In short
The episode argues the U.S. economy is “K-shaped”: stock markets hit highs while inflation, energy shocks, and consumer hardship worsen. It criticizes debates about “billionaires” as lazy, claiming billionaires differ: some create value, others extract it—often via monopoly power. It also claims the real policy issue is government capture by industries and platform monopolies, not a simple “revenue vs spending” fight. It warns AI will intensify monopoly extraction and job displacement, fueling political extremism.
Guest backgrounds
Dylan Ratigan is a journalist and former CNBC host/commentator who writes about economics and inequality. He reports from Barcelona in this recording.
Key claims
Bezos’s “zero taxes for the bottom half” is framed as manipulative; the top 1% pay a large share of income taxes but billionaires often avoid taxes via low taxable income and borrowing against equity. The government is opaque and wasteful, captured by defense and other contractors. Antitrust enforcement should target extractive tech monopolies (not “creationist” value-makers). AI will first benefit startups/small firms, while mature firms face slower restructuring.
Notable examples
Jeff Bezos/Blue Origin tax remarks; “loan against equity” tax avoidance; defense contracting spreading funds across states; tech monopolies (Google search, Apple app store, Facebook); AI “McKinsey bot” scenario; commencement backlash; grocery price inflation example (e.g., $50 to $220).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOCurrent Economic Landscape
0:45 to 1:41
Discussion of the bizarre state of the economy, inflation, and consumer struggles.
“And frankly, I don't buy that for a second.”
The Debate on Billionaires
1:41 to 4:03
Exploration of the ongoing debate about the existence and taxation of billionaires.
“I've got my friend Dylan Radigan back with me, back in the cut.”
Jeff Bezos's Tax Proposal
4:03 to 6:12
Discussion on Jeff Bezos's interview and his suggestion about federal income taxes.
“But I want to start with our friend Jeff Bezos, former Amazon CEO who now runs Blue Origin.”
Critique of the Current Tax System
6:12 to 9:06
Examining Bezos's motives and the impact of taxation on wealth distribution.
“I mean first of all, I don't – I agree with his suggestion.”
Spending vs. Revenue Debate
9:06 to 12:04
Analysis of the arguments around government spending versus tax revenue.
“How are these billionaires being produced?”
The Slippery Slope of Tax Exemptions
12:04 to 14:01
Discussion on the implications of tax exemptions and the importance of civic responsibility.
“which number one rule is no monopolies, right?”
Government Waste and Fraud
14:01 to 14:59
Discussion on the issues of government waste, fraud, and their impact on taxation opinions.
Defense Industry and Political Cartels
15:00 to 17:49
Exploration of how political and defense contractor relationships affect government spending.
“And it's because of the sort of bloated, arrogant, wasteful, fraudulent nature of the government.”
Spencer Pratt's Political Candidacy
17:50 to 22:14
Analyzing Spencer Pratt's campaign and its appeal as an outsider in politics.
“anything out of it, it is an untenable position because of all that leverage.”
Mismanagement of Public Funds
22:15 to 23:24
Discussion on the misallocation of public funds and the implications for society.
“But it's nice to hear someone saying, like, look, that's not cool.”
Show all 24 chapters
Billionaires and Public Institutions
23:25 to 26:28
Debate on the role of billionaires in society and the structure of governing institutions.
“It's one of those things where the diagnosis is correct, but the solution is catastrophic because Trump's actual solution is to loot the country.”
The Value of Billionaires
26:29 to 28:00
Discussion on the differing impacts billionaires have on society and the economy.
“And it's like, oh, well, it's such a stupid question.”
The Value Creation vs. Extraction Debate
28:00 to 31:36
Explore the distinction between billionaires who create societal value and those who extract it.
“I mean – but anyway, I'm sorry I keep interrupting you.”
The Role of Government in Capitalism
31:36 to 35:51
Discussing the government's necessary role as a referee in capitalism, especially regarding monopolies.
“But Spencer Pratt's not saying, he's like, I can use the laws that exist right now to change everything.”
AI's Impact on Job Markets
35:51 to 39:25
Understanding how AI affects job markets and the disparity in benefits between startups and large companies.
“To be there to create this permanent monopoly so they can set the terms of debate.”
The Financial Crisis and Political Extremism
39:25 to 42:00
Analyzing the consequences of the financial crisis on the economy and its relation to political extremism.
“And these guys are saying, well, you, AI is the next industrial revolution and you need to, you know, figure out how to leverage this.”
Economic Decline and Political Extremism
42:00 to 45:53
Explore the decline of the U.S. dollar and its political implications.
“that risk then transferred into the U.S.”
The Impact of Inflation on Everyday Life
45:54 to 49:41
Discuss how inflation affects consumer behavior and everyday expenses.
“And if somebody doesn't get a handle on the one, the difference between a creative billionaire and an extractive billionaire.”
The Bifurcation of Economic Prosperity
49:42 to 54:18
Analyze the stark divide in economic prosperity across different social classes.
“And they're the ones graduating college just be like, yeah, I don't know.”
The Future of America and Tech Monopolies
54:19 to 56:00
Examine the role of technology monopolies in the future of the U.S. economy.
“The world thinks America is a riskier bet than any time since the financial crisis in 2008.”
Taxing Robots for a Better Future
56:00 to 57:18
Explore the idea of a robot tax as a solution to economic inequality and government corruption.
“to pay off the naval contractor in San Diego so that everybody can buy a house in La Jolla, which for a Navy we don't need.”
The Pessimism of AI Graduates
57:18 to 1:00:16
Discuss the concerns of MIT AI graduates about their future job prospects and societal roles.
“But it doesn't solve the problem of if the AI is going to do it.”
Distrust in Leadership
1:00:16 to 1:02:39
Analyze the lack of faith in current leadership to navigate technological changes and societal challenges.
“So to your HVAC point, like a higher efficiency air conditioning.”
Closing Thoughts and Farewell
1:02:39 to 1:04:49
Wrap up the discussion on the future for youth and the role of creativity in a changing world.
“I would rather pick somebody out of the Manhattan phone book to be president, whoever the president was.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Hello and welcome once again from Newsweek headquarters at the top of the World Trade Center in sunny New York City. Carlo Fersano and this is another episode of The 1600. This country was stone cold dead. Guys, we're talking about the economy today. It is a weird one. It is a bizarre economic situation at the moment. Probably the weirdest one that I've seen in 20 years that I've been covering this stuff. The stock market is hitting new highs almost every day now despite, take your pick, a war in the Middle East with no end in sight. We've got core inflation back up. We've got overall inflation back up to 4%.
0:36We've got a global energy shock. We've got a collapse in consumer confidence. No matter, though, the market is ripping. People are struggling to afford basic necessities from housing to gas to groceries, which we know from the BLS are up 3 % just in the last year alone. And frankly, I don't buy that for a second. If you've gone to a grocery store, you know that prices are up way more than 3 percent just in the last year. But anyway, that's a subject for another day. Meanwhile, among all of this, there is an ongoing debate, mostly on the left, although really kind of everywhere now, about billionaires, our billionaire class, whether they should exist.
