In short
Bitcoin treasury companies and how SmarterWeb (UK) is using a Bitcoin-native balance sheet to grow rapidly, value via MNAV (multiple of net asset value), and potentially expand into preferred stock to tap bond-like capital pools.
Guests (backgrounds)
- Andrew Webley: UK entrepreneur/programmer; built a high-margin website/content management business (later a top-250 UK company by market cap). Began investing in Bitcoin ~8 years ago; inspired by MicroStrategy/Strategy’s model; listed SmarterWeb in 2024/2025 via a reverse takeover of an “almost listed” shell.
- Jesse Myers: Bitcoin treasury investor/researcher; provides valuation charts/slides and discusses metrics like MNAV and “days to cover.”
Key claims
- SmarterWeb market cap ~£1B (~$1.3–1.4B) despite small operating business; MNAV around ~5–8 (often cited ~6). Accumulation speed: ~1275 BTC at time of discussion (up ~65% in a week).
- “Days to cover” (how fast Bitcoin per share grows into MNAV) is ~35 days now; Strategy ~700 days; MetaPlanent ~half a year.
- Preferred equity could “smooth” volatility and unlock bond-market capital; “winner-take-most” dynamics.
Notable examples
MicroStrategy/Strategy (playbook), Metaplanet (Japan; previously hotel business), MetaPlanet’s MNAV premium, and GameStop as an example of doing it “half-assed.”
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOUnderstanding Growth vs. Value Companies
0:45 to 2:44
Discussion on the challenges of valuing growth companies and the volatility in Bitcoin-related assets.
“I learned in that process was this Ben Graham was really big on growth companies versus value companies.”
Welcoming Jesse and Andrew
2:44 to 3:40
Introduction of guests Jesse and Andrew, and the focus on Smarter Web Company.
“Comment on Twitter and let's have the debate as to how in the world do you value something like this?”
The Journey of SmarterWeb Company
3:40 to 9:50
Andrew shares the founding story, growth, and transformation of SmarterWeb into a public company.
“So, Andrew, let's start off here, just so people can kind of understand the setup.”
Current Status and Market Valuation
9:50 to 11:28
Discussion on SmarterWeb's market valuation and comparison with historical IPOs.
“We're actually, I believe, if not the best, one of the best global equities this year.”
Understanding MNAV and Its Implications
11:28 to 14:01
Exploration of MNAV and how it relates to the performance of Bitcoin treasury companies.
“So guys, for people listening that hear MNAV, you guys are like at what, an MNAV of 10 at this point?”
Understanding Bitcoin Treasury Companies
14:01 to 17:12
Learn about how Bitcoin treasury companies grow their value and the metrics involved.
“asset value, which really means the multiple of your Bitcoin plus your cash.”
Understanding Bitcoin Treasury Companies
17:19 to 19:08
Learn about how Bitcoin treasury companies grow their value and the metrics involved.
“And always get consent before you record a conversation.”
Understanding Bitcoin Treasury Companies
19:14 to 19:24
Learn about how Bitcoin treasury companies grow their value and the metrics involved.
“Built for every industry, ready for every boardroom, netsuite.ai slash tip.”
The Future of Bitcoin Treasury Companies
19:24 to 28:00
Explore how Bitcoin treasury companies can strategically attract investors and manage growth.
“they're looking at it and saying, there's no way that this makes any sense, right?”
Learning from Experience in Bitcoin Investment
28:00 to 28:43
Explore how sharing experiences can enhance Bitcoin investment strategies.
“And indeed, because we're all friendly with each other, we can share with each other our experiences to make Bitcoin better by us all succeeding.”
Show all 22 chapters
Learning from Experience in Bitcoin Investment
31:06 to 31:57
Explore how sharing experiences can enhance Bitcoin investment strategies.
“They say every day your business is late to AI, you fall two days behind, and the competition, they're only moving faster.”
The Future of Bitcoin Treasuries
32:10 to 33:55
Discuss the evolving landscape of Bitcoin treasury companies and their potential.
“One of the most fascinating aspects to all of this that I'm finding is in Japan, the current policies are not accommodative for people to own Bitcoin through an ETF or anything like that.”
Comparing Metaplanet's Growth to Bitcoin's
33:55 to 35:36
Analyze how Metaplanet's transformation parallels Bitcoin's evolution.
“And it doesn't take much to see how that's going to turn into billions and billions that's stored in the very best asset in the world that over the last 15 or so years has gone up approximately 30 % a year.”
Capital Markets and Bitcoin Investments
35:36 to 37:55
Examine the dynamics between capital markets and Bitcoin investments.
“Saylor likes to use that chart of mine of showing the global asset landscape.”
The Shift from Traditional Assets to Bitcoin
37:55 to 42:00
Understand the movement of capital from traditional assets to Bitcoin treasuries.
“I love that framing, a winner take most.”
Evaluating Bitcoin Treasury Companies
42:00 to 47:38
Discussion on the value and potential of Bitcoin treasury companies in investment.
“Bitcoin treasury companies because of what they're delivering on.”
Volatility and Risk in Bitcoin Investment
47:38 to 51:24
Insights into the volatility of Bitcoin and its implications for investment strategies.
“So people need to, like with everything in investing, they need to understand what they're investing in and they need to get those percentages right.”
Understanding Preferred Stocks and Dividends
51:24 to 55:46
Exploration of preferred stocks, their dividends, and implications for investors.
“When you got a dividend that you're going to pay on a preferred, it's perpetual drag, especially one that's not callable.”
Future of Bitcoin Treasury Companies
55:46 to 56:01
Speculation on the growth and market position of Bitcoin treasury companies.
“So without making a prediction, six months, one year.”
Understanding Bitcoin's Market Dynamics
56:01 to 57:18
Explore how Bitcoin's market behavior is influenced by broader economic trends.
“And And the reality of this math is it has to slow down as you scale.”
The Value Proposition of Bitcoin Treasury Companies
57:19 to 1:00:00
Learn why Bitcoin treasury companies are seen as a compelling investment option.
“And yeah, you're paying a premium versus the Bitcoin holdings, but it's because of of what it can deliver in the future.”
Emerging Winners in Capital Markets
1:00:01 to 1:02:06
Discover the potential for a dominant player to emerge in various capital markets.
