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Podcast Episode Notes: The AI Daily Brief - "What AI Builders Are Actually Excited About"
Episode Overview In this episode, the host, NLW, discusses the current state of AI amidst growing pessimism following the release of GPT-5. The conversation highlights a disconnect between media narratives and the actual progress being made by AI builders, emphasizing the ongoing developments in practical AI applications that could change daily life.
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Key Topics Discussed
- Current AI Landscape
- AI Pessimism: Following the GPT-5 launch, headlines suggest a downturn in AI productivity, calling it "the most expensive flop in tech history."
- Corporate AI Pilots Failures: Reports claim that 95% of corporate AI pilots are failing, sparking concern in the tech community and among investors.
- Divergent Narratives: There is a noticeable gap between Silicon Valley's focus on AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) and practical AI applications that could improve everyday life.
- Exciting Developments in AI
- DeepSeek's New Model: The introduction of DeepSeek's V3.1 model demonstrates significant improvements with a cost-effective performance ratio. This model can handle chat, reasoning, and coding functions, hinting at a merging of different model functionalities.
- AI Image Editing Tools: Alibaba's Quen team launched an open-source image editing tool, Quen Image Edit, which has received positive feedback for its detailed editing capabilities.
- Emerging Models: The mysterious "Nano Banana" model has caught attention for its rapid performance and potential for 2D to 3D conversions.
- Market Dynamics and Narratives
- Investor Sentiment: Despite a pessimistic market narrative, there is still significant interest from investors in AI technologies, highlighted by Databricks' recent fundraising round which increased its valuation to $100 billion.
- Narrative Discrepancy: The negative narratives surrounding AI are contrasted with the positive experiences reported by users within the AI community who find value in GPT-5.
- Cultural and Regional Differences in AI Perception
- American vs. Chinese Perspectives: A stark contrast exists in how AI is perceived in the U.S. versus China. In the U.S., skepticism prevails, while in China, there is more enthusiasm due to practical applications of AI in various sectors.
- Challenges Facing AI Development
- AGI Obsession: The focus on achieving AGI may distract from the practical uses of AI technologies that already exist. The emphasis on AGI can overshadow incremental advancements that could meaningfully affect daily life.
- Need for Practical Solutions: The podcast emphasizes the importance of using existing AI capabilities to improve productivity instead of solely aiming for AGI.
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Key Takeaways
- Builder Optimism: While media narratives focus on failures, AI builders are making substantial progress in various areas.
- Importance of Memory: Innovations in memory systems could significantly improve the functionality of AI applications.
- World Models: Developments in world models like Genie 3 could reshape industries such as gaming and entertainment.
- Stealth Development: Exciting new models are emerging quietly, indicating that the AI field is more dynamic than public narratives suggest.
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Conclusion NLW concludes by reinforcing the idea that while there may be a lull in media excitement around AI, substantial work is ongoing that promises to reshape the landscape of AI applications. The episode encourages listeners to remain engaged with ongoing developments as they unfold.
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*For further insights and updates, subscribe to The AI Daily Brief or check out the associated newsletter.*
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Today on the AI Daily Brief, what AI builders are actually excited about right now. And before that, in the headlines, DeepSeek drops their latest model. The AI Daily Brief is a daily podcast and video about the most important news and discussions in AI.
0:18Hello, friends. Quick announcements before we dive in. First of all, thank you to today's sponsors, Blitzy, Vanta, and Superintelligent. And to get an ad-free version of the show, go to patreon.com slash aidailybrief. Welcome back to the AI Daily Brief Headlines Edition, all the daily AI news you need in around five minutes. We kick off today with a new model from DeepSeek, and there has been some interesting conversation lately around this company. DeepSeek obviously set the tone for a lot of this year when they dropped a reasoning model that, thanks to its free access in a friendly consumer app and its exposed chain of thought, went sort of viral, rocketed to the top of the US app charts, and got everyone, including Wall Street, all totally freaked out about the capabilities of Chinese AI.
