Trump Opposition Hits New High

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0:30The Second World War is the largest event in human history. A 20-part documentary series with Tom Hanks. No part of the globe was untouched. No life unchanged. Experience the ultimate account of World War II. Every single person had a story. These are the stories that make us who we are. World War II with Tom Hanks. New episode tomorrow at 8. Part of History Honors 250. Only on the History Channel. Welcome to Beat Everyone. We begin with Donald Trump's political crisis. This is a domestic story with international implications. Fox News has a poll, think about the source, showing a record 59 % of Americans disapprove of Trump's presidency now.

1:15That's the highest across both terms. Among Hispanics, it's far worse. Disapproval surging to 72%. And that's a group that he had actually made up some ground with in the last election. Trump faces scrutiny for failing across the board. It's not one failure like prices, and people say, well, presidents don't have sole control of the economy, or just on foreign policy, or just on the ICE tactics. It's basically disapproval across the board. On immigration, well, people don't like what they saw, especially over the last few months. Gas prices are now a dollar higher than a month ago, and that is a choice that is a direct result.

1:55Donald Trump made the choice to start the Iran war. Very few Americans were prepped for it or thought it was necessary, and now they're paying for it, quite literally. White House officials reportedly examining what the continued spike in oil prices means for the broader economy, because Bloomberg, a nonpartisan finance outlet, is reporting on how this could lead to a wider recession, which is something that even from a self-interested perspective, Trump doesn't want because it would hurt him further in the midterms. As for the war, take a listen. I won't use the word war because they say if you use the word war, that's maybe not a good thing to do.

2:31They don't like the word war because you're supposed to get approval. So I'll use the word military operation, which is really what it is. It's called a military decimation. A verbal or superficial approach to these problems is not very appealing according to the polls. Donald Trump's suggesting it's about words or branding, but real Americans are dying over there. And using different words for that doesn't change that. Privately, we're hearing that Trump still wants a speedy off ramp or an end. The Journal reporting on that. But of course, wanting that and actually getting things at least back to the status quo, meaning less bad than after Trump started the war, is a challenge.

3:11Republicans are anxious. We have an oil problem now because of the war and the problem in the Strait of Hormuz. Take one Alabama Republican who chairs the Armed Services Committee discussing the last Pentagon briefing. they need to be able to give us more answers. And I know we know they have more, but they're being very tight-lipped. And I think that's being directed. We just wanted them to tell us what's the plan, and we didn't get any answers. What's the plan? They have no answers. That's from the hawkish Republican MAGA voice, and that's in public. You don't have to be a political expert to imagine what he's really saying in private, in that private briefing, or when he calls into the White House and says, we're doing what we can, but your failed war with high gas prices that's unpopular needs an end going into the midterms.

4:09And it might even be more colorful than that. The point is, the outer edge of opposition is already negative from the MAGA side to say nothing of the broader polling I showed you. Speaker Mike Johnson made up an award to give to the president. Take that for what you will and take a look. He is the suitable and fitting recipient of the first ever America First Award. We can think of no better title for what that is.

4:43That's this beautiful golden statue here. The SNL cold open writes itself. We have a president talking about how maybe if he doesn't call his war a war, people won't notice we're at war. They've noticed. And we have the Speaker of the House, who I'll remind you, is a very important position in line of succession to the presidency, taking time out of running the country or trying to stop the airport madness and lines or reopen the DHS or reform ICE or deal with the war. No, he's taking time away from all that to give out what he admits are made up golden awards. I want to bring in our guest, James Carville.

5:24He's a legendary political strategist. He's no nonsense. And I'll tell you, James, right off the bat, I appreciate you being here. We don't have a fake gold statue for you. Okay. OK, man, my feelings are hurt. I can't believe I mean, you got to give me something. We just got to give you something. Can you speak to this contrast? Because these would be bad numbers if we weren't at war. These would be bad numbers if people weren't paying at the pump. But it seems a lot worse. Well, we have the polling in this universe. By the way, the Fox poll in election analysis is actually quite good. I got to give them a little credit.