“If people want to learn more about your company, Andrew, give them a handoff.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00You're listening to TIP. Hey, everyone. Welcome to this Wednesday's release of the Bitcoin Fundamentals podcast. In this episode, we dive into the rise of Bitcoin treasury companies with the spotlight on a company called SmarterWeb, one of the UK's fastest growing public firms embracing a Bitcoin native balance sheet. Andrew and Jesse, who's been on the show a bunch of times, join me to break down SmarterWeb's rapid ascent, how valuation models like MNAV are changing investor expectations, and why preferred stock backed by Bitcoin may become the next frontier. We also explore what it takes to become the dominant Bitcoin treasury company in a global market still waking up to the opportunity.
0:39Okay. So as a Warren Buffett and Ben Graham student for many years, one of the things that I learned in that process was this Ben Graham was really big on growth companies versus value companies. And Ben's biggest issue with a growth company was, how do you know at what level is a pertinent level to pay for it? And when you look at some of these treasury companies, like the one we're talking about today, it just reminds me of this quandary or this dilemma that Ben Graham faced is because if that growth dies down, is the premium that you paid, you're going to kind of get obliterated in it. And so when I look at this company and the discussion that you're about to here.
1:21This is first and forefront in my mind. And you can look at MetaPlanet and you can see the huge premium that's being paid over the MNAV of the company, and it continues to persist, but it's very volatile. And so I just caution, I want to put this discussion point right here in the intro for people because they're going to listen to this conversation. They might get really excited about this company, but I also want to put out a word of caution that when you're buying something that's really small like this, and it's going to be, you think Bitcoin's volatility is violent. Owning an equity like this, that's this size, and that's trying to potentially become something that's worth tens, if not hundreds of billions of dollars, there's a reason that the price action is insanely volatile.
2:08So people just really need to understand all of that upfront. I also need to preface this with, I own common stock in this company. So I have a natural bias in, I guess, my opinion. I didn't hold common stock in this company when I did this interview. So I want everybody to know that upfront. That's not me endorsing this by any shape of the imagination. I want it to be crystal clear what my financial position is and enjoy the conversation. It's a really unique conversation and it really makes you think. And I really enjoyed Jesse and Andrew in this chat. So I hope you guys enjoy it. Comment on Twitter and let's have the debate as to how in the world do you value something like this?
3:13Hey, everyone. Welcome to the show. I am here with Jesse and Andrew. Guys, I'm thrilled to have this conversation. A lot of exciting stuff happening, really exciting stuff happening with the Smarter Web Company here in 2025. And I'm excited to bring this discussion to the audience. So welcome to the show. Yeah. Thanks for having me back, Preston, and excited to chat with Andrew and you about everything we've been doing. It's great to be with you, Preston, and thanks for inviting us on. Yeah, of course. So, Andrew, let's start off here, just so people can kind of understand the setup. You have a company.
3:47It's not a publicly traded company. You're over in the UK, and with people couldn't tell from your accent there. And you have a private company. You're a Bitcoiner, obviously. You decide to become a publicly traded company, which we'll talk about the method that you went public. But your company wasn't real big. I mean, you're talking a company that's dealing in millions in revenue and net income, from my understanding. And for people that are just trying to understand the basics of market cap, what's a company like that worth? Well, it might be worth tens of millions, right? But right now, and correct me if I'm wrong, the market's valuing your company at, is it close to a billion dollars?
4:28Is that right? It's actually more than that. It's a billion pounds. Billion pounds, yeah. About$1.3,$1.4 billion. But yeah, it's been quite the ride the last couple of months. So anybody who understands valuations, they're looking at this and they're saying, what? What did you guys just say? How is that even possible? Let's walk the dog on this. And I think for people that were around in the 90s and saw the internet boom and all this kind of stuff, they're looking at what's happening with Bitcoin treasury companies and they're on edge and they're saying, this is a flashback of the late 1990s. But let's talk about the company.
5:06Let's talk about what it is, what it isn't, this idea of taking a Bitcoin treasury strategy. And then I want to get into Jesse just talking about it at large, not necessarily the smarter web company, but you have these awesome charts that you've put up online. And I've got a copy of these slides. I'm going to put them up later on in the show for you to go through because they're really awesome. But Andrew, take it away with the company, the founding of the company, what the operational business is, and then we'll go from there. Yeah. So it's quite good, actually, that you mentioned the dot-com period and then the dot-com crash, because I actually started my career in 1999.
5:43So I joined a small company that became one of the biggest companies in the UK, but I worked there for 10 years. And the company's today, it's still one of the biggest companies in the UK, a company called Hargree's Landsat, which is the largest retail investment broker. So I did that for 10 years, 1999 for 10 years. And then I always wanted to set up my own business. So I left HL. I often describe it as a very well-paid apprenticeship. We listed it on the stock market. But I got bored and I missed the early days of HL where it was very entrepreneurial. So I'm a programmer. I've done a little bit of programming today, funnily enough.
6:19I don't get to do it so much anymore. but I wanted to build a system, a content management system that we could use to design and build websites for people. This is 15 years ago that I started this. So I built a system that I believe is one of the best types of systems of its kind in the world. And I built a business around it. So we design websites for people, people can update their websites, we help them with marketing. It's a very high margin offering, but it's also high quality with exceptional customer service. But it is, as you say, it's a very, very, very small business, or it was a very, very small business.
6:55It's a pretty big business now, actually, one of the biggest 250 in the UK by market cap. So I had this business. And then about 10 years ago, I don't know, eight years ago, let's say, I found Bitcoin. And I bought a bit, sold a bit, bought a bit, sold a bit. And I thought it was interesting. But then about five years ago, I came across a company called strategy, which was then called micro strategy, which everyone knows, of course. And for me, that was the moment when I thought this is fantastic. So I've been investing for 25 years. I understand public markets. I've had some good investments and bad investments.
7:30I've worked in the sector. And so I get investing. And then I also understood Bitcoin. But when the two came together for me, I just thought that this was the best thing in the world from an investing point of view. And the reason why it was so good for me is in the UK, a lot of people, they've got money in certain types of product, as opposed to loads of cash in their bank accounts. And these products, which we call ISAs and SIPs, one's a saving account, one's a retirement account. Often, people have got a lot of capital, and they've got, to be fair, relatively limited options of what they can do with that capital.
