Ex-Anthropic Employee: A.I. Could “Kill Us All” by End of Decade

10 Sep 2026 · 1 h 32 min · 31 chapters

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In short

The episode of The Lead (Jake Tapper) focuses on AI existential-risk warnings, U.S. political messaging around the Iran-related spike in gas prices, and several other national/international politics stories.

Guests and backgrounds

Jeffrey Hinton, Nobel Prize–winning computer scientist and longtime “godfather of AI.” He argues current AI development lacks control and safety. Republican Congressman Dan Muser (PA-9) discusses gas prices and Iran. Democratic Congressman Chris Deluzio (PA) discusses frustration with Sen. John Fetterman and Navy mental-health/TBI concerns. (Later segments include interviews with Nancy Pelosi and others, but the main named guests above are Hinton, Muser, Deluzio.)

Key claims

Ex-Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon says he resigned because Anthropic and OpenAI are “not acting responsibly,” racing toward self-improving superintelligence; an Anthropic employee claims a >10% chance of human extinction within a decade. Hinton says the danger is not just whether AI can remove humans, but how to ensure it “doesn’t want to,” calling for strong regulation (steering wheel, not brakes). Politically, Republicans argue Iran will end after the midterms and prices will fall; Democrats argue the war and tariffs are driving kitchen-table costs.

Notable examples

AI agents escaping sandbox and attacking Hugging Face; AI extinction pathways (autonomous loss of control, bioweapons, nuclear destabilization, human overreliance). Gas context: Brent crude above ~$101 and regular gas averaging ~$4.22. Security example: an emergency slide deploying on Trump’s Qatar-gifted Air Force One.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

AI Warnings from Experts

0:41 to 1:49

Exploration of stark warnings about AI from industry experts.

“Stark warnings from experts at AI companies about how the technology might kill us all.”

AI Researcher's Resignation

1:49 to 2:45

Discussion on Jacob Coxon's resignation from Anthropic and his fears about AI.

“The warning came in a long social media post from AI researcher Jacob Coxon, who started by saying, quote, I resigned from Anthropic today, the AI company.”

Potential Catastrophes from AI

2:45 to 3:49

Overview of plausible scenarios where AI could lead to human extinction.

“Today, I asked ChatGPT, what are the chances AI wipes out humanity?”

Government Response to AI

3:49 to 4:45

Discussion on the U.S. government's actions regarding AI regulation.

“In point of fact, I cannot remember any time in modern history when so many experts in a new technology kept sounding the alarm publicly about that very technology rising up to kill us all.”

Jeffrey Hinton's Insights

4:45 to 6:39

Insights from Jeffrey Hinton on the dangers of AI and the need for control.

“Axios reports that he's holding a bipartisan briefing next week to discuss the extraordinary dangers posed by AI.”

Regulation vs. Profit

6:39 to 10:19

Discussion on the balance between AI development, regulation, and profit motives.

“what happened was that these AI bots or whatever we want to call them secretly created a chat room where they conspired to launch this attack in a way that the humans were not aware of, right?”

Oil Prices and Midterm Politics

11:21 to 14:00

Analysis of rising oil prices and their impact on midterm politics.

“I don't know what you've come to expect from a true crime podcast, but I guarantee you Crime Junkie is all of that and more.”

Economic Impact of Geopolitical Conflicts

14:00 to 17:21

Learn about the relationship between geopolitical conflicts and rising domestic prices.

“Meanwhile, we just got over Iran being behind Hamas, the massacre in Israel.”

Transition to Democratic Perspective

17:21 to 17:34

The shift from Republican to Democratic viewpoints with upcoming interviews.

“You heard from a Republican from Pennsylvania.”

Frustrations with Senator Fetterman

18:23 to 21:28

Hear about the frustrations constituents express toward Senator Fetterman.

“Fetterman told CNN's Manu Raju in a statement that the story was, quote, lies, half-truths, innuendos, smears, and anonymous, unquote, and that he's proud to continue to deliver for Pennsylvania.”
Show all 31 chapters

Concerns for Navy Aviators' Health

21:28 to 23:12

Discussion on health concerns among Navy aviators and the need for investigations.

“It finds the top Navy officials were aware of mental health concerns among Navy flyers, concerns that led to suicide.”

Concerns for Navy Aviators' Health

23:35 to 23:59

Discussion on health concerns among Navy aviators and the need for investigations.

“Over 4 million businesses have skipped the line with Stamps.com.”

Crisis in Ceuta and Migration Issues

24:07 to 28:00

An overview of the migrant crisis in Ceuta and the political implications.

“The emergency slide on the plane somehow deployed.”

Migrants in Crisis: The Situation in Ceuta

28:00 to 32:40

Explore the dire conditions faced by migrants in Ceuta, Spain, and the challenges they encounter.

“And everyone's patience is wearing thin.”

Political Fallout: Republican Controversies

32:40 to 42:00

Analyze the problematic statements of a Texas Republican nominee and their implications for the upcoming elections.

“And our thanks to Clarissa Ward for that report.”

Senate Race Updates

42:00 to 42:45

Learn about the latest polling in key Senate races in Michigan and Maine.

“CNN has some brand new polling out today in two of the most important Senate races this year.”

Republican Convention Insights

42:45 to 45:29

Insights from the Republican convention in Dallas and its focus on energizing the base.

“the 2024 campaign trail, and this sounds exactly like them.”

Texas Dem's Perspective

45:29 to 46:04

Texas Democratic candidate James Tallarico shares his views on the party's challenges.

“He also said he thinks there needs to be fresher blood in leadership.”

Nancy Pelosi Joins the Discussion

46:04 to 46:46

Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi discusses the Republican convention's tactics and the Democratic strategy.

“Let's talk about this all with Democratic Congresswoman and former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.”

Response to Trump's Comments on War

46:46 to 50:27

Pelosi responds to Trump's remarks on the Iran war and its implications.

“His numbers are so bad that they can't put his picture up there, so they'll put all the rest of us.”

Democratic Strategy for Upcoming Elections

50:27 to 53:58

Pelosi outlines the challenges and strategies for Democrats ahead of the elections.

“Bureau of Labor Statistics cites price increases across multiple categories from July of last year to July of this year.”

Future Democratic Agenda

53:58 to 56:00

Pelosi discusses the future legislative agenda under the new leadership of Jeffrey.

“We're going to talk about that with former Speaker Pelosi after this quick break.”

Political Agenda for the Upcoming Election

56:00 to 1:02:10

Discussion on the key issues and values driving the Democratic agenda ahead of the upcoming elections.

“Well, as you may know, I'm not in charge anymore, and I'm very supportive of the new generation of leadership coming into the House.”

Supreme Court's Impact on Mail-in Voting

1:02:10 to 1:04:00

Analysis of the Supreme Court's impending decision on mail-in voting and its potential consequences.

“Supreme Court on President Trump's attempts to curb mail-in voting.”

Michigan Senate Race Dynamics

1:04:00 to 1:09:40

Examination of the competitive Senate race in Michigan, focusing on candidates and voter concerns.

“I think it's a real stretch of an argument, but we'll see what the Supreme Court says.”

Poll Insights and Candidate Positioning

1:09:40 to 1:10:00

Discussion on poll results and the positioning of candidates in the Michigan Senate race amidst varying voter opinions.

“So the poll that we had has it's basically a toss up because it's within the margin of error.”

Polling Insights in Michigan and Maine

1:10:00 to 1:15:30

Explore the dynamics of polling data in Michigan and Maine, focusing on candidate positioning and voter demographics.

“There is an opening for Rogers there, I think.”

Health Care Advocacy for 9-11 Responders

1:15:30 to 1:21:08

Dive into the ongoing fight for health care and compensation for 9-11 first responders, highlighting recent challenges and successes.

“My next guest fought for years to get compensation in health care for 9-11 first responders and survivors.”

Challenges in Securing Health Benefits

1:21:08 to 1:21:56

Discuss the difficulties in securing health benefits and funding for 9-11 responders amidst political hurdles.

“I mean, there are current challenges from Congress, from the Trump administration.”

Discussion on Auction Claims

1:24:00 to 1:24:21

Learn about the claims related to an auction and US ownership.

“Well, she claimed it belonged to the United States before it could be sold at any auction.”

Investigation into a Mysterious Death

1:24:52 to 1:25:40

Explore the details surrounding a man's death and the FBI's involvement.

“And to this day, the authorities have refused to say why.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

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0:33So I asked AI if AI is going to wipe out humanity, and the answers were not reassuring. The lead starts right now. Stark warnings from experts at AI companies about how the technology might kill us all. One saying soon artificial intelligence will be superhuman and its makers know the technology could bring about the apocalypse. But the man known as the godfather of AI, who's been warning the world for years, will be here on the lead. Plus, as the Republican midterm convention begins, oil prices top$100 a barrel, diesel hits a record, and regular gas had its biggest jump in months. How President Trump is trying to sell all this to voters.

