Trump Says More U.S. Casualties Are ‘Likely’ in War With Iran, and Oil Prices Jump After Attack

2 Mar 2026 · 11 min · 8 chapters

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In short

U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran after Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed; Trump warns more U.S. casualties are “likely,” says the operation could last 4–5 weeks, and urges Iranian Revolutionary Guard/security forces to surrender; retaliation includes missile/drone attacks on Israel and Gulf states, Hezbollah joining, Lebanon strikes breaking a ceasefire, and Strait of Hormuz disruptions driving oil prices up. Key claims/examples: a Kuwait base strike killed three U.S. service members; an Iranian elementary school hit killed 115 (adjacent to a naval base); videos show a tanker on fire in the Strait.

Guests

none named in the provided transcript (only reporters David Sanger and Tracy Mumford; Trump interview via colleague Zolan Kano-Young).

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Escalation of U.S.-Iran Conflict

0:45 to 1:54

Discussion on ongoing military operations in Iran and the resulting casualties.

“Combat operations continue at this time in full force, and they will continue until all of our objectives are achieved.”

Trump's Address and Response

1:54 to 3:17

Analysis of President Trump's statements regarding the conflict and casualties.

“casualties in a short address yesterday, saying their deaths would be avenged.”

Iran's Response and Broader Conflict

3:17 to 4:33

Overview of Iran's retaliatory actions and implications for regional stability.

“Meanwhile, inside Iran, the toll of the attacks is not yet clear.”

Impact on Oil Prices

4:33 to 4:55

Examination of how the conflict is affecting global oil markets.

“The conflict has also spread to the water.”

U.S. Political Reactions

4:55 to 5:48

Reactions from U.S. lawmakers regarding military actions without congressional approval.

“but that traffic has now plummeted, and oil prices have started to climb, an early sign of the conflict's economic risks.”

Terrorism Investigation in Austin

5:48 to 7:04

Report on a shooting incident in Austin and its potential links to terrorism.

“who are arguing that he betrayed his campaign promise to pull the country back from foreign wars.”

Live Nation Monopoly Case

7:04 to 8:40

Details on a federal court case against Live Nation and its impact on the music industry.

“it's increased patrols at sensitive areas such as diplomatic and religious sites.”

AI Content for Children on YouTube

8:40 to 10:44

Concerns over AI-generated videos for children and their educational value.

“and says that government lawyers have presented barely a molehill of evidence that the company has eroded competition.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:28I'm David Sanger. From the New York Times, it's the headlines. I'm Tracy Mumford. Today's Monday, March 2nd. Here's what we're covering.

0:45Combat operations continue at this time in full force, and they will continue until all of our objectives are achieved. The United States and Israel struck more than 2 ,000 more targets in Iran yesterday, not letting up on the assault that's taken out the country's senior leadership and set off a wave of violence across the Middle East. Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed Saturday, along with several high-level military leaders. And the U.S. is now continuing to target military sites in Iran and the country's navy. These actions are right and they are necessary to ensure that Americans will never have to face a radical, bloodthirsty terrorist regime armed with nuclear weapons and lots of threats.

1:32In retaliation, Iran has fired a barrage of missile attacks at Israel and at U.S. military bases in the region. We grieve for the true American patriots who have made the ultimate sacrifice. One strike on a base in Kuwait left three U.S. service members dead. And sadly, there will likely be more before it ends. That's the way it is. Likely be more. President Trump acknowledged the U.S. casualties in a short address yesterday, saying their deaths would be avenged. And he called on the remaining Iranian military and the country's Revolutionary Guard to surrender or be killed. My colleague Zolan Kano-Young spoke with Trump yesterday and asked the president how long he thinks the operation in Iran will continue.

2:18Trump told him it could go on for four to five weeks. I also pressed the president on wanting Iran's security forces to drop their weapons and surrender. I asked him, well, who are they supposed to surrender to? And the president said that he hopes that these security forces surrender to the people of Iran. It's worth noting here, though, that these were the same security forces just earlier this year that were opening fire on street protesters and killing thousands. Now the president is saying that he hopes security forces will drop their weapons and surrender to the same people that they were targeting.

2:57Really, what the interview reflected is the degree to which the administration remains uncertain about what the next few weeks will hold. And it comes at a time in which the entire world is really watching the Trump administration, the conflict in the Middle East, and wondering if this will expand into a broader conflict and what steps President Trump will take after launching this extraordinary action. Meanwhile, inside Iran, the toll of the attacks is not yet clear. Major explosions have rocked Tehran and other cities. In the streets, large crowds have gathered to celebrate the Supreme Leader's death, while others have turned out to mourn him.

3:39Against that has been the soundtrack of ongoing strikes. A girls' elementary school in the south of the country was hit, killing 115 people, according to Iranian state media. The school is adjacent to a naval base. We have every right, every legitimate right to defend ourselves. What the United States is doing is an act of aggression. So far, Iran's remaining leadership has been defiant. The foreign minister told ABC yesterday he sees no limit to Iran defending its people. It has carried out deadly strikes against Israel and targets across the Gulf states, firing missiles and drones at Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Doha.

4:22The Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah also joined in the retaliation, and Israel's responded with strikes in Lebanon, shattering the year-long ceasefire in place there and heightening fears that even more countries could be drawn into the spiraling war. The conflict has also spread to the water. Commercial ships are on high alert in the Strait of Hormuz, where videos verified by the Times showed one tanker on fire yesterday. A significant amount of natural gas and one-fifth of the world's oil passes through the strait, but that traffic has now plummeted, and oil prices have started to climb, an early sign of the conflict's economic risks.

