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Something Ventured -- Silicon Valley Podcast

28 Sep 2026 · 53m · 22 chapters

Episode artwork

David Tisch (BoxGroup): Cursor Exits at $66 Billion — Still Hunting the Next One

In short

David Tisch, a seed VC at BoxGroup, discusses how early-stage venture works, what he looks for in founders, why investors should be “extras,” and how AI-era scale and low switching costs change startup dynamics. He highlights Cursor’s $66B acquisition as an outlier and explains how progress is often better measured by execution than fundraising/valuation.

Guest backgrounds

David Tisch is a long-time seed investor (BoxGroup). He’s invested in Ramp, Plaid, Stripe, Airtable, Warby Parker, and others, plus Cursor (acquired for $66B). Host Kent Lindstrom is co-founder of 8BitCapital, investing in AI, cybersecurity, and fintech.

Key claims

Seed investing is messy and timelines are unpredictable; investors should avoid forcing opinions; the “why” matters most when evaluating founders; early signs include attracting top talent; fundraising is “permission to make progress,” not progress itself.

Notable examples

Cursor (founded by college friends; talent magnet); Mock (MIT; 50 interns); Ramp, Plaid, Clay; down rounds at Facebook/Uber/Airbnb; AI trial revenue and thin moats.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes.

Chapters

0:45

Understanding Venture Capital

David discusses the nature of venture capital and its unpredictability.

“Explain something about venture capital to you.”
2:08

David's Journey into VC

David shares his journey to becoming a venture capitalist.

“No, look, I think venture capital, as you said, is a business of finding outliers.”
4:20

The Evolution of the Internet

Discussion on the transition from analog to digital and its impact.

“I've been trying to explain this to people.”
7:00

Investing in a Changing Landscape

David reflects on the shifting dynamics of valuations in tech.

“I think for me, investing is an example.”
7:52

The Scale of Modern Companies

How the scale and impact of companies have evolved with the internet.

“Yeah, I think people forget what the internet was like early on.”
9:10

The Messiness of Seed Investing

Insights on the challenges and emotional toll of seed investing.

“The idea of, like, accessible AI in your hand while traveling the world or Starlink.”
11:48

Empathy in Venture Capital

The importance of empathy in the venture capital space.

“And the investor gets to come on podcasts and talk gloriously about the great stories.”
14:00

The Role of Investors in Startups

Learn about the limited impact of investors on startup success and the dynamics of their relationships with founding teams.

“I think if you do a cast at the end of a startup journey, the majority of investors, if not all of them, should just be extras.”
17:36

Understanding Founder Vision

Discover how to assess a founder's vision and long-term outlook when investing in startups.

“If Mark Andreessen is telling me what to do or giving me advice, I would pay a lot of attention.”
22:02

Evaluating Leadership Potential in Founders

Explore methods for evaluating a founder's potential to lead and inspire teams as they scale.

“experience they've had whatever those those factors are and I think that that is how we learn about people and that's what we invest in is people.”
Show all 22 chapters
25:52

The Cursor Journey and Its Impact

Hear about the unique journey of Cursor and the key moments that signaled its potential for success.

“So I'll ask, I mean, cursor is a, well, maybe not for you, but for most people once in a lifetime, like what a hell of a journey.”
28:00

Identifying Moments of Inflection in Startups

Learn about key inflection points that can indicate a startup's potential success.

“that became like insanely competitive where giants were just attacking from every angle and hold their own to such a great outcome for them.”
29:15

The Complexity of Success Stories

Understand the varied trajectories of successful companies and the challenges they face.

“There was a incredibly competitive environment.”
30:55

Market Dynamics and the Nature of Competition

Explore the competitive landscape of the tech industry and how companies navigate it.

“Yeah, there's something going on with some of the AI numbers.”
33:54

Geographical Impact on Startup Ecosystems

Examine the influence of geography on startup success and talent availability.

“it was like there were spectacular failures.”
36:28

Global Perspectives on Startup Investment

Gain insights into international startup ecosystems, particularly in Israel and Europe.

“I think every other city in the country, there can be one, two, three companies built.”
39:09

Collaboration vs. Competition in Seed Investing

Learn about the balance of collaboration and competition in seed investing.

“And we've been, you know, able to fund great companies in Europe.”
42:10

Navigating Early Stage Investment

Explore the evolving landscape of early-stage investment and founder accessibility.

“Aren't you assuming everybody knows who the best founders are though?”
43:50

The Role of AI in Technology Evolution

Discuss the impact of AI on society and its potential for positive change.

“Well, let me wrap up on this a little bit.”
46:15

The Internet as a Force for Empowerment

Learn how technology and the internet enable unprecedented access and opportunities.

“And like, I think you're in the early days of appreciating what economic, societal, and productivity impact AI will have on the world.”
49:57

Looking Ahead: The Future of Investment

Reflect on the excitement and responsibilities of investing in innovative founders.

“that unlock positive things and definitely have consequences.”
50:50

The Journey of BoxGroup and Future Prospects

Understand the long-term vision of BoxGroup and the journey of its investments.

