In short
Podcast Summary: The Journal - How One Business Owner Is Getting Ahead of Trump's Tariffs
Podcast Overview
- Title: The Journal
- Hosts: Ryan Knutson & Jessica Mendoza
- Description: Discusses key stories about money, business, and power; co-produced by Spotify and The Wall Street Journal.
Episode Details
- Episode Title: How One Business Owner Is Getting Ahead of Trump's Tariffs
- Date: December 3, 2023
- Guest: Jason Junod, Founder of Bear Botanics
Episode Summary In this episode, Jason Junod, a small business owner and founder of Bear Botanics, shares his experiences and strategies in response to the impending tariffs proposed by President-elect Donald Trump. The discussion revolves around how these tariffs could affect his business, the skincare industry, and small businesses in general.
Key Topics Discussed
- Background on Jason Junod
- Early Entrepreneurial Spirit:
- Started selling online at age 10 by flipping iPod Touches on eBay.
- Developed a skincare line after dealing with eczema and dissatisfaction with existing products.
- Understanding Tariffs
- Trump's Tariff Policy:
- Tariffs are meant to protect American jobs and manufacturing.
- Proposed tariffs of up to 60% on goods from China could drastically impact pricing and sales.
- Business Impacts
- Stockpiling Products:
- After Trump's election win, Junod promptly ordered 20,000 body brushes from his Chinese supplier to avoid increased costs from tariffs.
- Discussed the tight timeline for placing orders due to manufacturing and shipping lead times.
- Cost Concerns:
- Current tariffs average around 15%, but potential increases to 60% would severely impact pricing strategies for his products.
- Price sensitivity on platforms like Amazon means even a small increase or decrease can lead to significant changes in sales.
- Challenges of Domestic Production
- Lack of U.S. Suppliers:
- Junod's efforts to source body brushes domestically have been unsuccessful due to a lack of industrial capability in the U.S.
- Emphasized that specialized machines and skilled labor are required for production which are currently unavailable domestically.
- Notable Quotes
- “If you screw us, we screw you.” (Referencing Trump's trade war philosophy)
- “I didn't ask for this, I don't want to be in this, and here we are talking to you about the potential impacts of a tariff on my business.”
Key Takeaways
- Preparation is Key: Junod believes in stockpiling inventory as a strategy against the potential rise in tariffs.
- The Reality of Tariffs: While tariffs are intended to encourage domestic production, many industries may not have the capacity to shift their supply chains effectively.
- Impact on Small Businesses: Small business owners like Junod feel caught in the crossfire of larger trade wars and express concerns over their ability to adapt to sudden policy changes.
Further Reading and Listening
- Articles discussing the broader implications of Trump's trade policies.
- Additional episodes that explore related topics such as U.S.-China trade relations and the impact of tariffs on various industries.
Conclusion In this episode of The Journal, Jason Junod's proactive approach in response to Trump's tariffs highlights the adaptability and challenges faced by small businesses in an increasingly complex global trade environment. His story serves as a microcosm of the larger impact of political decisions on local entrepreneurs and their strategies in navigating uncertain market conditions.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:05Jason Juno is the owner and founder of a skincare company called Bear Botanics. He sells scrubs and body brushes. And two of his products he imports from China. When did you start thinking about tariffs? I started really thinking about them probably over the summer when Trump was campaigning. And he loved talking about tariffs, particularly tariffs from China. The word tariff properly used is a beautiful word. One of the most beautiful words I've ever heard is music to my ears. We're going to charge them, I'm telling you right now, putting a 200 % tariff on, which means they're unsellable. In other words, very simple.
0:49If you screw us, we screw you.
0:55Trump believes tariffs will bring jobs and manufacturing back to the U.S. But American business owners are wondering what impact these tariffs could have on their bottom line. Like Jason. I said there's a real chance here of tariffs going up. And yeah, we would be totally impacted.
1:20So on election night, Jason nervously watched the returns at a friend's place. It's election night in America. Voters are having their say, your say. And the countdown is on to the very first... Once it was clear to Jason that Donald Trump was on track to win, he knew he had to do something right then. What did you do? I started messaging my suppliers. We got a short timeline here. There's not a lot of time for thinking. And I knew that it'd be morning in China and they would be responsive. And so I started messaging to place a big order.
2:00Welcome to The Journal. our show about money, business, and power. I'm Kate Leinbaugh. It's Tuesday, December 3rd.
2:13Coming up on the show, how one American business is getting ahead of Trump's tariffs.