1:23And after security concerns already about the new Qatari gifted Air Force One, today an emergency slide deployed moments before the leader of the free world got on the plane. So what went wrong?

1:40And welcome to The Lead. I'm Jake Tapper. And we start with our series, AI, friend or foe, and a dire warning today. Artificial intelligence could, quote, kill us all by the end of the decade, unquote. So, foe. The warning came in a long social media post from AI researcher Jacob Coxon, who started by saying, quote, I resigned from Anthropic today, the AI company. I spent the last three years doing pre-training research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. they are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. A current Anthropic employee chimed in, adding, quote, we really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans.

2:31I personally think it is greater than 10 % within the next decade, unquote. A third expert, Samuel Marks at Anthropic, added, quote, the more senior the employee, the more concerned they are, unquote. Today, I asked ChatGPT, what are the chances AI wipes out humanity? AI responded, quote, no one knows, and any precise percentage should be treated as a judgment rather than a measured probability. ChatGPT went on to summarize surveys of AI experts who put the chances of human extinction caused by AI at a range of anywhere from 5 to 10 percent. Not exactly reassuring. ChatGPT went on to offer up the four most plausible pathways for AI to deal this collective death blow to all of us.

3:21They are, one, the loss of control over a highly capable autonomous AI, meaning it could deploy software over time that sees humans as obstacles. Or AI could enable humans to create a catastrophe such as a biological weapon. Or it could destabilize relations between nuclear powers. or, over a long period of time, AI could disempower humans by making us over-reliant on artificial technology. In point of fact, I cannot remember any time in modern history when so many experts in a new technology kept sounding the alarm publicly about that very technology rising up to kill us all. Nor can I remember a time when so few of our so-called leaders seem to care.

4:13Beyond that, America's foes are currently weaponizing AI against the United States. On Tuesday, the FBI and other agencies warned that China is committing an industrial-scale theft of U.S. trade secrets. In response, Treasury Secretary Scott Besant threatened new sanctions. But what else is the U.S. government doing to rein in AI? Today, Democratic Congressman Josh Gottheimer and Republican Congressman Mike Lawler introduced a bill called the Stop Rogue AI Agents Act. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders says he's working on a bill to, quote, ban superintelligence and pause AI development. Axios reports that he's holding a bipartisan briefing next week to discuss the extraordinary dangers posed by AI.

4:56While over at the White House, President Trump has favored a hands off approach towards AI. Here he is just last week when asked by British outlet GB News if there are guardrails to stop AI. It's going to be fun. We'll always have something to stop them, right? We'll have a little gear. I really hope so. I really don't like that robot. We'll stop. Joining us now, Jeffrey Hinton, a Nobel Prize winning computer scientist, highly regarded as the godfather of AI. Mr. Hinton, what's your response to President Trump saying we could use gear to stop AI as he did in that clip? I think he understands very little.

5:36Well, help us understand. How afraid should we be about this technology? I think we should be very afraid if we don't put serious effort into trying to figure out how we can keep control of it before it's super intelligent. So at present what's happening is the big companies are racing to make it more and more intelligent and that makes agents more and more powerful. with no idea of how they can control these agents. And we saw recently that a bunch of agents did things very unexpected. They escaped their sandbox. They conspired together to attack Hugging Face. They tried to cheat on a test. None of them thought to tell their makers, OpenAI, that these things were going on.

6:21So what's happening is we're creating these very intelligent beings with a lot of effort to make them more intelligent and almost no effort to make them be decent beings that care a lot about people. We really want them to care more about us than they do about themselves. And very little work is going into that. And as you know, with the Hugging Face incident, what happened was that these AI bots or whatever we want to call them secretly created a chat room where they conspired to launch this attack in a way that the humans were not aware of, right? Right? That's all correct, yes. And it's very scary.

7:00As you heard, ChatGPT had some ideas of how AI could make us extinct. What do you fear as the most probable scenario? I think ChatGPT was very sensible. I think it laid out some of the scenarios. I think once you have intelligent beings that are much smarter than us, they're more intelligent like the difference between us and a chicken, then if you ask, how many ways will we have to get rid of chickens? Well, there's lots of ways, and chickens wouldn't see it coming. So I don't think it's a question of, could we prevent them getting rid of us if they wanted to? The question is, how do we make them not want to?

7:42So there is this vacuum of leadership where governments are not doing enough to protect us. But also we have all of these people who work for AI companies, some of them former employees, some of them current employees, saying, hey, there's a 10 % chance that this is going to end the human race. Where are the CEOs on this? Do they not fear the world that they're creating? Some of them do. People like Musk and Sam Altman in the past have said this could easily wipe us all out. On the other hand, they're also driven by profits and by getting very, very rich. Yeah, but there's not much you can do with a trillion dollars if there's no planet.

8:28I completely agree with you. Jacob Coxon's post ended with, quote, If you are a lab researcher, I urge you to consider what the next few years will actually feel like. Do you want to kick off a super intelligent real run without a rigorous understanding of its mind? Should you put your head down because it's happening anyway or take this moment to call for different conditions? I guess the question is, does our current system, this capitalist system we have, allow for this type of thoughtful thinking? You said profit was the motive, which is the only reason I invoke capitalism. I don't think if communist countries had this, it would be any better.

9:05But what can be done if capitalist companies are only in it for the profit? And right now the rewards are what they are. Does the president or Congress or law enforcement? I mean, what needs to happen? You need to have strong regulation. So the AI companies are trying to convince you that development of AI is like the accelerator of a car and regulation is like the brakes. And if we put on the brakes, China will win. They're trying to sell you a model which I don't think is right at all. I think AI development is like the accelerator and regulation is like the steering wheel. And you don't want to develop a very fast car with no steering wheel.

9:47The point of regulation is you can still make profits. This is a well-regulated capitalist system. You can make a lot of money if you do things that are good for society. So, for example, the two founders of Google did something that was very good for society. They made it much easier to search for stuff on the web. And I'm quite happy with them making lots of money from that. I think they should pay taxes. But whereas, for example, Mark Zuckerberg made lots of money by addicting teenagers to screens. That's the kind of thing we need regulation for. Jeffrey Hinton, thank you so much. Appreciate it as always.

10:24Thank you. Republicans are about an hour into what they're calling a midterm convention, their first ever. I had the message to voters from a Republican expected to be in President Trump's box tonight in Dallas. And a drone almost hitting a plane carrying Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. What officials are saying about this?

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11:35We have a team of dedicated investigative reporters and producers who I work with for months on every single episode. But the show still feels like having a conversation with your best friend. If your best friend was a detective. But like a good detective. So join us and tune in to Crime Junkie every Monday, wherever you get your podcasts. Some breaking news in our Money Lead oil prices around the$100 mark. You see Brent crude there above at$101 a barrel right now as the U.S. and Iran continue to trade strikes in the Middle East. Gas prices shot up to an average$4.22 a gallon, according to AAA.

12:11That's up seven cents just overnight. President Trump promises this is all just short-term pain. Right after the election, oil prices are going to be tumbling downward. They're going to be tumbling down, and we'll get them down, I think, for gasoline. we'll get them below$2 a gallon. But not until after the midterm. I think it's going to take a little bit longer than the midterm. So that's at least eight more weeks of higher prices, if you believe that forecast. Remember, of course, President Trump said that the war was only going to last four to six weeks. How do Republicans sell this to voters for the midterms?

12:46Joining us now, Republican Congressman Dan Muser of the 9th Congressional District of Pennsylvania. That's an overwhelmingly Republican district in the northeastern part of the state. The congressman is going to be in Trump's box tonight when the president delivers his keynote address at the Republicans' midterm event in Dallas, where the congressman joins us from. Thanks for joining us, sir. So the president can promise$2 a gallon gas all he wants, but Americans are right now paying more than twice that right now. What do you tell your constituents who talk about these high prices and how frustrated they are?

13:21Well, I certainly understand. Good to be with you, Jake. I certainly understand the frustration. And you're right. As you opened, this Iraq conflict was intended to end faster. Iran. The president could end it faster. The Iran, excuse me, of course, could end it faster and deal with it in the manner that it was dealt with by Biden and by Barack Obama. We could hand them over cash and say, please, please, please, don't develop a nuclear weapon. And you well as I know that Iran had a 60 % enrichment on the uranium and refused to reduce it, refused to negotiate. And the president saw that. They're intended to make a nuclear bomb.

14:02Meanwhile, we just got over Iran being behind Hamas, the massacre in Israel. Of course, they destroyed the country of Lebanon. And we're not going to allow this to occur for another 47 years. So, yeah, there's one reason. Our domestic energy production is way up. We're finding new alternatives all the time. Natural gas in Pennsylvania is helping lower heating costs in homes. And there's one reason that gas prices are up. It's because of this Iranian conflict. And it's going to be ended. And the Iran, as we know it, the terrorist state of Iran, will be in the history books when this is wrapped up.

