Villa and Newcastle Moves Complicate Arsenal Transfer Situation

13 Jul 2026 · 1 h 14 min · 31 chapters

Ask about this episode

Ask anything about it. ChatGPT or Claude reads this page and answers with the times it was said.

Connect VO and ask about every podcast you hear, including the moments you saved. Add to ChatGPT · Add to Claude

In short

Arsenal transfer strategy after winning the Premier League; how World Cup/England performances frame the summer; and a “transfer merry-go-round” involving Newcastle and Aston Villa affecting Arsenal targets.

Guests and backgrounds

Alex Bithing Black (host). Tim (co-host; English football fan, Arsenal-focused analysis). Paul (co-host; discusses England and Arsenal squad planning). Clive is referenced from a prior episode.

Key claims

  • England’s semi-final run is driven by star delivery (Jude Bellingham) and coin-flip knockout dynamics; France looks most complete.
  • Arsenal can critically analyze departures (especially left-sided attack) without killing the post-title joy.
  • Leandro Trossard should arguably be kept as a bridge; Martinelli’s role may be ending on the left unless used differently.
  • The market is skewed: elite goal output is increasingly central/box-crashing rather than true wide wingers; wide attackers are expensive and scarce.
  • Transfer negotiations are interdependent: Newcastle/Villa can’t sell key players without having replacements lined up, so timing/order matters.

Notable examples

  • Arsenal’s Porto progression goal (Trossard), West Ham goal.
  • England comparisons to 2018; France/Spain ball-control styles.
  • Newcastle: links around Bruno Guimarães, Anthony Gordon, Sandro Tonali, Isak; Villa: links around Morgan Rogers and Tielemans.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Celebration of Arsenal's Success

1:12 to 2:15

The hosts reflect on Arsenal's trophy win and the joy it brought fans.

“This is the Arsenal Vision Most Match Podcast.”

Analyzing England's World Cup Journey

2:15 to 3:49

Tim shares insights on England's performance in the semi-finals of the World Cup.

“You know, I feel like I used to take more time out in the podcast to express our appreciation for you.”

Dissecting England's Squad Dynamics

3:49 to 6:48

The hosts discuss the strengths of England's team and their chances in the tournament.

“And they're going to be extra time and they're going to be penalties.”

The Importance of Critical Analysis for Arsenal

6:48 to 10:57

A discussion on balancing appreciation for Arsenal's achievements with critical analysis.

“Any thoughts maybe on the Arsenal players?”

Future Transfers and Player Departures

10:57 to 14:00

The hosts consider the future of players like Leandro Trossard and potential transfers.

“And I would like Arsenal to do that as well.”

The Emotional Aspects of Player Transfers

14:00 to 15:10

Discussing the emotional impact of player departures on fans and the club.

“So I actually think in a way it can make it easier.”

Assessing Leandro Trossard's Contribution

15:10 to 16:40

Analyzing the significance of Leandro Trossard's performance and contributions to the team.

“is probably a useful frame of reference because we can see, let's be honest, what the bar is there.”

Reflections on Player Ratings and Future Expectations

16:40 to 17:50

Reflecting on player ratings from the past season and expectations for the next.

“Three of those seasons here, he was involved.”

The Strategic Implications of Selling Trossard

17:50 to 19:40

Exploring the strategic decisions around selling Trossard and potential replacements.

“And it was because I looked at what Leo did from that January to May where we almost won a title.”

Martinelli's Role and the Future of the Squad

19:40 to 21:40

Discussing the future role of Martinelli and how it affects the squad's dynamics.

“But yeah, if you're going to bring in a top, top level starter of a left winger, I see keeping Leo around for another year or so, or he might even have two years.”
Show all 31 chapters

Potential New Signings and Their Impact

21:40 to 22:30

Considering the impact of potential new signings on the team's performance.

“that has a little more open space for him to run into.”

The Diminishing Influence of Wingers in Football

22:30 to 24:30

Analyzing the changing role of wingers in modern football and its implications.

“if those players hit the ground running and you lose some continuity and some potential high floor.”

Economic Value and Transfer Market Trends

24:30 to 28:00

Discussing the financial aspects of transfers in the current market landscape.

“Like I don't think he played wide, but I'll give it to you.”

Evaluating Transfer Market Values

28:00 to 30:02

Discuss the rising costs of player transfers and their perceived value.

“So like even like a Barkler who looks like a really, really good player to me and, you know, but that would certainly cost nine figures, I think, to get that done.”

The Evolution of Scoring in Football

30:02 to 33:16

Examine the shift in goal-scoring dynamics and the role of wide players.

“of where the value is in the wide player market.”

Introducing the Transfer Merry-Go-Round

33:16 to 33:49

Transition into discussing the implications of player transfers on team strategies.

“Because I want to get your takes on, well, if Newcastle can't get Monsambi, can they let Bruno go?”

Introducing the Transfer Merry-Go-Round

34:28 to 35:11

Transition into discussing the implications of player transfers on team strategies.

“or buying furniture but missing the tools to build it.”

Introducing the Transfer Merry-Go-Round

35:14 to 36:36

Transition into discussing the implications of player transfers on team strategies.

“You know, the things about what you make and what you care about that have value.”

The Interconnectedness of Transfers

36:43 to 38:13

Discuss the impact of player sales on transfer strategies and market dynamics.

Newcastle's Strategy and Rebuild

38:13 to 42:03

Analyze Newcastle's current transfer strategy and the need for rebuilding.

“Guy Muresh, you know, it's like, that's a choice.”

Arsenal's Transfer Strategy Amid Competition

42:03 to 45:02

Discussion about Arsenal's need to sell players to fund new acquisitions, influenced by transfer dynamics with Newcastle and Villa.

Impact of Club Dynamics on Player Transfers

45:02 to 49:52

Exploration of how transfer decisions are intertwined among clubs and the challenges they face in acquiring players like Guimaraes and Rodgers.

“there's sort of an ecology of transfers, right?”

Evaluating Squad Depth and Future Needs

49:52 to 56:00

Analysis of Arsenal's squad depth, scoring needs, and the potential impact of maintaining player fitness versus making new signings.

“Last season wasn't our best from a performance standpoint, but you don't control all the variables in a title-winning season.”

Arsenal's Transfer Strategy Discussion

56:00 to 58:10

Exploring Arsenal's tactics and players to address their attacking needs.

“I am dubious about whether he wants to be in England and at Arsenal when it's pretty clear that Barcelona is his first choice.”

The Case for Julian Alvarez

58:10 to 1:01:30

Debating the potential signing of Julian Alvarez and its implications for Arsenal.

“Let me make the case for why there's a chance.”

Hybrid Forward Traits

1:01:30 to 1:04:35

Analyzing the attributes of potential forwards that fit Arteta's vision.

“11 non-penalty goals this season in the Premier League?”

Anticipating Transfer Movements

1:04:35 to 1:07:30

Discussing the urgency of Arsenal's transfer activity as the window progresses.

“that Alvarez would probably be his kind of dream signing.”

Final Thoughts and Future Expectations

1:07:30 to 1:10:03

Contemplating the potential outcomes of Arsenal's transfer activity and future planning.

“No, I've got agita about when the agita will kick in, basically.”

Analysis of Transfer Market Dynamics

1:10:03 to 1:11:05

Discussion on how recent events impact Arsenal's transfer strategies.

“and the Bruno Guimari stuff started after Brazil got knocked out.”

Challenges in Securing Key Players

1:11:05 to 1:13:26

Exploration of the complexities in signing high-profile players post-World Cup.

“You know, if you want to buy a Christos Solis from Brugge, they don't want to lose him, but they can use the money and they know there's a deal to be struck.”

Potential Opportunities for Young Players

1:13:26 to 1:14:26

Discussion on how late signings could impact young talent's chances in the squad.

“But maybe that creates an opportunity for players like Ethan, Max, Miles.”
Hear the part that matters, and keep it.Open this episode in VO. Double tap your headphones to save a moment as you listen.
Get VO free

Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Hi, Ryan Reynolds here for Mint Mobile. Are you looking for a beach read this summer? May I suggest your big wireless bill? It's got suspense, mystery, a slightly flat emotional arc, and a shocking twist where you realize you've been overpaying the entire time. Fortunately, though, Mint's story is better. Every plan,$15 a month, even unlimited. That's it. Happy ending. Zero tears. Give it a try at mintmobile.com slash switch. Upfront payment of$45 for three months,$90 for six months, or$180 for 12-month plan required. $15 per month equivalent. Taxes and fees extra. Initial plan term only greater than 50 gigabytes may slow when network is busy.