1:11They do exist. How much taxes they should pay, et cetera, et cetera. Now, I personally find this to be the world's laziest debate topic, but it is indicative of something that we've talked about here at length, which is just this K-shaped economy that is now taking hold in this country where the top is doing just fine, better than fine even, great even, while the rest of us are struggling to just maintain the living standards that we've been used to or at least we're used to sort of pre-COVID, pre-2020, which is kind of when all of this started going sideways. All of the political backlash that that's sparking, that's what we're going to get into today.
1:45I've got my friend Dylan Radigan back with me, back in the cut. Dylan is beaming into us from, I was going to say, the 1600 Bureau in Milan, where we found you last time. I'm on the road. I'm on the road. I have some business affairs to tend to. You've moved, Dylan. Where are you today? Barcelona, to be precise. It's not something I wanted to do. because sometimes the burden of enterprise forces you to take trips to places that you might not want to be. But in this case, I have to.
2:17Oh, yeah, you've got a tough life out there jetting from Milan to Barcelona. Listen. Tiny violin for you. I mean, the obvious criticism whether it's Barcelona or Venice or Rome or Florence is over tourism, right? but Barcelona and the Spanish government is probably the most aggressive in terms of being very defensive of you're talking about the K-shaped economy in Barcelona they're very anti-Uber they have a very robust tax the taxi drivers in Barcelona run the streets taxis everywhere Airbnb illegal in Barcelona Barcelona has done actually a very good job of managing, protecting its domestic, its city workers basically, and it's the living environment.
3:04And Spain, I think, has a very high value on the human condition as the top priority, as opposed to sort of, they don't prioritize the most efficient condition, but they do prioritize the most human condition. Italy gets a similar sort of compliment for that, but I would say that the Spanish take it to the next level. And so to answer your question, listen, it's May in New York. How is New York right now? Spectacular. I mean, come on. New York in spring is unbelievable. Spectacular, yeah. Everything's great right now. The Knicks are in the finals. Everything's in bloom. Everything's going good.
3:43You know what? Barcelona's also nice in the spring. So is Paris. So is Tokyo. It's good to be a human being in May. And so, you know, I'm happy to be here.
3:55I like that. I like that. That's a good way to start because we're probably going to get into some pessimism now. You've been writing a lot about the topics on your subsect that we were just sort of talking about, the K-shaped economy, the billionaire question. And I want to get into all of that. But I want to start with our friend Jeff Bezos, former Amazon CEO who now runs Blue Origin. He gave this interview kind of a rare – he doesn't really talk to the media that much. He gave a pretty meaty interview with our former colleague Andrew Ross Sorkin on CNBC a week or so ago. One of the headlines from this sit-down interview that Bezos did was what he said about taxes.
4:34He sort of floated this idea of zeroing out federal income taxes for the bottom half of Americans. We'll talk about making the tax system more progressive. How about we start by having the nurse in Queens not pay taxes? At all. At all. Why is a nurse in Queens who makes$75 ,000 a year paying more than$1 ,000 a month in taxes? That's$1 ,000 a month that could help with rent or groceries or anything. And by the way, do you know what that all adds up to? The bottom half of income earners in this country pay only 3 % of the taxes. It's only 3%. We can find 3%. So we don't have – it's a small amount of money for the government.
5:23You know that. And really it's – the more I thought about it, to me it's kind of absurd that we're doing this. I don't want to talk about it, disparage anybody's appearance. It's just crazy how much different he looks than he did back in the Amazon days when he was this sort of like wormy little nerd in his oversized suit. TRT, baby. You got to run a little peptides and TRT and a lot of lift weights. You got to pump. You got to do the work. But he's got these – he definitely has some biological support. Yes. No, I want Jeff Bezos' peptide stack. But, Dylan, so this point about zeroing out the taxes on the bottom half of – or like the bottom ring of American workers, you call this crumbs on your sub stack.
6:12Explain – I mean I agree with you, but explain what you're talking about. I mean first of all, I don't – I agree with his suggestion. Same. Who wouldn't, right? That's why it's sort of a manipulative suggestion because it's easy to agree with. But the question is, what is his motive in making that suggestion? Because what he doesn't talk about is – because you say, oh, well, the top 1 % or the top 5 % of income earners pay – I don't know what the number is. I don't know if you have it in front of you, but like 30%, 40%, 50 % of the tax is a lot. 40%. Yeah. But the same – so let's say what? Is the top 1 % pays 40 %?
6:45Is that what it is or the top 5 % or what is it? It's the top 1 % of income earners pay – well, here's – I want to actually get into this. We'll just get into it now. The top 1 % pay 40 % of all income taxes. That's sort of like the line that you hear. But that's kind of bullshit. But how much of the wealth do they control? Exactly. Well, not only that, but these people don't have high taxable incomes, right? The top 1 % of actual income earners, so people like doctors and bankers, etc. And fancy journalists at the top of the World Trade Center. Yeah, exactly. Not quite. But those are the people who are actually paying 40 % of income taxes.
7:22People like Jeff Bezos aren't because they don't have taxable income. And they do the whole loan against the equity routine. They borrow money and they just have to sell enough. Anyway, yes. So two things here. One, sure, don't tax the people making under$100 ,000 a year, whatever it is. That makes sense. Also, when you look at sort of happiness theory, psychological theory, whatever it is, having more money does not create a lot of incremental happiness. but not having enough money does create incremental sadness. So preserving the floor so that people can maintain their life, as you were saying in the introduction, is essential for a healthy society.
8:06It goes to that's the sort of premise of the Spanish lifestyle or the Italian lifestyle. But for me, all this is a distraction from the income that is under the concentration of wealth that's under control of billionaires and the tax policy's relationship with it, and also how people become billionaires. Are you a billionaire because you have a monopoly that has leverage and control over the government on a regulatory basis? By the way, Bezos in some ways is more credible than most of the other guys. Bezos might have a logistics monopoly. He surely doesn't have a product monopoly. Sure. But compared to Google or Meta, which is clearly a technological monopoly.
8:48So I just think that the whole conversation, especially when it's led by somebody like Bezos, who clearly has self-interest, is motivated to distract from the underlying issue, which is what is the tax code's relationship with billionaires who don't take a large W -2 income, to your point? And what is the system we're in? How are these billionaires being produced? Are they being produced because they are creating billions in value or are they being produced because they're extracting billions in value? Well, and that is really the question. I want to get to that. Let's play the other part of this clip from Bezos on CNBC.
9:23You know, the kind of the line that gets quoted all the time is, you know, the wealthy should pay their fair share. And we can argue about what the fair share is. That's a policy debate. That's OK. But the vilification is the thing that's just the distraction. And by the way, if you really are being honest about it, we don't have a revenue problem in this country. We already have the most progressive tax system in the world. The top 1 % of taxpayers pay 40 % of all the tax revenue. The bottom half pay only 3%. We have already, and I think it should be zero. I don't think it should be 3%. I think it should be zero.
10:03So we'd be making it more progressive that way. We actually have a spending problem. And that's the skills issue. I probably should have played that clip first because that was the first thing he was talking about. But anyway, do you think he's right about his point on spending versus revenue? Yes. The thing is, I don't think these things are mutually exclusive. So if you tend conservative, you can credibly say, why on earth would you give the U.S. government more money? They already get more money than any government in the world, and they already clearly waste tremendous amounts of it. And it goes to these sweetheart government contracts, to the children of the president and all the things.
