In short
Podcast Summary: The Lead with Jake Tapper
Episode Title
DOJ Letter To Congress Lists Hundreds Of Prominent People Named In Epstein Files
Episode Overview In this episode, host Jake Tapper (substituted by Dana Bash) navigates through significant updates involving high-profile cases: the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie, the fallout from the Epstein files, and the investigation into Alexei Navalny's poisoning.
Key Topics Discussed
- Nancy Guthrie's Disappearance
- Current Status: Nancy Guthrie, 84, has been missing for 16 days, with her family cleared of any wrongdoing by the authorities.
- DNA Evidence: The FBI is analyzing DNA from a glove found near her home, which potentially matches a suspect captured on a doorbell camera tampering with her front door.
- Public Plea: Savannah Guthrie made an emotional appeal to the captor, emphasizing the humanity and the possibility of redemption.
- Law Enforcement Statements: Pima County Sheriff Chris Nanos reiterated that speculation about the Guthrie family’s involvement is unfounded and harmful.
- Epstein Files Revelations
- Royal Family Involvement: New documents reveal links between British royal family members, particularly Princesses Beatrice and Eugenie, and Jeffrey Epstein, raising ethical questions about their parents' associations with him.
- Political Reactions: Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett expressed concerns over the selective release of names, implying it protects certain individuals rather than promoting justice for victims.
- Alexei Navalny's Poisoning Case
- Toxicology Findings: An investigation revealed that the poison responsible for Navalny's death was derived from a tropical frog, highlighting the lethal means used by the Russian state against dissenters.
- Historical Context: This incident adds to the pattern of the Kremlin’s suspected use of exotic poisons against its critics, such as Sergei Skripal and Alexander Litvinenko.
- Political Dynamics
- Midterm Elections: Discussions about the upcoming midterm elections and their implications for both parties as approval ratings fluctuate and redistricting strategies continue to shape the political landscape.
Key Figures
- Savannah Guthrie: Made a public plea for her mother’s safe return.
- Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett: Critiqued the DOJ’s handling of the Epstein files.
- Ed Lavendera: Reported live from Tucson on the developments in the Guthrie case.
- Alexei Navalny: Russian opposition leader whose poisoning case continues to garner international attention.
Key Takeaways
- Investigation Updates: The ongoing investigation into Nancy Guthrie’s disappearance is pivotal, with DNA analysis potentially leading to new suspects.
- Epstein Files' Impact: The revelations from the Epstein files continue to have political ramifications, exposing connections to powerful individuals and stirring controversy in Congress.
- Continued Vigilance: The discussions underscore the need for thorough investigations and accountability, especially concerning issues of justice and political integrity.
Conclusion This episode of *The Lead* provides a multi-faceted view of current events, intertwining personal stories with broader societal implications, revealing the complexities of justice, familial ties, and political accountability. The host and guests navigate through these sensitive topics, shedding light on the ongoing struggles for resolution in high-profile cases.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOLatest Updates on the Guthrie Investigation
0:45 to 2:10
Details on the sheriff's declaration and ongoing investigation into Nancy Guthrie's disappearance.
“The Lead tonight, the Pima County Sheriff officially declaring the entire Guthrie family not suspects in the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie.”
DNA Evidence and Investigative Leads
2:10 to 4:35
Discussion on the significance of the DNA found on the glove and its implications for the case.
“very severe consequences if Guthrie is found dead, even threatening the death penalty.”
The Role of Behavioral Analysts in Investigations
4:35 to 7:20
Expert insights from criminologists on the familial relationships and the impact of appeals to a suspect.
“Thank you so much for that, getting us up to speed.”
Impacts of Commercial DNA Databases
7:20 to 10:09
Exploration of how commercial DNA databases can aid in criminal investigations.
“there is that this is the one thing that a suspect cannot control.”
Insights on Public Reaction and Communication
10:09 to 11:20
Discussion on Savannah Guthrie's public appeal and its potential effects on the investigation.
“Because I don't think there's any indication or evidence that any of these communications are actually coming from anyone who has any knowledge of Nancy's whereabouts.”
Epstein Files and Controversies
11:20 to 14:01
Analysis of the DOJ's release of the Epstein files and the political responses surrounding it.
“Up next, an update to breaking news that we can give you right now in Rhode Island.”
Concerns Over Epstein File Transparency
14:01 to 15:10
Discussion on the lack of transparency in the Epstein files review process.
“So sadly enough, just like when we saw the initial release of the Epstein files, we saw that there were victims' names that were released as well, and it was clear that that was intentional.”
Jasmine Crockett's Political Challenges
15:10 to 19:24
Jasmine Crockett discusses her unique campaign approach amidst challenges.
“There's a lack of transparency and seemingly an attempt to cover up.”
The Royal Family's Connection to Epstein
19:24 to 22:20
Examination of Princess Beatrice and Eugenie's links to Jeffrey Epstein.
“And the Epstein files are revealing more prominent names connected to the now dead pedophile.”
Navalny's Poisoning Investigation
22:20 to 24:53
Details on the toxins used to poison Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny.
“And CNN has also sought to contact the princesses for comment, but we haven't heard back from any of them.”
Show all 38 chapters
Analysis of the Upcoming Midterm Elections
26:57 to 28:00
Ron Brownstein discusses the implications of Trump's ratings for the midterm elections.
“Trump or Kamala Harris, and then try to figure out how much they won by.”
Impact of Trump's Approval on Midterm Elections
28:00 to 28:54
Explore how Trump's approval ratings could affect Republican midterm outcomes.
“is rising to a level that has usually signaled a really bad midterm for the president's party.”
Redistricting and Its Consequences
28:54 to 29:51
Discuss the implications of recent redistricting on swing districts and elections.
“And that is the redistricting that we've seen over the past year, that's sort of, you know, mid-decade redistricting, which is unusual.”
Analyzing the 2022 Electoral Landscape
29:51 to 30:45
Evaluate the current state of the House elections and Republican advantages.
“And if you look back, even in really big midterms, I figured this out the other day, 06, 2010, 2014, 2018, really big midterms.”
The Partisan Divide and Its Effects
30:45 to 31:40
Examine how political divisions are deepening due to redistricting.
“And basically, you're pulling the country further apart.”
Reflections on Political Dynamics
31:40 to 31:59
Reflect on the historical context of political dynamics and election strategies.
“I mean, it's just a dangerous trend that ultimately really had no partisan payoff.”
Republican Strategy for Midterms
31:59 to 33:12
Strategize on how Republicans can navigate the upcoming midterm challenges.
“Now let's get some reaction and insight from our political experts.”
The Future of Bipartisanship
33:12 to 34:29
Discuss the diminishing chances for bipartisanship in current politics.
“because it used to be that they used to work across the aisle, but now because there are so few swing districts, I know, I know.”
The Role of Redistricting in Elections
34:29 to 35:39
Analyze how redistricting is reshaping the electoral map for both parties.
“So, yes, typically when a president is under 50 percent, the opposition party this time, of course, The Democrats will pick up anywhere from, you know, 22 to 30 plus seats in the House.”
Election Security Concerns
35:39 to 36:38
Address the importance of election integrity and security measures.
“I want to play something that Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem said about election security.”
Historical Context of Elections
36:38 to 37:58
Relate current election fears to historical trends in American politics.
“I was actually watching an old clip before this segment of him talking about election interference from international actors such as Russia.”
Upcoming Investigative Updates
37:58 to 38:12
Preview updates on the ongoing investigation into Nancy Guthrie's disappearance.
“And an update from the sheriff in the Nancy Guthrie disappearance today.”
Details of the Nancy Guthrie Case
38:22 to 39:59
Analyze the latest developments surrounding Nancy Guthrie's disappearance.
“This hour, investigators are making it clear all of Nancy Guthrie's family members, including siblings and spouses, have been cleared as possible suspects in her disappearance.”
Analyzing Investigative Techniques and Evidence
39:59 to 42:00
Discuss the evidence and techniques used in the investigation of Nancy Guthrie.
“CODIS, the FBI managed DNA database that holds more than 19 million offender profiles.”
Investigation Updates on Surveillance and DNA Evidence
42:00 to 42:56
Learn about ongoing investigations regarding surveillance footage and DNA evidence related to the case.
“There are other cameras on the property, and the sheriff told me on Friday that the work continues to try to resurrect that video.”
Analyzing the Importance of the Suspect's Backpack
42:56 to 44:12
Understand the significance of a backpack in the investigation and how clothing items can lead to suspects.
“Let's start with the DNA testing that's being done right now on that glove.”
Messages from Savannah Guthrie and Political Implications
44:12 to 47:52
Explore Savannah Guthrie's emotional appeal and how political messages affect the investigation.
“It is a black 25 liter Ozark Trail backpack, which is Walmart's private label brand.”
