CNN Poll: Most Voters Unhappy with Trump on Iran War & Economy

30 Jul 2026 · 1 h 30 min · 30 chapters

Ask about this episode

Ask anything about it. ChatGPT or Claude reads this page and answers with the times it was said.

Connect VO and ask about every podcast you hear, including the moments you saved. Add to ChatGPT · Add to Claude

In short

CNN’s “The Lead” covers (1) a new CNN poll showing low approval for Trump tied to Iran war, inflation, and airport construction priorities; (2) the jeopardized Senate Judiciary Committee confirmation vote for acting AG Todd Blanche; (3) a CNN special report on harassment and violence against Christians in Jerusalem and the occupied West Bank; and (4) election-related prediction markets and election-integrity/insider-trading concerns.

Guest backgrounds

Former U.S. Senator Joe Manchin (independent, West Virginia) and his daughter Heather Manchin, launching an “Independent Leadership Council” effort to increase independent representation. (Other segments include CNN reporters and business/legal experts, but the main named guests are Manchin and Heather.)

Key claims

Trump approval is at 34% overall and 19% among Republicans; 73% say he has wrong priorities. Manchin argues party control of primaries disenfranchises voters and calls for running/governing outside the two-party system. Blanche’s nomination may fail if two GOP senators (John Cornyn and Tom Tillis) don’t get written guarantees ending the “anti-weaponization fund” and limiting IRS audit exemptions.

Notable examples

Trump’s Dulles Airport renovation announcement; polling on Iran-driven gas-price hardship; UN report citing settler violence at an “all-time high”; incidents like a nun thrown outside the Last Supper site; Wisconsin warnings about betting on elections; CFTC-related insider-trading allegations involving political actors.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Analysis of Poll Results and Voter Sentiment

0:40 to 1:48

Exploration of factors influencing Trump's declining approval ratings and voter dissatisfaction.

“On inflation and Iran and the economy, even his overall job performance, a brand new CNN poll shows President Trump is very underwater.”

Impact of Domestic Issues on Trump's Presidency

1:48 to 3:00

Discussion on how inflation and the Iran war affect Trump's presidency and public perception.

“as Americans grow increasingly more bleak about staple issues of his second term and say his priorities are far from in line.”

Senator Joe Manchin's Insights on Independence

3:00 to 6:44

Senator Joe Manchin discusses the importance of independence and the current political climate.

“And speaking of campaigns, all this comes as the November midterm elections are only 97 days away.”

The Challenges of Running as an Independent

6:44 to 11:18

Discussion on the difficulties faced by independents in the political landscape.

“that's been elected outside the two-party system is Angus King.”

The Future of Politics and Independent Leadership

11:18 to 12:46

Exploration of how independents can reshape political dynamics and governance.

“I think it's happening in Nebraska, Montana, maybe Idaho.”

Breaking News on Capitol Hill

13:44 to 14:01

Update on the confirmation vote for Todd Blanch as attorney general.

Nostalgia for an Analog Life

14:01 to 14:37

Exploration of how social media shapes nostalgia for past eras.

“And I also think there is a slightly separate nostalgia for an analog life.”

Breaking News on Capitol Hill

14:37 to 18:46

Update on the confirmation vote for Todd Blanch as attorney general.

“We have some breaking news for you on Capitol Hill.”

Market Reaction to Federal Reserve Decisions

18:49 to 22:42

Analysis of the stock market's response to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.

“Sharp drops for the Nasdaq and the S &P as well.”

Violence Against Christians in Jerusalem

22:44 to 28:22

A report on the rising violence against Christians in Jerusalem and the West Bank.

“Getting at the core of what's fueling so much harassment, intimidation, and violent attacks on Christians in Jerusalem and the occupied West Bank.”
Show all 30 chapters

The Situation in Taibe: A Report from the Ground

28:22 to 30:56

Learn about the challenging circumstances faced by the Christian Palestinian community in Taibe.

“But minutes later, without even getting out of their vehicles, they turn around and start to leave.”

Introduction to Election Betting Discussion

30:56 to 31:28

A transition into discussing the implications of election betting and prediction markets.

“And our thanks to Clarissa Ward and her team for that report.”

Election Betting: Legalities and Concerns

31:28 to 37:15

Explore the complexities and potential issues surrounding betting on elections, including insider trading and integrity concerns.

“Wisconsin officials recently warned voters they cannot bet on an election and cast a ballot in that same race.”

Political Implications of Betting on Elections

37:15 to 42:01

Delve into how election betting could influence political campaigns and voter perception.

“Or it could be, let's think about, we've got insider trading.”

Senator Cornyn's Concerns on Nomination

42:01 to 46:30

Senator John Cornyn discusses his unresolved concerns over Todd Blanche's nomination, emphasizing the need for written assurances from the Justice Department.

“And Manu, you just spoke with John Cornyn.”

White House's Struggle with Confirmation

46:31 to 48:06

Discussion on the White House's attempts to secure Todd Blanche's confirmation amidst political pressures and opposition from key senators.

“Now, that vote is still scheduled for tomorrow, Jake, and it's unclear whether it will be delayed.”

President Trump's Perspective

48:07 to 49:21

President Trump expresses his view on Todd Blanche's nomination, seemingly unaware of the challenges he faces in the Senate.

“And so it's pretty difficult for the White House to pressure them or influence them as they would any other Republican who is running for re-election or simply returning to Washington.”

Senator Durbin's Response to Cornyn

49:22 to 52:10

Senator Dick Durbin reacts to Cornyn's statements, discussing the importance of addressing the concerns regarding Blanche's nomination.

“Things move fast here sometimes in Washington.”

Survivors of Epstein Speak Out

52:11 to 55:08

Survivors of Jeffrey Epstein deliver files to senators, highlighting their demand for accountability and transparency regarding Todd Blanche's nomination.

“Blanche actually said in my office it was a mistake.”

Survivor Liz Stein Discusses Advocacy

55:09 to 56:00

Epstein survivor Liz Stein shares her experiences advocating against Todd Blanche's nomination and the impact of personal meetings with lawmakers.

“So two senators, Cornyn and Tillis on the Judiciary Committee, both Republicans, are raising concerns about something else, the anti-weaponization fund.”

Raising Awareness on Epstein Files

56:00 to 59:12

Learn how survivors are advocating for transparency regarding the Epstein case.

“I say all the time that there's so much political emotion infused into what is the crime of sex trafficking.”

James Comey's Legal Battle

59:12 to 1:02:02

Discover the implications of new court filings in Comey's ongoing legal challenges.

“Not fun talking about this or being an activist for this.”

Examining Comey's Threat Claims

1:02:02 to 1:04:46

Understand the legal arguments surrounding Comey's claims of a criminal threat.

“of Blanche has said repeatedly that DOJ doesn't take orders from Donald Trump.”

Fauci's Testimony and Accountability

1:04:46 to 1:10:07

Explore the tensions during Fauci's testimony and the accountability questions raised.

“A Capitol Hill hearing got so heated today that the Republican chairman and head security escort Dr.”

Accountability in Pandemic Responses

1:10:07 to 1:11:53

Discussion on the accountability of decisions made during the pandemic and the potential for a bipartisan fact-finding commission.

“So I get not wanting to answer questions.”

Congressional Ethics and Election Dynamics

1:11:54 to 1:14:10

Exploration of the ethics issues in Congress and their impact on Republican re-election chances in various districts.

“But why is only one person being held responsible?”

Trump's Aggressive Stance on Iran

1:14:10 to 1:14:44

Analysis of Trump's statements regarding Iran and the implications for military action and ceasefire prospects.

“And then there's obviously Corey Mills down in Florida.”

Insights from Former Israeli Defense Minister

1:14:44 to 1:18:11

Interview with Benny Gantz discussing Israel's military strategies and responses during the ongoing conflict with Hamas.

“Here's the president in the Oval Office this afternoon.”

Israeli Settler Violence and Government Response

1:18:11 to 1:20:22

Discussion on the rising Israeli settler violence and the implications for Palestinian communities and Israeli government policies.

“No, we are retaliating in Gaza, but we are securing the future and we cannot afford to have hostile, radical organization, terror organization, Hamas, supported by the Iranians on our borders whatsoever.”

BTS Avoiding the Grammys

1:20:23 to 1:21:43

Coverage of BTS's decision to not submit their music for the Grammys and the implications of regional categories in music.

“Coming up next, why one of the most popular bands in the world is now saying it will not submit its music for next year's Grammys.”
Hear the part that matters, and keep it.Open this episode in VO. Double tap your headphones to save a moment as you listen.
Get VO free

Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Hey, what's your story? Do you know it? Where your family came from and who they were? At Ancestry, we want to help you find those answers, scattered across census records, wedding announcements, newspapers, and more, because each answer is a part of your story. We've gathered those records into one easy-to-search place, and we're here to help you put the pieces together and share your story with future generations. You've got questions? We've got ancestors. Find yours today at Ancestry. A record 73 % of the American people say that President Trump has the wrong priorities. 73%. The lead starts right now.