10:45I mean, the list, and it's not just this president. It's all the government for decades has been rampant waste and fraud, which from a conservative perspective, which I relate to, why would you give them more money? at the same time if you are have allow people to accrue billions of dollars in wealth at the expense of society at the expense of jobs for people at the expense of humanity is that a good thing for p are you is that a billionaire creating value or is that a billionaire extracting value? And so I guess where I get, I wouldn't say frustrated, but I think that it's easy to fall into the critique that resonates with your preexisting political bias because if you're conservative, you say, why would you give the government more money?
11:41If you're more liberal, you'd say, well, tax these billionaires and they shouldn't have this money. So then it becomes an argument about, do you trust billionaires to allocate that money or do you trust the government to allocate that money? And I would argue that I don't trust the government or billionaires to allocate that money. I would like to have a strong rules-based version of capitalism, which number one rule is no monopolies, right? That there must be competition. And I think that the biggest benefit to a lot of these billionaires is they've exploited monopoly platforms, especially on the technology side.
12:17No, OK. Well, I want to get into the million – excuse me, the monopoly question. Here's the one thing I was just thinking because I do agree with you on this point that – and the base was this point that like zero it out on people earning less than$100 ,000. But I cannot also see the counterargument, which is that fiscal non-participation is not – when it comes to the public, it's not necessarily a good thing. You do want to have people have skin in the game. Also, 40 percent – we talked about how the top 1 percent pays 40 percent of income taxes. Forty percent of households already pay zero income taxes at all, federal income taxes.
12:54So if you start exempting like certain classes of taxpayers on what is essentially moral grounds, I don't – that strikes me as a slippery slope. We're already doing that with no tax on tips, which is the newest sort of slopulism that we're getting from Trump but also Kamala Harris endorsed this idea. So it's like, OK, so hospitality workers are exempt. OK. I mean, I don't know why they should be exempt from taxes. Why shouldn't I be exempt from taxes if we're starting to make these exemptions? Yeah, exactly. So what do you I mean, tell me why I'm wrong on that. No, no, I think you make a good argument.
13:30I don't know that I can tell you why you're wrong. I mean, the other thing that the other place where I would sort of concur with you potentially on the sort of idea that everybody should pay something is that you can argue, even if it's, you know, 1 % or something, is that it's somewhat of a slippery slope where then a real extreme conservative can come in down the line and say, well, these people don't pay taxes. They shouldn't vote. right that that that that when you start to when you create a pool of non-tax-paying citizens that it does establish theoretical future standing for a conservative extremist to seek to diminish their role in society using the fact that they don't pay taxes which i believe is something you know that that's a reason to have some skin in the game to use your phrase even if it's a half a percent or one percent to to to do that i think that it comes down to you have three fundamental issues one the government is opaque and wasteful and rampant with fraud self-dealing stock whether it's the insider trading with the stocks whether it's the contract that's the number one issue right that trump got elected with the whole elon musk routine with doge where they legitimately we're going to address government waste and fraud was the claim obviously the exact opposite as what has manifested itself but if the reason people fight against taxes and have a credible the reason the republican party can credibly say we shouldn't raise taxes and people say i kind of agree with that is because the opacity and uh waste and fraud in the government is so out of control it's the reason Spencer Pratt, who is a reality star, he's a lunatic by any account, is doing an amazing job and is a credible candidate to be the mayor of Los Angeles, which no one, including me, would have ever imagined.
15:24And it's because of the sort of bloated, arrogant, wasteful, fraudulent nature of the government. It's the reason Trump's going to get blown to smithereens in November. But it's also the reason Trump, that's the reason the whole, that's why I talk Talk about the political cartel. It feels like people don't feel like whether it's the Democrats or the Republicans, the deficit always goes up. Waste and fraud always go up. And then that major pillar is used as a justification not to tax billionaires because why would you give the money to the government? And that's a sad state of affairs. Right. But one of the points – and we didn't show this part of the Bezos interview, but he says he's like, look, you could make up for that income – the revenue you're getting from those income taxes that we're going to zero out on those Americans.
16:09You could just cut that from the budget. It's like, well, they just tried to do this, right? To your point, Musk just came in with this mandate and he – what did Doge cut? It was like something like 0.1 percent. It was nothing. It wasn't even peanuts. It was a complete waste of time. Political theater. Right. Right. So why – I mean is that just because it was Musk and Trump and these people are all incompetent and they have no idea how the actual government works? Why is it so hard to cut even a couple points of spending? Everybody's baby is their baby. Yeah. And, you know, the system, the best example of this, but you could do it a thousand ways, but the best example is the defense industry, where the defense industry and the defense contractors, to be more precise, deliberately distribute the use of funds from government defense contracts across, I think it's 45 of the 50 U.S.
17:04states. so that any time you go in and you're like, we're going to cut$500 billion from the defense budget. Some congressman. It's a guarantee that some congressperson who might lodge is going to now lose jobs. Congressman Dillon is now a bad congressman because he voted to cut defense spending and because he voted to cut defense spending, the Air Force base or the naval base or the whatever, in his district was shut down. And so the government is captured, the American government is captured by industry, which is what a cartel is again, such that the money all flows through the system. And if anybody, including Donald Trump and Elon Musk, try to show up and shave anything out of it, it is an untenable position because of all that leverage.
17:59Well, the defense contracting, that's a great example, because it'd be one thing if the cartel was actually an efficient program of creating value for whatever shareholders of the country. I mean, you're talking about these defense contractors. They're building f***ing aircraft carriers. When we have aircraft carriers right now that are sitting outside of the Strait of Hormuz, that they can't get in there because they're afraid that a$5 ,000 drone is going to take one of these things out, right? Well, the Pentagon's not actually in the defense or the offense business. It's in the business of issuing defense contracts as a way to run money to congressional districts to maintain congressional incumbency.
18:42So that's a different function. To your point, the function of actual military defense and military offense is changing at a rate that is much faster than anybody can imagine. You could make an argument that 90 percent of the U.S. Navy should be shut down at this point. I would absolutely make that argument. Yes. That would be a great way to save money. But then how does that go over in Annapolis? How does that go over in San Diego? How does that go over in Miami? How does that go over in Houston? All this money, all these Navy towns that are flowing in the 500 billion. So that's why I think one of the best characterizations of the Pentagon is the realization that it is not in the defense or offense business.
19:22As we saw, our offense was weak in Iran, by the way, right? Thanks for nothing. You killed some schoolgirls and like unimpressive. What else? Yeah. We're in the defense. Yeah, we can still make – Dylan, we can still make tomahawk missiles that can inciterate a bunch of children at their desks, right? So what are you talking about? Yeah. Don't worry. But so but that's why. So the question is, what do you do about that? That's that's why I think you're going to continue to see more and more political outsiders. Well, I mean, like I got to say, it's funny you bring up Pratt because I've been following this race a lot lately.