“So how do people, thanks so much for doing this, by the way.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00I'm Kent Lindstrom, co-founder of 8BitCapital, a Silicon Valley venture capital firm that

0:04David Tisch: invests in the software startups of the future. We focus on AI, cybersecurity, and fintech. I'm going to take you behind the scenes in Silicon Valley. This is the Something Ventured Podcast.

0:24David Tisch: All right, welcome back. This is the Something Ventured Podcast. I am Kent Lindstrom. I am your host, my guest today, David Tisch. How are you doing? I'm doing great. How about you, Kent? Good. Thanks so much for doing this. I got a little New York thing up here for you. Thank you. Do you swap that? No. I am far less clever. Far less clever than you might imagine. I changed my bears around for whichever founder I'm talking to. That's pretty nice. So David's a VC, but hang on. This is going to be interesting. Bear with me for a second here. Explain something about venture capital to you. If you go to the website of a venture capitalist and you see one or two famous companies on that website, those are the one or two famous companies, call it two famous companies, that VC has ever invested in.

1:12David Tisch: There's not like another famous company they just forgot to put on their website. And so if you go to most VC websites, we're talking about seed VCs, you'll see maybe one or two famous companies. And by the way, that's great. Like in this business, again, seed investing, that's more than most people have. If you see one or two companies, that's pretty impressive. David has invested in Ramp and Plaid. That's two companies, right? That's pretty good. Except he also invested in ID.me, Boxee, Stripe, Base 10, Airtable, Warby Parker, Clay, ZipLine, and wait for it, Cursor, which just got acquired for$66 billion, which there might be bigger acquisitions in tech.

1:57David Tisch: I don't really know what they are. You're having a pretty good career. Just day by day. I think it probably just means I'm old. You're like Bull Durham with that, just play it one day at a time. No, look, I think venture capital, as you said, is a business of finding outliers. And I think in our approach to what we do at Box Group, we're waking up every day trying to find people that are going to build companies that become great. There's no predictability in it. And I think that that's the uniqueness of being an early stage or seed VC, is you're meeting people before any of these words matter, any of these names matter, and you're getting to watch the journey from the very beginning.

2:49And it's a privilege to do it with the ones that work and become household names, but it's equally a privilege to do it with the ones that are trying hard and don't work. It's the job. And I think it's like one of the coolest jobs out there.

3:04David Tisch: How'd you come to the job in the first place? I mean, you're in New York, you're, you know, you're Tisch, that's kind of an auspicious name in New York. It seems like you could be an investment banker or a hedge fund guy or private equity is pretty hot right now, right? That's pretty good. Yeah. You're old too. So I grew up, you and I are both old, but different old. And I grew up watching the internet start and I fell in love with it as a kid. And I think finding your way to a career on the internet in early 2000s is very different than doing it today. I think today it's taught in schools. You're sort of taught about entrepreneurship.

3:46You're taught about the startups. The word venture capital is known. There are podcasts. There are blogs. There's access to this industry. If I go back to sort of 2005, 6, 7, as I was finding my way here, this was an industry for rebels. It was not something that was accessible. It was not something that was known. Fred Wilson was blogging. Brad Feld was blogging. there was some early access to it and learning, but it was the early days and I've been doing

4:19David Tisch: this for a long time. What do you make of that? I've been trying to explain this to people. There's a group of people, you're younger than me, but I think you might still have caught this thing, where you existed in a world before the internet. Like, hey, it's summer. I would go like, well, I guess I got to get a pile of books to read. And if I want to meet a girl, I have to go to a party and drink some beer and meet a good like and then so so when and part of why i'm doing what i do now investing in amazing tech companies is that when the internet came out and we're talking like beep beep bloop modem stuff it was cool it was like this is just this is nuts like this did not exist and now this exists and this is amazing in contrast to so many days maybe like meh Yeah, I've had an iPad since I was two and the Wi-Fi sucks, you know, on my airplane.

5:13Yeah, so if you ask AI to explain this, it's pretty fascinating. There's a generation, it's called the X-Annials. It's sort of in between Gen X and Millennials. It's 1978 to 1983. I'm born in 81. Zuckerberg, for context, is 83. So he's right at the end of this. And what it explains is our childhood. We, this five-year micro generation, experienced the switch mainly from analog to digital. And we lived it. We lived it in the sense of I had a 2400-baud modem. I, like, when it got to 14.4, it was like a miracle. I was on AOL, Prodigy, CompuServe. I saw the web start. You got to see these websites launch.

6:06So eBay was a core part of my childhood. I was an early user of just about everything that became big companies. Amazon would advertise on our sports radio station for the biggest – the advertisement was a bookstore the size of a football field. And that was Amazon. And you fast forward to now, and these are all ingrained in the sort of global society. I think that history, that context of where we were to where we are now is a helpful framework for thinking about where things could go. But I think the more you try to assume the world goes back in any way or that the patterns of each moment will repeat themselves, I think it's a huge mistake.