2:35Bear Botanics isn't Jason Juno's first business. He's been an entrepreneur from a young age. I have been selling online since I was the age of 10, actually. Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa. What were you doing at 10? Oh, God. I was flipping iPod Touches on eBay. I had figured out I could make some money doing that. again at the age of 10. And it was pretty good for a fifth grader until PayPal figured out I was 10 as well and shut me down. Jason says he also invented his own products to sell, like a travel pillow, which is now buried somewhere under his bed. My parents called them my schemes. I would call them my endeavors back in the day.
3:25Did you guys disagree on that at that age? It was more like, why aren't you outside playing? And I'm like, I'm building an empire. I love that. How did you go from flipping iPods on eBay to deciding skincare was your product? I graduated college. I took a corporate job. and it was around this time that I used to get really bad eczema during the winter, mainly on my hands. And I was like, you know, I'm going to start trying some new products just for me. So I was looking and I came across a bunch of different scrubs from a bunch of different brands and I was really excited. I'm like, this could really work for my eczema.
4:12And so I think I bought like four or five, six different brands. And to be honest with you, I hated them. Jason looked at these scrubs, and he saw a business opportunity. He began experimenting with natural ingredients to make his own products. And he roped in his friends to test them. We made 5 ,000 units in my apartment. And we had these tiny little walkways in between all the boxes that I had bought of the various ingredients and packaging. I mean, it was mania. Jason started selling his products on Amazon in 2020. After a couple of months, he moved production out of his apartment and into a warehouse.
5:00He hired a team. And then two years in, he was able to quit his corporate job. And how do you feel about this business that you've built? Pretty crazy. This was something I wanted, I think, since I was maybe the age of 10, if not earlier. and to look back and reflect how far we've come. It's pretty cool. As Jason's business has grown, he's added more products like body brushes. And people are into body scrub brushes. This is a thing. Yeah, dry brushing. Dry brushing. I'm not a dry brusher. So what's the... Maybe you should start, Kate. And if I may add, I would add a moisturizer after that and your skin's going to look never better.
5:47Jason had built Bear Botanics to be a made-in-America company. But there was a problem. He couldn't find a U.S. supplier for the brushes. So I actually looked for domestic suppliers, and it doesn't really exist, for brushes especially. They're a low-priced product, and the industry is based in China, and there's tons of suppliers to pick from. So I just started looking online, and I eventually found our brushes supplier. And how important are your body brushes for your business? The products serve an important piece in the company for bringing new customers in the door. They are popular, and they serve as a gateway to learning more about the brand and buying other products.
6:35On the campaign trail over the summer, Trump was talking about levying 60 % tariffs on goods imported from China. That would mean paying an extra$60 on every$100 worth of goods. Jason began to worry about what that added cost would mean for the brushes he imports from China. As a seller on Amazon, it is brutally competitive. This product retails for$9. We can raise the price by$0.50 or lower it by$0.50, and you will see a difference in sales. It makes that much of a difference. So to have a product that's now getting hit with a 60 % tariff and to raise prices accordingly, that's really scary. And so in your mind, did you come up with a, what would you call it, like a break glass plan?
7:26Yeah, I knew it was going to be close. and looking at our manufacturing lead times, it's about 30 to 45 days to get these products produced. It's about 45 to 60 days to get them on a boat shipped to America. So let's just call it three months. If I figure out who wins the election on election night, first week of November and place an order right away, we're looking at about the first week of February that they could potentially get to me. So I think in the event Trump wins on election night, I need to order them right away.
8:02And so, on election night, Jason was sitting at his friend's apartment watching CNN with a big bag of Chick-fil-A. You've got Chick-fil-A. Yeah. What's your order there? Oh, gosh. Well, I eat a tremendous amount of food because I work out all the time. So here we go. A Chick-fil-A Deluxe, large fry, eight-piece chicken nuggets, no sauce, and a vanilla milkshake. Oh, wow. Mm-hmm. Okay. As the preliminary results were coming in, Jason said it became clear to him that Trump was going to win. And I'm like, yeah, I'm done here. So I finished my Chick-fil-A and I think I left the repouss at like 9.30.
8:53Jason left to send that message to his supplier in China. That's next.
9:14When Jason got home on election night, he put in an order for 20 ,000 body brushes. And how long will that order last you? I'd say about a year. And then you're going to have to buy brushes again from China with these proposed tariffs. Correct. Are you worried about that? I'm less worried about buying because I've been paying tariffs this whole time. Typically, Chinese goods are subject to an average 15 % tariff. The actual process of the tariff is not new to me or scary, but I'm more concerned on how the market will react. And what buying a year's worth of inventory means, for me at least, is it gives us the benefit of time.
