Trump Flip-Flops on Strait of Hormuz Plan, and U.S. Cyclospora Outbreak Spreads

15 Jul 2026 · 9 min · 8 chapters

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In short

Trump’s reversal on a Strait of Hormuz shipping fee and renewed “strike Iran very hard” posture; Iran and U.S. exchange overnight attacks; U.S. inflation easing data amid oil-price risk; ICE pauses most traffic stops after deadly shootings and body-camera rollout gaps; Senate hearing for acting AG Todd Blanche; Trump’s $5.6M payment to E. Jean Carroll; cyclospora outbreak surge; Chipotle’s Mexico expansion.

Guests

None named in the transcript (host Tracy Mumford). Mentioned experts: Ben Castleman (NYT chief economics correspondent), an unnamed Iran expert, an unnamed analyst, and an unnamed infectious-diseases expert.

Key claims/examples

Trump backtracked from charging ships; analysts cite impulse/improvisation and contradictions (“thriving economy” vs “obliterate your civilization”); Iranian strikes hit U.S. facilities in Bahrain/Kuwait/Jordan (intercepted). Cyclospora: nearly doubled cases in 30+ states; Michigan 3,000+ cases; CDC surveillance scaled back; produce rinsing may help. Chipotle: first Mexico store in Monterey; bowls compared to Starbucks’ late-90s Europe expansion; Taco Bell’s failed Mexico attempts in 1990s/early 2000s.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Trump's Flip-Flop on Hormuz Fees

0:45 to 1:23

Discussion on Trump's reversal regarding shipping fees in the Strait of Hormuz.

“to charge ships a fee to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, President Trump quickly backtracked on his own proposal yesterday.”

U.S. Military Actions and Iranian Response

1:23 to 2:18

Overview of recent military actions by the U.S. and Iran's retaliatory strikes.

“He has pivoted between tactics, at times contradicting his own administration and himself.”

Economic Update Amid Rising Oil Prices

2:18 to 2:59

Analysis of inflation trends and economic factors impacting gas prices.

“Meanwhile, new federal data released yesterday showed that last month, when the ceasefire was still in place, inflation slowed.”

Immigration Policy Changes Following Shootings

2:59 to 4:32

Details on ICE's temporary halt on traffic stops and related controversies.

“This data was from before the ceasefire began to break down.”

Senate Hearing for Acting Attorney General

4:32 to 5:29

Insights into the Senate hearing for Todd Blanche and implications for the DOJ.

“Also, in Washington today, Todd Blanche, the acting U.S.”

Trump's Legal Issues and Financial Liability

5:29 to 6:11

Update on Trump's financial obligations resulting from legal rulings against him.

“But it may also end up being largely symbolic because Blanche could continue to serve in an acting capacity, even if he doesn't get confirmed.”

Cyclospora Outbreak Across the U.S.

6:11 to 7:25

Report on the rise of cyclospora infections and public health challenges.

“a lower court judge ordered Trump to make the payment.”

Chipotle's Expansion into Mexico

7:25 to 9:12

Discussion about Chipotle's new market entry in Mexico and potential challenges.

“But quote, we will never know because we don't have the surveillance system in place to really look for it.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:28The New York Times app has all this stuff that you may not have seen.

0:33From the New York Times, it's the headlines. I'm Tracy Mumford. Today is Wednesday, July 15th. Here's what we're covering.

0:44After announcing a drastic plan for the U.S. to charge ships a fee to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, President Trump quickly backtracked on his own proposal yesterday. Frankly, it's better because I don't like the idea of a fee. It's got to remain free because otherwise others will do the same thing. And he returned to the approach he had at the start of the war. The U.S. will strike Iran, quote, very hard until the country agrees to make a peace deal. The U.S. military said it carried out a new round of attacks overnight that stretched for seven hours. The only way you can negotiate with these people is through strength.

1:20And the only strength is military strength. Analysts say the abrupt flip-flop underscores how much Trump seems to be relying on impulse and improvisation as he tries to confront an adversary that is not bending. He has pivoted between tactics, at times contradicting his own administration and himself. One expert on Iran told the Times, On the one hand, he keeps saying, We want to make a deal with you guys and make Iran a thriving economy. And on the other hand, he says, I'm going to obliterate your civilization. Another analyst said that much of the president's foreign policy this term, whether it's tariffs or the U.S.'s new role in running Venezuela, has depended on the willingness of other countries to make concessions.

2:04But with Iran, quote, he's encountered a country that is not willing to play by his set of rules. The Iranian military launched its own strikes overnight, targeting U.S. military facilities in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. Officials in all three countries said the attacks were being intercepted. Meanwhile, new federal data released yesterday showed that last month, when the ceasefire was still in place, inflation slowed. We've seen oil prices come down over the last few weeks, and that has flowed through to gas prices. But we also saw broader improvement. Even when you strip out energy, we saw slower inflation in June.

2:44And so that's an encouraging sign that we might see some continued progress on inflation as the year goes on. Ben Castleman is The Times' chief economics correspondent. The big caveat, of course, is that oil prices have been rising again. This data was from before the ceasefire began to break down. And so as oil prices rise, that's going to affect prices in July and August and going forward.