7:00I think for me, investing is an example. When I started investing, if you had said a business can get to a billion-dollar valuation or a$10 billion valuation, these numbers were unrealistic. And today, in the public markets, the big tech companies are worth multiple trillion dollars. These are companies that were worth multiple hundreds of billions. These are significant multiples on the biggest companies in the world. And so I think the key to sort of not losing sight of what's coming next is not living in the past. And so I think those are like my partners didn't have those same childhood experiences.

7:48The founders were funding didn't have those childhood experiences. So I can remember them fondly, but they're pretty irrelevant.

7:56David Tisch: Yeah, I think people forget what the internet was like early on. There were a couple hundred million people on it, which was huge, but it was a couple hundred million people. And these companies, as an investor, you'd invest in something and you'd get acquired for$250 million. dollars and it was an amazing like knock down drag out outcome because there were 250 million but now you know there's 4 billion people and these companies actually generate cash flow in the tens of billions of dollars and are worth hundreds of billions of dollars you just forget that the scale of the thing has just shifted so like kind of so dramatically totally and it's it's global and it penetrates everything right and so what started as you know the internet is now a totally different um it's it's like a horizontal part of the world it impacts every industry uh the software and the hardware component of what uh technology has created um modernizes industries rapidly and then you layer on ai uh the the moment we're in right now and it's doing it faster cheaper and better than ever before and so it's this compounding unlock of growth and opportunity that isn't distributed equally that isn't accessible perfectly but I think the magic sometimes is important to to appreciate right the like and and you alluded to like kids sort of defaulting to assuming, oh, like, the idea of Wi-Fi is pretty magical.

9:38The idea of, like, base AI is magical. The idea of, like, accessible AI in your hand while traveling the world or Starlink. Like, these are magical things. And I think, you know, the dream is important to remember. And when founders start something, they're made up ideas. They're creations. And I think watching those dreams come true is a unique lens to see where the world's going.

10:12David Tisch: Although I do find it kind of amusing the number of venture capitalists who get access to AI and then use it to book hotels. Which wasn't, you know, I didn't have that trouble booking hotels before, actually. Yeah, the hotel things seem clickable. I had it online. What do you make of the sort of messiness of seed investing? where it's unlike other stages. You know, I had Hunter and Sachin from Homebrew, and they kind of talked about this, where they were like, you know, we were pretty famous beyond what we had achieved in terms of investments. Like five years in, like still we didn't know what was going to happen.

10:51David Tisch: Now it ended up they invested in Shield AI and Chime, and they did great. But it's just such a messy path compared to, you know, investing in the series D of or N of SpaceX and taking your multiple? Yeah, I think for me, it's important to remember that we're lucky in that we have a portfolio and that we're in very many ways a commodity. We're providing capital and some version of service to the customer who is a founder who is living fully in their dream. And so you can abstract these stories of messiness, these timelines, these highlights. But inside of each of those stories is a human who is going through way more emotionally, physically, psychologically than the investor.

11:48And the investor gets to come on podcasts and talk gloriously about the great stories. But if it doesn't work, that is normally someone who's been very successful in their life, maybe never failed. That was their dream. They set out to do it and it didn't work. And the actual toll of that, I think, gets erased in having a portfolio, in talking about the winners. So I think for us, it's incredibly important to stay aware of where your role is in a business that is investing in someone else's business. But the timelines in early stage venture are incredibly unrealistic. When you tell someone in any other job that like your results or your feedback loop is 5, 10, 15 years, that's in a rational timeline.

12:51Most other businesses, like in finance, most financial businesses, public, immediate. You know exactly when you go to bed at night, how much money you have. In private equity, there's like a defined timeline to start, stop that you are operating under. and then you go into late stage VC, again, really compressed timelines. And at early stage VC, it's a totally unknown timeline. And in an operating company, normally you have a job, you have a task, you have a project, it starts to stop. When you are two people in a room trying to build a company from scratch, it's an infinite set of risk and opportunities that sit in front of you.

13:32David Tisch: Yeah. Yeah. It's interesting. You always have empathy for, um, for the founders, which I don't know how many venture capitalists actually have, but what do you, where do you, other than having that empathy, which goes a long way, where do you fall on the spectrum of kind of writing yourself into the store? Like you're really helpful to these guys. You're like, Hey, I'm just lucky they took my money. And if they listen to me once every 10 times, I hope they don't listen to me. If they need to listen to me, no, we're the extras in a story. I think if you do a cast at the end of a startup journey, the majority of investors, if not all of them, should just be extras.

14:15the 30th employee you hire the 100th employee you hire if you're scaling the thousandth those people built and they make and they create and they're part of your culture and they're inspiring others to join they're inspiring people to stay at your company I don't believe investors make or break companies I don't think they are like contributing factors to success I think what they are are relationships for the founding team to rely on as the founding team wants to and as the investor is able to build trust and confidence in that founding team to be a phone call, to be somebody they reach out to.

15:00I think the more you inject yourself into a narrative or the more that you are trying to force opinions onto a company, the lower the probability of success. Yeah.