Discussion on Law Enforcement Leadership and Investigation Clarity
47:52 to 49:10
Delve into opinions on law enforcement leadership in the investigation and its implications.
“And, you know, as somebody who knows Savannah, and I think the world knows this also just by watching her, it's genuine.”
The Role of Misinformation in High-Profile Cases
49:10 to 50:34
Understand the impact of misinformation and online behavior on real investigations.
“And if you have any information that could help investigators in this case, you can call the Pima County Sheriff's Department at 520-351-4900 or the FBI at 1-800-CALL-FBI.”
Congresswoman Grijalva on Immigration and Law Enforcement Accountability
50:34 to 55:50
Hear insights from Congresswoman Grijalva on immigration policies and law enforcement accountability.
“more than several, of influencers accusing various people of being involved in the disappearance without any facts to back it up.”
AI Training Professionals for Tomorrow's Jobs
56:00 to 59:50
Explore how professionals are training AI to replicate their roles across various industries.
“In our tech lead, how much would it take to get you to train your own replacement?”
Political Tensions Amid Government Shutdown
59:50 to 1:02:00
Discussion on the implications of the ongoing government shutdown and immigration policies.
“In our politics lead, we are now in day three of the partial government shutdown as negotiators try to find a deal to fund the Department of Homeland Security.”
Mayor Karen Bass on Immigration and the Olympics
1:02:00 to 1:05:59
Los Angeles Mayor discusses immigration policy and the preparations for the 2028 Olympics.
“So the mask issue is just one of the reforms that Democrats want.”
Debate on Democrats' Foreign Policy Credentials
1:06:00 to 1:10:04
Analyzing the effectiveness of Democrats in foreign policy following the Munich Security Conference.
“Is it your view that that is helpful to California or is it not?”
Evaluating Democratic Leaders and Future Candidates
1:10:04 to 1:12:00
The discussion revolves around the capabilities of various Democratic leaders and their potential for future presidential runs.
“Gretchen Whitmer, one of the governors that Bakari is touting, said she knows even less about foreign policy than AOC.”
Bill Clinton's Legacy and Historical Erasure
1:12:00 to 1:13:48
A critical examination of Bill Clinton's omission from a DNC tweet celebrating past presidents and his overall impact on American politics.
“And to celebrate that, the DNC, the Democratic National Committee, put out a tweet showing recent Democratic presidents.”
Marco Rubio and J.D. Vance's Political Roles
1:13:48 to 1:16:40
The segment discusses the political dynamics involving Marco Rubio, J.D. Vance, and their influence on the Republican Party's future.
“But you talk, Scott, about Rubio, Marco Rubio being the adult in the room.”
Obama's Comments on Extraterrestrial Life
1:16:40 to 1:19:41
The hosts discuss former President Obama's remarks about aliens and the reactions that followed, including speculation about political implications.
“In our pop lead, actor Robert Duvall is dead at age 85.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:03an agonizing wait for dna test results in the guthrie case the lead starts right now The glove that could give investigators a new break in the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie. DNA testing is happening now as Today Show anchor Savannah Guthrie issues a new plea to the person who took her mother. And more members of the royal family wrapped up in the Epstein files how the daughters of the former Prince Andrew were mentioned. Plus, tracing the toxin used to kill Alexei Navalny, one of Vladimir Putin's most vocal critics, the lethal weapon of choice, poison from a tropical frog. We're going to have the new report.
0:54Welcome to The Lead. I'm Dana Bash in for Jake Tapper. The Lead tonight, the Pima County Sheriff officially declaring the entire Guthrie family not suspects in the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie. The 84-year-old mother of Today Show anchor Savannah Guthrie has now been missing for 16 days. Last seen and taken from, it appears, her home in Tucson, Arizona. The sheriff, Chris Nanos, putting to rest remaining speculation from the public and some in the media, saying in a statement, the family, quote, including siblings and spouses, are cleared as possible suspects and have been cooperative and gracious and are victims in this case.
1:39To suggest otherwise, it's not only wrong, it is cruel. As the investigation heads into its third week, a source familiar tells CNN authorities have still not zeroed in on a leading motive for the suspect. The FBI is now analyzing DNA from a glove found just two miles from Nancy Guthrie's home. The FBI says this glove appears to match what the suspect wore when seen here, tampering with Nancy Guthrie's doorbell camera before her disappearance on February 1st. Today, President Trump told the New York Post the abductors would face very, very severe consequences if Guthrie is found dead, even threatening the death penalty.
2:20While Savannah Guthrie issued a new plea last night on Instagram directly to her mother's possible captor. And I wanted to say to whoever has her or knows where she is that it's never too late. I want to get straight to CNN's Ed Lavendera, who has been in Arizona since this investigation started. Ed, where do you think stand right now? Well, right now we're awaiting, as you talk about the DNA tests and the glove found by the FBI, I can walk you through all of that since it's really the primary thing that we know about at this moment. But over the weekend, FBI officials acknowledging that they have collected more than a dozen gloves.
3:16One of those gloves found within two miles of Nancy Guthrie's home seemed to match the glove worn by the suspect in that doorbell camera video. And that glove did contain some DNA that was sent off for testing. Why is this significant? Because obviously if there's, we also know because the sheriff told us on Friday that they have collected an unknown person's DNA here at the Guthrie property. And if those two DNA samples match, this is going to provide a new avenue of investigation for the FBI and the Pima County Sheriff's detectives working this case as well. And then the question becomes, they will put that match into the databases that are available to them and try to come up with a name associated with that.
4:01We do not know if those different DNAs have been matched or where that stands now. We're waiting for news on that final confirmation. But that is continuing to develop here this afternoon. And, Dan, I think I should also say that there's other work that's also going on. We do know that the sheriff here told us that the backpack worn by the suspect has been identified as a backpack that is sold at Walmart. The sheriff told me this morning that they are working with Walmart to try to identify where that might have been purchased. So a lot of investigative leads like that that are very tedious continue this afternoon.
4:36Dana? Tedious, but very important, Ed. Thank you so much for that, getting us up to speed. And let's discuss more with behavioral analyst and criminologist Casey Jordan and two former FBI agents, Brianna Fox, who's now an associate professor at the University of South Florida and CNN's very own Josh Campbell. Josh, I'm going to start here with how we started the program, which is that the sheriff's department issued a statement clearing anybody in the Guthrie family of any wrongdoing. There's no suspicion there. It doesn't sound like it should, you know, people who don't live on the Internet might not know why this is a big deal, but it is.
5:15It's a huge deal. And look, in any crime investigation, particularly a violent crime, authorities will naturally look at anyone who's close to the potential victim to include relatives. But there's been no information that surfaced to date indicating the family is actually culpable. Nevertheless, we have seen just the slew of true crime enthusiasts, armchair online sleuths coming out, postulating all kinds of things without fact, a lot of it irresponsible, claiming that the family members are under suspicion. And so here you have the sheriff coming out very forcefully and saying that is not true.
5:46To the contrary, the Guthrie family has been nothing but cooperative. And, Brianna, the FBI, as Ed reported, now has this DNA from a glove found about two miles from the Guthrie home. They're waiting to put it in CODIS, the FBI's DNA database. What happens from that point on? Right. Well, the first thing is they're going to run it through CODIS. So obviously to see if there's any matches, this is anyone who's been entered into the CODIS system. But they have more options even if it doesn't match. So they could actually enter it into commercial databases, which are things like ancestry or, you know, genetic genealogy.
6:26These things are able to see if there's family members that have uploaded their own data into these public databases. Now, they either can get a warrant or they can do this through people essentially volunteering their own data. After that, they're going to obviously want to match that glove back to the scene. So as Ed said, it's important that they have a link from that glove back to the Guthrie household. Yeah. And that's really such a fascinating detail. And I'm just going to ask you to follow up, Josh, because you and I were talking about this earlier today. people sort of around the world have used these commercial companies like 23andMe to check their DNA, look at their ancestry.
7:07But the fact that this is now being used in potential crimes is obviously a tool that the FBI didn't have for, you know, up until just a few years ago. And it's been successful in so many cases. And what I would add to Brianna's excellent analysis there is that this is the one thing that a suspect cannot control. Because someone going out to commit a violent crime probably isn't going to be submitting their own DNA to private companies, but a family member may have. And a family member who's not involved in a crime can still lead you to a potential suspect based on the unique nature of DNA mapping.
7:39We've seen it beneficial in a lot of cases. And Casey, to you on the message, the new message that we saw from Savannah Guthrie last night directly to whoever may have her mother. Have you seen cases where appeals from family do work to soften perpetrators or even people with valuable information? Yeah, we have seen that. Absolutely. And the biggest thing is whether or not the suspect is acting alone or whether they have an accomplice. Very often it's the accomplice, if it's a master disciple kind of duo who actually ends up folding. And Savannah's message was very clear. There were three times she said, we believe and just left it dangling there.