0:43On inflation and Iran and the economy, even his overall job performance, a brand new CNN poll shows President Trump is very underwater. And as far as the American people are concerned, clearly very distracted. Why would they think that about the man who today talked extensively about the need to remodel Dulles Airport? What this may signal about politics in America right now. Plus, we're going to talk about it with a man who often found himself in the center of it all, former Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia. Plus, a key confirmation vote set for tomorrow. An acting attorney general, Todd Blanche, is in serious risk of not getting the permanent gig.

1:23the Republicans who could sink his confirmation. And a CNN special report revealing what is fueling harassment, intimidation, and attacks on Christians in Jerusalem and the occupied West Bank.

1:42Welcome to The Lead. I'm Jake Tapper. The Lead tonight, President Trump's approval rating hitting an historic new low as Americans grow increasingly more bleak about staple issues of his second term and say his priorities are far from in line. This new CNN poll has the president at just a 34 % approval rating. For context, this is the same career low of his first term after the January 6th insurrection. So you know that's got to be pretty bad. The president hit a new low among Republicans, too, with only 19 % of his own party. now saying they're enthusiastic about the rest of his second term. That's down nearly 20 points from last spring.

2:23The sinking numbers tie back to a range of connected issues. A majority of Americans are displeased with the president's focus on construction projects during his second term, as he announced today that renovations are going to begin on Virginia's Dulles Airport imminently. Also, more Americans now expect the Iran war to be headed towards a long-term conflict, as around three quarters say the rising gas prices, one extremely tangible impact of the war, has caused them some financial hardship permanently, personally. A similar number say the president has not gone far enough to reduce the price of everyday goods.

2:57That was a key campaign promise of his from 2024. And speaking of campaigns, all this comes as the November midterm elections are only 97 days away. The president so far has given his party very few domestic policy bright spots to run on his approval ratings on election integrity and voting rights, on immigration, and on federal government management all sit slightly above his overall approval, although all of them still a ways from even 50 percent approval. Meanwhile, on Capitol Hill today, two Senate Republican incumbents Trump has battled with, Tom Tillis of North Carolina and John Cornyn from Texas, whom Trump ousted by endorsing a primary opponent earlier this year.

3:36Both of them are threatening to tank the confirmation of Trump's chosen attorney general nominee, Todd Blanche. Both are on the Senate Judiciary Committee. Trump said this afternoon he had not heard there was any problem. I thought he's, I thought it was pretty routine because he's so good. He just wouldn't find a better person. So I don't know, maybe John Cornyn's upset with me because I didn't endorse him. I don't know what it is. Hmm, you think? As ye sow, so shall ye reap, Mr. President. Let's talk about this with somebody who's been willing to criticize both Republicans and Democrats. We have with us former U.S.

4:12Senator Joe Manchin, now an independent from West Virginia. He joins us with his daughter, Heather Manchin, and they are launching an effort for when it comes to independence. And we'll get to that in one second. But so much news. And I want to know, Senator, today's new CNN poll shows the president's approval rating at a new low. And the number drops even lower among independents, your key demographic group. only 24 % of independents approve of his job performance. That is canary in a cold mine numbers. What impact might that have on midterms? Well, I think it's going to have a tremendous impact.

4:45Midterms are kind of volatile anyway. With all that in the mix now, what you've just seen at the polls. Jake, my wife and I went to the grocery store today. And just every time I go, I'm just amazed. I said, how do people make it? Just the two of us we bought for them, what it costs just for us. I said, just think of people with kids. And no one seems to be feeling that pain or they're not basically transmitting that I'm doing everything I understand. And we're going to do everything we can to help you. They don't think there's anyone there on either side of the aisle that cares. They're so immersed in their parties, the D and E are identity.

5:21And that's why Heather and I have got the Independent Leadership Council, Americans together. Everything is listen. They say, Joe, why'd you become independent? I said, I like both sides. I like to work with both sides. I don't agree with both sides. And I don't want to be identified because right now you're guilt by association. I'm not a threat to anybody as an independent, but I can tell you, if you don't start putting the country first, if you don't start taking care of the people, they're going to take care of you and get rid of you. And that's what we think a true independent coming to Congress and not caucusing with either one, making decisions based on what's great for the country.

6:00Forget about the party. The parties have already taken everything from us. Our founding fathers never, ever talked about a party. The only time I ever heard about in history is when George Washington warned us, beware of the political parties so they can usurp the power from the people. Heather, you talked a lot of independents. What do you hear? 47 % of the population now identifies independent. 16 states, 106 districts that have more independents than Republicans and Democrats. but not one member of Congress. Well, there are two senators, right? But Bernie Sanders and Angus King, they both generally caucus with Democrats.

6:41And the only person in modern history out of Congress that's been elected outside the two-party system is Angus King. Everybody else is run on the party platform. So we've said if we can do something that's never been done before, run outside the two-party system, and once you get there, govern independently. Don't caucus with either party. Work with everyone. Do what no one seems to have the ability to do, which is not be a reliable party line vote and cause some discussion, negotiation, conversation about, as you just pointed out, all the huge key problems that our country's facing and not anything's getting done.

7:17One of the things that does seem to happen when members of the Senate Republican Party are on their way out, especially if they have butted heads with President Trump, is they find this sense of independence, sometimes before they butt heads with Trump, often afterwards. We're seeing this with Tom Tillis in North Carolina, who butted heads before and then decided he was going to retire. And then John Cornyn, who Trump endorsed his his opponent in the primary. And now they are both putting up a fight about this anti-weaponization fund and whether or not they're going to endorse Todd Blanche. Yeah.

7:53The funny thing about that is 20 years ago, you know, I had never given much thought about term term limits. And I was at a town hall meeting in West Virginia. And the lady in the back got up and says, Joe, I wish you were for term limits. And I said, her name was Susie. I said, Susie, let me just tell you why you're going to lose basically a lot of skill sets. You're going to lose a lot of technical knowledge, a lot of experience. People know how the place works. And I was giving her everything why I did not support it. We've all heard the argument. She says, think about this, Joe. Just think, if you were for term limits, maybe we'd get one good term out of you.

8:29Jake, I had no comeback. I said, Susie, I'm in. From that day forward, I have been four term limits because it'll give you courage you've never had. And we're seeing it. And these are good people on both sides. These are my friends on both sides. They don't want to be where they're at and they hate to get caught in this trap. And they've got to rise above this. And an independent, being independent will set you free. You don't own your soul, owe your soul to the party. You owe it to the people that elected you and to the Constitution you made an oath to. But we've seen people become independents and run for reelection and have problems.

9:02Your friend Kyrsten Sinema, she decided to not run for reelection. She became an independent. She was probably going to lose her primary in the Democratic Party to a more progressive now senator, Ruben Gallego. We see with John Fetterman right now, very unpopular with the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania, more popular with Republicans. If he runs for reelection, he could lose in the primary as a Democrat, but he could become an independent. Right. So to that point, it's never been done before. We know it's very difficult. And that's why we looked at this as an experiment. Are there a handful? We're not talking about 50 seats or, you know, 100 seats.

9:40We're talking about can we, one or two in the Senate, two or three in the House that can get in there and have the ability to govern independent. They're running outside the system, so they're not primaried. But we know, as you know, all the hurdles to just run as an independent. The amount of signatures varies by state by state. But as you break down these barriers and we could punch, you know, our finger in the dam, I think that if we can show it can be done and give a voice to 47 percent of America, then Katie bar the door. And then but the problem is everybody says it can't be done. It's never been done.

10:15All the hurdles. We believe perhaps the perfect storm has happened. The amount of independence, the mass exodus from the parties, the disenfranchised, the feeling in the country at an all-time low, as you just said, about the administration, the feeling of government, if all of that can come and be fueled in the right way, that somebody can go in there and say, I'm going to represent my state, my country, and listen to everybody. Everyone's got a good idea, or whoever's got the good idea, I'm willing to negotiate and operate under that premise. Here's the big thing, Jim. How did the system get to where the parties got all this power.

10:51They control the primaries. They control the process of who you vote for. The average in 2024, the average across the country of primary people turning out is 21%, the lowest ever. They basically, and that's their mode of operandum. They want to control that primary because they can control extreme left or extreme right. Although they've lost control of that to a degree because the Tea Party came up in the 20-aughts, whatever, and now you The DSA, sure. Well, let me ask you a question. How much are you following what's going on out west in these Senate races where basically there's an entrenched incumbent Republican and then there is a Democrat who is not as popular as an independent and the Democratic candidates are dropping out just so that there can be this independent.

11:39I don't know. I think it's happening in Nebraska, Montana, maybe Idaho. I might be getting those states wrong if so. I apologize. But are you following that at all? Oh, yeah. We're following it and watching what's happening because basically people are saying enough is enough. How many times have you heard, oh, if you're an independent, you're just wasting your vote? Right. Don't you think you've already wasted it? How long have you wasted it? What have you received while you've been voting? We're giving you something new. A person that basically is a true independent. They might have been a D.