15:13David Tisch: Why do you think, this is a weird thing in venture where people try to like, you know, they invest in some company, it does great. And then they're like, and yeah, and I was a big part of making it great, which is any other area of maybe private equity. But like, if you like short the yen against the dollar and make a hundred million dollars, you go, I'm a genius. You don't say, and I also called the prime minister of Japan and I told him to do this and sell because you're like, I made a hundred million bucks. I'm a genius. Because it's a passive job and there's an ego that needs to be fulfilled.

15:44And the only way to become active and fulfill the ego is to inject yourself as a contributing factor in a story that isn't yours. I think it's pretty simple. It goes to the nature of humans that have ambition and expectations. And I think the other side of it, which is, you know, logical is people have jobs at venture firms and they have to use their investments to get promoted, to succeed, to grow, to develop a brand, to develop power inside of their firms. And then in terms of attracting a future founder, if you have attached yourself to the story of prior successes and you're sort of known as the person, the investor of that company, I think that helps attract the next set of founders.

16:46But I think when you believe that you are the reason that something succeeded, that probably crosses the line to like delusional or wrong.

16:55David Tisch: Well, it doesn't backtest very well either. If you think of like, I don't know, did Travis Kalanick listen to anybody? Like Mark Zuckerberg structured his board such that you could not tell him what to do, right? Like, in fact, it might be a good sign when, you know, when a founder is like, yeah, no, thanks for the advice, but I've got this. yeah i think unsolicited advice from vcs is is probably the least valuable thing uh now look i think there's a relationship to be built that if you're able to build it and a founder wants to talk to you they're doing it because you've proven that their time is well well used by talking to you and i think that is like awesome but i think to sort of come in with the expectation and there are probably, to be clear, there are probably five VCs out there, maybe 10, that you should listen to and that are outlier board members that have built something from the ground up or been part of enough.

17:56If Mark Andreessen is telling me what to do or giving me advice, I would pay a lot of attention. Now, it doesn't mean the entire firm and it doesn't mean the random new partner that joined last week. But I think at certain firms, there are excellent, either former operators or just luminary investors that have seen enough. I think Alfred at Sequoia is worth listening to. I just don't think it is the 30th best VC firm, the third partner there, is equal to the top

18:32David Tisch: 5 % of VCs in the country or top 1%. Yeah. That's a great point. There's two things that can happen one one can be like hey i've i've i've seen so many things that i'm here to tell you that what you're doing is here's how it ends like 99 times out of 100 and then there's also like i'm part of the pack and i went to the conference and everyone's investing in physical ai what's our physical ai you know whatever whatever i mean i've been on run companies where the board's been like literally whatever conference they just went to oh we got to get into you know whatever this is or that is and it's just i don't sit on boards so it helps yeah yeah we we don't either well i just i don't i don't want to i i don't i don't see in the best companies how that is a useful way to impact their success i think you can do great work for on behalf of a founder from the outside yeah so i prefer there yeah i think that's right at the seed stage what are you gonna you fired the CEO, like, if you're doing that, you're screwed anyway.

19:36David Tisch: So what, okay, so you're meeting people who are coming to you and saying, I've got, I'm going to change the world, which is what's so great about this business, because they're ridiculous. Sometimes they do, though. I know. It's so cool. It's, that's Silicon Valley. Like, you sit down with somebody, he's like, I'm going to, you know, and then cure cancer. And you're like, maybe you will, as opposed to and then and then it happens sometimes and it's like what a what a magical like thing to watch and be be like slightly attached to it's like a incredible privilege and when so when you're sitting down when you're what are you looking for you see the founder that the the thing hasn't happened yet it's a person they got a vision okay you've only got what you got in terms of information what do you and your partners kind of go we spend a lot of time on the why.

20:27Like, why are you building this? Why are you the right person? Why is this interesting? Why can you do this? And like, why does this matter in 5, 10, 15 years? And I think when you start understanding the why, like the what is sort of obvious when you meet a company. They're going to explain to you what they're doing. They're going to explain to you what they've built and what they're going to build. But that's not a vision, and that's not going to play something out in a complex world that feels like a very isolated set of facts. And to me, the why starts to attach the what into the world, and that is what we invest in.

21:17You're not giving rewards out. You're investing. And the investment, as we talked about, is a 5, 10, 15-year outlook on the world. And so you have to have a founder that can articulate where the world's going and why they are capable of navigating all those moving variables and creating something that's going to be important in that complex system. and I think you learn a lot by asking like why are you doing this and you can ask it in an open-ended way such that you see are they like going to talk about the idea the market the product or are they going to talk about like the inner drive that forces them to take this risk in life and the experience they've had whatever those those factors are and I think that that is how we learn about people and that's what we invest in is people.

22:15David Tisch: Is there anything you can do to figure out or to divot? Somebody told me once, I've kind of seen this in companies I built, that the company management task changes like every three acts. Like three people sitting around a table, then there's nine people, that's a little different, 27, now you start to, you know, 100 people, now there's an HR person, 300 people, okay, you know. is there anything you can do to take someone and go i wonder if this person can manage 100 people we think about that a lot um because you have to sit in a room and sometimes it's zoom sometimes it's a conference room and you're like are these two random people across from us capable of leading a hundred a thousand people like you you imagine the all hands are they standing up there and inspiring everybody?