8:06So when strategy at the time called micro strategy came around. I just thought it was so incredible. And from an investor's point of view, investing in that, and then in more recent years, other similar companies, it sort of brought investing back into sort of, well, not just fun, but profitability again. So then about two years ago, I was thinking, well, why haven't we got anything like this in the UK? I love strategy. And I'm very lucky that now Michael Saylor speaks to me. He spent time with me. He's very complimentary about what we're doing. And I'm very grateful for that. But I want something that's doing that as a UK business.
8:44We all like things where we live. Some of the things we don't like where we live, but on the whole, we like where we live, or I certainly do anyway. And I wanted a UK company to do it, but I kept looking and I couldn't find one. So then last year in 2024, I thought, well, if no one else is going to do it as I think it should be done, I will list my business on the stock market. And I will tweak the strategy, which by tweak, I've been doing the same strategy on a much smaller scale. And we'll see where it goes. So earlier this year, and it's important for everyone to be realistic that the operating business, the SmarterWeb company is a small but profitable operating business.
9:22So earlier this year, we listed it on the stock market after approximately four months of quite hard work. And since then, we've grown the business by increasing the balance sheet by raising additional capital at beneficial terms to the existing shareholders. We've got a lot of spare capital, which means that we store the capital in the very best asset in the world, which is Bitcoin. And we hold that capital for the future benefit of the business and therefore its shareholders. It's gone really well. We're actually, I believe, if not the best, one of the best global equities this year. We're the best IPO in UK history.
9:59We're the fastest stock to ever do 100x. And we've got ballpark 150 million pounds in our treasury, Bitcoin and a bit of cash, proximate numbers. So yeah, it's gone pretty well. And we're very much looking forward to the future. So as Andrew likes to say, we're doing okay when really it has been, I think, the biggest sensation in modern British business history. And yeah, Andrew's quite right. There's no better performing public company in the world in 2025, which is very interesting because MetaPlanet was the best performing public equity in the world in 2024. Yeah. And we're repeating that path.
10:39We're taking a lot of our guidance from the strategy that MetaPlanet deployed very effectively. And I think there's a ton of similarities in the circumstances of the UK and the circumstances of Japan. What Andrew was talking about is for Americans, effectively, 401ks in the UK, the equivalent, can't access Bitcoin. They're not allowed to. There's no ETF still. So you can get access to Bitcoin through a Bitcoin treasury company. And a homegrown one seems to be particularly appealing and accessible. And I think that's part of the tailwind that has delivered SmarterWeb from a 4 million pound market cap company three months ago to now a billion pound market cap company.
11:25And that still puts us like a 10x away from where MetaPlanet is today. So guys, for people listening that hear MNAV, you guys are like at what, an MNAV of 10 at this point? What's the MNAV on the company? It's a bit lower, actually. So today it's probably around about six, it probably floats I think five, seven, maybe eight. It has gone higher at times, of course. But the MNAV, our job as running the company is to use the MNAV, the higher it gets, the more beneficial additional capital can be to the business and therefore its shareholders. So a high MNAV, in some ways, you think the company's getting too expensive, but that's because the demand exists for the company.
12:08And that's an opportunity to then raise additional capital and then to take the business forward through the strength of the balance sheet. So if anything, as we're recording this today, I would say that we're almost too cheap, actually, providing you are someone that understands what MNAV means. Because in traditional investing, we buy companies for either a yield or for a potential. In companies that adopted Bitcoin on their balance sheet, you buy them for their potential, which is demonstrated by their speed of accumulation. You know, where, again, if not the fastest, one of the fastest growing companies in the world to have Bitcoin on their balance sheet, you know, we've got from zero to a thousand Bitcoin almost quicker than anyone else.
12:56We did it in half the speed that I set out at the start. That's a third of the speed of what MetaPlanet did it in last year. So So it's a strange concept if you're not familiar with Bitcoin treasury companies. But if you spend a couple of hours understanding it, it's so similar to why we buy NVIDIA or any of these other fantastic companies that trade at a multiple of that potential earnings. It's just that we have different metrics in our space. So it takes a bit of time for people to understand them. Yeah. Preston, I've been starting to describe it this way. And I think about you every time I say this, but right now, Apple trades at a 35 PE ratio.
13:36So you're effectively paying for 35 years of profits today. And that's what people do in equities markets and everything's been bid up to crazy PE ratios. Bitcoin treasury company is delivering value to shareholders through a different way. It's not delivering income statement profits. It's delivering a better and better balance sheet by accumulating Bitcoin. And that's where MNAV comes in and the multiple of your net asset value, which really means the multiple of your Bitcoin plus your cash. And the Bitcoin treasury companies grow into their MNAV as they continue to accumulate Bitcoin in an accretive way, which means delivering additional Bitcoin per share by using capital market tools to raise capital and deploy into Bitcoin.
14:19And it takes some time for you to grow into that MNAV. So So if we're trading at a 6M NAV and we're fully deployed into Bitcoin, on the surface, it looks like you're paying for Bitcoin six times more expensive. But really, you're buying into a machine that has a track record of growing its Bitcoin per share over time. And we'll continue to do that by deploying the same playbook going forward. And it will take some amount of time for that Bitcoin per share to grow 6X. But if the company stays on track, it will do that. and go beyond, right? And if you look at the sort of days to cover metric, which means how long it takes you to grow into your MNAV, it varies for different Bitcoin treasury companies at different stages of maturity.
15:04For strategy, it's about 700 days, so two years. For MetaPlanet, it's about half a year. And this is historically looking, but smarter web, it's about 35 days right now that will continue to grow as we mature. But just right there, what we're talking about is effectively a PE ratio in a different sense. It's a different type of PE ratio, but the same idea of how long does it take you to earn back your value if you invest in a company today. With strategy, they're effectively at a two, not PE ratio, but price to Bitcoin accumulation ratio. And for MetaPlanet, it's a 0.5. For SmarterWeb right now, it's a 0.1.
15:46So if you look at where you can invest your capital in the equities markets, you can go with value investing approach, whereas a good PE ratio, and there's nothing good out there, right? Preston, you talk about this all the time. Everything's been bid up to crazy valuations. You can go buy Apple for 35 PE, or you can buy a Bitcoin treasury company that's delivering, growing into its value in maybe less than a year. Let's take a quick break and hear from today's sponsors. One part of being an investor that I don't think gets enough attention is how hard it can be to continue to improve as an investment researcher.