8:25We believe what? We believe what? She draws you in. And then she says, we believe in the essential goodness of human beings. So it's kind of like, we know you have a good heart. We know you want to do the right thing. And the final message she left was it's never too late. It's never too late. No matter how bad you might feel, you can still do the right thing. And I think it was a really important message to get out there, especially as we enter the third week. It's hard to believe it's the third week. And Brianna, the Pima County Sheriff's Department has confirmed that the backpack seen in the video is from Walmart.
9:03The question is whether or not, or how important is knowing that even if it was purchased a long time ago? Yeah, actually, it is a huge fact to this investigation because now they have records of every single time that backpack was sold, obviously in Tucson, but around the country. And they can start pulling the video of each of those. Also sales receipts. So if anyone's popping up as a suspect or we do get genetic genealogy and we see a family member or a relative and it's related to someone who's been purchasing a backpack. It just, it relies on the rest of the, obviously, police work to do the rest.
9:44But the big point is it gives them a lead to go on. Yeah. And leads have been very hard to come by. Casey, last question to you. TMZ reportedly received four letters now from individuals who claim to have Nancy Guthrie or claim to know where she is. Why would an abductor feel more comfortable reaching out to a TMZ than the family or law enforcement? I think the better question is what kind of extortionist would do that? Because I don't think there's any indication or evidence that any of these communications are actually coming from anyone who has any knowledge of Nancy's whereabouts. And if it's true, it's really simple.
10:25Stop calling TMZ and get that reward money by calling the FBI tip line. So at this point, I just think it's a bunch of really horrible clowns, if you will, if I can be kind, who are exploiting a really horrible situation. If they were real, if they really had Nancy, if they really knew her whereabouts, they would be calling the Pima County Sheriff or the FBI. So I don't think any of them are legitimate, but you can believe that the police are looking into every one of them, taking them seriously, very carefully analyzing them, because you never know. Something could pan out. And we just want to bring Nancy home.
11:00Yeah, we can say that. again. All right, Casey, Brianna, Josh, thank you so much. And on that note, let's give our viewers, everybody out there, those numbers to call the Pima County Sheriff's Department, 520-351-4900, or the FBI, 1-800-CALL-FBI. You can also reach the agency online at tips.fbi.gov. Up next, an update to breaking news that we can give you right now in Rhode Island. Police say two people were killed in a shooting at an ice rink. Three others were injured. High school co-op hockey teams were playing in the arena. At the time, police say the shooter appears to have been targeting his own family and died of a self-inflicted gunshot wound.
11:48This incident happened in Pawtucket, Rhode Island, only five miles from Brown University, the scene of December's mass shooting that killed two students and injured nine others. Absolutely terrible. All right, more news that we are following tonight, more prominent names in the Epstein files. The Justice Department compiled a list, sent it to Congress. What was the reason that they did that? Well, we're going to talk about it with Democratic Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett next, and later a key factor that could determine exactly where you will see Republicans win big this November and where you could see Democratic pickups.
12:26Stay with us.
12:32This week on The Assignment with me, Audie Cornish. We are going to talk about Bad Bunny with somebody who has been covering him since the beginning, writer and journalist Susie Exposito. To see the working class being represented. I loved the ways that he brought it to the stadium. It was like a movie set. It was like a living organism that we're watching on the screen. It was. That's a great way to put it. Listen to The Assignment with me, Audie Cornish, streaming now on your favorite podcast app.
13:10And we are back with the Justice Department's letter written to Congress with a list of prominent names in the Epstein files. Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett of Texas is still here. Now I can hear you. Thank you for your patience, Congresswoman. You are on the Oversight Committee. that's one of the jobs and the committees that you sit on in Washington. One of your colleagues, Democrat Ro Khanna, said that this is DOJ's attempt to muddy the waters. Republican Congresswoman Nancy Mace pointed out that the list is, quote, missing names. What's your reaction? Yeah, it's selective release. We've seen this consistently.
13:49There is an agenda that this DOJ has, and that is why the American people simply do not trust the leadership in Washington right now under this administration, because it feels as if it's more about protecting pedophiles than it is in actually seeking truth and justice, which is the job of the Department of Justice. So sadly enough, just like when we saw the initial release of the Epstein files, we saw that there were victims' names that were released as well, and it was clear that that was intentional. Sadly enough, I feel like that was an attempt to intimidate these amazing survivors, And frankly, we saw when Pam Bondi appeared before Judiciary, the other committee that I serve on, that they absolutely were the courageous ones and our pathetic attorney general, sadly enough, is not doing the job that she swore an oath to do.
14:38There's so much that was redacted from these files. I know you are one of the lawmakers who went in and looked at some of the unredacted documents. What were your takeaways? No, that's actually not the case. I went in to see unredacted files. And of the files that my staff had listed that they wanted me to go ahead and try to review, all of those files were still redacted. And so I was asking the staff that was there, why is it that I am here? And basically, it was just a waste of my time. This is another thing that concerns everyone, whether you're talking about a Ro Khanna or a Thomas Massey.
15:16There's a lack of transparency and seemingly an attempt to cover up. It is really sad that the United States has historically led this world. And right now we're seeing the United States fall for so many reasons. We see leaders all around the world that are resigning. Go ahead. I just want to make sure I understand what happened. So you went in, as did many of your colleagues, to see unredacted files. But was it the specific files that you wanted to see that they would not unredact? And why do you think that is? Do you know the context around those? I don't know exactly what I was supposed to see if it had been redacted.
16:00My staff gave me a list of specific files that they were like, we think you should try to go and look at these. They have four computers set up for all 435 members of the house. I sat down at one of those computers. They showed us how to go through the process of actually seeing the unredacted version. I then had to have the person that taught us how to do that to say, wait a minute, am I doing something wrong? Because as I continue to search specific documents, they are coming up and they are redacted. And so the explanation that I was given is that that must have been how they were sent over.
16:33And there are a lot of documents that they've been getting the same issue they've been trying to resolve, I will say, because a lot of members have had that problem. So they were taking note of everything that I was trying to unredact and denoting that they were not available in an unredacted form. Wow. I do want to ask about the political race that you're in. You are running in the Democratic primary for Senate in Texas. Early voting starts tomorrow. And I want to ask about a report from Notice that says some of your allies are worried about your approach, that you're being outspent. Some Democrats aren't sure who's in charge of your campaign.
17:14I know, and people who know anything about you know, that you're not a traditional candidate. But why are you so confident in your nontraditional approach and whether it will work statewide against your Democratic opponent, James Tallarico, who, for example, just announced a 12-day bus tour ahead of the March 3rd primary? Yeah. So listen, we're going to barnstorm through the state as well. As you and I both know, I still have a job in D.C. And I'm on a 48-hour call right now to go back and deal with DHS funding. But I didn't get here by doing it the traditional way. I can tell you that the establishment was always against me.
17:54I can tell you that, you know, I had all odds stacked against me. My very first race for the statehouse, I was outspent five to one. We do know that there was a specific intent to try to defund our campaign. As we saw podcasters specifically saying, do not send money to Jasmine Crockett. We know the operative that is behind my opponent's campaign that has specifically been peddling these stories to New York and D.C. That's why the stories aren't coming out of Texas, but instead they're coming from New York and D.C., just like the podcasters are coming out of New York and D.C. But I have faith in the Texans, right, and the coalition that we specifically attract is the coalition that it's going to take to win.
18:33The most recent polling that came out from University of Houston, in number one, said that independents and Republicans prefer me. Now, they want to say that I can't win, but the reality is that the numbers don't suggest that, and no one is putting numbers behind this. All they're doing is sinking a lot of money into a candidate who has never been tested and never been hit. And the final point that I'll say is not only does my opponent have a super PAC that is spinning against us with negative ads, but also our governor. He decided to sink over a million dollars into TV ads against me, our governor.
19:04Listen, the Republicans say that they believe that I would be the one that they want. But when you look at their actions, who spends a million dollars and doesn't even go after the people that are running against him? Yeah, well, that is interesting. I have a lot more I want to talk to you about. I hope you come back and we can talk more ahead of the March 3rd primary. Thank you so much for being here. Appreciate it. Absolutely. Good to see you. And the Epstein files are revealing more prominent names connected to the now dead pedophile. The latest British princesses Beatrice and Eugenia, daughters of former Prince Andrew and Sarah Ferguson, Fergie.
19:44Their parents were already under scrutiny for their messages with Epstein. CNN's Max Foster reports it appears that at times they drag their daughters into Epstein's world. Princesses Beatrice and Eugenie of Britain's royal family thrust into the spotlight after being named hundreds of times in the latest tranche of Epstein files. The saga involving the late sex offender had already engulfed both their parents, the former Prince Andrew and his ex-wife Sarah Ferguson. Now new details have emerged about Epstein's friendship with the princess's mother, who seems to have brought her daughters into his orbit even after he was convicted for sex offences.
