In short
Scott Wu, CEO of Cognition ($26B valuation; $2.5B+ raised), discusses autonomous coding agents, rapid enterprise adoption, how Cognition measures productivity, and the company’s independence strategy (model-neutral, works with OpenAI/Anthropic/Google). He also explains Cognition’s acquisition of Windsurf and the gradual integration of Devin/Devin Cloud with Devin Desktop/IDE workflows, plus why government and “software abundance” matter (e.g., “DMV that actually works”).
Guests
Scott Wu (CEO of Cognition). Devin is referenced as Cognition’s AI coding engineer product, not a human guest.
Key claims
In <3 years Cognition reached ~$500M revenue; customers’ Devin usage grew ~11–12x in six months. Devin writes ~95% of Devin code. Token-based metrics are less important than outcomes/ROI. Abundance Era is real; AI won’t make humans irrelevant overnight.
Notable examples
Customers include Goldman Sachs, Mercedes-Benz, Citi, Dell, Santander, NASA, U.S. Navy, U.S. Army. First “Devin can fix MongoDB setup” moment: Devin diagnosed and resolved a MongoDB install error. Acquisition example: Windsurf team acquired via weekend deal; integration milestones included a unified SF office and session handoffs between cloud and desktop.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOCognition's Rapid Growth
0:00 to 0:30
Explore Cognition's impressive financial milestones and client base.
“Cognition has raised over a billion dollars.”
The State of Cognition and AI Development
1:00 to 4:00
Scott discusses the evolution of Cognition and the role of AI coding agents.
“I think this is like their second or their third year.”
Measuring AI Productivity
4:00 to 7:00
Scott elaborates on how Cognition measures productivity and outcomes.
“Did you ever think you'd be growing this fast?”
The Future of Coding Agents
7:00 to 9:30
Scott shares insights on the adoption of coding agents in the market.
“of just how meaningful the technology is.”
Acquisition of Windsurf and Its Impact
9:30 to 12:26
Scott recounts the acquisition of Windsurf and its benefits for Cognition.
“A lot of the same information on understanding your exact code base.”
Integrating Teams Post-Acquisition
13:25 to 14:00
Discussion on the challenges and successes of merging teams from Cognition and Windsurf.
“What was it like merging the teams together?”
Navigating Product Integration Challenges
14:00 to 17:09
Learn how Cognition approached product integration gradually and strategically.
“all of us were just like, okay, let's just like write the ship, you know, let's make sure folks know, you know, customers know that we're going to be there for them.”
Team Dynamics and Collaboration
17:10 to 19:39
Discover the importance of team collaboration and the joy of problem-solving in product development.
“And I think for us, I mean, it's one of the things about COG, honestly, is like we, and you know, we've talked before about how a lot of our team are former founders.”
The Importance of Independence in AI
19:40 to 23:20
Explore why maintaining independence is crucial for Cognition's long-term vision and AI development.
“So why were you guys in DC for Independence Day and what's the DC play here?”
Enterprises' Need for Third-Party Solutions
23:21 to 27:06
Understand why enterprises prefer third-party providers over relying solely on in-house labs.
“Once you've solved AGI, you just take over the entire world and then there's just like one entity that fills the world.”
Show all 16 chapters
Enterprises' Need for Third-Party Solutions
27:07 to 27:38
Understand why enterprises prefer third-party providers over relying solely on in-house labs.
“MongoDB stores searches and reasons over your data in real time.”
The Singularity Debate
28:32 to 31:48
Scott Wu discusses his thoughts on the timeline and implications of AI singularity.
“Do you believe the whole six months to singularity thing?”
The Emergence of AI Agents
31:49 to 36:58
The conversation shifts to the development of AI coding agents and their impact.
“Like, I agree there's some point at which there's almost like this event horizon in AI, right?”
Questions of Abundance in AI
36:59 to 39:50
Exploring the societal implications of AI and abundance in the future.
“giving something engineers can go after.”
Anticipating the Future with AI
39:51 to 42:07
Scott shares his excitement for the impending era of AI abundance.
“It's like, what are we going to create with all this abundance?”
Optimistic Visions for the Future
42:07 to 42:18
Scott Wu shares his thoughts on the optimistic future of AI in the Abundance Era.
“I think, like, I think the Abundance Era is real, and I think we'll be there pretty soon.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Cognition has raised over a billion dollars. First AI software engineer, Devin. Microsoft and Cognition. Cognition and Mercedes-Benz. Goldman Sachs, Mercedes-Benz, Citi, Dell, Santander, NASA, the U.S. Navy, and the U.S. Army. They've raised over 2.5 billion today at a last valuation of 26 billion. In less than three years, you got to 500 million in revenue. That's crazy. Half a billion in revenue in less than three years. Our customers in the last six months or so have also grown their usage in the range of 11 to 12x. Once you've solved AGI, you just take over the entire world, and then there's just one entity that pulls the world.
