Would you like to press it or leave it alone? I'm going to press it. All right. And say it's higher. All right. So Max said 5 to 10. Players at home, you could agree with that. Or you could disagree and specifically say it's higher than that and press for a point and a half. And if you agreed with Mac, give yourself a plus one because that was a good call, Mac Greer. You made it hard on your opponent. $9.38 billion. Pretty squarely. I mean, it was close, but pretty squarely in your range. Is this sort of, Mac, you're coming off the par four where you've just birdied the hole with an awesome long putt and you drop the ball on the tee and you bring out your biggest club, your driver, and you're like, I am going to absolutely crush this.

55:46Is that how you felt as you said 5 to 10? I feel like I'm living a lie every time I win in this game. So that's how I feel.

55:57All right. The score is 5 to 3.5. There are two questions left, two stocks left. Let's keep moving. By the way, before we do, Alexandria began as a garage startup with$19 million in capital. It bought its first lab in Torrey Pines, San Diego. It went public just three years after that. What a story. Let's go on to stock number nine. Yasser, tomorrow morning, let's say you wake up after a beautiful night's sleep and decide you're done analyzing other people's businesses. You're going to start your own. What business does Yasser El Shimi start? Wow.

56:37Yeah. Yeah, I probably would start a bakery. Love it. Because there is a conspicuous need for fresh pastries in Montgomery County, Maryland. I'm just going to leave it at that. I'm already your first customer. Sounds fantastic. Yasser, you need some money, though. So you walk into a bank. You're looking for your first serious business loan. What would you want your banker to understand about your business before you'd feel comfortable borrowing to start that bakery? from them? I think I would want my banker to know that I have done a feasibility study, that I've kind of studied the area. I know what the traffic is going to be like and have some projections.

57:24Thank you. And Mac, now that you know that Jack Henry is probably running that bank systems, does that inspire you to maybe start a competing bakery? No, because I can't. I can't. I don't have the skills. I would invest in Yasser's Bakery. I would. I would as well. Yes. I don't want him to leave the Motley Fool and walk away from analyzing businesses, but I am excited about the possibility of a better croissant. Yeah. And he's done a feasibility study. I have not. Well, this conversation gets to the unusual idea behind our next company. So rather than simply saying we make small business loans, this bank has built teams that specialize in particular industries.

58:03In fact, it all started with a remarkably narrow customer base. The year was 2008. And Live Oak Bank shares in Wilmington, North Carolina said, we're just going to focus on one customer type, veterinarians. And they nailed it. They figured out that industry, and then that gave them confidence to go to other specialized industries. And today, Live Oak Bank shares, well, I'm not going to share the market cap because I'm going to turn to Yasser in a moment and ask him. But that is the story behind ticker symbol L-O-B, which, Mac, you'll also appreciate as a Houston Astros fan, stands for left on base.

58:41Been rough here. I mean, my Minnesota Twins have been worse. It's been mediocre. It's just a lot of mediocrity. I mean, you guys gave us Correa. Then we gave him away. I know. I'm confused by what's been happening in baseball. It makes no sense. All right. This is a sidelight. We'll pick it up later. Okay. Yasser, Live Oak Bank shares, ticker symbol LOB. What is your market cap range for LOB? My range is$3 to$5.75 billion. $3 billion to$5.75 billion. Mac, have you ever been to Wilmington, North Carolina? I have. Yes. I think I have. I should know the answer to that. I'm going to go with yes. Did you visit Live Oaks corporate headquarters?

59:23I did not. I did not. Really? But I know that oaks are slow growers. So I'm working with that. Yeah. And they're beautiful trees. They're beautiful. It's North Carolina, one of my favorite places on earth. Yeah. Wilmington. But they take a while. Yasser said$3 billion to$5.75 billion. First of all, that's very close, but it's just a hair under three. so I'm going to say out of the range and I'm going to say below the range because it's a hair under three because oaks are slow growers. Okay. So Mac has disagreed with Yassir's range and also provided questionable reasoning behind his answer. Players at home, do you want to stick with Yassir's three to 5.75 billion Yassir's specific with these?