20:28A series of emails released by the Department of Justice indicate that Ferguson, Eugenie and Beatrice all visited Epstein in Miami in 2009, just five days after he was released from jail. He served 13 months for soliciting prostitution from a minor. Do you need a ride? Epstein asks before they lunch. No, thank you, the former duchess replies, adding it'll be myself, Beatrice and Eugenie at a time when they were 20 and 19 years old. In a subsequent email, Ferguson tells Epstein, cannot wait to see you. A separate thread between Epstein and his personal assistant days earlier also appears to indicate that he paid about$14 ,000 for the trio's flights to the US.
21:15And here's another email chain nearly two years later, in 2011. between Epstein, Ferguson and her then spokesperson. In it, the former duchess says that Beatrice advised her on how to handle a British journalist to whom she had given a statement about Epstein. Just last year, Ferguson's spokesperson said she had cut off relations with Epstein, quote, as soon as she was aware of the extent of the allegations. But all these DOJ files suggest otherwise. As for Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, Beatrice and Eugenie's father, he remains under pressure from his ties to Epstein. The disgraced former prince has previously denied any wrongdoing, including after he reached an out-of-court settlement with a woman who said she was trafficked to him as a teen.
22:05Beatrice and Eugenie have kept a low profile through all of this, and there's no suggestion of wrongdoing simply because they've been named in the Epstein files. Dana, we have reached out to Ferguson's representatives for comment on these exchanges. seen in the Epstein documents. And CNN has also sought to contact the princesses for comment, but we haven't heard back from any of them. Dana. Max Foster, thank you. And still ahead, the actual toxin used to kill Alexei Navalny, one of Vladimir Putin's most vocal critics. Turns out it was a poison from a tropical frog. The report laying out how is next.
22:47In our World League, tributes today to Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, marking two years since his killing. Navalny's mother gathered with a crowd at her son's grave in Moscow. Meanwhile, a stunning new report pinpoints what Russia allegedly used to poison Navalny, lethal toxins from a tropical frog. Here's CNN's Nick Payton Walsh. Tiny, brightly coloured, yet deadly, and found in Ecuador or Peru. But 8 ,000 miles away in Siberia, the naturally occurring toxins of the South American Antony dart frog were used to murderous effect by Russian authorities to kill President Vladimir Putin's leading irritant opposition figure, Alexei Navalny.
23:36That's according to an investigation by the UK, Sweden, Germany, France and the Netherlands announced ahead of the second anniversary of Navalny's death. They said studies of samples from Navalny's body left them, quote, confident the rare substance epibatidine killed Navalny inside the IK3 prison in Harp, northern Siberia. Given by touch or injection and likely a synthetic version lab made, said an expert. Never have I come across anything to suggest it's been used to poison anybody deliberately. I think there's only one instance in the literature of a laboratory worker having what was clearly a much smaller dose.
24:18It would have been made synthetically. The structure of this chemical has been known for some time. Epibatidine is so toxic that it's never been used clinically because doctors just can't take the risk. An answer for his widow, yet still pain, she told Politico. It's difficult for me to say that it's good news, you know, because my husband was killed. And of course I knew that he was killed. He was a very young man. He was less than 50. Moscow has form here, several detailed Western investigations evidencing its use of exotic and savage poisons. In 2018, former Russian spy and defector Sergei Skripal and his daughter Yulia were poisoned on his home's door handle by the Russian nerve agent Novichok.
25:07They survived, but an abandoned bottle, discarded by the suspected Russian agents, killed a passer-by, Dawn Sturgis. Navalny himself narrowly survived Novichok being put in his underpants in 2020. You can hear his agony here on a visit to the Siberian city of Tomsk. He was later imprisoned after his return to Russia. And in 2006, another Russian spy who defected, Alexander Litvinenko, was poisoned by polonium-210 in his tea. In an operation likely approved by Putin, a British inquiry concluded. The Kremlin has always strongly denied any involvement. The Kremlin spokesman resolutely rejected the latest claims and called them negative, biased and unfounded.
25:55Painful, imaginative and rare, the list of substances the Kremlin has been found to use on Russians it sees guilty of the highest crime, turning on Putin's Russia. Nick Payton-Walsh, CNN, London. And we are less than eight months out from a major election cycle here in the US, the 2026 midterms. My next guest says he can show us where we might see razor-thin races, maybe where Democrats could take control or not. Stay with us.
26:48This is the tax app for all cases. And she also answers questions. 24-7 and without a German. This is the app that understands us. Taxes are done with WiesoSteuer. Now try it out.
Read the full transcript
27:17Trump or Kamala Harris, and then try to figure out how much they won by. A 60 to 40 percent spread is 20 points, 52 to 48. We all know basic math. Even I can do that. That's four points. Ron Brownstein is here to explain why those numbers are really important at looking ahead to this year's midterms. So let's just start with somebody who lives in a congressional district that Donald Trump won or lost by that small margin. Yeah, historically, those are the districts that have moved the most in a midterm. I mean, if you're thinking about this midterm in the big picture, it really is starting to look like the classic collision between the irresistible force and the immovable object.
27:59I mean, the irresistible force is that Trump's disapproval rating is rising to a level that has usually signaled a really bad midterm for the president's party. The immovable object is that there are so many Republicans barricaded into very safe Republican districts. And the number of Republican incumbents in those kind of districts you just mentioned that are highly vulnerable that Trump either lost or won by a narrow margin in 2024 is smaller than it was in 2018, much less 2010 or 2006. If Trump's approval rating stays as low as it is now, bad things are going to happen to Republicans. But But if he recovers into anything like his normal range, Democrats are going to have to win in terrain that has been tough historically for the other party to win in the midterms.
28:47And I just want to put a finer point on it, because this didn't just happen. Yeah. Just, you know, poof, a magic wand happened. And if we could put those numbers back up, I think this is critical. And that is the redistricting that we've seen over the past year, that's sort of, you know, mid-decade redistricting, which is unusual. But the redistricting that we have seen, which is supposed to happen because you recount with the census every 10 years, that has been taken by Republican-led states, by Democratic-led states, and they've gerrymandered these districts already so much that the number of swing districts, which used to be even in 2018 or other times where Democrats and Republicans had wave elections, there were a lot more seats that were kind of movable.
29:35Right. Look, obviously Democrats only have to win three seats. So they're still the favorite to win the House because the party out of the White House has won, on average, well more than three seats. But 85 percent of the House Republicans are now in districts where Trump ran at least five points better than he did nationally. And if you look back, even in really big midterms, I figured this out the other day, 06, 2010, 2014, 2018, really big midterms. the party out of the White House won 17 of 674 chances to flip seats where the president ran at least five points better than he did nationally.
30:10So there are enough seats that are narrow for Democrats to win the majority. And if Trump's approval rating stays anywhere where it is now, they will be strongly favored to do so. But to get to that kind of 2018 blue wave election, you have to go deeper into Trump country than they did then. And what about what we have seen in Texas, in California, where we are right now, and how that may affect what we're going to see? I think it's kind of a national tragedy, because in the end, it's going to end up pretty much close to a partisan wash, right? Republicans are not going to get the big advantage out of this that they expected.
30:43But what is happening? You are eliminating Democratic seats in red states and Republican seats in blue states. And basically, you're pulling the country further apart. We're already in a situation, Dana, where if you look at the 25 states, there are 25 states that voted three times for Donald Trump. Republicans now have all 50 of their Senate seats. There are 19 states that voted three times against Donald Trump. Democrats have 37 of their 38 Senate seats and have a good chance at winning the last one with Susan Collins. The same thing is happening at the House level. I mean, you're going to come out of this election because of this redistricting where something like 85 percent of the House seats in each of these blocks are going to go with the party that won the presidential race.
31:24And that just kind of pulls, I think, pulls at the threads that hold together the country, gives the president less incentive, especially someone inclined like Trump, you know, to view the places that vote against you as the enemy. You know, he has to worry a little bit now about New York or California because he's worried about losing members. That's going to be gone. I mean, it's just a dangerous trend that ultimately really had no partisan payoff. I encourage everybody to read your piece on CNN.com. I also, I've known you for so many years, and it still amazes me how you just spit out these numbers and data points.
31:55You're remarkable. We've been doing this for a while. Yeah. Ron, thank you. Thanks for having me. Appreciate it. Now let's get some reaction and insight from our political experts. Sure, Michael, I want to start with you. What do you make of Ron's analysis and what are you thinking about as as a Republican as you look towards the midterms? I mean, look, I'm looking at the same numbers. I read Ron's article and he is spot on. I think the question for me as a strategist becomes if the president's approval ratings can somewhat stabilize, number one. Number two, do you see some predictability in the economic conditioning of most Americans?