12:03They might have been an R. But they were all independent-minded, like most Americans. And now they're running as an independent. They sign a pledge that they will remain an independent when they get here. They will not caucus with either side. But they'll work with both sides when the best ideas will help the country. That's why they're serving. I'm an independent. You have to sell me on the whole thing. I just wish I could vote in primaries because here in D.C. we can't. Well, you're paying for them. I'm sure I'm paying for the primary. I'm paying for a lot. You're disenfranchised. I'm disenfranchised.

12:29We're all disenfranchised as independents. How did that happen? Well, right to vote in 65, the Voting Rights Act. Come back soon and talk about it. We want to. We want you to talk a little bit more about it. Jake, help us. We need help. I just don't have an independent. I don't know. We're going to change. We're going to change. That might hurt you. We're going to change the country. Senator Manchin, Heather Manchin. Thank you so much. Really, really appreciate it. We do have some breaking news in our money lead because the worst drop for the Dow in more than a year after the vote to hold interest rates.

12:55What today's decision means for your money and the state of the U.S. economy. And breaking news on Capitol Hill. Meetings right now trying to save the confirmation of Todd Blanch ahead of tomorrow's key confirmation vote. We're going to have a live report from the Hill next.

13:16I wrote a little song to remind you Choice Hotels gets you more of the experiences you value The Cambria Hotel's got it all A rooftop bar, have a ball Cocktails up here feel just right It's Cambria amazing all right bring a date your team or even your mom book direct at choicehotales.com see you on the roof i'm audi cornish i'm ari shapiro and it's engagement party and we get to talk about what we're obsessed with what we're engaged with what we need to process with a friend there is a specific nostalgia for the 90s like the denim the music the tv shows And I also think there is a slightly separate nostalgia for an analog life.

14:07The analog life, I think it's a social media thing because this is a generation that's like, remember when my every move, the choice was mine. Yeah, but that's not specific to the 90s per se. So like Instagram didn't debut until well into the 2000s, almost a decade into the 2000s. Yes, I was there. People are buying vinyl. They're buying records. What's interesting to me is that a lot of the nostalgia is aimed towards and being talked about by Gen Z, who were not alive. Yeah. Follow Engagement Party. Wherever you get your podcasts. We have some breaking news for you on Capitol Hill. There's new movement on that pending Judiciary Committee vote tomorrow for Todd Blanch, who is up for the permanent role of attorney general.

14:51Let's get right to CNN's Manu Raju, who's outside the office of Senator John Cornyn. a key vote who has expressed skepticism about Blanche. And Manu, Cornyn is one of two Republicans threatening to block the vote in the committee. What's going on? Yeah, it's still unclear whether or not they can win his vote ahead of that critical committee vote tomorrow morning. And right now, it is unclear whether or not that vote, in fact, will go forward amid concerns, major concerns raised by John Cornyn, along with Senator Tom Tillis, over the so-called anti-weaponization fund that the Justice Department tried to move forward with a$1.8 billion fund and also a deal with and how to deal with future audits and past audits involving the president, his family members and the like, and how they may deal with tax enforcement issues involving the president.

15:41All those are part of a negotiation that are happening behind the scenes. Now, just moments ago, Chuck Grassley, along with Tom Tillis, did leave this meeting with John Cornyn in Cornyn's office and grassly indicated that there's still some work to do. He said that we are, quote, working on getting a solution, a suggestion that perhaps the solution isn't quite there yet. And then Tom Tillis, who's been sounding more optimistic than John Cornyn has, said, quote, every discussion we've had like this is taking us a step closer. So it indicates that there is still some more work to do. Now, the person that we have not heard from yet is Senator Cornyn himself.

16:19We've been speaking to him repeatedly through the course of the day. I've asked him a ton of questions about where he stands and where he stood before this meeting with Chuck Grassley and Tom Tillis, is that he was still a no. He was still planning to vote no tomorrow because he says the Justice Department has not been responsive to the concerns that he laid out in the aftermath of Todd Blanche's confirmation hearing and everything that he has said since. And he wants more specificity, written language to ensure, in particular, that that The weaponization fund will not go forward, especially as a separate litigation is going on over this issue as well.

16:55So, Jake, how that's being resolved is still unclear whether it gets resolved and whether this vote actually will happen, meaning that at this moment, this nomination very much hanging in the balance with any one Republican, any of those Republicans, either of those men, if they were to vote no tomorrow, Tillis or Cornyn, that would be enough to stall, if not completely kill this nomination. So if the vote stalls tomorrow, if Cornyn says, I'm not going to vote yes today, so if you have the vote today, that's trouble. What happens? Is the nomination dead or they just do this full court press on Cornyn or Tillis or whatever?

17:31You know, it is still, it would be very, the nomination would be really serious, serious jeopardy, Jake. There would be an opportunity to revive the nomination perhaps at a later date. And there would be a possibility of the Senate majority of John Thune taking procedural steps to circumvent the Senate Judiciary Committee. But Thune is very skeptical about going that route. He has not wanted to do that in the past. He has wanted to respect the recommendation of the committee. And if the committee is deadlocked, which would mean if one Republican did defect, it would be deadlocked. That means the nomination would have effectively been stalled and defeated in the committee.

18:14John Thune is likely to respect that vote in the committee. Unless something changes, that would mean that this could be stalled for the indefinite future. Now, there could be a circumstance, too, Jake, that John Cornyn ultimately would get his concerns resolved at a later date, could change his mind and vote yes at a later date. But the chairman of the committee, Chuck Grassley, wants to avoid this altogether, which is why he is working with the White House behind the scenes to try to resolve John Cornyn's concerns at the moment. It's unclear if they have. All right, Manu Raju on Capitol Hill.

18:46Stay close. We're going to check back with you on this breaking story. Also breaking in our money lead, the worst day for the Dow in more than a year. Sharp drops for the Nasdaq and the S &P as well. The divided decision from the Federal Reserve leading to these declines and what it all means about the health of the U.S. economy and your own bank account. That's next.

19:14Breaking news in our money lead. Take a look. Big losses on Wall Street today. Just some of the reaction to the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady where they are. The Dow plunging more than a thousand points today. It's worst day since April of last year. The S &P 500 and Nasdaq also fell sharply. Today, the Fed's new chairman, Kevin Warsh, who Trump said was straight out of central casting, promised to tackle inflation, but he offered few details on how, instead asking the nation for patience. Inflation remains elevated relative to the committee's 2 % goal. You've heard this before, but we will deliver price stability.

19:56We understand that the five plus years of inflation above target cannot be cured in nine weeks or by a single month of modest price decreases. Let's bring in CNN senior business reporter Dave Goldman. Dave, break down the Fed's decision here for us. Yeah, certainly the market is reacting in a very strong way. You see this sea of red. This is the worst day for the Dow in over a year. Look at tech stocks down 1.7%. This is a significant reaction. Let me show you something that's even more significant, Jake, the bond market, right? This is what determines rates, not the Fed, not stocks, the bond market.

20:41We are now close to the all-time high for the Trump administration, either Trump administration. We also are at a 19-year high for the 30-year yield. What follows the 30-year and the 10-year yield? Your mortgage, right? So expect those mortgage rates to tick higher tomorrow and in the future. I also think that this is important. This is supposed to follow the federal fund rate that is significantly higher. Jake, this is the market saying we're worried about inflation. And we didn't hear much from the new Fed chair who is supposed to settle the markets down and explain what's going on without the explanation.

21:24this is the reaction you're seeing. Dave, why didn't the Fed raise interest rates? Right. So this is the key because we are now still for the fifth straight meeting at the same high level, but at the same level when we've seen inflation rise and rise. We were at 4.2%, 3.5%. No matter what it was, these are all higher than that 2 % target that the Fed has. But as I mentioned, look at where the two-year yield is. This is supposed to be the same as that. They're supposed to work in tandem. This is the market saying, wait a minute, we're concerned about inflation and this yield needs to be higher to combat that.

22:08And as the Fed chairman said, we're happy to let the market do the work for us. The market is playing the ball now, not the referee, meaning it is focused on inflation and not on what the Fed is going to do. What Kevin Warsh is saying here is basically, I can eat my cake and have it too. I can be Trump's Fed chair and either keep rates steady or start to lower them and let the market react to inflation setting that rate higher, Jake. All right, Dave Goldman, thanks so much. Appreciate it. Coming up next is CNN Special Report. Getting at the core of what's fueling so much harassment, intimidation, and violent attacks on Christians in Jerusalem and the occupied West Bank.

22:54Stay with us.

23:03Our world lead starts in the occupied West Bank, the strip of land that borders Israel, Jordan, and the Dead Sea, which has become an increasingly more violent hotbed for clashes between Israeli settlers and Palestinians. Today, global powers are taking notice. Canada's foreign ministry called for the expansion of Israeli settlements to stop. And the United Nations issued a new report finding settler violence has reached a, quote, all-time high. CNN's Clarissa Ward follows a group of Palestinians leaving the West Bank in droves. They are Christians.