1:00:08We appreciate the second digit on this game show. Or you could disagree and with Mac say, Not only is it outside that range, it's lower than that range. And for questionable reasons. Yes. And for questionable reasons. Just a hair lower. Just a hair. And we have a new champion because Matt Greer, you just nailed it once again. This is one of the rags to riches stories, not just for this game show, but I would say for the last 50 years in American history, this is an amazing. You lost to Emily 9 to 1. Yes. Yes. Wow. So the market cap for Live Oak Bank shares, and I wouldn't have guessed this myself, but it's$1.75 billion.

1:00:44You basically reasoned correctly. I was trying to throw players at home off your scent, but the fact is you nailed that. It was a little bit lower than three. I'm going to credit my father, rest in peace, lifelong banker. His father, lifelong banker. So I think some of that must have gotten into osmosis. I thought when I was a kid, I was going to be a banker. Turned out I didn't want to be a banker. I'm so glad you weren't. But I think that maybe something got through there. Your father was a fantastic man. What a generous, generous family you come from, Mac. And thank you for sharing that memory of your father on a serious note.

1:01:22And I'm glad you're not a banker. And you know something about banks. Well done. You just took a lead six to three and a half, no matter what Yasser does for this last question. He can't catch you. And yet, as I'll often point out, people tend to forget everything else and just remember what happens at the end, Yasser. So let's move on to stock number 10. Mac, this is the final stock. I want you to think about everything that has to happen before you pull into a gas station, put the nozzle in your car, and gasoline actually comes out. Now, I know I'm talking to a native of Houston area, Texas.

1:01:54And so starting in an oil field somewhere and ending up in your gas tank, talk me through that journey. What do you think happens along the way? A lot of refinement and some processes that I'd rather not get into. Yeah, some pipeline maybe? Yeah, of course. Standard pipeline stuff and refinement. Really well said, yeah. Can we talk about Yasser's Bakery? What about the tanker truck to the local gas station, right? Oh, yeah, that's true. Oh, yeah, you got to transport it. So you got to get it out of the ground. You got to transport it. Yeah, you did so well with that. But let me ask you a further question.

1:02:33What about natural gas? How would you describe that journey? You know, it's... Comes out of wells. Much more natural. I mean, different form. I mean, processing plants remove water. Yeah, that's true. And other substances. Near Mac's community, it enters a local distribution system where pressure is reduced and smaller pipes carry it beneath the streets and ultimately into maybe his house or his parents' house or friends' houses and furnaces. And that's the story behind the physical network that makes filling up, I don't know, your house or your car possible. Our final company today. I was going to get to that.

1:03:11I felt rushed, but I was going to get to all of that. I was just trying to take the ball from you and run with it for a while. Our final company today is Kinder Morgan, ticker symbol KMI. It's one of my poorer stock picks in my own personal history. But it is one of North America's largest energy infrastructure companies. It owns interest. Well, I won't even say because that starts creating a spoiler. So let me just cut to the quick here. Matt Greer, for our 10th and final stock, what is your stated market cap range for Kinder Morgan, ticker symbol KMI? Can I call my brother? Can I phone a friend?

1:03:44Because he would know this because he has covered this company. We're sorry, Jim. You can't take Matt's call this time. But you guys can talk about it after the podcast. Okay. Kinder Morgan. Keep in mind. Rich Kinder. Yeah. Yeah, that's right. Okay. And so I'm going to use my oak tree logic. Rich suggests a kind of rich valuation. Okay. Oh, I see. I'm going to say Kinder Morgan is$30 to$60 billion. All right. $30 billion to$60 billion for, again, one of North America's largest energy infrastructure companies. $30 to$60, Matt? Correct. All right. Yasser, while it's not possible to win, it is possible to get stock number 10 right.