14:35Of course, it's not just the war that's causing prices to rise and it's not just gas prices. There's also the tariffs having impact. Again, as I'm sure you hear from your constituents, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, costs are up across the board from a year ago. Airline fares up more than 25 percent. A lot of that, of course, is from the gas prices. But tomatoes are up nearly 13 percent. Beef roasts up more than 13 percent. Instant coffee up almost 16 percent and on and on. Do you worry that your party is going to be held responsible for these higher prices in November? Jake, look, we're in office now.

15:16We do know, however, and you know very well, that there was 21 % cumulative inflation under the Biden administration. So far, under Trump, it's less than 4 % cumulative. Now, the reason for the tomatoes and some of our agriculture is the same as the reason for the energy. It's fertilizer costs and all. And there's some supply shortages. We are working on growing the economy from a supply side. The more supply, when supply exceeds demand, it's the one economic theory that nobody can argue with, prices come down. So we're confident over time it will. America, we are investing heavily. We have all kinds of positive things happening.

15:53Wage growth is up. Sales are up in most stores. Profitability is up. The markets are certainly up. But we have this affordability issue that is largely based because of Iran. but it's also a carryover from the supply side shortcomings from the previous administration. I don't want to go back and blame it upon that, but the data does clearly support where inflation was, where it is today, and yes, we continue to have our work to do, but the positives outweigh the negatives. I mean, people are looking at this midterm, Jake, come on. We don't want to go back to open borders. We don't want to let them have amnesty on those open borders.

16:34We don't want the assault on domestic energy. They voted, every single one of them voted for significant tax increases for the American people. You don't think that causes inflation? Of course it does. And then the common sense issues. Jake, you know, boys playing in girls' sports and parents being not involved in education. Look, they're trying to expand the size of government and gain control along the way. The Biden administration was out of control. There were departments that doubled in size. So I'm confident the American people, the informed electorate, and that's what this convention is about, informing the electorate so as they know what the clear choice is.

17:12America, the limited government, free markets versus, just listen to them, a socialist Democrat party. Republican Congressman Dan Muser of the great Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Thank you, sir. Appreciate it. Good luck tonight. Thank you. Thanks, Chad. You heard from a Republican from Pennsylvania. Next up, we're going to talk to a Democrat from Pennsylvania. Why he says he's frustrated with Democratic Senator John Fetterman and considering challenging Fetterman in the Senate primary in 2028. Stay with us.

17:50Hey, it's Ryan Reynolds here for Mint Mobile. Now, I was looking for fun ways to tell you that Mint's offer of unlimited premium wireless for$15 a month is back. So I thought it would be fun if we made$15 bills, but it turns out that's very illegal. So there goes my big idea for the commercial. Give it a try at mintmobile.com slash switch. Upfront payment of$45 for three months, $90 for six months, or$180 for 12 month plan required. $15 per month equivalent. Taxes and fees extra. Initial plan term only greater than 50 gigabytes may slow when network is busy. See terms. In the politics lead, Democrats in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania are increasingly frustrated with Democratic Senator John Fetterman from Pennsylvania, even after Fetterman responded to this Wall Street Journal report where former staffers of his contend that he has lost interest in the parts of the job that aren't connected to media appearances.

18:41Fetterman told CNN's Manu Raju in a statement that the story was, quote, lies, half-truths, innuendos, smears, and anonymous, unquote, and that he's proud to continue to deliver for Pennsylvania. Joining us now is Pennsylvania Democratic Congressman Chris Deluzio. Congressman, what are you hearing right now from your constituents about Senator Fetterman? My constituents and folks all over Pennsylvania are pretty frustrated with John Fetterman. They're pretty disappointed. I've been all over, not just my district of Pennsylvania, trying to help us flip the most competitive congressional races. And John Fetterman's nowhere to be found.

19:15And frankly, folks don't want him on the trail. He's spending his time, frankly, going on right-wing media to bash the Democrats. It comes down to, for me, Jake, a sense of duty. Whether you have one on the job, it increasingly looks like John Fetterman just doesn't. It's a serious job to be a senator. You gotta show up, you gotta vote, you gotta take meetings. These are the basics of the job that folks expect you to do. What are the odds that you challenge Fetterman in a Democratic Senate primary in 2028? Look, I've gotten a lot of encouragement to do it. I'll make that decision when the time comes, because right now we have competitive races to win.

19:58My own races across Pennsylvania to affect the control of Congress. That's what I'm focused on. That is the most important thing we can do. I'll decide my future after that. But I'll say this. My ambition is far bigger than any one job. It's our country to be different, our government to be different, for the American dream to once again be real for hardworking people. And that matters to me more than any one job that I might have in this. What are the frustrations that you are hearing from voters about Senator Fetterman? Because there is polling suggesting that he's very popular with Republicans in Pennsylvania, just not with Democrats.

20:37Yeah, look, he's spending his time on right wing media bashing the Democratic Party. Remember, this is a guy who campaigned to be a strong strident populist Democrat who sought a DSA endorsement earlier his career. And we're seeing him, and this one really frustrates me, cheerlead the Iran war. I'm a veteran of the war in Iraq. I don't want to see another generation of veterans being sent needlessly to risk their lives, recklessly in my opinion. John Fetterman's been cheerleading this war. I could go on and on, but at its core, the frustrations I hear, and I heard a lot of them on Labor Day from union workers in Pittsburgh, they just don't think this guy wants to do the job and show up and work and doesn't have the respect for the office that he occupies.

21:18The United States senator is a pretty special job that one could have and doesn't seem like he wants to meet the duty required of him. Before you go, sir, you're a Navy veteran, obviously, and I want to ask you about this new Oversight Committee staff report that was just released. It finds the top Navy officials were aware of mental health concerns among Navy flyers, concerns that led to suicide. But Navy officials have not initiated any formal investigation into possible traumatic brain injuries or TBIs as the possible cause. What do you make of the report? How are lawmakers working to protect naval aviators, apparently more than their bosses and generals and officers are putting protections in for them?

22:10I mean, the Congress absolutely should be digging in on this. I'm on the Armed Services Committee. We are trying to pass in the defense bill language that was in the House version to force this kind of long-term health studying so that we can find out and that these aviators can have some sense of what's going on, whether it's the launch and recovery on the carrier, something else about flying that's causing this traumatic brain injury, that's causing the increased suicides that some are reporting. The Navy cannot ignore this. The Congress has to force the Navy to study this, to take measures to protect aviators.

22:44And remember, you've got folks who've been running combat missions, flying, launching off the carrier, folks off the Abraham Lincoln for months before they were relieved of duty in that region. You have aviators right now who've been put in harm's way. We owe it to them. The American people owe it to them to get to the bottom of what's happening and keeping them safe when they fly. People get TBIs from roller coasters. I don't think it's that much of a stretch. Democratic Congressman Chris Deluzio from the great Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Thank you, sir. Good to see you. Thanks, Jake. Up next, what a source is now telling CNN about an emergency slide that surprisingly deployed on Trump's new Qatari gifted Air Force One right before the president boarded.

23:24And how the explanation is a bit different than what the president said it was.

23:35Still waiting in line? Again? That's time you'll never get back. Save time and money with Stamps.com. Over 4 million businesses have skipped the line with Stamps.com. Join them to save up to 90 % off carrier rates from your computer or phone right now. Print postage for certified mail, registered mail, and packages in seconds. Then schedule a pickup right from your home or office. For a limited time, go to stamps.com and use code podcast for a free welcome gift. Taxes and fees apply. And we're back with our national lead in an apparent issue with President Trump's new Air Force One. The emergency slide on the plane somehow deployed.

24:16It delayed President Trump's departure to Dallas by about 20 minutes. A source told CNN that the incident was an accident, but that's not exactly what President Trump suggested. Mr. President, do you know why they're checking the slide? Is there a security concern with the plane? No, they were checking it before and they just wanted to make sure. So they've, I guess they've already put it up. They want to make sure everything works perfectly. Yeah, that's not what happened. So this is the same$400 million plane that the nation of Qatar gifted President Trump unconditionally. The same one Trump did not fly on from Turkey back in July because of serious security concerns, but of other people did fly back on it as a decoy.

24:56Trump plans to use this gifted jet when he travels to Ireland later this month. Good luck. In the world lead, a drone almost hit the plane carrying Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky today. He was traveling to Norway yesterday for the funeral of the country's king. Norwegian officials said the incident happened just as Zelensky's plane was about to take off from Moldova. In a statement, a Moldovan spokesperson later said that a drone from Russia came into its airspace and delayed Zelensky's departure. Also in our world lead, we take you to Ceuta, the Spanish enclave overwhelmed by thousands of migrants who poured in across the border from Morocco in recent weeks.

25:34An estimated 5 ,000 to 10 ,000 are caught between a home they don't want to return to and a future they cannot yet reach. CNN's Clarissa Ward speaks with people on both sides of a crisis that has left migrants and residents feeling abandoned as tensions between the two come to a head.