23:40For 2 ,000 years, Christians have been in the Holy Land. That presence now under mounting pressure as attacks on Christians rise. In Jerusalem, spitting at clergy, vandalizing holy sites, harassment and intimidation are almost daily occurrences. While in the occupied West Bank, Israeli settler violence and economic pressure are pushing Palestinian Christians out. April 2026, a nun is thrown to the pavement by an Israeli extremist just outside the site of the Last Supper. The Israeli government strongly condemns the attack and the suspect is arrested. This is where two of the quarters meet, Christian and Jewish, and so it's always been a friction point.

Read the full transcript

24:35Father Anthony Giambroni teaches at the same school as the nun who was attacked. He has lived in Jerusalem for 10 years. Does anyone have any sense of what the motivation was here? I've heard some speculation that maybe he was a disturbed individual. He could be disturbed, but he's filled with an ideology as well that I think doesn't want to accept her presence here. Help us understand that a little bit better. Yeah, I mean, it's obviously a long history. It's very important to say that that's, you know, that's an extreme view. I think there's increasing concern that it's an extreme view that's getting mainstreamed.

25:16It's a fundamentalist understanding of the possession of the land. The land was given to the Jews, and that needs to mean all of it. According to the Religious Freedom Data Center, from April to June of this year, reports of incidents against Christians in Jerusalem rose by 70 percent, compared to the three months before October 7th, though the spike may partly reflect more people coming forward to report. The fallout has embarrassed the Israeli government internationally. In April, it appointed Arab-Israeli Christian diplomat George Deke as special envoy to the Christian world, the first such position in Israel's history.

26:02Attacks on Christians, on Jews, on Muslims, or anyone, based on their faith or their ethnicity, is immoral, illegal, and unacceptable. We should, however, be able to distinguish between serious incidents that require serious action and the false narrative that this is somehow representative of the Israeli state, Israeli society, or Christian life in Israel. The reality in Israel is that Israel remains the only place in the region where the numbers, the Christian community in Israel, is actually growing. There is a sense that these types of incidents and this type of bigotry and this ideology has been allowed to continue with relative impunity.

26:56I acknowledge the fact that there is a rise in extremism in Israel, just like we see a rise in extremism, I think, across the world. We can do more, we should do more, and it is my task to make sure that we will do more. But just 20 miles away, the government is enabling Israeli settler extremism. So we're driving now to a town called Tayebi in the occupied West Bank, And it's been coming under attack from settlers for some years now, but those attacks have really intensified in recent months. Palestinians of all faiths are struggling, but Christian Palestinians are leaving faster than most.

27:42It doesn't take long for us to come across Roland Basir. His cement factory has come under attack this morning by settlers, as it does most days. He shows us videos he has compiled over months of settler extremists chasing him out of his factory.

28:21Down at the damaged factory, the Israeli police and army finally arrive, four and a half hours after Basir says he first called them. But minutes later, without even getting out of their vehicles, they turn around and start to leave. See you later. Bye-bye. So they came, they... ...seem now to be leaving.

28:54As we drive out of Taibe, we see a young settler grazing his sheep in the town's olive groves. Hi. Hi, excuse me. My name's Clarissa Ward. I work for CNN.

29:14Can I ask you some questions? Do you speak any English? Slicha. Shalom. He ignores our attempts to speak with him in Hebrew and begins to film us. This is a Palestinian town, Taibe. It's a Christian Palestinian town. I'm just wondering if you can explain why you're here or what you're doing here. This is not your land. So you can see he took a video of the whole thing, did not say a single word to us. And we're right here, right outside of Taipei. Reverend Munther Isaac says that since October 7th, the situation has become untenable. Christians are part of the Palestinian people. Whatever happened to all Palestinians happens to us.

30:11The issue with Christians is that because our numbers are small, we became a very vulnerable community. So every family that leaves, we feel its impact. Do you feel that the church is doing enough to protect Christians here? Churches around the world are saying many good things. What we need is action to put pressure on Israel to stop the settlement activities and to reach a settlement with the Palestinians. For now, that seems a distant prospect. Without decisive action, the erosion of Christian life in the Holy Land will continue. The question is whether there is political will to change it.

30:52Clarissa Ward, CNN, Jerusalem. And our thanks to Clarissa Ward and her team for that report. All bets are off, or maybe all bets are on, as some states try to shut down election betting. Others call it voter suppression. When does betting teeter on insider trading? An expert panel on prediction markets will put their cards on the table next.

31:24And we're back with our tech lead and this message, do not bet on your ballot. We mean that literally. Don't bet on your ballot. Wisconsin officials recently warned voters they cannot bet on an election and cast a ballot in that same race. That law has technically been on the books since the 1800s. If they do, if voters do that, their ballots could be thrown out and the offender could actually be prosecuted. Other states are also on edge given the rise of these wild prediction markets. So let's talk about this with CNN senior reporter Marshall Cohen, who just heard from election officials today.

31:58Also with us are Christy Goldsmith-Romero, a former commissioner with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, or CFTC, which regulates prediction markets. And Rob Schwartz, who served as the commission's chief legal advisor. So Marshall, that warning from Wisconsin's election commission definitely caught the attention of Calci. That's the biggest prediction market in the country. I think we have some sort of deal with them that we should probably disclose. CNN has a partnership with Calci. Okay, just to disclose that. But they don't know anything about the segment we're doing. Break this down for us.

32:27This was pretty wild last week, and it spread like wildfire among the exploding community of prediction market traders and people that are fascinated by this stuff. The warning came from those election officials who simply told their constituents, hey, you probably don't know about this law. It's from the 1800s. But technically, on the books, it says that if you wager on an election on a specific race in Wisconsin, you are then disqualified, no longer qualified to vote on that race, vote in that election. It's not clear if that's really enforceable today or if it's even constitutional. But it is the law.

33:05And they were notifying their constituents about it, which triggered a very aggressive reaction from Kalshi, which went on the attack. It claimed that the election officials were trying to suppress the vote. And it just was a big mess. But it caught a lot of attention among election officials across the country because this is the first election, the midterms, with widespread use of these markets. And Rob, just two years ago, before the 2024 election, you argued the government's case to prevent election betting. But you lost the case. A federal appeals court ruled that the CFTC overstepped its authority in its attempt to block prediction market betting from voters voting in those same elections.

33:45What were your concerns then, and have they grown since then? Well, it was the commission's concern. I was their lawyer. But the way they articulated it was that, number one, they didn't view these contracts as real financial products. They viewed it as gambling on elections. They called it gaming. And they didn't feel it had a place on futures exchanges. changes, they felt that there was a potential threat to election integrity. So for example, somebody could take a large bet or take a large position on a market, make it look like a candidate had a better chance to win than they really do. And that could have all kinds of effects.

34:23So on fundraising, media coverage, so forth. So that was the kind of thing that the CFTC was most... And they were also concerned about interfering with states' election laws, like Wisconsin, where they prohibited. About half states have laws on the books. Christy, this all raises even heightened concerns about insider trading that already existed. And then we were discussing this a second ago. Two weeks ago, we learned that the White House teleprompter operator was under federal investigation by the CFTC for allegedly betting on what Trump might say in speeches, which he clearly would have an insider track to.

35:02This past spring, Calci suspended three political candidates from using the platform after an investigation showed that they allegedly bet on their own campaigns. And then, of course, there's this remarkable case of the U.S. Special Forces soldier facing criminal charges for allegedly betting on the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, which happened with the help of Special Forces. This must be happening. If we know about those five cases, this must be happening much, much more than we even have any idea about. Yeah, absolutely. I mean, this is why I voted to ban the election related contracts, because I thought there's no way for the CFTC to be able to ensure the integrity of elections.

35:40We don't know what's happening. I mean, the insider trading just makes people think these markets are rigged. Right. And so people will say, well, on the elections, we look at we look at these markets because they give us continuous real time information. That's the wisdom of crowds. But only if they have integrity, right? Only if there's no insider trading. You've got these congressional candidates who were caught because of some new rule. Well, why is it a new rule that a candidate can't trade on their own election? And what about people beyond the candidate? And how is the CFTC and these prediction market exchanges supposed to know who's an insider?

36:18And ultimately, I think the CFTC is, I'm really worried that they don't have access to the information or the expertise to be able to safeguard the election integrity. And Rob, is it difficult to prove insider trading in elections? Well, it depends on the facts and circumstances, right? I think if you read the indictments in these cases that you mentioned, they're very, very damning facts if the government can prove it. The Special Forces soldier had access to classified information. He set up an account. It was a brand new account. He routed some of the proceeds through overseas. The exchange was overseas.