1:00Now, since then, and basically as soon as there are one reasoning model launched, people were excitedly waiting for R2. We still don't have R2, but we did yesterday get their V3.1. Now, the V-Line of models are DeepSeq's non-reasoning models that serve as a base model to build on top of. Now, given that this is just a.1 version update, the model specs remain fairly similar. It's a 685 billion parameter model, up from 671 for V3, still utilizes a mixture of experts' architecture. The model was released without a ton of fanfare, although the official commentary account did at least post the announcement of the update.
1:37One question is that they said in the announcement post on Twitter that there was a longer context window, but it appears as though both V3 and V3.1 have a 128k context window. Now, benchmarking is obviously still in its early stages, but it's looking fairly strong so far. The big thing here is absolutely the performance cost ratio. V3.1 got a 71.6 % score on the Eider Polyglot coding benchmark, which was in fact 1 % more than Claude Opus 4 in its non-reasoning mode, but the main thing was that it was 68 times cheaper. V3.1 is also DeepSeq's first hybrid model that can handle chat, reasoning, and coding functions within the same model.
2:14Researchers noted how the model now has special tokens to support reasoning in search, which has led people to wonder if we are going to see a shift away from having two separate model families, in the same way, for example, that OpenAI moved away from having their non-reasoning and reasoning models have different naming conventions. Journalist Po Zhao writes,
2:58DeepSeek fan tier taxes agrees, posting, I've long been saying that they hate maintaining separate model lines and will collapse everything into a single product and artifact as soon as possible. This may be it. A Chinese language account called Ace Taffy wrote, If the DeepSeek v3.1 update isn't meant to set the stage for DeepSeek v4, I don't really see the point of this update because aside from lower token usage, the overall reasoning performance hasn't improved at all. Now, it's only been a very short period of time, but so far we're seeing something very similar to the immediate GPT-5 response, which is disappointment in what the model isn't.
3:29TierTaxes again writes, DeepSeq didn't hype anything, but is getting the OpenAI post-GPT-5 treatment. I guess this speaks to them being maybe the only lab on the same level of memetic power. They screenshotted another Chinese language post from X that said, The release of DeepSeq v3.1 has sparked widespread criticism. It can only be said that to wear the crown, one must bear its weight. Still others are betting that we're going to see a DeepSeq v4, and maybe before too long. Swix writes, Looks like DeepSeek is still on track to ship DeepSeek v4. This November and December is going to be pretty wild, I think.
4:00Speaking of models out of China, a new AI image editing tool from Alibaba's Quen team is getting a ton of chatter as a potential new disruptive force in that area. Based on their benchmark topping, Quen image model released earlier this month, the team has now released an open-source editing tool called Quen Image Edit. The tool can perform Photoshop-style edits using text prompting, similar to the editing modes released by OpenAI and Google based on their own image models. Still, people are initially really impressed with the quality and attention to detail. The team is making some pretty big claims about where the limit of performance is.
4:32With Junyang Ling posting, it can remove a strand of hair, very delicate image modification. Which, even if that isn't exactly true, and I haven't tried it yet to know, you gotta love the bravado from the people who built the model. Now, later in the main episode, we will be talking about another image model that's getting a ton of attention, the so-called nano-banana model. But taken together, we might be in for a big upgrade in that particular area of AI. Looking at some fundraising news, Databricks is finalizing another fundraising round that will see their valuation jump to$100 billion. Sources say that Databricks has signed a term sheet with existing investors, including Thrive Capital, Insight Partners, and Idris and Horowitz to raise about a billion dollars.
5:11This is a 60 % increase over Databricks' last raise in December, which happened at a$62 billion valuation. That round raised$10 billion and was one of the largest private fundraising rounds ever. Many noted back then that Databricks were using that gigantic Series J as something of a substitute for going public. And in that vein, going back to the private markets for a Series K is something of an unusual move. You might have seen one of the million tweets floating around that say some equivalent of what happens when we get past Series Z. Still, Databricks CEO Ali Goetze said in a statement, we're seeing tremendous investor interest because of the momentum behind our AI products, which power the world's largest businesses and AI services.