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19:30But if I was going to kind of assist in how you guys are describing this, I think a key important point of why your MNAV is so high is because the amount of Bitcoin that you're currently holding, and I think the number is like what, 7, 800 Bitcoin? Is that right? The number you were looking at is a week ago. We are now at 1275 as of today, which means that in the last seven days, we've accumulated 65 % more Bitcoin. This is what's important. Because that number is so relatively small relative to the market cap of the company and their ability to buy it for one-sixth the price of a retail person that's going out there and buying it because the MNAB is six, they're able to accumulate Bitcoin at a pace that is so much faster than MicroStrategy that has 500 ,000 plus Bitcoin.
20:22Because they have so many Bitcoin. It's actually somewhat of a limitation in their ability to get more compared to one of these small, let's call it race car like MetaPlanet or you guys, SmarterWeb. So the real question, and what I find really fascinating about all of this is as this continues to unfold, there's this huge incentive for more and more of these treasury companies, because the smaller their starting point and their ability to manage the risk appetite of interest expense and dividend expense, I'm calling it an expense, but dividend payments, is going to really be a huge part of their success.
21:05And I think that it's going to attract with time. And I don't know if we're in an interim bubble here in the short term, and then maybe some of this starts coming back three or four years later or what. I don't know. But I do have a sneaking suspicion that all of this is not going away and that this is only going to get crazier in the decade to come. And it seems like the smaller you are, the more of an advantage you have for stock, common stock performance. Would you guys agree with that? I would and I wouldn't. So you're absolutely right in what you say. But what we have to remember here is, let's say there's 150 public companies that have got Bitcoin on the balance sheet.
21:45It's probably a similar number to that. compared with the thousands and thousands of public companies that haven't. And then companies that put Bitcoin on their balance sheet, they're going to be either aggressive companies like us and like MicroStrategy, where they're trying to really build their balance sheet, or they're companies that aren't doing the same strategy as us, but they're holding some of their assets in Bitcoin as opposed to property, cash, etc. So we're still very early. there's only, when I say a few, 150 or whatever. So that's the first thing to say. The second thing to say is that it depends on the investor profile.
22:22So if you take us as an example, as a company that's approximately£1 billion market cap at the moment, we are only just getting to the size when certain investors would invest in us. And that comes down to the size and the liquidity of the stock. When you're a very, very small company, and you're just getting started with a similar strategy to us, you'll find that you'll have a different investor profile that will be a lot more growth orientated. So as the Bitcoin treasury company gets bigger, everything else being equal, the profile of the investor gets, let's say, less risky. So when you're a small Bitcoin treasury company, you're appealing to different investors than when you're a big Bitcoin treasury company.
23:04And obviously, strategy being the very best example of that in the sense that they've got certain products that are designed for those different types of investors and different pools of capital. So the job of a company that's adopting a Bitcoin treasury strategy like ourselves is as you grow, you cater for different types of investors. And when you get very, very big, and this is a couple of years time for us as opposed to the next year or two, the volatility may decrease ever so slightly, which is actually, dare I say, a good thing for the types of investors that want to invest in you. Or you even use other products that you've launched, like preference shares, for example, to smooth out some of that volatility so that it's more comfortable for those types of people.
23:50Because there's not that many people, and when I say people, I mean entities, governments, etc., that have got serious exposure to Bitcoin, which is what we all believe, people that think Bitcoin is the solution to everything will happen as a matter of course over a relatively short period of time. So it's about unlocking the capital, whether it's the debt markets, the governments, whatever you want, and allowing them to access Bitcoin in a way that's comfortable to them. So the lifecycle, I agree with what you've said, but the lifecycle needs to be remembered because it's all about the bigger you get, the larger the pools of capital that come in because they come from different types of places, like bigger and bigger investment groups, and so on and so forth.
24:33So it's quite an interesting area. As opposed to when we started, for example, we had a group of my friends and family that put in the seed capital as an example. And then as we've grown, institutional investors have come in and then come in at a bigger size, and then another one's come in and things. So I think that's a point that's worth making. I can only imagine what your family and friends think about their stock after watching it go. They're pretty happy. They're pretty happy. I bet you they are pretty happy. Doing okay. What is the derivatives market around the ticker? And I'm going to say the ticker here, and correct me if I'm wrong.
25:08It's SWC.AQ is what I'm seeing here on Yahoo Finance. So investors can access our stock at the moment in three different ways. So if you've got access to the UK markets, it's SWC, which is listed on one of the two stock markets that we have in the UK. We're also available on the OTC market in the US. So if you're an American investor, you can access it through TSWCF. And then if you're a European investor, there's a cross-listing of our stock in Frankfurt. So you can access it as 3M8. So it actually already, even in this first two and a half months, trades in three different markets, if we call them markets.
25:54Preston Pyshko And over time, it will be more accessible. Preston Pyshko That's really interesting in and of itself. Talk to me about the liquidity. Talk to me about the derivatives that are being wrapped around the underlying here. What does that look like? Preston Pyshko Yeah. So at the moment, because we're in the early stages, what we've done is we've raised our capital through traditional equity, common stock. It's a low-risk approach for the business. It aligns everyone perfectly, and it's appropriate for our size. So we haven't done any sort of crazy funding solutions because we haven't needed to.
26:27And one of the things that's very important to us is transparency. So at the moment, all of the fundraisings that we have done have been private placements with a variety of high net worth retail investors and institutional investors. And then we've also been able to, which is very unusual in the UK, very common in the States, we've been able to develop something that's a bit like an ATM-style facility. So the company can sell its stock into the market through a third party on every update. So that's what we've done. Into the future, the end goal is to do exactly what strategy are doing, which is to have these different types of products, preference shares, and to structure them with different value to what the common stock has got.
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27:11So for example, it might be a preference share that pays out a 10 % dividend. It would be called a dividend, not a coupon because it's an equity, but effectively it's structured like a bond. And then those people can hold that and it will pay that out for life, 10 % a year for life. Most people would like that. We would then introduce other things. So we might have one that pays out a different coupon, a different dividend, but then has a convertible option. So if the stock 2.5x is, for example, from when the debt was issued, which isn't really debt, it's an equity, then we allow them to convert that into common stock.