32:28And if so, then I think you can somehow break what could be a pretty disastrous midterm for Republicans. That's going to be my primary focus as I'm talking with members who are up for reelection, really trying to protect those sort of vulnerable Republicans who are in Democratic states such as New York, for an example. But to the core premise, I am worried just as an American put my partisanship aside that we are moving in a direction where bipartisanship is just a word of yesteryear, where there will not be an incentive for political candidates and Republicans of either side to feel the need to work across the aisle.
33:04That's not beneficial to anybody, particularly Americans at the lower end of the economic spectrum to bring it back to the economy. Yeah, sure, Michael. I'm going to burst your bubble here. That ship sailed. because it used to be that they used to work across the aisle, but now because there are so few swing districts, I know, I know. Listen, I appreciate it. I like your glass half full point of view. Adrian, just on the other point that Ron was talking about, which I think is really important. If you look back to 2006 when Democrats won back the House, huge wave, 2018, also big wave, and Republicans had the same big numbers in 2010.
33:47As a Democrat who wants to retake the House, even though it's just three seats, are you thinking in waves or are you thinking in increments? Well, I think, Dana, first of all, I was part of the team at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee during the 2006 cycle, and Ron was also covering that cycle. So it was kind of fun to listen to him reminisce about the good old days when Democrats won back the House. And of course, Nancy Pelosi became speaker for the first time making history. All of that being said, I think you did raise an incredibly important point about redistricting. This is a whole different ballgame now this time around for both Democrats and Republicans, because we're seeing mid-cycle redistricting in a historic way that we never have before, which is making these districts and these congressional seats even more entrenched.
34:33So, yes, typically when a president is under 50 percent, the opposition party this time, of course, The Democrats will pick up anywhere from, you know, 22 to 30 plus seats in the House. This could be a little bit different this time because, again, as you mentioned, there is so much redistricting going on. These seats are even more entrenched in either a D or an R category. When I was at the DCCC in 05-06, there were a lot of marginal seats. And I think it was something where between 10 and 15 seats, Dana, we won those seats by half a point to a point. You probably are not going to see that as much.
35:07You may see some seats, of course, that close. You're probably not going to see the margins that close in a lot of the seats that Democrats will flip. So it's a totally different ballgame. But look, Dana, you look at 2025 for Democrats. Great year. We won every single special election. We also won the Virginia governor's race in the New Jersey governor's race. So the statistics for Democrats are looking very good. And also on that note, historically, when Democrats have taken the New Jersey and the Virginia governor seats, we have won back the House the following, the succeeding year. I want to play something that Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem said about election security.
35:47I would say that many people believe that it may be one of the most important things that we need to make sure we trust is reliable. and that when it gets to election day, that we've been proactive to make sure that we have the right people voting, electing the right leaders to lead this country through the days that we have, knowing that people can trust it. Sure, Michael, how do you feel about that description, the right people voting, electing the right leaders? I'm a Republican. I want voters to vote for Republican leaders. And I think my dear friend Adrienne would say she wants voters to vote for Democratic leaders.
36:23And I think we would all agree that we want our election process to be secure. But I don't think that that's the role of the secretary's agency, number one. And number two, if we are going to put a spotlight on election integrity, Ron has written about this in the past. I was actually watching an old clip before this segment of him talking about election interference from international actors such as Russia. And so if we're going to have a conversation about this, one, I don't think it's partisan. And two, I think we need to do a lot more to make sure that Republicans and Democrats pass a type of sweeping legislation to assure that every single American has their vote counted without the interference from foreign actors.
37:02It shouldn't be partisan. Yeah, go ahead, Adrienne. Yes. Sorry, Dana. I was just going to say, I mean, I think sure Michael and I can actually agree on this. I mean, first of all, of course, elections should be secure. Elections are secure. They have been historically secure in the United States. It is not the job of Kristi Noem to go out there and make these blatant statements and try to intimidate voters. You know, and I think, Dana, when we see, you know, some of these ICE raids that are going on in the implosion of the National Guard around the country, there is concern that Trump could try to use both, you know, the agencies deployed in ICE, the agencies deploying the National Guard and try to use the Insurrection Act in a way that's not going to be positive for voters.
37:43So I just think everyone needs to stay on top of it. I feel very confident in our secretaries of state across the country that they will continue to do what they've done all along, Democrat or Republican. And that is to administer safe and fair elections. Adrian and Tremichael, thank you so much for being here. Appreciate it. Good to see you, Dad. And an update from the sheriff in the Nancy Guthrie disappearance today. What he's saying tonight about the entire Guthrie family. That's next.
38:18Welcome to The Lead. I'm Dana Bash in for Jake Tapper. This hour, investigators are making it clear all of Nancy Guthrie's family members, including siblings and spouses, have been cleared as possible suspects in her disappearance. It comes as law enforcement reveals they are analyzing DNA from a glove which appears to match the one worn by a suspect in doorbell camera footage. This latest from Arizona is coming to you more in moments. Plus, as California Governor Gavin Newsom fuels more 2028 chatter, I'll be joined live by one of his allies, Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass. What does she think of Newsom's recent moves and the new attacks Trump is leveling at her governor today?
39:03Also, would you take a job for $100 an hour if that job was training your own replacement? One company is asking professionals to teach AI how to do their jobs. We'll show you how it works ahead. And is anyone out there? Former President Barack Obama attempts to clarify his comments about whether or not aliens exist. We've got his explanation this hour.
39:31the lead tonight right now dna results from a glove recovered near nancy guthrie's tucson home are being analyzed to determine the identity of a possible suspect that glove visually matches the ones worn by the person seen on ring video footage at guthrie's front door on the night of her disappearance more than two weeks ago the dna results could prove to be a pivotal development in this case, which has no suspects. Any evidence recovered from the glove will be run through CODIS, the FBI managed DNA database that holds more than 19 million offender profiles. It will also be crucial to determine whether the glove DNA matches the DNA sample recovered inside the home, which authorities said did not match Guthrie or anyone in her immediate circle.
40:20CNN's Ed Lavendera is on the ground in Tucson. Ed, so we're waiting on word about those DNA test results. But there has been a different significant development today coming from the Pima County Sheriff. What is it? Right. Well, over the last few weeks, there has been a great deal of online speculation, mostly in social media and some reports suggesting that someone from the Guthrie family might have been responsible for the abduction of 84-year-old Nancy Guthrie, the Pima County Sheriff coming out just a short while ago and essentially putting all of that to rest, saying that the siblings and their spouses have been cleared or not considered suspects in any way and saying essentially that the speculation about them has, quote, been cruel.
41:08So that is significant. And this is really the first time we've heard from investigators that anyone on any level has been cleared in this crime. As this search for Nancy Guthrie is now entering its third week and we're awaiting those DNA tests, as you mentioned, a very pivotal moment. It could be crucial and helpful, as you mentioned, if they're able to match the DNA found on this glove to the match inside the home that was found here on the property, then that could lead investigators to a new person and a new avenue of investigation. And Dan, I also want to point out that the other thing that hasn't been talked about a lot is that there are multiple cameras.
41:48That front doorbell camera that provided the stunning and haunting images of the suspect approaching Nancy Guthrie's front door was recovered. It took 10 days because of painstaking work partnering with private companies to resurrect that video from those cameras. There are other cameras on the property, and the sheriff told me on Friday that the work continues to try to resurrect that video. So that could be something, and who knows how long that could take if it can even be done, But it could be something that provides and helps investigators with even more stunning images. Perhaps there is a vehicle that was used to bring the suspect here to the house or something else that could help them dramatically in this in this moment.
42:27So we will see how that plays out as well. I'm so glad you brought that up. We are definitely interested in seeing if that those other cameras produce any kind of video or images, at least like the ones that we saw from the front door last week. Thank you so much, Ed. Appreciate it. Let's discuss with CNN chief law enforcement and intelligence analyst John Miller and Frank Figlusi, former assistant director for the FBI's counterintelligence division. Thank you both for being here. John, I'm going to start with you. Let's start with the DNA testing that's being done right now on that glove. and whether or not, I guess one of many questions is whether or not that will be the same or be a match for what was already found inside the home.
43:13Well, the good news would be that if it is a match, then that gives authorities two pieces of evidence. One, a glove found near the scene and two, DNA matching that glove found in the scene. That means if they ever connect the person to that glove, to that scene, you know, they have somebody who they can put in the house who in all likelihood didn't belong there. So that's strong. On the other hand, it's an unknown contributor in both places if it's a match. Now, that means it doesn't tell you who the DNA belongs to. You'll have to develop that in an investigation. On the flip side, if it doesn't match, but the DNA in the glove comes back to a known contributor, well, that gives you a named suspect from the FBI's CODIS system.