19:56I might actually vote for that guy in Los Angeles. I mean, if I could vote, I would vote for him. Right. But but again, but here's what I'm thinking. Right. I hear myself say that because he is running a very excellent campaign, one of the best municipal election campaigns I've ever seen. But he is very Trumpian in that he's an outsider with no experience and he's like, look, let's just blow the whole thing up. This isn't working. Wasn't that the argument for Trump at 16? So here's where I would say in Spencer Pratt's – I won't say defense but the thing that differentiates him from those who would try to – I feel like the – first of all, I think the Democratic Party is trying to make him align with Trump as a way to defeat him.
20:35Yes, and he isn't. And but I actually the thing that appeals to me the most about him is when they ask him, what are you going to do about homelessness? Which obviously homelessness is the kind of the the acts that he's grinding safety. Yeah. And safety filth and homelessness. Right. And that one he correctly identifies the homelessness as a business that is a nonprofit business that's exploited by people who make money because there's homeless people. One. Yes. Which Democrats are is they will not come anywhere near saying that. Because they're the ones collecting a million dollars each, running, taking care of being professional empaths.
21:12But then in order to make the money, but the biggest thing, and my point is that I believe Spencer Pratt actually is doing a good job articulating a real plan and real solutions where he's like, we'll take the same money and we'll build drug addiction recovery centers. Now you can be skeptical as to whether drug addiction recovery centers even work for people because the only drug addicts I've ever met who've ever gotten off of drugs, whether it's alcohol or drugs, is people who want to. So just because somebody has a drug problem or has an alcohol problem, if they don't have any interest in stopping, then there's no drug treatment facility in the world that's going to help them.
21:48but my point is I believe Pratt is actually putting forward clear ideas and solutions in a way that is not Trumpian. Trump had never had plans. No, I think that's true. No, that's true. And you don't get the sense that Pratt is a grifter. You get the sense that he lost his house in this fire and he's f***ed off the b***h. Yeah. And you get the sense that he's f***ed he lost his house and you get the sense that he really really loves los angeles like he yeah i believe he genuinely likes that city like no and he's doing and he's doing something that i wish more politicians would do at the local and state level which is actually to your point run quality of life campaigns run campaigns that say look you the taxpayer keep paying all of this money and you can't send your your kids to school without having to worry about some psychotic you know fentanyl addict right in the street i mean it's Right, exactly.
22:42It's a low bar. Yeah, it is a low bar. But it's nice to hear someone saying, like, look, that's not cool. We're actually not OK with that. We're not OK with 10 cities abutting your kids' elementary school. You have to wade through all these fentanyl liens on the way to school every day. Oh, and by the way, we have the money. We already have the money, right, which should have been the positive version of the Bezos-Musk-Trump point, is we have the money, we're just not using it correctly because it's getting jacked into these naval contracts or it's getting jacked into these healthcare contracts or it's getting jacked into these energy company giveaways or it's getting jacked into these pharmaceutical company deals.
23:21And that's how Trump became the president of the United States. Yeah. It's one of those things where the diagnosis is correct, but the solution is catastrophic because Trump's actual solution is to loot the country. he's like he's like if i tell these people that they're getting screwed which they are getting screwed but i'll pretend to be an outsider and tell them they're getting they're getting screwed it'd be like if pratt was like oh you've got naked people pooping in the street and then he becomes mayor of los angeles and doubles the number of pooping needle throwers and takes all the money for homelessness and gives it to his kids right that's what trump did no it's amazing no exactly Yeah, I mean it's shocking that he has any support left at all.
24:06Okay, so you wrote a piece. Back to our billionaire sort of peg here. You wrote a piece on Substack I loved recently. It's called The Billionaires Are Not the Victims. You make this point that our governing institutions are just not organized around the public interest anymore, which is true. To the extent that we even have governing institutions anymore, what are they organized around if not for the public? Governing institutions are organized around self-preservation. So both businesses and the government are both completely organized right now. I mean, giant businesses are not organized around innovation or service.
24:44I mean, the Karen Bass, the Karen Bass administration is organized around preserving itself. Right. The Biden administration. Right, self-sufficiency. But I mean, I'm not picking on the leftists. Now, I mean, the broadest in Florida, like all these institutions, but at the federal government level, the major thing for Democrats and Republicans is self-preservation at all costs. And self-preservation means reliable flow of financing from the people who benefit from government spending, which goes back to our naval contracts in Houston and San Diego and Annapolis flowing through to make sure that the defense budget always gets bigger, even though our defense capability and offense capability may be worse than ever.
25:30Yeah, I think you could certainly make that argument. I mean, I don't know. In terms – I mean we're in a – we've been in a war with Iran for what, like three months now? Like are we winning that war? Is it even a draw? I believe it's party. Is it even a stalemate? No. I'm living with two seconds on Iran. I don't want to get lost. Please. I know we're trying to say on one topic here. In order for Iran to win this war, all they have to do is continue to exist. Right. Right. In order for America to win this war, America has to change the government of Iran to a government that's friendly to Israel and the United States.
26:02Right. Right. And the odds of that happening are zero less by the day. Yeah. Right. Well, no, his new thing is he's going to get all these countries on board with the Abraham Accords as part of a deal, which is like that's never going to happen, man. Like that's that's just a poison pill you threw in there, I think. And anyway, on the billionaires, do you because, again, I and I know you feel the same way because you've written as much. But this idea of like the left gets itself wrapped around the axle on this question of like, should billionaires exist? And it's like, oh, well, it's such a stupid question.
26:34Like, they do exist. Like, it doesn't – but I think that there is something to this idea that the left also doesn't really, you know, get into the nuance of. There is a difference between – like, all extreme wealth is not morally equivalent, right? I would argue, again, Bezos, say what you will about the guy, he did create Amazon. Amazon is a company – He created billions of dollars in value for everyone. Right, exactly. That is a company that has made my life better. It has employed countless, probably millions of people at this point. Now, you could argue, oh, their conditions aren't great, and that's all true.
27:10But he is certainly of a different caliber of somebody like, say, Bill Ackman, a guy who exists to – Or Mark Zuckerberg. Or Mark Zuckerberg. Yeah, absolutely. Right? Facebook does not create any value. And Facebook is a platform monopoly. Full stop. But anyway, you're going to go on Ackman. But no, I was going to say something about Ackman. And I don't know this guy. You probably know of him better because you've, you know, you covered this stuff at CNBC. He's an asshole. Excuse me. I'm sorry. Okay. He seems like it. So that doesn't surprise me. But he's very, he's very successful. I don't mean, who am I to say?
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27:43But anyway. But he's successful. He's successful in extracting, right? He's a hedge fund guy. That's what they do. They extract. They don't produce anything. What has Bill Ackman made? What are any, what have any of these guys? Ken Griffin. I mean, again, you could say, okay, like. Like they've created hedge funds. Platform monopoly on high-frequency trading, right? Right. I mean – but anyway, I'm sorry I keep interrupting you. No, no. You're not interrupting. You're making the point, which is that there is a difference in – Not all billionaires are created equal. I said I wouldn't interrupt you and then I immediately interrupted you.