36:57He used cryptocurrency to kind of cover his tracks. Again, allegedly, if this can be proven. The behavior of the trader is going to matter a lot in any given case. But is the idea, Christy, that maybe somebody would run for office and then tank it and bet against themselves? Well, I think that could be one, right? That's one election integrity. Or it could be, let's think about, we've got insider trading. You've also got potential manipulation of markets, right? You have a foreign actor, a domestic actor, who's trying to put out a lot of disinformation to ultimately change voters' views, influence the election.

37:35Oh, so that the betting is the main thing and the election just becomes a consequence, a tragedy, collateral damage. It could be one. And then you've got insiders and you think, OK, who else besides the candidate knows information and is in some duty of confidence and duty of trust to keep everything confidential, but is actually trying to make money? That's all we need is less confidence in elections. Marshall, there are probably people watching and wondering, how is betting on elections even legal? And that's actually putting pinning some states against the federal government here. There's a colossal showdown right now between states and the federal government, specifically the Trump administration.

38:15As you mentioned, the Biden administration did try to stop this. They lost in court and now it is proliferating like crazy. It's quite popular. I just looked this up before we came on. On Calci and Polymarket, the two biggest prediction markets, there have been more than$31 million in trading volume over who will control the U.S. House. The Trump administration, the CFTC, has been protecting this industry and trying to enshrine into federal regulations that election markets like these are good, are legal. States are trying to block election markets and also sports wagering, which is a much bigger business than elections.

38:54There are dozens of cases across the country. There was a ruling a few hours ago against the companies in Wisconsin. There was a ruling in favor of the companies. earlier this week in Minnesota. Most of the experts I speak to, probably the experts at this table here, also would agree this is probably going to be decided by the Supreme Court. All right, thanks one and all. Fascinating and troubling stuff. Really appreciate it. Thank you so much. One note, as I noted earlier, CNN has a partnership with CalShane, and we use its data to cover major events, but editorial employees are not allowed to use prediction markets.

39:26Okay, we're watching this hurry-up-and-wait situation on Capitol Hill right now. Todd Blanche needs the vote of every Republican on the Senate Judiciary Committee to advance his nomination to become Attorney General and then would go to the floor of the Senate. Right now, Blanche does not seem to have the support of all the Republicans on the Judiciary Committee. Will conversations that just took place change the minds of these two key Republican holdouts? CNN's Amanu Raju is chasing the latest in the halls next.

40:00Welcome to The Lead. I'm Jake Tapper. This is our Todd Blanche. Blanche's nomination to be attorney general is in peril at this hour as two key Senate Republicans are demanding guarantees from Trump's nominee. Blanche was just seen leaving the Capitol. So does that mean deal or no deal? Is there an admission that the votes are not there right now? Plus, Dr. Anthony Fauci soon could be held in contempt of Congress after he invoked his Fifth Amendment right more than 100 times during a contentious hearing earlier today in the Senate. Fauci, who led the U.S. COVID response, refusing to answer questions about his handling of the pandemic.

40:35We're going to play you some of the most heated moments ahead. Also, newly released court filings reveal the U.S. Secret Service surveilled James Comey after his seashell post on Instagram. Federal officials, apparently acting without a warrant, tracked Comey's phone as he left the beach and headed back to D.C. But will this evidence help Comey's case, his attempt to get the case thrown out against him. And after putting his personal touches on the White House and the reflecting pool in the Kennedy Center, today we've learned about President Trump's latest renovation project, which will cost more than$20 billion and affects millions of people each year.

41:11Those details, coming up.

41:17The lead tonight, lightning rod. Nomination in peril. Two Republican senators threatening to tank Todd Blanche's nomination to permanently become the U.S. Attorney General. The holdouts ahead of tomorrow's key vote, well, Senators Tom Tillis in North Carolina, who has butted heads with Trump, and John Cornyn of Texas, who has butted heads with Trump. They are demanding written assurances on how the Trump Justice Department plans to kill the so-called anti-weaponization fund for good, as well as wanting language ensuring that any president is not exempt from future IRS audits. Now, losing either Cornyn or Tillis would keep Blanche's nomination from moving through the Senate Judiciary Committee.

41:58CNN's Caitlin Collins is at the White House. But first, let's go to CNN's Manu Raju on Capitol Hill with the latest. And Manu, you just spoke with John Cornyn. What do you have to say? Yeah, he made clear his concerns are not resolved, Jake, and that he is prepared to vote against this nomination if there is a committee vote tomorrow in the Senate Judiciary Committee. He simply says the Justice Department has not been responsive to his concerns, those two chief demands, ensuring written language that says that$1.8 billion anti-weaponization fund, a fund that presumably could give taxpayer dollars to people like January 6 rioters, that that is dead altogether and it will not proceed.

42:36and also to limit future presidents from, and any president, from having any audits happening against them, tax enforcement happening against them. There's been concern that the president and his family and other organizations could be exempt from tax enforcement under this deal that was reached. Cornyn wants that gone completely and wants that written. He says that they have not done that. And just moments ago, we caught up with him as he was leaving his office after he had met with the chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, Chuck Grassley, along with Tom Tillis, and he made crystal clear his concerns are not met, and he's warning the president not to take his vote for granted.

43:16Senator Grassley will make a decision. We haven't heard from the DOJ, so I think what he told me is he wanted to wait to see if they made a response, but I'm not aware they have. You haven't heard from the DOJ at all? They responded to you after you sent that back to them? As I told you earlier, it was not responsive to my concerns. I mean, we've heard from them. It's just that they refused to commit to writing what he testified to under oath. And it's not a big ask. We're trying to help them get this solved, but they refused to accept our help. So you're still ready to vote no right now. If this happens tomorrow, you're going to vote no still.

44:00Well, I don't know whether there'll be a markup tomorrow. If it happens. Senator Van Hollen, he's got something he wants to say. If it happens, you're a no. Well, I'm not going to speculate. I'm going to wait and see what happens. Senator, Senator, Senator, Senator, Senator, are you advising Chairman Grassley to delay tomorrow's markup, given that you haven't heard from DOJ yet? Senator Grassley's been around here a lot longer than I have. I'm not advising him anything. But how is that meeting with him? I mean, you met with him for some time. What was the purpose? How do we get up here? What was the purpose of the meeting?

44:33We're going to get to be down. If nothing changes right now, though, you're not a yes. I am not going to speculate. This could be solved in just a matter of seconds. Are you in contact with the White House about this, Senator? I think Senator Grassley has been talking to the White House. Is there an issue more about the IRS settlement language more than the fund at this point? It's both. But where you are right now, you are not yet ready to vote in favor of Todd Blanch's nomination. And the vote hasn't, that time has not yet occurred. President Trump noted today in the White House that he didn't endorse you.

45:15He's wondering, kind of openly speculating whether or not that might have been, have something to do with this. I think that's a convenient excuse for not cooperating with the Judiciary Committee's I don't think it's an inappropriate role in confirmation. Why do you think... You would acknowledge that not having to run for re-election anymore has freed you up to be more independent from the president. Would you acknowledge that? Have you noticed? I mean, is that why? Sir, you've been extremely clear in what you want. Thank you. Why don't you think Todd Blanche... Will you tell the DOJ that? Why don't you think Todd Blanche has met your demands around the 11th hour before this vote?

45:51Well, I assume he's getting some pushback from the president's lawyers. Have you heard that directly from the DOJ? No. No. I'm assuming that. I mean, given the attorney general is supposed to be an independent person in the administration, which advises to not listen to that? In this case, he's not representing the president. So when the president says that you're doing this as a political vendetta, what do you say to that? That's a convenient excuse, and it happens to be untrue.

46:19So as you heard there, Jake, and saw, Senator Cornyn is being clear that he's not heard anything from the Justice Department that could get him to yes ahead of tomorrow's vote in the committee. Now, that vote is still scheduled for tomorrow, Jake, and it's unclear whether it will be delayed. The chairman of the committee, Chuck Grassley, has refused to say whether or not he's prepared to delay this. He did make some comments after leaving John Cornyn's office, saying they're working to try to get a solution. So clearly there's not a solution. I will say that Tom Tillis is sounding more optimistic than John Cornyn, which is why really the focus at this moment is more so on Cornyn and whether he's ready to defy a president that he worked so hard to court in his re-election campaign in Texas.

47:03Of course, Cornyn eventually endorsed his primary foe, Ken Paxton, who won that nomination. But since Cornyn lost his effort to win reelection, he's come back here. And as you said, you heard what he said to me. He's feeling a lot more independent these days, Jake. I'm sure he is. Caitlin, after spending time on Capitol Hill, Todd Blanche then went to the White House. What's the White House doing behind the scenes to try to salvage Blanche's nomination? I mean, Jake, earlier this week, the White House seemed to think that this was on a glide path to happening and that Todd Blanche was going to get confirmed.