1:04:31And we're playing for everybody at home right now, some of whom have like six and they're tied with Mac and they need you to come through for them. So 30 to 60 billion dollars. 30 to 60 billion dollars. this is admittedly not in your wheelhouse a number of these companies have not been in your wheelhouse I randomized from the full 500 every time we had a couple we had stat oil we had Norway for you alright so I'm going to go with disagree and I'm even going to press it with lower alright so Yasser has disagreed with max 30 to 60 billion dollar range players at home what are you doing alright give yourself plus one if you disagreed because you're right.

1:05:17And yet, I'm going to have to take away half point because it's not that it was smaller, it's that it was a little bit bigger. And I wouldn't have got this one myself, but the reality is market cap Kinder Morgan KMI, 69.63 billion dollars outside Max's range. Painfully close. You were right to say outside, a little bit not right to say lower, but you get a half point, which gives us an even score of six to four. This was close. Matt, you got off to a little bit of a lead. Yasser made a nice comeback. We were tied at halftime, but you were strong in the second half. Looking back right now, Matt Greer, little post-game interview, what do you think did it for you in the second half?

1:05:56I thought my termite joke may have kind of – that's when the momentum shifted. I couldn't recover from that. I couldn't recover. And it didn't really land in the room, but I could hear the people at home. All right. Well, thank you both. The final accounting then is this. I think I got it right. Mac 6, Yasser 4. But Mac and Yasser and I know we're not playing this game for each other. We're playing for you. So how did you score? Dear fool, dear listener at home, we hope that you outscored all of us. The purpose of the Market Cap Game Show is to make more popular. I'm never going to say as popular as Jeopardy, but to make more popular.

1:06:39Market Caps, the real value of stocks on the market that most people don't understand, except that, well, dear listener, you do understand because you just listened to us for an hour, and I hope you scored at least a few points this week and maybe beat one or both of our competitors. Yasser and Mac, thank you both for helping make the world a little bit smarter, happier, and richer this week. A quick reminder, next week is our month-end September mailbag. if you feel like you have a better joke than you enjoyed at halftime, we'd love to hear from you. Audio mailbags welcomed as well. Before I go, though, I would be remiss if I didn't turn to each of my noble contestants and ask them for a final line or a final thought.

1:07:21Yasser, I will turn to you first. What do you got? Someone wise once told me, if you don't ask, the answer is always no. and so uh it's a piece of advice i've taken with me throughout much of my adult life and uh hope to also convey to my kids as well i love that uncommon usually people have throwaway you actually threw down wisdom on the show i love that thank you very much yasser i will remember that and now turning to you mac i see you've whipped out your phone are you about to present a dramatic reading so a termite no i've got i've got a reading i've got a reading it's one of my favorite quotes, Maya Angelou.

1:08:01I've learned that people will forget what you said. People will forget what you did. But people will never forget how you made them feel. That was beautiful, by the way. It is a great line, by the way. And Jerry Hall was apparently married to Rupert Murdoch. Thank you, Yasser. Thank you, Mac. Thank you, Fools at Home for suffering. Three Fools, gladly, this week. We hope all your market caps are on the rise. See you next week, Fool on!

From the publisher

Price per share is only half the story. Multiply it by shares outstanding and you get the number that matters: market capitalization, the market’s current price tag on a public company. And for the 43rd time, it’s time to turn that lesson into a game.

David welcomes Motley Fool analyst Yasser El-Shimy and longtime Fool producer and personality Mac Greer for ten companies spanning cloud software, credit cards, Norwegian energy, sleep apnea, community banking, rare-earth minerals, biotech real estate, and 78,000 miles of pipelines. Along the way: two Throwdowns, the King-Sharon rule, some company-history surprises—and a coveted future seat in the March Market Cap Madness Final Four hanging in the balance.

As always, the most important contestant is you. Agree or disagree with the stated ranges, risk the extra half-point by calling higher or lower when you dare, keep your own score—and see whether you can beat the Fools.

Companies Mentioned: ARE, AXP, EQNR, INSP, JKHY, KMI, LOB, MP, WDAY, ZM

Host: David GardnerGuests: Yasser El-Shimy, Mac GreerProducer: Bart Shannon
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