0:34I just don't think that's the right future for it. There is nothing that humans do that AIs can't do. Maybe you can just have an AI engineer buddy that can just do work for you. But that was the very first moment that we believed it was possible. I think the Abundance Era is real, and I think we'll be like this, yeah.
1:00Devin welcome to sorcery yeah do you get that a lot um yeah yeah yeah like I'll be in the elevator and in my like building and like I'll just come down and people be like are you Devin and then you know like well I'm actually I'm actually not Devin but yes I understand what you're asking me oh gosh damn well Scott welcome to sorcery we are We're in Paris, which is pretty cool. We're here for the RAISE Summit. It's like this huge AI Summit. I think this is like their second or their third year. You're going to be on stage? Yeah, I'll be on stage tomorrow. I just landed an hour ago and came straight here.
1:42Well, it's awesome to have you on. I'm excited to talk through the state of cognition and autonomous coding agents today. It's very pressing. Did you know that? I did, actually, yeah. I mean, I can't even keep up with it at this point. And so, no, things have been going like crazy. I mean, even for us internally, like, one of the craziest things is, obviously, we use a ton of Devin to build Devin. In fact, we almost exclusively use Devin to build Devin at this point. Like, 95 % of the code or something is written by Devin. Really? But the crazy thing is, even in the last six months, you know, if you ask people, oh, like, AI code, yeah, it's been going on for, you know, three, four years now, which is true, it has been.
2:20But even in the last six months, I think the number for us is, like, our total amount of code shipped is roughly 7x in that time. and so it's like the number of PRs we've shipped the amount of code and obviously literal output you know like there's different ways how in terms of how you actually measure the productivity that you get out of it but I think in practice like we're just able to do so much more and get so much more leverage in even this this this period of time like the models just keep getting better I think there's more and more that's been kind of fleshed out I would say with the product experience and so yeah no things are things are flying it's crazy so how do you measure the productivity of it?
2:57Yeah, it's a great question. So a couple of things I'd say on this, first of all, I think obviously literal tokens is just not the right answer. Really? I mean, lots of people talk about that. I think the token, I say the token maximum era lasted from January to May of 2026, roughly. RIP? Yeah, RIP. It was a fun time. But no, I mean, I think we're now at this point where obviously, you know, what you care about is outcomes and like what you're actually delivering. And so, you know, we see how much we're shipping, we see how much we're doing. Obviously, what do we care about is like, you know, where are we getting to with the product?
3:34Like, what are we actually delivering to our customers and our users? And I think that's roughly the same for every business. There's no kind of like secret trick or there's no kind of like easy way out in terms of measuring actual ROI productivity and so on but but a lot of it comes down to just actually looking to each of the outcomes that you're driving and so for us it's you know obviously we have all the KPIs the business that we track and that we kind of follow and you know when we think about our output like a lot of what we think about is obviously it's like you know how quickly are we growing those numbers as opposed to anything that we actually you know look at in terms of tokens or spend or something like that.
4:18Did you ever think you'd be growing this fast? It's a good question. So what I always think about with this is I think on the one hand, I think relative to businesses, and by the way, it's not just us. It's like our customers have seen this where similarly our customers in the last six months or so have also grown their usage in the range of like 11 to 12x of Devin. and the way I'd say it is yeah on the one hand I think you just like think about businesses in the past you think about the growth of all these tech companies in history and obviously it's pretty crazy on the other hand you know when I kind of asked the question like the first principle of the question okay how many people are using coding agents now how much are they using it for how much are they getting out of versus like what do we think they're going to be using and how much of it are they going to be using in three years or something.
5:13I think the rough answer, especially if you look, if we rewind a bit like a year ago, the rough answer a year ago was roughly zero. And the rough answer for two, three years from now is roughly every software engineer in the world and probably a lot more than all just the software engineers because I think a lot more people will be able to produce code and produce products and so on, right? And so then when you take those two points on the curve and you just extrapolate out what has to happen, But, you know, I think there has to be massive adoption, massive growth. I think what that looks like in practice often is like, of course, you know, there's the virality itself.
5:50There's like, you know, there's a ton of great content that I think a lot of different folks are putting out in terms of like educating people and showing people how to use the tools effectively. And then there's, you know, real organizational change that has to happen all over these companies to make that happen. It's insane. Like of all the categories, there was an interview I did way back when with Naveen from Mayfield and he laid out the three fastest growing categories. And I know it's like it's really obviously it's quite easy to kind of forget about these things when you're in it and like when the whole market is moving with it.
6:23But it's insane how fast this new category in less than three years, you got to 500 million in revenue. That's crazy. Half a billion in revenue in less than three years. that's insane yeah no it's i mean it's i think we're very fortunate and i think that the like obviously i mean ai as a whole has moved like crazy in the last few years but like the way that we think about it is like we have to move this fast you know it's it's like if if we frankly if we only 3x year over year or whatever it is you know we'd be we'd be lagging the market right in terms of how fast all this adoption is happening and i think it's i would say it's more a reflection of just how meaningful the technology is.