0:29See terms.

0:46It's Rice What a goal Declan Rice With an absolute rocket With a free kick Arsenal League 1-0 Cut inside Saka Sublime finish He's back with a bang I don't know about you, but I really enjoyed watching Andrea Berta celebrate Arsenal lifting the trophy. Unfortunately, it was the last time you was ever seen. This is the Arsenal Vision Most Match Podcast. My name is Alex Bithing Black. Where is Andrea Berta? Where is this guy? What's he doing? No one knows. No one knows. Is he doing stuff? He's doing stuff. Of course, is he? Is he? Of course, but is he? He is. He is. Stop it. We're going to talk transfers because why not?

1:30It is summer. The World Cup is wrapping up. We'll talk a little bit about England, get Tim's take on that. We had a Friday night, Clive, on Friday that was, I think it's one of my favorite we've ever done and really talked about some of the transfers that were linked with and the tactical implications for that. And is there such a thing as first choice? You'd be stunned to hear Clive's resounding comments on picking a first 11, the importance of having a first choice and why only the first 11 matters and the rest of the players really are superfluous to requirements. So really interesting chat.

1:58Hope you'll check that out. We'll have maybe some scouting videos this week. Definitely some World Cup dailies this week. Lots of good stuff coming. Transfer daily is going to get ready to kick off, guys. It's a fun time of year once the World Cup ends and before the season starts. And unfortunately, that's going to be like two days, but that's okay. And we'll have news about the Dublin show soon. Love you for being here. You know, I feel like I used to take more time out in the podcast to express our appreciation for you. And I should continue to do that because it is the joy of a lifetime to have you here and have a chance to share this with you.

2:29So wherever you are and whatever you're doing, I hope your summer's going well. I hope you're doing well. I hope you have joy and happiness and support in your life. And if you don't, please know that people care about you. So with that having been said, there's nothing left for me to do. But to introduce Tim. Hello, Tim. Hello there. Clive and I will do a one club this week as well. We've been promising that for a long time. Yeah, there's what, three signings on the women's side? Four. Four. done so far. So yeah, lots to talk about there. So we will do that. Any word on whether Andrea Berta can take any credit for that?

2:58Can we put that in his win card? Alas, no. He has nothing to do with the women's sidewalls. That's a shame. Okay, that's a shame. And here with me now is Paz. Hello, Paul. Woo-hoo! That all sounds like very exciting programming on that side of things. Should we announce that this week we launch Elliot Friday Night Paul? Are we going to announce it? well yeah yes i hadn't told you this paul it's actually going to be uh sunday night paul it's going to be live you can join us it'll be from the hours of 4 15 to 4 25 a.m uh i guess technically monday sunday night into monday so depending on where you are that could be that could be like 12 p.m uh 12 a.m it could be 4 a.m but we're looking forward to it's going to be some some are saying the finest 15 minutes on the internet yeah okay uh look tim we got to start with you my friend you are a proud Englishman um you are a a proud proud Englishman and you are are living in a nation that can call itself one of four semi-finalists um I was happy for England I was sad for Martin Odegaard of course I don't think it was the best conditions for football and so the game was a little bit interesting there was controversy you won't get into that if you want all that the World Cup Daily covered all of it in detail really what I want to get from you is just your thoughts on England making the semi-final and how you're experiencing the the journey of your nation through this tournament yeah it's really interesting because you you kind of expect that of england now and um it's kind of it's difficult to remember at times that and i know england haven't like won anything this feels very um arsenal until this may you know like we can we keep competing for the title we think we're going to do it we think we're going to do it i do think this group of players is going to win something with england but obviously you're in the semi-finals and it's all coin flip matches now.

4:51That's just the way it is. And they're going to be extra time and they're going to be penalties. And then the question is, is it the year that it drops your way? And when you've got the quality of teams left, I do think these are the four best teams. Broadly speaking, I think it's the right set of semifinals really. And I think England have a 25 % chance with everyone else. But maybe France have looked the most complete team in the tournament but the thing is with England and what you I think get used to when you watch international football tournaments is that like the idea of what good looks like compared to the club game is very very different and in international football tournaments like what France and Spain do is you don't get the ball so they don't concede any goals they don't concede any shots because they don't give you the ball and none of the teams really like spain haven't really popped in several games i've seen england haven't either there have been games where front like france v paraguay france kind of squeaked through that one argentina have continued to rely on the greatest player ever um to varying extents and ultimately what happens in international tournaments is like you just do what you can to get through and hope your stars deliver and that's kind of what these semi-finalists share in common messes delivered bellingham in particular has delivered for england and bappe has delivered and spain's best player michael marino has delivered as well and those are the players going into the tournament you'd have said well those are the guys who are going to turn up and win it for you if you're going to win it um so yeah i don't think England were great they arguably got a little bit of the rub of the green on some decisions although I think a lot of that to be honest is quite overstated but luck was a little bit on their side I think it was a very very even game Norway could easily have won it but ultimately the story of the games on the scoreboard really Jude Bellingham turned up and did something and that means England are through and that's that's what your star players do so yeah very excited about the game on Wednesday and I was just thinking about like 2018 and like when England got to that World Cup semi-final like they hadn't done that for 28 years it felt so new and so different whereas now it kind of feels like England are at a minimum a semi-final team in terms of talent and this group again it feels slightly Arsenal adjacent this group has a great chance of delivering something but we've seen with like Belgium um and teams like that you know your so-called golden generations they don't always put silver on the sideboard because there aren't as many opportunities to do it in the international game yeah Paul any quick thoughts on that and you know maybe like I know England have have gotten some goals from like their I guess what you say like their poor man's Mikel Marino, Jude Bellingham, which has been exciting.

8:04Any thoughts maybe on the Arsenal players? It's a testament to England's talent that they can get this far where two of their best players, Rice and Saka, have either been gutting it out or in some cases not even playing at all. Obviously, my interest primarily is for Saka to just get his feet up and Rice to do that as well. And all the Arsenal players do that. But any thoughts on England? um yeah look i think this english england group as as tim says they have something about them that other other teams i always tend to find myself kind of i wouldn't say supporting but like pulling for england for most most big competitions for a while till i get to a certain point where they piss me off normally around the quarterfinals or uh semi-finals it's not so much the they're coming home thing but there's there's some part where they get way too big for their boots and been an Irish fella that's the point at which I remember that I'm not supposed to exactly be pulling for them so but they haven't reached that point yet there's and maybe that's partly to do with this group of players and this manager and the vibe they have and certainly Tuchel did his best to dispel any semblance of arrogance within the team itself after his post-match comments and all that good stuff.

9:30I think they have it in them in a way that other squads for England are like, around this point I think, nah, they're starting to get out, they're pushing into a level of water that's above their chin. This team, I think, mentality-wise, I think that's what Tuchel's so wound up about. He's not playing the game that was just played. In his head, he's playing the teams that are coming up in the semi-final and the final. And in that sense, he doesn't think this team is playing well enough. And he's got fog and standards, as the man used to say. But he sees more from this team, and they need to get their...

10:12And I think he's right. They need to play better than that. or the teams they're playing with need to drop their standards. It's France for me. I think they're clear favorites. And then I think it's England, and that could be the final. Yeah. I mean, the semifinals won't be weather-affected, per se. The final, it just depends on the weather in New York, New Jersey. One of my favorite places in America, by the way, New York, New Jersey. A really great city, New York, New Jersey. You should visit it if you get a chance. But that's what they're telling us to call that stadium. But enough of that.

10:47Look, the reality is that the World Cup is starting to get towards its end. There's not games every day. And that means people are ready to start concentrating on transfers a bit. And I would like Arsenal to do that as well. One thing I want to talk about, Tim, just as a table setter for this conversation. There is this thing we have to do now. this thing where we celebrate and appreciate and continue to make sure we don't lose the excitement and good feeling of having just won the title we won the title 22 years waiting and the joy was more significant than i even anticipated the crowds the scenes of of people coming together to celebrate together the parade like just extraordinary outpouring of both relief and joy in equal measure, right?