10:09Across industries, U.S. companies have been making preparations for these tariffs. Some are stocking up like Jason is. Some are moving production out of China, like makers of Nerf guns and semiconductors. And some are trying to bring production into the U.S., like the company that makes Sharpies and Yankee candles. But Jason says he's stuck. I've tried to get these sourced domestically, and the dry brush industry does not exist here. I can't, if I physically want to, get these produced in America. I have to import them. And if you want to put a really high tariff in place, it almost feels like a punishment because I have no other choice.
10:56One of the aims of tariffs is to encourage domestic manufacturing. Might a 60 percent tariff do that? Sure. If that domestic manufacturing exists. I'm telling you, the body brushes I've tried to source, and it just doesn't happen in America right now. They may seem like an easy product. It's just a brush. It's just a wooden brush with some bristles and an elastic strap. But you need highly specialized machines to do so and skilled labor. And so if that doesn't exist, my options are just to go to a different country. And that really doesn't solve the problem. Well, it reduces the reliance of the world on Chinese manufacturing of scrub brushes.
11:49Yes, it does. But then when there's also a blanket tariff on the board of 10 to 20 percent they've floated for any other country, and China is offering a consistent quality product at a consistent price, what's the point of switching from a supplier that I've built integrity with over the course of the last several years and trust and have consistently delivered for me and my business? Are there other steps that you could take? We could try to get these made elsewhere. Maybe I find a hole-in-the-wall supplier in North America. There's options, but the path of least resistance is we stay with our supplier, we pay the damn tariff, and we raise prices, unfortunately.
12:40And I don't want to be caught in the middle of a trade war. I'm not going to sacrifice the health of my business for some silly trade war. So we will see what happens. and if we have to raise prices, I don't want to raise prices, but we will. Last week, Trump said on his first day as president, he would enact new tariffs. He said he'd put 25 % tariffs on goods from Mexico and Canada and add a new 10 % tariff on Chinese goods. But Jason worries that the tariffs could go higher, like to the 60 % level Trump campaigned on. If so, Jason would have to raise the price of his brushes from$9 to$12. And so I fear hyperinflation with low-priced goods like these.
13:35Hyperinflation is a big word. That's a 33 % hike from 9 to 12. What's your sense of, like, how big a toll these potential tariffs could take on your company? If we had to stop selling these brushes and gloves, we'll be okay at the end of the day. We are unique amongst Amazon brands in that we make most of our products ourselves by hand in Madison, Wisconsin. We're very insulated from importing and the logistics that come with that. That being said, our strategy is kind of blown up. and we'd have to kind of go back to the drawing board. A spokesperson for the Chinese embassy said that trade cooperation with the U.S.
14:26is mutually beneficial and that, quote, no one will win in a trade war. And you said you don't want to be in the middle of a trade war. Do you feel like you are? You and other small businesses? I do. I'm not a big corporation. I'm a small business owner from Madison, Wisconsin I happened to make a really good body scrub and it turned into a little skincare empire that I'm at the top of but I'm not some massive corporation and I'm doing the best that I can to maintain the health of the business I didn't ask for this I don't want to be in this and here we are talking to you about the potential impacts of a tariff on my business.
15:19And is the takeaway that we all need to be stocking up right now? I don't know. You're supposed to say yes, and then everybody buys your products. I don't know what to expect. It's uncertain. It's scary. and at the end of the day, I did what I could do as a business owner and I stocked up. It's not going to last forever, but it gives me a little bit of reprieve. Well, Jason, thanks so much. You're welcome. Happy to be here.
16:05That's all for today. Tuesday, December 3rd. The Journal is a co-production of Spotify and The Wall Street Journal. Special thanks to Hannah Miao for her help with this episode.
16:19Thanks for listening. See you tomorrow.
From the publisher
As President-elect Donald Trump lays out his plan for increasing tariffs on goods made in China and Mexico, some U.S. businesses are stockpiling. Small business owner Jason Junod explains what he thinks the impacts of the proposed tariffs will be, and why he hasn’t been able to go fully “Made in America.”
Further Reading:
-American Companies Are Stocking Up to Get Ahead of Trump’s China Tariffs
-Trump Fires Salvo on North American Trade Pact
Further Listening:
-China, an Alabama Business and a 20-Year Battle
-Why China Is Risking a Trade War
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