7:04It's like everybody in enterprise or just building products in general, the hardest part about building any product, selling a product, all that, is just explaining to people why they should care. It's like, hey, I've got this payroll optimization thing. I've got this usage-based billing thing. I've got this whatever. But here's why this is really meaningful. And here's why you should be thinking about this. right the nice thing about this with with you know ai that can write code by itself and build self-driving products for you is you know it's i think it's kind of obvious why you should care right and so a lot of it is is just like figuring out how you solve all the practical problems of like getting the technology there and then getting it out to to people you're at half a billion in revenue and you have customers that entail, I'm going to list them out because these are some pretty big customers so far.
7:58Goldman Sachs, Mercedes-Benz, Citi, Dell, Santander, NASA, the U.S. Navy, and the U.S. Army. And you've raised over$2.5 billion today at a last valuation of$26 billion. I want to go back in time because Cognition played a pretty big role in a redemption story of a company called Windsurf. So can you bring us back to that moment and how M &A has played a role in the growth? Yeah, it's a fun time. I mean, it was all of 11 months ago. But so we... And by the way, it's quite topical because I think recently, you know, there's similar news with Cursor. you know we at the time kind of heard this news roughly around the same time as everyone else that hey this company Windsurf which was building a really great IDE that a lot of folks used individuals companies and so on some of the team was going to Google right and so there was kind of like you know a acqui-hire deal almost where a number of the researchers on the team were going to Google right and there was a company kind of behind that that still had all the customers, that still had a ready-to-go go-to-market team, a lot of the platform engineering, the product itself, all the details there.
9:16But obviously, it kind of like, was trying to figure out what to do. And that was announced that Friday afternoon. And we at Cog, at Cognition, we were talking about that internally. We were kind of joking about it at first, like kind of interesting, like it's there. And then as we actually thought about it seriously more, we were like actually this is really interesting for us because you know if you think about where we're at like you know we've always been focused on obviously you know the research the product itself like really making progress with the agent product um i think as time goes on it's become more and more clear that like the the really good coding ide products you know the tool that you're the the tool that you're kind of like um sitting in and and and like using to look at the code itself versus the agent product which is kind of that almost the engineer that you can delegate you obviously want this to be very hand in hand.
10:03A lot of the same information on understanding your exact code base. Obviously, you want the same knowledge to persist across. A lot of how you even go and do your work and manage assessments is very common. You're looking at the code yourself, and then you figure out there's something you want to go do, and so you hand that off to a remote agent. So, a ton of synergies in the product. Similarly, in terms of go-to-market, Windsurf had amazing enterprise traction already. It had a team that had a lot of expertise in going and selling to these folks and figuring out how to actually deliver. A really, really amazing deployed engineering motion.
10:46All the pieces that you would need, basically. We got in touch with the Windsurf team that evening. It was Friday evening. Then, basically, over the course of that weekend, we worked out the entire acquisition together. So by Monday morning, we had the announcement ready to go. It was a fun announcement, both myself and Jeff, and honestly, our entire team. We all got very little sleep that weekend. But we put everything together. And yeah, it was great that we were able to do that. I mean, I think it made a lot of sense for us as a company. I think it was also obviously a really great team that was just kind of figuring out what to do.
11:21and I think over the last like year there's I remember saying this it's like peanut butter and chocolate honestly for us. It's been a lot of fun and at this point it's like I think the first few months a lot of little details as you can imagine to figure out like some of the same customers or companies you know it's like yeah we had somebody on the cognition side who had a relationship with them. We had somebody on the windsurf side who had a relationship there's tons of stuff to figure out right all the product stuff you know it's like we're talking at the high level about what the synergies are ton of detail involved in actually going and plugging that in and making billing work and thinking about how you actually hand a session off from the local environment to the remote environment and all these other things um and then similarly even like the teams the offices all that you know stuff to figure out but but today i would say it's like um it's all you know it's all one product it's all one kind of clean you know you come to see our office and it's like you wouldn't know at all like okay is this person from the old cognition or the old windsurf or do they join after you know that time and it's kind of like yeah it's it's been it's been really nice in that time this episode is brought to you by brex my favorite you become what you spend on and i refuse to spend my time on work that shouldn't exist expense reports receipt chasing and manual closes, the companies building what's next from Vercel, OpenAI, Anthropic, Granola, and Deepgram all made the same call.
12:48They all run on Brex. Brex is the intelligent finance platform that combines cards, expenses, and banking into a single stack with agentic finance built in. AI agents that handle expenses automatically, enforce policy before spend happens, and close your books in minutes. That's why Sorcery runs on Brex, so I can spend time on building and not busy work. It's time to get Brex AF. Learn more at brex.com slash sorcery. That's B-R-E-X dot com slash S-O-U-R-C-E-R-Y. Bye. What was it like merging the teams together? Yeah. No, that was a real process. And by the way, one of the things that was tricky about that process is cognition at the time was all of 35 or 40 people.
