In short
Democrats overperformed in special elections and school board races across multiple “red” states, with the host arguing it signals worsening conditions for Donald Trump and potential Democratic gains in upcoming midterms.
Guests/backgrounds
Mentions Zachary Danini (explains election results and overperformance patterns). Mentions Democratic Sen. Chris Murphy (comments on Trump’s Iran-related war/ceasefire and argues it should trigger the 25th Amendment). No other guests are clearly identified.
Key claims
Democrats won big in Wisconsin Supreme Court (Chris Taylor over Maria Larrazar by 20+ points) and flipped multiple school board seats (e.g., Tulsa, Anchorage). The host claims Trump’s approval among independents is worse than Richard Nixon’s at the same point, with especially poor economy and male/young male approval trends. Claims Trump’s Iran actions amounted to surrender/capitulation.
Notable examples
Tulsa Public Schools board (Connie Dodson defeats Ilana Ashley); Francis Howell school board in Missouri (teacher slate ousts right-wing MAGA); Waukesha mayoral race (Alicia Halvesman wins 51–48); Ozaukee County flips blue; Milwaukee precinct swing toward Democrats (up to 56-point swing in one precinct).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VORepublicans Stunned by Election Losses
0:28 to 1:21
Discussing major electoral upsets for Republicans in traditionally red states.
“elections, school board elections that took place on Tuesday.”
Trump's Approval Ratings Plummet
1:21 to 2:00
Analyzing Trump's declining approval ratings and implications for the midterms.
“Massive Democratic overperformances in Georgia as Donald Trump's approval with independence is now lower than Nixon's approval with independence by a significant amount as of the time that Nixon resigned.”
Key Election Results in Wisconsin
2:00 to 2:32
Detailed results of significant elections in Wisconsin and their impact.
“I have a feeling that Donald Trump's poll numbers are going to get much, much worse.”
Democratic Gains in Oklahoma and Missouri
2:32 to 2:56
Democrats achieve significant wins in Oklahoma and Missouri school boards.
“In Georgia's 14th congressional district, that's Marjorie Taylor Greene's old district, there was a 23-point overperformance by Democrats.”
Tulsa School Board Upset
2:56 to 3:38
Exploring the Democratic victory in Tulsa's school board election.
“Then in Oklahoma, Democrats flipped a seat in a 27-point overperformance, a massive win there.”
Missouri's Shift in School Board Control
3:38 to 4:10
Discussing the change in school board control in Missouri and its implications.
“Tonight, a slate endorsed by the teacher slate swept and the last remaining right-wing conservative MAGA was ousted.”
Waukesha Mayoral Election Results
4:10 to 4:56
Analyzing the results of the Waukesha mayoral election and its significance.
“who just lost her reelection rates, Pusker is her name, spoke up for banning a Toni Morrison book just last month.”
Historic Wins for Democrats in Ozaukee County
4:56 to 5:38
Overview of Democrats flipping Ozaukee County after years of conservative dominance.
“As I noted before you zoom in on Chris Taylor, the now Supreme Court justices race.”
Alaska's Shifting Political Landscape
5:38 to 6:12
Discussing the political developments in Alaska and key victories.
Georgia's Impressive Democratic Performance
6:12 to 6:50
Highlighting Georgia's significant Democratic gains in recent elections.
“castrate the parents of trans children candidate.”
Show all 16 chapters
Polling Insights on Trump's Approval Ratings
6:50 to 8:08
Examining polling data that shows Trump's alarming approval ratings among independents.
“Democrats won in a very purple area of a Missouri suburb.”
Trump's Economic Disapproval Ratings
8:08 to 9:08
Analyzing Trump’s disapproval ratings concerning economic management.
“Let me show you Harry Enten's latest analysis of this poll showing that Donald Trump is less popular amongst independents than Nixon at the time of Nixon's resignation.”
Young Voters' Shift Away from Trump
9:08 to 11:35
Discussing the significant shift in approval ratings among young male voters.