27:49So you can do these different funding solutions. And the great thing about what we can do is we can look at the great companies out there in the world. And the best two examples of those are Strategy in the US and Metaplanet in Japan. And we can use what they've learned. And indeed, because we're all friendly with each other, we can share with each other our experiences to make Bitcoin better by us all succeeding. Yeah, there's lots of different solutions that you can do because whilst, as we said earlier, this is a new area for a lot of people, there's a small concentration of which Jesse and I are part of that have been investing in this space for a number of years now and understand the different things that have worked.
28:33and also importantly, the things that haven't worked. You can often learn more by things that haven't worked for other people than you can from things that have worked for other people. Let's take a quick break and hear from today's sponsors. Curious about online trading, but haven't taken the first step yet? You're not alone. And Plus500 Futures is a great place to start. The futures markets are moving fast. And with Plus500, you can explore popular assets like oil, gold, S &P 500, Bitcoin, and more. From crypto to commodities, there's always something happening. The platform is super easy to use, so you can trade on the go right from your phone.
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31:51And I use it. And really, I think you should too. For the first time ever, you can try NetSuite Next for free. If your revenue is at least in the seven figures, go to netsuite.ai slash tip. Built for every industry, ready for every boardroom, netsuite.ai slash tip. All right, back to the show. One of the most fascinating aspects to all of this that I'm finding is in Japan, the current policies are not accommodative for people to own Bitcoin through an ETF or anything like that. In the UK, it's the same scenario. And what it appears is that these treasury companies are an enormous backdoor that could end up turning into BlackRock-like vehicles because everything that we've just described in the dynamic that's playing out.
32:46And the balance sheet of your company, I mean, if I have to be honest with you, I think the balance sheet on your company is going to continue to blow minds just like Metaplanet did last year. That's my expectation to be quite honest with you in this coming year. When we listed the business, I was in New York for a family holiday that I had planned before we knew the IPO date. So I was in New York looking around fantastic city. I went to the Rockefeller Center. Now, when you're queuing up to go to the top of the rock, there's a fantastic model of all of the buildings and it blows your mind. And that was built, I don't know, let's say 100 years ago, something like that.
33:22Now, to me, this reminds me of those sorts of times 100 years ago, when there was something so significant happening in the world, that was not just the chance of a lifetime, but the chance of 100 years. And I think this is what's happening now. I'm sure Jesse has got some views on this as well. I don't want to get carried away and too ahead of our station here because we take a daily, weekly, monthly approach. We work hard every single day to grow the company, to improve every single week. But in a lot of ways, these companies are going to be almost like, and I don't like this analogy, but it's the best one that I've got, the banks of the future.
34:02And I mean that in a capital slash balance sheet perspective, because ultimately what you've got with us is you've got a business that's been publicly listed for two and a half months, that has got zero debt, that's got a very low cost base, that's got 150 million pounds of effectively cash in Bitcoin. And it doesn't take much to see how that's going to turn into billions and billions that's stored in the very best asset in the world that over the last 15 or so years has gone up approximately 30 % a year. So it's something that you've got to keep your feet on the ground about, but it's tremendously exciting.
34:40It's unreal. Yes. Jesse, go ahead. I agree. And I think Andrew does a great job there of highlighting that it's a building process. It's funny how it kind of mirrors Bitcoin's development as an asset of in the early days, there weren't sophisticated derivatives on it and the markets have slowly built out around it. And it's become a larger and larger asset in tandem with that development. And that's what's happening with these entities too. I mean, Metaplanet was a hotel business 15 months ago. And now they are - It still is. It still is. It still is. It still is with one hotel on a giant balance sheet.
35:17And increasingly, they have more sophisticated derivatives built out around them. And you can gather from the hints they're dropping of, they're moving towards preferred equities pretty quickly. And I think that will be a big step in advancing their playbook to tap into the bond market more directly, which is... Saylor likes to use that chart of mine of showing the global asset landscape. And I think the reason he likes to use it is because the bond market sticks out there. There's over$300 trillion in the world stuck in the bond market, getting mid-single-digit returns. Yep. This is the chart here.
35:53We're now up to$1 ,000 trillion of global asset value. Preston Pyshyshkoe 001 A quadrillion. Preston Pyshyshkoe 001 A quadrillion, which I've always... Preston Pyshyshkoe 001 Yeah, quadrillion. Preston Pyshyshkoe 001 I've caught myself saying the same thing you just said, Jesse, and then somebody corrected me like, Preston, it's just a quadrillion. I was like, I guess it is. I do say a thousand trillion just because people don't know what a quadrillion is. So you've heard of a trillion. But anyway, that's where we're at now. And of course, most of that is because the fiat money keeps losing its purchasing power.
36:22So it's not that assets are becoming more valuable. So the dollar is becoming less valuable. And that's true across all fiat currencies. But when you look at this chart, you see the bond market, there's this giant pool of capital that is getting... In the US, you get 4.5 % on a 10-year T-bill, and any decent bond is risk-adjusted somewhere at mid-single digits. And then here's Saylor turning around and saying, I'll give you 10 % if you give me your bond capital and I'll turn around and buy Bitcoin. As Andrew pointed out, I know Bitcoin is going to grow at 30 % a year, and I'll have no problem servicing that dividend expense of 10%.
37:00And so that's what strategy is now pivoting towards. And that will be the fuel source for them to continue to grow and continue to deliver Bitcoin yield going forward. And I think they're going to become the most valuable company in the history of the world by a very large margin as a result of what's happening. MetaPlanet is now, I think, shifting into that stage of its lifecycle as a Bitcoin treasury company. We're earlier in our development. It's still kind of the ground floor in many ways. but there's a path forward that MetaPlanet has now refined for us to follow of how you become the leader in your capital market.
37:39And I think it's going to be a winner take most in each capital market in the world. And eventually you can add on these preferred equities to make that value proposition to bond market capital in your country and tap into that as a fuel source for continuing to deliver on Bitcoin yield. Preston Pysh I love that framing, a winner take most. Yeah, I think you're right on that. real fast. I want to talk about the mechanics of how you did this, Andrew. So in the US, everybody's familiar with SPACs. If you've heard the term and you don't really kind of know what it is, it's effectively, there's no company there.
38:13What you have is a bunch of investors that put a bunch of money, call it$100 million into a public vehicle. And then they go and find a company that they can invest some of that 100 million into to take it public. So it's basically like a turnkey way of taking a company public, the shell sitting there ready to be used. And then when the private company is identified and purchased, then it becomes public. So in the UK, my understanding is that you did this reverse takeover of a listed shell. And is that correct? Yeah, similar. So what you would probably do a lot of the time is you would do exactly what you've said.