13:36And we had a meaningful business with real traction. We were doing in the range of 70 or 80 million of revenue run rate at the time. But it was a very small team. Windsurf, on the other hand, because it had kind of scaled up go to market and set all that up, it was around 200 people at the time. And so a lot of details to figure out, obviously. And so for a few months, I mean, the immediate day of or week of all of us were just like, okay, let's just like write the ship, you know, let's make sure folks know, you know, customers know that we're going to be there for them. We're going to be shipping.
14:09We're going to be like, you know, taking care of both sides of the product and doing that well, right. And let's just go and deliver. Over the first few months, obviously, a lot of it was just like figuring out how we, how we kind of get into a good state. And then, you know, as with all things, it's kind of like much easier to go build these things and do all this, you know, with, with some time. Um, and so, um, you know, we had a lot of little like kind of like fun off sites, uh, which helped I think for people getting to know each other, ton of strategy sessions, obviously like working out all the details and so on.
14:42And then, um, you know, pretty soon, like at the end of last year, we got to kind of like, uh, uh, we were looking for like a bigger SF office space, obviously, like as soon as possible, just as like a tactical matter. Cause you know, we needed an office that could fit everybody. Right. Um, and so like, uh, But by the end of the last year, we got that office space and then kind of were able to put everyone in one space and all kind of like work together. And those were, I would say, kind of the big milestones that like made things super, super smooth. How did you work through the product integration?
15:15I mean, it was a lot of steps for sure. No, I mean, I think the one way I'd put it is like, you know, not trying to overly force it. And so, you know, for the time being, it was like, there's a Windsurf product, there's a Devon product, both those are great. Let's work on both of those and kind of do the obvious like next steps on each of these things. And then as we kind of had pieces of overlap, just like naturally building them in together. And so it wasn't like, you know, one month later, Windsurf is gone and that's it. You know, it was like over the course of the last year, even we've been building all these things.
15:52And now it's kind of like, you know, Devon Cloud and Devon Desktop are like super, super like nicely paired together. You can start sessions from one and hand them off to the other. You can work with them all in the same systems, whatever. Right. But but but it's much more of a gradual thing. And I think one of the things that was interesting for us was a lot of the users of either product were kind of already naturally looking for the other side, right? And so we had a ton of people, for example, who were on the IDE framework. And obviously, you know, right around this time they were talking about late 25, early 2026 is right around when these like asynchronous agents were really starting to get big.
16:31And so all these folks were thinking about, okay, well, what should my strategy be? and obviously it's great to be able to work with like you know a single team and you know somebody that already like understands your code base and has all the details kind of like figured out and deployed right and so that was nice and then on the reverse side obviously similarly for a lot of folks who were like you know adopting the cloud agent it's very nice to say okay yeah like the local side of it is there too for any of the developers who still want to use the local form factor and who want to have that right and so I think it's kind of like maybe the simple way to put it is like rather than force it and say okay over the next you know 30 days or 60 days like we have to integrate these products is much more of like letting the actual usage and the the new features that we're building the kind of next paradigms that we're getting to like letting those like pull the products together more gradually rather than forcing it how are you getting advised during this were you just making it up as you go or were you like who are you turning to?
17:29It's a good question. A lot of making it up. And I think for us, I mean, it's one of the things about COG, honestly, is like we, and you know, we've talked before about how a lot of our team are former founders. Our first 56 people, I think like 30 of us had founded a company before this, and so obviously a lot of us together were people who liked being ambitious and entrepreneurial and thinking from first principles. But yeah, also, I mean, I think the... No, I mean, it was a real, like, team effort. I specifically remember that weekend there was a point. So there was the initial kind of discussions, which were with, like, myself and Russell from our side and then Jeff and Graham, you know, from the windsurf side.
18:19But then, obviously, as soon as we got past, like, the very first initial discussion, there was a question of, like, okay, but, like, what are we actually going to do? And so then there was, like, every single kind of, like, part of the business. That Saturday was one of my favorite, like, honestly, one of the funnest days of my life. Really? Was, like, and because, you know, we had our kind of, like, you know, technical team. We had Steven and Walden and so on who are, like, you know, engineering product leaders, like my co-founders, going and, like, you know, sitting with their team to understand, okay, what's going on with WindSurf?