11:39And we will feel an affection for the players and the manager who did that for us forever. That's how this works in sport. Flags fly forever is a saying that you hear in American sport. And it's true. It is also true that you can be appreciative and celebratory of what just happened and be open to the idea of honest analysis about where the team is now and how it can improve. Because while if we never won anything again, I would still be thankful for and love this group, I would like them to go on and continue to win. And we have a podcast to do that has to engage in analysis as well. So like, how are you going to approach being able to critically analyze both the players, the performances, the needs of the squad, the operation of the backroom staff without letting your sort of joy and appreciation cloud your ability to do that?

12:30Because like, I can't get angry at Arsenal right now, but I recognize that I should be able to critically analyze the club if I want to continue to sit here and talk about this football club yeah it's it's interesting when thinking back to other times we won the league in 2004 at the end of that season Carnu, Wiltord and Ray Parler left um actually all on free transfers which wasn't brilliantly done but you know particularly for someone like I think like Carnu and Wiltord it was very clearly like that yeah this has run its course and with Ray Parler it's kind of age and you're losing a club legend but actually it feels a bit Liverpool by the way with Salah going on a free and Van Dijk aging towards the end on a free and Trent going on a free and Kanate and yeah yeah yeah um but with with like players like that sometimes it's a really good time um to do it so I'm thinking about um someone like Leandro Trossard for example I've written my column for this week and it's about Leandro Trossard and it's you know because I'm expecting things to go through there it's like a bit of a tribute and I kind of feel like this is a really nice time actually just in terms of you know the narrative arc like he won the league off you go into the sunset my friend like no very few players did more than you to get that and this is a lovely juncture to kind of move on like in a kind of yeah in a storytelling narrative sense after we won the double in 98 Ian Wright left that summer and that's that's quite a painful departure but I tell you what makes a painful departure a lot easier when they've got a big shiny gold medal around their necks um and you say well done you got that thing that you were really really kind of going for so in many respects I think that warm fuzzy feeling can help actually um certainly when it comes to you know the act of saying goodbye as it were and so if and when that tweet that Instagram drops from Leandro Trossard when he probably leaves, there won't be a dryer in the house and every single Arsenal fan in the world will be bashing the like button because we achieved a lot of what we wanted to achieve.

14:40So I actually think in a way it can make it easier. Actually, I think it would be a much more difficult, knotty conversation if after we lose to Man City in April, it kind of crumbles and City win the league again and you know if someone like Leandro Trossard for example is leaving in that scenario you're probably going yeah well we never won it with you did we so it it really really like kind of changes the conversation I think I'm personally I'm I'm still really excited about it and I think particularly like the Champions League final is probably a useful frame of reference because we can see, let's be honest, what the bar is there.

15:22And I think even if we'd won that game, I don't think any Arsenal fans would say about our attack, for example, no Arsenal fans would say, yeah, we don't need to do anything in attack. We're fine. I think that's just been obvious since the beginning of last season that that was going to be a preoccupation this summer and rightly so. So I actually don't think it will be that difficult unless we really, you know, news emerges that we're really looking at selling like a pillar player that we don't expect. yeah yeah look I'm I'm gonna miss Leo I think Leo is one of the most savvy signings we've made in 20 years and I don't mean that with any hyperbole I think he came in January he he was a player that was acquired at a very reasonable fee to fill in the positions where we had players we liked, but ultimately the sign of his quality is that as those players we liked maybe didn't always sparkle to the extent we hoped, he took their shirt.

16:28He took their shirt. And, you know, if you look back on key moments throughout the last few seasons, anything we accomplished, and I realize we didn't accomplish quite what we may have liked over four seasons, but over four seasons would be very good. Three of those seasons here, he was involved. I mean, there's the goal that gets us past Porto, you know, which was a really important moment, I think, because of how the season was going and what was happening in the context there. If we don't get past Porto in that Champions League campaign, I think the end of that season has a lot of more pointed questions and frustration.

17:00So I thought that was a big moment. Obviously, he scores the goal against West Ham. He started this season on fire when, you know, we needed to get out of the blocks hot. He's just been there to do the things that were needed. He this is to me what a real high level squad player is. Someone who is somewhere between pushing the starters for their shirt and able to be brought in whenever you need them. And he was. In fact, we do we've traditionally done player ratings season player ratings. We haven't done it yet for this past season because I was worried if we did it in May, late May or early June, it would just be 10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10 all the way down.

17:41And I wanted it to be a little bit more honest. So we're going to try to do that. That might even be as soon as Thursday of this week we'll do our player ratings. But I look at our 23-24 season player ratings, and I gave two 10s, one to Saliba and one to Leo Trussard. And it was because I looked at what Leo did from that January to May where we almost won a title. And he'd made the shirt his, and he was spectacular for that run-in when we were emptying stadiums everywhere we go. So I think this move is a shame. Like, I would have kept him. I would have kept him and I realize you lose him for free at your peril but Paul this is what I wanted to ask you about I think we need to sign a top elite quality left-sided attacker more on that in a moment but I also think maybe Martinelli's time is coming to an end at Arsul in the sense that I'm not sure he has much more to show us off the left and I'm not sure he's got a role in other positions he's got market value I would have tried to sell him for good money and let Leo be the bridge so the next guy can come in with a bit of an easier path and you know I realize others may disagree but I'm curious how you feel about that the idea that that Leo could have given us one more year of bridging to whoever the next guy is supposed to be yeah uh I'm in that camp um now I do have a tendency to want to keep all the players um my daughter including including our directors of football and our manager which is why our best ever sale is Alex Oxlade Jamrod yeah there are areas of running a football club we can we can demonstrate we have improved on including player sales so like it's one of those strong opinions opinions held loosely because i know they've got to sell people and that's a function of who who not just you want to sell but who the market wants to buy the market wants to buy leo so he got his timing right in terms of Like he's done himself a lot of favors and us by making him highly marketable in the market.

19:39So look, that's a reason on its own why you make this move. But yeah, if you're going to bring in a top, top level starter of a left winger, I see keeping Leo around for another year or so, or he might even have two years. Maybe you up on one more year. I mean, when you see him not just playing well in a season, but sprinting up and down the wing all game long, every game he's picked, and he's picked for most games he's fit, and in international football, nobody's rushing to take him off the pitch because his attacking output and his smarts and how he covers a team and how he lets the team breathe and covers his defensive duty as good as any player.

20:29pretty much any attacking player in the league. And if a guy goes past him, you're like, oh, if he goes past him, you're not going to catch him. Leo does, not by outrunning him, but by running at like 90 % of the speed of the other guy and waiting for him to pause or slow down and get his head up. He's a phenomenal player who has maxed out his capabilities. And like, if he can get his head around competing, Like, we'll bring in some superstar. We'll bring in Lamine Yamal, put him on the left wing and say he's a starter and, like, poor old Leo's going to have to play second string. And by November, Leo will have wrestled the starting position away from Lamine Yamal.

21:16He's quite something and you shouldn't bet against him. and to your point on Martinelli, I think unless we look to find other ways of using him where he gets a little more central, gets in behind, makes those runs in behind, then the Premier League at the moment with Arsenal doesn't suit him. He suits a different style of play that has a little more open space for him to run into. And so, yeah, I can see the argument, but I definitely think this is one where I say this only as a fan, even less of an expert here than normal in that, like they got to make their moves and you don't know who's coming in and who's offering money.

22:00So I'm fine with it. But yeah, if you ask me, I think the pragmatic move would be keeping Leo around and seeing what you get for Martinelli. And I love Martinelli, but. Yeah. And I want to say we did a scouting video of Christos Solis. I think he's going to be good. I think he is going to be good for us. But, I mean, he's clearly not, I think, being brought in to be the guy off the left. I think someone else will be. And if you go into the season with Solis and another new guy and no Martinelli and no Leo, then you've got some gray area there about what that initial betting in period will look like if those players hit the ground running and you lose some continuity and some potential high floor.