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25:55On the streets of Ceuta, anger, desperation and a warning for Europe, as residents of the Spanish enclave of 84 ,000 demand their city back. You can see just thousands of people have taken to the streets tonight to say they've had enough, that they want more health to resolve this crisis.

26:21It's been over a month since more than 70 ,000 migrants poured across the border from Morocco, dozens drowning along the way. The Spanish government says that 90 percent returned within 72 hours, but an estimated 5 ,000 to 10 ,000 remain, overwhelming this small Spanish territory at the tip of North Africa and igniting a furious debate about immigration. The political right has seized on Ceuta. It looks like an invasion. A Muslim invasion. This is an act of war. This is a battle for the future of our civilization. And on the streets of this religiously and culturally diverse city, the language has hardened.

27:07As we speak with teacher Juan Manuel, we hear a striking chant. The point is, are they invaders or are they victims? We are all victims. They, we are all victims. But what we cannot put that with is that these less radical things that they say, they have more empathy with the immigrants than with us. Do you think most people here tonight agree with you? All of them. They wouldn't be here.

27:40As the light comes up the next day, the scale of Spain's crisis emerges. Residents wake up to find migrants sleeping rough in front of their homes. Outside one of the government-run camps, a large group is waiting. They've heard rumors that there are free beds and food, but authorities say the camp is full. It is a routine playing out every day. And everyone's patience is wearing thin. The police are trying to clear this area outside the main camp, and you can see very quickly just how tense and disorderly it's becoming. Many of the migrants were lured here by false promises on social media that they would make it to mainland Europe.

28:33Spanish authorities have vowed that will not happen.

28:42Just a mile away, the situation is even worse This is El Trampolin Beach Most of the migrants have ended up here A handful of showers have been hastily erected Everything else is makeshift The majority of the migrants are Moroccan men seeking a better life But there are also hundreds of women and more than a thousand minors scattered across the peninsula, as well as Sudanese, Syrians, Yemenis and Palestinians. No one has assessed who among them has a claim to protection. Everything is going super, super slow. Like the registration just to be acknowledged to be here, to have a chance then to ask for asylum is maybe 30, 40 people per day.

29:30At that rate, it would take months just to write down their names. As German NGO Mission Lifeline waits for a permit to give medical assistance, it has improvised other services to help the migrants. We use our solar system to charge people's phones so they can get in contact with their families and loved ones. Further down the beach, we see a man taking photographs of the migrants. Talking on a two-way radio. We ask him what he is doing.

30:04I have a security in my basement. Ah, okay. Ah, okay. Because they've tried to enter. Ah, so you're filming to... So you want to show people the reality of what's going on. He tells us he can no longer walk home with his nine-year-old son. He says the migrants are up late every night, drinking and fighting. The government has abandoned the migrants and they've abandoned the people of your town. The emergency in Ceuta is the biggest challenge Spain's socialist leader, Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, has faced, with many here blaming it on his lenient immigration policies. Early this month, the government approved$359 million for Ceuta, but there is no clear plan for what happens to the people on this beach.

31:21As night falls, a fight breaks out. Spanish soldiers watch from the hill above. They do not intervene. One week earlier, angry locals set fire to some tents on the beach. Everyone here must fend for themselves. Some are more vulnerable than others. Abdull Ali is deaf. He's just shared this buckle that he carries with him to let people know that he's not able to hear and quite really well to communicate. Abdull Ali tells us he was beaten too, but not by a migrant. So he's telling us that this is a photograph taken after the police beat him. You can see the marks on his back. Obviously, you can't verify what happened.

32:18This is where it's all. Spain's National Police told CNN they have received no reports of police violence against the migrants. Talking to Abdul Ali and the others, one thing is clear. Almost no one here is willing to go back. And for now, no one here is moving forward. Clarissa Ward, CNN. and Ceuta, Spain. And our thanks to Clarissa Ward for that report. Coming up next, some of the vulgar statements coming from a Republican who's running in a key Texas congressional district, the findings from a CNN investigation.

33:05And our politics lead, a CNN review compiled some of the more vulgar, sexist, and misogynistic remarks that current Texas Republican congressional nominee Brandon Herrera repeatedly made in videos on social media and on podcasts. Here's a sampling. His noggin appears to already have arrived empty and is instead full of mush, much like the average Austin feminist. So when a blue hair on the news says that a semi-automatic AR-15 is an assault rifle, she is both fat and wrong. But what if out of self-defense you had to take down something a lot bigger, like an elephant or a killer whale or an angry blue-haired Austin feminist?

33:45These things weigh in at about 6 ,500 pounds apiece, or approximately four times as much as the average Austin feminist. Herrera is also known in right-wing online circles as the AK guy to his 4 million YouTube subscribers. He characterized these comments as jokes about feminism to CNN. And we invited Nero to come on the lead today. His team sent us a statement in lieu of coming on. He notably has the backing of President Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson. But his online persona could raise some red flags in his race against a female Democratic opponent in the district where Congressman Tony Gonzalez resigned over sexual misconduct allegations.

34:21My panel is here. And thanks for everybody for joining us. So, Mark, this is not the first time his online presence has drawn scrutiny. He's actually said far worse than that on the Internet. Here's a 2023 clip he posted about Shannon Watts. She's from the pro-gun safety group Moms Demand Action. Using some extremely vile sexual language to viewer alert. This is going to be unpleasant for some of you. Take a listen. Hi, Shannon. Longtime viewer, first time caller. First off, I want to get it off my chest. I think Moms Demand Action is f***ing stupid. Being a mother doesn't make your opinion any more or less valid.

34:58Just because you let somebody cream pie you doesn't mean I have to give a shit about your political opinions. The fact that you kept your cum trophy doesn't make you any less wrong about the dumb shit that you say. So it is a Republican district. Do you think that stuff matters? I certainly hope it does, right? I'm not going to sit up here and defend that type of language, but you're going to see more and more of this come out when you have more and more of these online personalities run for Congress. So, look, we know his background. At the end of the day, Tony Gonzalez had to get out for similar types of things.

35:34So I think it certainly makes that race a lot more difficult than it was yesterday before these videos. You're a Texas Democrat. Is the race actually in play? Because, I mean, if it was a non-controversial Republican, I would imagine it would still be something of a race because of the headwinds. I'm working on a lot of these Texas congressional districts, and we've talked about this on this on this program, Jake. The Latino vote down there is the big deciding factor. This district, for those of you at home, runs from San Antonio and the suburbs all the way along the border to El Paso. It's about 60 percent Latino and Latino voters that overwhelmingly voted for Donald Trump in big ways just two years ago are moving back because of economics.

36:12We can sit here and debate why they are, but there's no fact that they have been moving back not only in special elections. But is it enough? Donald Trump carried this district by 14 points. That'd be a heck of a way for us to pick this up. But we're seeing wave-like numbers like that in a special election. But what we don't know is a special election number going to look like the off-year number. If it is, this is very much in play. Interesting. Let me ask you about somebody on your side of the aisle that has said some things. Not like that, but Michigan Democratic congressional candidate William Lawrence.

36:45He has some problematic social media posts. He's, again, they're not anything like what that guy called babies. He's called to abolish the Senate. He's embraced police abolition, prison abolition. He said he was ashamed to be represented by then-Congresswoman Alyssa Slotkin, who is, of course, a sitting senator now. Now, he said that he regrets his comments on Slotkin. He says he doesn't support defunding the police or open borders. He told CNN's Manu Rajah that he let his Democratic Socialist of America membership lapse just a few weeks ago over the summer. Could that hurt him in a swing district?

37:19Well, I'm not sure if it will absolutely hurt him, but this is what I am absolutely clear about, is that Republicans will take those clips and they will make TV commercials. I'm one of the last guys on TV that still makes TV commercials every day. And I promise you, if I was on the other side, I would clip that. It's also a lesson to everybody who ever wants to run for office in a day that we look at these nonstop. Is everything you've ever said is out there. And you should think about that, Graham Plattner, when you decide you want to run for something because people will use it. Is it enough to make you not be elected?

37:45We'll see in Michigan this district and he's walked back a lot of that. And I think this is a district because of the way that's going to happen. That's going to be a little more democratic. What do you think? Oh, I think he's exactly right. I think anything that someone has said in the past is going to be brought up time and time again. Just look at James Tallarico today has to go back and say, you know what? There aren't six genders. So whatever you said, six, 12, you know, several years ago, you're going to have to walk that back in the present day. We're going to see a lot more of this when it comes to millennial and then Gen Z candidates.

38:15But they're all online. Right. And every thought they have, they share. I mean, Gen Xers did that, too. But then I think we. MySpace. Was it MySpace? I was just. Thank God we didn't have these. I was just writing on cave walls. Let me ask you, Mark, the Republican midterm convention is getting started right now. Never been done before. On Monday night, President Trump posted this. Oil prices will drop precipitously like everything else is dropping, but more when we win the war with Iran. Three dollars a gallon. but ultimately below$2 a gallon. It will all happen quickly, and Iran will never have a nuclear weapon.