18:51What do we do to get out Wave 11? what are the things what are the specific features which we need to make sure deliver on time, the things that we've promised folks that we obviously want to live up to what are the next first steps on how we would start getting towards an integration, similarly on all of the go to market stuff, we had our folks there working with across teams, making that happen there's just kind of a feeling I think for all of us of like we just love figuring this kind of stuff out you know i think sometimes people kind of describe it as like oh like i just want to like build my product and piece and everything else about building a company is you know that's just like i'll put up with it but it's it's not my cup of tea i think for all of us like yeah like you know the experience of building the company is like is a lot of the fun of it and so it's a really fun weekend for us wow yeah i would imagine i'm sure it's something else every week so yeah yeah yeah it's fun i mean yeah we've had all sorts of uh yeah we've had we've had a lot of more fun weeks since that one too and so it's it's always a mess yeah well speaking on the backdrop of m &a with cursor and their deal their 60 billion dollar deal with spacex m &a is floating around and there's all those kinds of like fun stories that are happening but cognition remains independent so much so that you spent Independence Day at DC, in DC.
20:22So why were you guys in DC for Independence Day and what's the DC play here? Yeah, yeah, for sure. No, I mean, it's, look, I think it's like a really, obviously it's a really topical thing right now. And I think especially because code is, I think in some ways, like, you know, the most kind of like mature vertical. I think a lot of folks look to code as kind of like an expectation of what's going to happen in the rest of the industry and all these verticals. And, yeah, I think there's been a narrative out there that, oh, like, in order to win, you have to be a lab yourself or you have to go sell to a lab.
20:56And obviously, like, we've just always believed that because there's a lot of value and a lot of power in being independent. And you see that in how we work. Like, you know, we're completely model neutral. Like, we work with all the different providers. We work with OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, so on and so forth. but also just like in our approach with companies and so, or with all the orgs that we work with. So DC is really exciting for us for a couple reasons. I think one, because frankly, it's like, you talk about places that need software and that have things that they want to build but not enough software engineers to build them.
21:35DC and government in general might perhaps be the single biggest kind of point of that, right? All of these orgs have so many things that, I feel like the one-liner is like, imagine going to the DMV and it actually worked. And why doesn't it work? It's because there's all this archaic software. It's all these crazy processes. It's because the website kind of doesn't really work. Or you're not able to kind of see these things and track all these things in advance. And like, government software doesn't have to be that. All these things can be good. And I think it's like a really important thing for us to work towards.
22:12I think the other thing and the other reason why it's so important to us is, frankly, I think AI itself is just going to be a pretty fundamental policy issue over the next few years. And like you think about the early days of the Internet, for example, and there were all these discussions about, OK, what's going to happen? Are there going to be a handful of corporations that control the entire Internet or whatever? whatever. Obviously, we ended up with the open internet, and now all the businesses of the world are built on the internet. But there will come a day where all the businesses of the world are built on AI.
22:47And I think it's something that we should be thinking about sooner rather than later. And so we wanted to give our thoughts to that conversation as well. It's awesome to see the new admin just embrace technology so much. The amount that they've done in the last year has been incredible. But from your standpoint of being independent, you mentioned a couple of reasons, but why do you think in the long run it's more important for you to build this company as big as you can independently than under another umbrella? Yeah, yeah. No, I mean, I think the... I guess a few things I'd say. I think there's a world that folks sometimes talk about where there's the full recursive superintelligence and then everything is all owned by like a single entity, you know, or maybe there's two entities or something that they're competing, you know, but they have the, and it's like, you know, everything all collapses.
23:47Once you've solved AGI, you just take over the entire world and then there's just like one entity that fills the world. I mean, I just don't think that's the right future for us. And I think AI will get to that level of capabilities and I think we'll see it do even crazier and crazier things. Like, I've always felt that there's, in terms of just pure knowledge work, there is nothing that humans do that AIs can't do, you know, partly because humans are, humans, you know, our brains are just computers, you know, like the AIs are too, right? And it's like, I mean, they're literally called neural networks because they were inspired by how our brains operate.
24:25And so, like, I think we will solve all these problems. But I think we want that to be done in a way that, you know, that people can control their own intelligence, can have access to all these things and so on. And I think more than that, too, I think that it can be done, which is obviously an important part of any mission that you want to bet on. But I think there is a lot of room and I think there is a lot of appetite from everyone out there, individuals and businesses and so on, for truly independent tools that they can use and for things that really innovate at the product and the value layer rather than just the pure intelligence layer.
25:09I mean, so on this topic, Christian Garrett, I asked him for some questions. 137, they're big fans. They talked about you in their interview we just did with them, with Justin Fishner-Wolson. Yeah, Justin and Christian also. They're great. So Christian asks, why do enterprises want third-party providers or open source and won't solely rely on the labs, thus their coding tools? Yeah. Yeah. I mean, I think several reasons. I think first of all, obviously the way enterprises work is they want to have long-term partnerships. And frankly, it's just hard to know what's going to happen in the long term, right?