44:01And that's someone to actually go after. That could take them to a prime suspect. So we've got the DNA from that glove that was found. And Frank, we also have investigators working to get information about the backpack worn by the suspect in that doorbell footage. It is a black 25 liter Ozark Trail backpack, which is Walmart's private label brand. What if this backpack was bought years ago or outside the Tucson area? I guess my question is, how important is this basic information for the FBI when Walmart backpacks are sold all over the country and it could have been sold years ago? You know, this may seem like the proverbial needle in the haystack, but I absolutely, in my 25 years at the Bureau, have seen cases solved on even less than this.
44:55to include, by the way, nails put as shrapnel in mailbox. Now, you would think you can't possibly trace the purchase of nails. How different could they be? But they are. And the FBI, in a case that I worked, actually was able to track nationwide the brand, the make, and the place it was sold. So teams are working on every item of clothing that's been identified, including that backpack. And it's actually great news that they've limited it to a Walmart proprietary brand because that gives them essentially one set of data to run with computer assistance and analyze credit card usage, time of purchase.
45:35I believe they will come to a conclusion on that. And, of course, everybody's got their fingers crossed with regard to the DNA. As you said, about 20 million samples in the FBI system. Some, many come from crime scenes that are not solved. So that's interesting. And the others are called offender index, which means they come from prisoners. They come from people who've been convicted or arrested of certain felony crimes. And John, yesterday, Savannah Guthrie released a new video appealing to whomever has her mother. Let's listen to part of it. It's never too late.
46:17And you're not lost or alone. And it is never too late to do the right thing. She's giving the perpetrator a safe space to end the saga. Meanwhile, President Trump is calling for the most severe penalties if Nancy Guthrie is not returned. Even the death penalty, he said. As a former investigator, how do those messages, maybe mixed messages, sit with those trying to actually find the suspect? Well, the people giving the messages obviously have different agendas. Savannah Guthrie is simply saying, if this was a kidnap for ransom, if you botched the kidnapping, if our mother was hurt, if you couldn't provide the proof of life for the ransom.
47:14Let's put all that aside. You know, we want her back. It's never too late. She's appealing to humanity. She's appealing to the goodness in someone who we already know doesn't start out with goodness, kidnapping an 84-year-old lady, that even you can be redeemed by doing the right thing now. And it's an important message. I mean, we don't know, given her mother's medical condition, the blood on the scene, whether she survived this period of time, hope to God that she did. But I think Savannah Guthrie's message is whether she is or is not, whatever condition she is in, we still need her back. And, you know, as somebody who knows Savannah, and I think the world knows this also just by watching her, it's genuine.
48:01She is a person of faith and she really means what she's saying to the people out there. Frank, I do want to ask a bigger picture question because a few days ago, you were critical of the Pima County Sheriff. You said there's no lead agency, that the department is working together with the FBI, but no one is really taking control. Do you still think that's the case? I do. And I think there's a reason for it. I don't think this is a kumbaya moment for law enforcement. I think rather, if the FBI, in my experience, if the FBI felt there was absolute evidence of an interstate kidnapping, they would be asserting lead authority here.
48:44The fact that the sheriff says there's no lead seems to indicate to me that there's a lack of certainty that this is an actual interstate kidnap. That's from my experience. Also, from my experience, I think it's important that there is a designated lead agency because that allows someone to be accountable for what's happening. All right, John Miller, Frank Figlusi, thank you both for being here. Appreciate it. And if you have any information that could help investigators in this case, you can call the Pima County Sheriff's Department at 520-351-4900 or the FBI at 1-800-CALL-FBI. You can also reach the agency online at tips.fbi.gov.
49:27Much more on our lead story in moments, including the statement put out by investigators clearing the family of Nancy Guthrie after days of really pretty terrible conspiracies pushed online.
49:45Back with our national lead, the Pima County Sheriff's Office just released a new statement saying, quote, the Guthrie family, to include all siblings and spouses, has been cleared as possible suspects in this case. To suggest otherwise is not only wrong, it is cruel. Please, I'm begging you, the media, to honor your profession and report with some sense of compassion and professionalism. Now, this appears to be a reference to unfounded conspiracy theories, some of which have gone viral online as true crime influencers, so-called true crime influencers, have flocked to Tucson. I want to discuss this with Democratic Congresswoman Adelita Grijalva of Arizona, who represents a border district that includes parts of Tucson.
50:30Thank you so much for being here. I appreciate it. And just on that note, there are several instances, more than several, of influencers accusing various people of being involved in the disappearance without any facts to back it up. What's your message to those perpetrating the rumors? Well, first, I want to take a moment to acknowledge how painful this moment is for the Guthrie family. Let's remember what's at stake here. A family is looking for their mother. And as painful as that must be already, imagine it being broadcast on television 24-7. And unfortunately, we're seeing these so-called journalists exploit the situation for clicks and likes.
51:12It's reprehensible. And I believe it's also a direct result of Trump discrediting legitimate journalism as fake news for the past 10 years. This has led to a rise of online bloggers pretending to be real journalists that are spreading misinformation and conspiracy theories. And unfortunately, someone I'm close to has fallen victim to this. Someone tweeted that he was a suspect and now he's being doxxed online. His family's receiving death threats. And all of this is a distraction from what really needs to happen is legitimate investigation from our law enforcement to try to find the perpetrator or perpetrators and bring Nancy Guthrie home.
51:51I'm so sorry that happened. That's just awful. And I'm glad you said so-called journalists. I would just use the M-word media because they're involved in social media and absolutely, which is I think what you're getting at, not journalists at all. Yeah. Absolutely. Yeah. Many people who live in and around Tucson have given authorities ring video footage showing suspicious activity they have seen on their own properties. And these separate incidents so far don't appear to have anything to do with the Guthrie case. What are you hearing from your constituents there about this hunt and the way that people, separate and apart from what's happening online, but the way that people are clearly trying to contribute to find Nancy Guthrie, but also are, I would imagine, very much on edge.
52:44Yeah, I mean, what I've heard from people is, do we have, are we any closer to finding who this is? We have video. How do we connect what we think we might know? There are people that are like looking at the perpetrator's eyes, trying to see if it's someone that they know. And what is unfortunately happening with our law enforcement is that they're being inundated with all of these other people that are these media influencers, bloggers, they think they're investigative reporters. They're putting out a lot of misinformation, which is causing, as a result, like an overwhelming number of people reporting someone they think might be the perpetrator, but it's not based on the actual description of the perpetrator.
53:35I'll give you an example. The person that I know is 5 '4". The perpetrator they're looking for is clearly taller than that individual. But I mean, when someone puts something out there that is wrong, our law enforcement is dealing with an overwhelming number of people that are really trying to be helpful, but they're responding to an inaccurate description. Yeah. I mean, it's really tough. We put up the number for people to call with tips because that is how some of these, and I'm putting it up right now, that that is how some of the most high profile incidents have been solved in recent years.
54:13Before I let you go, I do want to turn to your job in Washington, which is representing your district in Arizona. And there is now a partial government shutdown. The standoff is over federal immigration enforcement. Senate Democrats are demanding reforms to rein in agencies in exchange for a funding package. The Borders are, Tom Homan said, the lapse in funding really isn't impacting immigration operations nationwide, because as you know, they already got a big chunk of change from a bill that was passed by Republicans last year. What's the end game here? Really, we just have to be clear. It's Republicans who are shutting down DHS because they refuse to hold ICE accountable.
55:03When a law enforcement agency murders two of its citizens, you would think that passing common sense reforms like banning paramilitary face coverings wouldn't be controversial. But they refuse to even take the most basic actions to ensure accountability. Now, aligning ICE standards with those of other law enforcement agencies is the absolute minimum that should be done. But that's just the start. I have zero confidence that ICE will operate in good faith under this administration, which is why I believe it should be completely overhauled and dismantled. And I think that you were right to point out that Republicans handed ICE$75 billion in their big, ugly bill.
55:40And this came at the expense of programs that help working families afford groceries and health care. Congresswoman, we're out of time, but I really appreciate you being here. Thank you so much. Thank you for having me. And up next, a wide variety of jobs that AI is being trained to replace. And the list may surprise you.
56:09In our tech lead, how much would it take to get you to train your own replacement? Well, for some experts, it was about$100 an hour. One Silicon Valley startup hopes to facilitate that process by teaming professionals from all sorts of industries with AI. CNN's Sadas Gold spoke with one such expert who went from teaching future doctors to teaching machines. Meet the people training AI to replace your doctor, lawyer, banker, and even your sommelier. What is the most surprising role that you have hired for to train in AI?