28:14Anyway, not all billionaires are created equal. Some create value, but that's the whole – that's why your whole thing, this is lazy. Because then from the right, they're like, there should be no rules. Don't even talk about the billionaires, the billionaires. That's the American dream. So then the conservatives basically allow these extractionist sort of platform monopolists, political cartel allies to make a fortune while pretending to be someone like Jeff Bezos. The people that are most insulted by the extractionist billionaires, there should really be two lists on the Forbes list. maybe newsweek one year will do a new list where it's like the extraction of billionaires you know one to 50 and the and the creation billionaires and and basically like one is a wall of shame for the people that have extracted the most money and it's you know boo boo boo and then the and then one is a wall of fame for the people that have created the most value for society to your point you know and bezos is much closer to somebody who's created value in society for sure than somebody who has extracted value.
29:27I'm trying to think of who are some of the others because most of them, in my mind, are extractionists, especially these tech guys, right? That's the issue, right? Is that a lot – and the easiest way to make a lot of money, I mean a lot of money, like billions of dollars, is for sure to have – I mean Peter Thiel wrote this in his book at one point in time. He said, say what you will, having a monopoly is the best business in the world. Yep. Yeah, I read that book. And he's absolutely right. And we all agree, like, who doesn't want to own a monopoly, right? And one of the most scalable, impenetrable, insurmountable monopolies in the history of the world, just like the railroads were for the Rockefellers, is these tech monopolies.
30:12Whether it's the search monopoly at Google, whether it's the iPhone app monopoly at the iPhone store. If you and I make an app and we've got to pay whatever it is, a 30 % or a 35 % VIG to Apple in order to get distribution for our app. I mean, they are all exploiting these little monopoly gateways and have been for years. And by the way, capitalism, which is intended to be a discovery engine, an innovation engine, a dissolve and create things that you take a risk, you dissolve. Now, this is a known fact in the history of America. It's the reason we have the Sherman Antitrust Act and antitrust law.
30:48And it's the reason one of the most celebrated presidents in the history of the United States is Teddy Roosevelt. And he was known as the trust buster because everybody's like, thank God, Teddy Roosevelt brought capitalism back by breaking up Standard Oil, by breaking up the railroads, by breaking up J.P. Morgan. and returning the world to a competitive environment where money was breaking and spinning and moving around. And so the fact that we've now transitioned to this world where we're like, oh, well, these guys who have the – and so the monopoly extractionist billionaires are pretending to be creationist billionaires because they're terrified that the correct political climate will come into play where someone will enforce the existing antitrust law, not to steal a line from Spencer Pratt.
31:41But Spencer Pratt's not saying, he's like, I can use the laws that exist right now to change everything. I don't need a single change in legislation to clean up Los Angeles. We don't need a single change in legislation to end these extractionist platform monopolies. We need to identify who are the extractionist billionaires and what are their monopolies. Like that's a real piece of journalism that could be done. That's real work. And then these are the creationist billionaires and elevate. And these people create billions of dollars. These people are creators and these people are extractors. And then target the extractors with the Sherman anti-truck, with existing law, which is intended to preserve capitalism.
32:24So that's why the other benefit of the whole anti-government thing, it's like, oh, well, the government's coming to break up Microsoft or break up Facebook or break up Google or, you know, to limit the fees. at the hedge funds. And they're like, oh, that's the government, that's AOC and the Bernie Sanders. Bullshit. That's the correct use of the government enforcing the rules of capitalism. It's like going to the Knicks game and saying, we don't want any refs. The government is the referee for capitalism and the ref's job is to prevent stealing, which is what's happening with a lot of these billionaires who are then hiding inside pretending to be bezos type billionaires which they are not but so then you have okay so you have the democrats you know when biden was in power they tried to do a version of this with the airlines i guess with spirit right and then they blocked that merger with jet blue and now what two three years later spirit just went out of business so how but again the biden there is a it takes a a brilliant and charismatic it takes teddy roosevelt the reason Spencer Pratt works is because he's doing the same story over and over.
33:36He's doing a great job. The reason Zora Mamdani worked and works. Different story, but extremely effective. And I like what he does, basically. I admire the quality of his communication. He's focused. And I agree with many of his ideas. I don't necessarily, again, I believe he has correctly diagnosed the problem. And I'm interested to hear his solutions. But for instance, his tax on millionaire second homes everybody's like oh that's an outrage i think it's a great of course that that's a good idea yeah like what are you talking about there was even a uh there was a a real estate billionaire who wrote in the wall street journal this weekend do it that's a great idea why shouldn't why these people who are just basically arbitraging where they live so that they can still get everything you know all the great things about new york city without having to pay for them those people absolutely they should pay up right i mean that was a billionaire making that mayor when we were i mean one of my his favorite line one of my favorite lines from he's like new york city is a luxury new york city the place yes a luxury item yep if you want to consume it you're going to pay more whether it's the obvious things the rents and but for sure you should pay more if you're some dilettante interloper running a empty five million dollar house on fifth avenue But my point is, the reason the Biden administration was not able to address the platform, the tech, the issue is not the airlines.
35:06The issue is the technology platform monopolies, full stop. That is the plague upon America. And it's going to come to a crossroads immediately because of artificial intelligence. Because if you think that the Facebook monopoly or the Google search monopoly or the Apple app monopoly was a stranglehold on life, wait until you get a handle on the AGI monopoly. No, it's true. It's true, right? It's like regulating the – trust busting the failing low-cost carrier airlines is like – yeah, it's like ****ing your pants and changing your shirt, right? Political theater. It's all political theater for – Right.
35:46It's all bullshit. So let's talk a little bit about AI because I completely agree with you. And you can see these companies all jockeying to be there. To be the monopoly. To be there to create this permanent monopoly so they can set the terms of debate. So you have the Uber COO saying just today, just before we recorded this, that he's actually not seeing the productivity gains from all of the AI costs that they're implementing. I thought that was pretty interesting. I feel like you start to hear more of that. The market might start to waver a little bit on all of this assumption. Can we stop on that topic for a second?
36:21Please. What he says makes sense, first of all. The institutions that will have the greatest advantage of artificial intelligence, in my opinion, over the first period of adoption, one, two, three years, are startups and tiny companies. because mature companies with high headcounts have to go through the process of figuring out which jobs AI can do. And then they've got to fire people. And then they're going to fire the wrong people. And then they're going to have to hire them back and they don't know what they're doing. And so at a medium or large business, artificial intelligence is going to be much slower to add value in terms of reducing labor costs and job displacement because it's unclear what the job does.
37:08But if you and I have a startup, I have one startup. I have multiple businesses in my life, one of which is a startup with two people. AI is way more valuable for that business than for another business that I have that's in the hotel business that's got lots of people. Right. So you don't have to hire a software engineer. Well, the first people we interview for every job is AI. Yeah. Right? So AI is really good for small businesses and startups that want to grow because they don't have to restructure anything. But the larger businesses, as they even entertain integrating artificial intelligence, it is much slower to add value because it implies a restructuring of either a modest or sometimes a major scale.