38:51So it's a bit like a SPAC. So you do a reverse takeover of a listed shell. we actually did a reverse takeover of an almost listed shell. So everything about what we've done has been a bit different, and maybe that's why it's worked. So it's relatively unusual to do a reverse takeover of an almost listed shell. I don't think I've ever heard of one before, actually. So what we did is when I decided that I wanted to list my business, I reached out to somebody who's our chairman, and I said, look, you understand everything that I don't understand about capital markets. And this person was able to fill in those gaps for me.
39:32And like a lot of the other things that's happened in the business, it's people meeting each other almost in a fake-like capacity at the right place and the right time. And he said to me, he said, Andrew, I love everything about what you're saying, but just change this one little bit. And I actually have got an almost listed shell that you can effectively have, which basically wasn't proceeding. I said to him, thank you much. That's great. So yeah, it was very similar to what you described, ever so slightly different. And the reason for that is that if you're a business in the UK, probably in America, it's quite expensive to list a private business.
40:08It would have given me, which is again, is smaller than in US terms, but it would cost me, let's say$500 ,000, $450 ,000 to list my business. And because the business was so small, we could actually get it going in a less risky profile. And the compromise I made there is maybe I gave more of my business away in equity, but I still think that I got a very good deal out of it. It was just a compromise to allow me to get that done quickly, efficiently with the experience of others. And so that's how you did it, Randy. You know, Jesse, we've been talking about for years about how fixed income has been bid for four decades and how all of this pressure has been built into these capital markets.
40:56And when you look at a company that's private versus one that's public and that they're able to kind of punch a hole into this pressure tank of capitalization that's occurred for decades, you can see how it's literally just spewing out onto the balance sheet of these companies. It's mind-bending to me to see this playing out in real time. Preston Pysh, MD, I think you nailed it. The sort of mental image I have for Bitcoin treasury companies is as something of like a release valve for over bid up equities valuations. And then, yes, it sounds crazy that you're buying Bitcoin at a 6M nav, right? It does.
41:36It does. premium, but it's delivering in this sort of PE ratio way in under a year. Or you can keep buying Apple and wait 35 years to get your money back. And I think in that way, we're seeing just the early stages of a flood of capital exiting from the overpriced traditional market assets into Bitcoin treasury companies because of what they're delivering on. I mean, SmarterWeb has 1275 Bitcoin right now. So just over a thousand Bitcoin. And that'll be very hard for almost any company to achieve 10 years from now. And that's happened here in three months, and we're adding at a very rapid rate and we'll continue to do so going forward.
42:21So where is value here? I think it's quite clear that investors are realizing that this model, while different from a traditional income statement PE ratio valuation of an equity. This is delivering massive value very quickly, as we've seen with MetaPlanet, as we've seen with strategy over the last five years. And I think this is just the beginning of what will really become an industry. It's already blossoming into an industry of Bitcoin treasury companies repricing capital in the world and helping that capital flow from overvalued traditional markets into undervalued Bitcoin, and specifically here, companies that are designed to deliver on Bitcoin yield, increase Bitcoin per share for their shareholders.
43:07Preston Pyshko I'm thinking through this, and I love how you're comparing it to PE. And it's almost like days to cover is the inverse of the PE for, like, that's really the metric to kind of look at is this days to coverage from a value standpoint. Is that right? In the way I'm framing it? Really interesting. And I've never quite thought of it in these terms. But chatting to you and Jesse now, one thing that is a bit out there and a bit extreme. But if you think about days to cover in the sense that that gives you your true valuation, and then you think about the typical PE in terms of years, it's quite mind-blowing in the sense that we're talking about one month, one and a half months, even in the biggest companies, two years or whatever.
43:55Whereas if you buy Apple stock or Nvidia stock or any of these other fantastic companies of which I own some of them, you're talking 10, 20, 30, 40 years. So in a lot of ways, whilst I don't want to get carried away again, and I'm going to have to think this one through very carefully later, but Bitcoin treasury companies are absolutely a screaming buy if you think that you can get that value of what you're buying back in such a short time period. So either the stocks are ridiculously expensive, or the Bitcoin treasury companies are incredibly cheap, or maybe it's somewhere in the middle. It's certainly both, I think.
44:33Yeah. And Andrew's quite right that there are things that remain grounded about winner take most. And there's going to be a lot of competitors that pop up claiming to do something, aspiring to get that marketing boost of, like, oh, we're now a Bitcoin treasury company that are either not set up to do it or don't have the follow through commitment. I mean, we've seen GameStop sort of trot into this sort of positioning as we're going to do Bitcoin, and then they kind of half-assed it. And the market didn't like that, right? So there's ways to do it right, and there's ways to do it wrong. And I think the reality is the vast majority of companies that set out to do something like this will not do it well enough.
45:14And so investors do need to be careful that they're picking the right one, because it will be winner take most, and you need to make sure that you're positioned accordingly. So one of the things that I think is super important for anybody to wrap their head around listening to this conversation is Bitcoin has annualized volatility of about 80%, okay, on an annualized basis, anywhere from 60 % to 80 % annualized. And so although we're all very enthusiastic about this, there are massive volatility risks associated with it. When we're using this metric days to cover, and if we would treat that like earnings and it's in days versus 30 plus years for some of these other companies that we're more accustomed to from evaluation metric, you always have to ask yourself, what you get in one advantage, which is stability in this old system where you don't have to worry about that much volatility.
46:08It's all been just purchased out of the stock. The advantage you get over here is value potentially, if you buy into the whole Bitcoin thesis, which we all three obviously do. But what you get with that is intense volatility. And people just have to deeply understand that. Just to add to that, I think Michael Saylor kind of pioneered this phrase, but I heard it most from the Metaplanet community of volatility is vitality when it comes to this strategy in particular. You want volatility because that volatility skews to the upside. That's the important thing to know about volatility in Bitcoin in general, and certainly in Bitcoin treasury companies.