5:47We're thrilled this round is already oversubscribed and to partner with strategic long-term investors who share our vision for the future of AI. In comments to the Wall Street Journal, he added that he was not planning on fundraising so soon, but that he's receiving daily inbound from investors trying to put money into the company. He said, it wasn't this way two months ago, but in the last month, it's just been constant. How that relates to some of the jitters on Wall Street, again, that we'll talk about in the main episode, remains to be seen. But for now, at least in the private capital markets, there is clearly still a lot of appetite.
6:16That, though, will do it for today's headlines. Next up, the main episode.
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9:05After that, you can even get a spec document in what we call our technical blueprint that gives either your developers or the developers of the partner you work with what they need to build exactly the agent that you're looking for. If you want to learn more about Superintelligence Agent Planning Suite, we've built a custom GPT to answer your questions. Just go to bit.ly slash super super agent. That's B-I-T dot L-Y slash super super agent, all one word. And if you have any questions, the agent can even help you book an appointment with our team. Welcome back to the AI Daily Brief. Today, we're doing something a little bit different.
9:41We are, of course, in the very last days of summer here in America. And this is always sort of a quiet, weird time, frankly, in advance of back to school and back to work and all the things that happen in September and beyond getting into the fall. It can be a time when there's a lot of volatility in markets because trading volume is low, liquidity is thin. And because of that, narratives tend to get really exaggerated, right? The bigger the market moves, the more people think big things are changing. Now, in AI right now, as I've talked about quite a bit over the last couple of weeks, we've definitely been in a narrative ebb.
10:15And what I want to do today is get into all of that, talk about one thing that I do think is actually important outside of just the immediate term as relates to those narrative questions, and ultimately come out the other side talking about where I think all of the excitement in AI actually is right now, and what people who are actually building in the field are looking forward to. So first, this narrative ebb. The TLDR is that the launch of GPT-5 opened up a huge seam for anti-AISM. If you were spending any time near social media or really any mainstream media outlet, you're seeing tons of tweets and articles like this one.
10:50We're witnessing the most expensive act in tech history, pouring trillions into a dead-end Gen AI LLM paradigm that can't deliver real intelligence ever. 500 billion later, no AGI, no cognition, no mind, no clue, just theater and autocomplete version 5. We have the New Yorker piece that I mentioned a couple of times. What if AI doesn't get much better than this? And now added to that, this Atlantic piece that goes even farther, AI is a mass dilution event. Now, I'm not getting deep into the substance of these actual articles, because relative to our conversation here, at least, my point is just that there's a lot more of this happening all at once.
11:23Now, if you are a regular listener, you will also know that even as these articles have had their lag from the GPT-5 launch to publishing, the narrative inside the AI user community has shifted fairly dramatically, and people are actually getting a lot out of GPT-5. Not that they are without complaint, nor do they think it's the second coming or anything like that, but it is definitely not the sort of antagonism that we had that produced the context for all these articles in the first place. As I mentioned, over in the markets, things are getting a little tense right now. Hedge funder Ben Efert tweeted a screenshot of one of the articles talking about where Sam Altman had admitted that they screwed up the GPT-5 launch, adding, Altman is a huckster.
12:01Few companies are deriving meaningful value from these products. The CapEx is rapidly depreciating waste. Markets will correct rapidly when the hype falls through and spending collapses. Now, when it comes to that few companies are getting value out of this, you might have seen this article ripping around the socials from Fortune, MIT report 95 % of generative AI pilots at companies are failing. Now, once again, the specifics here are out of scope for today's episode, although I do believe that this weekend's big thing slash long reads episode is going to be all about why I actually think AI pilots fail.
12:32The TLDR on my take here is that while the naysayers are using AI pilots failing as an indictment of the technology itself. I think it's also, and perhaps even more, an indictment of the systems into which those technologies come. But again, relative to the narrative shift, that doesn't really matter. You are in fact seeing this study tortured into other headlines that warp even what this one is trying to say. Like this one from The Hill, companies have invested billions into AI, 95 % getting zero return, which while wildly inaccurate in the substance, does accurately sum up some of the shift in sentiment that we're seeing.