37:52I mean, imagine McKinsey. I mean, there's a world at McKinsey where they could fire 97 % of their employees. Right. And the only reason they don't is because nobody's going to pay them a million dollars for a 60 slide deck written by Claude in four and a half minutes based on a voice note from the CEO. Right. So then he's got to do the four and a half minute voice note to Claude to make the 60 slide deck and then send it to a bunch of his overpaid million dollar consultants and have them run an edit on it so that he can then send it over to Coca-Cola and charge him a million dollars. And pretty quickly, the CEO of Coca-Cola is just going to have his McKinsey bot on his Claude on his iPhone and he won't even have to pay McKinsey anything.
38:33He's just going to ask the McKinsey robot on his iPhone what he would do. Well, so this gets to something I wanted to bring up because I'm thinking of, I mean, as much as I despise the sort of consultant class that runs so much of the white collar economy, those are good jobs. They're high-paying jobs. They're jobs that a lot of people go to school for to study and to get degrees in. Have you caught some of these commencement speakers this season? Yeah, I have. Oh, my God. This is my favorite thing of the spring. Oh, my God. These these. Yes. Schmidt, this guy. Yeah, that was the best one. Brachetta, the record executive.
39:12He was another one. There's been a few of them now. Yeah. And they are just getting booed out of Dodge. But I mean, it's just the way these people are so smug and they are so out of touch with the reality that the rest of us live in, that they think that they can come up on these stages and tell these students who are about to graduate into an economy that makes no sense whatsoever, where the market's hitting highs, but there's no entry level jobs basically anywhere in the white collar economy. And a piece of cheddar cheese costs$44. Right, right. And these guys are saying, well, you, AI is the next industrial revolution and you need to, you know, figure out how to leverage this.
39:48And hearing them get booed on that and then not only just getting booed, but then having no idea what, what, why are, why are these plebs? Why are these college students – how dare they? I'm Eric Schmidt. I'm the former CEO of Google. Don't they know what I'm telling them? I'm imparting this advice to these people, and they don't even appreciate it. It's like incredible. There's a question in there. The level of – I mean I believe – so if you go back to the financial crisis in 2008, 2009, we resolved the financial crisis by flushing the system with cash and basically papering it over. We didn't really reform the system.
40:20We never clawed back the compensation paid to the CEOs and the board members. The whole thing was basically a cover-up and a perpetuation of the system, and then everybody blamed the borrower, right? Yep. That was a risk transfer from where it should have been, which is with the bank CEOs and boards who are the risk managers of credit. Their job is to determine the amount of credit the financial system can endure. The borrower in Riverside, California, doesn't have the responsibility to decide how much credit should exist in the economy. The person who decides how much credit should exist in the economy is the CEO and the board members of the largest financial institutions in the world.
41:00It's why they get paid$100 million each a year. And the nurse in Riverside doesn't because our economy says if you're the CEO of the bank in New York, you're responsible for managing the overall risk of all the money in the economy. and because you are so good at it and because it's such an important function, you're allowed to collect these huge paychecks. That's the implicit social contract with those compensations. And when the financial crisis happened, what proved was not only can they not do it, but they were doing it in a way that was catastrophically abusive, distorting the price of everything, making everybody else's life worse while they're paying themselves obscene amounts of money.
41:43And instead of addressing that issue, which was apparent, even if they couldn't articulate it the way that I do or someone else who understands it might, they innately understand what happened was f***ing up in terms of the moral outrage. And so because they understand that and it wasn't dealt with, that risk then transferred into the U.S. dollar, which has been basically in decline ever since. And it's, I believe, not just in its relative value relative to the euro or the yen, but its value relative to the cost of buying a cup of coffee or buying a piece of tea. Yeah, your purchasing power is shut.
42:19The inflation is a function of the fact that we've destroyed the U.S. dollar to cover up the financial crisis. It's not because Joe Biden is senile or it's not because Donald Trump is a lunatic. It's because we completely corrupted the currency going back to 2009 and it's been rotting ever since. And that then transferred the risk to political extremism. Where do you think Bernie Sanders came from? Where do you think Donald Trump came from? My point is, if you think that not acknowledging AI and the political consequences of the job losses from AI is not going to create the fuel for stunning levels of political extremism, you got another thing coming.
42:59And these commencement backlashes are just the tip of the iceberg. It's just the tip. The amount of political backlash that is brewing out there. And if there's going to be room for a charismatic politician to be like, the tech monopolist billionaires took your life. The road, an anti-robot politician will emerge. Yeah. And will great. And I think that there's a way to do that without coming off as a Luddite. Right. I mean one of the things – I wrote it at length. I wrote basically a commencement speech for the newsletter that I would have given based off of what these guys said. And my point was basically like you guys – I'm going to apologize to you, class of 2026, because you guys got screwed.
43:40You did everything that we told you to do. You studied engineering and finance and law and you learned to code. And now these guys are coming out and they're telling you actually your services will not be needed in this new economy. Thank you so much for playing. Well, no, but if you look at that, the point is that there's a way to be against the robots in a way that is not primitive and violent. Right. Well, going back to what we were talking about with just sort of like how everyone is so out of touch now with how the actual world works. So we've got the S &P at an all-time high or close to it.
44:18Because of our intellectual intelligence. Yes, right, of course, because of all this CapEx. Yes, like seven stocks, right? Not even, that are driving all of this. Either the minerals and power, it's either linear AI or AI derivative, one standard deviation, right? Power generation, energy services. Right. So, okay, that's good. Great. Like, I have a 401K. Like, it's nice to see it go up, even though it seems like it's all funny money, but I'm not going to complain about that. Right. Better than down. Yeah, right. Exactly. Up is better than down. This is what you get from two former CNBC employees here.
44:55Up good, down bad. But so consumer sentiment, all-time low, right? So again, Dylan, as somebody who has spent your career covering this, have you ever seen a bifurcation like that before? Has that ever happened? Never. No, it's a terrifying moment. And I can tell you, even in the hotel business, room rates for five-star hotels continue to go up. and in some cases are going up exponentially, but room rates for three and four star hotels are going down. So what does that tell you? Same thing. There's unlimited money at the top. The rich people have more money than ever and they're making more money than ever and that everybody else is either losing their job or having the income from the job that they have rot away because of inflation, which is most manifest in the grocery store.
45:45Right. um when a bag of groceries for the week was used to be 50 bucks and now it's 220 dollars yeah i spent 300 yesterday at the grocery store and i have a family of three people and how long would that last you a week maybe maybe like it's um yeah i mean this is this is i i said this during my fake commencement speech this is the stuff that revolutions are made out of If you're not paying attention to this, you are going to be holding the bag. I don't know how it's going to happen. And if somebody doesn't get a handle on the one, the difference between a creative billionaire and an extractive billionaire.
46:23So get out of billionaires good and billionaires bad and get out of taxes good and taxes bad. And understand we have a specific plague in America, which is extractive billionaires primarily in the tech monopoly space. And they are about to establish the largest, most powerful, most strangle, the most capable of economic strangulation platform monopoly in the history of the world, which is AGI. And if we do not either break up or manage that monopoly, we are doomed. And the only way to do that is to have a reliable government that you trust to do that, which is what Teddy Roosevelt was able to establish, which is what Spencer Pratt is trying to establish in Los Angeles, which is what Zoram Mamdani is trying to establish in New York.