25:46Like who even is going to have the best model in six months or 12 months or whatever? And I mean, I think that's very reasonable. You know, like you don't want to teach all of your engineers or your entire team how to use one particular suite and one particular product and then find out, oh, actually, it turns out people aren't using this one anymore because everyone says this other one is better or something, right? But I think the other reason that it's important, too, is because, as we said, you know, I think for every company or for every team, like, what they care about is not how many tokens they're using, it's how much value they're driving, right?
26:16And I think it's very important for there to be a player that is going and helping them drive all that value and, like, turning that into reality, right? And I think in practice, it's how you organize your teams, how you think about planning, how you think about specs or design, how you do user research. All of these things should be different in the era of AI. It's not as simple as like, you know, throw the tool over the wall. Here's your chat bot. Try that out. Hopefully, it's good for you. It's like there's a lot of fundamental questions that you have to think through and work through. And these obviously require organizational change.
26:53And so I think from their perspective, they want to work with somebody who's thinking a lot about that, who really understands that, and is excited to go help them with all those details. If you're building what's next in AI, you need to know MongoDB, the database platform developers love and built for the agents you're running. MongoDB stores searches and reasons over your data in real time. with vector search and embeddings from Voyage AI all in the same system. No separate pipelines, no stitching together 10 different tools. It's why 75 % of the Fortune 100 and leading AI-native startups run on MongoDB.
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28:18You can get started today at assemblyai.com slash sorcery and get$50 of free credits to start building voice AI products. That's assemblyai.com slash S-O-U-R-C-E-R-Y. So you're based in Silicon Valley. Yeah. Do you believe the whole six months to singularity thing? What's your take on the whole singularity? Six months is a bit short. Fear-longering. Yeah. I mean, so look, the recursive thing, here's what I'd say. there is obviously some version of the recursive thing which is literally, I mean, I even just said that, like, Devin writes most of the code of Devin. So it's like, you know, on the other hand, I think the question of, you know, whether, you know, whether humans will be rendered irrelevant and all human, like, all science problems and all societal problems will be solved, you know, six months from now with the ultimate intelligence, I don't quite believe that.
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29:16And I think there's a few reasons for why that is. I think for one, there's a lot of practical problems out there in the world that are not actually, you know, necessarily like purely intelligence soluble, right? There's just like organizational things that have to be done. There's like, there's processes that take time that have to be figured out. There's like hardware components of like how much, you know, how much GPU compute can you get and so on. And so I think all those things obviously exist. for two i think we see more and more um that you know in in the model training landscape i think the vibe today is almost like you can teach the model pretty much anything as long as you know exactly what you are trying to measure or what kind of outcome you're trying to get out of it and so um benchmark scores for example are obviously every time there's a new model people release benchmarks the thing that's kind of almost like um counterintuitive is we're kind of getting to the point where you can solve basically any benchmark right because what does it mean to have a benchmark it means you've already defined the task you've clarified what success or failure looks like you've given a bunch of examples of what that task looks like and what the right behavior should be and the truth kind of is well if you do that then you can teach the model and go do that you know it's rl works it's it's it's it's incredible how much it works right um but obviously not all of the tasks of the world today cleanly fit into that you know description right and then there's lots of things that are you know um that are super super amorphous that don't really have clear definitions that it's hard to say what counts as success or failure that have like really long time horizons where it takes a long time to find out whether it was the right decision, right?
30:59And so it's like, you know, if you're asking it to write a simple program that goes and does a thing, it's super easy to run the program and say, okay, it got the right result or it didn't. You know, if you're asking it to make a 10-year strategic decision, well, it's kind of hard to get the data on whether you did that right or wrong until you've waited 10 years out and seen that, right? And so I think we will solve all these things, to be clear and i think we'll we'll i i really don't think that there are like intelligence problems that ai will not solve in the long term i just don't think of that as like it's going to be all over in six months okay i could be wrong i don't know maybe maybe it is all over but you know it's but if it is all over in six you know we had we had it we had a good time yeah there's a certain i actually think that there's there's a certain nihilism there which is like Like, I agree there's some point at which there's almost like this event horizon in AI, right?
31:56There's some point in which the AI gets so smart that it's hard for us to even kind of like reason about what that world will look like. You know, will humans still, you know, will we still have desire? I think we still will have desire. Will we still have passions and things that we want to express? I think we will. But like, who knows? You know, like maybe, maybe, maybe like AI will just like solve all of those problems for us too or something. but like so the event horizon does exist and I think past that point it's hard to project but it's just like you just gotta stay sane you know it's like like you just you gotta make reasonable decisions you gotta build and maybe it all ends in six months but you know I don't currently think that's the case by the way I think most of these people are already insane I don't know if you read the beginning part of your Colossus piece but what is up with the rest of the Silicon Valley tech community like I read that and then I commented below and I'm like, what the f***?