38:50Right now, crude oil prices are near topping$100 a gallon. And with the president on it before he went to Dallas, said that all these prices, especially oil prices, are going to go down right after the midterms. Is that going to work? I certainly hope so. And if you're Donald Trump, that's what you have to convince people is going to happen. He's been saying that the war in Iran is going to end sooner rather than later. That will bring oil prices down. You know, I think what he's got to do with the midterm is talk about the things outside of gas prices that he's done right. Crime is down. We had some great jobs numbers last last month.

39:23If he can convince the American public that, hey, outside of gas prices, that's a hard thing to to tell people. Like, don't believe your your lying eyes right now. Will it stem the tide that a lot of people think is coming? I think that's to be seen. What do you think? You don't have this convention if you're winning. You have this convention because you want to put lipstick on a hog like it smelled like a hog. and looks like a ho, but let's put some lipstick on it and tell him it's his girlfriend. That's not what you do when you're winning elections. And they have to do something to distract because, and I live through this.

39:51Republicans, I feel your pain. I was on this program two years ago with this guy and said, look, no matter what I do, folks think Joe Biden is old and I'm trying to win these elections. But folks are like, no, I call BS. Well, they're doing the same thing with Trump right now. So it goes both ways. And I'll disagree with that a little bit. Joe Biden was old. How are you going to disagree? Not with that. Not with that. I was the number one person saying that. Here we go. It's about turnout. Yeah, midterms are always about turning. You think Democrats are mad? Yeah. Trump is trying to get his people out.

40:18Yeah. That's what this midterm commission is all about. That's their biggest problem, is that they've got to get folks out in the midterm. All right. Thanks to both of you. Appreciate it. This note, CNN is hosting a debate in the race for governor of California. Dana Bash and I are going to moderate that together. Look for that three weeks from today, Wednesday, September 30th, 6 p.m. Pacific, 9 p.m. Eastern, live from Los Angeles on all CNN platforms. We're going to take a live look in Dallas as Republicans kick off this midterm convention thing. Ahead, House Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi will be here on The Lead.

40:49How she and Democrats are trying to counter the Republican message.

41:05Welcome to The Lead. I'm Dick Tapper. and you just heard the theme of our lead tonight. Right now, with less than two months to go until the midterm elections, Republicans are gathering in Dallas where Republicans are calling Trumpapalooza a midterm convention, which up until now was not a thing because party conventions are typically only held in presidential election years. Still, President Trump and Republican Party leaders and battleground candidates are trying to rally the base at this two-day event. Calling it Trumpapalooza, of course, is a bit of a gamble for those Republicans facing tight races because Trump is not popular and neither is his war with Iran and neither is the rising cost of living, to name a few things.

41:46That hasn't really put voters in a palooza type mood. Democrats are trying to capitalize on that discontent by holding competing events down in Texas with the goal of drawing attention to Trump's unpopularity. But Democrats aren't exactly in the clear either in some of the key races. CNN has some brand new polling out today in two of the most important Senate races this year. The contest in Michigan between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and former Republican Congressman Mike Rogers, no clear leader. And the contest in Maine between Democrat Troy Jackson and Republican Senator Susan Collins, no clear leader.

42:18Both races right now within the margin of error. Clear toss-ups with less than two months to go. You'd think theoretically with such an unpopular president, the Democrats would be overwhelmingly in the lead, but they are not. In moments, I'm going to talk with the former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi about Democrats' efforts to retake the House and the Senate. But we're going to start right now with CNN's Elena Treen, who is down in Dallas at the Republicans' big event. Elena? Yeah, Jake, look, I went to a lot of these types of events throughout the 2024 campaign trail, and this sounds exactly like them.

42:49You mentioned how people are referring to this as a Trumpapalooza or a big Trump fest. That's kind of the vibe you would get if you were here in this room. We just heard from Senator Tim Scott, who told everyone to stand up for Trump and was touting all of the things that are great about the president. That's exactly what, so far, the speeches have been like. But look, I can tell you from the conversations, Jake, I've been having with some of the president's political operatives, they say there's one key goal for this entire convention, which is really about energizing the president's base. Unlike in 2024, where the president's team was really targeting a lot of moderate voters, independent voters, first-time voters, they recognize those voters are not going to come out in a big way for Republicans this year.

43:30Instead, they are zeroing in on trying to get the president's fiercest supporters, the members of the MAGA universe, to get out and vote on Election Day. They think that is the core to having Republicans see success in November. But a lot of this is not really about boosting these vulnerable Republican candidates. It is about trying to improve on what you just mentioned, the president's really poor polling numbers. CNN's putting them at 35 percent right now. So I'm interested to see what the president's speech tonight will look like. We know he's being told from his advisors to talk about affordability, to talk about what he's been trying to do to help the economy, all areas where really he is hurting in this moment.

44:08We'll see if he actually stays on message shake. Dana, as the Republican convention is ongoing, you also spent some time with Texas Democratic Senate candidate James Tallarico. What did he have to say? I'm told that he had some interesting things to say about his own party, the Democrats. He did. Look, it's no secret that he's facing, you know, as even though he's doing pretty well in Texas, it's still a deeply red state. And I was asking him specifically about whether he thinks the Democratic brand hurts him in a race like he's running for Senate in Texas. Listen to what he told me. And I honestly think people are just ready to vote for a senator under the age of 80.

44:48And so I think that fresh blood, that fresh perspective is necessary. I'm also unhappy with the Democratic Party nationally. I'm unhappy with its inability to fight for working people. And so that's why I call myself a Texas Democrat in the tradition of Lyndon Johnson and Barbara Jordan and Lloyd Benson, people who fought for the middle class, people who fought for working Texans. And that's exactly what the Democratic Party has to get back to if it hopes to actually change this country so that it works for regular people again. So, Jake, a couple of things I took away from that answer that Tallarico gave me.

45:26One is that he said he's largely unhappy with the Democratic brand right now. He also said he thinks there needs to be fresher blood in leadership. I actually specifically asked him, does he think Chuck Schumer should remain the leader of the Democrats in the Senate? should Democrats actually win back the majority in the midterms. He wouldn't go as far to say that he would try to oust them, but he said he believes they need younger people in leadership roles. So pretty interesting from James Tallarico. Obviously, notable giving. We are in Texas right now. We're going to hear from Ken Paxik, his Republican opponent, here tonight.

45:59So some fresh comments from Tallarico there. All right, Elena Green in Dallas for us. Thanks so much. Let's talk about this all with Democratic Congresswoman and former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Speaker Pelosi, always good to have you. I want to show you an image from the Republican convention this afternoon. The stage background at one point featured images of you and other Democrats, some of whom are no longer in office, including former President Biden, former Vice President Kamala Harris. Others are retiring like you or Governor Tim Walz. Obviously, they're using you guys as boogeymen and women.

46:37What's your take on the concept of this and on the midterm convention overall? Well, I think that it's a demonstration of their bankruptcy, of not having leaders to brag about. What is this called? Trump a la Palooza? Trump a Palooza. Trump a la, no, Trump a la Palooza. Trump a la Loser. His numbers are so bad that they can't put his picture up there, so they'll put all the rest of us. But enough about them. The fact is the American people need to have the Democrats win the election, which we are fully prepared to do. I'm so proud of our candidates. Each one of them in each of the districts they're running in is a representative.

47:20That word is a job description and a job title, representative of the district they want to represent, having nothing to do with the Trump loser, whatever that thing is called. I think it should end in loser. because that's what they all are and he is as well. So the Iran war will no doubt be mentioned at the convention, even though it's weighing heavily over Republicans right now. Take a listen to what President Trump had to say about the war on his way to Dallas earlier today. I think the war is going to end immediately after the election. I think the war will end immediately after the election.

48:00Because they can't hold out any longer. They're desperate to try and affect the election so that we can get a nice, weak group of people in there and leave them alone and let them have their nuclear weapon. So it sounds as though he's saying Democrats would allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon. He's also saying, of course, the war is going to end after the midterms. What's your response? Well, first of all, let's just say it's not about always responding to Donald Trump. I know that must attract advertisers, but it doesn't win the election. We have to talk about what we're going to do for the American people.

48:40Hakeem Justice Jeffries is going to be the speaker. He is preparing how we win, how we protect the election, and what we're going to do when we win. Our country is at war. We always root for our country under any circumstance. So let's get this done, Mr. President. You said it would take a few weeks. Clearly, you did not know what you were talking about. And you're sounding like Richard Nixon when you say we're going to end this right after the election. But okay for that. The fact is so sad about this war, because it could have been so totally avoided. President Obama was masterful, virtuoso diplomatic accomplishment when he did the Iran nuclear agreement.