47:34They weren't going to have any issues with this. And now they're on the verge of this vote happening tomorrow and listening to comments like that from John Cornyn to Manu. And it is not clear at all that this is even going to move forward, even if that vote happens tomorrow, if Todd Blanche cannot get enough votes here. And so I think that's been a big point of frustration for the White House. And the problem, Jake, is that Todd Blanche has a lot of Republican support on Capitol Hill. He doesn't have it from the two Republican senators that the White House has the least influence and leverage over, because obviously they are not coming back here to Washington after next January.

48:07And so it's pretty difficult for the White House to pressure them or influence them as they would any other Republican who is running for re-election or simply returning to Washington. And I think that is at a crossroads for this White House right now in terms of where this is going to go next. Now, the White House was frustrated that Senator Cornyn had canceled that meeting that he was expected to have with the acting Attorney General Todd Blanch earlier today, you know, just about a half hour before it was expected to actually take place. But Jake, all of this is happening in the background and the White House does seem worried about it when we speak to officials about this.

48:38One person who seemed unaware of the drama that is unfolding on Capitol Hill right now with one of his biggest nominees was President Trump himself. Because this is what he told reporters earlier this afternoon inside the Oval Office. Todd Blanche is outstanding and I thought he's I thought it was pretty routine because he's so good. He just wouldn't find a better person. So I don't know. Maybe John Cornyn's upset with me because I didn't endorse him. I don't know what it is, but I haven't heard that there's a problem. I heard he's going through quite nicely. And going through quite nicely, obviously, Jake, does not contort with reality in terms of what we are hearing from John Cornyn and others on Capitol Hill.

49:21Potentially, it could change overnight. Things move fast here sometimes in Washington. But right now, obviously, this is a real problem for the White House in terms of whether or not they are willing to give Senator John Cornyn, who is seems to be the most staunchly opposed to this unless he gets in writing from the administration and from the Justice Department on something that the president has touted, Jake, which is the protection of IRS investigation that came as part of that that agreement. All right, Caitlin Collins at the White House, Manu Raju on Capitol Hill, no better team covering this stuff.

49:54Thanks so much to both of you. Don't miss Caitlin on her show, The Swords with Caitlin Collins. Her guests tonight include independent Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, who caucuses with Democrats. That's tonight at 9 Eastern, only on CNN. Joining us now, the ranking Democrat on the Senate Judiciary Committee, Illinois, Senator Dick Durbin. Senator, good to see you. What is your reaction to what your Republican colleague Senator Cornyn just said about not willing to vote for Blanche, at least not at this hour. I've been listening to John Cornyn very closely, and at the hearing with Blanche, he asked some pointed questions, good pointed questions, that were kind of a surprise from his side of the table.

50:32And it was clear that he had some issues that he wanted to resolve with this administration and they shouldn't take him for granted. I don't know what happened with scheduling these meetings back and forth. But if anybody in the White House is taking him for granted, it's a mistake. He's not a pushover. It seems to me that the White House could easily get Cornyn and Tillis' votes if they just put in writing that they're not going to bring back this so-called anti-weaponization fund of the$1.776 billion for the people who beat up cops on January 6th and the like. And yet the White House doesn't seem to be willing to do that.

51:07And I don't understand that at all. I mean, that is not an unusual or a complicated request. What John Cornyn is asking for is the White House to put in writing what Blanche has already told us. And to think that they're holding back on this reminds me when they went through this escapade where they wouldn't meet with the survivors of Jeffrey Epstein. Wouldn't meet with the survivors. Tillis finally said to them, then you don't get my vote if you won't meet them. So they had a cursory meeting. There was not a serious undertaking. They seem to think they have so much power they don't have to listen to anybody.

51:42It looks like there's a confrontation brewing here. I won't speak for my Republican colleagues. They'll speak for themselves. Have you spoken with either Cornyn or Tillis about their demands and their... No, I have not. This is a delicate situation. I don't want to interfere with their decision-making. We're talking about the next attorney general of the United States. Their request is reasonable. this slush fund that they put together at$2 billion to pay the people that beat up the cops here in the Capitol. I mean, it was a crazy idea. Blanche actually said in my office it was a mistake. He's denied that, but he said it.

52:19My staff witnessed it well. But to ask to put this in writing, particularly when it comes to future liability on tax laws and tax crimes, that is not unreasonable. I think John Cornyn's request and Tillis as well, really unreasonable. So one of the things that's interesting is you accused Blanche of lying about this anti-weaponization fund. And I assume that's a reference to you and your staff saying that he told you behind closed doors it was a mistake. And then publicly he denied that he said that. I mean, I would think that if you're convinced that he's just a liar, that should be a disqualification for a U.S.

53:01attorney general. Yes, it certainly would be. And as far as I'm concerned, this mega mighty position that no one ever says that they made a mistake, no one ever uses the word sorry in a sentence, you know, that may be the manly thing to do from the mega point of view, but it doesn't make sense to me. If Blanche's nomination fails to advance out of the Judiciary Committee, do you worry at all that the Trump administration simply won't care and they'll keep him in the position as acting or interim U.S. Attorney General? Well, they can do that, but he's certainly in a diminished situation if that's the fact.

53:36I don't know what they have in mind in that alternative, and I won't presume anything until these two Republican senators make up their minds and announce it to the public. Democratic Senator Dick Durbin of Illinois, thank you, sir. Appreciate it. Good to see you again. Thank you. Members of another group, also against Blanche's confirmation, made their opposition known on Capitol Hill today. They are, as the senator just referred to, survivors of Jeffrey Epstein. And they were carrying portions of the Epstein files, urging senators to vote no on Blanche because of the way he has treated them.

54:07And one of those survivors, Liz Stein, joins us next.

54:19In our law and justice lead, some survivors of Jeffrey Epstein are going door to door on Capitol Hill. They're delivering copies of the Epstein files to members of the Senate Judiciary Committee. They say it's a last-ditch effort to try to stop Todd Blanche's confirmation to be U.S. Attorney General. Also today, Defend.org and the Institute for Primary Facts launched a nationwide bookmobile campaign carrying 3.5 million pages of the files around Washington, D.C. in an effort to keep pressure on lawmakers and demand more transparency. Joining us to discuss is Epstein survivor Liz Stein. First off, as always, how you doing?

54:57This sucks to talk about, sucks to talk about publicly. You're trying to confront politicians. You all right? Yeah, we're hanging in. You know, this is this is a long haul. This is not anything that's going to happen immediately. And we're here for it. So two senators, Cornyn and Tillis on the Judiciary Committee, both Republicans, are raising concerns about something else, the anti-weaponization fund. And although Tillis did say that he wouldn't even contemplate voting for Todd Blanche if Blanche didn't meet with survivors and Blanche did meet with survivors, although the meeting didn't go so great from what I understand.

55:32You met with Cornyn's staff earlier today. Do you feel like that was productive? We did. You know, it was really, we really appreciated Senator Cornyn's staff sitting down with us and listening to what our exact concerns were about the nomination of Todd Blanche. You know, Senator Cornyn has a long standing track record of standing behind survivors of human trafficking. And I think that, you know, something that gets missed a lot in all of this, I say all the time that there's so much political emotion infused into what is the crime of sex trafficking. I think that when we are able to get these face to face meetings with people and really make them understand the human element of this case, their whole perspective changes.

56:20Survivors delivered copies of the files to lawmakers today. What was that moment like, those moments? You know, I think that it was really important for us to do because I think that sometimes when we talk about the Epstein files being three and a half million pages that have been released so far, that feels very abstract. But when you bring into someone's office a book that has been earmarked with potential investigative leads and you say, here, look, here are some of the files. Here are some of the leads. You can't deny that when it's sitting right in front of you. Yeah. And just to reiterate your and tell me, correct me if I'm wrong.

57:00Your concerns about Todd Blanch is, A, he was in charge of releasing the Epstein files, at least according to then Attorney General Pam Bondi. And by even the admission of Vice President Vance, that was all mishandled. B, it was mishandled in such a way that exposed names and addresses and information about survivors and redacted information about possible perpetrators and see, you know, until Tom Tillis demanded it, he refused to even meet with you guys. Yeah, we had been requesting meetings with the DOJ for months. And when Senator Tillis requested that meeting, we really think that he did that expecting a good faith meeting between the parties.

57:42We certainly went into that meeting with Todd Blanche prepared to get some answers, but he just didn't seem interested in giving us any. And I know that I saw some social media video of Danny, one of your sisters, your survivor sisters, describing the meeting with Blanche in which Blanche, the way she described it, he just sounded rude. Yeah. He didn't seem to have any concern for anything that we had to say to him. who was very dismissive, and it was very clear to us that he was just trying to check the box. So the Bookmobile launched today. It's an effort to keep attention on the call for transparency ahead of the midterms.

58:24It's going to go to other cities, other congressional districts. Is that right? Yeah. And what's the goal? I think the goal is to raise awareness. Like I just said to you earlier, it can be really difficult to grasp what, you know, three and a half million files looks like. Even though there's still 3 million that they haven't released. Exactly. Right. And I think that, you know, the reading room and the bookmobile are tangible visual representations of how large the files are, the magnitude of what we're looking at in terms of potential evidence. And I think that that's something that, you know, you just can't grasp when you're scrolling through documents online.