22:39So we'll see. Look, I mean, I get selling him. It's just I think you can make an argument for the opposite. it i want to can i ask a quick question sure do we think morgan rogers is that other player off the left and centrally like is that well so so paul my instinct is yes but it's funny because this time last summer i was saying if we get ezza he could play off the left the way leo does and he just never did and this idea that we're going to buy someone who is has always fundamentally been a midfielder where they are currently i want to convert them to a winger until i see us do it I feel like I'm walking down the same intellectual trap you know trap door that I did last summer but then so say we buy Rogers do you think that's it then do you think there's and we get Solis and Rogers do you think there's another left winger I just don't think there's the money for I mean if you're going to go especially if you go Bruno and Solis and Rogers and a defender where's the barkle of money come from because he's going to be another hundred and i mean i'm not saying it's impossible but suddenly you are looking at selling not just leo but probably martinelli and probably ethan and maybe even someone else like an odegaard to make all that work and then what you say is we've we've taken a lot of consistency and predictability out of the team to replace it and and that can work um and i'm not saying i'd be against it but this is something i wanted to actually raise tim because i think it leads me to an interesting sort of issue I'm having with the market.

24:12I can't tell you who the clear, obvious, wide forward signing should be. Vinny Jr. Great. Okay. Everyone keeps saying that. I hear it. But here's something to think about. This season in the Premier League, the top 10 goal scorers were basically nine players who play centrally. Eight strikers, nine players who play centrally, and one wide player, Antoine Semenyo, who for City actually really wasn't like a winger. Like I don't think he played wide, but I'll give it to you. Yeah, second striker. So really of the top 10 players, eight strikers and two second strikers, no wingers really. Once upon a time, that list was loaded with wingers.

24:50The wide players were where the goals were. I look at the World Cup. Who are the wingers tearing it up? Who are, Laminya Maul isn't even tearing it up. Defenses have gotten better at finding ways to get two players over getting five in the back to create overloads against wingers and force them to bring it back central we're in we're in a weird period of goals being shared around there aren't a lot of outlier elite goal scorers holland notwithstanding because he's an alien but like it is an interesting issue tim that i feel like left wing is an area we must improve but I think we're in a fallow period for high-end wide talent and I wonder if you think that's actually a talent issue or a tactical issue or a fullback golden era whatever you think it is that's leading us to see fewer and fewer and fewer wide attacking players dominate games at least from a goal scoring standpoint than we used to see yeah I suspect it's a few things I suspect Like, for example, Mo Salah no longer being in his prime.

25:57That would have accounted, you know, a bit of a, not quite a once in a generation player, but close to it, you know. Oh, definitely. So that would account for some of it. Might be a little bit tactical as well in terms of, you know, teams couldn't find strikers for ages. And that's still a relatively fallow market, I'd say, as well. So then, you know, a lot of teams start to channel through their wide players a bit more. Teams are getting a bit better at blocking up the centre. and pressing, so you probably are more likely to go out wide. And so now there's, you know, what's that, the Einstein thing about relativity, every action has an equal and opposite reaction type thing.

26:38So it could be a little bit tactical. Is that relativity? I don't think that's relativity. No, no, it wasn't relativity. Wasn't that Nnedi Newton? Yeah, that's Newton. Yes, yeah, yeah, yeah. It's all good. You're fine. Keep going. I'm getting my geniuses. I just don't want, we got a lot of physicists that listen to the pod and I do not want to upset the physicists in our community. Okay, go for it, please. But yeah, so I think there's probably a fair bit behind it. And then so, you know, you're talking about like, is Mbappe a wide player? Is Vinny Jr. a wide player? Like Brazil, we're playing Vinny Jr.

27:09as an attacker in a 4-4-2, basically. Mbappe, it's, you know, yeah, kind of playing through the center, but really as a free roll, he does what he wants. That's kind of, and those have been like the real game breakers, right? Bellingham, someone like that. Merino, like guys who arrive late into the area. They can be difficult to accommodate sometimes though because some of those players aren't always amazingly technically secure on the ball or perhaps they're, you know, in the interests of being that enterprising. They leave something behind them. So there's probably like a little bit of kind of cat and mouse about it.

27:49I also do think that the market for wide players is, you know, that the prices are really, really high for wide attackers now. So like even like a Barkler who looks like a really, really good player to me and, you know, but that would certainly cost nine figures, I think, to get that done. and I don't I don't really know what value is in the transfer market anymore but instinctively once it goes over the 100 million mark it's a bit like that has to like like Declan Rice yeah I'm paying that for Declan Rice I don't think there's another player like that or there's very very few that's kind of fine with me but like by paying 100 million for like a really good left winger who certainly I think would raise the level do you just take do you just take the fact that you're being overcharged like um again i was i was writing the tross article earlier and i was recalling the price we paid for him it's 27 and a half million um but when he had six months left on his contract and he was 28 uh you know per the conversation we were having last week elliot in terms of like economic value not a fantastic transfer to buy a 28 year old for 27 and a half million when he's got six months left on his deal has that ever been a discussion ever since we did it no because it you know it it probably didn't look amazing on the on the balance sheet but he's won the premier league with us and like been been an amazing player so i i yeah i think it's possibly quite multifactorial and what i'm really interested in is where like where the where the next players are going to be or are they always just going to be like you know ronaldo messi like in their primes what was their position really like they weren't really wingers they weren't really strikers like players get to a level where it's like actually we're kind of gonna let you do what you want really like get out there and do your thing mate yeah harry kane as well it's not like he just hangs around the penalty area it's just where is the space really is where they're just go and like feel the game um a little bit so yeah i i think for me it's it's more a question of where the value is in the wide player market.

30:05And there's not a lot, which is why the signing, it looks like we're going to make of a, I keep saying solace. It's just a lovely word to say. Solace. Solace. It's probably not pronounced at all, but. If that's how you want to say it, Tim, just say it that way. We all like a bit of solace, right? Yeah. A quantum of it, in fact. It's a lovely word to say, and it's got a good meaning. So, you know, that's where for me, like, yeah, that's potentially a bit of value. Potentially it's not. potentially it's another Fabio Vieira and we spend 30 plus million on someone who doesn't cut it. You have to buy players like this though.

30:39Those transfers costs now. Right? Yeah, I mean, you have to. You can't just take the shots in the nine-figure market, but you have to do this. Look, I was looking at this. Of the top 30, of the top 40 goal scorers in the Premier League this last season, there's almost none that play wide or exclusively wide. Almost none. I mean, I'm going to start reading you out some names here. This isn't going to be the best podcast But just go with me here for a minute, right? Eza, Gakpo, Braby, Uttara, Osula, Callum Wilson, Kieran Dewsbury-Hall, Noah Okafor, Jaden Anthony, Nick Waltamata. Mostly central players, strikers or midfielders, okay?

31:15Shada, Barry, Raul Jimenez, Bruno Fernandez, Jared Bowen, I guess a wide player, Bruno Guimaraes, Ismail Assar, Beto, Casemiro, Harry Wilson. Maybe two wide players there. Now we're into the top 20. Morgan Rodgers, Cole Palmer, Cunha, Fernandez, Richarlison, Zian Fleming, Brian Mbumo, Sesko, Eketike, Mateta. Almost all strikers are central players. Welbeck, Kruppi, Cavert-Lewin, Jokeres, all strikers. Gibbs-White, support striker, central midfielder. João Pedro, Ole Watkins, Semenyo, a guy many people think we should have gone for, by the way, to address the wide position. Igor Tiago and Erling Haaland.

31:53There's almost no wingers in there. Almost none. Certainly almost no true wingers. And some people aren't even that blown away with Semenyoun would say he got to his goal tally with a hot finishing run for City and then went cold. City fans were mixed on him. It is a weird time in the game to feel like, why don't we get goals from wide positions? Well, maybe the answer is just nobody's getting goals from wide positions. Maybe the reason we're going for Morgan Rodgers, the reason we decided ultimately to get Ezza, The reason we've invested where we've invested is the goals are coming from strikers and the guys crashing the box behind the strikers.

32:28And we're trying to leverage that fact because teams have gotten good at isolating and identifying the threat out wide. You know who you don't hear on that list? No, Mohamed Salah. Doku's not on that list. Unfortunately, Saka's not on that list. He was injured. Nani's not on that list. Martinelli's not on that list. Leo Trossard, who we love and thought had a good season, still not on that list. so you know you look around and you see these players that are playing in the wide positions and it's not that they're not facilitating play and it's not that they're not important they are but the game feels like it might be evolving and so maybe it's evolving to players like a Morgan Rodgers right and that might explain where we're going from now it does feel like the transfer merry-go-round is starting to turn and this is where we do need to really think about strategy.