23:04Are they able to recruit amazing people to join them? That is a huge factor. It is predicated on building something that's working in a business, a product that's working in order to get to that scale or raising enough money to get to that scale. But they have to, the biggest early sign to me is who have they brought around the company? So who are the initial hires. When we go to college campuses and meet students, you look for the student that is able to attract and recruit their smartest friends. If you are starting a company as a freshman, sophomore, senior, recent grad, are you hiring to work for you, your three smartest friends at a great school?

23:56Why not? Are they not inspired by you? That's an interesting thing. And you see at campus, Cursor is a great example. They were able to attract a ton of the best students that they were in school with. We funded a company called Mock out of school as well, MIT. And Ethan pitched us and he's like, I have 50 interns that are wanting to drop out of school to do this with me.

24:24David Tisch: Yeah. That's a good sign. When you get to a, you know, more senior person in their career starting a company, are they putting the band back together? Are they bringing people from, you know, Palantir? Are they bringing people from Anthropic, OpenAI, from Ramp to work with them? If not, why? So are you not able to inspire the people that know you to join you? I think those are really early factors that you can look at to be like, is this person a magnet for great talent? I think you're also, you know, it matters, again, the archetype of the founder, but you have to imagine growth. So you can't assume that the 18, 20-year-old founder is a static object.

25:20they're going to have to mature into leading people way older than they than they are and people that are young and ambitious and unmanageable and everything in between and uh you know when you meet a young person with bright eyes and big dreams it it is going to take maturity along the way to figure out what style of leader they can become. Yeah.

25:52David Tisch: You mentioned it. So I'll ask, I mean, cursor is a, well, maybe not for you, but for most people once in a lifetime, like what a hell of a journey. I mean, what was that like at the beginning before, you know, if you can remember without, you know. Yeah. My partner, Claire, met Michael when he was probably a sophomore in college. She was at business school and they both were on a program called Dorm Room Fund together as college or student investors. And Claire identified Michael as one of those unique talents. And I think that's where it started. Before there was an idea, there was a person. Because it was something else, right?

26:41David Tisch: Well, that's even later. But when Michael started Cursor, you know, A, it's like two college friends, two high school friends, like this is the right version of chemistry. But Claire was able to vocalize how special it felt from the very beginning. And I think, you know, we as a team at Box Group invest as a team and we don't view it as a competitive environment internally. And I think that allows for everybody on our team to find great people, get excited by them, and figure out an opportunity how to work with them. And so, you know, it is a once-in-a-lifetime journey. You don't see a company start, grow, work, and exit in such a short timeframe at such scale ever, right?

27:38I think on paper, it's like the biggest VC M &A deal in history, which is seemingly once in a lifetime. But I think, again, like you look and this is a group of people that were able to attract their friends, unique talent, and build in a moment that was so competitive in a space that became like insanely competitive where giants were just attacking from every angle and hold their own to such a great outcome for them. you just again feel privileged to have been part of that journey in a very small way.

28:22David Tisch: Was there a particular point where it became clear that Cursor was going to change the trajectory of at least that fund where you kind of went, okay, this is one of the big ones? Yeah, I think there's always moments of inflection. I think the challenge in company building, as you alluded to, is like the moment of inflection can either be driven by customer adoption, revenue, team growth and momentum and product iteration or fundraising. And the fundraising one is the worst one. It is not actual progress. It is permission to make progress. And so I think as a venture capitalist, a lot of the time you're judging progress on fundraising, on valuation.

29:14And I think, you know, with Cursor, they were playing at the sun the entire time. There was a incredibly competitive environment. And so they were able to just keep going at such a high level of execution. that you sort of see it when you know it and you feel it and you hope that it maintains itself. I think each success story looks different. I think when we look back at Ramp and their ramp up to where they are today, and I think when you look at Clay and Plaid as another example you brought up, But each one of these stories looks and feels so different. A lot of the times there are enormous bumps along the way, right?

30:08If you go back in history, like Facebook, Uber, Airbnb, there's like five other luminary companies. They all did down rounds. No one remembers that. But they all did down. There was a moment when it was ugly or uncomfortable or a struggle. And each one of them did a down financing. And not every success story is just up and to the right with like a perfect curve. And I think you're in a moment in AI where it feels a little bit like once it's going, it's going to keep going. And some might, but there will be bumps. And I think you have to appreciate that each story is going to look and feel different.

30:54And the moments of uncertainty and the moments of challenge are actually, you know, the most important time for a company to push through and figure it out.

31:03David Tisch: Yeah. Yeah, there's something going on with some of the AI numbers. It just seems a little weird to me. I mean, I get some I get that some people are growing that fast. But there's also some of these companies where they're like, you just think they're a hundred million dollars and a few. You're like, companies can't buy software that as quickly as you say, even if your dad ran the company and it's not even clear how you could possibly do this. I don't know. I think everybody likes to make macro statements on venture or macro statements on startups or technologies. I just think in every moment there have been good and bad companies.