59:07All right, Liz Stein, thank you so much and thanks for having the strength as always, I know. Not fun. Not fun talking about this or being an activist for this. Newly released court documents show President Trump was following the James Comey case in real time, asking to have files sent directly to Air Force One so he could use them in a press conference. Do these revelations help Comey's team in their efforts to get the case thrown out of court? That's next.

59:36continuing in our law and justice lead in new court filings former fbi director james comey claims that federal officials followed him without a warrant from north carolina to virginia after he posted photos of seashells on a beach in north carolina spelling out 86 47 last year which President Trump claims he views as a call to violence. The filing part of Comey's efforts to get what he calls vindictive and selective charges against him dropped also show how deep President Trump was involved in the investigation, detailing interaction on Air Force One after Comey was interviewed by the U.S. Secret Service.

1:00:16One agent saying, quote, it's a hot topic on the plane and redacted code name for President Trump is very interested. The FBI also apparently interviewed Sammy the Bull Gravano, a former member of the notorious Gambino crime family, who said Comey knows that the number 86 refers to killing someone. CNN senior legal analyst Ellie Honig joins us now. Ellie, is there any legal relevance to the revelation that Trump asked for and was given FBI summaries of interviews in real time about the Seashell posting? Oh, for sure, Jake. Jim Comey already had a strong motion to dismiss based on vindictive prosecution.

1:00:56And now I think that argument is overwhelming. So vindictive prosecution is when a defendant can show that he's being singled out for prosecution because of personal animus, animosity from someone in the government towards him. It's really hard to show that. But here, Jim Comey, first of all, has an exhaustive record. In fact, he attaches a 77 page appendix showing examples of times when he and Trump have publicly, verbally attacked one another. On top of that, you have the fact that Jim Comey already defeated the first indictment against him, which he got dismissed a few months ago. And now this new revelation shows that Donald Trump was directly monitoring this investigation on a real-time basis.

1:01:33He was demanding updates, and he was even planning to use that information for political purposes. So I think Jim Comey has about as strong a vindictive prosecution motion as I've ever seen. Would any of this impact Todd Blanche's pending nomination, do you think? I don't think it's gonna flip any votes given the reporting that we've seen, but it's really important to remember so much of the focus in Blanche's confirmation hearing was on the Epstein files and was on the slush fund, rightly so. But there's also a question of Blanche has said repeatedly that DOJ doesn't take orders from Donald Trump.

1:02:07It doesn't do what Donald Trump tells us to do with respect to prosecution. These revelations directly undermine that. And I think it's important for people to understand that. Comey also argues in his, uh, in his brief that his 8647 post does not rise to the level of a criminal threat. What do you make of that? Comey's argument on this point, I think is also incredibly strong. So the courts have made clear in order for something to rise to the level of a federal criminal felony threat. First of all, there has to be a clear statement of an intent to inflict physical harm. And second of all, there has to be some intent by that person to actually pursue physical harm.

1:02:46If you start with the second part of that, there's no chance Jim Comey had any intent to go and come after Donald Trump. They let him stay out there for 11 months and he took the post down immediately. He agreed to talk to the secret service. With respect to 86, you can see in this brief, the government was scrapping desperately to try to make the argument that 86 means kill. Now, occasionally it can be used for that, but the far more common usage just means we're out of something or to get rid of something. That's what all the dictionary definitions show. Many other high profile public people have made posts about 86ing various political people and have not been charged.

1:03:24So I think the argument that this was a criminal threat that overcomes Comey's First Amendment rights, I think that's a real stretch. Comey's motion also reveals that the FBI apparently desperately looking for evidence that 86 definitely means kill. They looked at the fact that mobsters in New York have used the term and then cited mobster John Gambino when he was a young prosecutor. It's something like that. Explain this to me. This is a real stretch. They were looking desperately for evidence that gangsters use that terminology. They actually looked at the entire FBI database, something called Sentinel, and could not find a good example.

1:04:08And yes, Jake, they pulled up a 30 plus year old file against a gangster named John Gambino that Jim Comey worked on and in thousands of pages found not a single reference to 86. They're left instead relying on the very credible source of Sammy the Bull Gravano. I'm being sarcastic here. And of course, Gravano even said, yeah, Comey probably knew the 86 meant kill, but no gangster actually uses that expression. So they're really grasping at straws. Yeah. It seems like something like a gangster on Bugs Bunny would say, like it doesn't actually like gangsters. It's a cartoonish image. Yeah. Gangsters say things like, hey, take care of our friend, if you know what I'm saying.

1:04:44All right. Ellie Honig, thanks so much. Appreciate it. A Capitol Hill hearing got so heated today that the Republican chairman and head security escort Dr. Fauci's attorney out of the room. Our panel is here to break down some of these incredibly tense moments. That's next.

1:05:09During the pandemic, you got rich, didn't you? You got rich while people were dying. You force people to watch their loved ones die alone over the phone. It's disgusting. Here I am sitting in front of you six years later saying, who the fuck do you think you were for doing that? It is a total disgrace what you did to this country. What would you do differently than knowing what you know today, Dr. Fauci?

1:05:36Very intense questions today for Dr. Anthony Fauci. That was the Senate Homeland Security Committee questioning Fauci's handling of the pandemic. In his opening statement, Fauci accused Republican lawmakers of using the hearing to try to put him, quote, behind bars. He was afraid of a perjury trap. They asked him a question, he answers incorrectly, and then they send his referral to the Justice Department. The hearing quickly turned into a one-way conversation, Fauci refusing to answer questions, invoking the Fifth Amendment more than 100 times. Some Republicans asked about Fauci's private diary entries, which was recently made public by committee chairman and senator Rand Paul of Kentucky, a longtime Fauci critic.

1:06:18Apparently, RFK Jr. turned over the diary. Senator Paul said that the committee is going to vote next week on whether or not to hold Fauci in contempt of Congress. Our panel is here to discuss. So, Lauren, you were on Capitol Hill today. Is this pretty much what Republican lawmakers thought was going to happen? I think they were surprised that he decided to plead the fifth. I think they were surprised that this continued on for hours and hours. I sort of expected that once the moment happened where he announced that he was going to just continue pleading the fifth, that they would give up very quickly.

1:06:51That is not what transpired. And I do think it's interesting that Rand Paul said they're going to vote for contempt in committee next week. Even if that gets out of committee, Jake, it faces really long odds on the Senate floor. That's because you need 60 votes at some point, which means you would need some Democrats to vote with Republicans. That's not going to happen here. But I think that what is clear is that Rand Paul has long time, long had a vendetta against Dr. Fauci. He has waited for this moment and he wanted to ensure that Dr. Fauci was questioned, embarrassed, and that Republicans got every single thing that they wanted to talk about today out in the open.

1:07:29So, Mo, some, I mean, one of the things that I think Republicans were going for here was that Fauci was saying things publicly that didn't necessarily line up with what he was thinking or saying privately. Some of Fauci's private diary entries seem to contradict his previous public statements. For example, in a March 2020 entry, Fauci recalls a conversation he had with then New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio. Fauci wrote, quote, I spoke with Bill de Blasio and convinced him based on what I was saying publicly in my conversation tonight to close the New York City schools. He had already decided based on what I was saying on TV, unquote.

1:08:01Fauci also wrote about a similar call he had with Gavin Newsom's chief of staff, Gavin Newsom, the governor of California. But in a 2022 interview with ABC News, Fauci denied any responsibility for having the schools shut down. Here's that clip. They always come back and say Fauci was responsible for closing schools. I had nothing to do. I mean, let's get down to the facts. So what do you think, Mel? Look, I think if before today, Democrats and actually a plurality of the country trusted Anthony Fauci, they get why he was pleading the fifth today. They saw the trap that Republicans were trying to lay for him.

1:08:42If you're a Republican or if you're someone who distrusted Anthony Fauci today, I think you still distrust Anthony Fauci today. I actually don't think today moved the needle on this debate in any real way. I get why he pleaded the fifth. They clearly were trying to lay out a perjury trap for him. The uproar over him pleading the fifth is a little rich considering Donald Trump was pleading the fifth like 200 or more times during his deposition last year or a couple of years ago in a civil trial. So at the end of the day, if you didn't like Fauci, you still don't like Fauci. If you did like Fauci and trust him, you probably still do.

1:09:30Sure, Michael. Look, I do also understand why he pleaded the fifth. But I think what this also does is it allows a lot of Americans who have legitimate questions about what Dr. Fauci knew and what he had concerns about privately as opposed to what he stated publicly. And what were the implications of that, particularly for people with younger children at the time, the psychological impacts, the academic impacts that many families across this country are still dealing with as their children were left behind and some friends went ahead. And now you have children now who have a ton of issues in terms of navigating the world with other children because for two years they were locked indoors.