6:01They have a definitive wall there. But I'm really opposed to looking at election returns. And not just the Trump's Mar-a-Lago district. I'm looking at a state senate district in Florida. I'm looking at races in Pennsylvania. I'm looking at races all over the country. And you're seeing the same thing. And the stunning thing, all right, from a political professional's viewpoint is there's no geographic to it. It's all the same. They lose between 10 to 14 points. It doesn't matter where it is. And I think that speaks a lot to the really precarious political situation that the Republican Party is in right now.

6:40Very, very precarious. You say it's not just Mar-a-Lago, but it now includes Mar-a-Lago. We have some of that. Take a look at the reception to that flip.

6:53Democrats scored two major victories in yesterday's special elections. They flipped a state house seat in President Trump's home district. That includes Palm Beach County, where President Trump's Mar-a-Lago home is located. It's surprising in the sense that Donald Trump won this district by 11 points in 2024. They're able to win in Donald Trump's backyard, which is a real kick in the golf balls for Mar-a-Lardo. James? No. Well, let me talk about the Mar-a-Lago seat. There was a state senate seat that also flipped and farted. And the significance is it was to fill a vacancy because the governor appointed that state senator to be lieutenant governor.

7:34You don't have to be a genius to figure out he was going to appoint somebody to a safe Republican seat. That would be the equivalent of appointing somebody from Indiana to the Senate. You know, you're going to like, they lost that seat. And I thought, I think that's even more significant to them, the same symbolism. Yeah, let me slow you down because you're so versed. I mean, I don't know how you remember every district in the country. You know, I guess that's what some of the presidents have liked about you on the Democratic side. But you're making the point that they had a choice and they said, OK, we'll do it in a red area that we will automatically win.

8:10And you're saying they still lost that. Right. That he goes and the Republicans say since then, Democrats have a seat. So great. Well, that's great. We can't lose that district. And then you ended up losing that district. Which tells me that we're going to penetrate pretty deep into into red areas and come come November. It's pretty clear that that's happening right now. On the war, you have Americans here about the policy. And look, in contrast to most past wars, there was no presentation to Congress. The public wasn't brief. There wasn't really any civic process. I know I sound old fashioned.

8:47So folks have gotten their information on this wherever they get it, including obviously at the pump. 42 % of people say this makes us less safe. 20 % say no difference, which means not worth it to pay higher prices. Only the 35%, that would be sort of the sub-MAGA core, says more safe. What does that tell you as a polling and public opinion expert about a war that's only just gotten underway? Well, at some point, most every war is popular at one time. I mean, even a Vietnam War at one time, the golfer talking or something, They came up with the Iraq war was popular. This war has never been popular from the start.

9:26I mean, it just started in a bad place, and it's in a bad place. And I had a crusty aunt who was very outspoken, and she told me when I was a young man, she said, son, let me tell you something. You know what? Wars and affairs, you know, they have in common. I said, no, ma 'am. She said, easy to get into, hard to get out of. And people just remember that. Anybody, you can start a war. That's fine. Then how do you end it? That's quite another, that's the more difficult question. And I suspect he's just going to walk out of there. Remember what you saw he did today? You know, remember the movie, Gunn?

10:05The guy said, you don't think we're just going to pull up and walk out of here, do you? He said, yeah, that's exactly what you're going to do. You're going to pull up and you're going to walk out of India. And that's exactly what they did. He's just going to walk out of there. Boom. Well, it sounds like you had a wise aunt in the Carvel family. The president, the president. You know, the president has pushed a lot of lies and disinformation, and it does seem different in war than other domains. He lied about the available intelligence, about whether the U.S. had hit that school in Iran. That's a major thing.

10:43He now is lying geostrategically, if you want to say, about the oil over there. I mean, I don't know who he thinks he's fooling, but people know that gas prices are up and people have some understanding of the Mideast has this oil. And that's part of the strategic import to the United States. I mean, you know, you don't have to be a news junkie to know that. And yet he's here claiming, oh, well, maybe it's fine. And maybe we don't need basically the oil that's coming out of that region. And everybody knows, James, I mean, I rarely speak this broadly, but I think everybody in America knows that if we didn't need any oil over there, we wouldn't be over there at all.