46:44In TradFi, people are afraid of volatility. It's a scary word because volatility is associated with sharp down days. Because volatility literally skews, if you look at the histogram of volatility, it skews negative. But in Bitcoin, it skews very strongly positive. You want that volatility and Bitcoin treasury companies amplify Bitcoin's volatility. Guys, where I want to get - That's why people having responsible portfolio management is important though. If you take myself, I obviously love the sector, not quite 100%, but almost 100 % of my wealth is in Bitcoin treasury companies and Bitcoin, very little in anything else, because I think it's the best thing ever.
47:23And I'm incredibly passionate about it. And I also run a Bitcoin treasury company. But take my mum or my brother or anyone like that, best friend, I don't know, 5%, 10%, something like that of their liquid portfolio. So people need to, like with everything in investing, they need to understand what they're investing in and they need to get those percentages right. Jesse and I, we love Bitcoin treasury companies because we love maths. So we understand percentages to a degree. Now, an investor thinking about investing in this particular space, they need to understand what percentages mean. And maybe slightly longer term, they need to understand rebalancing, as an example, even somebody that was very old, that was nearing their retirement, I would probably suggest that they need an allocation to Bitcoin alongside the allocation to whatever boring thing that they've invested in that ironically won't perform very well if it's bonds.
48:21So they take the volatility and they use the percentage allocation to smooth it out. That's what I would recommend to... Well, you're about to be in the preferred market, which is going to give that type of person that's getting ready to be in retirement exactly what you just described. I want to talk about this real fast with you guys. This is the last topic I really want to get into. And sorry, I don't even think we're going to get to your slides here, Jesse. I'm not on time, Preston. I want to talk about preferreds. So I'm sharing a back and forth that I had with Josh Mann, who is an incredible thinker, absolute incredible thinker.
49:01And he brought up this idea that Stride has this option to basically rug pull the coupons because they're non-cumulative. And I've been thinking about this, and I think some others in this space have been thinking about this. And you hear Michael going around, he says, it's money I can borrow forever that I never have to pay back. And when he says it, I'm thinking to myself, why is he saying it like that. Why is he saying it like that? So what I did is I did a discount cashflow analysis of the dividends of a perpetual dividend. This is a preferred stock that you have to pay the dividend forever and they're cumulative.
49:42So if you miss payment, they just add up and then you eventually have to make that before anybody else below you can receive dividends in the future. And what I found so fascinating is when you apply the power law, let's say Bitcoin continues to go on this power law and its return is diminishing each year, the percent that it's growing is diminishing each year, but it's still growing very aggressively. But if I use that as my benchmark for what the underlying Bitcoin value is, what I did is I plotted out these dividend payments for the preferred. And what I found is that after about 10 years, and I don't know if this is going to make this bigger.
50:23Yeah, there we go. This is better. After about 10 years, this is what the effective dividend is compared to the Bitcoin that was raised in the initial issuance of the preferred stock. So this is the$8 annual dividend compounded. So at issuance, the dividend would be here, after the first year, that dividend, because Bitcoin's continuing today, is compounding at about 40 % to 50 % annualized. So that$8 dividend turns into like$5.20. The year after that, that dividend's down here at about$3. Then it's at about$2.50. Then it's at$2. And you can see at about 10 years, look at where you're at. You're almost at zero if Bitcoin continues to perform the way that the power law suggests it's going to perform over the next 10 years.
51:11So for a person that issues this preferred stock, 10 years later, the dividend payments are de minimis compared to what people think it is in nominal dollar terms today and what that call this perpetual drag. When you got a dividend that you're going to pay on a preferred, it's perpetual drag, especially one that's not callable. So this is the really fun part. So this top line, this orange, is if you add up all these dividend payments, this is the net present value of the issuance itself. Based on this valuation system that I applied using Bitcoin in the power law to this preferred issuance, this is the micro strategy one.
51:54This came on the market, I want to say it IPO'd at around$86 to$90 a share. And according to this discount cashflow model, the real value, if you put it in Bitcoin terms is around like 18 bucks or 18, yeah,$18 versus the 86 that it came on the market for. If you're using Bitcoin as your unit of account, as opposed to dollars, and this is a perpetual, right? I only did it for 20, a person who's like really into the math on this stuff. They say, well, this goes on forever. And you only did 20 years. I look back at that person. I say, yeah, but like, look at the chart and you can see it's maxed out.
52:32Like, okay, yeah, it's$18.34 instead of$0.25. The reason why that's possible is because of Bitcoin. So obviously, if you believe in Bitcoin, like we all do, that's the most important thing, but then it makes perfect sense. But what you're able to do is you're able to offer pretty much unlimited stock because the investment that is generated is going into the best asset in the world, as opposed to going into a business to grow, say, a particular type of microchip or a particular type of computer software. So in some ways, the money going into Bitcoin, if you're not comfortable with that, that's the risk.
53:15But in return for that, you're not being exposed to the management risk, the idea risk, the limited life cycle of the thing that's being created. It's going into Bitcoin. So that's the reason why that works. And then if it was a traditional business, they might only want to do, say,$100 million worth of the pref stock, for example. But as a potential issuer of preferred stock, you can take billions and billions and billions of dollars into that if there's demand for it and know that you can do that model. So it's pure genius. Well, what I would also say, so a person who would see that slide and hear what we just said, they'd say, so you're ripping people off by issuing these preferred stock.
53:56And what I would come back to that person and say is, no, you're providing an 8%, 10 % dividend that they can't get anywhere else with the risk profile that they're getting it of whether it's actually going to be paid back. This is back, call it 10 to 1 or 5 to 1 or whatever your metrics are, which I don't know. But I would imagine they're in that ballpark. Well, when you guys do this, which I'm assuming is going to be soon. It might take some time. It might take some time. Okay. So you got to build a certain balance sheet first, I think. Yeah. But I mean, a thousand Bitcoin, I mean, in six months could be, and you guys have more than a thousand at the rate you're going.
54:32But let's just use micro strategy since we know what those numbers are. It is heavily capitalized, way more than what the issuance is. Okay. And so you're getting this eight to 10 % dividend. your bottom withdrawal, the value that it could drop to is limited in an extreme way because the dividend is there. So the fact that you have this dividend paying it out somewhat caps the bottom side of it. And then on the strike issuance, as an example, because it actually has a convert piece to it, you're getting 80 % of Bitcoin's underlying performance in the preferred stock itself, which is crazy. So for a person who needs, so yeah, a person who needs income, like, I mean, every boomer in the world is starved for some type of income out of their investments.