13:05It's not just the study, though, that has the markets talking. In this confusing market environment where tariff and macro policy is still up in the air, where the markets are assuming that we're getting a rate cut in September, but we don't really know for sure because Powell is going to do what Powell is going to do, you've got a lot of people worried about just how dependent on technology and specifically AI the entire market structure is. Citron Research is going hard after Palantir, arguing that the company is wildly overvalued. You've got the interpretation of this meta news around their AI organization being once again interpreted as big tech somehow pulling away from AI investment.
13:42And all of it is getting super amplified into this gloomy sort of narrative. Now, my strong instinct is that all of this reveals two things. One is that there is a lot of short-term instability right now, particularly around the market aspects of this that I think it's important to understand and appreciate, but not get too attached to as things are incredibly fast moving in markets and are always changing. The other thing that it reveals, though, is that there is this big divide between the way that those in technology and the AI industry specifically talk about and think about AI and how the rest of America outside the tech industry looks at things.
14:17And in this case, I do think it's important to identify the specific country domain, given that there are wildly divergent levels of optimism in how, for example, American citizens versus citizens in places like China. Part of this gap is a much longer structural problem around tech media. I think about a decade ago, after the 2016 election, when tech started being blamed on the left for the election of Donald Trump and on the right for censoring conservatives, an entire separate or alternative tech media infrastructure was built up, which has created lots of very powerful voices in the technology industry itself, but hasn't necessarily done a great job of representing the technology industry opinion in shaping larger American discourse.
14:57It seems to me that those chickens are coming home to roost with AI. Capturing This Well is an opinion essay from the New York Times yesterday by former Google CEO Eric Schmidt. The essay is called Silicon Valley is Drifting Out of Touch with the Rest of America. Schmidt and his co-author Selena Hsu write, Building a Machine More Intelligent Than Ourselves. It's a centuries-old theme, inspiring equal amounts of awe and dread, from the agents in the Matrix to the operating system in Her. To many in Silicon Valley, this compelling fictional motif is on the verge of becoming reality. Reaching Artificial General Intelligence, or AGI, or going a step further, superintelligence, is now the singular aim of America's tech giants, which are investing tens of billions of dollars in a fevered race.
15:35And while some experts warn of disastrous consequences from the advent of AGI, many also argue that this breakthrough, perhaps just years away, will lead to a productivity explosion, with the nation and company that get there first reaping all the benefits. And yet the authors here argue that one, this obsession with AGI is, as they put it, alienating the general public by not really taking into consideration whatever concerns they might have, but also failing to appreciate what has already been built, or as they write, bypassing crucial opportunities to use the technology that already exists.
16:09The authors compare all of this AGI excitement to the way that AI is happening and being received in China. They write, the country's scientists and policymakers aren't as AGI-pilled as their American counterparts. They talk about how Chinese leaders have emphasized, quote, the deep integration of AI with the real economy, and how because of that, they're focused on actual practical uses. The authors write, in rural villages, competitions among Chinese farmers have been held to improve AI tools for harvests. Alibaba's Quark app recently became China's most downloaded AI assistant in part because of its medical diagnostic capabilities.
16:43Last year, China started the AI Plus initiative, which aims to embed AI across sectors to raise productivity. It's no surprise that the Chinese population is more optimistic about AI as a result. At the World AI Conference, we saw families with grandparents and young children milling about the exhibits, grasping at powerful displays of AI applications, and enthusiastically interacting with humanoid robots. Over three quarters of adults in China say that AI had profoundly changed their daily lives in the past three to five years, according to an Ipsos survey. That's the highest share globally and double that of Americans.
17:12Another recent poll found that only 32 % of Americans say they trust AI compared with 72 % in China. Coming around to their big point, they write, many of the purported benefits of AGI in science, education, healthcare, and the like can already be achieved with the careful refinement and use of powerful existing models. For example, why do we still not have a product that teaches all humans essential cutting-edge knowledge in their own languages and personalized gamified ways? Why are there no competitions among American farmers to use AI tools to improve their harvests? Where's the Cambrian explosion of imaginative, unexpected uses of AI to improve lives in the West?