11:19So here he is lying about the Strait of Hormuz. Take a look. The amazing thing is we don't need the Hormuz Strait. We don't need it. We don't need it at all. We have so much oil. Our country is not affected by this. We have twice the amount of oil as Saudi Arabia or Russia, and soon it'll be three times the amount. We are affected. A lot of policy planners say we need it. Indeed, it was one of the points, as you know, and there's been plenty of articles about this, that in multiple administrations, James, our best minds, NSA, CIA, and Intel said, you can do a lot again they're on from the air.

12:01But they have these economic oil countermeasures. My question to you on the presentation, on the politics even, if you want to call it that, is does it work when he lies like this about this? Well, I'm partly Daniel Yerkin, an energy expert, but it's insane. Oil has a world price. So maybe we don't get the oil that comes out of the Persian Gulf, but it affects the price of it. So it ends up at the bank because it's a worldwide commodity. Two different things is WTI and Brent. But forget that. When it goes up, it doesn't matter where you get it from. And I actually think he's that stupid that he doesn't understand.

12:40I don't think he's just lying to try to save his political self. Of course, he's doing that. I think he's too stupid to understand that the price of oil is a worldwide commodity and it's set in world markets. and if it goes up somewhere, it goes up here. It's that something that's not going. Right, that it's all, as you say, global supply and demand, interdependent. James, stay with me. We have our shortest break, 90 seconds, and I want to get into some of this vote-by-mail next.

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14:59Because I'm president of the United States and because of the fact that I'm president of the United States, I did a mail-in ballot for elections that took place in Florida because I felt I should be here instead of being in the beautiful sunshine. You were in Tall Beach, sir, the last few weekends. That's right. That's right. James? You know, that he's a hypocrite is hardly news to anybody. I think the majority of them voting in, like, Utah, Colorado, Oregon, there's all kind of vote by mail. And what he's really doing is trying to say people, non-white people are trying to steal a country from you by voting by mail.

15:41But that's, come on. And that's, he knows that better than that. Everybody knows better than that. That's just, to me, that's just coded racist talk, plain and simple. There's about that much election fraud in this country, and they keep bringing it up, and it's just a way that they can say a certain word without saying a certain word. To me, that's all it is. Period. Yeah. And what he's saying, if you're white and you want to vote by mail, that's fine. So I hate to say that, but I really believe it. And that's what I really believe. And I really believe that's what he's trying to tell us. It's OK for you and I, but not the other people.

16:23Right. And I know you hate to say it because you hate to make any inference about a sitting president trafficking in racism or voter suppression. But he's already admitted that he's posted racist ape videos. We didn't show them on this program, but he's he's he's in all that. So I take you to say patriotically you wish it weren't so. Go ahead. I know. We know it's true. And when you come to the point where you know something is true, but you can't say it and you know it's true, well, of course you can say it. And let me tell you, I don't think there's 5 % of the nonwhite people in the country that would disagree with me.

17:03And this is what he's really saying. And this is when they put this out. This is what they really mean. because the problem of voter fraud in this country is minuscule. And whenever you want to say the word without saying the word, you talk about voter fraud. And that's his coded message to, I don't know, his supporters or whatever you call them. But, Maury, you've got to understand, 35 % of people in this country will believe anything. But the fact that 65 are not fooled is a celebratory number. That's a good number. I like 65. And it makes sense, although you've got to keep in mind 72 % of statistics are made up.

17:46You know, I mean, you know, large figures lie, but, you know, if you see the consistency of election returns, they're not made up. And those are the results of the people. And as we see, the people, the story doesn't say the same. The people have moved. It's not November 24. There's a supermajority, as I mentioned in this week, against a lot of what Trump's doing. James Carville, on more than one topic, always good to see you, sir. Thank you. I enjoy it. Remember, inflation is supposed to go to 4.2%. If that happens, the Republicans are going to fall under 42%. There you go. It's the inflation, stupid.

18:24Thank you, James. Appreciate it. Coming up, John Flannery is here on Donald Trump's losing streak, which has him lashing out against judges. There's also outrage over the million-dollar-plus payout of your taxpayer dollars to Michael Flynn, who pled guilty in that Mueller probe. And by the end of the hour, we have something special for you tonight. The acclaimed director Boz Lerman makes his beat debut. He's worked with some of the top Hollywood stars, Elvis, Great Gatsby. We're excited to have him. Bring that bass up, Jerry. I wish to promote you, Mr. Presley. I believe I can be great. Ba-da-ba, ba-da-ba.