55:24One does like full stop. And he's capitalized that to approximately 4%. So he's issued approximately 4 % of the balance sheet as pref stock with the different types of prep stock. So it's pretty cautious. It's a fantastic set of products. There's no doubt about it. And to expand on Jesse's point, we probably need to be five times the size, I would suggest, to do that. So without making a prediction, six months, one year. I mean, based on the math, you guys are 35 days to cover, right? So is that the quick math that you'll be there in six months? Well, that is historically looking. And And the reality of this math is it has to slow down as you scale.
56:05So it will be harder to do the next cover than the prior cover. That's just the math of it, but it won't slow down. Preston Pysh And a lot of this math, I think this is important too. A lot of this math is dependent on us continuing to be in a bull market in Bitcoin. Preston Pysh Yeah, that's right. And us continuing to be in a seismic shift in how people allocate their capital, which I think that's what's really different here is that this is a little bit beyond Bitcoin's cycles. What's happening now with Bitcoin treasury companies is a systemic shift of value reallocating to where there's a better value proposition than buying Apple.
56:48Preston Pyshko I want to get into the stock, like the actual price of the stock, but I know that we can't do that. But anyway, guys, We'll wrap it up there. We're in an hour. I loved this conversation. I think this is crazy illuminating. I think it's sending shockwaves, absolute shockwaves in the process of security analysis, period. Yeah. And it's very interesting that this is happening on Bitcoin Twitter and in Bitcoin circles. People are figuring out on the fly that these things are undervalued. And yeah, you're paying a premium versus the Bitcoin holdings, but it's because of of what it can deliver in the future.
57:25And when you run that math, this is unbelievable. I'd also say that there's a place in, I think there's a place in everyone's portfolio for Bitcoin, spot Bitcoin. There's also a place for risk in Bitcoin. And I think for me, Bitcoin treasury companies are the value proposition that I find most compelling in terms of that framework. Preston Pysh, I've got one final slide. I lied here. We're going to put up one more slide that you made, Jesse. I hope it's in this. Okay, hold on one second. I'm going bring this up. And this goes to the point that you just made, because your opinion is that this is what's playing out right now, correct?
58:00Trey Lockerbie Yeah, I'll walk you through this. So this originally came from an article I wrote called Asset DNA, which built on Pierre Richard's speculative attack. It was in the very early days of strategy. They had just done their first convertible note in late 2020. And I wrote this to describe what's happening here. Why does it make sense for strategy to borrow and borrow dollars and buy Bitcoin. And this was the summary view of it, minus this top line, which is Bitcoin treasury companies, which I added this year. But the reality of assets, in my view, in the world right now is that assets perform in different ways.
58:38Yeah, with equities, you're going to have some degree of return. But Bitcoin, because of its endogenous properties, and its early stage of adoption, has more attractive properties than anything else out there from an investment point of view. So if you can borrow dollars to buy Bitcoin, and then wait for those properties of those assets to play out, the dollars will decrease in purchasing power that you owe. And the Bitcoin will massively grow in purchasing power, allowing you to settle up that debt or roll that debt or whatever in the future. And it will have worked out for you or the company to have done that.
59:14And so this is that summary view of like, this is why those mechanics make sense and why strategy started doing what they are doing. And I added to it this year because I realized that now in my view, there's an asset class that can perform better than Bitcoin. And it's Bitcoin treasury companies, specifically because their entire goal and their mandate from shareholders is to accumulate more Bitcoin per share. So the only thing better than Bitcoin is more Bitcoin, as Saylor likes to say, And Bitcoin treasury companies are designed to achieve that. Yes, it comes with some risk, because you have to execute on that.
59:49And there's custody involved, and you can't do self-custody like you can with your spot Bitcoin. But all in all, that value proposition, I think, risk-adjusted, is the most compelling thing in the world right now. Preston Pyshko I love it. Gents, I loved it. I love this conversation. If people want to learn more about your company, Andrew, give them a handoff. And Jesse, anything else that you want to add after, Andrew? The best thing to do is to go to our website, which is www.smarterwebcompany.co.uk. Or if you're on Axe, just go to SmarterWebUK. Or you can find me personally on Axe, which is A-S-J-Webley, W-E-B-L-E-Y.
1:00:31Any of those places are good. There's loads of information on our website, loads of information on Axe, great community on X. And then over to Jesse. Yeah, I guess the one thing I'd add is, we sort of talked around it a little bit, but I think that there's a winner that will emerge in each capital market. And this is my view. It's also the view of UTXO Management, which was the seed investor in MetaPlanet and also in SmarterWeb. And I think that's right. I think that what's happening here is that there will be a winner take most in each capital market. market. We've seen that in the US, that's strategy.
1:01:03We've seen it in Japan, that's MetaPlanet. And right now there's a race for that in other capital markets too. SmarterWeb has a 10x lead, has emerged as the first out of the gate, doing it right in the UK, with a 10x lead in terms of Bitcoin held and in market cap and every other metric you want to come up with. And that makes it a very exciting time for us at SmarterWeb and for the community that's developing around this, because we've seen what MetaPlanet was able to do by following the same path over the last 15 months. And it makes it a very exciting opportunity for us to just continue delivering on that same playbook that they've laid out so nicely.
1:01:43And I think that will also happen in every other capital market in the world, and it will happen fast. It will happen in the next year. So now is the time for people to pay attention to what's going on. And And also, I think, an opportunity for everyone to make the most of it. I love it. All right, guys. Thank you for your time. We'll have all the links in the show notes to that. And thanks for joining me. Thank you, Preston. Thank you for listening to TIP. Make sure to follow Bitcoin Fundamentals on your favorite podcast app and never miss out on episodes. To access our show notes, transcripts or courses, go to theinvestorspodcast.com.
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From the publisher
Andrew and Jesse join Preston to discuss Smarter Web’s transformation into a major Bitcoin Treasury firm, UK market dynamics, valuation strategies, and future growth plans, including preferred shares.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
00:00 - Intro
14:02 - What is MNAV and why is it a crucial metric for valuing Bitcoin Treasury firms?
35:20 - How does Smarter Web plan to maintain its lead in the UK Bitcoin market amid rising competition?
49:52 - What are the benefits and risks of investing in a Bitcoin Treasury company versus Bitcoin directly?
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
BOOKS AND RESOURCES
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Jesse's X Account.
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