31:43And some of the bad companies get big and then die. And again, at the end of that story is a founder that failed and has some very hard times ahead to like recover from that failure. But it is not ever all ships rise with the tide. And like there will be bad companies and there will be implosions and those implosions will be, you know, documentaries on Netflix. There'll be stories in papers of how this imploded and was overvalued and didn't work. But like, those are distractions. They erase the positive stories of actual growth, actual impact, actual adoption. And I think in this moment of AI, there is more revenue adoption of new products than ever before.

32:39I think the part that is different is the switching costs are very low and the moats are very thin. And a lot of the revenue is some version of trial revenue because companies are nervous that they're going to miss something. And so they will try before they buy. And even if they buy, it's still some version of try. And I think that is pretty natural in the sense of like you're only as good as the product you're selling. And that's a healthy environment to like keep pressure on being great. And I don't find it weird. I just, I don't think making big conclusions about industries or moments or technologies appreciates the actual nuance that goes on in these micro industries, these micro moments that are actually the defining part of the story.

33:53David Tisch: Yeah, it puts me in mind of the original internet where, you know, it was like there were spectacular failures. I mean, you know, sockpuppetpets.com was a spectacular failure. But timing matters, execution matters. Like, you know, for the pets.com failure, you have an Amazon on the other side. They're in the same business. They were selling different products and one worked and one didn't. And so it wasn't the moment that killed pets.com. It was pets.com. And I think in 21, in the froth and coming out of the froth, you saw, or in crypto, you saw good companies and bad companies, right? I think NFTs are a silly example to talk about, but there are a couple of the NFT projects that have maintained value and continue to succeed.

34:42The challenge is it's not 100%. And in some moments, it's 2%. But that's sort of the natural outcome of great versus not great is 2 % or some version of that. And so I think even in the heyday of NFTs, you had a chorus of people saying only buy the blue chips. Like understand what the blue chip projects are and what are not the blue chips. And in the end of the day, when sort of value gets wiped out across the board, the blue chips have remained blue chips. Yeah, exactly.

35:16David Tisch: So you're in New York. Is that just where you live? That's where I live. Is it the New York tech scene? You're there because of the ecosystem? No, I live here. It's my home. I don't know. You, look, I think there's people that are able to live in places or required to live in places for their job. And then there are people that live where they are going to be at their best because that's where they live. And I think I am a New Yorker. Yeah. Will continue to be. We don't view geography as an interesting characteristic of a company. I think the world is obviously shifted to San Francisco being the center of the universe for this moment.

36:04I think there was a moment in 21, 22 in New York felt like everybody was fleeing to come here. But I don't think – like other than New York, San Francisco, and maybe Boston, those three cities, you can build enough quality scaled talent to see a company through with almost no apology for or excuse for location. I think every other city in the country, there can be one, two, three companies built. There can't be 100. And so, and Austin might be growing in terms of the amount of companies the talent pool can support. But, you know, I don't think you can say I'm going to build in Atlanta and just get a automatic pass for it.

37:03But I do think you can build a big company in Atlanta if you understand the talent pool there, how to win almost the entire momentum of a city to get the best talent or bring talent into a city. I think you can do the same in a variety of other cities. ID.me has done a great job building talent in Washington, D.C., which you alluded to before. I think they're great companies that were built in Chicago. I just don't think it's hundreds of them.

37:31David Tisch: Yeah, that's right. Chicago always seems to be trying to get it going. It just never seems to quite work. It's just the depth of talent in this moment for what is required is really centered in the Bay Area. And then New York has enough talent to support a lot of companies here to significant scale. But I think it's not to compete head to head or try to compare and contrast these two ecosystems. But I think every other ecosystem is obviously less deep. I think Boston's this quirky one where a lot of great companies will start in Boston and then move. But I think there's sort of unique academic talent that continues to be taught and attracted to Boston.

38:20David Tisch: And what about international? Like Israel seems to have a pretty strong ecosystem. I think as a seed investor where we sit, if an Israeli-based company is raising a seed round not in Israel, it's like a red flag to me. There's such great early investors in Israel that are so tight into these talent pool networks that if something escapes, I just assume that we're getting the adverse selection. I think what we have really enjoyed is finding Israeli founders that are in America already and starting the company when they're here and whether they're here for school or whether they're here because it's their second or third company.

39:07I think that ecosystem is super attractive. Yeah.

39:09David Tisch: Yeah. We've, we've done a few cybersecurity things and the store, like the, just the, how the people met in the military and technology and how, why they know the technology because they're, they're just, some of the stories are just kind of incredible. The talent pool is incredible. And we've been, you know, able to fund great companies in Europe. And I think, again, it's, you have to know if you're not, if you're not native into that geography and that network, you have to understand why you're seeing a deal. And that is to us a really important lens of when we evaluate a company is like, are we seeing someone else's leftovers?