47:09And unfortunately for the United States, we have not had a reliable federal government that we can trust, certainly for the last two or three or four or five, six. I mean, George W. Bush, not a lot of trust. Barack Obama, not a lot of trust. Trump won, very little trust. Biden won, not a lot of trust. That's at least five. Yeah. And so now exactly 2028, America must come into a president who they trust. And that president's main job needs to be the referee for the tech platform monopolies in a way that the America people can trust that leader. No, I was just going to say, I mean, I agree. But who is that person?
47:53That person doesn't exist in public right now. But Spencer Pratt didn't exist until a month ago. No, it's true. And Obama didn't. I mean, not that Obama is. No, no, but Obama, not that it was not a good or bad, but he emerged, you know. He emerged out of nowhere, kind of, yes. I mean, he was a senator, but he was not on the tip of anybody's tongue. He was not a relevant name, you know. Right. And you don't even know, maybe, you know, maybe Marco Rubio or Ron DeSantis or Gavin Newsom or, you know, whatever, Andy Beshear, the Kentucky guy. Maybe one of the existing people will see the light. Unlikely.
48:30unlikely that's like saying maybe karen bass or or andrew cuomo would see the light unlikely unlikely right it takes a zora mamdani it takes a a spencer pratt but there is no question that the stakes the future of the country is now on the line and the future is entirely uh will be determined by whether the federal government of the united states can address the tech platform monopoly that is artificial intelligence. Full stop. There is no other issue. No, I mean, I'm increasingly of the belief that this is going to be the issue. It's going to make all of our, all of the Trump stuff look pale in comparison.
49:08And I don't think... It's also so easy to solve, because again, let's say you're like, okay, you can't break up a tech platform monopoly because the platform is the value. The reason that it has value for everybody that uses it is because of its scale. A small Facebook user. That the network effect is – okay. But that doesn't mean that one or two or some small group of shareholders should own the network in perpetuity. Right. Right? Or that the people whose lives it's going – right. Or the people whose lives this network is going to most disrupt don't have a seat at the table. Right? And they're the ones graduating college just be like, yeah, I don't know.
49:49I mean we told you to learn to code. Maybe have you tried, I don't know, getting into the trades maybe? Yeah, right. Well, the clip that I want to show is just about this point that we were making about how out of touch everybody is. This is Kevin Hassett, the director of the National Economic Council on Fox with our former colleague, your former co-host, Maria Bartiromo the other day. And so the consumer is really, really firing on all cylinders, just like the corporate sector you're seeing in the earnings reports. And they're doing that because they have so much more money in their pockets. In fact, I had the head of one of the big five banks in my office yesterday going through the credit card data.
50:30And just as Secretary Besant said, credit card spending is through the roof. They're spending more on gasoline, but they're spending more on everything else, too. The credit card spending is through the roof. That's a good thing, I'm told. I mean, credit card defaults are at a 15-year high. On what planet and which economist looks at the dashboard of all of the available data and loads it into his own personal Claude AI, the world's greatest economic forecaster and analyst, and comes out with the analysis that the spike in credit card spending, which the spike in the highest cost loan, like, vulture.
51:22The APR is 25%. The spike in loan sharking loans is evidence of economic prosperity. Right. You're putting your grocery bill on your credit card because you literally cannot afford milk and eggs for your children. That's a good sign, Maria. Everything's going great. Look like things are cooking out there, really cranked up. Oh, man. I don't have anything left to say. I just wanted to – it's just – I'm glad that you – because I don't even know, man. I couldn't help myself. I do want to talk a little bit about the bond market, which will probably make a lot – this is not necessarily an economics podcast.
51:58I'm not an economist. But we do have one thing in common of covering this stuff in our past lives. The bond market is the price of money globally. It's worth something. And it is – it's important. And we're seeing this revolt in the bond market against stuff you've talked about, right? Debt, inflation, these permanent deficits. Axios put it this way today. The bond market is telling us the free lunch era is over. The 30-year Treasury bond yielded over 5 percent as of Friday. I think it's a little bit lower now. It was up from 4.63 percent at the end of February. 30-year fixed mortgage is approaching 7 percent.
52:34Again, I am never going to be able to buy a house. I don't know what I'm going to do about that. Come to Spain. You live on the beach with me. Bring your kids. Yeah. Seriously. You're on to something, man. The new Fed chair, this new guy, this other Kevin who they just put in there, he's going to – he may have to actually raise rates when the whole point of putting him in there was to lower them. So in the near term, this means that it's just basically more expensive to borrow money everywhere. Or what is a government interest rate, whether it's the government of America, Italy, England, Japan.
53:08It's just the world's perception of the perceived risk of that country. OK. Expand on that. So just think, what is that number? It's a score, right? For Greece, it's like whatever, 8%, 10%, Italy, whatever. The Italians will never pay it. They don't even work. forget the spanish radigan's over there he doesn't even do anything he'll never pay you right and so the american government bond was at like three percent because the americans are hard working they got the military they got carlo on the top of the world trade center working like a dog to make sure everybody gets paid and now for this is the point of having aircraft carriers because we enforce this.
53:54Yes. We collect. Right. And now the world is saying we believe America is a riskier bet to loan money to than they have been since 2008 when the financial crisis happened. That's what the... So forget the story, oh, this is economics. Like the headline, the Newsweek headline is the bond market... Forget the bond market. The headline is, it's risky. The world thinks America is a riskier bet than any time since the financial crisis in 2008. Think about that. What does that mean in the medium term? What does that mean? That means three things. One, economic activity is going to slow for anybody who's not super rich.
54:49Between the AI job losses and the fact that mortgages are 7%, slowing economic activity. The value of the dollar will be defended. The good thing for the dollar is you get more interest by owning dollars because now if you own a dollar, you get 5 % instead of 3%. But why is it 5 %? Because they're worried about the loss of the value of the dollar. And Trump, who has taken to the U.S. deficit to$39 trillion with a T, who personally is responsible for one third of the total government deficit has been created by either Trump one or Trump two. You think that's something the Democrats could work with, by the way?
55:28Just that. Just that. And now we've got to pay 5 % interest on$39 trillion. I'm exaggerating because some of the financing in the past is at lower prices. But all new borrowing now kicks off at 5%. And as we refinance past borrowing, it will kick at 5%. So basically, it's a blowtorch of cost to the Bezos point about revenue. Well, the cost of operating the U.S. government is at an all-time high because the interest the government has to pay to have money to do anything is at an all-time high. So in order to borrow money for the political cartel to route through the Pentagon to pay off the naval contractor in San Diego so that everybody can buy a house in La Jolla, which for a Navy we don't need.
56:13We're now borrowing more money than ever. I mean, America needs a revolutionary president who's creative and dynamic, not violent and hostile. And it starts with the tech monopolies and AI. And the real answer is you tax the robots. And you do a robot tax at 90%. And none of the money - You have like a compute tax. None of the money goes to the government. None. You have a website, taxtherobots.gov.gov. You tax the robots. All the money goes to a transparent account. You can look at it. You're like, oh, there's$377 billion in there this month of robot taxes. And then you divide the number of citizens into that number, and it gets paid out as a dividend.