17:44When a technology eventually goes mainstream, that's when it's truly game-changing. It's paramount that more people outside Silicon Valley feel the beneficial impact of AI on their lives. AGI isn't a finish line. It's a process that involves humble, gradual, uneven diffusion of generations of less powerful AI across society. Now, regular listeners will know that I have sometimes said that I think AGI is the least useful term in all of AI. Certainly when it comes to businesses figuring out how to use AI, it's an incredibly distracting concept. It makes sense why technologists and entrepreneurs who are trying to build the next thing are focused on what they see as the big blinking goal there on the horizon.
18:21But what it does for the rest of everyone else is it basically creates this artificial linearity of progress, best expressed in the numerical naming convention of GPTs, where it becomes the case that all that matters is how much better 5 is than 4 and then 6 is than 5 and so on and so forth into infinity. The better question is, of course, not how much better 5 is at 4, but what new things can 5 do that 4 couldn't that make my life or my work better, easier, or more full of some new type of opportunity? The good news is, for as much as it seems like all that matters to the AI industry is how much better 5 is than 4, there's actually so much exciting work happening on real problems of applied AI that are going to bear fruit totally outside of just the latent capabilities of the underlying foundation models.
19:08Let's talk through a couple examples. And by the way, each of these is something that I'm planning on exploring in more depth, probably over the next couple weeks, as this is arguably, maybe other than Christmas, the slowest news time in AI and technology. One of those things is memory. Upon announcing that he was joining OpenAI, James Campbell wrote, Memory will fundamentally change our relationship to machine intelligence. And I plan to work extraordinarily hard to make sure we get it right for humanity. Cameron from Letter writes, Anytime you see some big name in AI talk about how AGI is supposed to work, you hear them talk about memory, continuous learning, and maintained state.
19:41AGI is a memory problem. Now here again, we can't resist making it an AGI discourse. Andrew Pignanelli also wrote a post recently, memory is the last problem to be solved to reach AGI. But hold aside the AGI implications of memory, the reality is that better work on and more solutions around memory have the potential to massively improve the actual practical applications of AI in the immediate term. In that piece by Andrew, he writes a section called Agents are Great Processors But Largely Lack Memory. He says, why are your co-workers valuable to you or your friends, even family? because they know things about you and know things about your life.
20:18They care about you to different degrees because you also know things about them and their lives, and they can interact with you and you with them. Our systems today get the interaction part right, but that's only half of what's needed to make a digital self. Memory is severely lacking interaction. Now from there, he goes in to talk about where we are in terms of different agent capabilities that would make agents better, spending a lot of time on the challenges of every type of memory from long-term to episodic. Like I said, I'm going to get much more into this in a complete episode, but there is so much exciting work being done right now on memory that whether it ultimately translates to AGI or not will not matter in the slightest to you because what it will mean to you is AI systems and agentic tools that are radically better at working with you to actually accomplish whatever it is you're trying to do.
21:03Next up, another thing that people are working on that's incredibly exciting right now are world models. We talked a bunch about Genie 3 a couple weeks ago when it was announced. Jack Parker Holder, the co-lead of Genie 3 at Google DeepMind, wrote, we can now generate multi-minute real-time interactive simulations of any imaginable world. And while again, Jack writes, this could be the key missing piece for embodied AGI, it also just opens up incredible new use cases, not least of which is a totally different approach to customized gaming that could radically alter the face of entertainment. For what it's worth, the big breakthrough of Genie 3 is also related to memory, showing how these things are all connected.
21:40In fact, here's Jack again talking about that at an A16Z podcast. Folks expected that at some point, you know, video generation, for example, would become real time. Like, you know, when I saw the Genie 3 post, it was like, okay, they actually went and did it. But the special memory, the persistence was when I kind of sat up in my chair and I was like, how did that happen? Could you talk a little bit about when did you discover that as an emergent property? Or was that a specific design goal? So the TLDR is, it was totally planned for, but still incredibly surprising when it worked that well. So that specific sample, when I saw it, it was hard to believe.