19:03Some people want to put me in jail. So I was moving. I will tell you God's truth. God's truth about myself. But I had the uneasy feeling that he was guarding secrets.

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20:47Visit IXL.com slash 20 to get the most effective learning program out there at the best price. Donald Trump is losing a lot in court, even though he's made the DOJ more partisan this term than during his first term, when he had an attorney general who actually followed the binding DOJ rules. That led to the appointment of Special Counsel Mueller, for example, who just passed away last weekend, the end of a legal era. That's relevant because the current DOJ and FBI leaders blatantly break rules. A.G. Bondi accused of breaking the Epstein law of lying to the public of misleading Congress. The FBI director, you see there, his behavior kind of speaks for itself.

21:26So she and the FBI are going after Trump's enemies list, probing and indicting the people that Trump publicly demands. You can see the results here. Now that can be illegal itself, but they've done it so incompetently that they keep losing. The green stamps showcases that have already fallen apart and been tossed. Trump's DOJ has had these cases stumble at early stages, lose. Sometimes Bondi's chosen prosecutors actually fail so badly, they've lost their own entire DOJ jobs in the process. Courts disqualifying them because they didn't get the required Senate approval to hold the job permanently.

22:03Now, that's bad. DOJ keeps losing. They should be chastened. They should follow the rulings and the law. But instead, A.J. Bondi has been going full Aaliyah. If at first DOJ don't succeed, dust yourself off and try again. Try again. Bondi is trying again on the losing quest to convict former FBI Director Comey. The news tonight is they've ginned up a new subpoena. That's after Trump's current AG and FBI Director failed to bill a valid case against him before, let alone win it. Keep in mind, the current FBI Director under Trump is literally trying to jail the former FBI Director on thin, sometimes meaningless, baseless charges.

22:51Ditto for New York Attorney General James, the feds trying again, Aaliyah style, after their last case was dismissed at the start. Evidence suggests these cases are illegal selective prosecution. And it's not just this lane. Trump is also losing cases on policy. His signature tariffs, of course, smacked down by the Supreme Court. That included his own appointees ruling that he was powerless under law to do that kind of trade war without Congress. That's just the law. Trump responding by saying he's, quote, sickened by those judges' independence. Basically, that because they're doing a judicial job, what they're supposed to do, rather than being his blind partisans, that's a problem.

23:33And he falsely claims the judges have become some kind of criminal if they rule against him. We got rogue judges that are criminals. They're criminals. What they do to our country, the decisions that they hand down and hurt our country. And not that it matters, doesn't matter at all. But two of the people that voted for that, I appointed. And they sickened me. Doesn't matter at all, but he's giving a speech about it. It doesn't matter, but he's sickened. You're seeing failure and loss in public from someone who's, for all of his vaunted PR tactics employees, He's currently maybe not very disciplined or effective at holding back the conflicting message, the anger, the loss.

24:23Now, he's gone beyond just that complaint. He's pitching an actual bill that would try to target what he calls rogue judges, while Bondi's deputy blames judges for their losses and admits plans to try to move cases to more friendly MAGA areas. We see our most activist judges That we lose to every single day Are without a doubt Nothing more than an extension of the partisan arm Of which they came from There's a lot of ways that we can work within that To get some of our cases where we want them to be Where we're going to have a judge that we know is going to be fair So he admits they're losing and they want a judge shot The DOJ is also now paying former defendants from the Mueller probe.

25:10Mueller, of course, back in the news this past week with his passing. They are handing over a million dollars to a Trump that you might recall, Michael Flynn, claiming that Mueller wrongly prosecuted him over false statements. Of course, Flynn was a grown up and he pled guilty in that very case. The payment, an extraordinary effort of relief for Trump allies. The New York Times notes. Now, does Trump really suddenly care about getting some money to a former aide? It's your taxpayer money, by the way, but we're talking about someone, Donald Trump, who's long stiffed his own employees and aides when it comes to money.