3:20Now, a few other quick updates on the Trump administration, starting with the immigration crackdown. As of yesterday, ICE officers have been ordered not to carry out most traffic stops following back-to-back deadly shootings in Texas and Maine, where agents fired on drivers after pursuing their vehicles. I think it's going to be a short pause, and I'm confident that ICE is well-trained and vehicle stops, and you're going to see us keep moving forward. In an interview on Fox News, White House Borders R. Tom Homan said the order is not a policy change, but a temporary pause, quote, to make sure we're doing the right thing.

3:57Since Trump returned to office and pushed for more aggressive immigration enforcement, 22 people have been fired on by federal agents, nearly all of them while in vehicles. Beyond questions about traffic stops, the recent shootings have also highlighted the slow rollout of body cameras to ICE agents. Earlier this year, DHS pledged that the government would, quote, rapidly acquire and deploy the technology. But currently, only about half of ICE field offices have body cameras, and none of the agents involved in the two recent shootings were wearing them. Also, in Washington today, Todd Blanche, the acting U.S.

4:37Attorney General, will face a crucial Senate hearing as he tries to get confirmed to the role. Blanche, who used to be Trump's personal defense lawyer, is expected to face sharp questions about his role in some of the DOJ's controversial actions over the last 18 months. That includes the government's handling of the Epstein files, mass firings at the DOJ, and politically motivated prosecutions of the president's perceived enemies. We've had powerful attorneys general, but this is an entirely different situation. This view that Trump has of the Justice Department being an extension of his will and Blanche's essential acquiescence to that model are completely new in terms of the annals of the department.

5:21My colleague Glenn Thrush says today's hearing could be a big rebuke of how the White House has eroded the traditional independence of the DOJ. But it may also end up being largely symbolic because Blanche could continue to serve in an acting capacity, even if he doesn't get confirmed. Glenn has more on today's episode of The Daily. And last update. According to online court records, President Trump has paid the writer E. Jean Carroll$5.6 million, the amount with interest that a jury awarded her back in 2023 after it found Trump liable for sexually abusing her in a Manhattan department store in the 90s, then defaming her by calling her accusation a hoax and a lie.

6:03Trump had been trying to appeal the verdict, going all the way to the Supreme Court. But after the justices declined to review the case, a lower court judge ordered Trump to make the payment.

6:23Around the U.S., the number of confirmed cyclospora infections has nearly doubled in a matter of days, as officials race to identify what's behind the rise in cases, which can cause severe diarrhea. People have gotten sick from the parasite in more than 30 states. Michigan's been the hardest hit, with more than 3 ,000 reported cases, up from an average of just 40 to 50 in a typical year. Cyclospora infections often come from eating contaminated produce But unlike many other foodborne illnesses, it can take weeks before you start feeling sick That makes it harder to track for public health experts Who have to interview people and try to get them to remember everything they've had to eat or drink over that period Those tracing programs have also been severely underfunded and last summer, the CDC quietly scaled back the country's most comprehensive system for tracking foodborne illness outbreaks.

7:18One expert in infectious diseases told the Times that as a result, the U.S. is probably missing a lot of cases. But quote, we will never know because we don't have the surveillance system in place to really look for it. In the past, cyclospora outbreaks have been linked to fresh fruits and vegetables, including lettuce, raspberries and other foods. And experts say rinsing produce before eating it can reduce your risk of getting sick.

7:53And finally, the burrito chain Chipotle is celebrating a grand opening this week in a place it sees as an untapped market, Mexico. We believe Mexico is a really important milestone for our great brand. And we believe what we do and what we offer will really resonate with the Mexican community. The company's CEO has been talking up its South of the Border expansion. The first ever Chipotle in Mexico will open in Monterey tomorrow, and it has plans for more. Now, there are plenty of valid questions about whether there's going to be a market in Mexico for an American spin on Mexican food. One restaurant industry analyst told The Times that Chipotle's burrito bowls could help them out there.

8:35The heaping, customizable bowls are the company's best-selling item in the U.S. and could bring a bit of novelty. The expert made a comparison between Chipotle's ambitions and how Starbucks in the late 90s expanded into Europe. Famous for its cafe culture, initially Europe was not seen as a market that needed another place to buy a cappuccino. And look at it now. But bringing Mexican-inspired food back to its roots could be a bit more fraught. Just ask Taco Bell. The chain opened locations in Mexico twice, in the 90s and then again in the early 2000s, but it did not catch on. Those are the headlines.

9:18I'm Tracy Mumford. We'll be back tomorrow.

9:28Thank you.

From the publisher

Plus, Chipotle is coming to Mexico.

Here’s what we’re covering:

In Iran, Trump Has Found an Opponent He Cannot Easily Dominate, by Peter Baker

Inflation Slowed During Pause in War With Iran, by Ben Casselman and Colby Smith

ICE Ordered to Cease Most Vehicle Stops After 2 Killings in a Week, by Madeleine Ngo, Hamed Aleaziz and Zolan Kanno-Youngs

Blanche Faces Crucial Hurdle Ahead of Confirmation as Attorney General, by Glenn Thrush, Devlin Barrett and Alan Feuer

E. Jean Carroll Receives $5.6 Million Payment From Trump in Civil Case, by Ed Shanahan and Jonah E. Bromwich

Cyclospora Cases Rise Rapidly, With No Source Yet Confirmed, by Caroline Hopkins Legaspi

Chipotle to Sell Its Mexican-Inspired Fast Food in Mexico, by Claire Moses

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