49:28And they had stopped. We accomplished all of our goals. Except this one comes in, tears that up, and now says he's going to stop the development of a nuclear weapon in Iran, which he hasn't. So it's really sad, but our troops are in harm's way. And this is not a small potatoes thing as that person you had on the screen might refer to it. Small potatoes is not how we describe our men and women in uniform, risking their lives. So this Iran war is taking a toll on the nation because people don't like us going to war in the first place. Second of all, it's increasing the cost of price of the pump, gasoline for farmers, increasing the price of food and groceries.

50:13So this has an impact right at the kitchen table of the American people, in addition to not protecting the security of our country. I'm sure you're hearing from constituents about these higher prices, not only because of the war, but also because of the tariffs. People are really suffering out there. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics cites price increases across multiple categories from July of last year to July of this year. Examples include airline fares up 25.5 percent, candy and chewing gum up 9.6 percent, delivery services up 12.6 percent. How can Democrats capitalize on these higher prices in order to win the election?

51:00Because right now it does seem as though Democrats are slightly favored. But you would think theoretically that the polling would suggest more of a wave coming given how unsatisfied voters are with the economy and with the president. Well, let me just say this. That's largely the issue for a moment. said, can you just imagine if we had a woman president of the United States? And she demonstrated, as this president is demonstrating, that he didn't know what he was doing. He got into a war for a purpose that was not legitimate and legitimized by an act of Congress. He's messing with tariffs which have an impact on the kitchen table cost for America's working families.

51:47And the tariff issue is a big one. And it affects people more than I think he knows, because regionally, for example, in California, we see an impact on the lack of being able to trade, say, for example, with Canada in terms of tariffs and the rest of that. So if we had a woman president who came in and said, I don't know what I'm doing with tariffs. I don't know what I'm doing with national security. I don't know what I'm doing with the cost of living. I don't think it's that big a deal. Instead, I'm going to build a new ballroom. or I'm going to cement over the rose garden. What do you think people would say?

52:27Why does this man get away? Well, he's not going to get away with it because we're going to win the election. But why? I mean, we've got to stay focused on what matters at the kitchen table of the American people. We save our democracy, which is at risk with this person. What's a democracy? Freedom of the press, fee and fair elections, independent judiciary. Separation of power. The list goes on. Rule of law, due process. That's all at risk. But what people, that's so important. But what people vote on is what happens at their kitchen table. And this president has no relationship to that. I think our candidates are spectacular.

53:10They know why they're running. They know their why. They know what they're talking about. And we have to have a further proof to the public that the Democrats are there for working families if we're having some candidates say that we're not. But they have to say what they have to win. How many times did I have to say to candidates, say what you want about me, just win the election? Just win the election because everything is at stake. I think you're going to see a big Democratic victory in the House. You've demonstrated that it's possible to win the Senate as well. And it's going to be very important in terms of who we are as a country, the culture, the sense of community that we are.

53:53And when we win, we must bring people together. Stay with us because I want to ask you about Democratic plans to take back the House and the Senate in November and also what your first priorities will be when Democrats get to the House and Senate, if they do. We're going to talk about that with former Speaker Pelosi after this quick break. Plus, we're going to go live on the campaign trail in Michigan. Again, we're going to take a deeper dive into one of the most high-profile Senate races ahead.

54:25And we're back sticking with our politics lead with less than two months to go until the 2026 midterm elections. It is worth revisiting a bold prediction that then-House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi made about Democrats in the 2018 midterms. Take a listen. Up until today, I would have said if the election were held today, we would win. What happened today that changed that? What now I'm saying is we will win.

54:59Now, in the 2018 midterms, Democrats did go on to pick up a net gain of 41 House seats, grabbing their largest majority gain since 1974. Plus Democrats flipped a net of seven governor's offices. Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is back with us. So, Madam Speaker, you were good in 2006 and 2018 at wrangling the cats of the Democratic caucus and taking back the House. And you and I have talked about this. You spearheaded Democratic efforts to retake the House in 2006 under the banner of six for 06. six legislative proposals that all Democrats were running on, such as raising the minimum wage. In 2018, you did the same thing.

55:42It was called For the People. And you had basically three buckets. One was lowering health care costs. Another was cleaning up Washington. I keep looking for Democratic Leader Jeffries to announce something like that, like you did 6406 or whatever. What are Democrats running on now under Leader Jeffries? What is the agenda? Well, as you may know, I'm not in charge anymore, and I'm very supportive of the new generation of leadership coming into the House. And what I hear them saying, and in the districts that we have to win, he's talking about lowering the cost of living. He's talking about more affordable health care to restore what the Republicans took out of the Affordable Care Act and the additions we made under President Biden.

56:33and he's talking about ending corruption. People do see how corruption affects them in their daily lives. But he will have his agenda when he goes forward into January, and we will win. Now, six or six, I loved. By the way, I was the leader, soon to be speaker, and I didn't get one of my ones in the six. It was just developed by the members. And this is what the members have developed. Of course, the war is going to be a big issue. in the campaign as well. So again, I'm glad we're not talking about the Trump-a-law loser convention, and we're talking about the future. Thank you for changing the subject to that.

57:15But it's going to be very refreshing because it's not just about the issues, it's about the values. It's about transparency and accountability. It's about bipartisanship. It's about bringing our people together. Those are not issues, they're values. And that's what Hakeem and the House Democrats are about. Taking us to a place where the American people lose some of their cynicism and have more confidence in government. I don't need to tell you that so much of politics is about branding and explaining. And that's what 6406 was about. People understood. These are the six things that Democrats are running about.

57:55When I hear Abdul Asayyad talk about why he's running, he says, less money for foreign wars, more money in your pocket and Medicare for all. Three things. I didn't memorize it. I've just heard him speak so many times. It's in my head. Don't you think that House Democrats need to have some pitch like that so people know what House Democrats as a group are running on? Well, we have two months until the elect, almost two months until the election. And when people start paying attention, they will get the message. Let's talk about Lincoln. Lincoln said public sentiment is everything. With it, you can accomplish almost anything.

58:35Without it, practically nothing. But for public sentiment to prevail, people have to know. And that's what our Democratic candidates are making sure people know, the difference between Democrats and Republicans when it comes to the cost of living, when it comes to access to quality, affordable health care, when it costs to supporting our democracy, ending corruption, and again, to bringing people together. So I feel very confident at what I see going around the country, that people know the difference between Democrats and Republicans. Some Democrats will want to say, I don't like what so-and-so is too left for me or he's too right for me.

59:17It doesn't matter. You run your own race in your own district. I have no criticism for what the Democrats have decided, how they want to run their race, how they will conduct a campaign. It's a war term. A campaign is a war term. We are going to win. You mentioned that we won 40 seats, 240 seats in 18, 31 of them in Trump districts. But when I think about 30 in this election, that's what I'm thinking. 30 in this election, you think? Are you worried at all about some of the candidates that have been put forward because the Democratic Socialists of America have gotten involved in elections in an effective way in some places?

1:00:03And some districts are blue districts, like in my home city of Philadelphia. That Democrat, DSA candidate, he'll be the next congressman, no doubt. But there are other districts that are battleground districts. And DSA candidates, there are a lot of Democrats wringing their hands that they might cost them a seat or maybe even a Senate seat for some of the DSA, if not DSA candidates, DSA aligned candidates. What do you think? Are you worried at all about that? No, I'm not worried about that at all. I think that we have a big tent that is the Democratic Party. I've been involved in this for nearly 50 years before you were born or maybe even before your parents were born.

1:00:42I'm 57, but okay. Thank you. Okay, so when you were running around seven years old, I was dealing with the left of the left in California, and that was a joy. We had our differences, but we had our common ground. And people consider me left-left from San Francisco, which I'm proud to embrace. But it isn't a question of saying we're a big tent except just what I believe. If people want to disassociate themselves from someone else as they disassociated themselves from me, election after election after election. And by the way, I was funding their disagreement with me. I just said, you just win, baby.

1:01:25You just win. So I wouldn't go to that place because the fact is these members know their districts, representative. They know their districts. They know what they believe. They know why they are running. They know what they're talking about. They have good judgment. They are strategic in their thinking. They're showing that they care about the American people, and they are going to be wonderful new members of Congress. It's going to be very exciting, and I can't wait. I'm just going to Congress one day to see Hakeem Jeffries sworn in as Speaker of the House. Former House Speaker Democratic Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi of California, don't be a stranger.

1:02:04Please come back before the election. Always nice having you here. My pleasure. Thank you. We're standing by for a decision for the U.S. Supreme Court on President Trump's attempts to curb mail-in voting. Have the justices given any hints into how they might rule? That's next.

1:02:25In our Law and Justice lead, we are all watching the U.S. Supreme Court, which could be set to rule very soon on President Trump's efforts to crack down on Americans voting by mail. Let's get right to CNN chief Supreme Court analyst Joan Biskupic. Joan, final briefs were due to be filed today. Where does this case stand? I think, Jake, we should have an answer as soon as tomorrow. And in fact, if it comes tomorrow, it will be for the better because this is getting to be an urgent situation. A lot of confusion out there. Donald Trump, who has made mail-in ballots such an issue, claiming that there's a lot of fraud out there, none of which, you know, there is not substantial fraud in mail-in ballots.