33:14It is game theory at some point. Because I want to get your takes on, well, if Newcastle can't get Monsambi, can they let Bruno go? But if Villa lose Tielemans, can they let Rodgers go? You know, and all of this merry-go-round, I think, has repercussions for us. So the next section, we are going to do the transfer merry-go-round. But before we do that, I think you can't get on a transfer merry-go-round if you don't know what brands to take with you. You'd be like, I'm on this merry-go-round. I have no brands with me. What do I do? We're going to solve that. So let's talk brands. Hey, World Cup fans.

33:54If you want proper analysis, honest opinions, and plenty of laughs along the way, give The Rest is Football a listen. Gary Lineker is joined by Alan Shearer and Micah Richards throughout the tournament as they break down all the big games, the biggest moments, and everything happening on and off the pitch. They'll also be chatting with some brilliant guests along the way. Whether you've watched soccer your whole life or you're just getting into it, they'll help make sense of the drama, the tactics, the joy, and the heartbreak of the World Cup. Listen to The Rest is Football wherever you get your podcasts.

34:27Imagine buying your kid a toy only to find the batteries aren't included, or buying furniture but missing the tools to build it. Frustrating, right? Now imagine the exact same feeling, but you're paying way more. That is what buying business software usually feels like. Fragmented, disconnected, and incredibly expensive. Odoo completely changes that. Odoo is a complete, fully integrated business suite where all your apps actually talk to each other. We're talking automated lead routing for your sales team, seamless AI integration, and intuitive point-and-click website builder. It's everything your business needs to scale, saving you time, headaches, and money.

35:09Stop piecing your software together. Go to odoo.com. That's O-D-O-O dot com to learn more. And I want to tell you about Shopify. Shopify is the e-commerce platform that lets you build beautiful, professional, high-quality e-commerce sites for whatever it is you make or you care about, where you don't have to know the technical stuff, the things you know, what makes your product special, how to describe it, what pictures to show of it. You know, the things about what you make and what you care about that have value. What you may not know, how to write code, how to connect to TikTok shop, Instagram shop, Facebook marketplace shop, things like that, right?

35:53How to do cart optimization or shipping or taxation. So Shopify says, hey, write your description, upload your pictures, set your price. will tell people, hey, you forgot something in your cart or other shoppers are buying this with this or they'll connect it to those social platforms so you can reach your people that love your stuff wherever they are and they can get your stuff and they can feel really good about the site they're using because it has that professional quality that gives people confidence to shop from you. So try Shopify and get your products out into the world where they belong.

Read the full transcript

36:27In 2026, stop waiting and start selling with Shopify sign up for your$1 per month trial and start selling today at shopify.com slash arsenal vision that's shopify.com slash arsenal vision go to shopify.com slash arsenal vision hear your first this new year with Shopify by your side one other quick update want to let you know that we do have an app coming I'm excited for it iOS first, Android will follow it'll be a free app of course you can listen to all the episodes in the app and they'll drop quicker I know sometimes like with Apple for example the podcast feed just doesn't update right away this will update right away uh you'll be able to vote for stocks your stock rising stock falling in the app you'll be able to connect your patreon if you want if you only want to hear the patreon episodes and not the main you can just click a button and only hear those we'll have um you know the ability to do things in there that you want to do in there and the things you don't want to do in there you expressly will not do in there that that is important wanted you to know about that okay paul the transfer merry-go-round before we get into the specifics how much of this interconnectedness do you believe in people lose their mind when this when this club's going for this player it's going to affect us going for that player do you think there's as much interconnectedness as we believe or do you think that's more fan vibes sentiment than it is the reality of the transfer market uh for dealings with newcastle i think it's completely interconnected connected um it'd be one thing if we were going for bruno guimoresh and he was the first one out the door but given that he's their captain they're only remaining midfielder of any note and like uh kind of a a legend in the making for them if they ever won anything which they hopefully never will no yeah and so i think they were leaning on the fact you can sell to nally because we got Guy Muresh, you know, it's like, that's a choice.

38:21We'll take the money. We didn't want to lose him, but so be it. And Anthony Gordon, let's not forget. For sure. And like, so then they'll have lost Isaac last season, Anthony Gordon, Tonali. It looks like it's a fire sale. And I just don't, unless they have the guy that they can brag about to come in for Guy Muresh, I don't think he can get done. or it gets done at such ridiculous money that we're not going to pay completely ridiculous money for Gimares. We'll pay slightly ridiculous money or fairly ridiculous money, but not completely, absolutely nutty money. And I would hope we don't go all season in some kind of war of attrition trying to get the player out of there.

39:08It's not going to do anybody any good, I think, at the end of it. So, yeah, they need to have the option in place where they can say, look, we took Arsenal to the cleaners for 80 million, but we bought this guy who's really great and we're building for the future, which seems to be their current narrative, even if it isn't a narrative choice. It's the narrative of this is why we sold players we didn't want to sell and took all that money. Tim, what do you make of that? I mean, it is hard for me to believe that a club of Newcastle stature or whatever we perceive it to be, and maybe that stature is changing, can lose Gordon, Tenali and Gameraish and be sort of gazumped from Unzombie, who I think would be a really interesting addition.

39:55And by the way, I think a really savvy move for whoever wants to go get him and, you know, and still have any ability to compete, really. I mean, it's just such a talent drain without anything clear coming in to replace it. And I think the order of operations does sometimes matter because if you're Newcastle and you've already lost Gordon and you've already lost Tenali and Manzambi is now seemingly going to Villa. I don't think you can sell Gimreich until or unless you've got something of value in I mean you've got the cash has come in so I think you need to do that I think the idea that we can get Newcastle to say yes to a fee that we would be okay spending absent them having brought something in is a fantasy I could be wrong that could be fan mindset and I know Kia Jirabshian is involved and Kia tends to get the things done he wants to get done but what do you think of that the idea that newcastle might have to bring something in before they could possibly countenance accepting a fee let alone a a sort of reasonable fee for bruno gemerich yeah a lot of this is how much face are they willing to lose here um it feels already lost a lot yeah yeah yeah it feels like um and i don't say this pejoratively like but kind of bad pr as much as anything because really what newcastle are in is they need to do a bit of a rebuild um and getting a lot of money for a 28 year old who's got two well i believe it's emerged he's got two plus ones so they've effectively got him for for three years um but plus ones can be different sometimes it can be player side sometimes be club side but anyway like again economically it would make a lot of sense for them to make that sale even having lost to Nali and Gordon because you know they keep bumping up against these regulations both UEFA and Premier League and you know frankly they put this group together and they won a League Cup which I think they would have hoped was the start of something and not the culmination of it but it looks like with this group it's going to be the culmination and they've kind of got to go again and to be able to go again they're going to have to raise funds and they have been messaging about that um quite quite clearly not even back channel they've been saying look the reality is we're going to have to we're going to have to sell to buy and we're going to have to get good at that now um so but obviously having already sold to nali and you know uh and and gordon that does potentially make it more difficult i guess what gives me pause though is whenever this kind of stuff comes out like on one hand i can't think of specific examples off the top of my head i'm certain we've lost out on targets before because of this because it's like well they'd already sold player x so they wouldn't budge on player y i'm pretty sure that that's happened and that's quite a normal thing that happens on the other i feel like what comes out in public like there's a there's a trail on that right i'm pretty sure that like the tonali thing to tottenham that was widely reported but for a long time before it happened and even before something's reported i'm certain people in football know about it before like you know even someone like david ornstein that's presumably who he gets it from in the first place so like there's still a lag on information coming into the public so when arsenal are courting a player like bruno guimarese i don't think they find out that like tonali is going to spurs for 100 million because of a david ornstein tweet i'm pretty sure they already know that and you know the stuff about villa um hijacking one of their transfers um way to way to unite against the red cartel guys by the way um you know i'm pretty sure that people inside the game know that a few days before or at least know which way the wind's blowing so that yeah that does just give me a little pause where it's like i'm i'm sure that none of this is a mystery to a club like arsenal now there's some reporting out there that maybe we were misled on like what this would actually cost that there's Some reporting that 50 million would have gotten it done.

44:15We were told 50 million was an acceptable number. But then there's reporting that we've made two bids in excess of that. So why would we be told 50 million or get it done? We'll just pay 55 because we're really generous. Well, we are rich. We'll just add on 10 % for the hell of it. And without naming too many names, I think there is some reporting around Newcastle that can be difficult to trust. should we say. So I think we are going to have to wait and see on this one. The bottom line is, of course, it won't make it any easier, will it? It doesn't mean it won't get done, but it's certainly not going to make it easier.