32:51I can't unread that. Thank you, Jeremy. What was going on there? There's some of that for sure. No, I mean, it's crazy. Obviously, it's like we're saying these companies are growing faster than before. These capabilities are clearly... I think it's true that the AI paradigm is on another level compared to the mobile phone or the internet or something. It's not just the technology that people use every day. I think it will fundamentally reshape our lives. But yeah, to your point, it's just got to stay sane. So the first task that Devin did was spin up MongoDB. I want to understand why you picked that.
33:33Yeah, so MongoDB, it wasn't on purpose or anything, by the way. We were literally playing around with, I guess there wasn't a term for a coding agent back then, but like the idea of like what it would look like to have like a coding agent this is like end of 2023 so like there's not you know there were not any of these that existed um uh but you know we made these little things it's kind of funny you know one of my co-founders steven and one of my co-founders walden um we were all like okay we're gonna make the dev version of our cell like that the the ai debt right so there's like a dev steven you know in our slack and then there's like a dev walden in our slack and then eventually obviously we took all those ideas and like made it into a single um you know single product and that was dev naturally as the the kind of culmination of all these um and uh but but but yeah we had each of these and people were building them and just messing around and trying to get them to do cool things right like what can you do if you can actually like test your code and not just like llm completion your code you know uh what can you do if you like hook it up so that it can actually run commands in the terminal or like have a super basic browser use thing.
34:42And we were messing around with these. And then we actually just needed MongoDB ourselves. So like Walden was setting up MongoDB and then sometimes with these when you're trying to set up a developer tool it's kind of like this or like a database or any of these things where it's like you just like run a bunch of commands, you like paste it in the things that it told you to go and do and then it's just like not working and there's some error, you know, oh, this port or whatever. And maybe it's because, you know, one random dependency package is on the wrong version and that messes up everything.
35:16Maybe it's because you have some other process that's open on your computer that's hogging it or whatever. But for whatever reason, like, MongoDB, like, Walden was just, like, not getting it set up. And, you know, you do it. You always do it. You just Google the error message and you see what that says and you try that command or whatever this person on Stack Overflow said and it didn't work. Back in the days before AI, you had to go do that. And he spent some time on it and he was just like, yeah, I don't know. So then he had his Devon at the time, basically. He was like, all right, Devon, just go try and make it work.
35:50And it turned out to be a really great use case because if you kind of think about what do you need, you need, number one, you just need encyclopedic knowledge of all the different errors that you can run into and what would cause each of them, right? And then number two, you need the ability to actually run and diagnose things. It's one thing to just have the error message and nothing else, but it's another thing to be able to go run commands, to go look at the other running processes, to go and whatever else you need to go do. And obviously those two things, like the encyclopedic knowledge and the ability to actually go and run commands, I mean, that's literally what a coding agent is.
36:24And Devin just ran a bunch of stuff for a few minutes and then fixed it. And then sent Walden a message, like, hey, I got it, it's up now. Wow. Raul didn't really, he didn't really believe it at first. I think we still had the video recording of that. Really? It was so unbelievable. And that was like, I remember like, I couldn't sleep that night. Like, we were just like, shit. Like, maybe it, maybe it does work, you know? Maybe you can just have, like, an AI engineer buddy that can just do work for you, you know? But that was like, the very first moment that we believed it was possible, I would say.
36:58That's amazing. Thank you, MongoDB, for that. giving something engineers can go after. Yeah, thank you for the complicated yet solvable documentation pages. That was just right in the cusp of what it needed to be in December of 2023. Oh my gosh. What do you think the biggest question people should be asking right now that they're not? You know, it's kind of interesting. I think there's actually an important question to ask about what we would do with abundance. And maybe, like, I don't actually know what went down in all the industrial revolution. You know, I wasn't there. Really? Yeah, I wasn't there.
37:40What? So I assumed that there was some phase where it was kind of everyone was farming. They were. And then there was a point where it was kind of like, oh, wow, we can actually just, like, mass produce. And obviously in the time since then, you know, we have all, like, there's different things that we all want. There's things that we care about. There's, like, self-expression. there's all of this kind of like knowledge work and so on that's come about since then and I think there was like a middle period obviously where it was kind of like the abundance was there but it was like figuring out those things.
38:10I kind of think we're about to enter something like that you know in AI and I see this, the reason I say that is because you know with software obviously the first thing that people think about is okay like how can I be more efficient you know it's like all this work that I'm doing now I can do that work in a third of the time and it's true You can. It's amazing. It's really cool. And obviously that's worth a lot already. That means you can do it. But I think the real unlock is not in efficiency, but in capacity. It's like, what can we do if we can build so much more? And obviously, we gave the example of, okay, maybe the DMV is going to actually work in the post-software abundance.
38:52Or maybe logging into your bank account or checking your medical records, all of those would be really smooth product experiences. But I actually think there's just so many more things. Software is eating the world. It's a famous line, obviously. It was true already. Here's how we'll look back at this in 2031 or something. It was true already back when you had to go and manually write every single piece of software, every line of code that was going to run, and yet still it was correct for software to eat the world and to turn all these processes in software. Imagine how good it is and how much more you can do where you can just generate software on the fly to go do anything.