39:52Are we seeing something because we got lucky? And really understanding that. And so a lot of the time founders geographically outside of our like entrenched networks come through people in network. And that is the right way to see something in a network that you don't have a ton of access to.

40:13David Tisch: Well, it's funny. The stories you've told of your successes seem to involve you and your partners knowing the founder. Not another GP called me up and said, hey, do you want to hop on this deal? I'm waiting for people to do charity for us. That would be great. No one ever calls. Like I'm waiting for Sequoia to be like, we got the next one. You guys got to get some piece of this. I just don't think that's how it works. And I don't think at the early stage, anybody really knows what's good. And I don't think anybody wakes up and says, how do I like do great for someone else? I think that's like a weird expectation.

40:50I think we're collaborative. We work greatly with a ton of firms out there. We share things we're excited about. They share things they're excited about. But I think to view it as a sort of charity or transactional exchange is silly. There are introductions from other VCs that we've, you know, really benefited from in terms of being able to find a great company through that channel. But I think when you expect that to be a main source of discovery, you're like giving up on the groundwork that the business takes.

41:29David Tisch: It is funny that unlike, I would argue, other parts of the venture stack, but certainly other areas of finance, that seed investing is actually collaboration works pretty well, unlike in many other areas. Yeah, I think the word collaboration is like a big vehicle that can mean a lot of things. I think there's still an enormous amount of competitive behavior at the earliest stage. And if you are fighting for access to the best founders and the best companies, there are really sharp elbows everywhere you look. And you have to figure out how to navigate in a world that, again, I don't think people wake up to try to do your favors.

42:17Right.

42:17David Tisch: Aren't you assuming everybody knows who the best founders are though? I mean, that is a fair, I think there is a, there's this combination of, so I think if you go back in time, the answer to that's no. And that there was proprietary access, deal flow, networks, relationships that were operating on the fringes everywhere. I think there's a greater efficiency today in the ecosystem. The best firms are more accessible, and they're more agile. And if a founder wants to get in front of those great firms and meet luminary partners, they're actually able to dramatically easier than, I really think COVID had a huge impact on it than pre-COVID.

43:07And so I do think that running a competitive process at the early stage for a founder that wants to is available today way more than in the past. And I think all firms are orienting towards finding talent before there's a company. And that inevitably makes accessing deals more competitive. It doesn't mean there won't be diamonds in the rough. It doesn't mean that sort of there's a perfect efficiency in the market or some version of that. But I do think to ignore the competitive part of early stage is cutting, you know, the head off a dragon and assuming everything else is where the value is.

43:49David Tisch: Yeah. Well, let me wrap up on this a little bit. You're arguably, I guess, of course, one of the best AI investors of all time, frankly. What do you make of where we are? I mean, it seems that we agree that AI is one of the big ones, like the internet or mobile. It's not a, yeah, this is going to be dead in two years. Or will I be dead in two years? Will we? It's funny. I've asked, including Richard Socher, like everyone I've had for the last couple of years, I've asked them, will we have to blow up the data centers? Which is referring to kind of the old sci-fi thing. They start going crazy. And the only thing you can do is go bomb the data centers to shut them down.

44:26David Tisch: And then lately that's taken on a completely different meaning where people actually don't like the data centers themselves. What do you make of that whole, like, it's going to kill us, the data centers are destroying the world? I'm not smart enough to have a real opinion there. I think technology is a force of good. I think it's always been a force of good. I think it has enabled access to free and cheap things that are enablers for mobility and enablers for opportunity in, you know, net enormously positive ways. I think that comes with risk and challenges and not equal distribution. But if you look at, you know, YouTube today, anybody can teach themselves anything for free.

45:15Like what a magical unlock of human intelligence. If you look at, you know, accessing and communicating to people, whether that's email, whether that's, you know, X or other versions of it, I just think like the internet and technology is a force of good. I think we're in a complicated moment. I think we're early in this moment. You know, you hear investors talk about or technologists talk about a post-AGI world. I just don't know exactly what that means. But I think my job is to find people who do and invest in people who are thinking far ahead and into the future. I think technology tends to move very quickly, then have a slowdown and then work or ramp up or increase.

46:06And I think the fascinating part of this moment is it just moving really quickly. And there are like lulls. Those lulls are like a month or three months. Those lulls are not, you know, three years for some change. And like, I think you're in the early days of appreciating what economic, societal, and productivity impact AI will have on the world. And I have to be an optimist. I'm an early stage investor. I have to imagine a positive future. And I think the founders we're seeing today at, you know, all different angles, they're imagining, you know, robotics, you know, human computer interfaces that are totally different brain interfaces, imagining solving diseases that are impossible.