“Or what about polls showing what a disaster Trump is on the economy?”
Trump's Controversial War in Iran
11:35 to 12:20
Analysis of Trump's actions regarding the military and foreign policy in Iran.
“Now, I'll just share with you quickly, Democratic Senator Chris Murphy, what he said about Donald Trump's disastrous war in Iran play.”
Laura Ingraham on Trump's Political Strategy
12:20 to 14:02
Insights into how Laura Ingraham views Trump's political maneuvers and future.
“But he thinks, I guess, that the threat of mass-scale war crimes has achieved some success.”
Analysis of Trump's Political Maneuvering
14:02 to 14:40
Learn how Trump's actions continue to reshape the political landscape.
“But if Iran has the strait permanently now, what an error, what a miscalculation this entire endeavor was.”
Transcript
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0:27Ben Meiselas:Republicans just got stunned as they got wiped out in a series of special elections, elections, school board elections that took place on Tuesday. I'm talking about in Alaska, in Missouri, in ruby red areas of Wisconsin. I mean, we're talking about in Oklahoma, in ruby red areas. We're seeing Democrats taking control of school boards, a big Democratic-aligned win in Wisconsin in their Supreme Court race. Chris Taylor, the Democrat-aligned candidate, winning big by double digits, 20 points, almost 30 points, and winning in red suburban areas in Wisconsin that were big Trump districts that are now flipping blue that we haven't seen in decades.
1:22Ben Meiselas:Massive Democratic overperformances in Georgia as Donald Trump's approval with independence is now lower than Nixon's approval with independence by a significant amount as of the time that Nixon resigned. So Nixon was more popular with independence than Donald Trump is right now. And Donald Trump's disastrous deal with Iran getting us into this unlawful criminal war in Iran only to enter a deal as well. That's a total surrender and capitulation after all of this. I have a feeling that Donald Trump's poll numbers are going to get much, much worse. and just think about what this means for the midterms and the blue tsunami that may unfold.
2:12Ben Meiselas:Let's just go through point by point. As Zachary Danini explains, while national attention was focused on Iran, Democrats won big across the country last night. Wisconsin, a blowout Supreme Court race. Remember I had Chris Taylor on the Midas Touch Network. She won by over 20 points. In Georgia's 14th congressional district, that's Marjorie Taylor Greene's old district, there was a 23-point overperformance by Democrats. The Democratic candidates still lost, but a 23-point overperformance. In Missouri, I'll talk about that in a moment, a big mayoral win in a ruby red area and a school board flip in a ruby red area.
2:56Ben Meiselas:Then in Oklahoma, Democrats flipped a seat in a 27-point overperformance, a massive win there. Let's zoom in on the Tulsa school board seat right here where Democrats flipped this seat. The right-wing candidate, Ilana Ashley, went down. She faced backlash after suggesting immigrant students endangered school safety, Zachary Danini points out. And the Democrat Connie Dodson defeats Republican Ilana Ashley, flipping these Tulsa Public School Board District for and a massive flip there. Talk about what's going on in Missouri for a second. Tanyal explains that the right took over the Francis Howell School Board, a large Missouri district earlier this decade that followed book bans and restrictive policies and hate directed at the LGBTQ students and community.
3:55Ben Meiselas:Tonight, a slate endorsed by the teacher slate swept and the last remaining right-wing conservative MAGA was ousted. Bye-bye. Conservative MAGAs had already lost ground in 2024. The remaining conservative MAGA who just lost her reelection rates, Pusker is her name, spoke up for banning a Toni Morrison book just last month. This adds to other conservative MAGA losses on school boards. They got wiped out in school boards in ruby red areas last night. Let's go to Waukesha, the Waukesha mayoral election in Wisconsin. Alicia Halvesman won 51 % to about 48 % over Scott Allen. And as I'm sure you remember from my coverage back in 2024, Waukesha, Wisconsin, went in favor of Trump plus six.