56:52BRENDAN FOODY, CEO, American Co-Founder and CEO of Mercor, one of the hottest startups in Silicon Valley, valued at$10 billion. They manage a network of some tens of thousands of professional experts who help train the major AI models to think, act and talk like them. Most people, I think, believe that AI just learns off the Internet and what's out there. Why do you need humans involved in the process? The largest driver of AI progress right now is how do we effectively identify model mistakes, measure those mistakes, and allow models to learn from them? And so the AI labs are hiring large armies of people to help create these data sets and teaching models how to learn from them.
57:31The average expert is paid$95 an hour, although some specialized roles can earn up to$250 per hour. The most popular subject is software engineering, followed by finance, then medicine and law. Are these people not kind of training their future replacements? The way I think about it is that we're not going to run out of things to do. As a society, we have so many problems that we need to solve. We need to cure cancer, we need to solve climate change, and making everyone 10 times more productive so that they're able to better work on those key problems is going to be a huge, huge benefit to how we make progress as a society.
58:09McCore experts present the AI they are training with a prompt, then grade their response using a rubric they've created in consultation with other experts in their field. Dr. Alice Chow is one of these experts. She used to teach at Stanford University's medical school. Now her student is an AI model. So tell me what it's like when you sit down in front of the computer. What are you doing? I am looking at the AI model that I'm working with, and I am posing real-life questions or challenges that I have faced or I've seen patients face. And I ask the model, provide me with the potential diagnoses, suggest several treatments, and list the evidence that you used to support these diagnoses.
58:51I've heard from doctors that sometimes medicine is a lot about a gut feeling. Can you train an AI on that? So this is where it's really important to know that the AI is not a doctor. It's not a human being. It does not have the 20 years of clinical experience that I or another one of my colleagues might have. This is where you need to be really careful. Do you ever feel like you're training your replacement? No, I do not. I don't want to see it as AI taking over our jobs. I want to see it as AI taking over the aspects of our jobs that prevent us from being good doctors, good healers, and good listeners.
59:27And, Dana, while Mercor is paying millions of dollars per day, they say to these professional experts, there are some things that can't be taught. They told me that they tried to make one of the leading AI models funnier. They brought in experts from the Harvard Lampoon, and they just found that humor is something that is so subjective. That's at least one area where humans have the upper hand. Dana. Well, that's good to know. Hadass, thank you so much. Up next, Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass will be here live in studio as a partisan fight over immigration enforcement in America's cities has led to a partial government shutdown.
1:00:09In our politics lead, we are now in day three of the partial government shutdown as negotiators try to find a deal to fund the Department of Homeland Security. Democrats are calling for reforms to ICE and the Border Patrol Agency in order to try to change what the tactics are on the ground in cities. Republicans have rejected most of the proposed form reforms. They say they're overly burdensome to immigration enforcement. Let's discuss with Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass. Thank you so much for being here. It's nice to see you in person. I do want to play what Senator Mark Wayne Mullen of Oklahoma told Jake Tapper about why he says he and his GOP colleagues are rejecting the proposed reforms.
1:00:58As far as having a photo ID exposed, absolutely not. Why? It's because the Democrats we've seen has been doxing them. They went into their place of worship where they thought they might be at. They went into their hotels. They went into the restaurants. What are you going to do? Expose their faces so you can intimidate their families? What we want is Isabel to do their job. Response? Well, first of all, what happened here, and remember, they came here first. If you can just imagine masked men in dubious uniforms pulling up on the side of the street and literally snatching people off the street, how do people know who they are?
1:01:37How can you say you are protecting them? Our police department, when they make arrests, they're not masked. So this, the idea of what he said is, does not match the reality of what cities are experiencing on a daily basis. And although a lot of the headlines are not focused on L.A. or Chicago or other cities where the deployment has been reduced, make no mistake, these raids happen every single day. It is still going on. So the mask issue is just one of the reforms that Democrats want. Another is to change the warrant process to make sure that judges are involved in getting warrants to go in if they think somebody undocumented is there.
1:02:23Are there things, just as a mayor, where, you know, you're here on the ground in a big city, as you said, where ICE came first, that you could live with or without on a federal level that Democrats are pushing for? Sure. I think if they followed what they were originally said they were going to do, which is use warrants to arrest violent criminals, they're not using warrants at all. They are literally chasing people through car washes, chasing them through the streets, through Home Depot, and they have no warrants. I know that there might be an occasional warrant here or there, but that does not characterize what happens here on a daily basis.
1:03:02And this has had a profound impact on the economy in Los Angeles. We've lost hundreds and hundreds of millions of dollars. We have sectors of our economy that have been crippled in terms of hospitality, construction, services. And in a time when we're trying to rebuild, this is completely inappropriate. It's had devastating impact. And by the way, I'm really, really appreciative of my former colleagues in Congress for standing up and holding the line the way they are. So they're standing up, but they can only do so much about ICE because ICE is sort of a wash in money. I understand. And so the shutdown is affecting other agencies.
1:03:43Just real quick, you want them to keep on keeping on? I do. I want them to hold the line for as long as they can. And I certainly understand the situation that they're in. Your city, Los Angeles, has been in the spotlight a lot for good things and bad. there's a good thing coming up, which is the 2028 Olympics. I know you've worked very, very hard to get those here. I do want to ask about the Olympic chief, Casey Wasserman. He last week stepped down from his own talent agency, his own firm, which he's now selling. And the reason is because of emails that surfaced in the Epstein files that he sent to Ghislaine Maxwell.
1:04:20The memo that he wrote to his staff said those unsealed DOJ files had, quote, become a distraction, should he also step down as the Olympic chief in Los Angeles? Well, let me just say that here, LA-28, which is the committee that is involved with the Olympics, has the discretion. The board made a decision. I think that decision was unfortunate. I don't support the decision. I do think that we need to look at the leadership. However, However, my job as mayor of Los Angeles is to make sure that our city is completely prepared to have the best Olympics that has ever happened in Olympic history. So my focus is a little different.
1:05:04But the behavior of Maxwell, what they were involved in is abhorrent. And it's an issue that I've worked on for a long time. I just want to be clear that I understand what you're saying. You don't have a role. You can't fire him. I cannot fire him. But you have an opinion. I do have an opinion. My opinion is that he should step down. That's not the opinion of the board. Because he said he was going to sell his talent agency in order to spend more time dealing with the Olympics. Exactly. But again, my focus has to be on preparing the city, and I will continue to do that. I want to ask you about just one other political situation happening, which is the governor, Gavin Newsom.
1:05:46He has been out and about a lot. He was just in Munich over the weekend at the security forum there. Is it your, and obviously he's being talked about for 2028, is it possible presidential contender? Is it your view that that is helpful to California or is it not? Well, I mean, I don't think it's focused on California, but I work very closely with the governor, especially on issues related to homelessness and in preparation for the World Cup and the Olympics. And there has been no interruption in that. And I think that's what's most important. And what about the governor's race here? The governor's race?
1:06:27Highly contentious, although I made my choice known many, many months ago, and that's Antonio Villaragosa. Yeah. Well, it's definitely going to be a very interesting time here. It certainly is. There is no question about that. Thank you so much for being here. I really appreciate it. Thank you for having me on. Thank you so much. Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass. And on this President's Day, the Democratic Party may need to dust off the history books, the one leader they appear to have left off, a celebratory post. That's next.
1:07:04In our politics lead, the Munich Security Conference just wrapped, And it was a host to a slew of Democrats with potential 2028 aspirations. Governors, senators, members of Congress made the trek to Germany, hoping to burnish their foreign policy credentials. Let's discuss all of this with CNN political commentator Bakari Sellers and CNN senior political commentator Scott Jennings. Hello to you both. Bakari, I want to start with you. And I want to play something that Bill Maher told our colleague Alex Michelson about this year's Munich conference. I feel like Munich has replaced Iowa as the first primary state.
1:07:47Because he's not the only one over there, right? Gretchen Whitmer's there, others are there as well. I think AOC is there. Well, you know, I mean, the 2028 presidential election is well underway. I would like to have a strong Democratic candidate to get things back to a little bit of normal. Is Newsom the strongest? He is right now. Bakari? Well, I think he's right. I think that there are a lot of people who are doing whatever they can, whether or not it's Gavin Newsom or Ruben Gallego, or the list goes on and on and on, by trying to firm up those foreign policy credentials. For example, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, you don't necessarily think about her and foreign policy in the same sentence.
1:08:28And so she has to get out there and be on the stage and do those things necessary to kind of burnish those branch those credentials. But at the end of the day, I can't tell you who is going to be the Democratic nominee for president of the United States. I can tell you that it's probably going to be a governor. It's probably going to be a governor with some track record of success. I want to make Scott really, really excited by saying one of those people could be Andy Beshear from the great state of Kentucky. So it's wide open. I'm not about to crown Gavin Newsom because he came to South Carolina and hugged a couple of black women.