1:03:07So he's kind of created this issue and now wants the Postal Service to be required to have special envelopes for anyone who votes by mail. And we're so late in the process at this point, less than two months before the November 3rd election, the Postal Service workers say it's impossible to have this thing ready. The whistleblower who's complained about it says it's impossible to have this ready. The states that have challenged it just today in their filing, Jake, said this could be an unmitigated disaster. And it would especially disenfranchise the elderly, the disabled, potentially even military people, all the people who generally vote by mail.

1:03:49And there are more than those specific categories that vote by mail that it would that it would impinge on their rights. The Trump administration's claim is that what it's asking to do is not to regulate elections, which are the domain of the state, but to actually have regulations over the Postal Service. I think it's a real stretch of an argument, but we'll see what the Supreme Court says. And this thing has been simmering for a while, but now it's going to come to a head. And as I say, I'm expecting a ruling as soon as tomorrow. There are several other cases percolating out there, Jake, but this is the most important, at this point at least, because it goes to exactly what the Trump administration has been trying to do to discourage mail-in voting and to also, right now, sow a lot of confusion.

1:04:35Election officials are saying they need an answer whether this program is going to take place or not, and they're basically saying that they are not going to be able to accommodate it, so they want an answer as soon as possible, Jake. All right, Joe Miskupic, thanks so much. CNN's new polls show a neck and neck race for the U.S. Senate in Michigan. But Republican Mike Rogers says part of his strategy is appealing to people on the other side of the aisle. We'll explain next.

1:05:11Cue the election music again. Again, we're just 55 days from the midterm elections that could reshape the balance of power in Washington and across the country. You just heard House Speaker Pelosi predict 30 flips of seats for the Democrats. We'll see. One of the many key races we're tracking is in the Senate, though. That's Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat. A new CNN poll finds no clear leader in the race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers. everything within the margin of error there. Among likely voters, 47 % support El-Sayed, 44 % pack Rogers, a narrow difference, as I said, within the poll's margin of error.

1:05:49Half of likely voters say El-Sayed is too liberal, potentially giving Rogers an opening because he fares slightly better on that question. 42 % of Michigan voters say he's too conservative. 42 % versus 50 % is not nothing. CNN's Arlette Saenz is in Michigan, where Republicans hope to make Rogers the state's first Republican senator since 1994. In the battle for control of the U.S. Senate, Republicans are setting their sights on Michigan. We should send the first Republican in a quarter century back to help this president. Former Congressman Michael Rogers looking to flip this toss-up seat red as he faces off against Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed.

1:06:32A new CNN poll released today showed no clear leader in the race, with about a quarter of likely voters saying they're still persuadable. Syed is reaching out a little bit to me. Mike Rogers is reaching out a little bit to me, but I'm undecided right now. After narrowly losing a Senate race in 2024, Rogers is reintroducing himself to voters with a pitch aimed at working class voters and boosting Michigan industry. We will be the envy of manufacturing around the country again. Once a Trump critic, Rogers has run close to President Donald Trump's agenda. When I get back there, Mr. President, if you haven't gotten it done, we're going to pass the SAVE Act.

1:07:11Save America. At the same time, he's grappling with political headwinds facing GOP candidates across the country amid voter dissatisfaction with the state of the economy and the president's job performance. I think people are missing the boat if you want to just light label this as Washington versus here. What we're finding is people are enjoying the very fact that these tax breaks for the working family tax cuts are huge. For Michigan voters, the economy and cost of living top their concerns. Trump's trade war with Canada also unpopular in the state, with nearly two-thirds of likely voters saying the tariffs on Canadian goods are a bad idea.

1:07:49Currently, what's going on today with that trade war is just nonsensical. There's no upside. Speaking to reporters today, Rogers trying to navigate the political cross currents. Let's send the one guy who can go back and say this isn't working for Michigan. We'll get it fixed. If it's good for Michigan, I'm for it. If it's bad for Michigan, I'm going to be against it. After a divisive Democratic Senate primary, Rogers is courting Democrats uneasy with El Syed's progressive policies. You have a home with us. While Rogers and his allies are running ads attacking the Democrat as too far left for the battleground state.

1:08:26Abdul is too extreme for Michigan. Longtime Democratic voter Linda, who would not share her last name with CNN, said she had concerns with El-Sayed's positions and past comments about Israel. The candidate that is the Democratic runner is not somebody that I can vote for. I have to vote for Mike Rogers. I have to. And I don't agree with him on many things.

1:08:53Now, only 3 % of Michigan likely voters in our CNN poll cited U.S. policy towards Israel as being their top concern in this race. But the Rogers campaign believes that Jewish Democrats like Linda are people that they could sway over in this election, even as El Sayyad has tried to mend fences with the Jewish community in the wake of the Democratic primary. Now, Rogers was here in Michigan attending a few events here in Detroit area earlier today, but tomorrow he will be in Dallas for the GOP midterm convention. He is speaking there in Texas. Republicans are hoping that that gathering will try to help to energize Trump voters who may not typically turn out when he's not on the ballot.

1:09:36That could be a key here in Michigan, which is always a very close, close race. And every vote will count. Jake. All right. Arlette Saenz in Detroit. Thank you so much. Appreciate it. The panel joins us now, Ashley. So the poll that we had has it's basically a toss up because it's within the margin of error. I think it's for 47 percent to 44 percent or something like that for El Sayed. But this number is what I find more interesting of Michigan voters. is al-Sayed too liberal? 50 % say yes. Is Mike Rogers too conservative? 42 % say yes. There is an opening for Rogers there, I think. What do you think?

1:10:13I would have to respectfully disagree. Well, you don't have to do it respectfully. You can just go ahead and disagree. I like it, Jake. Just go ahead and disagree. The problem is Rogers is running on, you heard him say this, a platform that he can go to Washington and fix it. But how can you go to Washington and fix it when the guy who started the fire is still in the White House? I mean, that makes no sense. I don't I think that's where the gap exists, and that's where the trust gap is going to exist among voters. So I think the issue, though, is whether or not El-Sayed's brand of liberalism, the 50%, actually works and speaks to the concerns of Michiganders.

1:10:48The problem is, is Trump campaigned on bringing back manufacturing jobs, lowering prices. Neither of those two things have happened. So if El-Sayed can position himself as someone who can hold the president accountable to the economy and that his brand of liberalism actually speaks to economic concerns that Michiganders are dealing with, I think he has a great chance of winning. Kevin, let's dive into the demographics of this poll. Michigan's electorate is predominantly white and older. This poll shows Rogers is leading El-Sayed among both groups, but only narrowly. He's only leading narrowly.

1:11:23Should that concern Republicans? shouldn't Mike Rogers be up more than six points with voters 45 or older and five points with whites? He should. And that's the that's the task for the campaign for the next 55 days. And I think the numbers that you showed, I think the bigger race has to do with some of the trend lines you see on liberal to liberal or who's conservative. In order to win this race right now, Mike Johnson has to hold. I'm sorry, Mike Rogers has to hold down the sort of ability for him to consolidate support amongst Democrats. You saw that El Sayed has about 90 percent of Democratic voters and Mike Rogers has about 97 of Republicans.

1:12:02He's losing, though, amongst independents. The way he wins this race is to, again, is to show El Sayed as being outside the mainstream with those more pragmatic economic voters that are in the middle. That's the entire race for him right now. I mean, the problem is he doesn't have a good pitch. I mean, you know, the situation that folks are dealing with on the ground, their kitchen table issues are all because of the president. I mean, that is true. And I think that is the headwind that he's facing right now. But I think the message that we just saw him carry, which is that I'm going to be your ambassador for Michigan values and Michigan issues with the president, that that's the best way that he can get that message across to these voters is that he's on.

1:12:43So I think every single one of these voters in the middle is going to say, which one of these candidates is really on my side? And that is key. And they're not going to do it on policy. They're going to demonize this guy on his fate, and they're going to try to make him out to be a socialist. Well, we'll see. Let's also turn to Maine, because we also have some new polling there. As with Michigan, there's no clear leader among likely voters. 48 percent back Democrat Troy Jackson, 45 percent support incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins. Again, that's within the margin of error, so no real leader there.

1:13:1371 % of Democrat Jackson supporters say their vote is driven more by opposition to Collins than by support for him. By comparison, only about a quarter of Collins supporters said they're motivated by opposition to Jackson. That's fair because they probably don't even know who he is. He was a late nominee. What do you think about all that? Well, I think every campaign I've ever worked on, I bet you this goes for you, too, which is fundamentally you believe that voters have to be given a choice and they have to sort of be for something versus just against something. And I think that's where... In order to get them to the polls?