4:52Ben Meiselas:That's one of the redder areas in Wisconsin, Waukesha is. And the Democrat won there a massive overperformance. As I noted before you zoom in on Chris Taylor, the now Supreme Court justices race. She's the Democratic aligned candidate. I mean, she absolutely destroyed Maria Larrazar. Let's take a look at Ozaukee County as well. As Donini points out, another historic moment as Democrats flipped this county from red to blue, breaking a streak of 14 straight conservative MAGA wins in Wisconsin. Supreme Court races dating back to 1999. And now Ozaukee went in favor of the Democratic aligned candidate there.
5:38Ben Meiselas:um also let's not sleep on alaska don't sleep you're going to sleep on alaska weren't you don't sleep on alaska as donini points out it looks like the democratic aligned rachel blakeslee strong position in anchorage rosales drew scrutiny for posts calling to castrate parents of trans children and praising aspects of hitler's economic policies um and so you see right here the Anchorage school board seat. See, big night for Rachel Blakeslee beating the Alexander Rosales castrate the parents of trans children candidate. And Danini pointed out enough votes are in that Blakeslee is likely to maintain a high single digit to double digit lead as well.
6:24Ben Meiselas:A big, big victory there. And a historic night in Georgia. Sean Harris was not able to pull off the victory against the MAGA Clay Fuller. I mean, that's Marjorie Taylor Greene's district. But he posted the largest congressional special general election performance, not just in a decade, really in the past 20 years. As Danini says, I can't even find a data set that goes back far enough. Oh, don't sleep on Missouri. Democrats won in a very purple area of a Missouri suburb. Beto Lopez defeats Cinda Radar in Lee's Summit, a Harris plus two city, marking another comfortable Democratic lead last night.
7:07Ben Meiselas:And if you want to zoom in like Milwaukee, for example, the heavily Hispanic areas on Milwaukee's south side, shifting sharply towards Democrats with a 56-point swing in one Lincoln Village precinct. Taylor, that's the Supreme Court justice now, getting 91 % compared to Harris's 64%. May I repeat that for a second? As you looked in some of these heavily Hispanic areas in Milwaukee, Harris got about 64 % of the vote. Now, the Democratic-aligned candidate getting 91 % of the vote. We're talking about 56 % over performances by Democrats in some of these districts in Milwaukee. Wow, wow, wow. how, again, let's take a look right here.
7:54Ben Meiselas:Jefferson County turning blue. Just look at the map right here and you can see literally every county in Wisconsin overperformed blue, overperformed Democrat. And the numbers speak for themselves. Let me show you Harry Enten's latest analysis of this poll showing that Donald Trump is less popular amongst independents than Nixon at the time of Nixon's resignation. Play this clip. Let's talk about independence, which has been this group which really has just been eye popping the last few months. Eye popping indeed. This number, if if there's one big number from this, is that Donald Trump now has the worst net approval rating among independents of any president ever at this point in term two.
8:39He is worse than Richard Nixon, who would be going adios amigos in a few months back in 1974 and term to look at this minus 45 points worse than George W. Bush at this point in term two. The Iraq war was weighing him down at minus 37 and worse than Richard Nixon. When, of course, there were all those impeachment hearings back in 1974 at minus 36 points. He's nearly 10 points worse among independents on his net approval rating at this point in term two. Donald Trump is then Richard Nixon. My goodness gracious. I don't want to eat. We're comparing it to here. Yeah.
9:11Ben Meiselas:Or what about polls showing what a disaster Trump is on the economy? Enten, take it away. Look at this. These are the worst. In our poll, 69 percent disapproved of Donald Trump on the economy. For George W. Bush, it was 57 percent in terms of the average. Barack Obama, 56 percent. Donald Trump is crushing him on a metric. You don't want to be crushing anybody on which is disapproval ratings on the economy. He's double digits worse. I was looking at some other polling data also above the 57 and 56 percent. the worst of all time at this point in term number two. It's the economy dragging Trump down, being, of course, accelerated by inflation being so bad.