5:02And in Washington. This is a disaster. It is illegal. And the president is obligated under the Constitution to come to Congress and ask for an authorization of military force. Democrats have overwhelmingly opposed the president's decision to strike Iran without seeking congressional approval. The claims about we're going to change the regime, we're going to stop a nuclear program, there was some threat. All of the intelligence I've seen in 13 years on the armed services and foreign relations committees tell me there was no imminent threat from Iran that justifies sending our sons and daughters into war.

5:39Some Democrats have also questioned the administration's rationale for the strikes. And Trump is facing criticism from some of his right-wing supporters, too, who are arguing that he betrayed his campaign promise to pull the country back from foreign wars.

5:59In Austin, Texas. The FBI is working in lockstep with our partners, with Austin Police Department. Authorities are investigating whether a deadly shooting at a downtown bar early Sunday morning was an act of terrorism. Police say the gunman drove by the bar, a popular spot with college students, and fired from his SUV. He then parked nearby, got out, and opened fire again. Two people were killed and more than a dozen were injured before police killed the gunman. In terms of specifically what type of terrorism, we're just at this point prepared to say that it was potentially an act of terrorism.

6:36The shooter has been identified as a 53-year-old man who lived in the area. He was wearing a sweatshirt that read, Property of Allah. A source familiar with the investigation told the Times he was a naturalized U.S. citizen originally from Senegal. The FBI's Joint Terrorism Task Force is now assisting with the investigation. Across the U.S., there are heightened security concerns that the U.S. strikes on Iran could spur retaliatory acts of terrorism. In New York, for example, the police department says it's increased patrols at sensitive areas such as diplomatic and religious sites.

7:16Now, in business news today, a federal court case is set to kick off that could shake up the whole live music industry. The Justice Department has accused Live Nation of building up a monopoly in the concert business, stifling competition, and driving up ticket prices for fans. Last year, the company, which owns Ticketmaster, sold over 600 million tickets around the world. It also owns or controls almost 500 venues and manages hundreds of artists. The government is arguing that Live Nation has pressured and even threatened venues to sign exclusive ticketing deals. In one case that's expected to be brought up in trial, it allegedly routed tours away from the massive Barclays Center in New York after the venue partnered with its competitor, SeatGeek.

8:05Live Nation has denied that allegation. Some of Live Nation's most vocal critics, though, have been small venues who say that the company's dominance makes it harder for them to put on shows. The executive director of the National Independent Venue Association told The Times, we are not competing, we're barely surviving. In all, 39 state attorneys general have also joined the case as plaintiffs, underscoring that taking on the issue of high prices for consumers is politically popular with both Democrats and Republicans. For its part, Live Nation denies that it has a monopoly and says that government lawyers have presented barely a molehill of evidence that the company has eroded competition.

8:52And finally...

8:57On YouTube, a growing number of the videos aimed at young kids are generated by AI. It's the flamingo, a flamingo, honk, honk, honk. At first, listen, okay, maybe they don't sound that different from other kids' programming. They're happy, bubbly, bouncy. But if you watch a few, they're bizarre. An animated horse hatching from an egg, snakes with mermaid tails, warped faces, extra body parts. The Times reviewed more than a thousand videos being recommended to kids and found that YouTube's algorithm is often pushing this nonsensical content. The videos are often short, just 30 seconds or so. Some of them claim to teach things like the alphabet, but they're riddled with misinformation and incoherent narratives.

9:42And while there are not many studies yet on how short-form media affects young children, one developmental psychologist told The Times that the videos move too rapidly for kids under five whose attention systems are still developing. Other experts worry that the sheer volume of these videos will displace more quality content that has educational benefits. Some channels are churning out these AI videos at a rate of multiple clips a day, and many have a million-plus views. All those views can rake in profits for the owners of the channels. When the Times asked YouTube about the AI videos and shared a few as examples, the platform then blocked those accounts from appearing on YouTube Kids.

10:26The Times also talked to some parents who say it's hard to keep AI videos out of their kids' feeds, and they're left trying to figure out if the content online is really educational, or, as one mom asked, are they just trying to grab your kids' attention?

10:44Those are the headlines. Today on The Daily. More on the situation inside Iran, as President Trump urges people there to topple the regime from within. You can listen to that in the New York Times app or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Tracy Mumford. We'll be back tomorrow.

From the publisher

Plus, what to know about the A.I. videos that kids are watching. 

Here’s what we’re covering:

Trump Says War Could Last Weeks and Offers Contradictory Visions of New Regime, by Zolan Kanno-Youngs, David E. Sanger and Tyler Pager

F.B.I. Investigates Whether Texas Bar Shooting Was Act of Terror, by Pooja Salhotra, Sonia A. Rao, Chelsia Rose Marcius and Ramón Ramirez

Antitrust Trial to Challenge Live Nation’s Grip on the Music Industry, by Ben Sisario and David McCabe

How A.I.-Generated Videos Are Distorting Your Child’s YouTube Feed, by Arijeta Lajka

Tune in every weekday morning, and tell us what you think at: theheadlines@nytimes.com.

Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also subscribe via your favorite podcast app here https://www.nytimes.com/activate-access/audio?source=podcatcher. For more podcasts and narrated articles, download The New York Times app at nytimes.com/app.


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