22:18I actually wasn't sure that the model generated it for a second. I was like, that took me to watch it a few times and really check and freeze the frames and look back and check that it was the same. But so going back a few steps, so obviously Genie 2 had some memory. right? So this got kind of lost because, I mean, Genie 2 came at a time when there were lots of announcements, very exciting announcements. I mean, VO2 only a few days later. It was a busy time of the year. And the main headline act was that we could do, generate new worlds at all, right? So that was the thing that we wanted to emphasize.
22:52But it did have, you know, a few seconds of memory. And we had a couple of examples. And then for Genie 3, we basically went much more ambitious on the same sort of approach, right? And we made it like a headline goal for ourselves is like, can we make the memory be what it is, right? We said we want minute plus memory and real time and higher resolution all in the same model. Now, the other thing about Genie 3 and VO3, in fact, is that another discussion that gets lost in the AGI talk and really just the focus on chatbot LLMs in general is how much crazy progress is being made on other modalities.
23:33I think a great example of this is this week, where the hyper-enfranchised AI Twitter people have all been talking about this model that showed up on LM Arena called Nano Banana. Sheikhar Patel writes, there's a new mystery AI image model called Nano Banana. It appeared on LIMSYS Arena with no announcement. Users report it's shockingly fast, under five seconds, and can do 2D to 3D conversion. No one knows who built it, although the speculation is Google. The hunt is on. And people have been kind of gobsmacked about Nano Banana. D Studio Project writes, I'm still amazed at how Nano Banana can take a single image and turn it into exactly what's in my head.
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24:10The consistency is insane. Tone, detail, and vibe all stay perfectly aligned with the original shot. Later they wrote, Now I'm testing Nano Banana with product replacement. Even with product photos that have complex patterns, Nano Banana can still match them perfectly. On average, it only takes me two to three tries to get a solid result. Daria Sarkova also used it for product design, writing, I've been testing Nano Banana on my own designs with different lights, settings, and styles, and this tool feels like a game changer for brand designers. She then shows how she integrated product brands with existing photos.
24:40Summing it all up, Mad Pencil writes, Nano Banana is bananas. Now, it seems like we might be getting some news about this soon. Google's Logan Kilpatrick got everyone chattering by simply posting the banana emoji on Tuesday night, which was followed up by Josh Woodward from Google posting, this is banana emoji, leaving everyone to suspect that this is a new Google model that we are going to get announced very soon. And the point is that for all of the focus on GPT-5 and all of the questions that have resulted, there is still so much going on beyond just how performant GPT-5 is compared to the models that came before it with a lower number.
25:15There's also a new stealth model in Cursor that people are thinking is the Grok 4 coding model. And basically, my strong prediction is that very, very soon, we're going to once again have a narrative shift away from this slightly dreary, is this as good as it gets kind of moment into a realization that there is just so much more happening all the time across so many different dimensions that I continue to think we've still really barely scratched the surface of what in practice all these models and tools can do. We'll have to see, but that is my best bet. For now, as I posted earlier today, it took us till August 20th, but we finally hit the touch grass part of the summer.
25:52And so maybe we all just need to check out for just a little bit. I certainly hope you don't, and instead choose to continue to listen to the show every day. But for now, that is going to do it for the AI Daily Brief. Appreciate you guys listening or watching as always. And until next time, peace.
26:13Thank you.
From the publisher
Are we really witnessing the "most expensive flop in tech history" with AI, or is something else going on? While headlines scream about failed AI pilots and wasted billions, there's a massive disconnect between public narratives and what's actually happening in AI development. This episode dives into the recent wave of AI pessimism following GPT-5's launch, explores why 95% of corporate AI pilots are reportedly failing, and examines the growing divide between Silicon Valley's AGI obsession and practical AI applications that could transform daily life. But here's the real story: while markets panic and media declares AI dead, builders are making breakthrough progress on memory systems, world models like Genie 3, and mysterious new models like "Nano Banana" that are quietly revolutionizing what's possible.
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