9:50And of course, the gas prices just adding up. It's like a pancake tower and you're just reaching the top. And this is not a tower you want to climb. Or what about amongst male voters?
10:00Ben Meiselas:Enten, take it away. Donald Trump and Republicans won in 2024 because of support from male voters. The only way they can win, given the gender gap in this country is support from male voters. And male voters are abandoning Donald Trump. Take a look here. This gives the game away. OK, Trump's standing with men. In November of 2024, he beat Kamala Harris among them by 13 points. By 13 points. Look at where he is now on his net approval rating. Down he goes. It's a 20-point shift away from Donald Trump. He is now seven points underwater at this particular point among men. I think it is very difficult for Republicans to do well in this midterm cycle If Donald Trump is underwater with men, as my uncle once wrote, where the boys are, where the men are, they are underwater when it comes to Donald Trump.
10:46OK, so that's overall men. But what about young men who were really influential? Yes. Young men. Of course, there was a massive shift to Donald Trump from 2020 to 2024 among young men. And look right here. Whoa. Yikes. Yikes. Yikes. Yikes. men under the age of 25 on trump he won him in 2024 by five points look where he is now the net approver waiting way down there down we go to negative 19 points that's a nearly what is that nearly a 25 point switcheroo against the president of the united states when it comes to men under the age of 45 those men that had switched their allegiances over to the republican party are seeing what the president is doing they don't like what the president is doing and they have very much soured on the president of the United States, men under the age of 45.
11:36Now, I'll just share with you quickly, Democratic Senator Chris Murphy, what he said about Donald Trump's disastrous war in Iran play. I mean, listen, the president has promised to commit war crimes. He's promised to eradicate an entire civilization. We have never, ever seen that in the history of this country. That's why I and many other people have been talking for the last 24 hours about the 25th Amendment. It does seem that Trump has lost touch with reality, and we just can't accept a president who is literally promising to destroy an entire civilization, to murder hundreds of thousands of innocent human beings.
12:14That alone should be grounds for the removal of this president. But he thinks, I guess, that the threat of mass-scale war crimes has achieved some success. But as we're learning in the last few minutes, the success seems to be that Iran has more power over global commerce than ever before in our lifetime. And so the combination of the threat of war crimes along with the outcome of this so-called ceasefire, it's just really hard to get your head wrapped around. And more for Murphy right here. Let's play it. I mean, listen, who knows what's going on? Donald Trump lies every single day. Clearly, he's not telling the truth.
12:57But if you accept even part of the Iranian statement, Donald Trump has agreed to give Iran control of the Strait of Hormuz. That is extraordinary. If you go deeper into the statement from the Iranian National Security Council, they claim that Trump has also agreed to Iran's right to enrichment to suspend all sanctions against Iran and to allow Iran to keep their missile program, their drone program, and their nuclear program. Now, who knows if any of that is true, but if at the very least this agreement gives Iran the right to control the strait, that is cataclysmic for the world. And it is just stunning that that's where we have gotten to, that Donald Trump took a military action that has apparently, at least for the time being, given Iran control over a critical waterway that they did not have control over before the war began.
13:56So it just doesn't sound like there's actually an agreement because when Trump is saying it's totally different than what the Iranians are saying. But if Iran has the strait permanently now, what an error, what a miscalculation this entire endeavor was. But if you listen to Laura Ingraham, here's what she had to say. Let's play Okay, so actually tonight's news is actually bad news for them. I'm sorry, I'm going to say it the way it is. They always underestimate Trump. And as for 2028 Van Halen, who we just saw, he has the charisma of a mollusk. So we were at the precipice here. We had to rewrite the script.
14:35Donald Trump continues to rewrite the political script. Democrats believe they finally had Trump and the entire MAGA movement in a box. But once again, the last laugh will be on them.
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From the publisher
MeidasTouch host Ben Meiselas reports on election losses suffered by the GOP on Tuesday in states like Oklahoma, Alaska, Missouri, and Wisconsin.
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