57:02And now there's no government corruption. The government never touches it. Give them a service fee, 1%, to give to their children. Isn't this essentially UBI in the age of AI? This would be a version of UBI, yeah. But it doesn't solve the problem of if the AI is going to do it. It doesn't solve purpose. It doesn't solve taste. It doesn't solve creation. I mean, this is the whole problem with UBI, or even Elon Musk talks about universal high income. Like it's a terrible solution. And that's why the, you know, that, I mean, again, you talk about the commencement booing. I have a nephew who is in the process.
57:40He's a senior at MIT, just completed finals week. He's going to do, I think, one more semester. MIT arguably the best university in the world arguably the best university for technology and information in the world he is an AI major at MIT job pal and any whatever you want kid you want to work at Goldman you want to work at Palantir you want to work for the Pentagon you want to work for the NSA you want to work for Mossad CIA whatever you're into him and his friends they're the most pessimistic of anybody that i know they're like they're like i am going to become a firefighter and a musician and their parents are like you went to the best schools we did all you got into mit four years ago and now graduating mit with honors and now you're sitting across from your grandmother in the suburbs in upstate new york and your plan is to become a musician and a firefighter right but how can you even blame them the kids are like there's nothing what else am i gonna do right it's like if you're lucky you get into a shop like that and where what they eventually they train the ai on your brain and you get but also just morally like these are young men and women yeah all this like forget like i say you're like oh well if you're lucky enough you get the big paycheck from whenever you're on the you're on the winning side of the ledger in this little ai roulette that we're all playing right as if as if you're better than me or i'm better than you because I happen to be, it's an accident of history.
59:10Is it the lawyer's fault? Is it the consultant's fault? Is it the marketing people's fault? Is it the doc? But those are the jobs that are going away. Those are the jobs, right? But is it their fault? No. No, right? But then the kids look at it and they're like, because the real question a lot of human beings ask, and especially young men and women is, what is the meaning of life and what is the purpose of life? They've got 80 years in front of them. even if they have money. Like, what am I going to do? Like, groups of people want to work together on creative projects to try to do things. Group-based problem solving is fundamental to human nature, people and purpose.
59:52Ideally, with some economic commercial engine that's associated with it, which is what we sort of have been hopefully, you know, producing on some level around the world in different ways for a long time. but as this robot thing kicks in it's no joke i just think about what an unbelievable failure societal and national political failure it is that a that a kid who's about to graduate from mit with a degree in ai is pessimistic about his future the most of anyone i know yeah he feels over informed palantir's on campus at mit goldman's on campus at mit google's on campus at mit he's right he's beak first and the whole thing all the llms all of it and he's like no no dude he's like it's so much worse than you think oh god well i don't want to get an interview at goldman you want to get an interview at palantir you want to work you want to talk to carlo at newsweek yeah he's like no i want to be a firefighter he's like at least i know if i'm a firefighter it's something useful yeah in the a i mean who knows maybe the ai will be able to do that but no i drone the drone firefighter right no i mean i keep thinking about like i wish i got into like hvac like people are still gonna you know people are gonna need their home seated and air conditioned if you assume ai is the new boss of the world and every all humans now work for ai what does ai need energy resources right basic materials and minerals kazakhstan's booming because it's a...
1:01:30Everything's Kazakhstan. It's Borat. Kazakhstan is a gleaming glass city. Piles of money. But it's minerals and oil. That's AI. And then energy efficiency. So to your HVAC point, like a higher efficiency air conditioning. Like the two things that are necessary to support artificial intelligence as it takes over one way or the other, which is going to be... Things that are in the physical world. Right. But it's also like it needs – in order for it to scale, it relies on basic materials, minerals, and energy and energy-efficient systems so that it gets more from the energy that it's using. Dylan, I feel like you're mildly alarmed.
1:02:11We went all over. No, I'm not – well, I'm always alarmed. I think my MIT story, I feel like I got through. It did a little bit. I just – I'm scared, man. I'm scared about this stuff. And what scares me is – and just what scares me is the people who are in charge right now, I have less than zero faith in their ability to navigate this. They're looting the store. They're actively looting the store. I mean who was the guy who said like I would pick somebody out? I would rather pick somebody out of the Manhattan phone book to be president, whoever the president was. I feel like I would rather pick somebody off Fulton Street downstairs to be in charge of this because at the very least they probably wouldn't be as deeply corrupt as the people who are now who are just looking to pad their pockets on the way out the door.
1:03:03They're eluding the store by the bill. All right, Dylan. We're going to bring you back on one of those. It was finished. I think that their opinion is America's done. There's not going to be a heroic president. Yeah, let me get mine. I'm just going to clean it out before this thing goes up in flames. Right. Would you like a Trump-branded piece of shit Chinese phone for$500? I mean, right? I've got enough idiot boomer cons who will watch a commercial for that on Fox News and buy it. So why not? Why not sell that to them? Okay. Yeah, it's made in China. Who cares? They're not going to read the package.
1:03:37But then the deal gets better. Send me the$100. And by the way, no phone. Right. At least in your deal, you have to make a shitty phone in China. That's why you're not as good as Trump. Trump just had to do the commercial for the phone made in China, collect$100 deposits, and then never make the phone. Just take the bank account. To his credit, I'm told that they are shipping those phones now or some version of them. I'm staying corrected. That's a Newsweek correction. That's a 1600 broadcast correction. Yeah. Dylan, I'll let you get back to doing whatever it is you're doing in Barcelona right now.
1:04:19Living the good life. I hope to get you back on. You'll be in New York soon. Maybe we'll get you back on and talk in person. I'll ping you. I'd love to come see you in person in June. And remember, music and firefighter, according to the class of 26 at MIT, rock and roll and firefighting is the two hot jobs for the kids right now. Oh, God. God help these kids, man. All right, everybody. Dylan Radigan, you can find him on Substack. We'll link to it in the description. Dylan, always a pleasure, man. Great talking to you. All right. Thanks so much.
From the publisher
Carlo is joined by Dylan Ratigan to tackle one of the left's favorite questions: Should billionaires exist? The two break down the distinctions between creative and extractive qualities of extreme wealth, explore the revolutionary potential of AI and investigate the weirdest economy we've had in decades.
Follow Dylan: https://x.com/DylanRatigan?lang=en
Ask Dylan: https://dylanratigan.substack.com
00:00:00 Intro
00:00:42 Stock Market Highs vs. Real Economic Pain
00:01:35 The K-Shaped Economy and Political Backlash
00:04:19 Jeff Bezos Proposes Zero Taxes for Bottom Half
00:06:29 Are Billionaires Creating or Extracting Value?
00:10:26 Government Waste and Why Cutting Spending Is Impossible
00:17:20 The Defense Contractor Cartel, Explained
00:24:25 Governing Institutions Serve Themselves, Not the Public
00:30:26 Tech Monopolies Are the Real Problem in America
00:35:50 AI and the Coming White Collar Job Apocalypse
00:40:18 The 2008 Cover-Up and the Rotting Dollar
00:44:23 Bond Market Revolt and Rising Cost of Borrowing
00:56:34 Robot Tax and UBI
00:57:54 What's Up With The Tech Grads?
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