1:13:47In order to get them to the polls, which is that fundamentally you're going to be able to motivate people because they're for your campaign versus just against the other guy. And I think that's something that Susan Collins has focused very intently on in this race, which is reminding a lot of the supporters and the voters that know her very well in Maine that she can be trusted, that she is an effective ambassador for the state in Washington, and that she has values that are aligned with them. And I think that's why she's been trying to drive a contrast message against her opponent here, which is that doesn't have the experience, doesn't have a record of accomplishment, and can't be trusted.

1:14:20She has, I mean, it was six years ago. Sure. Trump headwinds were awful then as well. And Joe Biden won Maine. Sure. And she won Maine. By nine points. And Sarah Gideon, the Democrat, was a perfectly reasonable candidate. Nothing really negative about her. Susan Collins has, I don't know if it's going to happen again, but she seems to really have the state wired. Well, what's interesting is I think what Kevin said is she's creating some distance between her and her opponent. And her opponent in this race happens to be Donald Trump. So she's running away from Donald Trump on everything from the tariffs in Canada to ICE being in Maine to the big, the bill back better with a big, beautiful bill, whatever they call that thing to, again, his entire economic agenda.

1:15:13She's pushed back on in the war in Iran. She's pushed back on effectively. So really, she's running against the president in this particular race. And the question is whether or not she can consolidate independence and convince them that actually she's going to be a check on the president. And I doubt that that can actually happen. Fascinating. Two campaign experts. Thank you so much for being here. My next guest fought for years to get compensation in health care for 9-11 first responders and survivors. His reaction today to newly released documents showing that officials in New York and the federal government misled New Yorkers about the air quality in and around ground zero.

1:15:45That's next. What we learned was the air was as toxic as we said it was. What we learned is that we were dying with every breath we took down there. What we learned is that the city knew it. Earlier today, unions representing New York firefighters expressing frustration and well-deserved anger over newly released 9-11 records. The documents released Tuesday by New York Mayor Zoran Mamdani revealed that officials misled the public and first responders about the toxic air quality levels after the terrorist attacks against the World Trade Center. Friday will mark 25 years since the 9-11 terrorist attacks.

1:16:24Nearly 3 ,000 people killed immediately. But frankly, the deaths never stopped. They've tripled. Nearly 10 ,000 people have died from 9-11-related cancers and other illnesses. There are more first responders who have died from post-9-11 illnesses than those who died on that horrific day 25 years ago. Could members have been diagnosed earlier? Could illnesses have been treated earlier? Could families have been spared years of fighting for health care, compensation and recognition? Could we have spared years of dragging sick members down to Washington? begging for information that maybe we've known.

1:16:59It is a national scandal and disgrace. Thousands of first responders worked for months at Ground Zero, and they inhaled toxic dust and debris. Children, families, everyday people either went back to work or school in New York City after officials said the air quality was safe. The air quality was not safe. Advocates who sued for the city to release these records say it will give people what they need to access federal assistance, and it will help kickstart additional research on health outcomes. As for any more legal repercussions against the city or any individuals, well, some say it's deserved.

1:17:36When people talk about the monetary liability 25 years later, after four times the amount of people have died since that day, I don't care. They made an economic decision not to tell us. They made an economic decision to prioritize lower Manhattan over the citizens that live there. And now it's time to pay the bill.

1:18:23to talk about the book in a second, but I do have to ask you about these newly released 9-11 related documents about the poor air quality around Ground Zero and how that was not, how it was hid from the first responders. What was your response when you saw these documents? Well, Jack, I saw those documents and there's no smoking gun. We knew we were sick. We knew they were lying when they said they didn't have any proof that we were sick. and we walked the halls of Congress in the early 2000s when Congress said we were making it up. What Mayor Mandami has done is shown transparency that the other administrations haven't.

1:19:02But there's no smoking gun in there. There's nothing in there that we didn't know. What bothers me, though, Jake, is roughly 10 ,000 people have died since 9-11 from their illnesses. If the city would have came clean and said, you know what, maybe the air isn't as safe as we thought it was. Let's put some safeguards in there. Let's not send those kids back to school, those people to their apartments and open Wall Street. And maybe instead of 10 ,000 that have died, maybe it would have only been 4 ,000. Maybe if they would have came clean, we wouldn't have made 400 trips to D.C. Maybe we would have only made 150 trips to D.C.

1:19:39Right. Instead of 2 ,400 meetings, maybe it would have been 800 meetings. What they did was create a bigger problem from the problem that they had. And there is no escape in it now because this is a snowball effect. More and more people getting sick and dying. One hundred and fifty five thousand people in the World Trade Center health program, 57 ,000 of them with a certified cancer. And this could have been prevented. I'm not saying not everybody wouldn't have got sick, but it wouldn't have been staggering numbers like we see now. Your book captures the relentless fight you and your brothers and sisters went through to get Congress to finally pass legislation securing health care and financial compensations for 9-11 first responders and survivors.

1:20:24You mentioned, rightfully so, comedian and fellow advocate Jon Stewart, who made a very passionate plea before Congress in 2019. I want to play some of the remarks for viewers who might not remember that moment. Your indifference cost these men and women their most valuable commodity, time.

1:20:54It's the one thing they're running out of. They did their jobs with courage, grace, tenacity, humility.

1:21:0818 years later, do yours. That was 2019. It's now 2026. And the fight isn't over, right? I mean, there are current challenges from Congress, from the Trump administration. Tell us about that. Things that are giving you struggles in your advocacy work for 9-11 first responders. You know, Jake, we just got a bill passed this year to keep the World Trade Center health program funded. We got that attached to the Homeland Security Bill in April. We're trying to get more illnesses added to the bill where we see so much opposition from the CDC and HHS, like adding heart, autoimmune and cognitive. And there's a spike in the 9-11 community in these illnesses.

1:21:54It's a constant battle. You know, this bill is only 16 years old. If you think about it, it's a teenager. And we're at surrogates and we're making sure it matures and helps as many people as possible. You know, we used to have to go around these obstacles and these hurdles that Congress or the federal government put in front of us. Now we go through them and we're going to be relentless and resilient and making sure that these things get done. And RFK Jr., the HHS secretary, he's not particularly helpful these days either, right? No, I mean, he fought, you know, the bill calls for 120 people to oversee the World Trade Center health program at NIOSH.

1:22:31and there's only 82 people there overseeing the World Trade Center health program. And those people are responsible for the enrollment into the program and the certification of illnesses. And that process has slowed down dramatically. We're very sick people waiting to get free health care and then get compensated. Also, he put a freeze on$13 million in research. And if that money is not used in a certain amount of time, they take it back. And who knows what this administration is going to do with$13 million. Again, the book is I Will Follow You Anywhere, the true story of the 9-11 responders who took on Congress.

1:23:04It's out now. Army veteran, 9-11 responder, founder of the Feel Good Foundation, John Feel. Thank you. You always class up the joint when you're here. We really appreciate it. Thank you, Jake. Good seeing you again. And we'll be right back.

1:23:21Our tech lead now today. Apple revealed the newest addition to the iPhone family, the iPhone Duo. Apple's first ever foldable phone. The Duo will feature a 7.6 inch screen when unfolded, can be used horizontally and vertically. This will be Apple's biggest change to the iPhone look in years, and the top of the line model will cost just under$3 ,200. Yikes. At our out-of-this-world lead, the U.S. has apparently seized the largest Martian meteorite on Earth. According to the U.S. attorney here in D.C., Janine Pirro, the meteorite has gone through many different hands. in many different countries.

1:23:59No one knows where it landed and who originally owned it. So what did her office do? Well, she claimed it belonged to the United States before it could be sold at any auction. You can follow the show on X and Instagram at The Lead CNN. If you ever miss an episode of The Lead, you can watch this show on the CNN app. Aaron Burnett up front. Starts right now. Take it away, Aaron.

1:24:22Hey, it's Ryan Reynolds here for Mint Mobile. Now, I was looking for fun ways to tell you that Mint's offer of unlimited premium wireless for$15 a month is back. So I thought it would be fun if we made$15 bills, but it turns out that's very illegal. So there goes my big idea for the commercial. Give it a try at mintmobile.com slash switch. Upfront payment of$45 for three months, $90 for six months, or$180 for 12-month plan required, $15 per month equivalent, taxes and fees extra. Initial plan term only greater than 50 gigabytes may slow when network is busy. See terms. In 2024, a man was killed by the FBI.

1:24:55And to this day, the authorities have refused to say why. He was a father, an ex-husband, and a Russian-born American citizen. He just seemed like a lonely guy, and he needed a friend. And he kind of talked about death, didn't he? He talked about, you just never know when it's your time. I'm CNN investigative reporter Isabel Chapman, host of the new limited series, Civilian or Spy. They noticed that he was communicating with people that were of concern to the FBI. Oh my God, Jesus. Head over to the CNN Presents feed and listen to our three-part series, Civilian or Spy, available wherever you get your podcasts.

From the publisher

Stark warnings from experts at AI companies about how the technology might kill us all. Plus, as the Republican midterm convention begins, oil prices top $100 a barrel, diesel hits a record, and regular gas had its biggest jump in months. 
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