39:29Single-use software is going to exist. Self-driving software is going to exist. So anything that you want to go do or want to turn into reality probably involves doing... Anything that involves using a computer in some form is ultimately some kind of software. And when all the software drives itself, what do you want to do? What do you want to create? So that's the first thing that comes to my mind, honestly. It's like, what are we going to create with all this abundance? And I think we're starting to get to that question. So, last question. What was it like beating Peter Thiel in chess? Oh, I didn't beat him in chess, no.
40:05I would not recommend playing against Peter Thiel in chess. I don't think that's a good... You've got to pick games that you can win. But I did challenge him to pull into a poker match. I think there was like... Somehow there was both... But it was just the poker thing that actually happened. There was a round that was one of the earliest rounds of Cogu. So this is like the seat, basically. And kind of got to a point, like, we were clear with that, you know, to their credit, by the way, they were always super, super upfront and super hesitant about, like, you know, kind of how they negotiated with us, too.
40:34But, like, we were at the point where, like, look, we want to go and do this. Here's the numbers that would make sense for us. And they were like, here are the numbers that would make sense for them. And we were kind of, like, close enough that you kind of felt like it should work in some form. It was just a question of, like, okay, what do we land on? and I was like, you know, since you're such a big fan of poker, we could just play a heads up poker match for that and we could have the winner decide whose terms we actually signed. It would have been for, in retrospect, it would have been for like 1 % of the company or something, which would have been a lot.
41:05But I put that with Napoleon. Napoleon was kind of down and then Peter shut it down. Oh. Peter, you know, I don't really think that's the right way to do this. And he said, you know, and so then that didn't end up happening. You know, we worked it out anyway We came to a deal and it was all good. And then we've been working together since. What are you most looking forward to in the next 12 months? Yeah.
41:33You know, I'm honestly just really excited about us getting closer to this era of abundance. And I think we'll see a lot of that happen in the next, like not just as somebody, you know, in AI, but like as like a, like as a spectator also, like as a consumer. Like, I'm excited for AI to, you know, to be there for me, for all of my, like, tough personal decisions that I have to go make. I'm excited to have AI, like, handle all these different, like, little details in my life. I'm excited to have, like, AI that, like, basically just, like, allows me to, like, spend all of my time and focus on the things that I care about and take care of the rest.
42:07I think, like, I think the Abundance Era is real, and I think we'll be there pretty soon. Amazing. Such a positive, optimistic way to end it. Thank you so much, Scott. I really appreciate it. Thanks for having me. And maybe we'll get some hot takes at Versailles. Yeah. Okay. Thank you so much. Okay, cool. Huge thank you to the entire RAISE team for an incredible event. And thank you to Brex, MongoDB, and Assembly AI for making this trip and series possible. If you enjoyed this conversation, you're going to love the rest of the RAISE series with Tony Kim from BlackRock, Scott Wu from Cognition, Andrew Feldman from Cerebris, Rodrigo Yang from Salmanova Michael Hurlston from Lumentum CJ Desai from MongoDB and many many more like our hot takes that we did at a secret location that you can find on X, YouTube and Instagram subscribe to Sorcery on YouTube for more conversations with the people shaping AI and join the free newsletter you can also do paid at sorcery.vc for weekly insights on AI, robotics enterprise software consumer, semiconductors, did I say AI?
43:15AI again, and everything that's coming next, like funding announcements and all big things in tech. Thank you. Bye.
From the publisher
Scott Wu, CEO & Co-Founder of Cognition, joins Sourcery in Paris amid the RAISE AI Summit. Cognition is the applied AI lab behind Devin, the autonomous AI software engineer, and Devin Desktop, formerly Windsurf. The company has raised more than $2.5 billion, including a $1 billion round in May 2026 at a $26 billion valuation, while growing annualized revenue from roughly $37 million to $492 million in a year. Devin now writes roughly 95% of Cognition's own code, total code shipped has grown 7x in six months, and customer usage has increased 11x to 12x.
We cover Cognition's acquisition of Windsurf, negotiated over a single weekend after Google's $2.4 billion talent deal, why Scott is keeping Cognition independent, why enterprises won't buy coding agents directly from the model labs, AI's impact on software engineering, the six-month singularity debate, and the origin story of Devin, from fixing a MongoDB error in 2023 to deployments at Goldman Sachs, Mercedes-Benz, Citi, Dell, Santander, NASA, the U.S. Navy, and the U.S. Army.
Recorded July 7, 2026, ahead of Cognition shipping SWE-1.7 on July 8 and acquiring The Interaction Company (maker of Poke) on July 23.
Scott Wu: https://x.com/ScottWu46
Molly O’Shea: https://x.com/MollySOShea
Sourcery: https://x.com/sourceryy
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