44:55Yeah. Paul, because I want to get to this sort of Villa angle on this. This is where people can get mad at Arsenal, but you have to realize that there's sort of an ecology of transfers, right? There's this symbiosis. So Arsenal think, Newcastle have said, look, we're buying Manzambi. When we get him in, we're prepared to consider a bid for Gamer-Eich, but we really are not going to close that deal until then. Villa Gazump, Newcastle. We go to Newcastle and say, what does this do for the Gamer-Eich bin? They say, well, at this point now, we can't move him. Arsenal reasonably believed they were going to get Gamer-Eich based on conversations they had around what Newcastle were bringing in.

45:32Newcastle lose that player, and they have to change their stance to us. And then people start going, what's Berna doing? And it's like, well, we're all sort of somehow downstream of what each club is doing, right? There are dominoes here that affect each other. And so I wonder what you think of that. And it goes even further now because it looks like United maybe getting Tielemans. Tielemans supposedly has a release clause. Villa lose Tielemans. They get Manzambi. Well, you know, Onana's just done his ACL. can they lose Onana, Tielemans, and Rodgers with just Monsambi coming in? Again, I don't think so.

46:14And I'll tell you something. I don't think the Rodgers deal is close. I don't think we should just assume we're getting Rodgers. And I think until Newcastle have someone they believe they can get in midfield, I don't think the Bruno deal is close. And that's not me being negative. I think that's me looking at the reality of the clubs we're trying to buy from. look at the if the shoe was on the other foot and we just lost odegaard and we just lost ethan and we just lost i don't know zubomendi and we had a replacement and someone was bidding for rice and the replacement goes to another club there's no way we could sell it now i realize it's hard for any of us to put ourselves in that position because we're the biggest most successful most cherished club in the world we're we're the most valued club in the world obviously only we buy We never sell.

47:01It's actually close to true. If only we had some experience of losing, I don't know, Cesc and Nasri. But if you did that, you couldn't be a big club, as a manager famously said. But again, to bring this back to some type of question, do you think that either of those moves, Rodgers or Guimaraes, can happen unless and until those clubs have a sense of how they're going to deal with serious, significant losses in those areas and no real replacements lined up? No, not really. You create a very compelling case. It's a little depressing. When you look at the Villa situation, it's very hard to see how Rogers gets out of there until they work out how they line up their ducks.

47:46And like, maybe we're all going, remember we used to all be financial accountant experts because that's what you needed. I continue to be, just so we're clear. Net spend, all that good stuff. Maybe we're all about to become far, far more familiar with transfers at Newcastle and Aston Villa and their financial and market positioning and their relationships with their supporters. because, yeah, it doesn't look to me like we've got the easiest exit plans for those players. And, you know, it is part of the problem that we're now very committed to buying from the Premier League. And there's at least a 50-50 chance that the key target you're going for, probably greater than 50 % chance that he's in the top layer of the table.

48:40and you know here's two clubs we've and I think rightly so pissed off along the way Newcastle Aston Villa there's a we've now got real beef with these clubs and it's fun and all to come in for their best player and totally piss them off but there's a premium you pay for all of that that keeps inching the the cost of the player up and up and I think makes Bruno Guimaraes less and less likely um i still think rogers there's going to be a way to get that done somehow because michael normally gets his number one choice during the summer historically and that feels to me his number one choice but the bruno one i mean there's definitely a price at which we say this is silly and uh there's a silly price for rogers that we stay in for quite a while but yeah there's a series of moves but those clubs need to make those moves and have a plan for them now we're relying on their ability to execute in the market it's a lot of dependencies there are a lot of dependencies and and this is the thing and this goes back to my point about we just won the title so we love all our players and we don't want to say anything negative about them the team the club any of that but we want to continue to go and build on that season we just had i would argue of the past four seasons.

50:09Last season wasn't our best from a performance standpoint, but you don't control all the variables in a title-winning season. And over the four-year stretch, we definitely deserved at least one title, and we got one. That's how I kind of think about it. And it happened to be this one season. I'm very glad we did. And it was the depth of our squad that helped us get there during a very attritional season. If you told me we don't win the title this coming season, I do not think it's going to be because we ship a ton of goals. It's going to be because we don't score enough goals. I mean, I think we would all agree that if you had to pick one or the other, that would be probably what you'd think, right?

50:45And Tim, I mean, we scored 71 goals this past season. Now, it was a down season for goals, but the last time we did that, we were 10 points off the title. I don't think we can score 71 goals again and assume that we'll be winning a title or even really in the title race. Now, maybe we will. Maybe the league is changing. but I think we have to approach this summer with the position that 71 goals won't do it. And I think Mikel Arteta has spoken to that, by the way, that we need more goals. And that means being clear-eyed about the talent we have in the attacking group. We've really locked into Rodgers, which suggests to me that Mikel and the club must feel that Rodgers is how we get more goals.

51:25But let's just say for a second that that's not a clear and obvious approach. I mean, is there a world where we say this villain Newcastle stuff is too dynamic, it's too fluid, it's going to be too hard for us to pull off, and we go and we look at players who are actual, genuine forwards, attackers, players who can come in and get goals. And that leads you to a name like Barkala, but I'm wondering, you know, where else it leads you, and it goes back to my point about how few clear options there are there. So is there another approach that you think that we could pivot to at this point in the window to look at more natural attacking options who ensure that it isn't goal scoring that causes us to fall short this season?

52:13Yeah, maybe. Maybe we change the whole medical staff and that solves all our problems. We have. Yeah. Good point. I was burying the lead there. Well, all right. Can I give you a hypothetical? Quick hypothetical. And I'm going to ask you both just super quick. Sorry to cut across you, but I meant to ask this sooner. I am going to offer you one of two things. No transfers at all. None out, none in. So Leo's not going to, nobody leaves, nobody comes in. But you're guaranteed every player is 100 % fit the entire season. Every player, you can pick them for every game. Or I can't guarantee you fitness.

52:49You have to roll the dice on that. But you can have whatever signings you want. Which are you taking, the fitness or the signings? or if it's whatever signings i want yeah then i'm taking whatever if it's who we're linked with credibly i'm probably taking the fitness i'm probably saying yeah saka have a urdegaard i suppose with urdegaard it's as much form am i getting the form with the fitness that's still take the fitness every game of saka every game of kai or yokris every game of leo or martinelli if you want to play Ezzo over there, it means you can, you know, Odegaard and Rice and Zubomendi and Miles and all the defenders.

53:29I mean, like, I don't see anybody challenging us if every one of our players is fully fit for the season. Now, by the way, you can't have that. That's the whole point. But I don't think we have a deficit of talent. And you have to plan that that's not going to happen. Right. Which is what we did last season as well. And it didn't happen and we were right to plan that way. And to your point, we have to plan that winning the goal was 71. Only three Premier League champions have scored fewer. So it's not unprecedented. One of which was us, actually, in 1997-1998. One of which was Leicester. And we're likely to need a lot more open play goals because the PGMOL is coming for our corners.

54:10Yeah, because there's a big moral panic about scoring from corners. Yeah, exactly. And we might be fine. we might like i i actually think given what they're proposing with corners i don't expect it'll impact us too much because like well no because lots of people like have just assumed because we're good at corners that we're like we've got everyone in a headlock and actually when you look at our corners what happens is everyone goes to the back post and runs in like there's there's there's actually not that much physical contact at all um it's almost like so you're saying the rule is gabrielle magliese has a free run at the six yard box oh no don't do that yeah yeah exactly but what i would kind of plan on is that there is pressure on the premier league for some reason to have fewer goals from corners i don't know why i don't know why equivalent moral panics don't exist i don't know why if we have like a season of lots of players scoring from long range do lots of just some influential people say i don't like goals from long range get rid of them i don't know i don't know what this is all about but that's um that's another rant altogether but i'm with you paul let's plan on the fact that we will probably get goals from corners ruled out for no reason for no other reason than probably the referee will feel under pressure like there's a quota or something like oh uh yeah i've got to disallow this for some reason we have seen that during the world cup so yeah plan on all the disaster scenarios definitely so um yeah yeah if you if you offered me uh one of those two i'm taking the fitness but i also know that's very unlikely to happen particularly off the back of a world cup year our two best title challenges really have well our three best to be honest have come off the back of non-tournament summers and you could argue that the first one the mid-season world cup had something to do with it maybe it didn't i don't know but it was there and we weren't as good after it so um you know it's it's maybe semi-unprecedented for us to really put together a title challenge uh under michael arteta off the back of a of a tournament so we have we have to disaster plan 100 well okay yes agreed but and we we won it last year because we did because the disasters happened yeah not the big injuries and we mitigated against them and and the squad came through and they did and and so now paul to my to my point about is it rogers that boosts the attack is it game race that gives us more of that progressiveness there is another player back on the agenda that's kind of re-entered the picture and that's julian alvarez um atleti seem open to selling i don't think they'd like to sell to barcelona i think it's possible we're being used in an inevitable move to Barcelona.