1:10:06And so someone, in my opinion, has to be held accountable in that regard. So I get not wanting to answer questions. I legally understand that. But I think it would have helped at a minimum to say, you know, maybe we did make some mistakes here in terms of what we told the American people and some of the advice we gave to governors across the country to acknowledge that I don't think would have been harmful. Well, could they if the goal was truly fact finding? And look, obviously, a lot of things were said and advised and done in 2020. by the person, in fact, who was the president at the time, President Trump.

1:10:40Let's not forget, Anthony Fauci was senior advisor to President Trump, who actually made a lot of these decisions. But a lot of things were said and done that people probably regret. If they actually were trying to find facts, why not give him immunity for his answers, thus to encourage a greater, fuller conversation? Yeah, no, I actually would not be opposed to that at all. There's a little political theater here. I think we can all acknowledge that. But to your point, Jake, if the objective was to get further clarity in terms of mistakes made then and figuring out a fact finding mission to avoid making similar mistakes when we have another pandemic at some point in the future.

1:11:15Which will happen. Which will happen. Then I probably would have given him immunity to be transparent with the American people. But again, I do beg the question, should there be some level of accountability for errors that were made and what should that look like? And I don't think we should be afraid to have that conversation. while granting the doctor immunity to be clear and free to tell the truth. But the only question I would say, Mo, is just why is... No one comes out of 2020 in terms of the political decisions that were made in this town looking infallible. Sure. But why is only one person being held responsible?

1:11:56And that's a great question. Look, we were all reacting in 2020 in real time to information that we were just learning in real time. We'd never been through this before in our lifetime. So it is likely that mistakes were made. In retrospect, we can see where we could have done some things differently. I would also welcome a fact-finding conversation about what we can learn. But this was performative. That's not what this was. There should be like the 9-11 Commission. President Biden. The House did have a coronavirus task force that did try to do some of that work. But again, it got bogged down.

1:12:33Brad Wenstrup, the doctor and congressman from Indiana, I think, or Ohio, maybe like he had it. I do think, though, and I think we can all agree there should be like a bipartisan 9-11 type commission about. I want to ask you about speaking of Ohio, Congressman Max Miller. He's running for reelection in Ohio's 7th Congressional District. His ex-wife, who is the daughter of Senator Bernie Marendo, who we saw in that piece dropping a nice F-bomb, he accuses Miller of, she accuses Miller of abuse. In police videos, she described allegations against him, including an incident in which she says he held a gun to her.

1:13:09Miller denies all of it and calls his ex-wife manipulative. The New York Times is now reporting that Republican officials are actually worried that all of this drama is harming his re-election chances. You've covered this for us before, but we covered it not as an election story, not as a political story, but as a family story. Very sad because there's a child involved, too. Are you hearing that people are worried he might lose election? Well, I would just point out that this is not an isolated incident because there are some ethics issues that are roiling Congress across the board and a couple of them involving Republicans directly.

1:13:41And yes, Democrats are feeling much more bullish about this seat than they felt, in part because this is supposed to be a safe Republican seat. And the fact that it is feeling more competitive, the fact that they have a Democratic opponent in Brian Poindexter, who they believe is really resonating with voters there, that is all having an impact. It isn't an isolated incident. You also have that ethics investigation into Chuck Edwards. That is having an impact in his race in North Carolina, another potentially safe Republican district that could be upset here. And then there's obviously Corey Mills down in Florida.

1:14:13He is also facing an ethics investigation in the House of Representatives. And Democrats are feeling quite good about their chances in that race if he wins his primary. So this is not an isolated incident. And I think that that is part of if you're talking about a wave election year, issues like this can make a huge difference for voters. All right. Thanks to all of you. President Trump said today he's going to, quote, beat the effing shit out of Iran. That's a quote. Does that mean we're closer to more military strikes and further away from any sort of ceasefire? That's next.

1:14:53Topping our world lead this afternoon, President Trump was perhaps a bit more restrained after he told Fox earlier today in the morning that he was going to, quote, quote, beat the effing shit, unquote, out of Iran for firing several ballistic missiles at U.S. forces in Jordan last night. Here's the president in the Oval Office this afternoon. We're going to be hitting them very hard because it's our turn to hit them. They know it's coming. They're asking us not to do it. Shortly after the attack, the U.S. and Saudi militaries jointly struck Iran-backed militias in Iraq. Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with Secretary of Pete Hegseth at Blair House earlier today.

1:15:34And joining us now is the former Israeli defense minister, Benny Gantz. Thank you so much for joining us, sir. So just hours before President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu met yesterday, the Israeli defense minister, your successor, Israel Kotz, said that Israel had wanted to strike Iranian energy infrastructure, but they had been held back by the Trump administration, which begs the question, how much is the Israeli defense force taking direct orders from President Trump during this war with Iran? I think we have to differentiate between what has to do with national self-defense, I would say, where we are totally independent and other issues that we might be more considerable with our backers like the United States or our allies around the region.

1:16:36So I don't think we can measure it yes or no. It depends on the issue and the circumstances. And I think that both Israel and United States know how to respect each other's interests or needs. I'm sure I don't need to tell you that support for Israel among the American people is declining significantly, according to many, many recent polls. You were part of the war cabinet during much of the Israel-Hamas war. Do you have any regrets about how Israel waged the war?

1:17:16Basically, no, I don't. I wish it would be shorter, but let us not forget the facts. We were brutally attacked and butchered by Hamas, the very same Hamas, that we kind of held him responsible for keeping Gaza Strip safe and quiet. I don't have to remind you that close to 20 ,000 workers were working in Israel prior to this attack. Everybody would blame us for supporting Hamas, for financing it, all those things that you can talk about. And eventually they did what they did. So I've said before, and with your permission, I would like to say it again. Israel is not revenging in Gaza. There's nothing we can do that satisfy our human sense of revenge for what they did for us.

1:18:17No, we are retaliating in Gaza, but we are securing the future and we cannot afford to have hostile, radical organization, terror organization, Hamas, supported by the Iranians on our borders whatsoever. is. CNN's Clarissa Ward just did an in-depth report on Israeli extremism, zealots pushing Palestinian Christians out of the occupied West Bank, which they've called home for 2000 years. The United Nations released a report today saying that Israeli settler violence has reached an all time high. And the Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid was on the show, my show, this week and said that the situation in the West Bank, what he called Jewish terror, is a, quote, disgrace for Israel.

1:19:02Why is Prime Minister Netanyahu tolerating this?

1:19:32but 99 % of the people who live in Judea and Samaria are law-obeying people. We cannot change the fact that thousands of Israelis were murdered by Palestinians, not the other way around. So I don't accept any kind of those activities. I think we have to make sure that we take care of our security, but leave the Palestinians to live their own life, And I think we should act against those extremists. Don't get me wrong, but please put it in the right proportion. It will not give us any discount from fighting those elements. But the truth must be said. Former Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz, thank you so much.

1:20:19Appreciate it. Thank you very much. Coming up next, why one of the most popular bands in the world is now saying it will not submit its music for next year's Grammys.

1:20:37Washington, D.C. area airport is going to get a major upgrade, President Trump announced today, a$22 billion upgrade to Dulles Airport in Northern Virginia. The president says the proposal, which he oversaw, includes upgrades to the parking garages, a new walking tunnel, a new hotel, and the big upgrade for people familiar with Dulles, the scrapping of the clunky 60-year-old so-called people movers that currently shuttle passengers from one part of the airport to another. And our pop culture lead K-pop supergroup BTS announced today they're not going to submit music for next year's Grammy Awards.

1:21:12The members saying on social media they quote hope that music can be heard and loved for what it is rather than being divided by region or language. This is an apparent reference to the move by the Recording Academy to launch five new categories, including one for Asian pop. Aaron Burnett out front starts now.

1:21:38I'm Dr. Sanjay Gupta, host of the Chasing Life podcast. Many times snoring may just be harmless, may not mean anything, but sometimes it can be an indication that there's a more serious health condition underlying all that. something known as sleep apnea. So this is a significant problem. It's been a growing problem in the United States for a long time. There's all sorts of strategies to try and deal with sleep apnea. I want to talk about it with Dr. Paul Hoff. He is an ENT doctor, ears, nose, and throat doctor who focuses on sleep. What percentage of that 80 million know that they have sleep apnea?

1:22:15About 20%. So they're really 80 % of people are undiagnosed. So it's a huge population that's undiagnosed. 80 %? That's a gigantic number. Yeah. Listen to Chasing Life, streaming now, wherever you get your podcasts.

From the publisher

A new CNN poll shows President Trump is under water on inflation, Iran, the economy, and even his job performance. Plus, a CNN special report on what is fueling harassment, intimidation, and attacks on Christians in Jerusalem and the occupied West Bank. 
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

More from The Lead with Jake Tapper

All 321 episodes
CNN Poll: Most Voters Unhappy with Trump on Iran War & EconomyThe Lead with Jake Tapper · 1 h 30 min
Listen in VO