1:09:03He's going to have to do a lot more work in becoming more appetizing to the general public. Do you want to take that bait, Scott? I'm surprised to hear Bakari say it was going to be a governor and not Kamala Harris, who's currently leading the Democrats in the polls. And I know Bakari was such a big fan of Kamala in the 2024 election. She looks like she's coming back to me, which, by the way, would be an amazing outcome for the Republican Party. Look, this Munich Security Conference put on full blast the fact that we've only got one adult political party in the United States right now, and it's the Republican Party.
1:09:37Marco Rubio gave the speech of a lifetime over there. He laid out a clear foreign policy vision that defends Western values and Western civilization. And the brightest Democrat over there, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, crapped the bed, okay? She wants to be president. She wants to run. And she's one of the most popular Democrats and gave one of the most embarrassing performances you could possibly do. Gretchen Whitmer, one of the governors that Bakari is touting, said she knows even less about foreign policy than AOC. And Gavin Newsom has repeatedly embarrassed himself every time he's gone to one of these international conferences, whether it was Davos a few weeks ago or Munich.
1:10:19He can't even rebuild a single house in the Palisades in Los Angeles and California. People are running out of there like crazy right now. The bottom line is this. These international conferences have been a disaster for Dems, and they have showed Republicans in the name of Marco Rubio this time around to be adults who have a clear-eyed view of what the United States has to do in the future. Go ahead, Pacari. No, I was going to say, if I may, I think that the bar and many people know when it comes to foreign policy and individuals who can articulate complete sentences is extremely low when you come to President Donald J.
1:10:54Trump. And I think what you're seeing, though, is people getting their footing. I think Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez getting her footing, Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro. I mean, the people who we know are running for president of the United States, the list is long. We haven't even spoken about Mark Kelly, who is more than formidable. We haven't talked about Rafael Warnock, who is more than formidable. We haven't spoken about the Pete Buttigieg. Right. I mean, so the list is very, very long. And if Kamala Harris does get in the race and that's her decision to make, then we'll we can recalibrate and have that discussion.
1:11:26So I am not afraid. I don't think any Democrat Bill Maher to Bakari Sellers is afraid of Marco Rubio or J.D. Vance running for president of the United States. I think what we want to see, though, is just an all out figurative brawl for the Democratic nomination, which is what we're seeing. And I love Scott Jennings, but Scott Jennings is not necessarily going to be determinative of the type of voter that will decide the primary. Instead, that's going to be my mama and her friends. Bakari, we're all talking about potential future presidents, but let's talk about past presidents. Today is President's Day.
1:12:03And to celebrate that, the DNC, the Democratic National Committee, put out a tweet showing recent Democratic presidents. You can see Kennedy, Obama, Biden, LBJ, Carter, even FDR. But there is a striking omission, and that is President Bill Clinton. What's going on there? Oh, that's crap. I mean, whoever designed that, I mean, Ken Martin. Look, you know, President Bill Clinton is somebody who actually brought this country together when we're talking about legislative accomplishments. He's the last president. And I know that Republicans cringe at this, but it's a fact he's the last president to have a budget surplus.
1:12:46He created 22 million jobs. I mean, unemployment rate was four percent. And he's going to hold himself to account for Jeffrey Epstein and whatever involvement he had in that. I'm looking forward to having him and Hillary Clinton testify. Hopefully that's done in public, unlike Donald Trump, who's mentioned second in the Epstein files, only to Epstein himself. And so I know that there's some hesitation and consternation. But Democrats, we need to understand and grow a backbone sometimes and be able to tell our story. Our story is inclusive of Bill Clinton with all the warts that may come from that.
1:13:19And the fact is, he was a president that people remember for his presidential success. And sometimes people remember him for his character lapses and moral failures as well. But you've got to take the you've got to take the good with the bad. You've got to look at a holistic picture. And so I think it's crap that he's left off. It's ahistorical. And you can't lie to people. We just can't erase him from history. We can't lie that he was a successful president, that he was about his success as president. We should go about telling that story. Scott, I want to go back to something that you said before, because I've been thinking about it, of course, listening to every word that Bakari is saying.
1:13:55But you talk, Scott, about Rubio, Marco Rubio being the adult in the room. Are you saying that you think that he is somebody who the party should seriously consider over the sitting vice president? No, as far as I know, Marco Rubio has said that he's supporting J.D. Vance if J.D. Vance runs for president. That's my expectation is that the vice president will run. And if he wants to be the nominee, he will likely be the nominee. Rubio says he's for him. The president himself has said he thinks they would be a great ticket. And J.D. Vance tweeted out Marco Rubio's speech this weekend and said everybody needs to watch this.
1:14:35Look, I think between Vance and Rubio, you have two clear thinkers. And yes, they do approach, I think, their views and how they came to be Republican leaders in different ways. But they both have one thing in mind, and that's defending the future of Western civilization. And I think that's why they would work well together. But no, right now, it is pretty obvious to me and most Republicans that J.D. Vance is highly likely to be the nominee in 28th. Okay, so you mentioned Western civilization. Let's just talk for one second about civilization. On a much, much lighter note, Bakari, former President Obama made some curious comments with regard to visitors from space.
1:15:12Watch this. Are aliens real? They're real, but I haven't seen them and they're not being kept in, what is it? Area 51. Area 51. There's no underground facility unless there's this enormous conspiracy and they hid it from the president of the United States. Now, those comments were picked up all over the world and the former president had to issue a statement clarifying his position, saying statistically the universe is so vast that the odds are good there's life out there. And I saw no evidence during my presidency that extraterrestrials have made contact with us. Really? Bakari? I don't know.
1:15:57I believe in the first answer. I'm going to go watch Independence Day, all six or seven of them. Look, there's been so much that happened in our political just sphere over the past decade. I mean, aliens could be approaching us any day if they're not here already. Do we have bipartisan consensus on this?
1:16:17I think they got to Barack Obama. I think he was trying to be honest and then they got to him and it was pretty sad. I wish he hadn't walked it back. He was trying to tell us the truth. He was trying to tell us something. They got to him pretty bad. See? And people say everybody can't get along in Washington. We're proving them wrong right here. Come together on Aliens. Good to see you both, Bakari and Scott. Thank you. And we'll be right back.
1:16:51In our pop lead, actor Robert Duvall is dead at age 85. His movie career spanned decades, beginning with 1962's To Kill a Mockingbird. April. Miss Gina Weiss, Mr. Arthur Bradley.
1:17:14I believe he already knows you. Duvall's career took off in the 1970s. You may remember him as Tom Hagen, the consigliere, rather, in the Godfather movies. We have newspaper people on the payroll, don't we, Tom? They might like a story like that. They might. They just might. And he spoke what may be the most memorable line of his career in the 1979 film Apocalypse Now.
1:17:48I love the smell of napalm in the morning. Smells like victory. Duvall won the Best Actor Oscar in 1984 for his role in Tender Mercies and was nominated for Academy Awards six other times. A statement issued on behalf of his wife says Duvall died peacefully at his home in Virginia on Sunday. May his memory be a blessing. And in our pop lead, the classic film All the President's Men is coming to your screens in 4K for the first time ever. That is ahead of the film's 50th anniversary this year. Jake Tapper and I both sat down to discuss the film's legacy and working with Carl Bernstein and Bob Woodward.
1:18:33It's definitely very cool when I get to interview them or getting to know them at all. Both Bob and Carl are incredibly gracious individuals and they remain completely relentless journalists. Bernstein, are you sure on this story? Absolutely. Woodward? I'm sure. It's just an honor to know them, much less be able to pick their brains on live TV. I'm the luckiest person in the world that I have been able to meet them both. And in the case of Bernstein especially, since he worked at CNN for some time, to be able to work with him, to be able to work alongside Carl Bernstein. I mean, can you imagine, as a journalist?
1:19:11Wait outside, please, will you? No, no, no, no, no, no. I'm the reporter from The Washington Post. We talked on the telephone yesterday, and you told me to come on down here, and I'm here. Okay, yeah, I got the press here. I'm going to have to call you back. We should note Warner Brothers Discovery, which is behind this project, also owns CNN. Don't miss your chance to see all the president's men in 4K out tomorrow. You can follow the show on all of the social media apps, and you can watch the show on the CNN app. Erin Burnett starts right now.
1:19:51New cycle making your head spin? The Have I Got News For You crew is here to help with a comic take on the week's headlines. New episodes Saturdays at 9 on CNN and next day on the CNN app.
From the publisher
More members of the royal family are wrapped up in the Epstein files. Plus, the glove that could give investigators a new break into the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie. Also, tracing the toxin that was used to kill Alexei Navalny, one of Vladimir Putin’s most vocal critics.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