57:06I mean, we've seen this before, where a third club gets sort of brought into the picture to force the other side to the table in a proper way, but Lillian Alvarez obviously just scored a brilliant goal in the World Cup, so now he is once again the best player in the world and the one we should be going for, after having not really impressed in the World Cup prior to that, but that's beside the point. I really rate the player. I am dubious about whether he wants to be in England and at Arsenal when it's pretty clear that Barcelona is his first choice. Now, the idea that a player comes to you when you're second choice and then doesn't work his ass off and try hard to win, I don't buy that.

57:46I think if they come, they play as hard as they can and they try their best. But I certainly think that would be an issue for some. I think Mikel Arteta is someone who only wants players that really want to be a part of the project what do you make of those rumors resurfacing the extent to which there could be a there there and whether that is the player who could boost our attack to the goal level that it needs to hit yeah so um look I've obviously got no sources so yeah yeah I'm with you on that Which is great. I got a clean sheet of paper here. There's a chance. There's absolutely a chance.

58:24Let me make the case for why there's a chance. Barcelona would probably go deep into the window, stinking the place up to make it very difficult for Julian Alvarez to stay with Atletico Madrid. but Atletico Madrid really don't want to let him go to Barcelona and would welcome any other option. So he may not be quite as ridiculous for us price-wise as he would otherwise be. Mikel's worked with him. So they either like each other or they hate each other. It's very probable they like each other a lot. Alvarez left the Premier League because he wanted to go back to Spain but Spain's a small place so if you're going to go back to the Premier League a place that maybe he decided wasn't his favourite thing for his style of football at least he's gone back to Miguel who he knows and the Barcelona thing may not pan out in terms of a deal so what are the odds maybe 10-15 % the problem might be if it happened so late in the window that we'd you know with Bruno Guimaraes and Morgan Rodgers wearing the red and white of Arsenal, we might be going through the petty cash tray and finding£5.23.

59:42And that's always the problem with Arsenal. But there's absolutely a path there. Improbable as it may be, I'd put maybe 15%, 20 % on it. Maybe that's a little high even because other options do come up along the way. somehow that we're not seeing in our universe where there's only two places he can go um but look there's a chance and there's a relationship and like Mikel's pretty good talking to players and he knows you know they speak the same language they have the same reference points uh he's from Barcelona uh himself so well from their academy they've they've so much common material to work with that it's definitely a possibility.

1:00:33And he's Arteta's maybe dream attacker. And that's got to be appealing to Julian Alvarez too. And we've been in the final of the Champions League, semi-final of the Champions League, which is something Barcelona haven't been recently. Not the final anyway. So we've a lot of chips to play with. Yeah. We can pay. yeah I really like Julian Alvarez like he's the kind of player I like you think he can influence the game in different areas he can move out wide he can play through the middle he can score you spectacular goals he can help create goals I realize his output for Atleti wasn't spectacular this past season but as we've discussed first of all the output from individual players in general is down other than Erling Haaland you know non-penalty goals from players are in the third sort of 14, 12, 10 goals in the Premier League.

1:01:26Those are your leaders. That's what you're getting. You know, our top goal scorer had, what, 11 non-penalty goals this season in the Premier League? And that was Victor Yocres, I believe. You know, or thereabouts. So it's, you know, you're not talking about who's the next 30-goal scorer for Arsenal. That's just not the era we're in. I think Arsenal have looked better under Mikel Arteta when we play with forwards who can be part of the buildup and combine and drop into midfield more. And we've had issues with that, certainly. There were times when Jesus was dropping too much into midfield. If you go back before that, when Lacazette was dropping too much into midfield and not getting into the box to support the attack.

1:02:02But I think our best attacks generally have an on-ball, build-up-involved attacker. And I think Julien Alvarez could be that guy. Tim, you have thoughts on him? yeah I'm I'm kind of I can understand why um you know this might be Arteta's first choice you know whether it's the most realizable I don't know but it kind of feels like he's a bit Morgan Rogers but he's a bit Kai Havertz as well I think that's kind of what we're getting at here like he's got that shot from the edge of the area and that seems to be of some importance I think to Arteta in buying Eza being interested in Morgan Rodgers he wants more way and Zubimendi as well like clearly he wants that kind of um that threat at the top of the box uh quite a bit more Alvarez gives you that but he comes back into midfield and he links and and he does all that nice stuff as well and I think because ultimately the the kind of I guess riddle with like an elite team is if you're gonna have like a truly elite goal scorer who can get 25 30 goals a season and this isn't new by the way quite often the thing they share in common is that they're not really going to be involved in the build-up like Harland isn't like Van Nistelrooy wasn't like Ian Wright wasn't um this is where Thierry Henry was a real unicorn like you're always making that trade-off and to make that trade-off worthwhile the player has to score 25 to 30 goals a season because like we're kind of losing something by you being there same with like you know we were talking about Jude Bellingham earlier they were genuine and I think understandable kind of articles about whether he should come to the World Cup Tuchel actually did leave him out sometimes those players do give you a tactical problem but basically if they keep scoring enough goals then that's fine and to your point Elliot I'm not sure that player is out there I'm not sure that player exists in terms of like this guy will score 30 goals a season and therefore all his other shortcomings won't bother us like Jokeres Jokeres has those shortcomings as well and the debate there will always be does he score enough goals to to make up for those shortcomings and people will vary on that whereas Alvarez feels to me like a bit of a hybrid between a lot of the players that we're that we're interested in so I can definitely see why if it was Arteta's choice and you took out all the usual factors that dominate whether you get signings done or not that Alvarez would probably be his kind of dream signing.

1:04:40Yeah, and managers have this thing where they often like to go for a player that they were impressed by when they played against them. I don't know if this is the case for Emery, but obviously Manzambi, who Villa are going for now, plays for Freiburg. Freiburg played against Villa in their Europa League final, right? Julien Alvarez, Mikel got to play against him three times this season. I think he impressed against us. I do. and but but also those games what happens in those games is you might have a chance to meet their agent yeah talk to them shake their hand at full time put an arm around them see how you see the the martinez video after argentina switzerland where he goes up to sorry you've just said his name and i've forgotten his name the swiss manzambi yeah manzambi it's so funny he just goes up to him you come into villa and he goes yeah and that's no way yeah no i haven't seen it that's amazing It's so good.

1:05:31Yeah. Oh, that's hilarious. Yeah. And by the way, I mean, to that point, a lot of the silliness is starting. I don't know if you saw it, but Kaio Saka had an Instagram post of him wearing his England shirt. Just so happens, don't read anything into it. It's him standing next to Morgan Rodgers in his England shirt. Just the two of them. That's it. That's the post. You know, not shit stirring at all. I promise. So yeah, this is definitely a silly season for that reason. Paul, sort of a final thought there on how this works. because, look, Barcola, great player, would love him at Arsenal. Alvarez, great player, would love him at Arsenal.

1:06:03Rodgers, great player, would love him at Arsenal. Bruno, great player, love him at Arsenal. I would take all four. We've got to get back to reality. I don't think that's going to happen, and I think very clearly the remit has to be, can Arsenal bring in players who help us progress the ball and need to attack in third and create more goals so that we are not looking at next season saying we fell short because of goals and that was predictable and avoidable. That is the remit this summer in my mind. So do you think, do you see the Barkle and Alvarez thing as maybe where there's opportunity that the vagaries of what's happening with Newcastle and Villa means we shouldn't have all our eggs in those baskets?