47:04so i think you you are betting on this combination of the technology advancing and solutions sort of meeting it along the way and i think i will hope for the best well i also think

47:19David Tisch: the thing probably hasn't happened yet like the the amazing like like the fact that everybody's you know hey i got claude to book me a hotel it's like well i'm will will um i think ai will lead to bad things. I think, you know, there have been many instances where technology early or at the beginning stages of learning how to create and balance safety have led to bad things. I think nuclear is a great example of that. And whether that's Chernobyl or Three Mile Island or, you know, using atomic bombs, there's a bad set of things that can happen with technology. I think the hope is that society, which is a big thing to bet on today, and technology together can counterbalance the misuse or bad moments along the way.

48:18And so history hopefully repeats itself in that way.

48:23David Tisch: And as you say, and again, I'm obviously an optimist, this would be a terrible job to have, but anybody in the world can just, with an AI, say, I want to learn physics. I want to assume the role of the greatest professor at Harvard and teach me. And I want Newton to teach me this, and I want Einstein to teach me this. And anyone in the world can do that. The internet is the most enabling technology. You have to use it in a productive way. It also has great games to waste your entire day and great reels and feeds and distractions. So you get that too. And I appreciate that. But you can make a choice to learn at a level and in a way that has never been possible before and totally inaccessible and start a business and monetize those things.

49:16There's just a distribution of opportunity. It takes, again, execution and performance, but it's out there. And so when I go back in time and you think about the early days of the internet and where we are today, I just think it's the most magical force that we're privileged to live through this distribution of tech to an iPhone and to your pocket and maybe to your glasses and maybe your ears and eventually to your brain. that unlock positive things and definitely have consequences. But I think you're in a moment of opportunity and creation.

50:06David Tisch: What a time to be investing. Exactly. What do you, is there anything, I mean, you've accomplished so much. What are you looking forward to now? Like, what are you excited about? Tomorrow, whatever the founder that we're lucky enough to meet and energizes you. I think our job is the same today as it was 16 years ago. We wake up every day and try to find people who are going to do something great. And I think the second you lose sight of that being the thing you signed up for, you're probably done. But we are, you know, focused on tomorrow and whatever's next. It's incredible. So how do people, thanks so much for doing this, by the way.

50:52David Tisch: Thank you for having me. It's so cool. And like, I just kind of laugh at the cursor. They're just such a ridiculous like outcome. Like, good for you. By the way, does that screw up the rest of your fund? Like, does the rest of it not matter in that fund? Or how does that work? I think the way that I've always viewed our business is on these long timelines. And I think cursor is such a magical anomaly from a timeline perspective. and in that fund specifically, there are 10 other companies that we're super excited about that are growing in a realistic timeframe. And some are emerged and some are emerging.

51:36And I think this is a people business. So no, I get excited by, again, what's next. I have just such an enormous appreciation for what Michael and Amon and their entire team have created and built and where that ended up. And so it's not to in any way minimize that journey. I just think there are another set of founders that we are thrilled to have been lucky enough to have met and be part of their journey that are hopefully going to continue to compound the things that they've created and become great products that a ton of people use. And I don't try to live in the past. I try to live in the future.

52:31And I think that's the nature of the job.

52:33David Tisch: What a great story. Thank you very much. How do people find you? David at boxgroup.com. Pretty easy. We're accessible. Thanks so much for having me. Really appreciate it. Thanks. This has been the Something Visture Podcast. Talk to you next time.

From the publisher

I sat down with David Tisch from BoxGroup. If you've looked at a seed firm's website and seen one famous logo, that's usually the whole list. David's list is Ramp, Plaid, ID.me, Stripe, Airtable, Warby Parker, Clay, Zipline — and Cursor, which just got acquired for $66 billion. Then he shrugs and says it probably just means he's been doing it awhile.

We talk about the part of this job that doesn't show up on a website. Seed is messy. The feedback loop is five, ten, fifteen years. The founder is living inside the dream; we're a line item and a phone number. David's view is that most of us should end up as extras in the credits. If they need to listen to you, that's already a problem. Unsolicited VC advice is close to worthless. The few people worth listening to are obvious, and the third partner at the thirtieth-best firm is not one of them.

What he actually underwrites is the why. Not the slide that says what they're building — the reason they're the person who can drag it through a decade of moving parts. Early tell: can they recruit? The smartest friends on campus. The band from Palantir or Anthropic or Ramp. Cursor started as a person Claire met in Dorm Room Fund, before there was a product. Two college friends, giants attacking from every side, and they still held the thing together.

We get into the ugly middle of the companies everyone now treats as inevitable. Facebook, Uber, Airbnb all did down rounds. Fundraising is permission to make progress, not progress. A lot of AI "revenue" right now is companies trying not to miss something. Pets.com and Amazon were in the same business in the same moment. One of them was the company.

David lives in New York because that's home, not because he's running a geography thesis. SF is the deep talent pool. Most other cities can build a few companies. Israel has a real early network — if a seed is leaving the country, he wonders why you're seeing it. Nobody is calling to do you a favor. Collaboration exists. Sharp elbows exist more.

He won't pretend he's smart enough to tell you whether we blow up the data centers. He will say technology has been a force of good, this moment is early, and his job is still the same as it was sixteen years ago: wake up tomorrow and find someone who might actually change the world.

 

If you want to reach him: [email protected].

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