1:06:42And most importantly, maybe, are you starting to get any agita, any concern, any feeling of saying, it's July 13th, you know, we're going to be in Dublin doing a preseason show in three weeks. We're going to be playing the Community Shield in four weeks. I mean, it sounds crazy, but it's probably time to get moving, you know? Yeah. Am I getting any agita? There's a word I've never used before. I'm probably getting a bit of agita. Agita. Is it agita or agita? Well, if I'm saying it, it's going to be agita because I'm Irish. Yeah, I think it's agita. I think you're right. I think it's pronounced agita but spelled agita.

1:07:24Yeah. Well, it depends where you live. A lot of things are spelt one way and pronounced differently dependent. I'm going to go with agita. Yeah, yeah, yeah. You're right, agita. Yeah. Yeah. Okay. So that's my answer. No, I've got agita about when the agita will kick in, basically. And I have that schedule for a few weeks out. Way too early, lads. Wait, I'm enjoying the World Cup. And I don't, how can I be getting agita without the World Cup being over? and like a week put in where like lots of photos of guys on vacation and then we go bananas about how Arsenal's done nothing but every other club has signed up all the players they wanted apart from the clubs we have a chain of events that need to be done before we get to.

1:08:13So there's plenty of time for that I think and yet so little time left in the summer because of the bloody World Cup. So you can schedule it. It'll be the week after the week after the World Cup. That's when everybody else will be going nuts, and therefore it will leak. It will pee in my pool, and I'll be getting wound up too. So we've got time for that. There's a place for it. There's a season. Turn to everything. Turn, turn. Turn, turn. Turn, turn. It's coming. Don't worry. I guess I'll give you, Tim, that this can be sort of where we wrap this because we've got a lot to do still. Like I said, we're going to do player ratings, pod we're going to get back into scouting some players probably julian alvarez scouting video are we saying julian alvarez or julian alvarez by the way tim thoughts there don't know or julian you could go with julian so of the three options go with the worst check got that um tim is it is it like like i want to be clear i i just don't have the energy to be angry at arsenal for anything at the moment but i acknowledge that we're getting to the the end of the world cup some of the players we are linked with are still there.

1:09:23So that is just a reality, right? Rodgers is still there. Julian Alvarez is still there. His middle names, I'm just looking it up, Ajita. No, it isn't. Are you ready? Are you prepared to say it's sort of getting to go time and that while none of us are angry, but you're prepared to start saying, okay, now we need to start seeing some movement in the market? Yeah, I mean, it's obviously to do with the World Cup because all the stuff you're seeing now is generally people who've just been knocked out. So, like, we're hearing about Trossard now, aren't we, going? Because Belgium just got knocked out and the Bruno Guimari stuff started after Brazil got knocked out.

1:10:08So, like, that seems to be how things are kind of going. I still look at our, you know, broadly our competitors, like Liverpool have bought Jeremy Jacket, haven't they? I know that's not how you pronounce it No, no, no, that's in keeping with our pronunciation That is how I'm going to be pronouncing it Our protocol for pronunciation Let's just hope they don't coat him off if he doesn't perform very well Nice one And you know, that's kind of a youth signing, isn't it? And like, so United, what they've done like Andre Santos from Chelsea decent opportunistic signing looks like they're going to do a release clause for Tielemans again belgium went out a couple of days ago that's starting to ferment a bit so i do think there's a lot of that but personally i think i said this on the pod a couple of weeks ago i'm actually okay with some of these deals going right down to the wire if needs be because i don't think i think our squad is in good shape still basically i'm not saying i don't want any improvements at all or blah blah blah but i'm not looking at us and going oh my god like if we don't get that player i don't know who we're going to play there like the cupboards but i don't i don't think our cupboard is bare anywhere really i think what we're looking not even with the fitness concerns no i mean it wouldn't be ideal but with we're talking about maybe two or three games um you know i i could live with it in a way that like for example last summer i couldn't last summer it was like no no we need numbers as much as anything whereas here i think we're looking to put a cherry on the cake somewhere and I'm personally a bit more patient with that because I think we're in quite good shape it looks like we're going to be buying like Premier League ready players or Premier League experience players and therefore you know the whole missing pre-season thing so long as they're fit and in shape to be honest it sounds like most of them would miss pre-season anyway because of the World Cup so don't get me wrong it wouldn't be ideal I'd prefer for things to be done as quickly as possible i'm sure everyone would but i'm not quite in that now now now and now bracket no yeah and i think you have to take every transfer window in in isolation and accept that a world cup pushes everything later that our season ended properly ended as late as it ever has that some of the players we're looking at the tier we're shopping in now those players in order to get them, they're more complicated transfer sagas and they are connected to what those clubs are able to do to replace the talent you're taking away.

1:12:48You know, if you want to buy a Christos Solis from Brugge, they don't want to lose him, but they can use the money and they know there's a deal to be struck. When you want to buy a Morgan Rodgers at a Villa or Bruno Gimera, you know, the captain of Newcastle after they've lost two huge players already. If you want to buy a Julian Alvarez or if you want to buy a Bradley Barkola from clubs that are big and have huge ambitions and lots of money. Those are difficult transfers. They're harder to do given that the players are still at the World Cup, and they're further complicated by the agents involved in the clubs you're dealing with.

1:13:19So I do think we probably, like, it would behoove us to get some of the basics done. Leo's gone. Let's get that Solis deal done. You know, if we have some younger players we want to bring in or squad-type players we want to bring in or move out, like okay let's start seeing that activity get done if you know it sounds like the trossard and i'm gonna call him solace again because i like it it does sound like they're very linked in fact i think maybe fabricio romano said those two things are linked and basically as soon as the trossard deal is done arsenal will press the button yeah so so that'd be good a new player to get excited about we've scouted him you can go have a look um but the big deals they're going to take time and I don't think it's beyond the realm of possibility that this is one where we're looking at our major signings coming in quite late and that the start of the season is a bit tricky, that we're having to rest players who need rest and our new signings aren't bedded in and we're playing some players we wouldn't expect to play.

1:14:16But maybe that creates an opportunity for players like Ethan, Max, Miles. These are talented young players who could come to the fore. Could be a very exciting start to the season. You know what? Here's the cool thing. We're going to find out together. let's knock it on the head there. We'll have some good patron stuff for you this week, as we always do, but we will also have World Cup dailies. So there's something for everyone, and I hope you're enjoying that. I do just want to send our best wishes to Phil, of course, to get well. I really miss podcasting with him. I'm really enjoying podcasting with Timsy, but obviously really miss Phil.

1:14:46And so I want his voice to come back so we can get him back on the pod soon. He is a certified ball knower. To the others on the pod, I will say thank you. Paul? Woo-hoo! Yep. Tim, thanks, man. My pleasure as always. good luck to England of course and to me well you know what say whatever you want to me my chest is here hit me as Mikkel once said but don't I'm really sensitive I take it very personally we love you and we'll talk to you after Arsenal's entrance

1:15:28You

From the publisher

On this edition of the ArsenalVision Podcast, Elliot is joined by Tim and Paul to discuss a bit on England at the World Cup, Leo leaving the club, the paucity of wide attacking talent, and the latest on Bruno, Rogers and Alvarez. Chapter timings below.

Chapters:

00:00 Intro Music
05:28 England's World Cup Semifinal Run
12:06 Celebrating the Title While Staying Honest
17:33 Trossard's Exit and the Left Wing
25:09 Where Have the Goal-Scoring Wingers Gone?
37:41 The Transfer Merry-Go-Round and Newcastle
45:11 The Villa Angle: Rogers and Tielemans
50:04 Do We Need More Goals?
52:35 Fitness or Signings? A Hypothetical
56:49 Julian Alvarez Back on the Agenda
1:07:20 Is It Go Time on Transfers?

Signup for our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/arsenalvisionpodcast (Get 50% off first month with code SALIBA50)

You can now gift a Patreon membership https://www.patreon.com/arsenalvisionpodcast/gift

Check out the merch store at https://shop.arsenalvisionpodcast.com

Interested in advertising on this podcast? Email sales@bluewirepods.com


Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

More from The ArsenalVision Podcast - Arsenal FC

All 175 episodes
Villa and Newcastle Moves Complicate Arsenal Transfer SituationThe ArsenalVision Podcast - Arsenal FC · 1 h 14 min
Listen in VO